1 00:00:01,080 --> 00:00:05,280 Speaker 1: We're down to the final four of March Madness. We're 2 00:00:05,280 --> 00:00:07,719 gonna break down both of these games and talk national 3 00:00:07,839 --> 00:00:27,039 championship up next on bet on It, Calla and Vegas. 4 00:00:27,039 --> 00:00:29,960 Here Marco DiAngelo front and center, Yanni the Greek in 5 00:00:30,280 --> 00:00:32,520 a forty nine ers hat. Even though it's not football season, 6 00:00:32,560 --> 00:00:35,799 we're gonna get right into March Madness. We're down to 7 00:00:35,880 --> 00:00:39,439 the final four teams. Instead, I've got to giving you 8 00:00:39,439 --> 00:00:41,079 guys the best bet for these games. I just wanted 9 00:00:41,079 --> 00:00:43,600 to break them down roundtable style as well as give 10 00:00:43,640 --> 00:00:46,920 you our national champion. Of course, we're gonna discuss my 11 00:00:47,000 --> 00:00:50,159 splash conundrum and see what I'm gonna do with my 12 00:00:50,359 --> 00:00:55,079 remaining entry, and I wanted to see some futures odds VR, 13 00:00:55,119 --> 00:00:56,719 I'm gonna ask you about a couple of these. But 14 00:00:56,799 --> 00:01:00,439 let's get into both of these games. First and for most, 15 00:01:01,159 --> 00:01:04,680 Illinois off a nice win over Iowa. Iowa looked good 16 00:01:04,719 --> 00:01:08,359 in the first half, and well then that's what happens 17 00:01:08,359 --> 00:01:12,719 is Cinderella. She goes to die at halftime, and now 18 00:01:12,719 --> 00:01:15,280 they face a Connecticut team. They did the exact opposite. 19 00:01:15,439 --> 00:01:19,840 This was a I don't know, top five basketball game 20 00:01:20,079 --> 00:01:23,840 that I probably ever got to watch Duke weighing four 21 00:01:23,840 --> 00:01:26,239 and a half up, I think as high as nineteen 22 00:01:26,280 --> 00:01:30,680 at one point, here comes Connecticut wins on a buzzer beater. Three. 23 00:01:31,040 --> 00:01:33,599 Now these two face each other. This one's come down 24 00:01:33,680 --> 00:01:36,560 a little bit. Lots of twos available on the Odds 25 00:01:36,599 --> 00:01:39,439 logic screen. Marco D'Angelo, I'm gonna go to you first, 26 00:01:39,599 --> 00:01:42,599 help me break down Illinois versus yukon. 27 00:01:43,840 --> 00:01:46,760 Speaker 2: Well, first of all, Telly, top five of all time 28 00:01:46,920 --> 00:01:50,480 wasn't for me because I had the Duke's side. That 29 00:01:50,760 --> 00:01:54,599 was the only play that we lost last week as 30 00:01:54,640 --> 00:01:56,719 a four or five percent play, and I was counting 31 00:01:56,959 --> 00:02:02,159 my money. Excuse me at halftime. Is Duke absolutely dominated 32 00:02:02,200 --> 00:02:05,439 that game Connecticut. At one point in that game, Kelly 33 00:02:05,640 --> 00:02:10,680 was just one of eighteen from three, and then they 34 00:02:10,719 --> 00:02:13,560 started that miraculous comeback. But you know, when you look 35 00:02:13,560 --> 00:02:15,360 at this one and break it down, the first thing 36 00:02:15,400 --> 00:02:19,840 that stands out is the fact that you have Connecticut 37 00:02:19,919 --> 00:02:22,319 is a number two seed and you have Illinois as 38 00:02:22,319 --> 00:02:25,800 a number three seed. But yet the number three seed 39 00:02:25,960 --> 00:02:28,520 is the favorite. And I've always told you on these shows, 40 00:02:28,759 --> 00:02:33,360 whether it's football or it's basketball, you know, I give 41 00:02:33,479 --> 00:02:37,199 more respect to the guys here in Vegas that sets 42 00:02:37,280 --> 00:02:41,560 the numbers that actually take money on games, rather than 43 00:02:41,599 --> 00:02:45,479 somebody that's setting rankings or seedings that's sitting in a 44 00:02:45,520 --> 00:02:49,000 boardroom just watching the games. These guys don't bet, they 45 00:02:49,000 --> 00:02:52,199 don't understand strengths and weaknesses. So I'm going to respect 46 00:02:52,240 --> 00:02:54,719 the fact that Illinois is the favorite in this game. 47 00:02:55,080 --> 00:02:58,159 And then if you look back, these two met this year. 48 00:02:58,800 --> 00:03:02,719 It was early November and it was in a neutral site. 49 00:03:02,800 --> 00:03:07,159 It was a holiday tournament right around Thanksgiving, and Yukon 50 00:03:07,319 --> 00:03:09,159 was a four and a half point favorite in that 51 00:03:09,199 --> 00:03:12,800 game and they won the game seventy four to sixty one. 52 00:03:13,759 --> 00:03:16,199 Coming into the season, both teams were in the top 53 00:03:16,240 --> 00:03:20,879 twenty five. Yukon was in the top ten. Illinois I 54 00:03:20,879 --> 00:03:24,639 think was maybe seventeenth or eighteenth in the polls at 55 00:03:24,680 --> 00:03:28,560 the beginning of the season. So clearly Illinois has you know, 56 00:03:28,719 --> 00:03:32,800 exceeded expectations this year, and especially getting to the Final 57 00:03:32,800 --> 00:03:36,599 four for the first time. I got to ask again, 58 00:03:37,360 --> 00:03:41,159 if Connecticut won the head dead meeting, why such the 59 00:03:41,240 --> 00:03:45,639 change and Illinois is just playing better basketball right now? Connecticut, 60 00:03:46,039 --> 00:03:48,319 you can look at it one of two ways. That 61 00:03:48,439 --> 00:03:51,439 was heroic comeback last week and they're gonna have momentum 62 00:03:51,479 --> 00:03:53,759 and ride it. You know, that's you know, maybe the 63 00:03:53,840 --> 00:03:56,240 team of destiny this year. They have won two of 64 00:03:56,280 --> 00:04:01,000 the last three national championships. Or did that take everything 65 00:04:01,039 --> 00:04:04,199 out of them with that monster comeback? I like Illinois. 66 00:04:04,319 --> 00:04:07,599 I like their bigs. Connecticut, we saw when they went 67 00:04:07,719 --> 00:04:12,520 cold from three, they weren't getting a lot of offensive rebounds. 68 00:04:12,520 --> 00:04:16,279 They're not gonna get offensive rebounds against the size of Illinois. 69 00:04:16,600 --> 00:04:19,160 I'm gonna go ahead and look at Illinois. They're twenty 70 00:04:19,199 --> 00:04:21,680 eight and eight on the season. But if you look 71 00:04:21,680 --> 00:04:25,360 at those eight losses, six of those eight losses came 72 00:04:25,399 --> 00:04:28,240 by four points or less, and four of those games 73 00:04:28,279 --> 00:04:32,680 were in overtime. That means basically every game but two 74 00:04:32,759 --> 00:04:36,199 this year, you know they either won or were was 75 00:04:36,319 --> 00:04:39,319 right in until the final gun. This is a team 76 00:04:39,399 --> 00:04:42,079 that's got a lot of experience in tight games. I'll 77 00:04:42,079 --> 00:04:46,199 go ahead, go Illinois, let's ride them. See them in 78 00:04:46,240 --> 00:04:48,040 the championship game on Monday. 