Speaker 1: Welcome to Way Did You Talk Today, the gold standard
of sports betting shows, where we talked the Talk and
Walk the Walk's Friday, we had NBA matchups, got college
basketball battles, and of course does Steam Report get you
lined up for the weekend? Busy, busy day, busy next
couple days, and a bunch of sports Dan who we
got on today's show.
Speaker 2: Yeah, we got Yanni kicking us off as we always
do here on a Friday. We'll see what what kind
of moves we have going and take a look at
his steam sheet. Of course, in the Steam Report, Teddy
Covers is back, baby. That's right, we missed him last week.
He's feeling better. He's ready to rock for you guys.
He's got calves and pistons coming your way, Nuggets Thunder,
two free plays in that one, and the resounding return
Andy of the sell me segment. I think I have
a fun game for you guys to break down and
sell me on. Give folks a chance to win a
free three day flex pass.
Speaker 3: Here.
Speaker 4: Marco's gonna shut things down for us.
Speaker 2: He's got a bet in the Michigan and Illinois game
and the Akron Zips taking on the Kent State Golden Flashes. Mark,
I was gonna let you know how to bet those
Andy's got free plays. I got w TFLFG. Andy, we
are rocking and rolling into a loaded weekend of Action.
Speaker 1: Yeah, we're gonna give away three day pass from yesterday
to Action. But I gave out two basketball games. Said
if I go h and two or two and oh,
we'll give away three day pass. Well hours after the show,
the Clippers ruled out Kawhi Leonard and John Collins and
then then yeah, and then the line moves a minus
s eight and a half and what happens They lose
by six. I'm counting that as a win for the
purposes of the show, so did not go on my record.
But we're giving away three day pass. So we got
a winner from that one because the first game was
a was a an easy winner. But we get we
get over the total. So we're giving away three day passes.
Speaker 5: Here.
Speaker 1: Let's do w you want to do wtflf G.
Speaker 4: Now we'll get Yeah, yeah, we'll do it right out
of the gate.
Speaker 2: Although although Andy, I will say, you know, you were
talking to Yanni right before we started the show, and
sometimes you know there's there's something known as just you
can't please anyone, literally back to back, and we're using
our one f word of the week. Can we stop
doing these plays? Man? I don't I don't get them.
So so Deebo doesn't want winning plays, he can't bet them.
The comment directly below says, please give me more winning
plays in lacrosse. So you can't please everyone, Andy, And
what we'll do here today for you folks, we had
the Premier Lacrosse League Championship Series at kicking off tonight.
We like the under total two point goals and it
promptly moved from six and a half to five and
a half. It's still a lean if you want to
play the under, but that's six and a half number was.
Speaker 4: A really bad one out of the gate.
Speaker 2: So the action that we have for you, Andy, We're
going to take a look at a Marquee game here tonight.
It's at four pm Eastern times. You got time to
get to it. It's Princeton taking on Sarahcuse and we're
taking the home.
Speaker 4: Dog in Princeton. Andy.
Speaker 2: I'll keep it short because if you want the the
full breakdown, head on over all access clients to Andy
got this breakdown two days ago because we'd like this
play so much. It's been up. But basically, Andy, if
the Syracuse Orange were to win this game, it would
be historic because it would be the first time that
Syracuse has won a game outdoors to start the season
the month of February. They haven't won a game on
the road playing outside. They're used to playing in a
dome obviously, since two thousand and three, Andy, two.
Speaker 4: Thousand and three was the last time this team won
an outdoor game.
Speaker 2: Also, this is another playoff revenge that we have done
a really good job with. First we cashed on Syracuse
with their playoff revenge against Maryland. We faded them. We
got the fourteenth team in the nation, beating the number
one when we faded Syracuse with playoff revenge. Well, Princeton
was knocked out of the NCAA tournament last year in
an overtime game nineteen eighteen back in fourth affair. That's
how Syracuse took down Princeton. Printon is gonna be prime man.
I think they win this game outright. Take the one
and a half with Princeton. That's your WTFLFG and sprinkle
that money line because it is dropping as we speak,
folks find that plus one twenty five Princeton getting.
Speaker 4: The win over Syracuse. That's the play out of the
gate for the folks.
Speaker 1: I love it. I love it. Let's bring in Yanni
and let's start talking Steam Report, talking about what what's
going on. Looks like everybody made way, Yannie. So all
the fights are gonna be good for UFC. Where do
you want to start today? And happy Friday to you, sir.
Speaker 6: Yeah, Happy Friday, man, big big, big weekend ahead. And yeah,
we've been really busy. Let's dive been right away to
college basketball. That's been the busiest. And I've already released
three premiums to subscribers that's already out there trusting my
power ratings. So far over the last one hundred and
thirteen plays, we're sixty two percent in college basketball. So
as soon as they line up their moves with my ratings,
we fire. Here are some of the moves we bet
on already that have been in the Sharp accounts eight
fifty five Quinnipiac minus eight, eight fifty seven, Sienna at
a Pickham eight seventy, Saint Peter's minus seven and a half,
eight seventy seven, Old Dominion minus one. Then another group
came in and took Georgia State plus the two. A
lot of that happened yesterday. Difference of opinion on a
lot of these college basketball sides eight sixty five Dayton
plus three and a half and finally eight seventy nine
Michigan minus the one, which goes against my power ratings,
which had the Illinois side, as we talked about yesterday,
as the one and a half point favorite. So now
where it sits, I would be looking to bet Illinois.
The problem is I have to respect that sharp money
on Michigan because I haven't been able to confirm that
it was a numbers play or any kind of manipulation
or you know, anything like that. So unless I do,
I'll have to sit that one out because, like I said,
my numbers show Illinois and uh wise guys are on
the Michigan side, which Michigan has had the tougher strength
of schedule. Michigan's got the better defense. Offensively, they're equal,
Illinois a tad bit better, but it's the home court
advantage which gives them the edge, because if you put
them on a neutral court, it would actually be Michigan
who would be favored by about one one and a
half points. So that's what I had to dig have
to dig into, is that the reason should Illinois not
be getting that home court advantage. But if you look
at the series, they've won nine of the last ten
against Michigan, So that that's what where I find difficulty.
Obviously that home court matters, and it's mattered for them
this year. They're thirteen and two there. But you know,
maybe Michigan being undefeated on the road and maybe with
their ranking that's why they're now the favorite. But public money,
it's pretty much split a little heavier on Michigan. Not surprising,
but yeah, that's pretty much what I got in college
basketball so far.
Speaker 1: We're seeing anything in NBA for tonight. I know we
get some injuries. Is there any action in that sport?
Speaker 2: No?
Speaker 6: Nothing. The only thing I did have was Memphis, Memphis
at plus five and a half and plus five, and
then the Detroit and Cleveland that got dummied. The over
got dummied overnight, and then they came back this morning
and steamed that one under actually like the under in
Cleveland and Detroit, and almost released it because it does
look like it got dummied up overnight, and yeah, they
came in on the under two twenty seven. That probably
should light up because I see it on my DMS now.
And the only other thing that stuck out was Oklahoma
City but at seven and a half, and that's not
going to be there. I didn't see it anywhere, and
I mean I saw, well, yeah, I guess DraftKings had
seven and a half for a while, but yeah, I
couldn't get access to that. So Oklahoma City minus seven
and a half also were the only things that stuck
out in NBA.
