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Speaker 1: Hey, happy Monday morning. This is the opening line report.

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We're gonna get you ready for NFL Week six, But

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first were gonna talk about week five. We're gonna run

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and Teddy covers on loving the Lions garb. The comment

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section already going nuts. And I used the Lions thankfully.

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In Survivor, Teddy, I did not. I used the Rams

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and the Cardinals. I did have some I survived with

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with the Colts over on Splash. But really quickly before

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we get into this, I saw this tweet a few

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minutes ago, and I just my job has hit the floor.

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Titans down eighteen win is an underdog plus four thirty.

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Panthers down seventeen get the win and cover Broncos down

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fourteen and win as a plus one eighty underdog. Saints

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down eleven got the win in the cover Commander's down

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ten plus one forty they get the outright win as

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an underdog, and then last night Patriots almost a wire

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to wire winner as a three dollars underdog. That was

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the chaos I was looking for. Unfortunately, it also took

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out some of my Survivor picks. That's what we're gonna

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get into today, Teddy we're going to talk about what

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we saw last weekend and how it is going to

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affect this coming up weekend. But first, I've never seen

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you not in a suit, jacket and T shirt.

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Speaker 2: Yes, it's Dave Sheriffan's funeral. I'm going right after the show.

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So I thought I would dress in some team gear

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to a remember our good friend. That's what he would

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have worn. So, and I didn't have a matching cap.

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I only had a Michigan cap and a Lion shirt.

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So it is what it is. But this is the

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only shirt that I So this shirt is a Joey Harrington. Okay,

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I used to have a Charles Rogers as well, my

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buddy Bottom at like then when they were selling them

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at the end of the season when everyone had been cut.

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The year they went on in seventeen or Owen sixteen.

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They got him for like five bucks or ten bucks. Yeah,

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I'll get you a couple. But yes, that is a

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Joey Harrington. Nice call, Ethan, But this in tribute to

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our dear department friend, Dave Sheriffan.

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Speaker 1: Yeah. I had a lot of friends be able to

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go to the celebration of life, and I was told

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that everybody dressed for the occasion, and that just warmed

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my heart here on this beautiful Monday morning. Teddy, let's

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get in to last weekend what we saw, But first

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let's talk about Monday night football.

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Speaker 2: Sure, Monday night and right now, looking at the ODS

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logic live on screen, case minus three and a half

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pretty much painted across the board, total forty five and

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a half, pretty much painted across the board. There were

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threes out there for the Chiefs earlier in the week.

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Those have now been bought up. As expected, you tend

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to see the money come for the public favorite on

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Monday Night, or the money trickle for the public favorite,

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and that's what happened here obviously. But again right now,

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three and a half, forty five and a half Jacksonville,

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Who's we'll talk about the Jacks as we go to

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the show, but the Jacks certainly playing for respect tonight

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from a betting marketplace that has given them all that

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much respect yet despite their hot start to the season.

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Speaker 1: All right, Teddy, let's get into Thursday night football here

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really quickly, because we got to talk about this Eagles team.

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I am actually would you like to recap last weekend? First?

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I apologize.

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Speaker 2: I mean, when you talk about the beats, you brought

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up the what we have five double digit comebacks yesterday? Yesterday,

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I mean the worst of the punch was Arizona, you know,

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who led twenty one to six. They had a seventy

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two yard touchdown scamper, Oops, he didn't want to carry

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them all over the goal line. And then they found

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Kyler Murray fumbled off a bad snap, and then they

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had the game ceiling interception. Oops, well, let's fumble that

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back on a non contact blands up as a Panther's touchdown.

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It was bizarre for Arizona, but we talked about it

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last week on this show. I'm like, don't use Arizona survivor.

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I don't trust them. And for the third a straight game,

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the Cardinals found a way to lose on the very

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last play. Obviously. The Dolphins was another one, and we're

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gonna talk a lot of fair a bit about Miami

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here up seventeen to nothing. They actually they got punched

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and punched back. They just needed one stop in the

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fourth quarter after retaking the lead. Couldn't get that stop

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for the Dolphins. The Giants turned the ball over five

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times a row that a loud the Saints to rally back,

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but the one that had me steam I had Colts

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Raiders over all right. They finished with forty six closing

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total forty six and a half. I got forty seven

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and a half was its highest forty eight and a half.

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The Raiders went oh four in the red zone. They

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rat four times to the red zone and scored six points.

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That's a little short, but the key was the Colts

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kicker got hurt. Then they missed three two point conversions

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and again stayed under by point and a half half

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a point depending on where you got the number. That

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was a little frustrating, a very frustrating if you had

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the Raiders of Colts over the total, like my clients

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and I did yesterday.

