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Speaker 1: All right, guys, welcome in. It's Tuesday morning. It's time

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for total bases. I was talking to the guys off air,

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and you know, so someone DM me and they're like,

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you haven't had any major League baseball plays the last

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two days, and and my response was, you know, I

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mean I've played baseball basically every day all season long.

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I haven't been able to find a spot the last

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last two days. And Brian like, I've seen a lot

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of sloppy play. I don't know if either of you

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guys have noticed this. I've really noticed it at Triple A.

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I've really noticed it at Triple A. I think I

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think dudes are ready to call it a season if

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you're down at it. You know, at Triple A like

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that this the level of the caliber of play has

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dipped considerably, but it's absolutely spilled over into some of

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these big league games, and it's I gotta be honest,

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it's made it very challenging to find good spots and

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be super confident on teams, UH think.

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Speaker 2: Thankfully.

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Speaker 1: One of the one of the ones that really stuck

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out to me was the Reds on Sunday. I think

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I'm glad I didn't bet that game, but man, like

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you're gonna playoff race, you're playing the A's and it's

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just like it's bad baseball. And it even spills over

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to that Reds Cardinals game last night because that's where

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I'm gonna go to start the show.

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Speaker 2: Have you noticed that as well? Do guys just look tired?

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Speaker 1: Are we like really in the home stretch and dudes

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are just exhausted at this point?

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Speaker 3: Seems to be there's a lot of ugly baseball out there,

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and you are right, you just got to try to

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find the teams that look like they've got something that

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they're trying for continuing to play well, and other teams.

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In fact, you know, there was a game that I

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used yesterday the Cubs in Pittsburgh, and Pittsburgh offense looks

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like I can't wait for the season to end. Luckily,

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the Cubs stayed under the team total, but Pittsburgh's offense,

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it is dead. And I looked at that line originally

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and I said, wow, getting skiings at home at this number,

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and then I realized how bad the offense has been

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and maybe these guys were just worn out. A lot

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of them, especially if you got a lot of younger

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guys aren't used to playing that many games, so they

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time to wear out. Yeah, you gotta look at every

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game individually. There are certain teams that have been out

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for a while, like the Angels. I'm want to be

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looking to fade. They've got nothing to play for after

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early in the season they were surprising people. And yeah,

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you got to pick every team individually. But there's a

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lot of bad baseball out there.

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Speaker 4: So go ahead and give us your thoughts on the

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Reds and Cardinals.

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Speaker 3: Okay, we'll look at the Reds of Cardinals here, and

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we look at the Cincinnati Abbot and McGreevy going for

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Saint Louis. Abbot's about a one twenty favorite here total

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on eight. When you look at Abbot, he's had that

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amazing season. He's an amazing career, actually three seasons three

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point four to one ERA. He's been very good. Whips

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higher once you would like at one point two four.

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But I think he's one of those guys that doesn't

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he won't get into the middle of the middle of

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the the diet or excuse me, in the middle of

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the strike sound and tried to blow you away. He

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does got fastball ve loss. He's only in the twenty

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fourth percentile flatball pitcher of the ninth percentle So he's

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going today. He's got that three point four eight expected ARA.

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He's been very good. He's had you know, there's not

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many people that have been his consistent he had all

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the season. Michael McGreevy four point four to four EARRA,

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four point six three expected, one point two three whip.

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It's it's very interesting how his stats show up here

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on Baseball Savant. His strikeout rate is slousy, third percentile

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whip rate a expected batting average fifth. But yeah, he

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doesn't walk anyone. He's walked three point six this year

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as opposed to two point three percent last year. And

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he keeps everybody. As I said before, he's like a

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veteran pitcher. It's been around a long time. Yeah, he's

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only twenty five years old. I believe last time I

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used him he got bombed. So I like his overall makeup.

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I don't trust Cincinnati. Cincinnati at this point, when you

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take a look at these standings, they're down to seven

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point seven percent chance of making the playoffs. I lean

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Saint Louis. That's a team that's continuing to play solid ball.

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Every day and they're under the radar. So I leave

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Saint Louis in this game.

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Speaker 4: Five dollars Tuesday today, guys, which means we're all putting

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plays out for five dollars. Minds up already, and we

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just talked doing a special thing today where we can

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put several multi plays in one package for five dollars.

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So check out what all three of us have today.

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Mine's already up. I'm sure these guys will have something

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as well. I have a free play up as well.

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If you follow me on Twitter, you noticed I went

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to Walmart and got the Apple Fireball yesterday, so I'm

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in a good mood. I haven't drank it yet here

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at six am in Arizona. Regarding this game again, if

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you follow me on Twitter, you saw that I went

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to the casino yesterday and put a nice little bet

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on the Reds minus one at plus one forty eight,

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which cashed. I liked the Reds yesterday, but as Adam

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and Brian both alluded to sloppy baseball, this game went

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back and forth, up and down. The Reds were up

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by two, down by one, up by two. Nobody could

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hold the lead until the end where the Reds kind

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of broke out. My numbers have the Reds favored in

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almost every category but just barely, which is the reason

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why I took him at plus money yesterday. If the

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let's see what the odds are today, Cincinnati's minus one fifteen.

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So I'm not going to take it at that. But

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if I were to play it, I would take Cincinnati

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again because I just have them ranked a little bit higher.

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This is where prices come into play when my cap.

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When I have one team leading every category but just barely,

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if I can get them for plus money, I will,

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but anything minus money I won't take it. So not

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on Cincinnati today.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, I guess the reason I kind of,

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you know, framed it like, you know, a lot of

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these a lot of teams are just there's some bad baseball.

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Is I had the Reds in mind thinking like, okay,

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this is this is a team that I'm supposed to

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look at this team and think they're a playoff team

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because they're two games out. If the Mets didn't just

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fall off the face of the earth and lose eight straight,

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none of these teams we wouldn't be talking about any

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of these teams in the in the context of, oh,

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they might be a playoff team, and I look at

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the team like the Reds. They're seventy five and seventy five.

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They should be better because they have the talent. But

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this team is as guilty as any in turn of

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just like brain dead baseball, making a mistake, base running error,

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throwing a ball into the stands on a routine play

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like that. That's the stuff. They've been doing this all year.

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Forget about forget about last few weeks, like getting tired.

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They've been doing this all year. Going back to Bryan's point,

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the Cardinals, I feel like are one of the few

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teams that I've watched over the last month that I

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feel like give a consistent effort. Yes, they lost last night.

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I get that blown up in the ninth you know

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the car the Reds got the timely hit and busted

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that open in the ninth inning. But I look at

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this game. You know McGreevy. I like him just I'm

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personally high on him. I know that there's a lot

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of blue on the stat cast page. I think he's

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a guy that's probably gonna take a big step in

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the next season. He's someone I want to watch during

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the offseason because I feel like he's very close. He's

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been very good at TRIPAA for two years. He's been

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in the system for a long time, and he's starting

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to figure it out. So he's the type of guy

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that I think I'm gonna really like going into next season.

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But I think I could stomach him here based on

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the back the Reds aren't gonna have like their bullpen.

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I felt like they were gonna blow that game on

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a couple of different occasions yesterday. They don't have a

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ton of bullpen depth, and they've used some of the

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better arms you know, over the course of the last

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really mostly last night. Many how many bullpen arms did

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the Red Jews last night?

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Speaker 2: Brian?

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Speaker 1: Do you have that there by any chance or I

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can look it up real quick. I feel like they

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used a lot of relievers.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, let's take a look at it. If they've updated

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over here at Fangrause. They used all four of their

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best relievers last night but got only ten pitches and

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he didn't pitch the day before, but Santia, it's probably

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not available. Phillips won seventeen pitches n Ashcraft one nineteen,

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so a little bit short handed in the bullpen. But

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they shouldn't be too better.

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Speaker 4: Shit, they both will be though, because that game went

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so back and forth yesterday.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, specifically Santia and Phillips. I feel like, really like

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high leverage. Santine was big sweat. I think he ended

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up loading the bases and had to get out of

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a jam. Actually, I think he allowed the game to

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be tied, bases were loaded, he got out of it.

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Phillips had had to get some big out. So I'm

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on the Cardinals here too. I don't know if this

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will make my client card certainly on my list, I

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think they bounce back.

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Speaker 2: I think they have a nice edge in the bullpen.

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Today they're at home, and.

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Speaker 1: Just like over the last few weeks, they're one of

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the few teams I feel like I've given you a

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consistent effort night in, night out, whether they've won or lost.

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I think they're playing pretty good baseball. So they're kind

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of like one of the teams I want to back

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at this point. So Cardinals is I don't you know what,

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Let's just do it. This might actually be a client

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play for me. I'm gonna go Cardinals on the money line.

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We'll get the parlay started early. Rian what's the uh,

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what's the price on that.

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Speaker 3: You're getting on it? Let's go about plus one oh seven.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean the fact that their plus money right now.

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I mean that's terrific if they are. Yeah, let's do

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that plus one oh seven first.

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Speaker 2: Parlay a league locked in. I think they're going to

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bounce back here.

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Speaker 1: And I think the Reds are just getting too much

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love for being two games out of the wild card,

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Like there are only two games out of there are

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only two games out of a playoff spot. Because the

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Mets decided to lose eight straight. If they didn't lose

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eight straight, this is an irrelevant game. And I feel

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like the REGs are just getting way too much credit

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in that regard. So yeah, we'll go Cardinals in the

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parlay here, Colin, he says, do the Mariners finally catch

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an l today? He sees runs in that game. Let's

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go to the Mariners, who have really kind of bounced back.

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I want to go back to maybe it was about

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two weeks ago, Brian, they were swept by the Rays,

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and then I think they went and maybe dropped two

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of three from the Braves. It looked like my Mariners

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Al West ticket future was cooked at that point, but

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they've bounced back nicely. They found a way to get

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a win in every game in that Cardinal series, all

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close wins. Coming into today, they are now a half

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game ahead of the Astros for the AL West lead.

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And let me go back to it's nice having a

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full slate of games, but now I'm losing my spot.

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Speaker 2: We got the.

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Speaker 1: Mariners on the road here, Logan Gilbert, Michael Waka out

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in Kansas City. Do you see anything in this one?

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And you want to comment on the total? Colin says

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he likes the over as well.

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Speaker 3: Okay, Well, first off, Gilbert is about a one forty

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favorite over Waka, who's back from the IL a total

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of eight to the over or eight and a half

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to the under. As I touched on Pittsburgh just a

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few minutes ago. They got hit and so they're up

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at about the one thirty range now, so we'll see

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how that one goes. But Logan, Gilbert, it's good as

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Hee has been this year. He's got four wins right now,

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he's one hundred and fourteen innings, which is about ninety

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innings less than what he had last year. He'll probably

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get one more start after this, so he's trying to

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end the season with a non losing record. You know,

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last year, as good as he was, he had a

240
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losing record nine to twelve with a three point two

241
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to three ERA in five seasons. Now he's got a

242
00:12:14,759 --> 00:12:17,279
three point five to nine ERA in the American League

243
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with which is somewhat better hitters slightly, but forty five

244
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and thirty six career record now not the record you

245
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would see out of a guy with a three point

246
00:12:30,159 --> 00:12:33,039
five nine ERA one point oh six career whip. But

247
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he's he's got a lot of right on a stack cast,

248
00:12:35,759 --> 00:12:38,240
which is what you like. But his average ex velocity

249
00:12:38,320 --> 00:12:41,639
is in the thirteenth percentile barrel right, still worse than

250
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average heart hit rate. So he's gotten hit a lot

251
00:12:44,440 --> 00:12:47,159
earlier this year. I think he hopefully's coming out of

252
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it expected. The RA is only two point eighty six,

253
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so he's been his typical self.

254
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Speaker 4: He just.

255
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Speaker 3: Has been up and down. When he's gotten hit, he's

256
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gotten hit hard. Michael Waka comes in three point four

257
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or five ERA four point oh four to one point

258
00:13:01,279 --> 00:13:03,960
one eight whip. He also has a losing record on

259
00:13:04,320 --> 00:13:07,120
the year. He's nine to ten with a three point

260
00:13:07,200 --> 00:13:10,639
four to five YARRA, which tells you do not look

261
00:13:10,679 --> 00:13:14,080
at win losses if you're grading pictures. But ever, Jacks

262
00:13:14,120 --> 00:13:17,519
Veloci eighty nine percent, hard hit rate, ninety third percentile

263
00:13:18,720 --> 00:13:21,120
walk great seventy ninth. That's what he does. He keeps

264
00:13:21,120 --> 00:13:23,360
you off balance. He's not going to pressure with the

265
00:13:23,399 --> 00:13:27,679
strikeout rate sixteenth percentle with twenty second. So we've got

266
00:13:27,720 --> 00:13:31,120
two guys that are pretty good pictures here in this game.

267
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But we're looking at a total of eight in Kansas

268
00:13:35,159 --> 00:13:38,639
City here. That is kind of low. If you take

269
00:13:38,679 --> 00:13:41,080
a look at the park factors today. Let's see if

270
00:13:41,080 --> 00:13:45,279
anything shows in this game the win blowing slightly in

271
00:13:45,399 --> 00:13:49,120
from right to the left. They're expecting six percent more

272
00:13:49,200 --> 00:13:53,320
runs than a normal baseball game today, So the weather

273
00:13:53,399 --> 00:13:58,679
effect likes the over here. I have no opinion. Sorry,

274
00:13:58,679 --> 00:14:02,919
I couldn't help in that regard with total. But see

275
00:14:02,919 --> 00:14:05,960
I was playing well, they've got the better bullpen. But

276
00:14:06,320 --> 00:14:07,879
I don't know if I want to lay that number here.

