Speaker 1: All right, welcome in everybody. It's Friday. It's time for
full court press. Robino. I can't believe that Campbell and
William and Mary both essentially got to the mid eighties
and didn't go over that total.
Speaker 2: It stays under by half a point. Otherwise we were two.
Speaker 1: It cost us our parlay, and I'm watching that game
and I'm like, oh, this is definitely gonna get over.
And it got kind of tight at the end there
eighty four eighty three final lands one sixty seven, and
I think we had one sixty eight in the parlay, which.
Speaker 2: Was, you know, disappointing.
Speaker 1: But again, I think that game final five to six minutes,
I think seven eight times out of ten, that's probably
finding its way over one.
Speaker 2: Way or another. Could have had overtime. So a little
bit unlucky on that. Outside of that, how how did
your night go?
Speaker 3: It ended up being a split because as unlucky as
the last let's say four and a half five minutes
were in William and May and Campbell, I lucked out
by half a point in Portland State Idaho. I had
over one forty three and a half they landed one
forty four. And that game kind of rallied at the
end to get over the total, where William and Mary
and Campbell were on pace, very much so on pace
mathematically with five minutes that they kind of stalled out
and didn't get there, So we'll take the one and one.
The split didn't cost us hardly anything last night, but
it would have been nice to get William and Mary
and Campbell there. Like I say, they were on course
to get there with about five left, and then you
started to see a little bit of you know, misshots,
a couple of free throws here and there. They all
count in the end right at and you look back
to the first half and say, man, why did that
lay up go? We'd have been there, but we'll take it.
I still think it was the right handicap. But the
cal Poly was never in doubt. I mean that first
score was ten to nothing right out of the shoot
and I'm like, man, it's like twenty two to nothing.
All they were in pretty good shape here.
Speaker 1: I don't think cal Poly ever trailed in the game
with Hawaii.
Speaker 2: Last night.
Speaker 1: They made Hawaii made a couple of runs to tie it.
I don't think Hawaii ever led that game. Yeah, really
good performance from cal Poly I had a good night
three and one. I lost a game. I won a
game in almost the same fashion that I lost it.
I got a nice comeback, I guess myself and Brian
Power willed Little Rock across the finish line in a
kind of stole one at the end, and then the
gambling god said, no, you're gonna give that back. With
UC Santa Barbara, they look like they were gonna go
to the free throw line to close out the win
and probably cover three and a half and Rob suddenly
they find themselves in ot they turned the ball over
out of a inbound play. They end up in overtime
and they lose to a red hot cal State Northridgie,
who just keeps finding ways to win. I also had
Cal Poly and then Tennessee State pulled away. So I'm
ten and one in my last eleven. Like I said,
I'm over here making up for lost time. Rob was
on fire November December when I couldn't cash one, So
I'm just making up for lost time over here. Hopefully
the two of us can continue to cash tickets for you.
And it is the officially the weekend Rob, even though
in my cup here is just water, but it is
officially the weekend. I already finished the energy drink. We're
still on peach Mango Bang. It's been the same thing
all week. But if you go to wager talk dot
com you will find that we have the double the
Firepower CVB package. And regardless of who it's been, I
think we've been pretty successful over the past. You know,
a few weeks months, we started the week with a
six and Oho Monday, and that would get you all
of my plays, all of Rob's plays for the entire weekend,
huge slate of games on Saturday, but a pretty intriguing
slate tonight. There's a you know I I love like
every time every once in a while I'll pop into
like a competitors show and they'll hear something like, well
not much, you know, not much on the slate today,
or it's a small slate.
Speaker 2: First of all, this is a great slate.
Speaker 1: I heard one yesterday like you know this is there's
really nothing on this like basically almost like slandering the
mid major Thursday board, and it's like, what else do
you want?
Speaker 2: As it better?
Speaker 1: That's where a lot of your edges are gonna be.
And I think that's the case tonight because because outside
of a couple of big games, you know, we've got
the Mac and play, there's the Ivy League, and that's
what we're gonna get going here. But we will start
with what I consider to be the biggest game tonight,
and that is a big time matchup in the Atlantic ten.
Saint Louis VCU. We have now is essentially a battle
for first place. So Saint Louis kind of did the unthinkable.
Speaker 2: Earlier in the week.
Speaker 1: I know there was people that were like, oh, you know, Rhode,
I like that, that's a tough spot for them on
the road at Rhode Island. Rob, I gotta be honest,
that was shocking to me. I don't think that Rhode
Island team is any good. I don't think there's even
with their sort of bigger crowd, one of the biggest
crowds they've had in a while. I don't know that
the Ryan Center has much atmosphere. And Saint Louis got
beat I mean, they just got beaten that game, and
I started to think, Okay, So I went to the
Saint Louis Dayton game that was almost a month ago.
At this point, Saint Louis played as lights out of
a game as they could have played against Dayton on
Friday night on this court, which is where this game
will be tonight. Do you think they started to play
with their food a little bit for lack of a
better sort of term, against some of these really really
bad Atlantic Ten teams, because, make no mistake about it,
the bottom of the A ten right now, the Loyola Chicago's,
the Lasals are bad basketball teams. And do you think
they got lulled to sleep almost by a Rhode Island
team that maybe is a little bit better and just
took an advantage of an opportunity with maybe Saint Louis
looking ahead to this game a little bit.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm gonna throw the numbers out the window for
this handicap adam. I mean, generally, I'll come on here
and you know, try and find matchup analytic edges in
the game. But it really doesn't matter what I think
about what or not Saint Louis was playing with their food,
so to speak. But it does matter what the players
and the coach think, and I'm going to tell you
that they were because here we go. Dion Brown, after
that loss to Rhode Island, Saint Louis guard for those
who don't know. Dion Brown came out and said, I
think it's a bit of complacency. We think we're a
good team, and Tuesdays showed that we're not as good
as we thought. We came out of that what we
come out of that mindset, Hey, we're going to win
this game. It takes away from our preparation. He's telling
you that, you know what, they thought they were too
good for the league and they could just roll the
balls out. But it continues because head coach Josh Shurtz
said the same thing. It's hard when you win eighteen
games in a row to maybe maintain the humility and
hunger it takes to play your best. Maybe this is
what we needed to reset ourselves and get back to
the team we've been most of the season. Read into
it whatever you want to read into it. I think
that shirts who continued on to say, I should add
right here, Adam. What he continued on to say was
we've been playing with fire the last three or four
games in terms of our execution, physicality, and competitiveness. The
things that were our superpowers have been our effort and
toughness and our execution and our connectedness now you make
the decision to yourself. Does Saint Louis take that loss
and come out breathing fire here in this game, or
are they in a lull right now where VCU is
going the other direction and maybe can take advantage of
head coach Martelli actually thinks that his team is in
way better shape. I don't know that I can argue
with him. The only thing I could argue with Martelli
with and he basically focuses Adam on their defense. He says,
our defense is way better than it was the first
time we played Saint Louis. Took some time to get
used to the system, to get used to each other,
but we're way better now. I would say that you
have to you can take that seriously because the coach
said it. But the competition in the at the A
ten level is not all Saint Louis, right, So you're
beating a bunch of teams, You're playing good defense against
a bunch of teams, but they're not Saint Louis and
they're not a fired up Saint Louis on their home floor.
