Speaker 1: Welcome in, everybody, Happy fourth of July. It is Friday,
It's time for total bases. My family's already headed out
to the boat. Mallory and my in laws. They're like,
we're going to the boat early today, and guys, I
was like, I got to stay back. The viewers deserve
a proper show. There's fifteen games. What's more Fourth of July?
What's more USA than baseball all day? And I gotta
be honest, Brian Leonard, I'm not the biggest boat guy.
Speaker 2: I don't know about you.
Speaker 1: I don't know if you guys can tell, but the
add hyperactivity starts to kick in for me.
Speaker 2: I can't just sit out there all day.
Speaker 1: So I'm happy to be back here with you guys
talking a loaded slate. Eleven am Eastern all the way
till tonight. Welcome in, Happy fourth of July.
Speaker 3: Thank you. I appreciate it. Yeah, I blew the parlay
from the second day in Row. Yesterday I had Milwaukee
lose three too. We didn't have a wedding day for
our clients, and we also won the over as a
free play for the Yankees game, so I think we
won like seven of eight free plays. So overall pretty
good day. I just made a bad judgment. I'd like
the Angels and the Brewers, and the Angels went straight
up plus one thirty four or something and the Brewers
didn't come in. But overall, good day for our clients.
Unfortunately I didn't get that victory for us here on
the parlor.
Speaker 4: And as it goes, I lost my five percent play,
but I had a winning day because I won everything else.
So that's kind of how it goes. But everyone wants
to buy the five percent place. Happy fourth of July everyone,
living abroad, These are the days that I get kind
of homesick, even after thirty years living abroad, because they
don't do the fireworks. I don't get to hang out
with people and barbecue and stuff. So these are the
days that I regret living overseas. So happy fourth of
July everyone. Brian, thank you. Yesterday you gave me compliments
for helping your capping about using recent form. I forgot
to mention you helped my capping as well, because you said,
basis on balls to strikeout rate is a huge measure
for you, and I added a little portion of that
to my capping. So just an example of how our
show helps each other and you guys to do your
own capping as well.
Speaker 5: What's up at him?
Speaker 2: We're going to talk Astros, Dodgers.
Speaker 1: We're going to talk anything you guys want to talk
about in the chat for the next hour, but we
have to start in our nation's capital, eleven am Eastern.
Speaker 2: We've got Red Sox Nationals.
Speaker 1: It is a standalone eleven am game on a Friday afternoon.
Brian Leonard, what gets better? What's better than that? And
an interesting matchup as well. So we've got gi Alito
Soroca Reds Naps.
Speaker 2: How are you seeing this one?
Speaker 3: My there it goes okay, my line vists have just
dropped off for a second. Bottles back. We're looking at
Gilito Soroca. Boston's basically one of those seven favorite eight
and a half on the total. Uh slight slightly to
the under Gildo looked really good last time out. He
he went seven innings nowhere in runs against the Blue Jays,
which is really something the way the Blue Jays have
been hitting lately. Pops off to the center fielder who
I thought was over. I thought he was done, and
he's just pore up the Yankees. So good for him,
but his last his last starts have been pretty good.
Seven innings nowhere and runs against boss Ors of Toronto,
six inns tour in runs against the Giants, another team
that struggled offense really lately, against the Mariners six innings,
zero on runs and against Tampa Bay's six inning zero runs.
So he's peaking right now. He was coming back from surgeries,
coming back from injuries, and he's spent a lot of
time on the injury list over the years. He did
hit get thirty three starts in in twenty twenty three,
but was out of action all of last year. Now
he's got eleven starts in three point nine to nine ERA.
Expected ERA looks to be four point nine to seven
a little bit higher, and his whip has won thirty three,
a little bit higher than his career numbers. Great extension
eighty seventh percentile, but is expected batting averages only in
the seventh. He is expected thera to fourteenth, hard hit sixteen.
A lot of that came early on, where he was
just getting started. We saw something very similar out of
the Miami pitcher yesterday. Oo Perez pitched a great game
and everything came together for him. So when you've got
these guys coming back from injury, it's going to take
them a while. We talk about that all the time.
Usually control is the last thing that comes. But they
start to hit it and they're doing very well. In fact,
Michael Soroka is doing pretty well too. Comes in with
the four point seven o era, but is expected his
three point oh five big difference there, one point oh
three whip. This is the guy I'm looking to bet on.
His extension is poor in the twenty first percent of ALE,
but he's been very good in his numbers. Just stick
a look at what he has done game lugs lately.
Last time out, six innings, one earned run to the Angels,
a hot hitting team. Before that he played he played
the Dodgers five and a third three not the greatest,
but still that's the Dodgers. So he's played pretty well
so far after his first three starts to give up
four earned runs in each of those. So both of
these pitchers are on the upswing here. Like I said,
we're looking at the game of slightly Boston, a small favorite.
Basically they pick them pretty much everywhere. With Saroka, I
kind of like the under here. It's an early game,
very early for these guys. It's going to be an
eleven o'clock Eastern. They're not used to playing at that time.
And we've got two pitchers pitching very well right now,
and the Boston offense still hasn't put it together since
the trade. Tack Evers still hasn't done anything in San
Francisco either. I kind of let the under here. I
like the Washington hitters overall, but were these two pitchers
catching an eight and a half here, and that would
be my lane under Boston Washington in this very early again.
Speaker 4: So when Gelito came back, I thought I was expecting
him to be a train wreck. But if you look
at how he's been performing his last four starts, his
last five starts, his last six seven starts, he's given
up three runs in his last seven starts and he's
gone seven four. Okay, he had a one point two
inning there where he gave up seven earned runs.
Speaker 5: That was a bad one, and then he went six
six six seven innings giving up only three. Well, okay,
that's removing the clunker he had against the Angels. So
Gelito basically in a nutshell.
Speaker 4: Geelitto's pitching really well right now, and I did not
expect that.
Speaker 5: Soroka. On the other hand, Soroka has got lots of talent.
He hit a rough patch. We'll see if he's back.
I don't know.
Speaker 4: I'm not convinced he's back yet. He did have a
good start against the Angels there. After giving up four
three and three earned in three starts there, he gave
up only one against the Angels. Like Brian said, they're
a good hitting team. So is Soroka back or not,
I'm not certain, but I definitely know ge Alito's pitching
really well right now. However, my numbers have Soroka ranked
higher than ge Alito. So it's a bit of a
dichotomy here as far as my analysis is concerned. Boston's
bullpen not performing well, Washington's bullpen is performing a little
bit better, but neither one is actually very good, and
both lineups are cranking it right now. So the way
I would go here would probably be I haven't played
it yet, but if I were to, probably would go
a Boston team total, just because man, it's it's it's
pretty rare to see a pitcher go like seven starts
like that giving up only three runs.
Speaker 5: If you remove one of his clunkers.
Speaker 4: So I'm convinced the Alido's back, so I don't really
want to bet an over against him.
Speaker 5: So I would say maybe Boston team total over.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, I certainly the over. I agree with
what Brian said about the early start. That being said,
with the pitching, the fact that NAT's bullpen's a little
bit used up, the fact that the Nationals have really
torn the cover off the ball against right handed pitching,
you know, since they sort of re sort of retooled
their lineup to have a lot of left handed bats
in it. What would certainly like make me lean toward
the over. Mark Kinsen says, I can't trust di Alito. Yeah,
I don't trust him either. I know he's pitched a
little bit better of late, but I don't trust him either.