277
00:14:09,519 --> 00:14:12,519
Speaker 4: Yeah, guys, a couple comments before I get to that game,

278
00:14:12,559 --> 00:14:16,320
A lot of you said, I look old, Look, I'm

279
00:14:16,320 --> 00:14:19,120
at a yellow I'm under a yellow light and it's

280
00:14:19,159 --> 00:14:21,919
six o'clock in the morning. So, by the way, I'm

281
00:14:21,960 --> 00:14:25,679
almost fifty six, so I am old. But the lighting

282
00:14:25,759 --> 00:14:28,200
is not helping. If you ever saw that Seinfold episode

283
00:14:28,200 --> 00:14:30,519
where he's dating that woman who when she's in the dark,

284
00:14:30,639 --> 00:14:32,759
she's ugly and when she's in the light she's good looking,

285
00:14:33,320 --> 00:14:35,639
That's that's what this is. I'm ugly for this week.

286
00:14:36,440 --> 00:14:38,840
To deal with it. The other thing is I bought

287
00:14:39,039 --> 00:14:41,720
a while I was here, I bought a Tops nineteen

288
00:14:41,840 --> 00:14:45,200
fifty six baseball set. Look at this? Is that sweet?

289
00:14:45,320 --> 00:14:46,679
Or what we've got? Handkaring?

290
00:14:47,080 --> 00:14:49,080
Speaker 3: That's not a set? That's one card?

291
00:14:49,919 --> 00:14:51,720
Speaker 4: Yeah, I know, the whole set is right here.

292
00:14:51,919 --> 00:14:52,919
Speaker 3: You got the whole set?

293
00:14:53,559 --> 00:14:56,200
Speaker 4: Yeah, I stad six grand.

294
00:14:56,879 --> 00:14:58,679
Speaker 3: All right, because I know they're expensive because I used

295
00:14:58,679 --> 00:14:59,440
to let cards.

296
00:15:00,279 --> 00:15:04,720
Speaker 4: Yeah yeah, yeah, six grand, but it's worth it. I

297
00:15:04,759 --> 00:15:06,679
love this. I just put him in the folder yesterday.

298
00:15:06,720 --> 00:15:10,720
I'm in heaven with my Apple Fireball in my nineteen

299
00:15:10,799 --> 00:15:11,919
fifty six top set.

300
00:15:11,960 --> 00:15:15,759
Speaker 3: But anyway, don't spell it and fireball on those guards exactly.

301
00:15:15,879 --> 00:15:18,360
Speaker 4: But yeah, I mean, I got the whole set here. Man,

302
00:15:18,720 --> 00:15:24,480
it's looking good. Anyways, back to this game. I don't

303
00:15:24,480 --> 00:15:27,120
see any other way to look in Seattle here. I mean,

304
00:15:27,240 --> 00:15:30,000
I agree that Logan Gilbert should have a better record,

305
00:15:30,000 --> 00:15:34,480
but I mean his stats against Kansas City. There's two

306
00:15:34,480 --> 00:15:37,240
red flags here regarding Seattle. Number One, as they're on

307
00:15:37,279 --> 00:15:40,879
the road, Gilbert's not as good as the pitcher on

308
00:15:40,919 --> 00:15:43,759
the road as he is at home. And Waka's got

309
00:15:43,840 --> 00:15:48,080
pretty good stats at home. But Seattle is just way

310
00:15:48,120 --> 00:15:51,080
better team. Looking at all my stats that they lead

311
00:15:51,159 --> 00:15:54,799
Kansas City in almost every category by a mile. Hitting

312
00:15:55,519 --> 00:15:59,080
there are almost eighteen points better than Kansas City. Bullpen,

313
00:15:59,200 --> 00:16:02,240
they're fourteen points better than Kansas City and starting pitcher.

314
00:16:02,279 --> 00:16:06,519
I've got Logan Gilbert ranked about eight spots on a

315
00:16:06,559 --> 00:16:09,759
curve of thirty ahead of WAKA. So overall, I got

316
00:16:09,759 --> 00:16:15,240
Seattle about twelve points better than Kansas City, and anything

317
00:16:15,279 --> 00:16:17,120
over ten for me is a play on the side.

318
00:16:17,159 --> 00:16:20,120
So it's Seattle or nothing for me. Their bats are

319
00:16:20,200 --> 00:16:24,080
just they're heating up. They hit a cold spot, they're

320
00:16:24,080 --> 00:16:28,480
heating up now, and they've got playoff fever, and it's

321
00:16:28,480 --> 00:16:32,200
hard to beat playoff fever. Logan Gilbert's stats against these

322
00:16:32,360 --> 00:16:36,600
batters is not great. They're not great stats. I think

323
00:16:36,600 --> 00:16:39,320
he's got about a seven sixty ops, which is a

324
00:16:39,399 --> 00:16:42,320
little bit over the Mendoza line average is like two

325
00:16:42,480 --> 00:16:45,799
thirty something. I can deal with that. I think I

326
00:16:45,799 --> 00:16:48,360
think Seattle is just too much of a better team

327
00:16:48,399 --> 00:16:53,559
here not to take this game. Matter of fact, I'm

328
00:16:53,559 --> 00:16:56,919
gonna make it my parlay leg. Sorry, Adam, that's gonna

329
00:16:56,960 --> 00:17:04,000
be my parlay leg. I think it's uh, what is

330
00:17:04,039 --> 00:17:06,200
it right now? Minus one fifty?

331
00:17:06,200 --> 00:17:17,279
Speaker 3: I'm saying even better, you can get.

332
00:17:16,079 --> 00:17:16,400
Speaker 2: Adam.

333
00:17:16,400 --> 00:17:16,880
Speaker 4: You're muted.

334
00:17:18,759 --> 00:17:21,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, my dogs were going nuts.

335
00:17:22,000 --> 00:17:24,279
Speaker 1: There's probably a mutiny in the upstairs of my house

336
00:17:24,359 --> 00:17:26,079
right now where I have it set up.

337
00:17:26,119 --> 00:17:26,839
Speaker 2: I can't see them.

338
00:17:27,079 --> 00:17:30,799
Speaker 1: I have I have like a ranch, so it's like

339
00:17:30,880 --> 00:17:34,000
we don't have like an upstairs, but the whole the

340
00:17:34,039 --> 00:17:37,400
whole basement is is re like furnished and whatnot. So

341
00:17:38,240 --> 00:17:40,720
I'm down here where I have my little like studio

342
00:17:40,839 --> 00:17:43,559
set up, and they're up there and I can't see

343
00:17:43,599 --> 00:17:45,759
what's going on, but but I can. I can hear it,

344
00:17:45,799 --> 00:17:49,119
and it's like, you know, they're they're they're going nuts

345
00:17:49,119 --> 00:17:49,640
about something.

346
00:17:49,640 --> 00:17:53,960
Speaker 2: I don't know. They probably see a squall dog party. Yeah,

347
00:17:54,000 --> 00:17:54,640
I've been drinking.

348
00:17:56,440 --> 00:17:58,599
Speaker 1: First of all, I could probably spend the rest of

349
00:17:58,599 --> 00:18:01,160
the show watching you break that like that. I might

350
00:18:01,319 --> 00:18:02,880
I might actually be able to sit here for two

351
00:18:02,920 --> 00:18:07,519
hours or watch you do that that is And second

352
00:18:07,799 --> 00:18:09,759
I figured it out, you look like you know those

353
00:18:09,880 --> 00:18:13,920
like uh photos, you're like in the I took this

354
00:18:14,000 --> 00:18:16,000
like as a kid with my family, where you like

355
00:18:16,000 --> 00:18:18,720
put the costumes on, you're in like the the saloon,

356
00:18:19,160 --> 00:18:21,119
and then you take the picture and it comes out

357
00:18:21,160 --> 00:18:23,079
like CP a tone or I think they might call

358
00:18:23,119 --> 00:18:24,960
it like where it's like it's like a little bit

359
00:18:25,480 --> 00:18:28,079
like that's what that's what you look like right now.

360
00:18:28,200 --> 00:18:29,920
So you don't look old, you just look like you're

361
00:18:30,039 --> 00:18:32,519
you're in that type of lighting. That's it, you know,

362
00:18:32,680 --> 00:18:37,279
Here's Ted, Here's Ted Williams. Anyway, that's awesome, it really is.

363
00:18:37,839 --> 00:18:41,559
Speaker 4: I'll put some other but I gotta say this quietly.

364
00:18:41,640 --> 00:18:45,160
But my mom is almost eighty, so she likes everything dark,

365
00:18:45,599 --> 00:18:47,920
even in the afternoon. She turns all the lights off

366
00:18:47,960 --> 00:18:50,240
and shuts the shutters on, like Mom, what are you doing?

367
00:18:51,000 --> 00:18:55,400
Speaker 1: So anyway, I love it though, because I had so

368
00:18:55,480 --> 00:18:57,880
many of those full box sets, But I grew up

369
00:18:57,920 --> 00:19:02,119
in an era where they overproduced cards, so like all

370
00:19:02,119 --> 00:19:05,559
of my late eighties early nineties box sets are worthless

371
00:19:05,599 --> 00:19:08,960
because they just overproduced him that's so, that's awesome. As

372
00:19:09,000 --> 00:19:11,200
far as this I listen, like, I may I might

373
00:19:11,240 --> 00:19:12,759
have been wrong about Logan Gilbert.

374
00:19:13,079 --> 00:19:14,400
Speaker 2: I still think the guys.

375
00:19:14,839 --> 00:19:17,640
Speaker 1: I still think the guys is pitching through something, but

376
00:19:17,759 --> 00:19:21,799
like credit to credit to him for being able to

377
00:19:21,960 --> 00:19:23,880
just like suck it up. In my opinion, if he

378
00:19:23,960 --> 00:19:27,079
is hurt, you wouldn't really know by watching him pitch.

379
00:19:27,119 --> 00:19:27,279
Speaker 2: Now.

380
00:19:27,279 --> 00:19:30,200
Speaker 1: The reason I say I think he's hurt is because

381
00:19:30,240 --> 00:19:33,559
he went on the Ayah with something a similar injury

382
00:19:33,559 --> 00:19:35,720
that ended up costing Garrett Cole this whole season.

383
00:19:36,119 --> 00:19:39,440
Speaker 2: So I was like, I was basically like, okay, he

384
00:19:39,880 --> 00:19:40,920
you know he and I.

385
00:19:40,880 --> 00:19:42,200
Speaker 1: Go back to that start where he got where he

386
00:19:42,240 --> 00:19:45,759
got pummeled by the Phillies, and I'm like, man, something

387
00:19:45,799 --> 00:19:49,759
does not look right here. But since that start six

388
00:19:49,799 --> 00:19:53,519
innings against the As, thirteen strikeouts, six innings against the Guardians,

389
00:19:53,599 --> 00:19:57,839
thirty six strikeouts, six innings against the Braves, seven strikeouts.

390
00:19:58,039 --> 00:20:00,559
Last time out against the Cardinals was in a super

391
00:20:00,599 --> 00:20:03,519
long outing. But he's still getting the strikeouts. I don't

392
00:20:03,559 --> 00:20:05,480
really want to bet against him right now, even though

393
00:20:05,480 --> 00:20:08,039
in the back of my head, I'm like still feel

394
00:20:08,039 --> 00:20:10,599
like there's something maybe not like totally right with him.

395
00:20:11,000 --> 00:20:12,000
Speaker 2: But he's just a dog.

396
00:20:12,039 --> 00:20:15,200
Speaker 1: He's pitching through it and he's he's looked great like

397
00:20:15,440 --> 00:20:16,759
the last four times out.

398
00:20:16,799 --> 00:20:18,759
Speaker 2: So I'm not really dying to fade him either.

399
00:20:19,160 --> 00:20:22,119
Speaker 1: As you guys know, the chat knows, I'm very, very

400
00:20:23,000 --> 00:20:26,000
invested in this Mariners team and a long term standpoint,

401
00:20:26,079 --> 00:20:26,559
I need.

402
00:20:26,440 --> 00:20:27,319
Speaker 2: Them to win the division.

403
00:20:27,599 --> 00:20:30,119
Speaker 1: I've got them laddered in in winning the American League,

404
00:20:30,119 --> 00:20:32,759
winning the World Series. So I'm with you TV. I

405
00:20:32,799 --> 00:20:36,240
feel like they weathered that little patch of of you know,

406
00:20:36,480 --> 00:20:40,319
Ray's braves weren't playing great baseball, and the Royals, you know,

407
00:20:40,359 --> 00:20:42,960
are a team that they tried to stay in it

408
00:20:43,000 --> 00:20:45,559
for a long time. I felt like the Guardians kind of,

409
00:20:45,880 --> 00:20:48,839
you know, put him, put him out to Pastor last

410
00:20:48,839 --> 00:20:50,920
week in that series a little bit six and a

411
00:20:50,960 --> 00:20:54,240
half back. Now, I don't know that there's enough juice

412
00:20:54,240 --> 00:20:55,920
on this Royals team to make me want to touch

413
00:20:55,960 --> 00:20:56,920
Michael Waka here.

