Speaker 1: Hello, Welcome to Way Did You Talk?
Speaker 2: Today, the gold standard of sports betting shows where we
talk to talk and walk the walks.
Speaker 1: Thursday, big big day.
Speaker 2: We got NBA primetime matchups, we got college hoops. We
got to start talking about UFC three at twenty six.
Get out ahead of these good, good numbers that the
books have given us. So Dan, we get a huge,
huge day of plays and guests. Who we got on
today's show.
Speaker 3: Yeah, absolutely loaded card tonight. Andy, we'll talk about that
in a little bit. We got a loaded show for
you as well. Yanni is back. He gets his little
midweek break so we can come back strong for the weekend.
At Yanni, We're gonna talk to Steam Report with him, Andy,
and he gonna break down this UFC card a little bit.
We're also going to end the show talking to Kyle
Anthony about the UFC three twenty six event. He's got
a best bet for you in the main event and
another fight of his choosing, so stay tuned for that.
In between. Joe Rnari He's given you three plays folks,
two in the NBA, one on the hardwood for college
basket ball, and it's a big one. Michigan laying the
lumber against Iowa. Is there a barking dog? There is
Michigan just going to continue their domination. Joe will let
you know Warriors, Rockets, Lakers, Nuggets in NBA action all
along the way, your comments, your questions as well. Andy's
gonna take you all around the world. And Andy, we
we out of a play that we like n lacrosse
so much that we're holding on to it. But here
in WTF and LFG, you've got to play here to
kick off some golf action that I just love. So
let's get this for the folks, because this is kicking off.
This is for you live viewers, because this is you know,
teeing off. I guess I should say, Andy, and about
less than an hour. So what are we betting today
in golf action?
Speaker 2: Yeah, so this goes off about one twenty pm Eastern time.
So we want to get this one out of the way.
It's the return of Justin Thomas to the PGA Tour,
and Dan, we're fading Justin Thomas.
Speaker 1: He has not played.
Speaker 2: These are his words, not my I haven't played a
competitive round of golf since the Ryder Cup. He had
hip surgery for a bulging disc in November. He was
only cleared a month ago to start driving the ball.
I heard an interview with him. He said, he's nervous,
he's anxious. This is just go out and knock the
rust off. And I don't know why he picked this tournament.
This is a brutal course. A lot of guys are
struggling out there right now.
Speaker 1: So this is a monster. So we're gonna take.
Speaker 2: A DECI Matsuyama round one minus forty to finish ahead
of Justin Thomas. They're in the same group together, so
they're gonna be playing side by side. Matsiyama finished ahead
of Justin Thomas at this event last year. Matsiyama has
been very, very good this year, very consistent. He's always
hover around that twentieth to top twenty. And this first
round for Justin Thomas is going to be kind of
kicking the rust off. And they're playing in the afternoon,
which means the course is drying out. The greens are
not as receptive. This is not a course for the
faint of heart, and it's certainly not a course for
somebody who has not played a meaningful round of golf
in about six months.
Speaker 1: So glad to have.
Speaker 2: Him back on tour, but he is fade material at
this point. So Matsie, I'm around one over Justin Thomas.
Speaker 4: I'm in on it.
Speaker 3: Andy. It's been fired in as we speak, and you
should as well because it's going in less than an hour,
real quick, before we bring Yanny in. Do want to
get your thoughts? I guess we're in like the legal
tampering period or it's all a big tampering period. Let's
be real. But DJ Moore looks like he's going to
the bills, according to Adam schefter Rob Christensen, saying his
fantasy value going up. My take, Andy, when I first
saw I said, if I'm Josh Allen and I've been
bitching to get a wide receiver for this long and
then they tell me, hey, we traded for a wide receiver, buddy,
it's not AJ Brown. We got your DJ Moore. I
don't know how I'm feeling if I'm Josh. I mean, sure,
it's an upgrade from the scrubs that he's throwing to,
But DJ Moore the number one wide receiver fix doesn't
really feel like like a huge move to me personally.
Speaker 2: Okay, so what if they tease Josh and they're like, Josh,
we traded for a wide receiver who once out, Oh
he's got a J in his first.
Speaker 1: Name as initial. Josh is like, yeah, it's like oh
j Moore.
Speaker 2: Oh oh okay, okay, it's kind of like going over
your prices right bid by five B Yeah.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, okay, sure, grade.
Speaker 3: It's it's an upgrade, for sure, Andy, Let's let's be real,
but is it a world breaking, game changing upgrade. I
don't know. It's maybe like going from Sean McDermott to
their new head coach, you know, is it better?
Speaker 4: Maybe?
Speaker 5: So?
Speaker 3: Uh yeah, Well, we'll have plenty of that stuff to
talk to and react to as we're coming up here.
But let's bring in the Greek. The Greek gambler Yanni
in the house. Yanni, Andy wasn't with us on Monday
when when you and I chatted and and you gave
out those soccer plays. Holy shit, were those free. He
gave out an over two and a half that ended
up with like six or seven goals in the game,
and then he gave the under that that one was
a bit of a sweat, but we cashed it. Yanni,
how you doing here on a Thursday welcome.
Speaker 6: Back, angry, angry. I've been up since like four thirty
this morning. Yeah, and here's why I Yesterday I defined probability,
went oh and seven. That's like two hundred to one
against and really hard to do that. It's almost as
hard as going seven and zero, probably even a little
bit harder.
Speaker 7: So a little bit angry.
Speaker 6: But then I what I do is as always went
in down, zoom out, and I zoomed out a little bit,
and it made me feel a lot better because even
after a disastrous night like that, I'm still sitting now
number two in college basketball for the season, so still
doing really well up still over fifty units for twenty
twenty six. But what pisses me off the most about
a night like that is, I know it hurt my subscribers,
like I know for a lot of guys that don't
have the discipline to manage risk correctly, that buried them.
And that to me is more disheartening than anything else.
Like it is if I'm one hundred percent confident that
every one of my guys bet it correctly, then I
wouldn't wake up angry like this. But I know, like
when I produce that bed of a night it's gonna
wipe out a lot of people even though it shouldn't.
Like That's why I love the steam room because I'm
able to help guide them through a night like that,
a week like that.
Speaker 7: A month like that.
Speaker 6: Because even during the most profitable years, you're gonna have
to face that. And if you're constantly getting wiped out,
because that's gonna happen, you have to take a step
back and figure it out again, because like a bad day, week,
month can't bury you, but I know it does. And again,
I know everyone loves free picks, they love winning information,
but that is more important than anything else, managing your
risk the right way so that when you do have
a bad, disastrous night, you still can go forward because
there's so much value. I have so much information today
to share. And that's another thing that's I'm pissed off
because I'm being selective, so I'm going lower volume and
I have so much stuff right now with all these
markets that I can't even use it for premium. So
thank god there's the steam sheet. Like again, I'm not
talenting it, but if you're ever ever gonna jump on
the steam sheet, do it during the conference tournaments and
March madness because I'm limited in the volume that I
could release. But with the power ratings and with the
influx of recreational money, there's so much freaking value on
the board. So real quickly talking about free picks, go
to wagestalk dot com. I think I have four or
five premium soccer bets pending over the next three days.
