WEBVTT 1 00:00:00.120 --> 00:00:04.040 Our friend and chief meteorologist from Fox thirty one, Dave Frasier. 2 00:00:04.400 --> 00:00:07.839 Hello, Dave, Hey, good afternoon. How are you. 3 00:00:08.160 --> 00:00:08.720 I am. 4 00:00:09.160 --> 00:00:12.480 I'm cranky about the state of affairs in America, but 5 00:00:12.480 --> 00:00:14.039 I'm happy to talk to you about the weather. 6 00:00:14.119 --> 00:00:14.640 How about that? 7 00:00:15.679 --> 00:00:17.719 Yeah, I was listening, so I'm gonna tread lightly. 8 00:00:17.760 --> 00:00:18.960 I don't want to be the one to cause you 9 00:00:19.000 --> 00:00:19.960 to curse on the radio. 10 00:00:20.199 --> 00:00:22.079 No, you could never do that unless you tell me 11 00:00:22.320 --> 00:00:24.399 that we're about to have four feet of snow tomorrow, 12 00:00:24.480 --> 00:00:26.760 in which case I can make no promises that I 13 00:00:26.760 --> 00:00:29.039 would not curse you. 14 00:00:29.039 --> 00:00:31.679 No, that's not coming anytime soon that I can see. 15 00:00:32.679 --> 00:00:34.119 No, And can we talk. 16 00:00:34.000 --> 00:00:36.159 For a second. Let's not talk about the weather here 17 00:00:36.200 --> 00:00:39.280 so much. Can we talk about what's happening in California 18 00:00:39.359 --> 00:00:43.000 right now? Because are we going to get the smoke? 19 00:00:43.119 --> 00:00:45.600 Everything is on fire in southern California right now? Like 20 00:00:45.719 --> 00:00:48.679 everything is on fire? Are we going to get that 21 00:00:48.799 --> 00:00:50.799 is not going to impact our air quality? Because I 22 00:00:50.840 --> 00:00:54.359 have so far been enjoying the summer without it. But man, 23 00:00:54.479 --> 00:00:55.719 it looks like it's going to be bad. 24 00:00:56.679 --> 00:00:57.640 Yeah, it's possible. 25 00:00:57.719 --> 00:00:59.200 I think to the north and east of. 26 00:00:59.159 --> 00:01:02.880 The Front Range with the wind flow aloft and some smoke. 27 00:01:02.600 --> 00:01:03.399 Could drift in. 28 00:01:03.560 --> 00:01:05.799 So far, what we've been seeing is it's up high, 29 00:01:05.879 --> 00:01:09.159 so it's not filtering down row and we've got a 30 00:01:09.280 --> 00:01:11.719 chance with thunderstorms in the forecast that helps to stir 31 00:01:11.840 --> 00:01:14.239 the air a little bit. So for right now, that's 32 00:01:14.280 --> 00:01:18.040 not a huge concern. Plus, tomorrow our windflow be from 33 00:01:18.040 --> 00:01:21.159 a different direction, be more southerly, and so it won't 34 00:01:21.200 --> 00:01:23.599 be tapping into what's going on out west. And so 35 00:01:24.000 --> 00:01:25.760 I think for the next few days we're okay. But 36 00:01:25.799 --> 00:01:28.400 that is certainly something we're keeping an eye on, especially 37 00:01:28.439 --> 00:01:30.000 given how large those fires are. 38 00:01:30.120 --> 00:01:32.799 All right, so what are we looking at here just 39 00:01:32.840 --> 00:01:34.840 in weatherwise, Yes. 40 00:01:34.760 --> 00:01:37.719 Got a thunderstorms this afternoon. We've had a chance each 41 00:01:37.840 --> 00:01:40.959 day this week, and not much is materialized down here. 42 00:01:41.120 --> 00:01:43.760 We're in that downsloping pattern that we talk about where 43 00:01:43.799 --> 00:01:46.200 the storms kind of make their way from the mountains 44 00:01:46.200 --> 00:01:48.439 down over the face of the foothills and that downward 45 00:01:48.480 --> 00:01:50.840 motion drives them out. So while we've had a few 46 00:01:50.879 --> 00:01:53.480 sprinkles up and down the front range, I think today 47 00:01:53.519 --> 00:01:56.120 there's just a slightly better setup that we'll get some 48 00:01:56.200 --> 00:01:58.640 wedding rains in a few areas, But don't hold your 49 00:01:58.640 --> 00:02:01.760 breath for rain today chance twenty to thirty percent chance, 50 00:02:02.079 --> 00:02:02.840 and then after. 