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Speaker 1: All right, everyone, welcome in. It's time for full court Press.

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It's five dollars Tuesday. It's also Robino. I don't know

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do they still call it Super Tuesday. I always remember

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this being like the ESPN gimmick back in the day,

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which was like code for basically all the big games

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are tonight, always a tremendous slate. The power Conferences are back.

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We've got some stragglers here from Monday. We've got some

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daytime swack basketball, some daytime Southland. Once again, it takes

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an apocalyptic snowstorm to give us the schedule that we

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deserve on a daily basis. Robino. But there's a lot

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to talk about today. How'd your Monday go? We got

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the parlay home, and I told you I was gonna

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wear the Lemoyne hoodie, and I got it on.

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Speaker 2: And I'm sure I know the chat appreciates the Lemoyne

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advice yesterday the Lemoyne hoodie. Lamoinne made it very easy

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on half of our parlay. We scooted by with the

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second half. The Bethune Cookman team total over seventy nine

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and a half. Eighty and a half I think is

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what we used here on the show. That got home

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eighty two points scored by Reggie theus's team. That was

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the only play I had for clients yesterday as far

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as college basketball is concerned. At them, I kind of

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kicked myself for mentioning the Ohio State team total on

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the show and then not using it, but that's okay.

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Sometimes you let one slide by when you're not too sure.

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But Ohio State did get there. Penn State closed that

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gap late, and I was texting you last night. The

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ending to that BYU Arizona game was absolutely crazy. If

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Arizona had ever lost that game, that would have been

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one of the miracle finishes of all time because if

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it could go wrong and if referees could help out,

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all of that happened within the last, like I don't know,

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fifty five seconds of that game.

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Speaker 1: So yeah, the reason I didn't respond to your text

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until this morning was because so I didn't have anything

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on the Arizona BYU game. I was just trying to

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stay up and watch and I fell asleep. Rob at

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the Canard Davis hit a three. I think there was

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two minutes and forty two seconds left. Canard Davis hit

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a three to cut it to ten. That was the

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last thing I saw. So I see your text, I'm like,

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what happened here? And I woke up and rewatched the

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final two and a half minutes this morning. Couldn't believe

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what I was couldn't believe what I was witnessing. Crazy, man,

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if you got in early on BYU and had two

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and a half, that is a brutal roller coaster of

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emotion right there. That end with like kind of almost

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like a bad beat when it was all said and

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done right because you had you had the ball with

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a chance to win, and then you give up the

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foul and Arizona still needs to go sink two free

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throws to cover that number. So crazy finish to that game.

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We've got a bunch of good game games today. We

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have to start it off in the Big ten. Have

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it is very rare, Rob that we have a matchup

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like this this late in the season. It's also even

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more rare that one is a double digit underdog. So

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my buddy Krby, who does great work college basketball. I mean,

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if you guys watch this show, chances are you probably

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watch Korby's show. I don't even know if they're a

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competitor or not. I think you should watch both. That's

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what I think. I think you should go to THEIRS

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and watch theirs later because they do great work as well.

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But anyway, Korby posted this this morning, so I'll give

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him a shout out. He said, since two thousand, just

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seven Top five matchups have had a double digit spread.

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All seven have been won by the favorite. The favorite

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against the spread is five and two. That's kind of crazy.

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There's only been seven in over twenty five years that

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have had a double digit spread. That's what we're looking

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at tonight in ann Arbor, Rob Nebraska has no not lost.

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Is there any way the corn Huskers keep their unbeaten

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season going tonight?

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Speaker 2: Well, there's always a way, right, and especially the way

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that they're playing at this point in time. I guess

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what's even more rare is that Nebraska is one of

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the top five teams involved in a game like this.

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Who would have thought, But it's where we're at, and

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you and I got a chance on Saturday with Kelly,

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I think to talk about both of these teams. Nebraska

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went to Minnesota, and I think my feeling at the

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time was the way Nebraska's been on the road, and

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I go back and use the example of the Indiana

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game where they were at Indiana, got down sixteen in

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the second half, came back and won. They did it

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again against Minnesota on Saturday. Fred Hoiberg had a little

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bit to say about it. It basically just said, in

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the second half, we've done a really good job of

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coming out of the locker room. Championship teams respond the

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right way, and that's exactly what they did once again

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on Saturday to win that game and going away Adam

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like they won that Indiana game going away that day,

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they won this game going away. They're four and oh

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on the Big Ten road so far this season, so

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points spread wise, when you look at the way we

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have to look at it from a sports betting perspective,

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I think we've talked within the last seven ten days

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about how Michigan's still overvalued. Michigan inside the league has

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lost six straight games to the spread. They covered against

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usc and since then, not a single victory if you

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bet on Michigan unless you're playing a money line. Because

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they're winning games but they're not covering. They're overvalued in

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the amount of points they're gonna score each and every game.

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Their team total in Big ten play is now seven

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and oh to the under. Not one single over from

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Michigan after all those points scored. So again, this is

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a little bit repetitive, but needs to be said here

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today because of the matchup that the oddsmakers have had

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to climb, the Michigan power rating so high, had to

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claim their climb, their total rating so high that now

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that we've hit conference play, it can't come down fast enough.

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This game, to me very simply put in fundamental matchups

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on the floor, their best against your best comes down

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to tempo. Michigan's the fastest paced team in the league.

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Nebraska is the slowest. They both do what they do

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offensively extremely well. But I want to give you a

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little something from Dusty May because I love the quotes

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from these coaches, especially ones that I can put a

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little stock into some just you know, rehash old coach speak.

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But Dusty May pretty honest guy. Since the beginning of

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the year, he was talking about how Michigan has now

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faced opponents in recent games that are excessively trying to

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slow the game down. Dusty May says, it's because of

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our spurt ability. We're seeing it every game now, we're

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seeing a lot of pass pass, pass, pass pass, and

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late clock action. It's what Nebraska's going to try to do.

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It's also a reason why Michigan team totals have gone

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to the under not as many possessions. But Dusty May

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and company are going to try and speed this Nebraska

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team up tonight. Nebraska's going to try and go on

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the road and slow Michigan down a couple of things

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here really quick. I think Nebraska's ball handling is probably

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good enough to not get caught up in and up

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and down me. In other words, Michigan won't be able

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to get steals turn the tide, so to speak, where

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speed of the game gets going. I think Nebraska can

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handle that. What I don't know if they can handle

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is if they get down by a big number at halftime,

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like they've done in a couple of Big ten games

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against this team, and then find their way back. I

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think that's going to be the probable issue here. There's

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been a couple of problems with Michigan rebounding late. Dusty

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May address that lately, I should say, in recent games,

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but they've got so much height and he still thinks

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they're an elite rebounding team. So there's not a lot

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to separate these two, I think. Again, I'll point out

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and this goes both ways, right. I point out all

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the time that rink mask and Nebraska has the ability

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to pull opposing bigs away from the rim defensively because

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they can shoot threes. Michigan also can do that to you.

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So this is such an interesting matchup at him again.

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The one thing I found that I think will be

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a decisive factor is can Michigan push this game the

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way they want to push it tempo wise for more

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than half the game? Get that spurt that Dusty May

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is talking about. Remember the beginning of the year when

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he said to everybody who would listen, if we're making

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shots were impossible to stop. And that was the way

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it was in nonconference. They're still winning games, but like

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we said, a few times, they win by double digits,

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they don't cover here. They have to win again by

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basically eleven points. Nebraska's shown us every reason to believe

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they can hang within this number. If it's me and

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I haven't played this game as of yet, but I

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would say I would look a little more toward the

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under in this contest. Money's pushed it to the over

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to start the day right one fifty three and a

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half up to one fifty six and a half. I

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would almost tend to push back at that a little bit, again,

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believing that Nebraska's ball handling can be good enough to

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not get caught up for an entire forty minutes of

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greyhound pace here. So maybe a little look toward the

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under if it's side right now, you have to absolutely,

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just from a betting perspective, look toward the Nebraska angle here.

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That's the way I would see it, at least.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, there's a really good conversation going on in the

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chat about this game, so you know, I'll bring up

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a couple of points the chat's going to make. So

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you know, Sean brings up Nebraska has no size, and

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that is there's an element of truth to that that

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I think even maybe gets magnified by the fact that

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Braden Frager may be out for this game. So Frader

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did not play against Minnesota, and he is what would

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would be considered some of the size for Nebraska right

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six seven forward. Also a guy that shoots fifty three

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point seven percent from the field twelve point two points

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per game. You know, I think you could make a

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case to be like man like, Nebraska really needs to

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play almost to I don't know they need to play

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a perfect game, rob but they need to shoot it

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like insane I think to win this game. And so

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taking Frager out of the lineup is going to be

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tough for Nebraska to I think win without having him.

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I know they have other options, but still I think

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I think that hurts. Now, you can look at the

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size argument and say, well, that's not like an overly

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valid argument against Michigan because some of the teams they

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struggled with don't have sides.

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Speaker 2: Right.

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Speaker 1: TCU comes to mind where they just have these these

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guards that are gonna like get up on you defensively

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and cause trouble. And TCU had that game, Wake Forrest

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did something similar. Granted those are back in November. You

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go back to the one game Michigan lost, which was

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the Wisconsin game. Wisconsin went fifteen for thirty three from

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three in that game. Nebraska absolutely can do that. Like

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I'll go as far as to say, if Nebraska comes

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out and hits fifteen three tonight, they probably win. Like

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they probably win this game. What makes it difficult to

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bet this game is there's there's there's just so many

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different outcomes based on like how volatile the three point

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shot is, right, because like Nebraska does a pretty good

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job defensively in the paint, which which is good against Michigan.

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But Michigan can still shoot the basketball. So if Michigan's

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just knocking down shots, this could get out of hand quickly.

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If Nebraska Pols of Wisconsin goes fifteen for thirty ish

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from three, how are they not in this game? They're

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probably in this game, rob right, Like, so you're talking

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about a spread of eleven, ten and a half eleven,

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I think they're probably right in it if they have

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that kind of shooting night, which we know that Nebraska

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is very capable of. So this is a tough game

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to bet. I lean toward Nebraska. I know I'm probably

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not getting the right number because it's like, you know,

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Michigan probably deserves to be favored as much as they are,

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but with how I mean the other thing is too

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Like I feel like Rink Mass and the way he

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plays and sort of keeps this offense composed, Like do

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you really want to bet against that? Do you really

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want to lay ten and a half against that? I

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lean Nebraska here to rob.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, they're just battle tested at this point in time.

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But the Fraker point is a big deal at him

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because he had scored twenty plus in the two games

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previous to Minnesota. They got away with his absence against Minnesota.

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Can you get away without having all of your and

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I'm talking from an outright win perspective, not plus eleven here,

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but can you get away with not having him and

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walk into this building and win? And I also think

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what's important to note here is it's weird to say,

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but you're Nebraska. You're walking into Michigan's building, and you

242
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have the bullseye on your chest. And Michigan is very,

243
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very aware of what's going on with Nebraska. So if

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Dusty may can rile up the troops, they should win

245
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this game, whether or not they can win it by eleven.

246
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Are they still overvalued? I think we're gonna find out

247
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a little bit about that tonight. But they've certainly been

248
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overpriced in conference. You have not made In fact, you

249
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might as well just take your money and throw it

250
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out the window. If you've been betting Michigan in league

251
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play and the other side you just keep going back

252
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to the window and picking up. So I think under

253
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two Adam just something about this game at one fifty

254
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six and a half because Hoiberg is a settling force

255
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at point guard at price. Sandford the Xirawa play a

256
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very very good three point shooter experience, So Nebraska's got

257
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the components to kind of, you know, be unfazed here.

