Speaker 1: All right, guys, welcome in. It's Tuesday morning. It's time
for total bases. I was talking to the guys off air,
and you know, so someone DM me and they're like,
you haven't had any major League baseball plays the last
two days, and and my response was, you know, I
mean I've played baseball basically every day all season long.
I haven't been able to find a spot the last
last two days. And Brian like, I've seen a lot
of sloppy play. I don't know if either of you
guys have noticed this. I've really noticed it at Triple A.
I've really noticed it at Triple A. I think I
think dudes are ready to call it a season if
you're down at it. You know, at Triple A like
that this the level of the caliber of play has
dipped considerably, but it's absolutely spilled over into some of
these big league games, and it's I gotta be honest,
it's made it very challenging to find good spots and
be super confident on teams, UH think.
Speaker 2: Thankfully.
Speaker 1: One of the one of the ones that really stuck
out to me was the Reds on Sunday. I think
I'm glad I didn't bet that game, but man, like
you're gonna playoff race, you're playing the A's and it's
just like it's bad baseball. And it even spills over
to that Reds Cardinals game last night because that's where
I'm gonna go to start the show.
Speaker 2: Have you noticed that as well? Do guys just look tired?
Speaker 1: Are we like really in the home stretch and dudes
are just exhausted at this point?
Speaker 3: Seems to be there's a lot of ugly baseball out there,
and you are right, you just got to try to
find the teams that look like they've got something that
they're trying for continuing to play well, and other teams.
In fact, you know, there was a game that I
used yesterday the Cubs in Pittsburgh, and Pittsburgh offense looks
like I can't wait for the season to end. Luckily,
the Cubs stayed under the team total, but Pittsburgh's offense,
it is dead. And I looked at that line originally
and I said, wow, getting skiings at home at this number,
and then I realized how bad the offense has been
and maybe these guys were just worn out. A lot
of them, especially if you got a lot of younger
guys aren't used to playing that many games, so they
time to wear out. Yeah, you gotta look at every
game individually. There are certain teams that have been out
for a while, like the Angels. I'm want to be
looking to fade. They've got nothing to play for after
early in the season they were surprising people. And yeah,
you got to pick every team individually. But there's a
lot of bad baseball out there.
Speaker 4: So go ahead and give us your thoughts on the
Reds and Cardinals.
Speaker 3: Okay, we'll look at the Reds of Cardinals here, and
we look at the Cincinnati Abbot and McGreevy going for
Saint Louis. Abbot's about a one twenty favorite here total
on eight. When you look at Abbot, he's had that
amazing season. He's an amazing career, actually three seasons three
point four to one ERA. He's been very good. Whips
higher once you would like at one point two four.
But I think he's one of those guys that doesn't
he won't get into the middle of the middle of
the the diet or excuse me, in the middle of
the strike sound and tried to blow you away. He
does got fastball ve loss. He's only in the twenty
fourth percentile flatball pitcher of the ninth percentle So he's
going today. He's got that three point four eight expected ARA.
He's been very good. He's had you know, there's not
many people that have been his consistent he had all
the season. Michael McGreevy four point four to four EARRA,
four point six three expected, one point two three whip.
It's it's very interesting how his stats show up here
on Baseball Savant. His strikeout rate is slousy, third percentile
whip rate a expected batting average fifth. But yeah, he
doesn't walk anyone. He's walked three point six this year
as opposed to two point three percent last year. And
he keeps everybody. As I said before, he's like a
veteran pitcher. It's been around a long time. Yeah, he's
only twenty five years old. I believe last time I
used him he got bombed. So I like his overall makeup.
I don't trust Cincinnati. Cincinnati at this point, when you
take a look at these standings, they're down to seven
point seven percent chance of making the playoffs. I lean
Saint Louis. That's a team that's continuing to play solid ball.
Every day and they're under the radar. So I leave
Saint Louis in this game.
Speaker 4: Five dollars Tuesday today, guys, which means we're all putting
plays out for five dollars. Minds up already, and we
just talked doing a special thing today where we can
put several multi plays in one package for five dollars.
So check out what all three of us have today.
Mine's already up. I'm sure these guys will have something
as well. I have a free play up as well.
If you follow me on Twitter, you noticed I went
to Walmart and got the Apple Fireball yesterday, so I'm
in a good mood. I haven't drank it yet here
at six am in Arizona. Regarding this game again, if
you follow me on Twitter, you saw that I went
to the casino yesterday and put a nice little bet
on the Reds minus one at plus one forty eight,
which cashed. I liked the Reds yesterday, but as Adam
and Brian both alluded to sloppy baseball, this game went
back and forth, up and down. The Reds were up
by two, down by one, up by two. Nobody could
hold the lead until the end where the Reds kind
of broke out. My numbers have the Reds favored in
almost every category but just barely, which is the reason
why I took him at plus money yesterday. If the
let's see what the odds are today, Cincinnati's minus one fifteen.
So I'm not going to take it at that. But
if I were to play it, I would take Cincinnati
again because I just have them ranked a little bit higher.
This is where prices come into play when my cap.
When I have one team leading every category but just barely,
if I can get them for plus money, I will,
but anything minus money I won't take it. So not
on Cincinnati today.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, I guess the reason I kind of,
you know, framed it like, you know, a lot of
these a lot of teams are just there's some bad baseball.
Is I had the Reds in mind thinking like, okay,
this is this is a team that I'm supposed to
look at this team and think they're a playoff team
because they're two games out. If the Mets didn't just
fall off the face of the earth and lose eight straight,
none of these teams we wouldn't be talking about any
of these teams in the in the context of, oh,
they might be a playoff team, and I look at
the team like the Reds. They're seventy five and seventy five.
They should be better because they have the talent. But
this team is as guilty as any in turn of
just like brain dead baseball, making a mistake, base running error,
throwing a ball into the stands on a routine play
like that. That's the stuff. They've been doing this all year.
Forget about forget about last few weeks, like getting tired.
They've been doing this all year. Going back to Bryan's point,
the Cardinals, I feel like are one of the few
teams that I've watched over the last month that I
feel like give a consistent effort. Yes, they lost last night.
I get that blown up in the ninth you know
the car the Reds got the timely hit and busted
that open in the ninth inning. But I look at
this game. You know McGreevy. I like him just I'm
personally high on him. I know that there's a lot
of blue on the stat cast page. I think he's
a guy that's probably gonna take a big step in
the next season. He's someone I want to watch during
the offseason because I feel like he's very close. He's
been very good at TRIPAA for two years. He's been
in the system for a long time, and he's starting
to figure it out. So he's the type of guy
that I think I'm gonna really like going into next season.
But I think I could stomach him here based on
the back the Reds aren't gonna have like their bullpen.
I felt like they were gonna blow that game on
a couple of different occasions yesterday. They don't have a
ton of bullpen depth, and they've used some of the
better arms you know, over the course of the last
really mostly last night. Many how many bullpen arms did
the Red Jews last night?