I'm pretty sure I released everyone that I did. The
subscribers also put them for free at wager Talk. But
there's one on the steam sheet today that's not I
couldn't release.
Speaker 7: It's Columbia.
Speaker 6: The off screen two of my off screen books will
no longer take any Columbia from US or any Costa Rica.
No soccer from Costa Rica. They said, no soccer from Columbia,
So I don't know what's going on in those countries,
but they do not want any action on soccer from there.
So the soccer play that we did bet from Columbia,
that's in the steam sheet, but wasn't able to use
it in the system for subscribers because that number just
moved quickly.
Speaker 7: So make a long story short, we have a lot
of info.
Speaker 6: I have college basketball, I have NBA, no NHL today
busy day of baskets that starts early. So whatever you
want to get into, I'm ready to go. We haven't
yes since Saturday.
Speaker 3: Yeah, absolutely, love and we'll talk to UFC with you
and Andy here at the end. So Yanni. Yeah, And dude,
I think this is also a teaching point for folks too.
You know, I appreciate that obviously you wake up pissed
off for these guys. But also, dude, the best, the sharpest,
the greatest minds in the world are gonna have some
of those nights, you know what I mean. It just
it just happens. Nobody wins one hundred percent of the time.
You and I talked about that on Monday. It just
doesn't happen, so real quick one more time. You know,
you mentioned how important it is, but but it's so tantamount.
Is like managing your bank role correctly. Guys, especially I know,
if you're starting out, you're probably betting plays more than
you should. You know what I mean, you got to learn,
but you know, making sure that you're managing that bank
so that oh and seven night doesn't bury you. You know,
how do you do that?
Speaker 1: Yanni?
Speaker 3: And also you know it's a good reminder and a
good sobering moment for folks to say, hey, you know,
just because there's seven plays on the board, the ace
likes that might be Hey for me and my bank role,
it's one percent each, you know what I mean? Because
you can't let that kind of night kill you, because
that night's going to happen even if you're the best,
even if you have an edge.
Speaker 7: You know this simple. Once you know you have an edge, once.
Speaker 6: You've proven over statistically significant sample size that you have
the edge, you now control your your future. You get
to determine your risk of ruin. What is the risk
that I will be wiped out and ruined? The way
you do that is by the number of units you
have available based on your bankroll. So here's what I'm
talking about. Your risk of ruin is, what's the risk
that you're going to go to zero? Even with an edge,
there's a risk you will go to zero. You're going
to lose your bankroll because of that randomness in the
short term. So to avoid that, you have to bet
small in relation to your bank roll.
Speaker 7: How small the.
Speaker 6: Truth is when you look at wager Talk and we
release plays one percent, two percent, three percent, four percent
five percent. Those are ratings, they're not bet sized recommendations
because if you're betting five percent per play, you're going broke.
That that's not me telling you, like, that's not my opinion,
that's a mathematical certainty because there's zero chance you have
a five percent edge over the Veig on all your bets.
That's just not possible because remember the Viig's already four
and a half percent, so we already have to overcome
four and a half percent before we're even profitable. So
for you to have a five percent edge over that,
that now means you have to have a ten percent
clear edge over the house. Brother, if you could find
that every bet, you're a like, why are you even
doing this? Go cure cancer and leave sports betting alone,
because you're way ahead of the rest of the universe.
So that's not even probable, let alone possible. So the
way to overcome is unit size, and your risk.
Speaker 7: Of ruin is simple.
Speaker 6: You want to keep it to ten percent risk of ruin.
You need five hundred units. That means you're going to
double your bank roll nine out of ten times, but
you will lose it one out of ten times.
Speaker 7: And that's with five hundred units. So what does that mean?
Speaker 6: If you're betting ten dollars a unit, you need five
thousand dollars.
Speaker 7: That's correct.
Speaker 6: So if you're spreading ten dollars to fifty dollars like
we do it, wait, you talk one percent, two percent,
three percent, four percent, five percent, which is just the rating.
So say you're going one x to five X saying
I'm going to do it right, betting ten dollars to
fifty dollars at the most ten dollars a unit, you
need five dimes to do that, and you'll still you'll
be at a ninety ten.
Speaker 7: But again, I don't mean to go long. I know
it's going long.
Speaker 6: The problem is how many betters out there with a
ten thousand dollars bank roll are actual or a five
thousand dollars bankroll, are actually betting that small in relation?
Very few, bro That's why ninety nine point five percent
of sports betters and accounts will lose and have negative
lifetime earnings, because even if you have an edge, if
you over bet it, you are going broke. It took
me so long to figure that out because I was
around nothing but winning groups and information. I thought I
could I could just bet and it's going to be
so easy. I'll just easily make money and nothing could
be further from the truth. Even within winning information, you
gotta bet size correctly, make it easy on yourself. Bet
one percent one percent of your bet size flat. Bet
it when you double your bank role. Now you've proven
to yourself that you have to discipline, the patience and
the ability to win long term.
Speaker 7: But until you can do that, until you could.
Speaker 6: Double your bank role by betting one percent per play,
you're not there. It's it's hard to easy to say,
but hard to do. So get that bank roll together,
whether it's one thousand dollars, start betting ten dollars a game,
and prove to yourself that you have what it takes
and you're built to win long term.
Speaker 7: Not too many people are.
Speaker 6: But this is the most important factor that's going to
determine your success or failures of sports better.
Speaker 7: How you manage your risk. Nothing more important.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I agree more and that is why Roy we
break down this quite often. You might be watching every day,
but there's plenty of people.
Speaker 6: Who in the show who have it, and I would
walk about it every day every day.
Speaker 7: I'll talk about it.
Speaker 6: Every day because I don't dude, I don't care about
the free plays. That's all nonsense. I could go five
and oh today, that's not going to change your life,
But exactly betting correctly that will change your life.
Speaker 7: It changed mine, It changed mine. I shouldn't have half
the shit I have.
Speaker 6: I finally learned to use the information at my fingertips.
I was my worst enemy by over betting my edge.
So sorry, you guys got to hear this. Hopefully for
you that are sick of hearing it, it's because it's
already sunk in. But the reason ninety nine point five
percent of all sports betting accounts have negative lifetime earnings
is because it hasn't sunk in for the majority. That's
just the bottom line.