258
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Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't listen. I don't take hate taking some

259
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shot with the Nebraska money line. And just like obviously

260
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you're probably not gonna play a full unit on that

261
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if you want action in this game, because the the

262
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just how crazy the outcomes could be based on the

263
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three point shot falling or not. I feel like it's

264
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almost worth like you want to throw a few bucks

265
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on Nebraska money line, go for it, because I feel

266
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like there's worst bets for the price. There's worse bets

267
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that you can make. Gonna be a tremendous watch either way.

268
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And again, I don't think anyone if Michigan comes out

269
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and wins by twenty, like, no one is surprised. And

270
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if you if you subscribe to like history repeating itself

271
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seven times, as has happened since two thousand, the double

272
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digit underdog has not won a single one of them,

273
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and the favorite has covered five out it seven, so

274
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I think you can make cases both ways. Probably why

275
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I'll just be watching it. Rob. You know, we got

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anniversaries in the super Chat now, Garth Drake remember for

277
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one month, I didn't know that. I've never seen this

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program do that before. That's awesome, So shout out to Garth.

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He comes in and brings it every day in the chat.

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We very much appreciate that. We appreciate all you guys. Really,

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I see a lot of the same people every day.

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Mckinnis just texted me he said he's watching the show

283
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told me to change the banner at the bottom of

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the screen, So we appreciate him for that as well.

285
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It should be now showing our package or one of

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the packages. I don't have my show. I can't, I can't.

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I can't read that.

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Speaker 2: I can't read that because there a hockey promo going.

289
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Speaker 1: Yeah you never yeah you know, you never know because

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I think other people use the studio. So really, instead

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of like rehashing the Lamoine game with you for ten

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minutes before we get on the show, I should probably

293
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be like adjusting the banners. But this is what happens. Garth,

294
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this is an interesting game. Garth leans Arkansas. I lean

295
00:16:06,399 --> 00:16:09,080
Arkansas too, and it's really like this will go back

296
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to our conversation on last call the last couple of

297
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weeks where Arkansas keeps coming up. I keep talking about

298
00:16:16,559 --> 00:16:18,480
how I like them, and then they fail to cover

299
00:16:18,519 --> 00:16:20,120
the number, which is what they did over the weekend

300
00:16:20,360 --> 00:16:24,080
against LSU. Granted, if you go back to the middle

301
00:16:24,080 --> 00:16:26,399
of the week last week they had arguably the well

302
00:16:26,480 --> 00:16:30,480
not arguably, it was the win of their season, destroying Vanderbilt.

303
00:16:30,840 --> 00:16:36,440
There's a very stark comparison Arkansas home, Arkansas on the

304
00:16:36,519 --> 00:16:39,600
road that we've outlined on pretty much anyone that talks

305
00:16:39,639 --> 00:16:42,639
college basketball has probably outlined at this point. It's been

306
00:16:42,679 --> 00:16:45,559
going on for years. So Robino, now you've got Arkansas

307
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on the road against an Oklahoma team that man like

308
00:16:49,559 --> 00:16:52,279
it's I feel like they want to pack up and

309
00:16:52,320 --> 00:16:55,440
go home for the season. After the weekend getting daggered

310
00:16:55,440 --> 00:16:59,120
by your Missouri Tigers at the buzzer down to or

311
00:16:59,159 --> 00:17:02,200
had a two point and Missoo nails a three to

312
00:17:02,240 --> 00:17:04,920
win the game. Do I believe hand Oklahoma their sixth

313
00:17:04,920 --> 00:17:10,480
straight loss. So now they're at home, Arkansas road. Do

314
00:17:10,519 --> 00:17:12,599
you do you have any faith in the razorbacks here

315
00:17:12,720 --> 00:17:14,920
or do you think the Sooner snap this losing streat.

316
00:17:15,880 --> 00:17:20,759
Speaker 2: No Arkansas Road and the again these teams are not Oklahoma,

317
00:17:22,000 --> 00:17:25,279
but lose by twenty two to Auburn on the road,

318
00:17:25,799 --> 00:17:30,559
lose by fourteen to Georgia on the road. Georgia's probably

319
00:17:30,640 --> 00:17:34,400
Oklahoma's probably comparable in talent to Georgia and pace and

320
00:17:34,519 --> 00:17:38,039
style and all of those things. It was an absolute

321
00:17:39,160 --> 00:17:43,440
heartbreaker for Oklahoma on Saturday in overtime against Missouri. Like

322
00:17:43,519 --> 00:17:47,359
you say, Adam, they complete I believe Nigel Pack hits

323
00:17:47,359 --> 00:17:51,079
a three, and then they go to the line and

324
00:17:51,119 --> 00:17:53,559
they take a two point lead, and of all people,

325
00:17:54,359 --> 00:17:57,440
Mark Mitchell just comes storming down the court and chucks

326
00:17:57,480 --> 00:18:00,640
up a left handed three twenty seven percent shoot, not

327
00:18:00,680 --> 00:18:03,839
necessarily his forte and from the time it left his

328
00:18:03,920 --> 00:18:06,720
hand it was probably never in doubt that that ball

329
00:18:06,839 --> 00:18:09,640
was going in lost for Oklahoma. You could see the

330
00:18:09,640 --> 00:18:12,039
look on Porter Moser's face. You could see the look

331
00:18:12,079 --> 00:18:17,119
on Oklahoma's face. So to your comment about they probably

332
00:18:17,160 --> 00:18:21,920
just feel like packing up their bags and leaving, maybe so,

333
00:18:22,400 --> 00:18:26,640
but I would consider this more a desperation spot for Oklahoma.

334
00:18:27,599 --> 00:18:31,200
They can still score. There's still a pretty talented team,

335
00:18:31,240 --> 00:18:34,279
there's still more than capable at home, and you're playing

336
00:18:34,319 --> 00:18:37,160
a team that just has not responded on the road.

337
00:18:37,440 --> 00:18:40,720
Game's gonna get up and down. So obviously somebody like

338
00:18:40,799 --> 00:18:43,720
me wants to look immediately at the total. The total

339
00:18:43,759 --> 00:18:46,160
is priced pretty high in this game. Let's go ahead

340
00:18:46,160 --> 00:18:51,079
and get a current while we're talking about it. One

341
00:18:51,240 --> 00:18:54,440
sixty six or one sixty six and a half as

342
00:18:54,480 --> 00:18:57,880
we speak, probably in a good vicinity here, Arkansas's holding

343
00:18:57,920 --> 00:18:59,599
at two and a half. I see a couple of

344
00:18:59,640 --> 00:19:04,119
straight threes out there. I would tend to think that

345
00:19:04,200 --> 00:19:07,960
this is Oklahoma's season in this part, and you shouldn't. Actually,

346
00:19:08,000 --> 00:19:10,720
I should never say that in college basketball, because the tournament,

347
00:19:11,599 --> 00:19:15,640
the SEC tournament, would be their season. But if you're

348
00:19:15,680 --> 00:19:20,000
going to have a chance to make the NCAA tournament

349
00:19:20,039 --> 00:19:22,599
at the end of the year, then you have to

350
00:19:22,680 --> 00:19:27,480
have a high enough seeding inside the conference to be

351
00:19:27,519 --> 00:19:29,960
able to pull off two three wins in the tourney

352
00:19:30,000 --> 00:19:32,920
to get yourself invited. Right now, they're just they're an

353
00:19:33,000 --> 00:19:35,400
NIT team at this point in time, so wins are

354
00:19:36,279 --> 00:19:38,920
a definite must here. I just have a feeling that

355
00:19:39,000 --> 00:19:42,319
Oklahoma will do the right thing here tonight and win

356
00:19:42,359 --> 00:19:44,960
this game. But rather than take my shot there, I

357
00:19:44,960 --> 00:19:50,039
would rather take my chance with this game total, which

358
00:19:50,079 --> 00:19:52,319
again is one sixty six and a half. I just

359
00:19:53,200 --> 00:19:55,599
when Arkansol's gone on the road, they've given up ninety

360
00:19:55,599 --> 00:20:01,079
both times. So Arkansas probably good for eighty five. The

361
00:20:01,119 --> 00:20:05,279
other side probably close to eighty five. Adds up mathematically

362
00:20:05,319 --> 00:20:07,119
to being an over. That's the way I would look

363
00:20:07,160 --> 00:20:09,000
at it if I wish I had a little bit

364
00:20:09,039 --> 00:20:15,039
more faith in Oklahoma to just regroup the way I

365
00:20:15,039 --> 00:20:17,079
think they're supposed to hear him play this as a

366
00:20:17,119 --> 00:20:19,880
desperate spot, because if they did, this is just typical

367
00:20:19,880 --> 00:20:24,240
college basketball, situational one on one. Oklahoma should win based

368
00:20:24,279 --> 00:20:26,279
on spot. We'll see how it goes.

369
00:20:28,680 --> 00:20:32,079
Speaker 1: Yeah, I Robin know this is an insane year for

370
00:20:32,200 --> 00:20:36,920
freshmen in college basketball. I don't remember having this. I

371
00:20:37,000 --> 00:20:40,720
mean in another year. Rob Darius Aycuff is getting all

372
00:20:40,759 --> 00:20:44,599
the attention right. There are years where he would be

373
00:20:45,160 --> 00:20:47,920
getting so much attention and it's almost like he's become

374
00:20:48,359 --> 00:20:52,119
somewhat of an afterthought because of just like Peterson and

375
00:20:52,240 --> 00:20:56,319
Boozer and the Band's done. It's like a Cuff's twenty

376
00:20:56,319 --> 00:21:01,160
point two points per game. Big reason why when when

377
00:21:01,200 --> 00:21:03,400
Brian Power and I went to the Arkansas Michigan State

378
00:21:03,440 --> 00:21:05,799
game earlier this year, we left East Lansing and even

379
00:21:05,839 --> 00:21:08,799
though Arkansas lost that game, we left saying, man, like this,

380
00:21:08,799 --> 00:21:11,519
this Arkansas team is the team that we're gonna want

381
00:21:12,079 --> 00:21:15,559
in February, in March, when when when coach Caliperry does

382
00:21:15,559 --> 00:21:18,680
what he does and brings his teams along and has

383
00:21:18,720 --> 00:21:21,960
him playing their best basketball at that time. I don't

384
00:21:21,960 --> 00:21:25,400
think they're quite there yet. I think they absolutely could

385
00:21:25,440 --> 00:21:30,640
get there. So you talked about the defense like Arkansas does,

386
00:21:30,720 --> 00:21:34,440
like I feel like they they start just watching at times,

387
00:21:34,640 --> 00:21:37,240
you know, defense gets a little lax, and then even

388
00:21:37,319 --> 00:21:40,440
the offensive possessions like the Michigan State game. I'll go

389
00:21:40,480 --> 00:21:41,920
back to that game because there was a couple of

390
00:21:41,920 --> 00:21:45,039
possessions that were just straight up not good possessions down

391
00:21:45,039 --> 00:21:48,200
the stretch in that game that costs that that ultimately

392
00:21:48,240 --> 00:21:53,000
cost them the game. Losing a three point game on

393
00:21:53,119 --> 00:21:55,440
the road this year. I just think on the road,

394
00:21:55,480 --> 00:21:59,440
it's it's easier to like get distracted, get caught up

395
00:21:59,480 --> 00:22:04,000
in the in the you know, opposing crowd make a mistake.