Speaker 2: Brian?
Speaker 1: Do you have that there by any chance or I
can look it up real quick. I feel like they
used a lot of relievers.
Speaker 3: Yeah, let's take a look at it. If they've updated
over here at Fangrause. They used all four of their
best relievers last night but got only ten pitches and
he didn't pitch the day before, but Santia, it's probably
not available. Phillips won seventeen pitches n Ashcraft one nineteen,
so a little bit short handed in the bullpen. But
they shouldn't be too better.
Speaker 4: Shit, they both will be though, because that game went
so back and forth yesterday.
Speaker 1: Yeah, specifically Santia and Phillips. I feel like, really like
high leverage. Santine was big sweat. I think he ended
up loading the bases and had to get out of
a jam. Actually, I think he allowed the game to
be tied, bases were loaded, he got out of it.
Phillips had had to get some big out. So I'm
on the Cardinals here too. I don't know if this
will make my client card certainly on my list, I
think they bounce back.
Speaker 2: I think they have a nice edge in the bullpen.
Today they're at home, and.
Speaker 1: Just like over the last few weeks, they're one of
the few teams I feel like I've given you a
consistent effort night in, night out, whether they've won or lost.
I think they're playing pretty good baseball. So they're kind
of like one of the teams I want to back
at this point. So Cardinals is I don't you know what,
Let's just do it. This might actually be a client
play for me. I'm gonna go Cardinals on the money line.
We'll get the parlay started early. Rian what's the uh,
what's the price on that.
Speaker 3: You're getting on it? Let's go about plus one oh seven.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean the fact that their plus money right now.
I mean that's terrific if they are. Yeah, let's do
that plus one oh seven first.
Speaker 2: Parlay a league locked in. I think they're going to
bounce back here.
Speaker 1: And I think the Reds are just getting too much
love for being two games out of the wild card,
Like there are only two games out of there are
only two games out of a playoff spot. Because the
Mets decided to lose eight straight. If they didn't lose
eight straight, this is an irrelevant game. And I feel
like the REGs are just getting way too much credit
in that regard. So yeah, we'll go Cardinals in the
parlay here, Colin, he says, do the Mariners finally catch
an l today? He sees runs in that game. Let's
go to the Mariners, who have really kind of bounced back.
I want to go back to maybe it was about
two weeks ago, Brian, they were swept by the Rays,
and then I think they went and maybe dropped two
of three from the Braves. It looked like my Mariners
Al West ticket future was cooked at that point, but
they've bounced back nicely. They found a way to get
a win in every game in that Cardinal series, all
close wins. Coming into today, they are now a half
game ahead of the Astros for the AL West lead.
And let me go back to it's nice having a
full slate of games, but now I'm losing my spot.
Speaker 2: We got the.
Speaker 1: Mariners on the road here, Logan Gilbert, Michael Waka out
in Kansas City. Do you see anything in this one?
And you want to comment on the total? Colin says
he likes the over as well.
Speaker 3: Okay, Well, first off, Gilbert is about a one forty
favorite over Waka, who's back from the IL a total
of eight to the over or eight and a half
to the under. As I touched on Pittsburgh just a
few minutes ago. They got hit and so they're up
at about the one thirty range now, so we'll see
how that one goes. But Logan, Gilbert, it's good as
Hee has been this year. He's got four wins right now,
he's one hundred and fourteen innings, which is about ninety
innings less than what he had last year. He'll probably
get one more start after this, so he's trying to
end the season with a non losing record. You know,
last year, as good as he was, he had a
losing record nine to twelve with a three point two
to three ERA in five seasons. Now he's got a
three point five to nine ERA in the American League
with which is somewhat better hitters slightly, but forty five
and thirty six career record now not the record you
would see out of a guy with a three point
five nine ERA one point oh six career whip. But
he's he's got a lot of right on a stack cast,
which is what you like. But his average ex velocity
is in the thirteenth percentile barrel right, still worse than
average heart hit rate. So he's gotten hit a lot
earlier this year. I think he hopefully's coming out of
it expected. The RA is only two point eighty six,
so he's been his typical self.
Speaker 4: He just.
Speaker 3: Has been up and down. When he's gotten hit, he's
gotten hit hard. Michael Waka comes in three point four
or five ERA four point oh four to one point
one eight whip. He also has a losing record on
the year. He's nine to ten with a three point
four to five YARRA, which tells you do not look
at win losses if you're grading pictures. But ever, Jacks
Veloci eighty nine percent, hard hit rate, ninety third percentile
walk great seventy ninth. That's what he does. He keeps
you off balance. He's not going to pressure with the
strikeout rate sixteenth percentle with twenty second. So we've got
two guys that are pretty good pictures here in this game.
But we're looking at a total of eight in Kansas
City here. That is kind of low. If you take
a look at the park factors today. Let's see if
anything shows in this game the win blowing slightly in
from right to the left. They're expecting six percent more
runs than a normal baseball game today, So the weather
effect likes the over here. I have no opinion. Sorry,
I couldn't help in that regard with total. But see
I was playing well, they've got the better bullpen. But
I don't know if I want to lay that number here.
Speaker 4: Yeah, guys, a couple comments before I get to that game,
A lot of you said, I look old, Look, I'm
at a yellow I'm under a yellow light and it's
six o'clock in the morning. So, by the way, I'm
almost fifty six, so I am old. But the lighting
is not helping. If you ever saw that Seinfold episode
where he's dating that woman who when she's in the dark,
she's ugly and when she's in the light she's good looking,
That's that's what this is. I'm ugly for this week.
To deal with it. The other thing is I bought
a while I was here, I bought a Tops nineteen
fifty six baseball set. Look at this? Is that sweet?
Or what we've got? Handkaring?
Speaker 3: That's not a set? That's one card?
Speaker 4: Yeah, I know, the whole set is right here.
Speaker 3: You got the whole set?
Speaker 4: Yeah, I stad six grand.
Speaker 3: All right, because I know they're expensive because I used
to let cards.
Speaker 4: Yeah yeah, yeah, six grand, but it's worth it. I
love this. I just put him in the folder yesterday.
I'm in heaven with my Apple Fireball in my nineteen
fifty six top set.
Speaker 3: But anyway, don't spell it and fireball on those guards exactly.
Speaker 4: But yeah, I mean, I got the whole set here. Man,
it's looking good. Anyways, back to this game. I don't
see any other way to look in Seattle here. I mean,
I agree that Logan Gilbert should have a better record,
but I mean his stats against Kansas City. There's two
red flags here regarding Seattle. Number One, as they're on
the road, Gilbert's not as good as the pitcher on
the road as he is at home. And Waka's got
pretty good stats at home. But Seattle is just way
better team. Looking at all my stats that they lead
Kansas City in almost every category by a mile. Hitting
there are almost eighteen points better than Kansas City. Bullpen,
they're fourteen points better than Kansas City and starting pitcher.