Speaker 1: I haven't seen much movement on UFC. I'm pretty surprised.
Normally there's at least a couple fights with some big
line moves. I these things look rock solid at this point,
even with wayans. Are you seeing anything?
Speaker 6: Here's here's why, because once you get into that big
heavy chalk, the movement doesn't mean much. Here's what I mean.
If you take a minus seven hundred an seven hundred
the break even, what minus seven hundred means is that
the break even is eighty seven and a half percent.
So when you see a minus seven hundred, that's the
betting market saying this team should win this eighty seven
and a half percent. Well, a minus nine hundred is
break even is ninety percent, so minus seven hundred eighty
seven and a half minus nine hundred is ninety percent.
So you go from minus seven one hundred to minus
nine hundred, and that's only a two and a half
percent adjustment to implied win probability. But when you go
from even money to minus two hundred, so that minus
that two hundred difference, you're going from even which is
fifty to fifty proposition to minus two hundred sixty seven
percent proposition, So that change is seventeen percent in implied
win probability. So the same you're moving from seven hundred
to two to nine hundreds, So you have to put
up nine hundred now to win one hundred instead of
seven hundred, But the change is only two and a
half percent in implied win probability. But if you go
from even money to minus two hundred, now you got
to put up two hundred to win one hundred as
opposed to one hundred to win one hundred. So that's
the big difference, and that's why there's not much of
an adjustment, because like you'd have to move it from
a minus seven hundred to like a minus fifteen hundred
just to move six percent, you know what I mean? Yeah,
minus seven hundred to minus fifteen hundred is only a
seven percent, six percent change in implied win probability. That's
why once you get over that four hundred range that
the movement is means almost means very little. Even if
you see big swings, it hasn't really changed implied win
probably ability much. That's why I tell better. It's like,
if you liked it at minus six hundred, you should
like it at minus seven hundred, seven fifty. Nothing's changed
for you, you know what I mean. Yeah, I'm on the
flip side of that coin, hoping to get the plus
side as some of these dogs.
Speaker 1: But we'll see, and it really does go to show
how bad and some of these fighters are that there
hasn't been a lot of buyback on these massive plus money.
I mean, it's like, Wow, I'm getting a plus five
twenty five in UFC and you're like, oh, that's Eric Silva.
Speaker 6: That's what I'm saying. Like, you're like, wait, I could
get a plus seven hundred. That means he's only got
to win that fight twelve and a half percent at
the time. So if he wins fifteen percent. I placed
the great bet and I can't even get there in mma,
Yeah you have good level, like because you got you
got guys. The guys should have a five percent chance
just because his opponent it could be like a like
we call like an outlier black swan. He could wake
up with a headache, he could have a fight with
his girlfriend whatever, his boyfriend if you know Hooker just
joking with Dan Hooker regardless, and that's just ruined it
a day, you don't, you know, So like even there,
like no one's one hundred percent the highest we should
be able to get his ninety five. So still with
these guys, we can't even get to like where a
plus seven hundred eight honor offers value. And yeah, that
that just shows you what we talked about prior that.
With Paramount now and with them putting it on every
single week and not really the pay per view model,
they're having to put a lot of fights together, and
the parody just isn't there.
Speaker 1: What if he wakes up and his side chick goes
on social media, you don't know.
Speaker 6: What happens.
Speaker 1: I don't know.
Speaker 4: Now there's value on the probably not going.
Speaker 6: To fight the same as you would have to day prior.
I'll tell you.
Speaker 2: That this whole card to the late great Dave Sheripan
always used to refer to these lines as they're just
putting up like fu lines, you know what I mean,
Like they know they know they have to take action
on it, you know what I mean, They know people
are gonna bet on it. But it's like, Okay, you
want these huge favorites that are gonna kick the shit
out of these guys.
Speaker 4: Fu, here's here's minus seven hundred, good.
Speaker 6: Luck, go tie them up. Yep, that's what they're saying.
You want to You're gonna parlay us. That's what It's
exactly what they're doing. Bro, you nailed it because they
know you're gonna parlay. Like no recreational better is gonna
go up and bet nine hundred to win one hundred,
seven hundred to win one hundred, six hundred to win
one hundred. Now, all of a sudden they put up
twenty two hundred dollars to win three hundred bucks on
three straight bets. That's not happening. They're gonna tie those
three up into a two hundred dollars parlay three hundred
dollars parlay. They're not betting twenty two hundred to win
three hundred bucks. They're betting three hundred to win twenty
two hundred. That's how they want to approach it. Most
casual betters, recreational betters, call them what you will, and
I don't blame them. Why would they want to do that.
So with that said, knowing that as a book maker,
I'm not gonna give you a good ROI on your parlay,
I'm gonna make sure you get the worst odds possible
already placed in a negative VV bet, so if anything,
they're like, we want you to take the absolute worst
of it. So if you do happen to get lucky,
at least it doesn't hurt us too badly, because again
it could you could turn around and cash a lot
of moneyline parlays this weekend. Again, last week we had
ten of thirteen fights with the favorite winning. When ten
favorites win, there's a lot of four, five, six, and
seven fighter parlay tickets that get cash. And they get
tired of doing that. Because as we head into this
week's UFC, I'll tell you exactly where we're at. We've
had fifty fights thirty nine favorites, eleven underdogs, twenty finishes,
thirty decisions. So where are we heading into the fifth event?
Favorites are way ahead and decisions are also way ahead,
so we should expect some dogs and some finishes to
start evening up again. That doesn't mean it's gonna happen
next week and over the next two or three events,
but we do know no matter what kind of statistically
significant sample size you take of UFC fights, you will
get close to fifty to fifty on finishes, and you
will get close to sixty five thirty five favorites and dogs.
It's always been like that. That's how it's going to remain,
So you know, use that as you will, but it
will regress and progress towards the mean. Markets always do that.
Speaker 1: I think this card, we have a lot of finishes
coming off a card with so many.
Speaker 6: This may be one of the event This may line
up for you perfect Andy, because you you do method
of victory that those kind of prompts may be the
way to approach this with somebody's favorites.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm treading lately, but that's definitely how I'm how
I'm going to approach this car you have to. You
have to.
Speaker 6: It's like I do it that way too, absolutely right.
But you'll be pricings there too, because the narrative may
be like, oh, he only finishes. You know, if it's
a finish, then it'll definitely be a knockout. But the
grounding pounds turn in the rear naked chokes a lot,
you know, like that could happen, So we'll see real quick.
Speaker 1: VR two.
Speaker 2: We had some folks messaging in and folks on Twitter
as well. I mean, I know this one more time.
This UFC card is brutal. Are there any of the
underdogs that maybe at least stand out to you? Is? Okay,
here's one. You can maybe take your shot on any
UFC underdog that that's worth.
Speaker 4: Eyeing in a land mine of a card.
Speaker 6: Great, great question And speaking of Twitter, real fast side note,
my Twitter got hacked yesterday. I have I do not
have control of it. The person that went in there,
they changed the email on all that, so I'm having
a huge headache. It was my mistake not having it
better secured like everything else I have. So yeah, I
do not have access to my Twitter. I have my
PA right now trying to get that back but I
don't know. I don't know what's gonna happen with that,
said one of the sharp betters that I respect a
lot bet two dogs. Actually they bet the main event.
