Speaker 1: What's up? Everybody? Welcome into another episode of Profit Picks.
If you are new, we do always start the show
by being transparent and uh veno. You know, I feel
like I could, actually I could have got to the
window yesterday. I'm looking at my notes and I probably
had a solid day, but I just didn't feel right.
Didn't feel right, so I passed yesterday. I'm looking at
my short list here, Orlando. Okay, see, I guess the
Sixers and the Sixers team total both with a split.
But I could have made out with a profit. How'd
you do yesterday?
Speaker 2: I made out with a little bit of profit because
I played. The bigger play was Philly team total over,
which got there really really late. Boy, what allows you?
Third quarter had me nervous, but they got there late
with the reserves. And then the second play was the
Denver Cleveland. The Cleveland team total over one nineteen and
a half, and we got hooked. Cleveland got to one
nineteen on those couple of last seconds free throws in
that game, so was one in one. But it did
make profit because we played the one side bigger for
clients yesterday. By the way, NBA, real quick here, Ski
and I know You've been on a great roll yourself.
For me twelve and three the last two weeks NBA,
probably my best stretch of the entire season, so it's
been pretty good.
Speaker 1: Nice work, bro, nice work. I don't know exactly what
my stuff is. I you know, things got jumped up
over the weekend and I got to figure it out
probably around probably today. I'll figure it out where I'm
at this one here. I did put a tweet out
related to this Saturay says, beefs do crack my shit up.
Due can't find off the bench with Ice still strapped
to his knees, trying to get a piece of Bridges.
You know, would it be too much to ask to just,
you know, let the guys just give him some gloves
maybe or little head gear. I don't know, let them
like hockey. Is that too much to ask?
Speaker 2: Isaiah Stewart just seeks it out. If he sees it,
he's gone, he sees it. He wants a piece of somebody.
I don't know. I don't know, but Miles Bridges didn't
look like he was exactly expecting Stuart to be that close.
A little nervous.
Speaker 1: There, Yeah, I saw them continueing the drama on Instagram,
So I'll keep my eye out for the next time
those teams are lining up together. All right, you know,
let's get to today's action. We have four games on
the slate. We will start with Pacers and Nicks. This
one opened up minus eleven and a half twelve twelve
and a half total open two twenty three and a half.
That's how it's two twenty five and a half for
the Knicks, and I nob He's questionable. McBride and Mitch
Robinson are out for Indiana, Thompson's questionable, Donald's questionable, Smith
Potter both questionable. Knows Zubak and Topping remains out as well.
So it's gonna be the version of the Pacers. Who
I mean, they continue to just I mean, small ball
pacers is what I'm you know, small ball pacers not
having the best friend protection, right, you know, I don't know.
Maybe Karl Anthony Towns has a big game here tonight.
What do you think you're Robbino.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think it's tough for Indiana. It's interesting the
Knicks really turned it around. They were in a tail spin,
and that win against Boston the other day was pretty decisive.
But the Knicks are nine and one straight up last
ten good work out of them ats they've been just
as good, so it's hard to go against them right now.
With Indiana another one of those teams that you know,
Rick Carlisle says all the professional things, but you know,
Indiana is not that interested in beating anybody. They lose
Johnny Furfy the other day, which doesn't help their depth much.
I could see the Knicks a tie for the two
seed right now with Boston, who they beat the other day.
And I could see the Knicks putting forth in effort
here to make it quick and easy and maybe get
some rest for some players. They won't have Mitchell Robinson here,
so you look at Karl Anthony Towns might be really
good with no backup center Towns make it a couple
of extra minuture. But if I were gonna play here,
it would be Nick saor nothing. I do think that
the two seed means something, and they're, like I say,
they're flat footed tie with Boston right here and just
playing too good. At this point in time. We know
that Nicks at home have been a really nice play
for the majority of the seasons. That would be my
look here, Nicks minus the points.
Speaker 1: Everybody in the chat likes Pacers team total under. They're
banking on that Knicks defense. Maybe they don't want to
trust the offense. But you know, my first inclination was
to go with the Knicks here, and I don't know,
I just didn't. They never really get to do it.
