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Speaker 1: You are.

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Speaker 2: Welcome to the best sports betting show of the planet.

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This is Wager Talk Today. I am your host, Andy Lang.

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It is Thursday Today. You're gonna hear from Johnny. We're

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gonna get a big steam report. We're going to hear

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from Dave Mason, bookmaker, from Ben online dot ag where

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the sharp money is going. We're gonna talk a little

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college football UFC Shanghai with Kyle Anthony, NFL preseason breakdowns.

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You're gonna get information here that most betters are not

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going to get. So if you want the edge, this

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is where you find it. Let's get started here. Let's

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bring on it. Geohnny. While we're doing that, hit the

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like button, Guys, Ad, Steve Ross, Johnny are my only friends?

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Brent all Right?

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Speaker 1: Brother?

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Speaker 2: Well, hey, sometimes you just keep a very very close

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circle of friends. Brent, happy to be a part of it.

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In a happy Thursday, Johnny, haven't seen you in a

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couple of days. How's everything going. I know it's a busy,

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busy Thursday.

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Speaker 3: Amazing. Yeah, absolutely, really really busy Thursday. I have to

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get up really early because we've been hiring on the tennis,

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and that tennis has just been stealing man. They went

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six and oh yesterday with a plus two seventy a

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plus one point fifteen. It was like they're just the

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first day they split. I think we hit one more

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bet than we lost, and since then, I don't think

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we've lost the bet. But I can't even use them

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and I'm not even going to give out the tennis.

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Forgive me. Last time I gave out the tennis here

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I had to get belted by customer service about all

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the line. Move the line, bro, what do you think

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they're going to do? These are they're not They're qualifiers.

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They're not even the main tournament. If I bet it,

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it's gonna move. Like if you don't want to know

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the information, I won't share the information, But like, what

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could I do? I'm giving it as I'm betting it,

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and I can't help it if no one else is

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betting the other side. These are qualifiers. If they can't

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write a bet on the other team, they're going to

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move it a lot. And there's not anyone else really

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betting these qualifiers except us, So if we bet minus

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one ten within minutes, it's gonna get them on seventy.

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That's not my fault. I can't control that. I just said,

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you know what I talked to Johnny. I said, I'm

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just gonna save the headache and just not release any

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tennis unless it's a major, major tournament towards the end

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where everybody could get down, because it's just not worth

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dealing with the headache of like, I can't help if

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you don't have aunds, you don't have ounds, don't bet it.

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I forgive me, but I just I can't believe it.

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You get out free information, they still complain. I just

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don't understand. And then there's guys giving out saying the

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guys are selling same game parlays out there, and they're

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pissed that I'm giving plus one to eighty money lines

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that go off at one fifty. You know what I mean.

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Speaker 2: Well, we had a tennis play that's opened at minus

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one twenty and it closed at minus two seventy five.

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Speaker 3: So guilty, that's what it's supposed to do.

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Speaker 2: Oops, Yeah, that's what it's Sorry, Yeah, it happens. It happens. Well,

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I want to talk data White Contender series here towards

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the end, but we have a lot of lines to

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look at.

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Speaker 3: H I got a lot of a lot of NFL,

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A lot of preseason small college football, I mean small

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major league baseball, not too much, but a lot of

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a lot of NFL.

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Speaker 2: Well, let's talk NFL and college football. Huge move on

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the Giants. The New England open minus two and a

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half now Giants or minus six.

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Speaker 1: And a half.

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Speaker 2: I totally get that. Who I can't believe they open

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New England as a favorite in that one. I see,

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we got a couple of totals here. What are you

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seeing from your end on the steam report?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, and you gotta be careful because both games tonight

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did get steamed, but not if the numbers are sent

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in at right now. Perfect example. One on one, Pittsburgh

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got bet at minus two minus three, and even through

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that key number, they laid minus four. But they're not

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laying the five and five and a halfs. That's the

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piggybankers and recreational betters laying that bad number. And under

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thirty six and a half also got sharp money. Same

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thing with the Giants. I saw all the way up

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to minus four for minus two and a half. I

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saw up the minus four, but right now when I'm

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seeing in recreational accounts, they're laying minus six with the Giants,

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or they're teasing the Giants. They're teasing in preseason to

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get the Giants down to a pick on. Let me

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explain something to you. When you use a teaser and

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you take a minus six down to a pick them,

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you do not have that team on the money line

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because you now have to hit another bet and you're

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laying minus one thirty for that privilege. So you don't

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have team ay at a pick them like you think.

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You have two teams that both have to win at

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an adjusted number with added veig So there's more pieces

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to the puzzle than just getting the Giants down to

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a pick them, So be cautious with using creativity to

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get a bet that you think is giving you a

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better price when it really ultimately isn't. Real fast, I'll

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go through these quickly because Saturday, Friday and Saturday there's

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a ton of NFL. Let me try to point you

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guys in some of the right directions. One ten Tennessee,

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Tennessee minus one and a half, two and a half,

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and three. But when it got to four and a half,

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I saw take back on Minnesota. That shows you when

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the lines moved significantly. The only question you have to

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ask yourself, is now is there value on the other side,

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because I already missed the boat one eleven, Chicago at

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plus three. Also Little Ony last sprinkled on Chicago one sixteen,

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Cincinnati plus three and a half and plus three the Piggybackers,

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they're laying points with Cincinnati. The Steamchasers laid one and

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a half. They laid two, and I'm sure the public

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will get them up to three. But rest the short

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the sharp side is Cincinnati at plus three and a half,

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at plus three, not minus one and a half, not

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minus two, not minus three, So be cautious. Numbers matter

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they like at the end of the day, you gotta

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be betting good numbers. Indianapolis, Cincinnati also under thirty eight

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and a half and thirty seven and a half, one

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twenty Cleveland minus three and a half and four. They

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started seeing what was happening, and this book started moving significantly.

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So before they go minus three and a half, minus four,

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minus four and a half, maybe to four and a half,

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then the six that didn't happen. You're starting to see

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a preseason. Once a key number gets hit, like three,

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and then through the key number gets hit, they're really

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a justin. So they're going from minus three and a

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half minus four to minus seven, and that's when you

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started seeing take back on the rams at plus seven.

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So Cleveland minus three and a half and poor Rams

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plus seven both sharp bets. Just the different number one

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twenty over thirty seven and a half thirty eight rams

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Cleveland one twenty four, Green Bay minus one, one twenty six,

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Miami minus one and a half, Autoway to minus three.

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Piggybackers are betting all the way up to minus five

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and one twenty seven. Buffalo plus one also sold Vegas

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and Chargers in there, but need to get more confirmation again.

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As my subscribers will tell you, I think I might

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have released only two NFL so far this week, coming

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off with ten and four week two because I've waited

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for confirmation. Made the mistake in the first week that

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cost us. That's not going to happen again. So I

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know I'm releasing a lot of sharp information, but you

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got to remember, with the lines moving so significantly, there

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will be take back. So for premium plays, we're gonna

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wait and wait for strong, strong confirmations. Staying selective in preseason,

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especially Love.

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Speaker 2: It, Love It College football. I see we got a

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lot of movement on the total in the Stanford Hawaii

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game open fifty five and a half, that's down to

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fifty and a half. Makes sense. You got a Stanford

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team that, you know, lot of things up in the air,

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and the Hawaii team just doesn't the juggernaut that it

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once was. Anything else in college football of note, No,

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just the two.

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Speaker 3: Way action in Kansas State in Iowa State, Like, I

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saw early sharp action on the Kansas State side, and

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then at three and a half, I was seeing Iowa

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State getting picked off. And then in the Kansas Fresno

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state Fresno was one of those summer steam moves where

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you saw they took out the fourteen and a half.

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So they took out the fourteen on Fresno. Makes sense.

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Once it got down the twelve, I did see some

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sharp betters lay the twelve with Kansas, and actually I

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like that side. I thought Kansas anything less than two

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touchdowns I thought was the right side. So when I

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saw the Fresno steam it kind of got me off

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the game. But now I'm starting to see some Kansas

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sharp money come back, so kind of leaning that way

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as well. And yeah, the Hawaii game Hawaii and the

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public and the wise guys are on Hawaii. The whyse

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Like I said on Ben on It, I gave out

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Hawaii to my subscribers weeks ago on the money line

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at minus one fifteen. I think that money line is

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up there like minus one thirty one thirty five. So

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we got a good number, which is good. But I

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don't like when the sharps and the public are all

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on the same side and the books aren't reflecting that,

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meaning Hawaii should be a three point favorite right now.

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The reason they're not a three point favorite is probably

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any three that went out there there was by orders

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taken on the dog on Stanford or else, we'd be

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looking at threes probably across the boarder, because Hawaii is

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a lot of risk for the books already, and I

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think it's just gonna pole up between now and kickoff, all.

