Speaker 1: Welcome to Way Did You Talk Today, the gold standard
of sports betting shows where we talk the talk and
walk the walk. Football Friday, Massive, Massive Slate. We gotta
talk Oregon, Indiana. We gotta talk these NFL matchups, being
joined as always by Dan Dan. We got one half
of the juveniery Andy Lang parlay home with Miami winning
last night. If I you can work, good night, man,
It's gonna be wild, but it'll be a wild We
got a great show, huge, huge show, wild card weekend.
You could argue it's the best weekend of football, like
the first round of p Yeah, as possible, you know, I.
Speaker 2: Mean, Andy, it started yesterday. The fact we get back
to back college football semifinals with teams that no one
really thought was going to be there if you asked
at the beginning of the year. So yes, David. The
Hurricanes may have shocked the world from preseason expectations, but
they were three and a half point favorites and they
end up covering that game for what it's worth right
there at the end. But Yeah, started yesterday, continues today.
Then we got action on Saturday, action on Sunday, and
a Monday night football game as well. Here for Super
wild Card weekend. He's Andy Lang, I'm Dan Alexander, and
coming up on the show, Yanni. I'm sorry to report, folks,
he is still in Philadelphia for a wedding. So we
will have Yanni back on Monday. But do not fret
because Teddy Covers is gonna be up first. He's breaking
down that Peach Bowl. I will wonder what if Andy
will like his breakdown or not. As Andy is sporting
his IU Go Hoosiers sweater Texan Steelers. We're gonna talk
that Monday night football game with Teddy, and then Marco
is gonna come on to NFL breakdowns. He's gonna give
you that game on Prime that's Packers Bears, Bills, Jags.
You know he's got the sauce of the week. And
then Andy, if there's any game that you guys want
to hear about for the NFL Playoffs that you don't
hear about. To end the show, Andy and I are
going to go through all six games against the spread
our thoughts here on the program, and you know we're
doing sell me a little bit different with Teddy this week.
I'm looking forward to seeing what you guys think I
cooked up here for you it's.
Speaker 1: Gonna be good. We got WTF LFG. You got a
lot to get too. So let's start off with Teddy.
Let's bringing Teddy covers here.
Speaker 3: I got.
Speaker 1: I didn't even know this was called the Peach Bowl.
I didn't even know.
Speaker 2: I kind of I just branded Andy. They're gonna brand
you know what I mean. They had to give those
bulls some some name.
Speaker 3: You know what I mean.
Speaker 2: They're not just gonna go away with all that money,
you know what I mean. So, yeah, they had Peach
Bowl tonight.
Speaker 1: They had the vice president of Verbo bring out the
coin to the coin toss last night.
Speaker 2: Nicky Bello was there as the as the master of ceremonies.
Speaker 1: Well, Teddy, how are you on this Friday? How are you?
Speaker 3: Man? I'm just missing the weed Whacker Bowl. You know
of all the bowl from back in the day, the
weed Whacker Bowl where the CEO would come out and we.
Speaker 2: Would get to go. Yeah, well let's talk.
Speaker 1: It's it's a big one tonight, are you Oregon. I've
been telling people a week that are breaking down this game.
Remember where I went to college. Let's make sure you
do the right thing on this breakdown here. Indiana's minus
three and a half over under forty eight and a half.
How do you break it down? Are my Hoosiers going
to advance or what?
Speaker 3: And it's worth noting just now a three has this
the first three I've seen on this game at circa
here in Las Vegas. So there's clearly some wise guy
support for the Oregon Ducks in this ballgame and hanging
around town here in Vegas this week, it felt like
I talked to a lot of people that were trying
to make a case for Oregon that we're looking for
reasons to bet against Indiana, and I can get that conceptually. Obviously,
when we talk about these rematches here in the postseason
hasn't necessarily gone particularly well for the team that won
the first meeting. That being said, we talk about Indiana
and Oregon and Indiana in particular, think about the teams
that have had a bye week in the college football
playoffs over the last two years. They've been eight of them.
One of those eight has been able to withstand the
twenty plus day layoff and win a college football playoff game.
That one team is Indiana, then they just do it.
They did it as impressively as any team did anything
last week, you know, absolutely annihilated Alabama. It was the
single most impressive I think of any team throughout the
entirety of the college football playoffs this season. When you
hold Bama to twenty three rushing yards, when you dominate
the line of scrimmage on both sides of the football
against an SEC powerhouse, you're doing something right. And this
isn't new or different for the Hoosiers, you know, in
the Kirk Signetti era. Obviously they've absolutely annihilated everyone for
the last two seasons eighteen and nine against the spread,
accounting every play. And how are they doing it well?
They're doing it with experience. Indiana's starting lineup averages thirty
two career starts per player. All the transfers that have
come in these are guys with a ton of collegiate experience.
No one in Indian starting lineup has fewer than nineteen
career starts. And when you go in twenty five and
two straight up over the last two years, when you
won fourteen games this season, eleven of them by more
than one score, clearly you're doing something right.
Speaker 4: Now.
Speaker 3: This is factor in the points bread all right. When
these two teams met earlier this year, Oregon was a
favorite by a touchdown, so we've seen, you know, a
ten and a half point line move, but it's not
really that much because the first meeting was in Eugene,
and this meeting is on a neutral so you can
say maybe it's a six, six and a half point
line move in favor of Indiana since that first meeting.
I think it's warranted. I mean, when we look at
what happened in that first game, all right, and again
you don't want to put too much episode, Let's think
about what happened because Oregon was certainly focused and ready
and the Adams certainly focused and ready, and Indiana threw
a pick six in that ballgame. Teams that score non
offensive tds are better than sixty percent eights, not Oregon
twenty twenty in the fourth quarter. After that picksticks, what
in Indiana do? They got punched in the mouth and
they punched back. That's exactly what they've done all year.
And the Hoosiers defense held the Ducks thirteen offensive points,
fourteen first downs, and that game, after going three or
four on fourth downs, two under sixty seven total yards.
I'm not convinced the rematch is gonna be that much
better for Dante More and company. Dante Moore in the
first meeting four of thirteen on passes of seven yards
or more downfield versus the best defenss. Hees faced Dante Moore,
who could be the number one overall pick in the
draft this year if Random Mendoza isn't faced. Indiana, Texas
Tech and Iowa Oregon had a combined total of four
offensive touchdowns in those three games against quality foes. So Andy,
I think you'll like this. It's not just an opinion
for me. It's a client play. I've got my money
on the Hoosiers. I've advised my clients to be the same.
Indiana minus to points. We saw chalk cover last night.
It was a sweat, but it got there. May well
be a sweat tonight, might not be. I would not
be surprised Vane Indiana wins this game by margin.
Speaker 1: Let's go, let's go love it, love it. Uh yeah,
it's it's it's hard to argue that one. Yeah, I could.
Speaker 4: I could, I could.
Speaker 1: I make the case. Is there a revenge factor here?
Do you believe in that Teddy regular season the playoffs?
Is that really a thing?
Speaker 3: So revenge is a thing? When one team has a
little bit more juice than the other team. You know,
one team's playing with evangela team's playing a little scared.
You see, Indiana played scared. Yeah, for a game of
this magnitude, would you expect Indiana to be a little
bit intimidate? You know, I don't expect it at all.
You know, we've seen what they could do, and we've
seen what this defense, for all the offense, for all Mendoza,
what's impressed me more is the defense. What they did
in the first meeting, what they did to Ohio State
in the championship game, in the Big Ten championship game,
what they've done through off the course of the campaign.