He's definitely a right handed pitcher that I could see
the Nationals getting to. That being said, I still think
I still think the Red Sox are a tad undervalued
at this point. If Geolito does pitch well, then they're
obviously going to be in better position later in the game.
Speaker 2: So this is a tough handicap.
Speaker 1: I'd love to find something I wish I had more
conviction on something because I know people are.
Speaker 2: Gonna want to bet it.
Speaker 1: It is the standalone game, maybe isolating maybe NATS first
five where you're taking the bullpen on the equation and
you're you're sort of isolating Gei Alito because I do
think the NATS left heavy lineup could potentially get to him.
So not a not a super strong opinion for me,
and I won't I won't spend much more time on it.
But but I didn't want to talk about that game
because that is a standalone game and the first one
off the board today.
Speaker 4: Uh.
Speaker 2: Phenomenal comment that we got to pull up here.
Speaker 5: Uh.
Speaker 1: Walmart Stampcoast says this is his first time watching live.
He's walking into the gym and meddying Columbia. That's awesome.
I didn't know we were alive in Columbi. I didn't know
people were watching us in Columbia and Tokyo. Brandon, I
don't like, you're like the S show movie type guy.
Anytime I think of mediene I think of Entourage, which
was like my favorite show in college. We lived for
Entourage when I was at CN in the mid two thousands.
I always think of Mediine I think Vinny the movie
that they really wanted to get through about like Pablo Escobar.
Great show, but he says, He says, can we agree
if my phone gets stolen while watching, I can choose
a free five percent play hit me up on Twitter.
Speaker 2: We might be able to make that happen.
Speaker 1: I do have a five percenter tonight, so you know,
if you can prove that your phone got stolen, yeah,
I'll give you that one for free. But I do
have a five percenter. I won my five percenter last
night on the Giants. I got one tonight, and we've
got a great special right now to get you all
three of us for seven days for one low price.
So go over to any of our pages check that out.
And I am am thrilled that people in Columbia are
liking Total Bases and watching the show. And that's thanks
to all you guys who like and subscribe every day.
So very much appreciated there. Kingwater Won twenty two says,
shout out to the Trio for showing up on the fourth.
Yeah we weren't.
Speaker 2: We would be nowhere else.
Speaker 1: It's based fourth of July in baseball, go hand in
hand and there's a full slate of games, we got
to talk about them. Let's go to what I think
could very well be a feature tight matchup and Brian Leonard,
I gotta be honest, I did not have that. Like,
if you told me two months ago or even a
month ago, that this would be one of the biggest
games on fourth of July with two of the best
teams in the league, one of them would have been
a no brainer. The other one I would not have
had in a million years. That's Astros Dodgers. This isn't
twenty eighteen. I mean, this Astros team was not supposed
to be this. I look at this lineup, I'm like,
do people even know more than two players in this
in this line?
Speaker 3: Like?
Speaker 1: When I say people, I mean the semi informed baseball
fan might not be able to name more than more
than al Tuve in this one through nine being trotted
out there on a daily basis for the Astros, and
yet all they do. I know, they lost yesterday, but
all they do is win baseball games. Now they head
out to Tinseltown for a pretty big series this weekend.
Speaker 2: Astros Dodgers. How are you seeing this one?
Speaker 3: Yeah? The Astros have had a lot of young players.
Obviously the pitcher yesterday that Brandon used for his strikeout. Prop. Yeah,
they've had a lot of great young players that have
come out this year and they played very well. And
if you've got a good organization, like obviously Houston does,
you're able to do that. You've got guys that you
see other teams where you get a lot of injuries
and they don't have anybody at all. And we've talked
about the bravest pitching staff and that in that situation.
So yeah, it all depends on the organization. There's certain
teams that can build all the way through. There's other
teams that have to buy their players, So keep that
in mind. And the Dodgers are another team. We've seen
that all year long. They've had a lot of problems
with their starting pitchers being entered. They continue to bring
guys up, so they've had They've got a great, great
minor league system, and that's something you have to chart
coming into the year. I always talk about, you know,
even though they got a twenty five man roster or
whatever they're using right now, you got to check the
forty man roster. You got to check the guys in
the minors and that because those players are going to
be used as the season goes on, and you don't
want to be playing a future on somebody's starting lineup
because they're all going to get injured, especially if you're
a pitcher. This year, Houston at La mccullors in Casparis,
Caspiras Casparius is getting the actual start today. He's been
used mostly as a bolt guy coming in after a starter,
but he's getting the start today. Mccullor's for Houston, and
we're looking at the Dodgers at about one seventy five
favorite nine. First thought of this is that line's pretty high.
I know the Dodgers are an elite team, but Houston
in that price range, you're not going to find Houston
in that price range. I don't care who they put
on the mount. They've got mccollors going today. We look
at the sadcast numbers mccolors. The only problem you have
with mccolors is you don't know which mccolors you're going
to get. Is he the healthy McCullers or see the
guy still trying to fight his way back from injury.
So far this year has not been pretty six point
six y' one era four point eighty four expected, a
little better, but still not what you really want. One
point six to two whip. And that's one of those
situations where I just talked about earlier about catching your
your control. He's got a twelve point seven walk rate.
He had a twelve point three the year before, eleven
point three in twenty twenty two, the last healthy year
at least he was still he got hurt, and then
eleven point one the year before, so he's had problems
with his control for a while now. And if you
take a look at his savant page, he's in the
first percentile chase rate, first percentile hard hit rate, six
percent center percent child and walk rate. He struggled so far,
but we know if he is healthy, he's a good pitch.
You can get a good bargain on him. Problem is
you won't know until the game starts, which is probably
why I won't get involved with this one until I
see the beginning couple innings. Casparius three point nine to
seventy three point one six expected, the guy's a big
time prospect. One point one to three whip. Now his
ground ball rate is in the seventeenth percentile, so he
gives up a lot of fly balls, and out of
this division, this is one stadium that does give up
the home runs. His extensions only in the fifth percentile,
so the team's got plenty of time to adjust to him.
But he got a lot of red on his stackcast page.
Hard hit rate ninety six percentile, walk rate eighty ninth percentile,
average Jackson velocity eighty seven. He's been very good. Problem
is he doesn't pitch a lot of innings on the season.
He's got fifty six innings pitch. This is only going
to be his third start. As I said, he's come
out of the bullpen twenty three times. A good pitcher
and a very good future ahead of him. But for myself,
anytime I could catch a good team like Houston, I've
got to look at that a little bit. Hopefully we
can get through a couple of innings here and the
starting pitcher for Houston looks pretty good, and I could
come in and play this a little bit more of
an in game type of thing, and if I can
catch something near that number and maybe the third inning,
it might be something that's worthy of value. But for
a pregame I will be setting this one.
Speaker 4: Up all right, I also have a five percent play today.
Maybe it's the same one as Adams. I have no idea,
but I have.
Speaker 2: A five absolutely shocked.