79 00:04:49,319 --> 00:04:51,519 Speaker 1: All right, VR, I need you to make a case 80 00:04:51,560 --> 00:04:53,720 for the dog here, because Marco has made a compelling 81 00:04:53,839 --> 00:04:58,199 case for Illinois. I will say this, both teams one 82 00:04:58,199 --> 00:05:01,480 of the lowest than the three hundreds. In fact, on 83 00:05:01,600 --> 00:05:06,360 Ken Pomper not only adjusted tempo, but for pace and 84 00:05:06,560 --> 00:05:10,199 style of their possession link. I mean, this looks like 85 00:05:10,279 --> 00:05:13,399 a case for a debt on under as well under 86 00:05:13,399 --> 00:05:15,560 one thirty nine and a half. And as I said 87 00:05:15,600 --> 00:05:18,279 about the Alabama game last week, I said, Oh, it 88 00:05:18,279 --> 00:05:20,240 looks so easy to bet the over. This looks so 89 00:05:20,399 --> 00:05:22,879 easy to bet the under. Can I make you? Can 90 00:05:22,920 --> 00:05:25,879 I get you to jump on the dog or the over? Here? 91 00:05:26,519 --> 00:05:29,519 Speaker 3: Well, let me set the stage first and foremost as 92 00:05:29,560 --> 00:05:31,959 we sit here in March Madness. First, tell you when 93 00:05:31,959 --> 00:05:35,040 I win, tell you when I lose. College basketball use 94 00:05:35,079 --> 00:05:37,319 the same approach as college football. It worked out well 95 00:05:37,360 --> 00:05:39,839 for me. Was in the top three the entire season. 96 00:05:40,360 --> 00:05:42,360 As of right now, heading into the final four, I'm 97 00:05:42,439 --> 00:05:45,040 up a little over forty one units with a three 98 00:05:45,079 --> 00:05:50,000 point three percent ROI. With that said, March Madness started well, 99 00:05:50,199 --> 00:05:52,920 but the Elite eight s Weeek sixteen did not go 100 00:05:53,079 --> 00:05:56,759 my way. In fact, as of today, I'm exactly two 101 00:05:56,839 --> 00:05:59,560 games on the five hundred in March Madness. That's nit, 102 00:05:59,759 --> 00:06:02,800 that's everything. I'm twenty five and twenty seven, so that's 103 00:06:02,800 --> 00:06:05,759 two games under five hundred. Adding the Veig and I'm 104 00:06:05,759 --> 00:06:07,720 having to lose in March Madness again, tell you and 105 00:06:07,759 --> 00:06:09,360 I win, tell you when I lose, and when it 106 00:06:09,399 --> 00:06:11,680 comes this late in the season, Just like with college 107 00:06:11,720 --> 00:06:13,199 football when we got to the bowl games, got to 108 00:06:13,279 --> 00:06:15,959 the playoffs, I use my power ratings because the betting 109 00:06:16,000 --> 00:06:19,079 center gets I I partner with don't really hit these 110 00:06:19,079 --> 00:06:22,800 sides and totals all that often, and it's served me well. 111 00:06:23,639 --> 00:06:26,800 But again, I always like to be transparent. Now, with 112 00:06:26,920 --> 00:06:30,040 that said, here's where we're sitting with March Madness. Favorites 113 00:06:30,120 --> 00:06:32,720 are forty eight and sixteen straight up, So favorites of 114 00:06:32,759 --> 00:06:35,920 won seventy five percent of the games. Ats favorites are 115 00:06:35,959 --> 00:06:38,680 fifty six percent. That's thirty six and twenty eight. So 116 00:06:38,800 --> 00:06:43,360 the favorites have outperformed the betting market. Now, that happened 117 00:06:43,399 --> 00:06:46,360 early yone. Remember the first round. In the second round 118 00:06:46,480 --> 00:06:48,959 through thirty two, they were twenty nine to nineteen. That 119 00:06:49,120 --> 00:06:52,079 was sixty one percent, is what the favors were doing. 120 00:06:52,120 --> 00:06:54,839 In fact, favorites of six or more points were sixty 121 00:06:54,839 --> 00:06:58,560 four percent, So that was costing the books money heading 122 00:06:58,600 --> 00:07:01,160 into the lead eight, heading in to the sweet sixteen, 123 00:07:01,519 --> 00:07:03,160 and what have we seen in the Elite eight in 124 00:07:03,199 --> 00:07:06,600 the Sweet sixteen. Well, we've seen the dogs come back 125 00:07:06,639 --> 00:07:10,959 to life in favors went seven and nine during that run. 126 00:07:11,079 --> 00:07:13,360 So it's a perfect example. The reason I bring that 127 00:07:13,480 --> 00:07:17,439 up is the markets do correct themselves when they're efficient, 128 00:07:17,680 --> 00:07:20,240 and that's what we're seeing now with March badness, this 129 00:07:20,319 --> 00:07:23,240 late in the season, we should be as efficient as possible. Well, 130 00:07:23,319 --> 00:07:26,279 the totals are already there. And here's the proof, because 131 00:07:26,319 --> 00:07:29,040 we've had right now in the Big Dance, we've had 132 00:07:29,160 --> 00:07:34,120 sixty four games okay, over unders, thirty two overs, thirty 133 00:07:34,120 --> 00:07:37,759 one unders, and a push that's exactly fifty percent. You 134 00:07:37,879 --> 00:07:40,800 can't do a better job in a short sample size 135 00:07:40,839 --> 00:07:44,120 than that. We know the market's so efficient like in 136 00:07:44,279 --> 00:07:46,680 NFL that if you look over the last five thousand games, 137 00:07:46,759 --> 00:07:49,319 you're gonna get twenty five hundred favorites, twenty five hundred dogs, 138 00:07:49,360 --> 00:07:52,319 twenty five hundred overs, twenty five hundred unders right around 139 00:07:52,360 --> 00:07:55,720 there to where you can't blindly bet either and be profitable. 140 00:07:56,000 --> 00:08:00,000 That is a reflection of the bookmaker doing their job 141 00:08:00,079 --> 00:08:03,920 up correctly, and that's what we're looking at here now. 142 00:08:04,360 --> 00:08:09,160 The reason Illinois is favored is this heading into March Madness. 143 00:08:09,399 --> 00:08:13,199 The rankings had Connecticut as the number seventh team in 144 00:08:13,240 --> 00:08:16,639 the country, and they had Illinois as the number thirteenth 145 00:08:16,920 --> 00:08:21,399 team in the country. Power rating wise, mine included had 146 00:08:21,399 --> 00:08:26,040 the opposite. We had Connecticut below Illinois. Most of us 147 00:08:26,040 --> 00:08:28,920 had Illinois in our top ten, Connecticut out of our 148 00:08:28,959 --> 00:08:32,919 top ten. As of today, with all the adjustments that 149 00:08:33,159 --> 00:08:36,840 we've made throughout March Madness, I have Illinois as the 150 00:08:36,960 --> 00:08:39,639 seventh best team, so that means six other teams. 151 00:08:39,399 --> 00:08:40,799 Speaker 4: Would be favored over Illinois. 