I don't like missing potentially missing three players, and I
know we McBride and Mitchell Robinson and the Pacers. You know,
I don't think it's such a negative as the box
out there playing tonight, because when you have the player
out there for the first night, it could you know,
it's gonna take some time to get used to what's
going on over there. On a new team. Now they're
doing the same thing. You know. I don't like to
see Nee Smith questionable if I like the Pacers or McConnell.
But I don't know what the injury report the way
it is right now, I'm starting to change my mind.
I think that I would want to grab the plus
twelve points here. Robie, though I don't know. I think
about this one a little bit longer. Prolific says Ogi
probably rests too, I think so, Brian says, Kat rebounds
eleven and a half in New York ninety one ahs
at home they lately. I'd have to double check, but
cat rebound was hired in the eleven and a half. I
thought it's eleven and a half. I do think that's
a good play. All right, next game, you know, we
will go Clippers and Rockets opened up seven and a half. Still,
Oh no, I see it eight and a half and
eight popping up total open two nine and a half,
seeing to thirteen and a half. I read to thirteen
and a half on my screen right now. Garland will
not be available for the Clippers, but everybody else will
movie for Houston. Everybody's healthy for everyth Please, it's been
out all years, so we're not going to count him
to have everybody else available to play tonight. So this one,
you know, I can't help but think the Clippers they
got some people who can score. I mean, I like
I like Maths. Been a fan of Mathrons since what
was he was he at Arizona? You know, A yeah,
you know, I keep up with the Pac twelve rock. Yeah.
I like Matherns since he was in college. I like
him as a pro. I think he'll score anywhere he's
at and you got some other guy, I mean, you
got Kawhi. I think that the potential on offense for
the Clippers is a lot more than the Rockets. I
don't know. But then again I think is why what
do you think here, Rob?
Speaker 2: Maybe we could get to over in this game? Ski Kawhi?
Would you have forty one? Is last time Kawhi looked
really really good. But like you say, John Collins, Matherin Kawhi,
and then you get for the Houston side to get
a matchup that's probably pretty favorable Shangon against Brook Lopez.
Every think Shangon could have his way, Kadie. The problem
that with the Rockets right now is it's there's just
no true point guard right and then Thompson that point guard.
But I don't know they have a difficulty that otherwise,
I think their front line is better. I think the Clippers,
you know, we've been calling them walkers and tennis balls
all season long, but when you add Matherin to the lineup,
it's no longer walker's and tennis balls. I don't know.
I can almost understand this total moving up from nine
and a half to two thirteen. I don't know, again,
just general theory, I think I threw it out there yesterday,
something that I use every single year at this time
when we have two games left to All Star Break,
I look over first because I think guys heads are
just in other places rather than rounding out the last
couple of games. However, these are two teams the Clippers
do need wins ski I mean, still, they're not in
perfect position where they sit in there as the very
last playing team here. There are five games ahead of
the Grizzlies, and the Grizzlies aren't going to catch them.
But I don't think the Clippers' ambition is to be
a playing team here, and especially the last one. So
maybe maybe a pretty good effort out of the Clips
team total. Let mean look real quick while we talk
at the Clipper team total. Yeah, one oh two and
a half. You think the Clippers could get to one
oh three. That seems reasonable to me.
Speaker 1: I don't know that does seem pretty reasonable. How much
do we trust the Clipper defense tonight? Though? At the
same time, right, I mean, oh, maybe it is just
the over I mean, the market thinks this one is over.
Have they pushed it up too far? I mean I'm
looking at let's look at both of these teams last
five games. How about that they the Clippers games are
averaging to twenty point four. I mean, I know we
have some new players, but you know, Rockets games are
averaging two sixteen point six. I mean, maybe there's still
a little bit of wiggle room here, Rob, Why do
we exclude the Rockets side? If the Clippers defense that
good that we should exclude the Rockets side?