Speaker 4: If it is okay, then it's not, So go ahead
and grab that. Actually, Wayger Talk made a special for
all three of us. It's called triple play. I think
it's called triple Play. So if you go to any
of our pages at that little scroller down there, do us.
Speaker 5: A huge favor. Go to the replay of this video,
give us a comment and a like. Again.
Speaker 4: Management at Wager Time keeps coming to us three and saying, God,
your interaction is so awesome with the people. So it's
all because of you, guys, So please help us out there,
helps our reputations, and it just it just makes us
feel good. So let's get into this one. I'm the
biggest Dodgers fan, and I'll tell you why. Actually, as
a sports better, I'm not a fan of anyone, but
I'm cheering for the Dodgers because I have a future
on them. If they break Seattle the two thousand and
one record, the Itchi Ros Mariners one hundred and seventeen wins.
If the Dodgers break that, I have a three percent
play at plus twenty four hundred, so I'm really hoping
the Dodgers do that. I'll get plus eighty four percent,
So I'm cheering for the Dodgers nevertheless. But let's face it,
they have gotten this far and they're on pace to
get to one hundred and seventeen. Actually, they're gonna have
probably sixty wins at the All Star break, and they're
doing it with a patchwork rotation.
Speaker 5: They got like five of their starters out Society.
Speaker 4: He's gone, Snell's gone, Sasaki, Snell, Glass Now is gone.
They're just missing so many guys and they're.
Speaker 5: Just patchworking it, just like they did last year.
Speaker 4: And last year they ended up winning what ninety eight,
ninety six games something like that. They were just short
of one hundred. Ryan Slayer good Luck TV said one
hundred and seventeen to eight.
Speaker 5: It happening.
Speaker 4: Why why when they get Snell back, they get Sasaki back,
They're gonna get Glass Now back, They're gonna be They're
gonna get Trying back, They're gonna get a lot of
guys back. Man, this team is gonna be full throttle
in the second half. And I'm not guaranteeing anything, but
they got a better chance of getting it than they
have of not getting it. Anyways, I have Casparian ranked
a little bit higher than mccullor's, but I don't know
if I can trust that number because mccollor's is the
sample size is small, and he used to be a
complete stud, so I don't know he's gonna snap back
into it and start playing really well. I have a
feeling so Houston's bullpen better than the Dodgers' bullpen at
the moment. But I got Benkessparious ranked twelve on a
curve of thirty, and I don't think that's I don't
think he's either that good. Sometimes you can't just fully
trust your numbers. You have to use an eye test,
and he does not pass the eye test. The Dodgers
can crank it though. If anything, I might go with
an over on this one, but I'm not. I haven't
played it yet.
Speaker 1: Unknown entity in the chat says, don't we fade Houston
coming out of Colorado.
Speaker 2: In this case?
Speaker 4: No?
Speaker 1: Because I for me, no, because I feel like they
mentally kind of like kind of we talked about it
on the show yesterday. I said Colorado plus one and
a half probably the side. It felt like they kind
of went through the motions a little bit. They were
already mentally in La. Maybe at times it was not
their best effort. So so for me, not this time,
Like if it was, if it was a scenario where
you know, maybe they had like played it later in
the day or something, there was more travel, yes, but
early game kind of mentally not there.
Speaker 2: Colorado to La.
Speaker 1: I'm not putting that as much stock in that. I
just wanted to address that. I'm not putting that as
much stock in that as I maybe would if it
was a farther trip as far as this game is concerned.
So Brian talked about Caspiro's coming out of the bullpen
a lot. They really were. They kind of had him
paired with Otani, so he was still the starter in.
Speaker 2: Theory. He was still the starter. He was just the guy.
Speaker 1: Coming in in inning two so Otani could have his
one inning. He is a fantastic prospect, as Brian said,
a lot to like here, a lot of red on
the savant page. My issue, My only issue is that
I feel like the books have acknowledged this and have
priced him almost out of range. It's like they know
he's very good, right because and so I played against
him last Saturday when he was following Otani because the
the money line was outrageous and I was like, well,
they're pricing in Otani too much. But now I'm starting
to see this and I'm realizing that I think they're
just really making you pay a premium to back this
guy because they know he's very good. Now, in this scenario,
I think you could potentially fade him just because of
the of where the price point is. Right, Like, the
Astros have proven that they know how to win baseball games.
They have they might not have the names, but they
have a very good team. Didn't use a ton of
pen yesterday. McCullers is not a guy I'm really dying
to back, but he's a veteran.
Speaker 2: On a given day, he can get some swing and
missing keep you in the game. I like Astros plus
one and a half here.
Speaker 1: If that came down another ten cents, I might have
to give it some strong consideration. Right now, plus one
and a half is minus one thirty. You guys know,
I like my plus one and a half with the
road teams, and so you kind of get that extra
at that So certainly, that's certainly appealing. If that came
down another ten cents where I could get astros plus
one and a half minus one twenty, who knows, maybe
it makes its way onto my card, but uh, that's
the way I'm looking here. I think astros have some
value in this game. We gotta we gotta shout out
where did where did the comic go?
Speaker 2: Here?
Speaker 1: It is, we gotta shout out Carmine, Carmi and Bianco
in the chat. Appreciate you tuning in, he says, happy
for the July everyone, Carmine, what we need to know
from you is on Canada Canada Day, are you in
pres out there just acting all obnxious? Are you guys
setting fireworks off in your backyard like we? Are you
doing the same stuff we do here in the States
on fourth of July? That was That was something that
came up on the first when when I didn't realize it.
Speaker 2: Was Canada Day.
Speaker 1: Everyone tuned me in, included me into the fact that
Canada Day was the first Jay's were playing a day game.
We just want to know what you guys do and
if it's the same as what we do in the States.
Speaker 2: What I do know is the Jays are playing unreal ball.
Speaker 1: Let's go to that. Let's let's for Carmine and our
neighbors to the north in the chat. Let's let's give
the Blue Jays there shine on this show.
Speaker 2: Right now.
Speaker 1: They sweat the Yankees in four games. They are playing
outstanding ball. I mean, they might win this division. Brian
Leonard and you know someone else. We got a shout
out too that I want to point out here because
this is all the same game, Carol Or. I'm sorry,
Carlile Hines. Hey, thank you all for the analysis. I
made a nice amount of the Angels yesterday. Yeah, the
Angels was an easy winner. But I believe a four
percent play for Brian Leonard. We used it in the
parlay here on the show. Now we've got Angels, Blue Jays.
Jay's playing as good as can possibly be. How do
you see this one? Blue Jays Angels.
Speaker 3: Currently they've got Hendrix listed as the starter for the
Angels and he's actually he's actually pitched very well lately
going up against Lawer, who is also pitched well lower
the lefty the Angels are Buttley get Richard hitting against
lefties not too bad.
Speaker 5: Uh.
Speaker 3: Toronto comes in about a one fifty eight favorite the
Angels total in that is nine and a half to
the under. Yeah, Carmine, I've never seen a Canadian being
so excited about the fourth of July. He I think
he secretly wants to live in the United States. Every
time I'm on Twitter or something, he's coming in with Hey,
happy for the July.
Speaker 2: Him out in Vegas. He's always he is here enough.
