1 00:00:23,679 --> 00:00:33,240 Speaker 1: And and Hi, how are you welcome? Welcome to the 2 00:00:33,280 --> 00:00:37,399 Big Podcast. It is Wednesday. Today is the twenty sixth 3 00:00:37,479 --> 00:00:40,920 day of November, Year of Our Lord, twenty and twenty five. 4 00:00:41,039 --> 00:00:45,280 My name is Tom Sullivan. We asked we're getting set 5 00:00:45,320 --> 00:00:49,200 to record today. There is breaking news out of Washington, 6 00:00:49,280 --> 00:00:55,119 d C. Two of the National Guard troops have been shot. 7 00:00:55,399 --> 00:00:57,000 It was just about a block and a half from 8 00:00:57,039 --> 00:00:59,840 the White House for those of you familiar with Washington, 9 00:01:00,119 --> 00:01:06,760 at seventeenth and H Street by Farragut Park. So apparently 10 00:01:06,760 --> 00:01:09,959 there was by some citizens reporting there was a shootout. 11 00:01:10,000 --> 00:01:14,040 So the originally when the National Guard was sent to Washington, 12 00:01:14,120 --> 00:01:17,400 d C. They were unarmed, but since then they have 13 00:01:17,599 --> 00:01:23,040 replaced some of those with troops from West Virginia and 14 00:01:23,079 --> 00:01:28,000 from Georgia. Well, these two soldiers apparently are from West Virginia. 15 00:01:28,560 --> 00:01:31,640 And to add to the confusion, the West Virginia governor 16 00:01:32,159 --> 00:01:34,159 had sent out this is why I'm a little delayed 17 00:01:34,159 --> 00:01:38,159 getting started here today. He sent out a tweet saying 18 00:01:38,239 --> 00:01:42,319 that they died, the two soldiers had been killed. Then 19 00:01:42,959 --> 00:01:46,159 half an hour later he says, well, we're not sure, 20 00:01:46,920 --> 00:01:49,799 so there's a lot of confusion, and I'm sure that 21 00:01:49,840 --> 00:01:52,480 will be sorted out as we work our way through here. 22 00:01:52,519 --> 00:01:57,439 But this was apparently a shootout, so the West Virginia 23 00:01:57,799 --> 00:02:04,000 National Guard soldiers are armed, and this will bring up 24 00:02:04,640 --> 00:02:08,719 the whole discussion about National Guard troops that are being 25 00:02:08,759 --> 00:02:13,360 sent to cities, especially those from other jurisdictions, other states. 26 00:02:13,919 --> 00:02:20,039 There are apparently, according to WRC in Washington, nine hundred 27 00:02:20,080 --> 00:02:26,520 and fifty national Guard troops on duty in our nation's capital, 28 00:02:27,000 --> 00:02:31,719 four hundred and twenty of those about half from West Virginia, 29 00:02:31,879 --> 00:02:35,280 and I'm not sure if the balance is Georgia or not, 30 00:02:35,439 --> 00:02:38,800 but it's so it's a breaking story, and we'll bring 31 00:02:38,879 --> 00:02:44,599 up the whole discussion about National Guard troops in patrolling 32 00:02:44,840 --> 00:02:48,560 in our nation city. The story I wanted to start 33 00:02:48,599 --> 00:02:54,479 with today was how the word affordability. It was brought 34 00:02:54,560 --> 00:03:02,240 up after the Democrats won Virginia and New Jersey governorships 35 00:03:02,759 --> 00:03:07,039 and also ma'm Donnie's win in New York City about affordability, 36 00:03:08,759 --> 00:03:12,319 and the President brushed it off and said, it's that's 37 00:03:12,360 --> 00:03:15,159 a Democrat hoax. You know, we're doing better than we 38 00:03:15,240 --> 00:03:18,159 ever have and all that, but that's the way he talks. 39 00:03:18,639 --> 00:03:23,319 The thing is, there's always been an issue around affordability. 40 00:03:23,360 --> 00:03:26,080 For as long as I can remember. There are always 41 00:03:26,159 --> 00:03:30,680 people that are struggling. There are always people that are 42 00:03:31,000 --> 00:03:35,319 far from struggling. They've got plenty of money. So it's 43 00:03:35,360 --> 00:03:42,240 interesting as we approach the holiday buying season. Yeah, the 44 00:03:42,280 --> 00:03:47,639 commercialization of Christmas, the fact that there are a lot 45 00:03:47,639 --> 00:03:50,879 of and I've learned this over the years. Alan green 46 00:03:50,960 --> 00:03:54,560 Spent even one time made a comment about one of 47 00:03:54,599 --> 00:03:56,800 the statistics that he likes to follow when he was 48 00:03:56,840 --> 00:03:58,639 the FED chairman. He says, I like to see what 49 00:03:58,759 --> 00:04:02,159 people do, not what they say say. So people are 50 00:04:02,240 --> 00:04:06,159 saying to the pollsters that oh, yeah, we're going to 51 00:04:06,159 --> 00:04:08,400 be cutting back on Christmas, We're going to be cutting 52 00:04:08,439 --> 00:04:14,520 back on everything that we're doing. And I'm looking and 53 00:04:14,680 --> 00:04:20,759 I'm seeing the crowds that are traveling, record level travelers 54 00:04:21,680 --> 00:04:25,720 this Thanksgiving week. So if you don't have any money, 55 00:04:25,800 --> 00:04:28,519 it's stay home. But apparently there's a lot of people 56 00:04:28,560 --> 00:04:34,079 who have enough money to go travel. And well, I've 57 00:04:34,079 --> 00:04:36,480 got a clip for you too from the National Retail 58 00:04:36,519 --> 00:04:41,480 Federation talking about how they from polling thought that retail 59 00:04:41,519 --> 00:04:44,160 sales were going to be done. It's too early, but 60 00:04:44,360 --> 00:04:48,720 they said they're off to a gang bangers start. I mean, 61 00:04:48,720 --> 00:04:52,120 it's just fabulous the amount that people now are they 62 00:04:52,120 --> 00:04:55,560 putting it on their credit cards. We'll find out as 63 00:04:55,600 --> 00:04:59,399 we go along. But here's the President who referred to 64 00:04:59,439 --> 00:05:03,439 the whole busines. It's about affordability. This was from last night. 65 00:05:03,839 --> 00:05:08,079 Speaker 2: I mean, we're also making incredible strides to make America 66 00:05:08,120 --> 00:05:12,240 affordable again. Walmart announced that the course of their standard 67 00:05:12,240 --> 00:05:15,720 Thanksgiving meal is twenty five percent lower than just one 68 00:05:15,800 --> 00:05:19,120 year ago. That's a big deal. According to the USCA, 69 00:05:19,279 --> 00:05:23,079 the price of Thanksgiving turkey is down thirty three percent 70 00:05:23,160 --> 00:05:26,959 from its Biden era highs. Potatoes are down thirteen percent, 71 00:05:27,040 --> 00:05:31,319 hamm is down fifteen percent compared to last Thanksgiving. So 72 00:05:31,879 --> 00:05:34,240 we are down to a level that we haven't seen 73 00:05:34,279 --> 00:05:35,160 in a long time. 74 00:05:36,199 --> 00:05:39,959 Speaker 1: I know the President's really fixated on that Walmart turkey price. 