Speaker 2: Now, I think, like I said, I think the Shaan
Guon matchup is really favorable for him to have a
good night. Durant is always a guy that could have
a good night. That front line should be pretty good here. Honestly,
my only concern was point guard, but I think Houston
can score. So the one that sticks out to me
the most of all of them is just asking the
Clippers to get to one oh three even if they lose.
I feel like they would lose with one o three.
So any form of over I think is better than
trying to pick apart at the side play here. I
think either full game over Clippers team total over all.
Speaker 1: Right, fair enough, guys in the chat mostly liking the Clippers.
You got guys stats liking the Clippers. Ran Oh boy,
everybody on the Clippers here, Rob, you know, I don't know.
I think I'm gonna include those rockets here. Maybe you
have to look at some of them on the other side.
Let's see if I get another phone call. They said
they didn't call me today, but we'll see, all right,
Madagine Sons opened up seven and a half looks like
eight or eight and a half went from two twenty
six to nine and a half and injury report Thompson
questionable for Dallas. It was just his birthday. He's probably hungover.
He had what Megan is Stallion got him his favorite group,
Bone Thugs and Harmony, and he's out there partying and drinking,
singing and whatever. He's probably you know, he's not playing that.
Even if he does play, he's not playing for Phoenix.
Grayson Allen is out, Cale Anthony's out, Devin Booker is back.
Is he on our minis restriction? That's what I would
have to look up. I probably would look that up
while you talk. But it seems like a game where
another game where you can maybe get some points here. Yeah,
I don't necessarily trust well, you know what, I could
trust Phoenix too, because like for this while while Dylan
Brooks has been out. I sorry, Devin Booker has been out.
They've had to, you know, play a lot tougher defense
and been playing better defense. I'm gonna check the numbers
just to verify, but that's just my feeling. And now
they got some better offense, you know, with him coming back,
easier offense, that makes me think that they can win
by this Marjane. But and also Phoenix just by this number.
I don't know, it just seems like it's this number
for a reason. So Aleen Phoenix a lean over. How
do you feel about it?
Speaker 2: Well, I think even to go deeper into Phoenix with
Jalen Green back for a few games, now that the
bench pace is going to be pretty good. Green plays
fast coming off the bench. Dallas plays fast all the time,
so I think you get opportunities for sure in this game. Obviously,
Booker far better scorer. Gillespie was fairly decent in his
absence shooting the basketball. When you said easy offense, that's
a guy that comes to mind for me when attentions
paid the Booker. Gillespie can have open looks pretty good
three point shooter. So there's a lot of matchups things here.
Fundamentally including pace that I think can add up to
an over bench bench scoring on the Dallas side there,
it's not a top heavy team, right, It's not a
team where the starters duelder square. It's kind of divided
amongst all nine of these guys who hit the floor.
So I would think maybe you could look over here.
Dallas's defense has been atrocious, and Phoenix certainly could get
to you know, the one eighteen one, nineteen one, twenty
mark against this team. I'm I'm thinking over might be
a good way to look at first, My first inclination
was just play Phoenix against Dallas here, which I think
you could still make a pretty good case for Phoenix
at home as long as there is no minutary restriction
on Booker will see. But total also makes a lot
of sense to me up and over to twenty nine.
Speaker 1: All right, because up on this one, people in the
chat like and Brooks, Yeah, a lot of those games
were without Yeah. See that's Daniel says. Brooks is over
something like eight and a half games with brook and
no Allen. Okay, that's what he's saying with brook and
no Allen. Okay, I got you all right. Last game
on the slate today, Rob, you know, Furs and Lakers
opened up eight looks like eight and a half. Nine.
Nine's kind of going away right now? Total open two
twenty eight looks like twenty eight. I'm gonna go ahead
and pass it to you. Yeah, I passed this one
of you first. What do you think here?
Speaker 2: Yeah? Nine's going away? Kind of leads me to I mean,
will there be any sign of Luca tonight? Why would
Nines go away? They're playing back to backs? Okay, see,
handle it was interesting. Okay, See got Jalen Williams back
last night, played pretty well two thirteen trips to the
free throw line, twenty three points in his first game back.