Speaker 3: Yes, and one of the nicest and most generous people
I've ever met in my life. And I've never met
anybody who did not like Carmine when you get to meet.
Speaker 5: Him, just he is a very sweet guy.
Speaker 3: Yes, and his wife is terrific also, so I enjoyed
their company. But yeah, we're looking at the Angels, a
team that was very good to me yesterday going against Toronto,
and two teams playing really well right now, looking at
stetcast page right now, they don't they don't have it updated.
Oh there it is, okay, Kyle Hendrix, just a moment here.
Kyle Hendricks on the season four point sixty six era
expected dra three point nine to one, one point three
to zero whip what he's good at average exa velocity
ninety fifth percentile he keeps you off balance, Chase raight
eightieth percentile, walk grade seventy ninth, hard hit eighty first.
That's the way it's been his entire career. He's one
of these guys that nobody wants to back because he
doesn't strike a lot of guys out. And I've talked
about this in the past. Just this year, eighty seven innings,
sixty strikeouts. He gets you to hit the ball off
balance a little bit and you're not getting all of it.
So he doesn't give up a ton of home runs.
But what he does struggle with his fastball velocity is
obviously not very good at that first percentile with for
eight second percentile extension, first striking percentage ninth everything that
we know of Hendricks, he's been that way this year.
He's only got four pitches change up, his sinker, his
four seemer in his curve A. What I like about
him is the four seemer. He only throws fifteen percent
of the time, and like I said, he's in the
first velocity first percentile in that so he knows that
that's his weak spot in his game, and he only
throws at fifteen percent of the time. He is a
smart player, and he's been a smart player his entire career.
He's been able to survive twelve seasons now in Major
League baseball. Hats off to Kyle HENDRICKX. When I was
growing up, there was a lot of guys like him
and they were able to get to have great careers,
and so good for him. He's on the mound today
against another guy who is finding some success, Eric Lauer.
Eric Lawer's gone seven seasons now and he comes in
with a two point six to oh ERA three point
three five expected one point seven whip. He's been very
good in certain situations, has expected the RA seventy second
percentile expected BADIC average eightyeth. But he does give up
a lot of flyballs, and he's in the eighth percentile
of that fourteenth percent tile and fastball velocity average, eggs
of velocity, chase hard hit rate, they're all twenty fifth
percent or or less. He's been pitching very well this year,
and if he looked back, he didn't pitch it all
in the majors in twenty twenty four twenty twenty three,
he only threw eight hundred and forty four pitches. But
the last time he was healthy back in twenty twenty
two and twenty twenty one, his eras were at three
point sixty nine and three point one to nine. So
this is a guy who's shown it in the past
when he is healthy and being a left hander. And
I always like to bet on left handers because they
seem to have better numbers in Major League Baseball. So
he's a guy that can get you out and keep
you off balanced. So I got two guys very similar
in this matchup going against two offenses which a're hitting
very well right now. Nine and a half on the
total normally would be pretty high, but the way these
teams are hitting now, I can understand it slightly into
the under, but probably won't get involved this one.
Speaker 4: Yeah, So the first kind of knee jerk reaction is
to say, oh, Kyle Hendrix, he sucks, so he's a
tomato can.
Speaker 5: Let's go with the over. But actually, take a closer
look these two pictures.
Speaker 4: They don't walk anyone. I mean, their walk rates are excellent.
I got Toronto ranked six in batting, I got the
Angels ranked twelve in batting. Currently two really bad bullpens though,
So that would scare me on taking an under here
because I have both bullpens ranked twenty six or worse
in current form on a scale of thirty. My numbers
don't like Kyle Hendrix at all. But actually I kind
of like him more than I used to, if if
that's anything. So I got too many conflicting numbers and
eye tests bias, so I'm probably gonna stay off this game.
Speaker 1: So Brian mentioned like Eric Glawer twenty twenty four, he
was over in Korea and he he didn't have the
he didn't have an Eric Fetti type year in Korea,
or like, you know, one of these guys, like even
like a Kyle Hart that was very dominant and comes
back and you know, does well in MLB. But I
do remember, I think the motivation for him to go
over to Korea was to be to continue to be
able to start games, because I don't think he felt
like a big league club what was going to have
him in the rotation every fifth day. And something that
you know came from his time in Korea was an
improved pitch mix where he started to throw the fastball
far less you know it was he What I was
pulling up quickly was his numbers from the big leagues
in twenty twenty three, where in some way, shape or form,
he was throwing like eighty percent fastballs, whether it be
the fastball or the cutter, was throwing it about eighty
percent of the time. Now it's far less Tokyo brand,
and that makes complete sense because you kind of have
to mix it up to get guys out. In Korea,
right they are slapped. It's much different approach. They're slapping
the ball everywhere. And I just think that he really
improved his pitch mix came back over here. Remember, he
was not guaranteed anything. The Blue Jays sort of threw
him on the roster because they were desperate for pitching.
He was down here at Triple A in Buffalo and
really throwing the ball well. So he has totally pitched
his way into the starting rotation. Even when they called
him up, it was never to be a starter. It
was to be like, hey, give us three innings of
long relief out of the bullpen, we'll be happy. And
he's just been like undeniable at this point where the
Jays have had no choice but to put him in
the starting rotation.
Speaker 2: So he's been super impressive in that regard.
Speaker 1: I fully agree Kyle Hendricks can still can still get
out tremendous at keeping guys off balance the JS, though
right now, man is anyone.
Speaker 2: Keeping them off balance?
Speaker 3: Right now?
Speaker 1: It feels like they're hitting everything. That being said, I
don't hate like a first five under here. I don't
really want to go full game under in this because
the Blue Jays have had just absolutely cooked through bullpen
arms and I still don't really trust this Angel's bullpen,
but I do trust lower first time through. And Hendrix
is that annoying guy where you can get You might
be able to get him for a three spot early,
but if you can't and you let him settle in,
he'll give you five six good innings. So I'll say
first five under my lean for this one. That's about
all I have in this game.
Speaker 2: Go ahead, Brian, Let yeah.
Speaker 3: I want to touch on the bullpens here. Is the
Angels bullpen's in a lot better shape than Toronto's. Hoffman
has pitched for the last five days. I'm surprised they
actually used him yesterday, and he they have some other
guys that have been used a lot in the bullpen here.
The more I look at it, the more I lean
a little bit with the underdog the road to underdog Angels,
because Toronto is coming off this is the first time
in the history of the Toronto Blue Jays that swept
a four game home series against the Yankees, and not
only that, it put them in first plays. So you've
got to feel if you put your position of the players.
Now they're playing the Angels, which which is a team
that has not been competitive in years, and kind of
like you could kind of see them coming into this game.
You mentioned the Houston situation against Colorado yesterday. I could
see something like that happened. So maybe I'll give give
it another look here on the Angels. Later on in
the day, I'll look more into it. But yeah, this
has got to be a definitely letdown situation for Toronto.
