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Speaker 1: Welcome in, everybody, Happy fourth of July. It is Friday,

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It's time for total bases. My family's already headed out

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to the boat. Mallory and my in laws. They're like,

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we're going to the boat early today, and guys, I

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was like, I got to stay back. The viewers deserve

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a proper show. There's fifteen games. What's more Fourth of July?

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What's more USA than baseball all day? And I gotta

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be honest, Brian Leonard, I'm not the biggest boat guy.

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Speaker 2: I don't know about you.

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Speaker 1: I don't know if you guys can tell, but the

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add hyperactivity starts to kick in for me.

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Speaker 2: I can't just sit out there all day.

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Speaker 1: So I'm happy to be back here with you guys

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talking a loaded slate. Eleven am Eastern all the way

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till tonight. Welcome in, Happy fourth of July.

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Speaker 3: Thank you. I appreciate it. Yeah, I blew the parlay

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from the second day in Row. Yesterday I had Milwaukee

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lose three too. We didn't have a wedding day for

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our clients, and we also won the over as a

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free play for the Yankees game, so I think we

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won like seven of eight free plays. So overall pretty

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good day. I just made a bad judgment. I'd like

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the Angels and the Brewers, and the Angels went straight

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up plus one thirty four or something and the Brewers

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didn't come in. But overall, good day for our clients.

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Unfortunately I didn't get that victory for us here on

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the parlor.

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Speaker 4: And as it goes, I lost my five percent play,

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but I had a winning day because I won everything else.

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So that's kind of how it goes. But everyone wants

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to buy the five percent place. Happy fourth of July everyone,

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living abroad, These are the days that I get kind

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of homesick, even after thirty years living abroad, because they

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don't do the fireworks. I don't get to hang out

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with people and barbecue and stuff. So these are the

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days that I regret living overseas. So happy fourth of

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July everyone. Brian, thank you. Yesterday you gave me compliments

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for helping your capping about using recent form. I forgot

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to mention you helped my capping as well, because you said,

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basis on balls to strikeout rate is a huge measure

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for you, and I added a little portion of that

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to my capping. So just an example of how our

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show helps each other and you guys to do your

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own capping as well.

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Speaker 5: What's up at him?

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Speaker 2: We're going to talk Astros, Dodgers.

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Speaker 1: We're going to talk anything you guys want to talk

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about in the chat for the next hour, but we

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have to start in our nation's capital, eleven am Eastern.

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Speaker 2: We've got Red Sox Nationals.

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Speaker 1: It is a standalone eleven am game on a Friday afternoon.

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Brian Leonard, what gets better? What's better than that? And

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an interesting matchup as well. So we've got gi Alito

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Soroca Reds Naps.

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Speaker 2: How are you seeing this one?

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Speaker 3: My there it goes okay, my line vists have just

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dropped off for a second. Bottles back. We're looking at

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Gilito Soroca. Boston's basically one of those seven favorite eight

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and a half on the total. Uh slight slightly to

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the under Gildo looked really good last time out. He

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he went seven innings nowhere in runs against the Blue Jays,

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which is really something the way the Blue Jays have

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been hitting lately. Pops off to the center fielder who

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I thought was over. I thought he was done, and

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he's just pore up the Yankees. So good for him,

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but his last his last starts have been pretty good.

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Seven innings nowhere and runs against boss Ors of Toronto,

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six inns tour in runs against the Giants, another team

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that struggled offense really lately, against the Mariners six innings,

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zero on runs and against Tampa Bay's six inning zero runs.

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So he's peaking right now. He was coming back from surgeries,

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coming back from injuries, and he's spent a lot of

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time on the injury list over the years. He did

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hit get thirty three starts in in twenty twenty three,

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but was out of action all of last year. Now

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he's got eleven starts in three point nine to nine ERA.

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Expected ERA looks to be four point nine to seven

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a little bit higher, and his whip has won thirty three,

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a little bit higher than his career numbers. Great extension

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eighty seventh percentile, but is expected batting averages only in

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the seventh. He is expected thera to fourteenth, hard hit sixteen.

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A lot of that came early on, where he was

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just getting started. We saw something very similar out of

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the Miami pitcher yesterday. Oo Perez pitched a great game

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and everything came together for him. So when you've got

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these guys coming back from injury, it's going to take

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them a while. We talk about that all the time.

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Usually control is the last thing that comes. But they

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start to hit it and they're doing very well. In fact,

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Michael Soroka is doing pretty well too. Comes in with

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the four point seven o era, but is expected his

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three point oh five big difference there, one point oh

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three whip. This is the guy I'm looking to bet on.

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His extension is poor in the twenty first percent of ALE,

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but he's been very good in his numbers. Just stick

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a look at what he has done game lugs lately.

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Last time out, six innings, one earned run to the Angels,

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a hot hitting team. Before that he played he played

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the Dodgers five and a third three not the greatest,

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but still that's the Dodgers. So he's played pretty well

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so far after his first three starts to give up

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four earned runs in each of those. So both of

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these pitchers are on the upswing here. Like I said,

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we're looking at the game of slightly Boston, a small favorite.

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Basically they pick them pretty much everywhere. With Saroka, I

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kind of like the under here. It's an early game,

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very early for these guys. It's going to be an

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eleven o'clock Eastern. They're not used to playing at that time.

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And we've got two pitchers pitching very well right now,

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and the Boston offense still hasn't put it together since

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the trade. Tack Evers still hasn't done anything in San

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Francisco either. I kind of let the under here. I

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like the Washington hitters overall, but were these two pitchers

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catching an eight and a half here, and that would

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be my lane under Boston Washington in this very early again.

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Speaker 4: So when Gelito came back, I thought I was expecting

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him to be a train wreck. But if you look

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at how he's been performing his last four starts, his

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last five starts, his last six seven starts, he's given

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up three runs in his last seven starts and he's

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gone seven four. Okay, he had a one point two

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inning there where he gave up seven earned runs.

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Speaker 5: That was a bad one, and then he went six

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six six seven innings giving up only three. Well, okay,

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that's removing the clunker he had against the Angels. So

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Gelito basically in a nutshell.

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Speaker 4: Geelitto's pitching really well right now, and I did not

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expect that.

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Speaker 5: Soroka. On the other hand, Soroka has got lots of talent.

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He hit a rough patch. We'll see if he's back.

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I don't know.

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Speaker 4: I'm not convinced he's back yet. He did have a

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good start against the Angels there. After giving up four

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three and three earned in three starts there, he gave

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up only one against the Angels. Like Brian said, they're

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a good hitting team. So is Soroka back or not,

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I'm not certain, but I definitely know ge Alito's pitching

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really well right now. However, my numbers have Soroka ranked

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higher than ge Alito. So it's a bit of a

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dichotomy here as far as my analysis is concerned. Boston's

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bullpen not performing well, Washington's bullpen is performing a little

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bit better, but neither one is actually very good, and

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both lineups are cranking it right now. So the way

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I would go here would probably be I haven't played

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it yet, but if I were to, probably would go

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a Boston team total, just because man, it's it's it's

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pretty rare to see a pitcher go like seven starts

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like that giving up only three runs.

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Speaker 5: If you remove one of his clunkers.

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Speaker 4: So I'm convinced the Alido's back, so I don't really

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want to bet an over against him.

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Speaker 5: So I would say maybe Boston team total over.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, I certainly the over. I agree with

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what Brian said about the early start. That being said,

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with the pitching, the fact that NAT's bullpen's a little

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bit used up, the fact that the Nationals have really

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torn the cover off the ball against right handed pitching,

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you know, since they sort of re sort of retooled

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their lineup to have a lot of left handed bats

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in it. What would certainly like make me lean toward

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the over. Mark Kinsen says, I can't trust di Alito. Yeah,

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I don't trust him either. I know he's pitched a

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little bit better of late, but I don't trust him either.

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He's definitely a right handed pitcher that I could see

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the Nationals getting to. That being said, I still think

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I still think the Red Sox are a tad undervalued

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at this point. If Geolito does pitch well, then they're

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obviously going to be in better position later in the game.

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Speaker 2: So this is a tough handicap.

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Speaker 1: I'd love to find something I wish I had more

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conviction on something because I know people are.

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Speaker 2: Gonna want to bet it.

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Speaker 1: It is the standalone game, maybe isolating maybe NATS first

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five where you're taking the bullpen on the equation and

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you're you're sort of isolating Gei Alito because I do

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think the NATS left heavy lineup could potentially get to him.

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So not a not a super strong opinion for me,

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and I won't I won't spend much more time on it.

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But but I didn't want to talk about that game

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because that is a standalone game and the first one

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off the board today.

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Speaker 4: Uh.

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Speaker 2: Phenomenal comment that we got to pull up here.

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Speaker 5: Uh.

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Speaker 1: Walmart Stampcoast says this is his first time watching live.

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He's walking into the gym and meddying Columbia. That's awesome.

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I didn't know we were alive in Columbi. I didn't know

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people were watching us in Columbia and Tokyo. Brandon, I

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don't like, you're like the S show movie type guy.

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Anytime I think of mediene I think of Entourage, which

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was like my favorite show in college. We lived for

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Entourage when I was at CN in the mid two thousands.

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I always think of Mediine I think Vinny the movie

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that they really wanted to get through about like Pablo Escobar.

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Great show, but he says, He says, can we agree

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if my phone gets stolen while watching, I can choose

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a free five percent play hit me up on Twitter.

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Speaker 2: We might be able to make that happen.

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Speaker 1: I do have a five percenter tonight, so you know,

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if you can prove that your phone got stolen, yeah,

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I'll give you that one for free. But I do

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have a five percenter. I won my five percenter last

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night on the Giants. I got one tonight, and we've

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got a great special right now to get you all

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three of us for seven days for one low price.

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So go over to any of our pages check that out.

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And I am am thrilled that people in Columbia are

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liking Total Bases and watching the show. And that's thanks

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to all you guys who like and subscribe every day.

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So very much appreciated there. Kingwater Won twenty two says,

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shout out to the Trio for showing up on the fourth.

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Yeah we weren't.

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Speaker 2: We would be nowhere else.

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Speaker 1: It's based fourth of July in baseball, go hand in

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hand and there's a full slate of games, we got

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to talk about them. Let's go to what I think

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could very well be a feature tight matchup and Brian Leonard,

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I gotta be honest, I did not have that. Like,

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if you told me two months ago or even a

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month ago, that this would be one of the biggest

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games on fourth of July with two of the best

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teams in the league, one of them would have been

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a no brainer. The other one I would not have

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had in a million years. That's Astros Dodgers. This isn't

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twenty eighteen. I mean, this Astros team was not supposed

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to be this. I look at this lineup, I'm like,

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do people even know more than two players in this

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in this line?

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Speaker 3: Like?

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Speaker 1: When I say people, I mean the semi informed baseball

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fan might not be able to name more than more

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than al Tuve in this one through nine being trotted

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out there on a daily basis for the Astros, and

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yet all they do. I know, they lost yesterday, but

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all they do is win baseball games. Now they head

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out to Tinseltown for a pretty big series this weekend.

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Speaker 2: Astros Dodgers. How are you seeing this one?

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Speaker 3: Yeah? The Astros have had a lot of young players.

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Obviously the pitcher yesterday that Brandon used for his strikeout. Prop. Yeah,

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they've had a lot of great young players that have

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come out this year and they played very well. And

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if you've got a good organization, like obviously Houston does,

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you're able to do that. You've got guys that you

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see other teams where you get a lot of injuries

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and they don't have anybody at all. And we've talked

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about the bravest pitching staff and that in that situation.

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So yeah, it all depends on the organization. There's certain

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teams that can build all the way through. There's other

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teams that have to buy their players, So keep that

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in mind. And the Dodgers are another team. We've seen

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that all year long. They've had a lot of problems

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with their starting pitchers being entered. They continue to bring

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guys up, so they've had They've got a great, great

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minor league system, and that's something you have to chart

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coming into the year. I always talk about, you know,

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even though they got a twenty five man roster or

257
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whatever they're using right now, you got to check the

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forty man roster. You got to check the guys in

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the minors and that because those players are going to

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be used as the season goes on, and you don't

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want to be playing a future on somebody's starting lineup

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because they're all going to get injured, especially if you're

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a pitcher. This year, Houston at La mccullors in Casparis,

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Caspiras Casparius is getting the actual start today. He's been

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used mostly as a bolt guy coming in after a starter,

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but he's getting the start today. Mccullor's for Houston, and

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we're looking at the Dodgers at about one seventy five

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favorite nine. First thought of this is that line's pretty high.

269
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I know the Dodgers are an elite team, but Houston

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in that price range, you're not going to find Houston

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in that price range. I don't care who they put

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on the mount. They've got mccollors going today. We look

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at the sadcast numbers mccolors. The only problem you have

274
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with mccolors is you don't know which mccolors you're going

275
00:14:05,919 --> 00:14:08,600
to get. Is he the healthy McCullers or see the

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guy still trying to fight his way back from injury.

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So far this year has not been pretty six point

278
00:14:13,879 --> 00:14:17,159
six y' one era four point eighty four expected, a

279
00:14:17,200 --> 00:14:20,279
little better, but still not what you really want. One

280
00:14:20,320 --> 00:14:23,000
point six to two whip. And that's one of those

281
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situations where I just talked about earlier about catching your

282
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your control. He's got a twelve point seven walk rate.