Speaker 3: If I wouldn't break my three hundred dollars mic, I
would drop it right now because that that's absolute facts
that Yanni is preaching right now now. And folks, we
timestamp every episode for you. So if you don't want
the bank roll management talk, guess what, you can scroll
the three picks. But Yanni, let's talk this picks for yeah,
let's talk free picks. Rour guy Roy here, we'll start
in Hopes man, let's start in college basketball, and then
you can roll on over to NBA if you got
anything in NHL, and then we'll wrap things up you
and you can kick around some UFC stuff for the guys.
But let's start on the hardwood.
Speaker 7: Brother, Yes sir, Yes, sir.
Speaker 6: Here's some college basketball for you, uh regular board seven
fifty seven MTSU Middle Tennessee plus the two and a half,
seven ninety eight Valpo minus two and a half, seven
sixty eight Iowa plus the nine. They also took Iowa
plus the five in the first half, eight oh three
Manhattan plus the six. Everything else is in the added board.
Games fore oh six five seven three over one forty seven,
Howard Norfold five eight one over one forty two and
a half, Rambling, Alabama State five nine three under one
forty one and a half, American, Boston five nine three,
American plus the three, five nine seven under one forty
two and a half, holy Cross, Lehigh, and five seventy
eight NC Central minus the eight. So a lot of
information there in college basketball. Here's some NBA for you
as well. Five seventy seven Lakers plus five and a
half that got upgraded to a premium play. So subscribers
got that one five sixty four, Washington minus two minus
two and a half, five seventy Miami minus twelve and
a half, five seventy one over two twenty seven and
a half Detroit, San Antonio Spurs five seventy nine, New
Orleans minus four and a half.
Speaker 7: Two bonus picks for you.
Speaker 6: These are two totals five seventy seven over two thirty nine. Lakers,
Denver five point sixty five over two twenty nine. Dallas
Orlando especially marked those because I actually bet those a
little bit extra, and I'm this close to releasing them
the subscribers as premium plays. They're on the steam sheet,
and I'm like holding back because I'm trying to keep
low volume. But those are disc close to qualifying as premium.
So over in Dallas, over in the Lakers, there's some
hoops for you. I hope you do some damage today,
and marsh madness is upon us. Get ready to rock
and roll because a lot of opportunities make some money.
Speaker 1: All right, Janni, let's talk a little bit of a UFC.
Speaker 2: You get, uh yeah, three twenty six halloway Bulava. I
don't I don't see much movement in the main event.
I gotta be honest, that one's kind of tough for me.
And I struggled.
Speaker 1: You know, that was weird.
Speaker 2: We do our live show, crushed it, making live bets
just crushed it. And then client plays don't go well.
And so when I take a look back and I
look at what's going well for us, it's the prelimbs.
Speaker 1: I think I'm kind of done with the main card
for the time.
Speaker 7: Talked about that for a while. Dude, you already know
what to do. You already know what to do.
Speaker 1: Yeah, So that's that's where I'm settling in on.
Speaker 2: You got these guys a UFC doesn't want to cut
or doesn't want to keep around, so they're gonna get cut.
You got guys that haven't fought in two years.
Speaker 1: And you know, I look at this, I think the
Kyle Burrello near de rider line is ridiculous. What's your
thought on that?
Speaker 2: I think Deritter at plus two to twenty five plus
three hundred against Burrello.
Speaker 6: I haven't touched it, and I thought, for at first,
I'm like the Rittter, you can't you can't look worse
than he did in his last fight.
Speaker 7: Almost quitting on the stool, you.
Speaker 6: Know what I mean, and that narrative, I always say,
no one's ever as good or as bad as they
look in any one night. That's a Marco term from sports,
and so I was looking to bet de Rittter in.
Speaker 7: His next fight.
Speaker 6: The problem is Bohio's coming off a loss two against
e ma bl and that little recency bias with both
these guys ruins it a little bit. That's where I'm
forced to stay off at and the guys that I
really trust as far as breaking down matchups, they say.
Speaker 7: That this is a stylistic nightmare.
Speaker 3: For the Ridder.
Speaker 6: Now I'm not too sure of how bad of a nightmare,
but they say, like it's on paper, like this is
a terrible, terrible, terrible matchup for him, and guy that
I really respect who doesn't bet chalk was like, Bro,
I'm laid the chalk and I feel comfortable this one
should be close to the minus four hundred. So that's
kind of left me off of this fight. Main event,
I agree with you. I think the line's on point,
and sometimes that's just going to be the case where
whether you take side A or side B, they're both negative.
Ev If the book prices it correctly and you add
in the vig that's what's supposed to happen, where whether
we bet side AY or side B, there's really no
value because the book's going to make money one of
two ways, by balancing the action exactly so that they
just make the vig or by having us take the
worst of it long term, and that way they're guaranteed
the turn of profit in this spot. That's what I
think we're looking at because I do think HOLLOWEO winness
fight two out of three times, so I need better
than minus two hundred.
Speaker 7: That's not going to happen.
Speaker 6: And to bet the Oliver side, I need better than
plus two hundred, and I don't think that's going to happen.
So it kind of forces me to sit out at
the main event and the co main event. And there's
nothing wrong with that, bro, because again, I have a pick.
I have an opinion for every one of these college
basketball games today because.
Speaker 7: I have a lean and I have a power rating
my own number.
Speaker 6: So yes, I have an opinion on everything, But that
doesn't mean I'm willing to bet everything.
Speaker 7: You know what I mean.
Speaker 6: You may have a pick on every fight but are
you willing to have a bet on every fight? That's
the difference. That's where you have to separate. So there
that's the problem. I don't I don't see the value
in those fights. But I really do like this card.
I already released five premium plays to subscribers, including a
five percent. My first five percent in MMA in twenty
twenty six goes on Saturday Night. I'll give you a
dog that I released the day to subscribers, a four
percent at plus one point fifty, and that's Bruno Faheta
over Gregory Rodriguez. Robocops been on fire one two straight,
one five of his last six, and it's so hard
to do that in the UFC, especially when you get
up there in age, and now he's fighting a Faheta
who has already beaten him in the past. I like
that in the rematch winner the first six out of
ten times or greater wins the second.
Speaker 7: And he's also coming in with momentum, but.
Speaker 6: A little bit overlooked because his last one was against
the Tory, who's just looked so bad, you know, having
lost four straight fights, so he hasn't gotten any real
credit for his recent run. So I plus one fifty.
I think it's closer to a coin flip. I like
Fahanna and then I'll give you a total two that
I released the subscribers. Where did that go?
Speaker 7: Oh?