Speaker 1: Brian Lenard, I'll tell you right now, Angels plus one
and a half. If it can't, let's say the people
are in on the Blue Jays and this came down
another ten to fifteen cents, I'm with you. I would
have to consider Angels plus one and a half. Gee
Hurt says Toronto's bullpen I think is a little underrated. Yeah,
you're right, it is. But the problem with Toronto's bullpen
is it's not super deep. And I'll also explain how
like you recently took Eric Lauer out of the bullpen
and made him a starter. He was one of the
guys sort of giving that bullpen depth. So once you
get past Hoffman, I know they just got Garcia back.
Those top two three four arms their bullpen. They are
beatable after those guys. And now you took one of
the length guys out of the bullpen and made him
a starter. So Brian, you're that we might have to
come back to that one that might go in the parlay.
Speaker 3: I don't know.
Speaker 1: I may come right back with Angels plus one and
a half in the parlay. Well, we'll see how the
rest of the show goes. But that's a really good
point TV. Were you gonna say something sorry about that?
Speaker 5: No, we can go to the next one.
Speaker 1: All right, let's go to a couple of people asked
about this one where how did I just lose I
am getting better at starring the comedy, so I don't
lose them. Oh, Michael Golwaki, says Michael Glowaki, Sorry, I
probably pronounced that wrong. Any thoughts on Red's Phillies today?
I believe this is another early game Days slate. We
have the Reds and I lost this on the screen?
Is this Abbot Lizardo? Is my memory serving me correct?
Speaker 2: Here? Brian start us off, Abbot Lazardo, Redsphillies.
Speaker 3: Yeah, a couple left, he's going here, Abbitt Lozardo. The
current line in Philadelphia basically one fifty six in a
total of eight. My first look at this was Andrew
Rabbitt and his He just flummes me his entire career.
It's got I've gotten to the point I talked about
this last time he pitched, that he is just something
in these games that it's not showing up in his numbers,
and he's having a lot of success. He's been very good.
And Lozardo obviously is TV will talk to you. You
don't back against Jesus. But I can't believe I picked
that up from you. But I have pictures here, and
I'm kind of leaning with Cincinnati here. I think there's
a lot of value you're getting him anywhere from one
thirty four to one forty five out there. I think
that there's a little bit of value Philadelphia. Obviously, Harper's
back now, but he's been out for a while. He's
not going to be able to be the typical Harper
coming right off the IL like that, but I like
both of these pitchers. I think it's a total of eight.
It wouldn't surprise me if this is a lower scoring
game than that. You look at Abbott comes in. He's
seven to one on the season. By the way, I'm
not big on the win loss, but hey, he's found
a way to win. One point seventy nine e RA
expected the IRA three point oh five. Yes, he's gotten
a little bit lucky. He went one point out two excellent.
He's a flyball pitcher. That's my only concern in this
game is Philadelphia is a pretty good fly ball hitting
baseball park. For home runs, He's only the seventh percentile
of ground ball rate. That said, he pitches in Cincinnati,
which is probably the biggest home run park in Major
League Baseball. Colorado is more of a single, double triple situation.
So he's learned how to pitch in Cincinnati, he should
be able to pitch in Philadelphia. He's got excellent heart
hit rate ninety first percentile, eighty first percentile, expected batting
average eightieth, and average ice of velocity he's a guy
I'm looking to back if you don't find pitchers as
good as him and this price range as an underdog
very often, and Lozardo has been exactly what we expected
this year four point six ERA, but has expected hera's
three point five to seven. His whip rate designed one
point four to one, but it's mostly from hits, it's
not from walks. He's below league average seven point eight percent.
Walks doesn't have a lot of extension and that's his
only weakness, so he got more time to look at
what he's throwing in there. But he's got a very
good fastball eighty first percentile with for eighty eighty second
i'll strike out rate eightieth. So two very good pitchers
here and in this price range, I'm leaning towards the
under anyway, maybe I play Philadelphia team total longer. Let's
take a look at that total total right now. Philadelphia's
four and a half to the under thirty. That's not bad. Here.
I'm looking at Philadelphia team total under minus one thirty
right now. It's not my play on the parlay, but
it's something that has a little bit of value like Cincinnati,
like the team total under here for Philadelphia.
Speaker 4: So Brian's going to hell because he's betting against Jesus.
So I'll give my analysis now. No, I'm just kidding.
But hayeses Bizard he's a weird He's a kind of
an enigma in my analysis because on the one hand,
I have him ranked the number eleven picture out of
all pictures in MLB. On the other hand, though, when
I break down his expected results, he ranks quite low. Actually,
I got him ranked eighteen on a curve of thirty.
So how do I, you know, how do I bring
that together? How do I analyze that?
Speaker 5: I don't know.
Speaker 4: He's an enigma, is all I can say. I got
a Abitt ranked nine out of thirty. He's pretty good,
and he doesn't walk anyone. He's the opposite of a
chronic walker. So the problem is the Reds bullpen is poor.
They're playing poor, poorly right now. Philadelphia's bullpen not much better.
So I don't trust either one of these bullpens. And
both clubs are hitting exactly at sixteen out of thirty
in current form. So I'm not going to play the game.
But if I did, I think Cincinnati has a slight
advantage because of the starting pitching. Yes, I'm saying bad
things about Jesus, but I think Cincinnati might have an
advantage here. I wouldn't argue with Brian's Philly team total ender,
but I'm not playing it.
Speaker 3: I will.
Speaker 1: I'll definitely sort of second that opinion. I like the
full game under here. I've kind of said throughout the year,
I feel like this Philly lineup is more optimal against
right handed pitching. They're up against a very very good
lefty here, so that's you know, that's something that I
think sort of bodes well for the under TV. You
mentioned the Reds bullpen, and it's definitely, you know, notable,
but they do come off a day off, so they
kind of have their better arms are lined up. And
then you know, Lizardo is still a guy. I mean,
how skewed are his numbers right now from those two
starts where you given twenty earned runs, because really since then,
he put six and two thirds of shutout ball against
the Mets. Last time out, a respectable five innings against
the Braves wasn't his best effort. He had six innings
of shut out ball with ten strikeouts against the Cubs.
So he's a guy where it's just like he's been
around for a long time. We know he's very solid
major League baseball, you know, top notch pitcher, number one,
number two in your rotation. And he's got in his
full season numbers, which the books do a lot of
their projections off of and based up off of. He
has two starts where he gave up twenty earned runs
like go find go find a month in Lozardo's career
where he's given up more than twenty earned runs in
a month like that. That would be hard to find
over the course of his career. He did it in
two starts. It's such an outlier that I think it's
really skewed the numbers on him.
Speaker 3: Now.
Speaker 1: I don't want to go against the Reds here because
I have for reasons to like the Reds as well,
but I just think it's kind of skewed the numbers
to the point where Lozardo is a little bit inflated.
Speaker 2: You know, they're a little bit inflated.
Speaker 1: And if I know Abbott is a guy that I like,
I'm getting him against a team that lines up worse
against left handed pitching.
Speaker 2: How would I'm not like a full game under there?
So I agree with Brian.
Speaker 5: Go ahead, Brian, that's probably why my numbers are so skewed.
Speaker 3: Yeah, could could be, could beg Yeah, yeah, yeah, I
agree the the Phillies against lefties since June first have
a seventy four WRC plus they struggled against lefties and
both of the bull but you mentioned the one. Both
both both teams had yesterday off, so both bullpens are
in pretty good shape here. So uh yeah, either, I
think we got some good qualifying bats here. At least
in my opinion, We've got the under in the entire game.
