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Speaker 1: Hello, Welcome to Way Did You Talk?

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Speaker 2: Today, the gold standard of sports betting shows where we

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talk to talk and walk the walks.

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Speaker 1: Thursday, big big day.

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Speaker 2: We got NBA primetime matchups, we got college hoops. We

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got to start talking about UFC three at twenty six.

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Get out ahead of these good, good numbers that the

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books have given us. So Dan, we get a huge,

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huge day of plays and guests. Who we got on

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today's show.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, absolutely loaded card tonight. Andy, we'll talk about that

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in a little bit. We got a loaded show for

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you as well. Yanni is back. He gets his little

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midweek break so we can come back strong for the weekend.

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At Yanni, We're gonna talk to Steam Report with him, Andy,

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and he gonna break down this UFC card a little bit.

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We're also going to end the show talking to Kyle

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Anthony about the UFC three twenty six event. He's got

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a best bet for you in the main event and

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another fight of his choosing, so stay tuned for that.

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In between. Joe Rnari He's given you three plays folks,

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two in the NBA, one on the hardwood for college

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basket ball, and it's a big one. Michigan laying the

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lumber against Iowa. Is there a barking dog? There is

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Michigan just going to continue their domination. Joe will let

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you know Warriors, Rockets, Lakers, Nuggets in NBA action all

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along the way, your comments, your questions as well. Andy's

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gonna take you all around the world. And Andy, we

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we out of a play that we like n lacrosse

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so much that we're holding on to it. But here

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in WTF and LFG, you've got to play here to

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kick off some golf action that I just love. So

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let's get this for the folks, because this is kicking off.

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This is for you live viewers, because this is you know,

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teeing off. I guess I should say, Andy, and about

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less than an hour. So what are we betting today

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in golf action?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, so this goes off about one twenty pm Eastern time.

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So we want to get this one out of the way.

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It's the return of Justin Thomas to the PGA Tour,

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and Dan, we're fading Justin Thomas.

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Speaker 1: He has not played.

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Speaker 2: These are his words, not my I haven't played a

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competitive round of golf since the Ryder Cup. He had

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hip surgery for a bulging disc in November. He was

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only cleared a month ago to start driving the ball.

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I heard an interview with him. He said, he's nervous,

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he's anxious. This is just go out and knock the

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rust off. And I don't know why he picked this tournament.

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This is a brutal course. A lot of guys are

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struggling out there right now.

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Speaker 1: So this is a monster. So we're gonna take.

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Speaker 2: A DECI Matsuyama round one minus forty to finish ahead

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of Justin Thomas. They're in the same group together, so

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they're gonna be playing side by side. Matsiyama finished ahead

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of Justin Thomas at this event last year. Matsiyama has

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been very, very good this year, very consistent. He's always

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hover around that twentieth to top twenty. And this first

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round for Justin Thomas is going to be kind of

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kicking the rust off. And they're playing in the afternoon,

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which means the course is drying out. The greens are

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not as receptive. This is not a course for the

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faint of heart, and it's certainly not a course for

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somebody who has not played a meaningful round of golf

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in about six months.

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Speaker 1: So glad to have.

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Speaker 2: Him back on tour, but he is fade material at

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this point. So Matsie, I'm around one over Justin Thomas.

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Speaker 4: I'm in on it.

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Speaker 3: Andy. It's been fired in as we speak, and you

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should as well because it's going in less than an hour,

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real quick, before we bring Yanny in. Do want to

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get your thoughts? I guess we're in like the legal

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tampering period or it's all a big tampering period. Let's

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be real. But DJ Moore looks like he's going to

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the bills, according to Adam schefter Rob Christensen, saying his

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fantasy value going up. My take, Andy, when I first

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saw I said, if I'm Josh Allen and I've been

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bitching to get a wide receiver for this long and

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then they tell me, hey, we traded for a wide receiver, buddy,

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it's not AJ Brown. We got your DJ Moore. I

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don't know how I'm feeling if I'm Josh. I mean, sure,

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it's an upgrade from the scrubs that he's throwing to,

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But DJ Moore the number one wide receiver fix doesn't

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really feel like like a huge move to me personally.

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Speaker 2: Okay, so what if they tease Josh and they're like, Josh,

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we traded for a wide receiver who once out, Oh

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he's got a J in his first.

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Speaker 1: Name as initial. Josh is like, yeah, it's like oh

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j Moore.

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Speaker 2: Oh oh okay, okay, it's kind of like going over

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your prices right bid by five B Yeah.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, okay, sure, grade.

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Speaker 3: It's it's an upgrade, for sure, Andy, Let's let's be real,

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but is it a world breaking, game changing upgrade. I

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don't know. It's maybe like going from Sean McDermott to

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their new head coach, you know, is it better?

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Speaker 4: Maybe?

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Speaker 5: So?

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Speaker 3: Uh yeah, Well, we'll have plenty of that stuff to

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talk to and react to as we're coming up here.

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But let's bring in the Greek. The Greek gambler Yanni

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in the house. Yanni, Andy wasn't with us on Monday

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when when you and I chatted and and you gave

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out those soccer plays. Holy shit, were those free. He

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gave out an over two and a half that ended

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up with like six or seven goals in the game,

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and then he gave the under that that one was

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a bit of a sweat, but we cashed it. Yanni,

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how you doing here on a Thursday welcome.

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Speaker 6: Back, angry, angry. I've been up since like four thirty

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this morning. Yeah, and here's why I Yesterday I defined probability,

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went oh and seven. That's like two hundred to one

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against and really hard to do that. It's almost as

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hard as going seven and zero, probably even a little

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bit harder.

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Speaker 7: So a little bit angry.

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Speaker 6: But then I what I do is as always went

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in down, zoom out, and I zoomed out a little bit,

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and it made me feel a lot better because even

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after a disastrous night like that, I'm still sitting now

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number two in college basketball for the season, so still

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doing really well up still over fifty units for twenty

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twenty six. But what pisses me off the most about

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a night like that is, I know it hurt my subscribers,

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like I know for a lot of guys that don't

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have the discipline to manage risk correctly, that buried them.

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And that to me is more disheartening than anything else.

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Like it is if I'm one hundred percent confident that

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every one of my guys bet it correctly, then I

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wouldn't wake up angry like this. But I know, like

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when I produce that bed of a night it's gonna

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wipe out a lot of people even though it shouldn't.

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Like That's why I love the steam room because I'm

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able to help guide them through a night like that,

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a week like that.

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Speaker 7: A month like that.

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Speaker 6: Because even during the most profitable years, you're gonna have

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to face that. And if you're constantly getting wiped out,

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because that's gonna happen, you have to take a step

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back and figure it out again, because like a bad day, week,

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month can't bury you, but I know it does. And again,

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I know everyone loves free picks, they love winning information,

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but that is more important than anything else, managing your

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risk the right way so that when you do have

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a bad, disastrous night, you still can go forward because

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there's so much value. I have so much information today

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to share. And that's another thing that's I'm pissed off

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because I'm being selective, so I'm going lower volume and

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I have so much stuff right now with all these

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markets that I can't even use it for premium. So

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thank god there's the steam sheet. Like again, I'm not

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talenting it, but if you're ever ever gonna jump on

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the steam sheet, do it during the conference tournaments and

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March madness because I'm limited in the volume that I

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could release. But with the power ratings and with the

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influx of recreational money, there's so much freaking value on

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the board. So real quickly talking about free picks, go

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to wagestalk dot com. I think I have four or

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five premium soccer bets pending over the next three days.

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I'm pretty sure I released everyone that I did. The

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subscribers also put them for free at wager Talk. But

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there's one on the steam sheet today that's not I

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couldn't release.

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Speaker 7: It's Columbia.

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Speaker 6: The off screen two of my off screen books will

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no longer take any Columbia from US or any Costa Rica.

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No soccer from Costa Rica. They said, no soccer from Columbia,

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So I don't know what's going on in those countries,

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but they do not want any action on soccer from there.

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So the soccer play that we did bet from Columbia,

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that's in the steam sheet, but wasn't able to use

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it in the system for subscribers because that number just

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moved quickly.

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Speaker 7: So make a long story short, we have a lot

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of info.

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Speaker 6: I have college basketball, I have NBA, no NHL today

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busy day of baskets that starts early. So whatever you

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want to get into, I'm ready to go. We haven't

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yes since Saturday.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, absolutely, love and we'll talk to UFC with you

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and Andy here at the end. So Yanni. Yeah, And dude,

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I think this is also a teaching point for folks too.

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You know, I appreciate that obviously you wake up pissed

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off for these guys. But also, dude, the best, the sharpest,

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the greatest minds in the world are gonna have some

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of those nights, you know what I mean. It just

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it just happens. Nobody wins one hundred percent of the time.

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You and I talked about that on Monday. It just

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doesn't happen, so real quick one more time. You know,

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you mentioned how important it is, but but it's so tantamount.

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Is like managing your bank role correctly. Guys, especially I know,

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if you're starting out, you're probably betting plays more than

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you should. You know what I mean, you got to learn,

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but you know, making sure that you're managing that bank

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so that oh and seven night doesn't bury you. You know,

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how do you do that?

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Speaker 1: Yanni?

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Speaker 3: And also you know it's a good reminder and a

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good sobering moment for folks to say, hey, you know,

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just because there's seven plays on the board, the ace

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likes that might be Hey for me and my bank role,

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it's one percent each, you know what I mean? Because

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you can't let that kind of night kill you, because

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that night's going to happen even if you're the best,

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even if you have an edge.

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Speaker 7: You know this simple. Once you know you have an edge, once.

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Speaker 6: You've proven over statistically significant sample size that you have

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the edge, you now control your your future. You get

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to determine your risk of ruin. What is the risk

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that I will be wiped out and ruined? The way

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you do that is by the number of units you

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have available based on your bankroll. So here's what I'm

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talking about. Your risk of ruin is, what's the risk

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that you're going to go to zero? Even with an edge,

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there's a risk you will go to zero. You're going

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to lose your bankroll because of that randomness in the

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short term. So to avoid that, you have to bet

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small in relation to your bank roll.

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Speaker 7: How small the.

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Speaker 6: Truth is when you look at wager Talk and we

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release plays one percent, two percent, three percent, four percent

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five percent. Those are ratings, they're not bet sized recommendations

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because if you're betting five percent per play, you're going broke.

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That that's not me telling you, like, that's not my opinion,

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that's a mathematical certainty because there's zero chance you have

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a five percent edge over the Veig on all your bets.

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That's just not possible because remember the Viig's already four

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and a half percent, so we already have to overcome

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four and a half percent before we're even profitable. So

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for you to have a five percent edge over that,

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that now means you have to have a ten percent

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clear edge over the house. Brother, if you could find

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that every bet, you're a like, why are you even

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doing this? Go cure cancer and leave sports betting alone,

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because you're way ahead of the rest of the universe.

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So that's not even probable, let alone possible. So the

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way to overcome is unit size, and your risk.

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Speaker 7: Of ruin is simple.

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Speaker 6: You want to keep it to ten percent risk of ruin.

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You need five hundred units. That means you're going to

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double your bank roll nine out of ten times, but

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you will lose it one out of ten times.

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Speaker 7: And that's with five hundred units. So what does that mean?

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Speaker 6: If you're betting ten dollars a unit, you need five

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thousand dollars.

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Speaker 7: That's correct.

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Speaker 6: So if you're spreading ten dollars to fifty dollars like

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we do it, wait, you talk one percent, two percent,

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three percent, four percent, five percent, which is just the rating.

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So say you're going one x to five X saying

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I'm going to do it right, betting ten dollars to

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fifty dollars at the most ten dollars a unit, you

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need five dimes to do that, and you'll still you'll

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be at a ninety ten.

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Speaker 7: But again, I don't mean to go long. I know

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it's going long.

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Speaker 6: The problem is how many betters out there with a

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ten thousand dollars bank roll are actual or a five

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thousand dollars bankroll, are actually betting that small in relation?

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Very few, bro That's why ninety nine point five percent

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00:12:44,399 --> 00:12:48,840
of sports betters and accounts will lose and have negative

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lifetime earnings, because even if you have an edge, if

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you over bet it, you are going broke. It took

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me so long to figure that out because I was

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around nothing but winning groups and information. I thought I

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could I could just bet and it's going to be

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so easy. I'll just easily make money and nothing could

269
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be further from the truth. Even within winning information, you

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gotta bet size correctly, make it easy on yourself. Bet

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one percent one percent of your bet size flat. Bet

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it when you double your bank role. Now you've proven

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to yourself that you have to discipline, the patience and

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the ability to win long term.