75 00:05:40,560 --> 00:05:43,800 The problem with that story is that in their basket 76 00:05:43,879 --> 00:05:47,040 of things that you could buy for your Thanksgiving dinner, 77 00:05:48,800 --> 00:05:52,120 it's down twenty five percent from last year. But the 78 00:05:52,160 --> 00:05:56,000 problem is is there's also fewer items in the basket 79 00:05:56,040 --> 00:05:58,680 of goods that they put in. But there, let's give 80 00:05:58,720 --> 00:06:01,800 the President to do that. Maybe turkey prices are down 81 00:06:01,839 --> 00:06:08,600 and potato prices are down. We still have inflation. It's 82 00:06:08,639 --> 00:06:12,120 not rampant inflation, but it's still inflation. And this is 83 00:06:12,160 --> 00:06:16,600 where the problem lies is that during the run up 84 00:06:16,639 --> 00:06:22,120 of inflation, prices went way up and some have come 85 00:06:22,199 --> 00:06:26,959 down a little, but most have not. So even though 86 00:06:27,000 --> 00:06:31,160 inflation is only at three percent, it still means prices 87 00:06:31,199 --> 00:06:33,920 are higher than they were a year ago and the 88 00:06:34,040 --> 00:06:38,279 year before that, and the year before that. Charlie Hurt 89 00:06:39,360 --> 00:06:43,279 weighed on this whole business about inflation and affordability. 90 00:06:44,439 --> 00:06:46,720 Speaker 3: Oh, I think that it's vitally important, and I think 91 00:06:46,720 --> 00:06:50,319 it's also important that they continue on their efforts to 92 00:06:50,519 --> 00:06:53,040 bring those prices down. As you know, there's obviously a 93 00:06:53,079 --> 00:06:55,920 lot of stuff going on, especially around the world right now, 94 00:06:56,519 --> 00:06:59,319 but I think the Trump administration wants to actually stop 95 00:06:59,360 --> 00:07:03,399 talking about Ukraine, stopped talking about anything else except affordability, 96 00:07:03,439 --> 00:07:07,199 because they recognize that that's what's most important to people. Look, 97 00:07:07,240 --> 00:07:11,600 you know, it's a tough order to climb out of 98 00:07:11,959 --> 00:07:15,199 the kind of inflation that Americans went through the previous 99 00:07:15,240 --> 00:07:17,279 four years. You know, you were looking at seven and 100 00:07:17,399 --> 00:07:20,920 nine percent inflation in some years under the Biden administration. 101 00:07:21,079 --> 00:07:22,959 And the problem with that is that you know, obviously 102 00:07:23,040 --> 00:07:24,680 the Trump administration has done a lot to kind of 103 00:07:24,680 --> 00:07:27,759 stop the bleeding, but the problem is that that stopping 104 00:07:27,759 --> 00:07:29,399 the bleeding doesn't fix the problem. 105 00:07:29,680 --> 00:07:31,560 Speaker 4: You still have that inflation that. 106 00:07:31,600 --> 00:07:35,560 Speaker 3: Piled up, and you've got to get somehow get growth, 107 00:07:36,000 --> 00:07:38,600 to get wages to sort of catch up with it. So, 108 00:07:39,439 --> 00:07:41,879 you know, the Trump administration is dealing with situations where 109 00:07:42,040 --> 00:07:44,560 they've done all this everything that they can to try 110 00:07:44,560 --> 00:07:47,800 to bring to bring this prices down and to stop 111 00:07:47,839 --> 00:07:50,720 the inflation. But you but people still, you know, there's 112 00:07:50,720 --> 00:07:53,839 a lag there, and so obviously there's more work to 113 00:07:53,839 --> 00:07:56,480 be done. Probably the most important thing that they have 114 00:07:56,959 --> 00:07:59,519 focused on, of course's energy prices, and when we talk 115 00:07:59,560 --> 00:08:02,480 about it, drop in Turkey prices for example. You know, 116 00:08:02,519 --> 00:08:05,319 for farmers, you know, seventy eighty ninety percent of their 117 00:08:05,360 --> 00:08:08,879 costs is always going to be fuel. So bringing fuel 118 00:08:08,920 --> 00:08:10,879 prices down is probably one of the most important things 119 00:08:10,879 --> 00:08:13,240 that they have done and probably will continue to try 120 00:08:13,240 --> 00:08:13,439 to do. 121 00:08:13,800 --> 00:08:17,040 Speaker 1: Yeah, who knew that turkey prices would be politicized, But 122 00:08:17,160 --> 00:08:19,639 I've seen some people on the left say prices are 123 00:08:19,720 --> 00:08:23,720 up forty percent President and Walmart prices are down twenty 124 00:08:23,759 --> 00:08:26,800 five percent. So take whichever side you want to believe. 125 00:08:28,360 --> 00:08:31,360 Kevin Hassett, who, by the way, the rumor is that 126 00:08:31,399 --> 00:08:34,000 he's going to be the next bed chair. This is 127 00:08:34,039 --> 00:08:34,720 his response. 128 00:08:35,120 --> 00:08:37,799 Speaker 5: The prices for those goods weren't necessarily going up just 129 00:08:37,879 --> 00:08:41,240 because of tariffs, and so so they might says will 130 00:08:41,279 --> 00:08:43,159 go down. Well, the prices will go down, of course, 131 00:08:43,240 --> 00:08:46,159 but because the tariffs have been taken off right well, 132 00:08:46,200 --> 00:08:49,159 and because the supply of the goods into the US 133 00:08:49,240 --> 00:08:49,919 is going to increase. 134 00:08:50,840 --> 00:08:53,279 Speaker 1: So he was being challenged there about, well, the prices 135 00:08:53,320 --> 00:08:56,480 are going down because the tariffs. You you've backed off 136 00:08:56,519 --> 00:08:59,200 a lot of tariffs on food. That's true, they have. 137 00:08:59,759 --> 00:09:01,759 They have took taken a look and said, oh, we 138 00:09:01,840 --> 00:09:06,480 better reduce these tariffs on food items from coffee to 139 00:09:06,720 --> 00:09:09,559 you name it, go down the list. But he said, no, no, 140 00:09:09,600 --> 00:09:12,639 it's because of increase in supply. Why is there an 141 00:09:12,679 --> 00:09:15,039 increase in supply. This is one of the problems with 142 00:09:15,159 --> 00:09:20,480 tariffs is that they hamper supply chain. So if you 143 00:09:20,559 --> 00:09:23,279 take the tariffs off, the supply chain opens up again 144 00:09:23,639 --> 00:09:28,360 and prices start to lower. Well, what about this National 145 00:09:28,919 --> 00:09:32,840 Retail Federation. They keep a very close eye on what's 146 00:09:32,879 --> 00:09:36,360 going on with sales during the holidays, and here is 147 00:09:37,440 --> 00:09:40,360 Matthew Say, the head of the National Retail Federation. 148 00:09:40,639 --> 00:09:44,039 Speaker 6: I think it's a sign of consumer confidence. And I 149 00:09:44,120 --> 00:09:46,840 say that knowing that the next question is going to 150 00:09:46,840 --> 00:09:49,600 be from your Andrew. How can that possibly be when 151 00:09:49,600 --> 00:09:52,519 we see what the confidence numbers look like. And I 152 00:09:52,559 --> 00:09:55,320 think what we know from history, especially in the last 153 00:09:55,360 --> 00:09:59,080 five years since the pandemic, is the consumers are really 154 00:09:59,159 --> 00:10:01,480 able to do two things at once. They can have 155 00:10:01,639 --> 00:10:05,639 very low attitudes about the economy, and yet their actions 156 00:10:05,720 --> 00:10:09,840 continue to demonstrate that they're engaged in commerce. And especially 157 00:10:09,879 --> 00:10:11,960 I think when it comes to the holiday season, all 158 00:10:12,000 --> 00:10:14,679 of our survey work and all of the data that 159 00:10:15,039 --> 00:10:19,000 we produced in our forecasts indicates that consumers worked very 160 00:10:19,080 --> 00:10:22,919 very hard to protect themselves and their families for the holidays. 