1 00:00:00,280 --> 00:00:02,480 Speaker 1: College football season is here and you're not gonna want 2 00:00:02,480 --> 00:00:04,040 to miss a second of the action. 3 00:00:04,200 --> 00:00:06,120 Speaker 2: On the next episode of bat On It. 4 00:00:21,839 --> 00:00:26,239 Speaker 1: Ellie Stewart here in Dublin, joined by Marco DiAngelo and Yanni, 5 00:00:26,399 --> 00:00:30,440 the Greek football season is finally here, boys, and well 6 00:00:30,480 --> 00:00:33,159 sort of. I guess it is week zero and we 7 00:00:33,240 --> 00:00:36,200 have a handful of games. But rather than bore you 8 00:00:36,240 --> 00:00:40,920 with the likes of Idaho versus UNLV, We're gonna start 9 00:00:40,920 --> 00:00:42,840 with the top twenty five matchup and I'm gonna get 10 00:00:42,880 --> 00:00:43,439 right into it. 11 00:00:43,520 --> 00:00:44,479 Speaker 2: Saturday, twelve pm. 12 00:00:44,520 --> 00:00:48,000 Speaker 1: Eastern Kansas State is now a three point favorite versus 13 00:00:48,039 --> 00:00:50,799 Iowa State forty nine and a half and this game 14 00:00:50,840 --> 00:00:54,399 is the reason why I'm in Dublin where it's being played. 15 00:00:54,880 --> 00:00:57,000 Speaker 2: And since Marco DiAngelo. 16 00:00:56,560 --> 00:00:59,039 Speaker 1: Thinks I cannot be unbiased with my team, I'm gonna 17 00:00:59,079 --> 00:01:02,079 give you guys a X excerpt from the gold Sheet. 18 00:01:03,159 --> 00:01:05,840 This is a massive game to kick off the season 19 00:01:05,840 --> 00:01:08,560 with because of how closely contested the Big Twelve is 20 00:01:08,640 --> 00:01:12,920 expected to be. They have the gold Sheet nine teams 21 00:01:13,000 --> 00:01:15,799 rated within a touchdown of one another. At the top 22 00:01:15,920 --> 00:01:19,000 of the league entering twenty twenty five. Iowa State has 23 00:01:19,079 --> 00:01:21,239 had some recent success in this matchup. 24 00:01:21,280 --> 00:01:21,719 Speaker 2: That's right. 25 00:01:22,599 --> 00:01:24,359 Speaker 1: Pains me to read this, but they are four and 26 00:01:24,439 --> 00:01:27,359 one straight up and five and zero against the spread 27 00:01:27,359 --> 00:01:30,920 in the past five seasons. But according to the gold Sheet, 28 00:01:30,959 --> 00:01:33,400 they are interested in laying the points with the Wildcats. 29 00:01:33,719 --> 00:01:37,319 Per Jeff Sagran, these teams played near identical schedules last year, 30 00:01:37,359 --> 00:01:40,560 Iowa State number thirty four, Kansas State number thirty eight, 31 00:01:40,599 --> 00:01:44,480 but the Wildcats were better and nearly every metric aside 32 00:01:44,519 --> 00:01:47,680 from the record column, Kansas State outgained its opponents by 33 00:01:47,719 --> 00:01:51,000 eighty three point four yards per game, and the Wildcats 34 00:01:51,040 --> 00:01:54,560 held a point one excuse me, one point three yards 35 00:01:54,599 --> 00:01:57,959 per play differential over their opponents, while Iowa State only 36 00:01:57,959 --> 00:02:01,040 had eight point one point six edge. Caseate had a 37 00:02:01,079 --> 00:02:05,319 better offensive and defensive success rate than the Cyclones, and 38 00:02:05,400 --> 00:02:09,120 per ESPN's Bill Conway, the Wildcats have a higher returning 39 00:02:09,159 --> 00:02:12,319 production number and case State attracted a better class of 40 00:02:12,319 --> 00:02:15,879 recruits and transfers. Iowa State was the beneficiary of plus 41 00:02:16,039 --> 00:02:19,080 nine turnover differential last season, in Case State was minus one. 42 00:02:19,360 --> 00:02:21,800 Speaker 2: Now, as long as that turnover demon doesn't. 43 00:02:21,560 --> 00:02:25,680 Speaker 1: Appear, we feel comfortable laying the small number with the Cats. 44 00:02:25,680 --> 00:02:27,199 Speaker 2: In Ireland, guys. 45 00:02:27,199 --> 00:02:29,400 Speaker 1: That's the gold Sheet team and they're ready for the 46 00:02:29,439 --> 00:02:32,599 twenty twenty five season. They're offering up their top NFL 47 00:02:32,719 --> 00:02:37,000 and college football win totals for just five dollars WT 48 00:02:37,240 --> 00:02:41,919 dot Buzz backslash tg to find those five dollars releases. 49 00:02:42,039 --> 00:02:45,319 Each gold Sheet release comes with expert analysis to help 50 00:02:45,360 --> 00:02:48,240 you cash those tickets throughout the season. Now that I 51 00:02:48,280 --> 00:02:50,439 give you guys the uh well we'll call it the 52 00:02:50,479 --> 00:02:53,039 proper analysis, I'm going to take a tweet that I 53 00:02:53,080 --> 00:02:56,800 saw on X This game has shitit the bed written 54 00:02:56,840 --> 00:03:02,080 all over it. High expectations, travel game, spotlight game. Trying 55 00:03:02,120 --> 00:03:04,840 to remain optimistic, but as a Kansas State fan, we 56 00:03:04,960 --> 00:03:09,840 usually do not do well under these competitions. Twenty twelve 57 00:03:09,879 --> 00:03:12,120 the Baylor game, yep, that's right. Casey was undefeated in 58 00:03:12,159 --> 00:03:14,520 a thirteen and a half point favored in that one 59 00:03:15,479 --> 00:03:18,360 twenty fourteen which I was at that game, case eight 60 00:03:18,479 --> 00:03:21,719 was a seven point underdog