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Speaker 2: Right, anything in baseball I see Colorado, yeah money, yep.

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Speaker 4: You Colorado again becomes Darling right now. Colorado is the

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wise guy Darling. Not only are they betting Colorado to

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win games on the money line, but they're betting Colorado

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on the run line as well, where you're not.

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Speaker 3: Getting as you know, as good odds. But here's you

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gotta remember with Colorado, they've been making you a lot

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of money of late. This is a team now that's

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won seven of their last ten games.

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Speaker 2: Okay, amazing two.

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Speaker 5: Two of the three of.

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Speaker 3: Those games they were two to one or better as dogs.

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They were never less than plus one fifty. That's the

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great equal liser man the money line in sports. And

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just like the points spread in point in spread bets,

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and we talked about that. You know, this is the

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time of the year where it's gonna be hard to

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make money in baseball if you're going with the narrative,

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and that means betting, though, teams that need to win

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to get in the playoffs are jockey and for position

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and fading. Those teams that have been bad all season.

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Those teams that have been bad all season, they're bringing

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up youth right now. Those kids got a reason to play.

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They are trying to make the team. They're trying to

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play in Major League Baseball, not TRIPLEA. So they're gonna

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bring it each and every night. And it's hard to

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bet these teams because of how bad they've been all year.

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But Colorado is a perfect example of that. If you're

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getting plus two hundred. You gotta win one out of

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three bets just to break even. And we talked about

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it in the beginning of the year. Very few teams

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when the season's over are gonna win less than thirty

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percent of their games. It's only those seasons where it's

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an outlier. So keep that in mind over the next

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six weeks because you're gonna have to run into some

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of those burning buildings if you want to make money

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in baseball.

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Speaker 2: You know, I'm looking at the standings in the last

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ten games, and here's who have the best best records

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the last ten games. The yank the Braves, and the

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Rockies will who.

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Speaker 3: You couldn't talk people into it like you's you could

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have gave them your money to bet it and they

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wouldn't have bet it.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, uh anything on road to UFC. We have

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a question about road to UFC. I run for the

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hills on road to UFC. That is such a dangerous

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that's such a dangerous use. Those fights are very dangerous

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to bet on. The only thing I like And she's

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already minus two seventy five. Bruna Brazil in the main

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event means she I means she's coming off an unbelievably

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devastating knockout, like she put the girl in the hospital,

240
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but the fact that she was getting her ass kicked

241
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before that at Bruna Brazil. You, I mean, she's not

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great in the UFC, but she is UFC caliber. But

243
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it's minus two seventy five. I don't have anything else

244
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in road to UFC. I do not bet on those

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fights you.

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Speaker 3: No, I do. Actually, I just like that small promotions PFL, LFA,

247
00:11:58,240 --> 00:12:01,919
but I'm very very selective. I'll straight I did all

248
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UFC because I have to send them in some betting

249
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notes each and every week. So I've been working on

250
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that card over the last two days and plan today

251
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to dig into those roads, the UFC and PFL. So

252
00:12:12,440 --> 00:12:15,559
maybe have something for you guys, and check the free

253
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PA picks page as well. Nothing there, But someone asked

254
00:12:19,360 --> 00:12:21,960
titan Ast about Yankees Boston. I like the Yankees. I

255
00:12:22,000 --> 00:12:24,360
like the Yankees. I like them at the opener a

256
00:12:24,399 --> 00:12:26,919
lot more than the current price. But I think it's

257
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a Yankee favored or pass right now in that game,

258
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I think it's the Yankees are a pass. The problem is,

259
00:12:31,159 --> 00:12:33,799
again the lines moved a little too significantly.

260
00:12:34,679 --> 00:12:37,159
Speaker 2: I gotta ask you about Contender Series. That was one

261
00:12:37,200 --> 00:12:41,519
of my biggest winning nights ever in Contender Series. Just

262
00:12:41,600 --> 00:12:44,639
watching live, I told you'd like that him and his guy. Also,

263
00:12:45,759 --> 00:12:49,440
he's really really good man. I love that guy. We

264
00:12:49,679 --> 00:12:54,279
we did our live show and listen Quozy nothing but respect.

265
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We unloaded on him walking that port, watch him walk

266
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out to the octagon, that it was a land going

267
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to be slaughtered. What was it like in the building. Uh,

268
00:13:05,919 --> 00:13:07,919
there's obviously a lot more energy and a lot more

269
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positive one.

270
00:13:09,279 --> 00:13:12,200
Speaker 3: It was a total difference between like what a contrast

271
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between week one and week two. It was almost like

272
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once that first fight ended, it was like, okay, now

273
00:13:18,200 --> 00:13:20,879
we're back to normal. Okay, now now the contendancy is

274
00:13:20,879 --> 00:13:24,120
back to normal because we were coming off three decisions

275
00:13:24,440 --> 00:13:27,039
the week, four decisions out of five fights in the

276
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week prior, you know, not signing a bunch of guys.

277
00:13:31,600 --> 00:13:34,639
So yeah, it was like b Joe Pifer all over again.

278
00:13:34,840 --> 00:13:37,159
And that's exactly what we saw in week two with

279
00:13:37,279 --> 00:13:40,240
the finishes. It's funny because you saw a lot of

280
00:13:40,240 --> 00:13:43,679
those lines move significantly. And here's what mistake that betters

281
00:13:43,720 --> 00:13:47,080
make with Contender Series that I've realized these lines move

282
00:13:47,120 --> 00:13:50,120
a lot, and if you're not getting down early, then

283
00:13:50,159 --> 00:13:55,039
you're forcing yourself to either parlay or get creative. So

284
00:13:55,200 --> 00:13:59,559
now you're making already a difficult exercise even harder. It's

285
00:13:59,559 --> 00:14:04,200
hard to off to determine the outcome between two human

286
00:14:04,240 --> 00:14:06,919
beings at that particular time on that day, how they're

287
00:14:06,919 --> 00:14:09,039
going to perform, Like there's a lot of randomness to

288
00:14:09,159 --> 00:14:12,840
that question, but then how they're gonna do it, Not

289
00:14:13,000 --> 00:14:14,840
just if they're gonna do it, but then how they're

290
00:14:14,840 --> 00:14:16,559
gonna do it. Are they gonna sub are they gonna

291
00:14:16,600 --> 00:14:18,519
knock out? Are think there's gonna be a decision? Like

292
00:14:18,639 --> 00:14:21,759
now you're going to making it adding levels of thinking

293
00:14:21,799 --> 00:14:24,399
that makes it so much harder. You're going so far

294
00:14:24,519 --> 00:14:27,279
out on the risk curve and the return is never

295
00:14:27,480 --> 00:14:30,480
worth it. Like if you're forcing yourself to have to

296
00:14:30,480 --> 00:14:32,360
get more creative to place a bet, you shouldn't be

297
00:14:32,360 --> 00:14:35,159
placing it. If there's not value at minus five hundred,

298
00:14:35,559 --> 00:14:37,720
then let it go. I'm not telling you to go

299
00:14:37,759 --> 00:14:40,200
out there and lay minus five hundreds, because you know

300
00:14:40,279 --> 00:14:43,399
that's how you go broke really fast. But what it

301
00:14:43,440 --> 00:14:45,480
means is you just missed the boat. You might like

302
00:14:45,559 --> 00:14:47,720
that sign. It was a great bet at minus three hundred.

303
00:14:47,840 --> 00:14:50,200
Now you can't let it go for the next one

304
00:14:50,200 --> 00:14:53,399
and next time fired, fire sooner, pull the trigger sooner,

305
00:14:53,679 --> 00:14:57,039
but don't wait till the end like I have to

306
00:14:57,080 --> 00:14:59,600
do for the show. Like that's the least optim I'm betting.

307
00:14:59,600 --> 00:15:02,080
I'm bet in the Contender series, which is hard enough,

308
00:15:02,279 --> 00:15:06,440
but I'm betting closing lines a contender series on the show.

309
00:15:06,799 --> 00:15:10,320
That's why you know what I mean suicidal? But again,

310
00:15:11,200 --> 00:15:13,720
well where that shows you just how much value because

311
00:15:13,720 --> 00:15:14,960
of the lines moved so much?

312
00:15:15,080 --> 00:15:17,519
Speaker 2: Man, Well, now that we now that you pull back

313
00:15:17,519 --> 00:15:19,480
the curtain, we're like rooting for you on our show,

314
00:15:19,879 --> 00:15:24,279
like we're like rooting hard for in an impossible situation

315
00:15:24,879 --> 00:15:28,360
on there. So it's a great Thursday. I know we

316
00:15:28,399 --> 00:15:29,799
got a big weekend ahead. What do you have up

317
00:15:29,799 --> 00:15:30,720
for everyone at wager time?