I've got Logan Gilbert ranked about eight spots on a
curve of thirty ahead of WAKA. So overall, I got
Seattle about twelve points better than Kansas City, and anything
over ten for me is a play on the side.
So it's Seattle or nothing for me. Their bats are
just they're heating up. They hit a cold spot, they're
heating up now, and they've got playoff fever, and it's
hard to beat playoff fever. Logan Gilbert's stats against these
batters is not great. They're not great stats. I think
he's got about a seven sixty ops, which is a
little bit over the Mendoza line average is like two
thirty something. I can deal with that. I think I
think Seattle is just too much of a better team
here not to take this game. Matter of fact, I'm
gonna make it my parlay leg. Sorry, Adam, that's gonna
be my parlay leg. I think it's uh, what is
it right now? Minus one fifty?
Speaker 3: I'm saying even better, you can get.
Speaker 2: Adam.
Speaker 4: You're muted.
Speaker 2: Yeah, my dogs were going nuts.
Speaker 1: There's probably a mutiny in the upstairs of my house
right now where I have it set up.
Speaker 2: I can't see them.
Speaker 1: I have I have like a ranch, so it's like
we don't have like an upstairs, but the whole the
whole basement is is re like furnished and whatnot. So
I'm down here where I have my little like studio
set up, and they're up there and I can't see
what's going on, but but I can. I can hear it,
and it's like, you know, they're they're they're going nuts
about something.
Speaker 2: I don't know. They probably see a squall dog party. Yeah,
I've been drinking.
Speaker 1: First of all, I could probably spend the rest of
the show watching you break that like that. I might
I might actually be able to sit here for two
hours or watch you do that that is And second
I figured it out, you look like you know those
like uh photos, you're like in the I took this
like as a kid with my family, where you like
put the costumes on, you're in like the the saloon,
and then you take the picture and it comes out
like CP a tone or I think they might call
it like where it's like it's like a little bit
like that's what that's what you look like right now.
So you don't look old, you just look like you're
you're in that type of lighting. That's it, you know,
Here's Ted, Here's Ted Williams. Anyway, that's awesome, it really is.
Speaker 4: I'll put some other but I gotta say this quietly.
But my mom is almost eighty, so she likes everything dark,
even in the afternoon. She turns all the lights off
and shuts the shutters on, like Mom, what are you doing?
Speaker 1: So anyway, I love it though, because I had so
many of those full box sets, But I grew up
in an era where they overproduced cards, so like all
of my late eighties early nineties box sets are worthless
because they just overproduced him that's so, that's awesome. As
far as this I listen, like, I may I might
have been wrong about Logan Gilbert.
Speaker 2: I still think the guys.
Speaker 1: I still think the guys is pitching through something, but
like credit to credit to him for being able to
just like suck it up. In my opinion, if he
is hurt, you wouldn't really know by watching him pitch.
Speaker 2: Now.
Speaker 1: The reason I say I think he's hurt is because
he went on the Ayah with something a similar injury
that ended up costing Garrett Cole this whole season.
Speaker 2: So I was like, I was basically like, okay, he
you know he and I.
Speaker 1: Go back to that start where he got where he
got pummeled by the Phillies, and I'm like, man, something
does not look right here. But since that start six
innings against the As, thirteen strikeouts, six innings against the Guardians,
thirty six strikeouts, six innings against the Braves, seven strikeouts.
Last time out against the Cardinals was in a super
long outing. But he's still getting the strikeouts. I don't
really want to bet against him right now, even though
in the back of my head, I'm like still feel
like there's something maybe not like totally right with him.
Speaker 2: But he's just a dog.
Speaker 1: He's pitching through it and he's he's looked great like
the last four times out.
Speaker 2: So I'm not really dying to fade him either.
Speaker 1: As you guys know, the chat knows, I'm very, very
invested in this Mariners team and a long term standpoint,
I need.
Speaker 2: Them to win the division.
Speaker 1: I've got them laddered in in winning the American League,
winning the World Series. So I'm with you TV. I
feel like they weathered that little patch of of you know,
Ray's braves weren't playing great baseball, and the Royals, you know,
are a team that they tried to stay in it
for a long time. I felt like the Guardians kind of,
you know, put him, put him out to Pastor last
week in that series a little bit six and a
half back. Now, I don't know that there's enough juice
on this Royals team to make me want to touch
Michael Waka here.
Speaker 2: He's not.
Speaker 1: He's the one thing I will say about him is
he does a good job of limiting hard contact. That's
the thing that maybe keeps me off the over a
little bit in this game. It's like the Mariners, if
you can keep them off balance and limit like the
big time exit below, they're not going to hit as
many home runs and they're not gonna score as many runs.
So to go back to Collin's Originals take, I'm not
dying to back and over in this contest. Because of that,
I guess I'm with TV. I think the Mariners right
now can can kind of they can kind of see
the finish line. I'm potentially pulling off this division win.
They've got the half game lead, they're playing good baseball,
and I'm just out on the Royals at this point.
So I'm with you, TV. Mariner's money line sounds good.
All right, we're moving on. We're moving on.
Speaker 2: Let's go to.
Speaker 1: Let's go to Steve dukes is who's pitching for the Giants.
I think they're gonna use Let's go to that game
because this is another playoff implications game. Brian Leonard, how
about those Arizona Diamondbacks, TV, TV, you gotta get to
a game while you're out there that they might be
a playoff team again this year with the yeah, well
go look at you you. I was looking at the
d Bacs last night. I was watching that game, and
you know, I'm sitting here. They win, They're a game
and a half behind the Mets. I don't know who
put together their schedule, but they did Arizona no favors
because I'm pretty sure Arizona finishes with Giants, Dodgers, Giants, Phillies, Dodgers,
Padres and some in some those are the last twelve games.
So Arizona has an absolutely brutal schedule coming up. I
really feel like they need to take advantage of this
series at home. The Giants are another one of those
teams where they had this great stretch, they kind of
I feel like they're fizzling out in front of our
eyes right now. I know, Brian, you haven't really been
a big believer in the Giants team at all. Are
is this kind of what you expected to happen? And
are are you going to sort of continue to bet.
Speaker 2: In that way?
Speaker 1: Because I know about a week ago you said this
Giants teams not for real, and the last three days
they've looked like a team that's starting to sort of feed.
Speaker 3: Right now, we don't know who the Giant starter is,
so I won't comment much on it. But Rodriguez going
for Arizona, he's the left to the veteran left. He
coming back from the lost season a year ago, about
a one twenty five favorite here total of nine And
when you look at Rodriguez's numbers four point nine to
eighty RA four point three, I expected one point five
to five whip, which is extremely high. He's always had
a little bit of a high whip one point three
to three in his ten year ten year career. Hard
hit rate ninety first percentile, AVA Jackson velositi eighty third,
but fastball velocity's down to the sixteenth percentile. His numbers
are not great, but you know it's like I said,
last year he only threw fifty innings. Is up to
one thirty seven. Now he'll be better in the future,
but this year he's had a down season. Don't know
if I trust him and down knowing who San Francisco
is using, I can't count mine on the game.