at home. This multiple field goals, 61 00:03:21,800 --> 00:03:26,639 dropped touchdown passes and lost to Auburn Alabama. They got 62 00:03:26,680 --> 00:03:29,800 out to an early lead and then Alabama just rolled 63 00:03:29,919 --> 00:03:32,719 in the second half. And then of course that BYU 64 00:03:32,759 --> 00:03:37,240 game last year under those bright Lights in provo. I'm 65 00:03:37,240 --> 00:03:39,840 gonna go over to VR because VR, as well as 66 00:03:39,879 --> 00:03:42,479 the gold Sheet, did a nice synopsis of how I 67 00:03:42,520 --> 00:03:45,400 truly do feel about my Wildcats. I've seen this dog 68 00:03:45,439 --> 00:03:48,000 and pony show for far too long. Tell me I 69 00:03:48,039 --> 00:03:49,960 did not come to Dublin to lose. 70 00:03:50,599 --> 00:03:51,840 Speaker 3: No, I can tell you this. 71 00:03:51,879 --> 00:03:54,360 Speaker 4: There's short money on both sides of this game, because 72 00:03:54,360 --> 00:03:56,199 whenever there was a three and a half, it kind 73 00:03:56,199 --> 00:03:59,400 of got picked off with Iowa States. So they're definitely 74 00:03:59,439 --> 00:04:01,960 looking to take on Iwa State at minus three. Also 75 00:04:02,080 --> 00:04:06,919 saw some Kansas State money at minus three, so you 76 00:04:07,000 --> 00:04:09,360 got a difference of opinion between sharp betters, and that's 77 00:04:09,400 --> 00:04:10,919 why it's staying at three. I think they're gonna let 78 00:04:10,919 --> 00:04:13,719 the market to side comes Saturday, when recreational betters joined 79 00:04:13,759 --> 00:04:16,759 the party. I have a lean on this game because 80 00:04:16,759 --> 00:04:19,079 I thought Iowa State came in a little bit overvalued 81 00:04:19,519 --> 00:04:23,120 into twenty twenty five, Like I got my fifteen teams 82 00:04:23,120 --> 00:04:25,199 that I think are undervalued, fifteen teams that I think 83 00:04:25,199 --> 00:04:28,279 are overvalued, and Iowa States definitely near the top of 84 00:04:28,319 --> 00:04:29,279 the overvalued teams. 85 00:04:29,279 --> 00:04:31,399 Speaker 3: They won. It's almost a fade of. 86 00:04:31,399 --> 00:04:33,920 Speaker 4: Iowa State as much of a bet on Kansas State 87 00:04:33,959 --> 00:04:35,879 because I don't remember. This is the coming off the 88 00:04:35,879 --> 00:04:39,199 first time they've ever won eleven games, and they were 89 00:04:39,319 --> 00:04:42,680 a little bit phony the Iowa State team. They returned 90 00:04:42,759 --> 00:04:45,720 their quarterback. I know everybody's excited about Rock Obeck returning. 91 00:04:45,720 --> 00:04:47,680 He had a good year last year, twenty five touchdowns, 92 00:04:47,680 --> 00:04:49,120 thirty five hundred yards passing. 93 00:04:49,399 --> 00:04:51,399 Speaker 3: He just doesn't have anyone to throw the ball to yet. 94 00:04:52,439 --> 00:04:54,720 Speaker 4: The receiving corp is gone, so it's going to take 95 00:04:54,720 --> 00:04:57,519 a little while to figure out what they have so far. 96 00:04:57,560 --> 00:04:59,879 I don't like the pieces there, but they can prove 97 00:04:59,879 --> 00:05:01,399 me wrong. But I don't think that's going to happen 98 00:05:01,439 --> 00:05:03,319 early on. So they're going to be dependent more on 99 00:05:03,360 --> 00:05:05,920 their run against Kansas State. That's a recipe for disaster. 100 00:05:06,240 --> 00:05:08,240 If there's one strength they had last year, it was 101 00:05:08,279 --> 00:05:10,639 stopping the run, and I don't think anything's going to 102 00:05:10,720 --> 00:05:14,040 change from that defense. Also, the perfect storm is you 103 00:05:14,040 --> 00:05:17,240 have overvalued versus undervalued. I thought Kansas State had a 104 00:05:17,279 --> 00:05:20,240 decent year last year, but they underperformed the betting market, 105 00:05:20,680 --> 00:05:22,600 even though you know they won a lot more games 106 00:05:22,639 --> 00:05:25,279 than they lost. They went three and seven against the spread, 107 00:05:25,560 --> 00:05:28,439 so they continue to underperform so I think you have 108 00:05:28,480 --> 00:05:31,560 a little bit of an undervalued versus overvoundued spot here, 109 00:05:31,720 --> 00:05:34,120 and I just like the pieces that Kansas State's returning. 110 00:05:34,120 --> 00:05:38,720 You got Avery Johnson back, new offensive coordinator, probably going 111 00:05:38,759 --> 00:05:39,639 to have them passed more. 112 00:05:39,639 --> 00:05:40,720 Speaker 3: I don't think that's a problem. 113 00:05:40,759 --> 00:05:43,240 Speaker 4: But they know they got their leading receiver back, and 114 00:05:43,360 --> 00:05:45,240 they do have a running game they could rely on. 115 00:05:45,360 --> 00:05:48,360 I think they're balanced with their defense. I think this 116 00:05:48,399 --> 00:05:51,639 is Kansas State's game to lose. Like you said, turnovers 117 00:05:51,839 --> 00:05:55,040 ultimately decide a lot of games. But if they could 118 00:05:55,079 --> 00:05:57,800 play a little mistake free football, this is a very 119 00:05:57,920 --> 00:06:00,160 winnable and big game for them to start off the 120 00:06:00,199 --> 00:06:03,240 season with a win against Ohio State, who they lost 121 00:06:03,279 --> 00:06:05,879 against last year. And you know Ohio State, Iowa State 122 00:06:05,920 --> 00:06:08,879 coming off forgive me that bowl win as well. So 123 00:06:08,920 --> 00:06:11,439 they're coming in with a lot of excitement. But I 124 00:06:11,439 --> 00:06:14,040 think Kansas State gets to win in Ireland. Give me 125 00:06:14,120 --> 00:06:15,439 Kansas State minus three. 