318
00:15:30,840 --> 00:15:34,240
Speaker 3: Yeah, I just said it out the second UFC bet

319
00:15:34,679 --> 00:15:37,960
for this Saturday's card, so the package will go up.

320
00:15:39,200 --> 00:15:46,840
There's the NFL for Saturday preseason already confirmed. A couple

321
00:15:46,879 --> 00:15:50,440
of bets I have Friday Week, I mean is a

322
00:15:50,480 --> 00:15:54,639
Saturday College football Week zero college football package already up

323
00:15:55,279 --> 00:15:57,519
finish number one in profit two of the last four

324
00:15:57,600 --> 00:15:59,799
years in college football turned the profit and for the

325
00:15:59,840 --> 00:16:03,120
left as fine. Loving the college football. Really ready for

326
00:16:03,159 --> 00:16:06,559
it this season, So jump on board for Saturday, and yeah,

327
00:16:06,639 --> 00:16:08,879
over these next couple months, I'm just so excited, man,

328
00:16:09,279 --> 00:16:12,559
really really excited to do some damage in football. And yeah,

329
00:16:12,600 --> 00:16:15,000
it's gonna be a busy weekend. So jump on board.

330
00:16:15,039 --> 00:16:19,559
Speaker 2: Great time, awesome stuff, Johnny. Great to have you here.

331
00:16:19,919 --> 00:16:21,360
Good to have you. Back to the Steam Report, and

332
00:16:21,360 --> 00:16:23,399
I'll see you again tomorrow. Let's have a big thurs Day.

333
00:16:23,440 --> 00:16:26,320
So all right, guys, a big special that we have

334
00:16:26,440 --> 00:16:31,000
up is by September, and you get August for free.

335
00:16:31,080 --> 00:16:33,799
Get the rest of August. What is it twenty first, Yeah,

336
00:16:33,919 --> 00:16:37,159
you get about a week and a half already of

337
00:16:37,240 --> 00:16:40,960
free plays here. So just by September, cost drops about

338
00:16:40,960 --> 00:16:43,039
forty nine dollars a week. It's less than seven bucks

339
00:16:43,080 --> 00:16:46,080
a day. We got college football, we got NFL preseason,

340
00:16:46,120 --> 00:16:48,399
we got all the big time sports, so might as

341
00:16:48,440 --> 00:16:50,519
well tackle on some free days on this back. Now,

342
00:16:51,320 --> 00:16:53,559
if you're gonna, if you're gonna latch onto a haiticap

343
00:16:53,639 --> 00:16:55,159
or do it right now. You get to all of

344
00:16:55,200 --> 00:16:57,559
September and then you're gonna get plays for this weekend here,

345
00:16:57,559 --> 00:17:00,000
So don't sit back and wait till the last second

346
00:17:00,240 --> 00:17:02,639
or the last day of August. Lock it in now,

347
00:17:02,879 --> 00:17:04,960
grab the free weeks and ride with us all the

348
00:17:04,960 --> 00:17:08,359
way through September. Again by September and get the rest

349
00:17:08,400 --> 00:17:12,039
of August free. This is good for any handicapper, so

350
00:17:12,200 --> 00:17:18,160
take advantage of that now. So let's see Gott. Gott

351
00:17:18,279 --> 00:17:21,119
keeps asking about PFL. We're not gonna do a PFL

352
00:17:21,200 --> 00:17:24,160
video because I believe those fights are tonight sketchy card.

353
00:17:24,200 --> 00:17:27,240
We have not had very good success in PFL. Bill

354
00:17:27,279 --> 00:17:30,440
a Steini by Ko over Carl Williams might be a

355
00:17:30,440 --> 00:17:33,359
good look. Carl's gonna be a wrestler, billis Steed, but honestly,

356
00:17:33,400 --> 00:17:36,400
nothing much. You got an minus eleven hundred minus twenty

357
00:17:36,440 --> 00:17:40,519
eight hundred, so not great lines, so not really gonna,

358
00:17:40,640 --> 00:17:42,920
not really gonna force it. I think it's terrible fights

359
00:17:42,920 --> 00:17:48,559
in PFL. It's absolutely awful fights. So actually, Dan, if

360
00:17:48,640 --> 00:17:51,000
Kyle's ready, let's do. Uh, let's do, let's do Kyle,

361
00:17:51,039 --> 00:17:53,680
let's let's get let's talk some UFC Shanghai. We're waiting

362
00:17:53,720 --> 00:17:56,440
for Dave Mason, so we'll bring on Kyle, and we'll

363
00:17:56,440 --> 00:17:59,240
talk UFC here. We got a weird card here. It's

364
00:17:59,240 --> 00:18:05,759
gonna start at three am my time. So awesome, Kyle.

365
00:18:05,839 --> 00:18:10,880
Nothing says, let's let's have a great, big UFC card

366
00:18:10,880 --> 00:18:14,400
and starting at three am. So let's let's bring on

367
00:18:14,519 --> 00:18:18,680
Kyle here, Yo, Dad, let's bring up there. He is there.

368
00:18:18,680 --> 00:18:21,920
He is the man, the myth of the legend, Kyle

369
00:18:22,079 --> 00:18:24,680
strange card. We're gonna to break down a couple of fights.

370
00:18:25,480 --> 00:18:27,279
I am debating whether or not I want to stay

371
00:18:27,319 --> 00:18:27,880
up and watch it.

372
00:18:28,640 --> 00:18:29,359
Speaker 5: I think debate.

373
00:18:30,559 --> 00:18:33,640
Speaker 6: The only question really is is do you stay up

374
00:18:33,640 --> 00:18:35,119
and watch it or do you.

375
00:18:35,039 --> 00:18:36,519
Speaker 5: Go to bed early and get up it.

376
00:18:36,720 --> 00:18:38,640
Speaker 6: Like there's a little bit of a game you gotta

377
00:18:38,640 --> 00:18:41,119
play there with, like do you do you try to

378
00:18:41,240 --> 00:18:42,960
just call it at night and get up early. But

379
00:18:43,240 --> 00:18:46,960
I'm probably gonna get up early and watch some of

380
00:18:47,000 --> 00:18:48,519
these fights, maybe miss some.

381
00:18:48,480 --> 00:18:52,240
Speaker 5: Of those early early prelims, but definitely gonna get up

382
00:18:52,240 --> 00:18:52,839
broadly watch it.

383
00:18:53,880 --> 00:18:56,440
Speaker 2: Well, let's talk a couple of these fights here. We

384
00:18:56,519 --> 00:18:59,880
do have some bedable opportunities, So let's start with Michelle

385
00:19:00,400 --> 00:19:05,519
and the returning Kyle Daucas Kyle, I love the opportunity

386
00:19:05,559 --> 00:19:08,279
to fade Aducas. Any time I get a Dacas in

387
00:19:08,319 --> 00:19:11,319
the UFCU, this one worries me. But I'm interested in

388
00:19:11,319 --> 00:19:12,920
your breakdown. How do you break down Michelle Prayer and

389
00:19:12,960 --> 00:19:13,880
Kyle Dawcas.

390
00:19:14,519 --> 00:19:17,359
Speaker 6: Yeah, so we have Michelle Pereira, he's sitting around minus

391
00:19:17,359 --> 00:19:20,160
two seventy on the comeback. Here we've got Kyle daucas

392
00:19:20,200 --> 00:19:23,279
He's at plus two fifteen. Now, the first thing you

393
00:19:23,279 --> 00:19:25,960
look at the Pereira fight is the fact that his

394
00:19:26,119 --> 00:19:28,960
last fight was pretty much he threw it. And I

395
00:19:29,440 --> 00:19:31,119
know that sounds crazy, but that was one of the

396
00:19:31,119 --> 00:19:33,960
worst performances we have seen from him, and almost like

397
00:19:34,000 --> 00:19:37,200
a glorified sparring match. He didn't really try against Maga Mettoff.

398
00:19:37,720 --> 00:19:39,519
You know, it was just pitter patter shot. It was

399
00:19:39,599 --> 00:19:42,720
very ugly altogether. So it's definitely gonna be hard to

400
00:19:42,759 --> 00:19:44,880
trust this guy. But when you look at really what's

401
00:19:44,920 --> 00:19:46,480
kind of going on in his body of work. You know,

402
00:19:46,519 --> 00:19:48,200
since he moved up from one to seventy to one

403
00:19:48,240 --> 00:19:50,359
eighty five, I think it's been a great move for him.

404
00:19:50,400 --> 00:19:53,000
You know, one seventy very very tough for him to make.

405
00:19:53,039 --> 00:19:55,640
He was training himself. He had multiple issues trying to

406
00:19:55,640 --> 00:19:57,880
make weight. And then once he got to one eighty five,

407
00:19:57,960 --> 00:20:00,519
you know, he definitely kept the power, you know, kept

408
00:20:00,559 --> 00:20:03,039
his strength, you know, kept a lot of the speed that.