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He had a twelve point three the year before, eleven

284
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point three in twenty twenty two, the last healthy year

285
00:14:37,399 --> 00:14:39,440
at least he was still he got hurt, and then

286
00:14:39,480 --> 00:14:42,000
eleven point one the year before, so he's had problems

287
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with his control for a while now. And if you

288
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take a look at his savant page, he's in the

289
00:14:46,840 --> 00:14:50,840
first percentile chase rate, first percentile hard hit rate, six

290
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percent center percent child and walk rate. He struggled so far,

291
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but we know if he is healthy, he's a good pitch.

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You can get a good bargain on him. Problem is

293
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you won't know until the game starts, which is probably

294
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why I won't get involved with this one until I

295
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see the beginning couple innings. Casparius three point nine to

296
00:15:10,879 --> 00:15:15,519
seventy three point one six expected, the guy's a big

297
00:15:15,559 --> 00:15:19,000
time prospect. One point one to three whip. Now his

298
00:15:19,080 --> 00:15:21,879
ground ball rate is in the seventeenth percentile, so he

299
00:15:21,919 --> 00:15:24,039
gives up a lot of fly balls, and out of

300
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this division, this is one stadium that does give up

301
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the home runs. His extensions only in the fifth percentile,

302
00:15:31,240 --> 00:15:34,159
so the team's got plenty of time to adjust to him.

303
00:15:34,159 --> 00:15:37,039
But he got a lot of red on his stackcast page.

304
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Hard hit rate ninety six percentile, walk rate eighty ninth percentile,

305
00:15:41,120 --> 00:15:44,759
average Jackson velocity eighty seven. He's been very good. Problem

306
00:15:44,840 --> 00:15:48,360
is he doesn't pitch a lot of innings on the season.

307
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He's got fifty six innings pitch. This is only going

308
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to be his third start. As I said, he's come

309
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out of the bullpen twenty three times. A good pitcher

310
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and a very good future ahead of him. But for myself,

311
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anytime I could catch a good team like Houston, I've

312
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got to look at that a little bit. Hopefully we

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can get through a couple of innings here and the

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starting pitcher for Houston looks pretty good, and I could

315
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come in and play this a little bit more of

316
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an in game type of thing, and if I can

317
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catch something near that number and maybe the third inning,

318
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it might be something that's worthy of value. But for

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a pregame I will be setting this one.

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Speaker 4: Up all right, I also have a five percent play today.

321
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Maybe it's the same one as Adams. I have no idea,

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but I have.

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Speaker 2: A five absolutely shocked.

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Speaker 4: If it is okay, then it's not, So go ahead

325
00:16:41,240 --> 00:16:44,320
and grab that. Actually, Wayger Talk made a special for

326
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all three of us. It's called triple play. I think

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it's called triple Play. So if you go to any

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of our pages at that little scroller down there, do us.

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Speaker 5: A huge favor. Go to the replay of this video,

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00:16:55,840 --> 00:16:58,279
give us a comment and a like. Again.

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Speaker 4: Management at Wager Time keeps coming to us three and saying, God,

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00:17:01,799 --> 00:17:04,559
your interaction is so awesome with the people. So it's

333
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all because of you, guys, So please help us out there,

334
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helps our reputations, and it just it just makes us

335
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feel good. So let's get into this one. I'm the

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biggest Dodgers fan, and I'll tell you why. Actually, as

337
00:17:15,720 --> 00:17:18,000
a sports better, I'm not a fan of anyone, but

338
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I'm cheering for the Dodgers because I have a future

339
00:17:21,720 --> 00:17:24,839
on them. If they break Seattle the two thousand and

340
00:17:24,880 --> 00:17:28,400
one record, the Itchi Ros Mariners one hundred and seventeen wins.

341
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If the Dodgers break that, I have a three percent

342
00:17:31,319 --> 00:17:35,440
play at plus twenty four hundred, so I'm really hoping

343
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the Dodgers do that. I'll get plus eighty four percent,

344
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So I'm cheering for the Dodgers nevertheless. But let's face it,

345
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they have gotten this far and they're on pace to

346
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get to one hundred and seventeen. Actually, they're gonna have

347
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probably sixty wins at the All Star break, and they're

348
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doing it with a patchwork rotation.

349
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Speaker 5: They got like five of their starters out Society.

350
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Speaker 4: He's gone, Snell's gone, Sasaki, Snell, Glass Now is gone.

351
00:18:07,880 --> 00:18:10,640
They're just missing so many guys and they're.

352
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Speaker 5: Just patchworking it, just like they did last year.

353
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Speaker 4: And last year they ended up winning what ninety eight,

354
00:18:15,319 --> 00:18:17,359
ninety six games something like that. They were just short

355
00:18:17,359 --> 00:18:21,359
of one hundred. Ryan Slayer good Luck TV said one

356
00:18:21,440 --> 00:18:22,119
hundred and seventeen to eight.

357
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Speaker 5: It happening.

358
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Speaker 4: Why why when they get Snell back, they get Sasaki back,

359
00:18:27,000 --> 00:18:30,240
They're gonna get Glass Now back, They're gonna be They're

360
00:18:30,279 --> 00:18:32,720
gonna get Trying back, They're gonna get a lot of

361
00:18:32,759 --> 00:18:35,519
guys back. Man, this team is gonna be full throttle

362
00:18:35,559 --> 00:18:38,440
in the second half. And I'm not guaranteeing anything, but

363
00:18:38,480 --> 00:18:40,640
they got a better chance of getting it than they

364
00:18:40,680 --> 00:18:43,839
have of not getting it. Anyways, I have Casparian ranked

365
00:18:43,839 --> 00:18:45,720
a little bit higher than mccullor's, but I don't know

366
00:18:45,720 --> 00:18:49,359
if I can trust that number because mccollor's is the

367
00:18:49,400 --> 00:18:51,400
sample size is small, and he used to be a

368
00:18:51,440 --> 00:18:54,359
complete stud, so I don't know he's gonna snap back

369
00:18:54,359 --> 00:18:56,799
into it and start playing really well. I have a

370
00:18:56,799 --> 00:19:01,559
feeling so Houston's bullpen better than the Dodgers' bullpen at

371
00:19:01,559 --> 00:19:07,200
the moment. But I got Benkessparious ranked twelve on a

372
00:19:07,240 --> 00:19:09,319
curve of thirty, and I don't think that's I don't

373
00:19:09,319 --> 00:19:11,680
think he's either that good. Sometimes you can't just fully

374
00:19:11,720 --> 00:19:13,839
trust your numbers. You have to use an eye test,

375
00:19:13,880 --> 00:19:16,720
and he does not pass the eye test. The Dodgers

376
00:19:16,720 --> 00:19:18,960
can crank it though. If anything, I might go with

377
00:19:19,000 --> 00:19:21,920
an over on this one, but I'm not. I haven't

378
00:19:21,920 --> 00:19:22,599
played it yet.

379
00:19:24,880 --> 00:19:27,440
Speaker 1: Unknown entity in the chat says, don't we fade Houston

380
00:19:27,519 --> 00:19:29,279
coming out of Colorado.

381
00:19:30,200 --> 00:19:30,920
Speaker 2: In this case?

382
00:19:31,079 --> 00:19:31,119
Speaker 4: No?

383
00:19:31,400 --> 00:19:33,680
Speaker 1: Because I for me, no, because I feel like they

384
00:19:33,799 --> 00:19:36,759
mentally kind of like kind of we talked about it

385
00:19:36,799 --> 00:19:38,640
on the show yesterday. I said Colorado plus one and

386
00:19:38,680 --> 00:19:41,440
a half probably the side. It felt like they kind

387
00:19:41,480 --> 00:19:44,519
of went through the motions a little bit. They were

388
00:19:44,559 --> 00:19:47,839
already mentally in La. Maybe at times it was not

389
00:19:47,960 --> 00:19:51,480
their best effort. So so for me, not this time,

390
00:19:51,559 --> 00:19:53,839
Like if it was, if it was a scenario where

391
00:19:54,799 --> 00:19:57,559
you know, maybe they had like played it later in

392
00:19:57,599 --> 00:19:59,880
the day or something, there was more travel, yes, but

393
00:20:00,319 --> 00:20:03,200
early game kind of mentally not there.

394
00:20:03,319 --> 00:20:04,279
Speaker 2: Colorado to La.

395
00:20:04,440 --> 00:20:07,240
Speaker 1: I'm not putting that as much stock in that. I

396
00:20:07,279 --> 00:20:09,480
just wanted to address that. I'm not putting that as

397
00:20:09,519 --> 00:20:11,720
much stock in that as I maybe would if it

398
00:20:11,759 --> 00:20:14,480
was a farther trip as far as this game is concerned.

399
00:20:14,519 --> 00:20:18,119
So Brian talked about Caspiro's coming out of the bullpen

400
00:20:18,160 --> 00:20:20,799
a lot. They really were. They kind of had him

401
00:20:20,839 --> 00:20:24,359
paired with Otani, so he was still the starter in.

402
00:20:26,000 --> 00:20:28,480
Speaker 2: Theory. He was still the starter. He was just the guy.

403
00:20:28,319 --> 00:20:31,400
Speaker 1: Coming in in inning two so Otani could have his

404
00:20:31,480 --> 00:20:37,720
one inning. He is a fantastic prospect, as Brian said,

405
00:20:37,759 --> 00:20:39,599
a lot to like here, a lot of red on

406
00:20:40,079 --> 00:20:44,400
the savant page. My issue, My only issue is that

407
00:20:44,480 --> 00:20:47,799
I feel like the books have acknowledged this and have

408
00:20:48,000 --> 00:20:51,279
priced him almost out of range. It's like they know

409
00:20:51,440 --> 00:20:54,640
he's very good, right because and so I played against

410
00:20:54,720 --> 00:20:59,559
him last Saturday when he was following Otani because the

411
00:20:59,759 --> 00:21:02,440
the money line was outrageous and I was like, well,

412
00:21:03,000 --> 00:21:06,440
they're pricing in Otani too much. But now I'm starting

413
00:21:06,440 --> 00:21:09,000
to see this and I'm realizing that I think they're

414
00:21:09,119 --> 00:21:11,640
just really making you pay a premium to back this

415
00:21:11,680 --> 00:21:15,440
guy because they know he's very good. Now, in this scenario,

416
00:21:15,759 --> 00:21:19,039
I think you could potentially fade him just because of

417
00:21:19,079 --> 00:21:21,039
the of where the price point is. Right, Like, the

418
00:21:21,160 --> 00:21:24,279
Astros have proven that they know how to win baseball games.

419
00:21:24,359 --> 00:21:26,759
They have they might not have the names, but they

420
00:21:26,799 --> 00:21:29,200
have a very good team. Didn't use a ton of

421
00:21:29,240 --> 00:21:33,079
pen yesterday. McCullers is not a guy I'm really dying

422
00:21:33,119 --> 00:21:34,359
to back, but he's a veteran.

423
00:21:34,440 --> 00:21:36,240
Speaker 2: On a given day, he can get some swing and

424
00:21:36,279 --> 00:21:39,079
missing keep you in the game. I like Astros plus

425
00:21:39,079 --> 00:21:39,799
one and a half here.

426
00:21:39,799 --> 00:21:41,920
Speaker 1: If that came down another ten cents, I might have

427
00:21:41,960 --> 00:21:44,119
to give it some strong consideration. Right now, plus one

428
00:21:44,160 --> 00:21:46,480
and a half is minus one thirty. You guys know,

429
00:21:46,559 --> 00:21:48,039
I like my plus one and a half with the

430
00:21:48,119 --> 00:21:50,680
road teams, and so you kind of get that extra

431
00:21:50,720 --> 00:21:55,000
at that So certainly, that's certainly appealing. If that came

432
00:21:55,039 --> 00:21:57,640
down another ten cents where I could get astros plus

433
00:21:57,640 --> 00:22:00,000
one and a half minus one twenty, who knows, maybe

434
00:22:00,079 --> 00:22:02,440
it makes its way onto my card, but uh, that's

435
00:22:02,440 --> 00:22:04,480
the way I'm looking here. I think astros have some

436
00:22:04,640 --> 00:22:09,559
value in this game. We gotta we gotta shout out

437
00:22:09,599 --> 00:22:10,880
where did where did the comic go?

438
00:22:11,000 --> 00:22:11,160
Speaker 2: Here?

439
00:22:11,160 --> 00:22:14,920
Speaker 1: It is, we gotta shout out Carmine, Carmi and Bianco

440
00:22:15,000 --> 00:22:17,480
in the chat. Appreciate you tuning in, he says, happy

441
00:22:17,480 --> 00:22:20,000
for the July everyone, Carmine, what we need to know

442
00:22:20,079 --> 00:22:23,519
from you is on Canada Canada Day, are you in

443
00:22:23,599 --> 00:22:27,119
pres out there just acting all obnxious? Are you guys

444
00:22:27,119 --> 00:22:29,839
setting fireworks off in your backyard like we? Are you

445
00:22:29,920 --> 00:22:31,880
doing the same stuff we do here in the States

446
00:22:32,119 --> 00:22:34,240
on fourth of July? That was That was something that

447
00:22:34,440 --> 00:22:38,759
came up on the first when when I didn't realize it.

448
00:22:38,680 --> 00:22:39,319
Speaker 2: Was Canada Day.

