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Speaker 1: This is the in This League Fantasy Podcast network, in

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This League Fantasy Baseball podcast online at in this League

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dot com. Now here's your host, Bogman and the Welsh.

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Speaker 2: What's up, Friendles, and welcome in too the in This

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League Fantasy Baseball Podcast. I'm Wels, that's Bogman. We got

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lots of breakdown today. We've got a bunch of injuries

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which is poopy. We've got the two start pitchers which

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we got to take a look at for next week,

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and we are going to be doing kind of finally

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figuring out a structure of like the middle portions of

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what we do in the Thursday episodes. We're gonna be

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doing a picture breakdown and we've got some really interesting

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era versus expected RA differences and K percentage you're over

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year changers. So we're gonna have a little bit more

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focus on some pitching breakdown we'll be doing later in

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the episode. And that is all just some of the

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plan that we have got. It's Bogman, It's Welsh. Thank

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you guys so much for hanging out with us. Bogman

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with that, are you keeping with the fresh air? Take

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that hat off real quick. Let me take a look.

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Speaker 3: I mean it's still shaved.

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Speaker 2: Oh well, you're not reshaving it.

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Speaker 3: You just no, I'm not. That's more maintenance than than

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doing the long hair. Dude.

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Speaker 4: I this was shaved to the scalp two days ago,

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and now I have a five o'clock shadow.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, you do have that, all right? Well not so bald,

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Bogman and Welsh here for you guys. Thank you guys

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for hanging out. You guys want to support you boys.

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Go to in this league dot Com. In this league

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dot Com has the top five hundred prospect update, the

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top four hundred Dynasty top I think I've got twenty

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so far upcoming for the MLB Draft and their relative

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fantasy value where they'll probably sit on the list. If

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you want ADP data. Just a bunch of stuff if

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you want to check it out. We'll do the baseball

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this week, coming up next week, and a bunch more.

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Bogman's got football stuff. You could be a part of

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the community. People are talking baseball and prospects and cards

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and football and all the things, and you can have

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access to us. Go to in this league dot Com.

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Most importantly, you are literally helping survive. You are guiding

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us through the world, in a crazy treacherous world. You,

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when signing up, are giving us a lantern just to

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find our way through the world. Don't you want us

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to find.

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Speaker 3: Our guy through the strait of hormones? Thanks right, that's right,

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thank you.

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Speaker 2: In this league dot Com sign up today. I will

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love you. I will love you very long. All right,

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let's talk about some stuff and some things. Cal Raley

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cal Rally in the funniest story of the baseball season

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was cal Rawly's effort to break Chris Davis's all time

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hitless streak record just like fifty six games. Cal Raley

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becoming one of the biggest piles in fantasy out there

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breaks it has his breakthrough game boosts his average from

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like one forty something to one sixty. Then immediately goes

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on that not immediately, but then he's hit the eyel

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So in whatever like slow piece of excitement you could have, Oh,

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maybe he's turning it around da da du that is

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gone because cause he got he was going to the

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ale with an oblique strain. And we know what that

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can be as well. That can that's a mystery. Sometimes

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that doesn't seem like the shortest stint. So I think

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it's relatively safe to say he is going to like

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I don't want to jump the gun here a little bit,

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but like he's gonna go down as a huge failure.

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And the reason I'm being himming in hung is because, like,

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just because you suck for six weeks does not mean

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you're gonna go down as a huge, huge failure in fantasy.

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You do have to put the caveat I think it's

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not talked about enough when a player is absolutely garbage

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for one month and they feel like they're cuttable and

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they bring your team down. But regardless of the point,

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he could have sucked for six weeks, bounce back, hit

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forty homers, bopa bop. He could technically still have like

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a really strong second half, but there's no way for

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it will have been an April, a May, and potentially

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a June of not just like bad production, but the

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worst production. So a second half is it gonna cure it?

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So he's gonna go down as just a big, huge

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fantasy failure.

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Speaker 3: This reminds me of Dominic Brown. Remember Don Brown having

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that remember huge year and uh.

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Speaker 4: And then the next year like just couldn't hit his

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weight and he was kind of skinny, Like, I just

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this is pathetic. This has been real bad. I hope

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it's mainly because of whatever this injury that's been dogging him.

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And he comes back and we see the cal ray

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of twenty twenty five, or at least you know, a

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shadow of that would be nice. Portion of it. A

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week of it would be great. This has been awful

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from the jump for cal Raley, it's been no good.

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It started with terrible interactions with his teammates at the

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World Baseball Classic and en posts.

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Speaker 2: They're still putting out those posts. It's like cal Raley

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since he didn't shake Randy or Rosarina's hand, and it's

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it's bad obviously.

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Speaker 4: You know what deserve like like Dragon for that. That's

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just being ridiculous. So Dragon for that, I get it.

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Speaker 2: But hopefully point of that. By the way, what was

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it like, I'll go to lock in like it's one

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of the all time dumbest thing. If you don't like someone,

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don't shake their hand if they're your f and teammate,

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to not shake like it's actually like, it's pretty hard

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on material, It's pretty Yeah, I think it's ridiculous.

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Speaker 4: So I mean, you're not a method actor bro, you're

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a baseball play yeah you know Lewis, Yeah, give me

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a break.

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Speaker 3: Like you can you can be good.

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Speaker 4: Hopefully he learns a lesson or he learned a lesson

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and now he can be you know, to think about it,

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Josh Naylor trolled him. I did like Naylor trolling him, like,

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uh in the next game against.

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Speaker 3: Canada or whoever. But yeah, that was.

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Speaker 4: I don't know, man, uh, Rawley is definitely not giving

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you what you paid for him up front.

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Speaker 3: So it's just tough right now.

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Speaker 4: So hopefully he bounces back and he has a big

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second half and can continue to be an impact player.

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Speaker 2: But where do you think could be drafted next year?

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And this is you not knowing what he's gonna do

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when he.

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Speaker 4: Was right, I'll just say I don't have like a number.

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I'll just say like still like catcher six. I think

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I think he'll be somewhere around.

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Speaker 2: There if he has a strong second half. I think

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he's got to go below Drake Baldwin, Ben Rice, Ben

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Rice and Lengeliers. So like, I think there's a path

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where he could be like the fourth catcher. And I

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also think that could be right at the back half

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of the top. But this is what it happens. He

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comes back let's say June fifteenth, just for argument's sake here,

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and he starts hitting again, and he ends the season

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with like thirty homers, thirty two homers, he hits two

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thirty or whatever. It's kind of vintage Kyle Raley. I

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think he goes between like one hundred and one hundred

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and fifty and in between like catcher four and five.

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I think he just kind of like slots right back

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into that.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, because like there are some catchers having bad years. Also,

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you know, will Smith is hitting what is he hitting

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two fifty six and missed some time?

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Speaker 2: Solvi sucks? William Contres is pretty average right now, right,

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he'd probably still go ahead of cal though. So that's

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like catcher five, I guess, right.

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Speaker 4: And then and then there are some guys having huge years,

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Like how long is this Liam hicks Rye gonna take us?

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Speaker 3: You know what I mean?

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Speaker 4: Because he's still the twenty sixth player. Ryan Jeffers is

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a top one hundred player. Hunter Goodman's like right in

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line for hitting thirty home runs again, so like.

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Speaker 3: You know, where did those guys end up?

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Speaker 4: As well as athlete Rutchman come back, but I think

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just because of twenty twenty five and the sixty homers,

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he's still gonna be in that first half of catchers.

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Even if he comes back and it just has a

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mildly okay, I don't think he can hit as bad

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as he did in the first half and still be

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a top six catcher. But if he comes back and

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has a reasonable back half of the year, I think

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he's still gonna be a top six catcher next year.

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Speaker 3: Yeah.

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Speaker 2: The funner conversation is if he stinks again and it's like,

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is even a top ten guy? Like what a I

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don't know man, And definitely was never I've never been

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a catcher guy. You know that about me? Yeah, not

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a crazy defender, But there was kind of a like, hey, guys,

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obviously he's gonna like regress, but that regression, even if

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it goes down twenty percent twenty five percent, it's still

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gonna be like one of the better catcher seasons.

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Speaker 3: Just what if it goes down eighty five percent?

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Speaker 2: Eighty five I didn't realize going down twenty percent me

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into him doing twenty percent of his production, So he

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stinks another in the injury world, though, this is kind

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of a big one. Maybe maybe we've dodged a big scare.

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We're kind of under or waiting to hear about the

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imaging that he went and undergone Max Freed. Max Freed

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left in the third inning yesterday and he just like bolted.

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He was just like soya, like what is that Italian goodbye?

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And Irish gobye, Irish goodbye. I always do that Irish goodbye.

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And we found out after the game that it was

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elbow posterior soreness and that he's like, you know, gonna

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go see the doctor Chris Ahmed for imaging. But he

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said after the game that it might not be as

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bad as everybody's making it out to be. He's hopeful,

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like I think the word was like, you know, he's hopeful.

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He's not gonna miss you know, like any significant time

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and even saying that he hopes like this next start

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would he'd be out for and he said, I guess

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you never know, but I'm definitely planning on being on

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this being sooner rather than later. Was a quote he

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gave about the elbow so doesn't matter like what he says,

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he called it like a hyper extension. But for him

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to be talking like that and whatever. You know, they

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had talked with him and looked at the.

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Speaker 4: Same thing Crochet said, and he just had to have

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his you know, rehab assignment. Push back a little bit, Well,

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you just.

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Speaker 2: Had a good No, you're just a good throwing session. Whatever.

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I guess what I'm getting at is when this happened,

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it was just like Joe Ryan, where it was like,

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oh my god, he's done for the season. He's gone.

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Now it feels a lot more like Joe Ryan that

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maybe it's not as as bad as we possibly thought.

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So I think your median line case here is you're

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just going to get an Ale stint where they're going

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to just let him kind of recoup. Maybe it's only

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the fourteen days. Your worst case, obviously is the season.

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The best case doesn't seem actually likely that he doesn't

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miss his next start, but you never know what the

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hell's going on, Like they are overly cautious. So I

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tend I'm leaning Joe was not. I am leaning that

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we may have dodged a major bullet with Max Freed.

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Even a small Ale stint, to me is dodging a

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major bullet.

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Speaker 3: I think so too.

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Speaker 4: Specifically with pictures right, Like, Uh, I'm hoping this is

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a sunny gray thing and he can be out there

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for his next start. But I bet it's probably a

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Crochet thing where it's the same deal Crochet was, like,

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I expect to be back immediately after. I'm you know, eligible,

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he hasn't been, but we know he's not going to

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miss a big chunk of the season.

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Speaker 3: He's gonna be back somewhat soon.

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Speaker 4: So I think that's probably what we're getting from Max

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Freed as well.

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Speaker 3: But we have to see.

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Speaker 4: I also don't blame Piezopa for being pessimistic about any

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pitcher injury. Sure, but I think I'm with you. I

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think we're we've probably dodged a bad bullet, but he's

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still probably gonna have to go on the IL.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, some other news and notes that are floating out there. Otani.

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This is very We're doing this because Joe just couldn't

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help himself with Atani, but top five pitcher, but the

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batting stats have been lagging. He is fifty third in batting,

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which is not bad, but pitching wise, after seven innings,

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eight strikeouts, it's just one of those weird years where

239
00:11:36,559 --> 00:11:40,240
his pitching has been more valuable the Yahoo only version

240
00:11:40,440 --> 00:11:46,399
of the pitching is a huge return. The hitting is lagging.

241
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I don't really think too much about it, but they

242
00:11:48,159 --> 00:11:51,039
are taking him, or at least I think it was

243
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this week. I think it was that maybe today that

244
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they said they weren't going to have him hit on

245
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Wednesdays and Thursdays. So they're like lowering the hitting a

246
00:11:58,759 --> 00:12:02,080
tiny bit, and he's not hitting while he's pitching, just

247
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to kind of like get himself reacclimated or whatever. So

248
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I don't know if there's anything to take from it.

249
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Maybe the dual player of Otani, it's like, Okay, he's

250
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not a hitter. He's great, he's the best player in there.

251
00:12:14,840 --> 00:12:15,840
Speaker 3: They when the.

252
00:12:15,759 --> 00:12:20,679
Speaker 2: Otanis are split up, Okay, there's a more interesting fantasy conversation.

253
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I think to be happening.

254
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Speaker 4: One eleven as a hitter in sixteen as a pitcher,

255
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So that's the fifth best pitcher, and like the fifty

256
00:12:27,759 --> 00:12:28,879
second best hitter.

257
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Speaker 2: Still gets seven homers in five stolen bases while hitting

258
00:12:32,279 --> 00:12:35,360
two forty just the average. He's just like zach Netto,

259
00:12:35,879 --> 00:12:37,840
you know, That's all he is right now, Like, but

260
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we're making a bigger deal about it. It's not awesome

261
00:12:40,480 --> 00:12:43,559
by any means. It's not first overall on the hitting version,

262
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but it.

263
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Speaker 4: Feels like a thousand little cuts on the hitting right.

264
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It's like the average is not good, but we know

265
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that can come up. He's still giving us runs and

266
00:12:51,639 --> 00:12:54,240
RBIs homers and stall bases, so four out of five

267
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he's still giving us. But also he's not hitting on

268
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the daisy pitches now, and now he's taking extra days

269
00:13:00,519 --> 00:13:03,039
after the week. It just feels like a bunch of

270
00:13:03,120 --> 00:13:06,200
little things going wrong with the hitting side. But I

271
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think he'll be fine, and he's still the best player

272
00:13:09,240 --> 00:13:10,480
in baseball by a lot.

273
00:13:10,840 --> 00:13:13,519
Speaker 2: If you were redrafting right now and you had a

274
00:13:13,600 --> 00:13:17,639
hit her only Otani, where would he go. It's tough

275
00:13:17,720 --> 00:13:20,799
because like Bobby hasn't been hitting a bunch of homers,

276
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Akunya's hurt, Soda has been kind of banged up, like

277
00:13:23,759 --> 00:13:26,399
everybody in the top end has been crazy. Is he

278
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stills one or two her utube version only?

279
00:13:30,080 --> 00:13:33,559
Speaker 3: I yeah, I would still probably take him too behind Judge.

280
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Speaker 2: Oh you would take Judge over him? Yeah, I think so. Yeah,

281
00:13:38,519 --> 00:13:41,440
I think I'm comfortable with that. What about the pitching version.

282
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Speaker 3: Oh man, he might he might be first there.

283
00:13:46,799 --> 00:13:50,039
Speaker 4: Schemes ahead of him, ahead of him. Yeah, so so

284
00:13:50,159 --> 00:13:51,960
Skin's ahead of him, So he's second.

285
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Speaker 2: I think he's in the group of schemes. I kind

286
00:13:57,039 --> 00:13:59,440
of want to still put Crochet in there, Chris Sale

287
00:13:59,679 --> 00:14:02,679
and and this might blow your mind. I'm taking this

288
00:14:03,000 --> 00:14:05,799
Jacob Mizerrowski, jackib Miserowski belongs in that.

289
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Speaker 3: As long as he's not hurt too yet.

290
00:14:07,360 --> 00:14:08,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, but he's I mean, he had a like a

291
00:14:09,080 --> 00:14:11,279
leg cramp or something like that. There's no arm thing.

292
00:14:11,320 --> 00:14:13,399
He got pulled from his last star. But dude has

293
00:14:13,440 --> 00:14:16,519
an almost under two era. He has an almost forty

294
00:14:16,519 --> 00:14:20,360
percent k percentage, and he's lowered his walk rates around

295
00:14:20,360 --> 00:14:23,519
eight percent. I did this on Leaning Off today that

296
00:14:25,360 --> 00:14:28,960
my take with Misrowski is I was always worried that

297
00:14:29,440 --> 00:14:31,519
he wasn't gonna be his pitch ability was gonna be

298
00:14:31,519 --> 00:14:34,720
a problem. He's gonna walk, he's gonna be inconsistent. He's

299
00:14:34,799 --> 00:14:37,799
he has like eleven percent walk rate. He's gonna have

300
00:14:37,840 --> 00:14:39,799
these weird blow up starts, blah blah blah. That's just

301
00:14:39,840 --> 00:14:42,879
going down the wayside. So the the thing has got

302
00:14:42,879 --> 00:14:44,559
to be like, Okay, you just think his arm's gonna

303
00:14:44,559 --> 00:14:47,360
blow up if you think his arm's gonna blow up. Okay,

304
00:14:47,440 --> 00:14:51,200
you can have that. I can't kind a week, week

305
00:14:51,240 --> 00:14:53,279
in and week out start to start predict that that's

306
00:14:53,279 --> 00:14:57,320
super I just still think that's predictive of in the season.

307
00:14:57,600 --> 00:14:59,960
So I'm gonna that that goes out the window for me.

308
00:15:00,360 --> 00:15:02,039
So now you're gonna look at just who he is.

309
00:15:03,559 --> 00:15:05,879
Name me fur better fantasy pictures right now?

310
00:15:06,000 --> 00:15:06,360
Speaker 3: I can't.

311
00:15:06,879 --> 00:15:08,759
Speaker 2: And I did this debate who would you rather have

312
00:15:08,799 --> 00:15:15,639
rest of season? Miserowski or Yamamoto? I said, miss yeah,

313
00:15:15,679 --> 00:15:17,799
I mean I yeah, and we did a pole.

314
00:15:18,519 --> 00:15:19,159
Speaker 3: I I don't.

315
00:15:20,279 --> 00:15:22,440
Speaker 4: I don't think I have a hard argument either way

316
00:15:22,799 --> 00:15:26,600
on that. Right Like Yamamoto, UH is not doing as

317
00:15:26,639 --> 00:15:28,120
well as Miserowski right now.