Speaker 4: Yeah, it's five dollars Tuesday, guys, so grab our five
dollars plays. Wager Talk's also letting us put packages of
multi plays for five dollars, So go see what we got.
I got a free play up and my five dollars
plays up. This is the last time I'm going to
mention these cards, but I've just been going through Jackie Robinson,
Sandy Kofax. These are two of the really nice ones.
Here's Willie Mays, can't really see it.
Speaker 2: I saw a few of those to Cooper'stown and this is.
Speaker 4: The krem Della Prem. Here's Mickey Mantle. Now, this one
in good shape is around two grand by itself, but
mine's in bad shape. So I got this whole set
for like six grand. So normally this set goes between
fifteen and sixteen grand, but it's it's they're ungraded in,
they're in not great condition. But it is a complete set,
nineteen fifty six tops amazing. I'm I'm in seven to seven.
So anyways, regarding this game, I agree with Brian. There's
a couple too many X factors here for me to
bet this. The fact that here's a situation when one
team is really late to release their starter, you can
almost guarantee that they're going to be using their bullpen
quite a bit, because even if it's a normal starting pitcher,
he's off his he's off his schedule, and he's probably
not going to go like six seven innings, right, You're
probably going to get four to five innings out of them,
so you can almost be rest assured there's going to
be a lot of bullpen usage. San Francisco's bullpen has
been really bad lately. I got him ranked twenty two
out of thirty in current form, but Arizona's I got
it ranked twenty five. So we got two pretty poor
bullpens here, two lineups that are kind of cranking it.
I got Arizona eight, san Francisco nine, So if anything,
I would look to an over here e Rod not
my favorite picture in the world. I got him rank
twenty one on a curve of thirty of all starting pitchers,
so he's in the bottom one third of all starting pitchers,
and San Francisco's got a question mark at the top.
So two bad bullpens, two lineups that can crank it.
So if anything, I would look to an over They're
gonna play with the roof closed. But yeah, this is
a hitters park, as we've said in previous shows, So
over or nothing for me.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm I'm looking here like I usually can figure
out who they might go with for a starter. I
have absolutely no idea what San Francisco is gonna do
for a starting pitcher, which a lot of times that
could be. So they're either gonna they're gonna gonna call
someone up from Triple A who I can't even figure
out whose turn it would be, just like here offhand,
because the Sacramento doesn't have a listed starter for today,
and so yeah, I kind of agree, like this actually
might be a bullpen game for the for the Giants,
just a true like piece it together bullpen type game.
You know, I've said this a few times the last week.
I really think the the Diamondbacks they're the closest team
in this race that to like a legitimate playoff team
if they if they didn't have like big time injuries
to their bullpen AJ puck Justin Martinez go down early
in the season, Zach Gallen have like a.
Speaker 2: You know, I know he.
Speaker 1: Pitched okay last night and he's maybe been better of late,
but have a terrible year like to his standards, they
would be the team in the playoffs. So to me,
like there's there's some you know, there's some intrigued intrigue
there for me because I look at it and say, okay, well,
if the pitching can can hold up here like this,
is a playoff lineup, no doubt, even without Naylor, even
without Sores, Like, they have a playoff caliber lineup right now.
And so that's something that's that's appealing to me. So,
you know, Eduardo Rodriguez, who I do not like. I've
said it on this show quite a bit, but I
don't like him relative to what Arizona paid him, where
he was sort of in the pecking order. I think
he's throwing the ball much better of late, Like he's
he's kind of quietly. I don't think he's earned his
contract yet by any means, but he's quietly been better.
And if you look at like what aras, what the
standard has become for pitching in Arizona this year, he's
actually not the worst option right now. Look at his
last couple starts, like I said, quietly, no one's talking
about it, six and a third shutout ball against the Giants,
last timeout, six innings, one run, four hits against the
Red Sox, six innings, a shutout ball against the Dodgers.
So you know, you look at his numbers quickly, four
point nine to eighty RA not impressive. You know, he's
he's I still think you could say he's generally been
a disappointment, but he's.
Speaker 2: Been a lot better of late.
Speaker 1: I gotta be I gotta imagine he's going to be
better than whatever whatever San Francisco puts out there today.
So I'm going to be following the Giants pitching situation closely.
But like, where, what do you see a market price
for that yet?
Speaker 2: Brian?
Speaker 1: Is it like minus one thirty, because that's a bargain
if it is, in my opinion.
Speaker 3: Uh, you're looking into play the Arizona.
Speaker 2: Side, Yeah, but it's not up many.
Speaker 3: Fine, you can get one twenty five out there right now.
Speaker 2: I mean that's that's again.
Speaker 1: Like I don't know what San Francisco is gonna do
with their pitching, but if it's gonna be a bullpen
game or they're gonna call uh someone whoever's whoever might
be hating bird Song.
Speaker 2: I can't remember when bird Song.
Speaker 1: Last pitch, But like, like it really depends on who
they've got down there. Diamondbacks minus won twenty five at home.
I don't think it's a bad bet.
Speaker 3: Is Lantin Roupero did to be? I know he started
as his rebuiltation, but is he ready to come up?
Because if he comes up, I would rather see him
than Rodriguez.
Speaker 2: Yeah, you know, that's a good question. I didn't catch his.
Speaker 1: I didn't catch any of his rehab, so if he did,
it was like sort of you know, under the radar,
maybe he didn't start. I'm gonna try to gonna quickly
try to pull that up now, because yeah, I mean, listen,
if Rupe is out there, that's not a guy I
personally want to bet against, So that would be a
that would be a no play for me. I like
him quite a bit, but he has not had a
rehab start yet. So he last pitched on August twentieth,
and he has not made an appearance yet.
Speaker 2: I think if they were to throw him back out
and Nick.
Speaker 1: Sometimes you'll see teams do this where it's like if
they've only been out for a couple of weeks, they
won't have a rehab outing.
Speaker 2: They'll just you'll just put him out there.
Speaker 1: I think I would fade him in this scenario, having
had no rehab outing at minus one twenty or minus
one twenty five for the home team. So that's one
I'll have my eye on what as well for a
potential client play.
Speaker 2: Today. I've already put my play out in the parlay,
so I'm not going to change it.
Speaker 1: But I do like the Diamondbacks there. Okay, do the
early game at one Nationals and Brains. Yeah, we'll talk
about this thrilling double header. At least we have day
baseball on a Tuesday, Brian Leonard, not exactly the most
meaningful day as well. But hey, like I've always said,
if if there's a game, we're sports betters. You know,
the Nationals Braves at one pm on a Tuesday, Game
one of a doubleheader can be just as meaning as
World Series Game seven to us, So it gets the
same treatment here on total basis. I will just throw
it over to you for a general comment on the doubleheader.