449
00:22:39,359 --> 00:22:42,160
Speaker 1: Everyone tuned me in, included me into the fact that

450
00:22:42,200 --> 00:22:45,319
Canada Day was the first Jay's were playing a day game.

451
00:22:45,400 --> 00:22:47,000
We just want to know what you guys do and

452
00:22:47,039 --> 00:22:48,839
if it's the same as what we do in the States.

453
00:22:49,000 --> 00:22:53,799
Speaker 2: What I do know is the Jays are playing unreal ball.

454
00:22:54,079 --> 00:22:56,680
Speaker 1: Let's go to that. Let's let's for Carmine and our

455
00:22:56,680 --> 00:22:59,279
neighbors to the north in the chat. Let's let's give

456
00:22:59,319 --> 00:23:01,839
the Blue Jays there shine on this show.

457
00:23:01,920 --> 00:23:02,359
Speaker 2: Right now.

458
00:23:02,960 --> 00:23:06,319
Speaker 1: They sweat the Yankees in four games. They are playing

459
00:23:06,599 --> 00:23:10,799
outstanding ball. I mean, they might win this division. Brian

460
00:23:10,880 --> 00:23:15,400
Leonard and you know someone else. We got a shout

461
00:23:15,440 --> 00:23:17,839
out too that I want to point out here because

462
00:23:17,880 --> 00:23:21,000
this is all the same game, Carol Or. I'm sorry,

463
00:23:21,480 --> 00:23:24,519
Carlile Hines. Hey, thank you all for the analysis. I

464
00:23:24,559 --> 00:23:27,079
made a nice amount of the Angels yesterday. Yeah, the

465
00:23:27,119 --> 00:23:28,960
Angels was an easy winner. But I believe a four

466
00:23:29,000 --> 00:23:31,359
percent play for Brian Leonard. We used it in the

467
00:23:31,400 --> 00:23:35,279
parlay here on the show. Now we've got Angels, Blue Jays.

468
00:23:35,599 --> 00:23:38,440
Jay's playing as good as can possibly be. How do

469
00:23:38,480 --> 00:23:40,160
you see this one? Blue Jays Angels.

470
00:23:42,480 --> 00:23:46,960
Speaker 3: Currently they've got Hendrix listed as the starter for the

471
00:23:47,000 --> 00:23:50,920
Angels and he's actually he's actually pitched very well lately

472
00:23:51,559 --> 00:23:54,359
going up against Lawer, who is also pitched well lower

473
00:23:54,440 --> 00:23:58,799
the lefty the Angels are Buttley get Richard hitting against

474
00:23:58,839 --> 00:24:00,000
lefties not too bad.

475
00:24:00,039 --> 00:24:00,119
Speaker 5: Uh.

476
00:24:01,039 --> 00:24:04,599
Speaker 3: Toronto comes in about a one fifty eight favorite the

477
00:24:04,640 --> 00:24:07,319
Angels total in that is nine and a half to

478
00:24:07,400 --> 00:24:12,160
the under. Yeah, Carmine, I've never seen a Canadian being

479
00:24:12,200 --> 00:24:14,599
so excited about the fourth of July. He I think

480
00:24:14,640 --> 00:24:17,079
he secretly wants to live in the United States. Every

481
00:24:17,079 --> 00:24:19,279
time I'm on Twitter or something, he's coming in with Hey,

482
00:24:19,279 --> 00:24:20,200
happy for the July.

483
00:24:23,279 --> 00:24:28,039
Speaker 2: Him out in Vegas. He's always he is here enough.

484
00:24:28,119 --> 00:24:32,000
Speaker 3: Yes, and one of the nicest and most generous people

485
00:24:32,119 --> 00:24:35,200
I've ever met in my life. And I've never met

486
00:24:35,200 --> 00:24:37,640
anybody who did not like Carmine when you get to meet.

487
00:24:37,519 --> 00:24:39,839
Speaker 5: Him, just he is a very sweet guy.

488
00:24:39,759 --> 00:24:44,119
Speaker 3: Yes, and his wife is terrific also, so I enjoyed

489
00:24:44,240 --> 00:24:47,480
their company. But yeah, we're looking at the Angels, a

490
00:24:47,519 --> 00:24:50,240
team that was very good to me yesterday going against Toronto,

491
00:24:50,839 --> 00:24:55,680
and two teams playing really well right now, looking at

492
00:24:56,279 --> 00:25:02,640
stetcast page right now, they don't they don't have it updated.

493
00:25:02,640 --> 00:25:05,240
Oh there it is, okay, Kyle Hendrix, just a moment here.

494
00:25:06,359 --> 00:25:09,440
Kyle Hendricks on the season four point sixty six era

495
00:25:09,680 --> 00:25:12,559
expected dra three point nine to one, one point three

496
00:25:12,599 --> 00:25:16,359
to zero whip what he's good at average exa velocity

497
00:25:16,559 --> 00:25:19,359
ninety fifth percentile he keeps you off balance, Chase raight

498
00:25:19,440 --> 00:25:23,119
eightieth percentile, walk grade seventy ninth, hard hit eighty first.

499
00:25:23,759 --> 00:25:26,240
That's the way it's been his entire career. He's one

500
00:25:26,240 --> 00:25:29,039
of these guys that nobody wants to back because he

501
00:25:29,119 --> 00:25:31,400
doesn't strike a lot of guys out. And I've talked

502
00:25:31,400 --> 00:25:34,240
about this in the past. Just this year, eighty seven innings,

503
00:25:34,359 --> 00:25:39,039
sixty strikeouts. He gets you to hit the ball off

504
00:25:39,119 --> 00:25:41,200
balance a little bit and you're not getting all of it.

505
00:25:41,240 --> 00:25:42,839
So he doesn't give up a ton of home runs.

506
00:25:43,759 --> 00:25:46,799
But what he does struggle with his fastball velocity is

507
00:25:46,839 --> 00:25:49,880
obviously not very good at that first percentile with for

508
00:25:49,920 --> 00:25:54,200
eight second percentile extension, first striking percentage ninth everything that

509
00:25:54,319 --> 00:25:57,319
we know of Hendricks, he's been that way this year.

510
00:25:57,759 --> 00:26:01,119
He's only got four pitches change up, his sinker, his

511
00:26:01,160 --> 00:26:03,279
four seemer in his curve A. What I like about

512
00:26:03,319 --> 00:26:06,160
him is the four seemer. He only throws fifteen percent

513
00:26:06,160 --> 00:26:08,079
of the time, and like I said, he's in the

514
00:26:08,119 --> 00:26:12,359
first velocity first percentile in that so he knows that

515
00:26:12,359 --> 00:26:14,799
that's his weak spot in his game, and he only

516
00:26:14,799 --> 00:26:17,119
throws at fifteen percent of the time. He is a

517
00:26:17,160 --> 00:26:19,880
smart player, and he's been a smart player his entire career.

518
00:26:20,319 --> 00:26:23,240
He's been able to survive twelve seasons now in Major

519
00:26:23,279 --> 00:26:26,119
League baseball. Hats off to Kyle HENDRICKX. When I was

520
00:26:26,160 --> 00:26:28,400
growing up, there was a lot of guys like him

521
00:26:28,880 --> 00:26:32,559
and they were able to get to have great careers,

522
00:26:32,920 --> 00:26:36,839
and so good for him. He's on the mound today

523
00:26:36,880 --> 00:26:41,759
against another guy who is finding some success, Eric Lauer.

524
00:26:42,119 --> 00:26:45,359
Eric Lawer's gone seven seasons now and he comes in

525
00:26:45,359 --> 00:26:47,359
with a two point six to oh ERA three point

526
00:26:47,359 --> 00:26:52,200
three five expected one point seven whip. He's been very

527
00:26:52,240 --> 00:26:55,920
good in certain situations, has expected the RA seventy second

528
00:26:55,920 --> 00:27:01,160
percentile expected BADIC average eightyeth. But he does give up

529
00:27:01,200 --> 00:27:04,119
a lot of flyballs, and he's in the eighth percentile

530
00:27:04,200 --> 00:27:08,079
of that fourteenth percent tile and fastball velocity average, eggs

531
00:27:08,079 --> 00:27:12,039
of velocity, chase hard hit rate, they're all twenty fifth

532
00:27:12,039 --> 00:27:16,039
percent or or less. He's been pitching very well this year,

533
00:27:16,400 --> 00:27:19,079
and if he looked back, he didn't pitch it all

534
00:27:19,119 --> 00:27:22,440
in the majors in twenty twenty four twenty twenty three,

535
00:27:23,400 --> 00:27:25,400
he only threw eight hundred and forty four pitches. But

536
00:27:25,440 --> 00:27:28,160
the last time he was healthy back in twenty twenty

537
00:27:28,160 --> 00:27:31,160
two and twenty twenty one, his eras were at three

538
00:27:31,200 --> 00:27:33,079
point sixty nine and three point one to nine. So

539
00:27:33,119 --> 00:27:34,880
this is a guy who's shown it in the past

540
00:27:35,400 --> 00:27:38,200
when he is healthy and being a left hander. And

541
00:27:38,200 --> 00:27:41,200
I always like to bet on left handers because they

542
00:27:41,279 --> 00:27:45,880
seem to have better numbers in Major League Baseball. So

543
00:27:46,319 --> 00:27:49,880
he's a guy that can get you out and keep

544
00:27:49,880 --> 00:27:52,519
you off balanced. So I got two guys very similar

545
00:27:53,039 --> 00:27:56,640
in this matchup going against two offenses which a're hitting

546
00:27:56,799 --> 00:27:59,240
very well right now. Nine and a half on the

547
00:27:59,279 --> 00:28:03,160
total normally would be pretty high, but the way these

548
00:28:03,160 --> 00:28:06,480
teams are hitting now, I can understand it slightly into

549
00:28:06,559 --> 00:28:09,720
the under, but probably won't get involved this one.

550
00:28:12,480 --> 00:28:16,599
Speaker 4: Yeah, So the first kind of knee jerk reaction is

551
00:28:16,640 --> 00:28:19,759
to say, oh, Kyle Hendrix, he sucks, so he's a

552
00:28:19,759 --> 00:28:20,440
tomato can.

553
00:28:20,640 --> 00:28:23,880
Speaker 5: Let's go with the over. But actually, take a closer

554
00:28:23,920 --> 00:28:27,000
look these two pictures.

555
00:28:27,680 --> 00:28:30,920
Speaker 4: They don't walk anyone. I mean, their walk rates are excellent.

556
00:28:31,880 --> 00:28:34,400
I got Toronto ranked six in batting, I got the

557
00:28:34,440 --> 00:28:39,279
Angels ranked twelve in batting. Currently two really bad bullpens though,

558
00:28:39,519 --> 00:28:42,519
So that would scare me on taking an under here

559
00:28:42,519 --> 00:28:45,039
because I have both bullpens ranked twenty six or worse

560
00:28:45,480 --> 00:28:49,920
in current form on a scale of thirty. My numbers

561
00:28:49,960 --> 00:28:52,960
don't like Kyle Hendrix at all. But actually I kind

562
00:28:53,039 --> 00:28:56,720
of like him more than I used to, if if

563
00:28:56,759 --> 00:29:00,720
that's anything. So I got too many conflicting numbers and

564
00:29:00,880 --> 00:29:05,519
eye tests bias, so I'm probably gonna stay off this game.

565
00:29:07,880 --> 00:29:12,039
Speaker 1: So Brian mentioned like Eric Glawer twenty twenty four, he

566
00:29:12,119 --> 00:29:15,759
was over in Korea and he he didn't have the

567
00:29:16,599 --> 00:29:19,759
he didn't have an Eric Fetti type year in Korea,

568
00:29:19,920 --> 00:29:22,039
or like, you know, one of these guys, like even

569
00:29:22,079 --> 00:29:24,519
like a Kyle Hart that was very dominant and comes

570
00:29:24,559 --> 00:29:27,880
back and you know, does well in MLB. But I

571
00:29:28,240 --> 00:29:31,279
do remember, I think the motivation for him to go

572
00:29:31,319 --> 00:29:33,880
over to Korea was to be to continue to be

573
00:29:33,920 --> 00:29:36,599
able to start games, because I don't think he felt

574
00:29:36,599 --> 00:29:38,799
like a big league club what was going to have

575
00:29:38,880 --> 00:29:41,319
him in the rotation every fifth day. And something that

576
00:29:41,759 --> 00:29:44,160
you know came from his time in Korea was an

577
00:29:44,160 --> 00:29:47,599
improved pitch mix where he started to throw the fastball

578
00:29:47,680 --> 00:29:52,319
far less you know it was he What I was

579
00:29:52,359 --> 00:29:54,279
pulling up quickly was his numbers from the big leagues

580
00:29:54,319 --> 00:29:57,200
in twenty twenty three, where in some way, shape or form,

581
00:29:57,200 --> 00:29:59,640
he was throwing like eighty percent fastballs, whether it be

582
00:29:59,799 --> 00:30:02,000
the fastball or the cutter, was throwing it about eighty

583
00:30:02,000 --> 00:30:04,680
percent of the time. Now it's far less Tokyo brand,

584
00:30:04,720 --> 00:30:07,079
and that makes complete sense because you kind of have

585
00:30:07,160 --> 00:30:10,039
to mix it up to get guys out. In Korea,

586
00:30:10,319 --> 00:30:14,319
right they are slapped. It's much different approach. They're slapping

587
00:30:14,319 --> 00:30:16,759
the ball everywhere. And I just think that he really

588
00:30:16,759 --> 00:30:19,359
improved his pitch mix came back over here. Remember, he

589
00:30:19,440 --> 00:30:22,279
was not guaranteed anything. The Blue Jays sort of threw

590
00:30:22,319 --> 00:30:24,480
him on the roster because they were desperate for pitching.