318
00:15:28,000 --> 00:15:28,799
Speaker 3: So I get it.

319
00:15:30,679 --> 00:15:31,440
Speaker 2: So let me ask you this.

320
00:15:31,639 --> 00:15:33,720
Speaker 4: Let me change some injury stuff, but I mean that

321
00:15:33,960 --> 00:15:36,440
they're right there, and the poll, by the way, dead

322
00:15:36,480 --> 00:15:37,879
split fifty to fifty on this.

323
00:15:38,039 --> 00:15:41,480
Speaker 2: Yeah, name me how many pictures can you name that

324
00:15:41,600 --> 00:15:45,360
are to you are affirmatively better than Miserowski and Fantasy

325
00:15:45,440 --> 00:15:47,320
right now that you try, and you're allowed, by the

326
00:15:47,320 --> 00:15:49,159
way to if you want to do.

327
00:15:49,080 --> 00:15:53,960
Speaker 4: The skins in there, No, it's sales skins, uh and Otani.

328
00:15:54,200 --> 00:15:55,360
Speaker 3: Those are the guys I trust more.

329
00:15:55,399 --> 00:15:57,519
Speaker 2: Okay, So yeah, So the Atani side of it's really

330
00:15:57,519 --> 00:15:59,600
interesting of like if you throw a Tani in there,

331
00:15:59,639 --> 00:16:02,600
because also, like Mizerewski might be, there might be an

332
00:16:02,639 --> 00:16:06,080
innings issue that could have long term Like there's another

333
00:16:06,200 --> 00:16:07,840
argument that could be said, like because what did he

334
00:16:07,919 --> 00:16:11,799
have like sixty innings the year prior fifty innings into

335
00:16:11,840 --> 00:16:15,200
this year, what is that going to cap him out?

336
00:16:15,279 --> 00:16:17,679
Like maybe one fifty one sixty something like that. But oh,

337
00:16:17,759 --> 00:16:19,840
Tany gets that. I kind of agree with you. I

338
00:16:19,840 --> 00:16:21,840
think that's a good list. If Crochet I think is

339
00:16:21,840 --> 00:16:24,120
super talented, you could kind of throw him in there,

340
00:16:25,399 --> 00:16:27,200
and there's other guys. I just don't think that go

341
00:16:27,360 --> 00:16:29,039
over that. So like I'm just gonna be.

342
00:16:29,600 --> 00:16:32,799
Speaker 3: Weird cramping things too because it was a quad today,

343
00:16:32,919 --> 00:16:35,600
wasn't in a hamstring earlier in the year, and didn't

344
00:16:35,600 --> 00:16:38,240
he miss time last year with something as well? Or

345
00:16:38,279 --> 00:16:39,159
am I making that up?

346
00:16:39,519 --> 00:16:41,360
Speaker 2: I think you're thinking of Meryl Kelly. He did, he

347
00:16:41,399 --> 00:16:44,919
did have a thing. He had a thing Mizerewski.

348
00:16:45,279 --> 00:16:48,519
Speaker 4: Okay, Okay, yeah, I'm not thinking of Mary Merrill Kelly

349
00:16:48,519 --> 00:16:51,679
cramps every day, So it's definitely not that, but it

350
00:16:51,720 --> 00:16:54,799
was a hamstring thing earlier this year, and he had

351
00:16:54,840 --> 00:16:55,679
something last year.

352
00:16:55,840 --> 00:16:58,840
Speaker 3: There's just just something I've noticed because his career is

353
00:16:58,840 --> 00:17:01,360
so short and he's missed sometimes I'm already with a couple.

354
00:17:03,000 --> 00:17:05,799
Speaker 2: Yeah. No, and and you can put those things in there.

355
00:17:05,799 --> 00:17:09,480
But from like a production standpoint, the progression he's made

356
00:17:09,559 --> 00:17:10,319
is a picture.

357
00:17:10,279 --> 00:17:12,680
Speaker 4: Hibbia last year. By the way, I just went scrolled

358
00:17:12,680 --> 00:17:15,920
through and looked at it. Get a tibia thing, a

359
00:17:15,960 --> 00:17:18,559
lot of body stuff. Yeah, yeah, that well, that's what

360
00:17:18,599 --> 00:17:21,119
I'm saying, Uh, quad hamstring tibbia.

361
00:17:21,319 --> 00:17:23,440
Speaker 3: It's it's like there's a lot of lower.

362
00:17:23,400 --> 00:17:25,279
Speaker 2: I mean, it's better than any of it being an arm.

363
00:17:25,240 --> 00:17:28,240
Speaker 4: Issue million percent percent, which is why I only named

364
00:17:28,279 --> 00:17:31,079
three guys that I was I would definitely take ahead

365
00:17:31,119 --> 00:17:34,960
of Misrowski right now. Yeah, but but he does calf

366
00:17:35,039 --> 00:17:38,359
quadriceps in June last year. You're right, a lot of

367
00:17:38,359 --> 00:17:40,200
lower body stuff. That's kind of weird.

368
00:17:40,440 --> 00:17:42,319
Speaker 2: It's super weird, but better.

369
00:17:42,079 --> 00:17:43,720
Speaker 3: Than you are, absolutely correct.

370
00:17:43,880 --> 00:17:46,200
Speaker 2: Yeah. So I think my whole point of that was

371
00:17:46,240 --> 00:17:47,960
to kind of see, like, what's the grouping, and I

372
00:17:47,960 --> 00:17:51,480
think you just created the grouping. I think it's skiing

373
00:17:51,559 --> 00:17:53,960
I mean maybe Skeens is his own tier. If you

374
00:17:53,960 --> 00:17:55,480
want to do that, I have no issue with that.

375
00:17:55,799 --> 00:17:59,000
Then it's sale, it's Misserrawski. It's a tany we put

376
00:17:59,039 --> 00:18:03,640
Schlitler in there. To me, Slitler's like a level below that.

377
00:18:05,000 --> 00:18:07,799
Speaker 3: Rianno had another good start after a bad one.

378
00:18:07,920 --> 00:18:10,000
Speaker 2: I'm not putting Soriano in there, but like I think

379
00:18:10,000 --> 00:18:12,359
I do, But like Crochet, I think I still want

380
00:18:12,359 --> 00:18:16,720
to put Crochet in there, so, like like to Meche,

381
00:18:17,440 --> 00:18:20,599
to me, maybe Crochet gets thrown into that top five group.

382
00:18:21,039 --> 00:18:26,480
Otherwise the next grouping is like Chris Sanchez, Crochet, Yamamoto, Schlittler.

383
00:18:27,160 --> 00:18:30,319
I probably put Nola McClean in there, maybe Dylan Ces

384
00:18:30,440 --> 00:18:32,319
like that's what that That next is kind of big

385
00:18:32,319 --> 00:18:34,079
grouping in there. But I think Misserowski has kind of

386
00:18:34,119 --> 00:18:36,839
separated himself. And I was the Nolan McLean and Chase

387
00:18:36,880 --> 00:18:38,240
Burns over Miserowski guy.

388
00:18:38,640 --> 00:18:41,200
Speaker 4: Yeah, yeah, yeah, he's just he's had an incredible year,

389
00:18:41,440 --> 00:18:42,200
So I'm with you.

390
00:18:42,440 --> 00:18:45,759
Speaker 2: It's totally ridiculous in here. Speaking of Picture Pitcher starts

391
00:18:45,759 --> 00:18:49,920
and breakdowns, Bryce Miller returned to action and had It's

392
00:18:50,079 --> 00:18:51,640
a weird start, man, I don't know if you saw

393
00:18:51,640 --> 00:18:55,039
any of this but weird in that you had a

394
00:18:55,119 --> 00:18:59,359
huge positive. His velo was up over two miles per hour.

395
00:19:00,039 --> 00:19:02,680
You're throwing that much harder. He was, like he hit

396
00:19:02,839 --> 00:19:07,000
ninety nine in in ve Loo. He was sitting ninety seven.

397
00:19:07,200 --> 00:19:08,759
I think I'm trying to pull this back up. And

398
00:19:08,839 --> 00:19:11,799
ninety seven point six on his four seaen ninety six

399
00:19:11,799 --> 00:19:13,799
point three on his sinker. Those are up two miles

400
00:19:13,799 --> 00:19:16,000
per hour year over year. He was throwing his split

401
00:19:16,079 --> 00:19:20,720
finger almost three miles per hour harder. Everything was, but

402
00:19:20,880 --> 00:19:25,279
no strikeouts. He couldn't get any whiffs. His fastball that

403
00:19:25,319 --> 00:19:28,039
he threw harder had a twelve percent whiff rate and

404
00:19:28,160 --> 00:19:31,440
have four hundred batting average against. His split finger, which

405
00:19:31,480 --> 00:19:33,599
he threw twenty three percent of the time, had a

406
00:19:33,759 --> 00:19:38,279
zero percent WFF rate. And the reason behind it was, Dude,

407
00:19:38,279 --> 00:19:40,680
he had a seventy and sixty percent zone rate on

408
00:19:40,720 --> 00:19:43,880
those two pitches. I maybe I'm speaking out of my

409
00:19:43,880 --> 00:19:46,480
ass here. I don't usually think you see a split

410
00:19:46,519 --> 00:19:50,319
finger with an over sixty percent zone rate. The fault

411
00:19:50,400 --> 00:19:53,559
seventy isn't great. So what my point is is his

412
00:19:53,680 --> 00:19:57,000
predominant pitches, which account for like what's the quick math,

413
00:19:57,079 --> 00:20:00,839
like sixty three percent of his pitches. He was just

414
00:20:00,920 --> 00:20:02,799
throwing in the zone the whole time, so guys were

415
00:20:02,839 --> 00:20:06,000
just like making either you know, bad contact, whatever you

416
00:20:06,039 --> 00:20:07,440
want to call it. Like he had a zero percent

417
00:20:07,480 --> 00:20:10,319
barrel rate, so they're just making bad contact against him.

418
00:20:10,359 --> 00:20:13,680
The evs were really really bad, but he wasn't inducing

419
00:20:13,680 --> 00:20:16,359
any strikeouts, So like, this was a good start. It's

420
00:20:16,400 --> 00:20:18,039
good that he was out there and he was efficient

421
00:20:18,079 --> 00:20:20,319
and stuff like that. He's got a really interesting repertoire

422
00:20:20,359 --> 00:20:22,759
of pitches he's gonna put out there. But it had

423
00:20:22,799 --> 00:20:25,119
no strikeouts, So do you have any takeaways? Kind of

424
00:20:25,240 --> 00:20:28,160
hearing that three strikeouts and five and one third kind

425
00:20:28,160 --> 00:20:32,279
of a heavy whip as well, twelve percent k percentage,

426
00:20:32,279 --> 00:20:35,240
four percent walk. But it was one start, so I

427
00:20:35,279 --> 00:20:37,119
feel like we're going in three or four to see.

428
00:20:37,160 --> 00:20:39,960
But the positive is the VLOS up. The negative is

429
00:20:40,079 --> 00:20:43,319
it wasn't like it wasn't a tremendously dominant performance.

430
00:20:43,559 --> 00:20:44,599
Speaker 3: Yeah, this is fine.

431
00:20:45,039 --> 00:20:46,759
Speaker 4: I think that's what you take away from an after

432
00:20:46,839 --> 00:20:52,160
one start, Right, it was fine. I think if he

433
00:20:52,240 --> 00:20:55,759
has two more starts that look this good, then he's

434
00:20:55,799 --> 00:20:59,200
probably pushing Castillo out of that spot. Eventually once they

435
00:20:59,240 --> 00:21:02,720
go to piggybacking or whatever, I think he pushes Castillo

436
00:21:02,720 --> 00:21:05,680
if Castillo doesn't improve vastly safety pitch.

437
00:21:05,680 --> 00:21:09,359
Speaker 2: I think Casio pitches today, so this is this would

438
00:21:09,359 --> 00:21:11,400
be a very and he actually pitches in like eight

439
00:21:11,440 --> 00:21:13,119
minutes when we start this up, so that'd be a

440
00:21:13,200 --> 00:21:14,720
very interesting outing.

441
00:21:14,400 --> 00:21:16,799
Speaker 4: To see, right exactly. So I think that's what you're

442
00:21:16,799 --> 00:21:20,000
paying attention to. You just saying if if Miller looks

443
00:21:20,000 --> 00:21:23,079
better than Castillo moving forward to take his spot in

444
00:21:23,119 --> 00:21:26,000
the rotation, because I think that's the battle. So I

445
00:21:26,000 --> 00:21:27,920
don't think there's much to take away from one start.

446
00:21:28,039 --> 00:21:30,240
It's nice that the VLO was backup and needn't look

447
00:21:30,240 --> 00:21:33,519
horrible so great, but I don't think I'm taking much

448
00:21:33,559 --> 00:21:36,119
more of that specifically. Didn't they play the astros struggling

449
00:21:36,200 --> 00:21:38,839
Astros rough to watch recently?

450
00:21:39,319 --> 00:21:42,119
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think I'm picking him up though he's the

451
00:21:42,160 --> 00:21:44,400
guy that I'm going to be. I'd probably be a

452
00:21:44,400 --> 00:21:45,839
little bit more aggressive, and then I think he can

453
00:21:45,839 --> 00:21:48,000
stay in the rotation, so I would be putting some

454
00:21:48,079 --> 00:21:51,119
high waivers on him. Also potential waivers on a couple

455
00:21:51,160 --> 00:21:53,240
of rookies I got called up aj ewing called up

456
00:21:53,240 --> 00:21:56,480
by the Mets a couple days ago Henry Bolty. Yesterday,

457
00:21:56,720 --> 00:21:59,079
aj Ewing came right out the gates with a triple

458
00:21:59,119 --> 00:22:02,400
and some walks run. Yeah, Henry Bolty was two for

459
00:22:02,480 --> 00:22:06,480
four yesterday with a Yeah, that was incredible, dude. The

460
00:22:06,599 --> 00:22:09,079
question that kept coming up, and me and Joe are

461
00:22:09,119 --> 00:22:12,039
split on this is everyone kept saying Ewing or Bolty,

462
00:22:12,319 --> 00:22:14,640
where would you go? So you let you be kind

463
00:22:14,680 --> 00:22:15,880
of a version of a tiebreaker.

464
00:22:16,039 --> 00:22:18,720
Speaker 4: I don't know, you know the rookies better than I do.

465
00:22:18,839 --> 00:22:21,839
Why you asking me? Yeah? What did you say on that?

466
00:22:22,200 --> 00:22:22,960
Speaker 2: I said, Bolty?

467
00:22:24,079 --> 00:22:27,000
Speaker 4: Yeah, well what do you think about the rookie quarterbacks? Wells,

468
00:22:27,000 --> 00:22:28,240
come on, you ask me that.

469
00:22:28,680 --> 00:22:30,640
Speaker 2: Yeah, But I mean if you if you've got to

470
00:22:30,640 --> 00:22:32,720
make a move, what move are you making? I get

471
00:22:32,799 --> 00:22:35,720
Joe's stance. Aj Ewing looks like a super polish like

472
00:22:35,799 --> 00:22:39,960
high contact hitter. But I think Bolti's had a tremendously

473
00:22:40,039 --> 00:22:43,359
ridiculous season defender.

474
00:22:43,319 --> 00:22:47,039
Speaker 4: Clearly right, Yeah, he's rushed because the Mets are having

475
00:22:47,200 --> 00:22:51,160
such a bad offensive years so far, so probably Bolty

476
00:22:51,440 --> 00:22:52,599
out of those guys.

477
00:22:52,920 --> 00:22:55,039
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think they're pretty close. But I'm going with

478
00:22:55,119 --> 00:22:57,640
Bolty on there. If you're if you're looking to make

479
00:22:57,640 --> 00:22:59,599
a move, what was this about? You put this on here?

480
00:22:59,599 --> 00:23:02,240
We had an interesting home league trade where we only

481
00:23:02,240 --> 00:23:03,160
played at the All Star break.

482
00:23:03,200 --> 00:23:05,000
Speaker 4: Why don't you Our guy Chris Young was like, you

483
00:23:05,000 --> 00:23:06,480
should have talked about this on the show, and I

484
00:23:06,519 --> 00:23:07,480
was like, that's a good idea.

485
00:23:07,640 --> 00:23:08,519
Speaker 3: I'll put it on there.

486
00:23:08,720 --> 00:23:11,440
Speaker 4: But it was a one for three trade, and I

487
00:23:11,839 --> 00:23:13,559
wanted to get your take on it, because you know,

488
00:23:14,119 --> 00:23:16,519
we see these straight sometimes. I just approved him. It's

489
00:23:16,519 --> 00:23:19,640
our boy Jesse and our guy John. Jesse traded John

490
00:23:20,440 --> 00:23:23,039
Jose er Ramirez in at three for one for Mark

491
00:23:23,119 --> 00:23:26,680
Kami and then two closers Chapman and erseg I mean

492
00:23:26,720 --> 00:23:29,960
he was he was begging everybody in the league to

493
00:23:30,000 --> 00:23:33,519
get closers. We're all looking up at John was severe,

494
00:23:34,759 --> 00:23:36,680
so we're all looking up at Chris Young to try

495
00:23:36,680 --> 00:23:39,319
to get uh to catch him because he's been in

496
00:23:39,400 --> 00:23:41,519
first for like the last three weeks. I think I

497
00:23:41,599 --> 00:23:43,559
was in first for the first two weeks and now

498
00:23:43,599 --> 00:23:46,240
it's been Chris ever since then. But he's been trying

499
00:23:46,240 --> 00:23:49,160
to get saved from everybody and needed this deal. Mark

500
00:23:49,240 --> 00:23:51,799
Kami is hot, Jose Errimirez is leading the league in

501
00:23:51,839 --> 00:23:54,599
stolen bases. I think he has eighteen already, but he's

502
00:23:54,599 --> 00:23:57,680
still hitting low. He's one of those guys that we

503
00:23:57,720 --> 00:24:00,319
looked at last week that is expected to bounce back

504
00:24:00,319 --> 00:24:00,599
and have.