They're blowing up the line of scrimmage, and if you're
blowing up the line of scrimmage, you tend to win
football games.
Speaker 1: I've said that all year that Mendoza and Signetti get
all the all the hype, and deservedly so. But it's
the defense that is just it's so underrated, and it's
it's an unsung hero of this one. So no, you're right,
Indiana's not fraid. Mendoza is not scared of monsters under
the bed. He is the monster under the bed is yes, yeah, yeah, yeah,
Let's go to this Texans Steelers game. My biggest question
is can Aaron Rodgers survived this Texans defense? Houston three
point favor over under thirty eight and a half. If
that doesn't tell you anything, I don't know what does.
Interested in your breakdown, Can Aaron Rodgers pull off a
miracle here in this one?
Speaker 3: Teddy? Well, that's the question is is this Aaron Rodgers
last game as an NFL quarterback? If Pittsburgh loses on
Monday Night, I don't know that. Many expect Aaron Rodgers
come back again next year, and it's certainly a Pittsburgh team.
You know, the Steelers won Week eighteen versus Baltimore. No,
they didn't. The Ravens lost that game. Pittsburgh gave up
the game winning field goal. The guy just missed it, right.
And the Steelers' offense that play, they played as well
as they could play. You know, the defense allowed not one,
not two, but three scoring drives in the fourth quarter
to a limited offense with the game on the line,
and obviously Baltimore missed the field goal, you know, and
it wasn't a chip shop, but it wasn't a fifty
eight yard or was a forty four yarder? Pittsburghs defense
did not make plays when it matters most. Now, the
Steelers will get dk Metcalf back after his two game suspension,
but at the same time, they still don't have Darneld Washington.
And we talk about guys who don't move the point
spread but affect the play in the field or no.
Washington has been a difference maker for Aaron Rodgers multiple
games this season. This is the type of game they'll
miss him. And what wins championships. We know what wins championships.
Defense wins championship. There's three defenses this posting that's down
out above the rest, the Broncos, the Sea Bags, and
the Texans. And we talk about this Texans defense. They've
been downright nasty all year long. And we're talking about
a four year old QB in the cold. It's going
to be right around freezing. And when this game that
kicks off on Monday night, who's now facing the likes
of Daniel Hunter and Will Anderson, who are arguably the
best pass rushing duo in the league twenty seven sacks
between them. And you know one thing from a prop standpoint.
I'm looking at here, Aaron Rodgers pass stemps over a.
I think pitt we're going to be playing for behind b.
Everything Rogers throws is gonna have to be out of
his hands fast because the pass rush is going to
be there. So I'm looking for Pittsburgh do a lot
of dinking and duncan in this ball game. That being said,
we've seen Houston have success in the Who's got the
better postseason track record is not close. In twenty three,
Texans won in the first round, twenty four Texans won
in the wildcard round. Pittsburgh not so much. You know,
they haven't won a whole lot of playoff games in
the recent time when the era Aaron Rodgers, what's he
got one playoff win this decade? Houston's jock here for
a reason. If I'm playing, I'm laying Texans your past
for this.
Speaker 1: Better does the Pittsburgh Steelers this insane home record on
Monday Night football? Does that play anything? Does that you
take twenty three straight? Is it something? Is it nothing?
Speaker 3: Does it?
Speaker 1: Did you take anything for that? Teddy?
Speaker 3: I paid no attention to it. Now. Whether it's a factor,
maybe it is, But how many of those Monday night
football games. Do they play against the one of the
best defense in the NFL in the postseason? You know,
YadA YadA. So yeah, the line is telling you everything
you need to know here, all right. When Houston is
installed as three point roadchalk, three and a half point
roadchock that betting markets know already.
Speaker 2: Yeah, and and a lot of the time, Andy, you
know that I love bringing up those trends just because
they're fun to talk about, you know what I mean,
they're they're Barney at the bar kind of stats. The
other one, you know, if you want me to give
you some hope for Steelers fans, you obviously point to
that Monday night football game record. You can also point
in the fact that Houston, while they've had playoff success,
the road playoff success hasn't been there. They've actually never
won a road playoff game in franchise history. So I'm
just trying to give you some hope Steelers fans. They
also didn't have the number one defense in those And
then the last one for hope for you Steelers fan,
how about Mike Tomlin. We all know Mike Tomlin is
a home dog twenty nine or twenty nine and five
against the spread. So just just trying to give some
hope to these Steelers. Faithful Teddy got we gotta get
to give him some kind of crumb or Marcos.
Speaker 3: It's not a hopeless again through a three point. It's
not like Carolina, you know where if you're gonna out.
Do you want to answer that survivor question that they're
put in the chest?
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, that's up. But I mentioned to you before
the show started, because before the show even started we
had a question for Yanni. Obviously know Yanni today. Sorry folks,
but we have the great Teddy covers and Marco D'Angelo
coming up next. This man is in a survivor pool.
It resets come playoff time. He's five left out of
six hundred and forty one entries, so way to go
Anthony staying alive. He's asking Teddy any advice on how
you attack a survivor pool where all of the teams
are now available again. But he had to survive in
advance here in the playoffs.
Speaker 3: So my thought process for a playoff survivor is you
take the biggest favorite. You know you're not saving teams,
you're not worried about what's gonna happen next time around,
certainly for the wild card weekend, and for me, the
Rams would be a pretty clear choice for you know,
who do you want to take? You want to take
the double digit chalk and if they lose, you lose
with the best team, the team in the best scenario.
But it's not like the regular season where you have to, oh,
I got to keep this team in my pocket. I
got to keep that team in my pocket. For a
playoff survivor pool, you play the chalk and let the
chip swallow fall what they may. At least that's how
I would take it.
Speaker 1: I would throw the Texans in there. I'm not sure
that Texans are a super Bowl team. Chalk, Yeah, you know,
I mean, road chalk is kind of hard. But I mean,
if you so, what happens if you if you use
like the Rams and the Bills the first two rounds
and they make.
Speaker 4: It to the super Bowl?
Speaker 1: Are you just screwed?
Speaker 2: Are you just like and you know how I say, Oh, well,
you know road chalk. Well, guess what Four of these
six games feature teams who, at some book or the
other is favored on the road.
Speaker 3: You know what I mean?
Speaker 2: So you can't fear, you know, road chalk here to
start off, a very unique wildcard situation where you have
a lot of teams who are lower seeded, who are
who are favorites going into going into some of these situations.
So yeah, it's hard to not take the team, even
though they're going to be one that theoretically in the
rams will continue on. It's hard not to go with
the team who's who's laying over ten in the hooks.
So yeah, interesting question there. Nevertheless, comment below if you're
playing survivor or if you're just trying to pick a winner,
who are you picking here? Out of these six games
that figure to be pretty interesting?
Speaker 1: Teddy, I want to get to NBA here. You said
something interesting. You upgraded the Hawks.