I would agree with the Philadelphia team total under and
uh also the Reds plus money. So I think that's
a pretty good three ways to attack this game.
Speaker 2: For sure.
Speaker 1: I would agree with that. Let's let's go to to Uh,
this is a good one. Gotta talk about this one.
Let's go to Arius. He said, you guys should hit
the Degen Special Rockies, White Sox. Yeah, that is the
Degen Special, And I gotta be honest, I I for sure.
So everyone's probably like White Sox just Triggs five percenter,
it's not. I will say it was one that I
very much had on my radar, Ryan Leonard, I I
like the White Sox here, but I just don't know
if I can. Can I lay my minus won twenty
five or minus one twenty minus one twenty five on
the road with the Chicago White Sox. I don't know,
but I do think they're the right side. If you're
just telling me to pick the winner, I do think
they're the right side. So I'll go to you White
Sox Rockies in the game that no one wants to watch.
Speaker 3: Today, I was hoping we would go over this game
because I too looked at this game and I said,
Chicago White Sox, it's team we like. They're playing a
better ball and they go to Colorado in the Colorado
off of a win. Howser for the White Sox has
been tremendous, don't I don't know if I buy into
it for the full season, but he's having a hell
of a year for them. Yeah, they're about in the
one twenty to one twenty five range and the total
is eleven to the over, and I would agree the
White Sox would be the team that I would look
to play in this game. Howser and Censtelo sense to
tellia whatever you pronounce it, he's not done well this year.
Adrianhauser comes in one point nine oh ERA expected DRA
three point six four. Yes, he's gotten lucky and the
well beaten negative aggression one point one seven whip. It's
got great extension eighty seven percentile, barrel rate seventy six,
ground bowl rate seventieth, so he doesn't give up a
lot of fly balls. Although this this stadium is more
for as I mentioned, doubles and triples than in singles
than it is for home runs. That's nice to see.
His whifth rate is not great. He's in the thirteenth percentile,
straight got rate twenty first percentile, so he's gonna be
there's gonna be a lot of balls in play when
he pitches, and this is probably not a very good
ballpark for somebody that does that. So's to tell you.
Comes in six point six y nine ERA after a
six point four excuse me, a six point five seven
e RA last year, expected DRA six point seven five
after expected DRA last year of nine point zero three
spected DRA the year before that ten point six'. Eight
i've said this all season, long AND i may have
misspoken on one of my rideps yesterday WHEN i talked
about a pitcher being the worst picture in baseball, Sense
italia is the worst picture in. Baseball strikeout rate first,
percentale expected, era first, percentle expected batting average first, Percentile
chase right, third with rate. Third he does nothing well
except for he's in the sixty ninth percentile in ground ball.
Rate and AS i pointed, out this is not home
runs or not what you have to worry about In.
Colorado it's spreading that ball. Around it's a, huge huge.
Outfield so we've got two guys that can be hit,
here which is why the number is at. Eleven BUT
i think The White sox right, now with the starting
pitcher advantage they, have you rarely are you going to
see starting a pitcher. Advantage AND i never thought i'd
say this With Adrian hauser being that much better than
any pitcher In Major league. Baseball but this, YEAR i
don't know what he's. DONE i haven't seen a lot
of write. UPS i follow a lot of guys who
really follow pitching, mechanics and they do and they do
a lot, breakdown break down the videos and. EVERYTHING i
haven't seen a lot about him out, there SO i
think it must be as puzzled AS i am about.
It but to see The White sox as a road,
favorite And i've seen. This i've been doing this forty five.
Years i've seen this many times where you look at the,
line you, go why is this team a road? Favorite
usually there's a reason why they're the road. FAVORITE i
like The White sox in this.
Speaker 5: Game uh?
Speaker 4: Yeah so, yeah what do we call this? Game two
worst teams IN? Mlb, ACTUALLY i don't think The White
sox are one of the two worst teams IN. Mlb,
ACTUALLY i think The guardians are worse than The White
sox in my. Opinion Sorry, brian but they're Playing they're
playing like, it AND i think The twins are. ARE
i think The White sox could give The twins competition
for being the worst team as, well or the second worst,
team shall we. Say but looking at this, game uh,
YEAH i agree with, You. Brian sinstel is not very.
Good dolanders not very good either. Man they're just hurting
everywhere except the. Bullpen they're bullpen's playing quite. Well, actually
both of these teams have pretty decent. Bullpens AND i
Got howser ranked in the top one third of starting.
PITCHERS i don't think the sample size is good enough
to actually rely on that. Ranking but, yeah sens of
TEL i got him ranked twenty nine out of thirty
on a curve at, Thirty so, yeah he's close to.
Speaker 3: The bottom of the.
Speaker 4: Barrel neither team can hit very, well and both bullpens
are playing really. Well so if, ANYTHING i know this sounds,
weird but an under perhaps In. Colorado, Wow i'm not
going to play this. Game, SORRY i just wanted to
give you guys my.
Speaker 5: Rankings.
Speaker 1: LISTEN i picked something up on a on A TRIPLE
a broadcast earlier this year THAT i think is super
interesting in regards To Adrian. Hawser SO i was watching
a Round rock. Game Adrian hawser part of the year
in The rangers. Organization he pitched for For TRIPLE A Round,
rock and one thing led to. Another, sometimes so sometimes
for these these forty man Roster TRIPLE a, guys sometimes
they have to release.
Speaker 2: Guys it's just they run out of, options they run
out a. Room it's it's just the nature of the.
Speaker 1: Beast and and sometimes these veteran type, guys these journeymen
type guys just get released based on it's almost like
a like, logistics not not, performance based on The Round rock.
Broadcast they were talking to the coach before the game
and this was So Adrian howser through through a complete.
GAME i think you had eight and two thirds At Round,
rock like shutout ball against The Oklahoma city, comments who
are The Dodgers TRIPLE a team who haven't Had and
even at the, time this was still when like high
Song kim was in that. Lineup, Uh dalton, RUSHING i
mean that's a load in TRIPLE a. Lineup and the
coach made a comment like he couldn't he we wish
he we held he held off on the complete game
shutout until like next week because we really wanted him,
back and so they had to release him for a you,
know reasons probably that weren't performance, related and like the
next day The White sox signed him The. Rangers who
you got to remember The rangers organization is they're, pitching starting.
Pitching what are they top? Five you, know Put tom
three in the league this year with starting. Pitching they've
been very good at evaluating starting. Pitchers they were like
very disappointed that he didn't clear waivers or whatever it.
Is and Maybe brian can speak to the process a
little bit, more but he didn't clear the thirty team
because the other twenty nine teams get a crack at
him before you can then go and re sign.
Speaker 2: HIM i think is how it.
Speaker 1: Works The White sox grabbed, him AND i know it
was appealing For howser because he's a guy that was
that was In TRIPLE a with The. Rangers because he
wants to be a starting. Pitcher he doesn't want to
pitch out of the. Bullpen he thinks his stuff probably
plays better as a, starter and SO i think for,
him he's loving the fact that he's In chicago getting
to pitch every fifth.
Speaker 2: Day he's really been.