409
00:20:03,000 --> 00:20:04,599
Speaker 5: He had even at one eighty five.

410
00:20:05,039 --> 00:20:06,720
Speaker 6: And then you look at the fact that his three

411
00:20:06,759 --> 00:20:09,799
first fights, all first round finishes, looked really good. And

412
00:20:09,839 --> 00:20:13,160
then they gave him Fluffy Hernandez, which is probably one

413
00:20:13,200 --> 00:20:15,359
of the worst stylistic matchups for him. The guy's got

414
00:20:15,440 --> 00:20:18,079
in sane cardio and sane pace, great wrestling. And even

415
00:20:18,119 --> 00:20:20,119
though with all of that and Fluffy finished him in

416
00:20:20,119 --> 00:20:22,599
the fifth round, you know, you still saw Pereira. You know,

417
00:20:22,640 --> 00:20:24,920
he heard him in the first round, almost finished him

418
00:20:24,960 --> 00:20:26,559
in the first round, and then that was kind of

419
00:20:26,599 --> 00:20:27,119
it for him.

420
00:20:27,119 --> 00:20:29,559
Speaker 5: He had that one splash, it wasn't able to get it.

421
00:20:29,680 --> 00:20:31,400
Speaker 6: And then also then he lost the next one to

422
00:20:32,119 --> 00:20:34,759
Maga metav which was a terrible performance overall. But I

423
00:20:34,799 --> 00:20:38,279
do think due to those really bad performances, I think

424
00:20:38,319 --> 00:20:41,160
the markets providing some nice opportunities here and methods of

425
00:20:41,200 --> 00:20:42,559
victory and those types of things.

426
00:20:42,599 --> 00:20:44,640
Speaker 5: And the other thing you got to look at is

427
00:20:44,680 --> 00:20:45,079
also the.

428
00:20:45,039 --> 00:20:47,799
Speaker 6: Fact this is a massive step down and competition here

429
00:20:48,119 --> 00:20:48,920
for Pereira.

430
00:20:49,079 --> 00:20:50,519
Speaker 5: You know, you're fighting these top level guys.

431
00:20:50,559 --> 00:20:52,960
Speaker 6: Fluffy's going to be fighting, you know, for a title

432
00:20:53,000 --> 00:20:56,720
possibly soon. And now you're fighting Kyle Dawcas. And you

433
00:20:56,759 --> 00:20:59,319
got Kyle Daucas here, who this is his second stint

434
00:20:59,359 --> 00:21:01,880
in the US. See, you know, his first then didn't

435
00:21:01,880 --> 00:21:04,119
really go that well. He was two four and one

436
00:21:04,160 --> 00:21:07,440
in the UFC before they cut him. He got knocked

437
00:21:07,440 --> 00:21:10,400
out back to back times and just really bad look overall.

438
00:21:10,720 --> 00:21:13,640
Then he goes to CFFC, which is a lower level organization,

439
00:21:13,720 --> 00:21:15,640
and even there, you know, he goes out there he

440
00:21:15,680 --> 00:21:17,839
does win four straight fights, but even there, you know,

441
00:21:17,880 --> 00:21:21,799
he was rock bobbled multiple times, had some really bad looks,

442
00:21:22,000 --> 00:21:24,599
and he's fighting guys that are pretty much part time fighters.

443
00:21:24,599 --> 00:21:26,640
You know, they're construction workers during the day and they're

444
00:21:26,680 --> 00:21:28,720
fighters at night. You know, these records of the guys

445
00:21:28,759 --> 00:21:32,799
that he beat six and three, eight and six, seventeen

446
00:21:32,839 --> 00:21:36,559
and nine, eight and eleven, very bottom of the barrel guys.

447
00:21:36,599 --> 00:21:39,599
And this is again a massive step down for Perera here.

448
00:21:39,880 --> 00:21:42,480
And you look at the biggest issues here for Daucas

449
00:21:42,640 --> 00:21:44,559
is going to be his durability. You know, again, knocked

450
00:21:44,559 --> 00:21:46,920
out twice before he was cut from the UFC. He's

451
00:21:47,000 --> 00:21:49,640
very hit able in the pocket, has no striking defense,

452
00:21:49,839 --> 00:21:52,359
and Pereira, if he lets his hands go, I think

453
00:21:52,400 --> 00:21:56,000
he really dominates very early in this fight here. Plus,

454
00:21:56,039 --> 00:21:59,119
I think that Daucas does need takedowns, and daucas twenty

455
00:21:59,119 --> 00:22:02,000
five percent takedown success rate not the greatest. Pereira is

456
00:22:02,000 --> 00:22:05,119
his sixty seven uh takedown defense rate. I think he

457
00:22:05,279 --> 00:22:07,400
keeps us on the beat. I think Daucas is way

458
00:22:07,440 --> 00:22:10,000
too hittable, and I think that this is providing a

459
00:22:10,000 --> 00:22:13,000
great line for inside the distance here. So getting off

460
00:22:13,240 --> 00:22:15,759
Pereira at the the minus two seventy mark, you can

461
00:22:15,759 --> 00:22:18,559
get him inside the distance sitting around plus one fifteen.

462
00:22:18,640 --> 00:22:20,839
Speaker 5: I think that is an absolutely great price here.

463
00:22:20,880 --> 00:22:22,720
Speaker 6: I don't think he if he wins this, which I

464
00:22:22,759 --> 00:22:24,599
do believe he does, I don't see this going to

465
00:22:24,640 --> 00:22:27,400
the scorecards here. I think Pereira puts it on him here.

466
00:22:27,720 --> 00:22:29,799
You know, this is a great bounce back spot. So

467
00:22:29,880 --> 00:22:31,559
I like Perera to get that finished in this fight.

468
00:22:32,920 --> 00:22:35,599
Speaker 2: I mean, I watched Dacas on the regional scene and

469
00:22:35,640 --> 00:22:37,119
he hasn't gotten better.

470
00:22:38,240 --> 00:22:40,880
Speaker 5: He's like the same fighter. He's the same with this guy,

471
00:22:41,000 --> 00:22:44,039
the same same whoa so yes.

472
00:22:44,039 --> 00:22:47,640
Speaker 2: Yeah, if Pereira has a pulse, yes, he should get right.

473
00:22:47,920 --> 00:22:50,960
Speaker 5: Let's if he tries here. If he tries here, he's

474
00:22:51,000 --> 00:22:52,759
got a great chance. That's all I'm saying.

475
00:22:53,400 --> 00:22:57,079
Speaker 2: Yeah, let's talk Austin Hubbard in Wrong Zoo. It's an

476
00:22:57,079 --> 00:22:59,680
Austin Hubbard fight, so you know it's going the distance.

477
00:23:00,720 --> 00:23:03,680
Wrong Zoo. Pretty incredible story. I like this guy. He's

478
00:23:03,680 --> 00:23:06,400
twenty five years old, He's had like thirty fights. This

479
00:23:06,519 --> 00:23:09,079
is a guy that comes from an orphanage where they

480
00:23:09,119 --> 00:23:12,799
literally get dropped off as kids head and they get

481
00:23:12,839 --> 00:23:16,400
trained to fight. Like here, we'll we'll feed you, we'll

482
00:23:16,480 --> 00:23:19,200
give you shelter, we'll give you clothes. In exchange, you're

483
00:23:19,279 --> 00:23:22,160
gonna fight later in life, and we get thirty percent

484
00:23:22,200 --> 00:23:25,960
of your money. It's a wild story. I like where

485
00:23:25,960 --> 00:23:28,039
he's going though. I think he's got talent. I think

486
00:23:28,039 --> 00:23:30,519
he's got skill. I think he got started way too early,

487
00:23:30,559 --> 00:23:32,759
but that's just the nature of what happens when we

488
00:23:32,920 --> 00:23:35,160
come from this area. But how do you break down

489
00:23:35,200 --> 00:23:36,759
this wrong Zoo and Hubbard? I like Zoo.

490
00:23:37,720 --> 00:23:40,200
Speaker 6: Yeah, so you got wrong Zoo. Here, he's around minus

491
00:23:40,200 --> 00:23:43,079
two fifty. The comeback you have Austin Hubbard, he's about

492
00:23:43,079 --> 00:23:46,480
plus two five now, as you said, kids, twenty five

493
00:23:46,559 --> 00:23:49,680
years old, thirty two professional fights. That is just off

494
00:23:49,720 --> 00:23:51,759
the charts the amount of fights that he has had.

495
00:23:51,799 --> 00:23:54,319
And we're definitely, as you're saying, he's growing up in

496
00:23:54,319 --> 00:23:56,119
the cage and he's growing up on the job, and

497
00:23:56,160 --> 00:23:59,160
you are seeing him consistently get better. He trained now

498
00:23:59,200 --> 00:24:02,480
at CKB. I think that's definitely continuing to improve him

499
00:24:02,640 --> 00:24:05,319
get his arsenal altogether here. And one of the big

500
00:24:05,359 --> 00:24:08,000
things that he really showcased was his most recent fight

501
00:24:08,000 --> 00:24:11,119
against Cody Steele, and Cody Steele kind of a rising guy,

502
00:24:11,279 --> 00:24:12,359
you know, a rising prospect.

