1
00:00:00,680 --> 00:00:03,600
Speaker 1: Well, what's up everybody. Welcome into another episode of Prophet Picks.

2
00:00:03,680 --> 00:00:05,839
If you are new, we always start this show by

3
00:00:05,919 --> 00:00:10,320
being transparent, and there wasn't a show yesterday. Last time

4
00:00:10,359 --> 00:00:13,080
we did talk, we talked out some WNBA. I had

5
00:00:13,080 --> 00:00:16,519
another winner. I'm now what eight and one in the

6
00:00:16,600 --> 00:00:18,839
WNBA playoffs, so I try to keep that going. I

7
00:00:18,920 --> 00:00:21,760
talked about a lot of tennis plays. I think I

8
00:00:21,839 --> 00:00:25,079
talked about five of them. I saw four of them

9
00:00:25,120 --> 00:00:28,760
already go. Unfortunately, the two that I took where the losers.

10
00:00:28,800 --> 00:00:30,920
The two that I didn't take where the winners. So

11
00:00:31,679 --> 00:00:33,439
we need to pick a little bit better in tennis.

12
00:00:33,479 --> 00:00:37,479
But WNBA is going well. And today we'll talk a

13
00:00:37,479 --> 00:00:39,679
little bit of football. But before we do that, we

14
00:00:39,799 --> 00:00:41,759
know it's good to be back with you. How's everything

15
00:00:41,799 --> 00:00:42,200
going with you?

16
00:00:43,560 --> 00:00:46,079
Speaker 2: Thanks are good? Ski. I did not play anything yesterday,

17
00:00:46,759 --> 00:00:51,719
no w no football, and I'm still not involved in

18
00:00:51,759 --> 00:00:55,159
baseball yet. But the playoffs are close. They're close Monday.

19
00:00:55,200 --> 00:00:59,079
When we last talked, Today's Thursday, shiit was Tuesday four

20
00:00:59,119 --> 00:01:02,640
and Nona played each game two different ways, all four

21
00:01:02,679 --> 00:01:07,400
of them. One had Phoenix, team total over had Phoenix

22
00:01:07,480 --> 00:01:12,519
plus the points had Las Vegas first quarter. I think

23
00:01:12,519 --> 00:01:14,519
that was the best bet for the show. They did

24
00:01:14,560 --> 00:01:16,280
the job right out of the shoot and they also

25
00:01:16,359 --> 00:01:19,120
had them first half. So it was a nice day,

26
00:01:19,239 --> 00:01:23,840
very productive day Tuesday, WNBA. So hopefully we can do

27
00:01:23,879 --> 00:01:24,680
the same here tonight.

28
00:01:26,159 --> 00:01:28,560
Speaker 1: Our today will be no basketball, a little bit of

29
00:01:28,760 --> 00:01:31,799
Thursday Night football, and then we have a college football

30
00:01:31,799 --> 00:01:34,760
game as well, so let's get straight to it. First

31
00:01:34,840 --> 00:01:37,519
up will be one oh one, one o two. Seattle

32
00:01:37,519 --> 00:01:40,640
and Arizona opened up, and this one I'm not sure

33
00:01:40,680 --> 00:01:43,439
I saw it gets It depends where you shot for

34
00:01:43,480 --> 00:01:46,000
the opener, but I see minus one and a half

35
00:01:46,000 --> 00:01:50,120
where I'm looking at now for Seattle and still one

36
00:01:50,120 --> 00:01:52,239
and a half right now. I think the look ahead

37
00:01:52,280 --> 00:01:54,120
line was minus two and a half Arizona. I think

38
00:01:54,120 --> 00:01:57,799
that's what it was. But after these injuries, things have

39
00:01:57,879 --> 00:01:59,760
changed a little bit. Total open forty three and a

40
00:01:59,799 --> 00:02:02,400
half down to forty three. And to what I just said,

41
00:02:02,480 --> 00:02:09,400
Raveno Cardinals, what lost James Connor. They lost their their

42
00:02:09,439 --> 00:02:15,719
receiver his his name is I'm forgetting his name right now,

43
00:02:15,759 --> 00:02:18,360
but I think it's their second wide receiver, and they

44
00:02:18,400 --> 00:02:22,520
lost their guard, so a little bit of you know,

45
00:02:22,560 --> 00:02:25,599
they're banged up on the Arizona side. For Seattle, they

46
00:02:25,639 --> 00:02:27,800
at least have the health going for them. Do you

47
00:02:27,879 --> 00:02:31,479
believe in everything that we've seen so far from the Seahawks?