505
00:24:00,599 --> 00:24:01,640
Speaker 3: A huge year and all that.

506
00:24:02,640 --> 00:24:04,880
Speaker 4: Which side do you like here in a short run

507
00:24:05,000 --> 00:24:08,519
league and all that. You know, he got the closers

508
00:24:08,519 --> 00:24:11,319
he needed, and he got a hot MARRORCOMI, but he

509
00:24:11,359 --> 00:24:13,640
traded you know, potentially a top five player.

510
00:24:13,759 --> 00:24:16,880
Speaker 2: Well, there's something that's more interesting in here. Chris Young

511
00:24:17,000 --> 00:24:19,200
is first, Jesse and John who did the trade, were

512
00:24:19,240 --> 00:24:22,559
second and third. So this wasn't like low end trading.

513
00:24:22,680 --> 00:24:25,200
I mean, I think I always lean to like the

514
00:24:25,240 --> 00:24:29,079
best player in a trade, er Seg. But see, here's

515
00:24:29,119 --> 00:24:32,039
the trick about this league is that it's only through

516
00:24:32,079 --> 00:24:33,920
the first half. It ends at the All Star break.

517
00:24:34,000 --> 00:24:36,960
So like what you might start to argue about Erseg, like,

518
00:24:37,039 --> 00:24:38,880
oh what if? What if? It's like, well, ERSI is

519
00:24:38,920 --> 00:24:41,240
probably gonna be the closer the whole time through Chapman

520
00:24:41,759 --> 00:24:44,680
probably safe through the All Star break as well, and

521
00:24:44,680 --> 00:24:46,039
if he gets traded, it's going to go to a

522
00:24:46,079 --> 00:24:48,400
destination where so I think those saves are so you've

523
00:24:48,400 --> 00:24:52,640
got significant trade saves additions and then you've got big power.

524
00:24:53,279 --> 00:24:55,799
Maybe he was because it's roto in the first half,

525
00:24:56,119 --> 00:24:58,799
isn't it. So you know, if I'm not looking at

526
00:24:58,839 --> 00:25:01,119
the stats, if he's just like really good on stolen

527
00:25:01,160 --> 00:25:03,720
bases and needs to project more on power, I see

528
00:25:03,720 --> 00:25:07,279
why Jesse would do that. That's a it's a weird looking trade.

529
00:25:07,720 --> 00:25:09,920
I'm not really sure what else to break down about it,

530
00:25:09,960 --> 00:25:12,960
but it kind of doesn't fly. I'd almost argue a

531
00:25:13,000 --> 00:25:14,680
little bit, like why it doesn't. I know why Chris

532
00:25:14,759 --> 00:25:16,279
Young wants us to talk about it because it's a

533
00:25:16,319 --> 00:25:18,720
home league we play. White doesn't fly about talking on

534
00:25:19,240 --> 00:25:21,720
our episodes. Is because it's the first half league. So

535
00:25:21,880 --> 00:25:25,519
that changes the scope of like overall value for people.

536
00:25:25,559 --> 00:25:28,279
If this was a full redraft season, I think it

537
00:25:28,359 --> 00:25:29,519
would be a dumb ass trade.

538
00:25:30,079 --> 00:25:30,839
Speaker 3: I think so too.

539
00:25:30,920 --> 00:25:32,440
Speaker 2: It'd be a stupid ass trade.

540
00:25:32,559 --> 00:25:34,559
Speaker 3: Yeah, I don't think I would do it in a

541
00:25:34,599 --> 00:25:35,519
first half, but.

542
00:25:35,720 --> 00:25:38,079
Speaker 2: By the way i'd say, and I say I'm saying

543
00:25:38,079 --> 00:25:39,839
a stupid ass trade. Jesse Severe is one of the

544
00:25:39,880 --> 00:25:42,839
best Fantasy baseball players we know, and I would say

545
00:25:42,839 --> 00:25:44,200
it would have been a dumb ass trade on his

546
00:25:44,279 --> 00:25:47,599
side to trade away the best player, unless I'm reading

547
00:25:47,599 --> 00:25:50,079
that wrong, and to trade away the best player to

548
00:25:50,200 --> 00:25:53,799
get some saves and Murakami for a full season. Right now,

549
00:25:53,799 --> 00:25:56,720
I would say that's dumb. But if you're only doing

550
00:25:56,799 --> 00:25:59,960
it for two more months, it's pretty and it's row

551
00:26:00,559 --> 00:26:03,039
and you're in second. I that's why it plays. So

552
00:26:03,039 --> 00:26:05,240
that's why it does. I I don't think it's irrelevant,

553
00:26:05,279 --> 00:26:06,599
like big breakdown.

554
00:26:06,759 --> 00:26:08,359
Speaker 4: Yeah, by the way, I have the most saves in

555
00:26:08,400 --> 00:26:10,720
that league, and I didn't draft like I think I

556
00:26:10,799 --> 00:26:14,880
drafted two closers, but I picked up Louis Varlin and

557
00:26:14,960 --> 00:26:18,599
I picked up Sir Anthony Demingaz And I have thirty saves.

558
00:26:18,640 --> 00:26:21,279
In your second you have twenty nine saves. I think

559
00:26:21,319 --> 00:26:23,599
you have the better closures than I do.

560
00:26:23,680 --> 00:26:27,039
Speaker 2: That I really tell't. I have Devin Williams, I have seen. Oh,

561
00:26:27,039 --> 00:26:28,440
I have Mason MILLI never mind, I do, and then

562
00:26:28,480 --> 00:26:32,160
I picked up Lasts. I've had so many terrible Yeah,

563
00:26:32,160 --> 00:26:34,559
I've had so many injuries. I did just get like

564
00:26:34,920 --> 00:26:40,160
Blake Snell, I drafted, I got them, but I lost.

565
00:26:40,640 --> 00:26:43,920
I never got Holiday, I lost Suarez, I lost Robert.

566
00:26:45,279 --> 00:26:47,559
I don't know. I just said underperformers. I was dumb

567
00:26:47,599 --> 00:26:50,200
and I took my stupid Butler and Cagliona and they've

568
00:26:50,240 --> 00:26:53,480
sucked ass. And yeah I got some. I mean, that's

569
00:26:53,519 --> 00:26:55,079
some great players on here. I got I tried to

570
00:26:55,160 --> 00:26:58,640
drafted McGonagall and that's about it.

571
00:26:58,759 --> 00:27:03,319
Speaker 4: Chanler Simpsons, Yeah, I was first for a little bit.

572
00:27:03,359 --> 00:27:08,119
My team is tank, Matt Chapman is playing terribly. I've

573
00:27:08,160 --> 00:27:11,400
had Brent Rooker missed a bunch of time, Yellis missed

574
00:27:11,400 --> 00:27:14,039
a bunch of time after a nice white hot start,

575
00:27:14,559 --> 00:27:16,799
and my pitching has been just not good year. He's

576
00:27:16,839 --> 00:27:20,440
been bad. Who has been bad? Yeah, so I've had

577
00:27:20,839 --> 00:27:22,200
I've fallen down to seventh.

578
00:27:22,279 --> 00:27:24,640
Speaker 3: I'm not like, not even top half of the league anymore.

579
00:27:24,799 --> 00:27:28,079
Speaker 2: So all right, press, Yeah, some other pieces before we

580
00:27:28,119 --> 00:27:31,200
get to the pitcher breakdowns. In the injury market. Buxton

581
00:27:31,279 --> 00:27:35,279
was scratched Thursday with hip issue. He's been pretty getting

582
00:27:35,319 --> 00:27:38,200
red hot so monitor that don't know if it's serious.

583
00:27:38,480 --> 00:27:41,480
Jacob Hasrask, as we said he had left with quad cramping.

584
00:27:41,640 --> 00:27:44,480
Didn't seem like a big issue. Robbie Snelling to the

585
00:27:44,519 --> 00:27:48,519
IL with a UCL stream that's really bad, and the

586
00:27:49,160 --> 00:27:51,960
move was It brought Braxon Carrot up where he's coming

587
00:27:52,039 --> 00:27:54,960
up today. I think he's pitching today. I'm pretty intrigued

588
00:27:54,960 --> 00:27:56,400
by it. I talked about him as like a waiver

589
00:27:56,400 --> 00:27:58,880
wire pickup on He's seven percent owned in like Yahoo

590
00:27:59,079 --> 00:28:03,000
ESPN League combined. You know, he's he's a low velow pitcher.

591
00:28:03,039 --> 00:28:04,839
His velo was up in triple A a little over

592
00:28:04,880 --> 00:28:08,200
a mile per hour from the previous year. He's getting

593
00:28:08,240 --> 00:28:10,599
some whiffs, his walks were up, so I kind of

594
00:28:10,640 --> 00:28:13,319
monitor that. But I think he's a decent I'm interested

595
00:28:13,319 --> 00:28:14,920
in streaming him, I guess is the point.

596
00:28:15,240 --> 00:28:17,039
Speaker 4: I mean, and most likely you have an open spot

597
00:28:17,079 --> 00:28:19,799
with all these damn pitture injuries, so but I do.

598
00:28:19,920 --> 00:28:21,799
Speaker 2: I wish it was Thomas White that was coming up though,

599
00:28:21,839 --> 00:28:24,680
that would have been like, you know, get excited if

600
00:28:24,720 --> 00:28:27,319
he was. But Brax and Garrett's the guy more injuries.

601
00:28:27,400 --> 00:28:30,079
Jacob Wilson to the I L with left shoulder slap

602
00:28:30,680 --> 00:28:34,319
sub luxation. That's a tough one. Sean Murphy to the

603
00:28:34,359 --> 00:28:36,680
I L. No one want to miss him. Who's at

604
00:28:36,720 --> 00:28:41,200
Cabayero finger fracture And they brought up Anthony Volpi, but

605
00:28:41,200 --> 00:28:43,039
I think they said they're gonna give it back to

606
00:28:43,079 --> 00:28:45,880
Cabra when he comes back. But do you se Volpi

607
00:28:46,400 --> 00:28:49,079
error in his first game back, like he just he's

608
00:28:49,079 --> 00:28:49,799
got to get out of.

609
00:28:49,720 --> 00:28:54,039
Speaker 4: There, dude, get him out of New York man, Yeah,

610
00:28:54,160 --> 00:28:55,039
get him anywhere else.

611
00:28:55,039 --> 00:28:56,839
Speaker 3: Why didn't the Dodgers trade for him?

612
00:28:57,279 --> 00:29:00,440
Speaker 2: They just got like I think there are some cases

613
00:29:00,480 --> 00:29:02,680
where everyone needs to look and be like, well, like,

614
00:29:02,720 --> 00:29:05,519
I know, you don't want to trade away like controllable players.

615
00:29:05,559 --> 00:29:07,720
If they can fix it, da da du it ain't work.

616
00:29:08,359 --> 00:29:09,599
You just gotta get some guys out of there.

617
00:29:09,640 --> 00:29:10,119
Speaker 3: It ain't work.

618
00:29:10,359 --> 00:29:12,799
Speaker 2: Yeah, you gotta get him out of there. Addison Barger

619
00:29:12,839 --> 00:29:14,960
went to the ile with elbow inflammation. That's not good.

620
00:29:15,039 --> 00:29:17,799
Yelich came back and then Artie has got to sore

621
00:29:17,880 --> 00:29:20,200
back again. Like he was activated and then didn't.

622
00:29:20,519 --> 00:29:22,720
Speaker 4: I was making the notes on like Monday and Tuesday,

623
00:29:23,119 --> 00:29:25,759
and I put on the active guys or the guys

624
00:29:25,759 --> 00:29:28,720
coming back. Hey, Yeltz was activated and then on Tuesday

625
00:29:28,880 --> 00:29:29,960
he's dealing with a bad back.

626
00:29:30,119 --> 00:29:32,240
Speaker 3: Nope, one day, anyone.

627
00:29:32,599 --> 00:29:37,200
Speaker 2: He's right back to it. We also had Francisco Alvarez

628
00:29:37,200 --> 00:29:38,599
who's gonna be out six to eight weeks with the

629
00:29:38,599 --> 00:29:42,960
tormentiscus over him. So it doesn't matter, you can be

630
00:29:43,039 --> 00:29:44,920
done with it, and Dylan Beaver's to the isle with

631
00:29:44,920 --> 00:29:47,759
an oblique train. Some guys coming back from the injured

632
00:29:48,039 --> 00:29:50,880
run here. Garic Crochet threw off a mount on Tuesday.

633
00:29:50,920 --> 00:29:53,599
There's no actual timetable. I think he threw like twenty pitches.

634
00:29:53,960 --> 00:29:56,799
So they're just trying to figure out when the IL

635
00:29:57,119 --> 00:29:59,880
stint is, you know, the rehabby stuff is going to start.

636
00:30:00,079 --> 00:30:02,480
So it's actually not super great news. It's not the

637
00:30:02,519 --> 00:30:04,559
worst news. It's not like a setback or anything. It's

638
00:30:04,599 --> 00:30:06,400
just like you're kind of hoping like, oh, it goes

639
00:30:06,440 --> 00:30:08,359
on the IL, maybe he'll be back quick, Like this

640
00:30:08,440 --> 00:30:09,960
doesn't seem super quick.

641
00:30:10,319 --> 00:30:12,400
Speaker 4: Yeah, this is kind of what I was menishing before

642
00:30:12,680 --> 00:30:17,119
as a potential for, you know, as a potential for

643
00:30:17,240 --> 00:30:19,480
Max Freed, who left as well and kind of had

644
00:30:19,519 --> 00:30:22,200
the same stuff to say that Crochet did. So it's

645
00:30:22,720 --> 00:30:25,680
an IEL stint. It probably is three weeks to a

646
00:30:25,680 --> 00:30:28,559
month instead of two weeks, but not the whole season.

647
00:30:28,599 --> 00:30:30,160
That's probably what we're looking at here.

648
00:30:30,400 --> 00:30:33,079
Speaker 2: Oh my god, Joe's going to be so insufferable tomorrow.

649
00:30:33,119 --> 00:30:36,039
A j ewing just hit a homer. I just have

650
00:30:36,799 --> 00:30:40,400
He's going to be the most Insufferable human Beings tomorrow.

651
00:30:41,400 --> 00:30:43,319
Speaker 3: I gotta go to that game because it's nine zip

652
00:30:43,400 --> 00:30:44,480
on this REDS game.

653
00:30:44,880 --> 00:30:49,599
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's three three and uh aja Ewing just dropped

654
00:30:49,640 --> 00:30:51,920
a bomb, So if you don't want to hear the

655
00:30:51,960 --> 00:30:57,599
unstuffer and amos, that's brutal. So live game action going on.

656
00:30:58,000 --> 00:31:00,880
Uh Francisco Lindoor in theory is coming back, but we

657
00:31:00,960 --> 00:31:04,240
have no idea when because the MRI and Winnsday showed

658
00:31:04,279 --> 00:31:06,720
that there's healing in his calf, but they've set no

659
00:31:06,839 --> 00:31:10,240
timetable for that. So it's like, brother, if they don't

660
00:31:10,240 --> 00:31:12,359
have it at a timetable, he's got to start ramping up.

661
00:31:12,400 --> 00:31:14,480
Then he's gonna play games like this is.

662
00:31:16,039 --> 00:31:19,839
Speaker 4: Feels like it feels like an unnecessary update. Man like

663
00:31:19,880 --> 00:31:23,599
a ys MRI showed he's recovering Bud. He's not ready yet,

664
00:31:23,839 --> 00:31:25,079
just so everybody knows.

665
00:31:25,359 --> 00:31:27,599
Speaker 2: He just hasn't ramped up. He's gonna have to ramp

666
00:31:27,640 --> 00:31:32,160
up into games and it's just it's it's ramps up well,

667
00:31:32,160 --> 00:31:35,279
people want updates. Jeremy Panie is resuming his rehab on Friday.

668
00:31:35,359 --> 00:31:38,279
Jordan Westburg weighing is options by the way for Tommy

669
00:31:38,359 --> 00:31:40,279
John surgery, which would knock him out for the season

670
00:31:40,359 --> 00:31:43,400
and also makes a little bit more sense that Jackson

671
00:31:43,440 --> 00:31:46,119
Holiday has been working at third base. When he comes back,

672
00:31:46,119 --> 00:31:48,160
they might be wanting some extra run there. So just

673
00:31:49,119 --> 00:31:52,640
absolute disaster for Westburg at this point. So he's I

674
00:31:52,640 --> 00:31:54,000
don't even think you need to hold on to him.

675
00:31:54,039 --> 00:31:56,279
The production hasn't been there. Like, if you have any

676
00:31:56,319 --> 00:31:58,640
if you have an il spot issue, crunch dump him.

677
00:31:58,640 --> 00:32:01,440
You can get rid of himas Robert is not progressing

678
00:32:01,480 --> 00:32:03,519
the way they would like. This is according to Carlo

679
00:32:03,599 --> 00:32:07,200
Mendoza with his lingering back issue with the Mets, and

680
00:32:07,240 --> 00:32:10,200
this is why aj Ewing is up. This is why

681
00:32:10,240 --> 00:32:12,880
aj Ewing might be up for quite a while with

682
00:32:13,000 --> 00:32:13,400
this thing.