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Speaker 7: But until you can do that, until you could.

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Speaker 6: Double your bank role by betting one percent per play,

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you're not there. It's it's hard to easy to say,

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but hard to do. So get that bank roll together,

279
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whether it's one thousand dollars, start betting ten dollars a game,

280
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and prove to yourself that you have what it takes

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and you're built to win long term.

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Speaker 7: Not too many people are.

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Speaker 6: But this is the most important factor that's going to

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determine your success or failures of sports better.

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Speaker 7: How you manage your risk. Nothing more important.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I agree more and that is why Roy we

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break down this quite often. You might be watching every day,

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but there's plenty of people.

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Speaker 6: Who in the show who have it, and I would

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walk about it every day every day.

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Speaker 7: I'll talk about it.

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Speaker 6: Every day because I don't dude, I don't care about

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00:14:16,320 --> 00:14:18,720
the free plays. That's all nonsense. I could go five

294
00:14:18,799 --> 00:14:20,679
and oh today, that's not going to change your life,

295
00:14:20,879 --> 00:14:24,000
But exactly betting correctly that will change your life.

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Speaker 7: It changed mine, It changed mine. I shouldn't have half

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the shit I have.

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Speaker 6: I finally learned to use the information at my fingertips.

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I was my worst enemy by over betting my edge.

300
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So sorry, you guys got to hear this. Hopefully for

301
00:14:39,679 --> 00:14:41,639
you that are sick of hearing it, it's because it's

302
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already sunk in. But the reason ninety nine point five

303
00:14:44,960 --> 00:14:48,200
percent of all sports betting accounts have negative lifetime earnings

304
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is because it hasn't sunk in for the majority. That's

305
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just the bottom line.

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Speaker 3: If I wouldn't break my three hundred dollars mic, I

307
00:14:55,559 --> 00:14:58,679
would drop it right now because that that's absolute facts

308
00:14:58,679 --> 00:15:00,840
that Yanni is preaching right now now. And folks, we

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00:15:00,879 --> 00:15:02,960
timestamp every episode for you. So if you don't want

310
00:15:03,000 --> 00:15:05,120
the bank roll management talk, guess what, you can scroll

311
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the three picks. But Yanni, let's talk this picks for yeah,

312
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let's talk free picks. Rour guy Roy here, we'll start

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00:15:12,559 --> 00:15:14,840
in Hopes man, let's start in college basketball, and then

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you can roll on over to NBA if you got

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00:15:16,440 --> 00:15:18,360
anything in NHL, and then we'll wrap things up you

316
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and you can kick around some UFC stuff for the guys.

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But let's start on the hardwood.

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Speaker 7: Brother, Yes sir, Yes, sir.

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Speaker 6: Here's some college basketball for you, uh regular board seven

320
00:15:27,919 --> 00:15:32,200
fifty seven MTSU Middle Tennessee plus the two and a half,

321
00:15:32,480 --> 00:15:35,519
seven ninety eight Valpo minus two and a half, seven

322
00:15:35,639 --> 00:15:38,320
sixty eight Iowa plus the nine. They also took Iowa

323
00:15:38,320 --> 00:15:40,639
plus the five in the first half, eight oh three

324
00:15:40,720 --> 00:15:44,080
Manhattan plus the six. Everything else is in the added board.

325
00:15:44,200 --> 00:15:47,559
Games fore oh six five seven three over one forty seven,

326
00:15:47,679 --> 00:15:50,840
Howard Norfold five eight one over one forty two and

327
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a half, Rambling, Alabama State five nine three under one

328
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forty one and a half, American, Boston five nine three,

329
00:15:57,000 --> 00:16:00,320
American plus the three, five nine seven under one forty

330
00:16:00,320 --> 00:16:03,279
two and a half, holy Cross, Lehigh, and five seventy

331
00:16:03,279 --> 00:16:07,759
eight NC Central minus the eight. So a lot of

332
00:16:07,919 --> 00:16:11,840
information there in college basketball. Here's some NBA for you

333
00:16:11,960 --> 00:16:14,919
as well. Five seventy seven Lakers plus five and a

334
00:16:14,960 --> 00:16:18,159
half that got upgraded to a premium play. So subscribers

335
00:16:18,159 --> 00:16:21,480
got that one five sixty four, Washington minus two minus

336
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two and a half, five seventy Miami minus twelve and

337
00:16:24,399 --> 00:16:27,200
a half, five seventy one over two twenty seven and

338
00:16:27,240 --> 00:16:30,399
a half Detroit, San Antonio Spurs five seventy nine, New

339
00:16:30,480 --> 00:16:31,799
Orleans minus four and a half.

340
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Speaker 7: Two bonus picks for you.

341
00:16:33,360 --> 00:16:38,159
Speaker 6: These are two totals five seventy seven over two thirty nine. Lakers,

342
00:16:38,200 --> 00:16:41,759
Denver five point sixty five over two twenty nine. Dallas

343
00:16:41,840 --> 00:16:45,840
Orlando especially marked those because I actually bet those a

344
00:16:45,840 --> 00:16:49,000
little bit extra, and I'm this close to releasing them

345
00:16:49,000 --> 00:16:52,120
the subscribers as premium plays. They're on the steam sheet,

346
00:16:52,480 --> 00:16:55,600
and I'm like holding back because I'm trying to keep

347
00:16:55,639 --> 00:16:59,679
low volume. But those are disc close to qualifying as premium.

348
00:16:59,759 --> 00:17:03,480
So over in Dallas, over in the Lakers, there's some

349
00:17:03,639 --> 00:17:06,319
hoops for you. I hope you do some damage today,

350
00:17:06,720 --> 00:17:09,680
and marsh madness is upon us. Get ready to rock

351
00:17:09,720 --> 00:17:12,759
and roll because a lot of opportunities make some money.

352
00:17:14,279 --> 00:17:16,440
Speaker 1: All right, Janni, let's talk a little bit of a UFC.

353
00:17:16,599 --> 00:17:21,039
Speaker 2: You get, uh yeah, three twenty six halloway Bulava. I

354
00:17:21,039 --> 00:17:23,440
don't I don't see much movement in the main event.

355
00:17:23,640 --> 00:17:25,400
I gotta be honest, that one's kind of tough for me.

356
00:17:25,559 --> 00:17:27,640
And I struggled.

357
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Speaker 1: You know, that was weird.

358
00:17:28,720 --> 00:17:32,000
Speaker 2: We do our live show, crushed it, making live bets

359
00:17:32,079 --> 00:17:34,279
just crushed it. And then client plays don't go well.

360
00:17:34,799 --> 00:17:36,839
And so when I take a look back and I

361
00:17:36,880 --> 00:17:40,319
look at what's going well for us, it's the prelimbs.

362
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Speaker 1: I think I'm kind of done with the main card

363
00:17:43,799 --> 00:17:44,279
for the time.

364
00:17:44,359 --> 00:17:48,200
Speaker 7: Talked about that for a while. Dude, you already know

365
00:17:48,240 --> 00:17:50,279
what to do. You already know what to do.

366
00:17:51,079 --> 00:17:53,160
Speaker 1: Yeah, So that's that's where I'm settling in on.

367
00:17:53,240 --> 00:17:55,279
Speaker 2: You got these guys a UFC doesn't want to cut

368
00:17:55,359 --> 00:17:57,519
or doesn't want to keep around, so they're gonna get cut.

369
00:17:57,519 --> 00:17:59,480
You got guys that haven't fought in two years.

370
00:17:59,519 --> 00:18:02,440
Speaker 1: And you know, I look at this, I think the

371
00:18:02,519 --> 00:18:05,240
Kyle Burrello near de rider line is ridiculous. What's your

372
00:18:05,240 --> 00:18:05,720
thought on that?

373
00:18:05,799 --> 00:18:08,839
Speaker 2: I think Deritter at plus two to twenty five plus

374
00:18:08,880 --> 00:18:11,200
three hundred against Burrello.

375
00:18:11,319 --> 00:18:14,240
Speaker 6: I haven't touched it, and I thought, for at first,

376
00:18:14,319 --> 00:18:17,160
I'm like the Rittter, you can't you can't look worse

377
00:18:17,200 --> 00:18:18,440
than he did in his last fight.

378
00:18:18,720 --> 00:18:20,359
Speaker 7: Almost quitting on the stool, you.

379
00:18:20,319 --> 00:18:23,119
Speaker 6: Know what I mean, and that narrative, I always say,

380
00:18:23,160 --> 00:18:24,559
no one's ever as good or as bad as they

381
00:18:24,559 --> 00:18:28,279
look in any one night. That's a Marco term from sports,

382
00:18:28,759 --> 00:18:31,960
and so I was looking to bet de Rittter in.

383
00:18:31,960 --> 00:18:32,720
Speaker 7: His next fight.

384
00:18:32,960 --> 00:18:35,680
Speaker 6: The problem is Bohio's coming off a loss two against

385
00:18:35,680 --> 00:18:38,319
e ma bl and that little recency bias with both

386
00:18:38,359 --> 00:18:41,440
these guys ruins it a little bit. That's where I'm

387
00:18:41,519 --> 00:18:43,359
forced to stay off at and the guys that I

388
00:18:43,720 --> 00:18:48,240
really trust as far as breaking down matchups, they say.

389
00:18:48,039 --> 00:18:50,839
Speaker 7: That this is a stylistic nightmare.

390
00:18:50,720 --> 00:18:51,519
Speaker 3: For the Ridder.

391
00:18:51,960 --> 00:18:54,599
Speaker 6: Now I'm not too sure of how bad of a nightmare,

392
00:18:54,640 --> 00:18:57,079
but they say, like it's on paper, like this is

393
00:18:57,279 --> 00:19:01,160
a terrible, terrible, terrible matchup for him, and guy that

394
00:19:01,240 --> 00:19:04,160
I really respect who doesn't bet chalk was like, Bro,

395
00:19:04,319 --> 00:19:06,720
I'm laid the chalk and I feel comfortable this one

396
00:19:06,759 --> 00:19:09,200
should be close to the minus four hundred. So that's

397
00:19:09,279 --> 00:19:12,160
kind of left me off of this fight. Main event,

398
00:19:12,240 --> 00:19:14,519
I agree with you. I think the line's on point,

399
00:19:14,799 --> 00:19:16,720
and sometimes that's just going to be the case where

400
00:19:16,880 --> 00:19:19,839
whether you take side A or side B, they're both negative.

401
00:19:19,880 --> 00:19:23,119
Ev If the book prices it correctly and you add

402
00:19:23,119 --> 00:19:25,839
in the vig that's what's supposed to happen, where whether

403
00:19:25,880 --> 00:19:27,839
we bet side AY or side B, there's really no

404
00:19:28,039 --> 00:19:30,319
value because the book's going to make money one of

405
00:19:30,359 --> 00:19:35,119
two ways, by balancing the action exactly so that they

406
00:19:35,200 --> 00:19:38,400
just make the vig or by having us take the

407
00:19:38,400 --> 00:19:42,440
worst of it long term, and that way they're guaranteed

408
00:19:42,440 --> 00:19:44,599
the turn of profit in this spot. That's what I

409
00:19:44,599 --> 00:19:47,200
think we're looking at because I do think HOLLOWEO winness

410
00:19:47,240 --> 00:19:49,319
fight two out of three times, so I need better

411
00:19:49,359 --> 00:19:50,359
than minus two hundred.

412
00:19:50,400 --> 00:19:51,359
Speaker 7: That's not going to happen.

413
00:19:51,759 --> 00:19:55,200
Speaker 6: And to bet the Oliver side, I need better than

414
00:19:55,519 --> 00:19:57,799
plus two hundred, and I don't think that's going to happen.

415
00:19:58,000 --> 00:20:00,240
So it kind of forces me to sit out at

416
00:20:00,279 --> 00:20:02,240
the main event and the co main event. And there's

417
00:20:02,279 --> 00:20:05,240
nothing wrong with that, bro, because again, I have a pick.

418
00:20:05,279 --> 00:20:07,160
I have an opinion for every one of these college

419
00:20:07,160 --> 00:20:08,960
basketball games today because.

420
00:20:08,680 --> 00:20:11,480
Speaker 7: I have a lean and I have a power rating

421
00:20:11,480 --> 00:20:12,160
my own number.

422
00:20:12,319 --> 00:20:14,680
Speaker 6: So yes, I have an opinion on everything, But that

423
00:20:14,720 --> 00:20:16,640
doesn't mean I'm willing to bet everything.

424
00:20:16,920 --> 00:20:17,440
Speaker 7: You know what I mean.