414
00:20:57,000 --> 00:20:57,319
Speaker 2: He's not.

415
00:20:57,519 --> 00:20:59,599
Speaker 1: He's the one thing I will say about him is

416
00:20:59,640 --> 00:21:03,400
he does a good job of limiting hard contact. That's

417
00:21:03,440 --> 00:21:05,519
the thing that maybe keeps me off the over a

418
00:21:05,519 --> 00:21:08,880
little bit in this game. It's like the Mariners, if

419
00:21:08,880 --> 00:21:10,799
you can keep them off balance and limit like the

420
00:21:10,839 --> 00:21:13,079
big time exit below, they're not going to hit as

421
00:21:13,119 --> 00:21:15,160
many home runs and they're not gonna score as many runs.

422
00:21:15,200 --> 00:21:18,519
So to go back to Collin's Originals take, I'm not

423
00:21:18,640 --> 00:21:21,519
dying to back and over in this contest. Because of that,

424
00:21:22,400 --> 00:21:24,839
I guess I'm with TV. I think the Mariners right

425
00:21:24,880 --> 00:21:28,400
now can can kind of they can kind of see

426
00:21:28,400 --> 00:21:30,960
the finish line. I'm potentially pulling off this division win.

427
00:21:31,240 --> 00:21:33,799
They've got the half game lead, they're playing good baseball,

428
00:21:34,279 --> 00:21:36,359
and I'm just out on the Royals at this point.

429
00:21:36,440 --> 00:21:39,599
So I'm with you, TV. Mariner's money line sounds good.

430
00:21:40,680 --> 00:21:43,720
All right, we're moving on. We're moving on.

431
00:21:44,359 --> 00:21:45,119
Speaker 2: Let's go to.

432
00:21:46,680 --> 00:21:49,720
Speaker 1: Let's go to Steve dukes is who's pitching for the Giants.

433
00:21:50,960 --> 00:21:52,759
I think they're gonna use Let's go to that game

434
00:21:52,759 --> 00:21:57,519
because this is another playoff implications game. Brian Leonard, how

435
00:21:57,559 --> 00:22:00,880
about those Arizona Diamondbacks, TV, TV, you gotta get to

436
00:22:00,920 --> 00:22:02,920
a game while you're out there that they might be

437
00:22:02,960 --> 00:22:08,160
a playoff team again this year with the yeah, well

438
00:22:08,200 --> 00:22:09,680
go look at you you. I was looking at the

439
00:22:09,720 --> 00:22:12,400
d Bacs last night. I was watching that game, and

440
00:22:13,359 --> 00:22:15,480
you know, I'm sitting here. They win, They're a game

441
00:22:15,519 --> 00:22:17,519
and a half behind the Mets. I don't know who

442
00:22:17,559 --> 00:22:20,400
put together their schedule, but they did Arizona no favors

443
00:22:20,480 --> 00:22:26,119
because I'm pretty sure Arizona finishes with Giants, Dodgers, Giants, Phillies, Dodgers,

444
00:22:26,160 --> 00:22:29,599
Padres and some in some those are the last twelve games.

445
00:22:29,599 --> 00:22:33,480
So Arizona has an absolutely brutal schedule coming up. I

446
00:22:33,559 --> 00:22:35,480
really feel like they need to take advantage of this

447
00:22:35,599 --> 00:22:38,839
series at home. The Giants are another one of those

448
00:22:38,839 --> 00:22:42,039
teams where they had this great stretch, they kind of

449
00:22:42,359 --> 00:22:44,440
I feel like they're fizzling out in front of our

450
00:22:44,480 --> 00:22:47,160
eyes right now. I know, Brian, you haven't really been

451
00:22:47,319 --> 00:22:50,160
a big believer in the Giants team at all. Are

452
00:22:50,440 --> 00:22:52,359
is this kind of what you expected to happen? And

453
00:22:52,400 --> 00:22:55,240
are are you going to sort of continue to bet.

454
00:22:54,960 --> 00:22:55,480
Speaker 2: In that way?

455
00:22:55,519 --> 00:22:57,200
Speaker 1: Because I know about a week ago you said this

456
00:22:57,279 --> 00:22:59,880
Giants teams not for real, and the last three days

457
00:23:00,119 --> 00:23:03,279
they've looked like a team that's starting to sort of feed.

458
00:23:05,119 --> 00:23:07,640
Speaker 3: Right now, we don't know who the Giant starter is,

459
00:23:07,680 --> 00:23:10,160
so I won't comment much on it. But Rodriguez going

460
00:23:10,200 --> 00:23:13,079
for Arizona, he's the left to the veteran left. He

461
00:23:13,160 --> 00:23:16,160
coming back from the lost season a year ago, about

462
00:23:16,160 --> 00:23:19,359
a one twenty five favorite here total of nine And

463
00:23:20,000 --> 00:23:23,160
when you look at Rodriguez's numbers four point nine to

464
00:23:23,160 --> 00:23:26,440
eighty RA four point three, I expected one point five

465
00:23:26,480 --> 00:23:29,240
to five whip, which is extremely high. He's always had

466
00:23:29,240 --> 00:23:30,799
a little bit of a high whip one point three

467
00:23:30,799 --> 00:23:35,799
to three in his ten year ten year career. Hard

468
00:23:35,839 --> 00:23:39,400
hit rate ninety first percentile, AVA Jackson velositi eighty third,

469
00:23:40,200 --> 00:23:45,519
but fastball velocity's down to the sixteenth percentile. His numbers

470
00:23:45,559 --> 00:23:49,920
are not great, but you know it's like I said,

471
00:23:49,960 --> 00:23:51,880
last year he only threw fifty innings. Is up to

472
00:23:51,880 --> 00:23:55,400
one thirty seven. Now he'll be better in the future,

473
00:23:55,480 --> 00:23:58,279
but this year he's had a down season. Don't know

474
00:23:58,319 --> 00:24:01,680
if I trust him and down knowing who San Francisco

475
00:24:01,759 --> 00:24:03,599
is using, I can't count mine on the game.

476
00:24:05,240 --> 00:24:08,599
Speaker 4: Yeah, it's five dollars Tuesday, guys, so grab our five

477
00:24:08,640 --> 00:24:12,200
dollars plays. Wager Talk's also letting us put packages of

478
00:24:12,640 --> 00:24:16,480
multi plays for five dollars, So go see what we got.

479
00:24:16,519 --> 00:24:18,240
I got a free play up and my five dollars

480
00:24:18,279 --> 00:24:19,880
plays up. This is the last time I'm going to

481
00:24:19,920 --> 00:24:23,319
mention these cards, but I've just been going through Jackie Robinson,

482
00:24:23,440 --> 00:24:26,680
Sandy Kofax. These are two of the really nice ones.

483
00:24:26,720 --> 00:24:29,839
Here's Willie Mays, can't really see it.

484
00:24:29,880 --> 00:24:32,559
Speaker 2: I saw a few of those to Cooper'stown and this is.

485
00:24:32,519 --> 00:24:36,240
Speaker 4: The krem Della Prem. Here's Mickey Mantle. Now, this one

486
00:24:36,359 --> 00:24:40,759
in good shape is around two grand by itself, but

487
00:24:40,799 --> 00:24:43,119
mine's in bad shape. So I got this whole set

488
00:24:43,160 --> 00:24:46,119
for like six grand. So normally this set goes between

489
00:24:46,119 --> 00:24:49,319
fifteen and sixteen grand, but it's it's they're ungraded in,

490
00:24:49,359 --> 00:24:51,759
they're in not great condition. But it is a complete set,

491
00:24:51,880 --> 00:24:56,200
nineteen fifty six tops amazing. I'm I'm in seven to seven.

492
00:24:57,160 --> 00:25:01,079
So anyways, regarding this game, I agree with Brian. There's

493
00:25:01,079 --> 00:25:04,480
a couple too many X factors here for me to

494
00:25:04,640 --> 00:25:09,440
bet this. The fact that here's a situation when one

495
00:25:09,440 --> 00:25:12,480
team is really late to release their starter, you can

496
00:25:12,640 --> 00:25:15,759
almost guarantee that they're going to be using their bullpen

497
00:25:15,839 --> 00:25:20,880
quite a bit, because even if it's a normal starting pitcher,

498
00:25:20,920 --> 00:25:24,599
he's off his he's off his schedule, and he's probably

499
00:25:24,640 --> 00:25:26,880
not going to go like six seven innings, right, You're

500
00:25:26,880 --> 00:25:28,880
probably going to get four to five innings out of them,

501
00:25:29,240 --> 00:25:32,240
so you can almost be rest assured there's going to

502
00:25:32,279 --> 00:25:35,079
be a lot of bullpen usage. San Francisco's bullpen has

503
00:25:35,079 --> 00:25:38,519
been really bad lately. I got him ranked twenty two

504
00:25:39,160 --> 00:25:41,400
out of thirty in current form, but Arizona's I got

505
00:25:41,440 --> 00:25:43,720
it ranked twenty five. So we got two pretty poor

506
00:25:43,759 --> 00:25:46,640
bullpens here, two lineups that are kind of cranking it.

507
00:25:46,680 --> 00:25:50,319
I got Arizona eight, san Francisco nine, So if anything,

508
00:25:50,359 --> 00:25:53,640
I would look to an over here e Rod not

509
00:25:53,720 --> 00:25:55,680
my favorite picture in the world. I got him rank

510
00:25:55,720 --> 00:25:59,160
twenty one on a curve of thirty of all starting pitchers,

511
00:25:59,160 --> 00:26:02,599
so he's in the bottom one third of all starting pitchers,

512
00:26:02,759 --> 00:26:06,279
and San Francisco's got a question mark at the top.

513
00:26:07,319 --> 00:26:10,880
So two bad bullpens, two lineups that can crank it.

514
00:26:11,440 --> 00:26:13,599
So if anything, I would look to an over They're

515
00:26:13,640 --> 00:26:16,119
gonna play with the roof closed. But yeah, this is

516
00:26:16,119 --> 00:26:18,759
a hitters park, as we've said in previous shows, So

517
00:26:19,720 --> 00:26:20,920
over or nothing for me.

518
00:26:23,200 --> 00:26:26,480
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm I'm looking here like I usually can figure

519
00:26:26,519 --> 00:26:28,680
out who they might go with for a starter. I

520
00:26:28,680 --> 00:26:31,519
have absolutely no idea what San Francisco is gonna do

521
00:26:32,200 --> 00:26:35,440
for a starting pitcher, which a lot of times that

522
00:26:35,519 --> 00:26:38,200
could be. So they're either gonna they're gonna gonna call

523
00:26:38,200 --> 00:26:40,200
someone up from Triple A who I can't even figure

524
00:26:40,200 --> 00:26:42,759
out whose turn it would be, just like here offhand,

525
00:26:42,759 --> 00:26:45,680
because the Sacramento doesn't have a listed starter for today,

526
00:26:46,160 --> 00:26:49,920
and so yeah, I kind of agree, like this actually

527
00:26:50,000 --> 00:26:52,200
might be a bullpen game for the for the Giants,

528
00:26:52,319 --> 00:26:56,039
just a true like piece it together bullpen type game.

529
00:26:57,720 --> 00:27:00,720
You know, I've said this a few times the last week.

530
00:27:01,680 --> 00:27:05,599
I really think the the Diamondbacks they're the closest team

531
00:27:05,640 --> 00:27:08,440
in this race that to like a legitimate playoff team

532
00:27:08,480 --> 00:27:11,640
if they if they didn't have like big time injuries

533
00:27:11,640 --> 00:27:15,440
to their bullpen AJ puck Justin Martinez go down early

534
00:27:15,480 --> 00:27:18,640
in the season, Zach Gallen have like a.

535
00:27:20,279 --> 00:27:20,839
Speaker 2: You know, I know he.

536
00:27:20,799 --> 00:27:23,160
Speaker 1: Pitched okay last night and he's maybe been better of late,

537
00:27:23,200 --> 00:27:26,200
but have a terrible year like to his standards, they

538
00:27:26,200 --> 00:27:28,680
would be the team in the playoffs. So to me,

539
00:27:28,839 --> 00:27:32,000
like there's there's some you know, there's some intrigued intrigue

540
00:27:32,000 --> 00:27:35,440
there for me because I look at it and say, okay, well,

541
00:27:35,440 --> 00:27:37,759
if the pitching can can hold up here like this,

542
00:27:37,839 --> 00:27:41,279
is a playoff lineup, no doubt, even without Naylor, even

543
00:27:41,319 --> 00:27:44,519
without Sores, Like, they have a playoff caliber lineup right now.

544
00:27:44,759 --> 00:27:47,440
And so that's something that's that's appealing to me. So,

545
00:27:47,880 --> 00:27:51,319
you know, Eduardo Rodriguez, who I do not like. I've

546
00:27:51,359 --> 00:27:53,640
said it on this show quite a bit, but I

547
00:27:53,680 --> 00:27:56,960
don't like him relative to what Arizona paid him, where

548
00:27:57,000 --> 00:28:00,240
he was sort of in the pecking order. I think

549
00:28:00,240 --> 00:28:02,440
he's throwing the ball much better of late, Like he's

550
00:28:02,559 --> 00:28:05,960
he's kind of quietly. I don't think he's earned his

551
00:28:06,079 --> 00:28:09,480
contract yet by any means, but he's quietly been better.

