Speaker 1: Welcome to the best sports betting show on the planet.
This is Wager Talk Today. I am your host, Ady Lang.
It is Football Friday. Buckle up, guys, we have a
ton to get to. It's our biggest football show yet,
NFL College Football. We're gonna give you, guys a little MLB.
Kelly Vegas is gonna join us to do the Super Contest.
Dan and I will do Survivor at the end of
the show, and of course we're gonna start with Giohnny
to give us the Steam Report. Teddy Covers is gonna
join us to do NFL and college football, and we're
bringing the sell Me segment that me and Kyle did
for UFC. We're gonna bring it to the NFL and
Teddy are gonna do the sell Me segment where we
get assigned a game and a team and we got
to make the case on the spot. Marco's gonna join us.
He's gonna break down his Steelers and Jets, Okay State
and Oregon, and we're gonna do a wing Sauce of
the Week segment. You don't want to miss it. Hit
the like button, guys, and thank you so much for
joining us on the Friday no time to waste. Let's
bring in Giohnny and let's get this steam report started.
Uh jihanny. Let's start with college football and then we'll
move to NFL. What are we seeing in college football
so far?
Speaker 2: Busy, busy, busy man. And if you're a subscriber, don't
be afraid of the volume. All of it is sharp stuff.
I just at my controls right now. I have so
much counts that I'm looking at and there's just so
much confirmation. I have to share it again. I don't
urge anyone unless they're bet sizing correctly like I'm doing,
to fire on everything. But it gives you a lot
of information. And for those handicappers out there, lets you
know some of the sides that help you confirm. But
here's what we're looking at in college football tonight. I
have a three pack up at wager twalk, three premium
plays of four percent and two three percent. I'll give
you the one of the three percents that I just
sent out this morning. It's on the added games. We've
been doing really good with those. We bet Boise State.
We Boise minus twenty nine and a half and minus thirty.
That's why you're looking at a high of thirty one
on those added games, I'd be good laying up to
thirty and a half, which is a point off of
what I got them down at. Again, if you saw
the results of those extra games, they do really really well.
So Boise State tonight looking at the other games again,
good two way action in James Madison in Louisville and
Northern Illinois got steamed at seventeen. Not much public money
on that game except for the under. The under sticking
out a lot. Looks like seven out of ten, eight
out of ten of the recreational betters are on that
under in that Northern Illinois Maryland game. That sticks out
the most out of both those games. The one bet
that really sticks out is the under in Northern Illinois
and Maryland. Now real quickly couple Saturday games. I shared
a lot of steam on ben on It, shared some
here on wager Talk. A total came out last night
that I was going to send the subscribers and it
just moved really quickly, and Teddy let me know why
before I got on today, and that was forty eleven
San Diego State, Washington State. Last year on the board,
I saw it get hid in the accounts. At over
forty five, I went the bet over forty five. Forty
five was gone. It was now forty six, So okay,
at forty six, I could still do a little something
with it. Look up again, now it's forty six and
a half forty seven. I'm like, all right, that one's
gone again. Just don't chase those bad numbers. Even if
there's fifty five points scored in the first half. I
just don't think it's betting from a position to strength,
So be careful when these numbers move. I'll give you
a couple more for Saturday that I saw multiple groups
on three twenty five Liberty minus six and a half.
Now you got the public on the same side, public
and the wise guys. If you don't see that one
at minus seven, I worry a little bit there. I
talked about Illinois game three thirty five that was bet
on the money line, though not laying the points with Illinois.
Took Illinois up to minus one fifty. A couple of
the big favorites that got steamed as well, three sixty two,
Colorado minus twenty three and a half, three forty Texas
A and M minus thirty and a half and three
fifty six. Cincinnati is twenty one and a half. So
those were three big favorites that got some money. A
couple of the dogs, big dogs that got some money.
I'll give them to you right now. Troy plus thirty
one and a half, Oklahoma State plus twenty eight and
a half, and I bet two first halfs this morning.
Those first halfs, those first quarters have done really well
for us, So why not. I love you guys. The
weekend's coming up. I'm going to give you both of
them that I sent subscribers this morning. One was a
four percent, one was a three percent. They have more
than enough volume in there to be happy. And if
you bought the Saturday package, it may not be in
there because for packages, I'm limited. For the daily guys,
I'm trying to hold it, you know, to maybe ten
bets max. So if it's not in there, you got
a little bonus here. It's one three, one seven Florida
International plus twenty six first half. That's Florida International plus
twenty six in the first half, good to twenty five,
and then one three to one nine Kent State plus
thirty in the first half, so that's Kent State plus thirty.
Uh in the first half laid up to minus one
fifteen to one twenty to get thirty. And also Florida
International they came back took twenty five and a half
as well. There that seems to be the bigger bet
of the two. So there's some college football action premium
action for you for Saturday plus thirty.
Speaker 1: You only need one stop.
Speaker 2: That's it.
Speaker 3: Just stop person, hold.
Speaker 1: Into a field. All you're good. That's just run. Run
that clock down, baby. They use the entire play clock. Though.
We can take a look at NFL here. I mean,
these lines have been out for a while. I guess
the biggest one that jumps off the board is this
Washington and UH Giants. You know it's all the way
down to minus seven and a half. That's a pretty
monster move on that one. What else are we seeing
in NFL spreads and totals?
Speaker 2: Yeah, well tonight tonight, it's a good day to be
a book. You're getting good two way action from the
recreational betters. I know there was some sharp money at
three and a half. You know they're gonna pick off
that three and a half, But I still see it
a valuable out there. One of those key numbers that
you get some sharks that want to get the best
of especially if they think the line's gonna move. But
I'm surprised it's still sticking around three juiced even on
the three Saturday here, I mean Sunday. Forgive me, here's
what we're looking at. Let me just pull up the
lines real fast, so we look at the latest updated lines. Yeah,
he touched on the Giants, and I mean the Washington
and the Giants. Giants got steamed. They got steamed at seven,
got steamed at six as well, but more than enough
commander's money to offset that risk. That's what you got
to remember. The public money is going to far outweigh
any sharp money. Maybe not yet, but comes Sunday that
will be the case. And rest the short one of
the most one sided teased games are going to be
the Washington Commanders. They will be teased down to a
pick them. They will also be on a lot of
money line Parlays Raiders Patriot. It's a lot of sharp
money on the Raiders up to that plus three and
a half. That's obvious there. We saw two way sharp
action on Buccaneers and the Falcons. Again, these NFL lines
are so tight once they start moving, I'm never surprised
to see two way action from different groups. I got
one group that bet me bucks minus one. I got
another group that bet me Falcons plus two and a half.
Same thing that happened with the Niners game. I got
one group that bet me forty nine ers on the
money line. I have another group that bet Seattle plus
two and a half. Another game that stuck out just
like that was Bears and Minnesota, where you got the
Minnesota Steve early. Since then, I have seen the Bears
in the accounts as well. So you get a lot
of two way action in the NFL. I think you'll
get a lot of sharp money comes someday because this
is these Week one lines that been up there for
a while, and I think once that public money all
gets to the window, you'll start seeing in some line
movements forced on on the books by the public. And
I think then you'll see a lot of wise guy
money come in, especially on a lot of these first half,
first quarter bets stuff like that that they take advantage
on game day.
Speaker 1: So this Giants Washington game, is this sharp money that's
moved this thing. I mean minus seven and a half
that's a monster moves.