683
00:32:13,839 --> 00:32:17,039
Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean that sucks that hopefully this back issue goes,

684
00:32:17,079 --> 00:32:19,839
but I mean if you ever had a back issue,

685
00:32:19,880 --> 00:32:22,160
you know they're just not doing anything until it's good.

686
00:32:22,440 --> 00:32:26,240
So really stinks for uh Lou Bob, But hopefully he's

687
00:32:26,279 --> 00:32:29,960
back soon. But hey, aj Ewing hitting bombs and stealing

688
00:32:30,039 --> 00:32:31,000
Joe pis his heart.

689
00:32:31,039 --> 00:32:34,759
Speaker 2: In the meantime, Peter Fairbanks is activated, so he's back.

690
00:32:34,839 --> 00:32:37,599
Ryan Helsley has not been clear to start a throwing program,

691
00:32:37,640 --> 00:32:40,440
but they expect a rehab assignment soon. I just talked

692
00:32:40,440 --> 00:32:43,119
about this. Rico garcias just still floating out there. He's

693
00:32:43,119 --> 00:32:45,400
been one of the best relief pictures in Basel, and

694
00:32:45,480 --> 00:32:48,960
he's getting saves and he's like under fifty percent on

695
00:32:49,079 --> 00:32:52,240
on CBS, he's under thirty percent on the CBS YAH

696
00:32:52,400 --> 00:32:54,400
or the ESPN YAH who combined, I would be picking

697
00:32:54,480 --> 00:32:55,519
him up perspectively.

698
00:32:55,759 --> 00:33:01,880
Speaker 4: He guess where he is among relief pictures ranked, I

699
00:33:01,880 --> 00:33:05,359
don't know, just guests very high.

700
00:33:05,720 --> 00:33:08,319
Speaker 2: Uh four second Wow.

701
00:33:08,599 --> 00:33:11,759
Speaker 3: Mason Miller. Mason Miller is the only one ahead of him,

702
00:33:11,759 --> 00:33:14,559
and Mason Miller has eighteen more strikeouts than he does.

703
00:33:14,920 --> 00:33:18,279
Speaker 4: But his era is point four to seven, his whip

704
00:33:18,359 --> 00:33:20,880
is point four to two. He has three saves, twenty

705
00:33:20,880 --> 00:33:24,799
two strikeouts and three wins. Also that's probably boosting him

706
00:33:24,799 --> 00:33:27,079
a lot. But yeah, Rico Garcia has been great.

707
00:33:27,799 --> 00:33:29,960
Speaker 2: I'd be picking him up. Eric Miller started a rehab

708
00:33:30,160 --> 00:33:33,240
assignment after the lower backstring. He might come back in

709
00:33:33,279 --> 00:33:34,920
and get saves. N eighty of all Day's going to

710
00:33:34,960 --> 00:33:37,480
start on Saturday after being scratched money, that's good news.

711
00:33:37,519 --> 00:33:40,759
Grayson Rodriguez coming back this Sunday, just had a big

712
00:33:40,799 --> 00:33:44,839
old outing in a rehab start. I'm still dicey about him,

713
00:33:44,839 --> 00:33:46,240
but I know Joe kind of likes him, but he's

714
00:33:46,319 --> 00:33:48,039
kind of high owned, so you can look out for him.

715
00:33:48,119 --> 00:33:52,319
Jason Diminguez prp injection in his shoulder, and Lucas gi

716
00:33:52,319 --> 00:33:54,839
Alito is set to join the Pods rotation this weekend

717
00:33:54,960 --> 00:33:57,359
after doing all his rehab assignments over in like Double

718
00:33:57,400 --> 00:33:59,960
A and everything. So you're gonna speculate on Jaylee?

719
00:34:01,160 --> 00:34:05,799
Speaker 4: No, I mean I I'm more likely for a Grayson,

720
00:34:05,960 --> 00:34:08,760
but like you have to have that streaming spot, right,

721
00:34:08,880 --> 00:34:11,960
Like that streaming spot where someone pitches and you don't

722
00:34:11,960 --> 00:34:13,960
want him and you dump him and you pick up Grayson.

723
00:34:14,039 --> 00:34:16,360
I feel like that's what Grayson is right now, are you?

724
00:34:16,679 --> 00:34:18,960
Is he anything beyond a streamer do you?

725
00:34:18,960 --> 00:34:22,039
Speaker 2: No, I'm I'm just looking for like solid outings and

726
00:34:22,079 --> 00:34:23,599
where I would want to put like I want to

727
00:34:23,639 --> 00:34:25,320
see what he looks like. The problem is is, like

728
00:34:25,360 --> 00:34:27,599
I do think you got to pick I'm not afraid

729
00:34:27,960 --> 00:34:30,159
in a deeper league to pick him up, speculate in

730
00:34:30,159 --> 00:34:31,960
the hold and maybe not start him in the first one,

731
00:34:32,000 --> 00:34:34,440
but to hold him if the start is good though,

732
00:34:35,199 --> 00:34:36,760
as long as he's not going up against like the

733
00:34:36,840 --> 00:34:39,440
Dodgers and you know, like braves and stuff. I might

734
00:34:39,480 --> 00:34:40,280
put him out there.

735
00:34:41,159 --> 00:34:43,880
Speaker 4: Yeah, I think that's probably got to be where I

736
00:34:43,880 --> 00:34:46,559
am what Grayson Rodriguez too, like potential for him to

737
00:34:46,599 --> 00:34:47,400
come back and look good.

738
00:34:47,440 --> 00:34:48,159
Speaker 3: I'm all about it.

739
00:34:48,199 --> 00:34:51,119
Speaker 2: But uh, oh, I'm sorry. I thought you're talking about

740
00:34:51,159 --> 00:34:51,719
Lucce Gielito.

741
00:34:52,159 --> 00:34:53,519
Speaker 3: No, no, I was talking about Grayson.

742
00:34:53,639 --> 00:34:55,840
Speaker 2: Oh okay, because we were talking Lucas Gilito, I didn't

743
00:34:55,840 --> 00:34:57,559
realize you turned it back to Grayson. That's my bad.

744
00:34:58,440 --> 00:35:00,559
I hold him in the same regard. I think the

745
00:35:00,599 --> 00:35:02,840
exact same regard. I actually honestly might feel a little

746
00:35:02,840 --> 00:35:03,800
bit better about Giolito.

747
00:35:04,400 --> 00:35:06,239
Speaker 3: Oh really, I think I feel a little bit better

748
00:35:06,239 --> 00:35:07,760
about Grayson. But not by a.

749
00:35:07,719 --> 00:35:10,280
Speaker 2: Ton Yeah, not by a ton on like either one

750
00:35:10,320 --> 00:35:12,119
of them. So all right, let's take a break. When

751
00:35:12,159 --> 00:35:16,280
we come back, speaking of pitching, let's talk about some

752
00:35:16,400 --> 00:35:20,280
pictures with some expected to normal era changes and some

753
00:35:20,360 --> 00:35:22,800
year over your CA percentage. Who are we buying, Who's

754
00:35:22,840 --> 00:35:26,559
made the biggest changes? Are those changes worthwhile? Let's do it,

755
00:35:26,599 --> 00:35:30,639
and we'll do it right for this in this league,

756
00:35:31,239 --> 00:35:34,880
somebody royally forked up, somebody forked up.

757
00:35:35,440 --> 00:35:38,079
Speaker 4: Why can't I say, if you're trying to curse, you

758
00:35:38,119 --> 00:35:39,280
can't hear full.

759
00:35:39,159 --> 00:35:44,360
Speaker 1: Shirt, Holy mother fork shirt boss.

760
00:35:45,519 --> 00:35:48,440
Speaker 2: All right, we are taking a look at some either

761
00:35:48,519 --> 00:35:51,400
year over year or just expected differences. We've got two

762
00:35:51,400 --> 00:35:53,920
pitching stats. We're going to take a look at, if anything,

763
00:35:53,960 --> 00:35:54,639
what this does.

764
00:35:54,840 --> 00:35:57,000
Speaker 3: Like always, you know.

765
00:35:56,920 --> 00:35:59,000
Speaker 2: I don't think you get too hyper focused necessarily on

766
00:35:59,280 --> 00:36:02,360
individual stats or why we did it. It's an opportunity

767
00:36:02,400 --> 00:36:05,039
to talk about some players, and we've got expected We've

768
00:36:05,039 --> 00:36:09,159
got era to expected era differentials for players that have

769
00:36:09,239 --> 00:36:12,039
some of the biggest differences. Obviously a lot of that,

770
00:36:12,519 --> 00:36:14,760
especially the top end, is going to talk about potential

771
00:36:14,760 --> 00:36:17,880
regression candidate type of players, and then year over year

772
00:36:18,000 --> 00:36:22,800
K percentage guys where when we get the K percentage,

773
00:36:22,800 --> 00:36:24,400
we'll ask you about some of the structure of how

774
00:36:24,400 --> 00:36:28,039
you've got this. But let's start with era. And the

775
00:36:28,199 --> 00:36:31,960
biggest ERA difference that we're looking at is an over

776
00:36:32,119 --> 00:36:35,880
two run differential. And what's fascinating, and it's funny because

777
00:36:35,880 --> 00:36:39,039
I see it here every place you look, any type

778
00:36:39,079 --> 00:36:41,559
of player raider that a site has, this guy is

779
00:36:41,559 --> 00:36:45,199
in your face. He is twenty third overall on Yahoo.

780
00:36:46,320 --> 00:36:49,239
But it's Davis Martin, and it's hard to buy in.

781
00:36:49,360 --> 00:36:51,639
Davis Smartin obviously was a free ninety nine guy. He's

782
00:36:51,679 --> 00:36:54,079
a one six to two era, but he's got an

783
00:36:54,119 --> 00:37:00,000
expected era of three nine one. His FIP an x FIP. Actually,

784
00:37:00,159 --> 00:37:02,639
you're telling us a story that yes, of course it's

785
00:37:02,679 --> 00:37:05,199
not the same, it's not the one blah blah blah,

786
00:37:05,239 --> 00:37:08,320
but it's still like a really good picture. He's got

787
00:37:08,360 --> 00:37:12,440
solid K numbers, low walk numbers, hasn't really given up

788
00:37:12,480 --> 00:37:16,119
a whole bunch of contact. Maybe we're just too focused

789
00:37:16,119 --> 00:37:18,920
on the stigma bogs of him being a white sox.

790
00:37:18,960 --> 00:37:21,119
But what do you think about Davis Smartin? Are you

791
00:37:21,159 --> 00:37:23,360
do you buy? I don't know how to really kind

792
00:37:23,360 --> 00:37:27,039
of like bow this up here. I'm not like, yeah,

793
00:37:27,119 --> 00:37:29,280
you think he's gonna fall apart. This is nothing to

794
00:37:29,400 --> 00:37:31,920
do regression. Okay, so you think the regression is gonna

795
00:37:31,960 --> 00:37:34,199
take over and we are gonna be what Martin will

796
00:37:34,199 --> 00:37:35,119
be back on the wires soon.

797
00:37:35,559 --> 00:37:38,159
Speaker 4: I do like this is a large difference, Like you

798
00:37:38,199 --> 00:37:40,440
go from an era close to one and a half

799
00:37:40,559 --> 00:37:43,679
to close to four, right, and when you go and

800
00:37:43,679 --> 00:37:47,039
look at his savant page, like the chase numbers, K percentage.

801
00:37:47,039 --> 00:37:50,960
Walk percentage are all excellent right over in the eightieth

802
00:37:51,000 --> 00:37:55,320
percentile or higher eight percentile on K percentage ninety second

803
00:37:55,320 --> 00:37:58,760
and walk Hee's walking nobody, which is outstanding, and he's

804
00:37:58,800 --> 00:38:01,440
getting guys to chase, which is great. But the XBA

805
00:38:01,599 --> 00:38:04,039
is in the bottom thirty percent A twenty eight. The

806
00:38:04,199 --> 00:38:08,320
VLO is no good, bottom thirty five percent exit VLO

807
00:38:08,559 --> 00:38:11,559
average excip vialet velo for a guy without VLO is

808
00:38:11,559 --> 00:38:14,880
not good either, which means guys are squaring him up.

809
00:38:14,920 --> 00:38:17,519
He's under fifty percent on barrel erge percentage all out

810
00:38:17,559 --> 00:38:20,719
and bottom eighteen percent hard hit percentage all out. So

811
00:38:21,440 --> 00:38:23,320
I think the other shoe is gonna drop pretty soon,

812
00:38:23,360 --> 00:38:25,639
which is why we haven't spent a lot of time

813
00:38:26,079 --> 00:38:27,280
talking up David Smart.

814
00:38:27,800 --> 00:38:28,039
Speaker 2: Right.

815
00:38:28,159 --> 00:38:31,599
Speaker 4: I heard Scott White talking him up a couple weeks ago,

816
00:38:32,119 --> 00:38:35,719
and it was kind of like the we've avoided talking

817
00:38:35,719 --> 00:38:37,679
about this guy for a couple of weeks because we

818
00:38:37,800 --> 00:38:40,840
just know we're never gonna buy in. But it's been

819
00:38:40,880 --> 00:38:42,679
a month and he's been great, so we have to

820
00:38:42,719 --> 00:38:45,960
take notice now. But I do think that you just

821
00:38:46,079 --> 00:38:48,599
ride this wave. In the first time he gives up

822
00:38:48,639 --> 00:38:51,320
back to back starts with more than five or more runs,

823
00:38:51,360 --> 00:38:54,519
it's it's probably you're getting close to cut time. So

824
00:38:56,079 --> 00:38:59,920
I'm probably out on this being sustainable for David Smart.

825
00:39:00,199 --> 00:39:02,320
Speaker 2: Kind of hard. I mean, I'll say one thing, he

826
00:39:02,559 --> 00:39:04,719
really has it, like you can pick apart this a

827
00:39:04,719 --> 00:39:07,840
little bit, but I don't see a lot of challenge

828
00:39:08,000 --> 00:39:09,760
in here. Now He's faced a couple of kid But

829
00:39:09,800 --> 00:39:13,519
here are the teams he's faced, the Marlins, the blue Jays, who,

830
00:39:13,559 --> 00:39:15,320
by the way, the blue Jays have been bad this year,

831
00:39:15,480 --> 00:39:18,440
the Royals, and he played the Royals early on horrible

832
00:39:18,880 --> 00:39:24,280
A's Diamondbacks, Angels, Angels, Mariners. I'm not trying to say

833
00:39:24,320 --> 00:39:25,719
like all the Mariners aren't a good team or the

834
00:39:26,000 --> 00:39:28,719
but it's like there's some underperforming teams in there. So

835
00:39:28,800 --> 00:39:31,639
he has played a lot of like bad offenses in there.

836
00:39:32,360 --> 00:39:35,159
In the same token, I don't know, there's it's like

837
00:39:35,199 --> 00:39:38,800
a really cool pitch mix. He's got four pitches. He

838
00:39:38,920 --> 00:39:41,760
throws double digit percentage of the time to righty's. He's

839
00:39:41,760 --> 00:39:44,599
got five pitches he can throw to lefties. He's got

840
00:39:44,599 --> 00:39:47,960
a really good K percentage. He's not walking guys. I

841
00:39:48,039 --> 00:39:50,119
do not think he's a sub to e RA guy.

842
00:39:50,199 --> 00:39:52,800
But I actually think he could be a low threes

843
00:39:52,880 --> 00:39:55,320
type of player, so I'm actually gonna kind of buy.

844
00:39:55,480 --> 00:39:59,159
Like bottom line though, outside of our analysis, this is

845
00:39:59,239 --> 00:40:01,960
just for you guys to know, Davis Martin has an

846
00:40:01,960 --> 00:40:05,960
over two run expected era different whether we buy it

847
00:40:06,079 --> 00:40:08,440
or not. Our breakdown is.

848
00:40:08,400 --> 00:40:11,400
Speaker 4: Just attached to list by er, so there might be

849
00:40:11,440 --> 00:40:14,159
some bigger differences, but that is a massive one up

850
00:40:14,159 --> 00:40:14,519
at the top.

851
00:40:14,599 --> 00:40:16,679
Speaker 3: He has the lowest DRA of anybody on this list.

852
00:40:16,800 --> 00:40:20,880
Speaker 2: Yeah, and this is like informative informative information, but I think,

853
00:40:20,960 --> 00:40:24,280
like I'm still a buyer on Davis Martin, and I

854
00:40:24,280 --> 00:40:26,719
would actually be interested if he had like a bad start.

855
00:40:26,960 --> 00:40:28,519
He doesn't have a start where he's giving up over

856
00:40:28,519 --> 00:40:31,199
three yearned runs. He had like three straight quality starts,

857
00:40:31,239 --> 00:40:33,639
Like he's just kind of doing everything. I'd be interested

858
00:40:33,639 --> 00:40:35,400
in having him be a throw in piece of a

859
00:40:35,440 --> 00:40:38,360
trade if he has like one okay start, just because

860
00:40:38,440 --> 00:40:41,280
like it's some pretty impressive stuff. Those Soriano has gotten

861
00:40:41,280 --> 00:40:44,719
everybody's attention all year, rightfully, so he's been incredible. He's

862
00:40:44,719 --> 00:40:48,000
got a one six six ERA, but he also has

863
00:40:48,360 --> 00:40:52,519
an expected era of two runs more. This is like

864
00:40:52,639 --> 00:40:55,880
Davis Martin three seven to seven expected era. It's a

865
00:40:55,880 --> 00:40:58,159
little worse or a little better than Davis Martin, but

866
00:40:58,280 --> 00:41:01,840
his FIP and ex tip are actually worse than Davis Martin.