48
00:02:31,759 --> 00:02:34,960
Do we think that they haven't played anybody we can't trust?

49
00:02:35,080 --> 00:02:38,759
You know what we've seen further competition level. This is

50
00:02:38,759 --> 00:02:41,479
an important game, you know in the division and the

51
00:02:41,520 --> 00:02:44,280
Cardinals already having a loss to San fran I mean,

52
00:02:44,319 --> 00:02:47,360
both teams do. It's a really important game. I think

53
00:02:47,360 --> 00:02:49,039
it's an edge on a short week to the home

54
00:02:49,080 --> 00:02:51,360
team and that's who I would try to get to

55
00:02:51,360 --> 00:02:53,560
the window with. What do you think about this one

56
00:02:53,599 --> 00:02:54,400
so far? Ravino?

57
00:02:55,479 --> 00:03:00,680
Speaker 2: Well, Evaluating Seattle after that first game against San France, Ski,

58
00:03:00,759 --> 00:03:04,159
I was not. I feel like they lost that game

59
00:03:04,280 --> 00:03:06,879
way more than San Francisco won it. But Seattle had

60
00:03:06,919 --> 00:03:12,680
every advantage in the world, as really did Arizona last week,

61
00:03:12,719 --> 00:03:15,719
although Arizona had to go on the road against the

62
00:03:15,759 --> 00:03:18,120
forty nine ers. But the advantage I speak about is

63
00:03:18,199 --> 00:03:21,639
just the decimation of forty nine er offensive weapons. Both

64
00:03:21,639 --> 00:03:24,680
of these teams played the forty nine ers with basically

65
00:03:24,759 --> 00:03:29,120
nothing other than Christian McCaffery. In the Seattle game, which

66
00:03:29,159 --> 00:03:31,120
was the first of the year George Kittle went out

67
00:03:31,120 --> 00:03:34,560
in the first half, they did have Brock Purdy. Still,

68
00:03:36,080 --> 00:03:38,719
Arizona didn't even have to face Brock party and they lost.

69
00:03:38,759 --> 00:03:41,879
So neither team did well against that team. But since then,

70
00:03:42,120 --> 00:03:44,960
Seattle's been very good defensively. I have to give them that,

71
00:03:45,159 --> 00:03:47,919
very good defensively. And to your point about injuries, Arizona

72
00:03:48,159 --> 00:03:51,319
is really really banged up. And a lot of times,

73
00:03:52,319 --> 00:03:56,159
you know, when injuries are spread out ski across position groups,

74
00:03:56,360 --> 00:03:59,080
it's kind of okay. But when you have so many

75
00:03:59,159 --> 00:04:01,960
offensive line that are banged up, I mean, it's cluster

76
00:04:02,120 --> 00:04:06,360
injuries on the offensive line for Arizona. The James Connor

77
00:04:06,400 --> 00:04:09,400
injury you talked about, as well as A Jones, the

78
00:04:09,439 --> 00:04:12,840
other receiver you were referring to. It's to me it's

79
00:04:12,919 --> 00:04:16,319
tough for them offensively. Here tonight Seattle catches another break

80
00:04:17,120 --> 00:04:21,519
facing a team that's down where offensive weaponry is concerned.

81
00:04:21,680 --> 00:04:24,160
And as we say all the time, and you did

82
00:04:24,240 --> 00:04:26,399
hit on this, these divisional games are the most important

83
00:04:26,439 --> 00:04:28,399
of all both teams zero and one. I just think

84
00:04:28,399 --> 00:04:32,120
Seattle's in better position right now. Zach Sharbone back in

85
00:04:32,199 --> 00:04:35,279
the backfield for them. It seems like Sam Darnold's been

86
00:04:35,319 --> 00:04:39,079
pretty comfortable, and like I say, their defense has been

87
00:04:40,000 --> 00:04:43,079
absolutely lights out for the most part, Seattle's has, so

88
00:04:43,879 --> 00:04:46,360
I would look that way, but I didn't bet this game.