152 00:08:41,120 --> 00:08:43,919 Speaker 3: And I have Connecticut as the twelfth best team, so 153 00:08:43,960 --> 00:08:47,080 eleven other teams would be favored over Connecticut. I make 154 00:08:47,159 --> 00:08:50,600 my true line about two. Now here's the problem. We 155 00:08:50,639 --> 00:08:54,480 already have a game that's been played, Kelly, and according 156 00:08:54,559 --> 00:08:56,639 to that line back in November, Connecticut was a four 157 00:08:56,639 --> 00:08:59,080 and a half point favorite. Well, we know that Connecticut 158 00:08:59,080 --> 00:09:00,919 has about a two point seven to five home field 159 00:09:00,960 --> 00:09:03,799 advantage home court advantage, so you factor that in on 160 00:09:03,879 --> 00:09:06,279 a neutral, that line meant Connecticut would be about a 161 00:09:06,320 --> 00:09:09,120 one and a half one point seventy five favorite versus 162 00:09:09,279 --> 00:09:12,879 Illinois on a neutral. So what has changed since November 163 00:09:12,919 --> 00:09:17,080 twenty eighth to where now it's flipped not just that 164 00:09:17,120 --> 00:09:19,240 one and a half points. But now we're looking at 165 00:09:19,240 --> 00:09:21,679 Illinois's highs a two to two and a half point favorite, 166 00:09:21,759 --> 00:09:25,279 so you're looking at a four point adjustment in favor 167 00:09:25,519 --> 00:09:29,399 of Illinois. We got to determine is that warranted. Now 168 00:09:29,440 --> 00:09:37,480 here's the key. Can Illinois keep Connecticut held defensively? Meaning 169 00:09:38,000 --> 00:09:41,279 the strong side for Illinois has been their offense. Their 170 00:09:41,440 --> 00:09:46,039 their top ten offense barely top twenty five defense. Connecticut's 171 00:09:46,080 --> 00:09:50,240 the opposite, top five defense, barely top fifty offense. So 172 00:09:50,679 --> 00:09:56,279 Illinois's job is gonna be holding Connecticut to under forty 173 00:09:56,320 --> 00:09:56,960 one percent. 174 00:09:57,240 --> 00:10:00,519 Speaker 4: When they've done that, they're twenty to zero. Illoy. 175 00:10:01,039 --> 00:10:05,159 Speaker 3: Their key is defense because their weakness is defense. Remember 176 00:10:05,360 --> 00:10:09,240 their top five to six in offense, barely top twenty 177 00:10:09,279 --> 00:10:12,720 five in defense. So when their defense shows up, this 178 00:10:12,799 --> 00:10:16,159 team doesn't lose. The problem I'm having is their defense, 179 00:10:17,320 --> 00:10:20,960 what's it called, has been showing up. Now are they 180 00:10:21,000 --> 00:10:23,799 going to regress in this game? I'm not too sure. 181 00:10:24,200 --> 00:10:27,240 I more think so the Connecticut side on the defense 182 00:10:27,480 --> 00:10:29,799 may get a little regression because the way they were 183 00:10:29,879 --> 00:10:30,960 able to hold. 184 00:10:30,759 --> 00:10:32,799 Speaker 4: Duke who shoots those. 185 00:10:32,639 --> 00:10:35,960 Speaker 3: Threes, and we're able to defend that perimeter I'm not 186 00:10:36,000 --> 00:10:37,759 sure they're gonna be able to do that again. And remember, 187 00:10:37,879 --> 00:10:42,039 Illinois relies heavily on the three pointer. Almost fifty percent 188 00:10:42,279 --> 00:10:45,240 of their attempts come from behind a three point line. 189 00:10:45,600 --> 00:10:48,320 It's all going to come down to defense, which defense 190 00:10:48,639 --> 00:10:51,360 shows up, and that's where I do think there may 191 00:10:51,399 --> 00:10:54,600 be some value on this dog, Kelly, because Connecticut does 192 00:10:54,720 --> 00:10:58,440 have the better defense, and because the narrative is now 193 00:10:58,960 --> 00:11:01,360 they got that mirror win against Duke. Believe me, I 194 00:11:01,399 --> 00:11:02,960 had Duke to get to the final four. I had 195 00:11:03,039 --> 00:11:05,679 Duke on the money line on Someday, so that hurt 196 00:11:05,759 --> 00:11:09,159 me more than most people watching this, believe me, financially. 197 00:11:09,639 --> 00:11:12,919 Speaker 4: But we got to wipe the slate clean, and that 198 00:11:13,279 --> 00:11:16,639 recency bias is why the money came in. 199 00:11:17,840 --> 00:11:22,200 Speaker 3: Sitting there with with Illinois as the favorite again at three, 200 00:11:22,360 --> 00:11:25,639 I would have been all over Connecticut already. At pickam, 201 00:11:25,679 --> 00:11:27,759 I would have been on Illinois. It's gonna come down 202 00:11:27,759 --> 00:11:30,559 to where this number settles for me, Kelly, I will 203 00:11:30,600 --> 00:11:34,399 tell you this, They have adjusted that total. I like 204 00:11:34,480 --> 00:11:37,639 the over and it's square because the public's betting it over, 205 00:11:38,039 --> 00:11:41,759 and I know everything points to the under except the number. 206 00:11:42,120 --> 00:11:44,879 Because I believe they've already adjusted it. The fact that 207 00:11:44,879 --> 00:11:47,039 it's sitting at one thirty nine and a half. They 208 00:11:47,080 --> 00:11:49,000 opened at one forty and a half, and the true 209 00:11:49,039 --> 00:11:50,960 line I think should have been about one forty four, 210 00:11:51,399 --> 00:11:55,039 but the narrative forces the adjustment towards the under, and 211 00:11:55,120 --> 00:11:57,159 I think they may have over adjusted now down to 212 00:11:57,200 --> 00:11:59,519 that one thirty nine from that one forty and a half. 213 00:11:59,639 --> 00:12:01,919 So where it sits right now, based on my power ratings, 214 00:12:02,440 --> 00:12:04,159 I have to bet over is my best bet for 215 00:12:04,279 --> 00:12:06,799 this game. I'm gonna give you the over as my 216 00:12:07,000 --> 00:12:09,440 bet as far as the sign goes. I'm gonna let 217 00:12:09,480 --> 00:12:12,519 the line determine my wager and we'll see can I 218 00:12:12,519 --> 00:12:14,639 get free on Connecticut or can I get pick them 219 00:12:14,679 --> 00:12:18,320 on Illinois, which probably isn't gonna happen on the Illinois side, 220 00:12:18,360 --> 00:12:20,440 and I'll have to decide whether to do the money line. 221 00:12:20,480 --> 00:12:25,120 But again, it's a tough game because of all that 222 00:12:25,120 --> 00:12:28,519 that reasoning. But the Illinois is the rifle favorite based 223 00:12:28,559 --> 00:12:32,039 on power ratings, and like Marco said, Vegas got to 224 00:12:32,120 --> 00:12:34,519 back up their numbers with cash. 225 00:12:34,600 --> 00:12:36,159 Speaker 4: It's not an opinion. Like the AP. 226 00:12:36,639 --> 00:12:38,600 Speaker 3: If they make a mistake, it's gonna cost them a 227 00:12:38,639 --> 00:12:40,720 lot of money, so I trust them more as well. 228 00:12:41,120 --> 00:12:43,480 Illinois should be favored. How big of a favorite's the key? 229 00:12:44,000 --> 00:12:46,440 Plus