552
00:28:09,559 --> 00:28:11,359
And if you look at like what aras, what the

553
00:28:11,400 --> 00:28:15,759
standard has become for pitching in Arizona this year, he's

554
00:28:15,799 --> 00:28:18,039
actually not the worst option right now. Look at his

555
00:28:18,119 --> 00:28:21,000
last couple starts, like I said, quietly, no one's talking

556
00:28:21,039 --> 00:28:24,279
about it, six and a third shutout ball against the Giants,

557
00:28:24,359 --> 00:28:27,519
last timeout, six innings, one run, four hits against the

558
00:28:27,519 --> 00:28:30,359
Red Sox, six innings, a shutout ball against the Dodgers.

559
00:28:30,400 --> 00:28:33,119
So you know, you look at his numbers quickly, four

560
00:28:33,160 --> 00:28:36,559
point nine to eighty RA not impressive. You know, he's

561
00:28:36,599 --> 00:28:38,799
he's I still think you could say he's generally been

562
00:28:38,839 --> 00:28:40,640
a disappointment, but he's.

563
00:28:40,480 --> 00:28:41,559
Speaker 2: Been a lot better of late.

564
00:28:41,599 --> 00:28:43,559
Speaker 1: I gotta be I gotta imagine he's going to be

565
00:28:43,559 --> 00:28:46,519
better than whatever whatever San Francisco puts out there today.

566
00:28:46,839 --> 00:28:51,079
So I'm going to be following the Giants pitching situation closely.

567
00:28:51,839 --> 00:28:54,759
But like, where, what do you see a market price

568
00:28:54,839 --> 00:28:55,279
for that yet?

569
00:28:55,319 --> 00:28:55,559
Speaker 2: Brian?

570
00:28:55,640 --> 00:28:57,799
Speaker 1: Is it like minus one thirty, because that's a bargain

571
00:28:57,839 --> 00:28:59,519
if it is, in my opinion.

572
00:29:00,200 --> 00:29:04,880
Speaker 3: Uh, you're looking into play the Arizona.

573
00:29:04,519 --> 00:29:06,640
Speaker 2: Side, Yeah, but it's not up many.

574
00:29:07,160 --> 00:29:09,519
Speaker 3: Fine, you can get one twenty five out there right now.

575
00:29:10,759 --> 00:29:13,720
Speaker 2: I mean that's that's again.

576
00:29:13,799 --> 00:29:15,440
Speaker 1: Like I don't know what San Francisco is gonna do

577
00:29:15,480 --> 00:29:17,319
with their pitching, but if it's gonna be a bullpen

578
00:29:17,440 --> 00:29:22,400
game or they're gonna call uh someone whoever's whoever might

579
00:29:22,400 --> 00:29:23,279
be hating bird Song.

580
00:29:23,359 --> 00:29:24,960
Speaker 2: I can't remember when bird Song.

581
00:29:24,839 --> 00:29:27,799
Speaker 1: Last pitch, But like, like it really depends on who

582
00:29:27,799 --> 00:29:31,200
they've got down there. Diamondbacks minus won twenty five at home.

583
00:29:32,000 --> 00:29:33,519
I don't think it's a bad bet.

584
00:29:34,559 --> 00:29:36,759
Speaker 3: Is Lantin Roupero did to be? I know he started

585
00:29:36,799 --> 00:29:40,559
as his rebuiltation, but is he ready to come up?

586
00:29:40,640 --> 00:29:44,480
Because if he comes up, I would rather see him

587
00:29:45,400 --> 00:29:46,240
than Rodriguez.

588
00:29:46,279 --> 00:29:49,559
Speaker 2: Yeah, you know, that's a good question. I didn't catch his.

589
00:29:51,079 --> 00:29:54,480
Speaker 1: I didn't catch any of his rehab, so if he did,

590
00:29:54,519 --> 00:29:57,279
it was like sort of you know, under the radar,

591
00:29:57,359 --> 00:30:00,480
maybe he didn't start. I'm gonna try to gonna quickly

592
00:30:00,519 --> 00:30:03,079
try to pull that up now, because yeah, I mean, listen,

593
00:30:03,480 --> 00:30:05,759
if Rupe is out there, that's not a guy I

594
00:30:05,799 --> 00:30:08,119
personally want to bet against, So that would be a

595
00:30:08,759 --> 00:30:11,440
that would be a no play for me. I like

596
00:30:11,519 --> 00:30:13,720
him quite a bit, but he has not had a

597
00:30:13,759 --> 00:30:17,160
rehab start yet. So he last pitched on August twentieth,

598
00:30:17,200 --> 00:30:19,279
and he has not made an appearance yet.

599
00:30:19,720 --> 00:30:21,720
Speaker 2: I think if they were to throw him back out

600
00:30:21,720 --> 00:30:22,000
and Nick.

601
00:30:22,079 --> 00:30:24,240
Speaker 1: Sometimes you'll see teams do this where it's like if

602
00:30:24,279 --> 00:30:26,240
they've only been out for a couple of weeks, they

603
00:30:26,240 --> 00:30:27,279
won't have a rehab outing.

604
00:30:27,279 --> 00:30:28,839
Speaker 2: They'll just you'll just put him out there.

605
00:30:29,200 --> 00:30:32,039
Speaker 1: I think I would fade him in this scenario, having

606
00:30:32,119 --> 00:30:35,680
had no rehab outing at minus one twenty or minus

607
00:30:35,680 --> 00:30:38,240
one twenty five for the home team. So that's one

608
00:30:38,279 --> 00:30:40,680
I'll have my eye on what as well for a

609
00:30:40,680 --> 00:30:41,519
potential client play.

610
00:30:41,559 --> 00:30:43,240
Speaker 2: Today. I've already put my play out in the parlay,

611
00:30:43,279 --> 00:30:44,359
so I'm not going to change it.

612
00:30:44,960 --> 00:30:49,039
Speaker 1: But I do like the Diamondbacks there. Okay, do the

613
00:30:49,079 --> 00:30:51,759
early game at one Nationals and Brains. Yeah, we'll talk

614
00:30:51,759 --> 00:30:54,680
about this thrilling double header. At least we have day

615
00:30:54,720 --> 00:30:59,240
baseball on a Tuesday, Brian Leonard, not exactly the most

616
00:30:59,319 --> 00:31:02,240
meaningful day as well. But hey, like I've always said,

617
00:31:01,759 --> 00:31:04,839
if if there's a game, we're sports betters. You know,

618
00:31:04,960 --> 00:31:08,160
the Nationals Braves at one pm on a Tuesday, Game

619
00:31:08,200 --> 00:31:10,160
one of a doubleheader can be just as meaning as

620
00:31:10,160 --> 00:31:13,240
World Series Game seven to us, So it gets the

621
00:31:13,279 --> 00:31:16,359
same treatment here on total basis. I will just throw

622
00:31:16,400 --> 00:31:19,200
it over to you for a general comment on the doubleheader.

623
00:31:19,279 --> 00:31:21,920
Game two is the matchup that looks to be set

624
00:31:21,960 --> 00:31:25,680
in stone with Chris Sale and Mackenzie Gore. Any brave

625
00:31:25,880 --> 00:31:27,920
National thoughts for you in either game today?

626
00:31:29,119 --> 00:31:34,160
Speaker 3: Well, I think that have Suarez the lefty gone against

627
00:31:34,240 --> 00:31:38,200
Irvin and when I see these two together in this ballpark.

628
00:31:38,279 --> 00:31:41,720
In game one, let me check the quick weather report.

629
00:31:45,759 --> 00:31:49,400
They're expecting four percent more runs in this game. The

630
00:31:49,440 --> 00:31:54,000
wind is blowing in from right field to left a

631
00:31:54,039 --> 00:31:57,200
little bit towards home play, so but my first thought

632
00:31:57,359 --> 00:32:01,960
was be the over. We're looking at nine, nine minus one,

633
00:32:02,200 --> 00:32:04,119
fifteen or whatever. That would be the way I would

634
00:32:04,119 --> 00:32:06,640
treat that one. The second game with Sale, we talked

635
00:32:06,640 --> 00:32:10,400
about this the other day, the five and flies, these

636
00:32:10,440 --> 00:32:13,000
guys that aren't going to the playoffs, like a Chris

637
00:32:13,039 --> 00:32:16,799
Sale and some of these other ones. For these teams,

638
00:32:17,359 --> 00:32:19,200
they aren't going to be going to the playoffs, they're

639
00:32:19,200 --> 00:32:21,559
gonna do these five and flies, and that's basically what

640
00:32:21,880 --> 00:32:25,200
Sale did last time. He's going up against Gore. Two lefties,

641
00:32:25,400 --> 00:32:28,680
probably the best left two best pitchers on the teams,

642
00:32:28,720 --> 00:32:31,000
but I wouldn't expect more than five innings out to

643
00:32:31,039 --> 00:32:33,200
be the one of them. The total in this game

644
00:32:33,240 --> 00:32:36,480
is seven, so we got a big two run differential.

645
00:32:36,599 --> 00:32:43,359
But based on the starting pitchers in these games, that's yeah, yeah,

646
00:32:43,480 --> 00:32:46,319
I wouldn't bet. I wouldn't bet under not in Washington.

647
00:32:47,359 --> 00:32:49,720
With the way that Atlanta's offense can hit, even though

648
00:32:49,720 --> 00:32:52,200
they've got a lot of guys that going through the motions.

649
00:32:52,200 --> 00:32:54,119
At least right now, they're just right wait for the

650
00:32:54,160 --> 00:32:56,559
season I end. So I'll probably have nothing on this

651
00:32:56,640 --> 00:32:59,440
double header, and I never play the second game of

652
00:32:59,440 --> 00:33:02,799
the double header. Early until I find out who's used

653
00:33:02,799 --> 00:33:03,839
in the first out of the bullpen.

654
00:33:05,720 --> 00:33:08,960
Speaker 4: Yeah, guys, five dollars Tuesday, go see what we got

655
00:33:09,000 --> 00:33:13,319
wager talk dot com free plays galore. Five dollars packages

656
00:33:13,440 --> 00:33:17,359
up for almost every capper. I just went four and

657
00:33:17,400 --> 00:33:20,359
oh in KBO if Samsung finally held on to win that,

658
00:33:20,599 --> 00:33:25,559
so I was pretty happy about that. Yeah, Hama Hama,

659
00:33:25,680 --> 00:33:30,160
SSG and LG's team total over I won all those

660
00:33:30,200 --> 00:33:35,160
plus Samsung, so nice. It was a good night. Regarding

661
00:33:35,160 --> 00:33:38,319
this game, I'm not going to bet the first game

662
00:33:38,319 --> 00:33:42,119
because the picture's not decided for Atlanta. Jake Irvan is

663
00:33:42,160 --> 00:33:43,920
not my favorite guy, but if you look at his

664
00:33:44,039 --> 00:33:46,920
numbers against Atlanta, he's got pretty decent numbers against them,

665
00:33:46,920 --> 00:33:49,599
so it's not an auto fade Jake Irvan day, I

666
00:33:49,640 --> 00:33:53,039
don't think. Looking at the second game, we got Sale

667
00:33:53,079 --> 00:33:57,039
and Gore Gore Man. He was cy young candidate in

668
00:33:57,079 --> 00:33:58,880
the first half of the season. He's just fallen off

669
00:33:58,880 --> 00:34:03,160
a cliff in the second half. Chris Sale is always

670
00:34:03,160 --> 00:34:05,319
going to be Chris Sale, even though he gets up

671
00:34:05,319 --> 00:34:09,239
there in age. He's a dominating pitcher. Batters hate to

672
00:34:09,280 --> 00:34:12,400
face him. He's kind of like Randy Johnson, batters just

673
00:34:12,519 --> 00:34:15,519
hated to face him, and they hate to face Chrisale,

674
00:34:15,519 --> 00:34:19,480
even in his older age. He's much better than Gore.

675
00:34:19,760 --> 00:34:22,199
So if anything, I would take Atlanta in Game two.

676
00:34:22,280 --> 00:34:25,440
But let's see what the price is, probably like minus

677
00:34:25,440 --> 00:34:28,519
two hundred or something ridiculous. One eighty five. Well, one

678
00:34:28,599 --> 00:34:30,800
eighty five is in the realm where you could actually

679
00:34:30,800 --> 00:34:33,840
do a minus one and get maybe a minus one

680
00:34:33,920 --> 00:34:38,760
fifty to take Atlanta. The thing is, Washington's been hitting

681
00:34:38,800 --> 00:34:41,400
the ball really well lately, even though like Brian said,

682
00:34:41,400 --> 00:34:44,400
they're just they're just going through the motions finishing out

683
00:34:44,440 --> 00:34:46,480
the season. But I got him ranked number eight in

684
00:34:46,559 --> 00:34:51,400
hitting in MLB. Yesterday I lost their team total. I

685
00:34:51,400 --> 00:34:52,880
had him over three and a half and they just

686
00:34:52,920 --> 00:34:54,400
got to three and died.

687
00:34:55,000 --> 00:34:55,159
Speaker 1: Uh.