425
00:20:17,480 --> 00:20:19,119
Speaker 6: You may have a pick on every fight but are

426
00:20:19,160 --> 00:20:20,880
you willing to have a bet on every fight? That's

427
00:20:20,920 --> 00:20:24,240
the difference. That's where you have to separate. So there

428
00:20:24,319 --> 00:20:26,559
that's the problem. I don't I don't see the value

429
00:20:27,119 --> 00:20:29,359
in those fights. But I really do like this card.

430
00:20:29,400 --> 00:20:33,119
I already released five premium plays to subscribers, including a

431
00:20:33,200 --> 00:20:36,480
five percent. My first five percent in MMA in twenty

432
00:20:36,519 --> 00:20:39,519
twenty six goes on Saturday Night. I'll give you a

433
00:20:39,559 --> 00:20:41,720
dog that I released the day to subscribers, a four

434
00:20:41,759 --> 00:20:44,440
percent at plus one point fifty, and that's Bruno Faheta

435
00:20:44,559 --> 00:20:49,799
over Gregory Rodriguez. Robocops been on fire one two straight,

436
00:20:49,839 --> 00:20:52,640
one five of his last six, and it's so hard

437
00:20:52,680 --> 00:20:54,680
to do that in the UFC, especially when you get

438
00:20:54,799 --> 00:20:57,319
up there in age, and now he's fighting a Faheta

439
00:20:57,559 --> 00:21:01,519
who has already beaten him in the past. I like

440
00:21:01,680 --> 00:21:04,079
that in the rematch winner the first six out of

441
00:21:04,160 --> 00:21:06,039
ten times or greater wins the second.

442
00:21:06,319 --> 00:21:08,680
Speaker 7: And he's also coming in with momentum, but.

443
00:21:08,680 --> 00:21:11,160
Speaker 6: A little bit overlooked because his last one was against

444
00:21:11,200 --> 00:21:14,200
the Tory, who's just looked so bad, you know, having

445
00:21:14,240 --> 00:21:17,920
lost four straight fights, so he hasn't gotten any real

446
00:21:17,960 --> 00:21:21,279
credit for his recent run. So I plus one fifty.

447
00:21:21,359 --> 00:21:23,920
I think it's closer to a coin flip. I like

448
00:21:24,000 --> 00:21:26,480
Fahanna and then I'll give you a total two that

449
00:21:26,559 --> 00:21:29,640
I released the subscribers. Where did that go?

450
00:21:29,839 --> 00:21:30,039
Speaker 7: Oh?

451
00:21:30,119 --> 00:21:36,200
Speaker 6: Lee and Bolanos, Lee and Blanos under two featherweights. Yeah, yeah,

452
00:21:36,279 --> 00:21:38,440
I like this one under because when you look at

453
00:21:38,519 --> 00:21:42,039
Lee coming into the UFC, he's coming off his decision

454
00:21:42,720 --> 00:21:45,519
two out of three decisions. But prior to that, when

455
00:21:45,519 --> 00:21:47,279
you look at his road to the UFC, my man

456
00:21:47,319 --> 00:21:50,920
was a closer first round finishes, first round finishes prior

457
00:21:50,960 --> 00:21:54,039
to that finishes finishes. That happens a lot when you

458
00:21:54,079 --> 00:21:56,839
first step up to the UFC. The competition is tougher

459
00:21:57,079 --> 00:21:59,960
plus it's it's it's that nervousness you don't want to

460
00:22:00,079 --> 00:22:02,759
lose at that level. But as they get more comfortable,

461
00:22:02,799 --> 00:22:05,039
they start to let it go. They fall more back

462
00:22:05,079 --> 00:22:08,400
to their style. And Bolanos is that guy that is

463
00:22:08,519 --> 00:22:10,599
going to be a great dance partner for you. He

464
00:22:10,640 --> 00:22:13,400
doesn't take a step backwards. So I see fireworks with

465
00:22:13,440 --> 00:22:15,160
these two. I like the under two and a half.

466
00:22:15,480 --> 00:22:17,559
Anything less than minus one fifty. I thought it was

467
00:22:17,599 --> 00:22:19,400
the right side, and I think it was like minus

468
00:22:19,440 --> 00:22:22,119
one twenty five when I released it to subscribers. So

469
00:22:22,160 --> 00:22:26,400
those are two of the five premiums already released. I'm

470
00:22:26,400 --> 00:22:30,200
gonna have action on Saturday. It's a paper, a numbered card,

471
00:22:30,279 --> 00:22:33,000
no longer a pay per view card, but those tend

472
00:22:33,000 --> 00:22:35,519
to offer some value. And the last point I want

473
00:22:35,519 --> 00:22:40,039
to make, if you're betting UFC going forward, don't be

474
00:22:40,079 --> 00:22:44,920
afraid to bet underdogs. Favorites are way ahead exactly seventy

475
00:22:45,079 --> 00:22:49,200
eight percent through five events. Now we know historically that's

476
00:22:49,279 --> 00:22:53,119
not going to be sustainable. Doesn't mean it's going to

477
00:22:53,160 --> 00:22:57,000
happen on Saturday, but it does mean that it's Favorites

478
00:22:57,000 --> 00:22:59,079
are costing the books a lot more than they should,

479
00:22:59,119 --> 00:23:02,440
so they're juicing them up more than they should. So

480
00:23:02,519 --> 00:23:04,720
if you like the better favorite this weekend, and I

481
00:23:04,759 --> 00:23:07,720
have a couple on my premium lists, you gotta have

482
00:23:07,759 --> 00:23:10,599
a ton of conviction like the favorites. You have to

483
00:23:10,640 --> 00:23:13,640
have real strong conviction because we're paying a little more

484
00:23:13,640 --> 00:23:16,279
than we should over the next couple of weeks until

485
00:23:16,319 --> 00:23:18,640
this evens out a little bit, because they're getting kicked

486
00:23:18,680 --> 00:23:20,480
in the mouth with a lot of five, six, seven,

487
00:23:20,559 --> 00:23:23,640
eighteen parlays that are winning. Because when you have thirteen

488
00:23:23,640 --> 00:23:27,039
fights and ten and eleven favorites are coming in every

489
00:23:27,160 --> 00:23:27,720
single week.

490
00:23:28,119 --> 00:23:28,839
Speaker 7: Rest asshured.

491
00:23:29,039 --> 00:23:31,839
Speaker 6: That's costing the books a lot and they're not gonna,

492
00:23:31,880 --> 00:23:35,759
you know, give you discounts on the favorites going forward,

493
00:23:35,960 --> 00:23:38,240
So keep an eye out on that. And we're behind

494
00:23:38,279 --> 00:23:42,160
on finishes too. Decisions are ahead, so we should see

495
00:23:42,160 --> 00:23:43,119
a little more finishes.

496
00:23:43,880 --> 00:23:46,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, it was that one card that really put us ahead.

497
00:23:46,000 --> 00:23:48,440
It was two cards ago where we had all the decisions.

498
00:23:49,880 --> 00:23:51,920
I can tell you my favorite, my favorite fight to

499
00:23:51,960 --> 00:23:54,359
go the distance is actually the Comain Brallo and de Ritter.

500
00:23:55,079 --> 00:23:58,880
It's only three rounds, it's not a five rounder, and

501
00:23:58,920 --> 00:24:01,519
I'm kind of looking at that going who finishes who you?

502
00:24:01,759 --> 00:24:05,519
Speaker 8: You work with you because the ridder doesn't let the

503
00:24:05,599 --> 00:24:08,319
ridder I think if he if he's who we think

504
00:24:08,359 --> 00:24:11,519
he is, and that was just a tough night, a

505
00:24:11,559 --> 00:24:13,799
bad night, and he was trying to do five fights

506
00:24:13,799 --> 00:24:17,759
in one year or something like that, then this guy's

507
00:24:17,799 --> 00:24:19,480
gonna die on his sword Saturday.

508
00:24:19,720 --> 00:24:22,200
Speaker 6: Like having that narrative, kind of like Charles O Lavera

509
00:24:22,279 --> 00:24:26,400
once he had that narrative that he's a quitter and

510
00:24:26,440 --> 00:24:28,359
then he went balls to the wall after that, and

511
00:24:28,359 --> 00:24:29,720
it's like you had to kill this guy to get

512
00:24:29,799 --> 00:24:32,480
him out of there. And I'm hoping we see that

513
00:24:32,480 --> 00:24:35,519
with the Ridder on Saturday, that even if Bohio is

514
00:24:35,559 --> 00:24:39,440
the better you know, technician or fighter, that the Ridder's like, no,

515
00:24:40,559 --> 00:24:43,079
I'm not a quitter because now that's the Moniker and

516
00:24:43,119 --> 00:24:44,720
it sucks you know that.

517
00:24:45,039 --> 00:24:47,519
Speaker 2: Oh I oh, I have a completely different theory about

518
00:24:47,559 --> 00:24:50,480
the Ridder. So all right, this was this was in

519
00:24:50,599 --> 00:24:53,759
November and he had neurovirus. Okay, yeah, they say it

520
00:24:53,799 --> 00:24:56,519
takes about two months to fully recover out of that,

521
00:24:56,599 --> 00:24:59,359
and he said, I'm thirty five. I got to get

522
00:24:59,400 --> 00:25:04,000
as many fights as possible. This is like my last hurrah.

523
00:25:04,359 --> 00:25:06,720
I think he's on a special vitamins diet. How this

524
00:25:06,799 --> 00:25:09,039
is so quick of a turnaround time for somebody that

525
00:25:09,160 --> 00:25:11,319
just got nuked by Brendan Allen.

526
00:25:12,000 --> 00:25:14,119
Speaker 1: I think is gonna show up in the best shape

527
00:25:14,160 --> 00:25:15,000
of his life.

528
00:25:15,920 --> 00:25:18,279
Speaker 3: I think he's gonna looked. I don't doubt it.

529
00:25:19,000 --> 00:25:21,839
Speaker 1: I think he's gonna look real good. And I think

530
00:25:21,880 --> 00:25:24,279
this is really really even. I mean, I've been a

531
00:25:24,359 --> 00:25:25,240
Kyle Barollo fan.

532
00:25:25,279 --> 00:25:27,480
Speaker 2: I've watched him and uh, I've been making money on

533
00:25:27,519 --> 00:25:30,319
that guy since Contender series the first day and the

534
00:25:30,359 --> 00:25:32,680
second time that he fought on Contender Series, So I

535
00:25:33,240 --> 00:25:34,519
worry about Barollo.

536
00:25:34,759 --> 00:25:35,279
Speaker 1: On that one.

537
00:25:35,920 --> 00:25:37,960
Speaker 2: Curious before we let you go, just your take on

538
00:25:38,480 --> 00:25:43,680
some of these fighters that like Rdolpho Blato, Gaston Blagos,

539
00:25:44,039 --> 00:25:47,400
even Cody Durden and Cody Brandige.

540
00:25:47,400 --> 00:25:49,440
Speaker 1: I mean, these guys are hanging onto their roster spot

541
00:25:49,799 --> 00:25:50,519
by a thread.

542
00:25:51,000 --> 00:25:53,519
Speaker 2: Is do you think these matchups are UFC's like trying

543
00:25:53,559 --> 00:25:55,079
to get him out of here, Let's bring in the

544
00:25:55,119 --> 00:25:56,519
young guys or what.

545
00:25:56,880 --> 00:25:59,200
Speaker 6: We've seen that we're seeing more and more in that that.

546
00:25:59,200 --> 00:26:01,440
I can't believe you just said mentioned that because we

547
00:26:01,440 --> 00:26:03,759
were actually talking about that. I taped yesterday at the

548
00:26:03,799 --> 00:26:07,359
Apex and we were talking about that very subject that

549
00:26:07,440 --> 00:26:11,799
it seems like they're getting rid of the old guard.

550
00:26:12,640 --> 00:26:15,680
Like if if the old guard's being able to stand

551
00:26:15,720 --> 00:26:19,440
there and be, you know, gatekeepers, they're sticking around. But

552
00:26:20,119 --> 00:26:23,079
if they show that they can't be a gatekeeper, they're

553
00:26:23,079 --> 00:26:25,720
catting them right now. And they're bringing in youth. That's

554
00:26:26,039 --> 00:26:28,400
especially you see in the flyweight division. They're doing that

555
00:26:28,440 --> 00:26:30,960
in the fly weights, like bring in the Joshua Vans,

556
00:26:31,000 --> 00:26:32,279
bring in all these young guys.

557
00:26:32,759 --> 00:26:34,000
Speaker 7: And I agree with you.