Speaker 2: Yeah, the Giants, I'm on him. I gave him out
to my subscribers. I like the Giants as well. Again,
I expect the season wise, you expect a little regression
from Washington for them to take a step back. But
it seems a little case of overvalued versus undervalued. They
tend to play closed games even regardless of the kind
of season either team has. Kind of like Eagles Dallas,
throw you know, recentcy out the window, because you go
over history, it's going to be you know, balanced results.
And I think that's why you're seeing Commanders and Giants
split with the public on one side to Sean on
the other. And it's gonna be interesting to see what
happens with Cincinnati and the Browns. Cincinnati is so much
exposure is piling up on Cincinnati, and every year the
betting syndicates will pick one or always that one bad
team that they ride where on paper, on paper, this
team's so much better than their results, and that same
team will will cost them week after week after week.
Speaker 4: I'm interested to see what that team is this year.
Speaker 2: So when you when you see that team is cross
them off your list, cross them off your list for
survivor cross them off your list for you know, value
the over undervalued premium attached here in words like that,
because there's gonna be that one team that they're saying
on paper so much better than they really are, but
just continues not to cover spreads. We're gonna find out
who that is within a few weeks. But I'm interested
to see at Cleveland's that team because I'm starting to
hear a lot of you are better saying how high
is that lining going to get on Cincinnati? When should
we better Cleveland? When should we bet Cleveland? I don't
know if you should ever be bet in Cleveland, but
this Sunday may be a good opportunity if that line
keeps climbing because there's a set so much I'm surprised
it's five. That's what I'm saying. That you're seeing already
sharp picking off that six on Cleveland, So I don't
know if there's for sharp batters.
Speaker 1: That's a great all right, let's let's keep an eye
on that the team that on paper should be good
and just can't quite cover the cover.
Speaker 4: Yeah, because there's not enough.
Speaker 2: There is not a long enough season Andy, like in
baseball for them to to you know, play up the
their capabilities. Like in baseball, that happens. We talked about Detroit.
They're not a seventy percent win team. We knew that
even after thirty games, when they were winning seventy percent
of their games, we knew that wasn't going to be sustainable.
But we had a long enough season for them to regress.
In football, that doesn't always happen. So there's some of
these teams that are according to you know, all the
quants are just so much better on paper, and they'll
bet these teams week in and week out up and
there's just not enough time for them to regress or
progress towards that. Me and I've been I've been beaten
like that a lot, you know, earlier on in my career.
Now I know it. Just avoid those bad teams. The Jacksonvills. Okay,
they're going to cover two or three games five games
in the season, but I don't want to have to
pick which three or five games they end up covering,
you know what I mean?
Speaker 1: Yeah, was the Titans were the team last year that
couldn't cover a spread.
Speaker 3: To say exactly, will Lewis.
Speaker 2: And they're making arguments like oh, they should only be
getting seven, but they're getting ten and it's still not enough.
Speaker 1: You know, if only we knew what that team was
going into the season. All right, we got a lot
of We got a lot of information to digest here
real quick. Anything in baseball today, Yeah.
Speaker 2: A couple of games, not a lot of actions so far,
so early. But Yankees. First game that got steamed today
were the Yankees. I'll tell you what I sent out
to my subscribers. I sent a two percent on the
Yankees minus one twenty five and I sent a two
percent on the Yankees minus the one and a half
run at plus one fifty. So the Yankees, because I
saw the Yankees get hit multiple accounts, I already liked
that side. And I even saw run line s theme,
so that that makes me confident, especially on the money
line on nine oh four under eight and a half Milwaukee,
Pittsburgh nine ten, Saint Louis minus one twelve nine nineteen,
Minnesota plus one twenty and finally the over nine in
Oakland and LA. So a lot a lot of action
over these next few days.
Speaker 1: Man, you can fade Kyle Freeland again today. I think
he's pitching again. That poor guy. They just fremond, Send
him out, Send him out, he gets sheld go back.
All right, we'll give you another home, Give you another home.
Start to get brutalized out there. And uh, finally, let's
talk a little bit of UFC if you have anything.
I like Barrallo a lot. In the main event. I'm
stunned at the money that's coming in on Saint Denis.
That's got to be local money. Uh, there's just just
where from being on the French card. Anything jumping off
to you.
Speaker 2: Yeah, and here's what the Saint denis the argument from
the guys that bet Saint Thany, because I know a
couple of sharp guys out here that have a plus
two hundred ticket in their pocket. And their argument is
Ruffie hasn't faced the offensive wrestling. He's been faced on
Saturday Night, meaning he's got one hundred percent takedown defense,
but he's only faced six takedowns and Saint Denia averages
about eight tight down attempts per five minutes. The problem
is are you going to have five minutes to attempt
those eight takedowns? Because the every round starts standing, and
standing against Ruffy is a bad situation for Saint Denis,
whose weakness is his chin. And that's where I'm having
the problem. If you have a plus two hundred ticket
in your pocket, maybe you could argue that one added
three times. Stany is able to secure a takedown and
win one of those rounds, and as long as he
could win get at least another close round, maybe the
French judges will give him a split decision. I think
that's the argument there. But where the line is now,
I just can't see it. I think it's favorite or
pass now. In the main event, the sharp betters agree
with you. They're on the Bhio side. That's why that
line's climbing in his favor. I bet the over there.
It's a little juicy. I laid minus one seventy five
to go over. I just thought minimum two out of
three times it goes over anything less than two hundred.
I was going to bet it even at middleweights, even
at four and a half. We no long term going
over four and a half's has been plus ROI double digits.
But I just think these two guys are just so durable,
and I don't think either has the striking to take
the other one out, and I think both have enough
defense on the mat to not get subbed if I
get it, like, they could stay safe if needed.
Speaker 5: Like.
Speaker 1: I would go back to that ROUGHI fight. I'll just
remind everybody that Ruffy trains at the Fighting Nerds and
has been practicing his takedown defense for two months.
Speaker 2: And they're getting better, getting better at it. They're getting
better and better and better at defending it.
Speaker 1: You're seeing that they're working absolutely all right. Great stuff, Giohnny,
great week of segments. What do you have up for everyone?
I know you gotta ton going into this weekend.
Speaker 6: I do, I do.
Speaker 2: I got the three pack for tonight. In college football,
I have a Saturday package out. I haven't fired a
five percent. We might if something gets Upgraater, something bigger
comes in, But for me, what's the different between a
four and a five? It's just one percent, actually point
two five more so, I got a lot of four
percents in there. I have the Sunday NFL as well.
We started off two to zero in the NFL, currently
number one in college football. I told you this football
season was gonna be really good. I'm extremely confident. Jump
on board, head over to wageestalk dot com. I'll put
in some free plays as well. Again yesterday's free pick
one it was a soccer bet.
Speaker 4: That was a premium.
Speaker 2: I only put premiums on that free picks page, so'll
make sure you check that out each and every day.
And the Steam Room Sunday, we're gonna go two hours
heading into the kickoff of the NFL games, so we
could go over each and every NFL game in detail
because I won't have bets on everyone, but I'll have
information on everyone for you. Player props, first quarter, all
that stuff ta in the last fifteen minutes like we
did last year. So if you signed up, I think
for a month or longer, you get the invite to
the Steamroom. Don't miss it Sunday. Thanks again, Andy, best
the luck to you to morning. You have c I
know you have a five percent going. You're gonna smash
that one and have a good weekend.
Speaker 1: Brother you too, Thank you very much. Johnny the Greek
great week of Steam Reports and now we get him
every Friday on Football Friday to break down college in NFL.