126 00:06:16,199 --> 00:06:19,399 Speaker 1: Marco di'angelo, I have traveled over a lot of parts 127 00:06:19,439 --> 00:06:22,279 of these countries this country so far in the past week, 128 00:06:22,800 --> 00:06:25,399 and I have seen probably two to one, if not 129 00:06:25,519 --> 00:06:28,000 three to one Iowa State to Ky State fans, and 130 00:06:28,040 --> 00:06:30,519 that concerns me. Maybe Ky State fans are showing up late, 131 00:06:30,879 --> 00:06:33,759 maybe they're just not where I am. But if this 132 00:06:34,199 --> 00:06:38,279 crowd is seventy thirty, do you still like the Wildcats here? 133 00:06:39,399 --> 00:06:41,560 Speaker 5: Well, Kelly, I gave you a lot of grief last 134 00:06:41,560 --> 00:06:46,000 week about the Kansas State you know, you being a 135 00:06:46,680 --> 00:06:51,839 you know, non biased backer, But I do like them here. 136 00:06:51,959 --> 00:06:55,600 And here's the thing you know you talked about. We've 137 00:06:55,600 --> 00:06:58,279 got revenge for Kansas State. The last two seasons they 138 00:06:58,319 --> 00:07:01,680 lost to them. Ironically, both of those games were the 139 00:07:01,720 --> 00:07:05,160 last game of the season the last two seasons, where 140 00:07:05,240 --> 00:07:07,839 this year we're kicking it off the first game of 141 00:07:07,879 --> 00:07:10,360 the season, and I think that's actually going to play 142 00:07:10,519 --> 00:07:14,839 into Kansas State benefit in this one. Why do I 143 00:07:14,920 --> 00:07:17,399 say that, Well, we know both teams are bringing back 144 00:07:17,439 --> 00:07:21,040 their starting quarterbacks, so that's a plus for both teams. 145 00:07:21,360 --> 00:07:24,480 But last year, Kansas State is one of those teams 146 00:07:24,480 --> 00:07:27,399 that I refer to you'll hear me often on the 147 00:07:27,439 --> 00:07:29,680 show a two hundred club member. This is a team 148 00:07:29,720 --> 00:07:32,000 that ran the football for two hundred yards, past the 149 00:07:32,040 --> 00:07:35,399 football for two hundred yards. That balance is going to 150 00:07:35,439 --> 00:07:39,120 give them I think a leg up starting the season 151 00:07:39,480 --> 00:07:43,439 in this matchup they bring back all the key components 152 00:07:43,680 --> 00:07:45,759 of what they did on offense last year. 153 00:07:46,079 --> 00:07:46,800 Speaker 6: Now when we. 154 00:07:46,839 --> 00:07:49,399 Speaker 5: Flip the defense, there's where a little bit of the 155 00:07:49,480 --> 00:07:53,040 concerns were. And the concern is obviously in the Kansas 156 00:07:53,079 --> 00:07:56,519 State secondary. But they have a good defensive line and 157 00:07:56,600 --> 00:08:01,279 I think because of that and starting the season Beck 158 00:08:01,439 --> 00:08:05,079 returning quarterback for Iowa State. He lost a few of 159 00:08:05,120 --> 00:08:07,079 his pieces last year, so I think there's gonna be 160 00:08:07,079 --> 00:08:09,360 a little bit of a learning curve for them on 161 00:08:09,399 --> 00:08:12,560 the offensive side, and it's his targets that he had 162 00:08:12,639 --> 00:08:16,120 last year at wideouts. This is gonna be where I 163 00:08:16,120 --> 00:08:19,519 think the edge comes into Kansas State. And with that balance, 164 00:08:19,639 --> 00:08:22,079 you go back to last year. If you look at 165 00:08:22,120 --> 00:08:26,839 the stats, Kansas State should have beat them last year. Okay, 166 00:08:27,079 --> 00:08:29,800 the two turnovers did them in and we never can 167 00:08:29,839 --> 00:08:33,120 truly handicap turnovers. And if we have a clean game, 168 00:08:33,279 --> 00:08:35,679 I think this is Kansas State's game to win. 169 00:08:36,000 --> 00:08:37,799 Speaker 6: I like the fact that it's the first game of 170 00:08:37,840 --> 00:08:38,360 the season. 171 00:08:38,799 --> 00:08:41,240 Speaker 5: I know what you said about you know the travel, 172 00:08:41,440 --> 00:08:44,039 but they both got to do it, and let's look 173 00:08:44,080 --> 00:08:44,559 for this one. 174 00:08:44,799 --> 00:08:47,279 Speaker 6: I almost pulled the trigger on the under. 175 00:08:47,279 --> 00:08:50,000 Speaker 5: As well, because if you look at the last couple 176 00:08:50,000 --> 00:08:53,360 of games, and you look at both quarterbacks coming back, 177 00:08:53,399 --> 00:08:56,039 and you think of Big Twelve, and you think about. 