He had been out for a while. But I just
wonder about La. You know, you got Lebron on back
to back, et cetera, et cetera. If there's no Luca,
why would people be playing the Lakers? Plus price here?
It's kind of the same price range Oklahoma City was
in last night. Okay, see did win by nine without SGA,
But as I mentioned with Jalen Willms, I don't know.
When I see the move here, Ski, it just makes
me believe and it's a totally different handicap if Luca
comes back. If Luca comes back, I may look toward
over in that game. The San Antonio defense has been
with Wemby in there, really good, But man, I don't
the side is tough to figure. The total here two
twenty seven and a half Lakers bad defense on back
to back. I can't get behind that. Gave up one
nineteen last night team total for seeing Antonio here one
eighteen and a half asking him to do what, okay,
see he did last night. I don't know any new
injury reports on the San Antonio side. I didn't see
anything while I was looking here. No, I think that
for me, it's all based on Luca.
Speaker 1: Only only only Walters is out. Yeah, Lucas still questionable.
Reeves is questionable. Oh, Reeves is questionable. I didn't see
that earlier. Was Reeves always questionable?
Speaker 2: And wipe it the Lakers? If they're both questioned about?
Why would it come down?
Speaker 1: Why was Reeves was not questionable? Let me let me
click on Reeves here. You know this game is something
that's changed just recently. I'm sorry to stop the show,
but this is a game I was interested in and
I need to know. So these guys. Yeah, I'm not
seeing anything here to owe.
Speaker 2: What he rest for Reeves.
Speaker 1: So he're just saying he might rest, But why would
that eight and a half be going away?
Speaker 2: No, And I don't think you rest him unless Luca
is gonna play. Tell you the truth, Ski, I mean
nine down to eight and a half, and you might
not have Luca or Austin Reeves and you're gonna bet
the Lakers.
Speaker 1: Well, one, I know Luca wants to play versus the Maths.
They've already made that clear. You know that just as
a you know, competitor or whatever or whatever fan whatever,
you know, he wants to play versus the the Mavericks.
And they play right before the All Star break. I'm
trying to put up the schedules to very far. I
don't know why I can't get it to load, but
I know they do right they play them on Thursday.
So it's a possibility that he comes back here and
you know, rams up for that game, not just wanting
to come back for that one off game before the
All Star Also, it's the possibility that Reach goes out
there in place. I mean, I'm gonna say what I've
seen from the Lakers this year the Lakers. When nobody
wants the Lakers, that's what he's supposed to better. That's
why you're s And I know nobody wants the Lakers today.
It's not a good spot and everybody's gonna look at
the spot and automatically bet the Spurs. Two days off
for them. Lakers just played last night, third game of
four nights. Lakers didn't have to travel though, and uh,
you know, this is what I said about the Lakers.
Speaker 2: You know.
Speaker 1: What I noticed is they don't like to lose. They
don't They really don't like to lose. When they lose
a game, and when the spotlight's back on them and
everybody's talking about them, that's when they show up. You know,
those are the games that I'm mentioning that nobody wants
to bet them after they just lost. You know, they
just lost them last night. They don't want them again.
That's the situation tonight. Lakers fourteen and five, I believe
after a loss ats and straight up some of those
are dogs. I mean two of them are on the
back to back. I don't know, Rob, I saw nine
and a half earlier. SA I'll get all the way
up to nine and a half, and I was creeping
back down. I think we'll see potentially both Luca and Reeves,
but definitely one. I like the Lakers here to keep
you close, if not win the game. I think they're
live to win the game. Rob, what do you think?
Speaker 2: I give you two technical treads to support what you're
saying with the Lakers. You think it's an advantage for
the Spurs, right, they have the rest advantage, except that
they're six and twelve against the spread with the rest
advantage this year. That's not good. And the Lakers, how
about this? The Lakers seven and two with a rest
disadvantage makes no sense, But seven and two rest disadvantage
is pretty good, especially when you're in an underdog position.