396
00:22:04,599 --> 00:22:07,279
You talk about the loss at Georgia. Georgia had a

397
00:22:07,319 --> 00:22:09,960
really good shooting day from three, but still a lot

398
00:22:10,000 --> 00:22:11,880
of those threes were open. A lot of it was like,

399
00:22:12,240 --> 00:22:14,279
you know, just kind of watching on defense and giving

400
00:22:14,359 --> 00:22:16,880
up the open shot that allowed Georgia to score ninety

401
00:22:16,880 --> 00:22:19,200
points and then just getting run out of the building

402
00:22:19,240 --> 00:22:21,960
by Auburn. So like to me, like I was just

403
00:22:22,000 --> 00:22:23,960
to go back to the original post Garth, I was

404
00:22:24,039 --> 00:22:26,519
so close this morning to clicking that two and a

405
00:22:26,559 --> 00:22:28,799
half in is my first play today, because I think

406
00:22:28,920 --> 00:22:32,440
Arkansas is so much better than this Oklahoma team. I

407
00:22:32,480 --> 00:22:36,440
think they're I think if they execute their offense, they

408
00:22:36,440 --> 00:22:39,079
score at will here, which maybe speaks to Rob's you know,

409
00:22:39,240 --> 00:22:42,880
sort of talking about the over but man, defensively, the

410
00:22:42,960 --> 00:22:45,039
lapses that have occurred on the road are a little

411
00:22:45,039 --> 00:22:48,000
bit concerning. Makes me think Oklahoma could score some points

412
00:22:48,000 --> 00:22:50,839
as well. And Rob, you know, I just I have

413
00:22:50,920 --> 00:22:53,680
a tough time betting against a home team that's lost

414
00:22:53,720 --> 00:22:56,400
six games in a row. It's like, is this like

415
00:22:56,440 --> 00:22:59,680
the spot where they just band together and finally get

416
00:22:59,680 --> 00:23:02,839
that win in And would you be that surprised if

417
00:23:02,839 --> 00:23:05,400
it comes at the expense of Arkansas, who's always been

418
00:23:05,440 --> 00:23:08,039
worse on the road than they are at home. Those

419
00:23:08,039 --> 00:23:09,759
are the thoughts kind of going through my head here.

420
00:23:10,680 --> 00:23:12,640
So I do lean toward the over. It is a

421
00:23:12,640 --> 00:23:15,359
big number. I lean toward the over. Man. I want

422
00:23:15,359 --> 00:23:17,799
to take Arkansas so bad. If that shot didn't go in,

423
00:23:17,839 --> 00:23:20,400
if that Missouri shot did not go in, I would

424
00:23:20,400 --> 00:23:23,000
have already played Arkansas in this game. I would have

425
00:23:23,039 --> 00:23:27,160
already played it. I still like the Razorbacks. I'm very

426
00:23:27,200 --> 00:23:28,759
high on this team, and I'm going to continue to

427
00:23:28,799 --> 00:23:32,720
watch this Arkansas team because coach Cala Perry, this is

428
00:23:32,799 --> 00:23:34,960
this is the You give him a guy like a

429
00:23:35,079 --> 00:23:37,200
Cuff and a team like this, this is the type

430
00:23:37,200 --> 00:23:39,440
of team he's gonna win with in March. So, like,

431
00:23:40,359 --> 00:23:42,240
I'm still high on the Razorbacks. I just don't know

432
00:23:42,279 --> 00:23:43,200
if I can play him here.

433
00:23:44,799 --> 00:23:48,880
Speaker 2: Yeah, since it's not quite it's a little Derek Rose esque, right,

434
00:23:49,519 --> 00:23:53,599
Derek Rose with Memphis with cal Acuff's highlight package on

435
00:23:53,640 --> 00:23:56,880
Saturday was insane. The thirty one that he scored in

436
00:23:56,920 --> 00:24:01,559
that game. Just to put reemphasize your point about so

437
00:24:01,599 --> 00:24:05,119
many good freshmen across the country, We'll see Oklahoma for

438
00:24:05,119 --> 00:24:06,839
what it's worth it's about to make this final point.

439
00:24:06,880 --> 00:24:09,440
Five of their last six games have totaled one sixty

440
00:24:09,480 --> 00:24:12,680
six or better. That's right where the number sits right now.

441
00:24:13,079 --> 00:24:17,039
Arkansas obviously the two road games they've played, I think

442
00:24:17,039 --> 00:24:21,160
a one sixty four and a one even higher than

443
00:24:21,160 --> 00:24:26,039
that in a one seventy. So potential overplay here, we'll say,

444
00:24:26,160 --> 00:24:29,440
you know, and Oklahoma could react the exact opposite, Adam,

445
00:24:29,759 --> 00:24:32,599
They could go home and just lay an egg here.

446
00:24:33,200 --> 00:24:35,279
So it's a difficult game to bet, But I don't

447
00:24:35,279 --> 00:24:37,839
think it's a difficult game to bet from a total standpoint.

448
00:24:39,960 --> 00:24:41,880
Speaker 1: I love this comment because I think it's like a

449
00:24:41,880 --> 00:24:44,480
low key like troll a little bit, but it's also hilarious.

450
00:24:44,559 --> 00:24:46,440
And he said, here's one percent of a two hundred

451
00:24:46,480 --> 00:24:49,039
dollars bank roll, because it's just one unit. If that

452
00:24:49,319 --> 00:24:53,200
was referring to, you know, me explaining the difference between

453
00:24:53,240 --> 00:24:58,440
four and five yesterday, that's really funny, Hugh, Hugh, Richard Bradshaw.

454
00:24:58,480 --> 00:24:59,880
Either way, if you want us to talk one of

455
00:25:00,079 --> 00:25:02,759
your games, drop it in there, let us know. I'll

456
00:25:02,839 --> 00:25:06,519
grab that. But that I don't know. That made me laugh.

457
00:25:07,200 --> 00:25:09,160
For five percent of that two hundred dollars bankroll. You

458
00:25:09,200 --> 00:25:11,519
could get any play on the site today, Rob, because

459
00:25:11,559 --> 00:25:15,839
it's five dollars Tuesday, So great day. Listen if you

460
00:25:16,319 --> 00:25:19,079
do play a smaller bank role, and obviously you have

461
00:25:19,119 --> 00:25:23,200
to wait way in the cost of each pick when

462
00:25:23,200 --> 00:25:25,440
you're dealing with a you know, if you play a

463
00:25:25,480 --> 00:25:29,759
smaller bankroll, it's the cost per pick is more of

464
00:25:29,799 --> 00:25:33,000
a of a something you have to consider. Great way

465
00:25:33,039 --> 00:25:36,200
to try that out. Five dollars Tuesday. Every play on

466
00:25:36,240 --> 00:25:38,319
the site essentially is up for five bucks. And then

467
00:25:38,319 --> 00:25:41,200
you've got Rob and I doing a three day all

468
00:25:41,240 --> 00:25:44,319
access every college basketball play we make over the course

469
00:25:44,359 --> 00:25:47,000
of three days. That's probably the way to go from

470
00:25:47,079 --> 00:25:50,200
a cost standpoint, because with how many you play and

471
00:25:50,240 --> 00:25:51,920
with the volume I'm going to have probably on a

472
00:25:52,000 --> 00:25:54,920
day like this or tomorrow or Thursday, or basically any

473
00:25:54,960 --> 00:25:56,680
day of the week. Now with three hundred and sixty

474
00:25:56,680 --> 00:25:59,920
five Division one college basketball teams participating in the sport,

475
00:26:00,319 --> 00:26:02,839
the per play cost is going to be very low.

476
00:26:02,920 --> 00:26:06,759
So two options today, five dollars Tuesday, and then the

477
00:26:06,880 --> 00:26:09,720
double the Rob help me out. What's the name of

478
00:26:09,759 --> 00:26:10,440
it again.

479
00:26:10,359 --> 00:26:15,440
Speaker 2: It's double the Firepower. I think college basketball Double the

480
00:26:15,440 --> 00:26:19,759
Firepower and just to Heugh Richardson Bradshaw's point there very

481
00:26:19,839 --> 00:26:23,519
quickly what he just laid out there, Adhaim. Aside from

482
00:26:23,559 --> 00:26:31,039
being somewhat funny, it really does outline the discipline and

483
00:26:31,160 --> 00:26:33,640
money management that you have to play with if you're

484
00:26:33,640 --> 00:26:35,440
going to do this every single day in your life.

485
00:26:35,640 --> 00:26:38,359
You know, a lot of people want to just come in,

486
00:26:38,960 --> 00:26:41,720
make six hundred dollars on a ten dollars parlay, et cetera,

487
00:26:41,839 --> 00:26:43,960
and go broke really quick. But for those who have

488
00:26:44,000 --> 00:26:47,200
been in this thing for a long long time, they're

489
00:26:47,240 --> 00:26:51,000
not playing huge, huge amounts of their bank roll on

490
00:26:51,119 --> 00:26:55,079
individual games. So that actually was informative and funny at

491
00:26:55,119 --> 00:26:56,920
the same time. Thanks for that comment.

492
00:26:57,519 --> 00:26:59,440
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's a great comment. Like I said, if you

493
00:26:59,440 --> 00:27:01,559
want a certain game, drop it in there. I will

494
00:27:02,359 --> 00:27:04,880
do my best to get it in. Sometimes the non

495
00:27:04,960 --> 00:27:07,720
starred stuff gets lost because we have so many comments,

496
00:27:07,759 --> 00:27:10,960
but I'll keep an eye out for it. Paul Powell

497
00:27:11,000 --> 00:27:13,759
coming through big. Thank you Paul for the donation to

498
00:27:13,799 --> 00:27:16,519
the show. He somehow, he somehow got this to show

499
00:27:16,559 --> 00:27:20,039
up in Missouri Colors. I think that's just what the

500
00:27:20,079 --> 00:27:23,000
donation of that range shows up as. But that's awesome too.

501
00:27:23,720 --> 00:27:27,400
We've got Missouri Tiger's colors on the screen. He wants

502
00:27:27,400 --> 00:27:30,519
to talk Missouri Alabama. He likes the Tigers on the

503
00:27:30,559 --> 00:27:34,680
money line plus five. I can't, I can't read it.

504
00:27:34,720 --> 00:27:37,519
What is the current number for this game right now? Robino?

505
00:27:37,720 --> 00:27:41,599
Missouri Alabama. We're staying in the SEC And oh okay,

506
00:27:41,640 --> 00:27:45,519
he's saying first half and full game. I think because

507
00:27:45,519 --> 00:27:46,960
this is I was gonna say, we are up to

508
00:27:47,039 --> 00:27:51,480
a ten point some places, even eleven. Tonight Bama at

509
00:27:51,519 --> 00:27:55,960
home against MISSOO. You know that Missouri. One thing they

510
00:27:56,000 --> 00:27:59,480
have done they play up. They play up to their competition.

511
00:27:59,519 --> 00:28:02,480
They played to their competition. So they might have gone.

512
00:28:03,200 --> 00:28:06,440
They might have at home, allowed Oklahoma to cover and

513
00:28:06,519 --> 00:28:09,559
pretty much win that game if not for a three

514
00:28:09,599 --> 00:28:12,400
at the buzzer from like forty feet or however wherever

515
00:28:12,519 --> 00:28:15,359
Mitchell pulled up and hit that from. But now they

516
00:28:15,400 --> 00:28:17,960
go on the road to play Bama. Is this the

517
00:28:18,240 --> 00:28:21,359
like the dichotomy here? You know, Missouri, they've played up

518
00:28:21,359 --> 00:28:23,880
all year, they beat Florida, they win as a dog.