51 00:02:02.640 --> 00:02:05.120 That we go back to a dry conditions. 52 00:02:05.200 --> 00:02:07.719 I don't really have much going on for rain chances 53 00:02:07.760 --> 00:02:10.439 in the forecast. The eastern plains east of Denver on 54 00:02:10.479 --> 00:02:13.039 Sunday might see a stray storm, but otherwise I've got 55 00:02:13.039 --> 00:02:15.840 Denver's forecast right. The good news is once we get 56 00:02:15.840 --> 00:02:19.879 past tomorrow's ninety degree day, I don't see any more nineties. 57 00:02:19.919 --> 00:02:22.080 And the deeper we get into September, it's hard to 58 00:02:22.120 --> 00:02:24.479 reach ninety because of the shorter days of the low 59 00:02:24.560 --> 00:02:25.080 sun angle. 60 00:02:25.240 --> 00:02:26.680 Okay, good, I'm okay with that. 61 00:02:27.319 --> 00:02:30.520 I'm enough with the ninety I'm ready for our like 62 00:02:30.919 --> 00:02:35.840 two and a half weeks of fall we get before we. 63 00:02:35.800 --> 00:02:37.919 Get the first biged no storm. I just I don't know. 64 00:02:38.000 --> 00:02:39.719 I like this weather. I like it in the eighties. 65 00:02:39.759 --> 00:02:41.400 That we're coming into the time of year that I 66 00:02:41.439 --> 00:02:45.039 really really enjoy the most in Colorado. And I know 67 00:02:45.120 --> 00:02:47.639 that you know some people askew this time of year 68 00:02:47.680 --> 00:02:49.879 and they're like, oh, it's mud season. It's unpredictable that 69 00:02:49.960 --> 00:02:52.840 this is my favorite time of the year weatherwise. 70 00:02:52.919 --> 00:02:54.199 Here. It just seems like. 71 00:02:54.439 --> 00:02:56.800 We've got some crazy blips here or there, but for 72 00:02:56.840 --> 00:02:58.159 the most part, it's pretty stable. 73 00:02:59.280 --> 00:03:02.240 Yeah, it is, and that's the great that's the word 74 00:03:02.280 --> 00:03:04.039 to describe it, the stable part of it. I mean, 75 00:03:04.080 --> 00:03:06.879 you've got your beautiful upper seventies eighties during the day, 76 00:03:07.159 --> 00:03:09.360 she get to enjoy the warmth. The days are shorter, 77 00:03:09.479 --> 00:03:12.599 so that warmth or in some people's opinion, that he 78 00:03:13.039 --> 00:03:15.159 doesn't stick around long. And then you've got your crisp 79 00:03:15.199 --> 00:03:17.639 overnight loads in the upper forties and sidties. I just 80 00:03:17.800 --> 00:03:20.240 was out running a few errands and that was something 81 00:03:20.280 --> 00:03:22.199 that somebody had pulled me aside and said, I love 82 00:03:22.240 --> 00:03:24.879 this time of the year because of those low overnight loads. Yeah, 83 00:03:25.120 --> 00:03:27.439 the windows open and it's cool, and so that's the 84 00:03:27.479 --> 00:03:31.599 benefit of September and October in my opinion, two of 85 00:03:31.639 --> 00:03:34.360 the best months of the year. However, they are snow months, 86 00:03:34.400 --> 00:03:36.719 so you can see wild swings. We've seen that, we 87 00:03:36.840 --> 00:03:40.080 know that happens. We've had blizzards, we've had shockingly cold 88 00:03:40.120 --> 00:03:43.240 outbreaks that kind of killed vegetation. So they're not per 89 00:03:43.280 --> 00:03:45.879 seine when it comes to the weather. But overall, that 90 00:03:46.120 --> 00:03:48.439 stable kind of what you expect is fantastic. 