Speaker 6: Lee and Bolanos, Lee and Blanos under two featherweights. Yeah, yeah,
I like this one under because when you look at
Lee coming into the UFC, he's coming off his decision
two out of three decisions. But prior to that, when
you look at his road to the UFC, my man
was a closer first round finishes, first round finishes prior
to that finishes finishes. That happens a lot when you
first step up to the UFC. The competition is tougher
plus it's it's it's that nervousness you don't want to
lose at that level. But as they get more comfortable,
they start to let it go. They fall more back
to their style. And Bolanos is that guy that is
going to be a great dance partner for you. He
doesn't take a step backwards. So I see fireworks with
these two. I like the under two and a half.
Anything less than minus one fifty. I thought it was
the right side, and I think it was like minus
one twenty five when I released it to subscribers. So
those are two of the five premiums already released. I'm
gonna have action on Saturday. It's a paper, a numbered card,
no longer a pay per view card, but those tend
to offer some value. And the last point I want
to make, if you're betting UFC going forward, don't be
afraid to bet underdogs. Favorites are way ahead exactly seventy
eight percent through five events. Now we know historically that's
not going to be sustainable. Doesn't mean it's going to
happen on Saturday, but it does mean that it's Favorites
are costing the books a lot more than they should,
so they're juicing them up more than they should. So
if you like the better favorite this weekend, and I
have a couple on my premium lists, you gotta have
a ton of conviction like the favorites. You have to
have real strong conviction because we're paying a little more
than we should over the next couple of weeks until
this evens out a little bit, because they're getting kicked
in the mouth with a lot of five, six, seven,
eighteen parlays that are winning. Because when you have thirteen
fights and ten and eleven favorites are coming in every
single week.
Speaker 7: Rest asshured.
Speaker 6: That's costing the books a lot and they're not gonna,
you know, give you discounts on the favorites going forward,
So keep an eye out on that. And we're behind
on finishes too. Decisions are ahead, so we should see
a little more finishes.
Speaker 2: Yeah, it was that one card that really put us ahead.
It was two cards ago where we had all the decisions.
I can tell you my favorite, my favorite fight to
go the distance is actually the Comain Brallo and de Ritter.
It's only three rounds, it's not a five rounder, and
I'm kind of looking at that going who finishes who you?
Speaker 8: You work with you because the ridder doesn't let the
ridder I think if he if he's who we think
he is, and that was just a tough night, a
bad night, and he was trying to do five fights
in one year or something like that, then this guy's
gonna die on his sword Saturday.
Speaker 6: Like having that narrative, kind of like Charles O Lavera
once he had that narrative that he's a quitter and
then he went balls to the wall after that, and
it's like you had to kill this guy to get
him out of there. And I'm hoping we see that
with the Ridder on Saturday, that even if Bohio is
the better you know, technician or fighter, that the Ridder's like, no,
I'm not a quitter because now that's the Moniker and
it sucks you know that.
Speaker 2: Oh I oh, I have a completely different theory about
the Ridder. So all right, this was this was in
November and he had neurovirus. Okay, yeah, they say it
takes about two months to fully recover out of that,
and he said, I'm thirty five. I got to get
as many fights as possible. This is like my last hurrah.
I think he's on a special vitamins diet. How this
is so quick of a turnaround time for somebody that
just got nuked by Brendan Allen.
Speaker 1: I think is gonna show up in the best shape
of his life.
Speaker 3: I think he's gonna looked. I don't doubt it.
Speaker 1: I think he's gonna look real good. And I think
this is really really even. I mean, I've been a
Kyle Barollo fan.
Speaker 2: I've watched him and uh, I've been making money on
that guy since Contender series the first day and the
second time that he fought on Contender Series, So I
worry about Barollo.
Speaker 1: On that one.
Speaker 2: Curious before we let you go, just your take on
some of these fighters that like Rdolpho Blato, Gaston Blagos,
even Cody Durden and Cody Brandige.
Speaker 1: I mean, these guys are hanging onto their roster spot
by a thread.
Speaker 2: Is do you think these matchups are UFC's like trying
to get him out of here, Let's bring in the
young guys or what.
Speaker 6: We've seen that we're seeing more and more in that that.
I can't believe you just said mentioned that because we
were actually talking about that. I taped yesterday at the
Apex and we were talking about that very subject that
it seems like they're getting rid of the old guard.
Like if if the old guard's being able to stand
there and be, you know, gatekeepers, they're sticking around. But
if they show that they can't be a gatekeeper, they're
catting them right now. And they're bringing in youth. That's
especially you see in the flyweight division. They're doing that
in the fly weights, like bring in the Joshua Vans,
bring in all these young guys.
Speaker 7: And I agree with you.
Speaker 6: I think that for a lot of these veterans, it's
kind of like they're less shots, especially if they're on
a two to three fight losing streak. This is that
get them a young guy. If he's able to pass him,
then okay, he has the gatekeeper status. If not, the
young guy gets a good name on his resume and
we could get rid of the you know, baggage, extra
baggage because of now it's three, four or five losses
in a row.
Speaker 7: So yeah, I agree with you. And it just it's
it makes business.
Speaker 6: It's not even like, oh, it's a setup or this,
and it's just good business, you know what I mean.
Speaker 2: Look at Lonnie Kavanaugh comes all the lost There was
no other bigger example of that. Even you can even
go back to Josh Van Legit beating Brandon roy Vall.
I don't count the Pantosia. But and now look it's
Van and Tyra.
Speaker 7: That's the I agree.
Speaker 2: I agree, Yeah, yeah, it's really interesting stuff.
Speaker 1: So all right, Yannie, what do you have about for everybody?
On Thursday?
Speaker 6: All right, the steam sheet is up and out. It's
got NBA, college basketball, NHL. I don't know if there's
any NHL yet because I don't have any NHL yet,
and soccer, the Colombian soccer if you can find it.
I have my UFC package up with a five percent
the first of the year, and over at sports Memo,
I have an afternoon college basketball. I swear to you,
I'm gonna go downstairs and bet this one cash. It
was this close to being a five percent play. I
held back because I don't know how to do a
five percent play over a sportsman like I not do
it at five percent. We do it at Wages Talk
and over sports Memo. But I'm like, there, it's everything's
one percent, So how would they even know that it's
a lot stronger? Fuck it, I'm four percent at Wages Talk,
one percent there. But I'm letting you know I like
it a lot. It's for seven dollars. It's a really
really strong bet. Know that I'm back in that opinion
with a lot of my cash. So that's over their
sports memo for only seven dollars. And I put together
a college basketball pass because even after the oh to
five on that college basketball package yesterday, number to the
profit and I like today's college basketball package that's up
two four percents already in there, two to three percents
already in there, and hopefully confirm another player too before
the end of the day.
Speaker 1: All right, Janni the Greek, thank you very much for
coming on.
Speaker 3: Brother.
Speaker 1: Good luck, good luck today we will yeah damn, we
can go Yeah, we can go over here.