They took loaner Cavanol, and I think it makes sense.
He's a lot younger than Moreno and he's coming off
a knockout loss. So I think if you're ever gonna
bet him where you think he may be undervalue. This
is a spot because there's a little bit of recency
bias involved when you're coming off a knockout to a
Charles Johnson who just got knocked out himself against Alex Perez.
So Johnson's lost two of his last three fights. His
only win was against this Kavanaugh kid. So against Moreno,
I think he's being undervalued, especially with Moreno in Mexico
in a five round fight, and even though he's coming
off a loss that's against Titsura Taira, which again he's
on such a heater. No, No, nobody's really gonna fall
Moreno for that. So he likes Cavanaugh as the dog.
And then in the women's bout, where was she? Oh?
Speaker 1: Is it Macy Chase on or tearing the short notice? Replacement.
Speaker 6: Yeah, Chasan Chase on there you go. Yeah, I against
Alan Perez Macy Chasan. She's coming off back to back losses,
both decisions to Vieira and Santos, and obviously Alen Perez
is coming in on fire, twerking her way into five
straight wins. She's the fan favorite for sure. But Chasn
he thinks he's a little bit undervalued. I haven't piggybacked
either of these. I usually do when I have a
slight lean his way and he bets that I do
respect his opinion, but I just didn't really have a lean.
I did a little bit on the main event. I
kind of thought it was dogg or passed with Loaner Cavanol.
But I kind of feel like this is a showcase
for Moreno in Mexico, Like it's I don't again, they
don't want or not want something to happen. But it
almost feels like for Moreno, this is an opportunity for
him to be back in that picture where if he
wins this fight, he wins a main event in Mexico,
and then if you see him back, he'll have won
three or four fights and he's back in the mix.
Uh at flyway. So it almost feels like this is
the fight that they he should be able to win.
That kind of has me pausing. But being a value guy, obviously,
I do think it's dog or pass. But we'll see
if I get to the window with it.
Speaker 1: I like, I actually like Macy chase on as a
live bet if she can stuff any takedowns, any takedowns
in the first round. Just stuff one, Macy. Don't end
up on your back and guard like you do every
every single fight. Do something, Macy.
Speaker 6: What do you think David Martinez and Marlon Vera? Is
Vera gonna get public money?
Speaker 2: Like?
Speaker 6: I know he's lost a couple of fights, now what
three in a row, but they were two you know
figuredo o'malleyons a hobby. He's a big dog man. I
just always Martinez, that's the problem.
Speaker 5: Yeah.
Speaker 1: I like Martinez too. I it's it's a Marlin verified.
I always have something on. Fight goes the distance. That's
the only way I ever see that.
Speaker 6: Yeah, he's just automatic.
Speaker 1: Vera goes the distance. Put it in your Parlays Brinson.
Speaker 6: Reco that might be taken. Uh, David Martinez by decision,
maybe the way to go.
Speaker 1: Whoever wins that fight taken by decision. There's no reasons you.
Speaker 6: Get him down from you know, getting a three dollars
three fifty down the one seventy.
Speaker 2: Not bad.
Speaker 1: Yeah, they're they're both fairly low volume. Vera doesn't have
the explosiveness anymore. Martinez talk about the gene pool, Dan,
do you know do you know this guy Martinez? He's
a professor, He's an awesome UFC fighter and a doctor. Ah,
full time doctor.
Speaker 6: You just you just talk.
Speaker 1: That's what it's what we do on this show.
Speaker 6: Yannis Martinez by decision. Yeah, anything minus minus two hundred
or better. It's a good bet. He wins this way
two out of three times, for sure.
Speaker 1: I have a very random question here, and somebody asked
about it randomly, and I didn't even really know you
could do this, Do you guys or do you know
people that bet on spring training?
Speaker 6: Yeah?
Speaker 5: Everybody?
Speaker 2: I have.
Speaker 6: I have the other day actually, I had the younger
in the Mets game under eleven and a half in
cash day and I was going to send it to subscribers,
but I'm like, do I really need customer service? Getting
eighteen questions? I got eleven? What do I do what it.
Speaker 4: It's a good point.
Speaker 6: It's cool.
Speaker 1: How do you handicap? Do you even know?
Speaker 6: I don't. I'm not. Yeah, I just piggyback what I
see in the account I do my I do baseball,
like I I I that's the one sport I do
enjoy handicapping once I have data, So for the first month,
I piggyback what those guys do because they usually do
really well in the beginning is specially the first half
of their baseball season is always the best. So I'll
piggyback the first month, but then I'll start adding a
lot of my stuff also with baseball. But yeah, when
it comes to spring training, yeah, that's I don't do
any of that. And I think most of it has
to do with how long they think a pitcher's going
to go, or if one team's more motivated, that kind
of stuff. They'll just if they'll find a nugget of information,
this guy's not going to play, and all of a
sudden they'll bet it because I'll see it like hit
every account. So it's one of those that goes into
the bot that everyone got the information and they're all
bet on the same side. And books hate it because
they're not going to get any action. On the other side,
they're not writing any anything in spring training. So it's
you against the bookie. And if you ever want to
piss a booky off, just do that.
Speaker 1: Uh want to piss all the book just do that?
All right? Well, nobody sign up for any crypto things
on Yeah.
Speaker 6: Yeah, it's not financial advice, but I'm just throwing it
out there. You probably don't want to piggyback any of
that grip though advice.
Speaker 1: All right, Well, good luck with that. What do you
have up for everybody on Friday?
Speaker 6: I've got action, bro, I really do. I haven't put
up four percent that we have at wager Talk in
college basketball because I've been running so good in college
basketball over at sports Memo for only seven dollars. So
that's there for tonight Friday night. Play college basketball up
for seven bucks of Sports Memo. I have the steam
sheet up already. There's six soccer bets in there. Soccer
for tonight and tomorrow, there's college basketball. There's NBA and
NHL as well, and then I have four premiums already released,
three and then college basketball won an NBA probably gonna
package those up as well. UFC packages also there for tomorrow,
and I think the second five percent's coming waiting for
those Saturday lines. But I have a matchup already Power
Rated that I'm so sure they're gonna put out a
recency bias number and if we do, we'll have a
big bet again like last Saturday. So big weekend. Let's
do some damage. Stay off my Twitter, or better yet,
attack that dude. Keep telling him, keep keep tweeting him.
We know it ain't you, We know it ain't you.
So yeah, help all.
Speaker 1: Right, Joannie, have a great weekend, thanks very much, have
a big UFC card. In college basketball, good luck. We'll
see you Monday.
Speaker 4: That's the luck boys, all right.
Speaker 1: Uh, sorry about the darts play guys. Yesterday we've been
fading Steven Bunting. Uh, and we're gonna keep fading him.
He left his body yesterday, Dan, he won the entire night.
He couldn't win a match, and all of a sudden
he wins the entire night, waxes everybody. So, uh, we'll
get back after it. Yeah, it's our first loss of
the Premier League, so apologize for that one. Uh, but yeah,
we'll have one. We'll have one client play every single week.
So looking to hit about sixty sixty five percent at
the end of the season with that one. So let's
bring in Teddy. We got to get our NBA fixed
in Teddy, how are you?
Speaker 7: I'm doing great, But I just invested all my money
in Johnny's crypto.