688
00:34:55,440 --> 00:34:59,039
Speaker 4: But I think they're a pretty decent hitting team. You

689
00:34:59,119 --> 00:35:01,679
maybe take Washing to this team total in game one

690
00:35:02,840 --> 00:35:07,039
because Atlanta's bullpen is Atlanta's bullpen's playing pretty well, but

691
00:35:07,079 --> 00:35:09,079
we don't know who they're going to start. They might

692
00:35:09,119 --> 00:35:11,559
get their bullpen stretched out. It's a two game day.

693
00:35:11,880 --> 00:35:13,880
If anything, that's where I would go. But I'm kind

694
00:35:13,880 --> 00:35:16,639
of with Brian here. I'll probably not bet either one

695
00:35:16,679 --> 00:35:17,440
of these games.

696
00:35:19,719 --> 00:35:22,440
Speaker 1: I think, Brian, you said it's it's likely Jose Suarez,

697
00:35:22,519 --> 00:35:25,280
former Los Angeles Angeles angel in game one.

698
00:35:25,440 --> 00:35:26,360
Speaker 2: That's what I thought too.

699
00:35:27,320 --> 00:35:30,440
Speaker 3: I was also website os logic.

700
00:35:31,119 --> 00:35:32,360
Speaker 2: Yeah, it makes sense.

701
00:35:32,360 --> 00:35:35,440
Speaker 1: He's been he's been starting games down to gwinnit for them.

702
00:35:35,840 --> 00:35:39,400
I actually so assuming that's the case, which I do

703
00:35:39,440 --> 00:35:42,239
think we can assume that correctly at this point. I

704
00:35:42,320 --> 00:35:44,480
like the Braves in game one, he's he's thrown it

705
00:35:44,519 --> 00:35:47,159
well down for the most part down at Triple A.

706
00:35:47,320 --> 00:35:50,920
So just quick briefing on on his season so far.

707
00:35:51,639 --> 00:35:53,920
He was coming out of the bullpen for the Braves

708
00:35:53,960 --> 00:35:56,440
early in the season, couple outings looked really good. Got

709
00:35:56,519 --> 00:36:01,599
Hurt was hurt, I'm sorry, went back down to win

710
00:36:01,679 --> 00:36:07,559
it to start. Got Hurt has basically went back to

711
00:36:07,679 --> 00:36:09,480
like I think he was rehabbing down in like a

712
00:36:09,639 --> 00:36:12,960
ball for the beginning part of August. So he's only

713
00:36:12,960 --> 00:36:15,880
been back starting games in Triple A since like late August.

714
00:36:16,360 --> 00:36:20,360
But like I watched, the start against Norfolk was pretty good.

715
00:36:20,400 --> 00:36:23,119
I think six shutout innings in that game. He is

716
00:36:23,239 --> 00:36:25,440
he has been so the reason I point that out

717
00:36:25,519 --> 00:36:27,920
is he was a reliever for them for a little

718
00:36:27,960 --> 00:36:30,960
bit starter got hurt, kind of building his way back

719
00:36:31,039 --> 00:36:33,480
up his last so his last three starts, which I

720
00:36:33,519 --> 00:36:37,400
would consider like normal starts for the Triple A squad.

721
00:36:37,960 --> 00:36:41,320
Six innings, three hits, no runs, six strikeouts, no walks.

722
00:36:41,320 --> 00:36:45,360
That's pretty good. Against Durham six innings, two runs, five hits,

723
00:36:45,400 --> 00:36:47,320
eight strikeouts, no walks.

724
00:36:47,320 --> 00:36:50,920
Speaker 2: Not bad. And then last time out against Nashville, five innings,

725
00:36:50,960 --> 00:36:55,239
three runs, seven strikeouts, two walks. Pretty good.

726
00:36:55,320 --> 00:36:58,480
Speaker 1: It's not terrible like that is you know, those are

727
00:36:58,519 --> 00:37:01,440
good numbers right there in three starts at Triple A,

728
00:37:01,599 --> 00:37:03,800
I feel like he's throwing the ball well. And nash

729
00:37:04,159 --> 00:37:06,719
I'm sorry, Nashville. The Nationals are very much Triple A

730
00:37:06,800 --> 00:37:08,960
lineup right now. I mean, this is this team is

731
00:37:09,159 --> 00:37:12,360
no better. Their lineup's no better than like a lot

732
00:37:12,400 --> 00:37:14,320
of I mean, it's it's what six or seven of

733
00:37:14,320 --> 00:37:16,679
these guys could easily be at Triple A. Yeah, you've

734
00:37:16,679 --> 00:37:19,599
got you know, you've got a couple of veterans in there,

735
00:37:19,639 --> 00:37:21,800
But this is not a lineup that I think strikes

736
00:37:21,880 --> 00:37:24,559
my much fear into the hearts of anyone. And then

737
00:37:24,599 --> 00:37:26,960
the second thing is they haven't really hit lefties well

738
00:37:27,000 --> 00:37:29,320
this year, so I think the Braves actually have a

739
00:37:29,320 --> 00:37:32,440
pretty substantial edge in game one. How much do they

740
00:37:32,519 --> 00:37:35,800
care to go play a road doubleheader in DC? Well,

741
00:37:35,800 --> 00:37:37,480
that you're gonna have to like decide.

742
00:37:37,519 --> 00:37:37,960
Speaker 2: I don't know.

743
00:37:38,039 --> 00:37:40,199
Speaker 1: This is a team that I talked about two weeks ago,

744
00:37:40,320 --> 00:37:42,639
maybe not caring at all about these last couple of weeks.

745
00:37:43,320 --> 00:37:47,159
But if you're just going off straight talent, like I'd

746
00:37:47,239 --> 00:37:50,559
much rather have the Braves and Irvin in this first game.

747
00:37:50,920 --> 00:37:53,000
I'm sorry, the Braves and Swars in this first game

748
00:37:53,280 --> 00:37:55,920
than the Nationals and Irvin. And who knows, maybe the

749
00:37:55,920 --> 00:37:57,719
line will come down thirty cents and I can actually

750
00:37:57,760 --> 00:38:00,239
bet it. I think it's like minus one forty right now.

751
00:38:00,239 --> 00:38:02,599
I have no interest at that price, but you never know.

752
00:38:02,679 --> 00:38:05,840
Sometimes He's doubleheader games take some money. It's the standalone game.

753
00:38:06,199 --> 00:38:08,559
If someone out there were to decide to bet the Nationals,

754
00:38:08,599 --> 00:38:09,920
I'd probably play back at that.

755
00:38:10,039 --> 00:38:11,880
Speaker 2: So this is one that I'll have an eye my

756
00:38:12,039 --> 00:38:13,679
eye on as we get closer to post.

757
00:38:13,920 --> 00:38:15,960
Speaker 1: If I could get like minus one twenty five on

758
00:38:16,000 --> 00:38:18,800
the Braves, I'd probably take it at minus one forty.

759
00:38:18,800 --> 00:38:22,440
I have no interest, but wolf Eye's Gaming TV. That's

760
00:38:22,440 --> 00:38:26,119
my take on the day game because you asked for it.

761
00:38:26,199 --> 00:38:30,679
So all right, mar Kins, And yeah, let's talk about

762
00:38:30,679 --> 00:38:34,519
this one Jay's Rays I watched last night.

763
00:38:34,519 --> 00:38:37,960
Speaker 2: That was awesome. Trey is Savage, my guy? He might,

764
00:38:38,039 --> 00:38:38,800
he might, he may.

765
00:38:39,119 --> 00:38:41,199
Speaker 1: He may be the key to the Blue Jays winning

766
00:38:41,400 --> 00:38:42,559
the American League this year.

767
00:38:43,559 --> 00:38:45,199
Speaker 2: That was extremely impressive.

768
00:38:46,239 --> 00:38:50,000
Speaker 1: I totally did not expect to see him out there

769
00:38:50,000 --> 00:38:53,599
for six innings last night. That was the Braves kind

770
00:38:53,599 --> 00:38:55,760
of slow rolling everyone because they had not pushed him

771
00:38:55,800 --> 00:38:58,679
that far at Triple A in a couple of weeks.

772
00:38:59,480 --> 00:39:03,039
After the inning, John Schneider went to tray a Savage

773
00:39:03,079 --> 00:39:05,360
and this is a quote from one of the Blue

774
00:39:05,440 --> 00:39:08,239
Jays beat reporters, asked if he was ready to be

775
00:39:08,280 --> 00:39:10,840
a big boy and go out for the sixth, which

776
00:39:10,840 --> 00:39:15,800
he was, and he was dominant. So just an awesome display.

777
00:39:15,920 --> 00:39:18,199
And if you're if you're looking at futures or who

778
00:39:18,320 --> 00:39:21,119
might win this thing, the Blue Jays, if they could

779
00:39:21,159 --> 00:39:23,639
throw you Savage at like the back end of those games,

780
00:39:23,639 --> 00:39:26,239
Like if they think he's got the guts to go

781
00:39:26,280 --> 00:39:28,559
out there in the eighth and ninth inning and throw

782
00:39:28,599 --> 00:39:31,199
that split finger for a strike. No one's hitting at

783
00:39:31,199 --> 00:39:33,800
Brian Leonard. That's one of the most impressive pitches I've

784
00:39:33,840 --> 00:39:37,599
seen this year from any pitcher, just straight up, if

785
00:39:37,960 --> 00:39:39,320
he could throw that pitch at the bottom of the

786
00:39:39,400 --> 00:39:42,840
zone for a strike consistently, no one will hit it.

787
00:39:43,000 --> 00:39:46,599
Promise you it's that good. And then the Blue Jays

788
00:39:46,679 --> 00:39:48,079
end up walking it off. You could have got the

789
00:39:48,119 --> 00:39:49,960
Blue Jays yesterday. I think we talked about it on

790
00:39:50,000 --> 00:39:52,159
the show. Rays took some money. You could have got

791
00:39:52,199 --> 00:39:54,480
the Blue Jays at minus one twenty five. They end

792
00:39:54,559 --> 00:39:57,840
up walking it off in extras. Now they've won five straight.

793
00:39:57,880 --> 00:39:59,400
They come out and I look, it looks like we've

794
00:39:59,400 --> 00:40:00,880
got Burrios and Pepio here.

795
00:40:00,960 --> 00:40:03,280
Speaker 2: So anyway, that was just me making sure.

796
00:40:03,320 --> 00:40:06,239
Speaker 1: If you haven't seen it, go to Rob Friedman's page,

797
00:40:06,280 --> 00:40:08,199
go to Pitching Ninja, and just watch all nine of

798
00:40:08,199 --> 00:40:12,320
those Tray Savage strikeouts. Very very impressive stuff. But today

799
00:40:12,360 --> 00:40:15,599
it's Barrios and Pepio. Less impressive from the pitching standpoint.

800
00:40:15,880 --> 00:40:16,920
How are you seeing this one?

801
00:40:17,599 --> 00:40:21,280
Speaker 3: Yeah? Brand has talked about today being five dollars Tuesday.

802
00:40:21,599 --> 00:40:24,800
I do have a playoff in college football for Saturday.

803
00:40:24,800 --> 00:40:27,480
I really like I've got that up for only five

804
00:40:27,519 --> 00:40:34,400
dollars twenty five dollars if you wait after till after midnight. Tonight,

805
00:40:34,480 --> 00:40:37,960
Brandon was showing the baseball cards and he showed al Kline.

806
00:40:38,679 --> 00:40:41,679
And when I was growing up, you know, Detroit had

807
00:40:41,679 --> 00:40:43,840
a pretty good team, a lot of star players, Norm

808
00:40:43,880 --> 00:40:48,480
Cashional and I always thought al Kline had a side

809
00:40:48,599 --> 00:40:52,079
job or he made batteries because of the alkaline batteries.

810
00:40:52,920 --> 00:40:57,760
So just for years I thought, I go, man, that

811
00:40:57,800 --> 00:41:00,960
guy's make me reckon in the money. Okay, getting to

812
00:41:01,039 --> 00:41:03,920
the game, we got Burios and Pepio Barry. It's basically

813
00:41:03,960 --> 00:41:05,760
a pick them bait in eight and a half, and

814
00:41:06,239 --> 00:41:10,239
in my opinion, it should be a pick them. Burios

815
00:41:10,320 --> 00:41:11,960
is a guy that gets it done. Nine to five

816
00:41:12,079 --> 00:41:15,440
record after a three point nine ninety RA four point

817
00:41:15,480 --> 00:41:20,639
seventy five. Always underperforms his uh. I wouldn't say always,

818
00:41:20,679 --> 00:41:24,639
but the majority of his career he's underperformed. Is overperforms

819
00:41:24,719 --> 00:41:26,639
is expected the RAS. But he's got a lot of

820
00:41:26,639 --> 00:41:31,519
blue on his on his website for his rankings, his

821
00:41:31,639 --> 00:41:34,159
barrel rate and only in the ten percent is a concern.

822
00:41:35,840 --> 00:41:38,559
This is a good, pretty good hitters ballpark for being

823
00:41:38,559 --> 00:41:40,639
a minor league ballpark, and I guess they're going to

824
00:41:40,679 --> 00:41:46,119
be back in the trot next year. They've reinforced the

825
00:41:46,119 --> 00:41:49,039
the roof and so uh, they'll get back to their

826
00:41:49,079 --> 00:41:53,039
better pitching environment there. But Pepio is going for Tampa Bay.