money got to look to the duke plus three side. 230 00:12:46,440 --> 00:12:47,679 That's what I'm hoping to get kill. 231 00:12:48,799 --> 00:12:51,519 Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm hoping for Yukon to get that win for 232 00:12:51,600 --> 00:12:54,879 me too, and Splash I do need them. I think 233 00:12:54,919 --> 00:12:59,200 I have to go Yukon, and if they upset you know, 234 00:12:59,360 --> 00:13:03,559 small underd Illinois, then I can save Arizona for the 235 00:13:03,679 --> 00:13:07,480 national championship. I know that's there's almost one hundred other 236 00:13:07,480 --> 00:13:10,320 people in the contest that have the exact same combination 237 00:13:10,360 --> 00:13:13,360 as me, and they're gonna want to do the same thing. Marco, 238 00:13:13,600 --> 00:13:17,240 if you were sitting on UH in my chair right 239 00:13:17,279 --> 00:13:20,679 now and you had Yukon and Arizona left, would you 240 00:13:20,960 --> 00:13:26,480 use Yukon this weekend? Then Arizona VR is already shaking 241 00:13:26,480 --> 00:13:29,080 his head. Now. Let me let Marco answer first and 242 00:13:29,440 --> 00:13:31,879 see what Marco would do, and then I'll let VR 243 00:13:32,240 --> 00:13:34,039 come back and and UH and. 244 00:13:33,960 --> 00:13:43,120 Speaker 2: Rebuttal here, you know with those you have it's last 245 00:13:43,120 --> 00:13:46,440 man standing, correct, so well it reverts back. 246 00:13:46,480 --> 00:13:52,879 Speaker 1: So let me give you an example. If Yukon beats Illinois, 247 00:13:53,000 --> 00:13:58,360 I move Arizona loses. There's a very small select few 248 00:13:58,399 --> 00:14:02,879 people that have Mi, Michigan, Yukon as their last two. 249 00:14:03,679 --> 00:14:07,080 I'm guessing that then Michigan, the people with Michigan would win. 250 00:14:07,679 --> 00:14:10,039 So it is kind of tricky, but it does if 251 00:14:10,320 --> 00:14:12,399 if basically, if you pick a losing pick or you 252 00:14:12,480 --> 00:14:15,840 don't have a pick, do you use it's the exact 253 00:14:15,879 --> 00:14:21,919 same thing. So I could use Arizona this week, right, 254 00:14:22,080 --> 00:14:26,679 they beat Michigan, then if ILLINOI wins, it doesn't matter anyway. 255 00:14:26,759 --> 00:14:28,840 Does that make sense? Like you've got to pick the 256 00:14:28,919 --> 00:14:31,559 right combination in the correct order, and I looking at 257 00:14:31,559 --> 00:14:34,639 the odds, don't think it's going to be Yukon, right. 258 00:14:34,679 --> 00:14:37,759 Arizona is the odds on favorite right now, i'llbeit five 259 00:14:37,919 --> 00:14:41,200 ten cents depending on the book, then Michigan, then Illinois, 260 00:14:41,240 --> 00:14:41,799 then Yukon. 261 00:14:42,840 --> 00:14:48,240 Speaker 2: Yeah. Unfortunately, with the two teams that you have left, Kelly, 262 00:14:48,320 --> 00:14:50,120 you have to do it the way you just said 263 00:14:50,240 --> 00:14:54,320 in my opinion, because it's the only way that I 264 00:14:54,480 --> 00:14:57,480 can see you having both have a shot to have 265 00:14:57,600 --> 00:14:58,600 both teams. 266 00:14:58,320 --> 00:15:01,879 Speaker 1: Live, right, and there's the worst case they both win 267 00:15:01,960 --> 00:15:04,120 and then I have to split the pop versus If 268 00:15:04,159 --> 00:15:08,159 I go Arizona, then Yukon. I have a feeling VR 269 00:15:08,240 --> 00:15:10,279 is gonna argue, well, then you can just hedge. 270 00:15:10,960 --> 00:15:15,240 Speaker 2: Yeah, but if Yukon does, if Arizona wins and Yukon 271 00:15:15,480 --> 00:15:18,759 doesn't get there, you know, you have no team for 272 00:15:18,840 --> 00:15:21,240 the champion, you know, for the championship game, and that's 273 00:15:21,320 --> 00:15:24,240 that's the bigger concern. And then you have to ask, 274 00:15:24,799 --> 00:15:27,639 you know, and if you do get Yukon there, then 275 00:15:27,639 --> 00:15:31,000 you got to ask Yukon to beat you know, a 276 00:15:31,039 --> 00:15:33,559 better team. They got a better chance. If you're doing 277 00:15:33,559 --> 00:15:37,759 it strictly mathematically, the two teams you have left, you 278 00:15:37,799 --> 00:15:40,799 have a better chance of Yukon advancing based on the 279 00:15:40,840 --> 00:15:45,000 lines in this round. And then and take your chance 280 00:15:45,039 --> 00:15:49,240 with Arizona getting through Michigan. That's just based on the numbers. 281 00:15:49,320 --> 00:15:51,799 Speaker 1: And I agree with that, and that's where my initial 282 00:15:52,039 --> 00:15:55,960 logic goes. VR. Then then my gambling brain says, well, 283 00:15:56,000 --> 00:15:58,320 I want to win, and if you want to win, 284 00:15:58,600 --> 00:16:01,080 and you're not in the bestition right. So there's ninety 285 00:16:01,120 --> 00:16:04,840 nine of us that have Michigan excuse me to have 286 00:16:04,919 --> 00:16:09,639 Arizona Connecticut. There's like thirty two that have Michigan Connecticut. 287 00:16:10,000 --> 00:16:13,080 There's like twenty six that have Michigan Illinois, and then 288 00:16:13,759 --> 00:16:18,159 I think there's even less that have Arizona Illinois. Right, 289 00:16:18,240 --> 00:16:21,360 So my I guess my overall question is do you 290 00:16:21,559 --> 00:16:25,440 gamble here or do you play to split the pot? 291 00:16:25,559 --> 00:16:30,679 Speaker 3: Possibly you have villain, you have Arizona Illinois, I have Illinois. 292 00:16:30,879 --> 00:16:33,360 Speaker 1: I'm sorry, I have Yukon Arizona, and I can play 293 00:16:33,399 --> 00:16:36,440 them in either or or if they both lose. I 294 00:16:36,480 --> 00:16:39,519 mean they're both underdogs, right, They're both two point underdogs 295 00:16:39,519 --> 00:16:43,159 in these games if they're essentially coin flips in my opinion, 296 00:16:44,480 --> 00:16:47,399 but Yukon would be a bigger underdog to either Arizona 297 00:16:47,559 --> 00:16:48,559 or Michigan. 298 00:16:48,600 --> 00:16:51,240 Speaker 2: Arizona would be a favorite in the in the championship 299 00:16:51,279 --> 00:16:53,159 game against either team. 300 00:16:53,480 --> 00:16:57,399 Speaker 4: Yes, yes, here's I'm not again. 301 00:16:57,440 --> 00:16:58,960 Speaker 3: I'm not the brightest guy in the world, so I 302 00:16:58,960 --> 00:17:01,360 don't know how fake out all these contest stuff. 