Game two is the matchup that looks to be set
in stone with Chris Sale and Mackenzie Gore. Any brave
National thoughts for you in either game today?
Speaker 3: Well, I think that have Suarez the lefty gone against
Irvin and when I see these two together in this ballpark.
In game one, let me check the quick weather report.
They're expecting four percent more runs in this game. The
wind is blowing in from right field to left a
little bit towards home play, so but my first thought
was be the over. We're looking at nine, nine minus one,
fifteen or whatever. That would be the way I would
treat that one. The second game with Sale, we talked
about this the other day, the five and flies, these
guys that aren't going to the playoffs, like a Chris
Sale and some of these other ones. For these teams,
they aren't going to be going to the playoffs, they're
gonna do these five and flies, and that's basically what
Sale did last time. He's going up against Gore. Two lefties,
probably the best left two best pitchers on the teams,
but I wouldn't expect more than five innings out to
be the one of them. The total in this game
is seven, so we got a big two run differential.
But based on the starting pitchers in these games, that's yeah, yeah,
I wouldn't bet. I wouldn't bet under not in Washington.
With the way that Atlanta's offense can hit, even though
they've got a lot of guys that going through the motions.
At least right now, they're just right wait for the
season I end. So I'll probably have nothing on this
double header, and I never play the second game of
the double header. Early until I find out who's used
in the first out of the bullpen.
Speaker 4: Yeah, guys, five dollars Tuesday, go see what we got
wager talk dot com free plays galore. Five dollars packages
up for almost every capper. I just went four and
oh in KBO if Samsung finally held on to win that,
so I was pretty happy about that. Yeah, Hama Hama,
SSG and LG's team total over I won all those
plus Samsung, so nice. It was a good night. Regarding
this game, I'm not going to bet the first game
because the picture's not decided for Atlanta. Jake Irvan is
not my favorite guy, but if you look at his
numbers against Atlanta, he's got pretty decent numbers against them,
so it's not an auto fade Jake Irvan day, I
don't think. Looking at the second game, we got Sale
and Gore Gore Man. He was cy young candidate in
the first half of the season. He's just fallen off
a cliff in the second half. Chris Sale is always
going to be Chris Sale, even though he gets up
there in age. He's a dominating pitcher. Batters hate to
face him. He's kind of like Randy Johnson, batters just
hated to face him, and they hate to face Chrisale,
even in his older age. He's much better than Gore.
So if anything, I would take Atlanta in Game two.
But let's see what the price is, probably like minus
two hundred or something ridiculous. One eighty five. Well, one
eighty five is in the realm where you could actually
do a minus one and get maybe a minus one
fifty to take Atlanta. The thing is, Washington's been hitting
the ball really well lately, even though like Brian said,
they're just they're just going through the motions finishing out
the season. But I got him ranked number eight in
hitting in MLB. Yesterday I lost their team total. I
had him over three and a half and they just
got to three and died.
Speaker 1: Uh.
Speaker 4: But I think they're a pretty decent hitting team. You
maybe take Washing to this team total in game one
because Atlanta's bullpen is Atlanta's bullpen's playing pretty well, but
we don't know who they're going to start. They might
get their bullpen stretched out. It's a two game day.
If anything, that's where I would go. But I'm kind
of with Brian here. I'll probably not bet either one
of these games.
Speaker 1: I think, Brian, you said it's it's likely Jose Suarez,
former Los Angeles Angeles angel in game one.
Speaker 2: That's what I thought too.
Speaker 3: I was also website os logic.
Speaker 2: Yeah, it makes sense.
Speaker 1: He's been he's been starting games down to gwinnit for them.
I actually so assuming that's the case, which I do
think we can assume that correctly at this point. I
like the Braves in game one, he's he's thrown it
well down for the most part down at Triple A.
So just quick briefing on on his season so far.
He was coming out of the bullpen for the Braves
early in the season, couple outings looked really good. Got
Hurt was hurt, I'm sorry, went back down to win
it to start. Got Hurt has basically went back to
like I think he was rehabbing down in like a
ball for the beginning part of August. So he's only
been back starting games in Triple A since like late August.
But like I watched, the start against Norfolk was pretty good.
I think six shutout innings in that game. He is
he has been so the reason I point that out
is he was a reliever for them for a little
bit starter got hurt, kind of building his way back
up his last so his last three starts, which I
would consider like normal starts for the Triple A squad.
Six innings, three hits, no runs, six strikeouts, no walks.
That's pretty good. Against Durham six innings, two runs, five hits,
eight strikeouts, no walks.
Speaker 2: Not bad. And then last time out against Nashville, five innings,
three runs, seven strikeouts, two walks. Pretty good.
Speaker 1: It's not terrible like that is you know, those are
good numbers right there in three starts at Triple A,
I feel like he's throwing the ball well. And nash
I'm sorry, Nashville. The Nationals are very much Triple A
lineup right now. I mean, this is this team is
no better. Their lineup's no better than like a lot
of I mean, it's it's what six or seven of
these guys could easily be at Triple A. Yeah, you've
got you know, you've got a couple of veterans in there,
But this is not a lineup that I think strikes
my much fear into the hearts of anyone. And then
the second thing is they haven't really hit lefties well
this year, so I think the Braves actually have a
pretty substantial edge in game one. How much do they
care to go play a road doubleheader in DC? Well,
that you're gonna have to like decide.
Speaker 2: I don't know.
Speaker 1: This is a team that I talked about two weeks ago,
maybe not caring at all about these last couple of weeks.
But if you're just going off straight talent, like I'd
much rather have the Braves and Irvin in this first game.
I'm sorry, the Braves and Swars in this first game
than the Nationals and Irvin. And who knows, maybe the
line will come down thirty cents and I can actually
bet it. I think it's like minus one forty right now.
I have no interest at that price, but you never know.
Sometimes He's doubleheader games take some money. It's the standalone game.
If someone out there were to decide to bet the Nationals,
I'd probably play back at that.
Speaker 2: So this is one that I'll have an eye my
eye on as we get closer to post.
Speaker 1: If I could get like minus one twenty five on
the Braves, I'd probably take it at minus one forty.
I have no interest, but wolf Eye's Gaming TV. That's
my take on the day game because you asked for it.
So all right, mar Kins, And yeah, let's talk about
this one Jay's Rays I watched last night.
Speaker 2: That was awesome. Trey is Savage, my guy? He might,
he might, he may.
Speaker 1: He may be the key to the Blue Jays winning
the American League this year.
Speaker 2: That was extremely impressive.
Speaker 1: I totally did not expect to see him out there
for six innings last night. That was the Braves kind
of slow rolling everyone because they had not pushed him
that far at Triple A in a couple of weeks.
After the inning, John Schneider went to tray a Savage
and this is a quote from one of the Blue
Jays beat reporters, asked if he was ready to be
a big boy and go out for the sixth, which
he was, and he was dominant. So just an awesome display.