Speaker 1: Fantastic and you have Another orger organization that's been, very
very good at evaluating starting pitching that was, saying, damn
we really didn't want to give him. Up that's ALL
i need to know About Adrian. Hauser his fastball command
is really, good really. IMPROVED i will be using The
White sox for my parlay. LEG i don't know IF
i can stomach it from a straight that standpoint at the,
price because it still is The White. Sox they're still
on the. Road but for the PARLAY i think it's pretty.
Good So i'll go To Brian leonard for a follow,
up and he's gonna give me the odds on this.
Speaker 3: Game, Yeah Adrian hauser is in his ninth season In
Major league. Baseball he's got one hundred and fifty nine
games basically six hundred and fifty one innings The Major League.
Baseball when you have a guy like that in the
minors and he's never shown this ability in the. Past
his CAREER era is four point zero, six not, bad not,
bad but he's never been one of those really upside.
Guys and when you have guys in the, miners you
want to bring up the better, prospects the guys that
have a better. FUTURE a lot of teams feel that
he's been around long. Enough we've seen what we can
see out Of, hauser and that's why they had to
let him. Go when you take a look At colorado
on the, season they are four and seventeen on the,
road or excuse, me four and seventeen against The American.
League they have not played well against The American. League
they haven't played well against just a bout. Anybody but
if you look at these teams and you say they're
closer than The rockies, are the worst team In. Baseball
and if you say The White sox are next, worst that's.
Fine but on the season and run, differential The White
socks are minus, ninety which is twenty worse than The
marlins and twenty two worst than The. Nationals so they're
very in the same similar. Area but you find The
Colorado rockies minus two hundred and twenty, three there is
a big. Differential they may be twenty nine to thirty
In Major League baseball in, strength but the difference between
twenty nine and thirty is very. Pronounced it's sort of,
like you, know you get a team In Major league
like The dodgers would be number one In Major League,
baseball and then you've got a drop off after. That
and that's what we see at the bottom of these standings.
Here And, YEAH i like The White. SOX i totally
agree with. You this is a time if you're going
to play The White, sox you don't need that plus
one and a. HALF i think they win the game straight. Up.
Speaker 1: Yep what is what's the best money line or what's
the market price on this right now for the?
Speaker 2: Parlay?
Speaker 3: Brian, yeah currently The White sox or minus one twenty.
THREE i would, say.
Speaker 2: All, right let's go minus one twenty.
Speaker 1: Three first parlay leg locked, In we'll be locking in.
Others we've got ten minutes to. Go SO i was
gonna go to the chat for a, game BUT i
want to see do either of you guys know what
your parlay leg is yet that you want to just
lock it? In is it a game we've already talked
about or do you want To brian? Learn do you
do pose a game?
Speaker 5: Here it's not a game we talked.
Speaker 4: About, adam you didn't even crack a smile at my comment,
There come, on, man.
Speaker 2: To be honest with.
Speaker 3: You Tokyo.
Speaker 1: BRANDON i can't really so the way the street, LAST
i can't really see it because WHEN i do the,
SHOW i don't wear my. GLASSES i don't want to
wear my glasses on, air and so like the screen
THAT i get back.
Speaker 2: And feed is is is the writing's very.
Speaker 1: SMALL i can only really see see the comments on
the right hand, side and there's so many of them
that they just they just go. Away so anyway we
have we we only have eight minutes, left so you
need to give.
Speaker 2: Them we gotta do parlay legs and talk.
Speaker 4: Baseball can we do the the The rays. Game, then, uh.
Speaker 1: Because so that's What Queen's Queen, rocks that's ONE i had.
Started Queen rocks thirteen forty one, says can we cover
The Tampa bay? Game so let's Talk Tampa bay and
you can start us, off and then we'll go To brian.
Speaker 5: Go the other direction, Here brian go, first, Please i'll Be.
Speaker 3: I'll then, Uh lttel Against paddick line Is minnesota at
home minus basically one thirteen uh nine and a half
to the. Over, Yeah littel's been a guy who's been
very good for. Them paddock has been up and very
up and down h sometimes he's been very. Good he
doesn't walk. Anybody he's a six point three walk, right
Whereas littel's at three point. One SO i may understand
understand where brand is going out. Here but two guys
that don't put a lot of betters on on base
because of the. Walk two guys that usually you're you're,
better you're general public are not looking to bet. ON
i don't have anything on the, game BUT i THINK
i can figure out where you're.
Speaker 5: Going you got. It actually my.
Speaker 4: Numbers you, know if you Take paddock and you project
his expected numbers. Man he he's like in sensateel. Territory,
man his numbers are horrible if you project him. OUT
i got littel as far as his projections are, concerned
pretty pretty, average like right around fifteen out of thirty
on a curve of. Thirty bullpen's. Comparable but the big
difference here is going to be the. LINEUPS i Think
minnesota is having trouble producing runs Where Tampa bay is,
not AND i likely tell he let me down a
couple times this season earlier in the, season but if
you look at how he's performed, recently pretty darn. Good
he's given up one. One he had a rough patch
there against The orioles In Red sox where he gave
up three and, Four but besides that three and, four
he's given up one or less earned runs in three.
Speaker 5: Starts pretty good to. Me looks good to.
Speaker 4: Me and if you look at how he's done against The,
twins he's done pretty good two thirty ninety against in
the seven forty oh.
Speaker 5: Ps not, great but not. BAD i like the race.
Speaker 4: HERE i think they're just on a, roll AND i
Think minnesota is one of the worst teams IN mlb right.
NOW i don't think talent wise they're one of the,
worst but they're performing poorly right, now and it takes
a collective team to get out of a little quagmar
like that takes a little, time like we saw The
mets finally get out of their. QUAGMIRE i don't know
if they're out, yet but they could. Be Uh, SO
i like the race. HERE i don't know what the
line is, though off the top of my.
Speaker 3: Head, well for there was a comment in yesterday show, saying,
damn Doesn't Tokyo brannon ever play an. Underdog you're getting
on a plus one, Hundred so there's a year hundred.
Speaker 2: Dog there you.
Speaker 3: Go you made the board underdog play.
Speaker 5: Yesterday was plus one.
Speaker 3: Fifteen, WELL i think he's talking About.
Speaker 5: Okay we don't have to do underdogs or in parlays though.
Speaker 2: Right now that's that's. True i'm with you, THERE.
Speaker 1: Tv i'm always going to be a little bit more
liberal with the What i'll lay for a for a
sort of best. Bet when we're putting together a three,
teamer that's always going to be plus. Money i'm actually
very surprised The raiser are an underdog. HERE i kind
of make them the. FAVORITE i think they'll probably go
off the favorite AFTER.
Speaker 2: Tv you're not.
Speaker 1: Wrong The twins. Suck like this team Just i'll say.
IT i don't think they're any. GOOD i think they
if you, remember do you remember how bad they were
In april and then they kind of had that stretch
where they like caught fire and now they're just that
same bad team that they. Were there's there's very little
appeal to this. Team Chris, PADDOCK i can't STAND i
AND i GOT i got a vent for a second
BECAUSE i was the Biggest Chris paddock hater out of the.