Speaker 3: Oh yeah, oh yeah, the Hawks. The Hawks have been
better all year without Trey Young. All right, it hasn't
been close. And I've been making money betting on Atlanta
without Young in the lineup. Now they pick up two
productive veterans, all right, c J McCollum, Corey Kisspert. They
make that team better from day one. So you take
out the guy who has been the source of locker
room malaise and you bring in two savvy veterans, and
everyone talks about McCollum, what a good guy he is,
how much they like him on their team, what a
great veteran is. Uh So, I bumped Atlanta in my
power rate. Washington is a team that had been playing
good basketball in recent weeks. They've been making me money,
and now they just traded away to guys, you know,
to the productive veterans, which concerns me. I did not
adjust my wizard's power rating initially. I want to see
this team play a game or two before we move
him up or down. But for Atlanta, they got better,
and from a moving forward standpoint, when you're dumping that
much salary, they need a whole lot of flexibility for
future moves. I'm not convinced this is the last move
that the Hawks are going to make.
Speaker 1: Although the whole.
Speaker 3: Concept of oh, I want Anthony Davis on my team
to me is just baffling, because the last thing I
want to do is play pay a max level salary
for a guy who's not going to be on the floor,
and basically, any of the starters we are over twenty
six years old. You know you're paying max level salary
or on the wrong side of thirty like Davis. You know,
he's going to be sitting for probably extended stretches. So
it's a trade that doesn't make sense to me for Atlanta.
If I was them, I look elsewhere.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I've had bets on Max Christy on Dallas, So
I've been watching Dallas Mavericks Anthony Davis Man. He doesn't
have it anymore. He's not the player he was. There's
a lot of driving into the lane and throwing the
ball off the rim like it's really awkward situations.
Speaker 2: It's kind of tough to watch.
Speaker 3: And he's due for a contract extension, is too, and
the next extension for him pays himuntil he's thirty seven.
Speaker 1: You know, no way, no way, couldn't do it, couldn't
do it. Love him, incredible career, but it's all the
way down here where you do something in an NBA edition.
But first, Teddy, tell everyone, what do you have about
for clients? Huge, huge weekend starting today?
Speaker 3: Yeah it is. Obviously we're in play tonight for Indiana Oregon.
You don't need to buy that play you got it
here for free. That being said, locked and loaded with
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Speaker 1: All right, Dan, let's do it. By the way, we
did not have a winner, like like last week on SOY.
Speaker 3: Nobody did it.
Speaker 1: Nobody did it correct, Nobody put their name, Nobody put
Teddy and their username.
Speaker 2: Like guys, so let's break it. Let's break it down.
There were plenty of people who picked Teddy, but they
did not include your wager talk user name. So how
this works sell me. We're gonna break down two sides here.
These guys are both gonna get one of them, whoever
you think made the best case, and their team will
cover you comment with their name and your wager Talk
user name Boom. You're entered in for a three three
day flex pass. And uh, that's that's as simple as
it is. That's that's all you gotta do. And gentlemen,
let's do a little NBA addition here. The NFL is
winding down, folks, So we've had fun doing these NFL teams,
but let's talk a little Pelicans and Wizards and Teddy.
When I heard you breaking down that tray Young Trade,
I already knew which side I was going to give
you because Teddy said, I'd like to see the Wizards
play a little bit more before I am wagering on
or against them. Well, Teddy, you're gonna have to tell
me why the Washington Wizards are going to cover as
three point dogs. That's what we're greating to that because
we have two and a half's out there, three and
a halfs. There is a three, so we're calling this
one three. Wizards are three point home underdogs. New Orleans
three point chalk on the road, Teddy, you haven't gotten
to see much after the trade. You haven't gotten to
see anything after the trade. But you're telling me why
the Wizards are covering. Sell me on that. I wrote
NFL side, but it's an NBA side.
Speaker 3: Oh, Washington's a very easy side to make a case
for in this game for two reasons. Number one, this
has been a morib enfranchise bottom feeders for what it
feels like decades, and they just made a kind of
a win now move. You know, hey, let's bring in
Trey Young. So from a team chemistry standpoint, yeah, they
lose mccoum and Pisburg, who we liked. But from a hey,
we're actually doing something positive for the franchise standpoint, it's
a boost. And we've seen what happens when a team
with a nice group of young players. In Washington's got
five studs under the age of twenty two, you're bringing
a veteran point card. That's kind of what Houston did
last year with Fred van Vliet, and all of a sudden,
the Rockets were contenders. So there's a positive vibe in
Washington now for the first time since before COVID and
probably longer than that. So and the other case for
the Wizards is so easy. Hello, New Orleans can't be
road chalk McFly, you know, I mean they haven't won
since before Christmas? All right, this is a bad basketball team.
And when you're talking about laying points on the road
with a bottom feeder, there's got to be a better
bet than that.
Speaker 2: Wizards plus me in McFly McFly. Indeed, I love the
the the reference there. Well done out of Teddy. That's
gonna be hard to be when he's when he's making
a back to the future reference. How the hell are
you gonna sell anyone on this one? But you're telling
us road chalk New Orleans? Why are we? Why are
we laying three?
Speaker 3: Andy?
Speaker 2: That's your task?
Speaker 1: Well, because the books are telling us a story. This,
this would be a This line makes no sense. Why
is a team who's lost nine in a row laying
the points? And it's because the Wizards are now forced
to hand the keys over to bub Carrington as their
starting point guard, which is terrifying. They also have old
man Chris Middleton starting at power forward. He's gonna guard
Zion No chance. This is not the first nine game
losing streak. The Pelicans have been on DAN, but you
know what they did in that tenth game? They won
the books. So that is my case. This re Pelicans
team doesn't lose double digits in a row. The buck
stops here, the losing stops here, and the books are
flat out telling you who's gonna win this game. There's
no world that the Pelicans should be road favorites unless
the books already know what's going to happen. It's been
written in the stars. Pelicans win and cover.
Speaker 2: Wow, written in the stars, but no, no back to
the future reference. I will say, Andy, which which I
can't beat, that they've lost nine in a row, but
they won't lose ten in a row. Ringing endorsement. Who
do you think is going to be covering We're grating
than at three New Orleans Pelicans or the Washington Wizards
going tonight? Comment below when the video goes live. Teddy
and your Way to Talk username if you think the
Wizards are going to be covering at home, if you
believe they're written in the stars, angle from Andy Lang.
I'm in Andy and You're a Way to Talk user name.
Whichever team covers you are going to be winning a
three three day flex pass always a fun one, guys.
I mean, we have to turn the page, right. We
got NBA continuing. Maybe we'll sprinkle in a little college
basketball here and there. But folks, the the NFL is
nearing an end, sadly, but selling you on sides, and
I'll correctly write NBA side, not NFL side for next week.
Speaker 3: Guys.
Speaker 2: I'm sure that that really confused many people. Thank you, Eddy, cheers,
have a great weekend, have a good one. Teddy covers.
That's that's is. Here's the funny thing. Andy, before we
went on, you were like, hey, make sure you shoot
Marco a message because he's gonna come on early because
we don't have Yanni. Teddy was like, I ain't doing
thirty minutes. He only did twenty. Say that, so he did,
which we tried to get him there, we couldn't quite
get him.
Speaker 1: I also forgot the Pelicans got their bad that's a
that's a hard case to make for the Pelicans, like
they just lost by seventeen to Atlanta and Atlanta owns
their pick.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm sorry, I'm sorry. Well you know that you
know that Lino gets the gets the bit. I popped
it up there Lino says, yuck, good job, Dan know
he knows it has to be disgusting, you know what
I mean. I had to do it to you, Andy.
But before we bring in Marco, Marco's got two NFL
plays coming for you. He's got wing Sauce of the week.
Andy and I are going to be breaking down a
cavalcade of these NFL games. But before that, Andy, I
do want to let people know three and oh for
you last night. You know you mentioned how kind of
been this up and down these peaks and valleys. I
think this is going to turn the corner for you.