So this is a test and a half for BCU.
I think you could make a really good situational case
either way, My case to be made would be Saint Louis.
I think that they'll bounce back here. I just think
that they're the better team. I think they're they're still
even though VC is playing better defense, I think Saint
Louis is the better defense. And one thing that VCU
doesn't do still Adam for the most part, like they
did in the past, is forced turnovers. Like, if you're
going to beat Saint Louis, take some possessions away from them.
Don't let them because they're such a good shooting team,
you really don't want them to take shots. You were
in this building a couple fridays ago, you know what
it's like when they're fired up to play a game,
which they should be tonight. So line has actually the
line did budge early on and it's been bet back.
VCU money has come in within the last hour, hour,
hour and a half. For me, I'd probably look at
Saint Louis here. This total is interesting. One sixty one
and a half up to one sixty three and a
half and a couple of teams that I think will
be focused on the defensive end. First time around was
seventy one sixty two. Saint Louis got the win at VCU.
VCU didn't shoot it well. They may not shoot it
well again here, and I'll add this at the end.
I do worry about VCU if, in fact, there's a
stretch where Saint Louis goes on a home home floor run,
let's say a ten oh twelve to two run, And
is VCU good enough shooting wise to get back in
the game at that point, especially if Saint Louis is
motivated tonight. So or me, I'll go with coach Shirts
who said maybe that loss was a good thing. I
don't know that I want to lay seven and a
half because vcus on an ascension right now, but if
I had to, that's the way I'd look.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I have a lot of conflicting thoughts here, so
I'm just gonna get them out and see if we
can talk ourselves into some sort of pick. First of all,
Ski knows the deal. He knows you're gonna come with
quotes for a big game. So yeah, he knows you're
bringing a coach quote for a big game. And yes,
I saw Shirts say that as well. Actually was in
the press conference after the dating game where Shirts you know,
came and addressed the media. I never go to these,
by the way, even if I get credentials. Usually I'm
like hitting the road trying to get to wherever my
next game is. And it's like, I don't know, I
mean a media, I guess, but I always feel a
little bit weird in the press conference because it's like,
you know, I'm not like writing a piece on it.
But I went to that one because I knew some
folks there, and you know that was I mean, if
you remember after that game, shirts is at the bar
porn shots. Saint Louis played as good as they've played.
Maybe also that may have been their best game from
a just complete They did everything right for forty minutes.
Dayton never had a chance. BYU's in the chat saying,
you know this is gonna be kind of a tough building,
tough atmosphere.
Speaker 2: Yeah, he's probably right about that.
Speaker 1: Because I was out waiting to get in shape its
arena at five point thirty and there was a line
of students around the building and one the guy who
was standing next to who I think was just a
season ticket holder, turned to me and he's like, I
I've never seen kids line up at this time for
a game. Right, that was like totally new to them
to have this like full student section selling out the
ten thy six hundred seat arena, which is, you know,
it's a great arena for basketball. But listen, if Saint
Louis isn't playing good, they're not selling that place out.
That was a sellout. This will be a sellout. This
is one verse two in the league now, Rob, I
love I love rematches for us because we watch a
lot of life. If you want to figure out who's
watching these games and who's not, just listen to how
people talk about some of these rematches. Okay, this game
we actually gave out as on this show. We took
Saint Louis in the first meeting. I think it was
my parlay leg. It was a client play for me.
That game didn't get close until the end. Saint Louis
was rolling in that game, and a big reason for
that was VCU couldn't get couldn't get good shots off,
and the good shots they were getting were three pointers
and they weren't and they just weren't falling. They basically
tried to take everything to the rim and then as
soon as there was resistance, they'd kick it, they'd kick
it for a three, and they just didn't make any
of them.
Speaker 2: Six for twenty four from three in that game.
Speaker 1: Now, one thing you could say is, well, that's good
defense for st for Saint Louis, and that's true. The
other thing you could say is that's a different game
if the shots are going in right, Like if VCU
hits a couple of threes early, it may unlock, you know.
I felt like Saint Louis was able to just kind
of pack it in and almost vaited them.
Speaker 2: In the shooting and three.
Speaker 1: As soon as VCU made a couple of those, I
think they cut it to like almost like one, they
made a run, they got back in it, and then
Saint Louis closed the game out. So comes to this,
we flipped the flip the tables. Now we're at Saint Louis.
Now we're talking about covering a seven and a half
point spread. It's tough because I think if some of
those threes go in, you're probably looking at a little
bit of a different game. But I will go back
to what you were kind of mentioning, it does feel
like this could be a like a knockout punch game.
If Saint Louis comes out and they've been very good
off a loss. Now they've only lost, this will only
be the second time, but they've also been pretty good
off of not.
Speaker 2: Playing their best ball.
Speaker 1: If you go back to the Dayton game, I think
they went maybe on the road to George Washington heading
into that game, didn't have a great game, came out
and played a very efficient game at home. If Saint
Louis plays an a fishing game at home, they're gonna
win this game. They're probably gonna cover. But that number
is makes it difficult to bet. So what you could
do again, maybe you go what maybe you go Saint
Louis first half. I want to say you recommended that
for the Dayton game potentially because like it was a
big spread at home, we didn't really want to lay
the number and it was like and they came out
and they were just lights out right off the rip.
They were up fifteen in like two seconds. So if
you like Saint Louis, maybe do the first half second
half thing where you play half unit on the first half.
Speaker 2: If you win, you take your money.
Speaker 1: If you lose, you come over the top in the
second half, because I would be kind of surprised if
Saint Louis just no shows this game after losing to
Rhode Island. But Rob, we have seen some of these
teams that have these big time losing streaks, lose one
and then lose that game twice.
Speaker 2: So intriguing game. I just don't see how to get
involved here.
Speaker 3: Yeah, a couple things really quick here for Saint Louis
because their non conference resume is not stacked right. The
best wins are basically wins over Grand Canyon early on
in Santa Clara by one. Saint Louis doesn't have a
lot here. NET ranking is nice, but they have to
continue to resume build because they are who they are.
I just go back to what Jared Calhoun, head coach
of Utah State said a couple of games ago, like
these teams have to win. They have to win by margin.
A game like this on national TV. You can't flop.
If in fact, you don't win the Atlanta ten tournament
and you're Saint Louis, you can still probably get it
at large. A loss here, Adam, I think could actually
put Saint louis Is at Large in jeopardy because of
the weakness of this country. The only thing holding this
conference afloat as far as ranking is concerned to Saint Louis.