178 00:08:55,799 --> 00:08:58,320 Speaker 6: The shootouts you want to go over. 179 00:08:58,399 --> 00:09:00,799 Speaker 5: But how many times have we seen in the NFL 180 00:09:00,879 --> 00:09:04,000 when they play these games overseas where we saw lower 181 00:09:04,039 --> 00:09:06,399 scoring games and the fact that it's the first game 182 00:09:06,519 --> 00:09:10,360 of the season and all of the importance because this 183 00:09:10,480 --> 00:09:13,000 is not your normal first game of the season. This 184 00:09:13,080 --> 00:09:15,639 is a big game that could go a long way 185 00:09:15,679 --> 00:09:18,399 in determining who wins the Big Twelve this year. So 186 00:09:18,480 --> 00:09:20,840 I don't think they're gonna come out throwing it all 187 00:09:20,840 --> 00:09:24,600 over the yard. They're gonna play conservative, not to make 188 00:09:24,639 --> 00:09:28,200 a mistake. I like Kansas State. My projected score is 189 00:09:28,320 --> 00:09:31,279 Kansas State twenty seven to twenty. If you want to 190 00:09:31,320 --> 00:09:33,320 put a little on the under, I don't have a 191 00:09:33,360 --> 00:09:34,360 problem with that either. 192 00:09:35,279 --> 00:09:38,320 Speaker 1: I don't hate the twenty seven to twenty final, Marco, 193 00:09:38,440 --> 00:09:41,080 and I hope this next game ends up twenty seven 194 00:09:41,120 --> 00:09:45,320 to twenty. Fresno State Saturday night, six thirty pm Eastern 195 00:09:45,639 --> 00:09:49,000 heads to Lawrence, Kansas to play the Jayhawks. Fifty and 196 00:09:49,000 --> 00:09:51,799 a half is the total here, v arc Can you 197 00:09:51,840 --> 00:09:54,000 confirm what John Murray told me A couple of weeks ago, 198 00:09:54,080 --> 00:09:57,279 that sharp money came in at Fresno State catching two touchdowns. 199 00:09:57,639 --> 00:09:59,720 Now you're looking at coming back on the other side. 200 00:10:00,279 --> 00:10:02,159 Speaker 3: Yeah, because that number's going again. 201 00:10:02,200 --> 00:10:05,080 Speaker 4: If you got fourteen and a half on Fresno State, 202 00:10:05,159 --> 00:10:06,200 I could understand it. 203 00:10:06,279 --> 00:10:09,240 Speaker 3: You know, there's a lot of excitement. New head coach. 204 00:10:10,559 --> 00:10:13,279 Speaker 4: I just don't think this is a good spot for them. 205 00:10:13,399 --> 00:10:15,320 The group I work with, we weren't behind any of 206 00:10:15,360 --> 00:10:19,799 that Fresno State money. I just think the return of 207 00:10:19,879 --> 00:10:23,720 Jellen Daniels is huge for Kansas. They're really excited about 208 00:10:23,720 --> 00:10:26,600 this year. They brought in a new defensive coordinator. That 209 00:10:26,759 --> 00:10:29,000 was they're talking about is just how physical this defense 210 00:10:29,120 --> 00:10:34,799 is going to be revenovated home stadium, first game. I 211 00:10:34,879 --> 00:10:37,879 just think this is a good spot for Kansas, and 212 00:10:38,080 --> 00:10:43,399 Fresno returns a lot of players. But so what like again, 213 00:10:43,559 --> 00:10:46,080 like it doesn't mean much unless you have a really, 214 00:10:46,120 --> 00:10:49,600 really good team, And I just think this another team 215 00:10:49,639 --> 00:10:54,399 that's a little bit overvalued is Fresno State. I look 216 00:10:54,440 --> 00:10:59,159 at Kansas as a team that always more or less 217 00:10:59,159 --> 00:11:02,559 gets no respect from the betting market, and here's another 218 00:11:02,639 --> 00:11:05,440 example of that. They see Fresno State getting too touchdown 219 00:11:05,480 --> 00:11:07,480 and they're getting the money. I think this has. 220 00:11:07,360 --> 00:11:09,759 Speaker 3: Blowout written all over it. One sided. 221 00:11:09,799 --> 00:11:11,360 Speaker 4: I don't think Fresno State's going to be able to 222 00:11:11,360 --> 00:11:13,559 put up a lot of points at all against this 223 00:11:13,679 --> 00:11:15,799 Kansas defense. And I think in the second half they 224 00:11:15,879 --> 00:11:20,440 just start spread winning by margin. It gets further and 225 00:11:20,480 --> 00:11:22,440 further and further away, and it gets harder and harder 226 00:11:22,480 --> 00:11:26,039 for Kansas for Fresno State to catch up. I think 227 00:11:26,080 --> 00:11:29,279 they easily cover this twelve and a half. Again, if 228 00:11:29,320 --> 00:11:30,879 you got fourteen and a half, you got a good bet. 229 00:11:31,080 --> 00:11:33,639 I get it, you got some closing line value. But 230 00:11:33,840 --> 00:11:36,440 I just think right now where it's's its favorite or 231 00:11:36,559 --> 00:11:41,639 pass situation, and I just don't think Fresno's defense is 232 00:11:41,639 --> 00:11:44,960 going to be able to handle the run game, especially 233 00:11:45,399 --> 00:11:47,919 at the quarterback running Daniel's legs are just going to 234 00:11:47,960 --> 00:11:51,240 do too much damage against this defense. Gimme Kansas lay 235 00:11:51,279 --> 00:11:54,440 the points and should win comfortably here. 236 00:11:55,039 --> 00:11:58,600 Speaker 1: All right, Marco, you like the total here, which I 237 00:11:58,639 --> 00:12:00,639 find to be very interesting because I think it correlates 238 00:12:00,679 --> 00:12:01,759 with my play on the game. 239 00:12:03,000 --> 00:12:06,840 Speaker 6: Yeah, Kelly, I'm looking at this one. In is VR mentioned. 