Speaker 3: Man.
Speaker 2: When you have a three and oh night, gets your
head right, gets you feeling right. And currently people can
use Andy one hundred and get one hundred dollars off
action this weekend, a three day pass take one hundred
dollars off right, or a thirty day pass. Excuse me, Andy,
and why why should they check out that thirty day
pass because that's really where the biggest value lies as
far as prop bettings concerned.
Speaker 1: Yeah, you know we told you, like you know, if
you got the thirty day pass on Wednesday, we had
a miserable Wednesday night and we said, hey, thirty day pass,
give us twenty nine more days. Well, we didn't need
twenty nine more days to make it up. We did
it yesterday. Four percent NBA winner, two percent NBA winner,
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have a five percent NFL best bet that's up. We
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so all of those are included and Dan we hit
our same game parlay on the prop line love It
Show yesterday, so that show is going really really good
and included with our NBA write ups those of you
the beginning the NBA plays, we include our props market Watch,
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no reason to not get a thirty day pass. We
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so promo code eighty one hundred gets thirty days. We
have a couple of questions here in the check before
we get to Marco Bob. The point prop are they
going to adjust at Bub Carrington's points is is like
thirteen and a half. I would take the over he
played thirty nine minutes the other night. This is one
of those under the radar props that the books are
not over adjusting enough. Yes, I would play Bub Carrington over.
It might be it might actually be a client play
on that one. Where do I find my wager Talk username?
That's the username that is in wager talk system.
Speaker 2: So it's like when you log in, Yeah, the name
that would be in your login where it says username.
You log in a lot of times on my computer
and I don't know any of my passwords because I
do the auto save thing. So you can just click
the auto save the population and read the name. There'll
that'll get you going, Michael Hims. So log in your
wager Talk you'll see your username right there at the
top of this greed.
Speaker 1: All right, we got a question for you. Can you
call the Eagles and tell them we need twenty five
past attempts and thirty carries from Barkley and Hurts. Dan,
you got some insight info there?
Speaker 2: Yeah, let me call up Kevin Patulo, and Kevin Patulo
would answer the phone just say I don't think you could.
You can tell Kevin Patulo anything, folks. So it's gonna
be what it is. Although with my wt EF or
LFG will give after Marco kind of ties into maybe
what financially free and focused.
Speaker 1: Needs, so we will all right, Well, Dan, why don't
you bring in Marco? And I am gonna go do
some research here because Jesse, what's correct? So, uh, you're right,
find our winner. I'm gonna go find our yea, go
get to work.
Speaker 2: Let me let me talk to Marco. Let's see if
he's gonna lead off with them. I'm a sick f today. Yeah,
I'm sorry I had to do it on the NBA
floor there, Marco, Marco, how are we doing on a Friday? Brother?
Speaker 3: Howse things been?
Speaker 2: Oh?
Speaker 4: I'm just excited to get on early. Oh wait a minute, now,
every day.
Speaker 5: That's one thing, you know, this thing death taxes and
not getting on early behind Teddy, those are the things
you can tell.
Speaker 2: Hey, well, there's there's still plenty of people hanging on
every word that you have here, Marco. So whether we
get you at twelve thirty or twelve fifteen. People are
pumped up when we have the co founder of wager
talk dot com. You're joining us on the program, Marco.
Let's talk this Saturday game. This one is on Amazon Prime.
There's been some talk of potential weather that could be
affecting this game a little bit. Hasn't really banged the
total much is ticked down a little. But this is
one of those four games that you heard me reference
that you have a road favorite. Sure, you know there's
there's maybe some difference. There's some pick them's out there,
so you can shop around on this price. But Packers
playing a team for the third time here. How are
you attacking this one?
Speaker 4: Yeah? Third time in six weeks? No less?
Speaker 2: I mean this is insane.
Speaker 5: Yeah, crazy situation we have here. And we go back
to that second meeting. Green Bay should have won the
second meeting.
Speaker 3: Yea.
Speaker 5: The first game you could have went to overtime. It
was decided by seven points. Caleb Williams threw an interception
late in the game in the end zone when it
looked like they were going to tie the game up,
and then the question would be would they go for
two or wouldn't they Well, we never got to find
out because he threw the interception.
Speaker 4: In that second meeting.
Speaker 5: Green Bay dominated that game, even though Jordan Love got
hurt early in the game, I think was second quarter
he got hurt. Malik Willis came in and played exceptionally well.
I think it was nine to eleven passing, but he
beat them with his feet. Had a great game. They
were dominating on the ground and Chicago was dead for
about fifty five of the sixty minutes of that game.
The final five minutes of that game was insane, especially
the final three minutes when Chicago had to have just
about every miracle that you could have, converting fourth downs,
score a touchdown, get the two point conversion, kick it
on sidekick, get the on sidekick, and go down and score.
It was just a crazy finish to that game. And
then went to overtime and the only mistake that Willis
made in the entire game. They took the opening drive
in overtime. They were driving and botched handoff fumble. They
turn it over, Chicago go down and wins the game.
But I go back and look at that game, and
we did a video this week about looking at things
in the playoffs when teams are meeting for the second
and third time, and you can catch that out on
the YouTube channel. And what I was talking about one
of the games this would apply here. Look at what
was going on when they played that game, and Green
Bay was in a horrible scheduling spot when they played
that second meeting. They played that game on a short
week on a Saturday. They had their third road game
in four weeks, and it was a gauntlet before games
that they played over that stretch. If you go back
leading into that game. They started that four week stretch
in Detroit, then they played Chicago at home for the
first time. Then they went on the road and played
at Denver, and then they came back and played on
the road again in Chicago. That is a Who's who
murderers row four game stretch for them. I throw out
the last game for Green Bay. It was completely meaningless
for them. They rested all the starters.
Speaker 4: Uh sorry.
Speaker 5: The only starter they kept in there was the field
goal kicker that they ran out on the final play
of the game when they called time out with two
seconds left so they could get the shutout off the board.
Speaker 4: Oh what was the spread in that game? It was
sixteen to nothing. Fred was thirteen and a half.
Speaker 2: Hmm.
Speaker 5: Interesting. Okay, that's the story for another day. But I
look for Chicago. This is a great story they've had
this year. But let's be honest, they've survived by getting turnovers. Now,
turnovers are hard to handicap because is it a product
of great defense or is it a product of some
lucky bounces, fumbles bouncing the right way, some interceptions being
tipped in the air and making the play however you
want to look at it. It has helped him and
this is a team that has had a ton of
one possession games. Eleven of their seventeen games have been
decided by seven points or less. I'm gonna give the
nod to Jordan Love, even though he's returning from injury,
simply because he's been here and done that before. He's
got the playoff experience. I've caught a lot of grief
this year on bet on it stepping in front of
the Bears a few times. I'm gonna do it one
more time. I'm taking green Bay in this one. I
think they get the job done. I'm calling at green Bay.
Twenty seven to twenty three should be another entertaining game
between these two teams.
Speaker 2: I love to hear it because as an Eagles fan,
if the Eagles were to win as home five and
a half point favorites and the Packers pull off, this
upset all the people who are bitching about the Eagles
not playing their starters. It doesn't matter because the Eagles
would essentially become the de facto two seed. So from
your mouth, Marco, to the football God's ears, Green Bay Packers,
outright lay the one, says Marco DiAngelo. We also have
a breakdown coming, Marco, and this bill's a Jags game,
and I'm super intrigued what you have because basically the
same line in that one pick comes out there as well.