If Saint Louis wasn't in this league, it would be
like the eighteenth or nineteenth best league in the in
the country. So they really it's it's of the utmost
importance to them. And to your point about first half betting,
Saint Louis has come multiple occasions here with the with
that immediate knockout punch. I think was it Saint Bonaventure
you referred to where your friends were at the bar?
Speaker 1: God? He yeah, started they were at the bar at
halftime they thought they Yeah, they were. I was getting
text Saint Bonnie's money line and then I was getting
text from the bar. Early second half it was a
thirty point game. Yeah.
Speaker 3: Yeah, They've got that ability to get out quick and
if Hecu is overwhelmed early, then first half could be
a really good way to go. But I do I
think I trust a little bit of Saint Louis here
in this game to do the right thing off of
that loss.
Speaker 1: First of all, thank you for the donation Mansie Man,
And yeah, we've wondered where you were. And this is
a bit of sad news, but well, he says, morning
fella has been away a little bit and didn't want
to put a damper, but found out my wife has
breast cancer. Say a prayer, thank you. Well, We're absolutely
going to keep your wife and your thoughts in our
thoughts and prayers. I've had multiple family members affected with
breast cancer. It's terrible thing. And yeah, we'll be we'll
be thinking about you all weekend. We appreciate you popping
into the show on a daily basis, appreciate you donating
to the show. And you know what, I'll talk to Uh,
we we always look for you know, I don't know
where where we're donating the donations this month, but it
seems like this would be the month to donate them
to breast cancer. So maybe we can talk to the
powers that be about that. But but I do believe
now this has been this is this is breast cancer
Awareness month?
Speaker 2: Is it not? Rob right? Is it this? I've seen
some I've seen some teams wear jerseys.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I've seen it too.
Speaker 1: So yeah, we're absolutely thinking about you. Sorry to hear that,
and uh, you know, we we hope she beats it
pulls through because again that a lot of people do
beat that, and I've also had family members that have
beaten breast cancer. So let's uh what we'll say a
thought and prayer for you. Let's go to Garth. I
can't believe you brought this game up, but we will
talk about it. So there is a great If you
are not following this Twitter account, do yourself a favor
and go follow the I gotta make sure I say
it right.
Speaker 2: The team's left tracker.
Speaker 1: His handle is champ countdown and every year, as teams
get mathematically eliminated from being in the NCAA tournament, he
counts all three hundred and sixty five teams down. So
that's literally all this account does is as soon as
a team is eliminated from you know, basically gets knocked
out of their conference tournament or until they mathematically can't
make their conference tournament, he counts them down three sixty
five to one. It's like a great little like niche
Twitter account. It's it's it's just worth the follow. I
think it's I think it's great. And the reason I
bring his account up right now is on Sunday, Rob,
we had a double elimination from from contenent for the
NCAA tournament, and that was these two teams, Rider and Canecious.
Speaker 2: Both lost or I'm sorry Rider. Yeah, Ryder lost.
Speaker 1: Over the weekend, as did Canisius, And what that meant
is that both are now ineligible for the MAC tournament.
So the MAC is not bringing everyone to the conference
tournament anymore, and Canisius and Rider now both will not
be going to Atlantic City. So that brings us to
today's game, Canisius at Rider, a literal meaningless game because
neither of these teams will be going to Atlantic City
to play in the MAC tournament. And so Garth says,
let's talk about the real MAC, the NAAC, which will
be the MAC no more in a couple months, because
they have already announced that going into the next season
they will have a new name.
Speaker 2: We will have a new name for the MAC conference.
Speaker 1: But Canisius Rider, he says, Canisius team total under sixty
six and a half game under this number. Oh went
under this number in eight of the last ten. But
I don't know if Ryder can stop them. Well, this
is like, rob, how do you even really quantit? Like
this is either gonna be a terrible game that goes
under or it's gonna be playground basketball because no one
cares and who even knows, Like what what? How do
you attack a game with as little meaning as Canesius
rider tonight.
Speaker 3: It's a great question, Adam. I don't know that we
have any evergreen videos in the vault with that subject matter.
How do you attack a game like this? To Guard's point,
real quick, he went at it from one side with
the eight out of ten. And I will say that
Ryder has allowed less than sixty six and a half
one time in sixteen conference games. So the other fifteen
times their opponent got above sixty six and a half.
So just if that helps out any you know, the
last time Canacious won a game, this really bothers me,
the last times won a game.
Speaker 1: It's gonna bother me to big time rob. But finish
your point, because because.
Speaker 3: We came out on a way back in early January,
and I used Manhattan talking about the road trips from
you know for Canisius and Niagara, how difficult they are
to go out on the road. Manhattan I think was
off the loss and I played in Manhattan, plaid a
few points, maybe six points, got beat out right by Canisius.
They haven't won a game since. They've been as bad,
if not worse than Ryder. I don't know if riders
last win was the day you were in the gym, but.
Speaker 2: I remember it. I think they pulled an upset.
Speaker 1: I think they I think they won one more since
where they hit like a runner at the buzzer. I
think it was Saint Peter's. But yeah, they've only won
I think two Division one games this year.
Speaker 3: Maybe, yeah, that was like Iona that you were there,
right and somehow, some way Ryder what And actually, actually
I can remember talking with you and we thought, well, maybe,
you know, maybe Ryder could be on a little bit
of an upswing. Poor economically poor Rider is now going
to start playing good ball. They did in one more game,
but they've been terrible ever since. And it's just hard,
Like you say, when you have no meaning to games,
you have to get inside the head coaches heads. I
think it would be nice to talk to both head
coaches here and just see where they're at with this.
Is it? You know what, We're not going to the
mac tournament. These games are meaningless. Roll out the balls
or is it? This is a winnable game for both
of us. Let's go try and beat somebody. Put the
kid's mindset in a positive position. Boy, it's hard at him.
I would think that they're still trying to win games
at this point. To Garth's point, holding Canisius to less
than sixty six and a half has been It's been
a problem for a rider to hold anybody under sixty
seven all season long. I don't know why it wouldn't
continue to be a problem tonight other than Cadisius can't
score either. But somebody's got to put the ball in
the in the hoops. So I'm not gonna argue with
you on this one, Garth, because this one is is
really difficult call. So we'll hope that you cash this
ticket with Caniches up and over sixty six and a half.
Speaker 1: So he he actually likes the under. But I'm gonna
I'm gonna take a stand here. Yeah, he likes the under.
I'm gonna take a stand here.
Speaker 2: I like Ryder.
Speaker 1: I think Ryder wins this game. It's a meaningless game.
But I've I've got a sense of the vibes of
both programs. Like Kevin Badgett seems like an incredibly like, nice,
positive guy, you know, has has literally paid employees out
of his own pocket just so they could keep their jobs,
to keep the program going.
Speaker 2: He like wants to do. He's been there forever.