Speaker 1: So you too? Oh man? Oh, don't click links?
Speaker 2: No ever, no what? No, guess what the person who
DMed you on Twitter? They're not in the running for
Podcast of the Year. I don't know if you guys
have been getting that one.
Speaker 1: I've got that one.
Speaker 4: Yeah, they're not in the running. Don't click the link people, Yeah, uh.
Speaker 1: So, Teddy, I would like to talk ANBA with you.
Any thoughts of things you've seen most teams three four,
some are five games out of All Star Break, team's momentum,
teams fading. We're going to talk about the Cleveland Cavaliers.
I'm a little worried with their injury situation. So what
are some teams you got your eye on these days?
Speaker 7: So, certainly when you talk about this stretch right out
of the All Star Break, handful of teams, Toronto's the
team I've got my own right now. You know, a
Raptors team, dark right to beg of the years and
it's going to take us about forty games to figure
out where we're at. Well, they're about the fifty five
sixty games in now, and they figured out where they're at.
The Raptors, and my mind a team, it's a little
bit undervalued. The most fascinating thing about this time of
the season in the NBA, though, is the tanking teams.
Speaker 5: I like to take advantage.
Speaker 7: It's the time of year in the association where I'm
very comfortable laying points and some of the tanking teams,
even when they try, it doesn't matter.
Speaker 5: You know, they can try hard.
Speaker 7: Your pacers tried hard last night, but of course when
you're playing without them hard and Siakam in the lineup,
it's you know, trying hard isn't isn't going to get
you a whole lot of wins against the quality opposition.
Speaker 5: So that's my biggest theme of this time of year
is faith. The teams don't want to win.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I love what the pacers are doing. Try hard
for a few quarters and then mail it in and
get your doors blown off in the second half.
Speaker 7: So you know, last night I had a five percent
big ticket, you know, and I don't have a lot
of This is my fourth one all year four and
oh with those.
Speaker 5: Four so far this season the NBA, for what it's worth, but.
Speaker 7: The concept was, you know, here's Chicago and they're gonna
they're they're gonna fight for a little while, but they
ain't gonna fight for four quarters. So you know, some
of these you're not laying first half numbers, you're laying
full game numbers because there's a competitive element to it.
But you know after halftime, down the stretch, the teams
that want to lose her largely finding ways to lose.
Speaker 1: Absolutely. Absolutely, Let's get into a couple of games for real.
And of course at the end, we're gonna do sell
me where Teddy and I get handed a game and
handed a team. I think it's gonna be a bad
I think we're each gonna have a bad team to
talk about. So we're two tanking teams playing each other. Screams,
that's gonna be the game, unsell me. But two teams
not tanking Cavaliers and Pistons. I gotta tell you, I
really I was like, Wow, trade traded for James Harden,
And then I watched them and I was like I
actually really liked fit for hardened there. He doesn't need
to do everything, and now he's got an injury. Donovan
Mitchell's got an injury, and that's why you're seeing this
Detroit minus six and a half with over two twenty
seven and a half. What's your take on tonight's game?
Speaker 7: Yeah, I mean this has the potential to be a
throwaway game for the Cleveland Cavaliers, because if you put
these two teams at full strength, this line's a lot
closer to pick them than the six slash six and
a half we're seeing are right now on the Oslogic
Live ouscreen. It's mostly six is out there, and there
are a couple of five and a halfs as well,
a dkave at MGM five and a half as we speak.
But when we think about situational spots, this is Cleveland's
sixth game already since the All Star Break. They've already
played two sets of back to backs. Now they're third
game in four nights, fourth game, and six nights, sixth
game in nine nights. That's the NBA's most grueling scheduling stretch,
and the Kas are in the midst of it right now.
And we look at the injury report for tonight, it
doesn't look particularly pretty. We don't know if James Harden's
going to play. He fractured his thumb the other day
and he's very questionable right now. I personally wouldn't suit
him up for this one. Donovan Mitchell already ruled out
for tonight. Dennis Shuter, who's you know with who Harden
and Mitchell are in one hundred percent? Shrewder's a guy
that handles the basketball. Oops, he's got dealing with an
ankle spring. He's questionable for tonight. Dean Wade no short
thing to suit up before this evening. So Kenny Atkinson's
playing the long game. You know, the Cavs likely to
have to go through Detroit in the playoffs. Right, if
you don't show him anything, it's worth noting. I mean,
sometimes we like teams off a loss. Cleveland off a
loss in Milwaukee on Wednesday night on a buzzer beater,
and what Cleveland off a loss just ten and twelve ats.
This is not the team that you say they're going
to circle the wagons every time they got beat in
their last outing. So we talk about the big Cleveland
in this. You know they have to go through Detroit
in the playoffs. Playoff positioning, and you're gonna read a
lot about it. If you read, you're gonna hear the
pundits talking a lot about it. Blah blah blah blah blah.
From my perspective, playoff positioning discussion is only for talking heads.
The players don't care. Get them in the postseason, they're fine.
And frankly, you know, the Cavs sitting in the number
four seed right now, they face Detroit second round. I'd
rather face Detroit second round than Boston and New York.
You know, why move up to the number three. So,
for what it's worth, the last ten meetings between these
two teams that Pistons have won by enough of margin
to cover the number only once. So certainly, from a
recent history perspective, this line shows value for the Cavs,
and my party number it shows value for the Caves.
But I'm not convinced Cleveland shows up tonight. And of
course we've got seeing Detroit coming off a They had
a game against the Spurs in which they lost, and
they bounced back last time in won, but they didn't
play great in that ball game.
Speaker 5: Bickerstaff, you know there were some good moments.
Speaker 7: We did the things we needed to do, but there
were times where I felt we let them get back
in the game. Our guys find a way, they do
the right thing. Their huts in the right place. They're
trying to do the things we asked them to do. Well,
watch the film and move on. Worth noting Detroit has
only played four times since the All Star Break, zero
sets up back to back. They're the much fresher team here.
They're coming off of so so showing. I think those
two things matter. I don't trust Cleveland to give their
a game tonight. Pistons or pass for this better in
the first of the ESPN doubleheader.
Speaker 1: I have to agree with you one hundred percent on
that one. Makes no sense why Cleveland would put their
put their best foot forward in this one. But after
that game, hoh man, do we have a banger Nuggets
and Thunder. Thunder rested some guys in the last game.
Looks like they're ready to roll Jamal Murray's questionable Strawther.
Probable they'll have Jokic though, so great game makes if
you're not doing anything night. That is an absolute game
to watch. Two teams that know each other well how
do you break this one down?
Speaker 2: Ok?
Speaker 1: Huge number minus eight for OKC two thirty four, No
over under.
Speaker 7: Sure well okay, see gets a pretty key piece of
the equation back tonight Shay Alec gilgis Alexander back in
the lineup after an extended injury absence, and that is
why this number is as high as it is again,
talker looking at the os Logic Live Odds screen. Mostly
eight's out there right now. Total sitting in the two
thirty three and a half slash two thirty four ranging guys,
if you want free trial of the os Logic Live
odd screen. I use it every day. I've represented every show.