558
00:26:34,079 --> 00:26:36,559
Speaker 6: I think that for a lot of these veterans, it's

559
00:26:36,640 --> 00:26:38,759
kind of like they're less shots, especially if they're on

560
00:26:38,759 --> 00:26:41,799
a two to three fight losing streak. This is that

561
00:26:42,319 --> 00:26:45,200
get them a young guy. If he's able to pass him,

562
00:26:45,200 --> 00:26:48,039
then okay, he has the gatekeeper status. If not, the

563
00:26:48,119 --> 00:26:50,839
young guy gets a good name on his resume and

564
00:26:50,880 --> 00:26:53,039
we could get rid of the you know, baggage, extra

565
00:26:53,079 --> 00:26:55,400
baggage because of now it's three, four or five losses

566
00:26:55,400 --> 00:26:55,920
in a row.

567
00:26:56,160 --> 00:26:58,160
Speaker 7: So yeah, I agree with you. And it just it's

568
00:26:58,200 --> 00:26:58,960
it makes business.

569
00:26:59,039 --> 00:27:01,240
Speaker 6: It's not even like, oh, it's a setup or this,

570
00:27:01,440 --> 00:27:04,000
and it's just good business, you know what I mean.

571
00:27:05,599 --> 00:27:09,599
Speaker 2: Look at Lonnie Kavanaugh comes all the lost There was

572
00:27:09,680 --> 00:27:12,279
no other bigger example of that. Even you can even

573
00:27:12,319 --> 00:27:15,079
go back to Josh Van Legit beating Brandon roy Vall.

574
00:27:15,160 --> 00:27:18,559
I don't count the Pantosia. But and now look it's

575
00:27:18,640 --> 00:27:19,720
Van and Tyra.

576
00:27:19,880 --> 00:27:21,079
Speaker 7: That's the I agree.

577
00:27:21,359 --> 00:27:24,000
Speaker 2: I agree, Yeah, yeah, it's really interesting stuff.

578
00:27:24,039 --> 00:27:25,599
Speaker 1: So all right, Yannie, what do you have about for everybody?

579
00:27:25,680 --> 00:27:26,240
On Thursday?

580
00:27:26,640 --> 00:27:29,079
Speaker 6: All right, the steam sheet is up and out. It's

581
00:27:29,079 --> 00:27:33,200
got NBA, college basketball, NHL. I don't know if there's

582
00:27:33,200 --> 00:27:35,319
any NHL yet because I don't have any NHL yet,

583
00:27:36,240 --> 00:27:39,359
and soccer, the Colombian soccer if you can find it.

584
00:27:40,119 --> 00:27:43,759
I have my UFC package up with a five percent

585
00:27:43,880 --> 00:27:47,319
the first of the year, and over at sports Memo,

586
00:27:47,920 --> 00:27:50,559
I have an afternoon college basketball. I swear to you,

587
00:27:51,000 --> 00:27:53,279
I'm gonna go downstairs and bet this one cash. It

588
00:27:53,319 --> 00:27:55,799
was this close to being a five percent play. I

589
00:27:56,160 --> 00:27:57,759
held back because I don't know how to do a

590
00:27:57,799 --> 00:28:00,599
five percent play over a sportsman like I not do

591
00:28:00,680 --> 00:28:02,359
it at five percent. We do it at Wages Talk

592
00:28:02,400 --> 00:28:04,559
and over sports Memo. But I'm like, there, it's everything's

593
00:28:04,599 --> 00:28:06,440
one percent, So how would they even know that it's

594
00:28:06,480 --> 00:28:09,279
a lot stronger? Fuck it, I'm four percent at Wages Talk,

595
00:28:09,319 --> 00:28:11,519
one percent there. But I'm letting you know I like

596
00:28:11,599 --> 00:28:13,680
it a lot. It's for seven dollars. It's a really

597
00:28:13,799 --> 00:28:16,599
really strong bet. Know that I'm back in that opinion

598
00:28:16,640 --> 00:28:18,720
with a lot of my cash. So that's over their

599
00:28:18,759 --> 00:28:22,000
sports memo for only seven dollars. And I put together

600
00:28:22,160 --> 00:28:25,839
a college basketball pass because even after the oh to

601
00:28:25,920 --> 00:28:29,359
five on that college basketball package yesterday, number to the

602
00:28:29,480 --> 00:28:32,880
profit and I like today's college basketball package that's up

603
00:28:33,279 --> 00:28:36,640
two four percents already in there, two to three percents

604
00:28:36,680 --> 00:28:40,039
already in there, and hopefully confirm another player too before

605
00:28:40,079 --> 00:28:41,119
the end of the day.

606
00:28:42,200 --> 00:28:44,319
Speaker 1: All right, Janni the Greek, thank you very much for

607
00:28:44,400 --> 00:28:44,839
coming on.

608
00:28:44,880 --> 00:28:45,160
Speaker 3: Brother.

609
00:28:45,240 --> 00:28:49,799
Speaker 1: Good luck, good luck today we will yeah damn, we

610
00:28:49,880 --> 00:28:52,160
can go Yeah, we can go over here.

611
00:28:52,240 --> 00:28:54,799
Speaker 2: So Joe was supposed to be on the show. He

612
00:28:56,680 --> 00:28:58,119
is not on the show today.

613
00:28:58,240 --> 00:28:58,839
Speaker 3: Have you recalled?

614
00:28:59,440 --> 00:29:00,079
Speaker 4: Is this?

615
00:29:00,079 --> 00:29:02,480
Speaker 3: This is? This is becoming the recurring theme. He's like,

616
00:29:02,559 --> 00:29:05,880
it's like Matt Damon on. You remember it was like

617
00:29:05,920 --> 00:29:08,680
on Kimmel's show they would always like, bump Matt Damon.

618
00:29:08,839 --> 00:29:11,759
I feel like Joe's kind of Matt damoning us. We're

619
00:29:12,200 --> 00:29:15,240
the one getting bumped. So uh yeah. Unfortunately, if we

620
00:29:15,240 --> 00:29:17,079
hear from Joe, we'll have him on. He had, you know,

621
00:29:17,119 --> 00:29:19,480
two NBA plays for you, had a college basketball play

622
00:29:19,519 --> 00:29:21,920
for you. We'll see what we can. We can dig

623
00:29:22,000 --> 00:29:22,839
up in the meantime.

624
00:29:22,920 --> 00:29:27,839
Speaker 1: But but yeah, Dan, when close, well no, but when

625
00:29:27,920 --> 00:29:31,880
one door closes, another opens. Remember what we did last time,

626
00:29:32,000 --> 00:29:36,400
was I broke down impromptu Joe's and if I went

627
00:29:36,440 --> 00:29:39,319
to and oh or ozho and two we give away

628
00:29:39,359 --> 00:29:44,720
a three day pass back. Oh yeah, of course, running

629
00:29:44,720 --> 00:29:48,440
it back the people. Golden State Warriors.

630
00:29:48,480 --> 00:29:48,799
Speaker 3: I am.

631
00:29:49,440 --> 00:29:51,559
Speaker 1: I am so shooting from the hip on this one.

632
00:29:51,759 --> 00:29:53,359
I have not researched these games.

633
00:29:53,839 --> 00:29:56,319
Speaker 2: Houston, Mighty State and a half over under two thirteen

634
00:29:56,400 --> 00:29:58,759
and a half. Look at the Golden State Warriors one

635
00:29:58,839 --> 00:30:02,079
fourteen one one lost the Clippers. They get boat raced

636
00:30:02,799 --> 00:30:07,359
by the Lakers, and they are on the road here

637
00:30:07,559 --> 00:30:11,720
at Houston, which is a nightmare of a spot here.

638
00:30:12,079 --> 00:30:15,960
The Rockets, obviously in playoff mode, worry about the chemistry,

639
00:30:16,079 --> 00:30:18,519
but this is such a great spot for them. Their

640
00:30:18,599 --> 00:30:21,279
last couple of games have gone over. This total total

641
00:30:21,319 --> 00:30:24,119
seems way too low. I'm going with the over two

642
00:30:24,160 --> 00:30:28,039
thirteen and a half for Houston and Golden State and

643
00:30:28,160 --> 00:30:30,640
the next game we got the Lakers and the Nuggets.

644
00:30:31,039 --> 00:30:34,279
Or yeah, I'll do the college game. Yeah, give me

645
00:30:34,599 --> 00:30:35,279
the college game.

646
00:30:36,759 --> 00:30:37,200
Speaker 3: You want it?

647
00:30:37,200 --> 00:30:41,279
Speaker 1: Andy, Yeah, give me the college game? All right? All right?

648
00:30:42,440 --> 00:30:44,839
Speaker 3: What do you think on this? And then Joe is here,

649
00:30:44,880 --> 00:30:46,759
so we're going to see how your picks compared to

650
00:30:46,839 --> 00:30:48,039
Joe's picks on this one.

651
00:30:48,480 --> 00:30:50,759
Speaker 1: Michigan minus eight and a half. Easy call.

652
00:30:50,960 --> 00:30:55,839
Speaker 2: Shout out to the Detroit office. Next NBA game, that

653
00:30:56,279 --> 00:30:57,039
was that easy?

654
00:30:57,200 --> 00:30:58,039
Speaker 3: That was that easy.

655
00:30:58,119 --> 00:30:59,920
Speaker 1: And yeah, that was that easy.

656
00:31:00,279 --> 00:31:00,720
Speaker 3: Uh.

657
00:31:01,000 --> 00:31:03,160
Speaker 1: I don't even need to see the line. It's the Nuggets.

658
00:31:03,680 --> 00:31:03,839
Speaker 3: Uh.

659
00:31:03,880 --> 00:31:06,720
Speaker 2: The Lakers are front runners. They beat the bad teams,

660
00:31:06,759 --> 00:31:09,680
they lose to the good teams. Jokich is gonna make

661
00:31:09,720 --> 00:31:13,200
DeAndre eight in his midnight snack tonight.

662
00:31:13,440 --> 00:31:13,720
Speaker 5: Uh.

663
00:31:13,759 --> 00:31:15,920
Speaker 2: So I'm going to lay the points with the Nuggets

664
00:31:15,920 --> 00:31:18,880
and take the over for the Houston Rockets in the

665
00:31:18,880 --> 00:31:22,359
Golden State Warriors. After the show in the comments section,

666
00:31:23,319 --> 00:31:27,519
put your wager talk user name. And it doesn't mean

667
00:31:27,559 --> 00:31:28,960
you don't have to guess if I'm gonna go oh

668
00:31:28,960 --> 00:31:30,480
in two or two or oh if I sweep the

669
00:31:30,480 --> 00:31:32,599
board one way or the other, we're gonna pick a winner.

670
00:31:32,640 --> 00:31:34,000
So all you have to do is comment below with

671
00:31:34,000 --> 00:31:37,279
your wager talk user name and if I, if I sweep

672
00:31:37,279 --> 00:31:39,720
one way or there, if we have perfection or complete failure,

673
00:31:40,000 --> 00:31:41,880
someone's gonna win a three day pass.

674
00:31:42,039 --> 00:31:42,440
Speaker 1: Boom.

675
00:31:42,680 --> 00:31:45,599
Speaker 3: I love it. I love it, Andy, And look at this.

676
00:31:45,759 --> 00:31:47,880
We get a tip from the best day ever. He said,

677
00:31:48,240 --> 00:31:51,319
I'm giving five bucks if it means we got Joe, Mother,

678
00:31:51,599 --> 00:31:54,160
f and RNERI in the house. So we got we

679
00:31:54,240 --> 00:31:57,880
got a tip simply because he saw Joe's Joe's gonna

680
00:31:57,880 --> 00:32:02,599
beat here. I don't do it, brother, get it going.

681
00:32:02,920 --> 00:32:05,119
Speaker 9: First of all, Andy, I do want to let you

682
00:32:05,119 --> 00:32:08,039
know it just came down that it looks like Anthony

683
00:32:08,160 --> 00:32:13,839
Edwards now questionable tonight for Minnesota against Toronto, and that

684
00:32:14,000 --> 00:32:17,200
is I'm starting to see the Toronto line actually crater

685
00:32:17,400 --> 00:32:19,319
down to about four four and a half.

686
00:32:19,440 --> 00:32:22,720
Speaker 4: So keep an eye on whether or not he is.

687
00:32:22,759 --> 00:32:25,440
Speaker 9: And without him, I listen, I don't trust Minnesota to

688
00:32:25,440 --> 00:32:29,920
begin with, but without Anthony Edwards and Toronto being pretty

689
00:32:29,960 --> 00:32:34,079
desperate right now but healthy, I keep an eye on

690
00:32:34,160 --> 00:32:35,640
that because you know what's gonna happen.