Speaker 1: I think his his first year as head coach was
like maybe the Jason Thompson senior year, like one of
the maybe like right after that, I think right after
the Jason Thompson years, he took over.
Speaker 2: He's been the head coach ever since.
Speaker 1: They were so happy to win that Iona game when
I was there that, like, I just would be really
surprised if they're coming into a home game not like
you know, just motivated to go out and try their
best to win the game. Canisius over the weekend could
have won both of those games. They they came back,
they were tied with Iona with like two minutes left,
took a three that rimmed out and managed to not
only lose the game, but not cover five and a half.
So they had the ball. They had the ball with
two minutes to go plus five and a half, took
a three that like hit iron, hit backboard, rimmed out,
and then lost the game by six.
Speaker 2: Great. I was on Canisius plus five and a half.
Speaker 1: On Sunday, they were up five with like five minutes
to go against Manhattan managed to lose that game. Jim
Christian looks miserable, like pissed off. I think he kicked
Marcus Niblack off the team. Basically, it was just like,
you just don't act like he straight up came out.
You want to talk about quotes, little Matt quote here,
It wasn't even like a it wasn't even like one
of those pr type quotes. Like he was just like,
he just does not do what we expect a student
athlete to do.
Speaker 2: So he's gone.
Speaker 1: Like I kind of think Canisius is a disaster right now.
Now they've got to go all the way down to
Jersey to play meaningless game Central New Jersey. I mean, listen,
nothing would surprise me here but my numbers like Ryder,
and I think the situation is good for a Rider victory.
Like I'm pretty comfortable saying I like Rider pick. I
think I have to read you. I have to just
double check my calculation. I think I'm at like three
and a half Rider. So again, bad basketball team, meaningless game.
I wouldn't touch Kenesis. It's a terrible spot for the Grips.
All right, all right, rob Let's stay in the mac.
I've invited BP to join the parlay and see if
he can finish off a perfect week. He filled in
on Monday and he's hit his parlay leg every day.
Speaker 2: So I said, BP, you's.
Speaker 1: Gotta I was like, you gotta, You gotta try to
run the table, try to go five. And now he's like, Trig,
you may like this, you may not, but I like
your Sianna Saints tonight.
Speaker 2: And I said all right. He goes.
Speaker 1: He's like, I don't even know if we're going to
talk about it in a morning wager because we're doing
some NBA stuff today.
Speaker 2: I said, don't worry.
Speaker 1: I said, I will let I will lay out what
I think is going to happen in this game. I'll
give your pickout and I'll let Rob, you know, sort
of agree or disagree with me, because I can't really
pick a side here, okay. And the reason is so
Brian Power is going to come into the parlay with
Cianna plus three and a half. That is what he
wants on the parlay, and I see merit to both sides.
I think the number is spot on. So you want
to talk about Rob, you know, I think you're going
to hear people try to talk about this game today
and they're going to be like, oh, it was a
close game. First game was tight, close game, whatever. This
is what I'm talking about. If you watch the first game,
you would know that Sienna was down nineteen, that they
got they were getting blown out of their own arena
in front of like six thousand that MVP arena on
a Friday night, getting embarrassed down sixteen at half, and
essentially see Na kind of got a few stops and
the way they kind of like snuck back into the game.
They started to press a little bit, got a rebound
or two, and suddenly kind of snuck back into the
game though, to the point where Gavin Doti went to
the foul line fouled on a three down three like
he had a chance to tie that game at the end,
and he missed the free throw. Sianna ends up losing
sixty three to fifty nine. The problem here for Sienna
is Joe Gallo is going to play a zone that
Sienna has a very very difficult time beating. Why does
Sianna have a difficult time beating the zone? They really
don't have three point shooters this year and their one
three point shooter.
Speaker 2: Brendan Coyle is having a bad season. He's just not himself.
Speaker 1: If this was Brendan Coyle from two years ago, you'd
probably be fine. But Brendan Coyle right now is just
not consistent enough from three robin the first meeting Sienna,
not only could they not make a three, they couldn't
even get one off. I mean, Merrimack was like they
couldn't even get a good look. They were four for
sixteen from three in that game. And Sianna this year
is three hundred and thirty six nationally from three. Now,
why might Sianna stay in this game? What could help
Brian powers? Cause here on Sianna plus three and a half,
they defend well and they have size, and one thing
Merrimack does not do well is rebound the basketball. But
it's also because they play this zone. It's very random,
and Gallo prioritizes being near the rim more.
Speaker 2: He almost would rather cut off.
Speaker 1: He'd almost rather dig in on defense and play out
the second possession then like get all out of sorts
going for a rebound and.
Speaker 2: Give up, but like an easy put back.
Speaker 1: So Sianna's gonna win the rebounding edge they did in
the first meeting, But it doesn't necessarily mean you're gonna
have an easy shot that that Merrimack will just dig
back in on their zone. So Sianna can play defense,
they can get stops, then they could steal a game
that's similar to the first game in the low sixties.
If it's not in the low sixties, I'd be surprised
if they win this game. But Rob, does that talk
you into or out of a total by any chance.
Speaker 3: The way to play the total for me would be under.
It sets up to me the same as you know.
We've talked a lot about this Adams second Meeting for
certain styles just seemed to create the same exact type
of game for the most part. When we talked about
it yesday, Campbell and William and Mary played out that way.
It was the same exact game, just missed the total
priced a little bit too high for us to get there.
But where Merrimac's really good defensively when you go through numbers,
they're number eight in the country in second chance points allowed.
So Siena with size, it's going to be difficult because
you don't get a lot of second chance points against
these guys. Merrimac as far as fast break points allowed
inside the top ten as well. So the transition defense
is really good. So you got to make shots and
to your point first time around. And Gavin Dotie not
only with the free throws, but as I come through
the box score was a bad day overall for him.
Speaker 1: Can I tell you why that is and why it
might be again, Gavin Doty's not really a three He's
not really a competent three point shooter. Gavindti wants to
put his head down, take you off the dribble, work
his way into the paint, maybe get something mid range,
get to the hoop, and Merrimack just does not let
you do that.
Speaker 2: They just don't yet.
Speaker 3: Two of ten indicates in that game Gavin Doty was
to go into the rim for two point shots or
mid range shots. Didn't work there, so's it's hard to
see unless Sienna goes on the road and knocks down
a bunch of shots. This total changing any from the
one twenty two. You know in actuality, Adam, the points
per possession in that game weren't really bad. One point
one six for Merrimack, one point nine for Sienna. I mean,
it's not great but it's not horrendous either. It's just
the lack of possessions and the lack of free throws.