303 00:17:01,440 --> 00:17:02,399 Speaker 4: But here's what I can tell you. 304 00:17:02,399 --> 00:17:04,559 Speaker 3: If I'm holding an Arizona ticket, I have the best 305 00:17:04,559 --> 00:17:07,559 team in the country right now. Like, regardless that they're 306 00:17:07,559 --> 00:17:10,200 a dog against Michigan, they're the number one team. That's 307 00:17:10,240 --> 00:17:12,960 why if you look at the future odds, they're probably 308 00:17:13,079 --> 00:17:16,720 lower than Michigan's because power rating wise they're number one. 309 00:17:16,839 --> 00:17:20,519 I know kem Pom now has Michigan above. That's recency biased. 310 00:17:20,880 --> 00:17:22,640 Arizona is the number one team in the country and 311 00:17:22,680 --> 00:17:25,079 that's coming from someone that was so high on Duke 312 00:17:26,920 --> 00:17:29,160 as far as power ratings go. And again, I don't 313 00:17:29,200 --> 00:17:30,839 have a dog in the fight. I'm just looking at 314 00:17:30,880 --> 00:17:33,160 the data and right now where it sits. Again, you 315 00:17:33,200 --> 00:17:35,240 can make a case for an argument for Michigan because 316 00:17:35,240 --> 00:17:37,319 they are very close. I mean, Michigan has the second 317 00:17:37,359 --> 00:17:40,319 toughestractive schedule, are Arizona the fourth? Like these are very 318 00:17:40,319 --> 00:17:42,759 comparable teams. But I just think you have the a 319 00:17:42,960 --> 00:17:47,119 side with Arizona. And it's just the narrative of Michigan. 320 00:17:47,640 --> 00:17:50,480 And you know what we saw last this team just 321 00:17:50,599 --> 00:17:53,759 not just beating teams, but crushing teams. And they're crushing 322 00:17:53,759 --> 00:17:57,079 the sexier teams like Arizona beat Arkansas and Perdue. No 323 00:17:57,079 --> 00:17:59,839 one gives a shit about Arkansol and Purdue. Michigan's beating 324 00:18:00,079 --> 00:18:03,519 up on you know, Tennessee Alabama and they're winning those 325 00:18:03,519 --> 00:18:06,599 games by you know, thirty points. And I think that's 326 00:18:06,720 --> 00:18:08,559 that's what you're looking. 327 00:18:08,359 --> 00:18:09,960 Speaker 4: At right here. That's why this price. 328 00:18:10,119 --> 00:18:12,920 Speaker 3: But I'm not again I'm not sure how the contest 329 00:18:12,920 --> 00:18:16,839 plays out, but if I have Arizona, if they somehow 330 00:18:16,839 --> 00:18:19,680 win the National Championship, You're sitting good. I'd be comfortable 331 00:18:19,680 --> 00:18:22,160 with that. I like the Arizona side, and I know 332 00:18:22,759 --> 00:18:23,960 I know the public I like. 333 00:18:23,960 --> 00:18:26,720 Speaker 1: The Arizona side too. And you know we've talked about this, 334 00:18:27,160 --> 00:18:29,839 whether on bat On It or Last Call. Just roll 335 00:18:29,839 --> 00:18:32,400 over the money line. They were the odds on favorite 336 00:18:32,400 --> 00:18:35,880 on Saturday plus two fifty. Now they're plus one sixty five. 337 00:18:36,000 --> 00:18:38,799 So it is what it is. Let's get into that game, 338 00:18:38,839 --> 00:18:40,640 because I think this is going to be a one 339 00:18:40,680 --> 00:18:42,279 of those I think this is going to be the 340 00:18:42,319 --> 00:18:44,720 best game we've seen all of March. I think this 341 00:18:44,799 --> 00:18:46,799 is going to come down to the wire as well. 342 00:18:47,119 --> 00:18:49,960 We're starting to see Michigan two's popping up here. Marco 343 00:18:50,079 --> 00:18:53,839 on the Odds Logic screen total one fifty seven and 344 00:18:53,880 --> 00:18:56,960 a half. Do you agree with VR that Arizona is 345 00:18:57,000 --> 00:18:58,039 the best team in the country. 346 00:18:59,119 --> 00:19:04,279 Speaker 2: Well, everybody goes like a VR just said the recency bias, 347 00:19:04,319 --> 00:19:08,480 and the recency bias is Michigan is just absolutely rolling 348 00:19:08,599 --> 00:19:11,079 right now. Now you look at this Michigan team, and 349 00:19:11,119 --> 00:19:14,680 I talked about this several times. When they faced Duke 350 00:19:15,039 --> 00:19:18,000 back in late February, there was so much hype and 351 00:19:18,039 --> 00:19:20,920 build up to that game because you generally don't get 352 00:19:21,000 --> 00:19:26,480 two powerhouses from different conferences meet in February like that, 353 00:19:27,079 --> 00:19:29,240 and you know, a lot of people said this could 354 00:19:29,279 --> 00:19:32,799 be the national championship preview, a lot of people felt 355 00:19:32,839 --> 00:19:36,960 that way. And Duke handled them, beat them in that game, 356 00:19:37,279 --> 00:19:39,440 and it was like it put Michigan in a little 357 00:19:39,440 --> 00:19:42,599 bit of a funk. Even though they were winning their games, 358 00:19:42,960 --> 00:19:46,319 they were only on a one and eight against the 359 00:19:46,400 --> 00:19:50,799 spread skit all right prior to covering and when you know, 360 00:19:51,279 --> 00:19:54,880 covering their last three games. Now here's what people see. 361 00:19:55,240 --> 00:19:57,920 They see a Michigan team that in four tournament games 362 00:19:57,920 --> 00:20:01,519 has scored ninety or more points all four games. Now, 363 00:20:01,680 --> 00:20:05,119 in fairness, okay, they faced a Howard team in the 364 00:20:05,119 --> 00:20:08,839 first game that was totally outmanned. Then they faced the 365 00:20:08,880 --> 00:20:12,400 Saint Louis team. Now Saint Louis was number twenty three 366 00:20:12,960 --> 00:20:16,640 in defense, but it was they played in the Atlantic ten. 367 00:20:16,839 --> 00:20:19,519 How tough is the Atlantic ten, so that number is 368 00:20:19,559 --> 00:20:23,039 a little skewed. Then they faced Alabama. We talked about 369 00:20:23,079 --> 00:20:27,000 all the problems that Alabama had defensively to twenty eight. 370 00:20:27,440 --> 00:20:31,920 And then they faced Tennessee, another team not bad defensively 371 00:20:32,039 --> 00:20:35,240 forty you know, they were forty second out of the SEC. 372 00:20:35,720 --> 00:20:38,119 But you know they like to play fast as well. 373 00:20:38,359 --> 00:20:41,039 And that was just into the played great into the 374 00:20:41,039 --> 00:20:44,640 hands of Michigan. I think this is a little bit 375 00:20:44,680 --> 00:20:48,359 too much of an overreaction. Now, on the flip side 376 00:20:48,359 --> 00:20:51,880 to that, you look at Michigan. They can play defense. 