Speaker 2: So Joe was supposed to be on the show. He
is not on the show today.
Speaker 3: Have you recalled?
Speaker 4: Is this?
Speaker 3: This is? This is becoming the recurring theme. He's like,
it's like Matt Damon on. You remember it was like
on Kimmel's show they would always like, bump Matt Damon.
I feel like Joe's kind of Matt damoning us. We're
the one getting bumped. So uh yeah. Unfortunately, if we
hear from Joe, we'll have him on. He had, you know,
two NBA plays for you, had a college basketball play
for you. We'll see what we can. We can dig
up in the meantime.
Speaker 1: But but yeah, Dan, when close, well no, but when
one door closes, another opens. Remember what we did last time,
was I broke down impromptu Joe's and if I went
to and oh or ozho and two we give away
a three day pass back. Oh yeah, of course, running
it back the people. Golden State Warriors.
Speaker 3: I am.
Speaker 1: I am so shooting from the hip on this one.
I have not researched these games.
Speaker 2: Houston, Mighty State and a half over under two thirteen
and a half. Look at the Golden State Warriors one
fourteen one one lost the Clippers. They get boat raced
by the Lakers, and they are on the road here
at Houston, which is a nightmare of a spot here.
The Rockets, obviously in playoff mode, worry about the chemistry,
but this is such a great spot for them. Their
last couple of games have gone over. This total total
seems way too low. I'm going with the over two
thirteen and a half for Houston and Golden State and
the next game we got the Lakers and the Nuggets.
Or yeah, I'll do the college game. Yeah, give me
the college game.
Speaker 3: You want it?
Speaker 1: Andy, Yeah, give me the college game? All right? All right?
Speaker 3: What do you think on this? And then Joe is here,
so we're going to see how your picks compared to
Joe's picks on this one.
Speaker 1: Michigan minus eight and a half. Easy call.
Speaker 2: Shout out to the Detroit office. Next NBA game, that
was that easy?
Speaker 3: That was that easy.
Speaker 1: And yeah, that was that easy.
Speaker 3: Uh.
Speaker 1: I don't even need to see the line. It's the Nuggets.
Speaker 3: Uh.
Speaker 2: The Lakers are front runners. They beat the bad teams,
they lose to the good teams. Jokich is gonna make
DeAndre eight in his midnight snack tonight.
Speaker 5: Uh.
Speaker 2: So I'm going to lay the points with the Nuggets
and take the over for the Houston Rockets in the
Golden State Warriors. After the show in the comments section,
put your wager talk user name. And it doesn't mean
you don't have to guess if I'm gonna go oh
in two or two or oh if I sweep the
board one way or the other, we're gonna pick a winner.
So all you have to do is comment below with
your wager talk user name and if I, if I sweep
one way or there, if we have perfection or complete failure,
someone's gonna win a three day pass.
Speaker 1: Boom.
Speaker 3: I love it. I love it, Andy, And look at this.
We get a tip from the best day ever. He said,
I'm giving five bucks if it means we got Joe, Mother,
f and RNERI in the house. So we got we
got a tip simply because he saw Joe's Joe's gonna
beat here. I don't do it, brother, get it going.
Speaker 9: First of all, Andy, I do want to let you
know it just came down that it looks like Anthony
Edwards now questionable tonight for Minnesota against Toronto, and that
is I'm starting to see the Toronto line actually crater
down to about four four and a half.
Speaker 4: So keep an eye on whether or not he is.
Speaker 9: And without him, I listen, I don't trust Minnesota to
begin with, but without Anthony Edwards and Toronto being pretty
desperate right now but healthy, I keep an eye on
that because you know what's gonna happen.
Speaker 4: It could be the headfake.
Speaker 9: All of a sudden he's fine, and all of a sudden,
this line gets shot back up to like minus six
minus six and a half. But as of right now,
he just made the questionable list here, So we've got
to keep an eye on that.
Speaker 4: And I'm with you.
Speaker 9: Shout out to the Detroit office. Iowa, listen, this isn't
Iowa football. Like they're not gonna punt nineteen times and
win eight to six. Like that's not gonna have They're
not gonna play great defense. No, they're gonna get absolutely demolished,
which is exactly what they should get for a team
that can barely score seventy points a game. Into Big Ten,
and I know Michigan State's on deck for Michigan, but
I'm not buying it. Man. We just talked to Art
Arts like, Wow, we're getting a lot of Iowa love.
Speaker 4: Not for me or not.
Speaker 9: I think it's Michigan all day long. I think they
win by double digits, and then I think they are
looking very forward to Senior Day on Sunday so they
can put the SmackDown on Michigan State once again as well.
Speaker 1: Andy, let's move to NBA here real quick.
Speaker 2: My take on the Lakers and the Nuggets is that
just any time I yeah, anytime I see the Lakers
going up against the playoff caliber team, I just want
to fade him. I mean, the record speaks for itself,
and listen, what are they supposed to do? Like, you know,
they beat the bad teams, they you know, lose to
the to the good teams. I actually said in the moment,
and I thought this Luca trade was not nearly the
disaster that everyone made it out to be. I think
Lucas showing kind of his true colors. This guy is
not easy to play with, no matter who you put
around him. I like Denver Lakers are a fade against
playoff teams.
Speaker 1: What do you think?
Speaker 9: But I'm with you, but Denver has been just so annoying.
I mean they cannot First of all, they can't play
any defense. Apparently Aaron Gordon should be their MVP, because
without him they can't stop anybody. They give up, you know,
one hundred and twenty plus points to teams and everything
is his struggle. So the thing with I mean, you're
spot off with the Lakers. The thing with the Lakers
is they can't beat anybody with a pulse. They beat
everyone else that's half dead, but they can't beat anybody
in the pulse. Denver has a pulse. Denver at home
here now just a half a game, which is mind
numbing to me that you've had the Joker back, who's
a triple double machine, and now all of a sudden,
the Lakers are just a half a game out of
that fifth spot there, that fifth seed spot, with about
twenty two games left to go in the season. I
just don't trust the Lakers on the road. I can't
sweat out an under here either, because I can't trust
either of them to.
Speaker 4: Play enough defense to slow each other down.
Speaker 9: I'm with you, I'd only look at the over and
I would only look at Denver in this spot here tonight.
Speaker 2: Golden State Warriors in Houston Rockets just on yeah, just
on the surface.
Speaker 3: You, Joe.
Speaker 1: The two thirteen and a half just seems way low. Look,
it was two forty the previous game.
Speaker 2: Someone's get Rockets probably get to one to twenty in
this one. Warriors aren't putting up much of a fight.
I just this is just incredibly too low of a line.
What's your take?
Speaker 9: Listen, The problem is with the Warriors is they at
least they have an understanding of who they are, which
is god awful. But they understand that their path for
victory is going without Steph Curry. Is we still have
to chuck up as many three point shots as we
can in a game.