But before we do that one, Marco, there's so many
great special this weekend. That Weekend Warrior continues and you've
been seeing it.
Speaker 3: Great.
Speaker 2: Here, what do you have locked and loaded for this weekend?
And folks can save a boatload of money over at
wager Talk this weekend.
Speaker 5: Yeah, this is a great week to do it. The
Weekend Warrior is a great deal. But guys, you're gonna
get two days for forty nine dollars. We've got a
deal this week where you can get seven days for
the price of three twenty dollars, more than a wee
A Warrior. Sixty nine dollars will get you a seven
day all access all sports.
Speaker 4: Guys.
Speaker 5: We've got college football, We've got the NFL playoffs, We've
got NBA, we got college basketball, we got hockey, every
sport going. If you're an Andy fan, you're gonna get
cricket as well. You can get every play from your
favorite handicapper for just sixty nine dollars. This is the
time to jump on board. There's not a better week
in the sports than this week with all of the
action that's going on, and of course with me, this
week we've got another five percent play. We had a
five percent play last week. We won again with Seattle,
probably the most dominating game I've ever had to sweat
a ten point win with the Seattle Seahawks last week
Pillar to post job with them. They really should have won,
probably by at least three touchdowns, but they got the
job done. We're now forty one and eighteen on five
percent plays over the last two years, going back to
February of twenty twenty, for almost two years, forty one
and eighteen.
Speaker 4: We got one coming this weekend.
Speaker 5: So head on over to wager talk dot com and
check out that seven day all access package.
Speaker 3: Love it.
Speaker 2: That's Marco d'angelowt dot buzz slash md is how to
get there quicker Marco. This Bills and Jags game. I'm
also very intrigued to get your take on because the
road is here for Josh Allen. There's no Burrow, there's
no Mahomes. Josh Allen comes into this game traveling on
the road, oh and four straight up, oh and four
against the spread, on the road, but he gets to
play the Jacksonville Jaguars and Trevor Lawrence. So how do
you see this game? Because I went kind of toe
to toe with pres on this one. Thoughts for you
Bill's Jags? How are you looking to bet this one? Marco?
Speaker 5: I'm gonna start just one off by saying, I think
the winner of this game really does have a good
shot of getting to the super Bowl. I agree, and
I know that everybody's talking about there's never been an
easier road for Buffalo to get to the super Bowl
because of what you just said, and that is true.
But they got to do it, all three of them
on the road. You know, that's gonna be, you know,
a tough assignment, you know, for them to do. I
look at this one, and I look at this line,
and I look at these two teams and what we've
seen all year long, and I got to be honest
with you, this line is based on two things. The
name Buffalo Bills in quarterback Josh Allen. In public perception Buffalo.
I just don't think should be at a pick them
or minus one in this game. I understand if you
look at their records there's only a one game difference
between the two teams. But if you've watched this Buffalo
team all season long, they're just not as good as
the teams we've seen in the past. Now, they still
have the best quarterback in the league. If you ask me,
you the GM, you're going to start a franchise team,
you get the first pick. Who's going to be your
first pick, It's gonna be Josh Allen. He can carry
a team, There's no question about that. But if you've
looked at this Buffalo defense all year, they have struggled.
They went five and one down the stretch. Okay, so
now everybody's jumping on the Buffalo bandwagon. But let's be
honest about it, okay, and they would have been six
and zero. You know, if they convert that two point
conversion in that Philadelphia game, which they got a lot
of flak for, you know, not kicking the extra point,
that win and go into overtime. But the teams they
beat during that stretch, they beat a Pittsburgh team who
at the time was struggling, couldn't score anything offensively. They
beat Cincinnati in New England. They were down big in
both of those games. If Joe Burrow doesn't have you know,
two interceptions on back to back plays for pick sixes,
they lose the Cincinnati game. They were down twenty one
to nothing to New England and they come back. They
barely beat Cleveland on the road twenty three to twenty
and then, oh, last game, they blow out the Jets.
So what the Jets have been pure trash all year.
Jacksonville's won eight games in a row, granted somewhere against
some bad teams. But they did go on the road
and beat the number one seed in the AFC, Denver,
and they beat them soundly. The score doesn't even indicate
how they dominated from start to finish in that game.
And do you remember the game against the Chargers at
home that started their eight game winning streak, they beat
them by twenty nine. This is a serious team that
plays good defense. And when you think of Jacksonville, immediately
you think of Trevor Lawrence. You don't think about the defense.
But the defense has been good. Only one team has
scored more than twenty points on them over that eight
game stretch to close out the season. That was Arizona,
and it was thanks to four Jacksonville turnoders. The Jacksonville
rush defense is legit. Twelve of seventeen opponents this year
they've held to eighty nine or fewer yards rushing, and
over the last eight games they've held six of their
eight opponents to under two hundred yards passing. If you
can't run the football and you've got to become one
dimensional and you're not having great success in the passing
game against them, it's going to be for a long game.
Josh Allen does have the edge over Trevor Lawrence, no
question about that, with experience in just that moxie that
he has. But I've got a stat that I dug
up since twenty twenty one inn the NFL, if you
bet against NFL road teams when the line is between
the threes minus three to plus three who have allowed
fourteen points or less in back to back games like
Buffalo has done. The system tells you to go against
that team. And it's league wide sample size of twenty
eight games, twenty three and five going against teams in
that situation. That tells you to take Jacksonville in this win.
And that's where I'm at, guys.
Speaker 2: As a hell of a right there, Andy, that's pretty good.
Speaker 1: That's pretty good. I did the I dug this up
on social media. Jags zero to twenty three in games
with totals over forty nine Bills oh and eight road
playoff game on So something's got to give you. Figure
it out, Marco. I'd like to throw out Jaggs to
win by margin. You can get three to one to
win by ten.
Speaker 2: Oh wow, and all line. I think this defensive Buffalo's trash.
It's trash in the bank the Buffalo. This is what
I'm glad to hear Marco's breakdown because this is where
I was kind of going in prece Press was saying, Hey,
bet the Bills ten to one to win the Super Bowl,
and I agree, there's some value in that, but this
is the game for the Buffalo Bills. Like after this game,
sure the matchups get much easier. Jacksonville and Jacksonville is
a matchup nightmare for this team because what do the
Bills do best? Everyone talks about Josh Allen. They're a
rush first with James Cook team, and they're playing a
team top five in yards per attempt on on you
know against rushing teams, against against running back. So I
think this is a nightmare matchup for the Bills, and
you know, getting one that the no brainer is do
the Kelly in Vegas special, right, you take find the
one or one and a half and take Jacksonville up
in a teaser and find something to pair with. That's
the way that I want to.
Speaker 5: I'm gonna pray for Kelly this week because there are
so many of those those home plugs in the playoffs
that you can get up over the touchdown. It's gonna
either be a great week for Kelly or I'm not
looking forward to doing bet on.
Speaker 4: You'll know why.
Speaker 2: Yeah, and the bet on It NFL edition is up
right now. Marco also has up on the channel. You
heard his breakdown, Uh, you know on the teams playing
each other for the third time. If you want a
little bit more in depth on how that is just
year over year league you know, league wide. Uh, there's
a video up on the channel right now teams playing
in the playoffs for the second or third time that
Marco today hell of a breakdown on so you can
get that and Marco hell folks. Also, obviously what you
have up with the deli. Deli is open even though
there aren't man now sandwiches to be had.