It's a good product. Os logic dot com backslash Teddy
seven day free trial check it out if you're interested
again odds Logic dot Com backslash Teddy. You get these
line moves in real time. I know which book to
make your bet at in real time. So again eight
two thirty three and a half slash two thirty four
for this one. And the injury report has kind of
been the key factor for both of these two teams
in recent weeks. Denver three starters two role players either
outer questionable. We have Aaron Gordon out, Jamal Murray and
Jalen Pickett both questionable tonight. Murray missed Wednesday's game he
was sick. There's a decent chance he plays tonight. Pickett's
got a bad right in THEEE. I'm not so sure
he's gonna suit up. And of course, two key reserves
in terms of Peyton Watson and Spencer Jones. Watson out,
Jones questionable. Denver is still shorthanded. Okay, see as Jayshay
back in the lineup after that absence. First game back tonight,
and remember that first game back, you don't expect everything
to click on all cylinders. They're still gonna be missing
a j Mitchell is gonna be missing Jalen Williams. But
that's really the only two contributors missing. This is as
healthy as they've been in the last month. Of course,
these two teams played in the Western Conference semi finals
last year, and Denver gave Oklahoma City the toughest test
to thunderface in any playoff series on their way to
the title.
Speaker 5: The Nuggets opened the.
Speaker 7: Series going five to one against the spread in the
first six games before losing Game seven straight up and
against the spread. In Game seven, they didn't have a
whole lot of healthy bodies left. The only one meeting
so far this year that came in Denver in February.
Speaker 5: Murray and Joker played.
Speaker 7: The Nuggets hit forty nine percent from the floor, they
hit sixteen to thirty five and three point range forty
six percent from three, and they trailed by double digits
the whole second half and lost by ten seven point
dogs despite the good shooting, despite the health. That's how
good OKC is. And of course Denver the single best
offensive team in the league this year based on off
of the rating numbers, Okay see the single best defensive
team in the league. So in theory you could say
side and toler related here, I'm not convinced they are.
You know, ok See just had nine players available in
the second half of their loss at Detroit and they
didn't play defense in that game. The Pistons were able
to play with pace, get out, run Archno. Not amused
by that performance. And this sure feels like you know,
you talked about it, Andy when you were introducing the game, said,
this is a great game to watch. This we expect
playoff intensity here and when you get a regular season
game that's going to be played with playoff level intensity.
Speaker 5: I look under.
Speaker 7: Denver doesn't have the numbers full season, but the last
five games number four in the NBA in defensive efficiency,
the Thunder top ten of defensifficiency. Despite all our injuries
and the bad game at Detroit, defensively, they're healthy today.
Chase back in the lineup. I see some off of
the flow issues bottom line for this better. I'm looking
under the total as the Nuggets play the Thunder. I'm
not convinced this is one of these high scoring up
and down affairs.
Speaker 5: I'm expecting defense to be on center stage. So Under
for the Nuggets and the.
Speaker 1: Thunder love it. God agree with that. We've we've seen
We've seen some of these big teams go head to
have with each other recently and they're starting to pick
up the intensity get ready for the playoffs. So I
have to agree with the under on that one. We're
gonna do. Sell me before you do that. Tell everyone
what you have up on Friday, and congrats on that
five percent win. That was an awesome pick.
Speaker 5: Yeah, hey, got there. You know it.
Speaker 7: We're up fifteen and the fourth and next thing you know,
it's three and it's a sweat and a half. But
all's well, that ends well, no complaints. And of course
the NBA five percent one hundred percent full season this year,
thirty nine and eighteen since twenty twenty one, that's sixty
eight percent. It don't put out a lot of them,
but when I do, they've been winning. For tonight in
the association. Just a single best bet available on my homepage.
Speaker 5: It's a blowout.
Speaker 7: We're gonna lay the points with a favorite this evening again.
Check it out WT Dot Buzz, Backslash TC. But I
encourage you don't buy a play. If you want to
get on board, let's partner up. We got it for
the weekend. There's a three day all access pass. What
forty nine bucks. Get on board and let's see if
we make some money these again. But obviously the longer
term packages have the more probability of success. We expect
to win long term. Short term, the results can go
up and down. That being said, we won that five
percent last night. We'll see if we do it again
tonight with a three percent best bet in the association.
Speaker 1: To see me all right, Teddy covers, It's time for
the legendary segment of sell me, Dan explain how it works.
Speaker 2: So these guys don't know it, but they're about to
have to break down. What I would argue is a
marquee match up here on the NBA board here today,
and I assign them aside. One of them is gonna
have to lay it, one of them is gonna.
Speaker 4: Have to take it.
Speaker 2: You listen to the pleas that these gentlemen make, and
then you are going to decide do you agree with
Teddy or do you agree with Andy? Once you have
chosen your combatant, your comment below with who you're riding with,
and then if their team covers, you're winning a free
three day flex pass. You got a chance we choose
one of those winners. So, gentlemen, here's what I got
for you today. I was running down this NBA board
and then I saw a spread that I was like, oh,
this is a sell.
Speaker 4: Me spread, and that is when a team is let's
call it.
Speaker 2: I see some seventeen and a half, so I see
some eighteen and a half, so we'll call it eighteen.
Speaker 1: Here on the.
Speaker 2: Show, Celtics are eighteen point favorites against the Brooklyn Nets
here today, and Teddy, you're gonna have to tell me
why Brooklyn should be laying nearly twenty points in this
or why the Celtics should be laying nearly twenty points.
Speaker 4: Excuse me, Andy, you're gonna tell me why this dog
is barking?
Speaker 2: I mean, if you can't at least have a back
door open with eighteen points, dear God, but I need
to hear from you first, Teddy. The Boston Celtics laying
eighteen points sell me.
Speaker 4: On that NBA side, Teddy.
Speaker 7: Now, admittedly the Celtics have had trouble with the Nets.
Speaker 4: In reason I'll do a good start. You're not gonna lie.
Speaker 5: You know.
Speaker 7: They lost straight up as fourteen point favorites in November.
The most recent meeting in January, Brooklyn took them to
ot before boston'succ comed in that ball game. So it's
certainly been a Nets team that has given the Celtics.
Speaker 5: Issues so far this season. So what does that tell me?
Speaker 7: That tells me that Boston's more likely to take them
a little bit more seriously tonight.
Speaker 5: And it's very hard.
Speaker 7: To make money in the NBA betting on non competitive
bottom feeders. You can find reasons, you know, Oh yeah,
I don't want to lay this ball.
Speaker 5: I don't want to leave La Price.
Speaker 7: One thing I really don't want to do January February
March in the NBA is find the ugliest teams in
the league and go, yeah, let's.
Speaker 4: Put my money on them tonight.
Speaker 5: What a good idea.
Speaker 7: Brooklyn is from a talent standpoint, number thirty out of
thirty NBA teams, five rookies getting playing time with the
Nets on a night in, night out basis, and Boston
plays with pace. They're more than capable of running up
margins after halftime and maintaining those margins through the fourth
quarter because they play defense as well. Obviously, it's not
easy in the NBA to be laying seventeen and a
half eighteen points. But if you don't want the dog
and you have to play the game, that gives you
one choice. From a side standpoint, and I don't want
the dog. Celtics are past clearly for this better. We
want no part of the Brooklyn Nets.
Speaker 4: There's the thought process.
Speaker 2: Fool me once, cover against me once, make me lose
out right once, shame on you.
Speaker 4: So the thought is the focus will be there for Boston.