591
00:30:24,839 --> 00:30:27,079
He was down here at Triple A in Buffalo and

592
00:30:27,119 --> 00:30:30,480
really throwing the ball well. So he has totally pitched

593
00:30:30,519 --> 00:30:33,160
his way into the starting rotation. Even when they called

594
00:30:33,240 --> 00:30:34,839
him up, it was never to be a starter. It

595
00:30:34,920 --> 00:30:36,839
was to be like, hey, give us three innings of

596
00:30:36,839 --> 00:30:39,559
long relief out of the bullpen, we'll be happy. And

597
00:30:40,279 --> 00:30:42,920
he's just been like undeniable at this point where the

598
00:30:43,000 --> 00:30:45,119
Jays have had no choice but to put him in

599
00:30:45,119 --> 00:30:45,920
the starting rotation.

600
00:30:46,039 --> 00:30:48,319
Speaker 2: So he's been super impressive in that regard.

601
00:30:49,039 --> 00:30:52,680
Speaker 1: I fully agree Kyle Hendricks can still can still get

602
00:30:52,720 --> 00:30:57,960
out tremendous at keeping guys off balance the JS, though

603
00:30:58,000 --> 00:30:59,960
right now, man is anyone.

604
00:30:59,720 --> 00:31:00,720
Speaker 2: Keeping them off balance?

605
00:31:00,799 --> 00:31:01,079
Speaker 3: Right now?

606
00:31:01,079 --> 00:31:04,079
Speaker 1: It feels like they're hitting everything. That being said, I

607
00:31:04,119 --> 00:31:06,839
don't hate like a first five under here. I don't

608
00:31:06,880 --> 00:31:09,160
really want to go full game under in this because

609
00:31:09,359 --> 00:31:12,440
the Blue Jays have had just absolutely cooked through bullpen

610
00:31:12,559 --> 00:31:15,240
arms and I still don't really trust this Angel's bullpen,

611
00:31:15,799 --> 00:31:19,920
but I do trust lower first time through. And Hendrix

612
00:31:20,039 --> 00:31:22,519
is that annoying guy where you can get You might

613
00:31:22,519 --> 00:31:24,480
be able to get him for a three spot early,

614
00:31:25,119 --> 00:31:27,279
but if you can't and you let him settle in,

615
00:31:27,960 --> 00:31:31,000
he'll give you five six good innings. So I'll say

616
00:31:31,039 --> 00:31:33,400
first five under my lean for this one. That's about

617
00:31:33,440 --> 00:31:34,160
all I have in this game.

618
00:31:34,200 --> 00:31:35,599
Speaker 2: Go ahead, Brian, Let yeah.

619
00:31:35,640 --> 00:31:37,079
Speaker 3: I want to touch on the bullpens here. Is the

620
00:31:37,079 --> 00:31:41,440
Angels bullpen's in a lot better shape than Toronto's. Hoffman

621
00:31:41,599 --> 00:31:43,920
has pitched for the last five days. I'm surprised they

622
00:31:43,960 --> 00:31:48,079
actually used him yesterday, and he they have some other

623
00:31:48,079 --> 00:31:50,000
guys that have been used a lot in the bullpen here.

624
00:31:50,319 --> 00:31:52,039
The more I look at it, the more I lean

625
00:31:52,119 --> 00:31:54,839
a little bit with the underdog the road to underdog Angels,

626
00:31:55,039 --> 00:31:58,200
because Toronto is coming off this is the first time

627
00:31:58,279 --> 00:32:00,519
in the history of the Toronto Blue Jays that swept

628
00:32:00,519 --> 00:32:03,799
a four game home series against the Yankees, and not

629
00:32:03,839 --> 00:32:06,720
only that, it put them in first plays. So you've

630
00:32:06,799 --> 00:32:10,119
got to feel if you put your position of the players.

631
00:32:10,400 --> 00:32:12,880
Now they're playing the Angels, which which is a team

632
00:32:12,920 --> 00:32:17,319
that has not been competitive in years, and kind of

633
00:32:17,359 --> 00:32:20,480
like you could kind of see them coming into this game.

634
00:32:20,799 --> 00:32:24,440
You mentioned the Houston situation against Colorado yesterday. I could

635
00:32:24,480 --> 00:32:27,680
see something like that happened. So maybe I'll give give

636
00:32:27,720 --> 00:32:30,160
it another look here on the Angels. Later on in

637
00:32:30,200 --> 00:32:33,119
the day, I'll look more into it. But yeah, this

638
00:32:33,200 --> 00:32:35,559
has got to be a definitely letdown situation for Toronto.

639
00:32:36,240 --> 00:32:39,119
Speaker 1: Brian Lenard, I'll tell you right now, Angels plus one

640
00:32:39,160 --> 00:32:41,400
and a half. If it can't, let's say the people

641
00:32:41,440 --> 00:32:43,200
are in on the Blue Jays and this came down

642
00:32:43,240 --> 00:32:45,440
another ten to fifteen cents, I'm with you. I would

643
00:32:45,559 --> 00:32:48,559
have to consider Angels plus one and a half. Gee

644
00:32:48,599 --> 00:32:51,400
Hurt says Toronto's bullpen I think is a little underrated. Yeah,

645
00:32:51,440 --> 00:32:54,079
you're right, it is. But the problem with Toronto's bullpen

646
00:32:54,559 --> 00:32:58,240
is it's not super deep. And I'll also explain how

647
00:32:58,400 --> 00:33:01,759
like you recently took Eric Lauer out of the bullpen

648
00:33:01,799 --> 00:33:03,319
and made him a starter. He was one of the

649
00:33:03,319 --> 00:33:05,960
guys sort of giving that bullpen depth. So once you

650
00:33:06,000 --> 00:33:08,279
get past Hoffman, I know they just got Garcia back.

651
00:33:09,119 --> 00:33:13,519
Those top two three four arms their bullpen. They are

652
00:33:13,680 --> 00:33:16,799
beatable after those guys. And now you took one of

653
00:33:16,799 --> 00:33:18,680
the length guys out of the bullpen and made him

654
00:33:18,680 --> 00:33:22,519
a starter. So Brian, you're that we might have to

655
00:33:22,519 --> 00:33:24,400
come back to that one that might go in the parlay.

656
00:33:24,599 --> 00:33:25,079
Speaker 3: I don't know.

657
00:33:25,400 --> 00:33:27,319
Speaker 1: I may come right back with Angels plus one and

658
00:33:27,319 --> 00:33:29,240
a half in the parlay. Well, we'll see how the

659
00:33:29,240 --> 00:33:30,960
rest of the show goes. But that's a really good

660
00:33:30,960 --> 00:33:34,200
point TV. Were you gonna say something sorry about that?

661
00:33:34,799 --> 00:33:36,400
Speaker 5: No, we can go to the next one.

662
00:33:38,160 --> 00:33:40,720
Speaker 1: All right, let's go to a couple of people asked

663
00:33:40,720 --> 00:33:43,720
about this one where how did I just lose I

664
00:33:43,759 --> 00:33:47,039
am getting better at starring the comedy, so I don't

665
00:33:47,079 --> 00:33:50,880
lose them. Oh, Michael Golwaki, says Michael Glowaki, Sorry, I

666
00:33:50,880 --> 00:33:54,519
probably pronounced that wrong. Any thoughts on Red's Phillies today?

667
00:33:54,599 --> 00:33:58,680
I believe this is another early game Days slate. We

668
00:33:58,799 --> 00:34:02,240
have the Reds and I lost this on the screen?

669
00:34:02,319 --> 00:34:05,000
Is this Abbot Lizardo? Is my memory serving me correct?

670
00:34:05,000 --> 00:34:08,599
Speaker 2: Here? Brian start us off, Abbot Lazardo, Redsphillies.

671
00:34:08,880 --> 00:34:11,400
Speaker 3: Yeah, a couple left, he's going here, Abbitt Lozardo. The

672
00:34:11,519 --> 00:34:15,159
current line in Philadelphia basically one fifty six in a

673
00:34:15,239 --> 00:34:19,119
total of eight. My first look at this was Andrew

674
00:34:19,199 --> 00:34:24,320
Rabbitt and his He just flummes me his entire career.

675
00:34:24,800 --> 00:34:26,480
It's got I've gotten to the point I talked about

676
00:34:26,519 --> 00:34:30,239
this last time he pitched, that he is just something

677
00:34:30,800 --> 00:34:34,440
in these games that it's not showing up in his numbers,

678
00:34:34,480 --> 00:34:37,559
and he's having a lot of success. He's been very good.

679
00:34:38,800 --> 00:34:43,000
And Lozardo obviously is TV will talk to you. You

680
00:34:43,039 --> 00:34:47,039
don't back against Jesus. But I can't believe I picked

681
00:34:47,039 --> 00:34:53,719
that up from you. But I have pictures here, and

682
00:34:53,800 --> 00:34:56,840
I'm kind of leaning with Cincinnati here. I think there's

683
00:34:56,840 --> 00:34:59,079
a lot of value you're getting him anywhere from one

684
00:34:59,159 --> 00:35:01,719
thirty four to one forty five out there. I think

685
00:35:01,760 --> 00:35:04,440
that there's a little bit of value Philadelphia. Obviously, Harper's

686
00:35:04,480 --> 00:35:06,679
back now, but he's been out for a while. He's

687
00:35:06,679 --> 00:35:08,480
not going to be able to be the typical Harper

688
00:35:08,559 --> 00:35:12,719
coming right off the IL like that, but I like

689
00:35:12,920 --> 00:35:15,320
both of these pitchers. I think it's a total of eight.

690
00:35:15,360 --> 00:35:17,360
It wouldn't surprise me if this is a lower scoring

691
00:35:17,400 --> 00:35:20,639
game than that. You look at Abbott comes in. He's

692
00:35:20,639 --> 00:35:22,159
seven to one on the season. By the way, I'm

693
00:35:22,199 --> 00:35:24,440
not big on the win loss, but hey, he's found

694
00:35:24,440 --> 00:35:26,960
a way to win. One point seventy nine e RA

695
00:35:27,360 --> 00:35:30,199
expected the IRA three point oh five. Yes, he's gotten

696
00:35:30,199 --> 00:35:33,519
a little bit lucky. He went one point out two excellent.

697
00:35:34,360 --> 00:35:36,800
He's a flyball pitcher. That's my only concern in this

698
00:35:36,880 --> 00:35:39,599
game is Philadelphia is a pretty good fly ball hitting

699
00:35:39,679 --> 00:35:43,960
baseball park. For home runs, He's only the seventh percentile

700
00:35:44,000 --> 00:35:47,800
of ground ball rate. That said, he pitches in Cincinnati,

701
00:35:47,840 --> 00:35:51,119
which is probably the biggest home run park in Major

702
00:35:51,199 --> 00:35:55,119
League Baseball. Colorado is more of a single, double triple situation.

703
00:35:55,320 --> 00:35:57,880
So he's learned how to pitch in Cincinnati, he should

704
00:35:57,880 --> 00:36:01,920
be able to pitch in Philadelphia. He's got excellent heart

705
00:36:01,960 --> 00:36:05,679
hit rate ninety first percentile, eighty first percentile, expected batting

706
00:36:05,719 --> 00:36:08,840
average eightieth, and average ice of velocity he's a guy

707
00:36:08,840 --> 00:36:11,800
I'm looking to back if you don't find pitchers as

708
00:36:11,800 --> 00:36:14,079
good as him and this price range as an underdog

709
00:36:14,320 --> 00:36:19,480
very often, and Lozardo has been exactly what we expected

710
00:36:19,519 --> 00:36:23,679
this year four point six ERA, but has expected hera's

711
00:36:23,679 --> 00:36:26,599
three point five to seven. His whip rate designed one

712
00:36:26,599 --> 00:36:30,119
point four to one, but it's mostly from hits, it's

713
00:36:30,119 --> 00:36:33,360
not from walks. He's below league average seven point eight percent.

714
00:36:33,440 --> 00:36:36,119
Walks doesn't have a lot of extension and that's his

715
00:36:36,199 --> 00:36:38,079
only weakness, so he got more time to look at

716
00:36:38,119 --> 00:36:39,719
what he's throwing in there. But he's got a very

717
00:36:39,760 --> 00:36:43,000
good fastball eighty first percentile with for eighty eighty second

718
00:36:43,480 --> 00:36:46,239
i'll strike out rate eightieth. So two very good pitchers

719
00:36:46,239 --> 00:36:50,000
here and in this price range, I'm leaning towards the

720
00:36:50,159 --> 00:36:54,000
under anyway, maybe I play Philadelphia team total longer. Let's

721
00:36:54,000 --> 00:36:57,960
take a look at that total total right now. Philadelphia's

722
00:36:57,960 --> 00:37:01,519
four and a half to the under thirty. That's not bad. Here.