Even in a game that ended sixty three to fifty
nine that was close, as you indicated, extension couldn't help
this game get beyond one twenty two. So here we're stare,
I think this game's been bet up. Just let me
check the number really fast here. This game's been bet
up to one, from one thirty and a half to
one thirty two and a half. And I just feel like,
whoever it is who gets to these things early when
they see numbers in this range, they just feel like
and I can't say that I'm not of the same
opinion that you can get to one thirty and a
half by mistake. So let's just bet it over for
the thrill of betting it over. But you're asking this
game to go sixty seven sixty six, and if you
use them, if you use the points spread here, you're
actually asking this game to go sixty nine sixty five
to be sixty nine sixty four to being over. I'm
not so sure anybody gets close to seventy here, So
for me, I'd probably say under. And of course We're
not going to root against your cim sinks and we're
not going to go against Brian Power at all. End
of story. After Little Rock, you know, the guy who
won the game for Little Rock last night was the
guy whose name you were trying to pronounce.
Speaker 1: Yesterdayeh got Keck going going coast to coast like he's
at O'Bannon rob to win the game or tyas Edney
tyas hed. He was like the famous y aaah, that's right, Yeah,
that was incredible.
Speaker 2: What a finish to that game.
Speaker 1: I thought, here, I am thinking like I'm going to
need a deuce on the other end to cover two
and a half. They get like a steal steel he's
he's off to the races and he scores at the
buzzer and incredible finish.
Speaker 2: Uh.
Speaker 1: It's kind of so my buddy Aaron Kidd texting me
I'm on a good run right now. I mean, if
we've talked about it on the show, you can see
like and he he was like, you could tell me
to bet Japan in World War Two.
Speaker 2: He's like, I'm betting it at this point. That's kind
of how that's kind of how I feel about VP
right now.
Speaker 1: Who am I to talk Brian power off the Sianna Saints.
He's he's he's just coming here and giving out nothing
but winners. So yeah, I have I'm not going to
push back at that at all. What I will say though,
to to I guess add some more fuel to the
fire on a potential under that first game, Ciana scored
twenty two points in the first half. We I mean, Merrimack,
just to one more number for you. They're seventeenth nationally
in block shots. They contest everything. It's why when they
give up a rebound, it's not the end of the
world because Gallo's zone never they never get out of position.
So it's like if a ball because again, when you're
talking about a zone, rebounding is going to be a
little bit random.
Speaker 2: If you're giving up jumpers, you never know where the
ball is going to go.
Speaker 1: But they do such a good job at staying in
their position that they're almost not even like, oh, you
got the rebound, no problem, We'll just zone you again
for another twenty seconds.
Speaker 2: Fine, right, And then it's like.
Speaker 1: Sianna got back in that game when they were down,
they started to press a little bit.
Speaker 2: Merrimack got a little out.
Speaker 1: Of sorts, but like, if this is a close game,
Merrimack doesn't turn the ball over, Kavere Kennedy might win
Player of the Year in the MAC. I mean, he's
a freshman, freshman point guard for Merrimack. He very well
wayman may win MAC Player of the Year. I can't
understand why that total would be bet up unless it's
like you're saying, people just see a number, say oh
that's a little low, let me bet it up. But
I'll be really surprised if this is anything other than
I think you're gonna get like your sixty four sixty
one type final again in this game.
Speaker 2: Hard to believe it's anything other than that.
Speaker 1: God, I'm out of breath here, Rob, it's only half
We're only halfway into the show. If I didn't uh
and again one more time, we'll we'll, we'll recap it
at the end, as we always do. But Brian Power
is going for a perfect five and zero on the
show this week with his parlay leg He is on
Sienna Plus the three and a half, and I believe,
I do believe it's still there.
Speaker 2: I don't. I haven't looked since we got on the show.
But we'll confirm that when we get closer to the
end of the show. All right, let's head to the chat.
Speaker 1: Still a lot more to talk about again, Mansy, appreciate
the donations and yeah, we'll we'll keep your wife in
our thoughts and prayers this weekend. Let's see what we
what else we got super chats are starred. Joe Lane
says it is three and a half. Yeah, I don't
expect that to move that. That's exactly what I think
it's gonna be worth noting Sianna was a five and
half point favorite in the first meeting at MVP Arena.
Merrimack is a pretty big dog in that meeting. So
just you want to you want to talk about where
they they've come from. You know, I do think the
books are are really giving the respect to Merrimack that
they kind of deserve at this point, and I think
that's probably why the number is correct. All right, let's
talk about the final unbeaten rob There's one undefeated team.
Speaker 2: Left in college basketball.
Speaker 1: They play on national TV tonight, and so let's head
to the other Mac, the Mac that will be keeping
their name after this year, of course, Brian Powers Mac
and that's the the mid American Conference. And that's, of course,
Miami of Ohio, who has still not lost a basketball
game despite everyone thinking this game is the game. That's
what everyone said earlier this week, all the all the sharps,
love you mass Robb.
Speaker 2: They said, this game is the game.
Speaker 1: I've been hearing it all season though in Mac play,
and yet here we are, Miami of Ohio continue to
win games. They said it in the first meeting between
these two teams, Rob that Bowling Green was going to
be the team to beat them. Miami of Ohio wiped
the floor of them at the Stro Arena. Now they're
at home. Millet Hall's probably sold out again tonight. They've
been getting nine thousand plus for Miami of Ohio home
games eight and a half. But I think you had
you either had the total in the first one or
this is the one.
Speaker 2: We got nipped on by like a half point.
Speaker 1: I'm trying to go off memory, but we might have
got nipped on a missed file shot in this one
I can't remember, or this one sored over. But you've
been pretty good on Miami of Ohio total. So talk
to me, Miami of Ohio, Bowling Green. How do you
see this one going.
Speaker 3: Yeah, we had a Miami of Ohio total. I'm trying
to remember if it was Bowling Green or not. A
Peter Sooter went to the line. They actually iced him.
It was a two shot bow and he made the
first other coach iced him. He came back. Of course,
the announcer compliments on how good of a free tow
shooter he was. Didn't work and we fell a half
a poor short because that free throw bricked in that
particular game. You just talked about a game where.
Speaker 2: Seeah, I just got it. That was that.
Speaker 1: That was not that game beat But they dropped ninety
three on Bowling Green in the first meeting, blew them out.
Speaker 3: But yeah, and and you just talked about Merrimack Siena
being a absolute route at halftime, so is this Miami
OL was up fifty four to twenty eight at halftime
of this game in Bowling Green plus twenty six at
the half and kind of came out of the locker
room for the second half nonchalant, only scored nine points
in the first ten minutes of the second half. Bowling
Green came back, came back. They beat Miami O fifty
five to thirty nine. Second half to make it a
ten point deficit, a lot closer than what the game
really was. If Miami of Ohio had stayed pedal to
the floor after the nine point first ten minutes, they
kind of woke up and realized, wait a minute, now
we have to finish this thing off, and they scored
at will. A couple of things here on total Miami
of Ohio team total fourteen games in matt play, twelve
and two over eighty points. Which is their number tonight.