Speaker 5: Well, you know what, guys, we expanded to Delhi this week.
We added some new menu items. We've got a couple
college basketball games on this week's deli. Uh, so you
can check that out. We're testing the new format.
Speaker 4: Head on over.
Speaker 5: You're gonna get an NFL play bringing you a playoff
game and two college basketball games on the Deli this
week Deli two and one last week, five and one
in the last two weeks, So check it out. But
I want to hear if you guys like what I'm
doing on this week's Deli, let me know, give me
the thumbs up and tell me if you like the
new format adding to college basketball and the way we're
gonna do it and we'll keep the deli open if
you guys want it, so you gotta go over watch
it in comment or give us the thumbs up.
Speaker 1: My favorite Marco is how you talk like it's actually
a deli.
Speaker 3: You're like, what that is? Open?
Speaker 2: Is open? The Health Department has tried to condemn it
quite a few times, but they persevere. They persevere.
Speaker 1: Oh all right, well, speaking of food, Well, we got
a couple more weeks of this before the Super Bowl.
We're done with the Wings Sauce of the Week segment,
but you've been crushing it. This is one of my
favorite segments we've added. Give us your Wing Sauce of
the week and who are we comparing it to?
Speaker 5: Well, guys, what I'm gonna do since it's playoff time,
I'm gonna set you up for what I'm gonna be doing,
you know, playoff time. You know I love my wings
and I've got my favorite sauces. You know you got
some go tos, but my absolute favorite wing sauce I'm
saving for Monday Night because you know Steelers are playing
Monday night football. I gotta have some wings. I gotta
root you know, the fan and me will be rooting
for the Steelers. I don't know if I'm gonna bet
the Steelers or not. As you guys all know, I
did have a ticket on Baltimore to win the division. No,
we took that, you know during the season when we
got a nice price on Baltimore. And so so I
had mixed emotions watching the game on Sunday.
Speaker 4: Night last week.
Speaker 5: But for me, my favorite go to wing sauce is
golden Garlic. And what it is is the combination of
your traditional buffalo sauce, so you get a little bit
of bite and you combine it with a garlic sauce,
so you get those two flavors just work together so well.
But we're going to add a little extra ingredient to
it this week. And if you watch last week's show,
you know that we've established that I may or may
not be a little superstitious. You know, we talked about
porkin sauerkraut for good luck on New Year's Day. So
this week, Monday Night Football, I'm not taking any chances
while I'm watching the Steeler game when I order my
wings in the garlic sauce, the Golden garlic sauce, We're
adding a special ingredient. And that special ingredient is I
am going to have my plate of wings with holy water.
I'm gonna sprinkle holy water over the over the wings.
It worked last week with that field goal. The priest
came on before the game blessed that end zone. That's
the end zone where the field goal went wide, right,
don't mess with it?
Speaker 4: Okay, you know.
Speaker 5: And funny story I sent that when I saw that
story before the game, I had no idea that it
was going to play out the way it did.
Speaker 4: But I sent a buddy and said, look.
Speaker 5: At this, you know, because he's a devout Catholic and
his wife is really and he sent back to text
me and said, my wife said that's not allowed. The
priests are not allowed to do that. And you know,
I texted dec I said, it's okay. God is a
Steeler fan. Little did I know how much of a
Steeler fan he really was. So there you go, guys, get.
Speaker 2: The whole you water up on my golden glarlic wings
and ghost Steelers. Yeah, love the holy water. And the
crazy thing is is that the end zone that the
field goal was missed in was the holy water end zone,
which I don't know they might need, they might need
a deluge of holy water for this this Texans defense.
Speaker 4: But we'll see, we'll see you.
Speaker 5: It's been tough every week to find new angles with
the way.
Speaker 4: It's well done.
Speaker 2: It's well done wing sauce, and you don't need any
wet naps. You'll have your your terrible task there, so
you're you're good to go.
Speaker 4: I can't I cannot disgrace a terrible towe with wings.
Speaker 2: Yeah you can come on and disgrace a vial of
holy water, but a terrible towel.
Speaker 4: That's where I I can't wait now.
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, bring them down, Bring them down, folks, appreciate.
Speaker 1: I love the notion that God was there to bless
the Steelers. Meanwhile, this poor kickers life is ruined. Harball
got fired.
Speaker 2: Like bad happen.
Speaker 4: Guys, God knows what the right side is.
Speaker 5: Have you ever seen anybody after the game thank God
for losing a game.
Speaker 6: It's interview the losers, interview the losers hes some old testament.
Speaker 2: He went old Testament on his ass is what he did.
Onds locusts all that good, great stuff, all right, guys,
thanks Marco, good luck and definitely folks, check out that
Deli video. It's going to be up here on the channel.
I love it, man, great great stuff out of Marco
the Holy Water. Well done.
Speaker 1: All right, we got a bet, have an official bet here.
Dan Seth is going head to head. He has the
Organ Ducks plus three and a half. So I mean, yeah,
this is a no brainer. So Seth and I you
are locked in for an official bet. Three day pass
is on the line. Seth has the duck plus three
and a half. I got my hoo's yours minus three
and a half. Good stuff. Speaking of bets, Jesse was
victorious and we have a winner for the three day
pass that we do.
Speaker 4: That's how.
Speaker 2: Yeah, So folks, if you missed it, sometimes we'll do
some head to head bets on this show. We do
it with sell Me. Your chance to win a free
three day flex pass is live right now. You can
comment below Andy. If you think that the Pelicans are
covering tonight. You can comment below Teddy with your wager
Talk user name, and this is after the video goes live.
If if you think the Wizards are gonna cover, we're
greading that one at three tonight. But Chris Brady, he
thought Miami would cover in the first half alongside Jesse.
Speaker 4: He won.
Speaker 2: So guess what Chris added to your account now at
wager Talk your free three day flex pass. You don't
even have to go chase down customer service. It is
in your account this very second. Love to see it, Andy,
I love giving the free stuff away.
Speaker 1: And guys, that's why we need your wager Talk name.
Speaker 2: We need to know yes, because we added immediately. Because
believe it or not, Andy, when we when we first
started this and we were just like, yeah, I just
comment below and we'll pick it, Customer service got slammed
with messages. I'm the one who won. I'm the one
who won. People like free shit, Andy, So the wager
Talking user name, it's we're able to add it directly
to your account. So congratulations. Chris Brady and I have
three three day flex passes up for grab right now
with that Pelican and I'm Withards.
Speaker 1: All right, we got a couple more things to go
to now it's time going heavy on some free picks.
Speaker 4: Here.
Speaker 1: We got WTF LFG, We've got all around the world,
and then I'm entering Dan and I in a free contest.
We have to pick the spreads on all the NFL games,
and you got to get all of them right. You
can't lose one of them. So let's do WTF LFG Dan,
let's let's let's let's get let's get back to our
winning ways here. Uh, last night's last night's play didn't didn't,
didn't go so well, But you were, dude, what what
do we got for today?
Speaker 2: I mean, I mean, Andy, last night's play might have
not done well, but we're still twelve and six on
these plays here, giving you free plays either follow or fade.
So we'll take the twelve and six and hey, for
what it's worth, Trinidad's rushing he did have a nineteen
yard rush, Andy, but that was paired with going four
for negative eleven before that, so it didn't quite worked out. More.