377 00:20:51,960 --> 00:20:56,119 They're number eight in the country defensively. Uh, both teams 378 00:20:56,119 --> 00:20:59,599 are top ten teams in offense. Arizona comes in here 379 00:20:59,640 --> 00:21:02,720 on a third team game winning streak. Arizona, what I 380 00:21:02,839 --> 00:21:06,279 like about them is they can play both ways. They 381 00:21:06,319 --> 00:21:08,160 can put you into a half court game and be 382 00:21:08,279 --> 00:21:11,799 very comfortable doing so, or they can play a quicker 383 00:21:11,880 --> 00:21:15,400 pace game as well. But I will tell you if 384 00:21:15,400 --> 00:21:19,039 I'm setting my game plan for playing Michigan, I don't 385 00:21:19,079 --> 00:21:21,480 want to get into a fast paced game. I want 386 00:21:21,480 --> 00:21:24,599 to play a half court game. And with that said, 387 00:21:25,200 --> 00:21:28,640 is gonna sway me from the side here to the toe. 388 00:21:28,680 --> 00:21:31,079 And I'm looking at this one fifty seven and a 389 00:21:31,160 --> 00:21:34,359 half and I think that the public is going to 390 00:21:34,440 --> 00:21:36,960 want to bet the over in this game. All they're 391 00:21:36,960 --> 00:21:41,759 gonna see is ninety plus four straight games fort Michigan, 392 00:21:42,000 --> 00:21:44,559 and that's what they're gonna want here. I think this 393 00:21:44,720 --> 00:21:46,480 is kind of you know, even if you want to 394 00:21:46,480 --> 00:21:50,519 call it a correlated parlay. You know. So I'm leaning 395 00:21:50,559 --> 00:21:54,599 to Arizona, and if I'm leaning to Arizona, I'm leaning 396 00:21:54,640 --> 00:21:57,680 to the slower pace. I'm gonna go under the one 397 00:21:57,759 --> 00:22:01,039 fifty seven and a half. Here's where I'm looking at 398 00:22:01,039 --> 00:22:04,559 this game. That is Arizona's best chance to win this 399 00:22:04,680 --> 00:22:08,480 game against Michigan. And the problem with Michigan having all 400 00:22:08,519 --> 00:22:12,160 those blowouts is what happens whenever you're suddenly in a 401 00:22:12,200 --> 00:22:15,559 tight game. At least Arizona has done that and had 402 00:22:15,599 --> 00:22:17,920 those tight games you know in there and you go 403 00:22:18,000 --> 00:22:21,240 back to the Utah State game. That was a twelve 404 00:22:21,279 --> 00:22:25,200 point victory, Okay, final score, it was a four point 405 00:22:25,279 --> 00:22:29,079 game late. The reason Arizona advanced is there was a 406 00:22:29,200 --> 00:22:33,119 huge discrepancy at the file line in that game, thirty 407 00:22:33,240 --> 00:22:37,200 nine to eleven in file attempts free throw attempts. I 408 00:22:37,200 --> 00:22:39,279 should say that was the difference in that game. But 409 00:22:39,319 --> 00:22:42,359 they were able to handle a tight game. That's an edge. 410 00:22:42,400 --> 00:22:45,920 If this one's tight late Arizona's already had to do it. 411 00:22:46,039 --> 00:22:48,599 I'll go ahead and take the under one fifty seven 412 00:22:48,680 --> 00:22:51,400 and a half and give you the little lean on Arizona. 413 00:22:51,920 --> 00:22:54,119 Speaker 1: All right, VR, your power ratings have helped me a 414 00:22:54,279 --> 00:22:59,720 ton handicapping over the last six months of college basketball. 415 00:23:00,039 --> 00:23:02,599 And you said, right now, as it stands, Arizona is 416 00:23:02,640 --> 00:23:03,599 your number one. 417 00:23:04,000 --> 00:23:07,119 Speaker 3: Yep, yeah, And believe it or not, Michigan is my 418 00:23:07,200 --> 00:23:09,680 number four. I'm just being honest, like I got, I 419 00:23:09,720 --> 00:23:12,559 don't have any control over this. It's we punch in 420 00:23:12,599 --> 00:23:14,960 the data and whatever it spits out. That's what I read. 421 00:23:15,200 --> 00:23:19,599 And again, it's not perfect, obviously, but it's profitable by 422 00:23:19,680 --> 00:23:22,000 lane eleven to win ten. It's been profitable. It's been 423 00:23:22,000 --> 00:23:24,279 profitable in NFL, it's been profitable in college football, it's 424 00:23:24,279 --> 00:23:27,359 profitable in college basketball. It's profit going NBA and NHL 425 00:23:27,400 --> 00:23:30,319 where we sit. So again, it's not always perfect. But 426 00:23:30,519 --> 00:23:33,279 as of right now, Kel Arizona should be at least 427 00:23:33,279 --> 00:23:36,000 a one one one and a half point favorite in 428 00:23:36,079 --> 00:23:40,400 this game, and I have the total about a point 429 00:23:40,400 --> 00:23:44,119 and a half lower. And when I add in that 430 00:23:44,400 --> 00:23:47,799 they're playing at Lucas Oil Stadium, where you know it's 431 00:23:47,880 --> 00:23:50,160 it's a place I'm sure they're not used to. 432 00:23:51,319 --> 00:23:52,240 Speaker 4: The site lines are. 433 00:23:52,200 --> 00:23:53,920 Speaker 3: Supposed to be a little tougher, at least that's what 434 00:23:53,960 --> 00:23:56,400 I'm hearing from handicappers out there. 435 00:23:57,119 --> 00:23:57,839 Speaker 4: So that may. 436 00:23:57,799 --> 00:24:00,839 Speaker 3: Bode well for Marco's under which all so reflects the 437 00:24:00,880 --> 00:24:02,960 power rating. But I like Arizona, man, I gotta I 438 00:24:02,960 --> 00:24:06,880 gotta trust what my numbers tell me. And right now, again, 439 00:24:06,920 --> 00:24:10,319 they're the two best teams. They truly are, and it's 440 00:24:10,359 --> 00:24:14,680 who's going to show up on Saturday. We could go 441 00:24:14,720 --> 00:24:17,039 to data and the stats forever. They're one and two 442 00:24:17,039 --> 00:24:19,319 in offense, one and two in defense, like they're right 443 00:24:19,359 --> 00:24:21,839 next to each other. And when that's the case, when 444 00:24:21,880 --> 00:24:24,559 you're talking to a true coin flip game, we're talking 445 00:24:24,559 --> 00:24:26,279 a true coin flip right now. Let me just keep 446 00:24:26,319 --> 00:24:28,279 it real, forget it, let me just do it like 447 00:24:28,319 --> 00:24:31,759 this bottom line, we're talking coin flip, right I'm getting 448 00:24:31,799 --> 00:24:33,240 plus one ten on a coin flip. 449 00:24:33,279 --> 00:24:35,359 Speaker 4: I'll take that all day. I can find right now, 450 00:24:35,480 --> 00:24:37,200 plus one ten on. 451 00:24:37,039 --> 00:24:40,240 Speaker 3: The screen at Westgate on a coin flip. I gotta 452 00:24:40,279 --> 00:24:42,279 place that bet, win or lose. I gotta place that 453 00:24:42,319 --> 00:24:44,160 bet now. If I'm wrong and this isn't a coin 454 00:24:44,160 --> 00:24:48,359 flip game. You know, I'm confident. It is just listening 455 00:24:48,400 --> 00:24:51,759 to people who I respect and I trust and seeing 456 00:24:51,799 --> 00:24:54,680 the difficulty they're having of determining who should be the 457 00:24:54,720 --> 00:24:57,680 one point favorite. That tells me that this is a 458 00:24:57,720 --> 00:24:59,880 coin flip type of game. And in a coin flip, 459 00:25:00,039 --> 00:25:01,960 you want plus money. You don't want to be laying 460 00:25:02,000 --> 00:25:03,759 money like we do in the Super Bowl, where people 461 00:25:03,759 --> 00:25:05,200 are laying one o seven, one ten. 462 00:25:05,519 --> 00:25:06,319 Speaker 4: On a coin flip. 463 00:25:06,359 --> 00:25:08,359 Speaker 3: You want to be getting plus one oh seven plus 464 00:25:08,359 --> 00:25:11,000 one ten doesn't mean you're gonna win your bet, but 465 00:25:11,079 --> 00:25:13,319 it does mean you're placing a good bet, and that's 466 00:25:13,359 --> 00:25:15,960 what we're trying to do. So Arizona plus one ten 467 00:25:16,039 --> 00:25:18,640 money lines my best bet for this this game. 468 00:25:18,680 --> 00:25:23,559 Speaker 2: On the show, all right, Marco, One thing I want 469 00:25:23,599 --> 00:25:27,799 to say. Ace mentioned Lucas Oil Stadium where we're playing, 470 00:25:28,079 --> 00:25:30,640 and again, this is a football field, you know, not 471 00:25:30,680 --> 00:25:33,799 a basketball arena, so it is different with the site lines. 