240 00:12:07,120 --> 00:12:11,159 Speaker 5: Kansas has a new defensive coordinator, DK McDonald he's gonna 241 00:12:11,200 --> 00:12:13,519 look to fix a defense that gave up twenty nine 242 00:12:13,679 --> 00:12:17,159 or more points six times last year. Now, McDonald is 243 00:12:17,559 --> 00:12:21,360 no stranger to being around good defenses. Is two of 244 00:12:21,360 --> 00:12:26,240 his previous stops was Iowa State and Philadelphia in the NFL, 245 00:12:26,399 --> 00:12:30,519 which we know has a good defense. And sometimes the 246 00:12:30,559 --> 00:12:34,200 best defense is a good offense. And this offense will 247 00:12:34,240 --> 00:12:38,759 be led by Jalen Daniels at quarterback. He's a dual 248 00:12:38,799 --> 00:12:41,879 threat quarterback who got better last year as the season 249 00:12:42,200 --> 00:12:45,840 went on. I looked for them to play ball control 250 00:12:45,919 --> 00:12:48,559 in this one, and the word out of there. With 251 00:12:48,639 --> 00:12:51,360 that good offensive line that they have, they are going 252 00:12:51,399 --> 00:12:56,559 to concentrate and utilize Daniels more running and read option attack. 253 00:12:57,120 --> 00:12:59,559 And against the team like Fresno State out of the 254 00:12:59,639 --> 00:13:03,039 Mountain West, We've seen this happen, you know, so often. 255 00:13:03,120 --> 00:13:05,440 You know the Mountain West teams, you know, some of 256 00:13:05,440 --> 00:13:07,879 them will put up some glossy numbers in a soft 257 00:13:07,919 --> 00:13:10,879 conference and then whenever they play a more physical team 258 00:13:10,919 --> 00:13:14,159 outside of the conference, they're in trouble. And I think 259 00:13:14,240 --> 00:13:16,919 that that's what's gonna happen in this one. So why 260 00:13:16,960 --> 00:13:21,960 am I going with the under Well? Kansas defense has 261 00:13:22,000 --> 00:13:24,879 been a concern always, But we're gonna look at a 262 00:13:24,879 --> 00:13:28,320 Fresno State team that incomes a new head coach, Matt 263 00:13:28,320 --> 00:13:29,320 Earns is coming in. 264 00:13:29,720 --> 00:13:34,559 Speaker 6: He's bringing in a quarterback who transferred from Rice E. J. Warner. 265 00:13:34,639 --> 00:13:37,159 Speaker 5: Now, if you recognize that last name, yes, it is 266 00:13:37,279 --> 00:13:41,759 Kurt Warner's son, and he hasn't really done anything special 267 00:13:41,840 --> 00:13:45,759 as far as the quarterback goes with stat wise other 268 00:13:45,840 --> 00:13:49,000 than having that that last name. I think he's going 269 00:13:49,080 --> 00:13:51,799 to struggle early on in this one, and I don't 270 00:13:51,799 --> 00:13:54,360 think he's gonna get as many opportunities because I think 271 00:13:54,440 --> 00:13:58,559 Kansas with that ball control, is going to manipulate the 272 00:13:58,639 --> 00:14:02,519 clock and shorten the game. So with that said, I'm 273 00:14:02,559 --> 00:14:06,240 going under the total here. I've got this game, you 274 00:14:06,279 --> 00:14:10,440 know Kansas, you know, twenty eight to seventeen type of game. 275 00:14:10,720 --> 00:14:13,679 So yeah, maybe the dog hangs around, but I see 276 00:14:13,679 --> 00:14:16,679 forty five or less points being scored in this one 277 00:14:16,759 --> 00:14:20,120 being the opener of the season for both teams. 278 00:14:20,399 --> 00:14:22,639 Speaker 1: Marco, I do agree with you there on the under 279 00:14:22,919 --> 00:14:25,240 five and one to the under the last six non 280 00:14:25,279 --> 00:14:28,600 conference games there for the Jayhawks, and don't forget Kurt 281 00:14:28,679 --> 00:14:33,720 Warner's kid kids two and zero against the Jayhawks. That 282 00:14:33,879 --> 00:14:37,399 was Cade Warner from the Kansasate Wildcats. All jokes aside there. 283 00:14:37,799 --> 00:14:39,759 I will get to that breakdown here in a minute. 284 00:14:39,799 --> 00:14:42,000 Right now, I'm gonna let you guys know you good. 285 00:14:42,000 --> 00:14:45,519 Buy September all access for Marco D'Angelo and now get 286 00:14:45,600 --> 00:14:49,840 the rest of August free. This includes all sports. And 287 00:14:49,919 --> 00:14:52,240 last year Marco was number two in college and pro 288 00:14:52,279 --> 00:14:55,039 football combined in money. One, you're gonna get all of 289 00:14:55,080 --> 00:15:00,120 his five percent plays as well, thirty one thirteen in 290 00:15:00,159 --> 00:15:05,120 the last forty four for Marco WT dot buzz backslash 291 00:15:05,399 --> 00:15:05,960 m D. 292 00:15:06,720 --> 00:15:09,440 Speaker 2: I'm gonna gotta get to this one. I agree with VR. 293 00:15:09,559 --> 00:15:13,360 Speaker 1: Maybe I missed the best of the number and something says, hey, 294 00:15:13,559 --> 00:15:15,720 sit around and wait, I do think we're gonna see 295 00:15:15,759 --> 00:15:18,679 some money come in on the Jayhawks here between now 296 00:15:18,720 --> 00:15:22,559 and Saturday. And rightfully so, VR hit the nail on 297 00:15:22,600 --> 00:15:26,080 the head. You got Jalen Daniels coming back, but unfortunately 298 00:15:26,080 --> 00:15:30,000 Devin Neil left for the NFL. So now you have 299 00:15:30,039 --> 00:15:33,039 a running quarterback who has had several injuries throughout his 300 00:15:33,360 --> 00:15:35,600 career in his senior campaign. 301 00:15:36,000 --> 00:15:39,440 Speaker 2: And yes, they have a new stadium that is halfway. 