The volume was there, the success for Trinidad Sean Blease
wasn't quite there. But what we're doing, we're going back
to some quarterback rushing options here, and we're going to
take a look at this Eagles and forty nine Ers game.
I'm taking Jalen Hurts rush attempts eight or more, eight
or more rush attempts. We're currently looking at plus one ten.
You're getting a nice number here because This hasn't been
the year where Jalen Hurts has scampered off and run
as much. But in the playoffs, I expect a looser
offensive approach where you let the dogs off the chain
a little bit more. He's gone over this number out
of his nine playoff games. He's cashed in six times
in his career here, so when playoffs come, he does
rush with a little more regularity. I also think these
linebacker injuries that have completely stacked up for the forty
nine ers are gonna have a weak meddle in the
inside of the field. He steps up in a pocket,
that scramble will be there more often than it's not.
Even if they're sending a spy. It's a guy like
Kaizier White who he doesn't typically play that role. So
I think injury stack up, I think so you're gonna
see some more rpo between him and saquon him tucking
it a little bit more. And don't forget, folks, every
time that tush gets pushed that is a rush attempt
or taking Jalen Hurts over or to have eight or
more rush attempts plus one ten is the number follow fade,
WTF or LFG comment and.
Speaker 3: Let us know.
Speaker 2: But I need to get the prop masters take on
this one. Jalen Hurts rushing attempts over.
Speaker 1: I think this is a pretty easy LFG agreed, Neil
downs count. This is the San Francisco defense. It's completely
banged up. And yeah, they haven't been using the tush
push at all? Are they? Were they saving it? Are
they gonna unleash it here? I like this one a lot.
Anytime I can get a Jalen Hurts rushing prop, I'm
gonna be in. So yeah, I'm we're going LFG on
that one, Dan, for sure, Absolutely no brainer, no brainer,
that's right, baby, Yeah, yeah, all right, let's go all
around the world. Let's do some free plays, Bears and Packers.
I like this cole Comet over one and a half reception.
This one's gonna be a client play. Dan. I like
this one way too much. So he's gone over in
six Yeah, he's gone over in six straight games. There
is gonna be wind. It looks like sustained about fifteen
miles an hour, gusts up to thirty I'm not really
concerned about that, but I love that the wind could
be a little bit of an issue because cole Comett
is not the long deep threat. He's gonna be the
one catching those short dump offs. So cole Comette, he's
had three targets, I believe in five straight. So cole
Comett just to have two receptions is a play that
I really like. And the unsung hero Kyron Williams sixty
four and a half rushing. This prop is over thirteen
times out of seventeen games. Like this guy just he's
always undervalue and dand he's like he's like this in
fantasy football too. You notice every year it's like we're
bearing Kyen Williams and then he just ends the year
with eleven hundred yards and nine touchdowns. Like top twelve
running back. He's the main guy. And this is the
biggest point spread on the board. So if they get up,
it's gonna be Kyron. Blake Korum is healthy, but he
did deal with a little bit of an ankle injury.
So Kyron over sixty four and a half rush attempts
and then I wanna do this sorry rushing yards. I
want to do this rush attempts segment. I've done a
couple videos on this, but if you haven't, if you
haven't listened to this. Take a look at the rush attempts.
If you think there's a team that's gonna win by margin,
take their starting running back and look at the over
rush attempts. And look at these examples from last year's
Wildcard weekend. Texans win by margin. Last wild Card weekend,
Joe Mixon twenty five attempts, Ravens win by margin, Arre
Henry twenty six rush attempts, Bill's win by margin, James
Cook twenty three, Eagles win by margin, Barkley at twenty
five rams, uh double digit win, Kyra Williams sixteen carries.
If you think you have a good read on a
team that's gonna win by double digits, they're starting running
back over rush attempts is a no brainer. So that's
that's kind of a really good way to look at
wild Card weekend. So don't ignore those rush attempt props.
And of course we just mentioned Kyrin and Dan. What's
the biggest spread on the board, it's, you know, easily
the RAMS. So I likes, yeah, yeah, going to cover that.
Speaker 2: Andy. You know, Teddy kind of brought it up. Teams
that you expect to trail quarterback passing attempts over. He
said something that he thinks he likely is going to
betting as Aaron Rodgers and his pass attempts over. Simply,
if you think a team's going to be playing from
behind all caution to the wind, they're going to drop
back and sling it. I think it's also a no
brainer just because of how they attack it. Andy, Los
Angeles Chargers three and a half point underdogs. They pass
even when they have a lead. I know that Herbert's
number has to be sky high, but his past completions
I maybe looking at over to try and bring some
of that juice down.
Speaker 1: Agreed, agreed. Would you guys place in the pick five?
So Dan did the Dan and I were in separate.
I was a survivor together, but Dan was in circa.
I was in another one. I was in one with
eighteen hundred people, and I placed like six hundredth It
was I I ended up. If you would have bet
all my plays, it would be would have like broke
even like basically right on the button. It would have
been the most blah betting year ever. Did How did
you guys end up finishing?
Speaker 2: Yeah, so it's kind of similar to us. We actually
ended the year. If folks had been asking, hey, where's
your burg show went? We had some family stuff these
last few weeks. The last two weeks we didn't record
any show, but you didn't miss anything, folks. We ended
three and seven, so then we ended up on the
year just above fifty one percent, so essentially, you know,
kiss your sister break even kind of year as well. However,
we did cash so many outright dogs, and we would
tell folks, these are obviously our contest picks, but when
we have these dogs, bet them on the money line.
And we had ones that were as high as nine
and a half that won out right, like when the
Carolina Panthers won out right against the Rams back in November.
That was one of the plays that we said, hey,
we really like this dog here. Probably bet the dog
on the money line. So if people are following, hopefully
they made some money. But yeah, the official results fifty
one percent as we kind of limped into the end
of the year.
Speaker 1: I actually really would because the contest I was in
was free. I actually wish I would have been really bad.
That way, I could tell people next year.
Speaker 2: When the boobye promis, Yeah, well I just tell.
Speaker 1: People fade like I'm not good at picking spreads in NFL.
Speaker 2: That's one of the things that I never get when
people are like, this guy's an auto fade, this guy sucks,
he's not, then do it? You know what that Honestly,
it is just as valuable, if not more valuable, if
you find a book it with Trent type individual that
you just fade the bank every single week.
Speaker 1: So you know there's many I've done it, You've done
it many times. Find someone that's cold. So all right,
let's do this free contest here, Dan Or did you
want to pull up ods loge logic real quick?
Speaker 2: Okay, yeah, just so we have the odds on the
screen here, folks, Andy and I are going to go
down all six games here. We're entering in a contest.
Andy will let us know what the contest line is,
but we're picking every game a sense against the spread
essentially correct.
Speaker 3: Andy.
Speaker 1: Yes, And while we're doing that, guys, please please take
a second hit the like button. It really helps us
out and leaving the comments section with's your best bet?
But also pick between Teddy and myself for the sell
me segment we get to get those algorithm boosts. Okay,
Rams and Panthers. The line is ten. You want to
lay the chalk on the Rams or do the Panthers cover?
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean this home underdog spread is just is
just crazy to me. And this is let's also be
real andy. Back in November they were ten point underdogs
and I just mentioned they won outright thirty one twenty eight.
You know, there's not much history to draw on for
double digit underdogs at home in the playoffs. This is
only the third time it's happened since two thousand and two.