89
00:04:46,959 --> 00:04:51,160
These short work week games, I can never really figure.

90
00:04:51,240 --> 00:04:54,839
I know we have that trend on under. We're total

91
00:04:54,920 --> 00:04:56,680
is concerned, and maybe that's a better way to look

92
00:04:56,720 --> 00:04:59,879
at just under forty three and a half, since these

93
00:05:00,480 --> 00:05:04,240
Thursday night games tend to go that way. I stayed off.

94
00:05:04,399 --> 00:05:06,959
I would probably look at Seattle here minus the one

95
00:05:06,959 --> 00:05:07,360
and a half.

96
00:05:09,399 --> 00:05:11,240
Speaker 1: Yeah, as far as the total is concerned, I can

97
00:05:11,360 --> 00:05:14,120
understand that. I mean just betting on both of these

98
00:05:14,160 --> 00:05:16,519
defenses here tonight. I think I need a little bit

99
00:05:16,519 --> 00:05:18,920
more time and I will tweet out whatever I play

100
00:05:18,920 --> 00:05:22,800
on this game, but Arizona or under will be my

101
00:05:22,879 --> 00:05:26,360
recommendations as of right now. You know, I'm gonna move

102
00:05:26,360 --> 00:05:28,120
it on over to a little bit of college football,

103
00:05:28,959 --> 00:05:31,839
and that is Army in East Carolina. Opened up minus

104
00:05:31,839 --> 00:05:37,480
four for East Carolina. I'm seeing fours, mostly fours. There

105
00:05:37,560 --> 00:05:38,879
is a three and a half, there is a four

106
00:05:38,879 --> 00:05:40,839
and a half, So always got a line shot to

107
00:05:40,879 --> 00:05:43,839
make sure you get the best of the number. Total

108
00:05:43,920 --> 00:05:45,759
open fifty two and a half and haven't seen a

109
00:05:45,759 --> 00:05:49,800
whole lot of movement there. I don't really watch either

110
00:05:49,839 --> 00:05:52,639
of these teams, honestly, Rob, you know so, I'm gonna

111
00:05:52,680 --> 00:05:55,680
defer to you. Is there any way you're looking at

112
00:05:55,800 --> 00:05:56,759
Army in East Carolina?

113
00:05:57,959 --> 00:06:02,079
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm gonna zero in on the team total. Here'

114
00:06:02,160 --> 00:06:04,839
ski from the East Carolina side. It's twenty seven and

115
00:06:04,879 --> 00:06:06,720
a half. There's a little bit of price to pay

116
00:06:06,759 --> 00:06:10,879
with it. Minus one twenty five, minus one thirty. Shop

117
00:06:10,920 --> 00:06:13,920
whatever you can find. I think what you'll find at

118
00:06:13,920 --> 00:06:16,360
twenty seven and a half mostly is minus one thirty.

119
00:06:17,800 --> 00:06:19,399
You can go to twenty eight and a half, and

120
00:06:19,399 --> 00:06:21,639
then of course you're taking plus price, but twenty eight

121
00:06:21,680 --> 00:06:23,439
such a key number you really don't want to do that.

122
00:06:23,480 --> 00:06:26,720
I played over twenty seven and a half minus one thirty.

123
00:06:26,800 --> 00:06:29,959
Couple of reasons here. If I just look at the

124
00:06:30,000 --> 00:06:34,600
positives for the East Carolina offense, it's definitely a significant

125
00:06:34,600 --> 00:06:37,360
step down in class here. They played BYU last week

126
00:06:37,399 --> 00:06:40,519
and they gained over four hundred yards against BYU. That

127
00:06:40,560 --> 00:06:43,519
final score is so misleading thirty four to thirteen. I

128
00:06:43,519 --> 00:06:47,879
think East Carolina even outgained BYU, or was outgained by

129
00:06:47,879 --> 00:06:51,600
maybe something small like fourteen yards. They had four hundred

130
00:06:51,600 --> 00:06:55,040
and four, but they left a bunch of points on

131
00:06:55,079 --> 00:06:57,680
the table. And only reason I know is because the

132
00:06:57,720 --> 00:07:00,480
final score landed on forty seven and I had forty

133
00:07:00,560 --> 00:07:02,639
nine and a half in a game which I really

134
00:07:02,680 --> 00:07:06,600
feel like I should have won, falling only three points short.