302 00:15:39,000 --> 00:15:41,039 Speaker 1: Finished, so I think it's gonna be really interesting to 303 00:15:41,039 --> 00:15:43,440 see how many people show up for this game. I think, 304 00:15:43,480 --> 00:15:46,759 bottom line, I haven't seen enough from this Jayhawks team 305 00:15:47,039 --> 00:15:49,120 to show me that they're gonna be consistent enough to 306 00:15:49,200 --> 00:15:51,799 be able to blow somebody out. We weren't able to 307 00:15:51,840 --> 00:15:54,360 see this team cover spreads last year. They lost games 308 00:15:54,360 --> 00:15:56,759 they buy all intents and purposes, should have won. If 309 00:15:56,799 --> 00:15:59,279 you look at some of the ESPN metrics, they had 310 00:15:59,360 --> 00:16:02,399 ninety five plus percent chances to win those games and 311 00:16:02,440 --> 00:16:03,360 couldn't get it done. 312 00:16:03,399 --> 00:16:07,480 Speaker 2: And now we're asking them too late double digits. I 313 00:16:07,519 --> 00:16:07,840 don't know. 314 00:16:07,960 --> 00:16:09,840 Speaker 1: This is a team who's missed the postseason twelve out 315 00:16:09,840 --> 00:16:13,840 of their last fourteen. I'm siding with Fresno State here 316 00:16:14,399 --> 00:16:17,679 slightlyan especially if we can get a little bit higher 317 00:16:17,679 --> 00:16:18,879 of a number back. 318 00:16:19,000 --> 00:16:22,879 Speaker 2: Come kickoff. Let's break down this last game. 319 00:16:23,200 --> 00:16:26,960 Speaker 1: Headed in to Saturday late night, I will be well, 320 00:16:27,080 --> 00:16:29,360 not on an airplane yet, but headed to the airport 321 00:16:29,399 --> 00:16:32,279 by the time this one gets over Sunday seven thirty pm. 322 00:16:32,360 --> 00:16:35,480 Eastern Stanford is now a two and a half point 323 00:16:35,639 --> 00:16:40,960 underdog at Hawaii. Total fifty two and a half. Marco 324 00:16:41,120 --> 00:16:43,320 break down this one. I know you like the total 325 00:16:43,360 --> 00:16:43,960 here as well. 326 00:16:44,840 --> 00:16:45,600 Speaker 6: Yeah, I'll me, Kelly. 327 00:16:45,600 --> 00:16:47,960 Speaker 5: I'm actually gonna do a little pivot and do a 328 00:16:48,000 --> 00:16:51,279 team total, not the total for the full game. We 329 00:16:51,320 --> 00:16:54,480 look at this Hawaii team and this will be year 330 00:16:54,559 --> 00:16:58,519 four underhead coach at Jimmy Chang and the offensive scene 331 00:16:58,519 --> 00:17:02,480 improvement each of the first three years under his leadership. 332 00:17:03,440 --> 00:17:07,200 They are starting new quarterback this year. He played at 333 00:17:07,240 --> 00:17:11,200 New Mexico or excuse me, he played in the season 334 00:17:11,240 --> 00:17:14,079 finale against New Mexico and they put up thirty eight 335 00:17:14,119 --> 00:17:17,119 points in that. He saw action in the final four 336 00:17:17,240 --> 00:17:20,119 games of the season last year, kind of getting him 337 00:17:20,160 --> 00:17:24,079 groomed for this season. The offense also returns their top 338 00:17:24,200 --> 00:17:27,160 running back in their top two receivers, so I expect 339 00:17:27,160 --> 00:17:30,960 them to hit the ground running. As this offense, we'll 340 00:17:30,960 --> 00:17:34,000 be able to put pressure on a Stanford defense. Now, 341 00:17:34,160 --> 00:17:37,680 Stanford gave up thirty one or more points in seven 342 00:17:37,759 --> 00:17:41,359 of their last nine games last year, and that's a concern. 343 00:17:41,599 --> 00:17:43,759 They also have a new head coach who took the 344 00:17:43,799 --> 00:17:47,200 team over late. If Stanford had to let head coach 345 00:17:47,279 --> 00:17:51,680 Troy Taylor go after some off the field problems, Frank 346 00:17:51,680 --> 00:17:56,440 Wright he takes over. And we know Frank Wright quarterback 347 00:17:56,559 --> 00:18:00,599 former quarterback in the NFL Indianapolis Colts and everything else. 348 00:18:00,640 --> 00:18:03,640 Head coach, this is a guy that's been an offensive 349 00:18:03,759 --> 00:18:08,680 minded person, not so much on the defensive side. So 350 00:18:09,359 --> 00:18:13,799 with this Hawaii offense playing at home in the season opener, 351 00:18:14,400 --> 00:18:18,200 I don't know if Stanford's gonna have any distractions playing 352 00:18:18,599 --> 00:18:21,480 in Hawaii, but you know that's always a concern teams. 353 00:18:22,119 --> 00:18:25,519 Hawaii has done well and I know there's a history 354 00:18:25,519 --> 00:18:28,880 of Hawaii is underdogs in these spots, but they're not 355 00:18:28,920 --> 00:18:31,720 an underdog in this way. They started out that way, 356 00:18:31,799 --> 00:18:35,759 but they're not anymore. I'm gonna go with the Hawaii offense. 357 00:18:35,960 --> 00:18:39,119 I think they get points in this game. We're looking 358 00:18:39,119 --> 00:18:41,519 at a team total of twenty six and a half. 359 00:18:42,440 --> 00:18:45,920 With the returning starters that they have, I think they 360 00:18:45,960 --> 00:18:49,039 get over that number. I don't think Stanford is ready 361 00:18:49,079 --> 00:18:53,119 to take a polished offense yet, with all the changes 362 00:18:53,160 --> 00:18:56,720 that they have coming up this season, with the turnover 363 00:18:56,799 --> 00:18:59,319 from last year to this year. Let's go ahead and 364 00:18:59,400 --> 00:19:02,480 take Hawaii. They seem to like to throw the ball around. 