We keep Football Fridays moving. Let's bring in the one
that can never be duplicated, Teddy Covers. We're gonna talk Chiefs, Chargers,
we're gonna talk Alabama versus their old rival at the
University of Louisiana Brow and then we're gonna do sell me.
This is gonna be a first for us. I can't wait, Teddy,
let's jump right into it. We have a strange game
in Brazil today, Chiefs versus Chargers. Interested in how that
fits into your handicapping in with your breakdown on Chiefs
and Chargers.
Speaker 7: Sure, justin a quick addendum about what you and Johnny
were just talking about. When it comes to the bad
NFL teams that get action every year, and we think back,
the famous one was the Boy the Browns went oh
in sixteen and the wise guys round them every week.
Last year the Titans went two and fifteen against the Spreads,
and it's got wise guy action every week. There's a
commonality with the type of teams, the bad teams. The
wise guys start to look for a month or so
into the season, and that's good defensive numbers. The Titans
last year had good defensive numbers on paper. But what
the markets were missing on Tennessee obviously was at the
offense was historically bad and the reason that opponents weren't
getting many yards per play against them, or many yards
against them because they were always on short fields. So
and that happened with Cleveland too. With other the defensive
stats were great, you know, but it's because the office
is so inept that you don't have to gain a
whole lot of yards against them. So it's something to
keep your eye on absolutely as this season progresses. But
let's talk about tonight's game, the Chiefs and the Chargers.
Looking right now, in my odds logic live on screen,
I'm seeing Kansas City pretty much painted three a couple
of sharp buddies of mindset. We might see three and
a halfs for this game. I haven't seen them, and
I imagine if we see them, they'll be brief because
there'll be some TakeBack on LA At plus three and
a half, I'm pretty confident of that total has been
bet up just this week was forty five on Sunday night.
Now we're looking at forty seven. Even some forty seven
and a half's out there as we speak. So a
little bit of over money and a little bit of
Kansas City money. Now, when we talk about week one matchups,
when we have two teams in the same division, what
we see last night we saw dog and under, and
that has been the historical trend for Week one divisional matchups,
dog and under, which is one of the things that
could be keeping this line sitting at three right now.
And of course, I mean the Chiefs have owned the
Chargers to the tune of seven and oh straight up
the last seven meetings. That being said, at plus three,
Kansas City would have covered a grand total of two
of those seven games, which speaks to how tight the
series have been. In many close victories the Chiefs have
been able to put together against the Chargers and everybody else.
Kansas City obviously entering the season with an NFL record
seventeen and oh seventeen and oh in games decided by
one to four. That's straight up, not aps. Obviously, that
dates back to twenty twenty three at eleven. Last year
in the regular season, they had a three point win
over the Bills in the AFC Championship Game. So Kansas
City still in the midst of a historical streak of
we win every close game every time, which the Chargers
have suffered a fair few of those losses. Now, the
Chiefs do fall into a pretty negative system, and by
negative I mean like it hasn't won since nineteen eighty
eight and twelve and oats is nineteen eighty eight going
against the defending Super Bowl loser as a dog or
favorite of eight points of fewer in game one of
the season, facing a divisional foe that's twelve and zero,
that would be a make a case the Chargers from
a technical standpoint, and of course Mahomes played in the preseason,
Herbert did not in theory advantage Kansas City. You know
a lot of things went dicey for the Chargers this August. Obviously,
when you're talking about the loss of Rashawn Slater there
left tackle. That was where this line moved from two
and a half to three was right as the Slater
got hurt. And certainly you know Naji Harris didn't play,
Quinton Johnson had issues. It's a Chargers team that Harbor
has been really good week one, you know, five and
zero against the spread in Week one. But it's a
Chargers team that we look at the rest of the division,
we look at Kansas City. The Chiefs are still better,
at least in this better's opinion.
Speaker 3: So slight lean towards LA here.
Speaker 7: I'm expecting a close game a night plus three matters
at plus three and a half, it would probably be
a play on the Chargers for me. But in this
point spread range, no surprise whatsoever. This tame ends up
as a push with the He's winning by exactly a field.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I have not heard anything about the field conditions
this year. It's kind of hard to say.
Speaker 8: I know.
Speaker 1: It kind of hurt Jordan Love for the entire season
last year, this first game, do you know much about
the field that they're playing on? Have you heard anything
about Well?
Speaker 3: I know that last year was fast.
Speaker 7: You know that when they played un in BRAZILA they
ended up with I think fifty six point scored in
that ballgame, so it wasn't a situation where the offenses
couldn't move. But other than that, you know, I did
not do a deep dive into the field conditions in
South Paulo today, just a memory of of what happened
last year.
Speaker 1: Let's move to college football. Let's talk this Alabama team.
They suffered an injury earlier this week. I have I
call him my Twitter friend. He's an Alabama alum and
he absolutely hates this team, does not like the coach.
He's just absolutely miserable. It feels like the Alabama fans
are not a big fan of what's going on down there,
but they're big favorites here in this one. How do
you see this game going?
Speaker 7: So it really is a fascinating game when we talk
about Alabama and Louisiana Monroe. And for all you Bama
fans that are hating on Kaylin de Bor, let's not
forget Nick Saban's first year on the job.
Speaker 4: Nick Saban best coach ever.
Speaker 3: First year on the.
Speaker 7: Job, ULM came into Tuscaloosa and pulled off the outright
upset over Nick Saban and the Crimson Tide that was
back in two thousand and seven. That's the only victory
ULM has ever had against Alabama. They've played a couple
of more recent meetings, none of which was close, but
Nick Saban as Alabama head coach lost to Louisiana Monroe.
Right now, look at the odds logic live on screen.
I'm seeing Alabama minus thirty five, down from thirty seven,
thirty seven and a half at the open. They're even
thirty four and a half out there total in this game,
sitting in the range of fifty and in my mind,
This handicap comes down to a single question.
Speaker 4: And it doesn't have the mattison with Alabama. The question
is it has something.
Speaker 7: To do with Alabama, but ken Louisiana Monroe. Can the
Warhawks run the football all right? If they can run
the football and grind out first downs and take the
crowd out of the game. I mean, you can get
seats for this game for ten bucks right now. Your
friend on Twitter, Andy is not the only one in
Alabama that's really concerned about state of the program. Obviously,
when you're losing all these unranked teams, when the program
isn't doesn't appear to be where it was a year ago.
And I'm talking to guys around town, and guys around
town here in Vegas are like, yeah, I can't bet Alabama.
I can't bet Alabama. I can't bet Alabama. There's a
lot of negative sentiments. There's not any grounds will of
support for Obama here in Vegas, not amongst the Crimson
Tide community and not amongst the general betting public right now.
And in those type of situations sometimes they tend to
look towards a favorite.
Speaker 3: But it's a simple question, handicapped, you know, Louisiana Row.
Speaker 4: They're not going to throw the football around. Okay.
Speaker 7: They beat Nicholson State last week. They didn't tell the
football well in Neckbalk. It's all about you know, and
of course the coach Brian Vinton. Yeah, we're going to
celebrate all victories. Victories are hard to come by and
Division one football. I'm proud of our defense pull up
a shutout in that ball obviously, but this has not
been a team that's been able to do anything against anyone.
Speaker 4: You know, they closed out.
Speaker 7: They got a hot start last year, close out the
season zero to six straight up one in five ats.
They went to Texas last year they lost fifty one
to three. They got seven first downs in that game.
In twenty three, they lost forty seven to three at
Texas A and M. In twenty two they lost fifty
two to ten in Texas and sixty three to seven
at Bama. In twenty one, they lost forty five to
ten in Kentucky. They've not been competitive. We're able to
move the football in any of these step up ball games.