Speaker 2: I like the breakdown from Teddy is a lot of points, though, Andy,
you know I'm an underdog guy, so sell me on
arguably maybe one of the ugliest sides I've ever asked you.
Speaker 1: To sell me on. It's just too many points in
an NBA game. I mean, I mean, like you said,
the back door is definitely going to be open. This
is a Nets team that covered this spread against San
Antonio the other night. They're doing what they should, which
is lose, but they're keeping it within three touchdowns of
this one. They lost by nine to Dallas, lost to
eleven by Atlanta, and they lost by nineteen to Oklahoma City.
I think Oklahoma City is a little bit better. Teddy
mentioned the rookies, and that's what I love. You get
motivated rookies trying to show that they deserve to be
in the lineup. Michael Porter has been good. Nick Claxon
coming off a pretty decent game last night. It's just
way too many points. I expect them to be up
going into the fourth quarter, and then to Brooklyn to
kind of have some garbage points. You're gonna end up
probably with backups for Boston against some of the starters,
and backups against Brooklyn. I think they cover. It's just
there's no world in which you can lay almost twenty
points in an NBA. I mean, this is like a
Division two versus Division one college basketball spread. These are
professional athletes. At some point pride it kicks in Brooklyn
is the only way to play it.
Speaker 2: Two men points. That's that's the breakdown for Andy Lan.
Comment below with who you think will be covering. Make
sure you include your wager Talk username and boom. You're
entered in for a free three day flex past. Best
of luck and I like this our man David ready
to go. Just David comment that below after the video
goes live. That's how you're entered in. It's a fun one, guys.
I had to eighteen and a half points. Eighteen points
is what we'll do it at.
Speaker 4: That's what we'll do. That's what we'll.
Speaker 1: Teddy I have the before Teddy goes, I was kind
of open to get the Memphis Grizzlies. Did you see
who they signed the other day? I was mulling it
over forty year old Taj Gibson.
Speaker 4: That's the pot.
Speaker 1: It was in the same draft as Blake Griffin. Blake
Griffin's an announcer.
Speaker 4: Now for a former player.
Speaker 7: All right, you ain't getting a better paying gig than
this and a great point.
Speaker 4: Does she count me in?
Speaker 5: I'll sign a ten day deal?
Speaker 1: You know, Oh it was a two year deal. Did
you see? It's two years? They got him locked up
for this year and next year. Because when you got
when you got a chance to sign a Taj Gibson
at forty one years old, you, guys.
Speaker 2: Eddie, don't tempt them because one of them might actually
hit you up for a ten year deal if they
with how with how some of these teams are playing
at the end of this year, Teddy, they might be
watching and they might Teddy Covers sign for a tryout deal.
Speaker 1: Oh man, it's so great. Well, Teddy, thank you very much.
Good luck on all your plays. Have a great weekend.
Get wait to talk to you next week.
Speaker 7: Thanks guys, and be sure to check out the new
Teddy's Tips show right here on Way You Talk each
and every day, ten minutes in and out NBA talk, angles, trends,
key things I'm looking at. I'm about to record it
right now, so check it out every day on Way
You Talk TV. The New Teddy's Tips NBA show in
and out in ten minutes. That's the goal. So unlike
way to talk today.
Speaker 2: You can do it real, all right, Teddy, Wow, go
get to work there, go get that. That was that
was what you call a backhanded compliment, and that was
well out of Teddy. I will shots fired. I will say,
I will say it actually is a terrific show there.
So on Teddy's Tips you can check it out, folks.
If you're subscribed, you're gonna get notified when it gets
dropped there. But he breaks it down in three different ways.
So if you like, you know, fade in the public,
you know, he breaks down how the market is looking.
If you like sharp plays, he has a wise guy
play for you. If you like finding, hey, what an
openers doing? What are they at? Where's there's still value?
Teddy does it in ten minutes, So three different ways
for you to attack the NBA card. It's a great
video Teddy's Tips. Whether he thinks our show is too
long or not.
Speaker 1: That's the second shot that has been fired. My woul
did you catch Yanni's Did you catch Yanni's accident? Will
shot at me? What did he hit you with? I
was asking, we were talking about moving lines on props,
and I was like, you know, when they open I
could move the prop and he's like, yeah, yeah, yeah,
you could. But later on it takes sharps to move lines.
Speaker 5: That's tough.
Speaker 4: It's like, yeah, it doesn't take Joe. It is hoody
to move him, you know it was that was He's.
Speaker 2: Like, yeah, you move him, Andy, But us big boys,
we move him later in the day.
Speaker 1: When the adults get to bet these so inadvertent shot
across the bow. But I'm here for I'm here for it.
Uh So, Dan, let's talk about what we have going
on this weekend. We have a five percent you have
the best bet that is up. We got three NASCAR bets.
At the end of the show, We're gonna do all
around the world free plays, and I'll go over the
NASCAR race this season. I know we got some people
that like betting NASCAR, and I'll go over some UFC
props as well, but all of those are going on
this weekend. We have our NBA best bets. Hockey's been
good on this show. We played Jordan Kyu last night
for a client play that went well. So all these
players are gonna be up for this weekend and walk
everybody through what lacrosse you're you're potentially gonna have for
this weekend.
Speaker 2: Yeah, so this weekend, like we said, the Champion Series
is going on, so it's gonna be you know, two
games tomorrow, another two games on Sunday. So if we
find value, Andy, we're gonna fire. Like we said, I
wasn't sure if I was gonna love anything total spread.
We saw that prop that came out and it would
just came out way too high, so we sent that
out to clients. So you know, we got some college
lacrosse action that's going tonight already, two plays loaded for folks,
so plenty of time or plenty of action that you'll
be getting across the landscape from Andy and his team.
Speaker 4: So yeah that you know, ten day access goes a
long way.
Speaker 5: Andy.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I've got a free NASCAR play that's gonna be
up on our page. We'll put a free lacrosse play. Yeah,
we'll have a We'll have some free plays. So I
want some free plays. Go check any of those out.
Also if we have any daily golf play. So a
lot of good stuff going on for this weekend. So
all right, let's bring in Marco here.
Speaker 4: Marco, Hey, guys, wait, I'm just putting a bet in.
Speaker 3: Max bet over ten minutes on Teddy. They're not letting
me put it in. There's too much action already.
Speaker 2: Okay, get his ass, get his ass Marco Today Marco
somehow has our back, but it is also ripping us
at the same time.
Speaker 4: It's well done, Marco, and it's a good move out
it It's just I mean.
Speaker 8: You know, Tenny saying in and out in ten minutes
in a show going long, that's the pot calling again Black.
I'm sorry, I'm totally sorry. I love it here for
forty eight minutes, waiting, you know, for my spot. But
you know it's good Bety over under ten minutes, but
it is a good shots all kidding aside.
Speaker 4: But it will be over ten minutes. How are you guys?
Speaker 2: Oh, we're excellent, man, We're doing great, a terrific Friday here.
Speaker 4: We're absolutely rolling man.
Speaker 2: Like we said, we've been hitting all different kinds of
hoops action here for the folks. So absolutely loving it, brother.
So for you, we talked to NBA. We got a
little college basketball action, so let's get into it. Let's
talk Michigan and Illinois. I know in this one you
like the favorite Marco.
Speaker 4: Why is that well we got Michigan.