827
00:41:53,039 --> 00:41:56,679
Three point five ninety RA, three point ninety six, one

828
00:41:56,719 --> 00:42:00,760
point one three whip. His number are better than what

829
00:42:00,800 --> 00:42:02,159
he has been this year. I've been a little bit

830
00:42:02,159 --> 00:42:05,800
disappointed by him. His extension is very good, but his

831
00:42:05,800 --> 00:42:09,159
barrel right, his walk right, his hard hit rate are

832
00:42:09,199 --> 00:42:15,079
all somewhat concerning in the bottom three thirty of the

833
00:42:15,119 --> 00:42:20,880
baseball bottom sixty seven percent, I guess in baseball. So yeah,

834
00:42:21,119 --> 00:42:26,199
it's two guys here, and I think the line lines correct.

835
00:42:26,320 --> 00:42:27,920
I didn't have anything on the game, so I'm not

836
00:42:27,920 --> 00:42:29,000
going to waste any more time.

837
00:42:30,960 --> 00:42:33,920
Speaker 4: Yeah, yes, that it's a great game. He probably felt

838
00:42:34,119 --> 00:42:36,639
quite at home in that minor league ballpark that they

839
00:42:36,639 --> 00:42:40,800
were playing in yesterday. I love watching the highlights from

840
00:42:40,800 --> 00:42:43,239
that ballpark. Right, it looks totally looks like a minor

841
00:42:43,320 --> 00:42:47,159
league game. How How can a rich league like MLB

842
00:42:47,280 --> 00:42:48,840
allow this stuff to happen?

843
00:42:49,039 --> 00:42:52,039
Speaker 2: So ridiculous two teams playing in minor league.

844
00:42:52,079 --> 00:42:56,559
Speaker 4: I know, the A's and Tampa It shouldn't happen. NFL

845
00:42:56,639 --> 00:42:59,559
would never let something like that happen, but this is baseball.

846
00:42:59,599 --> 00:43:05,679
But anyway, I digress, So Pepio taking on Barrios today.

847
00:43:06,000 --> 00:43:09,960
Pepio's got really good stats against these these Blue Jays.

848
00:43:09,960 --> 00:43:13,079
But blue Jays are just racing. They have been ranking

849
00:43:13,119 --> 00:43:16,800
for almost two weeks straight. Got them ranked number two

850
00:43:16,840 --> 00:43:20,599
in all of MLB and run production, but I have

851
00:43:20,760 --> 00:43:24,000
Dampa ranked higher than the Blue Jays and almost everything else,

852
00:43:24,039 --> 00:43:28,000
including bullpen and starting pitching. I got Pepio on a

853
00:43:28,039 --> 00:43:30,800
curve of thirty ranked twelve, where I got Barrios ranked

854
00:43:30,800 --> 00:43:35,199
twenty three. Now I like Barrios. People are going to say,

855
00:43:35,199 --> 00:43:40,639
you're pronouncing his name. Okay, Barrios, But anyway, he used

856
00:43:40,679 --> 00:43:42,480
to be one of those iron men who I love

857
00:43:42,519 --> 00:43:44,840
to bet his outs props on. But he's kind of

858
00:43:45,000 --> 00:43:49,440
fading away from being that guy. His stats against the

859
00:43:49,519 --> 00:43:52,039
Rays are not bad. He's right around the Mendoza line

860
00:43:52,079 --> 00:43:55,360
seven point fifty ops and a two thirty five average against.

861
00:43:56,000 --> 00:43:59,920
Looking at his game log, he rarely goes six innings anymore.

862
00:44:00,000 --> 00:44:04,079
He's not that guy anymore. If anything, I'd like to

863
00:44:04,079 --> 00:44:07,519
play the Rays, but I can't. I don't know why.

864
00:44:07,599 --> 00:44:10,440
I can't, but something inside me is saying, don't do it,

865
00:44:10,679 --> 00:44:13,400
probably because the Jay's lineup is just so power pack

866
00:44:13,519 --> 00:44:16,920
and they're on such a role. Hard to bet against

867
00:44:16,920 --> 00:44:20,280
the lineup that's just crushing like that, even if the

868
00:44:20,360 --> 00:44:23,639
other team has almost every advantage, so it would be

869
00:44:23,719 --> 00:44:25,480
raised or nothing for me, But I'm not going to

870
00:44:25,519 --> 00:44:25,800
do it.

871
00:44:28,320 --> 00:44:31,519
Speaker 1: This is probably my strongest total opinion of the day.

872
00:44:31,840 --> 00:44:34,960
I like over here both. You know, I'm with Brian

873
00:44:35,039 --> 00:44:38,960
in the respect that like Pepio's is the starting pitcher

874
00:44:38,960 --> 00:44:42,280
of the two that I prefer. Have no issues going

875
00:44:42,320 --> 00:44:46,960
against Jose Brios at this point. I think his profile suggests,

876
00:44:47,320 --> 00:44:49,679
you know, more runs than less, at least the rest

877
00:44:49,679 --> 00:44:51,599
of the way. He may be a guy that I

878
00:44:51,599 --> 00:44:53,639
like that I target for a fade in a playoff

879
00:44:53,679 --> 00:44:56,119
start if they I'm assuming they're going to start him

880
00:44:56,119 --> 00:44:59,920
in a playoff game, so you know, I'm fine with

881
00:45:00,039 --> 00:45:03,239
playing against him. There's you know, the Rays used some

882
00:45:03,280 --> 00:45:06,079
bullpen arms yesterday, so you know it's a game that

883
00:45:06,119 --> 00:45:08,639
went extra inning, so maybe some runs late on the

884
00:45:08,719 --> 00:45:11,079
end of this game. TV makes a great point the

885
00:45:11,079 --> 00:45:13,440
Blue Jays one through nine is as tough of a

886
00:45:13,440 --> 00:45:16,480
lineup to navigate as there is. So you're you're up

887
00:45:16,519 --> 00:45:18,639
against what I consider to be one of the elite

888
00:45:18,639 --> 00:45:21,639
lineups in Major League Baseball. You're in a park that's

889
00:45:21,679 --> 00:45:23,920
small that that will give up the you know, the

890
00:45:24,000 --> 00:45:27,239
cheap homer certainly not the trop when it comes to

891
00:45:27,719 --> 00:45:30,000
you know, how the ballpark plays. So I think that

892
00:45:30,119 --> 00:45:34,079
helps to the over as well. And again, like Ryan said,

893
00:45:34,119 --> 00:45:38,039
like the Pepio has just not been the guy that

894
00:45:38,360 --> 00:45:41,760
I think we expected him to be this year. Gives

895
00:45:41,840 --> 00:45:44,360
up high exit v low like there's you know that

896
00:45:44,440 --> 00:45:46,760
there's just like I don't think that the Jays are

897
00:45:47,239 --> 00:45:49,039
won't be able to do something off of him.

898
00:45:49,079 --> 00:45:49,840
Speaker 2: So when I look at this.

899
00:45:49,880 --> 00:45:54,079
Speaker 1: Game, I see, you know, maybe and the other thing

900
00:45:54,119 --> 00:45:56,360
here that the Jays what are they They've won five

901
00:45:56,400 --> 00:46:01,519
straight games now their lead in the American League. I

902
00:46:01,519 --> 00:46:03,280
don't have it right here, but it's got to be

903
00:46:03,280 --> 00:46:06,760
at least five games. You're not going to see them

904
00:46:06,800 --> 00:46:10,079
stress out all the leverage arms like it's just you know, this,

905
00:46:10,079 --> 00:46:11,559
this could be like a little bit of a free

906
00:46:11,599 --> 00:46:13,559
for all. I think at the end of the game,

907
00:46:14,480 --> 00:46:16,360
you know, after a two to one extra innings type

908
00:46:16,400 --> 00:46:19,559
game yesterday that you're getting like a very like the

909
00:46:19,679 --> 00:46:21,960
key number of eight and a half here at reduced juice,

910
00:46:22,400 --> 00:46:25,440
I think makes that a good a good over bet.

911
00:46:25,800 --> 00:46:28,159
Both teams get to four, you've got a winner. And

912
00:46:28,360 --> 00:46:31,719
I don't see either of these pitchers completely going in

913
00:46:31,800 --> 00:46:34,920
and wiping out the other team TVs. Right about the

914
00:46:34,920 --> 00:46:37,599
Blue Jays lineup, they'll get something here. And I just

915
00:46:37,639 --> 00:46:39,880
have no faith in Barrios going like six innings and

916
00:46:39,920 --> 00:46:42,760
not giving something up to the raising this ballpark.

917
00:46:43,039 --> 00:46:44,960
Speaker 2: So I like the over over eight and a half

918
00:46:45,280 --> 00:46:48,320
is the way I would play this one. Go ahead, Brian, I.

919
00:46:48,239 --> 00:46:50,039
Speaker 3: Just want we're getting a little bit later in the show.

920
00:46:50,079 --> 00:46:51,880
I just want it. I've been giving out a lot

921
00:46:51,920 --> 00:46:53,639
of games which I don't have much of an opinion.

922
00:46:54,000 --> 00:46:57,519
You don't mind, I'll give out ahead. I parlay like here,

923
00:46:57,559 --> 00:46:59,639
I'm gonna take a look at the Cleveland Detroit game.

924
00:47:00,840 --> 00:47:04,360
Detroit's going with Joey Cantillo, a lefty against Casey Mayes.

925
00:47:05,039 --> 00:47:10,719
Current line is about one forty for Detroit, total of

926
00:47:10,760 --> 00:47:14,679
eight to the over A little bit. When I'm looking

927
00:47:14,719 --> 00:47:17,239
at this game, and I'm really when I'm looking at

928
00:47:17,239 --> 00:47:20,400
any game right now where you've got a lefty going

929
00:47:20,440 --> 00:47:23,480
against Detroit, I'm probably going to have a nice lean

930
00:47:23,599 --> 00:47:27,719
here or a play on the lefty. Right now, Detroit

931
00:47:28,079 --> 00:47:31,360
over the last fourteen days has a ninety two WRC

932
00:47:31,480 --> 00:47:35,239
plus or Cleveland is one oh five, so Clay's hitting

933
00:47:35,239 --> 00:47:38,199
a little bit better. But the main reason why I

934
00:47:38,400 --> 00:47:42,760
like this is because if a lefty is going, it

935
00:47:42,840 --> 00:47:47,119
means although Parker Meadow's did that, last time a lefty

936
00:47:49,519 --> 00:47:52,000
lefty pitcher went, he did beat eighth in the lineup.

937
00:47:52,400 --> 00:47:55,039
He's been batting the lead off against the righties, so

938
00:47:55,159 --> 00:47:58,320
I would expect him to set out this game. I

939
00:47:58,360 --> 00:48:03,000
think Meadows sits out starting lineup, Carpenter sits out the

940
00:48:03,000 --> 00:48:07,039
starting lineup, and Cole Keith sit out the starting lineup,

941
00:48:07,079 --> 00:48:11,119
and in their replace you'll get Jaber Bayaz, Andy Boniez

942
00:48:11,159 --> 00:48:14,639
and Jamal Jones. That's a big drop off and that's

943
00:48:15,079 --> 00:48:17,159
one of the reasons why I like Cleveland in this game.

944
00:48:17,239 --> 00:48:20,679
Joey Cantillo on the season three point three six ERA,

945
00:48:20,920 --> 00:48:24,159
three point sixty one expected. In fact, last year I

946
00:48:24,159 --> 00:48:26,559
had three point eighty three expected. It was much better

947
00:48:26,599 --> 00:48:30,239
than what his ERA was. In the game, He's not

948
00:48:30,280 --> 00:48:34,440
gonna blow you away with his fastball or his chase rate.

949
00:48:34,840 --> 00:48:36,840
And he does walk a little bit too many people

950
00:48:36,920 --> 00:48:40,880
with the whip in the one thirty range, but his

951
00:48:40,960 --> 00:48:42,960
extensions in the ninety nine percent of tall of six

952
00:48:43,039 --> 00:48:47,360
foot four, and his whiff rate's great, his strikeout rates great,

953
00:48:47,519 --> 00:48:50,480
and his barrel rate is great. I wish he threw

954
00:48:50,599 --> 00:48:52,920
one more pitch. They'll probably have to develop that as

955
00:48:52,920 --> 00:48:55,800
the season goes on in the off season. But I

956
00:48:55,920 --> 00:48:59,480
like him, and he matches up to me. He matches

957
00:48:59,559 --> 00:49:02,440
up pretty well. The Casey Casey Mice comes in with

958
00:49:02,440 --> 00:49:05,199
the fourteen to five record, but he's got that three

959
00:49:05,239 --> 00:49:08,840
point eight three ERA, three point seven seven, expected one

960
00:49:08,840 --> 00:49:12,239
point two seven. I've got these guys pretty much in

961
00:49:12,280 --> 00:49:15,480
the same range. I actually have Catillo slightly better, so

962
00:49:15,519 --> 00:49:19,079
we've got a slightly better pitcher that happens to be

963
00:49:19,079 --> 00:49:22,079
a lefty, which Detroit loses three of their better beats

964
00:49:22,159 --> 00:49:26,320
because of that. And you're getting Cantillo here in the

965
00:49:26,840 --> 00:49:29,880
plus anywhere from plus one eighteen to plus one twenty three.