And if you're if you're looking at futures or who
might win this thing, the Blue Jays, if they could
throw you Savage at like the back end of those games,
Like if they think he's got the guts to go
out there in the eighth and ninth inning and throw
that split finger for a strike. No one's hitting at
Brian Leonard. That's one of the most impressive pitches I've
seen this year from any pitcher, just straight up, if
he could throw that pitch at the bottom of the
zone for a strike consistently, no one will hit it.
Promise you it's that good. And then the Blue Jays
end up walking it off. You could have got the
Blue Jays yesterday. I think we talked about it on
the show. Rays took some money. You could have got
the Blue Jays at minus one twenty five. They end
up walking it off in extras. Now they've won five straight.
They come out and I look, it looks like we've
got Burrios and Pepio here.
Speaker 2: So anyway, that was just me making sure.
Speaker 1: If you haven't seen it, go to Rob Friedman's page,
go to Pitching Ninja, and just watch all nine of
those Tray Savage strikeouts. Very very impressive stuff. But today
it's Barrios and Pepio. Less impressive from the pitching standpoint.
How are you seeing this one?
Speaker 3: Yeah? Brand has talked about today being five dollars Tuesday.
I do have a playoff in college football for Saturday.
I really like I've got that up for only five
dollars twenty five dollars if you wait after till after midnight. Tonight,
Brandon was showing the baseball cards and he showed al Kline.
And when I was growing up, you know, Detroit had
a pretty good team, a lot of star players, Norm
Cashional and I always thought al Kline had a side
job or he made batteries because of the alkaline batteries.
So just for years I thought, I go, man, that
guy's make me reckon in the money. Okay, getting to
the game, we got Burios and Pepio Barry. It's basically
a pick them bait in eight and a half, and
in my opinion, it should be a pick them. Burios
is a guy that gets it done. Nine to five
record after a three point nine ninety RA four point
seventy five. Always underperforms his uh. I wouldn't say always,
but the majority of his career he's underperformed. Is overperforms
is expected the RAS. But he's got a lot of
blue on his on his website for his rankings, his
barrel rate and only in the ten percent is a concern.
This is a good, pretty good hitters ballpark for being
a minor league ballpark, and I guess they're going to
be back in the trot next year. They've reinforced the
the roof and so uh, they'll get back to their
better pitching environment there. But Pepio is going for Tampa Bay.
Three point five ninety RA, three point ninety six, one
point one three whip. His number are better than what
he has been this year. I've been a little bit
disappointed by him. His extension is very good, but his
barrel right, his walk right, his hard hit rate are
all somewhat concerning in the bottom three thirty of the
baseball bottom sixty seven percent, I guess in baseball. So yeah,
it's two guys here, and I think the line lines correct.
I didn't have anything on the game, so I'm not
going to waste any more time.
Speaker 4: Yeah, yes, that it's a great game. He probably felt
quite at home in that minor league ballpark that they
were playing in yesterday. I love watching the highlights from
that ballpark. Right, it looks totally looks like a minor
league game. How How can a rich league like MLB
allow this stuff to happen?
Speaker 2: So ridiculous two teams playing in minor league.
Speaker 4: I know, the A's and Tampa It shouldn't happen. NFL
would never let something like that happen, but this is baseball.
But anyway, I digress, So Pepio taking on Barrios today.
Pepio's got really good stats against these these Blue Jays.
But blue Jays are just racing. They have been ranking
for almost two weeks straight. Got them ranked number two
in all of MLB and run production, but I have
Dampa ranked higher than the Blue Jays and almost everything else,
including bullpen and starting pitching. I got Pepio on a
curve of thirty ranked twelve, where I got Barrios ranked
twenty three. Now I like Barrios. People are going to say,
you're pronouncing his name. Okay, Barrios, But anyway, he used
to be one of those iron men who I love
to bet his outs props on. But he's kind of
fading away from being that guy. His stats against the
Rays are not bad. He's right around the Mendoza line
seven point fifty ops and a two thirty five average against.
Looking at his game log, he rarely goes six innings anymore.
He's not that guy anymore. If anything, I'd like to
play the Rays, but I can't. I don't know why.
I can't, but something inside me is saying, don't do it,
probably because the Jay's lineup is just so power pack
and they're on such a role. Hard to bet against
the lineup that's just crushing like that, even if the
other team has almost every advantage, so it would be
raised or nothing for me, But I'm not going to
do it.
Speaker 1: This is probably my strongest total opinion of the day.
I like over here both. You know, I'm with Brian
in the respect that like Pepio's is the starting pitcher
of the two that I prefer. Have no issues going
against Jose Brios at this point. I think his profile suggests,
you know, more runs than less, at least the rest
of the way. He may be a guy that I
like that I target for a fade in a playoff
start if they I'm assuming they're going to start him
in a playoff game, so you know, I'm fine with
playing against him. There's you know, the Rays used some
bullpen arms yesterday, so you know it's a game that
went extra inning, so maybe some runs late on the
end of this game. TV makes a great point the
Blue Jays one through nine is as tough of a
lineup to navigate as there is. So you're you're up
against what I consider to be one of the elite
lineups in Major League Baseball. You're in a park that's
small that that will give up the you know, the
cheap homer certainly not the trop when it comes to
you know, how the ballpark plays. So I think that
helps to the over as well. And again, like Ryan said,
like the Pepio has just not been the guy that
I think we expected him to be this year. Gives
up high exit v low like there's you know that
there's just like I don't think that the Jays are
won't be able to do something off of him.
Speaker 2: So when I look at this.
Speaker 1: Game, I see, you know, maybe and the other thing
here that the Jays what are they They've won five
straight games now their lead in the American League. I
don't have it right here, but it's got to be
at least five games. You're not going to see them
stress out all the leverage arms like it's just you know, this,
this could be like a little bit of a free
for all. I think at the end of the game,
you know, after a two to one extra innings type
game yesterday that you're getting like a very like the
key number of eight and a half here at reduced juice,
I think makes that a good a good over bet.
Both teams get to four, you've got a winner. And
I don't see either of these pitchers completely going in
and wiping out the other team TVs. Right about the
Blue Jays lineup, they'll get something here. And I just
have no faith in Barrios going like six innings and
not giving something up to the raising this ballpark.
Speaker 2: So I like the over over eight and a half
is the way I would play this one. Go ahead, Brian, I.
Speaker 3: Just want we're getting a little bit later in the show.
I just want it. I've been giving out a lot
of games which I don't have much of an opinion.
You don't mind, I'll give out ahead. I parlay like here,
I'm gonna take a look at the Cleveland Detroit game.
Detroit's going with Joey Cantillo, a lefty against Casey Mayes.