503
00:24:12,400 --> 00:24:14,400
Speaker 5: There was some talk about him kind of having some.

504
00:24:14,359 --> 00:24:17,119
Speaker 6: Opportunities here, but you know Wims, who goes in there

505
00:24:17,119 --> 00:24:20,720
as a plus two to eighty underdog, absolutely dominates, outperforms

506
00:24:20,720 --> 00:24:24,400
his number outlands steel one twenty seven to fifty nine

507
00:24:24,440 --> 00:24:26,000
on significant strikes.

508
00:24:25,720 --> 00:24:28,160
Speaker 5: Had a knock down, just dominated.

509
00:24:27,680 --> 00:24:29,519
Speaker 6: And again at twenty five years old, you were going

510
00:24:29,559 --> 00:24:33,599
to see massive improvements consistently with these guys, especially when

511
00:24:33,599 --> 00:24:35,519
they're in the right camp. And they're in camp like

512
00:24:35,559 --> 00:24:38,599
CKD and Hubbard. On the other side, this is another

513
00:24:38,720 --> 00:24:42,039
guy having his second stint in the UFC. You know

514
00:24:42,079 --> 00:24:45,200
they're they're bringing him in and they're shipping them to China,

515
00:24:45,319 --> 00:24:47,279
and I think that this is going to be a bad.

516
00:24:47,119 --> 00:24:48,000
Speaker 5: Situation for him.

517
00:24:48,079 --> 00:24:50,440
Speaker 6: Hubbard on his first go round, he was three and

518
00:24:50,559 --> 00:24:53,319
four in the UFC, they cut him, they put him back.

519
00:24:53,440 --> 00:24:55,599
He's now one in three in the UFC. So it's

520
00:24:55,640 --> 00:24:58,039
not that he's really getting much better either.

521
00:24:58,119 --> 00:25:00,440
Speaker 5: Here. He's a journeyman fighter overall. On I think when

522
00:25:00,440 --> 00:25:00,960
you look at.

523
00:25:00,839 --> 00:25:04,440
Speaker 6: His skill set, he's slow, he's plotty, he doesn't really

524
00:25:04,519 --> 00:25:06,559
do too much, you know, he's he's good everywhere, but

525
00:25:06,559 --> 00:25:08,960
great at nothing, you know. And he's got you know,

526
00:25:08,960 --> 00:25:10,519
he's gonna look the grind. He's gonna look to take

527
00:25:10,559 --> 00:25:12,759
him down, grind him up against the fence. A thirty

528
00:25:12,759 --> 00:25:15,480
one percent takedown success rate, I don't think that's gonna

529
00:25:15,480 --> 00:25:18,160
work out well for him. The KB guys consistently get

530
00:25:18,160 --> 00:25:20,759
better and better with their takedown defense, and wrong Zoo

531
00:25:20,799 --> 00:25:24,759
on the other side, is just really better everywhere, better, striking,

532
00:25:24,839 --> 00:25:27,759
faster hands. Takedown defense is at eighty four percent. So

533
00:25:27,839 --> 00:25:30,039
I just think that he can keep the standing land

534
00:25:30,039 --> 00:25:32,119
more the impactful shots, And that's kind of where I'm

535
00:25:32,119 --> 00:25:33,720
going with this. And as you said, you know this

536
00:25:33,799 --> 00:25:36,279
fite I do think goes the distance. I think this

537
00:25:36,359 --> 00:25:39,119
is a spot where wrong Zoo really pushes that volume out.

538
00:25:39,160 --> 00:25:41,359
He's always out volume a lot of his opponents. And

539
00:25:41,400 --> 00:25:43,599
he again that's you know, sprawl and brawl, keep it

540
00:25:43,640 --> 00:25:45,559
on the feet. And I just think when you're looking

541
00:25:45,559 --> 00:25:49,279
at Hubbard, he has nine losses, six are by decision. Here,

542
00:25:49,319 --> 00:25:51,920
I think he's got enough durability to kind of last

543
00:25:51,960 --> 00:25:53,119
get this to the scorecards.

544
00:25:53,119 --> 00:25:53,319
Speaker 5: Here.

545
00:25:53,440 --> 00:25:55,079
Speaker 6: If you got wrong Zoo, you can get off the

546
00:25:55,079 --> 00:25:57,400
minus two fifty number. You can get him at about

547
00:25:57,400 --> 00:25:59,640
to pick them anywhere from plus one hundred minus one

548
00:25:59,720 --> 00:26:02,440
zero five on the fight to go to the scorecards,

549
00:26:02,440 --> 00:26:04,440
and he wins by decision. So I think wrongs you

550
00:26:04,559 --> 00:26:07,160
win by decision here. I think he outlands them. And

551
00:26:07,200 --> 00:26:09,960
I think that Hubbard survives this and and probably gets

552
00:26:09,960 --> 00:26:10,720
cut at the end of this.

553
00:26:10,799 --> 00:26:12,680
Speaker 5: But I do like wrongs you do to get the

554
00:26:12,759 --> 00:26:13,319
job done.

555
00:26:14,319 --> 00:26:18,119
Speaker 2: Yeah, I agree, Hubbard. I mean, it's cutting season in UFC.

556
00:26:18,160 --> 00:26:20,759
They're trimming down the roster. They got Contender series, they

557
00:26:20,799 --> 00:26:22,039
got some guys that look really good.

558
00:26:22,240 --> 00:26:24,640
Speaker 1: Totally, I believe, I agree.

559
00:26:24,319 --> 00:26:26,839
Speaker 2: So we're not doing sell me. Dan is jumping on

560
00:26:26,880 --> 00:26:29,039
a flight right after this I believe it's his honeymoon

561
00:26:29,400 --> 00:26:34,759
and he doesn't avercate camera microphone, so does sell me today?

562
00:26:35,480 --> 00:26:38,279
But Kyle's UFC Shanghai. What what do you have up

563
00:26:38,319 --> 00:26:39,160
for everyone this weekend?

564
00:26:39,640 --> 00:26:41,519
Speaker 6: Yes, so this week and I do have a five

565
00:26:41,559 --> 00:26:44,799
percent play up. As Andy said, this is an early

566
00:26:45,039 --> 00:26:48,720
early card here, three thirty something like that on the

567
00:26:48,759 --> 00:26:50,319
East coast, So this can be one of those ones

568
00:26:50,359 --> 00:26:53,160
where you're gonna be able to bet on Friday, wake

569
00:26:53,279 --> 00:26:55,720
up with some profit in your account. And I think

570
00:26:55,759 --> 00:26:57,759
we've got a good spot here, So check it out.

571
00:26:57,799 --> 00:26:59,960
Wager talk dot com. Do you have two plays in there?

572
00:27:00,319 --> 00:27:00,559
Speaker 5: Again?

573
00:27:00,599 --> 00:27:02,599
Speaker 6: Always going to be adding as the closer fight night,

574
00:27:02,680 --> 00:27:04,759
So check it out wager talk dot com.

575
00:27:05,200 --> 00:27:09,319
Speaker 2: Kyle Anthony, let's cash on UFC Shanghai in the wee

576
00:27:09,480 --> 00:27:11,839
hours of the morning. Thank you so much for joining us,

577
00:27:12,039 --> 00:27:14,359
and we'll see you next week. Have a great weekend. Uh,

578
00:27:14,440 --> 00:27:16,359
we're gonna do all around the world. At the end

579
00:27:16,400 --> 00:27:19,640
of the show, we have Dave Mason and uh he's

580
00:27:19,640 --> 00:27:23,200
a busy, busy man in his cubicle, which David still

581
00:27:23,200 --> 00:27:27,200
cracks me up every single time. Uh, Happy NFL preseason,

582
00:27:27,200 --> 00:27:31,960
Happy college football season. Interested how how things are going.

583
00:27:32,039 --> 00:27:35,119
What you're what the handle has been on NFL preseason

584
00:27:35,119 --> 00:27:37,839
compared to college football. Happy Thursday, my friend.

585
00:27:38,119 --> 00:27:40,240
Speaker 1: Hey, happy Thursday. Thanks for having me.

586
00:27:41,279 --> 00:27:43,160
Speaker 5: I mean, let me see here.

587
00:27:43,720 --> 00:27:46,039
Speaker 1: I mean, the big action hasn't come in into college

588
00:27:46,039 --> 00:27:48,279
football yet, even for this weekend's games.

589
00:27:48,359 --> 00:27:51,079
Speaker 3: So let let's see here.