867
00:41:02,280 --> 00:41:04,559
U three one seven FIP that's a lot worse than

868
00:41:04,639 --> 00:41:07,599
Davis Martin in A three h one two x FIP.

869
00:41:08,039 --> 00:41:13,480
Jose Soriano good strikeout numbers, walk walks. Always a little

870
00:41:13,480 --> 00:41:15,039
bit of a concern. That's kind of gone up to

871
00:41:15,119 --> 00:41:18,239
like nine percent. He's given up some barreled contact. I

872
00:41:18,280 --> 00:41:19,760
don't know, I've kind of I feel like I've been

873
00:41:19,760 --> 00:41:22,679
a little bit more critical and just dicey about Jose Sooriano.

874
00:41:22,800 --> 00:41:24,760
More than that I wanted to trade him because he

875
00:41:24,920 --> 00:41:26,679
was being put in this like I mean, dude, you

876
00:41:26,800 --> 00:41:28,480
talked about him when we were talking about the top

877
00:41:28,519 --> 00:41:31,079
five or six, you throughout his name like that's still happening.

878
00:41:31,880 --> 00:41:34,519
I feel like, unlike Davis Martin, you're going to turn

879
00:41:34,559 --> 00:41:37,280
in the other direction that you still buy the greatness

880
00:41:37,280 --> 00:41:37,920
of Soriano.

881
00:41:38,280 --> 00:41:40,400
Speaker 4: Yeah, I don't know if I buy the greatness of him,

882
00:41:40,400 --> 00:41:43,320
but his value right now has been outstanding. Do I

883
00:41:43,360 --> 00:41:46,599
think it's going to fall back? Of course, I don't

884
00:41:46,599 --> 00:41:48,639
think he's going to be a top five starting pitcher

885
00:41:48,639 --> 00:41:49,519
for the entire.

886
00:41:49,360 --> 00:41:50,159
Speaker 3: Season at all.

887
00:41:50,360 --> 00:41:53,360
Speaker 4: I think it would be a little bit absurd to

888
00:41:53,480 --> 00:41:57,320
expect that from almost anyone, but specifically a guy that

889
00:41:57,840 --> 00:42:00,320
you know, was ranked below the top one fifty start

890
00:42:00,320 --> 00:42:02,480
the season. His preseason rank was one to eighty one

891
00:42:02,519 --> 00:42:06,000
and right now he's fifteenth overall, which is nice, But

892
00:42:06,400 --> 00:42:08,559
you go and you look at his game log. Dude,

893
00:42:09,159 --> 00:42:10,880
the White Sox are the only teams that have scored

894
00:42:10,960 --> 00:42:13,800
runs off of him. He's given up eight runs to

895
00:42:13,800 --> 00:42:17,159
the White Sox. How many other teams have runs against him?

896
00:42:17,159 --> 00:42:19,719
Speaker 2: Welsh? You know, Oh, I know, I know this whole thing.

897
00:42:19,840 --> 00:42:21,800
Any runs, Yeah, I don't think it's any I think

898
00:42:21,920 --> 00:42:24,320
I think it's one run or something like that.

899
00:42:24,400 --> 00:42:25,840
Speaker 3: Two runs he's given up.

900
00:42:25,880 --> 00:42:28,480
Speaker 4: Outside of those two White Sox games, he gave one

901
00:42:28,559 --> 00:42:32,119
up against Atlanta and through eight innings and that game

902
00:42:32,119 --> 00:42:34,840
had struck out ten. And then his last start at Toronto,

903
00:42:35,199 --> 00:42:38,400
which came off of the start before those two that

904
00:42:38,480 --> 00:42:40,239
were two in a row, by the way, against the

905
00:42:40,239 --> 00:42:44,039
White Sox, was a Toronto game and it was probably

906
00:42:44,119 --> 00:42:46,239
his second worst game. He gave up seven hits and

907
00:42:46,880 --> 00:42:49,480
five innings only and only struck out four. He still

908
00:42:49,480 --> 00:42:51,400
didn't give up any runs or walk anybody. And in

909
00:42:51,400 --> 00:42:54,960
this start seven to two thirds, five hits, one run, one.

910
00:42:54,840 --> 00:42:55,880
Speaker 3: Walk, seven strikeouts.

911
00:42:55,880 --> 00:42:58,840
Speaker 4: So Soriano has been good against everyone that isn't the

912
00:42:58,880 --> 00:42:59,400
White Sox.

913
00:42:59,440 --> 00:43:01,159
Speaker 3: So yes, I'm still in on Soriano.

914
00:43:01,400 --> 00:43:05,840
Speaker 2: That narrative is funny to me because like that Rico

915
00:43:05,880 --> 00:43:07,440
had put that thing out there where he's like, is

916
00:43:07,440 --> 00:43:09,239
it just a White Sox, And I was like, well,

917
00:43:09,320 --> 00:43:11,440
it was back to back White Sox starts. You can't

918
00:43:11,920 --> 00:43:13,400
I don't think we can play this game and it's

919
00:43:13,440 --> 00:43:16,119
only the White Sox. But then he did dominate the

920
00:43:16,599 --> 00:43:17,239
Blue Jays.

921
00:43:17,239 --> 00:43:19,360
Speaker 4: Oh, we just went through the bad schedule with Martin.

922
00:43:19,440 --> 00:43:22,440
It's and he has played Houston when they were hot.

923
00:43:22,519 --> 00:43:26,320
His first started was against Houston, then the Cubs, Atlanta

924
00:43:26,480 --> 00:43:29,840
at Cincinnati, two games against Toronto and the Padres. Those

925
00:43:29,840 --> 00:43:32,599
are good teams, got offensive teams, and he's been dominating

926
00:43:32,599 --> 00:43:34,400
everybody that isn't the White Sox.

927
00:43:34,480 --> 00:43:35,360
Speaker 3: It's kind of crazy.

928
00:43:35,440 --> 00:43:40,239
Speaker 2: I guess my take is like, if I could trade

929
00:43:40,280 --> 00:43:44,519
Jose Soriano and get Davis Martin in a solid bat,

930
00:43:44,559 --> 00:43:46,960
I'm doing it in a heartbeat because I think that

931
00:43:47,360 --> 00:43:49,280
I don't have an argument against that I think those

932
00:43:49,280 --> 00:43:52,400
guys might be a lot closer than you think. Like

933
00:43:52,519 --> 00:43:55,039
I think Davis Martin is going to regress, I also

934
00:43:55,119 --> 00:43:58,199
think Jose Soriano's going to regress. The narrative different like

935
00:43:58,280 --> 00:44:01,360
I do think that Jose Soiano's got a better strikeout potential.

936
00:44:02,000 --> 00:44:03,840
I don't love the walk thing, and I think that

937
00:44:03,880 --> 00:44:07,119
could creep into a wrong direction. I think Jose Soriano

938
00:44:07,239 --> 00:44:10,920
is a three and a half ERA with a significantly

939
00:44:10,960 --> 00:44:13,559
increased strikeout rate, which now makes him so much more

940
00:44:13,639 --> 00:44:17,519
valuable than he was before. But he keeps getting talked

941
00:44:17,519 --> 00:44:19,840
about in this elite range where the only thing I

942
00:44:19,840 --> 00:44:21,679
can think about is I want to trade Jose Soriano.

943
00:44:21,960 --> 00:44:23,679
I just want to trade him because he's worth so

944
00:44:23,880 --> 00:44:27,280
much to everybody. I think his best starts are in

945
00:44:27,400 --> 00:44:28,920
right now, and I don't think he's going to be

946
00:44:28,960 --> 00:44:30,440
an under two and a half e RA guy. I

947
00:44:30,480 --> 00:44:32,360
might be wrong and you might sell out. But the

948
00:44:32,400 --> 00:44:37,920
difference is is if Davis Martin continues, you're never gonna

949
00:44:37,920 --> 00:44:39,920
get anything for him. Like if you were to try

950
00:44:39,920 --> 00:44:41,599
to be like, Okay, I'm gonna try Davis Martin, you

951
00:44:41,679 --> 00:44:43,800
just can't get anything good for Davis Martin.

952
00:44:43,880 --> 00:44:46,320
Speaker 4: So that whole also make corianno more valuable if you

953
00:44:46,360 --> 00:44:49,079
think you can get anything for him, right, well, but.

954
00:44:49,119 --> 00:44:51,119
Speaker 2: I think you can get a lot for Soriano. So

955
00:44:51,480 --> 00:44:54,800
I guess what I'm saying is like the plus if

956
00:44:54,840 --> 00:44:56,639
you were to trade Davis Martin because you don't believe

957
00:44:56,679 --> 00:44:58,920
it and you trade him off, what the hell are

958
00:44:58,960 --> 00:45:00,960
you getting? You're getting some I think you're getting a

959
00:45:01,000 --> 00:45:03,719
closer aj Ewing You're getting in and.

960
00:45:03,760 --> 00:45:06,519
Speaker 3: Not Anthonyez right, like a closer.

961
00:45:06,840 --> 00:45:09,119
Speaker 2: And if and if David Martin were to continue, you're

962
00:45:09,159 --> 00:45:12,159
sick to your stomach because that's the top fifteen sp

963
00:45:12,639 --> 00:45:16,000
Jose Soriano. If you trade him right now, you're going

964
00:45:16,039 --> 00:45:17,840
to get a f and Hall And then if he

965
00:45:17,960 --> 00:45:20,000
continues at this rate and as a sub to era,

966
00:45:20,480 --> 00:45:23,239
you're sick about it, but you got a huge return

967
00:45:23,280 --> 00:45:24,960
in it and that So that's like my narrative.

968
00:45:25,039 --> 00:45:26,480
Speaker 4: Do you have a tool where we can look at

969
00:45:26,840 --> 00:45:28,199
like who has been traded for who?

970
00:45:29,599 --> 00:45:32,079
Speaker 2: Yes, there is a I don't have it like quickly

971
00:45:32,119 --> 00:45:36,599
in front of me there. It's not publicly accessible. I

972
00:45:36,599 --> 00:45:38,639
think CBS used to do that and then they got

973
00:45:38,719 --> 00:45:41,199
rid of it. I've got a tool on fantasy pros

974
00:45:41,239 --> 00:45:43,760
where I can see like seven days worth of trades,

975
00:45:44,360 --> 00:45:47,599
and that would be uh, actually I might talk for

976
00:45:47,599 --> 00:45:48,679
a second. Let me see if I can.

977
00:45:48,559 --> 00:45:52,639
Speaker 4: Trust so just looking at Soriano savon page, he's better

978
00:45:52,679 --> 00:45:55,639
than fifty percent in most things, right. The two things

979
00:45:55,639 --> 00:45:58,239
that he is below fifty percent and walk percentage like

980
00:45:58,239 --> 00:46:01,199
you said, he's in the forty six percentile, and barrel

981
00:46:01,199 --> 00:46:04,000
percentage allowed he's in the bottom thirty six percent, So

982
00:46:04,559 --> 00:46:08,559
that's been tough. But fastball velo top ninety percent, fIF percentage,

983
00:46:08,599 --> 00:46:11,519
top ninety two percent, K percentage top eighty four percent,

984
00:46:12,119 --> 00:46:17,199
ground ball percentage top seventy seven percent. Like he he's

985
00:46:17,280 --> 00:46:20,239
above average even in XCRA and X batting average, he's

986
00:46:20,239 --> 00:46:22,440
above average there at fifty four and fifty eight percent.

987
00:46:22,519 --> 00:46:27,199
So there's nothing here that shows a significant downgrade. Do

988
00:46:27,360 --> 00:46:30,239
I think he's going to be a top twenty five

989
00:46:30,320 --> 00:46:32,519
to fifty player the whole year, No, But I think

990
00:46:32,719 --> 00:46:34,679
he can hover around top one hundred after what he's

991
00:46:34,719 --> 00:46:37,639
already done, and that will bring you more than what

992
00:46:37,760 --> 00:46:38,840
you'll get for Davis Park.

993
00:46:39,440 --> 00:46:43,159
Speaker 2: This the search tool on this is like a night

994
00:46:43,239 --> 00:46:46,159
two days. Yeah, well, no idea, no, No, I found

995
00:46:46,199 --> 00:46:48,239
some the problem is is like you know, when you're

996
00:46:48,280 --> 00:46:53,119
in like a huge document, like it takes forever to load. Well, no,

997
00:46:53,199 --> 00:46:55,320
if you should put someone's name in, it should show

998
00:46:55,320 --> 00:46:57,840
you all of them. I have to like be like

999
00:46:58,039 --> 00:47:00,719
visually looking at the name. It's crazy. So here are

1000
00:47:00,719 --> 00:47:01,320
two trades that.

1001
00:47:01,559 --> 00:47:03,440
Speaker 3: If you look at these numbers, they're very scary.

1002
00:47:03,639 --> 00:47:07,000
Speaker 2: I can't put in a box. I can't put Soriano

1003
00:47:07,079 --> 00:47:09,360
and scroll and find all of them. I have to

1004
00:47:09,400 --> 00:47:12,480
like be looking for her. So I found two real quick.

1005
00:47:13,360 --> 00:47:17,440
This is on that Jose Soriano. This was on May eleventh,

1006
00:47:17,519 --> 00:47:20,880
and I think this happened multiple times. Jose Soriano for

1007
00:47:21,039 --> 00:47:25,039
Ozzy Albi's Ozzy's been overperforming. I'm gonna sell on Ozzie

1008
00:47:25,039 --> 00:47:27,159
Albi's though, but that was one.

1009
00:47:27,239 --> 00:47:28,440
Speaker 3: Here's that's pretty fair.

1010
00:47:29,239 --> 00:47:34,400
Speaker 2: Jose Soriano and Taoscar Hernandez for Riley Green and Riley

1011
00:47:34,440 --> 00:47:35,719
Green is going the Circo.

1012
00:47:36,480 --> 00:47:41,000
Speaker 4: Yeah, yeah, I think I'd rather that Riley Green. Uh,

1013
00:47:41,079 --> 00:47:44,159
the other one for Ozzie. I think it's pretty fair.

1014
00:47:44,239 --> 00:47:47,119
I think they're both overperforming, right, So what do you want?

1015
00:47:47,159 --> 00:47:49,639
You want the overperforming it or the overperforming picture if

1016
00:47:49,639 --> 00:47:50,239
you need the picture.

1017
00:47:50,559 --> 00:47:52,840
Speaker 2: I kind of want. I just kind of want more unfairs.

1018
00:47:52,880 --> 00:47:55,280
All right, here's another one. This looks like a dynasty trade.

1019
00:47:55,320 --> 00:47:59,840
Maybe Jose Soriano, Max Clark, and Will Warren for Kiley

1020
00:48:00,000 --> 00:48:04,440
Ansen and ord On Alvarez. Well, Warren's been awesome. That's

1021
00:48:04,480 --> 00:48:08,239
two really good pictures and a rookie in Max Clark

1022
00:48:08,320 --> 00:48:10,800
for Alvarez and Kenley Jansen. So like that's what the

1023
00:48:10,840 --> 00:48:13,920
trade market has looked like as I'm searching on the

1024
00:48:13,960 --> 00:48:16,480
back end. Those are some sync like Fantasy pros trades.

1025
00:48:16,679 --> 00:48:18,119
Speaker 3: Those are some interesting trades.

1026
00:48:18,159 --> 00:48:20,719
Speaker 4: I like that your Don one is interesting because it's

1027
00:48:20,760 --> 00:48:23,840
like Jansen has been shaking. If your Don gets hurt again,

1028
00:48:24,199 --> 00:48:26,159
that's gonna be real tough. But your Don can win

1029
00:48:26,199 --> 00:48:26,559
the MVP.

1030
00:48:26,920 --> 00:48:29,199
Speaker 2: It's just if it's Dynasty and you give up Max Clark,

1031
00:48:29,280 --> 00:48:32,559
Like that's a pretty big But I don't know. I

1032
00:48:32,559 --> 00:48:34,800
think that maybe that starts to give you the general range.

1033
00:48:34,840 --> 00:48:36,400
I feel like I just want a little bit more,

1034
00:48:36,480 --> 00:48:38,159
But I guess I look at it more from like

1035
00:48:38,239 --> 00:48:39,360
comparing Jose sore.

1036
00:48:39,639 --> 00:48:42,800
Speaker 3: And hasn't Max Clark been bad bad?

1037
00:48:42,800 --> 00:48:44,719
Speaker 2: He's just not hitting homers. He's in Triple A. He's

1038
00:48:44,760 --> 00:48:45,960
one of the youngest in Triple A.

1039
00:48:46,800 --> 00:48:46,880
Speaker 1: No.

1040
00:48:46,960 --> 00:48:49,199
Speaker 4: I just mean, like, if you're looking for impact this year,

1041
00:48:49,239 --> 00:48:50,559
it's probably not gonna be from Max clo.

1042
00:48:50,679 --> 00:48:53,519
Speaker 2: Oh yeah they I mean they haven't called him up

1043
00:48:53,559 --> 00:48:55,079
and I don't know when they're gonna call him up.

1044
00:48:55,119 --> 00:48:57,440
So impact this year is a little bit down. Uh,

1045
00:48:57,519 --> 00:48:59,800
here's some more pictures. I'm gonna just start listing off

1046
00:48:59,840 --> 00:49:02,280
and set of like individual breakdowns. We've got Nick Martin

1047
00:49:02,920 --> 00:49:04,719
one point seven e R A and.