519
00:28:24,200 --> 00:28:26,480
Do you like them as a double digit underdog here?

520
00:28:28,119 --> 00:28:32,440
Speaker 2: Well, let's just speak from situational standpoint first, Right, situational

521
00:28:32,480 --> 00:28:37,000
It's kind of that double combo where Alabama's off an

522
00:28:37,039 --> 00:28:41,440
absolute miserable shooting performance from three, they go six of

523
00:28:41,559 --> 00:28:45,240
twenty six twenty three percent, and lose on their home

524
00:28:45,279 --> 00:28:47,839
floor to Tennessee the other day. Now you get a

525
00:28:47,839 --> 00:28:53,880
second shot at home. You should in college basketball, you

526
00:28:53,960 --> 00:28:57,519
expect a good team like this to bounce back. Missouri

527
00:28:58,319 --> 00:29:01,839
comes off the humongous like we said, five times now

528
00:29:02,119 --> 00:29:05,319
three pointed by Mitchell at the buzzer, and that's almost

529
00:29:05,680 --> 00:29:08,000
with the travel spot. Now it's almost a letdown. So

530
00:29:08,039 --> 00:29:09,839
you kind of get that combination, you know what I mean.

531
00:29:09,839 --> 00:29:13,440
One the home team eager to get back out there again.

532
00:29:13,640 --> 00:29:16,960
The other side kind of still I don't want to

533
00:29:16,960 --> 00:29:18,880
say they're still celebrating the win, but they're off of

534
00:29:18,920 --> 00:29:22,119
that huge winning now on the road. That combination generally

535
00:29:22,160 --> 00:29:25,880
speaks to a situational play on the home team, which

536
00:29:25,920 --> 00:29:29,279
would be Alabama. This Charles Bidiaco thing has become a

537
00:29:29,279 --> 00:29:32,440
really big deal. Played Saturday, I think there's a court

538
00:29:32,519 --> 00:29:35,400
injunction that's going to be decided this morning ten o'clock

539
00:29:35,480 --> 00:29:37,400
Central time, whether or not he can play or not.

540
00:29:37,680 --> 00:29:43,279
He was somewhat effective for Alabama in that game on Saturday.

541
00:29:43,359 --> 00:29:47,359
Despite the loss, and I know that Natoates is looking

542
00:29:47,519 --> 00:29:53,960
for hustle type players, which he referred to Vidioco is

543
00:29:54,000 --> 00:29:57,039
doing very well on Saturday. Natoates has been a little

544
00:29:57,039 --> 00:30:00,839
bit concerned with his team's rebounding and defense this year,

545
00:30:00,920 --> 00:30:05,000
rightfully so. But man, they can score and Missouri's gonna

546
00:30:05,000 --> 00:30:07,240
have to score. It's another battle of Tempa. We just

547
00:30:07,319 --> 00:30:12,839
talked about one with Michigan Nebraska. Alabama is by far

548
00:30:12,880 --> 00:30:16,359
and away in league play, the fastest paced team I

549
00:30:16,400 --> 00:30:20,160
think like two plus possessions per game right now, and

550
00:30:20,240 --> 00:30:22,799
Missou is dead last. Miszoo wants to walk it up.

551
00:30:22,880 --> 00:30:26,319
Miszoo wants to, you know, kind of take things more pedestrian,

552
00:30:26,359 --> 00:30:27,559
and I don't know that they're going to be able

553
00:30:27,559 --> 00:30:31,799
to do that in this particular contest against what's probably

554
00:30:31,799 --> 00:30:34,440
going to be a fired up Alabama team. It's a

555
00:30:34,440 --> 00:30:40,319
lot of points. I don't know that the Missouri defense

556
00:30:40,680 --> 00:30:44,759
is exactly built the way you stop Alabama. In other words,

557
00:30:44,799 --> 00:30:47,759
I don't think they can crush Alabama on the boards,

558
00:30:47,799 --> 00:30:49,559
which is something if you can, if you're a good

559
00:30:49,640 --> 00:30:54,079
rebounding team, then Alabama generally will lose that battle significantly.

560
00:30:54,119 --> 00:30:57,720
They've lost it significantly to Tennessee the other day. If

561
00:30:57,720 --> 00:31:01,480
in fact, you have a pressure style group that can

562
00:31:01,480 --> 00:31:05,039
get after the ball as it's being brought up by Bama,

563
00:31:05,400 --> 00:31:07,440
you can get the flection, you can get steals, then

564
00:31:07,480 --> 00:31:10,559
you're effective against Bama. They don't turn it over it all,

565
00:31:10,599 --> 00:31:12,440
So you have to have that kind of group. Missouri

566
00:31:12,480 --> 00:31:15,079
doesn't have it. They don't force a lot of turnovers.

567
00:31:15,319 --> 00:31:18,880
There's some things in their style of defense that just

568
00:31:18,920 --> 00:31:21,960
don't add up to success against a style of Alabama.

569
00:31:22,000 --> 00:31:25,599
So I think it's kind of a tough matchup Formazoo.

570
00:31:25,680 --> 00:31:28,920
I think the situation's tough Formazoo. So I want to

571
00:31:28,960 --> 00:31:31,960
lay ten and a half to find out. That's always

572
00:31:31,960 --> 00:31:35,160
the great equalizer, right, But I do think Alabama probably

573
00:31:35,160 --> 00:31:38,799
comes out fired up here for this game, and we'll know,

574
00:31:39,880 --> 00:31:42,559
I don't know an hour two hours whether or not

575
00:31:42,640 --> 00:31:44,640
they're going to have an extra body on the floor

576
00:31:44,640 --> 00:31:48,279
in Betioco. Yeah.

577
00:31:48,319 --> 00:31:50,279
Speaker 1: I want to go back to that Alabama game from

578
00:31:50,359 --> 00:31:52,640
Saturday for a minute, because I think it's worth pointing

579
00:31:52,640 --> 00:31:57,640
out that Tennessee is the perfect Like I'm actually mad

580
00:31:57,680 --> 00:32:00,839
at myself for missing this because Tennessee is the perfect

581
00:32:01,599 --> 00:32:05,559
team to beat Alabama, right, like, what you need to

582
00:32:05,599 --> 00:32:09,720
beat Alabama to beat this team, to go into Tuscaloosa

583
00:32:10,359 --> 00:32:13,359
and beat this team. It is what Tennessee is a

584
00:32:13,400 --> 00:32:16,960
great and elite rebounding team, right Like, Tennessee is a

585
00:32:17,000 --> 00:32:19,640
fantastic They're one of the best rebounding teams in the country.

586
00:32:19,960 --> 00:32:22,000
And they go out and they beat Bama on the

587
00:32:22,000 --> 00:32:25,000
boards thirty six to twenty eight in that game. You

588
00:32:25,079 --> 00:32:27,960
also need to probably not let Bama torch you from

589
00:32:28,039 --> 00:32:32,559
three Bama six for twenty six in that game against Tennessee.

590
00:32:32,599 --> 00:32:35,279
So you know, in hindsight, I'm mad at myself for

591
00:32:35,400 --> 00:32:38,720
missing that because I've gotten to see Tennessee play in

592
00:32:38,759 --> 00:32:43,079
person this year. You know, we talked Tennessee basketball a lot,

593
00:32:43,160 --> 00:32:46,359
and I as that game was going, I was like, man,

594
00:32:46,400 --> 00:32:49,440
this is this is just the matchup you want the

595
00:32:49,519 --> 00:32:53,759
balls in catching points. It was the perfect situation. So

596
00:32:53,960 --> 00:32:56,319
for me, just just based on the fact that like

597
00:32:56,400 --> 00:32:59,920
I don't like being super reactive and Missouri is not

598
00:33:00,960 --> 00:33:03,759
that I you know, nearly as ideal of a matchup

599
00:33:03,880 --> 00:33:07,880
going against Bama as Tennessee was, I can't take the dog.

600
00:33:07,960 --> 00:33:11,240
But that's more just me the way I think personally

601
00:33:11,240 --> 00:33:13,200
It's like I almost look at that and say, you

602
00:33:13,279 --> 00:33:15,759
missed your chance. You had your chance to do it

603
00:33:15,799 --> 00:33:19,759
on Saturday. I do think there's some merit to Missouri

604
00:33:19,839 --> 00:33:22,519
getting up for games like this, though, And that's where

605
00:33:22,559 --> 00:33:26,000
I'm gonna like probably sort of like just duck out

606
00:33:26,000 --> 00:33:28,119
of this one and move on to another game. Not

607
00:33:28,240 --> 00:33:31,279
make a case for laying eleven because we've now seen

608
00:33:31,319 --> 00:33:34,680
it multiple times this season. Missouri against the big teams

609
00:33:34,680 --> 00:33:36,759
on their schedule, they always seems like they bring their

610
00:33:36,759 --> 00:33:39,880
best effort. So do you want to lay eleven against them?

611
00:33:41,119 --> 00:33:43,680
To me, I don't really want to do that either,

612
00:33:43,720 --> 00:33:46,759
So I know the original post kind of wanted to

613
00:33:46,799 --> 00:33:49,839
side with the dog. I do think the number is

614
00:33:50,079 --> 00:33:53,319
definitely big. Maybe it's big for a reason. I guess

615
00:33:53,319 --> 00:33:55,960
we'll find out. I just I don't have much there

616
00:33:56,359 --> 00:33:56,839
on that one.

617
00:33:56,920 --> 00:34:01,920
Speaker 2: Rob Vino, Yeah, like I say, I agree totally. Laying

618
00:34:01,920 --> 00:34:06,680
out the matchup, Massoo's defense just isn't exactly what stops Alabama.

619
00:34:06,759 --> 00:34:09,760
And then, to my surprise, Adam, when I was looking

620
00:34:09,800 --> 00:34:13,719
at this game last night, Alabama owns the number one

621
00:34:14,199 --> 00:34:18,559
two point field goal percentage defense or excuse me, the

622
00:34:18,679 --> 00:34:21,320
effective field goal percentage defense in that league. They're number

623
00:34:21,320 --> 00:34:23,960
two defending the twos and Miszoo is not a great

624
00:34:23,960 --> 00:34:27,159
shooting three point team by any stretch, right, And in fact,

625
00:34:27,199 --> 00:34:29,519
when they go on the road, they're like thirty one percent.

626
00:34:30,079 --> 00:34:33,559
So if Jacob Cruz and those guys in Stone they're

627
00:34:33,559 --> 00:34:36,519
not nailing threes, which they're not known to do, especially

628
00:34:36,599 --> 00:34:40,159
on the road this season in conference play, then this

629
00:34:40,199 --> 00:34:43,840
could get out of hand for them quite quickly. And

630
00:34:44,719 --> 00:34:46,760
something else I'll just point out here, like I said

631
00:34:46,760 --> 00:34:50,239
about Nebraska, where I thought that they have enough point

632
00:34:50,239 --> 00:34:53,679
guard leadership, that they have enough veteran experience on the

633
00:34:53,719 --> 00:34:58,719
floor to maybe stay calm and keep the game somewhat

634
00:34:58,719 --> 00:35:01,159
the way they want to play it. I think Missouri

635
00:35:01,199 --> 00:35:03,079
has shown at times that they can get caught up

636
00:35:03,079 --> 00:35:05,239
in pace, and when you get caught up in pace

637
00:35:05,280 --> 00:35:07,519
with Alabama, you could get them out of the gym quickly.