They ran the ball last week, Alabama got gassed on
the ground. If ULM can run the ball here, they
can shorten the game, they can take the crowd out
of it. The pressure gets the higher and higher in
Alabama and it becomes a problem with the Crimson tide.
That being said, I'm not convinced that ULM is gonna
be able to run the football here. The price is
getting cheaper and cheaper to support a Crimson tied team
with something to proved. And if Alabama gets rolling here,
all right, if things get would start working for Alabama
at some point. It's not a scenario where I'm expecting
them to take their foot off the gas pedal. You know,
Oh it's a fourth quarter, Well, relax, No, we need
good drives. So honestly, not a game. It's not a
client play. But if I'm playing, I'm laying I don't
think the Warhawks are going to be able to run
that football. And if I'm wrong and they're running the
ball right out of the get go, well maybe you'll
lie bet it the other way. But Alabama or pass
for this better. This is an ugly dog and I'm
not asking bottom feeders to do much for me in
college football. And for as bad as Alabama looked last
week Aainst. Florida State, They're not a bottom.
Speaker 1: No, they're not. You said something about shutting out Nickels state.
I was just picturing like if Nick Saban's team like
shut up Nickels state, he do, like still have something
bad to say about our safety's got to play better,
Like that's the difference, Like Nick, say, would have something bad. Oh,
our left guard was terrible then the game or something.
So I don't know why that popped in my head.
All right, Teddy, let's play sell me. We're bringing on
Dan here. And if you guys haven't watched this show,
first off, shame on you, and thank you for joining us.
Appreciate it. Here's how this segment works. Dan comes on
and gives us a game that we don't know we're getting,
and then he assigns us a team and we have
to make the case for why this team will cover
the spread. This is a true impromptu segment here, Dan,
we are ready. What is the game? And who gets
what team?
Speaker 5: All right, gentlemen, here's what I got for you. No,
don't sell me this pen sell me this side. And
we're talking the Bengals taken on the Browns.
Speaker 4: Yes, this one.
Speaker 5: You heard Gihanny talking about it earlier. Sharp's really liking
this brown side. Actually, if you checked out bet on
It this week is one of the plays that Marco
likes as well as looking towards the Browns. Teddy, why
we thought you were perfect to do this sell me
segment is because my year of working with you, nobody
breaks down both sides of a game quite like Teddy
Covers does so. For you, I want you to tell
me why maybe the Browns have no shot at covering
this five and a half number. You are assigned to
sell me on the Bengals and Andy Lang. You'll have
to sell me the side that I'm already leaning towards, which.
Speaker 3: Is the Browns.
Speaker 5: So a bit of an uphill battle for you here, Teddy,
for the first sell me, the floor is yours, Bengals.
Speaker 3: Browns wire Bengals the right side.
Speaker 4: It's easy to.
Speaker 7: Make a case for I think it's much harder to
make a case for the Browns, and it is to
make a case for the Bengals in this ball game.
There's a sentiment out there that Cincinnati's defense.
Speaker 3: Is going to be every bit as bad as it
was last year.
Speaker 7: All Right, we saw them in the preseason where Cincinnati's
defense got lit up guess what new coordinator Al Golden
and every if you read any of the quotes from
since he in August, from the defen side of the
football a every quote was like, we're better than what
we looked be. Every quote is like, we're just doing
the running the base vanilla schemes. We don't want anyone
to see what we actually have. All right, So I
think since these defense is better than the betting markets
are giving them credit for, and Joe Flacco is not
the answer, Okay, Joe Flacco, I'll take the if you
want a good bet Flacco intersection Flacco over interceptions because
he's gonna chuck the ball up into traffic.
Speaker 4: And if since these defense.
Speaker 7: Is better, they'll pick it off. That's what Flacco does.
The Browns are bottom feeders. Take advantage week won.
Speaker 3: All right, there we go.
Speaker 5: Andy's strong case there from Teddy Covers right out of
the gate. Now you must sell me on the Browns.
So Andy, your ear up, buddy, sell me this pen.
Speaker 1: Oh well, there's a reason why there's a sediment about
the Bengals defense being horrific. They gave up ninety plus
points in the preseason. I know it was their backups
but just imagine how bad the starters are. You brought
up Joe Flacco. If there's one game where he's fresh
and healthy, it is this one. And what's the saying?
Defense wins championships? Defense also cover spreads. I get the
superior defense by far, I get the back door cover
because I'm getting points here, and I get the wiley
veteran quarterback against a team who notoriously starts off slow
under this head coach. This is an easy one for
me to take the points. Better defense, healthy fresh quarterback
on the one week he may be healthy and fresh,
it's an easy cover for me. Give me the Cleveland Brownies,
all right?
Speaker 3: And the round and the round.
Speaker 5: Well done by both of these gentlemen. Apparently, according to
our man SF nine er, we're all losers in that
one for having to talk about the Bengals.
Speaker 3: And the Browns. Great breakdowns by both these guys.
Speaker 5: Comment below right now, and comment below after the video
goes live.
Speaker 3: Who are you siding with? You taking the points?
Speaker 5: And it's around five to five and a half with
the Browns? Are you going with the Bengals for me?
I already put in my contest entry this week, Guys
and I have the brown I feel much worse about
it now after Teddy's breakdown, but I have the browns
Teddy and the bets already in.
Speaker 3: I'm sorry. So so yeah, well, well well done, it,
well done.
Speaker 7: I had the over last night, so having the right
side doesn't matter if it doesn't catch.
Speaker 4: So it's very fair.
Speaker 3: It's very right, right on Cleveland all you want? Since
All right, well done, gentlemen.
Speaker 1: All right, Teddy, great job on selmy. What do you
have up for clients this weekend?
Speaker 2: So?
Speaker 7: NFL Week one has been very very good for me
over the years.
Speaker 3: I had a very frustrating loss.
Speaker 8: That was.
Speaker 7: You know, when they scored the first eight possessions of
the game and are about to score in the nights
before fumbling, you expect to cash those over. It didn't
happen last night. That being said, I'm expecting a big weekend.
The NFL Week one prior to yesterday was thirty and
elevens and I was thirty and twelve over the last
ten years, eight and two. With the big tickets locked
and loaded, with three plays on Sunday, including a five
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Speaker 2: Wait your time.
Speaker 1: Teddy covers everyone helping us out on football. Friday's great work.
Teddy always fun to talk to. You can't wait to
do it again next week. We got Kelly coming up.
We're gonna go over the Super Contest. At the end,
Dan and I are going to do Survivor picks. We
got to bring in Marco here and we want to
remind you guys that our seven day pass is still
available discounted down to seventy seven dollars. You can get
it with Marco. It's a full week of every play NFL,
college football, any sport that we may have up just
eleven dollars a day. Kickoff football season, lock in all
the sports. We got a huge weekend of plays. This
is available for everybody. You can use it on myself Marco,
any handicapper at wager Talk, but when we give out
these discounts, make sure you're locking these in. This is
on the deal page, or just go to any handicappers page. Uh, Marco,
we're gonna break down an NFL game, your Steelers. We
had to give you your Steelers. We're gonna break down Oregon,
and then we're gonna do the Sauce of the week.
I can't wait for this segment. Marco picks one of
his favorite wing sauces and compares it to a football team,
So I can't wait for that. We're gonna talk this
particular game, Steelers versus Jets. How is your outlook for
your Steelers going into this season? Just just overall in general.
Speaker 4: I don't have a freaking clue. This is the thing.