161 00:10:22,919 --> 00:10:26,000 They want to have a bit of a moat around 162 00:10:26,000 --> 00:10:28,200 this time of year so they can make those kinds 163 00:10:28,240 --> 00:10:30,840 of investments. And the ways in which they're doing that, 164 00:10:30,919 --> 00:10:33,679 of course, is they're looking for value. They're trying to 165 00:10:33,679 --> 00:10:37,639 find convenience, and they're reducing savings in some cases, they're 166 00:10:37,679 --> 00:10:40,120 taking on more debt, but they really want to protect 167 00:10:40,159 --> 00:10:43,519 holiday spend and I think that's really what we're seeing. 168 00:10:43,519 --> 00:10:45,879 And on the inflation numbers, with the exception of the 169 00:10:45,919 --> 00:10:48,759 last couple of months, the trend line has been on 170 00:10:48,879 --> 00:10:53,679 goods inflation down almost flat, and even food with a 171 00:10:53,679 --> 00:10:56,879 few category exceptions, has been about one percent. So I 172 00:10:56,879 --> 00:11:00,399 think there's real growth in there and we're seeing asumers 173 00:11:00,440 --> 00:11:04,000 really behave positively, hence the record number for the forecast 174 00:11:04,039 --> 00:11:07,159 and also for this Thanksgiving weekend. The chart you've got 175 00:11:07,240 --> 00:11:10,559 up there now is a survey of consumers asking them 176 00:11:10,559 --> 00:11:14,600 their attitudes from about six weeks ago, and our forecast 177 00:11:14,679 --> 00:11:17,279 of the four point two percent growth three point seven 178 00:11:17,360 --> 00:11:20,000 to four point two which is a trillion dollars, is 179 00:11:20,039 --> 00:11:24,159 our economic forecast, which we've done for twenty years. You 180 00:11:24,240 --> 00:11:26,240 all have reported on at leastman has reported on it 181 00:11:26,279 --> 00:11:29,799 many many times last year. That produced four point three 182 00:11:29,840 --> 00:11:33,799 percent growth this year. That's our forecast as opposed to 183 00:11:33,840 --> 00:11:36,879 what consumers tell us, and we know frequently again to 184 00:11:36,919 --> 00:11:38,720 the comment a minute ago, they tell us one thing, 185 00:11:38,759 --> 00:11:41,600 but they do something else. So they may say they're 186 00:11:41,600 --> 00:11:44,120 going to spend slightly less this year, but when they 187 00:11:44,159 --> 00:11:47,320 get out on these big weekends like Black Friday and 188 00:11:47,399 --> 00:11:52,279 Cyber Monday, Super Saturday, the big Saturday before the Christmas holiday. 189 00:11:52,879 --> 00:11:55,240 They tend to spend more than they told us they 190 00:11:55,240 --> 00:11:56,000 were going to spend. 191 00:11:56,120 --> 00:11:59,559 Speaker 1: Yeah, that's not unusual. That happens. Usually every year people 192 00:11:59,639 --> 00:12:02,000 spend more more than they think they're going to and 193 00:12:02,039 --> 00:12:06,679 then they've got problems. As far as the overall economy 194 00:12:07,200 --> 00:12:10,960 got best, Still very optimistic about twenty twenty six. But 195 00:12:11,039 --> 00:12:14,200 he was asked about Mam Donnie and the fact that 196 00:12:14,240 --> 00:12:20,200 Mam Donnie one based upon focusing on affordability. 197 00:12:20,679 --> 00:12:25,600 Speaker 7: You've got to have some admiration for a candidate who 198 00:12:25,799 --> 00:12:28,080 ran a campaign the way he did it is a great, 199 00:12:28,200 --> 00:12:32,399 great campaign. He is clearly the leader of the Democratic Party. 200 00:12:32,440 --> 00:12:40,360 Speaker 1: Now he's part of the new speaking line about Mam 201 00:12:40,440 --> 00:12:44,639 Donnie is the head of the Democrat Party. Well, Kevin Whaling, 202 00:12:44,679 --> 00:12:48,960 who's a Democrat strategist, is trying to avoid that. 203 00:12:49,360 --> 00:12:51,559 Speaker 8: Well, listen, Republicans are certainly going to try to tie 204 00:12:51,879 --> 00:12:53,840 the mayor elects to a lot of races up and 205 00:12:53,840 --> 00:12:56,159 down the ballot and all kinds of different jurisdictions. I 206 00:12:56,200 --> 00:12:58,840 wrote an op ed back in July for Fox Digital 207 00:12:59,440 --> 00:13:02,200 right after Ron won the primary, saying that the actual 208 00:13:02,240 --> 00:13:05,120 leaders of my party are Mikey Cheryl in New Jersey 209 00:13:05,159 --> 00:13:08,919 and Abigail Spanberger in Virginia. That was in July, way 210 00:13:08,960 --> 00:13:13,919 before their massive double digit election victories in Virginia and 211 00:13:14,679 --> 00:13:17,759 New Jersey this past November. So I am still with 212 00:13:17,840 --> 00:13:20,559 those two women. That is the future of my party. 213 00:13:21,320 --> 00:13:23,799 And uh and we'll see if zoon Mond Dominie runs 214 00:13:24,080 --> 00:13:27,279 with Donald Trump on a third time around ticket. 215 00:13:27,519 --> 00:13:29,320 Speaker 4: Has Some people have mentioned. 216 00:13:29,399 --> 00:13:32,120 Speaker 1: He spoofing a little bit there about all of that, 217 00:13:32,600 --> 00:13:37,360 but James Carvel also is trying to do everything he can. 218 00:13:37,559 --> 00:13:40,120 Watch the Democrats. They're going to say, Maam, Donnie Has 219 00:13:40,559 --> 00:13:43,000 is nowhere near the leader of the Democrat Party. 220 00:13:43,360 --> 00:13:46,480 Speaker 9: L one represents the party. The only person that can 221 00:13:46,519 --> 00:13:49,720 represent the party is a presidential nominee who will be 222 00:13:49,960 --> 00:13:53,000 chosen by the party members who vote in the primary. 223 00:13:53,799 --> 00:13:59,279 Congressional parties don't have generally don't have a defining person 224 00:13:59,720 --> 00:14:01,840 and Desert people said, what is no leader the part? No, 225 00:14:01,919 --> 00:14:04,279 they won't be, but Desk for Democrats are going to decide. 226 00:14:04,919 --> 00:14:06,759 Speaker 1: And that's going to be very interesting to see is 227 00:14:06,840 --> 00:14:08,759 the Democrats line up to see who wants to be 228 00:14:08,879 --> 00:14:11,559 the nominee, the guy that I hear a lot of 229 00:14:11,600 --> 00:14:16,200 Democrats strategists talking about right now Gavin Newsom is in 230 00:14:16,279 --> 00:14:20,679 the lead, but that he's way too early and he's 231 00:14:20,720 --> 00:14:22,879 not going to peak at the right time. This is 232 00:14:22,919 --> 00:14:28,240 twenty twenty five. The election isn't until twenty twenty eight, 233 00:14:29,000 --> 00:14:32,320 so we'll see what he does. But that apparently Newsom 234 00:14:32,440 --> 00:14:34,840 is if you pull it right now that people say, 235 00:14:34,840 --> 00:14:39,480 well he is the leader. Well, Jeff Bush was supposed 236 00:14:39,480 --> 00:14:42,000 to be the leader too at one point for the Republicans. 