966
00:49:30,840 --> 00:49:33,559
And money has come in on Detroit, So I'm bucking

967
00:49:33,639 --> 00:49:37,119
the early line here. But I like Cleveland. Cleveland's playing

968
00:49:37,320 --> 00:49:40,039
really good. They've won nine out the last ten games.

969
00:49:40,400 --> 00:49:44,840
Detroit's five and five Cleveland has seven I believe six

970
00:49:44,920 --> 00:49:47,719
or seven games left with Detroit, and they trail Detroit

971
00:49:47,760 --> 00:49:49,960
by I think six and a half games, so I

972
00:49:50,000 --> 00:49:53,480
don't expect Cleveland to sweep the entire two serieses, but

973
00:49:54,480 --> 00:49:57,119
they can put a scare into Detroit here, and there's

974
00:49:57,159 --> 00:49:59,599
still only three games out of the wild Cards, so

975
00:50:00,000 --> 00:50:02,440
Clavel's pretty confident and I don't think they're going to

976
00:50:02,519 --> 00:50:05,159
make it, but as long as the players are talking

977
00:50:05,199 --> 00:50:08,360
about it, that's what I want to look into. And

978
00:50:08,679 --> 00:50:11,320
Cleveland over the earth has been very good against divisional

979
00:50:11,440 --> 00:50:14,320
rivals as Detroit has been, so I like, Cleveland, are

980
00:50:14,360 --> 00:50:18,280
you getting them? Let's play him at plus one twenty

981
00:50:18,360 --> 00:50:19,039
one right now.

982
00:50:20,840 --> 00:50:24,840
Speaker 4: Totally agree with Brian on this one. Cantilla is a

983
00:50:24,880 --> 00:50:29,000
much better pitcher than Mice, and the bullpen for Cleveland

984
00:50:29,199 --> 00:50:32,280
much better than Detroit. The only area where I see

985
00:50:32,280 --> 00:50:35,239
Detroit being better than Cleveland in current form is hitting.

986
00:50:35,280 --> 00:50:38,360
But like Brian said, Detroit is basically going to coast

987
00:50:38,400 --> 00:50:42,480
it out and play their best players sparingly just to

988
00:50:42,559 --> 00:50:46,039
keep them in form, but not really trying to win games,

989
00:50:46,039 --> 00:50:48,239
but just trying to keep them in form for the playoffs.

990
00:50:48,320 --> 00:50:51,440
So I totally agree with that cap, I would go

991
00:50:51,480 --> 00:50:55,159
with Cleveland here as well. Only way to go in

992
00:50:55,159 --> 00:50:55,719
my opinion.

993
00:50:57,679 --> 00:51:00,639
Speaker 1: Yeah, the Tigers have been ex exactly what I thought

994
00:51:00,639 --> 00:51:03,719
they would be this month. Uh, it's an open tryout.

995
00:51:03,880 --> 00:51:04,119
Speaker 4: A J.

996
00:51:04,239 --> 00:51:06,920
Speaker 1: Hinch is trying different different things out with his lineup,

997
00:51:07,000 --> 00:51:09,320
with his you know, with some of the guys he's

998
00:51:09,320 --> 00:51:11,719
been able to get on the roster from tripa A.

999
00:51:12,159 --> 00:51:15,119
Really he's just trying the next I mean, that's this

1000
00:51:15,239 --> 00:51:18,360
is exactly what I expected the Tigers to do in September,

1001
00:51:18,480 --> 00:51:21,639
play roughly five hundred baseball because there's still a very

1002
00:51:21,760 --> 00:51:22,480
good ball club.

1003
00:51:22,519 --> 00:51:25,079
Speaker 2: So like that's the thing. Even even when he's going

1004
00:51:25,159 --> 00:51:26,320
to experiment.

1005
00:51:25,840 --> 00:51:28,320
Speaker 1: With stuff, they're still gonna win half of their games

1006
00:51:28,360 --> 00:51:30,800
because they're that they're just a good ball club.

1007
00:51:32,039 --> 00:51:33,639
Speaker 2: But like what do they what do they need?

1008
00:51:33,920 --> 00:51:35,800
Speaker 1: You know, why would they need to do anything different?

1009
00:51:35,840 --> 00:51:38,760
They they've got a stranglehold on the division. They've already

1010
00:51:38,800 --> 00:51:42,360
won it. You know, it's there's really so Yeah, and

1011
00:51:42,360 --> 00:51:46,079
and you know Carpenter probably out maybe you see, like

1012
00:51:46,760 --> 00:51:48,760
I don't know, someone like Jami Jones get to play

1013
00:51:48,800 --> 00:51:49,079
like this.

1014
00:51:49,079 --> 00:51:50,039
Speaker 2: This is what I'm talking about.

1015
00:51:50,039 --> 00:51:52,559
Speaker 1: Like you're gonna just see guys rotated in and out,

1016
00:51:52,840 --> 00:51:55,599
and so pretty much my rule right now, like, there's

1017
00:51:55,679 --> 00:51:58,320
zero chance I'm gonna lay any sort of price with

1018
00:51:58,400 --> 00:52:02,280
the Tigers the rest of the year because I just

1019
00:52:02,320 --> 00:52:05,440
don't think you're gonna get that like killer instinct from

1020
00:52:05,440 --> 00:52:07,639
like a like a like the way the game is

1021
00:52:07,679 --> 00:52:11,079
managed type thing. Now when you get to the playoffs,

1022
00:52:11,119 --> 00:52:11,360
a J.

1023
00:52:11,519 --> 00:52:13,679
Speaker 2: Hinches is the biggest killer in that regard.

1024
00:52:13,719 --> 00:52:16,880
Speaker 1: He's he's going to know exactly how to uh how

1025
00:52:16,920 --> 00:52:20,159
to you know, set up a playoff roster to to

1026
00:52:20,199 --> 00:52:20,920
optimize it.

1027
00:52:21,199 --> 00:52:23,199
Speaker 2: But right now, that's just not the goal.

1028
00:52:23,360 --> 00:52:26,760
Speaker 1: The goal is putting guys in situations that might fail,

1029
00:52:27,000 --> 00:52:28,960
because you got to see if they've got the ability

1030
00:52:29,280 --> 00:52:31,880
to do that two weeks from now when it really matters.

1031
00:52:31,880 --> 00:52:33,880
So yeah, no chance I'm going to lay a price

1032
00:52:33,960 --> 00:52:37,079
with the Tigers. I don't really care for mys personally.

1033
00:52:37,320 --> 00:52:39,360
He's been more of a fade for me this year

1034
00:52:39,400 --> 00:52:42,400
than anything. And you know, Brian Cantillo's growing on me.

1035
00:52:42,760 --> 00:52:46,320
They you know, I talked about him way earlier this year.

1036
00:52:46,360 --> 00:52:48,880
He went to Columbus, they decided that they were going

1037
00:52:48,920 --> 00:52:51,079
to stretch him out and make him a starter. And

1038
00:52:51,159 --> 00:52:54,199
I've been mostly impressed with what I've seen from him

1039
00:52:54,480 --> 00:52:56,760
since he's come back up, gets a lot of swing

1040
00:52:56,800 --> 00:52:59,199
and miss. I think he's a guy that that you know,

1041
00:52:59,320 --> 00:53:02,119
is definitely sort of on my play on list if

1042
00:53:02,119 --> 00:53:04,320
I you know, I don't want to fade them, let's

1043
00:53:04,320 --> 00:53:06,960
put it that way. So, yeah, I can't really argue

1044
00:53:06,960 --> 00:53:10,320
with a plus price on the Guardians here, especially with

1045
00:53:10,480 --> 00:53:13,039
how they've played nine to one over their last ten games.

1046
00:53:13,199 --> 00:53:16,280
They clearly have some momentum, so why not sort of

1047
00:53:16,320 --> 00:53:17,760
ride it while while it's going good?

1048
00:53:17,800 --> 00:53:20,079
Speaker 2: Right Like? That's how that's how September works for some

1049
00:53:20,320 --> 00:53:20,960
of these teams.

1050
00:53:21,239 --> 00:53:21,400
Speaker 4: You know.

1051
00:53:21,440 --> 00:53:23,320
Speaker 1: You look at a team like the Giants, Well they

1052
00:53:23,679 --> 00:53:26,519
lost that that energy. Now, maybe it's time to fade them.

1053
00:53:26,719 --> 00:53:28,880
But when they had it, it was like one win

1054
00:53:28,960 --> 00:53:31,400
after the other. That's what the Guardians are right now.

1055
00:53:31,400 --> 00:53:35,440
Four straight nine of their last ten. Huge game for them.

1056
00:53:35,679 --> 00:53:37,719
I don't mind the plus plus money here at all.

1057
00:53:38,039 --> 00:53:40,800
You said plus one twenty one roughly on that twenty one.

1058
00:53:40,880 --> 00:53:42,719
Speaker 3: Yeah, you can get one twenty three or one twenty four,

1059
00:53:42,800 --> 00:53:45,480
but one twenty one's pretty pretty.

1060
00:53:45,119 --> 00:53:45,800
Speaker 4: Well right there.

1061
00:53:47,440 --> 00:53:49,119
Speaker 1: All right, let's hit one more game and then I

1062
00:53:49,159 --> 00:53:54,280
will recap the Parley at the end. Since it's locked in, well,

1063
00:53:54,360 --> 00:53:56,719
I guess we'll talk about this one because there's there's

1064
00:53:56,760 --> 00:53:59,079
some folks that have that have brought up Phillies Dodgers.

1065
00:53:59,079 --> 00:54:01,880
It looks like Colin like the Phillies. I was kicking

1066
00:54:01,880 --> 00:54:04,400
myself that was if if that was probably the one

1067
00:54:04,400 --> 00:54:07,679
I was closest with yesterday for a Major League Baseball

1068
00:54:07,679 --> 00:54:09,760
play Oh, I can't say that.

1069
00:54:09,800 --> 00:54:12,280
Speaker 2: It was either Phillies or Rangers, and they went one

1070
00:54:12,320 --> 00:54:12,639
in one.

1071
00:54:12,639 --> 00:54:15,800
Speaker 1: But still I thought the Phillies were plus money was crazy.

1072
00:54:16,000 --> 00:54:19,760
They ended up getting it done. We have Phillies Dodgers

1073
00:54:19,760 --> 00:54:23,079
out west again. This will be the Degenerate Special. Brian Lennard,

1074
00:54:23,119 --> 00:54:25,800
I think this is the last one to go. Looks

1075
00:54:25,840 --> 00:54:28,800
like Showhy is going to start and we have Christopher

1076
00:54:28,840 --> 00:54:29,960
Sanchez on the other side.

1077
00:54:30,000 --> 00:54:31,639
Speaker 2: Any interest in Phillies Dodgers for you.

1078
00:54:32,199 --> 00:54:33,599
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm glad at least we got a chance to

1079
00:54:33,639 --> 00:54:36,400
talk about what it would be. The most talented two

1080
00:54:36,480 --> 00:54:37,800
teams in baseball.

1081
00:54:38,159 --> 00:54:42,039
Speaker 2: Each other, but Phillies.

1082
00:54:42,239 --> 00:54:44,400
Speaker 3: Both teams are locked in the playoffs for such a

1083
00:54:44,440 --> 00:54:47,760
long time. But Sanchez going for the Phillies. He's been

1084
00:54:47,760 --> 00:54:49,360
pitching very well. He had a hell of the season,

1085
00:54:50,400 --> 00:54:52,519
a tiny going for the Dodgers. He's been up to

1086
00:54:52,920 --> 00:54:57,480
five innings now, so we'll see how this goes. Right now,

1087
00:54:57,519 --> 00:54:59,679
the Dodgers about a one thirty favorite total of seven

1088
00:54:59,679 --> 00:55:02,599
and a half to the under, and it's it's tough

1089
00:55:02,639 --> 00:55:06,960
playing seven and a half. So this good good hitting ballpark,

1090
00:55:06,960 --> 00:55:10,199
at least for home runs with two powerful teams in

1091
00:55:10,199 --> 00:55:13,280
Philadelphia and the Dodgers. So I may for this this

1092
00:55:13,360 --> 00:55:15,840
game hits seven and right now it's his seven and

1093
00:55:15,880 --> 00:55:18,079
a half minus fifteen. If everyone gets down to seven,

1094
00:55:18,679 --> 00:55:20,559
I think I'm gonna jump on that and play the over.

1095
00:55:20,679 --> 00:55:25,440
But obviously both pitchers a lot of talent. Christopher Sanchez

1096
00:55:25,480 --> 00:55:27,760
thirteen to five dollars season two point five to seven

1097
00:55:27,920 --> 00:55:31,760
are a three point eight expected one point one one whip.

1098
00:55:31,760 --> 00:55:34,239
He's been great and everything, and he only throws three

1099
00:55:34,280 --> 00:55:37,719
pitches the sinker of the change on the slider. He

1100
00:55:37,800 --> 00:55:41,039
does it without throw throwing basically throwing a four seamer.