Speaker 4: And that's the whole rub there, Andy, Right.
Speaker 9: If they make enough of them, and they will, I mean,
this is a team that will have no problem taking
thirty five forty threes a game if they make at
least enough of them. I don't see how this game
stays under Andy. I think that's the whole thing. I
don't think the Rockets. I think the Rockets will score
their customary amount of points here. I mean, what do
we need one hundred and ten or fifteen points from them?
The Warriors should have no problem adding to that, especially
with the amount of the volume of threes that they're
gonna take here, you know, Houston.
Speaker 4: To me, yes, they're gonna win this game.
Speaker 9: I don't know what the Golden State Warrior love and
the market is makes kind of no sense that this
was nine and a half. It's down to eight and
a half. But I'm with you on the total. The
Warriors are gonna take forty more threes. They don't have
to make a ton of them for this thing to
go flying over to total.
Speaker 3: Andy, I'm with you.
Speaker 1: Oh nice? How about that?
Speaker 3: All right?
Speaker 1: Agreement?
Speaker 2: Comment below if you think going and two or two
and oh or give it away a three day pass,
all you have to do is put your wager talk
use a name in there. Joe, what do you have
up everybody for this Thursday? Tell us about best best
sports betting show, give us, give us the stick.
Speaker 9: Well, make sure you check it out today because you
got the president Whistler here and apparently all his friends
left him today because they couldn't spend any more time
with him. Smart folks by there by himself, which is
probably best for all. However, Art dropped by here today.
Art's got some interesting information on some of the sharp
bets here today. Make sure you guys take a listen
to that. We did hit our parlay of the day.
Speaker 4: Yesterday in the show.
Speaker 9: We've got another one for you here today hit another
four percent NBA best bet. Charlotte is the You gotta
love this Charlotte team, man, All they do is cash
tickets andy every week. The best NBA team since January one.
They're above five hundred now and I don't see them
slowing down. But I got another four percent best bet
here tonight. That's up along with a couple of college
basketball best bets all available and take advantage by the way,
buy three get three. That's one of the better promos here,
especially heading into the weekend. Now would be the time
to hop on board with that Buy three get three
here over at wager talk dot com. That's one of
my favorite ones right there.
Speaker 2: The Hornets benefited from Derek White and Jalen Brown attempting
to shoot their way out of their shooting slump.
Speaker 1: Last night. I watched the first corner of that game,
and I was like, oh, I see where this is going.
Speaker 3: Shoot, Like what is.
Speaker 4: The rush to bring a guy that blew is? Like?
What are we doing here?
Speaker 9: Like nobody from the East is beating anybody from the West. Like,
just keep him shelved and get them healthy for next year.
Speaker 3: I don't.
Speaker 9: I hope it works out for him because I like Tatum,
but I don't get the rush here.
Speaker 4: I really don't.
Speaker 1: I'm kind of with you on it.
Speaker 2: I would be terrified if my Pacers were bringing back Haliburton, right,
I'd be terrified.
Speaker 4: For who for what? Yeah, I don't get. But he's
playing tomorrow, that's what.
Speaker 5: Yeah.
Speaker 1: Sorry, Yeah, I don't know.
Speaker 2: I don't know what went wrong for Boston last night, Joe,
But they took seventy nine shots. Derek White took seventeen
of them, Jalen Brown took nineteen, and Vucevich took ten.
Speaker 4: That's it. Well, that explained everything that went wrong with
them last.
Speaker 9: Night there, So yeah, good recipe to losing. That's good stuff, Boston. Yeah,
maybe you should bring back Tatum then? Good lord?
Speaker 7: All right?
Speaker 1: Joe's got a four percent best bet that is up.
Thanks for joining us, Joe, appreciate your brother.
Speaker 3: See you guys a good one.
Speaker 2: All right, let's bring in Kylee Anthony real quick, well
I mean not real quick, but let's bring in Kylee
Anthony and then we'll do all around quick.
Speaker 1: Bring Kyle Anthony, but not talk quickly. But sorry about that.
Words words not my fourth.
Speaker 5: Word get tricky sometimes do so, Kyle.
Speaker 2: You're you're tasked with breaking down the main event when
you come on here, and I got to be honest,
this one's difficult for me. Max Hallowey and Charles Olivera
we've seen these guys have been of our in our
lives for a long long time.
Speaker 1: It's the BMF title.
Speaker 2: So I'm interested in your breakdown because I think the
money lines are dialed in about perfect.
Speaker 1: We've seen very little movement on it. So break down
this fight. How are we playing it?
Speaker 5: Yeah, so you got Max Holloway, he's sitting around the
minus two to twenty mark on the comeback here, We've
got Charles Olavera about plus one eight. So you know
what you're getting from Max? Right, We know we're getting
a lot of volume. He's a volume machine. He's going
to come forward, he's going to push the page. He has,
you know, probably elite level striking, fast developing combinations, good footwork,
good distance management, all of those things. Now, since he's
moved up to one hundred and fifty five pounds, he's
looked fantastic. I mean, you know, I think really now
we're seeing him kind of build into that frame. We're
seeing the power. We're seeing him again have add onto
that size, not switching, you know, going back down, back up,
and wait, he's sticking here. Now you look at Charles Olivera,
obviously another elite level fighter. Guy has fought and not
a lot of elite level fighters. The biggest glaring issue
that I see on the Olivera side is going to
be his durability. And this is something that we probably
have seen throughout his career. I mean, over the last
seven eight fights, he's always hurt. You know, even in
a win, he gets hurt, he gets rocked, he gets wobbled.
A lot of those things really are starting to be
a little bit you know, sticking out a little bit more,
especially now he's thirty six years old. But we did
cash a four unit play on Charles Olivera in his
last fight against Gamrot. It was a nice win. He
went out there, pick him price tag, got the job done.
That's great and all, But what I didn't like is
really the how Charles was absorbing shots against Gamra. Gamrat
is a pure wrestler, doesn't have striking, doesn't really offer
much on the feet, and although he still was able
to hurt Charles Lavera, I thought that was a bad sign. Yes,
Charles got the job done, all of those things you know,
still came into effect, but getting rocked by him, I
think someone like Max Holly is going to land at
a higher clip. I think he's got the cleaner striking.