I think it's eighty eighty and a half somewhere right
in that range, so they need eighty one. They've done
that twelve or fourteen times so far this year, so
it's not allowed to ask of them to get to
that number. Obviously, ninety three the first time against Bowling Green,
and the shooting was sensational in that game for Miami O,
both from two point range, three point range, whatever. Bowling
Green had a pretty good second half in that one.
A couple of things here that I'll get to where
Bowling Green is concerned, if you're thinking of full game
total or if you're thinking of Bowling Green and Todd
Simon had I think is a was he former Southern Utah.
Todd Simon, he was somewhere out.
Speaker 1: West believe believe it was southern Utah or like a
year or two, right, and then he got the job
pretty quickly.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I remember him out west and he had some
fast paced team or a fast paced team out there.
But Todd Simon made a comment about his team, his
group of main shooters, and called them very, very streaky
as a group, not just singling out one guy being streaky,
but saying we're streaky as a group. Really good Saturday,
not so good Tuesday. It's been that way most of
the year. We tend to run hot and cold as
a group. That's hard to handicap. That's really hard to
handicap whether or not multiple shooters that are expected to
score for Bowling Green are going to be hot or
cold here tonight at Miamio. Now, Miamio hasn't been the
stingiest of defenses, so I would generally lean toward Bowling
Green making some shots here tonight. But this team just
seems to be what head coach Travis Steele said, They
are unflappable. Like Miami went to U Mass, no big deal.
They were never really in trouble in that game, in
a game that folks thought they could lose because of
the first time around. So for me here, Adam, this
number's been bit down. There's a lot of Bowling Green
money out there right right away. Eight and a half
down to eight, I see seven and a half. So
you've got a lot of underdog play with the total
going up a little bit, fifty two up to fifty
three and a half. Where Miami of Ohio was concerned,
I generally only look at them one way because again,
since ski Profit wanted to jump in and tag me
as a quote guy, I will again tag him as
a guy who says, if I can't trust you to
get stops, I can't lay these types of points with you,
this type of points with you, and laying eight with
a team that doesn't necessarily get stops, even against an
opponent that's on the road, that has streaky shooting qualities
to them, it's hard to do. So I would rather
trust Miami of Ohio here to get over the eighty
and a half points. Done it twelve or fourteen times.
What's to say Bowling Green's gonna stop them from doing
it here? The pace should be there, Miamio. Of course,
the top pace team, fastest paced team in the league,
Bowling Green right there. I think they're like six or something.
It's generally a league where a lot of these teams
are high tempo. So for me, i'd look at it
that way. If you want to include Bowling Green in
a full game total, I could see it, but I
just can't trust it, basically off of what Todd Simon says,
I've got a group of guys that go hot and
cold together.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I you know, I was just trying to quickly
find the first meeting. I just saw the score of it.
It was ninety three eighty three, so one seventy six.
And this is one of those where kind of hard
to believe that there's a twenty point difference in this game.
And the reason I think that that's even more so
the case after listening to you, listening to you talk
about it, and just kind of looking at, you know,
back to the first meeting is Bowling Green. So a
couple things with Bowling Green. One for me, I always
thought their strength was on the defensive end. They're very physical,
they're very aggressive, but do you know how you can
pretty much neutralize aggressive defense space the floor like Miami
of Ohio does their floor spacing as good as is
as good as any team in the country, and you
could totally neutralize a physical aggressive defense by just simply
spacing the floor and doing it as good as Miami
of Ohio spaces the floor ninety two point three points
per game, second in the country. Fifty three point five
percent from the field, that's first in the country. Forty
point two percent from three that's fourth in the country. Now,
where you've got a little bit of a case or
the full game over rob but Bowling Green actually puts
the ball in the basket. They're not bad offensively, I
mean number like, they're not gonna They're not gonna go
out and hit a bunch of shots from the perimeter.
Speaker 2: But what I do think one.
Speaker 1: Of the areas that you maybe can beat Miami of
Ohio is at the rim. We saw UMass kind of
do it in both meetings have some success getting to
the rim. You know, Bowling Green forty eight point one
percent from the field. That's that's a top forty, top
fifty mark nationally. And you know, Bowling Green's moo is
not to jack up a bunch of threes. So where
the physical defense might not totally work against a team
like Miami of Ohio that's going to spread you out
and do it with the precision that Miami of Ohio
has been doing it to teams that like the you know,
being able to will yourself to the rim, win the
one on one battles, take guys off to the dribble,
just sort of be You know, that toughness can show
up on the offensive end, and I do think that
it shows up in the form of points for Bowling Green.
So I want no part of Bowling Green as an
underdog here. I just think there's too many ways that
can it can get quickly out of hand. But I
think I would include them in that over. I like
the full game over. I actually like that quite a bit.
I think you're gonna get I mean, you're talking about
one seventy six in the first meeting, and here you
just need to get to mid one fifties.
Speaker 2: So I kind of like that full game over. Rob.
Speaker 1: I'm going to give you the floor if you want
to have. First of all, well have we have we
talked about your parlay leger not? Because if we haven't,
I'll go to mind.
Speaker 2: It's up to you. We have not.
Speaker 1: All right, let's go to yours because I still am
on the fence with something we've talked about already.
Speaker 2: So let's let's go to yours. You've got the floor.
What game are we looking at?
Speaker 3: All right?
Speaker 4: As I often do tell the chat here those those
viewing live, I often say, I'm torn between two, and here,
I'm going to give you the two I'm torn between,
and then I'll give you the one I'm gonna go with.
Speaker 3: I really like Akron. First game of the night against
ball State, number is large, fourteen and a half large.
For a reason.
Speaker 2: I'll tell you what, do the do the other one?
Speaker 3: Do the other game?
Speaker 2: Yeah, do the other one?
Speaker 1: Because were you going to make a case for Akron
just to destroy Ball State? I was, yeah, okay, so
well I'm you know, let me do this. Let's just
do this right now. You brought it up. I'm gonna
let you because you have two that you like. I
was gonna use Akron to just absolutely maul ball State.
So but I want you to set it up because
you were talking about it. So Akron ball State. Let's
go to that game, all.
Speaker 3: Right, So let's talk about it really quick. Here, a
couple of things with Akron again, I talked about resumes
early unfortunately, or tournament resumes earlier for these mid major
teams that are really really good but probably can't find
their way into the NCAA tournament because they just haven't
beaten anybody non conference of note. And what made it
worse for Akron was the weekend where the MAC played
the Sun Belt and they went down to Troy and
got murdered. And so for Akron, your chances of doing
anything are slim and none unless you win the MAC tournament. However,
first place is still in their sights here the number
one seed. Overall, Akron's been tremendous. They've been the best
defensive team in the league. They're as good an offense
as you can find in this league, probably outside of Miamio.
They played Miami O once. It was seventy six to
seventy three. A couple of things I really like here,
Number one ball state. Let's get to the first time around.