1101
00:55:41,880 --> 00:55:46,840
But you got Otani going for the Dodgers, and right

1102
00:55:46,840 --> 00:55:51,280
now Toni is the guy that that has been very

1103
00:55:51,320 --> 00:55:56,280
good and he's starting to stretch himself out. Unfortunately, as

1104
00:55:56,320 --> 00:55:59,719
I'm looking here on the set Gass page. They don't

1105
00:55:59,719 --> 00:56:01,400
have any of the stats for all TOWNI on here

1106
00:56:01,480 --> 00:56:04,880
right now, so it must have been late in the

1107
00:56:04,960 --> 00:56:07,400
day when they made that announcement he was going to pitch,

1108
00:56:07,440 --> 00:56:09,679
so I don't have those exactly on me, but we

1109
00:56:09,760 --> 00:56:13,079
know what we get out of Altani like both these

1110
00:56:13,079 --> 00:56:15,360
offenses as well as the starters. But if I can

1111
00:56:15,400 --> 00:56:17,639
get that down to seven, I may play the over.

1112
00:56:19,800 --> 00:56:24,960
Speaker 4: Yeah, Philly's bullpen struggling. I mean even last night they

1113
00:56:25,000 --> 00:56:27,800
won the game but blew the save in the ninth

1114
00:56:27,840 --> 00:56:31,199
inning to give it up and go into extras. The

1115
00:56:31,280 --> 00:56:34,480
Dodgers' bullpen is playing better, but man, their best two

1116
00:56:34,559 --> 00:56:38,679
pitchers in their bullpen, Vessia and Trying, and both gacked

1117
00:56:38,719 --> 00:56:42,079
it away last night. And you know, like Brian said,

1118
00:56:42,119 --> 00:56:46,719
two powerful lineups, two bullpens that are pretty shaky, but

1119
00:56:46,800 --> 00:56:49,800
we got two really good starting pitchers. And one thing

1120
00:56:49,840 --> 00:56:55,480
to note, though, all Tony's numbers against these batters very poor. Actually,

1121
00:56:56,000 --> 00:56:58,639
if you look at his career, he's got sixty seven

1122
00:56:58,679 --> 00:57:02,519
at bats against them within two four average and a

1123
00:57:02,639 --> 00:57:08,039
nine eighty seven OPS. It's alarmingly high. Looks like that

1124
00:57:08,159 --> 00:57:10,760
doesn't look like any particular guy is doing a lot

1125
00:57:10,800 --> 00:57:14,719
of damage against him, but overall those are very bad numbers.

1126
00:57:15,320 --> 00:57:17,280
So if anything, I would go with the Phillies again

1127
00:57:18,079 --> 00:57:22,400
today here, but I can't because Dodgers are just too talented.

1128
00:57:22,760 --> 00:57:25,360
And according to my numbers, the Dodgers' bullpen is playing

1129
00:57:25,400 --> 00:57:28,440
better right now than the Phillies bullpen, which my eye

1130
00:57:28,440 --> 00:57:31,159
test doesn't agree with, but my numbers are telling me that.

1131
00:57:31,239 --> 00:57:34,039
So when when what I see and what my numbers

1132
00:57:34,079 --> 00:57:37,639
say don't jive together, I just stay away. So that's

1133
00:57:37,679 --> 00:57:38,320
how I see it.

1134
00:57:40,880 --> 00:57:43,079
Speaker 1: Huge numbers edge on the over here, especially if that

1135
00:57:43,159 --> 00:57:45,119
gets to seven. I mean, I know you have two

1136
00:57:45,239 --> 00:57:48,679
very very good pitchers on the mound, some decent bullpen arms,

1137
00:57:48,679 --> 00:57:52,679
but that's crazy and I think I think you can

1138
00:57:52,760 --> 00:57:56,280
even get a juice seven some places right now, which

1139
00:57:56,280 --> 00:57:58,079
if that was like minus one twenty or better. I'm

1140
00:57:58,079 --> 00:58:00,840
not a big fan of like laying use on total

1141
00:58:00,840 --> 00:58:02,639
in Major League Baseball. I think that's like a long

1142
00:58:02,760 --> 00:58:07,079
term maybe not the best idea, but I mean the

1143
00:58:07,079 --> 00:58:10,599
Phillies have used some pen so there could be runs there.

1144
00:58:10,920 --> 00:58:14,320
The thought process that like even against Sanchez or Otani,

1145
00:58:14,639 --> 00:58:16,159
that you don't get a couple of guys on and

1146
00:58:16,199 --> 00:58:17,079
someone hits one out.

1147
00:58:17,639 --> 00:58:18,239
Speaker 2: I mean, what is it.

1148
00:58:18,280 --> 00:58:21,599
Speaker 1: You know, really, theoretically, all it takes is one on

1149
00:58:21,679 --> 00:58:24,920
both sides, right, like one guy on home run two,

1150
00:58:25,239 --> 00:58:27,760
one guy on to two guys on home run three

1151
00:58:27,800 --> 00:58:30,639
to two. Suddenly, if you have an over seven and

1152
00:58:30,719 --> 00:58:32,840
that happens, I mean, you basically have the rest of

1153
00:58:32,880 --> 00:58:35,519
the game to get one run and then get to

1154
00:58:35,599 --> 00:58:37,960
like at least pushing that on that number. So yeah,

1155
00:58:37,960 --> 00:58:41,039
that's that's that line. I have about a full runoff

1156
00:58:41,559 --> 00:58:44,559
on the total of where it should be. That that's

1157
00:58:44,599 --> 00:58:46,000
the only way I could play this. We have to

1158
00:58:46,000 --> 00:58:48,559
be the over just way too low, even with the

1159
00:58:48,559 --> 00:58:49,199
two good pitchers.

1160
00:58:49,199 --> 00:58:49,760
Speaker 2: Go ahead, Brian.

1161
00:58:50,480 --> 00:58:52,039
Speaker 3: Yeah, if you take a look at the last two weeks,

1162
00:58:52,039 --> 00:58:55,920
Philadelphia last the majors in WRC plus at one, the

1163
00:58:56,000 --> 00:58:58,239
Dodgers a fourth at one twenty, so both teams are

1164
00:58:58,320 --> 00:59:02,599
hitting very well. Somebody come in there and bet that under,

1165
00:59:02,760 --> 00:59:04,480
so I can get that seven at a good number.

1166
00:59:04,559 --> 00:59:10,119
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, I mean even if Eyah, that's tough.

1167
00:59:10,480 --> 00:59:12,159
Speaker 1: I don't think you want to lay minus one thirty

1168
00:59:12,159 --> 00:59:16,039
on Major League Baseball totals. But yeah, I mean, honestly,

1169
00:59:16,079 --> 00:59:18,639
at this point I might even take that seven and

1170
00:59:18,639 --> 00:59:21,920
a half is playable in my opinion, Like it sucks

1171
00:59:21,920 --> 00:59:24,320
to not have that nice flat seven because a three

1172
00:59:24,360 --> 00:59:27,960
to three games is not like a free roll. But man,

1173
00:59:28,039 --> 00:59:31,119
like it's like one or two home runs, Like you're

1174
00:59:31,159 --> 00:59:34,760
probably gonna gonna get dangerously close to three three at

1175
00:59:34,760 --> 00:59:37,159
some point and then who knows what happens, no.

1176
00:59:37,039 --> 00:59:38,519
Speaker 2: Doubt, ghost Runners like.

1177
00:59:39,000 --> 00:59:42,159
Speaker 4: Two of the top three hitting teams in MLB. Yeah,

1178
00:59:42,159 --> 00:59:42,960
hands down.

1179
00:59:45,239 --> 00:59:47,360
Speaker 1: All right, we are at the end of the show.

1180
00:59:48,599 --> 00:59:50,639
We are at the end of the show. Yeah, we

1181
00:59:50,679 --> 00:59:52,599
need to hit one of these parlays, but hey, we are.

1182
00:59:52,639 --> 00:59:55,280
We have hovered around even on the parlays for like

1183
00:59:55,280 --> 00:59:57,880
the last month or so. I think we're just was

1184
00:59:57,960 --> 00:59:59,800
just waiting for the grand finale here. We've got a

1185
00:59:59,800 --> 01:00:01,760
couple weeks left, plus the playoffs, so a lot of

1186
01:00:01,800 --> 01:00:04,599
opportunity to still get in the plus. And the thing

1187
01:00:04,719 --> 01:00:07,360
is like, like, if we're the today's parlots plus six

1188
01:00:07,440 --> 01:00:09,760
sixty two, if we can hit one of these a week,

1189
01:00:09,760 --> 01:00:11,079
we're gonna finish ahead.

1190
01:00:11,519 --> 01:00:14,679
Speaker 2: So that's the goal tonight. Three sides, three full game sides.

1191
01:00:14,760 --> 01:00:17,280
Speaker 1: Very simple here, although we know it's never going to

1192
01:00:17,320 --> 01:00:19,199
be simple to try to hit a three teamer, but.

1193
01:00:19,239 --> 01:00:20,480
Speaker 2: Three full game sides.

1194
01:00:20,840 --> 01:00:25,280
Speaker 1: Cardinals for Me, Mariners for Tokyo, Brandon Guardians for Brian

1195
01:00:25,360 --> 01:00:30,760
Leonards Cardinals, Marion's Cardinals, Mariners Guardians plus six sixty two.

1196
01:00:31,199 --> 01:00:34,159
That's your three team for today. Appreciate you guys tuning

1197
01:00:34,199 --> 01:00:37,800
in on TV five dollars twoesday. I got a college

1198
01:00:37,800 --> 01:00:40,119
football play up as well. My five dollars play last

1199
01:00:40,119 --> 01:00:43,119
week was a four percent around. The Miami Hurricanes won

1200
01:00:43,159 --> 01:00:46,760
by a million, so hopefully you know I will I

1201
01:00:46,800 --> 01:00:49,000
will disclose. I think it was my only college football

1202
01:00:49,000 --> 01:00:51,280
winn of the weekend. But still, if you just bought

1203
01:00:51,320 --> 01:00:53,239
it for five dollars, all you know is the one win.

1204
01:00:53,360 --> 01:00:55,159
So come back and get this week's maybe it'll work

1205
01:00:55,199 --> 01:00:55,719
the same way.

1206
01:00:56,320 --> 01:00:57,639
Speaker 2: But anyway, me.

1207
01:00:57,639 --> 01:01:00,760
Speaker 1: And Brian Leonard tomorrow TV, I think it's honest trek

1208
01:01:00,800 --> 01:01:02,000
from Phoenix to Vegas?

1209
01:01:02,079 --> 01:01:03,320
Speaker 2: Is that? Is that true?

1210
01:01:03,800 --> 01:01:05,960
Speaker 4: Tomorrow at this time I will be in a car

1211
01:01:06,159 --> 01:01:08,039
heading towards Wickenburg, Arizona.

1212
01:01:09,239 --> 01:01:10,320
Speaker 2: Absolutely terrifying.

1213
01:01:10,920 --> 01:01:14,840
Speaker 4: I'll be seeing the way I'll see Brian in Vegas

1214
01:01:14,880 --> 01:01:17,159
tomorrow night, so I won't be on the show tomorrow.

1215
01:01:18,360 --> 01:01:22,440
Speaker 1: It is a gorgeous but terrifying drive. I'll just say

1216
01:01:22,480 --> 01:01:28,159
that beautiful drive. Absolutely terrifying. How's it terrified?

1217
01:01:28,679 --> 01:01:31,119
Speaker 3: Because just a lot of open spaces if you're gonna

1218
01:01:31,119 --> 01:01:34,800
plant tire, if you run or whatever.

1219
01:01:34,920 --> 01:01:37,880
Speaker 4: Many many hours in my youth driving between Tucson and

1220
01:01:37,920 --> 01:01:42,119
Phoenix from college and about two hours of nothing and

1221
01:01:42,239 --> 01:01:46,239
so yeah, actually yeah, like I know, we got a run.

1222
01:01:46,280 --> 01:01:49,599
But the hottest day in Arizona history. I was driving

1223
01:01:49,599 --> 01:01:51,000
in my car steamed out.

1224
01:01:52,840 --> 01:01:59,360
Speaker 1: Yeah, there was nothing in the northeast, but are nothing is? Yeah,

1225
01:01:59,519 --> 01:02:02,119
art are Nothing's not as spaced out as you're nothing

1226
01:02:02,159 --> 01:02:03,119
out on.

1227
01:02:03,039 --> 01:02:04,440
Speaker 2: The west coast. Let's put it that way.

1228
01:02:04,519 --> 01:02:09,119
Speaker 1: So again, one more time the Parlay Cardinals, Mariners, Guardians.

1229
01:02:09,159 --> 01:02:12,039
That's a three teamer plus six sixty two hopefully gets

1230
01:02:12,079 --> 01:02:15,239
us back in the plus and yeah, five dollars plays

1231
01:02:15,280 --> 01:02:17,239
all day, multiple five dollar plays.

1232
01:02:17,320 --> 01:02:19,800
Speaker 2: Check the site out if you missed any of the show.

1233
01:02:19,639 --> 01:02:23,199
Speaker 1: Heading over to the wager Talk YouTube channel for the replay,

1234
01:02:23,360 --> 01:02:25,440
give us a like and to subscribe. While you're over there,

1235
01:02:25,480 --> 01:02:27,639
maybe drop a comment and we'll see you guys in

1236
01:02:27,639 --> 01:02:28,960
the morning for more total basis.

1237
01:02:29,000 --> 01:02:29,840
Speaker 2: Have a good day, everyone,