691
00:32:35,640 --> 00:32:36,519
Speaker 4: It could be the headfake.

692
00:32:36,559 --> 00:32:38,880
Speaker 9: All of a sudden he's fine, and all of a sudden,

693
00:32:38,920 --> 00:32:41,400
this line gets shot back up to like minus six

694
00:32:41,519 --> 00:32:44,640
minus six and a half. But as of right now,

695
00:32:44,680 --> 00:32:47,839
he just made the questionable list here, So we've got

696
00:32:47,839 --> 00:32:48,640
to keep an eye on that.

697
00:32:48,960 --> 00:32:49,640
Speaker 4: And I'm with you.

698
00:32:49,799 --> 00:32:53,680
Speaker 9: Shout out to the Detroit office. Iowa, listen, this isn't

699
00:32:53,720 --> 00:32:57,599
Iowa football. Like they're not gonna punt nineteen times and

700
00:32:57,759 --> 00:33:00,880
win eight to six. Like that's not gonna have They're

701
00:33:00,920 --> 00:33:05,319
not gonna play great defense. No, they're gonna get absolutely demolished,

702
00:33:05,440 --> 00:33:08,440
which is exactly what they should get for a team

703
00:33:08,480 --> 00:33:11,440
that can barely score seventy points a game. Into Big Ten,

704
00:33:12,440 --> 00:33:15,079
and I know Michigan State's on deck for Michigan, but

705
00:33:15,640 --> 00:33:17,960
I'm not buying it. Man. We just talked to Art

706
00:33:18,160 --> 00:33:20,880
Arts like, Wow, we're getting a lot of Iowa love.

707
00:33:22,039 --> 00:33:22,920
Speaker 4: Not for me or not.

708
00:33:23,359 --> 00:33:25,920
Speaker 9: I think it's Michigan all day long. I think they

709
00:33:25,960 --> 00:33:28,640
win by double digits, and then I think they are

710
00:33:28,680 --> 00:33:32,000
looking very forward to Senior Day on Sunday so they

711
00:33:32,000 --> 00:33:34,960
can put the SmackDown on Michigan State once again as well.

712
00:33:35,000 --> 00:33:39,759
Speaker 1: Andy, let's move to NBA here real quick.

713
00:33:40,200 --> 00:33:42,640
Speaker 2: My take on the Lakers and the Nuggets is that

714
00:33:43,119 --> 00:33:45,519
just any time I yeah, anytime I see the Lakers

715
00:33:46,039 --> 00:33:48,400
going up against the playoff caliber team, I just want

716
00:33:48,400 --> 00:33:50,279
to fade him. I mean, the record speaks for itself,

717
00:33:50,359 --> 00:33:53,920
and listen, what are they supposed to do? Like, you know,

718
00:33:53,960 --> 00:33:56,200
they beat the bad teams, they you know, lose to

719
00:33:56,240 --> 00:34:00,000
the to the good teams. I actually said in the moment,

720
00:34:00,000 --> 00:34:01,960
and I thought this Luca trade was not nearly the

721
00:34:02,000 --> 00:34:04,599
disaster that everyone made it out to be. I think

722
00:34:04,680 --> 00:34:07,160
Lucas showing kind of his true colors. This guy is

723
00:34:07,200 --> 00:34:09,320
not easy to play with, no matter who you put

724
00:34:09,360 --> 00:34:12,400
around him. I like Denver Lakers are a fade against

725
00:34:12,440 --> 00:34:13,079
playoff teams.

726
00:34:13,079 --> 00:34:13,599
Speaker 1: What do you think?

727
00:34:14,400 --> 00:34:18,480
Speaker 9: But I'm with you, but Denver has been just so annoying.

728
00:34:18,760 --> 00:34:22,840
I mean they cannot First of all, they can't play

729
00:34:22,840 --> 00:34:26,559
any defense. Apparently Aaron Gordon should be their MVP, because

730
00:34:26,599 --> 00:34:30,519
without him they can't stop anybody. They give up, you know,

731
00:34:30,519 --> 00:34:33,880
one hundred and twenty plus points to teams and everything

732
00:34:33,960 --> 00:34:36,559
is his struggle. So the thing with I mean, you're

733
00:34:36,599 --> 00:34:38,480
spot off with the Lakers. The thing with the Lakers

734
00:34:38,519 --> 00:34:41,360
is they can't beat anybody with a pulse. They beat

735
00:34:41,360 --> 00:34:44,199
everyone else that's half dead, but they can't beat anybody

736
00:34:44,239 --> 00:34:48,400
in the pulse. Denver has a pulse. Denver at home

737
00:34:48,519 --> 00:34:52,400
here now just a half a game, which is mind

738
00:34:52,519 --> 00:34:55,639
numbing to me that you've had the Joker back, who's

739
00:34:55,679 --> 00:34:58,599
a triple double machine, and now all of a sudden,

740
00:34:58,679 --> 00:35:01,159
the Lakers are just a half a game out of

741
00:35:01,199 --> 00:35:03,800
that fifth spot there, that fifth seed spot, with about

742
00:35:03,840 --> 00:35:06,840
twenty two games left to go in the season. I

743
00:35:06,960 --> 00:35:09,840
just don't trust the Lakers on the road. I can't

744
00:35:09,840 --> 00:35:12,480
sweat out an under here either, because I can't trust

745
00:35:12,519 --> 00:35:13,199
either of them to.

746
00:35:13,119 --> 00:35:16,199
Speaker 4: Play enough defense to slow each other down.

747
00:35:17,079 --> 00:35:19,119
Speaker 9: I'm with you, I'd only look at the over and

748
00:35:19,159 --> 00:35:22,039
I would only look at Denver in this spot here tonight.

749
00:35:23,360 --> 00:35:27,440
Speaker 2: Golden State Warriors in Houston Rockets just on yeah, just

750
00:35:27,480 --> 00:35:28,480
on the surface.

751
00:35:29,199 --> 00:35:30,480
Speaker 3: You, Joe.

752
00:35:30,960 --> 00:35:33,599
Speaker 1: The two thirteen and a half just seems way low. Look,

753
00:35:34,039 --> 00:35:37,519
it was two forty the previous game.

754
00:35:37,880 --> 00:35:40,679
Speaker 2: Someone's get Rockets probably get to one to twenty in

755
00:35:40,719 --> 00:35:42,719
this one. Warriors aren't putting up much of a fight.

756
00:35:42,800 --> 00:35:45,679
I just this is just incredibly too low of a line.

757
00:35:45,719 --> 00:35:46,280
What's your take?

758
00:35:46,960 --> 00:35:50,960
Speaker 9: Listen, The problem is with the Warriors is they at

759
00:35:51,039 --> 00:35:53,679
least they have an understanding of who they are, which

760
00:35:53,760 --> 00:35:58,440
is god awful. But they understand that their path for

761
00:35:58,760 --> 00:36:01,880
victory is going without Steph Curry. Is we still have

762
00:36:01,920 --> 00:36:04,719
to chuck up as many three point shots as we

763
00:36:04,800 --> 00:36:05,559
can in a game.

764
00:36:06,239 --> 00:36:08,719
Speaker 4: And that's the whole rub there, Andy, Right.

765
00:36:08,599 --> 00:36:11,559
Speaker 9: If they make enough of them, and they will, I mean,

766
00:36:11,559 --> 00:36:14,360
this is a team that will have no problem taking

767
00:36:14,480 --> 00:36:18,079
thirty five forty threes a game if they make at

768
00:36:18,199 --> 00:36:20,280
least enough of them. I don't see how this game

769
00:36:20,320 --> 00:36:23,639
stays under Andy. I think that's the whole thing. I

770
00:36:23,679 --> 00:36:26,559
don't think the Rockets. I think the Rockets will score

771
00:36:26,840 --> 00:36:29,360
their customary amount of points here. I mean, what do

772
00:36:29,360 --> 00:36:32,280
we need one hundred and ten or fifteen points from them?

773
00:36:33,119 --> 00:36:37,159
The Warriors should have no problem adding to that, especially

774
00:36:37,159 --> 00:36:39,199
with the amount of the volume of threes that they're

775
00:36:39,199 --> 00:36:41,559
gonna take here, you know, Houston.

776
00:36:41,639 --> 00:36:43,639
Speaker 4: To me, yes, they're gonna win this game.

777
00:36:43,679 --> 00:36:45,840
Speaker 9: I don't know what the Golden State Warrior love and

778
00:36:45,920 --> 00:36:48,599
the market is makes kind of no sense that this

779
00:36:48,840 --> 00:36:50,599
was nine and a half. It's down to eight and

780
00:36:50,599 --> 00:36:53,159
a half. But I'm with you on the total. The

781
00:36:53,199 --> 00:36:56,199
Warriors are gonna take forty more threes. They don't have

782
00:36:56,239 --> 00:36:57,599
to make a ton of them for this thing to

783
00:36:57,639 --> 00:36:58,800
go flying over to total.

784
00:36:58,840 --> 00:37:00,000
Speaker 3: Andy, I'm with you.

785
00:37:00,239 --> 00:37:01,559
Speaker 1: Oh nice? How about that?

786
00:37:01,840 --> 00:37:02,199
Speaker 3: All right?

787
00:37:02,280 --> 00:37:02,760
Speaker 1: Agreement?

788
00:37:02,880 --> 00:37:05,639
Speaker 2: Comment below if you think going and two or two

789
00:37:05,679 --> 00:37:07,239
and oh or give it away a three day pass,

790
00:37:07,400 --> 00:37:08,960
all you have to do is put your wager talk

791
00:37:09,119 --> 00:37:11,519
use a name in there. Joe, what do you have

792
00:37:11,679 --> 00:37:15,360
up everybody for this Thursday? Tell us about best best

793
00:37:15,360 --> 00:37:18,039
sports betting show, give us, give us the stick.

794
00:37:19,119 --> 00:37:21,000
Speaker 9: Well, make sure you check it out today because you

795
00:37:21,079 --> 00:37:27,079
got the president Whistler here and apparently all his friends

796
00:37:27,199 --> 00:37:30,480
left him today because they couldn't spend any more time

797
00:37:30,480 --> 00:37:34,159
with him. Smart folks by there by himself, which is

798
00:37:34,639 --> 00:37:39,639
probably best for all. However, Art dropped by here today.

799
00:37:40,039 --> 00:37:43,320
Art's got some interesting information on some of the sharp

800
00:37:43,400 --> 00:37:45,679
bets here today. Make sure you guys take a listen

801
00:37:46,440 --> 00:37:49,960
to that. We did hit our parlay of the day.

802
00:37:49,880 --> 00:37:51,000
Speaker 4: Yesterday in the show.

803
00:37:51,039 --> 00:37:54,199
Speaker 9: We've got another one for you here today hit another

804
00:37:54,199 --> 00:37:57,880
four percent NBA best bet. Charlotte is the You gotta

805
00:37:57,920 --> 00:38:01,000
love this Charlotte team, man, All they do is cash

806
00:38:01,039 --> 00:38:06,719
tickets andy every week. The best NBA team since January one.

807
00:38:07,159 --> 00:38:09,679
They're above five hundred now and I don't see them

808
00:38:09,679 --> 00:38:13,079
slowing down. But I got another four percent best bet

809
00:38:13,159 --> 00:38:16,599
here tonight. That's up along with a couple of college

810
00:38:16,719 --> 00:38:20,119
basketball best bets all available and take advantage by the way,

811
00:38:20,440 --> 00:38:23,519
buy three get three. That's one of the better promos here,

812
00:38:23,599 --> 00:38:26,199
especially heading into the weekend. Now would be the time

813
00:38:26,519 --> 00:38:29,400
to hop on board with that Buy three get three

814
00:38:29,519 --> 00:38:32,400
here over at wager talk dot com. That's one of

815
00:38:32,480 --> 00:38:35,280
my favorite ones right there.

816
00:38:35,320 --> 00:38:39,480
Speaker 2: The Hornets benefited from Derek White and Jalen Brown attempting

817
00:38:39,519 --> 00:38:41,400
to shoot their way out of their shooting slump.

818
00:38:42,159 --> 00:38:45,360
Speaker 1: Last night. I watched the first corner of that game,

819
00:38:45,400 --> 00:38:47,239
and I was like, oh, I see where this is going.

820
00:38:49,760 --> 00:38:51,280
Speaker 3: Shoot, Like what is.

821
00:38:51,159 --> 00:38:53,639
Speaker 4: The rush to bring a guy that blew is? Like?

822
00:38:53,719 --> 00:38:55,599
What are we doing here?