I think he's got the the far faster handsbeet compared
to Gamra. And then you also you have to put
in will Charles get the takedowns, because that's really where
he could win this fight? You know, of course on
the feed it's a possibility, but really getting these takedowns,
and I don't really think so because it hasn't been
something that Charles has really gone to very successfully. Over
his last eight fights. He only has six takedowns. Now,
some of those fights obviously were early. They ended in
the first or second round, but either way, over the
last eight fights, only six takedowns in total. Five of
the six takedowns we're against Michael Chandler, and that was
a fight which kind of wasn't really the greatest showing
for Charles. He was five for twelve on takedowns in
that fight. Fifteen minutes of control. Times needed those takedowns
in order to find success here, and Charles forty percent
takedown success rate, you've got Max at eighty three percent
takedown defense rate. Yes, he has not faced the highest
level when you're talking about just pure wrestlers, but Max
is well rounded. Max is able to kind of keep
this on the feet, and that's where I see this
going here. I think this plays out on the feet.
I think you've got to look at Max Holloy being
the far more polished striker, gonna be probably the harder
hitter between these two. Also, you got Charles who's willing
to engage. He's willing to go in there and throw,
He's gonna be willing to brawl. He even has said
it in multiple interviews this is for the BMF title.
I'm going forward. I'm going for it. You know Max,
you know, wants to point down and throw. I'm throwing.
This is a guy that's very hittable, doesn't have good
striking defense, doesn't have a good chin. These are very
bad things they look at Max. Two of his last
three wins were by knockout. The one that was and
was against Dustin Pourier, which is a fight where he
almost knocked Pourie out, and Pourier is known for his durability.
So I think the speed, the volume, the takedown defense
is all gonna work out well for Max Hollowy. So
I like the knockout here. I think Max Hollowy gets
this knockout. It's sitting around plus one seventy five. I
think that chin is getting chinned, and I'm taking Max
by knockout.
Speaker 2: I saw Charles Olivera finally would admit to what I've
known for years, which is Jerrem say is like, yeah,
I know my hair is falling out because I keep
dying it blonde.
Speaker 1: But it's like my thing. It's like when I when
my hair goes.
Speaker 2: Blonde, I know I'm ready to go to war. And
I like, for years I've been like, why does he
keep dying his hair blonding?
Speaker 4: Yeah's camp.
Speaker 5: They're all gonna do it. They're all gonna go in.
Like I said, now he's thirty six. The hairlines receding
a little bit. The chemicals are getting in the skull
a little bit, and that's you know, that's part of
the game.
Speaker 1: Like it's cool to do in high school. Your here's
gonna grow back quick. But yeah, you get forty even
die in your hair blood. You're asking for.
Speaker 4: Some you can't do it. Now.
Speaker 5: He got a stick, he's got to stick with it.
He's got to stick with.
Speaker 2: It, all right, holloway by Ko all right, we're going
next to Rob Fought and Raoul Roases Junior. You could
not ask for a different stylistic matchup. Uh, you got
Raul Roases who pretty much can't strike but could wrestle.
You got Rob Font who can't wrestle but absolutely can strike.
Speaker 1: So clash the styles. How do you break this one down?
Speaker 5: Yes, you've got Roald Roases Junior. He's minus two thirty.
I'm gonna come back here, rolbh Font plus one eighty five.
And you've got Roald Roases Junior. He's five to one
in the UFC. He's twenty one years old. He got
into the UFC at eighteen, so obviously, you know, you know,
he's growing up in the sport. He's primarily a wrestler,
gonna look to wrestle, but the UFC is definitely kind
of giving them very soft matchups overall. You know, they're
they don't want to throw them to the wolves. They've
kind of given them the stylistic matchups that can work
out for him, And of course he's he's had some
nice success there. Well, You've got Rob Font on the
other side, who you know, I's bought the who's who
of the division, threw out probably over the last eight years.
He's bought some of the top level guys. You know,
he's been a journeyman. You know, he's won some, he's
lost some, but he's always had some good performances and
he's always shown a lot when he's out there. And
you've got a situation here where you know, Font is
taking a step down in competition level and you've got
Roe who's taking a step up in competition. I think that,
you know, kind of makes the odds look a little
wide when you're looking at it. But obviously the wrestling
is where that Rosa needs to go.
Speaker 3: Here.
Speaker 5: He needs to push the pace. He needs to not
have any kind of striking because font is clearly the
better striker. He's got the better boxing, a great job.
Speaker 3: He mixes it.
Speaker 5: Up very very well on the feet, while most of
what Rosas does on the feet it's strikes to cut distance.
He's just looking to get his hands on You're looking
to cut that distance, throw a couple of shots, get
in front of it, and then look for those takedowns.
And that's kind of where I look at. This is
where the biggest vulnerability really is for Rob BoNT Is.
He is just to being taken down. Over his last
five fights, He's been taken down twenty two times now.
He's scrambled, he's gotten back to his feet in certain spots.
But the path to victory is there for Rosas, and
that's really how this is going to go play out.
But you also got to look at the fact that
Rosas has been fighting to very small margins. I mean,
he's just barely won some fights where he really should
be dominating. His last two fights went to a decision
against Rici Line, very close fight. He needed the takedown
seven and a half minutes of control time to bank
the rounds. But the eye opener was really his most
recent fight against Vince Morales. I mean, he should be
dunking on Vince Morales, and he went out there. Significant
strikes landed was twenty to seventeen on significant strikes. It
was four takedowns, the ten minutes of control time which
gave Raoul Rosas the victory, banked the rounds. And that's
interesting enough. But when you even rewatch the fight, I
mean there are response where Morales was sinking in a submission,
was reversing Raoul Rosas on the ground, and it just
was a bad look for him him overall. Now, I
don't hate anybody taking the Ralph Font side. I don't
I mean, anyone who's looking to take that side. I
do not blame them for it. But I'm actually gonna
think that Raoul is gonna get these takedowns, He's gonna
get the control time. I think there could be a
lot of luws in this fight here where he's just
kind of laying on him, controlling him. Because Rauld Rosays
only averages one and a half significant strikes landed per minute.
Font lands nearly seven per minute, So it's gonna be
a control time thing here, So I do think it
goes to the judge score cards. I think Roy Ruld
just kind of edges this out and you get him
by decision is plus one twenty. So I think rau
will kind of you know, is a scrappy fight, competitive rounds,
but I do think that rule gets it on the
judge scorecards. And plus one to twenty not a bad
number there.
Speaker 1: All right, So I put I put Holloway by Ko.
Speaker 2: I parlayed it with Rosas by decision to get plus
four fifty six we need.
Speaker 1: Let's let's add a submission.
Speaker 2: Win your nominee off the bat are to bias over
dr DR's got some of the worst ground defense in
the world to mend den bar all after Cody Durdin
blows his will in the first round and then gets
that one where.
Speaker 5: I lean Cody, I do lean Cody, But let me
tell you something. If there's ever something that's live, it's
Cody completely screwing up in that second round and sticking
his head of the wrong spot. So that's not a
bad one either.
Speaker 1: All right, let's do that one gets us twenty four
to one. Twenty four to one Holloway by Ko Roses
by decision and to mend Den Barrell by submission. There's
your all, and maybe maybe we could throw like Cody
Brundage to win by DQ and heim back to that head.