All we've got is what we're told from camp. We
haven't got to see anything, all right, You've got Aaron
Rodgers comes to town. So obviously we've got all the
buzz in Pittsburgh and that now we've got the missing
ingredient because all of a sudden, you know he's gonna
take the Steelers to the super Bowl like he was
gonna take the Jets to the Super Bowl when he
went there. He hasn't played a snap yet for the
Pittsburgh Steelers. Why they decided not to use him in
any preseason games is beyond me. You're in a brand
new offense, you're a brand new team. Your receivers you
haven't played with, and you've got no chemistry to work
with yet. And are they say all the right things?
All practices have been great, everything's good. You don't go
game speed in practice. I'm sorry. Now, I know you
have some of the in preseason where some of the
teams do the joint scrimmages and so forth, but still
it's not game total game situation. So now you know,
go into New York. Your guess is as good as mine.
But what I like to do in week one, and
this fits this scenario for this particular game, is I
like to listen to the noise that we hear during
the offseason. And I did this, you know, last week
on bet on It when we were talking college football
the Auburn Baylor game. All you heard coming into this
season was how good Baylor finished last season, How good
this team's gonna be improved this year. Auburn U Freeze
and all the problems that they've had, and it was
just too much. I was all over Auburn last week.
I am gonna be on the jets here, Okay. In
the narrative that I really love and is the most
stupidest thing that I have heard, is everybody's saying, just wait,
Aaron Rodgers is going back to New York. He's gonna
show them what why they made a mistake not re
signing him. You know what, stop that bullshit right now, okay,
because you know what, he had two years in New York. No,
I'm sorry, he had one year and four plays and
he got paid forty million dollars. He should take the
entire town out for dinner, okay and thank them for
that gift that he got. You know who's got something
to prove. It's Justin Fields. Justin Fields is the guy
that didn't get the proper opportunity. And I'll be honest
with you. When it was the off season and we're
trying to figure out the quarterback situation in Pittsburgh, and
I hate to admit it, but I was pro Justin Fields.
I thought he was the most logical choice. Give him
a chance. He didn't stink the joint up last year.
He got six starts, he went four and two, and
because they had to play Russell Wilson, you know that
was the guy they signed. The only reason they signed
Russell Wilson is because it was a gift. When somebody
offers you a free dinner, you're gonna take it. Might
not be the best dinner, but you're gonna try it out.
And that's what they did with Russell Wilson. They got
him for a million dollars because Denver paid the rest
of the contract. They should have gave Justin Fields the opportunity.
Now he gets the chance to show Pittsburgh what they
made the mistake. Go ahead and give me the Jets.
We saw the sharp money come in on this game.
This thing was three all along. We saw it come
down to two and a half. Here's a spot where
normally we tell you, hey, jump on the number right away.
I said this when I did show on bet on it.
Wait on this one, okay, because if it goes from
two and a half to two, what did you lose?
But we get that half a point back, which I
think once the public gets involved on Sunday, they're gonna
bet the Steelers and Aaron Rodgers. We might see that
three pop up again, but I'm gonna tell you if
you see it, grab it fast because the sharps are
gonna grab and pick off the threes as soon as
they pop back up on the screen.
Speaker 1: Well, for Russell Wilson, was a gift. I mean it
looks like you guys kept the receipt and returned it,
like not you gave it to somebody else next year
for Christmas, you rewrapped it. Yeah, Russell Wilson a gift. Amazing. Well,
let's talk Okay State and Oregon. We had a monster
spread here as well. I've it's a weird spread too,
because they give you this huge number and then they,
just like some books, will just tack a half point
onto it, so you have twenty eight than like twenty
eight and a half like So obviously they don't have
a whole lot of faith in Oklahoma State, do you
in this game?
Speaker 4: Well? I want to know who in the scheduling department
at Wager Tuck I pissed off to get this game.
Speaker 6: Okay, let me know what I did.
Speaker 4: I'll fix it. Okay, all the games on the card,
and this is the one we're gonna look at but
you know what, it's a game. There's gonna be a winner,
there's gonna be a loser, and I can break it down.
You look at Oklahoma State they ended you know, congratulations
to this one here with coach Gundy. He broke two streaks. Impressive.
He snapped the nine game losing streak. Congratulations on that.
More importantly, you snapped the eight game streak of allowing
thirty eight or more points. So you know what, things
are looking good there and steal water, you know, But
how excited do we get? Let's let's be honest. You
beat you know, Tennessee Martin twenty seven to seven. All right,
you lost your starting quarterback in the first quarter, broken foot,
you know, enter third year freshman? Okay again, you know,
and I love college football. Now you have we have
fifty year seniors. You have you know, third year freshman.
You know, back when I went to school, way back
in the day, if you were in the same grade
three years, you were dumb. Okat you know how we
rate these guys now. But you've got Zay Flores taking
over a quarterback and came in. They ran seventy two
plays last week against Tennessee Martin for a whopping three
hundred and fifty nine yards. That's not good. I think
it's you know under, you know, five yards to play.
You know what was really bad? They had one hundred
and twenty seven yards on the ground with forty two Carris.
You're playing Middle Tennessee State. Okay, so I'm sorry at
Tennessee Martin. I have all those small little sisters of
the poor in Tennessee are all the same you play.
You're going against the Oregon's defense this week. Okay, God
bless you. Good luck if you're gonna score any points.
Now on the Oregon side, the easy thing and the
squarest thing to do in this game is to just
take Oregon and lay the points. But you know, I'm
not a guy that likes that kind of chalk. I'm
not somebody that likes something that's square going down my throat. Nope,
don't want that. Uh So I'm not taking Oregon. What
I am gonna look at in this one is I'm
gonna look at the under because I really don't see
this Oklahoma State team having any success offensively in this game.
And being that it's only you know, officially week two,
I don't count that week zero is a week it
is week two. There's no need for talking about what
we'll talk about later in the season, which I hate
talking about it, but people have to ooh, we need
style points. Let's run up the score. It's too early
in a season to worry about that. You get in,
you get out. And if Oklahoma State is as bad
offensively in this game as I think they will be,
we might have Oregon tossing a shutout. And you know,
love if you're an under better, you love to see
a team tossing the shutout as long as possible because
then you know they're playing hard defense the whole way through.
I think Oregon gets a big lead early. I think
they take the air out of the football. I think
because you're playing at home early in the season, that's
when you let you know, you get some other players
into the game, get their names, you know, officially in
the stat book, and get there. I like under fifty
five and a half, and we have seen the betting
go that way as well throughout the week. Early in
the week, this game took action on the under. And
as I always say, when you look at line movement
early in the week, okay, it's sharp money more often
than recreational money. Recreational people bet game day on the weekends,
and I can guarantee you recreational betters are never running
to the window to bet an under it when the
spread it's four touchdowns, okay, because they automatically. So, oh,
the lines this high, there's gonna be a ton of
score that's you know. Yeah. Okay, So there's your lesson
in public service, and it's best for this week.
Speaker 1: Well, bar is pretty bad week of slates. Would you
rather have broken down the Texas Tech Kent Stink game
with a forty seven and a half point spread? I mean,
there's there's some massive, massive slaughters that are gonna be
happening this weekend. So all right, Marco, it's time for
your Sauce of the week. It's a new segment. Marco
picks a wing sauce and compares it to a team.
I have no idea what sauce or what team that
he's picked. So all right, Marco, what's the sauce of
the week and what's the team?
Speaker 4: Well, okay, I'm gonna go in. I'm gonna bitch here.