638
00:35:08,760 --> 00:35:12,360
What was the word, Dusty Mayu's spurt ability? Bama hasn't.

639
00:35:12,639 --> 00:35:14,920
They can certainly shoot it. So I just don't like

640
00:35:15,039 --> 00:35:17,559
the matchup for Maszoo from a fundamental standpoint.

641
00:35:18,280 --> 00:35:20,760
Speaker 1: Yeah, and going back, there was I don't remember who

642
00:35:20,800 --> 00:35:22,960
it was, but someone in the chat asked about letdown

643
00:35:23,000 --> 00:35:26,159
like Yeah, like Missouri winning in that fashion certainly probably

644
00:35:26,199 --> 00:35:28,280
created a bit of a letdown spot here for them

645
00:35:28,280 --> 00:35:30,840
on the road. Yeah, we'll be an interesting to see.

646
00:35:31,000 --> 00:35:33,400
It will be interesting to see how that one plays out, Joseph,

647
00:35:33,679 --> 00:35:35,599
He says Trigg, I can't find your five dollars pick.

648
00:35:35,639 --> 00:35:38,920
That's because there isn't one yet. I have not bet

649
00:35:38,960 --> 00:35:41,039
anything yet. This is the type of day, Rob where

650
00:35:42,000 --> 00:35:44,400
if I wanted to, I could probably have bet seven

651
00:35:44,440 --> 00:35:48,480
things already, and I haven't because I just I'm finding

652
00:35:48,519 --> 00:35:51,159
myself maybe wanting to push back at the market a

653
00:35:51,159 --> 00:35:53,760
little bit more in certain spots. So I'm kinda kind

654
00:35:53,800 --> 00:35:55,519
of let the dust settle over the next hour. I

655
00:35:55,679 --> 00:35:58,159
promise you, Joseph, I will have at least one play,

656
00:35:58,480 --> 00:36:00,159
probably more than one.

657
00:36:00,360 --> 00:36:03,280
Speaker 2: This post is great, he says. I'm in class right now,

658
00:36:03,360 --> 00:36:06,639
so I have this on you can someone please respond

659
00:36:06,679 --> 00:36:09,400
to the check. Shout out to you, Joseph for listening

660
00:36:09,599 --> 00:36:13,840
to us during class time. That's fantastic. I'm glad you

661
00:36:13,960 --> 00:36:16,440
have one available for you. That's great.

662
00:36:17,320 --> 00:36:18,960
Speaker 1: At least he hey, at least he went he went

663
00:36:19,000 --> 00:36:20,280
to class. That's that's good.

664
00:36:20,360 --> 00:36:21,280
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's true.

665
00:36:23,440 --> 00:36:26,360
Speaker 1: That is that's good. Stuff, and yeah, we will. It'll

666
00:36:26,400 --> 00:36:29,400
be up probably an hour or two, but within an

667
00:36:29,400 --> 00:36:31,480
hour after the show, I'm gonna play like that's the thing.

668
00:36:31,519 --> 00:36:33,360
I'm probably gonna have three four, you know, three or

669
00:36:33,360 --> 00:36:36,559
four plays on a slate like this if if if

670
00:36:36,599 --> 00:36:39,639
I decide on one within the next twenty three minutes,

671
00:36:39,679 --> 00:36:41,440
I'll just give it out to you on on air.

672
00:36:42,000 --> 00:36:43,599
I'm gonna go to Garth here because this is what

673
00:36:43,800 --> 00:36:47,400
I am considering, and I will I will see if

674
00:36:47,760 --> 00:36:51,159
Rob Veno can can talk me either into or off

675
00:36:51,199 --> 00:36:55,280
of what I made what I may do here. But

676
00:36:55,519 --> 00:36:58,360
I'm gonna let Rob kick this off because Garth's question

677
00:36:58,599 --> 00:37:02,159
is team total related. He likes the George Washington team

678
00:37:02,199 --> 00:37:05,440
total under seventy eight and a half. Admittedly, Rob, that

679
00:37:05,559 --> 00:37:07,639
was not really the angle I would or that was

680
00:37:07,679 --> 00:37:10,079
not the angle I was looking at in this game

681
00:37:10,199 --> 00:37:14,400
was an under. But if it's an over, it's probably

682
00:37:14,480 --> 00:37:17,480
Saint Louis doing most of the scoring. So kick us off,

683
00:37:17,559 --> 00:37:20,960
gar for Garth, Saint Louis, George Washington talk about the

684
00:37:21,000 --> 00:37:21,679
team total for.

685
00:37:21,760 --> 00:37:25,480
Speaker 2: Me, Yeah, I'll say this, Garth. I mean, it's kind

686
00:37:25,519 --> 00:37:28,000
of the angle I looked at last night. I really

687
00:37:28,360 --> 00:37:31,199
and this is hard for me to say a lot

688
00:37:31,199 --> 00:37:34,000
of times you hear over out of my mouth a ton.

689
00:37:34,599 --> 00:37:37,360
But I looked at this full game going under one

690
00:37:37,480 --> 00:37:39,880
sixty eight was the number I saw last night. I'm

691
00:37:39,880 --> 00:37:41,920
looking now, we see one sixty seven and a half.

692
00:37:41,920 --> 00:37:44,159
It's come down about half the point. But I think

693
00:37:44,199 --> 00:37:46,760
I predicated that on what I've what I'm seeing out

694
00:37:46,760 --> 00:37:51,159
of Saint Louis's defense against this conference. Not only are

695
00:37:51,199 --> 00:37:54,679
they spectacular offensively. I think I was texting with you

696
00:37:54,719 --> 00:37:57,199
the other night, Trig, and I said, you know, you

697
00:37:57,280 --> 00:38:01,360
look at this team. They would probably finished second in

698
00:38:01,400 --> 00:38:05,000
the Big East to Connecticut. If not surpassed Connecticut, Saint

699
00:38:05,079 --> 00:38:08,519
Louis would, they would win the Mountain West, et cetera,

700
00:38:08,559 --> 00:38:12,840
et cetera. They're way too good for what this league

701
00:38:12,920 --> 00:38:16,440
has to offer. From that perspective, I truly think that

702
00:38:16,480 --> 00:38:20,559
their defense is a factor in this game, but I

703
00:38:20,599 --> 00:38:23,400
applied it more to full game total than team total.

704
00:38:23,480 --> 00:38:27,559
And I can't argue you off of gw under because

705
00:38:27,599 --> 00:38:30,079
my case is based on the way Saint Louis has

706
00:38:30,119 --> 00:38:36,599
played defense. They would have to probably get to my

707
00:38:36,800 --> 00:38:42,159
guess is probably ninety ninety four or something to get

708
00:38:42,159 --> 00:38:46,880
this thing over, So that would put GW at about

709
00:38:46,920 --> 00:38:50,840
seventy four, which makes your number look pretty good though

710
00:38:50,840 --> 00:38:54,119
at the angle you're looking at. But I'm pretty much

711
00:38:54,119 --> 00:38:56,840
in line with you in thinking that this game's going

712
00:38:56,880 --> 00:38:58,960
to stay under. I think Saint Louis at home, knowing

713
00:38:59,000 --> 00:39:02,639
GW is a big game, will come out defensively, and

714
00:39:03,239 --> 00:39:05,199
if they're up by a bunch at the end. This

715
00:39:05,320 --> 00:39:10,440
is interesting too, Adam, because I find here that Shirts

716
00:39:11,159 --> 00:39:13,880
hasn't been a guy to let off the gas pedal,

717
00:39:14,239 --> 00:39:16,440
which is interesting. You know, like, if he's up by

718
00:39:16,639 --> 00:39:21,079
twenty two with two minutes left, is he just gonna

719
00:39:21,320 --> 00:39:25,519
Saint Louis probably keeps scoring, which makes the under dangerous.

720
00:39:25,559 --> 00:39:27,360
But I just think it's placed too high right now.

721
00:39:27,480 --> 00:39:29,239
There's been a couple of games I was on the

722
00:39:29,239 --> 00:39:32,719
wrong side of one, a Saint Louis full game over.

723
00:39:32,800 --> 00:39:35,639
I think it was two games back. I could probably

724
00:39:35,679 --> 00:39:37,679
try and go look it up now real quick, but

725
00:39:37,760 --> 00:39:41,519
I missed the over by about a point and a

726
00:39:41,519 --> 00:39:44,039
half because the odds makers had it just high enough

727
00:39:44,039 --> 00:39:47,000
in the one sixties. It was a high scoring game,

728
00:39:47,199 --> 00:39:49,480
just wasn't good enough to get there. That's kind of

729
00:39:49,519 --> 00:39:51,960
the way I feel about this maybe something that lands

730
00:39:51,960 --> 00:39:54,159
in the one sixty two to one sixty three range,

731
00:39:54,559 --> 00:39:56,960
and we're staring at one sixty seven and a half here.

732
00:39:57,159 --> 00:39:59,559
Can't argue you off, Guarth, just giving you my ideas

733
00:39:59,559 --> 00:40:01,360
on the game last night, where I thought full game

734
00:40:01,400 --> 00:40:02,400
total was worth a shot.

735
00:40:05,320 --> 00:40:07,719
Speaker 1: Man, I so badly want to make a case for

736
00:40:07,760 --> 00:40:11,960
George Washington here. But the just Saint Louis is a

737
00:40:12,239 --> 00:40:13,480
kind of what you were saying. I had a bunch

738
00:40:13,519 --> 00:40:16,679
of buddies go. I had a group of friends go

739
00:40:16,840 --> 00:40:21,199
to the Saint bonham Enture game on Friday, and they

740
00:40:21,280 --> 00:40:23,599
left very disappointed, and they left very early. They were

741
00:40:23,599 --> 00:40:27,679
at the bar by halftime. They were not happy about

742
00:40:27,679 --> 00:40:30,840
how I mean, that was just as. I don't know

743
00:40:30,840 --> 00:40:34,760
how much of that was this just being like a

744
00:40:34,840 --> 00:40:37,719
bad Saint Bonaventure team, a worse team than people expected,

745
00:40:37,719 --> 00:40:40,320
But I mean, Saint Louis, I don't think you can

746
00:40:40,320 --> 00:40:42,760
play a better first half than they played in that game.

747
00:40:42,760 --> 00:40:45,000
I think they were up. I know it was thirty

748
00:40:45,039 --> 00:40:47,920
seven to thirteen at one point, it was something like

749
00:40:48,039 --> 00:40:51,519
thirty at halftime. I mean it was just as. And

750
00:40:51,519 --> 00:40:53,519
that was in front of a packed house in only

751
00:40:53,559 --> 00:40:56,920
a national TV game, and that was as quick and

752
00:40:57,079 --> 00:41:02,199
efficient of a dissection. Like I mean, it was over

753
00:41:02,239 --> 00:41:06,679
before it even started. And that is my fear, like

754
00:41:07,079 --> 00:41:12,280
fading this team at home. How efficient their offense is?

755
00:41:12,280 --> 00:41:15,159
Is that now, Garth, does that maybe help your team

756
00:41:15,199 --> 00:41:17,559
total under? Yeah, like if this is out of hand,

757
00:41:18,199 --> 00:41:20,000
I think if this gets out of hand, that helps

758
00:41:20,000 --> 00:41:22,280
you're under for a team total because you're not gonna

759
00:41:22,320 --> 00:41:24,199
have all sorts of extension at the end of the game.

760
00:41:25,840 --> 00:41:30,400
But like my gut says, George Washington can be competitive here.