It was eighty seven to seventy seven Akron. They win
by ten the first time on ball on their own
home floor. It was a while ago, January thirteenth, about
a month ago. Akron kind of played around the last
ten minutes of the game, they were up by nineteen points.
Sort of let off the gas, et cetera, et cetera.
But here they go on the road with the chance
to get into a tie first place if Miami should
lose ball State. I think this is as much of
a fade of ball State as it is a play
on Akron, and I like both ends of that play.
Acron fade ball State. They're so slow and so methodical
and so poor shooting the basketball that to me, this
feels like a game where Akron gets out on top
ball State doesn't find a way to get back into
it because the first time around, it's what Akron let happen.
I don't think they're gonna let it happen this time.
I think they if they get up by nineteen with
ten minutes left in the game, they're gonna remember what happened.
Ball State tried to come back, got kind of close,
and it won't happen this time. They're a terrific shooting
team Achron for what it's worth. And on the defensive end,
like I said, I think they're number one defensive efficiency
team inside the MAC. So it's gonna be hard for
ball State, a team that goes into Snail's pace doesn't
know anything. But the one thing I was going to
lean toward Akron team total here, Adam. The one thing
that held me back was ball State is so slow
that they've only allowed two teams all season long inside
the MAC to get over eighty points. One of them
was Akron. Akron found a way to get eighty seven
against these guys. So for me, I see full blowout
here against fall State. I think they get behind early,
don't get back in it this time. That was gonna be.
It won't be my parlay leg, but I'm going to
turn it over to you so you can further that
case and we can use it as an end of
our parlay.
Speaker 2: You know, I just figured you had two You had
two games.
Speaker 1: You like, this is bias, like im he says, to
hit you with the Kanye Listen.
Speaker 2: That's how you know.
Speaker 1: We just do not script this show, like we're just
doing this off the top of the head, on the fly.
When you still when you brought the Akron game up,
I said, well, if you've got two that you like
and one of them's Achron, and I was going to
use Achron, my might as well. Just use akron and
that way we get a strong opinion from you on
a on a different game, Mark Lambert says, I'm a
ball State er. I had got two and a half
units on acron. Listen, I if you what I'm assuming
Mark is watching ball State hoops this year, and if
you watch ball State basketball, I got it for me.
This is one of the more disappointing teams in the
in the entire country. And the reason I say that is,
you know, they got Evan Barnes, who is a guy
that I really liked when he was at Tarlaton State.
Speaker 2: He ended up at UTEP.
Speaker 1: I thought it was a little weird that he like
transferred from UTEP to ball State. I thought that was
a great grab for them, like he's been better of late.
But the overwhelming sort of thing that you come away
with when you watch ball State play basketball is this
offense is just totally incompetent. They're just totally flawed. They
can't do anything offensively. Three hundred and forty seventh in
points per game. They score sixty six points per game
forty one point two percent from the field.
Speaker 2: That's that's outside the top three forty.
Speaker 1: They can't shoot the three, they can't rebound the basketball.
What's gonna happen in this game when Akron, Akron's a
top fifty rebounding team, ball State doesn't get any rebounds.
I mean, there should be so many easy points here
for Akron, second chance points. Like, yes, ball State will
dig in a little bit on the on the defensive end,
they won't turn it over. I guess that's something that
if you want to put a you know, sort of
feather in the cap of they take care of the basketball,
they're gonna slow the game down. So it's almost like
ball State is gonna hold the ball, say okay, we're
not gonna give it to you, and we're gonna try
to keep this to us as few possessions as possible.
But what we do with those possessions is typically nothing right,
because that's why we're that's why our field goal percentage
is as low a of a percentage in the country.
And Rob, do you think that Akron maybe wants to
take some teams out in a body bag right now
because they've got to sit here and listen to Miami
of Ohio like getting paraded around. I think Akron knows
they're better than Miami of Ohio. Give Akron another crack
at Miami of Ohio. See who wins. Brian Power will
probably be at that game because they'll be at the
Rocket Arena in Cleveland, Ohio, in a couple of weeks,
and he always goes to the MAC Tournament. I think
Akron's gonna be like, I think they've got to be
a little pissed off, just like in general right now
because if it, let's put it this way, if they
win that Miami of Ohio game, no one's talking about
Miami of Ohio right now. They're probably talking about Akron.
And you saw them flex a little bit seventeen point
win last time out against Western Michigan. I'd be shocked
if it's anything less than that. And so right now
I'll just throw like I'll even throw the minus won
twenty juice on this. But Acron minus one twenty or
Acrid minus fourteen minus one twenty yea, it's a little
bit of a bad number. I think Akron covers all
numbers here. This is gonna be a twenty point Achron win.
And I actually am a little bit kicking myself that
I didn't just get it out earlier for clients at
that twelve and a half o JO. Yeah, we talked
about the first meeting Akron only winning by ten. Rob
what was They were up pretty big though, and they
kind of let ball State hang around?
Speaker 2: Is that right?
Speaker 3: Yeah, They're up nineteen with ten minutes left in that game. Yeah,
and you know, you could see a little bit of
complacency setting in in that one. Ball State gets back
into it. Akron really didn't have to do much to
coast to the victory. But again, if they get up
by nineteen here and you pointed out all their offensive flows,
I just don't know how ball State gets behind in
this one and gets back in to the game or
underneath the number if in fact, Yeah, my line of
thinking is if they get ahead, they're gonna remember this
team crawled back in last time. We're not going to
allow that this time. We're just gonna finish it off
right now.
Speaker 1: Yeah, And that was early in league play, I think
maybe before students were back on campus. So I just
think that it was like, you know, kind you always
see teams coming out of that Christmas break or like
early conference play, no students, that that will happen a
little bit whereas like, I think it's all business right
now for Akron. So yeah, and by you, I'm with you.
And Rob made this point already. Akron team totals of
fine play too. I think that probably gets there as well,
though I'd prefer to have forty minutes of Akron being
able to create space and margin, because I do think
there's a there's probably a twenty to two Akron run
in this game at some point. I feel like you're
gonna get like some obnoxious run at some point in
this game that, even if it's a close game, takes
this out to like a sixteen to seventeen point lead.
Speaker 2: All right, Rob Bino, we need one more leg of
the parlor, bring us home. What are we looking at?
Speaker 3: All right, let's go down to the big ten. We'll
give everybody what they want. A Power Conference game tonight,
Indiana at Purdue. I know you often say, just go
ahead and all the total or the spread and get
the number here. The variance here is between seventy nine
and a half and eighty and a half. And the
way I've been involved in so many half points this week, Adam,
I'm gonna use the consensus number of the thirty or
whatever casinos that we have on odds logic here, the
consensus number in this game is for the team total
for produer seventy nine and a half. It's over minus
one twenty three. So if we want to attach twenty
five to it, I don't care. There's a lot of
places with eighty and a half at even money, eighty
and a half even money. If you don't like to
lay juice, go ahead and do that. But for me,
there's been so many hooks involved this week that I'm
gonna go ahead and lay the twenty five twenty three
to twenty five cents and play the consensus number, which
is seventy nine and a half perdue team total over,
And I'm going to tell you why real quick here.