135
00:07:07,800 --> 00:07:10,839
As I mentioned, they had two turnovers ECU did on

136
00:07:10,879 --> 00:07:15,360
the BYU six and on the BYU fifteen. Either of

137
00:07:15,360 --> 00:07:17,160
those turns into a field goal and we cashed that

138
00:07:17,279 --> 00:07:21,360
over full game over ticket. Last week. Army has been

139
00:07:22,000 --> 00:07:25,600
terrible defensively. Last week they were really terrible against the

140
00:07:25,600 --> 00:07:28,360
balance North Texas offense, gave up four hundred and seventy

141
00:07:28,399 --> 00:07:32,720
eight yards, lost the game. East Carolina has got so

142
00:07:32,839 --> 00:07:37,360
much speed, ski and I've been on them their games

143
00:07:37,399 --> 00:07:39,519
a couple of times. Here's three times, as a matter

144
00:07:39,560 --> 00:07:41,399
of fact, in four games, I played the East Carolina

145
00:07:41,439 --> 00:07:46,240
game three times. I was successful playing team total over

146
00:07:46,360 --> 00:07:48,920
a couple of weeks back against Coastal Carolina when they

147
00:07:48,920 --> 00:07:52,560
scored thirty eight. And it seems to me like East

148
00:07:52,560 --> 00:07:56,199
Carolina is developing a profile of kind of a bully team.

149
00:07:56,839 --> 00:07:59,480
When they have somebody that they can handle, they do so,

150
00:08:00,000 --> 00:08:02,560
and I feel like they can handle Army's defense here. Now,

151
00:08:03,519 --> 00:08:06,600
the counter side for the entire game is that, you know,

152
00:08:06,759 --> 00:08:09,040
can you stop the option offense with only a three

153
00:08:09,120 --> 00:08:11,000
day work week. It's hard enough to prepare for the

154
00:08:11,000 --> 00:08:13,199
option when you have a full week, never mind a

155
00:08:13,279 --> 00:08:16,439
short week. So Army may get theirs two. The reason

156
00:08:16,439 --> 00:08:18,600
why I'm not in on full game here is because

157
00:08:18,720 --> 00:08:21,519
Armies got injuries at the quarterback position. Both of their

158
00:08:21,560 --> 00:08:25,439
guys got hurt last week, so we'll see who does

159
00:08:25,480 --> 00:08:28,759
take the field tonight for Army. I think. Let me

160
00:08:28,879 --> 00:08:32,039
just say real quick that this line had spiked all

161
00:08:32,080 --> 00:08:35,240
the way to five and a half East Carolina when

162
00:08:35,279 --> 00:08:38,039
it seemed like maybe both qbs would be out. It's

163
00:08:38,039 --> 00:08:40,600
come down now, as you mentioned a four three and

164
00:08:40,600 --> 00:08:45,000
a half, because somebody's good enough to play QB here,

165
00:08:45,480 --> 00:08:48,639
how well they execute, I'm not sure. I would rather

166
00:08:48,759 --> 00:08:52,440
take what I perceived to be the known factor, which

167
00:08:52,480 --> 00:08:55,399
is the East Carolina offense against the Army defense. So

168
00:08:55,440 --> 00:08:57,559
that's why I am where I am. East Carolina team

169
00:08:57,559 --> 00:08:59,120
total over twenty seven and a half.

170
00:09:00,360 --> 00:09:02,120
Speaker 1: All right, good stuff, you know, I'll just rock with

171
00:09:02,159 --> 00:09:04,919
you on that one, and this will be one of

172
00:09:04,960 --> 00:09:07,639
the shorter shows that we've had. It's only been nine minutes.

173
00:09:07,679 --> 00:09:10,679
We got through both a NFL and college football game.

174
00:09:11,240 --> 00:09:13,679
Don't have any basketball to talk about, so we'll go

175
00:09:13,679 --> 00:09:17,799
ahead and wrap it up. And I don't have anything

176
00:09:17,879 --> 00:09:21,000
to put up on the screen head today, Raveno, but

177
00:09:21,080 --> 00:09:22,639
I'll ask you if there's anything you would like to

178
00:09:22,639 --> 00:09:24,840
promote and if you have a best bet for the show,

179
00:09:25,240 --> 00:09:27,759
we love to hear it. If you don't, it's all good.