723
00:37:02,840 --> 00:37:06,079
I'm looking at Philadelphia team total under minus one thirty

724
00:37:06,159 --> 00:37:10,199
right now. It's not my play on the parlay, but

725
00:37:10,280 --> 00:37:13,760
it's something that has a little bit of value like Cincinnati,

726
00:37:14,000 --> 00:37:17,119
like the team total under here for Philadelphia.

727
00:37:18,079 --> 00:37:20,960
Speaker 4: So Brian's going to hell because he's betting against Jesus.

728
00:37:21,239 --> 00:37:25,440
So I'll give my analysis now. No, I'm just kidding.

729
00:37:25,559 --> 00:37:30,280
But hayeses Bizard he's a weird He's a kind of

730
00:37:30,280 --> 00:37:34,159
an enigma in my analysis because on the one hand,

731
00:37:34,280 --> 00:37:37,000
I have him ranked the number eleven picture out of

732
00:37:37,199 --> 00:37:40,559
all pictures in MLB. On the other hand, though, when

733
00:37:40,599 --> 00:37:47,199
I break down his expected results, he ranks quite low. Actually,

734
00:37:47,239 --> 00:37:49,440
I got him ranked eighteen on a curve of thirty.

735
00:37:49,559 --> 00:37:53,519
So how do I, you know, how do I bring

736
00:37:53,559 --> 00:37:56,519
that together? How do I analyze that?

737
00:37:56,679 --> 00:37:57,119
Speaker 5: I don't know.

738
00:37:57,199 --> 00:37:59,400
Speaker 4: He's an enigma, is all I can say. I got

739
00:37:59,400 --> 00:38:02,000
a Abitt ranked nine out of thirty. He's pretty good,

740
00:38:02,519 --> 00:38:05,880
and he doesn't walk anyone. He's the opposite of a

741
00:38:05,960 --> 00:38:11,199
chronic walker. So the problem is the Reds bullpen is poor.

742
00:38:11,320 --> 00:38:16,519
They're playing poor, poorly right now. Philadelphia's bullpen not much better.

743
00:38:16,840 --> 00:38:20,119
So I don't trust either one of these bullpens. And

744
00:38:20,719 --> 00:38:24,760
both clubs are hitting exactly at sixteen out of thirty

745
00:38:25,320 --> 00:38:27,800
in current form. So I'm not going to play the game.

746
00:38:27,800 --> 00:38:30,480
But if I did, I think Cincinnati has a slight

747
00:38:30,519 --> 00:38:33,840
advantage because of the starting pitching. Yes, I'm saying bad

748
00:38:33,920 --> 00:38:39,159
things about Jesus, but I think Cincinnati might have an

749
00:38:39,159 --> 00:38:42,519
advantage here. I wouldn't argue with Brian's Philly team total ender,

750
00:38:42,639 --> 00:38:43,559
but I'm not playing it.

751
00:38:45,519 --> 00:38:45,920
Speaker 3: I will.

752
00:38:46,719 --> 00:38:50,800
Speaker 1: I'll definitely sort of second that opinion. I like the

753
00:38:50,840 --> 00:38:53,760
full game under here. I've kind of said throughout the year,

754
00:38:53,800 --> 00:38:58,159
I feel like this Philly lineup is more optimal against

755
00:38:58,239 --> 00:39:01,000
right handed pitching. They're up against a very very good

756
00:39:01,119 --> 00:39:04,199
lefty here, so that's you know, that's something that I

757
00:39:04,239 --> 00:39:07,440
think sort of bodes well for the under TV. You

758
00:39:07,800 --> 00:39:11,519
mentioned the Reds bullpen, and it's definitely, you know, notable,

759
00:39:11,800 --> 00:39:13,559
but they do come off a day off, so they

760
00:39:13,920 --> 00:39:17,199
kind of have their better arms are lined up. And

761
00:39:17,239 --> 00:39:20,400
then you know, Lizardo is still a guy. I mean,

762
00:39:21,360 --> 00:39:24,360
how skewed are his numbers right now from those two

763
00:39:24,440 --> 00:39:28,440
starts where you given twenty earned runs, because really since then,

764
00:39:28,880 --> 00:39:31,440
he put six and two thirds of shutout ball against

765
00:39:31,480 --> 00:39:35,159
the Mets. Last time out, a respectable five innings against

766
00:39:35,159 --> 00:39:38,360
the Braves wasn't his best effort. He had six innings

767
00:39:38,400 --> 00:39:40,559
of shut out ball with ten strikeouts against the Cubs.

768
00:39:40,599 --> 00:39:44,280
So he's a guy where it's just like he's been

769
00:39:44,320 --> 00:39:47,320
around for a long time. We know he's very solid

770
00:39:47,519 --> 00:39:51,079
major League baseball, you know, top notch pitcher, number one,

771
00:39:51,159 --> 00:39:54,440
number two in your rotation. And he's got in his

772
00:39:54,679 --> 00:39:57,079
full season numbers, which the books do a lot of

773
00:39:57,079 --> 00:39:59,400
their projections off of and based up off of. He

774
00:39:59,519 --> 00:40:02,800
has two starts where he gave up twenty earned runs

775
00:40:02,840 --> 00:40:06,480
like go find go find a month in Lozardo's career

776
00:40:07,320 --> 00:40:09,679
where he's given up more than twenty earned runs in

777
00:40:09,719 --> 00:40:12,199
a month like that. That would be hard to find

778
00:40:12,519 --> 00:40:14,880
over the course of his career. He did it in

779
00:40:14,960 --> 00:40:18,119
two starts. It's such an outlier that I think it's

780
00:40:18,159 --> 00:40:19,760
really skewed the numbers on him.

781
00:40:19,920 --> 00:40:20,159
Speaker 3: Now.

782
00:40:20,280 --> 00:40:22,239
Speaker 1: I don't want to go against the Reds here because

783
00:40:22,239 --> 00:40:25,519
I have for reasons to like the Reds as well,

784
00:40:25,599 --> 00:40:27,719
but I just think it's kind of skewed the numbers

785
00:40:27,719 --> 00:40:30,239
to the point where Lozardo is a little bit inflated.

786
00:40:30,280 --> 00:40:31,760
Speaker 2: You know, they're a little bit inflated.

787
00:40:31,960 --> 00:40:34,000
Speaker 1: And if I know Abbott is a guy that I like,

788
00:40:34,360 --> 00:40:37,079
I'm getting him against a team that lines up worse

789
00:40:37,079 --> 00:40:38,199
against left handed pitching.

790
00:40:38,360 --> 00:40:40,159
Speaker 2: How would I'm not like a full game under there?

791
00:40:40,159 --> 00:40:40,960
So I agree with Brian.

792
00:40:41,000 --> 00:40:43,840
Speaker 5: Go ahead, Brian, that's probably why my numbers are so skewed.

793
00:40:44,719 --> 00:40:48,119
Speaker 3: Yeah, could could be, could beg Yeah, yeah, yeah, I

794
00:40:48,480 --> 00:40:55,880
agree the the Phillies against lefties since June first have

795
00:40:55,920 --> 00:41:00,639
a seventy four WRC plus they struggled against lefties and

796
00:41:00,719 --> 00:41:02,159
both of the bull but you mentioned the one. Both

797
00:41:02,280 --> 00:41:04,719
both both teams had yesterday off, so both bullpens are

798
00:41:04,719 --> 00:41:08,119
in pretty good shape here. So uh yeah, either, I

799
00:41:08,119 --> 00:41:10,920
think we got some good qualifying bats here. At least

800
00:41:10,960 --> 00:41:13,760
in my opinion, We've got the under in the entire game.

801
00:41:13,800 --> 00:41:17,639
I would agree with the Philadelphia team total under and

802
00:41:17,760 --> 00:41:20,800
uh also the Reds plus money. So I think that's

803
00:41:20,840 --> 00:41:22,920
a pretty good three ways to attack this game.

804
00:41:23,599 --> 00:41:24,000
Speaker 2: For sure.

805
00:41:24,519 --> 00:41:28,519
Speaker 1: I would agree with that. Let's let's go to to Uh,

806
00:41:28,599 --> 00:41:30,920
this is a good one. Gotta talk about this one.

807
00:41:30,960 --> 00:41:34,519
Let's go to Arius. He said, you guys should hit

808
00:41:34,599 --> 00:41:38,239
the Degen Special Rockies, White Sox. Yeah, that is the

809
00:41:38,639 --> 00:41:43,280
Degen Special, And I gotta be honest, I I for sure.

810
00:41:43,400 --> 00:41:46,119
So everyone's probably like White Sox just Triggs five percenter,

811
00:41:46,159 --> 00:41:49,559
it's not. I will say it was one that I

812
00:41:49,800 --> 00:41:53,760
very much had on my radar, Ryan Leonard, I I

813
00:41:54,000 --> 00:41:56,360
like the White Sox here, but I just don't know

814
00:41:56,400 --> 00:42:01,079
if I can. Can I lay my minus won twenty

815
00:42:01,079 --> 00:42:03,800
five or minus one twenty minus one twenty five on

816
00:42:03,840 --> 00:42:07,960
the road with the Chicago White Sox. I don't know,

817
00:42:08,440 --> 00:42:10,119
but I do think they're the right side. If you're

818
00:42:10,119 --> 00:42:12,239
just telling me to pick the winner, I do think

819
00:42:12,280 --> 00:42:14,159
they're the right side. So I'll go to you White

820
00:42:14,159 --> 00:42:16,960
Sox Rockies in the game that no one wants to watch.

821
00:42:16,719 --> 00:42:19,840
Speaker 3: Today, I was hoping we would go over this game

822
00:42:19,880 --> 00:42:23,599
because I too looked at this game and I said,

823
00:42:23,679 --> 00:42:26,440
Chicago White Sox, it's team we like. They're playing a

824
00:42:26,480 --> 00:42:30,039
better ball and they go to Colorado in the Colorado

825
00:42:30,079 --> 00:42:33,800
off of a win. Howser for the White Sox has

826
00:42:33,840 --> 00:42:37,199
been tremendous, don't I don't know if I buy into

827
00:42:37,239 --> 00:42:39,360
it for the full season, but he's having a hell

828
00:42:39,400 --> 00:42:41,559
of a year for them. Yeah, they're about in the

829
00:42:41,599 --> 00:42:45,199
one twenty to one twenty five range and the total

830
00:42:45,280 --> 00:42:49,480
is eleven to the over, and I would agree the

831
00:42:49,519 --> 00:42:51,639
White Sox would be the team that I would look

832
00:42:51,679 --> 00:42:56,159
to play in this game. Howser and Censtelo sense to

833
00:42:56,199 --> 00:42:59,920
tellia whatever you pronounce it, he's not done well this year.

834
00:43:00,519 --> 00:43:04,199
Adrianhauser comes in one point nine oh ERA expected DRA

835
00:43:04,360 --> 00:43:06,960
three point six four. Yes, he's gotten lucky and the

836
00:43:07,000 --> 00:43:10,880
well beaten negative aggression one point one seven whip. It's

837
00:43:10,920 --> 00:43:14,440
got great extension eighty seven percentile, barrel rate seventy six,

838
00:43:14,559 --> 00:43:17,639
ground bowl rate seventieth, so he doesn't give up a

839
00:43:17,639 --> 00:43:21,280
lot of fly balls. Although this this stadium is more

840
00:43:21,360 --> 00:43:23,960
for as I mentioned, doubles and triples than in singles

841
00:43:24,000 --> 00:43:26,440
than it is for home runs. That's nice to see.

842
00:43:27,320 --> 00:43:29,719
His whifth rate is not great. He's in the thirteenth percentile,

843
00:43:29,800 --> 00:43:33,119
straight got rate twenty first percentile, so he's gonna be

844
00:43:33,400 --> 00:43:35,199
there's gonna be a lot of balls in play when

845
00:43:35,199 --> 00:43:37,719
he pitches, and this is probably not a very good

846
00:43:38,519 --> 00:43:42,000
ballpark for somebody that does that. So's to tell you.

847
00:43:42,559 --> 00:43:45,360
Comes in six point six y nine ERA after a

848
00:43:45,440 --> 00:43:47,920
six point four excuse me, a six point five seven

849
00:43:47,960 --> 00:43:52,360
e RA last year, expected DRA six point seven five

850
00:43:52,639 --> 00:43:55,800
after expected DRA last year of nine point zero three

851
00:43:55,880 --> 00:43:58,800
spected DRA the year before that ten point six'. Eight

852
00:43:59,440 --> 00:44:01,960
i've said this all season, long AND i may have

853
00:44:01,960 --> 00:44:04,320
misspoken on one of my rideps yesterday WHEN i talked

854
00:44:04,320 --> 00:44:07,119
about a pitcher being the worst picture in baseball, Sense

855
00:44:07,119 --> 00:44:11,639
italia is the worst picture in. Baseball strikeout rate first,

856
00:44:11,639 --> 00:44:16,440
percentale expected, era first, percentle expected batting average first, Percentile

857
00:44:16,679 --> 00:44:20,559
chase right, third with rate. Third he does nothing well

858
00:44:20,599 --> 00:44:23,880
except for he's in the sixty ninth percentile in ground ball.

859
00:44:23,960 --> 00:44:27,280
Rate and AS i pointed, out this is not home

860
00:44:27,360 --> 00:44:28,920
runs or not what you have to worry about In.

861
00:44:28,960 --> 00:44:31,920
Colorado it's spreading that ball. Around it's a, huge huge.