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Speaker 1: I'm sorry to hear that, Seddy, but I needed an

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easy Colts win after what it happened, and to me

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there on Thursday night, that was my best bet from

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this week on bet on it and I will take it.

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Sometimes those rocking chair winners are just good for your

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betting soul, and I needed a rocking chair winner there.

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I'm sorry that even when the Colts put up a

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forty burger, you somehow did not hit that over. That

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is just an absolute utter travesty that the Raiders are

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that in that offensively.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, they had a rough day yesterday and again we'll

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talk about it. Let's go through the games. It's time,

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it's time we got EBAs. The lines are popping right now, so.

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Speaker 1: EBA's I'm gonna be ready for it. Let's start off

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with Thursday night football Eagles at the Giants and NFC

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Least preview if you will, sure.

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Speaker 2: And of course, so I'm gonna give you four sets

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of numbers for all of these games. That's what I

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do every week. We're gonna be the look headline from

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last week, my powering number, the opener last night, and

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what we're looking at today. So look headline. Here was

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a split line. There was sevens and seven and a

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halfs out there for Philadelphia, total forty half. My powering

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number only comes six for the game. Last night we

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saw sevens and seven and a half. The markets have

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moved to seven and a half this morning, total forty two.

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Last night, we're seeing under money come in for this

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one forty one and a half and I'm seeing seven

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and a half across the board. And I'm gonna say this,

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I don't think the seven and a half can hold.

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I think we'll see giants money. So let's eba. You

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know you're not gonna get the worst of it if

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you take plus seven and a half right now. Want

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the Giants grab it sooner rather than later. I do

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not see this line going up. It's not going up

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to eight or nine. So to take a plus seven

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and a half now say this urgency in that there's

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a reasonable chance this gets bet down to seven or below. Again,

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my Parwery number says six. And I'm still pretty high

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on Philadelphia. But the Eagles have now you know, they

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lost the box score the first four games and still

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found a way to win. You know, now they've lost

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the box score in all five and they're coming off,

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you know, a blown seventeen to three lead and a

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week where there was all kinds of chatter in Philadelphia,

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you know, all the chirping in the locker room AJ

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Brown and then his cryptic social media posts and all

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the liking. When you blow a lead, a two touchdown lead,

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and you hear that chirping, it's something of a concern, certainly,

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And of course they still had a chance to win

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in the final play, Hurts throwing in the end zone,

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couldn't bring it in. But when you have a two

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touchdown lead and you can't run the football, that's concerned.

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Sakuon Barkley six of thirty yesterday on the ground, the

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team just eleven or forty five. Meanwhile, again eleven carries

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forty eight dropbacks for Hurts. That's not the ratio you

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want when you're up to two touchdowns. That's bizarre. They

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had a laid fourth down, they had a fourth down

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conversion called back in illegal shift penalty against Barkley, and

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of course the defense got gashed when it mattered most.

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You know, the last three drives touchdown, touchdown, field goal allowed,

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and they were all fifty plus yard drives, all long

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drives against that Eagles defense. So you know, the passing

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game was ranked number thirty one in the NFL heading

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into the week. They are issues right now. And of

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course we talked about positive chemistry. I don't love this

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quote from DeVonta Smith quote. We got to get on

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the same page and continue to be on the same page.

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We could be a lot better shot ourselves in the

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foot a lot than hearing a lot of these type

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of quotes from Philadelphia of late which makes me think

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again the seven and a halfs may not hold. That being said,

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I did not like the leadership on the Giants yesterday.

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They did not respond well to adversity. When everything snowballed.

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They led fourteen to three after the first two drives,

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didn't score again. Five drives in a row ended in turnovers.

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It's hard to win games with the five turn of

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a margin. And of course, only three other teams in

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the last twenty five years have turned the ball over

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on five straight posessions in the NFL. That would be

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the twenty sixteen Jets, ten Jaguars and the twenty twin

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Bears twenty ten Bears. For those who are wandering, so

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doesn't happen a lot. Jackson darted after the game, said

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the right things. You know again the team won first

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downs at one yardage, but a bad team off a

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win they did not execute obviously Dart quote. I told

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as many guys in the locker room as I could,

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as many guys as I can in the locker room,

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this one's on me, and I'm going to get better.

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I expect myself to play better in these games and

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to win them. But certainly there were a lot of

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concerns about the Giants secondary in that ball game. They

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got lit up again and again down the stretch for

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the Saints, and you give up an eighty seven yard

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touchdown catch and eighty plus yard fumble return touchdown. Hard

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to wind there. That said, Thursday night short turnaround. We

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saw the home dog. We saw the dog in the

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divisional matchup do fairly well last Thursday night with San Francisco.