180
00:09:29,000 --> 00:09:30,919
Speaker 2: Real quick, I'll say. For those of you who play

181
00:09:30,960 --> 00:09:34,440
football all weekend long, the Wager Talk Weekend Warrior Package

182
00:09:34,559 --> 00:09:38,679
is back again this week. Basically, what it is, guys,

183
00:09:38,759 --> 00:09:42,279
is you can get Saturday, Sunday, Monday every single football

184
00:09:42,320 --> 00:09:46,639
release from either Ski or myself. You get everything, including

185
00:09:46,639 --> 00:09:49,519
the five percenters from Saturday through Monday, for the reduced

186
00:09:49,600 --> 00:09:52,720
price of forty nine dollars. I believe regularly it's one

187
00:09:52,799 --> 00:09:54,720
hundred and eight, so they bring it all the way

188
00:09:54,720 --> 00:09:56,879
down to forty nine catch all three days. It's been

189
00:09:56,879 --> 00:09:58,879
popular the first two weekends, so they're going to run

190
00:09:58,879 --> 00:10:01,159
it for a third. If you are interested in football

191
00:10:01,200 --> 00:10:03,279
this weekend, that's the way to go. Weekend. More of

192
00:10:03,279 --> 00:10:05,120
your package you can pick it up at wagytalk dot

193
00:10:05,159 --> 00:10:10,879
com or Ski always lists our personal websites over on

194
00:10:10,960 --> 00:10:14,799
the scroll underneath best bet, I'll give you what I just.

195
00:10:16,279 --> 00:10:16,639
Speaker 1: Gave you.

196
00:10:16,879 --> 00:10:19,240
Speaker 2: I did play East Carolina team total over twenty seven

197
00:10:19,279 --> 00:10:20,559
and a half. I'll leave it as a best bet.

198
00:10:20,600 --> 00:10:23,480
I think they can get to thirty plus here. A

199
00:10:23,519 --> 00:10:26,679
lot of the pushback obviously would be army in the

200
00:10:26,759 --> 00:10:29,399
chew clock scenario, which is kind of an old narrative.

201
00:10:29,399 --> 00:10:32,279
I mean, they scored seventy nine points last week against

202
00:10:32,279 --> 00:10:35,080
North Texas used to using up tempo offense much the same,

203
00:10:35,799 --> 00:10:40,000
just as explosive in my opinion, So team total over

204
00:10:40,080 --> 00:10:42,240
twenty seven and a half East Carolina tonight is the

205
00:10:42,240 --> 00:10:42,919
best bet.

206
00:10:44,840 --> 00:10:49,639
Speaker 1: Our good stuff, you know. For myself promo wars, I'll

207
00:10:49,639 --> 00:10:51,759
just say that I do have you a five percent

208
00:10:51,840 --> 00:10:55,919
up for WNBA game tomorrow. Like I said, I'm eight

209
00:10:55,919 --> 00:10:57,759
and to one so far into the WNBA playoffs, so

210
00:10:57,799 --> 00:11:00,200
if you want to get ahead of it, I do

211
00:11:00,279 --> 00:11:02,399
have that available on my page. As far as the

212
00:11:02,399 --> 00:11:04,799
best bet for tonight, I haven't played it yet, so

213
00:11:04,840 --> 00:11:06,679
I don't want to just give you guys anything, but

214
00:11:06,720 --> 00:11:09,120
I'll say it's either going to be Arizona or under

215
00:11:09,320 --> 00:11:10,960
and I'll put it out on Twitter to let you

216
00:11:10,960 --> 00:11:14,200
guys know. So, Fino appreciate you taking the time to

217
00:11:14,200 --> 00:11:16,600
come break these games down with us. Everybody in the

218
00:11:16,679 --> 00:11:19,840
chat we appreciate you as well, and we'll be by

219
00:11:19,919 --> 00:11:21,919
doing it again tomorrow with a little bit more to

220
00:11:21,960 --> 00:11:25,879
talk about. So until then, peace,