472 00:25:34,039 --> 00:25:36,039 But I want to bring out one other thing that 473 00:25:36,440 --> 00:25:39,039 I don't know if a lot of people are considering it. 474 00:25:39,279 --> 00:25:42,799 When you talk about the Final Four, every team's going 475 00:25:42,880 --> 00:25:45,720 to get their fans there, Okay, everybody's gonna come and 476 00:25:45,759 --> 00:25:48,839 support their teams. Now, what I want to point out though, 477 00:25:49,400 --> 00:25:56,799 is proximity. Obviously, Illinois and Michigan are closer, and each 478 00:25:56,880 --> 00:26:00,000 team's gonna get. 479 00:25:59,680 --> 00:26:02,359 Speaker 1: You mean, Illinois, the university is closer to Indiana. I 480 00:26:02,400 --> 00:26:06,640 thought Lucas oils in India. Yep, got it. Sorry, okay, 481 00:26:07,200 --> 00:26:08,440 And each. 482 00:26:10,519 --> 00:26:14,559 Speaker 2: Each team gets their you know, allotment of tickets. But 483 00:26:14,640 --> 00:26:18,640 here's the thing. Even though twenty five percent tickets are 484 00:26:18,640 --> 00:26:21,640 going to be distributed, it's going to be fifty percent 485 00:26:21,880 --> 00:26:25,720 in favor of Michigan in Illinois because they are going 486 00:26:25,799 --> 00:26:29,519 to root for each other to have a Big ten 487 00:26:30,279 --> 00:26:34,400 championship game. So if you're factored, that might be part 488 00:26:34,480 --> 00:26:38,119 of the reason why we talked about why is Illinois 489 00:26:38,119 --> 00:26:42,799 favored over you know, Connecticut net because it's a neutral field, 490 00:26:43,039 --> 00:26:46,359 but maybe just a little bit of bias that the 491 00:26:46,519 --> 00:26:49,359 crowd base is going to be pro Big ten and 492 00:26:49,359 --> 00:26:51,359 that's Michigan in Illinois. 493 00:26:51,640 --> 00:26:55,000 Speaker 1: I cannot imagine going to a Final four game and 494 00:26:55,079 --> 00:26:58,640 cheering for another Big twelve team. But to each their own, 495 00:26:58,759 --> 00:27:00,839 it is what it is of You guys are just 496 00:27:00,920 --> 00:27:06,519 weirdo conference homers anyway, not being said real quick, roundtable, 497 00:27:07,799 --> 00:27:11,200 I gotta go Arizona to be my national champion. The 498 00:27:11,599 --> 00:27:14,319 real reality is, I think this is the team that 499 00:27:14,400 --> 00:27:17,640 I've said they've been all season long, the Big Twelve 500 00:27:17,720 --> 00:27:21,279 top to bottom. Albeit there is two Big Ten teams 501 00:27:21,279 --> 00:27:24,319 in the final four, but is top to bottom the 502 00:27:24,359 --> 00:27:27,680 best conference for college basketball this year. We've seen the 503 00:27:27,720 --> 00:27:31,480 SEC with their early exits and pitfalls, but I think 504 00:27:31,480 --> 00:27:34,759 this Big Twelve team is gonna beat Michigan and become 505 00:27:35,000 --> 00:27:38,880 your twenty twenty six national champion. VR Are we in 506 00:27:38,920 --> 00:27:41,039 agreement here or do you like another team? 507 00:27:41,359 --> 00:27:43,759 Speaker 3: No, I gotta go with Arizona. And again it sounds square, Kel, 508 00:27:43,839 --> 00:27:45,240 but I just I just look at the ratings. 509 00:27:45,359 --> 00:27:47,799 Speaker 4: When we going into the tournament, Duke was at the top. 510 00:27:47,880 --> 00:27:50,759 Speaker 3: That's why I was backing duke'sata there. Now Arizona is 511 00:27:51,240 --> 00:27:54,960 the last team standing as far as you know, top 512 00:27:54,960 --> 00:27:55,640 of the list. 513 00:27:55,680 --> 00:27:58,400 Speaker 4: So yeah, gonna go square. Let's go Arizona. You could 514 00:27:58,440 --> 00:28:00,480 get plus money on Arizona. I think that's pretty. 515 00:28:00,240 --> 00:28:03,920 Speaker 1: Good, all right, Marco, are you going for the Arizona trifecta? 516 00:28:05,079 --> 00:28:07,680 Speaker 2: Well, Kelly, I'm gonna agree with you and disagree with 517 00:28:07,720 --> 00:28:09,839 I'm gonna agree with you on Arizona, but I'm gonna 518 00:28:09,880 --> 00:28:13,119 disagree with you that the Big twelve was the best conference. 519 00:28:13,200 --> 00:28:15,759 The best conference was the Big Ten. They had the 520 00:28:15,759 --> 00:28:19,559 best showing in the tournament. They still have two teams, 521 00:28:19,640 --> 00:28:22,000 you know, in the final four. It's kind of hard 522 00:28:22,039 --> 00:28:25,839 to argue that that wasn't the better conference this year. 523 00:28:26,839 --> 00:28:30,240 In cliche, you know, we say it all the time 524 00:28:30,400 --> 00:28:33,359 in football, like in the AFC Championship game, of the 525 00:28:33,480 --> 00:28:37,200 NFC Championship game, we say this is the super Bowl, 526 00:28:37,359 --> 00:28:39,599 not the actual super Bowl. The winner of that one. 527 00:28:40,119 --> 00:28:43,319 I think the winner of the Michigan Arizona game is 528 00:28:43,519 --> 00:28:47,640 your You're gonna be your national champion. But I think 529 00:28:47,680 --> 00:28:51,240 the one matchup that might give Michigan problem if they 530 00:28:51,279 --> 00:28:56,160 advance is if it is that you know, Homer Conference final, 531 00:28:56,240 --> 00:28:58,519 if it's Michigan and Illinois. Just the fact of playing 532 00:28:58,559 --> 00:29:01,960 somebody that you you play on a regular basis creates 533 00:29:01,960 --> 00:29:04,680 a whole different dynamic. And then of course, once we 534 00:29:04,720 --> 00:29:07,079 get to Monday, Kelly, we don't care who actually wins. 535 00:29:07,119 --> 00:29:10,480 We care about who wins by how many That's what 536 00:29:10,880 --> 00:29:15,279 I'll determine that on Monday. So definitely look at that. 537 00:29:15,559 --> 00:29:17,880 And Kelly, you don't forget we got some specials We've 538 00:29:17,839 --> 00:29:18,960 got to tell everybody about. 