590
00:27:51,720 --> 00:27:55,319
Speaker 7: I mean, overall, the bigger games in college football will

591
00:27:55,359 --> 00:27:59,519
do more action. They'll do more action, but you know,

592
00:27:59,559 --> 00:28:03,359
you get a lot sharp bets on the NFL preseason,

593
00:28:03,400 --> 00:28:07,039
which really inflates the volume too. But overall the college

594
00:28:07,039 --> 00:28:09,559
football games will do more action in the NFL preseason.

595
00:28:09,599 --> 00:28:14,160
But but the NFL preseason still does really good good money.

596
00:28:14,200 --> 00:28:16,039
I mean again, but again, like I said, there's just

597
00:28:16,119 --> 00:28:19,079
so much sharp action on these NFL preseason games that

598
00:28:19,160 --> 00:28:22,960
kind of inflates the volume because you know, they're they're

599
00:28:23,000 --> 00:28:25,319
they're not you know, they're betting a lot more money

600
00:28:25,319 --> 00:28:26,640
than the recreational guys.

601
00:28:28,160 --> 00:28:31,200
Speaker 2: I'm assuming you guys had an incredible Week one of preseason.

602
00:28:32,039 --> 00:28:35,480
All the line moves kind of backfired on everyone. How

603
00:28:35,559 --> 00:28:36,640
was Week two for you guys?

604
00:28:36,960 --> 00:28:42,039
Speaker 1: Actually we got crushed. I mean, okay, yeah, we lost.

605
00:28:42,240 --> 00:28:44,599
I mean, I forget I was tweeting I was kind

606
00:28:44,640 --> 00:28:49,119
of keeping score at a day by day basis. We

607
00:28:49,200 --> 00:28:52,319
lost the first six days of preseason, and then we

608
00:28:52,400 --> 00:28:55,480
won two in a row, and then we lost again.

609
00:28:55,680 --> 00:29:00,279
So whatever that is, I guess it's what it's to

610
00:29:00,400 --> 00:29:01,119
two and seven.

611
00:29:01,160 --> 00:29:03,200
Speaker 5: I think from preseason games or something.

612
00:29:03,440 --> 00:29:05,200
Speaker 1: I might be off. I might be off one or

613
00:29:05,200 --> 00:29:08,160
two there. But I mean those you know, those odds moves,

614
00:29:08,200 --> 00:29:10,839
Like I said, you know those odds moves. I mean,

615
00:29:11,240 --> 00:29:13,119
the sharp guys are taking advantage of that. So you're

616
00:29:13,160 --> 00:29:15,920
just getting so much like I click on our sharp

617
00:29:16,000 --> 00:29:18,319
tab here and it's just like all these games is

618
00:29:18,359 --> 00:29:20,759
have two way sharp action on it, you know, and

619
00:29:20,799 --> 00:29:24,400
it's the the line moves are so violent and it's

620
00:29:24,400 --> 00:29:27,400
just a race for information and it's so much easier

621
00:29:27,400 --> 00:29:30,839
than ever to get information on these games. And you know,

622
00:29:30,880 --> 00:29:35,240
we got one or two guys battling managing all these games,

623
00:29:35,279 --> 00:29:37,880
battling all these sharps, getting all this information, and we're

624
00:29:37,880 --> 00:29:39,960
moving off their stuff and next thing, you know, these

625
00:29:40,200 --> 00:29:42,400
these odds move and they're flip. You know, one team

626
00:29:42,480 --> 00:29:44,759
was minus three the open minus three and they close

627
00:29:45,119 --> 00:29:47,519
plus four. I mean, it's just but you can get

628
00:29:47,599 --> 00:29:50,480
middled left and right it's it's it's it's not fun.

629
00:29:50,519 --> 00:29:52,640
We can't wait till the NFL regular season.

630
00:29:55,279 --> 00:29:58,240
Speaker 2: Brent was asking, as they're more like just today, are

631
00:29:58,240 --> 00:30:00,400
you going to take more handle on the a couple

632
00:30:00,400 --> 00:30:02,720
of NFL preseason games or the baseball slate?

633
00:30:07,559 --> 00:30:10,000
Speaker 1: It depends on baseball game, but you know the biggest

634
00:30:10,039 --> 00:30:14,000
baseball games. Yeah, we'll do more. We'll do more voum

635
00:30:14,039 --> 00:30:16,400
on them. But again that the limits are higher there too, right,

636
00:30:16,519 --> 00:30:18,640
you know we're doing like fifteen thousand and you get

637
00:30:18,640 --> 00:30:23,480
all that sharp guys that runs it up lower level,

638
00:30:24,480 --> 00:30:27,440
you know, MLB games that aren't getting much interest. You'll

639
00:30:27,440 --> 00:30:30,799
do more on the NFL preseason, but you know, overall

640
00:30:30,960 --> 00:30:34,319
more on MLB. But it's not an exact sign.

641
00:30:36,400 --> 00:30:40,559
Speaker 2: I'm looking forward to, Uh, to college football and NFL

642
00:30:40,680 --> 00:30:45,200
Week one. What you guys open lines for Week one?

643
00:30:45,440 --> 00:30:48,359
College football? Week one NFL? Have you seen any line

644
00:30:48,359 --> 00:30:51,640
movements for sharp action on any of those games? Uh?

645
00:30:51,720 --> 00:30:54,680
Speaker 8: Well, I mean for this weekend for college football, I'm

646
00:30:54,720 --> 00:31:00,640
sharp the Stanford lust three and a half, West Kentucky

647
00:31:00,759 --> 00:31:03,440
minus nine and a half, Western Kentucky.

648
00:31:04,039 --> 00:31:07,079
Speaker 1: Under sixty one or more of WAHI under fifty one

649
00:31:07,119 --> 00:31:11,160
and a half or more, you know next week. Not

650
00:31:11,319 --> 00:31:13,640
a lot has come in yet. I mean there's been some,

651
00:31:13,839 --> 00:31:17,200
but you know what, they're waiting for the limits to

652
00:31:17,279 --> 00:31:21,640
go higher. You know, Minnesota nineteen minus sixteen and a half.

653
00:31:21,720 --> 00:31:27,319
What's Colorado here in Colorado plus five. But again most

654
00:31:27,359 --> 00:31:30,400
of that, you know, big sharp action will come in

655
00:31:30,480 --> 00:31:33,000
next week as the limits go higher. As far as

656
00:31:33,039 --> 00:31:35,400
the NFL, kind of same. I mean we've had we

657
00:31:35,720 --> 00:31:38,599
get some early action, but once the limits get pumped

658
00:31:38,680 --> 00:31:40,680
up in a week and two weeks and the rules

659
00:31:40,759 --> 00:31:43,039
sharp backs coming. Let's see what I got here. Kate

660
00:31:43,200 --> 00:31:49,240
c minus two and a half Giants plus seven was sharp,

661
00:31:51,960 --> 00:31:57,559
buff bus pick was sharp. So here's another long bills

662
00:31:57,720 --> 00:32:02,480
bills Now that's board. Yeah, build minus one minus one

663
00:32:02,480 --> 00:32:04,119
oh five now minus one twelve.

664
00:32:04,240 --> 00:32:06,079
Speaker 5: So there is some sharp stuff, but.

665
00:32:06,680 --> 00:32:08,640
Speaker 1: Again most of it comes in week up, once the

666
00:32:08,720 --> 00:32:09,759
limits get pumped up.

667
00:32:10,720 --> 00:32:13,400
Speaker 2: All right, have you been betting anything these days?

668
00:32:13,799 --> 00:32:14,200
Speaker 1: Uh?

669
00:32:14,680 --> 00:32:15,599
Speaker 5: A little bit, not to.

670
00:32:15,799 --> 00:32:17,680
Speaker 1: I just have a couple of play. I'm taking Iowa

671
00:32:17,720 --> 00:32:23,119
State plus three Brian Ortage plus two thirty five at

672
00:32:23,200 --> 00:32:26,759
UFC this weekend. I probably won't watch it, so I

673
00:32:26,880 --> 00:32:32,200
kind of early well yeah, so early, yeah, right, I

674
00:32:32,200 --> 00:32:33,920
won't go three thirty this morning, so.

675
00:32:34,160 --> 00:32:35,519
Speaker 5: You know, I might be up for it.

676
00:32:35,599 --> 00:32:37,319
Speaker 1: I might be it was a whole damn event. Who

677
00:32:37,319 --> 00:32:41,640
knows what my insomnia is doing on Friday morning or

678
00:32:41,680 --> 00:32:43,160
Saturday morning, wherever the hell it is.

679
00:32:44,319 --> 00:32:47,160
Speaker 2: Uh yeah, yeah, you're right. It's either early Saturday morning

680
00:32:47,200 --> 00:32:50,519
or late Friday night, depending on your sleep schedule. Here,

681
00:32:50,599 --> 00:32:53,359
so remind us about the contest that you're running at

682
00:32:53,359 --> 00:32:54,039
bet online.