823
00:38:55,679 --> 00:38:59,239
Speaker 9: Like nobody from the East is beating anybody from the West. Like,

824
00:38:59,679 --> 00:39:03,480
just keep him shelved and get them healthy for next year.

825
00:39:03,599 --> 00:39:04,199
Speaker 3: I don't.

826
00:39:04,840 --> 00:39:07,400
Speaker 9: I hope it works out for him because I like Tatum,

827
00:39:07,719 --> 00:39:10,039
but I don't get the rush here.

828
00:39:10,079 --> 00:39:10,760
Speaker 4: I really don't.

829
00:39:12,079 --> 00:39:13,639
Speaker 1: I'm kind of with you on it.

830
00:39:13,760 --> 00:39:18,199
Speaker 2: I would be terrified if my Pacers were bringing back Haliburton, right,

831
00:39:18,800 --> 00:39:20,360
I'd be terrified.

832
00:39:20,239 --> 00:39:23,840
Speaker 4: For who for what? Yeah, I don't get. But he's

833
00:39:23,840 --> 00:39:25,599
playing tomorrow, that's what.

834
00:39:25,679 --> 00:39:25,880
Speaker 5: Yeah.

835
00:39:25,920 --> 00:39:27,880
Speaker 1: Sorry, Yeah, I don't know.

836
00:39:28,039 --> 00:39:30,199
Speaker 2: I don't know what went wrong for Boston last night, Joe,

837
00:39:30,199 --> 00:39:33,159
But they took seventy nine shots. Derek White took seventeen

838
00:39:33,239 --> 00:39:36,199
of them, Jalen Brown took nineteen, and Vucevich took ten.

839
00:39:37,440 --> 00:39:40,599
Speaker 4: That's it. Well, that explained everything that went wrong with

840
00:39:40,639 --> 00:39:41,480
them last.

841
00:39:41,280 --> 00:39:45,840
Speaker 9: Night there, So yeah, good recipe to losing. That's good stuff, Boston. Yeah,

842
00:39:45,880 --> 00:39:48,360
maybe you should bring back Tatum then? Good lord?

843
00:39:51,599 --> 00:39:51,960
Speaker 7: All right?

844
00:39:52,039 --> 00:39:54,119
Speaker 1: Joe's got a four percent best bet that is up.

845
00:39:54,119 --> 00:39:56,039
Thanks for joining us, Joe, appreciate your brother.

846
00:39:56,400 --> 00:39:59,039
Speaker 3: See you guys a good one.

847
00:39:59,119 --> 00:40:02,079
Speaker 2: All right, let's bring in Kylee Anthony real quick, well

848
00:40:02,199 --> 00:40:03,880
I mean not real quick, but let's bring in Kylee

849
00:40:03,880 --> 00:40:05,960
Anthony and then we'll do all around quick.

850
00:40:06,519 --> 00:40:10,079
Speaker 1: Bring Kyle Anthony, but not talk quickly. But sorry about that.

851
00:40:11,880 --> 00:40:14,719
Words words not my fourth.

852
00:40:14,440 --> 00:40:20,039
Speaker 5: Word get tricky sometimes do so, Kyle.

853
00:40:20,119 --> 00:40:23,119
Speaker 2: You're you're tasked with breaking down the main event when

854
00:40:23,159 --> 00:40:24,800
you come on here, and I got to be honest,

855
00:40:24,840 --> 00:40:28,639
this one's difficult for me. Max Hallowey and Charles Olivera

856
00:40:29,039 --> 00:40:30,920
we've seen these guys have been of our in our

857
00:40:30,960 --> 00:40:32,800
lives for a long long time.

858
00:40:33,000 --> 00:40:34,320
Speaker 1: It's the BMF title.

859
00:40:34,840 --> 00:40:37,480
Speaker 2: So I'm interested in your breakdown because I think the

860
00:40:37,519 --> 00:40:39,519
money lines are dialed in about perfect.

861
00:40:39,559 --> 00:40:42,519
Speaker 1: We've seen very little movement on it. So break down

862
00:40:42,559 --> 00:40:43,800
this fight. How are we playing it?

863
00:40:44,800 --> 00:40:47,239
Speaker 5: Yeah, so you got Max Holloway, he's sitting around the

864
00:40:47,280 --> 00:40:49,480
minus two to twenty mark on the comeback here, We've

865
00:40:49,480 --> 00:40:53,239
got Charles Olavera about plus one eight. So you know

866
00:40:53,280 --> 00:40:55,679
what you're getting from Max? Right, We know we're getting

867
00:40:55,960 --> 00:40:58,199
a lot of volume. He's a volume machine. He's going

868
00:40:58,280 --> 00:41:00,719
to come forward, he's going to push the page. He has,

869
00:41:01,119 --> 00:41:06,119
you know, probably elite level striking, fast developing combinations, good footwork,

870
00:41:06,280 --> 00:41:08,679
good distance management, all of those things. Now, since he's

871
00:41:08,679 --> 00:41:10,960
moved up to one hundred and fifty five pounds, he's

872
00:41:10,960 --> 00:41:13,599
looked fantastic. I mean, you know, I think really now

873
00:41:13,599 --> 00:41:16,079
we're seeing him kind of build into that frame. We're

874
00:41:16,119 --> 00:41:19,280
seeing the power. We're seeing him again have add onto

875
00:41:19,280 --> 00:41:22,159
that size, not switching, you know, going back down, back up,

876
00:41:22,199 --> 00:41:25,159
and wait, he's sticking here. Now you look at Charles Olivera,

877
00:41:25,599 --> 00:41:28,599
obviously another elite level fighter. Guy has fought and not

878
00:41:28,760 --> 00:41:32,159
a lot of elite level fighters. The biggest glaring issue

879
00:41:32,360 --> 00:41:34,599
that I see on the Olivera side is going to

880
00:41:34,639 --> 00:41:37,000
be his durability. And this is something that we probably

881
00:41:37,000 --> 00:41:40,480
have seen throughout his career. I mean, over the last

882
00:41:40,519 --> 00:41:43,199
seven eight fights, he's always hurt. You know, even in

883
00:41:43,239 --> 00:41:45,760
a win, he gets hurt, he gets rocked, he gets wobbled.

884
00:41:45,920 --> 00:41:48,159
A lot of those things really are starting to be

885
00:41:48,199 --> 00:41:49,920
a little bit you know, sticking out a little bit more,

886
00:41:50,039 --> 00:41:52,880
especially now he's thirty six years old. But we did

887
00:41:52,920 --> 00:41:55,840
cash a four unit play on Charles Olivera in his

888
00:41:55,960 --> 00:41:58,119
last fight against Gamrot. It was a nice win. He

889
00:41:58,159 --> 00:42:00,639
went out there, pick him price tag, got the job done.

890
00:42:00,679 --> 00:42:03,280
That's great and all, But what I didn't like is

891
00:42:03,360 --> 00:42:07,480
really the how Charles was absorbing shots against Gamra. Gamrat

892
00:42:07,519 --> 00:42:11,679
is a pure wrestler, doesn't have striking, doesn't really offer

893
00:42:11,760 --> 00:42:13,920
much on the feet, and although he still was able

894
00:42:13,920 --> 00:42:17,440
to hurt Charles Lavera, I thought that was a bad sign. Yes,

895
00:42:17,519 --> 00:42:19,920
Charles got the job done, all of those things you know,

896
00:42:20,199 --> 00:42:22,960
still came into effect, but getting rocked by him, I

897
00:42:22,960 --> 00:42:25,199
think someone like Max Holly is going to land at

898
00:42:25,239 --> 00:42:27,480
a higher clip. I think he's got the cleaner striking.

899
00:42:27,519 --> 00:42:30,599
I think he's got the the far faster handsbeet compared

900
00:42:30,639 --> 00:42:33,079
to Gamra. And then you also you have to put

901
00:42:33,119 --> 00:42:36,559
in will Charles get the takedowns, because that's really where

902
00:42:36,599 --> 00:42:38,199
he could win this fight? You know, of course on

903
00:42:38,239 --> 00:42:40,880
the feed it's a possibility, but really getting these takedowns,

904
00:42:40,880 --> 00:42:42,840
and I don't really think so because it hasn't been

905
00:42:42,920 --> 00:42:46,519
something that Charles has really gone to very successfully. Over

906
00:42:46,559 --> 00:42:49,440
his last eight fights. He only has six takedowns. Now,

907
00:42:49,599 --> 00:42:51,760
some of those fights obviously were early. They ended in

908
00:42:51,760 --> 00:42:54,119
the first or second round, but either way, over the

909
00:42:54,159 --> 00:42:57,679
last eight fights, only six takedowns in total. Five of

910
00:42:57,719 --> 00:43:01,079
the six takedowns we're against Michael Chandler, and that was

911
00:43:01,119 --> 00:43:03,320
a fight which kind of wasn't really the greatest showing

912
00:43:03,320 --> 00:43:06,039
for Charles. He was five for twelve on takedowns in

913
00:43:06,039 --> 00:43:09,880
that fight. Fifteen minutes of control. Times needed those takedowns

914
00:43:09,920 --> 00:43:12,920
in order to find success here, and Charles forty percent

915
00:43:13,039 --> 00:43:16,599
takedown success rate, you've got Max at eighty three percent

916
00:43:16,679 --> 00:43:19,039
takedown defense rate. Yes, he has not faced the highest

917
00:43:19,119 --> 00:43:21,519
level when you're talking about just pure wrestlers, but Max

918
00:43:21,599 --> 00:43:23,599
is well rounded. Max is able to kind of keep

919
00:43:23,599 --> 00:43:25,239
this on the feet, and that's where I see this

920
00:43:25,360 --> 00:43:27,679
going here. I think this plays out on the feet.

921
00:43:27,880 --> 00:43:29,679
I think you've got to look at Max Holloy being

922
00:43:29,679 --> 00:43:32,639
the far more polished striker, gonna be probably the harder

923
00:43:32,679 --> 00:43:36,760
hitter between these two. Also, you got Charles who's willing

924
00:43:36,840 --> 00:43:39,519
to engage. He's willing to go in there and throw,

925
00:43:39,559 --> 00:43:41,440
He's gonna be willing to brawl. He even has said

926
00:43:41,440 --> 00:43:43,800
it in multiple interviews this is for the BMF title.

927
00:43:43,960 --> 00:43:46,440
I'm going forward. I'm going for it. You know Max,

928
00:43:46,599 --> 00:43:48,760
you know, wants to point down and throw. I'm throwing.

929
00:43:49,039 --> 00:43:51,800
This is a guy that's very hittable, doesn't have good

930
00:43:51,840 --> 00:43:55,039
striking defense, doesn't have a good chin. These are very

931
00:43:55,119 --> 00:43:57,199
bad things they look at Max. Two of his last

932
00:43:57,199 --> 00:44:00,039
three wins were by knockout. The one that was and

933
00:44:00,280 --> 00:44:03,000
was against Dustin Pourier, which is a fight where he

934
00:44:03,079 --> 00:44:06,440
almost knocked Pourie out, and Pourier is known for his durability.

935
00:44:06,519 --> 00:44:10,400
So I think the speed, the volume, the takedown defense

936
00:44:10,559 --> 00:44:12,960
is all gonna work out well for Max Hollowy. So

937
00:44:13,039 --> 00:44:15,800
I like the knockout here. I think Max Hollowy gets

938
00:44:15,800 --> 00:44:18,480
this knockout. It's sitting around plus one seventy five. I

939
00:44:18,519 --> 00:44:21,360
think that chin is getting chinned, and I'm taking Max

940
00:44:21,679 --> 00:44:22,840
by knockout.

941
00:44:24,239 --> 00:44:28,239
Speaker 2: I saw Charles Olivera finally would admit to what I've

942
00:44:28,280 --> 00:44:32,519
known for years, which is Jerrem say is like, yeah,

943
00:44:32,559 --> 00:44:34,239
I know my hair is falling out because I keep

944
00:44:34,320 --> 00:44:35,159
dying it blonde.

945
00:44:35,199 --> 00:44:38,320
Speaker 1: But it's like my thing. It's like when I when

946
00:44:38,320 --> 00:44:39,239
my hair goes.

947
00:44:39,039 --> 00:44:42,079
Speaker 2: Blonde, I know I'm ready to go to war. And

948
00:44:42,159 --> 00:44:44,039
I like, for years I've been like, why does he

949
00:44:44,119 --> 00:44:45,480
keep dying his hair blonding?

950
00:44:45,599 --> 00:44:47,519
Speaker 4: Yeah's camp.

951
00:44:47,599 --> 00:44:49,880
Speaker 5: They're all gonna do it. They're all gonna go in.