862
00:44:31,960 --> 00:44:35,159
Outfield so we've got two guys that can be hit,

863
00:44:35,199 --> 00:44:37,840
here which is why the number is at. Eleven BUT

864
00:44:38,320 --> 00:44:40,719
i think The White sox right, now with the starting

865
00:44:40,719 --> 00:44:43,519
pitcher advantage they, have you rarely are you going to

866
00:44:43,559 --> 00:44:46,440
see starting a pitcher. Advantage AND i never thought i'd

867
00:44:46,480 --> 00:44:50,360
say this With Adrian hauser being that much better than

868
00:44:50,400 --> 00:44:52,480
any pitcher In Major league. Baseball but this, YEAR i

869
00:44:52,519 --> 00:44:54,679
don't know what he's. DONE i haven't seen a lot

870
00:44:54,719 --> 00:44:56,519
of write. UPS i follow a lot of guys who

871
00:44:56,679 --> 00:45:00,159
really follow pitching, mechanics and they do and they do

872
00:45:00,199 --> 00:45:02,760
a lot, breakdown break down the videos and. EVERYTHING i

873
00:45:02,760 --> 00:45:04,480
haven't seen a lot about him out, there SO i

874
00:45:04,519 --> 00:45:06,320
think it must be as puzzled AS i am about.

875
00:45:06,360 --> 00:45:09,159
It but to see The White sox as a road,

876
00:45:09,239 --> 00:45:12,400
favorite And i've seen. This i've been doing this forty five.

877
00:45:12,480 --> 00:45:15,199
Years i've seen this many times where you look at the,

878
00:45:15,280 --> 00:45:18,239
line you, go why is this team a road? Favorite

879
00:45:18,800 --> 00:45:21,480
usually there's a reason why they're the road. FAVORITE i

880
00:45:21,559 --> 00:45:22,360
like The White sox in this.

881
00:45:22,400 --> 00:45:25,519
Speaker 5: Game uh?

882
00:45:25,599 --> 00:45:30,760
Speaker 4: Yeah so, yeah what do we call this? Game two

883
00:45:30,760 --> 00:45:34,440
worst teams IN? Mlb, ACTUALLY i don't think The White

884
00:45:34,480 --> 00:45:36,800
sox are one of the two worst teams IN. Mlb,

885
00:45:36,920 --> 00:45:39,159
ACTUALLY i think The guardians are worse than The White

886
00:45:39,159 --> 00:45:42,719
sox in my. Opinion Sorry, brian but they're Playing they're

887
00:45:42,760 --> 00:45:46,000
playing like, it AND i think The twins are. ARE

888
00:45:46,239 --> 00:45:50,119
i think The White sox could give The twins competition

889
00:45:50,280 --> 00:45:53,159
for being the worst team as, well or the second worst,

890
00:45:53,199 --> 00:45:58,800
team shall we. Say but looking at this, game uh,

891
00:45:59,000 --> 00:46:01,280
YEAH i agree with, You. Brian sinstel is not very.

892
00:46:01,320 --> 00:46:06,079
Good dolanders not very good either. Man they're just hurting

893
00:46:06,239 --> 00:46:10,840
everywhere except the. Bullpen they're bullpen's playing quite. Well, actually

894
00:46:10,840 --> 00:46:14,440
both of these teams have pretty decent. Bullpens AND i

895
00:46:14,440 --> 00:46:16,960
Got howser ranked in the top one third of starting.

896
00:46:17,000 --> 00:46:19,119
PITCHERS i don't think the sample size is good enough

897
00:46:19,119 --> 00:46:22,760
to actually rely on that. Ranking but, yeah sens of

898
00:46:22,800 --> 00:46:24,559
TEL i got him ranked twenty nine out of thirty

899
00:46:24,559 --> 00:46:26,400
on a curve at, Thirty so, yeah he's close to.

900
00:46:26,360 --> 00:46:26,920
Speaker 3: The bottom of the.

901
00:46:26,920 --> 00:46:33,280
Speaker 4: Barrel neither team can hit very, well and both bullpens

902
00:46:33,320 --> 00:46:36,840
are playing really. Well so if, ANYTHING i know this sounds,

903
00:46:36,880 --> 00:46:42,320
weird but an under perhaps In. Colorado, Wow i'm not

904
00:46:42,320 --> 00:46:44,639
going to play this. Game, SORRY i just wanted to

905
00:46:44,639 --> 00:46:45,199
give you guys my.

906
00:46:45,280 --> 00:46:48,559
Speaker 5: Rankings.

907
00:46:49,760 --> 00:46:52,400
Speaker 1: LISTEN i picked something up on a on A TRIPLE

908
00:46:52,440 --> 00:46:54,679
a broadcast earlier this year THAT i think is super

909
00:46:54,679 --> 00:46:58,119
interesting in regards To Adrian. Hawser SO i was watching

910
00:46:58,159 --> 00:47:00,559
a Round rock. Game Adrian hawser part of the year

911
00:47:00,559 --> 00:47:03,440
in The rangers. Organization he pitched for For TRIPLE A Round,

912
00:47:03,559 --> 00:47:07,599
rock and one thing led to. Another, sometimes so sometimes

913
00:47:07,639 --> 00:47:11,480
for these these forty man Roster TRIPLE a, guys sometimes

914
00:47:11,480 --> 00:47:12,320
they have to release.

915
00:47:12,360 --> 00:47:14,440
Speaker 2: Guys it's just they run out of, options they run

916
00:47:14,440 --> 00:47:16,400
out a. Room it's it's just the nature of the.

917
00:47:16,440 --> 00:47:20,400
Speaker 1: Beast and and sometimes these veteran type, guys these journeymen

918
00:47:21,519 --> 00:47:24,920
type guys just get released based on it's almost like

919
00:47:24,920 --> 00:47:29,920
a like, logistics not not, performance based on The Round rock.

920
00:47:29,960 --> 00:47:32,159
Broadcast they were talking to the coach before the game

921
00:47:32,679 --> 00:47:36,360
and this was So Adrian howser through through a complete.

922
00:47:36,400 --> 00:47:39,079
GAME i think you had eight and two thirds At Round,

923
00:47:39,119 --> 00:47:41,960
rock like shutout ball against The Oklahoma city, comments who

924
00:47:42,000 --> 00:47:44,679
are The Dodgers TRIPLE a team who haven't Had and

925
00:47:44,760 --> 00:47:46,880
even at the, time this was still when like high

926
00:47:46,880 --> 00:47:49,760
Song kim was in that. Lineup, Uh dalton, RUSHING i

927
00:47:49,760 --> 00:47:52,119
mean that's a load in TRIPLE a. Lineup and the

928
00:47:52,159 --> 00:47:55,880
coach made a comment like he couldn't he we wish

929
00:47:55,920 --> 00:47:58,199
he we held he held off on the complete game

930
00:47:58,239 --> 00:48:01,920
shutout until like next week because we really wanted him,

931
00:48:01,960 --> 00:48:05,679
back and so they had to release him for a you,

932
00:48:05,679 --> 00:48:09,519
know reasons probably that weren't performance, related and like the

933
00:48:09,559 --> 00:48:12,039
next day The White sox signed him The. Rangers who

934
00:48:12,079 --> 00:48:16,320
you got to remember The rangers organization is they're, pitching starting.

935
00:48:16,320 --> 00:48:18,599
Pitching what are they top? Five you, know Put tom

936
00:48:18,719 --> 00:48:20,639
three in the league this year with starting. Pitching they've

937
00:48:20,679 --> 00:48:23,920
been very good at evaluating starting. Pitchers they were like

938
00:48:24,400 --> 00:48:27,719
very disappointed that he didn't clear waivers or whatever it.

939
00:48:27,840 --> 00:48:29,639
Is and Maybe brian can speak to the process a

940
00:48:29,679 --> 00:48:33,039
little bit, more but he didn't clear the thirty team

941
00:48:33,119 --> 00:48:35,280
because the other twenty nine teams get a crack at

942
00:48:35,360 --> 00:48:37,119
him before you can then go and re sign.

943
00:48:37,199 --> 00:48:38,199
Speaker 2: HIM i think is how it.

944
00:48:38,239 --> 00:48:41,079
Speaker 1: Works The White sox grabbed, him AND i know it

945
00:48:41,119 --> 00:48:43,360
was appealing For howser because he's a guy that was

946
00:48:43,599 --> 00:48:45,960
that was In TRIPLE a with The. Rangers because he

947
00:48:45,960 --> 00:48:47,519
wants to be a starting. Pitcher he doesn't want to

948
00:48:47,519 --> 00:48:49,760
pitch out of the. Bullpen he thinks his stuff probably

949
00:48:49,760 --> 00:48:53,079
plays better as a, starter and SO i think for,

950
00:48:53,199 --> 00:48:56,760
him he's loving the fact that he's In chicago getting

951
00:48:56,760 --> 00:48:57,440
to pitch every fifth.

952
00:48:57,519 --> 00:48:58,599
Speaker 2: Day he's really been.

953
00:48:58,639 --> 00:49:01,480
Speaker 1: Fantastic and you have Another orger organization that's been, very

954
00:49:01,519 --> 00:49:04,480
very good at evaluating starting pitching that was, saying, damn

955
00:49:04,760 --> 00:49:07,000
we really didn't want to give him. Up that's ALL

956
00:49:07,000 --> 00:49:09,679
i need to know About Adrian. Hauser his fastball command

957
00:49:09,760 --> 00:49:12,400
is really, good really. IMPROVED i will be using The

958
00:49:12,400 --> 00:49:14,360
White sox for my parlay. LEG i don't know IF

959
00:49:14,360 --> 00:49:17,000
i can stomach it from a straight that standpoint at the,

960
00:49:17,039 --> 00:49:19,639
price because it still is The White. Sox they're still

961
00:49:19,679 --> 00:49:22,199
on the. Road but for the PARLAY i think it's pretty.

962
00:49:22,199 --> 00:49:23,880
Good So i'll go To Brian leonard for a follow,

963
00:49:23,960 --> 00:49:25,519
up and he's gonna give me the odds on this.

964
00:49:25,639 --> 00:49:28,960
Speaker 3: Game, Yeah Adrian hauser is in his ninth season In

965
00:49:29,039 --> 00:49:32,880
Major league. Baseball he's got one hundred and fifty nine

966
00:49:32,920 --> 00:49:36,440
games basically six hundred and fifty one innings The Major League.

967
00:49:36,440 --> 00:49:39,199
Baseball when you have a guy like that in the

968
00:49:39,239 --> 00:49:42,599
minors and he's never shown this ability in the. Past

969
00:49:43,159 --> 00:49:47,239
his CAREER era is four point zero, six not, bad not,

970
00:49:47,400 --> 00:49:50,360
bad but he's never been one of those really upside.

971
00:49:50,360 --> 00:49:54,039
Guys and when you have guys in the, miners you

972
00:49:54,199 --> 00:49:56,800
want to bring up the better, prospects the guys that

973
00:49:56,840 --> 00:49:59,719
have a better. FUTURE a lot of teams feel that

974
00:50:00,039 --> 00:50:02,400
he's been around long. Enough we've seen what we can

975
00:50:02,440 --> 00:50:06,280
see out Of, hauser and that's why they had to

976
00:50:06,320 --> 00:50:09,440
let him. Go when you take a look At colorado

977
00:50:09,480 --> 00:50:12,719
on the, season they are four and seventeen on the,

978
00:50:12,800 --> 00:50:15,800
road or excuse, me four and seventeen against The American.

979
00:50:15,880 --> 00:50:18,280
League they have not played well against The American. League

980
00:50:18,280 --> 00:50:20,760
they haven't played well against just a bout. Anybody but

981
00:50:21,000 --> 00:50:23,599
if you look at these teams and you say they're

982
00:50:23,679 --> 00:50:27,280
closer than The rockies, are the worst team In. Baseball

983
00:50:27,679 --> 00:50:29,840
and if you say The White sox are next, worst that's.

984
00:50:29,920 --> 00:50:33,639
Fine but on the season and run, differential The White

985
00:50:33,639 --> 00:50:38,039
socks are minus, ninety which is twenty worse than The

986
00:50:38,159 --> 00:50:41,199
marlins and twenty two worst than The. Nationals so they're

987
00:50:41,239 --> 00:50:44,840
very in the same similar. Area but you find The

988
00:50:44,840 --> 00:50:48,920
Colorado rockies minus two hundred and twenty, three there is

989
00:50:49,000 --> 00:50:51,960
a big. Differential they may be twenty nine to thirty

990
00:50:51,960 --> 00:50:55,199
In Major League baseball in, strength but the difference between

991
00:50:55,199 --> 00:50:59,519
twenty nine and thirty is very. Pronounced it's sort of,

992
00:50:59,559 --> 00:51:01,320
like you, know you get a team In Major league

993
00:51:01,320 --> 00:51:03,079
like The dodgers would be number one In Major League,

994
00:51:03,079 --> 00:51:05,559
baseball and then you've got a drop off after. That

995
00:51:06,079 --> 00:51:08,239
and that's what we see at the bottom of these standings.

996
00:51:08,239 --> 00:51:10,400
Here And, YEAH i like The White. SOX i totally

997
00:51:10,480 --> 00:51:13,559
agree with. You this is a time if you're going

998
00:51:13,599 --> 00:51:15,559
to play The White, sox you don't need that plus

999
00:51:15,599 --> 00:51:17,360
one and a. HALF i think they win the game straight. Up.