Maybe we're gonna talk about false advertising, okay, and the
false advertising? Is this establishment was just promoting? You know,
at nauseum, I got tired of listening to it. We've
got a new sauce, a new flavor, man, it is
gonna be spicy. We've got arch Manning. Okay, we got
the bloodlines, we've got the pedigree. It's all great. And
then they brought my plate of wings out and I'm like,
I wanted to throw him back at what is this
bland plain sauce that you brought me to this table?
Speaker 8: Where is the spice sharp? What were you calling inside
the ten yard line?
Speaker 4: Oh? Wait, I got it.
Speaker 8: Let's bunch everybody up and run arch Manning right up
the middle and see if we can.
Speaker 4: Push it in. Uh no, you're not the Philadelphia Eagles
if you're not Jalen Hurts, and we're not gonna do
the tush push and get a touchdown. That the play calling.
I know, arch Manning got a lot of the heat,
you know, Okay that he didn't have a good game,
There's no question he didting. But you know what, as
much of the blame in that game's got to go
on the guy back in the kitchen putting the meal together.
The game plan absolutely sucked. So false advertisement for Texas. Uh,
and what we were going to see and what that
flavor was going to be. So that was I was
expecting a spicy sauce and I got bland, bland, not
even just a touch of Frank's hot sauce in it.
There was nothing in that what we saw. But you
know what was fun? I don't know ex Twitter, they
always would. I love all of the memes that came
out afterwards, in the stuff that you can do with AI.
Now the did you see the one with the paint
with the Manning brothers Peyton.
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, there were so many of them. They were great.
Speaker 6: When he threw when he threw the interception and he like,
oh no, Fayton goes.
Speaker 4: I told you he was frigging That was the best.
I loved it. So there we go. Uh, fun segment.
Hope you guys enjoyed it.
Speaker 1: Yeah, so we got a bad cheft playing sauce. Yeah,
that was Texas putting up one score. So great stuff, Marco.
I know you're you've done very very well in college
football and NFL. Tell her and what you have about
for this weekend?
Speaker 4: Well, guys, big week. Last week we went four and oh,
I did start this week. I'll jump on the misery
training with Teddy. I had an over as well. I
didn't have the game over. I had the Philadelphia Eagles
team total over last night at twenty seven and a half.
I'm watching the game on my phone. I put it
away at halftime because then we end up having that
long delay anyways, because I was at the Aces game
last night, so you know, there, I WNBA game, you know,
game of the year with the Links and the Aces,
and I got my phone out watching. Yeah, I thought
I was golden. Both teams are going up and down
the field in the first half. No way, I'm not
going to get the twenty seven and a half there,
So thank god. You know, we split for the night.
We had our prop bet. We cashed that in the
third quarter. Again with a prop and just loving the
WNBA guys. But segue, get the seven day all access package,
because when you do that, you get everything that we have.
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And since we were talking about food and wings, made
me hungry and made me remember I got to promote
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Speaker 1: All right, Marco D'Angelo, everyone great breaking it down. Can't
wait for the wings awesome, can't wait to see what
sauce we're doing in like fifteen weeks. It's gonna be
it's gonna be gonna be scratching for someone. Scare ones.
Have a great week weekend, Marco, Thanks very much. Uh
real quick, guys. Five percent UFC best bet is up.
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WT Dot Buzz slash al. All right, it's contest time.
Let's bring on Kelly. Kelly, uh, you were not the
only one that noticed when Marco said something about something square.
I went down the throat.
Speaker 4: I saw.
Speaker 1: I saw the look on your faces, like, Kelly, get
your head out of the gut.
Speaker 9: The wings, like I got some other stuff going on.
Speaker 10: Johnny Detroit texting me, and then all of a sudden,
it was like, wait, what Mark, what did you just say?
Speaker 1: Don't worry, we'll clip that. It'll it'll make its rounds
on social.
Speaker 10: Okay, well yeah, we yeah, we're gonna need that for
the outtakes for the Christmas party.
Speaker 1: All right, so it's contest time. It's week one. We're
gonna go over your picks. What contests are you in?
And then let's get to your picks.
Speaker 9: I'm trying to figure out why didn't brush my hair
before the show? Uh no, I'll jokes aside.
Speaker 4: This is what I get.
Speaker 9: Been sitting here waiting for like forty minutes to come on.
I don't know why.
Speaker 10: Tonight I got the Chargers. I took him plus three
and need Westgate Super Contest. Look, here's the reality I'm
playing against the Super Bowl losers do what every single
first week of the year. It's tough fighting five plays
that I like. I already had the Cowboys last night
plus eight and a half. When I went to seven
and a half, I thought, all right, I gotta get involved.
Speaker 9: I didn't want to.
Speaker 10: But divisional dogs are the name of the game week one.
Pretty sure you guys listen to Ralph Michaels, he will
tell you that. So we're gonna take a bunch of
divisional dogs, starting with the Chargers tonight. Kelly has badhead. No,
Kelly did not get enough sleep last night, comment section.
Speaker 4: That is the problem.
Speaker 10: I think the rest of us are up till one
am Eastern. Not my greatest showing. Next up, I took
the Browns there, just like Dan did. And this is
the reality. This is the Joe Burrow team one and
four straight up in his first five seasons. In Week one,
we saw it last year at home they lose to
the Patriots the one caveat John Murray said yesterday, and
the Kelly and Murray show, well, at least they're on
the road this year. They usually lose Game one at home.
Ralph Michaels even dmmed me and said, cal don't forget.
This is why they made them play in the preseason
to try to get rid of some of those jitters.
All points taken again, give me Joe Flacco plus the
points five five and a half. That's like one of
my favorite lines in the NFL. It is always so fishy.
If the Browns are so bad, why aren't they down
underdog at home? Speaking of touchdown underdogs, the New York Giants. Yeah,
what am I gonna say about the Giants? There's not
a lot good to say andy about the New York Giants. Okay,
so we're gonna talk about why I don't like the
Commanders in a divisional matchup this week.
Speaker 9: Thirteen one score games, they won nine of those last year.
Guys thirteen of them. Think they're due for a little
regression to go the other way.
Speaker 10: I like Jaden Daniels. I think he's gonna be fine
for them long term. But let's look at some of
these second year quarterbacks. They tend to struggle. We get
the defensive coordinators on their side or against their side,
and people start to put some pressure on them.
Speaker 9: Again, not a play on the Giants.
Speaker 10: I'm not some giant Giants believer, But as we've seen
the rest of the NFC East is going to take
a step forward. I think the Giants will be better
than advertised. Washington three and nine outright two and ten
against the spread in the division as a home favorite
from our good, good friend Mark Lawrence, including one in
seven against the spread as a favorite of six or
fewer points. Give me the Giants plus six and my
last play is super square and no.
Speaker 9: I don't care. I'm betting against rookie quarterback on the road.
Teddy said it.
Speaker 10: Are the Titans only going to cover two games this year? No,
they may cover half of their games. Cam Ward is solid.
We saw him coming from Miami. He pulled out so
many games last year for that team. He's going to
pull out some games for the Titans. But I don't
think it's going to be on the road against this
good Denver defense. Eight and a half is a lot,
I tease them, that's probably gone. Looks like some nines
on the Odds logic screen. I did also just run
it across the board, Andy, just straight across the board
except for two plays on Slash Sports, I used the
Eagles last night and Survivor.
Speaker 9: My other twelve. I counted him earlier.
Speaker 10: Twelve other survivors that I'm in, including the five K
at the west Gate.
Speaker 9: Super Book going We're going Denver. We're going Denver. This
is the spot to use Denver, and we're going all in.