952
00:44:50,280 --> 00:44:53,119
Like I said, now he's thirty six. The hairlines receding

953
00:44:53,159 --> 00:44:56,840
a little bit. The chemicals are getting in the skull

954
00:44:56,880 --> 00:44:58,440
a little bit, and that's you know, that's part of

955
00:44:58,440 --> 00:44:58,800
the game.

956
00:45:00,559 --> 00:45:03,320
Speaker 1: Like it's cool to do in high school. Your here's

957
00:45:03,360 --> 00:45:06,159
gonna grow back quick. But yeah, you get forty even

958
00:45:06,639 --> 00:45:08,639
die in your hair blood. You're asking for.

959
00:45:08,559 --> 00:45:09,840
Speaker 4: Some you can't do it. Now.

960
00:45:10,039 --> 00:45:11,639
Speaker 5: He got a stick, he's got to stick with it.

961
00:45:11,679 --> 00:45:12,480
He's got to stick with.

962
00:45:12,440 --> 00:45:15,559
Speaker 2: It, all right, holloway by Ko all right, we're going

963
00:45:15,639 --> 00:45:20,079
next to Rob Fought and Raoul Roases Junior. You could

964
00:45:20,079 --> 00:45:24,159
not ask for a different stylistic matchup. Uh, you got

965
00:45:24,199 --> 00:45:27,519
Raul Roases who pretty much can't strike but could wrestle.

966
00:45:27,519 --> 00:45:30,800
You got Rob Font who can't wrestle but absolutely can strike.

967
00:45:31,239 --> 00:45:33,480
Speaker 1: So clash the styles. How do you break this one down?

968
00:45:34,320 --> 00:45:37,320
Speaker 5: Yes, you've got Roald Roases Junior. He's minus two thirty.

969
00:45:37,480 --> 00:45:40,079
I'm gonna come back here, rolbh Font plus one eighty five.

970
00:45:40,159 --> 00:45:42,679
And you've got Roald Roases Junior. He's five to one

971
00:45:42,719 --> 00:45:45,440
in the UFC. He's twenty one years old. He got

972
00:45:45,480 --> 00:45:48,760
into the UFC at eighteen, so obviously, you know, you know,

973
00:45:48,800 --> 00:45:51,719
he's growing up in the sport. He's primarily a wrestler,

974
00:45:51,840 --> 00:45:54,079
gonna look to wrestle, but the UFC is definitely kind

975
00:45:54,079 --> 00:45:56,840
of giving them very soft matchups overall. You know, they're

976
00:45:56,960 --> 00:45:58,480
they don't want to throw them to the wolves. They've

977
00:45:58,559 --> 00:46:01,480
kind of given them the stylistic matchups that can work

978
00:46:01,480 --> 00:46:03,440
out for him, And of course he's he's had some

979
00:46:03,559 --> 00:46:05,480
nice success there. Well, You've got Rob Font on the

980
00:46:05,480 --> 00:46:07,840
other side, who you know, I's bought the who's who

981
00:46:07,840 --> 00:46:10,519
of the division, threw out probably over the last eight years.

982
00:46:10,519 --> 00:46:12,559
He's bought some of the top level guys. You know,

983
00:46:12,599 --> 00:46:14,400
he's been a journeyman. You know, he's won some, he's

984
00:46:14,440 --> 00:46:16,760
lost some, but he's always had some good performances and

985
00:46:16,800 --> 00:46:18,800
he's always shown a lot when he's out there. And

986
00:46:19,039 --> 00:46:21,639
you've got a situation here where you know, Font is

987
00:46:21,679 --> 00:46:24,440
taking a step down in competition level and you've got

988
00:46:24,480 --> 00:46:26,760
Roe who's taking a step up in competition. I think that,

989
00:46:26,840 --> 00:46:28,880
you know, kind of makes the odds look a little

990
00:46:28,880 --> 00:46:31,760
wide when you're looking at it. But obviously the wrestling

991
00:46:32,000 --> 00:46:33,639
is where that Rosa needs to go.

992
00:46:33,719 --> 00:46:33,880
Speaker 3: Here.

993
00:46:33,880 --> 00:46:36,159
Speaker 5: He needs to push the pace. He needs to not

994
00:46:36,320 --> 00:46:39,159
have any kind of striking because font is clearly the

995
00:46:39,199 --> 00:46:42,039
better striker. He's got the better boxing, a great job.

996
00:46:42,079 --> 00:46:42,760
Speaker 3: He mixes it.

997
00:46:42,760 --> 00:46:45,400
Speaker 5: Up very very well on the feet, while most of

998
00:46:45,400 --> 00:46:48,880
what Rosas does on the feet it's strikes to cut distance.

999
00:46:48,880 --> 00:46:50,599
He's just looking to get his hands on You're looking

1000
00:46:50,599 --> 00:46:52,840
to cut that distance, throw a couple of shots, get

1001
00:46:52,840 --> 00:46:54,639
in front of it, and then look for those takedowns.

1002
00:46:54,679 --> 00:46:56,400
And that's kind of where I look at. This is

1003
00:46:56,440 --> 00:46:59,360
where the biggest vulnerability really is for Rob BoNT Is.

1004
00:46:59,360 --> 00:47:01,960
He is just to being taken down. Over his last

1005
00:47:01,960 --> 00:47:04,679
five fights, He's been taken down twenty two times now.

1006
00:47:04,719 --> 00:47:07,440
He's scrambled, he's gotten back to his feet in certain spots.

1007
00:47:07,559 --> 00:47:10,719
But the path to victory is there for Rosas, and

1008
00:47:10,760 --> 00:47:12,599
that's really how this is going to go play out.

1009
00:47:12,679 --> 00:47:14,440
But you also got to look at the fact that

1010
00:47:14,559 --> 00:47:17,519
Rosas has been fighting to very small margins. I mean,

1011
00:47:17,559 --> 00:47:20,000
he's just barely won some fights where he really should

1012
00:47:20,000 --> 00:47:22,639
be dominating. His last two fights went to a decision

1013
00:47:23,480 --> 00:47:26,920
against Rici Line, very close fight. He needed the takedown

1014
00:47:27,039 --> 00:47:29,280
seven and a half minutes of control time to bank

1015
00:47:29,320 --> 00:47:31,599
the rounds. But the eye opener was really his most

1016
00:47:31,599 --> 00:47:34,360
recent fight against Vince Morales. I mean, he should be

1017
00:47:34,440 --> 00:47:38,199
dunking on Vince Morales, and he went out there. Significant

1018
00:47:38,199 --> 00:47:42,079
strikes landed was twenty to seventeen on significant strikes. It

1019
00:47:42,159 --> 00:47:45,320
was four takedowns, the ten minutes of control time which

1020
00:47:45,440 --> 00:47:49,280
gave Raoul Rosas the victory, banked the rounds. And that's

1021
00:47:49,360 --> 00:47:51,559
interesting enough. But when you even rewatch the fight, I

1022
00:47:51,559 --> 00:47:55,599
mean there are response where Morales was sinking in a submission,

1023
00:47:55,800 --> 00:47:58,880
was reversing Raoul Rosas on the ground, and it just

1024
00:47:59,000 --> 00:48:00,880
was a bad look for him him overall. Now, I

1025
00:48:00,920 --> 00:48:05,119
don't hate anybody taking the Ralph Font side. I don't

1026
00:48:05,159 --> 00:48:06,880
I mean, anyone who's looking to take that side. I

1027
00:48:06,920 --> 00:48:09,760
do not blame them for it. But I'm actually gonna

1028
00:48:09,760 --> 00:48:12,599
think that Raoul is gonna get these takedowns, He's gonna

1029
00:48:12,639 --> 00:48:14,960
get the control time. I think there could be a

1030
00:48:15,000 --> 00:48:17,079
lot of luws in this fight here where he's just

1031
00:48:17,159 --> 00:48:19,800
kind of laying on him, controlling him. Because Rauld Rosays

1032
00:48:19,800 --> 00:48:23,840
only averages one and a half significant strikes landed per minute.

1033
00:48:24,599 --> 00:48:27,280
Font lands nearly seven per minute, So it's gonna be

1034
00:48:27,280 --> 00:48:29,280
a control time thing here, So I do think it

1035
00:48:29,360 --> 00:48:31,840
goes to the judge score cards. I think Roy Ruld

1036
00:48:32,000 --> 00:48:34,119
just kind of edges this out and you get him

1037
00:48:34,159 --> 00:48:36,920
by decision is plus one twenty. So I think rau

1038
00:48:36,960 --> 00:48:39,719
will kind of you know, is a scrappy fight, competitive rounds,

1039
00:48:39,760 --> 00:48:41,239
but I do think that rule gets it on the

1040
00:48:41,280 --> 00:48:43,800
judge scorecards. And plus one to twenty not a bad

1041
00:48:43,880 --> 00:48:44,599
number there.

1042
00:48:45,719 --> 00:48:48,079
Speaker 1: All right, So I put I put Holloway by Ko.

1043
00:48:48,400 --> 00:48:52,000
Speaker 2: I parlayed it with Rosas by decision to get plus

1044
00:48:52,039 --> 00:48:53,239
four fifty six we need.

1045
00:48:53,400 --> 00:48:54,880
Speaker 1: Let's let's add a submission.

1046
00:48:55,760 --> 00:49:03,199
Speaker 2: Win your nominee off the bat are to bias over

1047
00:49:03,280 --> 00:49:06,360
dr DR's got some of the worst ground defense in

1048
00:49:06,400 --> 00:49:10,920
the world to mend den bar all after Cody Durdin

1049
00:49:11,199 --> 00:49:13,079
blows his will in the first round and then gets

1050
00:49:13,639 --> 00:49:14,400
that one where.

1051
00:49:14,880 --> 00:49:18,039
Speaker 5: I lean Cody, I do lean Cody, But let me

1052
00:49:18,079 --> 00:49:20,679
tell you something. If there's ever something that's live, it's

1053
00:49:20,679 --> 00:49:24,239
Cody completely screwing up in that second round and sticking

1054
00:49:24,239 --> 00:49:25,599
his head of the wrong spot. So that's not a

1055
00:49:25,599 --> 00:49:26,199
bad one either.

1056
00:49:26,639 --> 00:49:29,360
Speaker 1: All right, let's do that one gets us twenty four

1057
00:49:29,400 --> 00:49:35,199
to one. Twenty four to one Holloway by Ko Roses

1058
00:49:35,639 --> 00:49:41,039
by decision and to mend Den Barrell by submission. There's

1059
00:49:41,079 --> 00:49:43,719
your all, and maybe maybe we could throw like Cody

1060
00:49:43,719 --> 00:49:47,320
Brundage to win by DQ and heim back to that head.

1061
00:49:48,679 --> 00:49:50,920
Speaker 5: You know, as soon as he goes down, he's turning

1062
00:49:50,960 --> 00:49:53,760
that head and he's like, get me, get me right

1063
00:49:53,800 --> 00:49:55,360
back here, right.

1064
00:49:55,039 --> 00:49:58,400
Speaker 1: Back here, and I'll milk that thing. So, Kyle, what

1065
00:49:58,400 --> 00:50:01,000
do you have up for UFC three twenty big big card?

1066
00:50:01,639 --> 00:50:04,079
Speaker 5: Yeah, so this is a really great card. I mean,

1067
00:50:04,239 --> 00:50:06,440
one thing that's been certain is that pay per views

1068
00:50:06,440 --> 00:50:09,440
have always been good to us, So I'm excited about

1069
00:50:09,440 --> 00:50:13,079
this card. There's obviously everyone loves the name recognition on

1070
00:50:13,119 --> 00:50:16,239
these cards, but this is a very good card for betting.

1071
00:50:16,679 --> 00:50:16,880
Speaker 3: Love.

1072
00:50:16,920 --> 00:50:18,719
Speaker 5: The spots that I have right now have a five

1073
00:50:18,760 --> 00:50:20,920
percent up. I'm gonna be adding to that. Again. This

1074
00:50:20,960 --> 00:50:23,239
is probably gonna be a six or seven plays that

1075
00:50:23,280 --> 00:50:25,400
I'm gonna be having by fight night, so we'll be

1076
00:50:25,440 --> 00:50:27,920
adding to that. Check it out wagertalk dot com and

1077
00:50:28,239 --> 00:50:29,400
let's get it done this Saturday.

1078
00:50:30,480 --> 00:50:33,159
Speaker 2: Kyle Anthony giving you props, giving you breakdowns on the

1079
00:50:33,159 --> 00:50:33,519
main event.

1080
00:50:33,559 --> 00:50:34,320
Speaker 1: Thank you so much.