237 00:14:42,279 --> 00:14:44,679 That's way, way, way too early to figure that out. 238 00:14:45,159 --> 00:14:48,600 Norah Rosman from National Review weighs in with this. 239 00:14:49,320 --> 00:14:50,559 Speaker 4: No, I don't think so. 240 00:14:51,039 --> 00:14:55,480 Speaker 10: I think James Carvill is expressing the very same trepidation 241 00:14:55,600 --> 00:14:58,519 that I heard just now over the prospect of Zori 242 00:14:58,600 --> 00:15:00,759 Mondani becoming the face of the Democra Party. I see 243 00:15:00,759 --> 00:15:03,279 the Republicans attempting to engineer that, and it makes sense. 244 00:15:04,200 --> 00:15:07,240 Zori Mundani's popular sort of in the city. He managed 245 00:15:07,240 --> 00:15:08,519 to eke out a majority of the vote in New 246 00:15:08,600 --> 00:15:11,600 York City, but his brand of politics is not necessarily 247 00:15:12,200 --> 00:15:14,919 supported in the suburbs. James Carvill wrote an outbed for 248 00:15:14,960 --> 00:15:17,039 The New York Times in which he appeared to declare 249 00:15:17,159 --> 00:15:20,600 surrender of the moderates. However, he in that piece he 250 00:15:20,679 --> 00:15:22,559 described how all the energy and the passion and the 251 00:15:22,679 --> 00:15:25,960 enthusiasm was on the young left, socialist left, in my 252 00:15:26,080 --> 00:15:28,919 view of bigoted left, which approaches the issue of Israel 253 00:15:28,919 --> 00:15:32,799 with monomaniacal zeal And that is rising within the party, 254 00:15:32,799 --> 00:15:35,039 and James Carvill essentially advocated they should get out of 255 00:15:35,120 --> 00:15:36,919 the way, so they should bank on the votes of 256 00:15:36,960 --> 00:15:41,240 the suburbs, really affluent, pretty well educated moderates, and they 257 00:15:41,279 --> 00:15:43,639 should appeal to the radicals, which is an abdication of 258 00:15:43,639 --> 00:15:46,759 what James Carvill has advocated his whole career. That tells 259 00:15:46,799 --> 00:15:49,120 you something, that tells you where the passion is and 260 00:15:49,159 --> 00:15:53,159 how much enthusiasm the so called establishmentarians and the Democratic 261 00:15:53,200 --> 00:15:56,200 Party have for stopping it. I'm trepidacious about the rise 262 00:15:56,200 --> 00:15:57,679 of this sort of politics. I don't think it'll be 263 00:15:57,679 --> 00:16:00,000 good for the country, but Republicans are making a pretty 264 00:16:00,039 --> 00:16:02,639 savvy bet by attempting to elevate him as the face 265 00:16:02,720 --> 00:16:03,840 of the new Democratic Party. 266 00:16:04,159 --> 00:16:06,200 Speaker 1: It also, like you told you, maybe a mistake to 267 00:16:06,320 --> 00:16:10,080 even count Gavenusmith the leader, because he was in the 268 00:16:10,279 --> 00:16:13,360 in the lead of the polls as of last week. 269 00:16:13,960 --> 00:16:18,679 But way, way, way too early. But then then Harry 270 00:16:18,799 --> 00:16:22,840 Entton goes out and does a poll, and because Eric 271 00:16:22,840 --> 00:16:25,720 s Walwell was on Jimmy Kimmel's show earlier this week 272 00:16:25,720 --> 00:16:28,759 and the people there in southern California, they were all 273 00:16:28,840 --> 00:16:31,919 cheering for him. Well, apparently it's bigger than that. Here's 274 00:16:32,000 --> 00:16:36,840 Harry talking about Swalwell's chances. I know it's way early, 275 00:16:36,879 --> 00:16:38,039 but here's what he had to say. 276 00:16:38,240 --> 00:16:40,360 Speaker 11: And the prediction markets think he has a pretty decent 277 00:16:40,440 --> 00:16:41,399 chance of pulling it off. 278 00:16:41,440 --> 00:16:42,399 Speaker 4: I mean, take a look here. 279 00:16:42,679 --> 00:16:45,200 Speaker 11: Chance to be the next governor of California, according to 280 00:16:45,200 --> 00:16:46,679 the Calshe prediction markets. 281 00:16:46,720 --> 00:16:49,720 Speaker 4: I'm gonna spell Calshe right like this, And what do 282 00:16:49,799 --> 00:16:50,440 we see. 283 00:16:50,559 --> 00:16:53,080 Speaker 11: We see that he's at a forty five percent chance 284 00:16:53,240 --> 00:16:55,120 to infect be the next governor California. 285 00:16:55,159 --> 00:16:57,519 Speaker 4: You take a look in October seventh, he wasn't even 286 00:16:57,559 --> 00:17:01,960 in the race. It was Na Tom Fire, Na Katie Porter. 287 00:17:02,200 --> 00:17:03,519 Let it forty percent. 288 00:17:03,879 --> 00:17:06,799 Speaker 11: She's all the way down out a twelve percent chance 289 00:17:06,880 --> 00:17:08,480 to be the next governor of California. 290 00:17:08,640 --> 00:17:10,920 Speaker 4: Her chances have absolutely slip slide down. 291 00:17:11,000 --> 00:17:13,200 Speaker 11: And now the two front runners are, in fact Dirk 292 00:17:13,240 --> 00:17:15,400 Swalwell and of course Tom Stared of the billionaire forty 293 00:17:15,400 --> 00:17:18,720 five percent and a twenty four percent chance of taking 294 00:17:18,880 --> 00:17:20,599 the be the next governor California. 295 00:17:20,599 --> 00:17:21,920 Speaker 4: According to the CALSI prediction. 296 00:17:21,640 --> 00:17:25,440 Speaker 1: Ad been Katie Porter was in the lead. What happened 297 00:17:25,519 --> 00:17:27,480 to the big lead that she had? She's now at 298 00:17:27,559 --> 00:17:29,000 just twelve percent. 299 00:17:29,440 --> 00:17:32,720 Speaker 11: Well, Google searches for Katie Quorter in California up ten 300 00:17:32,880 --> 00:17:36,680 thousand percent on October ninth. The interview is the top 301 00:17:37,519 --> 00:17:41,599 top search topic associated with her name. Of course, if 302 00:17:41,640 --> 00:17:44,720 you may recall this, there was not one, but two 303 00:17:44,759 --> 00:17:48,240 interviews in which Katie Porter was not very nice, once 304 00:17:48,279 --> 00:17:50,920 to a staff member, once to a local television reporter, 305 00:17:51,240 --> 00:17:53,960 and a lot of folks reacted poorly that interview. It 306 00:17:54,079 --> 00:17:56,000 generated a lot of press for her, and it turns 307 00:17:56,000 --> 00:17:58,079 out not all press is good press. 308 00:17:58,240 --> 00:18:03,279 Speaker 1: But Eric Swalwell has gone after President Trumps as often 309 00:18:03,279 --> 00:18:06,200 as he possibly can. He's a thorn in his side. 310 00:18:06,480 --> 00:18:11,319 So how does that impact Eric Swalwell's chances to be governor? 