The underdog's in that sense, they're two and zero against
the spread. Honestly, I would lean towards taking the ten points.
I think the Rams could probably win this one. Do
they have to win by fourteen points?
Speaker 3: Probably not?
Speaker 2: And whether it could be affecting this game as well,
there should be some rain in the forecasting Carolina, I
would lean towards the ten. I don't have a strong feeling.
If you like the Rams, I'm fine with laying it
as well.
Speaker 1: We'll take the home dog. It's gross, We'll take it.
Speaker 2: Is very gross.
Speaker 1: Yeah, Packers bears straight, pick them.
Speaker 2: Straight, pick them for me. I mean, you heard the breakdown.
I mean, maybe this is my Eagle fandom creeping in.
But green Bay should have beat this team twice. If
it weren't for watching an on sidekick, they would have.
You know, this green Bay team, they kind of rested
a bunch of players towards the end of the year.
I think they should be pretty focused. We also are
getting to pick them, so it's just picked the I
like the home favorite in this one, and or the
helm home or the away favorite. Excuse me, I like
green Bay green Bay.
Speaker 1: It is Bill's Jags. I want all the Jacksonville Jaguars
stock this week.
Speaker 2: Me too. I'm I'm right there with you. I think
the Jags win this game outright, play him and the teaser. Now,
the team total's gotten priced out. We bet at over
twenty four and a half. It's twenty six and a half.
I still lean that way. There is a prop in
this one, Andy that I saw, but I kind of
soured on it a little bit because it was Travis
etn and James Cook either won to get one hundred
or more rushing yards and James k on over this
number like crazy. But the recipe to success for the
Jaguars is to keep James Cook bottled up, and they
have shown the ability to do that. Defensively, not much
I could find in this game other than just taking
the points. I think the Jags are a big barking
dog here.
Speaker 1: Forty nine ers in your Eagles, the line that we
have four and a half Eagles favorite four and a half.
Speaker 2: You trust your Eagles, and this one's up to five
and a half. As you see on the Odds logic screen,
this thing has bounced around anywhere from three and a
half up to five and a half. Andy, I feel
like I would only take the points in this stance.
I don't want to lay it with the Eagles simply
because of how they have been this year. Now in
the playoffs, it's been a different story. Five and oh
straight up four and one against the number at home
in the playoffs are Nick Sirianni and Jalen Hurts. Their
only non cover was last year against the Rams and
the Snow. Their average margin of victory in those games
outside of that one Andy twenty one points per game.
So typically when they're at home they beat up teams.
But this offense has just been so bad. I don't
want to be laying over a field goal with this team.
You've had a good rate on my Eagles. Let's let's
be let's be real. You you told me a couple
of times. You're like, no, they're gonna whip the shit
out of this team. So I'm gonna stain. Andy, I'm
too close to this one. I'm wearing your Super Bowl half.
I wouldn't bet the side. I wouldn't bet the side.
You're picking this one?
Speaker 3: What are we bet?
Speaker 1: I'm a West Coast team traveling east. Whether it could
be frightful, I'm I'm pick picking your Eagles. This is
where they hit strives.
Speaker 2: This is where we're getting injuries. Too many injuries for
San Fran. Yeah, and it's four and a half, it's
five and a half. I mean, it's not like that's
a key number either way. If Trent Williams doesn't go
forty nine ors four and thirteen, straight up, do the
Eagles finally come alive at home?
Speaker 4: We'll see.
Speaker 2: So, Andy, I'm glad. I'm glad that that that is
the side that you are choosing.
Speaker 1: We'll lay it with thee and Chargers and Patriots. I
got Chargers plus three and a half in our contest,
Patriots at home minus three and a half.
Speaker 2: What do you think Herbert underdog of three and a
half or more in his career, thirteen and two against
the number with Harbaugh, he's three and oh once he's
getting over a field goal. I've been soured on the
Patriots all year long. The comments hate me because of it.
Taking three and a half with the LA Chargers is
the bet that I have actually made with my own money.
Speaker 1: Three and a half is the only way to play it.
This game should be really close, and any team getting
three and a half in this game, you take the
three and a half and.
Speaker 2: Finally two and a half for New England. You're probably
talking about a different bet here, but three and a half.
Speaker 1: Yeah of the hook, Yeah, agreed. And finally we have
three and a half for the Texans and Steelers. Texans
three and a half road favorite.
Speaker 2: I know that everybody's talking about how the Steelers aren't
going to be able to figure out this Houston defense. Sure,
I agree, maybe the points don't come with regularity, but
DK Metcalf being back, I think that is a boost.
I like the Steelers out right, Andy. I know this
is probably one that you and I are head to
head on. I like the Steelers out right at home.
I think it is very hard for CJ. Stroud to
go on the road. And yes, the Pittsburgh defense has
been up and down, but they've been playing decent outside
of what happened, you know with Lamar Jackson last week.
They still end up getting it. Get the Holy Water
out Pittsburgh honey line for me, and we're getting over
the field goal home dog with Tomlin twenty nine and ats.
It's a no brainer for me. I like Pittsburgh outright,
everyone's putting this game is already over. I don't see
it there.
Speaker 3: Get the.
Speaker 1: Holy Water. I like this three and a half at home.
The Texans do not have a dominant run game to
you know, bleed out the clock. This has backdoor cover,
really close game written all over it. And I don't
trust this Houston Texans coaching staff. They make some boneheaded
decisions from time to time. So if it was three again,
you're talking to maybe a possible different bet. But I
get the hook. Yeah it's Steelers. So all right, we
got the Steelers plus three and a half, Chargers plus
three and a half, Eagles minus four and a half,
Jags plus one, Green Bay pick'em, and Carolina plus ten.
Those are our official plays for a free free contest.
Speaker 4: I like it, man, I liked it.
Speaker 1: This is real good. So all right, guys, that's gonna
do it for us. Thank you so much for joining
us on football Friday. I can't wait to talk to Yanni.
I kind of I kind of want to know what
it's like being at a wedding with Yanni.
Speaker 2: Like I can only imagine, you can imagine. I can
only imagine that, Like, I mean, it's got to be electric.
Hopefully it's like one of those big Greek weddings too,
where the uzo's, Oh, they're all just like Sagan hockey bombs.
Speaker 3: I I need that.
Speaker 2: I mean, Greek Greek parties are a fun time. I know,
I got a bunch of friends who are in Greek Orthodox,
and uh, it's a good time. So I would assume
that Yanni he's probably glad that he'll have a little
buffer zone before he's back on Monday and he's in
Philly for what it's Yeah, I think he said he
might go to the Eagles game. So we'll see.
Speaker 1: Oh that that'd be awesome, that'd be awesome something. All Right,
it's a huge night for me.
Speaker 5: Uh.
Speaker 1: If the Hoosiers win I will not be taking phone
calls before eleven o'clock in the morning. If the Hoosiers lose,
I will still not be taking phone calls before eleven
o'clock in the morning. But we got a big, big,
big weekend of plays. Use that promo code eighty one
hundred for a thirty D eight pass, four percent NBA,
five percent NFL. We'll, by the way, cricket plays going
up this afternoon, so you get another cricket play going
for this weekend. So really really good stuff, Dan, Thank you, great,
great week of shows, big weekend, rooting for the Hoosiers,
rooting for the Eagles. Let's have a big weekend and
we'll be back Monday to recap everything. Get you ready
for the week, Have a great week, Good luck on
your bets. Take care