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I'd expect to see some Giants money here. I'm not

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convinced a seven and Halsohold all.

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Speaker 1: Right, Teddy, We're heading back to London. I don't know why,

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but we are. The Denver Broncos are taking on the Jets.

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Sorry to all the Englanders that have to subject themselves

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to the New York Jets study on the Super Contest.

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Every week they tweet out their top five. Right, I

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was on the Jets and they were my lone loser yesterday,

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and I was like, I knew it was the kiss

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of death when all the sharp guys, right, or the

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guys in the contest showing out thousands of dollars to

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play presumably are sharp, and they're all on this god

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awful team what does that mean. It means, it's just

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it was a kiss of doubts for me. It is

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what it is. But the Jets could not get out

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of their own way yet again. Now they are catching

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over a touchdown in an international game.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, the Jets yesterday as well, they were pretty awful.

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You know. There wasn't no sugar coating what happened to

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the Jets yesterday. It was rough look aheadline here denver

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minus six and a half, forty three my powering number,

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Denver minus nine. The markets opened seven slash seven and

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a half forty three and a half, and we're seeing

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the seven and a half pretty much getting bought up

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right now. It's all seven's out there, So there's no

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emergency betting alert need because it's already gone. That said

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forty three and a half, the prevailing total not sensing

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that's moving in any direction right now. So the Jets

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allowed seven point one yards per play to a team

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playing with four backup offsive linemen. All right, the box

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score lie says. The Jets offense worked, but the Jets

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offense didn't work. They trailed that game against the worst defense,

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the second worst defense in the league. In the yards

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per play basis Dallas, they trailed thirty to three. Everything

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they got offensively was garbage time, right the Bristow funmel

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the red zone was the only turnover of the game.

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It wasn't like they turned it over twenty times. Justin

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Field sacked five times. They had ten penalties. And remember

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Aaron Glenn. Aaron Glenn, the first year, first time head coach,

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ripped into the team after the Monday night lost to Miami.

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You know, he blew the game. How's the team going

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to respond facing against an opponent with four backup off

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the lineman, coming off a tie, you know, and they

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did not respond well. Aaron Glenn, I'm gonna embrace this

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challenge all right, like any other challenge, and we're going

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to figure out as a team how to get out

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of this hole. The Jets the first team in NFL

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history not to force a single turnover in their first

242
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five ball games. Right now, this defense is bottom tier now.

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The Broncos are coming off a pretty big win that

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was a statement win for them against Philadelphia, a game

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in which they did nothing for three quarters and then

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were the vastly superior team in the fourth. They played

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three games away from home, all decided by a field

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goal or less. So when you talk about laying this

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type of price with Denver, that could be a concern.

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They're not winning games by marchin this year the way

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they were a year ago. Bow Nicks did a lot

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of things right, you know, completely past to nine different

253
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receivers Courtland Sutton nineteen catches two or ninety eight yards

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the last three weeks, you know, and the last three

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drives touchdown, touchdown, field goal, all fifty plus yards, the

256
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aggressive two point conversion mid with the fourth Peyton had

257
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a play for the two point conversion. Denver's a team

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with the arrow pointed upwards right now. The Jets not

259
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so much.

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Speaker 1: Yep. If you want to take the Jets, have some

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pepto bismo already because they're gonna hurt your stomach for

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four quarters. Luckily Red Zone didn't have to show me

263
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too much of it, Teddy. The Pittsburgh Steelers are off

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of buy and they are back at home now taking

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on the Cleveland Browns.

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Speaker 2: Yeah. Look headline here. Pittsburgh minus five and a half

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total thirty seven and a half, my powering number, Pittsburgh

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minus six. Markets opened four and a half thirty seven

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and a half last night, we're seeing fives and thirty

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00:13:37,960 --> 00:13:41,759
eight this morning. Most of the thirty seven and a

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halfs are gone, but there's still a couple out there,

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and I don't think that thirty seven and a half

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is gonna last. Now that Cleveland in theory has found

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something on the offensive side of the football that said,

275
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there's not enough of them out there, I can't say

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the shop around. There's only a couple of thirty seven

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00:13:57,840 --> 00:13:59,320
and a halfs out there, so I'm not going to

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emerge betting as a result. That being said, you can

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find a thirty seven and a half right now with DraftKings.

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You find one in Vegas here at the South Point.

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I don't think those will be there for much longer.