1000
00:51:18,480 --> 00:51:21,039
Speaker 1: Yep what is what's the best money line or what's

1001
00:51:21,079 --> 00:51:23,639
the market price on this right now for the?

1002
00:51:23,679 --> 00:51:24,079
Speaker 2: Parlay?

1003
00:51:24,079 --> 00:51:28,679
Speaker 3: Brian, yeah currently The White sox or minus one twenty.

1004
00:51:28,679 --> 00:51:29,840
THREE i would, say.

1005
00:51:29,960 --> 00:51:31,880
Speaker 2: All, right let's go minus one twenty.

1006
00:51:31,920 --> 00:51:35,480
Speaker 1: Three first parlay leg locked, In we'll be locking in.

1007
00:51:35,679 --> 00:51:39,599
Others we've got ten minutes to. Go SO i was

1008
00:51:39,639 --> 00:51:41,800
gonna go to the chat for a, game BUT i

1009
00:51:41,880 --> 00:51:43,960
want to see do either of you guys know what

1010
00:51:44,000 --> 00:51:46,400
your parlay leg is yet that you want to just

1011
00:51:46,519 --> 00:51:48,639
lock it? In is it a game we've already talked

1012
00:51:48,639 --> 00:51:50,400
about or do you want To brian? Learn do you

1013
00:51:50,480 --> 00:51:51,400
do pose a game?

1014
00:51:51,440 --> 00:51:53,280
Speaker 5: Here it's not a game we talked.

1015
00:51:53,280 --> 00:51:56,000
Speaker 4: About, adam you didn't even crack a smile at my comment,

1016
00:51:56,039 --> 00:51:57,079
There come, on, man.

1017
00:51:58,400 --> 00:51:59,039
Speaker 2: To be honest with.

1018
00:51:59,119 --> 00:51:59,559
Speaker 3: You Tokyo.

1019
00:51:59,599 --> 00:52:04,000
Speaker 1: BRANDON i can't really so the way the street, LAST

1020
00:52:04,800 --> 00:52:07,519
i can't really see it because WHEN i do the,

1021
00:52:07,559 --> 00:52:09,639
SHOW i don't wear my. GLASSES i don't want to

1022
00:52:09,679 --> 00:52:13,440
wear my glasses on, air and so like the screen

1023
00:52:13,639 --> 00:52:14,800
THAT i get back.

1024
00:52:14,599 --> 00:52:18,079
Speaker 2: And feed is is is the writing's very.

1025
00:52:18,079 --> 00:52:20,320
Speaker 1: SMALL i can only really see see the comments on

1026
00:52:20,320 --> 00:52:22,559
the right hand, side and there's so many of them

1027
00:52:22,599 --> 00:52:25,440
that they just they just go. Away so anyway we

1028
00:52:25,480 --> 00:52:27,519
have we we only have eight minutes, left so you

1029
00:52:27,559 --> 00:52:28,000
need to give.

1030
00:52:28,000 --> 00:52:29,639
Speaker 2: Them we gotta do parlay legs and talk.

1031
00:52:29,679 --> 00:52:34,400
Speaker 4: Baseball can we do the the The rays. Game, then, uh.

1032
00:52:35,559 --> 00:52:38,880
Speaker 1: Because so that's What Queen's Queen, rocks that's ONE i had.

1033
00:52:38,920 --> 00:52:41,400
Started Queen rocks thirteen forty one, says can we cover

1034
00:52:41,480 --> 00:52:43,800
The Tampa bay? Game so let's Talk Tampa bay and

1035
00:52:44,880 --> 00:52:46,880
you can start us, off and then we'll go To brian.

1036
00:52:46,800 --> 00:52:51,320
Speaker 5: Go the other direction, Here brian go, first, Please i'll Be.

1037
00:52:51,360 --> 00:52:56,840
Speaker 3: I'll then, Uh lttel Against paddick line Is minnesota at

1038
00:52:56,840 --> 00:53:00,960
home minus basically one thirteen uh nine and a half

1039
00:53:01,000 --> 00:53:05,880
to the. Over, Yeah littel's been a guy who's been

1040
00:53:05,960 --> 00:53:09,159
very good for. Them paddock has been up and very

1041
00:53:09,239 --> 00:53:12,519
up and down h sometimes he's been very. Good he

1042
00:53:12,559 --> 00:53:15,800
doesn't walk. Anybody he's a six point three walk, right

1043
00:53:15,800 --> 00:53:18,239
Whereas littel's at three point. One SO i may understand

1044
00:53:18,639 --> 00:53:21,480
understand where brand is going out. Here but two guys

1045
00:53:21,519 --> 00:53:23,599
that don't put a lot of betters on on base

1046
00:53:23,679 --> 00:53:28,199
because of the. Walk two guys that usually you're you're,

1047
00:53:28,639 --> 00:53:32,159
better you're general public are not looking to bet. ON

1048
00:53:34,199 --> 00:53:36,360
i don't have anything on the, game BUT i THINK

1049
00:53:36,400 --> 00:53:37,440
i can figure out where you're.

1050
00:53:37,440 --> 00:53:41,039
Speaker 5: Going you got. It actually my.

1051
00:53:41,159 --> 00:53:45,400
Speaker 4: Numbers you, know if you Take paddock and you project

1052
00:53:45,440 --> 00:53:51,440
his expected numbers. Man he he's like in sensateel. Territory,

1053
00:53:51,480 --> 00:53:54,599
man his numbers are horrible if you project him. OUT

1054
00:53:55,880 --> 00:53:58,960
i got littel as far as his projections are, concerned

1055
00:53:59,000 --> 00:54:01,920
pretty pretty, average like right around fifteen out of thirty

1056
00:54:01,920 --> 00:54:05,039
on a curve of. Thirty bullpen's. Comparable but the big

1057
00:54:05,079 --> 00:54:08,480
difference here is going to be the. LINEUPS i Think

1058
00:54:08,559 --> 00:54:12,800
minnesota is having trouble producing runs Where Tampa bay is,

1059
00:54:12,840 --> 00:54:16,519
not AND i likely tell he let me down a

1060
00:54:16,559 --> 00:54:20,719
couple times this season earlier in the, season but if

1061
00:54:20,719 --> 00:54:23,880
you look at how he's performed, recently pretty darn. Good

1062
00:54:23,920 --> 00:54:26,840
he's given up one. One he had a rough patch

1063
00:54:26,880 --> 00:54:28,920
there against The orioles In Red sox where he gave

1064
00:54:29,000 --> 00:54:32,800
up three and, Four but besides that three and, four

1065
00:54:32,840 --> 00:54:35,920
he's given up one or less earned runs in three.

1066
00:54:35,960 --> 00:54:39,320
Speaker 5: Starts pretty good to. Me looks good to.

1067
00:54:39,360 --> 00:54:44,559
Speaker 4: Me and if you look at how he's done against The,

1068
00:54:44,719 --> 00:54:48,760
twins he's done pretty good two thirty ninety against in

1069
00:54:48,800 --> 00:54:49,679
the seven forty oh.

1070
00:54:49,719 --> 00:54:52,840
Speaker 5: Ps not, great but not. BAD i like the race.

1071
00:54:52,880 --> 00:54:55,639
Speaker 4: HERE i think they're just on a, roll AND i

1072
00:54:55,679 --> 00:54:59,280
Think minnesota is one of the worst teams IN mlb right.

1073
00:54:59,320 --> 00:55:01,199
NOW i don't think talent wise they're one of the,

1074
00:55:01,199 --> 00:55:04,360
worst but they're performing poorly right, now and it takes

1075
00:55:05,239 --> 00:55:07,519
a collective team to get out of a little quagmar

1076
00:55:07,639 --> 00:55:10,159
like that takes a little, time like we saw The

1077
00:55:10,199 --> 00:55:12,599
mets finally get out of their. QUAGMIRE i don't know

1078
00:55:12,639 --> 00:55:16,000
if they're out, yet but they could. Be Uh, SO

1079
00:55:16,159 --> 00:55:17,599
i like the race. HERE i don't know what the

1080
00:55:17,599 --> 00:55:19,159
line is, though off the top of my.

1081
00:55:19,199 --> 00:55:23,119
Speaker 3: Head, well for there was a comment in yesterday show, saying,

1082
00:55:23,559 --> 00:55:28,400
damn Doesn't Tokyo brannon ever play an. Underdog you're getting

1083
00:55:28,400 --> 00:55:30,280
on a plus one, Hundred so there's a year hundred.

1084
00:55:30,280 --> 00:55:30,760
Speaker 2: Dog there you.

1085
00:55:30,800 --> 00:55:35,519
Speaker 3: Go you made the board underdog play.

1086
00:55:34,960 --> 00:55:36,199
Speaker 5: Yesterday was plus one.

1087
00:55:36,360 --> 00:55:40,039
Speaker 3: Fifteen, WELL i think he's talking About.

1088
00:55:40,559 --> 00:55:45,239
Speaker 5: Okay we don't have to do underdogs or in parlays though.

1089
00:55:45,239 --> 00:55:47,800
Speaker 2: Right now that's that's. True i'm with you, THERE.

1090
00:55:47,880 --> 00:55:50,000
Speaker 1: Tv i'm always going to be a little bit more

1091
00:55:50,880 --> 00:55:53,400
liberal with the What i'll lay for a for a

1092
00:55:53,440 --> 00:55:55,199
sort of best. Bet when we're putting together a three,

1093
00:55:55,239 --> 00:55:57,679
teamer that's always going to be plus. Money i'm actually

1094
00:55:57,800 --> 00:55:59,760
very surprised The raiser are an underdog. HERE i kind

1095
00:55:59,760 --> 00:56:01,519
of make them the. FAVORITE i think they'll probably go

1096
00:56:01,639 --> 00:56:03,320
off the favorite AFTER.

1097
00:56:03,440 --> 00:56:04,000
Speaker 2: Tv you're not.

1098
00:56:04,079 --> 00:56:06,719
Speaker 1: Wrong The twins. Suck like this team Just i'll say.

1099
00:56:06,719 --> 00:56:09,440
IT i don't think they're any. GOOD i think they

1100
00:56:09,800 --> 00:56:12,199
if you, remember do you remember how bad they were

1101
00:56:12,199 --> 00:56:14,400
In april and then they kind of had that stretch

1102
00:56:14,400 --> 00:56:16,960
where they like caught fire and now they're just that

1103
00:56:17,000 --> 00:56:19,639
same bad team that they. Were there's there's very little

1104
00:56:19,679 --> 00:56:23,840
appeal to this. Team Chris, PADDOCK i can't STAND i

1105
00:56:24,000 --> 00:56:26,039
AND i GOT i got a vent for a second

1106
00:56:26,079 --> 00:56:29,360
BECAUSE i was the Biggest Chris paddock hater out of the.

1107
00:56:29,400 --> 00:56:32,159
GATE i THINK i cashed it once with him and

1108
00:56:32,480 --> 00:56:34,320
THEN i kind of let it go and he he

1109
00:56:34,360 --> 00:56:37,679
went on this like obnoxious run to the point where

1110
00:56:38,079 --> 00:56:40,039
there was a spot WHERE i really wanted to fade

1111
00:56:40,039 --> 00:56:43,039
The astros BECAUSE i still think The astros are a good,

1112
00:56:43,079 --> 00:56:46,400
feed AND i had to do it that the spot came.

1113
00:56:46,480 --> 00:56:47,320
Speaker 2: UP i wanted to fade The.

1114
00:56:47,320 --> 00:56:49,800
Speaker 1: ASTROS i wanted to Fade Colton, gordon AND i chose

1115
00:56:49,840 --> 00:56:52,079
to do it With Chris, paddock who went on to

1116
00:56:52,119 --> 00:56:54,000
give up nine runs on twelve hits in that.

1117
00:56:54,039 --> 00:56:56,800
Speaker 2: Start and it's just like that's Where i'm at on,

1118
00:56:56,880 --> 00:56:57,159
HIM i.

1119
00:56:57,199 --> 00:56:59,840
Speaker 1: CAN'T i don't think he's any, Good SO i can

1120
00:57:00,199 --> 00:57:03,519
disagree with you on A Chris paddock FADE i talked

1121
00:57:03,559 --> 00:57:06,079
about the raised. Plenty this team is a there are

1122
00:57:06,119 --> 00:57:08,880
Poor Mance. Tigers you, know there are Poor Mance. Tigers

1123
00:57:08,880 --> 00:57:11,800
they do more with, less not, know they don't really have,

1124
00:57:11,920 --> 00:57:14,400
superstars but they got a lot of guys that that

1125
00:57:14,480 --> 00:57:20,880
are are. Plus you, know they're they're gonna give you.

1126
00:57:19,599 --> 00:57:21,719
Speaker 2: Probably more than than they should on.

1127
00:57:21,800 --> 00:57:24,320
Speaker 1: Paper it's like it's like they they produce a little

1128
00:57:24,360 --> 00:57:27,400
bit more than they should on paper, chance whether it

1129
00:57:27,440 --> 00:57:29,519
be like a stolen base out of a guy Like

1130
00:57:29,599 --> 00:57:32,760
Chandler simpson or just like you, know just this scrappy type.

1131
00:57:32,760 --> 00:57:35,519
Play and Then lettel's a clear better starting. Pitcher SO,

1132
00:57:35,559 --> 00:57:38,320
TV i am in lockstep with you. HERE i very

1133
00:57:38,400 --> 00:57:39,840
much like The rays in this.