761
00:41:32,039 --> 00:41:35,480
I really like Raphael Castro. I feel like, going off

762
00:41:35,519 --> 00:41:37,559
of memory, he had a good game against Saint Louis

763
00:41:37,599 --> 00:41:40,480
and a good game against Avilla last year. I bet

764
00:41:40,639 --> 00:41:42,760
quite a few GW games last year. I want to

765
00:41:42,800 --> 00:41:45,119
say the Saint Louis one was one of them, and

766
00:41:45,599 --> 00:41:47,840
he had a good game. I could be thinking to

767
00:41:47,880 --> 00:41:49,840
George Mason, I can't remember off the top of my head,

768
00:41:50,239 --> 00:41:53,840
but I mean he's he is more athletic again than

769
00:41:53,880 --> 00:41:58,599
a Vila. He can absolutely score on him, like they've

770
00:41:58,639 --> 00:42:01,719
got the interior I think to do some damage. The

771
00:42:01,800 --> 00:42:05,840
problem is for me, the problem is how efficient is

772
00:42:05,880 --> 00:42:08,480
Saint Louis's offense is going to be here? Because if

773
00:42:08,559 --> 00:42:12,480
they do anything like they did to Saint Bonaventure, they

774
00:42:12,480 --> 00:42:15,320
could be up fifteen very quickly. And I just go

775
00:42:15,440 --> 00:42:17,719
back to kind of what you were saying, maybe a

776
00:42:17,719 --> 00:42:20,360
couple of weeks ago, of like you know, maybe people

777
00:42:20,400 --> 00:42:22,840
not even realizing how good this Saint Louis team is.

778
00:42:23,559 --> 00:42:25,480
And then I look and him like, do I you know,

779
00:42:25,559 --> 00:42:29,119
do I want to like poke the bear on the road,

780
00:42:29,199 --> 00:42:32,320
especially when like it's now known, it's now known that

781
00:42:32,360 --> 00:42:35,360
you can go zone on GW and really cause them issues.

782
00:42:35,920 --> 00:42:37,719
I don't know if Saint Louis really has that in

783
00:42:37,760 --> 00:42:40,840
their bag, rob but like teams have pretty much figured

784
00:42:40,840 --> 00:42:42,800
out that you can play a zone against GW and

785
00:42:42,800 --> 00:42:45,920
they are gonna have a tough time scoring. So those

786
00:42:45,960 --> 00:42:48,000
are the types of things that I think have talked

787
00:42:48,039 --> 00:42:50,880
me off. But man, if this h I see pennies

788
00:42:50,880 --> 00:42:53,480
at ten, if this got back to like ten and

789
00:42:53,480 --> 00:42:55,840
a half, I don't know. I may I may be

790
00:42:55,960 --> 00:42:59,400
taking the points and just hoping that George Washington could

791
00:42:59,400 --> 00:43:01,679
be efficient enough on their offense on the offensive end,

792
00:43:01,679 --> 00:43:04,000
which I think they can be through Castro to hang

793
00:43:04,079 --> 00:43:08,880
around in this game, Robino, do you if you don't

794
00:43:08,920 --> 00:43:10,280
have anything to add there, I'm gonna go to you

795
00:43:10,280 --> 00:43:12,320
to see if you want to start the parlayoff.

796
00:43:13,199 --> 00:43:15,599
Speaker 2: I'm trying to make a decision as we speak, So

797
00:43:15,639 --> 00:43:18,159
give me. I've got a couple of games here. I

798
00:43:18,280 --> 00:43:20,599
don't know which one I want to release here as

799
00:43:20,679 --> 00:43:22,960
our half of the parlays. So I'll skip for a

800
00:43:23,000 --> 00:43:26,039
couple of minutes and then come back to it if

801
00:43:26,079 --> 00:43:26,760
we have another game.

802
00:43:26,800 --> 00:43:32,440
Speaker 1: We have time, We have time. I'm gonna go to Well,

803
00:43:32,480 --> 00:43:35,639
there's a game we absolutely have to talk about. A

804
00:43:35,639 --> 00:43:38,039
couple people have already sort of brought this up in

805
00:43:38,039 --> 00:43:40,320
the chat, but we got to talk Miami of Ohio.

806
00:43:40,880 --> 00:43:44,679
They are still undefeated. This has been I think flexed

807
00:43:44,800 --> 00:43:47,639
to a nine pm national TV start. I believe this

808
00:43:47,760 --> 00:43:51,079
is on ESPN you nine pm Eastern of course.

809
00:43:51,280 --> 00:43:51,639
Speaker 2: Uh.

810
00:43:52,239 --> 00:43:56,239
Speaker 1: You know, I've had my opinions on UMass and you

811
00:43:56,239 --> 00:43:59,920
know the direction that that program has gone since Frank

812
00:44:00,039 --> 00:44:02,079
Aren't took over. I thought it would have been much better.

813
00:44:02,119 --> 00:44:04,119
I thought they would have been more competitive in the MAC.

814
00:44:05,760 --> 00:44:10,440
It's it's interesting because you Mass does have the components

815
00:44:10,440 --> 00:44:11,960
of a team that, like I think should be a

816
00:44:11,960 --> 00:44:14,480
lot better in this league. We saw that a little

817
00:44:14,480 --> 00:44:16,119
bit on Friday. They went on the road and won

818
00:44:16,159 --> 00:44:21,079
at Buffalo like they're a capable team, Rob And Miami

819
00:44:21,079 --> 00:44:24,320
of Ohio has been in some games recently with capable

820
00:44:24,320 --> 00:44:28,679
teams in this league. But man, I don't know if

821
00:44:28,679 --> 00:44:31,559
you mask can get enough stops here. And that's that's

822
00:44:31,559 --> 00:44:34,400
where my concern is, is, uh, Miami of Ohio spreads

823
00:44:34,440 --> 00:44:38,000
them out and suddenly they're scoring at will you masked?

824
00:44:38,039 --> 00:44:40,280
Miami of Ohio? This has got to be a sellout

825
00:44:40,320 --> 00:44:43,599
right twenty and oh, you're at home? Should be a

826
00:44:43,599 --> 00:44:44,880
great atmosphere. What do you think?

827
00:44:46,039 --> 00:44:49,480
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, I mean you get a TV audience. I

828
00:44:49,519 --> 00:44:54,280
can just recall the going to the first ever ESPN

829
00:44:55,039 --> 00:44:58,639
like flexed game at Belmont where they were on TV

830
00:44:58,760 --> 00:45:03,000
against Ohio U. And Belmont doesn't sell out, but that

831
00:45:03,079 --> 00:45:05,280
place was packed that night for the cameras. So certainly

832
00:45:05,280 --> 00:45:07,280
Miami of Ohio with the situation they have going on

833
00:45:07,320 --> 00:45:11,039
here undefeated season. I laughed as soon as you said

834
00:45:11,039 --> 00:45:13,119
we have to talk about this game because it was

835
00:45:13,159 --> 00:45:15,119
one of the three I was looking to choose from.

836
00:45:15,119 --> 00:45:17,440
So why don't I just go ahead and use this

837
00:45:17,559 --> 00:45:21,719
as a parlay leg here. I don't believe whether they

838
00:45:21,719 --> 00:45:25,119
cover the number or not, sort of irrelevant to me

839
00:45:25,159 --> 00:45:28,679
in this game, but I just don't believe that UMass

840
00:45:29,280 --> 00:45:32,159
with their style and the pace they want to play,

841
00:45:32,440 --> 00:45:35,760
which is third fastest so far in MATT competition while

842
00:45:35,760 --> 00:45:39,159
Miami of Ohio is number one, I just don't believe

843
00:45:39,239 --> 00:45:43,320
that Massachusetts can hold Miami of Ohio under their team

844
00:45:43,360 --> 00:45:45,719
total here of eighty six and a half. Miami O

845
00:45:45,840 --> 00:45:49,039
is so efficient offensively and when you're gonna get the

846
00:45:49,119 --> 00:45:53,559
opponent to go in that style with you, and a

847
00:45:53,599 --> 00:45:56,119
lot of my analysis on these totals, Adam, when I

848
00:45:56,159 --> 00:45:58,880
go team total are simply match up based and they

849
00:45:58,920 --> 00:46:01,719
sound kind of the same, but it's a system that

850
00:46:01,800 --> 00:46:05,440
pretty much works. When you're betting totals over, you need opportunities,

851
00:46:05,920 --> 00:46:10,159
you need extra chances to score, and that's what you

852
00:46:10,280 --> 00:46:13,559
mass provides here for Miamio in this particular game, because

853
00:46:13,599 --> 00:46:15,519
they want to go fast. It's what they do best.

854
00:46:15,519 --> 00:46:18,440
Frank Martin is hardheaded. Frank Martin's not going to change

855
00:46:18,960 --> 00:46:20,920
for Miamio. He's going to go in there and try

856
00:46:20,920 --> 00:46:24,840
and beat them, kind of a man's man type of thing.

857
00:46:25,480 --> 00:46:29,280
But they are a team that turns it over. They're

858
00:46:29,280 --> 00:46:31,880
so turnover prone as well. You mass that in this

859
00:46:31,920 --> 00:46:34,960
particular game, I just don't Miamio has been getting this

860
00:46:35,159 --> 00:46:39,480
number on everybody really doesn't matter. And now to give

861
00:46:39,519 --> 00:46:44,440
them the style component that they prefer in an opponent,

862
00:46:44,800 --> 00:46:47,559
to give them a team that will coft the ball

863
00:46:47,639 --> 00:46:52,000
up where they can get cheaper points, I just don't

864
00:46:52,000 --> 00:46:54,320
see a reason why you wouldn't bet Miami's team. Told her,

865
00:46:54,400 --> 00:46:56,239
I actually thought it was going to be about eighty

866
00:46:56,320 --> 00:46:57,440
nine and a half and I was going to have

867
00:46:57,480 --> 00:47:00,880
to get to ninety, which I still might have even considered.

868
00:47:01,159 --> 00:47:03,320
But eighty six and a half to me just seems

869
00:47:03,360 --> 00:47:08,000
to be too low for those who are interested. The

870
00:47:08,079 --> 00:47:10,519
other game I was looking at was the Michigan State

871
00:47:10,599 --> 00:47:13,800
team total over against Rutgers, who has just turned into

872
00:47:13,800 --> 00:47:16,800
a defensive nightmare. But the only reason why I'd give

873
00:47:16,800 --> 00:47:20,440
you Miami Ohio here in this game instead is because

874
00:47:20,599 --> 00:47:23,639
MSU has Michigan on deck Friday, and I just don't

875
00:47:23,679 --> 00:47:25,599
know where their heads will be at against Rutgers. So

876
00:47:25,920 --> 00:47:28,039
give me for the parlay leg Adam, give me Miami

877
00:47:28,119 --> 00:47:31,400
of Ohio team total up and over eighty six and

878
00:47:31,480 --> 00:47:32,280
a half in this one.

879
00:47:36,440 --> 00:47:39,079
Speaker 1: I kind of love that, Rob, as you're talking and

880
00:47:39,079 --> 00:47:42,239
I'm thinking, like you just made a point about potential

881
00:47:42,280 --> 00:47:45,760
look ahead in a different game, Miami of Ohio's had

882
00:47:45,760 --> 00:47:48,519
a week to figure out U Mass's defense, whichhouldn't be

883
00:47:48,559 --> 00:47:51,159
that hard to figure out this team. Like the thing

884
00:47:51,199 --> 00:47:54,559
with U Mass is they do have some odviginal individual skill.