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Steelers off of buye under Mike Tomlin fourteen and four

283
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straight up. They've won eighth straight off of buye dating

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back to twenty seventeen. Last year, they came off the

285
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by and beat Washington at plus two and a half

286
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hundred dogs. That being said, they won that game by

287
00:14:23,200 --> 00:14:27,639
a single point twenty eight twenty seven. Pittsburgh offensively not

288
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necessarily a team that you're comfortable laying points with against

289
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a quality defense. The Browns no buy off the London trip,

290
00:14:35,320 --> 00:14:36,879
which is, you know, one of those things you want

291
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to be aware of. They've had more travel than most

292
00:14:39,360 --> 00:14:42,360
teams normally do in a two game span. The Browns

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plus two in trovers yesterday, still lost, still failed to

294
00:14:45,600 --> 00:14:48,720
cover against Minnesota and again four point eight yards per play.

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Dylan Gabriel was better than you know, again against a

296
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Floris's defense. I can't complain, but four point eight yards

297
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per play, all right. They haven't gotten a league average

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an offense in any game just yet. And the play

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calling for Gabriel a credit to Stefanski and his staff.

300
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You know, they got the ball out quickly because this

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offsive line is still very much an issue. We only

302
00:15:11,240 --> 00:15:13,879
had two point five four seconds average time to throw.

303
00:15:14,879 --> 00:15:17,320
Now there's film on them though. And of course Quinchahn

304
00:15:17,399 --> 00:15:20,559
Jenkins has been really impressive. One hundred and ten rushing yards,

305
00:15:20,559 --> 00:15:23,360
eighteen receiving yards, back to back games with one hundred

306
00:15:23,399 --> 00:15:25,759
scrimmage yards, the first running in the Browns running back

307
00:15:25,759 --> 00:15:28,679
to do that since Nick Jubbed did it in twenty eighteen.

308
00:15:28,759 --> 00:15:33,360
So there were positives for Cleveland off the loss. That said,

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and of course we're talking about a good defensive underdog.

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I do not see this line going through the roof.

311
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I do not see a bunch of Pittsburgh money coming in,

312
00:15:42,080 --> 00:15:45,320
even though my powering number at six says that this

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00:15:45,480 --> 00:15:48,039
line is priced fairly cheaply at the current number.

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00:15:48,600 --> 00:15:51,519
Speaker 1: So teddy, I'm still alive in a couple of survivors,

315
00:15:51,559 --> 00:15:54,399
not the big, big one. But I still have my

316
00:15:54,440 --> 00:15:57,159
little handy dandy spreadsheet that I worked on, and I

317
00:15:57,200 --> 00:16:00,320
had the Steelers circled here. You mentioned Tomlin off of Bye,

318
00:16:00,799 --> 00:16:03,639
mentioned the Browns travel schedule coming back from London, plus

319
00:16:04,000 --> 00:16:07,720
the Browns have been pretty lack luster overall. Outside of that,

320
00:16:07,799 --> 00:16:13,279
Packers win. Would you consider the Steelers for survivor this week?

321
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Or should I just take the layup here? Maybe into

322
00:16:16,720 --> 00:16:17,799
use Green Bay.

323
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Speaker 2: So I've been much better at saying who you shouldn't

324
00:16:21,919 --> 00:16:23,480
take than who you should take? Ye?

325
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Speaker 1: Should I not take the Steelers? Is that a bad spot?

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00:16:27,360 --> 00:16:29,679
Speaker 2: Two weeks ago I'm like, don't take the Chargers. This

327
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past week I said, don't take Arizona. Pittsburgh is not

328
00:16:33,240 --> 00:16:34,399
on my don't take list.

329
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Speaker 1: Okay, perfect, all right, Well then I'll keep them on

330
00:16:37,559 --> 00:16:40,600
my long list. Speaking of Arizona, go ahead, and any I'm.

331
00:16:40,480 --> 00:16:42,879
Speaker 2: Saying, it's worth noting that we talk all about how

332
00:16:42,919 --> 00:16:45,000
the bounce defense is great, and now their defensive metric

333
00:16:45,080 --> 00:16:48,039
numbers are great. The final drive for Minnesota to win

334
00:16:48,080 --> 00:16:51,879
the game, Cleveland's defense nine for nine allowed Carson Wentz

335
00:16:51,919 --> 00:16:55,080
to pick them apart and march Minnesota right down the

336
00:16:55,080 --> 00:16:58,200
field into the end zone. So when push came to shove,

337
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the Cleveland defense did not get to stop that. Many

338
00:17:01,000 --> 00:17:01,919
were looking for, all.

339
00:17:01,919 --> 00:17:04,720
Speaker 1: Right, let's talk about how Arizona is going to bounce back.