Speaker 1: You're twelve survivor. That's lunacy. That's lunacy. You're gonna forget.
Speaker 9: That's just on splash. I'm on twelve. I also have
two Circa and one Westgate five K, so.
Speaker 1: That's insanity, all right. So we got Dallas whit you've
already cash. You got the Chargers Tonight Giants plus six,
Browns plus five and at Broncos minus seven and a half.
All right, So Kelly's gonna try and join us. Most
fridays we're gonna talk about these contests. But here's what
it's gonna work. Start season, Kelly has a winning week,
she comes back next week, does picks. We go until
she has a losing week. Then somebody else comes on
and gives it a shot. This is hard. Do people
realize how hard this is to pick five games?
Speaker 9: My games is so hard.
Speaker 10: So actually, one of the reasons why Chris and I
did the five K at Westgate's like, Okay, I'm gonna
do my one super contest. I do every single year.
I've been doing it for fifteen years now. But I
elected not to do the Circa millions, even though there
was still some overlay. I think the overlay is not
gonna get not gonna be significant. It is so hard
to pick five games against the spread, and then when
you have multiple pick fives, oh my god, it is.
It is god awful to try to bet seven eight
games in the NFL. I did a bunch of teasers.
I know Teddy Covers told me on an opening line
report not to do it.
Speaker 9: But I did it anyway.
Speaker 1: Love it, Queen of the Contest. The streets are saying, Yes, absolutely,
the streets, that's what they're saying, Kelly. So all right,
what do you have to wrote? Where can we find ye?
What do you have to these days?
Speaker 10: Yeah, tomorrow morning we're gonna be on last call hour
before college football kicks off.
Speaker 9: It's gonna be awesome.
Speaker 10: I'm really excited for this football season. Did not start
off red hot, but that's okay. So we're gonna have
VR kick it off early with us art to Caesar
Sean Alvarez coming in stock some college football.
Speaker 9: Monday, Teddy and I are back opening line report.
Speaker 10: Then I'm gonna hang out with Bill Krackenberger for about
half an hour. We're gonna touch base and see how
his first week of NFL went. Of course, we're gonna
be back with bet on It on Wednesday, and then
hopefully I went five and oh this weekend in the
West Skate Super Contest, so I can be back here
on Friday afternoons.
Speaker 1: Awesome, Thank you so much, Kelly. Can't wait till we're
gonna see you again. You got a four and one
week in you. I can. I can feel it already.
Speaker 3: Think.
Speaker 1: I think the Giants are gonna trip you. Yup, that's
my prediction. Everyone's on the Giants.
Speaker 6: I know.
Speaker 1: Yeah, all right, Kelly.
Speaker 10: See that's the hard part. When you put in the
Thursday night game. You've got to commit early in the
week to all five of your plays. That's the one
hard part about doing it.
Speaker 4: It is what it is.
Speaker 9: I'll take the I'll take the Dallas w No sweat
last night.
Speaker 1: Absolutely great stuff. Kelly's gonna be joining us every Friday
on Football Friday. All right, let's do all around the world.
We got some free plays, and we're gonna wrap it
up with our survivor picks. We got a couple of
dynamite plays to go over, so let's do a couple
of player props. Here, go to the Chiefs and the Chargers.
I really like Pat Checko tonight over eleven and a
Halsh eleven and a half rush attempts. I know we've
got some comments in the chat talking about Pa check
Go maybe him to score. Listen, he's finally healthy. He
played two games last year and he broke his leg.
He was not the same, but in those two games
he had fifteen and nineteen carries. In twenty twenty three,
he played eighteen games and he went over in fifteen
of those games. I think this number is entirely too low.
Close game. Chief's not going to abandon the run game.
Look for him to get over his rush attempts. Cardinals
at the Saints, James Connor anytime touchdown score, it's a
little bit juicy. So was Jalen Hurts last night and
we catched that one. He scored in eight games last year.
Saints allowed an average of over one rushing touchdown per
game last year. I think they stink when they get
in close. Connor is there, man, give me James Connor
to have a score Houston at Rice. This comes from
Sean Alvarez. This is on the Wager Talk free picks page.
There's tons of free picks up there today, guys, to
gets you ready for the weekend. He swept the board
last week in college football. He likes Rice plus fourteen,
their new triple option offense. They pulled the upset last week.
The offense really slows the game down. Defense is tough,
but the offense did not look great against a very
weak team. Too many points were taken all those fourteen
with Rice and I ran this play by our tennis
department and they loved it. We're gonna take us open
parlay here. We're gonna take Carlos Alcarez on the money line.
He's playing Djokovic and I gotta tell you, Dan, I
watched Djokovic play last game. He was exhausted. He won barely.
He was falling off a cliff. Alcarez, this is a
huge revenge spot for him. He's lost two in a
row to Djokovic. He looks very, very dialed in. Give
me Alcrez as a favorite. I'm gonna parlay that with
Cinner minus five and a half games. Listen, FAA has
played tough guys this tournament. Center's number one in the world.
He's way above anybody else in tennis besides Alcarez and
probably Djokovic. They played a couple weeks ago. Center beat
the breaks off of him six zero, six to two.
I only need to win three sets here minus five
and a half parlay that together against the full support
of our tennis department. All right, let's let's bring in
Dan and let's do our Survivor picks here. Dan, So
I entered, I entered. I entered way more than I
thought we were going to. I bet online. I think
I got We got like fifteen entries into the We're
just giving.
Speaker 3: Kelly shit for having twelve and you have no FTC.
You neglected to share that.
Speaker 1: Well, we have fifteen entries in one contest. She's she's
inn celebrated contest.
Speaker 5: I wouldn't be able to keep up with like entering.
I would one miss several picks a week because I
would have to go to different pages, like as long
as they're in one place, and I also have you
to rely on to actually get my pick in I
think I think I shouldn't get eliminated solely on not
entering a pick.
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, twelve.
Speaker 4: It is nuts.
Speaker 1: So anyway, here's what we do. Dan and I are
gonna give you our picks, and we're gonna try and
make it as far as we possibly can and and
we're gonna make it to the end, and we're gonna
retire off of Dave Mason.
Speaker 5: And I told you Andy before the show started, I said,
just wait for the intro trahic that I have for
this segment.
Speaker 1: So it went hard on this.
Speaker 3: This is the I will survive. I didn't mean to
have you have so much cleavage.
Speaker 4: Andy, I'm sorry.
Speaker 3: I didn't realize it until after it was made.
Speaker 5: But this is this is I will survive the Andy
lang and uh and Dan Alexander story. Uh So, So
hopefully we we we get some mileage out of this
puppy and and those puppies.
Speaker 1: Yeah alrighty, I was you know this is permanent now right,
you know everyone can see that.
Speaker 2: I know now.
Speaker 5: Now, Andy's like, shit, I really hope your pick loses
so I never have to see that graffic again.
Speaker 1: Yeah, all right, So we're gonna do a few things
with our different entries. So let's pull up what our
picks are here. There we go. That's great, all right,
So Dan, you're going with the Broncos. I'm going with
the Cardinals one of our entries. We're just gonna do
the biggest favorite of the week and see how long
that goes until we have a big upset, so that
happens to be the Broncos, and then I want to
run my run the Dolphins by you. So Dan, quick
couple words on the Broncos.
Speaker 6: Yeah.
Speaker 5: Well, for me, when I'm playing Survivor contests, I try
and find good spots to use teams looking at their schedule,
looking forward like it's not only all right, let me
scan down the board and find who the biggest favorite is,
and then all right, let me just eat that chalk
because we know in the NFL, like last night, the
Eagles were almost nine point favorites and that was a
little bit dicey.