1048
00:49:04,719 --> 00:49:06,840
Speaker 3: Expected Nick Martinez, Nick Martinez.

1049
00:49:06,920 --> 00:49:09,840
Speaker 2: Sorry, I'm looking at Davis Martin.

1050
00:49:10,440 --> 00:49:12,000
Speaker 3: High School with the punter named Nick Martin.

1051
00:49:12,039 --> 00:49:17,519
Speaker 2: If uh Nick Murphy he was he was drafted by

1052
00:49:17,559 --> 00:49:20,760
the Vikings. I think it was well, I only know.

1053
00:49:20,840 --> 00:49:24,679
Speaker 4: Him and Mark Andrews that that's our our NFL four

1054
00:49:24,880 --> 00:49:26,119
professional athletes.

1055
00:49:26,159 --> 00:49:29,360
Speaker 2: I can think of. It's Nick Murphy that that played

1056
00:49:29,360 --> 00:49:31,719
in the NFL because we had the a SUS quarterback

1057
00:49:31,920 --> 00:49:36,440
who's literally our grade, Christian Chad Christiansen. Nick Murphy made

1058
00:49:36,440 --> 00:49:39,639
it to the Vikings, Mark Andrews to the Ravens obviously,

1059
00:49:40,320 --> 00:49:43,440
Merrill Kelly uh to the Diamondbacks. And then there is

1060
00:49:43,480 --> 00:49:46,559
a professional baseball player he doesn't quite count West Cough

1061
00:49:47,239 --> 00:49:49,280
who's with the White Sox in the minor leagues. He

1062
00:49:49,320 --> 00:49:50,920
has not gone. That's all that we know that may

1063
00:49:51,000 --> 00:49:53,840
I don't think I knew. Yeah he was, he was

1064
00:49:53,880 --> 00:50:00,760
Desert Mountain and then, but he's the majors those three guys.

1065
00:50:00,800 --> 00:50:05,159
Nick Martinez one seven ERA, three point eighty five expected ERA.

1066
00:50:05,679 --> 00:50:07,599
He has one of the highest x fips. His x

1067
00:50:07,639 --> 00:50:10,119
FIP is telling an even worse story of four point

1068
00:50:10,400 --> 00:50:14,519
four point twenty five. He's been one of those guys

1069
00:50:14,519 --> 00:50:17,519
that's come off off of like the openers, Clay Holmes.

1070
00:50:17,719 --> 00:50:20,679
It's been incredible this year one point eight six ERA,

1071
00:50:20,960 --> 00:50:24,039
but an almost two run difference of three point seventy five,

1072
00:50:24,079 --> 00:50:27,079
which is still respectable. Is fit a three point four

1073
00:50:27,119 --> 00:50:29,559
to five and an x FIP of three point seventy five,

1074
00:50:29,639 --> 00:50:33,159
So even though it's a bump, it's still pretty respectable.

1075
00:50:33,159 --> 00:50:35,599
I'm gonna do a few more here. Well, actually, hey,

1076
00:50:35,679 --> 00:50:37,760
let's do a few more Michael mcgre and these are

1077
00:50:37,840 --> 00:50:39,599
guys I'm gonna focus on guys that are in the

1078
00:50:39,679 --> 00:50:43,960
Yahoo Top one hundred. Foster Griffin two point one two ERA.

1079
00:50:44,119 --> 00:50:46,519
He was actually good again today though, has a four

1080
00:50:46,559 --> 00:50:49,639
point one expected ERA of four point zero eight FIP

1081
00:50:50,119 --> 00:50:54,199
but a three point eight six x FIP, he's been good.

1082
00:50:54,280 --> 00:50:56,559
And then Michael, and then two more Michael McGreevy with

1083
00:50:56,559 --> 00:50:59,280
the Cardinals two point one eight, Holy crap, an almost

1084
00:50:59,559 --> 00:51:03,280
three ERA difference a five point zero seven, but his

1085
00:51:03,360 --> 00:51:06,480
FIP and x FIP are in the high threes. And

1086
00:51:06,519 --> 00:51:09,599
then Justin Robleski a three point four to two ERA

1087
00:51:09,840 --> 00:51:13,679
but at four point zero nine expected era, a FIP

1088
00:51:13,719 --> 00:51:16,079
of three point five to nine, but an x FIP

1089
00:51:16,119 --> 00:51:19,280
of four point eighty six. Robleski does not strike out

1090
00:51:19,440 --> 00:51:22,880
literally any human beings. So those are pictures Nick Martinez,

1091
00:51:22,920 --> 00:51:25,800
Clay Holmes, Foster Griffin, Robleski that are all inside the

1092
00:51:25,800 --> 00:51:30,559
top one hundred that have significant expected ERA differences higher

1093
00:51:31,239 --> 00:51:34,039
than their ERA. If you could only pick one to

1094
00:51:34,079 --> 00:51:39,679
buy in rest of season, Martinez, Holmes, Griffin, McGreevy and Robleski,

1095
00:51:39,760 --> 00:51:40,480
who are you buying?

1096
00:51:41,440 --> 00:51:44,079
Speaker 3: Ooh, that's a good call.

1097
00:51:44,159 --> 00:51:47,639
Speaker 4: I think it's probably gonna be Griffin because McGreevy, like

1098
00:51:48,039 --> 00:51:51,519
just again at his avant page, it's like, when when

1099
00:51:51,599 --> 00:51:52,800
is he gonna fall off?

1100
00:51:54,119 --> 00:51:54,880
Speaker 3: I don't know. Foster.

1101
00:51:54,920 --> 00:51:57,880
Speaker 4: Griffin isn't much better. He's a little better in this

1102
00:51:58,000 --> 00:52:00,840
VMP page, but not much better. Let me take a

1103
00:52:00,880 --> 00:52:02,639
look at Clay Holmes right here. I was kind of

1104
00:52:02,639 --> 00:52:05,000
looking at these guys. I looked at e Rods in

1105
00:52:05,039 --> 00:52:06,559
that mess too, but he looks.

1106
00:52:06,559 --> 00:52:09,800
Speaker 2: Well, all the guys that are yell, I got you.

1107
00:52:11,159 --> 00:52:13,960
Speaker 4: Yeah, probably Clay Holmes out of all those guys, great

1108
00:52:14,079 --> 00:52:17,199
ground ball rate. He's still getting guys to chase. Uh

1109
00:52:17,360 --> 00:52:19,400
So it's probably Clay Holmes. But I don't know if

1110
00:52:19,440 --> 00:52:21,679
I really like any of those names that he listed

1111
00:52:21,760 --> 00:52:23,000
off in the middle right now.

1112
00:52:23,079 --> 00:52:24,840
Speaker 2: Okay, so then you're kind of a seller on all

1113
00:52:24,880 --> 00:52:25,440
those guys.

1114
00:52:25,519 --> 00:52:26,159
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think so.

1115
00:52:27,440 --> 00:52:31,800
Speaker 2: I kind of still like Forrest Foster Griffin. I want

1116
00:52:31,800 --> 00:52:35,320
to like Robleski, but holy god, he has a twelve

1117
00:52:35,400 --> 00:52:38,760
percent K percentage. He has a six percent walker. That's

1118
00:52:38,760 --> 00:52:41,360
a six percent K minus walk percentage.

1119
00:52:41,480 --> 00:52:44,639
Speaker 4: He's at the bottom two percent of with and K percentage.

1120
00:52:45,400 --> 00:52:49,159
Uh bottom thirty five percent in ground ball percentage as well.

1121
00:52:49,320 --> 00:52:52,400
Speaker 2: There's just only so much like wheak contact that's going

1122
00:52:52,480 --> 00:52:56,320
to do. He doesn't get anything by anybody, so I'd.

1123
00:52:56,079 --> 00:52:57,559
Speaker 3: Say, just doesn't walk anybody.

1124
00:52:57,880 --> 00:53:00,960
Speaker 2: It's probably Clay Holmes. But Clay Holmes doesn't strike anybody out.

1125
00:53:01,920 --> 00:53:06,400
I'd probably go Clay Holmes. Then I guess Robleski and

1126
00:53:06,440 --> 00:53:09,320
then Foster Griffin are the three that I'm I'm still

1127
00:53:09,440 --> 00:53:12,599
kind of buying them. Nick Martinez is tough. He feels

1128
00:53:12,599 --> 00:53:14,519
like an easy trade candidate. Maybe he's the best of

1129
00:53:14,559 --> 00:53:17,440
all of them. To be honest with you, I don't

1130
00:53:17,440 --> 00:53:21,000
trust McGreevy, and I guess you can hear my voice.

1131
00:53:21,639 --> 00:53:22,920
I don't really trust Robleski.

1132
00:53:23,480 --> 00:53:25,280
Speaker 3: Yeah, like that's and you know it's crazy.

1133
00:53:25,440 --> 00:53:28,559
Speaker 2: By the way, he had a twenty seven percent percentage

1134
00:53:28,639 --> 00:53:29,079
last year.

1135
00:53:30,239 --> 00:53:34,519
Speaker 4: Yeah, I don't know what's going well, yeah, predominant, but

1136
00:53:34,519 --> 00:53:37,480
but I mean he is not striking anybody out this year.

1137
00:53:37,480 --> 00:53:40,599
He's missing no bats, and I think he's gonna that's

1138
00:53:40,639 --> 00:53:42,679
eventually going to catch up to you and start making

1139
00:53:42,719 --> 00:53:43,440
you pay so.

1140
00:53:43,559 --> 00:53:45,039
Speaker 2: Or is it going to turn the other direction? He

1141
00:53:45,079 --> 00:53:49,960
did just strike out seven versus the Braves, Like you

1142
00:53:50,000 --> 00:53:51,960
know that maybe is the start of it. I don't know,

1143
00:53:52,880 --> 00:53:54,840
you know now that I'm I'm thinking it through more.

1144
00:53:56,360 --> 00:53:59,559
Maybe it is Robleski because the team context and maybe

1145
00:53:59,599 --> 00:54:02,360
the us from reliever to starters taking a longer time

1146
00:54:02,400 --> 00:54:04,719
and striking out those braves as he did and he

1147
00:54:04,800 --> 00:54:06,760
had a twenty seven percent. You know what, I'm gonna

1148
00:54:06,760 --> 00:54:08,760
flip on the fly. I'm gonna put Rebleski at one

1149
00:54:08,840 --> 00:54:12,199
play Foster Griffin. That's what I'm gonna do, all right.

1150
00:54:12,639 --> 00:54:15,239
Some others just for you guys to know. Edward Rodriguez,

1151
00:54:15,239 --> 00:54:18,119
as you had mentioned, two point two five ERA, but

1152
00:54:18,159 --> 00:54:21,519
a four point six expected. The FIP and x FIP

1153
00:54:21,599 --> 00:54:22,679
kind of tell the same story.

1154
00:54:22,880 --> 00:54:24,639
Speaker 3: I love it, but it's never gonna last.

1155
00:54:24,840 --> 00:54:27,519
Speaker 2: Nope. H Randy Vasquez my boy three point zero five

1156
00:54:27,559 --> 00:54:30,679
ERA has an expected four point sixty seven. That's not great,

1157
00:54:30,960 --> 00:54:33,119
but it's FIP is three point four to one and

1158
00:54:33,159 --> 00:54:35,960
his x FIP is also under four, so you know,

1159
00:54:36,239 --> 00:54:38,960
take that for what it is. Conley Early three point

1160
00:54:38,960 --> 00:54:42,119
one six ERA has an expected four point seven to

1161
00:54:42,159 --> 00:54:44,639
one and the FIP and x FIP are both over four,

1162
00:54:44,719 --> 00:54:47,599
so that could be a concerning sign. And then you've

1163
00:54:47,599 --> 00:54:50,360
got Seth Lugo with a three point two one but

1164
00:54:50,480 --> 00:54:53,280
an expected four point four to six. But check this out.

1165
00:54:53,320 --> 00:54:56,880
His FIP is two point seven, it's better than his ERA,

1166
00:54:57,400 --> 00:54:59,519
and his x FIP is still at least like under

1167
00:54:59,519 --> 00:55:03,000
four if you buy that. The last four. Matthew Libertre

1168
00:55:03,039 --> 00:55:05,679
four point zero seven has an over five expected ERA.

1169
00:55:06,360 --> 00:55:09,719
Uh Sigano four point zero seven expected six sixty six.

1170
00:55:09,800 --> 00:55:12,039
That's not good. And then there are two guys at

1171
00:55:12,039 --> 00:55:14,360
the bottom here that well, I guess we'll stop there

1172
00:55:14,400 --> 00:55:15,840
for just a second, because you had two guys that

1173
00:55:15,920 --> 00:55:20,719
had high eras with much better expected Obviously, I think

1174
00:55:20,760 --> 00:55:25,000
Conley Early is the hands down most talented player of

1175
00:55:25,039 --> 00:55:27,800
all of those, and I think is gonna kind of

1176
00:55:28,639 --> 00:55:31,480
beat the negative press here. I would say the only

1177
00:55:31,559 --> 00:55:33,920
two I have interest in here truly or Conley Early

1178
00:55:33,960 --> 00:55:38,480
in Vasquez cut Lugo's line, but type of guy.

1179
00:55:38,800 --> 00:55:42,440
Speaker 4: Yeah, yeah, those last two are interesting, but the I

1180
00:55:42,480 --> 00:55:45,519
have no interest in Sigana libitoor Lugo, No thanks.

1181
00:55:45,760 --> 00:55:47,679
Speaker 2: And then the two guys that you put on here,

1182
00:55:47,719 --> 00:55:50,400
it's because they have like one and a half to

1183
00:55:50,400 --> 00:55:53,360
almost two run differentials. Mike Burrows has a five point

1184
00:55:53,480 --> 00:55:56,840
zero four ERA but an expected three point seventy nine,

1185
00:55:57,320 --> 00:55:59,679
and he's just Lozardo five point nine to eight, but

1186
00:55:59,719 --> 00:56:02,119
in a spected three point two to one and a

1187
00:56:02,159 --> 00:56:05,280
fifth that's even lower, it's under three. I know this

1188
00:56:05,320 --> 00:56:07,480
doesn't mean everything to everybody all the time, but it's

1189
00:56:07,519 --> 00:56:11,400
just like by Lozardo, he is super inconsistent. I can't continue.

1190
00:56:11,599 --> 00:56:13,719
But when he's on, He's on, and the numbers are

1191
00:56:13,719 --> 00:56:15,199
saying bye bye bye, and.

1192
00:56:15,079 --> 00:56:19,440
Speaker 4: The Savant page is red red. So like, I think

1193
00:56:19,480 --> 00:56:22,800
Lozardo is going to become way better. We said that,

1194
00:56:23,159 --> 00:56:25,800
I think in the last show or maybe two shows ago,

1195
00:56:26,079 --> 00:56:29,280
and then he got absolutely hammered, which I understand. He's

1196
00:56:29,400 --> 00:56:32,280
very frustrating this year. But he is about to get

1197
00:56:32,360 --> 00:56:35,159
way better, I think. So I'm buying on Lazarta where

1198
00:56:35,159 --> 00:56:36,079
I can.

1199
00:56:35,800 --> 00:56:38,840
Speaker 2: All right, some K percentage differences. Now this is going

1200
00:56:38,920 --> 00:56:41,280
to be twenty twenty five to twenty twenty six. This

1201
00:56:41,360 --> 00:56:45,360
is interesting. These are your starter increases. We've got starter

1202
00:56:45,760 --> 00:56:48,119
increases and decreases, and if we have time, we'll do

1203
00:56:48,159 --> 00:56:51,639
a quick jump through on some release pictures. Your number

1204
00:56:51,719 --> 00:56:55,239
one K percentage increase at least of the players that

1205
00:56:55,239 --> 00:56:56,559
we're looking here. I don't know if this is in

1206
00:56:56,599 --> 00:56:58,719
the entire league, if that's how you did it, but

1207
00:56:59,320 --> 00:57:03,000
everyone qualify, yes, okay, And I think this is ranked

1208
00:57:03,039 --> 00:57:05,880
by their Yahoo preseason rank. Is how you have sorted?

1209
00:57:06,280 --> 00:57:08,119
Uh so this isn't the number one actually, but of

1210
00:57:08,159 --> 00:57:11,639
the highest ranked players, Jacob de Grom went from twenty

1211
00:57:11,679 --> 00:57:15,239
seven point seven to thirty two point eight so far,

1212
00:57:15,360 --> 00:57:19,320
this year a five percent K percentage increase. And that's

1213
00:57:19,320 --> 00:57:22,400
really interesting because what did we see last year? We

1214
00:57:22,440 --> 00:57:25,079
saw the usage of the change up. You know, he

1215
00:57:25,280 --> 00:57:28,320
was like not being just a you know, fastball slider guy.

1216
00:57:28,400 --> 00:57:31,400
And the changeup has gone up even more this year,

1217
00:57:31,840 --> 00:57:34,679
and it looks like it's just it's still effective thirty

1218
00:57:34,760 --> 00:57:37,760
nine percent wift percentage. The changeup has got a thirty

1219
00:57:37,760 --> 00:57:41,840
three percent K percentage. His slider looks even better. I mean,

1220
00:57:41,840 --> 00:57:43,880
when Jacob de gram is on, I guess this isn't

1221
00:57:43,920 --> 00:57:45,559
a surprise, but I think there were people that were

1222
00:57:45,639 --> 00:57:48,079
kind of washy of like, oh, you know, you know,

1223
00:57:48,119 --> 00:57:51,320
he's changing his arsenal, he's throwing a tiny bit lighter,

1224
00:57:51,440 --> 00:57:53,400
he's throwing a change up. Maybe he can't still be

1225
00:57:53,440 --> 00:57:55,840
a big K guy. He is thirty two point eight percent.