539 00:29:19,759 --> 00:29:23,759 Speaker 1: Yes, we do, and I'm gonna let Marco handle that 540 00:29:23,920 --> 00:29:26,559 because I don't have my slack open right now because 541 00:29:26,839 --> 00:29:29,799 I'm already onto football season. Guys. Let's just be real. 542 00:29:29,920 --> 00:29:32,720 I was working on my closing as Marco said that, 543 00:29:32,759 --> 00:29:35,279 because I wanted to say, Hey, guess what we're done. 544 00:29:35,319 --> 00:29:38,519 We're outy until August. But Marco, let every redy know 545 00:29:38,559 --> 00:29:40,559 what we got going on over at wager talk dot com. 546 00:29:40,960 --> 00:29:42,799 Speaker 2: All right, hey, last week, we want to thank you 547 00:29:42,799 --> 00:29:45,920 guys for both me and Ace. You took advantage of 548 00:29:45,960 --> 00:29:49,319 that yearly special that we did with the bonus twenty 549 00:29:49,400 --> 00:29:53,000 five percent off. Well, we're gonna run it back for you. Okay, 550 00:29:53,119 --> 00:29:57,759 you can get VR or me use ACE twenty five 551 00:29:57,960 --> 00:30:01,599 or Marco twenty five pupon code. You can end up 552 00:30:01,680 --> 00:30:05,480 getting three hundred and sixty five days of everything. You 553 00:30:05,519 --> 00:30:08,160 get every play we release. You get the free Steam 554 00:30:08,240 --> 00:30:13,880 rooms with Ace, you get the Blackjack package as well. 555 00:30:13,960 --> 00:30:17,200 You get to learn how to play blackjack that'll get 556 00:30:17,240 --> 00:30:20,880 you kicked out of the casinos and make the money 557 00:30:20,960 --> 00:30:23,599 before they kick you out. And you with me, you 558 00:30:23,640 --> 00:30:25,559 get every play that I release, You get all the 559 00:30:25,599 --> 00:30:29,759 specials like the Triple Crown Races, the Kentucky Derby Prep races. 560 00:30:30,319 --> 00:30:33,880 You'll get everything I release. Just go to our page 561 00:30:34,839 --> 00:30:38,119 grab the all the full season, which is on sale 562 00:30:38,200 --> 00:30:41,720 for fourteen ninety five or something I believe. But if 563 00:30:41,759 --> 00:30:44,359 you use the coupon code, it brings it down to 564 00:30:44,640 --> 00:30:47,640 under eleven hundred dollars, and that comes out to three 565 00:30:47,680 --> 00:30:50,640 dollars a day. It's cheaper than a price a cup 566 00:30:50,680 --> 00:30:54,000 of coffee. And if you can't go long term, you 567 00:30:54,039 --> 00:30:56,960 want to go short term, grab that three day Buy 568 00:30:57,000 --> 00:30:59,960 three days for sixty nine dollars and you'll get three 569 00:31:00,200 --> 00:31:04,799 bonus days free. So check that out over at wager Talk, 570 00:31:05,119 --> 00:31:09,599 and don't forget I will have a Marco's deli available 571 00:31:09,640 --> 00:31:12,200 for you. That'll be up Friday night. Check that out. 572 00:31:12,599 --> 00:31:16,480 And we're working on keeping the deli open. We're gonna 573 00:31:16,480 --> 00:31:21,079 be doing the deli through the NBA playoffs and the 574 00:31:21,079 --> 00:31:24,559 hockey playoffs, and we're gonna incorporate some baseball in as well. 575 00:31:24,759 --> 00:31:28,359 You guys want to eat through the next three months, 576 00:31:28,359 --> 00:31:30,920 so I got to keep the deli open. So thanks 577 00:31:31,000 --> 00:31:32,279 for the support on that. 578 00:31:32,920 --> 00:31:35,400 Speaker 1: You guys are welcome. I basically did not give Marco 579 00:31:35,480 --> 00:31:39,599 the option I said, the deli is crushing, it stays open. 580 00:31:40,079 --> 00:31:43,559 Maybe I'll give him July off VR. We're done on 581 00:31:43,640 --> 00:31:46,160 last Call. Last Call is now going to be Total 582 00:31:46,240 --> 00:31:50,240 Bases Saturday edition, last called Total Basis. But you will 583 00:31:50,279 --> 00:31:53,680 be still doing some steam room stuff for your clients 584 00:31:53,720 --> 00:31:56,880 as well as some wager Talk insiders and occasionally free 585 00:31:56,920 --> 00:31:59,359 for those here on the wager Talk YouTube channel. What 586 00:31:59,400 --> 00:32:01,799 do you have going on between now and when we 587 00:32:01,799 --> 00:32:02,880 come back for football season. 588 00:32:03,079 --> 00:32:06,440 Speaker 4: Yeah, and every Monday, Thursday and Friday. 589 00:32:06,519 --> 00:32:09,240 Speaker 3: I do wager Talk today each and every morning at 590 00:32:09,319 --> 00:32:11,599 nine am our time, sharing as much as I can. 591 00:32:12,160 --> 00:32:15,960 And uh, yeah, the slow time is coming up, but 592 00:32:15,960 --> 00:32:18,039 it's not really the slow time, Calp. It seems like 593 00:32:18,119 --> 00:32:20,480 betters are a little burnt out once the Final Four 594 00:32:20,559 --> 00:32:22,519 is over, but that's really where it kicks in for 595 00:32:22,559 --> 00:32:26,160 the series better because we have baseball now with Baseball 596 00:32:26,640 --> 00:32:29,640 NBA every single day in the playoffs, just around the corner, 597 00:32:29,920 --> 00:32:33,440 like there is opportunity, especially once everybody starts to relax. 598 00:32:33,480 --> 00:32:35,079 Speaker 4: That's where you find a lot of any fishency. 599 00:32:35,279 --> 00:32:37,759 Speaker 3: So I'll have my UFC package up, We'll have the 600 00:32:37,759 --> 00:32:41,759 Final four for you trying to confirm a five percent, 601 00:32:41,799 --> 00:32:44,160 but haven't gotten there yet. And of course the steam 602 00:32:44,160 --> 00:32:46,680 sheet is up and avaluable each and every day for 603 00:32:46,720 --> 00:32:49,880 only nineteen dollars and it gets a premium play usually 604 00:32:49,920 --> 00:32:52,319 a four percent, which usually costs twenty five by itself. 605 00:32:52,519 --> 00:32:56,880 But I continue to add as much actionable information throughout 606 00:32:56,920 --> 00:32:59,200 the day in all the markets I have access to, 607 00:32:59,559 --> 00:33:01,799 so that out as well. And the steamer will be 608 00:33:01,920 --> 00:33:05,480 Saturdays where we go over whatever we have on that day, 609 00:33:05,519 --> 00:33:07,960 which this week will be the Final Four on Saturday. 610 00:33:08,799 --> 00:33:11,480 Speaker 1: Awesome stuff. We appreciate you guys hanging out with us 611 00:33:11,559 --> 00:33:15,440 here all season long on bet on It. We'll be 612 00:33:15,559 --> 00:33:22,240 back for the AFC NFC Championship Championship AFC NFC preview 613 00:33:22,279 --> 00:33:25,880 shows as well as some college football preview shows right 614 00:33:25,920 --> 00:33:28,480 here on the wager Talk YouTube channel. We hope you 615 00:33:28,519 --> 00:33:31,440 guys have a great summer and until next football season, 616 00:33:31,599 --> 00:33:32,920 let's bet on it.