91 00:03:48.520 --> 00:03:51.639 Yeah, Dave, I got a question that we've talked about 92 00:03:51.680 --> 00:03:53.719 in the past, but I think it's a very common question, 93 00:03:53.879 --> 00:03:56.400 so let's answer it again. And it says, what does 94 00:03:56.400 --> 00:03:59.680 it actually mean when they say a certain percentage of rain, 95 00:03:59.759 --> 00:04:01.719 like a fort chance of rain? 96 00:04:01.800 --> 00:04:03.520 Does that mean how much chance. 97 00:04:03.319 --> 00:04:06.000 You have over all or for a particular area in 98 00:04:06.039 --> 00:04:06.639 your city? 99 00:04:06.759 --> 00:04:08.639 So how do you come up with that number? 100 00:04:09.520 --> 00:04:14.120 It's a calculation that's based on a geographical area, and 101 00:04:14.159 --> 00:04:14.919 I we. 102 00:04:15.240 --> 00:04:16.959 We struggle with this all the time. 103 00:04:17.759 --> 00:04:20.120 You know, either way you look at it, it is 104 00:04:20.160 --> 00:04:23.839 a chance, right. The percentage should give you some idea 105 00:04:24.120 --> 00:04:26.279 of whether that chance is a low risk that you'll 106 00:04:26.319 --> 00:04:29.319 run into rain or a widespread chance that you know, 107 00:04:29.319 --> 00:04:30.079 we're going to see it. 108 00:04:30.120 --> 00:04:31.040 Just about everywhere. 109 00:04:31.199 --> 00:04:35.079 But it's not calculated to whether or not it's going 110 00:04:35.120 --> 00:04:38.560 to rain. It's just a matter of in a geographical area. 111 00:04:39.079 --> 00:04:41.879 You take that geographical area, divide it out, you look 112 00:04:41.879 --> 00:04:44.240 at the risk factors as it comes to rain, and 113 00:04:44.240 --> 00:04:47.519 there's a mathematical formula that calculates out that it's a 114 00:04:47.560 --> 00:04:50.600 twenty percent risk or it's a thirty percent risk because 115 00:04:50.639 --> 00:04:54.040 in that geographical square, let's just call it, there's. 116 00:04:53.839 --> 00:04:55.199 Probably going to be rained. 117 00:04:55.279 --> 00:04:58.680 But the chance is so remote and it's so scattered 118 00:04:58.720 --> 00:05:00.439 and convective that you know. 119 00:05:00.399 --> 00:05:01.879 The risk is low for most people. 120 00:05:01.879 --> 00:05:04.199 But as I jokingly said before, if I tell you 121 00:05:04.240 --> 00:05:06.120 there's a thirty percent chance of brain and you're the 122 00:05:06.120 --> 00:05:08.639 one coming out of the grocery store caring groceries and 123 00:05:08.680 --> 00:05:11.360 it rained on you, your chance just went to one hundred. 124 00:05:12.600 --> 00:05:14.879 Okay, let me ask this question. I think this is 125 00:05:14.920 --> 00:05:15.480 a good question. 