Speaker 3: They're coming off with lackluster performance in their last game
Tuesday night. They were a twenty one and a half
point favorite and they only won by ten over Minnesota.
Speaker 4: But guys, that was to be expected.
Speaker 3: They were coming off that big game Saturday against Duke Classic.
You know, big game, you come up short. There was
a lot of hooplah with that game national TV. You know,
two of the top teams in the country, and you
know they didn't lose the same game twice, but they
were flat as a pancake. And why not because off
that game, they had this game on deck, a Friday
night big ten showdown, spotlight game, Friday night TV. So
I can understand that performance from Michigan. We're going to
get a better performance from them tonight. Now Illinois, on
the other hand, you're gonna say, but Marco, they did
the same thing. They had a lackluster performance in their
last game. They only won by one in overtime against UCLA.
Speaker 9: No.
Speaker 3: I would have felt better if they would have played
the Ucla game and struggled from start to finish, because
then I would have said, yeah, they were looking ahead.
They blew a twenty plus point lead in that game.
And guys, if you were under a rock last week
and didn't know what went on with UCLA, it was
an absolute horrible spot for UCLA. They had so much
turmoil going into that game and Illinois had the big lead.
How do you let a team come back that went
through the week they did? And what I'm talking about
is Mick Cronin ejected his own player in a game
earlier in the week at Michigan State. The players weren't
happy about it. They had every right to quit on Cronin,
and it looked like they did for the biggest part
of that game. So I'm a little concerned about Illinois.
I know they're a good team twenty two and six,
and if you look at those six losses, five of
the six losses were by four points or less, and
actually three of the six losses had to go to
overtime to get the loss. But you know, Michigan, they're
the best team in the country in my opinion. I know,
Duke just beat them. Duke beat them with a stifling defense.
I don't see Illinois being able to duplicate that. And
Michigan's got a little bit of revenge. They've lost four
straight to Illinois since twenty twenty three. But this is
by far the best Michigan team we've seen. I'm gonna
go ahead and lay the modest number here, and I
know VR talked about it earlier seeing some money on Michigan.
I was working on the games last night and it
was odd. I like to work late at night. It
was like twelve thirty Vegas time, and I saw this
screen at Circa jumped to three on Michigan. It wasn't
there long because as soon as people saw the three,
they grabbed Illinois at three when the rest of the
market was one and a half. So there was some
serious money come in last night on Michigan. The market
now has settled itself down. We're seeing a lot of
minus twos, but I'll go ahead and lay.
Speaker 4: It with Michigan. Love it.
Speaker 2: We're laying the low number there even we're riding on
the road there.
Speaker 4: That's Marco's thoughts.
Speaker 2: Marco, real quick, we're gonna talk Akron and Kent State,
But first, what do you.
Speaker 4: Have rocking over the weekend.
Speaker 2: You know we talked about Teddy's tips obviously on the channel.
We have Marco's Deli that's continuing here that people have
been really loving. Marco updated you hey, if this play
is still a play, if it's not a play, so
you get to check back after you get the breakdown,
So tell folks about that, and also what clients are
going to be having this weekend as we move forward.
Speaker 3: Well, we've had four and one last week on to Delhi,
so be sure to check that out. We're hitting sixty
percent for the season college basketball for Free on that
Friday show that'll be out late early evening tonight, you
can check that out. And then for my play today,
I've got a big four percent in the Sun Belt Conference.
Speaker 4: Guys.
Speaker 3: We have been just rocking these four percent plays eighteen
and five over our last twenty three But it's not
just the big plays.
Speaker 5: Guys.
Speaker 3: We're on a thirty four and sixteen run over the
last twenty two days and we've made our clients over
forty six hundred dollars number two at wager Talk over
that period.
Speaker 4: So check it out.
Speaker 3: Got you know weekend Warrior you can grab You can
grab that seven day package that actually gets you ten days,
get ten days for the price of seven just ninety
nine dollars. That's less than ten dollars a day. You'll
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night highlighted by a four percent play. Check it out
over at wager talk dot com.
Speaker 4: Love it.
Speaker 2: That's Marco D'Angelo wt buzz backslash MD where you can
get there a little bit quicker. We got Rex checking
in saying this feels like an Akron spot to me, Marco,
I have a feeling you disagree a little bit. As
the Zips are taking on the Golden Flashes. How are
you looking to break this one down?
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm looking at this one and you've got the
second and third place team in the MAC. Of course,
they're behind Miami of Ohio, who is undefeated both in
conference play and on the season. Kent State they have
just three conference losses. Akron has just one, and of
course the one loss that Akron has was to Miami.
But Kent State one of their three losses was a
seventeen point loss at Akron. This is a revenge game.
Nine know I say revenge is one of the most
overused terms in sports betting, but with these two teams
they lost by seventeen. These are true rivals. Their campuses
are like fifteen to twenty miles apart from each other there, Ohio.
So it is a big spot for them. And I'm
looking at Kent State. They're coming off a major scare.
In their last game. They were a ten and a
half point favorite and they only won by two eighty
three eighty one against Central Michigan. What that tells me
is they were looking ahead to this one and it
almost cost them. And you know, I love taking a
winning team that was a big favorite and had a
scare because you know you're gonna get their best effort
in the next one. So we've got a team off
a scare, we've got a rivalry game home underdog, and
we've got revenge that all lands me on Kent State
on a Friday night on ESPN. You I'll go ahead
and take Kent State. This one should come right down
to the wire. I have it basically as a one
to three point game either way. I'll grab the points
with Kent State. And I'm looking for the outright upset here.
Speaker 2: Oh little sprinkle on the money line. The outright upset, Andy,
you know what that means. We get to bring back
one of everyone's favorites that we have here, Marco. That
is a candidate here for that, and anybody got to.
Speaker 3: Say anything, you let me know.
Speaker 6: That's my dog, Dog of.
Speaker 2: The Golden Flashes we've been waiting for. We haven't gotten
that in a couple of days. So best of luck
to you there, Marco, and comment below, folks, let us
know if we like the barking dog and no, Marco,
no resemblance between that dog and and and and also
I will say, Kelly's not here to say.
Speaker 3: Oh, it's just a little dog, Marco.
Speaker 4: It's the four Let's go baby. Thanks dad.
Speaker 2: You guys have many every time they're ripping Marco, we're
on bed on it. And and they force these guys
to pick some dogs that they think are barking dogs.
It's what we do every week. It's one of, you know,
the most popular segments. And Marco is going to be
taking a field goald dog in an NFL game and
Kelly's like, yeah, well that's not a big enough dog
in the background, and I'm always yelling, I'm like, you
put some respect on Marco's name, guys.
Speaker 4: A dog is a dog.
Speaker 3: The morrow of the story is to Kelly, size does matter. Yeah,
well some people.
Speaker 4: Some people it does. But here to talk today. As
long as we're.
Speaker 2: Cash and that that's all we care about. So Marco,
always a pleasure, buddy. Best of luck with your action
this weekend. And I like you, Like Marco was saying,
take advantage of some of those special WT dot buzz
backslash m D. Appreciate you, Marco, Thank you man, see
you next week. I have a good one. Yeah, see,
I got Marco's back. Put some respect on the guys
dogs here, folks, let us know if you're riding with them.