311 00:18:11,720 --> 00:18:13,039 Speaker 4: Why might it be an impact? 312 00:18:13,039 --> 00:18:16,200 Speaker 11: Well, I mean, look, you want you want Donald Trump 313 00:18:16,240 --> 00:18:19,119 to go after I mean California to disapprove of Donald Trump. 314 00:18:19,279 --> 00:18:23,279 All voters sixty six percent, Democrats ninety three percent. So 315 00:18:23,400 --> 00:18:26,400 Donald Trump going after you, that is a good thing. 316 00:18:26,400 --> 00:18:30,559 In California. Eric Swaall definitely welcomes those attacks against ittle. 317 00:18:30,759 --> 00:18:35,079 Speaker 1: Wow. So Donald Trump talking badly about Eric Swalwell in 318 00:18:35,119 --> 00:18:40,480 California actually gives Eric Swalwell some brownie points? Are you? 319 00:18:41,559 --> 00:18:43,359 For those of you in California, you're going to talk 320 00:18:43,359 --> 00:18:46,039 about this at your Thanksgiving dinner tomorrow? 321 00:18:46,200 --> 00:18:47,839 Speaker 4: They don't want to talk about politics. 322 00:18:47,880 --> 00:18:50,440 Speaker 11: I mean, look at that seventy one percent say avoid 323 00:18:50,519 --> 00:18:52,519 talking politics with your family. 324 00:18:52,720 --> 00:18:53,519 Speaker 4: Talk it with us. 325 00:18:53,440 --> 00:18:56,160 Speaker 1: Though, So on this Thanksgiving and Eve, let's let's get 326 00:18:56,200 --> 00:19:03,200 into manners and and what to do with the turkey. Yeah, 327 00:19:03,240 --> 00:19:06,839 it's well, right down to the nub here. I think 328 00:19:06,839 --> 00:19:12,720 it's somewhat funny, but it's actually true. Sean Duppy, the 329 00:19:12,960 --> 00:19:19,000 Secretary of Transportation is lecturing Americans. Not lecturing, He's He's 330 00:19:19,079 --> 00:19:24,480 trying to gently say, look, would you would you act 331 00:19:24,960 --> 00:19:28,279 nicer when you're on an airplane, when you're at an airport. 332 00:19:28,319 --> 00:19:29,319 Here's what he had to say. 333 00:19:29,480 --> 00:19:31,599 Speaker 3: Your shoes off and put your feet on the you know, 334 00:19:31,759 --> 00:19:34,880 the chair had to that's just or maybe don't play 335 00:19:34,920 --> 00:19:37,839 your movie without headphones on to some simple things that 336 00:19:37,920 --> 00:19:39,400 can annoy the folks around you. 337 00:19:39,680 --> 00:19:41,720 Speaker 4: But you know, I mean, we don't have to do that. 338 00:19:42,759 --> 00:19:45,559 Speaker 1: What you shouldn't take your shoes off and put your 339 00:19:45,559 --> 00:19:49,240 feet on the seat ahead of you, and and you 340 00:19:49,279 --> 00:19:54,119 should probably put in some something to keep the playing 341 00:19:54,160 --> 00:19:56,400 your movie so that everybody around you doesn't hear it. 342 00:19:56,960 --> 00:19:59,839 I mean, these are common sense things. But sadly, yeah, 343 00:20:00,000 --> 00:20:02,880 you know, that's the kind of behavior you do see 344 00:20:02,920 --> 00:20:08,640 from some very uncouth people that travel out there. Speaking 345 00:20:08,680 --> 00:20:13,119 of traveling, phil Abo, who travels, follows the travel industry, 346 00:20:13,920 --> 00:20:18,519 talking about the air plane industry and the infrastructure at 347 00:20:18,519 --> 00:20:19,480 the airport. 348 00:20:19,519 --> 00:20:22,119 Speaker 12: And the good news is that the airports should be 349 00:20:22,240 --> 00:20:25,559 relatively calm, and when you look at the numbers who 350 00:20:25,599 --> 00:20:28,839 are flying, we've seen a rebound from where we were 351 00:20:29,119 --> 00:20:30,640 just a week and a half ago when you had 352 00:20:30,680 --> 00:20:34,119 the government shut down, you had a much lower schedule, 353 00:20:34,519 --> 00:20:38,319 number of scheduled number of flights thirty one million passengers 354 00:20:38,640 --> 00:20:40,160 for the Thanksgiving travel rush. 355 00:20:40,319 --> 00:20:42,559 Speaker 4: That's up about one percent compared to last year. 356 00:20:43,000 --> 00:20:45,799 Speaker 12: Sunday is expected to be the busiest day, though you 357 00:20:45,799 --> 00:20:48,920 can make an argument yesterday was the second busiest day, 358 00:20:49,039 --> 00:20:51,160 or could rivals Sunday in terms of the number of 359 00:20:51,160 --> 00:20:54,880 people flying take a look at the FAA numbers of flights. 360 00:20:55,200 --> 00:20:59,240 Technically there were more flights yesterday than what are scheduled 361 00:20:59,519 --> 00:21:02,359 on some but in terms of the number of people, 362 00:21:02,599 --> 00:21:06,359 the expectation is that Sunday is likely to be the busiest. 363 00:21:06,440 --> 00:21:10,319 By the way, forty five thousand more seats in the 364 00:21:10,519 --> 00:21:15,759 air per day compared to last year. American Airlines, Delta, 365 00:21:16,160 --> 00:21:19,200 Southwest United. Take a look at all of these stocks 366 00:21:19,480 --> 00:21:22,920 going back to when the government shutdown happened, because I've 367 00:21:22,960 --> 00:21:24,640 had a number of people say to me, well, did 368 00:21:24,640 --> 00:21:28,680 they all snap back? Not exactly a snapback, but certainly 369 00:21:28,759 --> 00:21:31,480 an improvement compared to where they were. It also helps 370 00:21:31,480 --> 00:21:34,960 that we haven't seen any of the major airlines changed 371 00:21:35,000 --> 00:21:37,680 their guidance for the fourth quarter due to the impact 372 00:21:38,079 --> 00:21:41,319 of the travel or of the government shutdown. Also take 373 00:21:41,319 --> 00:21:45,559 a look at Alaska, Jet Blue, and Frontier. Similar story, 374 00:21:45,640 --> 00:21:49,839 though these are three companies that are more challenged than 375 00:21:49,920 --> 00:21:53,519 what you see with the four largest airlines. Bottom line 376 00:21:53,559 --> 00:21:55,920 is this, if we get relatively good weather, and there's 377 00:21:55,960 --> 00:21:59,039 a weather system moving through Chicago right now, but if 378 00:21:59,039 --> 00:22:03,000 we get well at relatively decent weather across the country, 379 00:22:03,319 --> 00:22:06,720 it should be not only smooth but also a profitable 380 00:22:07,039 --> 00:22:10,519 Thanksgiving travel week for the airlines. But the bottom line 381 00:22:10,559 --> 00:22:15,759 is this our aircraft, our airline and airport infrastructure in 382 00:22:15,759 --> 00:22:16,319 this country. 383 00:22:16,519 --> 00:22:19,880 Speaker 4: It needs to be upgraded. Secretary Duffy has talked about this. 384 00:22:19,880 --> 00:22:22,240 Speaker 12: This is not a partisan thing, this is not a 385 00:22:22,240 --> 00:22:24,720 all well, the Republicans are just trying to get some 386 00:22:24,759 --> 00:22:28,519 money for these projects here. Our system is antiquated. There's 387 00:22:28,680 --> 00:22:32,240 no way around that. And until we as a country 388 00:22:32,279 --> 00:22:36,039 make a decision, we will spend the billions that are needed. 