You don't have to win all those games, but all
you gotta do is come within eight and a half.
So I'm with you where I think that one of
those two is gonna play. I don't think both of
those guys are staying out. And you know, with those
technical trends right there, Spurs bad with the rest advantage,
Lakers good with the disadvantage. Makes no sense, but it's
it's what it's been this year, so that that kind
of supports your case for Lakers plus.
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, Glenn, Glenn s. I'm just telling y'all because
you know I like that. Y'all can watch the show.
Don't go tell everybody, Okay, don't go tell everybody. I
want to keep it just like this, all right, Star Child.
Speaker 2: Don't tell the west Gate, don't tell the.
Speaker 1: Star child. A ski woul drew a pole the Lakers
first half. No, I mean, I can understand you when
to You know, when you're on the back to back,
you want to just get in and get out. And
I feel like they might have been better first half
even I don't know. I mean, I'm not talking out
of that, but I would prefer Lakers plus two seventy
money line. That's what I would prefer. Anything else here.
Brian must like what he heard there, Titan CT. I
see the guys like Titan CT. The guys who are
here like Titan CT. We want to try to save them,
the guys outside of here. No, we don't want to
tell him anything, all right, That.
Speaker 2: Titan says the Patriots emblem next to me. He wasn't saved.
Speaker 1: All right. That's the show for today. Uh So, let's
see what we got here before we go to best bets.
It is five dollars Tuesday, so I do have a
play up five dollars Tuesday. I'm going for when number
ten in a row in college basketball. If you know,
you already know. If you don't know, hey, my bucks
to find out and go for ten straight wins. Vino,
I'm sure you have something up there for five dollars
Tuesday as well. And yeah, outside of that, I'm just
going to pass it to you as if there's anything
else you'd like to promote, and if you have a
best bet for the show, we love to hear it.
If you don't, it's all good.
Speaker 2: Yeah, five dollars Tuesday is up and available. It's college basketball. Ski,
you're going for ten in a row. Last five days.
College hoop is eleven and one, so that's a combined
twenty one and one here we're talking about. All my
action today, guys was college hoop. I just don't have
an NBA play, and we hate to leave you high
and dry here without anything for a best bet, but
I just didn't take anything on the NBA board. Tomorrow
we're going to have like fourteen games to choose from.
I'm sure we'll have something, but for me tonight. It
was the five dollars Tuesday play from college along with
there were three other college plays that are up there
for this evening, so check it out wadyer talk dot com.
Speaker 1: There's stuff from Rob for myself. Yeah, I just you know,
things have been going well. Like I said, I'll catch
up with my records. I know the last thirty days
have been pretty good.
Speaker 2: Uh.
Speaker 1: Rob and I were both like identical records for what
was that like a week ago, a few days ago.
So I know things have been going well. I can't
tell you exactly, but I'll have it for you guys tomorrow.
As far as best best for the show, Like I
told you, guys, please just if you for the guys here,
we want to save them. But for everybody else outside
of here, we just want to let them be, let them,
let them live their truth that they got for the night.
Best bet for the show is Lakers plus nine. I
told you that's what the Lakers do. They lose, They
don't like to lose. They show up when the spotlight's
on them, when nobody wants them. This is one of
those spots. You hear Lebron, what do he say? He
was like, yeah, Okay, See, he's a championship team. They
do this and this and that. We're not a championship team.
Whenever they start talking like that in an interview, the
next game they show up and smoke the other opponent.
I wouldn't be surprised if the Lakers win tonight fourteen
and five. After loss, maybe a little sprinkle on that
money line Lakers plus nine is the best bet for
the show. Bino. Always appreciate it. Appreciate you taking the
time to catch these games with me. Helps my process,
and I'm sure you help everybody else out there as well,
people in the chat. Yeah, I always want to let
you know you appreciate it. You help make the show
what it is, and we all help each other to
get to the window. So best to look everybody on
all your action. We'll catch you guys again tomorrow