1134
00:57:40,000 --> 00:57:41,280
Speaker 2: Matchup go.

1135
00:57:41,280 --> 00:57:44,920
Speaker 3: AHEAD I i wouldn't say they're the Poor Mance tigers

1136
00:57:44,920 --> 00:57:47,119
because The tigers are a poor man's. Team they don't

1137
00:57:47,119 --> 00:57:49,159
put a lot of they tred a lot of, money

1138
00:57:49,559 --> 00:57:52,840
so they're Very they have actually taken over What Tampa

1139
00:57:52,880 --> 00:57:55,840
bay has done for a. Decade, yeah and that's that's

1140
00:57:56,199 --> 00:57:58,480
doing the lefty righting matching up the, players and they've

1141
00:57:58,480 --> 00:58:00,599
done very well and they've had a lost success in that.

1142
00:58:00,639 --> 00:58:05,639
Regard one thing to say on this, Game minnesota has

1143
00:58:05,679 --> 00:58:07,559
been very. Streaky as you pointed, out they had that

1144
00:58:07,599 --> 00:58:09,559
big losing, streak then they had a winning. Streak now

1145
00:58:09,599 --> 00:58:12,039
they have a big losing. Streak to, me And i'm

1146
00:58:12,079 --> 00:58:15,519
not in the locker, room that tells me that they're

1147
00:58:15,559 --> 00:58:18,760
having something going on in that locker. Room where if

1148
00:58:18,760 --> 00:58:20,960
they're in agreement on something and they're playing, well, yeah

1149
00:58:21,039 --> 00:58:24,199
everything's going, great and then once something happens to, them

1150
00:58:24,360 --> 00:58:26,480
they fall off that cliff and then they're back to

1151
00:58:26,519 --> 00:58:29,159
that losing streak. Again they've got problems in that locker.

1152
00:58:29,239 --> 00:58:31,440
Room i'm not. THERE i would just have to say

1153
00:58:31,480 --> 00:58:34,320
that something is going on in that locker. Room i'm

1154
00:58:34,360 --> 00:58:36,400
going to use go back to one of the games

1155
00:58:36,440 --> 00:58:38,440
for my. Parlay i'm going to go back to The

1156
00:58:38,480 --> 00:58:41,559
Cincinnati philadelphia. GAME i told you there was a few

1157
00:58:41,599 --> 00:58:43,599
ways different ways to play That i'm going to play

1158
00:58:43,639 --> 00:58:47,079
This philadelphia. Team total under four and a half at

1159
00:58:47,119 --> 00:58:50,360
minus one. Thirty abbott a. Lefty philadelphia has not hit,

1160
00:58:50,440 --> 00:58:53,840
lefties And harper's just freshly back in the. Lineup so

1161
00:58:55,519 --> 00:58:57,840
The philadelphia TEAM i think is going to have problem scoring.

1162
00:58:57,880 --> 00:59:00,239
HERE i like the under in the retire game as.

1163
00:59:00,280 --> 00:59:03,280
Well but let's Play philadelphia under four and a half

1164
00:59:03,280 --> 00:59:06,280
at minus one thirty when we've got The cincinnati bullpen

1165
00:59:06,440 --> 00:59:07,840
fully available into night's.

1166
00:59:07,840 --> 00:59:13,360
Speaker 1: Game, yeah AND i think you actually AND i think you,

1167
00:59:13,360 --> 00:59:16,320
know if you can't get a team total in the,

1168
00:59:16,320 --> 00:59:19,239
parlay LIKE i think you're good with a full game

1169
00:59:19,320 --> 00:59:21,960
under there as, WELL i WOULD i would not just

1170
00:59:22,079 --> 00:59:23,920
not play the. PARLOR i would just go full game

1171
00:59:24,000 --> 00:59:26,159
under if you can't put a team total in the.

1172
00:59:26,159 --> 00:59:27,800
PARLAY i know we've heard from some of you guys

1173
00:59:27,800 --> 00:59:29,840
that have a hard time getting the team totals in the.

1174
00:59:29,840 --> 00:59:34,159
PARLAY i definitely think it is an option for that.

1175
00:59:34,239 --> 00:59:38,400
One we are right at the ten am, mark hit

1176
00:59:38,440 --> 00:59:41,199
as many games as we, could and we've got a three.

1177
00:59:41,199 --> 00:59:45,639
TEAM i love when the three teamer Is i'm pretty

1178
00:59:45,639 --> 00:59:48,360
sure it's nicely spaced. Out we're starting with The, phillies

1179
00:59:48,719 --> 00:59:50,639
then we go to The. Rays we got The White

1180
00:59:50,679 --> 00:59:54,400
sox at. Night WHAT i will start with we have

1181
00:59:54,760 --> 00:59:57,239
a great package right. Now the rest of the, weekend

1182
00:59:57,400 --> 00:59:59,559
it's the three of. US tv AND i both have

1183
00:59:59,599 --> 01:00:02,440
five centers today it's one price you get all three

1184
01:00:02,480 --> 01:00:06,400
of our plays for a, week so that's up on everyone's.

1185
01:00:06,440 --> 01:00:09,679
Speaker 2: Page check that out and also give us the likes

1186
01:00:09,800 --> 01:00:10,039
and the.

1187
01:00:10,079 --> 01:00:13,400
Speaker 1: Subscribes we very much appreciate it and it helps the show.

1188
01:00:13,840 --> 01:00:17,119
Speaker 2: TREMENDOUSLY i know people will probably tune.

1189
01:00:17,119 --> 01:00:20,079
Speaker 1: In got to imagine some people are sleeping in today

1190
01:00:20,199 --> 01:00:21,519
with the day, off SO i know you.

1191
01:00:21,400 --> 01:00:24,119
Speaker 2: Guys will be here on the, replay drop a, comment

1192
01:00:24,599 --> 01:00:24,800
like and.

1193
01:00:24,840 --> 01:00:29,400
Speaker 1: Subscribe very much appreciated the parlay which we were due

1194
01:00:29,440 --> 01:00:33,639
for one a little bit still on the. Year for every,

1195
01:00:33,760 --> 01:00:36,960
dollar if you've played these all, equally one dollar has

1196
01:00:37,000 --> 01:00:39,840
returned eleven ninety so that's pretty good plus you, know

1197
01:00:40,039 --> 01:00:42,119
or you could look at, it they're plus eleven point

1198
01:00:42,280 --> 01:00:45,159
nine units if you've used the same exact thing on each.

1199
01:00:45,239 --> 01:00:47,880
Speaker 2: Parlay that's pretty. Good AND i think we have a

1200
01:00:47,880 --> 01:00:48,480
good one. Today.

1201
01:00:48,519 --> 01:00:52,199
Speaker 1: Boys this is going to be plus five thirty, seven

1202
01:00:52,320 --> 01:00:55,480
so over five to one. Odds we've Got brian with

1203
01:00:55,559 --> 01:00:59,079
The phillies team total under four and a Half. Tokyo

1204
01:00:59,159 --> 01:01:02,280
brandon's going with the raise right around even, money and

1205
01:01:02,320 --> 01:01:04,559
then it's going to be The White sox on the

1206
01:01:04,679 --> 01:01:08,199
road At Course field to bring us home. Tonight so

1207
01:01:08,280 --> 01:01:12,079
that three teamer plus five thirty seven Odds philly's team

1208
01:01:12,119 --> 01:01:15,559
total under four and a. Half raise money, Line White.

1209
01:01:15,599 --> 01:01:18,079
Sox money, line go, Ahead Brian.

1210
01:01:18,119 --> 01:01:18,400
Speaker 2: Lenner.

1211
01:01:18,960 --> 01:01:21,360
Speaker 3: Yeah first of, all we got a couple extra minics

1212
01:01:21,360 --> 01:01:23,519
since we finished a little. Early two THINGS i want

1213
01:01:23,559 --> 01:01:26,280
to touch. On number, One i'm not a parlay, player

1214
01:01:26,639 --> 01:01:30,880
SO i play all three of our legs. Separately. Uh

1215
01:01:30,920 --> 01:01:34,639
So i'm actually doing better than the parlay numbers because

1216
01:01:34,679 --> 01:01:36,519
we're going two and one two and one two. One,

1217
01:01:36,599 --> 01:01:38,280
yeah it's only been a couple of times THAT i can.

1218
01:01:38,320 --> 01:01:39,880
REMEMBER i don't think if we had to know in,

1219
01:01:39,960 --> 01:01:43,519
THREE i don't think. So excuse, Me, YEAH i think

1220
01:01:44,760 --> 01:01:50,880
one and. Two second thing is getting into on on on,

1221
01:01:50,960 --> 01:01:54,039
YouTube getting in there and ask me questions and talking About,

1222
01:01:54,760 --> 01:01:57,039
Uh we've got a lot of great information out of

1223
01:01:56,719 --> 01:02:01,719
the people out. There. Uh that's something that the upper

1224
01:02:02,000 --> 01:02:05,280
crust Of Wider talk. Loves they've been talking about all

1225
01:02:05,280 --> 01:02:08,320
these great comments about, it and we all get in

1226
01:02:08,360 --> 01:02:11,800
there and we have discussions with, you and that's what

1227
01:02:11,840 --> 01:02:13,840
we really. Enjoy as the day goes, on like four

1228
01:02:13,880 --> 01:02:16,239
or five Times i'll stop in there and somebody will

1229
01:02:16,280 --> 01:02:18,639
ask your question or. Something so it's a way for

1230
01:02:18,760 --> 01:02:20,760
us to go back and forth with. You we learned from,

1231
01:02:20,760 --> 01:02:23,400
you you learned from, us and this has been a great,

1232
01:02:23,440 --> 01:02:25,639
partnership And i'm so glad that we've been able to

1233
01:02:25,679 --> 01:02:28,320
do this show for over a month now and hopefully

1234
01:02:28,880 --> 01:02:29,920
we'll have continued.

1235
01:02:30,000 --> 01:02:32,840
Speaker 5: Success let me make a quick comment.

1236
01:02:32,920 --> 01:02:37,159
Speaker 4: Too we're not really, salespeople but we have to promote our,

1237
01:02:37,199 --> 01:02:39,920
stuff but we just like talking baseball and we like

1238
01:02:40,000 --> 01:02:41,000
interacting with you.

1239
01:02:41,039 --> 01:02:42,199
Speaker 5: Guys you guys are a great.

1240
01:02:42,199 --> 01:02:46,079
Speaker 4: Audience and, seriously management is coming to all three of

1241
01:02:46,159 --> 01:02:47,599
us saying you guys are getting such great.

1242
01:02:47,599 --> 01:02:49,039
Speaker 5: Engagement it helps us out a.

1243
01:02:49,039 --> 01:02:52,400
Speaker 4: Lot i'm going to be On saturday tomorrow at Newon,

1244
01:02:52,400 --> 01:02:56,480
eastern so come join me as well and check our

1245
01:02:56,519 --> 01:02:58,920
pages out down. There we all put free plays up as,

1246
01:02:58,920 --> 01:03:02,679
well so it's us your five seconds to go check

1247
01:03:02,679 --> 01:03:04,199
our pages out and see what we have.

1248
01:03:04,280 --> 01:03:04,840
Speaker 5: Available.

1249
01:03:06,480 --> 01:03:08,719
Speaker 1: Hi praise from Tradis. Helm he, says Best Andy kapper

1250
01:03:08,719 --> 01:03:09,880
show he's ever seen in five.

1251
01:03:09,960 --> 01:03:10,280
Speaker 3: Years.

1252
01:03:10,920 --> 01:03:12,639
Speaker 1: LISTEN i don't know if that's, true but we'll take

1253
01:03:12,639 --> 01:03:16,440
that compliment all, day every. Day appreciate you. Guys one

1254
01:03:16,480 --> 01:03:19,719
more time for the people in the BACK. Tv the parlay,

1255
01:03:19,800 --> 01:03:25,239
Today White sox money, line, raise money, Line phillies team

1256
01:03:25,280 --> 01:03:27,519
total under four and a. Half if you don't have

1257
01:03:27,599 --> 01:03:30,800
the ability to parlay team, Totals i'm gonna give you

1258
01:03:30,840 --> 01:03:33,280
the okay to go just full game under in That

1259
01:03:33,360 --> 01:03:35,840
Phillies reds. GAME i think it's gonna be a great

1260
01:03:35,880 --> 01:03:39,800
battle of pitching. Throughout hope everyone has a fantastic and

1261
01:03:40,000 --> 01:03:45,559
Safe fourth Of july. Weekend get some, sun touch some.

1262
01:03:45,679 --> 01:03:47,519
Grass as the kids, SAY i think that's the new.

1263
01:03:47,639 --> 01:03:48,440
Speaker 2: SAYING i don't.

1264
01:03:48,440 --> 01:03:49,039
Speaker 3: Know i'm not hit.

1265
01:03:49,119 --> 01:03:52,039
Speaker 1: Anymore i'm almost, forty turn thirty nine the other. Day

1266
01:03:52,280 --> 01:03:55,239
so but, anyway have a great. Weekend everyone will see

1267
01:03:55,239 --> 01:03:56,480
you back Here monday, morning nine.

1268
01:03:56,559 --> 01:04:00,199
Speaker 2: Am