683
00:32:54,359 --> 00:32:59,200
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, big contest here. We got two different survivor contests.

684
00:32:59,200 --> 00:33:02,079
We got the traditional one that's a one million dollars

685
00:33:02,160 --> 00:33:05,400
guaranteed prize pool. There's gonna be an overlay in that,

686
00:33:06,240 --> 00:33:09,680
without a doubt, So you know what that means that

687
00:33:09,759 --> 00:33:13,599
an overlay definitely get in it only thirty.

688
00:33:13,359 --> 00:33:15,640
Speaker 2: Dollars for everyone. Describing overlay is.

689
00:33:15,640 --> 00:33:18,640
Speaker 1: When we don't like collect the money enough. We don't

690
00:33:18,640 --> 00:33:22,160
collect as much money as the prize pool is. So

691
00:33:22,400 --> 00:33:25,400
you know, let's say the prize pools a million dollars,

692
00:33:25,440 --> 00:33:28,319
but we only collect eight hundred thousand. That means there's

693
00:33:28,359 --> 00:33:30,720
an overlay of two hundred thousand dollars. So it's kind

694
00:33:30,720 --> 00:33:34,079
of helps you out with a mathematical advantage kind of thing, right,

695
00:33:35,680 --> 00:33:38,200
So there will be an overlay. I'm ninety nine percent

696
00:33:38,319 --> 00:33:42,920
sure that. So that's million dollars only thirty dollars er

697
00:33:43,000 --> 00:33:46,200
inner numerous times at a discount. Then we had the

698
00:33:46,279 --> 00:33:48,160
first time ever. We're gonna do it one hundred thousand

699
00:33:48,200 --> 00:33:51,039
dollars Spread Survivor. Now, there's not going to be an

700
00:33:51,079 --> 00:33:53,599
overlay in that. We kind of went low. It's our

701
00:33:53,640 --> 00:33:55,559
first time. But we're gonna add there's gonna be no

702
00:33:55,680 --> 00:33:57,720
rate though, so we're going to add every dollar onto

703
00:33:57,759 --> 00:33:59,880
the prize pool. So if we collect two hundred grand,

704
00:34:00,279 --> 00:34:03,160
that's going to be the prize pool. So so yeah,

705
00:34:03,359 --> 00:34:05,960
get in those and that that's only twenty dollars and

706
00:34:06,079 --> 00:34:09,239
I believe twenty or twenty five I forget and numerous

707
00:34:09,239 --> 00:34:12,360
times for discounts. Spread Drivor. Obviously you know it's it's

708
00:34:12,800 --> 00:34:14,639
is what it is. It's the same thing as Survivor,

709
00:34:14,639 --> 00:34:16,559
except you're picking to get to Spread. So there's gonna

710
00:34:16,599 --> 00:34:18,840
be a lot of carnage. There's no way in hell

711
00:34:18,920 --> 00:34:20,239
that lasts the whole season.

712
00:34:23,079 --> 00:34:25,440
Speaker 2: We have a very interesting comment that I want to

713
00:34:25,480 --> 00:34:28,719
get your opinion on, David Oh boy uh okay, So

714
00:34:29,039 --> 00:34:35,199
Dale puts in the chat in quotes sharps what a joke.

715
00:34:35,480 --> 00:34:38,840
They don't win any more than squares. So when you

716
00:34:38,920 --> 00:34:42,920
say it, use the word sharp. Are you saying that

717
00:34:42,920 --> 00:34:45,280
they win more? Are you saying that they get the

718
00:34:45,320 --> 00:34:46,559
line move better?

719
00:34:47,079 --> 00:34:51,199
Speaker 1: I'm telling that, sir, is incorrect. I mean, I respectfully

720
00:34:51,280 --> 00:34:54,400
disagree that young man or old man or whoever it is.

721
00:34:54,480 --> 00:34:58,840
I mean, sharps are guys who win money long term

722
00:34:59,280 --> 00:35:02,679
on sports bet I mean it happens. People say that

723
00:35:02,840 --> 00:35:07,920
sharps don't exist is wrong. They do. They win long term,

724
00:35:08,000 --> 00:35:11,199
they they get they beat the closing number. We respect

725
00:35:11,239 --> 00:35:13,239
their actions. A lot of books don't take their action.

726
00:35:13,320 --> 00:35:15,199
I mean you just look on Twitter. You look at

727
00:35:15,239 --> 00:35:17,519
all these people complain and I got booked from the

728
00:35:17,639 --> 00:35:19,719
I have banned from this book. I got banned from

729
00:35:19,719 --> 00:35:22,400
that book. They limited me to a dollar. Why would

730
00:35:22,400 --> 00:35:25,920
those books be limiting and kicking these people out if

731
00:35:26,079 --> 00:35:28,039
if there were no such thing as sharps, a long

732
00:35:28,119 --> 00:35:32,039
term winners. They exist, and there's more than ever. There's

733
00:35:32,039 --> 00:35:34,519
more than ever because there's more information. There's all these

734
00:35:34,599 --> 00:35:37,880
damn discord groups and everything sharing information and all betting

735
00:35:37,920 --> 00:35:40,840
at once and send against and all this stuff. You know,

736
00:35:41,079 --> 00:35:43,480
it's it's and there's different levels of sharps. You know,

737
00:35:43,480 --> 00:35:47,360
there's originators who who originate the lines. We love those

738
00:35:47,400 --> 00:35:49,760
guys because they help to shape those lines. Then there's

739
00:35:49,800 --> 00:35:53,880
you know, steam Chaser's arbitrazed guides who are just you know,

740
00:35:54,239 --> 00:35:56,599
fitting plus one oh one on one something at one

741
00:35:56,599 --> 00:35:58,719
book and plus one oh one and something in our book,

742
00:35:58,719 --> 00:36:01,000
and they're just you know, make trying to make a

743
00:36:01,079 --> 00:36:03,280
penny on a dollar on all these on all these

744
00:36:03,639 --> 00:36:06,519
massive volume bets. So there's you know, then there's the

745
00:36:06,559 --> 00:36:08,400
bonus kind of guys. I don't really want to call

746
00:36:08,440 --> 00:36:10,639
them sharp, but they're they're long time winners too. There's

747
00:36:10,639 --> 00:36:14,960
different types. But yes, there are professional betters out there,

748
00:36:17,119 --> 00:36:17,920
all right.

749
00:36:19,079 --> 00:36:21,280
Speaker 2: There's anybody that would know it is it is Dave

750
00:36:21,320 --> 00:36:23,719
Bason there so Dale there you go. Yeah, there's not

751
00:36:23,760 --> 00:36:26,639
a lot of them. But but but there are sharps

752
00:36:26,639 --> 00:36:28,000
out there. That's that's that's.

753
00:36:28,159 --> 00:36:29,760
Speaker 1: Even r there was. And I wish I could sell

754
00:36:29,800 --> 00:36:31,960
here and say, yeah, there are no such things as sharps,

755
00:36:31,960 --> 00:36:34,719
and does everybody bring your action? Okay, limits are one

756
00:36:34,760 --> 00:36:37,880
hundred thousand dollars on on ping pong. Let's let's go

757
00:36:38,000 --> 00:36:41,000
at it, you know, but it's it's not the reality

758
00:36:41,039 --> 00:36:42,960
we live in here, all right, one.

759
00:36:42,920 --> 00:36:45,239
Speaker 2: Hundred thousand dollars limits in ping pong. Don't you threaten

760
00:36:45,360 --> 00:36:47,239
me with a good time darts?

761
00:36:47,239 --> 00:36:48,599
Speaker 1: Sorry dark, how about that?

762
00:36:51,639 --> 00:36:53,800
Speaker 2: Listen a true story, Dave. I followed a guy who

763
00:36:53,800 --> 00:36:57,000
bet Czechoslovakia and table tennis, and he got me banned

764
00:36:57,000 --> 00:36:58,079
from several books.

765
00:36:58,119 --> 00:37:00,280
Speaker 1: There you go, it's exactly mean out.

766
00:37:00,360 --> 00:37:02,920
Speaker 2: He was lights out. Now I can't use those books anymore.

767
00:37:02,960 --> 00:37:06,960
And he plays because everyone was getting banned. I miss

768
00:37:07,039 --> 00:37:10,440
him so much, like take a pay cut. So all right,

769
00:37:11,320 --> 00:37:13,159
Dave work, we find you on social media. He's a

770
00:37:13,199 --> 00:37:15,519
great Dave is a great follow on social media.

771
00:37:16,000 --> 00:37:19,440
Speaker 1: At Dave Mason bol come on over and say hello.