1226
00:57:56,199 --> 00:57:58,360
Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean, the the WIF rate is just way

1227
00:57:58,440 --> 00:58:01,920
up on the fastball in particular, twenty one and a

1228
00:58:01,960 --> 00:58:04,960
half percent last year, twenty six point one percent this year.

1229
00:58:05,079 --> 00:58:08,760
So it's funny because he's the one guy on the

1230
00:58:08,920 --> 00:58:12,159
like the the positive list who's actually lower than his

1231
00:58:12,239 --> 00:58:13,119
preseason rank.

1232
00:58:13,159 --> 00:58:14,519
Speaker 2: I think, oh, I see that.

1233
00:58:15,320 --> 00:58:17,480
Speaker 4: Three and all the rest of these guys are one

1234
00:58:17,559 --> 00:58:21,199
twenty or below in the preseason rank, and they all

1235
00:58:21,280 --> 00:58:22,960
are higher than they were ranked.

1236
00:58:23,159 --> 00:58:25,880
Speaker 2: Maybe the most interesting of all of them is this

1237
00:58:26,000 --> 00:58:28,719
next guy who was outside the top one hundred. His

1238
00:58:28,880 --> 00:58:30,800
rank is super high this year because he moved from

1239
00:58:30,840 --> 00:58:34,000
a twenty percent K percentage to a twenty eight percent

1240
00:58:34,119 --> 00:58:39,000
This year. It's Shoto Imanaga, and Shoda has thrown his

1241
00:58:39,079 --> 00:58:41,960
fastball a full mile pro hoer, harder, which has gotten

1242
00:58:42,000 --> 00:58:44,039
a few more whiffs. I don't know, is that induced

1243
00:58:44,119 --> 00:58:46,480
more k's Yeah? I mean, last year, dude, twelve percent

1244
00:58:46,559 --> 00:58:50,559
K percentage. This year's fastball is twenty five percent. But

1245
00:58:50,719 --> 00:58:53,400
also he has induced more and this might be the

1246
00:58:53,519 --> 00:58:56,119
why the fastball has been more efficient. His split finger

1247
00:58:56,159 --> 00:58:59,119
and sweeper are more disgusting than ever. They're getting higher

1248
00:58:59,119 --> 00:59:02,559
wiff rates and that is helping the forcing fastball get

1249
00:59:02,639 --> 00:59:05,800
higher K percentages. He's just been more efficient. It's still

1250
00:59:05,840 --> 00:59:08,760
not a power fastball, Gotta be honest with you, it's

1251
00:59:08,760 --> 00:59:12,800
still hard to believe. But expected numbers are still slaying

1252
00:59:12,840 --> 00:59:14,920
the same thing, and it's just a massive increase. Are

1253
00:59:14,960 --> 00:59:17,159
you just are you a buyer that showeda Is this

1254
00:59:17,239 --> 00:59:18,679
guy now for the rest of the season.

1255
00:59:18,920 --> 00:59:19,119
Speaker 3: Yeah?

1256
00:59:19,159 --> 00:59:23,480
Speaker 4: I mean he scrapped the slider, went down in pitches

1257
00:59:23,719 --> 00:59:28,039
and mixes more now. Right, Like he had forty eight

1258
00:59:28,079 --> 00:59:30,159
point seven on the four semer and thirty one point

1259
00:59:30,159 --> 00:59:33,239
four on the split last year. He's more on the split,

1260
00:59:33,320 --> 00:59:35,960
less on the four seamer. He's throwing the sweeper a

1261
00:59:36,000 --> 00:59:38,000
decent amount and the sinker a little bit more. The

1262
00:59:38,000 --> 00:59:40,199
sinker was one point two percent last year, it's six

1263
00:59:40,239 --> 00:59:43,960
point three percent this year, so he's mixing differently and

1264
00:59:44,000 --> 00:59:46,760
the velow increase. Just everything has been good for you, Monaga,

1265
00:59:46,880 --> 00:59:48,199
So I'm definitely by on him.

1266
00:59:48,719 --> 00:59:51,280
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think I still have some questions. I think

1267
00:59:51,320 --> 00:59:53,679
can come back down a little bit, but it's gonna

1268
00:59:53,679 --> 00:59:56,480
be hard to not be like that efficient Jose Sorianos.

1269
00:59:56,480 --> 01:00:00,159
We talked about twenty one to twenty eight percent. That's

1270
01:00:00,000 --> 01:00:03,159
it's been a huge piece of like why he's been

1271
01:00:03,199 --> 01:00:06,760
so successful. We already talked a lot about him. Emerson Hancock,

1272
01:00:06,840 --> 01:00:10,159
I'm just thoroughly intrigued with and his has been pretty

1273
01:00:10,280 --> 01:00:14,760
like pretty standard outside of like he went from a

1274
01:00:14,880 --> 01:00:18,880
sixteen percent K percentage to a twenty seven percent, so

1275
01:00:18,960 --> 01:00:23,920
that is well below average to a upper upper tier,

1276
01:00:24,519 --> 01:00:28,519
and it is I think predominantly thanks to his sweeper.

1277
01:00:28,880 --> 01:00:30,039
Speaker 3: His sneaker that he's.

1278
01:00:29,880 --> 01:00:31,840
Speaker 2: Throwing twenty one percent of the time has a thirty

1279
01:00:31,920 --> 01:00:35,519
six percent with rate that has made his forcing fastball better.

1280
01:00:36,119 --> 01:00:38,239
He has his sinker to obviously set stuff up, and

1281
01:00:39,039 --> 01:00:41,519
the cutter, it's another thing we've got talked about. He's

1282
01:00:41,599 --> 01:00:44,559
also throwing because his sweepers is seventy seven mile hour pitch.

1283
01:00:44,599 --> 01:00:46,760
He's also throwing this harder cutter that has a twenty

1284
01:00:46,800 --> 01:00:50,119
eight percent with rate on it, and that cutter has

1285
01:00:50,159 --> 01:00:52,320
a twenty three percent K percentage and his sweeper a

1286
01:00:52,480 --> 01:00:56,760
forty eight percent K percentage. And he has been a

1287
01:00:56,880 --> 01:00:59,760
high end with the low walks and the high strikeouts.

1288
01:00:59,800 --> 01:01:02,199
Like this is why he's been so fantasy relevant. But

1289
01:01:02,280 --> 01:01:04,320
do you buy it with the Castillo stuff that's coming out.

1290
01:01:04,360 --> 01:01:07,119
Hancock also had his first kind of like real nasty

1291
01:01:07,159 --> 01:01:10,679
game happened recently. Are you buying the increase in case

1292
01:01:10,679 --> 01:01:12,559
that it can stay above, you know, or stay around

1293
01:01:12,559 --> 01:01:13,920
this twenty seven percent range.

1294
01:01:14,599 --> 01:01:16,800
Speaker 4: I don't know if it can stay there, but it's

1295
01:01:16,800 --> 01:01:19,840
definitely going to be better, And I just he's mixing

1296
01:01:19,920 --> 01:01:23,920
differently this year, right. Sinker was thirty eight percent last

1297
01:01:24,000 --> 01:01:25,760
year is down to twenty four percent this year for

1298
01:01:25,880 --> 01:01:28,159
seamers twenty six point eight last year's thirty five point

1299
01:01:28,280 --> 01:01:32,400
nine this year. You said he threw the sweeper literally

1300
01:01:33,039 --> 01:01:36,039
forty six pitches last year in now he already has

1301
01:01:36,079 --> 01:01:38,400
one hundred and sixty this year. It's his third most

1302
01:01:38,440 --> 01:01:41,199
thrown pitch twenty one point six percent. And the cutter

1303
01:01:41,639 --> 01:01:44,360
was down below. I mean, he threw one cutter last

1304
01:01:44,440 --> 01:01:47,679
year and he's thrown eighty this year. So he's mixed differently.

1305
01:01:48,320 --> 01:01:51,880
Maybe maybe that will get figured out eventually, because if

1306
01:01:51,920 --> 01:01:53,840
you look at his like, uh, if you look at

1307
01:01:53,880 --> 01:01:56,760
his some on page, the average exit v low is low,

1308
01:01:56,880 --> 01:02:00,280
the chase is low, the barrel percentages in the him

1309
01:02:00,280 --> 01:02:03,320
fifteen percent. So he does get hit when he gets hit,

1310
01:02:03,639 --> 01:02:05,800
but no one has been used to this mix. Now

1311
01:02:05,880 --> 01:02:07,920
I feel like he's harder to pick up because of it.

1312
01:02:08,000 --> 01:02:10,239
So I think he is going to be better. I

1313
01:02:10,280 --> 01:02:13,800
don't know if it lasts this well for the whole season.

1314
01:02:13,559 --> 01:02:15,360
Speaker 2: And it's a pitcher friendly environment, which.

1315
01:02:15,360 --> 01:02:18,639
Speaker 4: It is, and it's not He's not the one piggybacking, right,

1316
01:02:18,920 --> 01:02:23,079
it's Castillo and Miller are piggybacking. So it seems like

1317
01:02:23,119 --> 01:02:26,159
he has this job locked up until he really fails.

1318
01:02:26,639 --> 01:02:29,199
Speaker 2: Some others Landon Route went from twenty one to twenty

1319
01:02:29,280 --> 01:02:32,920
eight point eight percent, Will Warren from twenty four to

1320
01:02:32,960 --> 01:02:35,639
twenty nine point eight percent. We saw Tadj Bradley go

1321
01:02:35,719 --> 01:02:39,119
from twenty one to twenty six and Randy Vasquez from

1322
01:02:39,239 --> 01:02:43,800
thirteen to twenty three percent. Se Vasquez become serviceable, Bradley

1323
01:02:43,840 --> 01:02:47,320
becomes above average, Will Warren becomes well above average, and

1324
01:02:47,440 --> 01:02:50,199
Landon Roupe is just kind of a like out of nowhere,

1325
01:02:50,280 --> 01:02:53,639
really super interesting. One three point zero nine era so

1326
01:02:53,719 --> 01:02:56,199
far this year. Peripherals through the roof. He's walking a

1327
01:02:56,199 --> 01:02:58,360
little too much, but he is a three point zero

1328
01:02:58,440 --> 01:03:01,639
nine ERA. He's expected er is better at two point

1329
01:03:01,639 --> 01:03:04,639
five to three. And maybe the weirdest thing I have

1330
01:03:04,760 --> 01:03:08,239
seen he has not given up a barrel all season long.

1331
01:03:08,840 --> 01:03:13,199
That's actually ridiculous. I can't even fathom how he's done

1332
01:03:13,239 --> 01:03:17,239
that with rates on the curveball and change up look awesome.

1333
01:03:17,440 --> 01:03:20,039
The cutter looks good right now. He's throwing that more

1334
01:03:20,079 --> 01:03:23,800
this year. Batting average against his top three pitches are

1335
01:03:23,880 --> 01:03:28,639
under two hundred. Lann and Ralph seems like an absolute

1336
01:03:29,000 --> 01:03:31,480
stud right now. I don't think he's at this level

1337
01:03:31,480 --> 01:03:34,039
of studeley, but you have expected numbers that are telling

1338
01:03:34,079 --> 01:03:38,800
a better story. So how do you rank these guys? Raup, Warren, Bradley, Vasquez.

1339
01:03:40,159 --> 01:03:43,679
Speaker 4: Oh well, I think Bradley has to be at the

1340
01:03:43,679 --> 01:03:46,159
bottom right now because he's on the IL. So I'll

1341
01:03:46,159 --> 01:03:49,639
stick Bradley at the IL kind of easily. I put

1342
01:03:49,719 --> 01:03:55,119
Vasquez at three. I think i'd put Warren ahead of

1343
01:03:55,199 --> 01:03:56,039
Roup slightly.

1344
01:03:57,239 --> 01:03:59,000
Speaker 2: Wait, what does the order say, I'm sorry, say again,

1345
01:03:59,159 --> 01:03:59,519
I'm gonna go.

1346
01:03:59,559 --> 01:04:02,880
Speaker 4: I'm gonna go Warren, Raup, Vasquez, Bradley because Bradley's on

1347
01:04:02,920 --> 01:04:05,400
the eye else I don't want you know, uh, but

1348
01:04:06,119 --> 01:04:09,239
I know, I think, uh, Warren at the top and

1349
01:04:09,400 --> 01:04:16,159
rap second and Basquez third. I raup man this The

1350
01:04:16,159 --> 01:04:19,599
savant page looks great too, but it's I just don't

1351
01:04:19,599 --> 01:04:22,199
know how sustainable this is because he's not getting great

1352
01:04:22,280 --> 01:04:25,000
strikeout like, he's not getting a lot of chase and whiffs.

1353
01:04:25,480 --> 01:04:28,280
He walks a lot as well, and the Villo is

1354
01:04:28,320 --> 01:04:30,800
not impressive. So I kind of feel like the other

1355
01:04:30,840 --> 01:04:33,719
shoe is gonna drop at some point. So but I

1356
01:04:33,760 --> 01:04:35,719
do I mean, he's been great, there's no denying that.

1357
01:04:35,880 --> 01:04:40,159
And everything else looks great here, So I just think

1358
01:04:40,320 --> 01:04:43,280
a guy with average velo usually gets caught up with So.

1359
01:04:43,639 --> 01:04:45,920
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's you're not wrong about that. It's just interesting

1360
01:04:46,000 --> 01:04:50,199
pitch mix with like weak contact. Yeah maybe these things

1361
01:04:50,280 --> 01:04:52,119
like what you do worry is if like the if

1362
01:04:52,119 --> 01:04:54,199
the walks become worse, he's gonna fall apart. I think

1363
01:04:54,199 --> 01:04:56,280
I'm a kind of agreement. It's definitely Warren at the top.

1364
01:04:56,960 --> 01:05:00,719
I'll go Route two, Bradley three, in Vasquez four, But

1365
01:05:00,840 --> 01:05:02,599
I think it's Warren is just above all of them.

1366
01:05:02,639 --> 01:05:04,199
Speaker 4: But I think it's just Will Warren is a pretty

1367
01:05:04,199 --> 01:05:08,119
similar page. By the way, the fastball velo is not

1368
01:05:08,199 --> 01:05:10,639
that great with percentage not that great. He's k percentage

1369
01:05:10,679 --> 01:05:14,360
is much higher, and he's getting fewer barrels, but or

1370
01:05:14,400 --> 01:05:17,960
I mean, he's getting some barrels, but uh, fewer hard hits.

1371
01:05:17,960 --> 01:05:20,800
So I don't know, Like I it's it's hard to

1372
01:05:21,239 --> 01:05:23,280
arrange these guys, But that's how I would have it.

1373
01:05:23,400 --> 01:05:26,880
Warren route Basquez, Bradley, and what were you you were?

1374
01:05:27,320 --> 01:05:30,320
Speaker 2: I were in Warren route Bradley, Vasquez.

1375
01:05:30,440 --> 01:05:31,159
Speaker 3: Okay, Okay.

1376
01:05:31,159 --> 01:05:33,599
Speaker 2: A couple other increases. Davis Martin went from seventeen to

1377
01:05:33,599 --> 01:05:37,480
twenty seven percent. That's huge. Big story fourteen to nineteen

1378
01:05:37,519 --> 01:05:40,639
from a Greevy also tells the low case. Also Daniel

1379
01:05:40,920 --> 01:05:44,679
Lynch fifteen to thirty three percent. But I think that's uh,

1380
01:05:44,960 --> 01:05:47,000
isn't he really? I think he's a relief pitcher right now?

1381
01:05:47,199 --> 01:05:49,039
Speaker 3: Yeah? Probably. I think I just forgot to pull him

1382
01:05:49,039 --> 01:05:49,440
out of there.

1383
01:05:49,480 --> 01:05:51,960
Speaker 2: Bryce Elder nineteen to twenty four and Chase the latter

1384
01:05:52,039 --> 01:05:54,599
who got pulled today eighteen to twenty six percent and

1385
01:05:54,639 --> 01:05:59,800
big increases Lender, Yeah, Dulanda, Yeah, the latter said on

1386
01:05:59,840 --> 01:06:03,159
the decreases. Here were some decreases. We saw Turk Scoubel

1387
01:06:03,280 --> 01:06:07,239
lose five five miles part five k percentage points from

1388
01:06:07,239 --> 01:06:10,239
thirty two to twenty seven. Logan Gilbert from thirty two

1389
01:06:10,320 --> 01:06:13,239
to twenty five. That one really hurts. And George Kirby

1390
01:06:13,400 --> 01:06:16,119
from twenty six to twenty. It just kills the fantasy

1391
01:06:16,199 --> 01:06:18,679
value of Gilbert and Kirby if they just can't be

1392
01:06:18,760 --> 01:06:22,159
consistent k options. Gilbert stinks. I think it takes him

1393
01:06:22,159 --> 01:06:24,760
out of the elite territory. But man, I've moved off

1394
01:06:24,800 --> 01:06:27,079
the Kirby train, dude, where Kirby's just becoming more of

1395
01:06:27,079 --> 01:06:29,599
a mediocre pitcher than anything else at this point.

1396
01:06:29,840 --> 01:06:33,360
Speaker 4: Yeah, he's still top one hundred, he's ninety third, but

1397
01:06:33,599 --> 01:06:36,800
his preseason rank was forty four, so like it has

1398
01:06:36,880 --> 01:06:38,920
become tough with him and he has.