Speaker 3: That money line could have gotten home that plus four hundred.
So it's not just finding chalk and riding with chalk.
For me, this is the best.
Speaker 5: Spot in my opinion, to use Denver, And you also
get to hold on to a couple of teams that
maybe you're gonna be wanting to use down the pike.
Speaker 1: I mean you and I when we.
Speaker 3: Did our team previews, we both pretty bullish on the Broncos.
I mean me more so than you. I think they
have a chance to win this division.
Speaker 5: And they're playing a Tennessee Titans team who's gonna have
a rookie quarterback trotting out there. You know, they really
don't have much in the way of playmakers, and they're
gonna be facing off against the Broncos defense that andy.
If they're not, you know, best defense in the league,
they're certainly top three at least on paper heading into
the year. So I really like the defensive matchup that
they have against a rookie quarterback. This is a team
who's going to be ultramotivated to start off the year
with the splash, and they know how tough things are
in division. So I don't think there's going to be
the case of Denver skating by against bad teams. I
think this is gonna be a kind of team who
beats up on bottom feeders and they compete with teams
in the top. I want to get the Broncos in
there early. This is the best spot to use it,
so I know it's the most popular pick of the week.
They're the biggest favorite two. So this could be last
year's Bengals knocking out a bunch of people. Sure, I'm
worried about that, but on.
Speaker 3: Paper, man, this is the survivor pick for me.
Speaker 1: All Right, I'm gonna go with the Cardinals. I don't
know how many times I'm going to find a spot
where I like the Cardinals this year. So when they're
playing the Saints, if I can get this win over
the Cardinals, I save all the really good teams. I
kind of think the Cardinals might be good, but I
know the Saints are bad. I know their defense is
not good, and I know their quarterback situation's not good.
So trying to save as many good teams for later on,
I'll go with the Cardinals this week. If the Saints
are as bad as I think they are, that'll be
a popular.
Speaker 3: They could wave and they could be the lay against.
Speaker 5: You know, like there's a path that you can take
that you can exclusively play against, you know, the Panthers,
the Saints, And that's another strategy that maybe we do
with one of our fifteen entries. You know this is
also a great chance here, Andy, we have people hanging
out with this over an hour, thirty three hundred plus
people watching. We appreciate that, hit the subscribe button, hit
the light button, tell folks about the show. Football Fridays
are massive here on wager Talk Today, and we appreciate
you joining us. But with people hanging out, no show
behind us. We got a question here SF Niner Ravens
survivor pick. He's asking about Jacksonville.
Speaker 2: You and I.
Speaker 3: You and I both said, I mean playing the Ravens.
Speaker 5: I want to hold onto the rave Yeah, and I
want to hold onto the Ravens because there's also a
situation that when you get around Thanksgiving, you have to
you have to make could play on these three Thanksgiving
Day games, you know, the fourth one is the Eagles
playing the Bears on the Friday game there. So those
are also things that you have to take into account.
Is the weeks that you have to make double picks,
the weeks that you have to pick on holidays, on Christmas.
So even if that was not the case, taking on Buffalo,
I mean, that's a balls pick. But there's gonna be
a better spot to use Baltimore than opening night against
a rival. You know, sure they have the revenge as
far as the game goes. Yeah, I like Baltimore. I
would probably look. You know, you can bet them anywhere
from a pick them to a one point favorite. I
would rather bet Baltimore than pick them in a survivor
and burn myself.
Speaker 3: In Week one? What do you think about that?
Speaker 1: I want Ravens when they play an NFC team. NFC
teams point, they're not used to playing Lamar. It's a
first half absolute blitz. They're not ready for it. You
cannot simulate Lamar Jackson in practice, and these NFC teams
that haven't seen him before. His record against NFC team
is incredible. So I want to save them. You have
to save Philly for Thanksgiving. You and I were saying
maybe playing the Chiefs.
Speaker 4: Maybe.
Speaker 1: Yeah, the Bears you got there's like four games to
pick for them and their competitive There's Green Bay versus Detroit.
The Chiefs have a fairly tough matchup. So you gotta
hang onto those teams. You gotta map it out. So
let's let's go with the Broncos have a big week Cardinals.
Here's the case for the sleeper with the Dolphins. Is.
You know you're gonna get to a healthy and my
colt stink. We've got Daniel Jones. You can fade Daniel Jones.
I know the Dolphins have a lot of bad vibes
around them, but you're at least gonna get a healthy
two and you're never gonna want to pick the Dolphins
for the rest of the season.
Speaker 5: So yeah, at least at least you have healthy too, Andy,
I like this Dolphins pick too. I'm gonna be recording
with my buddy Adam Rosenberg. We have an entry in
the circum million, so each week we're gonna give out
our five picks here on the Way You Talk YouTube channel.
Right when I'm done with this show, I'm recording with him.
One of our plays on the card this week is
the Doll. He's a little bit more bullish on it
than I am, but the reasoning behind it is sound
and you can find that here on the YouTube channel.
The show is going to be called Let's Make Millions,
so stay here, make sure you're subscribed. You'll see when
that goes live. Andy, before we sign off, I know
we went long. You probably got it wrong, but we
have a loyal viewer. S dot Warrior.
Speaker 3: He's just joining us. He said, yeah, we love s Dot,
we love all the viewers here.
Speaker 5: We'll keep on commenting. But he said, hey, you know
I haven't gotten to catch live in a while. He's
asking what we're on tonight. I know, Andy, you mentioned
Pa check O probably one of your favorite plays. But
Checko rushing over correct.
Speaker 1: Pat check Over's rush attempts eleven and a half, gotch
That's one of my favorite. I got three up for clients.
I'll give you another one. This is a Rinson repeat
every week, justin Herbert to not throw an interception. You
just he had three regular season games where he didn't
throw an interception. I know he looked terrible in the playoffs.
I think that's why we're getting in discount Brinson repeat
every single week. We're going to have a winning record.
So as long as the stay blows stays below minus
one sixty minus one seventy, we're playing it. Jalen Hurts,
I mean, what do we do with Jalen Hurts?
Speaker 4: Dam Just.
Speaker 5: I don't care if I don't care what the juice is.
Jalen Hurts rushing touchdown. He got two of them Andy
for me in the game tonight. I kind of see
it the way that Kelly does. I want to fade
the Chiefs off of.
Speaker 3: That Super Bowl loss, Sal Paulo Brazil.
Speaker 5: That field is absolute oatmeal, gonna be very tough to
be tackling players, So over is a good look, I
think tonight. But for me, give me the points with
the chargers, or you could leave the points at the door.
I think they went out right, chargers outright for me
to play.
Speaker 1: Love it, Love it all right.
Speaker 3: That's that's a football Friday.
Speaker 1: That's I should do a football football Friday. Yeah, we're
gonna do this every single Friday. So we're gonna get
you ready for the weekend. And thank you so much.
Been a great week of shows. Make sure you hit
the like button, leave us comment in the comment section
who you are taking for your survivor pool. Can't wait
to see this. I imagine there's gonna be a lot
of picks in there. We'll see, so thanks so much
for joining us.
Speaker 5: Guys.
Speaker 1: Remember five percent UFC Best bet is up four percent
college football and our NFL Week one props all props
that we're betting with our own money all the way
through Monday Night Football available WT Dot bus slash al
thanks so much for the chat. You guys have been awesome.
Leave a comment below, good luck on all your place
and we'll see you Monday. Take care,