365 00:19:02,720 --> 00:19:06,079 Let's keep it going. I hope Jimmy Chang keeps the 366 00:19:06,119 --> 00:19:09,359 ball moving On Saturday night late night and Kelly I 367 00:19:09,359 --> 00:19:12,960 am surprised you're gonna be heading to the airport Saturday night. 368 00:19:13,039 --> 00:19:16,960 You're not staying in Ireland to be you know, drinking 369 00:19:17,000 --> 00:19:20,839 guinness and everything, celebrating a Kansas State win with all 370 00:19:20,880 --> 00:19:22,079 of your alumni. 371 00:19:22,559 --> 00:19:26,480 Speaker 1: Clearly, Marco doesn't understand how time changes work. We're eight 372 00:19:26,519 --> 00:19:29,720 hours ahead of Las Vegas, so pretty much by the 373 00:19:29,759 --> 00:19:31,839 time that game ends, I need to be getting up 374 00:19:31,880 --> 00:19:33,640 and headed to the airport. 375 00:19:33,880 --> 00:19:37,400 Speaker 2: Okay, all jokes. 376 00:19:37,400 --> 00:19:40,599 Speaker 1: As signed Marco, I hope what you said about Timmy 377 00:19:40,680 --> 00:19:43,480 Chang and his squad is correct, because I do like 378 00:19:43,559 --> 00:19:47,279 Hawaii here as well, as you mentioned eighteen starters from 379 00:19:47,480 --> 00:19:50,480 last year's team that could barely squeak out five wins. 380 00:19:50,759 --> 00:19:54,160 But I do think this team is going to be prepared, 381 00:19:54,279 --> 00:19:58,319 especially for this game. For Lawrence's newsletter, Hawaii eleven and 382 00:19:58,400 --> 00:20:02,079 two against a spread in season opening games against opponents, 383 00:20:02,359 --> 00:20:05,640 including nine to one when playing against Revenge, So as 384 00:20:05,680 --> 00:20:07,599 long as you're not playing an FCS school, it. 385 00:20:07,599 --> 00:20:10,519 Speaker 2: Bodes well for this team. 386 00:20:10,599 --> 00:20:13,759 Speaker 1: I do think Chang, who has cashed six straight home 387 00:20:13,799 --> 00:20:17,359 games as an underdog and opened as an underdog, now 388 00:20:17,400 --> 00:20:19,680 as a favorite, we'll get it done again. 389 00:20:20,319 --> 00:20:20,599 Speaker 2: VR. 390 00:20:20,640 --> 00:20:25,880 Speaker 1: Before you give us your breakdown here on Stanford Hawaii. 391 00:20:25,960 --> 00:20:29,599 Please let everybody know about your promotion ACE one hundred. 392 00:20:29,599 --> 00:20:31,759 That's going to take one hundred bucks off your thirty 393 00:20:31,839 --> 00:20:33,240 day all access package. 394 00:20:33,519 --> 00:20:35,440 Speaker 4: Yeah, and it's a good time right now, especially with 395 00:20:35,480 --> 00:20:38,039 the football coming in UH one ten of my last 396 00:20:38,079 --> 00:20:39,720 fourteen preseason bets. 397 00:20:40,039 --> 00:20:42,599 Speaker 3: As you can see, the information keeps coming in in football. 398 00:20:43,480 --> 00:20:48,000 Speaker 4: Talked about the college and the NFL season ahead, and 399 00:20:48,200 --> 00:20:51,519 of course throughout this next month there's also baseball coming 400 00:20:51,559 --> 00:20:54,480 down the stretch as the playoffs get here, which is 401 00:20:54,559 --> 00:20:58,039 always a good time to do some damage and throughout MMA. 402 00:20:58,160 --> 00:21:01,440 So you get one hundred dollars off and jump on 403 00:21:01,519 --> 00:21:04,920 the next thirty days and let's do some damage, especially 404 00:21:04,920 --> 00:21:05,839 with the football here. 405 00:21:06,559 --> 00:21:09,359 Speaker 1: Yes, I am so excited for football season. The r 406 00:21:09,440 --> 00:21:11,680 tell me why you like Hawaii money line? Is it 407 00:21:11,680 --> 00:21:13,440 because we missed the boat on the plus two and 408 00:21:13,480 --> 00:21:13,880 a half? 409 00:21:14,160 --> 00:21:15,519 Speaker 3: Yeah? I worry about that. 410 00:21:15,960 --> 00:21:18,559 Speaker 4: One of the groups I worked with took Hawaii at 411 00:21:18,680 --> 00:21:22,359 plus like one and a half plus one. I laid 412 00:21:22,880 --> 00:21:27,440 Moneyline minus one fifteen with my subscribers on the Hawaii signe. 413 00:21:27,640 --> 00:21:30,759 I don't love that the sharps and the public are 414 00:21:30,839 --> 00:21:33,480 all on the same side Hawaii, and it hasn't gotten 415 00:21:33,519 --> 00:21:35,759 up to that key number of three, So pay attention 416 00:21:35,799 --> 00:21:38,000 to that, especially if the money starts to continue to 417 00:21:38,039 --> 00:21:41,440 come in on the Hawaii side. Now, I like Hawaii 418 00:21:42,240 --> 00:21:44,559 before they even bet it, because I thought Stanford is 419 00:21:44,599 --> 00:21:48,000 one of those teams that again another slightly overvalued team, 420 00:21:48,000 --> 00:21:49,759 and it's hard to be overbounded when you only won 421 00:21:49,839 --> 00:21:51,319 two football games the year prior. 422 00:21:51,720 --> 00:21:54,200 Speaker 3: But it's all the noise. 