1399
01:06:38,840 --> 01:06:41,000
Speaker 2: A sub three era, Like I eat my words. I

1400
01:06:41,000 --> 01:06:42,159
guess Hancock is.

1401
01:06:42,119 --> 01:06:46,079
Speaker 4: The only one that is performing well in this rotation

1402
01:06:46,239 --> 01:06:50,320
right because Castillo has been miserable, Wu has been bad.

1403
01:06:50,880 --> 01:06:54,239
Logan Gilbert's blow average, So Hancock is the only one

1404
01:06:54,280 --> 01:06:58,079
over performing in Seattle at all, which is weird.

1405
01:06:58,440 --> 01:07:00,360
Speaker 2: They always have a guy that does it. Logan web

1406
01:07:00,480 --> 01:07:04,199
went from twenty six down to twenty That was a huge,

1407
01:07:04,559 --> 01:07:07,800
huge piece of like me buying in of some of

1408
01:07:07,800 --> 01:07:10,679
the mediocrity was about the k's, and the k's are

1409
01:07:10,679 --> 01:07:14,079
gone and he's hurt, so that stinks tough. Framervaldez twenty

1410
01:07:14,079 --> 01:07:18,360
three down to seventeen point nine, not about that guy. Yep.

1411
01:07:18,519 --> 01:07:21,159
Zach Wheeler thirty three down to twenty.

1412
01:07:20,800 --> 01:07:23,239
Speaker 3: Three only has a few starts.

1413
01:07:23,320 --> 01:07:25,800
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think that one. I'm not too I'm actually

1414
01:07:25,880 --> 01:07:28,800
doing an episode with the Rico and Frank Stanful for

1415
01:07:28,840 --> 01:07:31,360
Fantasy Pros, a debate one, and I know Zach Wheeler

1416
01:07:31,400 --> 01:07:32,559
is going to be a part of it. And it's

1417
01:07:32,599 --> 01:07:36,199
just like I just don't think people are properly valuing

1418
01:07:36,280 --> 01:07:38,760
Zach Wheeler because like he's back, he's been elite, like

1419
01:07:38,800 --> 01:07:41,920
he's still adjusting. Like I feel like the overall numbers

1420
01:07:41,920 --> 01:07:45,000
skew his value and we're going to debate that. Zach

1421
01:07:45,039 --> 01:07:48,559
Gallon twenty one to fifteen, also the most cuddable player

1422
01:07:48,559 --> 01:07:52,159
in baseball. Yeah, he stinks Cole Reagan's thirty eight, which

1423
01:07:52,199 --> 01:07:55,239
was small sample size to a still elite twenty nine

1424
01:07:55,239 --> 01:07:58,920
point eight, but injuries and stuff. Andrew Abbott decreased from

1425
01:07:58,920 --> 01:08:01,519
twenty one down to six, Team, Shane Bos twenty four

1426
01:08:01,559 --> 01:08:04,360
to nineteen, Joy Kintillo twenty six to twenty one, Sunday

1427
01:08:04,400 --> 01:08:07,119
Grade twenty six to twelve, and Justin Robleski twenty seven

1428
01:08:07,159 --> 01:08:07,719
to twelve.

1429
01:08:07,840 --> 01:08:11,400
Speaker 4: Some me, Gray pitched yesterday and he he did pitch well.

1430
01:08:11,519 --> 01:08:15,400
So let me see what his percentage is at now.

1431
01:08:15,599 --> 01:08:20,159
Speaker 2: His percentage is now at fifteen percent, so not much better.

1432
01:08:20,520 --> 01:08:23,199
I mean it went from twelve fifteen. Yeah, I went up,

1433
01:08:23,239 --> 01:08:24,159
I would say, but.

1434
01:08:24,159 --> 01:08:26,760
Speaker 3: Not much better. He's stuck out six percent down.

1435
01:08:26,880 --> 01:08:28,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, but I can I'm not going to focus on

1436
01:08:28,640 --> 01:08:30,720
that like too too much. When he just he struck

1437
01:08:30,760 --> 01:08:33,600
out six in six if maybe there were injury issues

1438
01:08:33,600 --> 01:08:36,319
that Like it's a little narrative based and stuff, but

1439
01:08:37,399 --> 01:08:42,159
you had a kind of rough schedule. Padres Brewers twins

1440
01:08:42,199 --> 01:08:42,760
were hot.

1441
01:08:43,239 --> 01:08:45,199
Speaker 4: But then I guess he's gone up against Soriano had

1442
01:08:45,199 --> 01:08:46,159
a tougher schedule than that.

1443
01:08:46,760 --> 01:08:49,880
Speaker 2: Yeah, point that out, I guess. But I'm not a

1444
01:08:49,920 --> 01:08:51,800
defender of Sunny Gray. I don't really care about him.

1445
01:08:51,960 --> 01:08:55,119
All those guys decreases, I don't know what. Like, I

1446
01:08:55,119 --> 01:08:58,039
think Zach Gallon's decrease has been a it's a pure

1447
01:08:58,399 --> 01:08:59,720
tall tale sign of why he is not.

1448
01:09:00,159 --> 01:09:02,560
Speaker 4: The reason it doesn't matter is because he's so cutable,

1449
01:09:02,800 --> 01:09:04,600
like he's just been terrible.

1450
01:09:04,399 --> 01:09:07,359
Speaker 2: But also like he is so cuttable. Part of the reason, Yeah,

1451
01:09:07,359 --> 01:09:10,119
he has no ability to strike out. Andrew Abbott has

1452
01:09:10,159 --> 01:09:12,960
become tough to use. Shane Boss, same thing, Shamee Boz

1453
01:09:13,000 --> 01:09:16,439
has gone from like solid strikeout to well below and

1454
01:09:16,479 --> 01:09:20,199
everything is bad. So you know, obviously the correlations to

1455
01:09:20,199 --> 01:09:23,359
strikeout numbers are some of these guys. I don't believe

1456
01:09:23,359 --> 01:09:26,439
the Zach Wheeler one. I think Logan Gilbert can turn

1457
01:09:26,479 --> 01:09:28,520
it around, and I think the Cole Reagan's one doesn't

1458
01:09:28,520 --> 01:09:30,880
really actually tell us something, but there's some significant guys

1459
01:09:30,880 --> 01:09:33,920
on why you would why you would bounce out on them,

1460
01:09:34,000 --> 01:09:37,319
So very very interesting stuff. Bogs. Maybe we'll even next

1461
01:09:37,319 --> 01:09:39,159
week we'll slide in some of those relievers, but we're

1462
01:09:39,159 --> 01:09:41,800
going to do a focus on hitting each week, one

1463
01:09:41,920 --> 01:09:43,960
once a week, focus on pitching once a week, and

1464
01:09:44,000 --> 01:09:45,640
then do some of our games that we do. So

1465
01:09:45,760 --> 01:09:48,760
I definitely enjoyed that. Let us in the show out though,

1466
01:09:48,800 --> 01:09:52,199
taking a look and picking some two start pitchers here,

1467
01:09:52,600 --> 01:09:54,359
which I'm looking at the wrong sheet, That's why I

1468
01:09:54,359 --> 01:09:57,560
cannot find it. So we have got the CBS sheet

1469
01:09:57,640 --> 01:10:00,479
up here for our two starts. Next week, you're top

1470
01:10:00,600 --> 01:10:03,560
end pitchers. You'll have your Chris Sale, you have your

1471
01:10:03,560 --> 01:10:06,920
Nolan McLain, I, Managa mis Erowski. So you've got some

1472
01:10:06,960 --> 01:10:12,000
big dogs. Dylan c I think yeah, to be fair,

1473
01:10:12,039 --> 01:10:15,199
you're right, Parker Messick, you're probably not gonna have Max Freed.

1474
01:10:15,680 --> 01:10:18,800
Shaye McClanahan has been elite, so he's in the elite territory.

1475
01:10:19,560 --> 01:10:23,840
Will Warren, let's stop here and let's start picking apart.

1476
01:10:23,920 --> 01:10:27,079
Mitch Keller just got banged around eighty five PC on CBS.

1477
01:10:27,119 --> 01:10:28,520
Has the Cardinals in the blue Jays.

1478
01:10:28,560 --> 01:10:30,960
Speaker 3: Yeah or nay, no, he looks bad right now.

1479
01:10:31,159 --> 01:10:35,640
Speaker 2: Yep. Robbie Ray, Oh my god, Robbie Ray's phenomenal. He's

1480
01:10:35,680 --> 01:10:38,600
got the Diamondbacks against Gallon in a revenge game, and

1481
01:10:38,640 --> 01:10:41,359
then the White Sox. I would that's that feels great.

1482
01:10:41,920 --> 01:10:42,319
Speaker 3: I don't know.

1483
01:10:42,680 --> 01:10:45,479
Speaker 4: Was he good at Chase? And then the White Socks

1484
01:10:45,479 --> 01:10:48,119
are the only team to get to Soriano. But you're right,

1485
01:10:48,600 --> 01:10:49,600
I'm rolling Robbie right.

1486
01:10:50,119 --> 01:10:54,000
Speaker 2: Franbur's got the Cardinals and the and the Orioles are

1487
01:10:54,039 --> 01:10:56,760
the Cardinals, the Cleveland Guardians and the Orioles.

1488
01:10:56,800 --> 01:10:58,199
Speaker 3: That's that's fine.

1489
01:10:58,279 --> 01:11:00,560
Speaker 2: It's fine if you're still rolling them out, dude. Foster Griffin,

1490
01:11:00,920 --> 01:11:02,479
Mets and the Braves.

1491
01:11:02,720 --> 01:11:05,079
Speaker 3: I don't know, Like Roster Griffin has been great, but

1492
01:11:05,199 --> 01:11:06,359
that is I.

1493
01:11:06,359 --> 01:11:08,199
Speaker 2: Might play the Mets one. I'm not. I don't think

1494
01:11:08,199 --> 01:11:09,119
I'm doing the Braves one.

1495
01:11:09,520 --> 01:11:11,680
Speaker 3: What what if you can't? But what if you're weekly?

1496
01:11:16,239 --> 01:11:18,159
Speaker 2: I kind of think I might avoid.

1497
01:11:18,399 --> 01:11:19,119
Speaker 3: I think so too.

1498
01:11:19,159 --> 01:11:21,000
Speaker 4: I think if I have, if I have somebody with

1499
01:11:21,079 --> 01:11:23,039
one really good start, I think I'd rather go with

1500
01:11:23,119 --> 01:11:23,479
that guy.

1501
01:11:24,000 --> 01:11:26,600
Speaker 2: Sonny Gray has got the Royals and the Twins.

1502
01:11:26,600 --> 01:11:30,000
Speaker 4: I like that, Yes, especially Simmon Woods Richardson worst pitcher

1503
01:11:30,000 --> 01:11:30,800
in the BIGS right now.

1504
01:11:30,880 --> 01:11:33,520
Speaker 2: So now Max Freed has got a tough matchup against

1505
01:11:33,560 --> 01:11:37,560
the Braves and the Mets. But Max Meyer, but he

1506
01:11:37,680 --> 01:11:41,319
kind of can't get names today. But I I don't

1507
01:11:41,319 --> 01:11:44,640
think great last night. Yeah, he's been so good, so

1508
01:11:44,640 --> 01:11:49,119
I'm gonna I'm gonna go with it. Lugo red Sox

1509
01:11:49,199 --> 01:11:50,479
in Mariner's past.

1510
01:11:50,520 --> 01:11:51,720
Speaker 3: Now he's been bad past.

1511
01:11:54,479 --> 01:11:56,279
Speaker 4: You know, No, he hasn't been bad, but we we

1512
01:11:56,439 --> 01:11:59,159
just looked at him and saw that his expected here

1513
01:11:59,319 --> 01:11:59,800
is way higher.

1514
01:11:59,840 --> 01:12:01,239
Speaker 2: So I gonna be like, I'm still gonna do it.

1515
01:12:01,560 --> 01:12:05,399
Nicolodolo's got the Phillies and the Cardinals. That's a past.

1516
01:12:05,520 --> 01:12:11,039
Mackenzie Gore has got Colorado at Colorado and then the Angels.

1517
01:12:11,199 --> 01:12:12,479
I don't know if do Land is gonna have his

1518
01:12:12,479 --> 01:12:14,840
start to a skip him. So now we're going into

1519
01:12:15,000 --> 01:12:18,680
like probably your league. Noahs Schultz has got the Mariners

1520
01:12:18,720 --> 01:12:20,560
and the Giants. It's a fat pass for me.

1521
01:12:21,079 --> 01:12:22,720
Speaker 3: Yeah, same Reed.

1522
01:12:22,760 --> 01:12:26,159
Speaker 2: Debtmer's has got the A's and the Rangers. That's ass

1523
01:12:26,359 --> 01:12:29,920
I'm playing it. Ryan Nelson, who just struck out eight,

1524
01:12:30,000 --> 01:12:33,159
has got home games against the Giants and the Rockies.

1525
01:12:33,279 --> 01:12:34,880
I am absolutely playing it.

1526
01:12:35,640 --> 01:12:39,760
Speaker 4: I am too trap. It's that's it. It's one hundred

1527
01:12:39,800 --> 01:12:43,640
percent of trap. But I'm taking it. I'm taking that cheese.

1528
01:12:44,319 --> 01:12:44,640
Speaker 3: Uh.

1529
01:12:44,840 --> 01:12:52,119
Speaker 2: J R. Ritchie has got the Mariners in the Nationals.

1530
01:12:53,079 --> 01:12:57,600
Speaker 4: Does it smell like burning toast? I'll roll J Richie.

1531
01:12:57,760 --> 01:13:01,199
Speaker 2: I'm good to Trevor Rodgers has got the Rays and

1532
01:13:01,279 --> 01:13:06,279
the Tigers. That's a yea yeah. Gallon it's no. He's

1533
01:13:06,279 --> 01:13:09,560
got Colorado, but I just don't trust him. I might

1534
01:13:09,560 --> 01:13:12,119
play him against I don't know. No, let's just say no.

1535
01:13:13,159 --> 01:13:15,640
Kyder Montero has been really good. He's got the Guardians

1536
01:13:15,640 --> 01:13:16,680
and the Orioles.

1537
01:13:17,319 --> 01:13:19,880
Speaker 3: I mean I would rather have him than Gallon.

1538
01:13:21,600 --> 01:13:23,119
Speaker 2: For the week. Yeah, I mean too.

1539
01:13:23,279 --> 01:13:24,760
Speaker 3: Maybe not the season, but for this week.

1540
01:13:24,800 --> 01:13:27,680
Speaker 2: I would. Christian Scott Nationals Marlins.

1541
01:13:28,680 --> 01:13:30,680
Speaker 3: No, they just don't let him go deep.

1542
01:13:31,039 --> 01:13:34,760
Speaker 2: No, I might if I really need it. Andrew Painter,

1543
01:13:34,840 --> 01:13:37,319
I'm not starting, and he's got the Reds and the Guardians.

1544
01:13:37,319 --> 01:13:40,960
There's no chance I'm starting him. Lower percentage guys now,

1545
01:13:41,439 --> 01:13:44,600
Braxon Garrett, Yeah, Oh he's got a rough match.

1546
01:13:44,640 --> 01:13:45,960
Speaker 3: Oh yeah he does.

1547
01:13:47,000 --> 01:13:49,720
Speaker 2: And the Mets. I think I'm gonna skip that to

1548
01:13:49,760 --> 01:13:54,640
be honest. Yeah, I think so j t Gin has

1549
01:13:54,640 --> 01:13:56,960
been pretty good. I like him against the Angels. I

1550
01:13:57,000 --> 01:13:59,239
don't like him against the Padres though.

1551
01:13:59,079 --> 01:14:01,159
Speaker 3: But it's at San die I'm okay with him.

1552
01:14:01,399 --> 01:14:03,960
Speaker 2: I'm okay, okay, and then I don't really like anything else.

1553
01:14:04,079 --> 01:14:05,920
I could see how you've been like Lance mccoler's but

1554
01:14:06,119 --> 01:14:06,920
no thanks.

1555
01:14:08,079 --> 01:14:10,720
Speaker 3: Say that again into the microphone.

1556
01:14:10,399 --> 01:14:14,640
Speaker 2: No thanks, Lance mccoder's, no things. All right, there you go.

1557
01:14:14,720 --> 01:14:18,760
That is the episode. Boys. Uh, you know what, we

1558
01:14:18,880 --> 01:14:22,520
might have had one, but I'm up against it. All right,

1559
01:14:22,520 --> 01:14:24,359
we'll get him on my day, yep. But that is

1560
01:14:24,399 --> 01:14:26,680
going to do it for the episode. Thank you guys

1561
01:14:26,680 --> 01:14:28,399
for hanging out with us. Make sure you follow us

1562
01:14:28,439 --> 01:14:30,840
on the socials. Is it the wells Bogmin Sports go

1563
01:14:30,920 --> 01:14:32,199
to end this league dot com If you want to

1564
01:14:32,199 --> 01:14:34,680
support you boys, we very much appreciate you doing so.

1565
01:14:35,279 --> 01:14:37,479
I've actually got a little treat I'm gonna show everybody

1566
01:14:37,520 --> 01:14:39,479
next week. You guys are gonna enjoy it. So make

1567
01:14:39,479 --> 01:14:41,720
sure you're tuned in on the episodes. You're subscribed in

1568
01:14:41,760 --> 01:14:43,840
all the places and the stuff and things for Bogmin.

1569
01:14:43,880 --> 01:14:45,319
I'm well, you guys, have a great one. We'll talk

1570
01:14:45,319 --> 01:14:47,199
to you next week and peace, so you