A little money line sprinkle, so does my h Princeton
getting a goal and a half and sprinkling on the
money line. They're only a goal and a half, Like
it's a little tea cup, Yorky. But that's a barking dog, Andy,
It's it's a it's an it's an underdog.
Speaker 1: Like an underdog is another definition the non favorite, the team,
the individual that is not the favorite like it does. Yeah,
it doesn't matter. So uh before we do free plays,
did you see what happened to that European golfer talk
about the nightmares are made up? This is a horrible story.
Shout out to Pavan so earlier this week. It's not
it's not funny, but he's in his hotel. He comes
out of his room, goes to the elevator, hits the button.
The door's open, and he doesn't notice that the elevator
malfunctioned and the car didn't come with it. So he
steps out into an empty elevator shaft and falls three
stories into an empty elevator shaft, breaks his back, breaks
his shoulder, somehow survived and had like imagine the.
Speaker 4: Elevator door is open and you're just like on your phone.
Speaker 1: Yeah, that was like, this is the craziest thing, the
craziest thing I have I have ever heard of. So
shout out to him. He's gonna be okay, but man,
I don't know if he'll be able to play golf
ever again. I mean, the good news is he's not
gonna worry about money the rest of his life when
that lawsuit gets gets settled. So all right, let's do
some uh, let's do some Evan.
Speaker 9: Come on, Evan, Evan, Evan, my god, you're going to
hell heaven.
Speaker 4: Yeah, we'll see you there.
Speaker 1: We'll see you there, but you're definitely going to see
you there. So all right, I got two free plays
and that's not it, Dan, this is the wrong one. Yeah,
that one's that one's from like.
Speaker 2: Way way, all right, give me one second.
Speaker 4: How about this one that actually is there?
Speaker 1: Go there, you go, keep me on. We'll go to that.
We'll go to the aforementioned net Celtics and do Nick
Clapson over ten and a half points. He's gone over
in six straight three games since the All Star Break.
He's getting nine field goal attempt shooting sixty seven percent
from the field, adds a couple of free throws per game.
It is a tough matchup, but I'm riding the streak
with Nick Clason here. And then here's a plus one
seventy eight that I don't think is catching up with
recent trends. Kyle Kuzma over one and a half made threes.
He's gone over in three out of four games since
the All Star Break. But here's the key. The last
two games seven and ten attempts. You get me seven
and ten attempts, and I get plus one seventy eight
on over threes. Yeah, I'll take it. Buck probably playing
from behind in this one. So look for Kyle Kuzma
at a plus one seventy eight is a nice little sprinkle.
So we also got a good NASCAR race. Look over that.
The racing a coda. It's the first non restrictor play
slash pack racing track. It's a road course. Shane van
Gisbergen is the best road course driver probably in the
history of NASCAR. He is plus one twenty to win
the race and you're going, wow, I plus one seventy
or plus one twenty five just to win the race. Yeah,
I think it's playable. This was This is the only
road course he didn't win last year. And the key
is he's gonna be racing the in the Xfinity race
the day before. He's gonna get to know this track
even better because they made a couple of changes there,
so I would look at him to win. I also
like Chris Busher as the top Ford at plus one sixty.
He's by far the best road course racer in a Ford.
The rest of the Ford drivers this is just not
their their cup of tea. They just try and get
in and get out without without causing too much damage
to their cars. So those are a couple I like.
And then in UFC, Yanni and I were talking about
how do you attack some of these lines? You heard
Kyle Anthony say, look at the main event. If you
like Marino, play him by finish. There's a few other
guys I think you could play by finish or take
some props on. So we'll go over these. Douglas Silva down.
Dan Drodge has never been knocked out, and he's fighting
a guy in Javier Reyes who is just an absolute torpedo.
I don't think reys is very good. But Dan Rodge
is forty one years old. Now, we saw last weekend
Danny had never been knocked out. He suffered his first
knockout loss. At some point, age just catches up to you.
Res is gonna come flying out like a cannon. So
Reyes by knockout would be an interesting one. I'm surprised
we're getting under one and a half rounds of plus
money in the Kenyonas Chris Matino fight. Chris Matino, he's
just he's killed or be killed, and in UFC he's killed.
I think Kenyona has knocks him out early. The guy
just has no durability left. And then whoever you like
in the Perez Chase On fight, just take it by decision.
I think we talked about that one and then I
also like to under one and a half in the
Ryan Gandra Jose Medina fight. Ryan Gandra used to be
a heavyweight. Now he's dropped down and he is just
he hits so hard, Dan, this guy absolutely clubs over
the head. And Jose Medeemon is one of the worst
UFC fighters to ever grace the roster, like one of
the worst, He's truly one of the worst. So he's
on this card because he's Mexican and there in Mexico
and this will be his Thanks Jose, we'll see you later.
So other than for you in UFC, he is man,
he's he's bad. He was on Contender Series and he
got his ass kicked on Contender Series and Dana was
like Data White was like, I got a feeling about
this guy. We'll give him a contract, And all of
the matchmakers that were there were like, well no, no, no, no.
So he's come in and he's lost every single UFC fight.
He's y, he's got all yeah, yeah, it's bad. So yeah,
I think that's it. Guys, Thank you very much and
thanks to all the guests. Great week of shows. Dave's
got a big weekend of lacrosse. If you want to
hop on board. Go over to WT dot Buzz, Slash
al and uh big big week of plays, fights, races, props.
We got you covered there and a great work chat.
You guys just kicked ass this week. So again, comment
below after the show is over with your wager talk
user name after the show is over, and whoever you like,
Andy or Teddy, and then whoever wins, we'll pick a
free at three day pass. Everyone that's one of three
day pass should be in your system right now. So
thanks very much, guys. Please hit the like button really
helps the algorithm out.
Speaker 2: Dan.
Speaker 1: Let's have a big weekend, brother, let's go it all start.
Speaker 2: I'm ready man, I'm locked and loaded. And also real
quick Andy before we shut things down. Want to remind
folks if you haven't already checked out becoming a wager
talk insider this weekend. The steam room that is going
with with with VR is his long term client, so
that's thirty days or more or wager Talk insiders only,
so that's going this weekend. Following last call, WT dot
Buzz Backslash Insiders is how you can be a part
of it. Really low price point. You get access to
you know, member on the events like that, and any
video that goes live on the channel, as it's processing
in the back end, you get this it so you
get in front of some of those lines. Super low
price point. Great way to get some free content or
you know, some some behind the scenes content, a little
bit of extra stuff. WT Dot Buzz, Backslash Insiders and Andy.
Are you going live tomorrow for UFC four thirty tomorrow, Yep,
we'll be live.
Speaker 1: We'll see if there's any line changes, we'll get you
ready last second for the UFC card And for those
of you that watch our live show, we go over
to the Winning in the Shadows YouTube channel. We watch
all the UFC fights live. We do taste tests every
every UFC show. Yeah, it's we're doing Nachos Fiesta. So
if you want to if you were just making some
incredible nachos, so if you want to join us, go
get your best. Yes, go get your best nachos. Ditch,
We're gonna be nachos all night watch at the UFC Mexico.
I cannot wait for that one, but yes, we will
be live on the wager Talk channel about a half
hour before the UFC event to go over any props,
any last second line moves things like that before we
get into live betting and such. So great show. Thanks
guys very much. We're back, same time, same place on
Monday to get your ready for a new week. Good
luck on all your batsy will servera Monday. Take care