389 00:22:36,079 --> 00:22:39,119 And they've already got twelve billion allocated, need about another 390 00:22:39,160 --> 00:22:42,839 twenty billion. But until this country decides we truly want 391 00:22:42,880 --> 00:22:46,680 to see a more advanced system, it's going to be 392 00:22:46,720 --> 00:22:49,319 a case where you have this we bump up against 393 00:22:49,319 --> 00:22:53,440 what might be the limit in terms of the nation's 394 00:22:53,480 --> 00:22:58,400 air system. Air traffic control airports is a big deal. 395 00:22:58,680 --> 00:23:00,839 We don't hear enough about it, but it's a huge deal. 396 00:23:01,079 --> 00:23:04,559 These are landlocked areas and you always hear people say, well, 397 00:23:04,599 --> 00:23:07,000 why can't they take more flights? The issue is in 398 00:23:07,119 --> 00:23:09,720 taking more flights, it's where do you park the aircraft? 399 00:23:10,160 --> 00:23:13,799 Do you have enough gates? Can you add gates? That's 400 00:23:13,839 --> 00:23:16,480 the reason why you look at an airport like Denver International. 401 00:23:16,599 --> 00:23:19,079 And I know people complain it's way far away from 402 00:23:19,079 --> 00:23:21,640 the city of Denver, but they can add, they can 403 00:23:21,680 --> 00:23:24,400 add more gates, which is why it has grown and 404 00:23:24,519 --> 00:23:25,559 continues to grow. 405 00:23:25,799 --> 00:23:28,359 Speaker 4: That's the advantage of building a new airport. 406 00:23:28,720 --> 00:23:31,279 Speaker 1: All right. So let's assume that the airlines do their 407 00:23:31,319 --> 00:23:34,880 part and the customers keep their shoes on and don't 408 00:23:34,880 --> 00:23:39,640 play the movies without some headset on. What about the 409 00:23:39,680 --> 00:23:42,359 rest of it? About when you get to your destination, 410 00:23:42,880 --> 00:23:47,559 when you get with your family, even cousin Eddie, what 411 00:23:47,599 --> 00:23:49,440 are you going to do about manage? So I thought, well, 412 00:23:49,440 --> 00:23:53,519 this is a perfect time to call up a lady 413 00:23:53,559 --> 00:23:56,160 who is basically that's what she does for a living. 414 00:23:56,359 --> 00:24:00,519 She tells people about how to behave what manners should be. 415 00:24:00,880 --> 00:24:04,279 Her name is Elaine Swan, and these are I've just 416 00:24:04,400 --> 00:24:08,599 some clips from some of the advice that she gave earlier. Today. 417 00:24:08,799 --> 00:24:09,240 Speaker 4: Is rude. 418 00:24:09,279 --> 00:24:11,920 Speaker 13: When someone is rude, I say, call them out. Don't 419 00:24:11,960 --> 00:24:14,519 let people get away with the Polite does not equal pushover. 420 00:24:14,599 --> 00:24:16,680 So when someone is rude, say to them, you know what, 421 00:24:17,559 --> 00:24:20,440 that wasn't nice, that that was really hurtful. And I 422 00:24:20,559 --> 00:24:22,279 tell you that'll be the one thing that'll just pull 423 00:24:22,319 --> 00:24:24,440 them all the way together and let them know that 424 00:24:24,480 --> 00:24:26,119 what they said hurt you. I think this is the 425 00:24:26,160 --> 00:24:27,880 thing that we have to do, is call people out 426 00:24:27,960 --> 00:24:31,319 instead of being bulldozed over during the holiday season. 427 00:24:31,119 --> 00:24:32,079 Speaker 4: Naming any names here. 428 00:24:32,599 --> 00:24:35,880 Speaker 14: Who says something to you like, oh, I see you've 429 00:24:35,880 --> 00:24:39,000 gained a little weight, Yes, I don't know you've never 430 00:24:39,039 --> 00:24:43,319 done that. That crazy, Or they say something like I 431 00:24:43,319 --> 00:24:44,720 can't believe you voted for that fool. 432 00:24:44,799 --> 00:24:47,240 Speaker 4: When you start something and they start, what do you do? Yeah? 433 00:24:47,279 --> 00:24:49,519 Speaker 13: So this is where I think it's really important, especially 434 00:24:49,599 --> 00:24:51,880 this with the climate that we're having right now, it 435 00:24:51,920 --> 00:24:54,960 is important. People think don't talk politics, but I believe 436 00:24:55,000 --> 00:24:58,319 it's absolutely acceptable to talk about your beliefs to help 437 00:24:58,319 --> 00:25:02,039 people to understand why what's important to you. But we 438 00:25:02,200 --> 00:25:04,759 cannot punch down at people. That's the thing that we 439 00:25:04,799 --> 00:25:06,480 don't want to do. So when the person says I 440 00:25:06,480 --> 00:25:08,640 can't believe you voted for that person, you can say, well, 441 00:25:09,039 --> 00:25:11,960 tell me why did you vote? What was important to you? 442 00:25:12,039 --> 00:25:13,920 Put them on the spot and help them explain what 443 00:25:14,000 --> 00:25:18,119 it is. And if it's a bunch of nonsense, just 444 00:25:19,119 --> 00:25:20,839 do it a mile and nod and. 445 00:25:20,759 --> 00:25:23,480 Speaker 4: Say thank you for sharing. The host will say, don't 446 00:25:23,480 --> 00:25:26,720 bring anything, just just bring yourself. You seem skeptical. I 447 00:25:26,720 --> 00:25:27,839 can tell you, well, here's the thing. 448 00:25:27,839 --> 00:25:30,319 Speaker 13: The host does not want you to infringe on their meals, 449 00:25:30,359 --> 00:25:32,920 So do not bring anything meal related. 450 00:25:33,319 --> 00:25:33,599 Speaker 4: Uhha. 451 00:25:33,960 --> 00:25:36,319 Speaker 13: But what you do is you bring something host related. 452 00:25:36,880 --> 00:25:38,960 You know, of course, you know, you have the bottle 453 00:25:39,000 --> 00:25:40,720 of wine and what have you. But there's so many 454 00:25:40,759 --> 00:25:42,799 wonderful things that you can get for a host, everything 455 00:25:42,880 --> 00:25:45,960 from really cute kitchen towels to some sort of fun gadget, 456 00:25:46,240 --> 00:25:48,720 to a wine opener or a set of wineglasses, things 457 00:25:48,799 --> 00:25:51,240 like that. But when they say don't bring anything, they 458 00:25:51,279 --> 00:25:52,880 really mean I've got the meal plan. 459 00:25:53,960 --> 00:25:57,240 Speaker 4: Stay in your lane when. 460 00:25:57,680 --> 00:26:00,920 Speaker 14: The dinner or lunch or whatever you're eating is over, 461 00:26:01,160 --> 00:26:03,519 and they're like, don't worry about this, go go, go, go, 462 00:26:03,839 --> 00:26:06,559 enjoy the football game, enjoy this, don't worry about the cleanup. 463 00:26:06,720 --> 00:26:09,119 Speaker 4: Yes, but there are dishes. This but their dishes power. 