GATE i THINK i cashed it once with him and
THEN i kind of let it go and he he
went on this like obnoxious run to the point where
there was a spot WHERE i really wanted to fade
The astros BECAUSE i still think The astros are a good,
feed AND i had to do it that the spot came.
Speaker 2: UP i wanted to fade The.
Speaker 1: ASTROS i wanted to Fade Colton, gordon AND i chose
to do it With Chris, paddock who went on to
give up nine runs on twelve hits in that.
Speaker 2: Start and it's just like that's Where i'm at on,
HIM i.
Speaker 1: CAN'T i don't think he's any, Good SO i can
disagree with you on A Chris paddock FADE i talked
about the raised. Plenty this team is a there are
Poor Mance. Tigers you, know there are Poor Mance. Tigers
they do more with, less not, know they don't really have,
superstars but they got a lot of guys that that
are are. Plus you, know they're they're gonna give you.
Speaker 2: Probably more than than they should on.
Speaker 1: Paper it's like it's like they they produce a little
bit more than they should on paper, chance whether it
be like a stolen base out of a guy Like
Chandler simpson or just like you, know just this scrappy type.
Play and Then lettel's a clear better starting. Pitcher SO,
TV i am in lockstep with you. HERE i very
much like The rays in this.
Speaker 2: Matchup go.
Speaker 3: AHEAD I i wouldn't say they're the Poor Mance tigers
because The tigers are a poor man's. Team they don't
put a lot of they tred a lot of, money
so they're Very they have actually taken over What Tampa
bay has done for a. Decade, yeah and that's that's
doing the lefty righting matching up the, players and they've
done very well and they've had a lost success in that.
Regard one thing to say on this, Game minnesota has
been very. Streaky as you pointed, out they had that
big losing, streak then they had a winning. Streak now
they have a big losing. Streak to, me And i'm
not in the locker, room that tells me that they're
having something going on in that locker. Room where if
they're in agreement on something and they're playing, well, yeah
everything's going, great and then once something happens to, them
they fall off that cliff and then they're back to
that losing streak. Again they've got problems in that locker.
Room i'm not. THERE i would just have to say
that something is going on in that locker. Room i'm
going to use go back to one of the games
for my. Parlay i'm going to go back to The
Cincinnati philadelphia. GAME i told you there was a few
ways different ways to play That i'm going to play
This philadelphia. Team total under four and a half at
minus one. Thirty abbott a. Lefty philadelphia has not hit,
lefties And harper's just freshly back in the. Lineup so
The philadelphia TEAM i think is going to have problem scoring.
HERE i like the under in the retire game as.
Well but let's Play philadelphia under four and a half
at minus one thirty when we've got The cincinnati bullpen
fully available into night's.
Speaker 1: Game, yeah AND i think you actually AND i think you,
know if you can't get a team total in the,
parlay LIKE i think you're good with a full game
under there as, WELL i WOULD i would not just
not play the. PARLOR i would just go full game
under if you can't put a team total in the.
PARLAY i know we've heard from some of you guys
that have a hard time getting the team totals in the.
PARLAY i definitely think it is an option for that.
One we are right at the ten am, mark hit
as many games as we, could and we've got a three.
TEAM i love when the three teamer Is i'm pretty
sure it's nicely spaced. Out we're starting with The, phillies
then we go to The. Rays we got The White
sox at. Night WHAT i will start with we have
a great package right. Now the rest of the, weekend
it's the three of. US tv AND i both have
five centers today it's one price you get all three
of our plays for a, week so that's up on everyone's.
Speaker 2: Page check that out and also give us the likes
and the.
Speaker 1: Subscribes we very much appreciate it and it helps the show.
Speaker 2: TREMENDOUSLY i know people will probably tune.
Speaker 1: In got to imagine some people are sleeping in today
with the day, off SO i know you.
Speaker 2: Guys will be here on the, replay drop a, comment
like and.
Speaker 1: Subscribe very much appreciated the parlay which we were due
for one a little bit still on the. Year for every,
dollar if you've played these all, equally one dollar has
returned eleven ninety so that's pretty good plus you, know
or you could look at, it they're plus eleven point
nine units if you've used the same exact thing on each.
Speaker 2: Parlay that's pretty. Good AND i think we have a
good one. Today.
Speaker 1: Boys this is going to be plus five thirty, seven
so over five to one. Odds we've Got brian with
The phillies team total under four and a Half. Tokyo
brandon's going with the raise right around even, money and
then it's going to be The White sox on the
road At Course field to bring us home. Tonight so
that three teamer plus five thirty seven Odds philly's team
total under four and a. Half raise money, Line White.
Sox money, line go, Ahead Brian.
Speaker 2: Lenner.
Speaker 3: Yeah first of, all we got a couple extra minics
since we finished a little. Early two THINGS i want
to touch. On number, One i'm not a parlay, player
SO i play all three of our legs. Separately. Uh
So i'm actually doing better than the parlay numbers because
we're going two and one two and one two. One,
yeah it's only been a couple of times THAT i can.
REMEMBER i don't think if we had to know in,
THREE i don't think. So excuse, Me, YEAH i think
one and. Two second thing is getting into on on on,
YouTube getting in there and ask me questions and talking About,
Uh we've got a lot of great information out of
the people out. There. Uh that's something that the upper
crust Of Wider talk. Loves they've been talking about all
these great comments about, it and we all get in
there and we have discussions with, you and that's what
we really. Enjoy as the day goes, on like four
or five Times i'll stop in there and somebody will
ask your question or. Something so it's a way for
us to go back and forth with. You we learned from,
you you learned from, us and this has been a great,
partnership And i'm so glad that we've been able to
do this show for over a month now and hopefully
we'll have continued.
Speaker 5: Success let me make a quick comment.
Speaker 4: Too we're not really, salespeople but we have to promote our,
stuff but we just like talking baseball and we like
interacting with you.
Speaker 5: Guys you guys are a great.
Speaker 4: Audience and, seriously management is coming to all three of
us saying you guys are getting such great.
Speaker 5: Engagement it helps us out a.
Speaker 4: Lot i'm going to be On saturday tomorrow at Newon,
eastern so come join me as well and check our
pages out down. There we all put free plays up as,
well so it's us your five seconds to go check
our pages out and see what we have.
Speaker 5: Available.
Speaker 1: Hi praise from Tradis. Helm he, says Best Andy kapper
show he's ever seen in five.
Speaker 3: Years.
Speaker 1: LISTEN i don't know if that's, true but we'll take
that compliment all, day every. Day appreciate you. Guys one
more time for the people in the BACK. Tv the parlay,
Today White sox money, line, raise money, Line phillies team
total under four and a. Half if you don't have
the ability to parlay team, Totals i'm gonna give you
the okay to go just full game under in That
Phillies reds. GAME i think it's gonna be a great
battle of pitching. Throughout hope everyone has a fantastic and
Safe fourth Of july. Weekend get some, sun touch some.
Grass as the kids, SAY i think that's the new.
Speaker 2: SAYING i don't.
Speaker 3: Know i'm not hit.
Speaker 1: Anymore i'm almost, forty turn thirty nine the other. Day
so but, anyway have a great. Weekend everyone will see
you back Here monday, morning nine.
Speaker 2: Am