423 00:21:54,079 --> 00:21:59,160 Speaker 4: Surrounding Stanford right now, Andrew Luck, the new GM Frank 424 00:21:59,240 --> 00:22:04,000 Reich head coach, all NFL experience. That hype alone is 425 00:22:04,039 --> 00:22:07,440 adding a premium to Stanford that I don't think is warranted. 426 00:22:07,440 --> 00:22:11,880 They haven't proven anything yet at this college level. This 427 00:22:11,960 --> 00:22:16,799 isn't like a hand picked team by Reich and Luck, 428 00:22:17,240 --> 00:22:18,920 so you know if it's going to take a couple 429 00:22:18,960 --> 00:22:21,960 of years before it's they're actually their program. So all 430 00:22:21,960 --> 00:22:25,119 the excitement, I get it, but as far as it 431 00:22:25,200 --> 00:22:27,559 being producing on the field, it's not going to happen, 432 00:22:27,640 --> 00:22:31,559 especially in Week one. I like Hawaii. I think that 433 00:22:31,680 --> 00:22:34,400 run and shoot offense will be just fine with the 434 00:22:34,400 --> 00:22:38,440 red shirt freshman like Marco touched on Alojado started against 435 00:22:38,440 --> 00:22:41,119 New Mexico last year. Had one hundred and sixty three 436 00:22:41,200 --> 00:22:46,160 quarterback rating, five touchdown, zero interceptions, fifty seven pass attempts 437 00:22:46,200 --> 00:22:49,440 completed thirty seven of ohs, and the game they led 438 00:22:49,480 --> 00:22:52,680 him in prior when they were getting blown out by 439 00:22:52,759 --> 00:22:57,240 Utah State, the kid through eleven passes completed ten of them, 440 00:22:57,480 --> 00:23:00,599 so obviously he's getting more and more comfort in this 441 00:23:01,119 --> 00:23:03,240 run and shoot offense. I think they're gonna be able 442 00:23:03,240 --> 00:23:06,240 to throw the ball against Stanford, that was their weakness. 443 00:23:06,359 --> 00:23:09,119 They made a few steps of progress on the defense 444 00:23:09,160 --> 00:23:11,680 against the run because their defense has been horrific the 445 00:23:11,759 --> 00:23:13,759 last few seasons. They played a little better against the 446 00:23:13,839 --> 00:23:16,519 run last year, but against the pass they were just awful. 447 00:23:17,200 --> 00:23:20,400 Speaker 3: They're trying to revamp that secondary. It's going to take 448 00:23:20,400 --> 00:23:20,759 a while. 449 00:23:20,839 --> 00:23:23,079 Speaker 4: I just have to see it on the field first, 450 00:23:23,480 --> 00:23:25,920 and I just think against a team like Hawaii that's 451 00:23:25,960 --> 00:23:31,759 got wide receivers, quarterback offense with that kind of style, 452 00:23:32,119 --> 00:23:37,960 and a solid enough defense, especially in the linebackers and secondary. 453 00:23:37,960 --> 00:23:40,039 It's a defensive line that had a lot of turnover, 454 00:23:40,400 --> 00:23:43,720 so see how they do up there. But I just 455 00:23:43,759 --> 00:23:46,440 think Hawaii at home at a pick them was too 456 00:23:46,480 --> 00:23:49,680 good to pass up. I laid minus one fifteen on 457 00:23:49,759 --> 00:23:51,519 the money line to get that pick them. It's now 458 00:23:51,599 --> 00:23:54,519 minus one thirty, so at least there's a little CLV there. 459 00:23:54,519 --> 00:23:57,119 But like I said, what worries me is looking in 460 00:23:57,160 --> 00:23:59,880 the back end right now and already seeing Hawaii money 461 00:24:00,119 --> 00:24:04,960 from recreational accounts at minus two and why aren't we 462 00:24:05,000 --> 00:24:06,160 had that key number yet? 463 00:24:06,200 --> 00:24:07,200 Speaker 3: That always worries me. 464 00:24:08,279 --> 00:24:09,839 Speaker 2: Yeah, I would agree with you. 465 00:24:09,960 --> 00:24:13,319 Speaker 1: VR moneyline was probably the better play there, or maybe 466 00:24:13,319 --> 00:24:16,480 Marco's team total over. Either way, I'll be sleeping and 467 00:24:16,519 --> 00:24:18,880 I hope to wake up and cash that ticket. Thank 468 00:24:18,920 --> 00:24:21,079 you to VR, Thank you to Marco. Guys, We're going 469 00:24:21,119 --> 00:24:24,640 to be back here next Wednesday for Week one of 470 00:24:24,759 --> 00:24:28,559 college football, and don't forget jump in the comment section 471 00:24:28,680 --> 00:24:30,880 let us know if you're happy that we're back, you're 472 00:24:30,880 --> 00:24:33,400 mad that we're back, if we're missing something, we are 473 00:24:33,680 --> 00:24:34,960 right now. We're going to bring you, guys back that 474 00:24:35,039 --> 00:24:38,240 recap graphic that you have complained so much that has 475 00:24:38,240 --> 00:24:41,279 been missing over the last couple of years. So take 476 00:24:41,319 --> 00:24:44,200 a peek at that. Let me know what you guys think. Again, 477 00:24:44,480 --> 00:24:46,839 make sure you guys hit that like button and subscribe. 478 00:24:46,960 --> 00:24:49,440 You never miss another episode of bet on It and 479 00:24:49,480 --> 00:24:52,000 of course, if you guys miss our college football preview, 480 00:24:52,039 --> 00:24:54,680 you guys can check it out right here. We break 481 00:24:54,720 --> 00:24:57,480 down the power for conferences, as well as a couple 482 00:24:57,799 --> 00:25:00,519 of teams that we think have some value to win 483 00:25:00,559 --> 00:25:01,640 the national championship.