464 00:26:09,200 --> 00:26:12,000 Speaker 13: That means the host has staked their territory and they 465 00:26:12,000 --> 00:26:16,079 do not want you there. Really, yes, absolutely, yes, absolutely, 466 00:26:16,119 --> 00:26:18,039 and this is the thing we eat and we feel 467 00:26:18,079 --> 00:26:20,440 like we have to give something back. But you have 468 00:26:20,480 --> 00:26:22,920 to keep in mind that a host, this is what 469 00:26:22,960 --> 00:26:25,160 they do, this is what they love and to them 470 00:26:25,440 --> 00:26:28,119 to see their guests being comfortable in their home and 471 00:26:28,240 --> 00:26:31,319 enjoying themselves that is more meaningful to any host than 472 00:26:31,319 --> 00:26:33,200 to see their guests being put to work. 473 00:26:33,359 --> 00:26:33,960 Speaker 4: So there you go. 474 00:26:34,000 --> 00:26:38,359 Speaker 1: There's some manners just bring stay out of the kitchen 475 00:26:39,279 --> 00:26:42,319 and don't bring something for the meal unless you're specifically asked, 476 00:26:43,119 --> 00:26:49,200 and I say thank you. There's another guy who I love. 477 00:26:49,359 --> 00:26:49,759 Speaker 4: This guy. 478 00:26:49,839 --> 00:26:53,279 Speaker 1: His name's Arthur Brooks. He's done a lot of different things. 479 00:26:53,359 --> 00:26:57,119 He probably his most prominent job, he's a Harvard professor. 480 00:26:57,440 --> 00:27:01,119 But he is just the most common sense guy I 481 00:27:01,160 --> 00:27:06,039 think I've ever followed or read. His names Arthur Brooks. 482 00:27:06,039 --> 00:27:09,480 And he talks about this whole thing when we get 483 00:27:09,480 --> 00:27:11,920 together with family and friends at Thanksgiving. 484 00:27:12,079 --> 00:27:13,519 Speaker 15: And the truth of the matter is there's a lot 485 00:27:13,599 --> 00:27:15,519 written about this, there's a lot of research on this. 486 00:27:15,599 --> 00:27:18,920 Behavioral scientists have talked about not how to disagree less, 487 00:27:18,920 --> 00:27:21,000 but actually how to disagree better, and a couple of 488 00:27:21,000 --> 00:27:22,480 things to keep in mind. For a lot of people 489 00:27:22,519 --> 00:27:25,519 were going to their extended family. For example, there's Aunt 490 00:27:25,599 --> 00:27:27,240 Marge is going to be there. You don't see her, 491 00:27:27,279 --> 00:27:29,240 but once a year, and she's going to insist on 492 00:27:29,319 --> 00:27:32,119 talking about the federal government or something. And there's a 493 00:27:32,160 --> 00:27:34,839 couple of two don'ts that are actually just as important 494 00:27:34,839 --> 00:27:37,039 as the two dos. A couple of things to think about. 495 00:27:37,400 --> 00:27:39,279 The first is to remember that when you have a 496 00:27:39,400 --> 00:27:43,680 disagreement about something with somebody, you rarely see a contentious 497 00:27:43,720 --> 00:27:47,039 topic like politics. That's actually not you're not going to 498 00:27:47,079 --> 00:27:49,680 convince anybody. But what we want to do is persuade 499 00:27:49,680 --> 00:27:54,000 when we're arguing, and we almost never persuade anybody. When 500 00:27:54,119 --> 00:27:56,640 somebody is shut down when you're arguing with them, that 501 00:27:56,720 --> 00:27:59,599 they have something a psychologists called a boomerang effect and 502 00:27:59,759 --> 00:28:04,079 actual actually believe their ideological viewpoint more strongly than when 503 00:28:04,079 --> 00:28:06,160 you started arguing with them. So that's the first thing 504 00:28:06,200 --> 00:28:08,440 to kind of kind of game out a little bit 505 00:28:08,440 --> 00:28:10,440 and to be thinking about. And the second thing to 506 00:28:10,519 --> 00:28:13,559 keep in mind is that every time you talk about politics, 507 00:28:13,960 --> 00:28:16,640 this is almost always the case, not just that thanksgiving 508 00:28:16,920 --> 00:28:19,319 you get less happy. There's a lot of research that 509 00:28:19,359 --> 00:28:21,759 shows that the more you think can talk about politics, 510 00:28:21,799 --> 00:28:24,000 the less happier you're going to be, and that makes 511 00:28:24,000 --> 00:28:26,960 you less grateful is kind of the counteracting mechanism to 512 00:28:27,000 --> 00:28:30,720 the whole point of Thanksgiving. So don't go in ready 513 00:28:30,720 --> 00:28:33,640 for a fight and don't actually get into politics. 514 00:28:33,680 --> 00:28:35,440 Speaker 4: Those are the two. 515 00:28:34,960 --> 00:28:38,000 Speaker 15: Don'ts actually so well, you can make it explicit if 516 00:28:38,039 --> 00:28:39,799 you want, But you know what, I recommend to people 517 00:28:39,839 --> 00:28:42,359 who are sort of the odd man out. I'm the 518 00:28:42,680 --> 00:28:44,519 I'm kind of the odd man out in many ways 519 00:28:44,519 --> 00:28:47,279 in my family discussions. I mean, all my kids are 520 00:28:47,640 --> 00:28:50,799 ideologically different than me and their spouses. As a matter 521 00:28:50,799 --> 00:28:54,160 of fact, Mike stended family they're more conservative than I am. 522 00:28:54,920 --> 00:28:57,000 And that doesn't mean that we can't talk about these things, 523 00:28:57,000 --> 00:28:58,839 but it means that we have to not get into 524 00:28:58,880 --> 00:29:02,119 a big argument about it. And that requires kind of 525 00:29:02,119 --> 00:29:06,119 a skill on my part of leading the conversation into 526 00:29:06,200 --> 00:29:10,000 something that's more pleasant that we all think about as 527 00:29:10,000 --> 00:29:12,240 a source of gratitude as opposed to a source of 528 00:29:12,279 --> 00:29:14,759 conflict in the family. Now we can talk about those 529 00:29:14,799 --> 00:29:16,920 things we've known these differences exist the whole time. 530 00:29:16,920 --> 00:29:18,559 Speaker 4: But life is short, man. 531 00:29:18,720 --> 00:29:21,519 Speaker 15: Why would you want to talk about politics when you're 532 00:29:21,519 --> 00:29:22,720 around the Thanksgiving tape? 533 00:29:22,920 --> 00:29:23,160 Speaker 4: Yeah? 534 00:29:23,200 --> 00:29:24,960 Speaker 15: Well, one of the things to actually be thinking about 535 00:29:25,039 --> 00:29:28,079 is to introduce a topic of your own gratitude, which 536 00:29:28,119 --> 00:29:30,079 is really important and say, you know, I got something 537 00:29:30,160 --> 00:29:32,319 I'm going to say that I'm really really grateful for, 538 00:29:32,480 --> 00:29:35,480 and it'll be a memory. It'll be a shared idea 539 00:29:35,640 --> 00:29:38,359 that you all have together. And especially when you're talking 540 00:29:38,400 --> 00:29:41,000 with extended family, when you have memories of something, when 541 00:29:41,000 --> 00:29:44,160 you reconstruct a memory of something that that you all share, 542 00:29:44,279 --> 00:29:46,680 that's something that people are really quite interested in as 543 00:29:46,720 --> 00:29:49,440 a matter of fact. So shared values are a lot 544 00:29:49,480 --> 00:29:52,400 better than unshared ideological viewpoints. 