885
00:47:55,360 --> 00:47:58,559
If they can make this into like a very like

886
00:47:58,840 --> 00:48:03,119
Qunky type game, then they're gonna have a they could

887
00:48:03,440 --> 00:48:06,679
hang around and potentially cover that number. They really have

888
00:48:06,760 --> 00:48:09,199
to make this an ugly game, though, to do that,

889
00:48:09,239 --> 00:48:12,119
in my opinion, and I just don't think you can

890
00:48:12,159 --> 00:48:14,800
do that on the road against the Miami of Ohio

891
00:48:14,800 --> 00:48:17,840
team that is as good at spacing the floor as

892
00:48:17,880 --> 00:48:20,239
as any team at this level in the country. Listen,

893
00:48:20,440 --> 00:48:23,239
you could talk me into okay, well, you put them

894
00:48:23,400 --> 00:48:27,159
against Power five teams and it's changes a little bit fine,

895
00:48:27,440 --> 00:48:30,239
But at the mid to low major level, there is

896
00:48:30,280 --> 00:48:33,119
no team better than Miami of Ohio at spacing you

897
00:48:33,280 --> 00:48:35,880
out getting the shot that they want. That should be

898
00:48:35,880 --> 00:48:40,239
a nightmare for UMSS. And then you talk about the

899
00:48:40,280 --> 00:48:43,360
home crowd behind you. We've talked about UMass and some

900
00:48:43,400 --> 00:48:45,599
of their issues on the road this year. They're going

901
00:48:45,679 --> 00:48:47,599
to be going into an environment that I don't think

902
00:48:47,599 --> 00:48:49,840
they've really seen, though there was a good turnout in

903
00:48:49,840 --> 00:48:52,239
Buffalo on Friday night for that game, which they did win.

904
00:48:52,519 --> 00:48:55,880
But let's not act like Buffalo and Miami of Ohio

905
00:48:55,960 --> 00:48:59,599
or even remotely close to the same thing. And then

906
00:48:59,599 --> 00:49:01,519
to talk, you know, you talk about a look ahead spot. Well,

907
00:49:01,519 --> 00:49:03,639
there's no look ahead for Miami of Ohio because they're

908
00:49:03,639 --> 00:49:05,239
playing one of the worst teams in the league next

909
00:49:05,239 --> 00:49:09,280
time out, which I believe is a home game against

910
00:49:09,320 --> 00:49:12,000
Illinois or Northern Illinois, who's one of the worst teams

911
00:49:12,039 --> 00:49:16,239
in this league. So there's really no look ahead. So

912
00:49:16,280 --> 00:49:19,360
this should be a fully focused Miami team. Miami's not

913
00:49:19,400 --> 00:49:21,480
preparing for Northern Illinois'll tell you that much. They can

914
00:49:21,519 --> 00:49:24,280
win that game in their sleep. For the last week,

915
00:49:24,599 --> 00:49:28,239
they have been figuring out how to dissect UMass and

916
00:49:28,280 --> 00:49:30,519
that's not that hard to do. We've seen other teams

917
00:49:30,559 --> 00:49:32,840
do it. So yeah, I'm with you there. I like that.

918
00:49:32,920 --> 00:49:34,960
I didn't really want to lay the ten, but I

919
00:49:35,000 --> 00:49:37,079
think just asking them to get to ninety, which they

920
00:49:37,119 --> 00:49:39,480
seem to do anyway no matter what who they're playing,

921
00:49:39,920 --> 00:49:40,760
makes a lot of sense.

922
00:49:41,480 --> 00:49:46,280
Speaker 2: It's a good call, seem for a minute, like my

923
00:49:46,360 --> 00:49:50,400
dog liked to play too. He started going crazy.

924
00:49:51,000 --> 00:49:55,400
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean it's hard to find any reason to

925
00:49:55,400 --> 00:49:56,079
disagree with that.

926
00:49:56,199 --> 00:49:56,400
Speaker 2: Rob.

927
00:49:56,760 --> 00:49:59,039
Speaker 1: I think you got a I think you have a

928
00:49:59,079 --> 00:50:02,400
good angle there. I'm going to go back to the

929
00:50:02,559 --> 00:50:06,000
chat real quick because I'm gonna, I guess I'm gonna

930
00:50:06,000 --> 00:50:08,000
spend the next few minutes deciding if I just want

931
00:50:08,000 --> 00:50:10,920
to fire Arkansas money line in there. So let's get

932
00:50:10,960 --> 00:50:15,760
another Let's get to another game. Let's see, let's go

933
00:50:15,840 --> 00:50:18,400
Kentucky Vandy because I kind of had some thoughts on

934
00:50:18,400 --> 00:50:20,679
this one too, so I want to keep looking through

935
00:50:20,679 --> 00:50:22,480
the chat, and I'm going to think about this with Rob.

936
00:50:22,599 --> 00:50:26,800
Kick us off Kentucky Vanderbilt. I just getted. I don't

937
00:50:26,800 --> 00:50:28,760
know if I can see Kentucky winning another game here.

938
00:50:28,800 --> 00:50:30,199
The question is can they cover or not?

939
00:50:32,480 --> 00:50:37,400
Speaker 2: Yeah. I was pretty bullish on Bandy on Saturday. They

940
00:50:37,400 --> 00:50:40,760
had come off of three straight losses. They got an

941
00:50:40,760 --> 00:50:44,719
opponent that they could handle, and they went to work

942
00:50:44,800 --> 00:50:47,519
right away off. You know, their offense had failed them

943
00:50:47,960 --> 00:50:49,880
for a couple of the three games in the three

944
00:50:49,920 --> 00:50:52,519
game losing streak, their defense really failed them. It was

945
00:50:52,519 --> 00:50:54,360
one of those things you're in the SEC you're going

946
00:50:54,440 --> 00:50:57,360
to go through that type of streak. You're walking into

947
00:50:57,400 --> 00:50:59,840
these buildings with a fifteen and oh or a six

948
00:51:00,039 --> 00:51:04,880
teen and o resume in that league, you're gonna lose somewhere.

949
00:51:04,880 --> 00:51:07,760
And for Vandy, you know it had a domino effect.

950
00:51:08,000 --> 00:51:10,719
But on Saturday they were right back to being You

951
00:51:10,760 --> 00:51:13,079
talk about Saint Louis getting out of the gate quick

952
00:51:13,119 --> 00:51:15,800
against Saint Bonnie, like forty two to nineteen right off

953
00:51:15,840 --> 00:51:19,400
the bat. Vanderbilt was the same way on Saturday, right

954
00:51:19,400 --> 00:51:22,079
out of the shoot. You knew weren't going to have

955
00:51:22,119 --> 00:51:24,639
any trouble. I happen to have their team total in

956
00:51:24,679 --> 00:51:28,239
that game. It had been lowered by their standards, I

957
00:51:28,239 --> 00:51:30,440
would say, lowered to like eighty one and a half.

958
00:51:31,199 --> 00:51:33,519
Wound up getting there rather easily. I didn't have to

959
00:51:33,559 --> 00:51:36,440
sweat that one too much. And here against Kentucky, I

960
00:51:36,519 --> 00:51:38,880
just have a real problem with Kentucky, Adam, because the

961
00:51:38,960 --> 00:51:44,400
same exact problem keeps coming up with UK. I think

962
00:51:44,440 --> 00:51:48,440
five games into the season we talked about, or maybe

963
00:51:48,440 --> 00:51:50,639
a little deeper six or seven, but we talked about

964
00:51:50,639 --> 00:51:53,079
the quote from Mark Pope where we went crazy after

965
00:51:53,119 --> 00:51:56,400
the game saying that he'll fix this. There's too many

966
00:51:56,440 --> 00:51:59,039
people playing for their own name rather than the name

967
00:51:59,079 --> 00:52:01,239
on the jersey. He'll weed it out, we'll get it right.

968
00:52:01,599 --> 00:52:03,880
It was fine for a couple of games, then it

969
00:52:03,920 --> 00:52:06,840
reared its ugly head again and he went on another ramp,

970
00:52:07,639 --> 00:52:10,239
and it just has never seemed to be right. Whatever

971
00:52:11,159 --> 00:52:16,280
the cohesion problems are with Kentucky, this mix, this team

972
00:52:16,480 --> 00:52:18,920
just hasn't worked yet. It's not to say it can't.

973
00:52:19,159 --> 00:52:22,039
The month of February does strange things to teams. I've seen,

974
00:52:22,559 --> 00:52:25,239
you know, Yukon with Kemba Walker be a lousy team

975
00:52:25,280 --> 00:52:27,039
and go on a five game Big East run and

976
00:52:27,079 --> 00:52:30,480
then go win a national title. It can happen, but

977
00:52:30,639 --> 00:52:33,280
I don't know that they're in a good spot right

978
00:52:33,280 --> 00:52:37,360
now to play Vanderbilt, which is so good offensively, too

979
00:52:37,400 --> 00:52:42,639
many weapons. I know that Mark Byington had said something

980
00:52:42,679 --> 00:52:45,639
that we had said here on the show that they

981
00:52:45,639 --> 00:52:48,400
were a little bit depth shy during that three game

982
00:52:48,480 --> 00:52:52,280
losing Street because of Frankie Collins injury. But they seem

983
00:52:52,360 --> 00:52:55,239
to overcome and now they get back home to Memorial Gym.

984
00:52:55,320 --> 00:52:57,320
I thought the number was a little light at six

985
00:52:57,400 --> 00:53:01,760
and a half. There are some outlets that have gone

986
00:53:01,760 --> 00:53:04,199
to seven now and I see a seven and a

987
00:53:04,239 --> 00:53:07,960
half even I could definitely endorse slaying six and a

988
00:53:07,960 --> 00:53:09,760
half if you could still find it, And I know

989
00:53:09,800 --> 00:53:13,719
there's a couple of very very popular spots that still

990
00:53:13,760 --> 00:53:17,039
have that number hanging six and a half. At some

991
00:53:17,199 --> 00:53:21,000
point in this game, Vanderbilt's offense is going to be

992
00:53:21,039 --> 00:53:23,599
too much for Kentucky to handle it, in my opinion,

993
00:53:23,960 --> 00:53:28,280
whether or not UK can get it up. Never mind

994
00:53:28,280 --> 00:53:30,679
the comment about six and a half, because now I

995
00:53:30,719 --> 00:53:33,880
see red flashes all across the screen almost seven and

996
00:53:33,880 --> 00:53:37,519
a half, almost universally. Now you can still find some sevens,

997
00:53:37,559 --> 00:53:39,440
but I do agree with that this total has been

998
00:53:39,440 --> 00:53:41,360
moved up to one fifty nine and a half. Kentucky

999
00:53:41,400 --> 00:53:44,440
not a lot on the defensive end so far this season.

1000
00:53:44,880 --> 00:53:49,159
So for me, Adam, I would probably lean Vanderbilt at

1001
00:53:49,159 --> 00:53:52,199
home in this price range. And I just want to

1002
00:53:52,239 --> 00:53:54,639
take a look really quick here at what the current

1003
00:53:54,679 --> 00:53:57,320
team total is bumped up to. It looks like eighty

1004
00:53:57,360 --> 00:54:00,760
three and a half at this point. I probably wouldn't

1005
00:54:00,760 --> 00:54:02,599
play it over, but I think that's in the vicinity

1006
00:54:02,599 --> 00:54:05,159
where they'll land somewhere between eighty one and eighty five.

1007
00:54:05,239 --> 00:54:08,719
So my best advice here would be a small shot

1008
00:54:08,719 --> 00:54:12,519
with Vanderbilt minus the number here against Kentucky.