Speaker 5: You know, as soon as he goes down, he's turning
that head and he's like, get me, get me right
back here, right.
Speaker 1: Back here, and I'll milk that thing. So, Kyle, what
do you have up for UFC three twenty big big card?
Speaker 5: Yeah, so this is a really great card. I mean,
one thing that's been certain is that pay per views
have always been good to us, So I'm excited about
this card. There's obviously everyone loves the name recognition on
these cards, but this is a very good card for betting.
Speaker 3: Love.
Speaker 5: The spots that I have right now have a five
percent up. I'm gonna be adding to that. Again. This
is probably gonna be a six or seven plays that
I'm gonna be having by fight night, so we'll be
adding to that. Check it out wagertalk dot com and
let's get it done this Saturday.
Speaker 2: Kyle Anthony giving you props, giving you breakdowns on the
main event.
Speaker 1: Thank you so much.
Speaker 2: Look forward to your segment every single week talking USC KYLEI, Anthony, everyone,
thank you so much.
Speaker 4: Take care.
Speaker 2: All right, Dan, We can do all around the world.
But I want to talk about what we have up.
Steven asked earlier. Is the lacrosse play up for sale?
Don't get just the lacrosse play. We got a monster
a few days. We have a five percent rugby play
that goes off, it starts tomorrow. We've got a five
percent UFC Best Bet that go off on Saturday. You've
got lacrosse, and you've got multiple leagues. We got n
C Double A, we got PLLL.
Speaker 1: We hit our NBA play.
Speaker 2: Last night, and we hit it in a fashion that
makes me feel good about our momentum moving forward. I
was a little worried we were gonna lose by the hook,
but he comes it back and they took him out
of the game. And the fourth when we were down
by the hook and I was like, oh god, he's
not going to come back in.
Speaker 1: He came back in gets us over. So I feel good.
Speaker 2: And the bye six days for the price of three
is a no brainers. You get a three day pass,
you get three days added on that. Don't buy just
one play. It's sixty nine dollars and Steven, you're gonna
get every lacrosse play, even even if you just want
to get lacrosse.
Speaker 1: Lock that in and pick and choose what plays.
Speaker 2: We got a Bettable NASCAR race as well, so some
really good things coming in.
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, Dan, can we pull up who won the
flex pass yesterday?
Speaker 3: Oh yeah, yeah, let me throw this in here, Andy,
I forgot to drop it in there.
Speaker 4: Thank you.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I loved I loved the comment from the from
from our gall send it in.
Speaker 1: Let me pull it up for you here. So yes,
uh yeah, my pacers pacers never stood it. It was
like I looked and I was like, that's probably in
the second quarter.
Speaker 2: How close are the Pacers? And I turned it all
they were down twenty three, and.
Speaker 1: I was like, okay, all right. By the way, I'm
glad they didn't put out a line on Ben Shephard.
He didn't even come close.
Speaker 3: So well, see they were protecting us. But yeah, so
we got all about my bills, big time winner the
day Bills. Yeah, it all comes full circle here at
the at the end of the show here. But yeah,
I like how he said I'm taking Teddy in the
Buffalo Braves. I mean I mean like Clippers, So a
good breakdown there from our man Bill's Mafia. Your past
has already been added, so was a congrats to you, buddy.
And pays to win, folks. It pays to comment here
as well. Even today Andy broke down some of my
NBA games, and obviously the college basketball game for you
goes to and oh, you're gonna win, but how do
you win? You comment below with your wager name. Guess
what he goes, Oh, and two you're gonna win as well,
so drop a comment, include your way to talk user name,
and you're entered in there, so we'll circle back to
that one. Then.
Speaker 1: I'm feeling better, Dan, I I was watching it.
Speaker 10: Seems like it that's what I wasn't gonna ask beat well,
So yesterday during the show, my eyes kept watering and
then I realized my eye has been watering for like
three days, and that's the symptom of the flu.
Speaker 1: So I clearly have had the flu for a while.
Speaker 4: So but.
Speaker 2: Let's do some free plays here and before we get
out of here, so I do not have an official
client play for darts, So take this darts play for
what this was the week we were worried about because
I just didn't like a lot of the matchups. But
we'll start with the Spurs and the Pistons and we'll
go Daron Fox under twenty six and a half points,
rebounds and assist under in every game since the All
Star breaking. The Pistons are fourth best defending point guards
not allowing points, rebounds and assists.
Speaker 1: So he's gonna break this streak. But I gotta be honest.
Speaker 2: He goes under again tonight, then gonna lower it, maybe
down to twenty four and a half. Then I'll be
looking to play in under it. But for tonight, give
me the under. All right, the free darts play again.
This is not a client play, This is just a
free play. This is on DraftKings. I'm gonna take a
look at the total and the alt totals and we're
gonna parlay a couple of them together. Ozempic versus Humphries.
That's Michael van Gerwin over eight and a half legs
parlayed with Clayton and Van ven to go over eight
and a half legs.
Speaker 1: That gets you minus one twenty seven. Humphreys and Ozempic
very very closely matched. These guys are very even. And
it's the same with Clayton and Van Veen. Clayton and
vanven both have played fantastic, especially in the first rounds.
The normal the normal legs or nine and a half.
I'm gonna lower each one to eight and a half,
parlay them together to get minus one twenty seven. And
then the aforementioned Lakers Nuggets Marcus Smart, as they would notice,
Marcus Smart is all sudden, shooting a.
Speaker 2: Lot of threes and making them. So I'll take over
one and a half mad threes. You're getting this a
plus one twenty. He's gone over in four straight. He's
thirty three point attempts in the last four games, which
is an insane amount of volume for him, and he's
gone over the last three games against Denver. So we'll
take Marcus Smart plus money over his three pointers. So
the flu game, I don't believe for a second Michael
Jordan had the flu in that game, by the way.
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, it's just too easy. It's too easy, like, oh,
you had the flu, Like really, where was the diagnosis?
Where was that?
Speaker 3: Where was the I didn't see the blood work?
Speaker 2: No, No, So all right, that's gonna do it for it, guys,
thanks so much for joining us.
Speaker 1: Great show.
Speaker 2: Thank you to the guest, Dan, Thank you got big
lacrosse play that goes off today, and then we got.
Speaker 1: Our golf play.
Speaker 2: The WTFLFG starts in about twenty minutes, so we're rooting
on Hedeci Matziama over Justin Thomas.
Speaker 1: Appreciate you guys.
Speaker 2: Put your Wager Talk name in the comment section right
after the show to win a three day pass.
Speaker 1: We'll be back tomorrow to get everyone ready for the weekend.
Go look on your bets. We'll see him later. Take care,