First off, for Purdue home revenge in Mackie, Indiana beat
them the first time around seventy two to sixty seven
was the final in that game. It was not that
long ago either, just a couple of weeks ago, so
it's fresh in their memory. And then I just have
to consider this step down in class here. What Purdue
just dealt with with Michigan is insane as far as
trying to defend Purdue is a good defensive team that
just didn't have answers for every single thing that Michigan
throws at you, whether it be underneath, at the rim,
mid range, three pointers by La Cadot, it just didn't matter.
You can't guard at all. And they found that out
real quick in that game. They did score points in
that one against a very tough Michigan defense, but they
couldn't defend them here against Indiana. At this point in time, Adam,
there's one thing to defend, one player to defend on
this team, and it's Wilkerson, who's been tremendous for IU.
But I'm going to run you some numbers for the
guy who's been his counterpart most of the season, Nick Dorn.
Nick Dorn and head coach DeVries referred to this as
Dorn being in a slump. But in the month of February,
he's four for twenty eight shooting the basketball. He's in
a miserable slump. Do you snap out of it all
of a sudden in Mackie against Purdue with revenge, This
game's been bet up. The side has been hit pretty hard,
from ten and a half to eleven and a half. Now,
can't say that I disagree because this is one where
Indiana has had a tendency during the season to find themselves.
They just got blown out by Illinois as a matter
of fact, seventy one to fifty one without Stoyakovic in
the game. But to me, I'm just going to isolate
Purdue offense here because I don't like the Indiana defense
what I've seen of it for most of the season.
And if they miss, Purdue gets out and gets going here.
I have to believe that Kaufman, Wren, Fletcher, Lawyer, Brayden Smith,
et cetera, et cetera make shots here at home. I
refer back to who did Wisconsin just play? They played
somebody at home where they came out and just drained threes.
It was like last week all they did was hit
a bunch of three.
Speaker 2: Was it the upset went over Illinois? Didn't they upset Illinois? Yeah?
I think it was whatever it was.
Speaker 3: But I'm correlating this to that Purdue and this isn't
even an upset. But I think Purdue at home off
of the Michigan game, step down in defensive class. For sure.
Michigan is so tough at the rim. Michigan is so
tough at the perimeter. They're like top five and everything,
and Indiana just is not. And if Indiana is not
making shots, Purdue is going to rebound and get out
and go. I know they're a methodical team, but they
do run. It's a controlled pace type team. To me,
Adams seventy nine and a half just seems way too
I could see Purdue getting eighty three plus in this
game against Indiana, especially in the revenge spot. I like,
I'm gonna add one more thing here to quote head
coach Matt Painter. Everybody probably saw this quote because it
was broadcast one hundred times since he made it. But
after the Michigan game, he basically said, your final test
is the NCAAA tournament. That's the way I look at it. Sure,
you want to win those these types of games, but
if we would have won, we wouldn't have had a parade.
If we won this game, it doesn't mean we're going
to the final four. Translation, We're still gonna play hard.
Everything hasn't been decided yet. It's ahead of us. I
think it starts here tonight with Produce scoring more than
eighty points or eighty points or more. So give me
their team total over seventy nine and a half and
we'll lay the juice with it. So guys, if you
have to use the alternate line seventy nine and a
half minus over minus twenty five cents, go ahead and
do that.
Speaker 1: I only have like a couple of things to add here,
but they they would be my angle in this one
would be the full the full game total. So it's
correlated exactly how you're seeing it, and it's just for me.
I think Indiana helps out enough here where you get
the full game gets there as well. Should see a
bounce back from Purdue. However, like if you're talking spread
for a minute, Purdue is not. You know, they have
not covered many games at home this year, and I
think that really speaks to like Purdue is one of
those teams power rating wise has been elite all season,
Like way up there, you know, my numbers show value
on Purdue every single game, Like right now, like my
number here is like thirteen and a half.
Speaker 2: I'm not gonna bet it because I've.
Speaker 1: Sort of learned at this point that Purdue, like my
numbers are gonna show edges on Purdue pretty much timing
and time out. Now, can they turn around like, would
I be that surprised that they turn around and like
win big here because it's like they're almost like overdue
to do so.
Speaker 2: No, but I don't know. I don't know that personally.
Speaker 1: I want to write off Indiana's ability to stay in
this game. Indiana, they if they can get to the line,
they're gonna score points. They I say, like, you know,
at they get reasonably good shots. Typically they get better
shots at home than they do on the road. We'll
see if Purdue can force them into worst shots. But again,
like even if Perdue got up big in this one,
I could see Indiana hanging around hitting some threes, maybe
get maybe Perdue, like you know, can't keep him off
with a rim in a in a blowout type game.
So I think you're gonna get your points either way.
I love, I'll.
Speaker 2: Totally with you on the team total.
Speaker 1: But if you had to bet a full game total
here because you're booked an offer team total or that's
just the way you're looking, I do think Indiana helps
out and helps you get to that number. And of course,
you know, I mean Indiana won the first meeting, put
up seventy two points one seventy two to sixty seven.
So this is an interesting one. Really could go either
way on the spread at this number, So I'll just
roll with you. Rob, I like the over.
Speaker 3: Let's go reason why they Indiana. They're off a fifty
one point performance against Illinois. You expect Indiana to be
better here as far as full game total is concerned,
So we can't talk people off of that perdue probably
angry off of allowing ninety something to Michigan as well,
so defense might show up on that end. But we'll
roll with Purdue over seventy nine and a half and
let's see if we can knock one of these three
teamers down.
Speaker 2: It will be a great way to finish off the week.
Speaker 1: Of course, Rob and I will be with you on
Last Call tomorrow with Kelly Stewart, so we'll be doing
another three teamer in that show. The three teamer for
today plus five thirty odds. Brian Power is going with
my Sianna Saints plus three and a half. I'm gonna
go with the Akron Zips minus fourteen and I did
attach minus one twenty juice to that, and Rob Bino
is going Purdue team total over seventy nine and a half.
There's minus one twenty five jews attached to that that
becomes a plus five thirty parlay. Rob and I have
the double the Firepower seed package up on our page.
That's everything for the weekend Friday, Saturday, Sunday. Every play
we make in college basketball, I can just about guarantee
that I'll have another five percenter tomorrow. I am already
pretty sure of what it is. We'll see as lines
start to pop. But it's gonna be a great weekend.
I hope you join us, and yeah, come join us
on last Call Kelly Stewart eleven am Eastern tomorrow. We'll
be talking games all day. See you guys later, Good
luck tonight. Go see na