126 00:05:15.519 --> 00:05:18.959 How many hours in a day constitutes a sunny day? 127 00:05:19.519 --> 00:05:21.439 Because even on a sunny day, you can have a 128 00:05:21.439 --> 00:05:25.319 straight cloud here and there, it's not partly cloudy. So 129 00:05:25.759 --> 00:05:27.519 how many hours do you have to have or how 130 00:05:27.560 --> 00:05:28.480 clear does it have to be? 131 00:05:30.839 --> 00:05:32.480 It's going to be based on I think of the 132 00:05:32.600 --> 00:05:33.839 adjective as the sky. 133 00:05:33.920 --> 00:05:34.800 So if you say it's. 134 00:05:34.639 --> 00:05:37.240 Going to be partly sunny, clouds are going to win out. 135 00:05:37.279 --> 00:05:39.079 If you say it's going to be partly cloudy, the 136 00:05:39.120 --> 00:05:41.480 sun's going to be a little more so it's only 137 00:05:41.560 --> 00:05:42.120 part of the. 138 00:05:42.079 --> 00:05:43.399 Sky that will be covered out. 139 00:05:44.000 --> 00:05:44.199 You know. 140 00:05:45.160 --> 00:05:48.079 The Chamber of Commerce joke here is that I shouldn't 141 00:05:48.120 --> 00:05:50.560 call it a joke because they market on it, is 142 00:05:50.560 --> 00:05:52.639 that we get three hundred days of sunshine. It's actually 143 00:05:52.680 --> 00:05:55.839 closer to about two sixty to two seventy. So most 144 00:05:55.959 --> 00:05:59.240 days it's about how much of the cloud cover is 145 00:05:59.240 --> 00:06:02.319 going to block the sky, and then you weigh that 146 00:06:02.439 --> 00:06:04.920 out versus, you know, the duration to figure out is 147 00:06:04.920 --> 00:06:06.720 it a partly cloudy, is it a partly sunny, is 148 00:06:06.759 --> 00:06:09.560 it mostly cloudy? Is it mostly sunny? And so there 149 00:06:09.560 --> 00:06:11.519 are there's no hard line. 150 00:06:11.319 --> 00:06:13.079 To the hours, but if you. 151 00:06:12.959 --> 00:06:14.800 Look at what we look at and you look at 152 00:06:14.800 --> 00:06:16.959 the computer models and stuff, it's pretty easy to say, 153 00:06:17.199 --> 00:06:19.240 like today is going to be a partly cloudy day. 154 00:06:19.319 --> 00:06:21.240 So we kind of break it up a little better 155 00:06:21.319 --> 00:06:25.079 language morning sunshine, increasing clouds, turning cloud in the afternoon 156 00:06:25.079 --> 00:06:26.959 with showers and thunderstorms. We're trying to be a little 157 00:06:26.959 --> 00:06:29.959 more specific than just the adjective describing the sky. 158 00:06:30.480 --> 00:06:34.120 So here's the question, do you know the record for 159 00:06:34.199 --> 00:06:37.079 the most days in a row of not getting below 160 00:06:37.360 --> 00:06:38.199 fifty degrees? 161 00:06:39.959 --> 00:06:41.639 So as the low, I guess yeah. 162 00:06:41.800 --> 00:06:44.639 Or blow off the top of my head. 163 00:06:44.680 --> 00:06:47.959 Now I would have to go in and use our 164 00:06:48.079 --> 00:06:51.519 analyzer for historic data to see what that is. So 165 00:06:51.680 --> 00:06:55.240 not going below fifty degrees so that would include overnight lows. 166 00:06:55.439 --> 00:06:57.040 I have to go and pull that and see what 167 00:06:57.079 --> 00:06:57.439 that is. 168 00:06:57.480 --> 00:06:59.879 Well, now I want to know my head. No, yes, 169 00:07:00.079 --> 00:07:02.040 well I'll pull it and now i'll text it to 170 00:07:02.079 --> 00:07:04.920 a rod somebody just cour of days. 171 00:07:04.480 --> 00:07:05.759 Not going below fistrees. 172 00:07:05.800 --> 00:07:07.439 Okay, I'll google, I'll look into that. 173 00:07:07.519 --> 00:07:09.279 I'll pull up the historical see if I can find that. 174 00:07:09.399 --> 00:07:12.639 Okay, And this person just said Indian summer, and I'm 175 00:07:13.000 --> 00:07:16.720 I'm gonna admit something. I have a hazy idea of 176 00:07:16.759 --> 00:07:20.399 what Indian summer is, but I'm not sure what exactly 177 00:07:20.480 --> 00:07:22.560 it is because growing up in Florida, you don't really 178 00:07:22.639 --> 00:07:25.879 have seasons per se, so you don't worry about Indian 179 00:07:25.879 --> 00:07:28.199 summer because it's just summer and then like four weeks 180 00:07:28.199 --> 00:07:32.439 of cold and then summer again. Right, So what exactly 181 00:07:32.519 --> 00:07:34.160 is Indian summer and are we having one? 182 00:07:35.319 --> 00:07:35.759 Not yet? 183 00:07:35.839 --> 00:07:40.519 Now. Traditionally, it's a warm period that follows our first freeze. 