Current line is about one forty for Detroit, total of
eight to the over A little bit. When I'm looking
at this game, and I'm really when I'm looking at
any game right now where you've got a lefty going
against Detroit, I'm probably going to have a nice lean
here or a play on the lefty. Right now, Detroit
over the last fourteen days has a ninety two WRC
plus or Cleveland is one oh five, so Clay's hitting
a little bit better. But the main reason why I
like this is because if a lefty is going, it
means although Parker Meadow's did that, last time a lefty
lefty pitcher went, he did beat eighth in the lineup.
He's been batting the lead off against the righties, so
I would expect him to set out this game. I
think Meadows sits out starting lineup, Carpenter sits out the
starting lineup, and Cole Keith sit out the starting lineup,
and in their replace you'll get Jaber Bayaz, Andy Boniez
and Jamal Jones. That's a big drop off and that's
one of the reasons why I like Cleveland in this game.
Joey Cantillo on the season three point three six ERA,
three point sixty one expected. In fact, last year I
had three point eighty three expected. It was much better
than what his ERA was. In the game, He's not
gonna blow you away with his fastball or his chase rate.
And he does walk a little bit too many people
with the whip in the one thirty range, but his
extensions in the ninety nine percent of tall of six
foot four, and his whiff rate's great, his strikeout rates great,
and his barrel rate is great. I wish he threw
one more pitch. They'll probably have to develop that as
the season goes on in the off season. But I
like him, and he matches up to me. He matches
up pretty well. The Casey Casey Mice comes in with
the fourteen to five record, but he's got that three
point eight three ERA, three point seven seven, expected one
point two seven. I've got these guys pretty much in
the same range. I actually have Catillo slightly better, so
we've got a slightly better pitcher that happens to be
a lefty, which Detroit loses three of their better beats
because of that. And you're getting Cantillo here in the
plus anywhere from plus one eighteen to plus one twenty three.
And money has come in on Detroit, So I'm bucking
the early line here. But I like Cleveland. Cleveland's playing
really good. They've won nine out the last ten games.
Detroit's five and five Cleveland has seven I believe six
or seven games left with Detroit, and they trail Detroit
by I think six and a half games, so I
don't expect Cleveland to sweep the entire two serieses, but
they can put a scare into Detroit here, and there's
still only three games out of the wild Cards, so
Clavel's pretty confident and I don't think they're going to
make it, but as long as the players are talking
about it, that's what I want to look into. And
Cleveland over the earth has been very good against divisional
rivals as Detroit has been, so I like, Cleveland, are
you getting them? Let's play him at plus one twenty
one right now.
Speaker 4: Totally agree with Brian on this one. Cantilla is a
much better pitcher than Mice, and the bullpen for Cleveland
much better than Detroit. The only area where I see
Detroit being better than Cleveland in current form is hitting.
But like Brian said, Detroit is basically going to coast
it out and play their best players sparingly just to
keep them in form, but not really trying to win games,
but just trying to keep them in form for the playoffs.
So I totally agree with that cap, I would go
with Cleveland here as well. Only way to go in
my opinion.
Speaker 1: Yeah, the Tigers have been ex exactly what I thought
they would be this month. Uh, it's an open tryout.
Speaker 4: A J.
Speaker 1: Hinch is trying different different things out with his lineup,
with his you know, with some of the guys he's
been able to get on the roster from tripa A.
Really he's just trying the next I mean, that's this
is exactly what I expected the Tigers to do in September,
play roughly five hundred baseball because there's still a very
good ball club.
Speaker 2: So like that's the thing. Even even when he's going
to experiment.
Speaker 1: With stuff, they're still gonna win half of their games
because they're that they're just a good ball club.
Speaker 2: But like what do they what do they need?
Speaker 1: You know, why would they need to do anything different?
They they've got a stranglehold on the division. They've already
won it. You know, it's there's really so Yeah, and
and you know Carpenter probably out maybe you see, like
I don't know, someone like Jami Jones get to play
like this.
Speaker 2: This is what I'm talking about.
Speaker 1: Like you're gonna just see guys rotated in and out,
and so pretty much my rule right now, like, there's
zero chance I'm gonna lay any sort of price with
the Tigers the rest of the year because I just
don't think you're gonna get that like killer instinct from
like a like a like the way the game is
managed type thing. Now when you get to the playoffs,
a J.
Speaker 2: Hinches is the biggest killer in that regard.
Speaker 1: He's he's going to know exactly how to uh how
to you know, set up a playoff roster to to
optimize it.
Speaker 2: But right now, that's just not the goal.
Speaker 1: The goal is putting guys in situations that might fail,
because you got to see if they've got the ability
to do that two weeks from now when it really matters.
So yeah, no chance I'm going to lay a price
with the Tigers. I don't really care for mys personally.
He's been more of a fade for me this year
than anything. And you know, Brian Cantillo's growing on me.
They you know, I talked about him way earlier this year.
He went to Columbus, they decided that they were going
to stretch him out and make him a starter. And
I've been mostly impressed with what I've seen from him
since he's come back up, gets a lot of swing
and miss. I think he's a guy that that you know,
is definitely sort of on my play on list if
I you know, I don't want to fade them, let's
put it that way. So, yeah, I can't really argue
with a plus price on the Guardians here, especially with
how they've played nine to one over their last ten games.
They clearly have some momentum, so why not sort of
ride it while while it's going good?
Speaker 2: Right Like? That's how that's how September works for some
of these teams.
Speaker 4: You know.
Speaker 1: You look at a team like the Giants, Well they
lost that that energy. Now, maybe it's time to fade them.
But when they had it, it was like one win
after the other. That's what the Guardians are right now.
Four straight nine of their last ten. Huge game for them.
I don't mind the plus plus money here at all.
You said plus one twenty one roughly on that twenty one.
Speaker 3: Yeah, you can get one twenty three or one twenty four,
but one twenty one's pretty pretty.
Speaker 4: Well right there.
Speaker 1: All right, let's hit one more game and then I
will recap the Parley at the end. Since it's locked in, well,
I guess we'll talk about this one because there's there's
some folks that have that have brought up Phillies Dodgers.
It looks like Colin like the Phillies. I was kicking
myself that was if if that was probably the one
I was closest with yesterday for a Major League Baseball
play Oh, I can't say that.
Speaker 2: It was either Phillies or Rangers, and they went one
in one.
Speaker 1: But still I thought the Phillies were plus money was crazy.
They ended up getting it done. We have Phillies Dodgers
out west again. This will be the Degenerate Special. Brian Lennard,
I think this is the last one to go. Looks
like Showhy is going to start and we have Christopher
Sanchez on the other side.
Speaker 2: Any interest in Phillies Dodgers for you.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm glad at least we got a chance to
talk about what it would be. The most talented two
teams in baseball.
Speaker 2: Each other, but Phillies.