545 00:29:53,319 --> 00:29:54,039 Speaker 2: So let's see. 546 00:29:54,720 --> 00:29:56,400 Speaker 1: Don't take your shoes off and put them up on 547 00:29:56,440 --> 00:29:58,000 the state of the people in front of you on 548 00:29:58,039 --> 00:30:02,799 a plane. Oh yeah, put headsets on when you're watching 549 00:30:02,799 --> 00:30:05,279 a movie on a flight, and when you go over 550 00:30:05,319 --> 00:30:08,240 to wherever you're going for Thanksgiving or maybe the people 551 00:30:08,279 --> 00:30:12,480 coming to your place. Yeah, try not to get into 552 00:30:12,519 --> 00:30:18,359 an argument. Bring up things of shared values. Remember Uncle 553 00:30:18,400 --> 00:30:21,880 Harry the back back when we went fishing at whatever 554 00:30:21,920 --> 00:30:25,880 it might be. So everybody's it's always interesting, isn't it 555 00:30:26,359 --> 00:30:32,119 that we have this tradition. One more tradition the butterball lady, 556 00:30:32,759 --> 00:30:35,240 And I'll just play clips from what I heard from 557 00:30:35,319 --> 00:30:39,920 her earlier today about how to do the turkey, so 558 00:30:40,240 --> 00:30:41,559 you look like you know what you're doing. 559 00:30:41,680 --> 00:30:45,240 Speaker 16: We are expecting a lot of calls this year. You 560 00:30:45,279 --> 00:30:49,519 can reach us via email, chat, tech, social media. We 561 00:30:49,599 --> 00:30:52,599 open this morning at seven am Central and we're taking 562 00:30:52,640 --> 00:30:55,440 all of your phone calls through nine this evening, and 563 00:30:55,519 --> 00:30:58,920 of course we're open on Thanksgiving Day six am to 564 00:30:58,960 --> 00:31:00,640 six pm Central. 565 00:31:00,920 --> 00:31:01,200 Speaker 4: Yes. 566 00:31:01,359 --> 00:31:03,759 Speaker 16: Number one question over forty four years if the talk 567 00:31:03,799 --> 00:31:06,440 line has been open is how do I found my turkey? 568 00:31:07,079 --> 00:31:10,759 If you haven't used a refrigeration method, have no fear. 569 00:31:10,839 --> 00:31:13,599 You can still use the cold water bath method, lead 570 00:31:13,640 --> 00:31:16,480 the wrapperund put it in the sink. It's a half 571 00:31:16,519 --> 00:31:19,599 hour per pound using that method. Well, I have four 572 00:31:19,599 --> 00:31:23,720 little butterballs at home myself, and we tend to purchase 573 00:31:23,799 --> 00:31:25,880 a turkey that's a pound and a half to two 574 00:31:25,920 --> 00:31:29,720 pounds per person. We love the leftovers. You can hop 575 00:31:29,759 --> 00:31:32,519 on the butterball dot com website. There's a lot of 576 00:31:32,559 --> 00:31:36,400 fun ways to incorporate the leftovers. Another common question we 577 00:31:36,519 --> 00:31:38,799 get is how long can I keep the leftovers for? 578 00:31:39,799 --> 00:31:42,319 You can put your leftovers in the zip block bag 579 00:31:42,400 --> 00:31:45,400 or container in the refrigerator for up to three days. 580 00:31:45,720 --> 00:31:48,920 For longer storage, you can put your leftovers in the 581 00:31:48,960 --> 00:31:52,039 freezer for up to three months. Well, let me address 582 00:31:52,039 --> 00:31:55,920 I can the stuffing suggesting first. When we're asked if 583 00:31:55,920 --> 00:31:58,839 you can stuff your turkey, it's really a personal preference. 584 00:31:59,319 --> 00:32:03,319 My mom our family tradition was always to stuff the turkey. 585 00:32:03,880 --> 00:32:06,799 Absolutely safe and acceptable to do that from a food 586 00:32:06,839 --> 00:32:08,960 safety perspective, you do want to make sure that you 587 00:32:09,079 --> 00:32:12,519 do not stuff the turkey the night before. All of 588 00:32:12,559 --> 00:32:15,559 your wet and dry ingredients would be combined the day of, 589 00:32:16,200 --> 00:32:18,359 and you stuff that turkey right before you put it 590 00:32:18,400 --> 00:32:21,400 in job. I've had butterball turkey experts tell us in 591 00:32:21,440 --> 00:32:24,680 the past if you do stuff it inside, yes, that 592 00:32:24,839 --> 00:32:28,200 is a good recommendation. It's usually three quarter cup, maybe 593 00:32:28,240 --> 00:32:32,440 even one cup of turkey per pound of turkey. I've 594 00:32:32,440 --> 00:32:34,599 been on the talk line for over twenty years and 595 00:32:34,640 --> 00:32:37,680 I do get that phone call quite often just stuff 596 00:32:37,759 --> 00:32:40,960 or not just stuff, but really the key, Becky. Regardless 597 00:32:40,960 --> 00:32:44,119 if you stuff your turkey or not, you do want 598 00:32:44,160 --> 00:32:46,799 to make sure turkey is done with your best friend 599 00:32:46,839 --> 00:32:50,119 on Thanksgiving Day. That's your meat thermometer. It's going to 600 00:32:50,200 --> 00:32:54,000 register one seventy in the breast and thigh for best 601 00:32:54,039 --> 00:32:56,960 eating quality. And if you stuff your turkey in the 602 00:32:57,000 --> 00:32:59,519 center of the stuffing, that thermometer goes and it's going 603 00:32:59,559 --> 00:33:02,839 to register are one sixty five for best eating quality. 604 00:33:03,640 --> 00:33:07,319 Speaker 1: Okay, So we helped you have manners on the plane. 605 00:33:08,119 --> 00:33:12,359 We helped you have manners wherever you're going for Thanksgiving 606 00:33:12,440 --> 00:33:15,000 or if people are coming over to your place. We've 607 00:33:15,039 --> 00:33:18,799 helped you with how how to cook the bird. So 608 00:33:18,960 --> 00:33:23,279 we wish you and we are very thankful and grateful 609 00:33:23,440 --> 00:33:26,759 for all of you in this audience. It's it's always 610 00:33:26,799 --> 00:33:30,640 surprises me how many of you have tuned in for 611 00:33:31,000 --> 00:33:35,319 this podcast. And I feel very blessed on this Thanksgiving Eve. 612 00:33:35,920 --> 00:33:38,880 So with that, we let's see how blessed we were 613 00:33:38,920 --> 00:33:43,880 on Wall Street today. Light volume, people bailing out, but 614 00:33:43,960 --> 00:33:48,680 the now nice and positive again, up three hundred and 615 00:33:48,720 --> 00:33:53,400 fourteen points to forty seven four twenty seven, the S 616 00:33:53,440 --> 00:33:56,480 and P up forty six, Nasdaq up one hundred and 617 00:33:56,519 --> 00:34:01,000 eighty nine, the price of gold up fifty six dollars 618 00:34:01,039 --> 00:34:04,799 to four four thousand and one ninety six, and oil 619 00:34:04,960 --> 00:34:08,159 was up sixty cents fifty eight dollars in some change 620 00:34:08,159 --> 00:34:11,400 for a barrel of oil. Thank you, thank you, thank you, 621 00:34:11,840 --> 00:34:14,679 thank you for coming by. And I mean that with 622 00:34:15,280 --> 00:34:18,719 the thanks from the bottom of my heart. Have a 623 00:34:18,800 --> 00:34:23,320 wonderful Thanksgiving, and I think we're going to have a 624 00:34:23,360 --> 00:34:27,519 best of tomorrow. We'll be back on Friday. Have a 625 00:34:27,519 --> 00:34:28,360 great Thanksgiving.