1009
00:54:13,239 --> 00:54:15,400
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's the way I was looking in this one.

1010
00:54:15,639 --> 00:54:19,840
I wonder if that spike now is people thinking that

1011
00:54:19,960 --> 00:54:22,559
Duke Miles will will definitely play. I did I read

1012
00:54:22,599 --> 00:54:26,960
something that he was like questionable for this game. Obviously

1013
00:54:27,719 --> 00:54:31,800
that would be a notable right because Frankie Collins hasn't

1014
00:54:31,800 --> 00:54:33,880
played in a while, so you know, if you if

1015
00:54:33,920 --> 00:54:36,960
you were to lose him, that's not ideal. But would

1016
00:54:36,960 --> 00:54:39,760
it even really matter against Kentucky? Like I look at

1017
00:54:39,800 --> 00:54:42,840
this Kentucky five game win streak, and I'm just like, Okay,

1018
00:54:42,880 --> 00:54:46,119
the Mississippi schools at this point are just you can

1019
00:54:46,159 --> 00:54:48,920
just throw those out. They're awful. But both of those

1020
00:54:48,960 --> 00:54:52,440
Mississippi teams, all miss in Mississippi State are atrocious. So

1021
00:54:52,639 --> 00:54:56,599
you got two wins right there. LSU had really had

1022
00:54:56,599 --> 00:54:59,360
no business winning that game. Took a took a Christian

1023
00:54:59,400 --> 00:55:03,360
Latner full court pass come back to win that game Tennessee.

1024
00:55:03,519 --> 00:55:07,679
I still admittedly was watching like six other games during

1025
00:55:07,679 --> 00:55:11,960
that window. That was a Saturday early tip. I still

1026
00:55:12,000 --> 00:55:16,239
can't couldn't believe my eyes when like I look up,

1027
00:55:16,519 --> 00:55:18,960
I didn't have it on the main screen and it's

1028
00:55:18,960 --> 00:55:21,280
a final and there's people fighting in Kentucky one. I

1029
00:55:21,360 --> 00:55:23,440
was like, wait a minute, what, how did that even happen?

1030
00:55:23,840 --> 00:55:25,880
Right like they were I believe that was a twenty

1031
00:55:25,920 --> 00:55:29,199
point eighteen point episode in the first half I hit

1032
00:55:29,440 --> 00:55:33,920
with Texas against Kentucky last week. Texas loses that game,

1033
00:55:33,920 --> 00:55:36,639
but I noted this on Saturday when I came back

1034
00:55:36,639 --> 00:55:39,800
and played Texas again and had that right again that like, man,

1035
00:55:40,280 --> 00:55:43,199
Texas goes two for eighteen from three. If they shoot

1036
00:55:43,199 --> 00:55:45,360
if and some of those were open shots, Like, if

1037
00:55:45,360 --> 00:55:47,280
they shoot the ball even like a little bit better,

1038
00:55:47,719 --> 00:55:50,440
Texas probably wins that game. So I think this is

1039
00:55:50,440 --> 00:55:53,880
where it finally comes to an end for Kentucky. And

1040
00:55:54,159 --> 00:55:56,519
I'm pretty confident in saying that if you can get

1041
00:55:56,559 --> 00:55:59,880
seven or better that you're you're probably gonna be okay,

1042
00:56:00,599 --> 00:56:04,920
You'll probably cash that ticket. The question now is Rob,

1043
00:56:05,079 --> 00:56:08,440
who do I like better, Vandy or Arkansas. That's That's

1044
00:56:08,480 --> 00:56:11,360
what I'm sitting here trying to figure out because I'm

1045
00:56:11,360 --> 00:56:13,159
gonna use one of those two in the parlay. And

1046
00:56:13,199 --> 00:56:16,159
you know what, I think, I'm gonna go Arkansas. I

1047
00:56:16,239 --> 00:56:20,719
got I got Garth likes Arkansas. Colin Gregory likes Arkansas.

1048
00:56:21,159 --> 00:56:24,719
We got swizz here, he says, give me Arkansas minus

1049
00:56:24,760 --> 00:56:30,760
two and a half. Bayous over here saying Vandy, Yeah,

1050
00:56:30,760 --> 00:56:32,360
I I you know what I'm gonna do. I'm gonna

1051
00:56:32,400 --> 00:56:34,239
do it with Arkansas. That is gonna be my parlay

1052
00:56:34,320 --> 00:56:37,159
leg I just think the matchup is too good for them,

1053
00:56:37,159 --> 00:56:41,440
and I've been I've been too pro Arkansas. I've been

1054
00:56:41,480 --> 00:56:46,159
too pro Arkansas all year to to like not sort

1055
00:56:46,199 --> 00:56:48,239
of take them at this number in this spot. I

1056
00:56:48,280 --> 00:56:51,880
think that team's only gonna get better. We got like

1057
00:56:52,039 --> 00:56:54,159
three minutes left. Should we try to was there anything

1058
00:56:54,199 --> 00:56:56,559
else that you just had a thought on today? Should

1059
00:56:56,599 --> 00:56:58,039
we should we try to squeeze?

1060
00:56:58,360 --> 00:56:58,440
Speaker 2: Like?

1061
00:56:58,679 --> 00:57:00,800
Speaker 1: Was there anything else you wanted to bring? There's a

1062
00:57:00,880 --> 00:57:03,199
lot of games. I know I've got like a lot

1063
00:57:03,239 --> 00:57:04,480
more work to do, but I didn't know if you

1064
00:57:04,519 --> 00:57:06,639
had anything that you wanted to just kind of fire

1065
00:57:06,679 --> 00:57:08,480
off here before we recap.

1066
00:57:09,079 --> 00:57:11,599
Speaker 2: Yeah, just in rapid because we have, you know, two

1067
00:57:11,639 --> 00:57:15,239
minutes here, rapid fire type deal. I thought the New

1068
00:57:15,280 --> 00:57:17,920
Mexico UNLV game, last game on the board is going

1069
00:57:17,960 --> 00:57:20,800
to be I don't thought it. I think that it's

1070
00:57:20,840 --> 00:57:23,039
going to be a very interesting game. I think UNLV

1071
00:57:23,159 --> 00:57:26,880
as a home dog is live here adam New Mexico

1072
00:57:27,000 --> 00:57:31,039
obviously not the same outside the pit, but even further

1073
00:57:31,119 --> 00:57:32,920
than that, I just don't know that there's a ton

1074
00:57:32,960 --> 00:57:37,800
of separation inside the MAC this year. We've noted plenty

1075
00:57:37,800 --> 00:57:40,559
of times that it's not Richard Patino's style team. However,

1076
00:57:41,440 --> 00:57:43,280
Eric Olin has done a really good job with this

1077
00:57:43,320 --> 00:57:45,599
New Mexico team, there's no question about it. But since

1078
00:57:45,760 --> 00:57:48,840
UNLV's gotten healthy the virus out of their locker room,

1079
00:57:49,079 --> 00:57:51,239
they've been better too. And I think they match up

1080
00:57:51,239 --> 00:57:54,199
pretty well with New Mexico. So plus five in this

1081
00:57:54,320 --> 00:57:56,960
game to me, with the home dog seemed like a lot.

1082
00:57:58,039 --> 00:58:00,239
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's actually one I'm looking at as well. Well.

1083
00:58:00,599 --> 00:58:03,119
That may actually make my client card. I wanted to

1084
00:58:03,119 --> 00:58:05,320
see what the betting did with that. I wanted to

1085
00:58:05,400 --> 00:58:07,000
dig into it a little bit more. But just like

1086
00:58:07,880 --> 00:58:09,639
U and LV kind of laid an egg over the weekend,

1087
00:58:09,840 --> 00:58:11,960
I thought that they were potentially live in that spot

1088
00:58:11,960 --> 00:58:16,039
against San Diego State roughly the same size underdog that

1089
00:58:16,079 --> 00:58:18,199
they were over the weekend. I think four and a

1090
00:58:18,239 --> 00:58:20,960
half five at least where it opened. That might be

1091
00:58:21,000 --> 00:58:23,199
a signal that you and LV may take money at

1092
00:58:23,280 --> 00:58:25,079
some point today because I think that got as low

1093
00:58:25,119 --> 00:58:28,119
as like two and a half three. They were always

1094
00:58:28,159 --> 00:58:30,960
second best to the Aztecs in that game. That being said,

1095
00:58:30,960 --> 00:58:34,760
I think New Mexico maybe a little bit more forgiving

1096
00:58:34,840 --> 00:58:37,920
than San Diego State. I think they've played really well,

1097
00:58:37,920 --> 00:58:40,199
but not so many of these games have been tough

1098
00:58:40,280 --> 00:58:43,440
road environments. Not that Thomas and Mack is tough road environment.

1099
00:58:43,440 --> 00:58:46,519
It's not got people of Vegas got to get out

1100
00:58:46,519 --> 00:58:48,639
and support that team. There's too much stuff to do

1101
00:58:48,679 --> 00:58:50,599
in Vegas. Rob now, that's why they get five thousand

1102
00:58:50,639 --> 00:58:53,559
fans a game. They just don't get the fans like

1103
00:58:53,599 --> 00:58:58,239
they used to, which sucks. But yeah, I lean toward

1104
00:58:58,239 --> 00:59:00,159
the ReBs there too.

1105
00:59:02,280 --> 00:59:04,599
Speaker 2: They got anything else for us under the wire here.

1106
00:59:05,480 --> 00:59:08,039
Speaker 1: No, we're gonna recap the parlay. I know some there's

1107
00:59:08,079 --> 00:59:10,320
some people that are thrilled, there's some people that are

1108
00:59:10,400 --> 00:59:13,199
upset about it. I'm gonna go Arkansas. I'm gonna lay

1109
00:59:13,199 --> 00:59:15,639
the two and a half. I just again, I think

1110
00:59:15,639 --> 00:59:19,199
they match up extremely well with Oklahoma. I think Oklahoma

1111
00:59:19,280 --> 00:59:23,119
might be dead and buried after that that dagger from Missouri,

1112
00:59:23,400 --> 00:59:25,760
and so I'll take the road Razorbacks minus two and

1113
00:59:25,760 --> 00:59:28,079
a half for my leg of the parlay, Rob Bino

1114
00:59:28,119 --> 00:59:32,000
is going Miami Ohio team total over eighty six and

1115
00:59:32,000 --> 00:59:35,679
a half. That's your standard like plus two sixty two teamer,

1116
00:59:35,760 --> 00:59:39,000
which will bring us close. We after yesterday's win, we're

1117
00:59:39,119 --> 00:59:42,480
minus three point one eight units on the parlay this year,

1118
00:59:42,719 --> 00:59:44,280
so if we can hit this one tonight, we'll be

1119
00:59:44,360 --> 00:59:47,599
back dangerously close to even. Maybe we'll fire a three

1120
00:59:47,599 --> 00:59:49,880
teamer up, but I think we stick the two team

1121
00:59:49,960 --> 00:59:52,719
route as long as we're cashing some of these which

1122
00:59:52,719 --> 00:59:56,039
we have the last couple of days. Check out our

1123
00:59:56,079 --> 00:59:59,320
fire double the CBB Fireboer package. It's it's all of

1124
00:59:59,320 --> 01:00:02,639
my plays, all of Rob's plays for any three day span,

1125
01:00:02,760 --> 01:00:04,840
and of course it's five dollars Tuesday at wager Talk.

1126
01:00:05,039 --> 01:00:06,679
We'll see you guys back here in the morning for

1127
01:00:06,719 --> 01:00:09,639
more Full court press