Speaker 3: Both teams are locked in the playoffs for such a
long time. But Sanchez going for the Phillies. He's been
pitching very well. He had a hell of the season,
a tiny going for the Dodgers. He's been up to
five innings now, so we'll see how this goes. Right now,
the Dodgers about a one thirty favorite total of seven
and a half to the under, and it's it's tough
playing seven and a half. So this good good hitting ballpark,
at least for home runs with two powerful teams in
Philadelphia and the Dodgers. So I may for this this
game hits seven and right now it's his seven and
a half minus fifteen. If everyone gets down to seven,
I think I'm gonna jump on that and play the over.
But obviously both pitchers a lot of talent. Christopher Sanchez
thirteen to five dollars season two point five to seven
are a three point eight expected one point one one whip.
He's been great and everything, and he only throws three
pitches the sinker of the change on the slider. He
does it without throw throwing basically throwing a four seamer.
But you got Otani going for the Dodgers, and right
now Toni is the guy that that has been very
good and he's starting to stretch himself out. Unfortunately, as
I'm looking here on the set Gass page. They don't
have any of the stats for all TOWNI on here
right now, so it must have been late in the
day when they made that announcement he was going to pitch,
so I don't have those exactly on me, but we
know what we get out of Altani like both these
offenses as well as the starters. But if I can
get that down to seven, I may play the over.
Speaker 4: Yeah, Philly's bullpen struggling. I mean even last night they
won the game but blew the save in the ninth
inning to give it up and go into extras. The
Dodgers' bullpen is playing better, but man, their best two
pitchers in their bullpen, Vessia and Trying, and both gacked
it away last night. And you know, like Brian said,
two powerful lineups, two bullpens that are pretty shaky, but
we got two really good starting pitchers. And one thing
to note, though, all Tony's numbers against these batters very poor. Actually,
if you look at his career, he's got sixty seven
at bats against them within two four average and a
nine eighty seven OPS. It's alarmingly high. Looks like that
doesn't look like any particular guy is doing a lot
of damage against him, but overall those are very bad numbers.
So if anything, I would go with the Phillies again
today here, but I can't because Dodgers are just too talented.
And according to my numbers, the Dodgers' bullpen is playing
better right now than the Phillies bullpen, which my eye
test doesn't agree with, but my numbers are telling me that.
So when when what I see and what my numbers
say don't jive together, I just stay away. So that's
how I see it.
Speaker 1: Huge numbers edge on the over here, especially if that
gets to seven. I mean, I know you have two
very very good pitchers on the mound, some decent bullpen arms,
but that's crazy and I think I think you can
even get a juice seven some places right now, which
if that was like minus one twenty or better. I'm
not a big fan of like laying use on total
in Major League Baseball. I think that's like a long
term maybe not the best idea, but I mean the
Phillies have used some pen so there could be runs there.
The thought process that like even against Sanchez or Otani,
that you don't get a couple of guys on and
someone hits one out.
Speaker 2: I mean, what is it.
Speaker 1: You know, really, theoretically, all it takes is one on
both sides, right, like one guy on home run two,
one guy on to two guys on home run three
to two. Suddenly, if you have an over seven and
that happens, I mean, you basically have the rest of
the game to get one run and then get to
like at least pushing that on that number. So yeah,
that's that's that line. I have about a full runoff
on the total of where it should be. That that's
the only way I could play this. We have to
be the over just way too low, even with the
two good pitchers.
Speaker 2: Go ahead, Brian.
Speaker 3: Yeah, if you take a look at the last two weeks,
Philadelphia last the majors in WRC plus at one, the
Dodgers a fourth at one twenty, so both teams are
hitting very well. Somebody come in there and bet that under,
so I can get that seven at a good number.
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, I mean even if Eyah, that's tough.
Speaker 1: I don't think you want to lay minus one thirty
on Major League Baseball totals. But yeah, I mean, honestly,
at this point I might even take that seven and
a half is playable in my opinion, Like it sucks
to not have that nice flat seven because a three
to three games is not like a free roll. But man,
like it's like one or two home runs, Like you're
probably gonna gonna get dangerously close to three three at
some point and then who knows what happens, no.
Speaker 2: Doubt, ghost Runners like.
Speaker 4: Two of the top three hitting teams in MLB. Yeah,
hands down.
Speaker 1: All right, we are at the end of the show.
We are at the end of the show. Yeah, we
need to hit one of these parlays, but hey, we are.
We have hovered around even on the parlays for like
the last month or so. I think we're just was
just waiting for the grand finale here. We've got a
couple weeks left, plus the playoffs, so a lot of
opportunity to still get in the plus. And the thing
is like, like, if we're the today's parlots plus six
sixty two, if we can hit one of these a week,
we're gonna finish ahead.
Speaker 2: So that's the goal tonight. Three sides, three full game sides.
Speaker 1: Very simple here, although we know it's never going to
be simple to try to hit a three teamer, but.
Speaker 2: Three full game sides.
Speaker 1: Cardinals for Me, Mariners for Tokyo, Brandon Guardians for Brian
Leonards Cardinals, Marion's Cardinals, Mariners Guardians plus six sixty two.
That's your three team for today. Appreciate you guys tuning
in on TV five dollars twoesday. I got a college
football play up as well. My five dollars play last
week was a four percent around. The Miami Hurricanes won
by a million, so hopefully you know I will I
will disclose. I think it was my only college football
winn of the weekend. But still, if you just bought
it for five dollars, all you know is the one win.
So come back and get this week's maybe it'll work
the same way.
Speaker 2: But anyway, me.
Speaker 1: And Brian Leonard tomorrow TV, I think it's honest trek
from Phoenix to Vegas?
Speaker 2: Is that? Is that true?
Speaker 4: Tomorrow at this time I will be in a car
heading towards Wickenburg, Arizona.
Speaker 2: Absolutely terrifying.
Speaker 4: I'll be seeing the way I'll see Brian in Vegas
tomorrow night, so I won't be on the show tomorrow.
Speaker 1: It is a gorgeous but terrifying drive. I'll just say
that beautiful drive. Absolutely terrifying. How's it terrified?
Speaker 3: Because just a lot of open spaces if you're gonna
plant tire, if you run or whatever.
Speaker 4: Many many hours in my youth driving between Tucson and
Phoenix from college and about two hours of nothing and
so yeah, actually yeah, like I know, we got a run.
But the hottest day in Arizona history. I was driving
in my car steamed out.
Speaker 1: Yeah, there was nothing in the northeast, but are nothing is? Yeah,
art are Nothing's not as spaced out as you're nothing
out on.
Speaker 2: The west coast. Let's put it that way.
Speaker 1: So again, one more time the Parlay Cardinals, Mariners, Guardians.
That's a three teamer plus six sixty two hopefully gets
us back in the plus and yeah, five dollars plays
all day, multiple five dollar plays.
Speaker 2: Check the site out if you missed any of the show.
Speaker 1: Heading over to the wager Talk YouTube channel for the replay,
give us a like and to subscribe. While you're over there,
maybe drop a comment and we'll see you guys in
the morning for more total basis.
Speaker 2: Have a good day, everyone,