1081
00:50:34,400 --> 00:50:38,440
Speaker 2: Look forward to your segment every single week talking USC KYLEI, Anthony, everyone,

1082
00:50:38,519 --> 00:50:39,199
thank you so much.

1083
00:50:40,480 --> 00:50:40,960
Speaker 4: Take care.

1084
00:50:42,480 --> 00:50:45,639
Speaker 2: All right, Dan, We can do all around the world.

1085
00:50:45,679 --> 00:50:47,440
But I want to talk about what we have up.

1086
00:50:47,440 --> 00:50:50,480
Steven asked earlier. Is the lacrosse play up for sale?

1087
00:50:50,840 --> 00:50:52,760
Don't get just the lacrosse play. We got a monster

1088
00:50:52,800 --> 00:50:55,119
a few days. We have a five percent rugby play

1089
00:50:55,599 --> 00:50:58,440
that goes off, it starts tomorrow. We've got a five

1090
00:50:58,440 --> 00:51:01,320
percent UFC Best Bet that go off on Saturday. You've

1091
00:51:01,360 --> 00:51:04,039
got lacrosse, and you've got multiple leagues. We got n

1092
00:51:04,079 --> 00:51:05,400
C Double A, we got PLLL.

1093
00:51:06,199 --> 00:51:07,559
Speaker 1: We hit our NBA play.

1094
00:51:07,400 --> 00:51:09,440
Speaker 2: Last night, and we hit it in a fashion that

1095
00:51:09,480 --> 00:51:11,960
makes me feel good about our momentum moving forward. I

1096
00:51:11,960 --> 00:51:13,679
was a little worried we were gonna lose by the hook,

1097
00:51:13,719 --> 00:51:15,679
but he comes it back and they took him out

1098
00:51:15,679 --> 00:51:17,199
of the game. And the fourth when we were down

1099
00:51:17,239 --> 00:51:18,840
by the hook and I was like, oh god, he's

1100
00:51:18,880 --> 00:51:19,719
not going to come back in.

1101
00:51:19,840 --> 00:51:22,599
Speaker 1: He came back in gets us over. So I feel good.

1102
00:51:22,719 --> 00:51:25,559
Speaker 2: And the bye six days for the price of three

1103
00:51:26,039 --> 00:51:27,719
is a no brainers. You get a three day pass,

1104
00:51:28,000 --> 00:51:30,360
you get three days added on that. Don't buy just

1105
00:51:30,400 --> 00:51:34,039
one play. It's sixty nine dollars and Steven, you're gonna

1106
00:51:34,039 --> 00:51:36,400
get every lacrosse play, even even if you just want

1107
00:51:36,400 --> 00:51:37,199
to get lacrosse.

1108
00:51:38,000 --> 00:51:40,199
Speaker 1: Lock that in and pick and choose what plays.

1109
00:51:40,199 --> 00:51:42,960
Speaker 2: We got a Bettable NASCAR race as well, so some

1110
00:51:43,000 --> 00:51:44,559
really good things coming in.

1111
00:51:45,000 --> 00:51:46,639
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, Dan, can we pull up who won the

1112
00:51:46,639 --> 00:51:47,760
flex pass yesterday?

1113
00:51:48,280 --> 00:51:50,239
Speaker 3: Oh yeah, yeah, let me throw this in here, Andy,

1114
00:51:50,280 --> 00:51:51,960
I forgot to drop it in there.

1115
00:51:52,000 --> 00:51:52,280
Speaker 4: Thank you.

1116
00:51:52,679 --> 00:51:56,920
Speaker 3: Yeah, I loved I loved the comment from the from

1117
00:51:57,280 --> 00:51:58,679
from our gall send it in.

1118
00:52:00,199 --> 00:52:02,519
Speaker 1: Let me pull it up for you here. So yes,

1119
00:52:02,800 --> 00:52:07,400
uh yeah, my pacers pacers never stood it. It was

1120
00:52:07,440 --> 00:52:10,920
like I looked and I was like, that's probably in

1121
00:52:10,960 --> 00:52:11,760
the second quarter.

1122
00:52:11,840 --> 00:52:13,639
Speaker 2: How close are the Pacers? And I turned it all

1123
00:52:14,000 --> 00:52:15,400
they were down twenty three, and.

1124
00:52:15,360 --> 00:52:18,239
Speaker 1: I was like, okay, all right. By the way, I'm

1125
00:52:18,239 --> 00:52:20,000
glad they didn't put out a line on Ben Shephard.

1126
00:52:20,039 --> 00:52:21,159
He didn't even come close.

1127
00:52:21,840 --> 00:52:24,400
Speaker 3: So well, see they were protecting us. But yeah, so

1128
00:52:24,440 --> 00:52:29,079
we got all about my bills, big time winner the

1129
00:52:29,159 --> 00:52:33,360
day Bills. Yeah, it all comes full circle here at

1130
00:52:33,360 --> 00:52:35,199
the at the end of the show here. But yeah,

1131
00:52:35,239 --> 00:52:36,840
I like how he said I'm taking Teddy in the

1132
00:52:36,840 --> 00:52:40,559
Buffalo Braves. I mean I mean like Clippers, So a

1133
00:52:40,639 --> 00:52:43,719
good breakdown there from our man Bill's Mafia. Your past

1134
00:52:43,719 --> 00:52:46,159
has already been added, so was a congrats to you, buddy.

1135
00:52:46,199 --> 00:52:49,000
And pays to win, folks. It pays to comment here

1136
00:52:49,159 --> 00:52:52,239
as well. Even today Andy broke down some of my

1137
00:52:52,360 --> 00:52:55,320
NBA games, and obviously the college basketball game for you

1138
00:52:55,360 --> 00:52:57,679
goes to and oh, you're gonna win, but how do

1139
00:52:57,719 --> 00:53:00,719
you win? You comment below with your wager name. Guess

1140
00:53:00,760 --> 00:53:02,559
what he goes, Oh, and two you're gonna win as well,

1141
00:53:02,800 --> 00:53:05,159
so drop a comment, include your way to talk user name,

1142
00:53:05,320 --> 00:53:07,840
and you're entered in there, so we'll circle back to

1143
00:53:07,880 --> 00:53:08,480
that one. Then.

1144
00:53:10,039 --> 00:53:13,199
Speaker 1: I'm feeling better, Dan, I I was watching it.

1145
00:53:13,440 --> 00:53:17,320
Speaker 10: Seems like it that's what I wasn't gonna ask beat well,

1146
00:53:17,400 --> 00:53:20,039
So yesterday during the show, my eyes kept watering and

1147
00:53:20,039 --> 00:53:21,880
then I realized my eye has been watering for like

1148
00:53:21,960 --> 00:53:24,360
three days, and that's the symptom of the flu.

1149
00:53:24,440 --> 00:53:27,079
Speaker 1: So I clearly have had the flu for a while.

1150
00:53:27,119 --> 00:53:27,480
Speaker 4: So but.

1151
00:53:29,079 --> 00:53:31,480
Speaker 2: Let's do some free plays here and before we get

1152
00:53:31,519 --> 00:53:33,480
out of here, so I do not have an official

1153
00:53:33,519 --> 00:53:36,400
client play for darts, So take this darts play for

1154
00:53:36,440 --> 00:53:38,840
what this was the week we were worried about because

1155
00:53:40,159 --> 00:53:42,159
I just didn't like a lot of the matchups. But

1156
00:53:42,199 --> 00:53:43,880
we'll start with the Spurs and the Pistons and we'll

1157
00:53:43,920 --> 00:53:46,599
go Daron Fox under twenty six and a half points,

1158
00:53:46,679 --> 00:53:50,039
rebounds and assist under in every game since the All

1159
00:53:50,039 --> 00:53:53,440
Star breaking. The Pistons are fourth best defending point guards

1160
00:53:53,480 --> 00:53:55,559
not allowing points, rebounds and assists.

1161
00:53:55,599 --> 00:53:58,239
Speaker 1: So he's gonna break this streak. But I gotta be honest.

1162
00:53:58,360 --> 00:54:00,880
Speaker 2: He goes under again tonight, then gonna lower it, maybe

1163
00:54:00,920 --> 00:54:02,599
down to twenty four and a half. Then I'll be

1164
00:54:02,639 --> 00:54:04,639
looking to play in under it. But for tonight, give

1165
00:54:04,639 --> 00:54:07,400
me the under. All right, the free darts play again.

1166
00:54:07,760 --> 00:54:09,559
This is not a client play, This is just a

1167
00:54:09,559 --> 00:54:12,320
free play. This is on DraftKings. I'm gonna take a

1168
00:54:12,320 --> 00:54:14,880
look at the total and the alt totals and we're

1169
00:54:14,880 --> 00:54:18,000
gonna parlay a couple of them together. Ozempic versus Humphries.

1170
00:54:18,320 --> 00:54:21,000
That's Michael van Gerwin over eight and a half legs

1171
00:54:21,360 --> 00:54:23,639
parlayed with Clayton and Van ven to go over eight

1172
00:54:23,679 --> 00:54:24,199
and a half legs.

1173
00:54:24,239 --> 00:54:27,639
Speaker 1: That gets you minus one twenty seven. Humphreys and Ozempic

1174
00:54:27,960 --> 00:54:31,320
very very closely matched. These guys are very even. And

1175
00:54:31,559 --> 00:54:33,440
it's the same with Clayton and Van Veen. Clayton and

1176
00:54:33,519 --> 00:54:37,559
vanven both have played fantastic, especially in the first rounds.

1177
00:54:38,719 --> 00:54:41,360
The normal the normal legs or nine and a half.

1178
00:54:41,440 --> 00:54:43,119
I'm gonna lower each one to eight and a half,

1179
00:54:43,159 --> 00:54:45,599
parlay them together to get minus one twenty seven. And

1180
00:54:45,639 --> 00:54:49,800
then the aforementioned Lakers Nuggets Marcus Smart, as they would notice,

1181
00:54:49,840 --> 00:54:51,639
Marcus Smart is all sudden, shooting a.

1182
00:54:51,559 --> 00:54:53,800
Speaker 2: Lot of threes and making them. So I'll take over

1183
00:54:53,880 --> 00:54:55,880
one and a half mad threes. You're getting this a

1184
00:54:55,960 --> 00:54:59,280
plus one twenty. He's gone over in four straight. He's

1185
00:54:59,480 --> 00:55:02,239
thirty three point attempts in the last four games, which

1186
00:55:02,280 --> 00:55:04,719
is an insane amount of volume for him, and he's

1187
00:55:04,719 --> 00:55:06,639
gone over the last three games against Denver. So we'll

1188
00:55:06,639 --> 00:55:10,880
take Marcus Smart plus money over his three pointers. So

1189
00:55:13,880 --> 00:55:16,480
the flu game, I don't believe for a second Michael

1190
00:55:16,519 --> 00:55:18,320
Jordan had the flu in that game, by the way.

1191
00:55:19,000 --> 00:55:22,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, it's just too easy. It's too easy, like, oh,

1192
00:55:22,039 --> 00:55:24,159
you had the flu, Like really, where was the diagnosis?

1193
00:55:24,480 --> 00:55:25,039
Where was that?

1194
00:55:25,519 --> 00:55:27,239
Speaker 3: Where was the I didn't see the blood work?

1195
00:55:28,159 --> 00:55:31,360
Speaker 2: No, No, So all right, that's gonna do it for it, guys,

1196
00:55:31,400 --> 00:55:32,519
thanks so much for joining us.

1197
00:55:32,719 --> 00:55:33,239
Speaker 1: Great show.

1198
00:55:33,360 --> 00:55:35,920
Speaker 2: Thank you to the guest, Dan, Thank you got big

1199
00:55:36,000 --> 00:55:38,920
lacrosse play that goes off today, and then we got.

1200
00:55:38,679 --> 00:55:40,320
Speaker 1: Our golf play.

1201
00:55:40,400 --> 00:55:43,400
Speaker 2: The WTFLFG starts in about twenty minutes, so we're rooting

1202
00:55:43,440 --> 00:55:46,159
on Hedeci Matziama over Justin Thomas.

1203
00:55:46,280 --> 00:55:47,159
Speaker 1: Appreciate you guys.

1204
00:55:47,320 --> 00:55:50,119
Speaker 2: Put your Wager Talk name in the comment section right

1205
00:55:50,159 --> 00:55:51,519
after the show to win a three day pass.

1206
00:55:51,559 --> 00:55:53,639
Speaker 1: We'll be back tomorrow to get everyone ready for the weekend.

1207
00:55:53,920 --> 00:55:55,719
Go look on your bets. We'll see him later. Take care,