184 00:07:41.000 --> 00:07:44.360 Oh okay, yeah, yeah, So you get your first freezing 185 00:07:44.399 --> 00:07:46.879 temperatures of the year, and now the freeze, the first 186 00:07:46.920 --> 00:07:48.519 freeze is behind us, and then all of. 187 00:07:48.519 --> 00:07:50.759 A sudden you enter back into a warm period. 188 00:07:51.360 --> 00:07:54.600 And that's generally the definition that is used across the country. 189 00:07:54.639 --> 00:07:58.199 So it's that that dip into oh it's winter. We're 190 00:07:58.240 --> 00:07:59.800 freezing now, and then all of a sudden, that's fake. 191 00:08:00.360 --> 00:08:01.120 It's warm again. 192 00:08:01.199 --> 00:08:03.480 Yeah, that's the we have fake winter and then back 193 00:08:03.519 --> 00:08:06.319 to end of summer kind of thing. Okay, good now, 194 00:08:06.319 --> 00:08:10.480 I just learned something very much. Just came back from Kansas. 195 00:08:10.600 --> 00:08:12.839 It was cooler there for the last four days than 196 00:08:12.920 --> 00:08:14.639 here in Kansas. 197 00:08:14.800 --> 00:08:15.560 What's that about? 198 00:08:16.920 --> 00:08:19.759 So they were just the weather pattern has been driving 199 00:08:19.759 --> 00:08:22.319 storms to the east of us, and so they've had 200 00:08:22.360 --> 00:08:24.839 a little more benefit of a northerly flow than we have. 201 00:08:25.240 --> 00:08:28.000 We've been in more of a southwesterly flow. We've been 202 00:08:28.079 --> 00:08:31.639 tapping still into desert, dry hot air, and that's what's 203 00:08:31.639 --> 00:08:34.840 been pushing us. I mean, we're eleven days into the month, 204 00:08:35.000 --> 00:08:37.480 and five of the days so far in September then 205 00:08:37.519 --> 00:08:40.440 at ninety degrees or higher. None of those temperatures on 206 00:08:40.480 --> 00:08:43.679 those hot days reached record levels. But the average right 207 00:08:43.720 --> 00:08:46.440 now for Denver's eighty two. So you can think, you know, 208 00:08:46.480 --> 00:08:49.960 we're running five days above I think, right, five days 209 00:08:49.960 --> 00:08:53.679 at ninety or higher, four days at eighty or higher, 210 00:08:53.759 --> 00:08:57.000 and one day most people won't remember it, that refreshing 211 00:08:57.080 --> 00:09:00.240 day we had almost two weeks ago on Thursday, we 212 00:09:00.240 --> 00:09:01.080 were in the seventies. 213 00:09:01.519 --> 00:09:03.120 I still remember it fondly, Dave. 214 00:09:03.480 --> 00:09:06.799 I remember it fondly that Thursday, a couple of weeks ago, 215 00:09:06.840 --> 00:09:09.399 when it was just delightful. I'm looking forward to more 216 00:09:09.440 --> 00:09:11.639 of those days. Dave Fraser, thank you again for your time. 217 00:09:11.879 --> 00:09:14.279 I look forward to your text about how many days 218 00:09:14.559 --> 00:09:17.720 in a row without going below fifty degrees we've had. 219 00:09:18.679 --> 00:09:20.200 I'll get it to you shortly, all right. 220 00:09:20.120 --> 00:09:21.799 Thanks Dave. See, this is why we do this.