772
00:37:21,039 --> 00:37:23,960
Speaker 2: All right, thank you so much, Dave. And man, we're

773
00:37:24,000 --> 00:37:26,039
gonna get a lot of Dave Mason here coming forward

774
00:37:26,079 --> 00:37:28,920
with football season. So all right, great comments, and honestly,

775
00:37:29,039 --> 00:37:31,639
yeah and honestly, when Dave comes on, load up the questions.

776
00:37:31,840 --> 00:37:38,239
He'll he'll he'll answer just about anything. So Brent, great, Brent.

777
00:37:38,519 --> 00:37:41,159
He's a sharp. He goes five out of six every

778
00:37:41,239 --> 00:37:44,639
day in a parlay nine winner. There you go, Brent,

779
00:37:44,840 --> 00:37:50,079
Ore are in house sharp, Brent. That's a great comment.

780
00:37:50,159 --> 00:37:52,719
So all right, let's do all around the world. I

781
00:37:52,719 --> 00:37:54,840
will tell you guys, I have a w NBA prop

782
00:37:54,920 --> 00:37:56,639
of the day that is up. We do not do

783
00:37:56,719 --> 00:37:59,320
many w NBA plays for clients, this one is a

784
00:37:59,440 --> 00:38:02,639
must add. Go grab that one. Tour Championship has started,

785
00:38:02,719 --> 00:38:05,199
client place, I've already started, so if you missed out

786
00:38:05,199 --> 00:38:07,159
on those, we're gonna profit during the day and then

787
00:38:07,159 --> 00:38:09,599
we're gonna profit tonight. So WNB A prop is up.

788
00:38:09,800 --> 00:38:12,039
Like I said, we're very low volume in WNBA when

789
00:38:12,039 --> 00:38:15,360
we've hit sixty seven percent of our w NBA bets

790
00:38:15,360 --> 00:38:19,559
since the start of August. So yeah, grab that, Grab

791
00:38:19,639 --> 00:38:23,079
that w NBA best bet that's up. Am I doing

792
00:38:23,119 --> 00:38:25,800
a live stream for PFL tonight? No, No, we're gonna

793
00:38:25,840 --> 00:38:30,800
record UFC tonight and we'll get that up tomorrow here

794
00:38:30,800 --> 00:38:32,440
on the wager Talk channel. But yeah, we're winning in

795
00:38:32,480 --> 00:38:34,880
the shadows now, We're not doing a live show for PFL.

796
00:38:34,960 --> 00:38:38,920
So all right, let's uh Andy said, will put his

797
00:38:39,000 --> 00:38:42,119
company on Luke Littler. Depends on the matchup, Brett. If

798
00:38:42,159 --> 00:38:44,599
I get a good matchup, I'll absolutely lay lay the

799
00:38:44,639 --> 00:38:47,079
house on Luke Littler in the right format. All right,

800
00:38:47,119 --> 00:38:50,679
let's go all around the world here and we got

801
00:38:50,719 --> 00:38:52,960
a couple of NFL plays, and then we got a

802
00:38:53,239 --> 00:38:56,400
soccer play that was on the wager Talk page. So

803
00:38:56,400 --> 00:38:58,719
I thought that was a really good one. We have

804
00:38:58,760 --> 00:39:01,480
two NFL preseason games tonight. Let's take a look at

805
00:39:01,519 --> 00:39:03,800
two team totals. We're gonna go to the Steelers in

806
00:39:03,880 --> 00:39:06,679
the Panthers, and I like the Panthers under fifteen and

807
00:39:06,679 --> 00:39:09,440
a half on their team total. Quarterback situation is kind

808
00:39:09,440 --> 00:39:13,639
of a preseason disaster for Carolina. Dalton is hurt now,

809
00:39:14,079 --> 00:39:16,280
so young is not gonna get any playing type. So

810
00:39:16,320 --> 00:39:19,079
Plumber was ten to fourteen for eighty three yards and

811
00:39:19,119 --> 00:39:22,159
two interceptions. They scored three points last night. Back up

812
00:39:22,719 --> 00:39:24,880
defense for the Steelers should be good enough to hold

813
00:39:24,880 --> 00:39:27,159
them under two touchdowns. So I take the Panthers under

814
00:39:27,159 --> 00:39:29,920
fifteen and a half Patriots and Giants. I like the

815
00:39:29,960 --> 00:39:32,440
Giants over twenty one and a half. They set up

816
00:39:32,480 --> 00:39:34,920
great for preseason because I got a lot of depth

817
00:39:34,920 --> 00:39:39,559
at quarterback Wilson Dark Midston, DeVito. All quarterbacks with experience

818
00:39:39,599 --> 00:39:42,159
are upside. They've scored thirty one and thirty four points

819
00:39:42,239 --> 00:39:45,159
the first two games. Patriots held the opponents under their

820
00:39:45,159 --> 00:39:47,119
total of the first two games, but they played no

821
00:39:47,239 --> 00:39:50,039
good quarterbacks. No matter who the Giants put in, I

822
00:39:50,079 --> 00:39:52,519
expect them to have success. And the Patriots do not

823
00:39:52,559 --> 00:39:54,440
look like they're gonna play Drake May very much, so

824
00:39:54,480 --> 00:39:57,480
expect extended possessions from the Giants. I like them over

825
00:39:57,840 --> 00:40:00,719
twenty one and a half those year. Two NFL preseason

826
00:40:00,760 --> 00:40:04,519
games for tonight and two team totals. We're also gonna

827
00:40:04,519 --> 00:40:07,880
look at Chelsea at west Ham. Carmine likes Chelsea in regulation.

828
00:40:08,000 --> 00:40:12,559
West Ham lost three nothing, three nil, sorry, three nil

829
00:40:12,880 --> 00:40:16,280
to newly promoted Sunderland Chelsea in their last game. They

830
00:40:16,360 --> 00:40:17,800
ended up with a draw, I believe, but they had

831
00:40:17,840 --> 00:40:21,760
seventy one percent possession. They outshot the team nineteen to eleven,

832
00:40:21,800 --> 00:40:23,320
So we're looking at that. It's a little bit juicy

833
00:40:23,360 --> 00:40:25,920
around the minus one fifty, but we like Chelsea to

834
00:40:25,960 --> 00:40:29,760
win in regulation. All right. That is gonna do it

835
00:40:29,800 --> 00:40:33,039
for us today on a Thursday, Dan, have a blast,

836
00:40:33,199 --> 00:40:37,039
my brother, enjoy your vacation, enjoy the time off. We're

837
00:40:37,079 --> 00:40:39,559
gonna be back tomorrow with another episode of Wages Talk.

838
00:40:39,599 --> 00:40:41,480
Today you got Steam Report. We're gonna go over a

839
00:40:41,679 --> 00:40:45,440
huge loaded college football and NFL preseason Slate, so thank

840
00:40:45,480 --> 00:40:48,039
you very much for joining us. Don't forget Flex picks

841
00:40:48,079 --> 00:40:51,159
are up and that by September Get the rest of

842
00:40:51,320 --> 00:40:54,840
August is an incredible special. You get free plays for

843
00:40:54,920 --> 00:40:57,400
the rest of August. If you just buy September, you're

844
00:40:57,400 --> 00:40:59,400
looking at less than seven bucks a day. It's on

845
00:40:59,440 --> 00:41:02,880
the Deals Pay. It works for any handicapper, myself included.

846
00:41:02,960 --> 00:41:05,480
Let's cash in WNBA tonight. Guys, Let's do it again

847
00:41:05,519 --> 00:41:07,519
tomorrow and get you ready for the weekend. Hit the

848
00:41:07,599 --> 00:41:09,360
like button to make sure you subscribe to the wager

849
00:41:09,400 --> 00:41:12,039
Talk channel and hit that bell. We get notified when

850
00:41:12,079 --> 00:41:14,119
all of our shows go live. And don't forget the

851
00:41:14,159 --> 00:41:18,199
Blitz is coming up at one o'clock Eastern, so here

852
00:41:18,199 --> 00:41:21,960
in about fifteen minutes The Blitz Brian Power, Ralph Michels,

853
00:41:22,079 --> 00:41:24,280
Ross Benjamin, that show is gonna be live, so you

854
00:41:24,280 --> 00:41:26,400
can jump on and ask them questions as well. You're

855
00:41:26,440 --> 00:41:30,400
gonna get the best college football information. Cannot wait for

856
00:41:30,440 --> 00:41:33,239
this one. I will probably be in the chat section

857
00:41:33,360 --> 00:41:35,880
as well to pick those guys' brains and get as

858
00:41:35,920 --> 00:41:39,000
much information as possible get us ready for college football.

859
00:41:39,079 --> 00:41:41,119
So thank you very much to everyone in the chat

860
00:41:41,159 --> 00:41:43,719
don't forget Blitz coming up after this. We'll see you

861
00:41:43,719 --> 00:41:45,639
guys later. Good luck on your best today. Take care,