340
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It was no different than k State to me, like

341
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that loss on Saturday. You know, you look at the

342
00:17:10,920 --> 00:17:14,200
the metrics on ESPN, it's like ninety seven and a

343
00:17:14,240 --> 00:17:15,960
half percent chances are going to win this game, and

344
00:17:16,000 --> 00:17:18,359
then it just falls off a cliff. And that's exactly

345
00:17:18,400 --> 00:17:21,559
what happened with the Cardinals and the Colts. On the

346
00:17:21,599 --> 00:17:25,039
other end, I said, we're just absolutely and utterly easy,

347
00:17:25,400 --> 00:17:28,279
and I needed that. But now this line is kind

348
00:17:28,279 --> 00:17:31,200
of saying, hey, let's see what the Colts have. I

349
00:17:31,359 --> 00:17:33,559
like this Colts team kind of talk to me if

350
00:17:33,559 --> 00:17:36,000
you think maybe they are a Super Bowl contender, if

351
00:17:36,039 --> 00:17:38,160
there is something future wise we should be looking at

352
00:17:38,160 --> 00:17:41,759
here or how they just kind of played a softer schedule.

353
00:17:42,680 --> 00:17:46,319
Speaker 2: So in terms of my powering numbers, my biggest risers

354
00:17:46,279 --> 00:17:48,640
since the beginning of the season is Indianapolis Colts. This

355
00:17:48,759 --> 00:17:52,720
is my preseason rankings. Absolutely my biggest faller the Baltimore Ravens.

356
00:17:53,559 --> 00:17:56,119
No surprise there. And I don't even know now if

357
00:17:56,119 --> 00:17:58,319
I have Baltimore price Coritha and the markets have Baltimore

358
00:17:58,319 --> 00:18:02,000
even lower than I do. But am I gonna call

359
00:18:02,039 --> 00:18:05,599
Indy a super Bowl contender? No, this team's not winning

360
00:18:05,599 --> 00:18:07,559
the Super Bowl. This team's not getting a big game there.

361
00:18:07,720 --> 00:18:10,799
You know, there are better teams than them in the AFC.

362
00:18:12,440 --> 00:18:14,119
That doesn't mean that they're not live to win the

363
00:18:14,119 --> 00:18:16,000
division and or make the playoffs and or win a

364
00:18:16,000 --> 00:18:18,240
playoff game or two. You know, I just don't see

365
00:18:18,240 --> 00:18:21,480
them winning three or four playoff games when all said

366
00:18:21,480 --> 00:18:23,599
and done. Look headline here. There were three and a

367
00:18:23,640 --> 00:18:25,799
halfs and four for Indy. Total forty six and a

368
00:18:25,799 --> 00:18:29,119
half my powering number. And I had to downgrade Arizona

369
00:18:29,160 --> 00:18:31,640
and I had to upgrade Indy six and a half

370
00:18:31,680 --> 00:18:34,720
for this ballgame. So I'm a little bit above the market.

371
00:18:34,759 --> 00:18:37,400
The markets right now, there were five and a half

372
00:18:37,559 --> 00:18:39,720
last night, they're not there really anymore. There's still a

373
00:18:39,759 --> 00:18:44,079
couple five and a halfs for Indy mostly six is

374
00:18:44,599 --> 00:18:47,359
forty seven the total last night. I'm seeing forty seven

375
00:18:47,400 --> 00:18:50,480
and a half out there right now. I would not

376
00:18:50,599 --> 00:18:53,799
be shocked at all to see Colts money come in

377
00:18:53,839 --> 00:18:55,720
and again I'm even seeing a five, five, five and

378
00:18:55,759 --> 00:18:57,440
a half. Oh no, sorry, I was looking at the

379
00:18:57,480 --> 00:19:00,160
other game. I see five and a halfs right there

380
00:19:00,839 --> 00:19:05,559
at a couple of books for Indie against Arizona. And

381
00:19:05,599 --> 00:19:08,079
of course the Cardinals had three touchdowns at first four drives.

382
00:19:08,200 --> 00:19:09,599
They were up twenty one to three, and then they

383
00:19:09,640 --> 00:19:13,440
never scored again. You know, third straight game that they've

384
00:19:13,519 --> 00:19:16,799
lost on a walk off field goal on the last play.

385
00:19:17,400 --> 00:19:21,680
That is truly demoralizing. You know, Kyler Murray said it

386
00:19:21,759 --> 00:19:23,759
might be the worst loss of his career. I really

387
00:19:23,759 --> 00:19:25,440
don't know what to think about. That is how to

388
00:19:25,480 --> 00:19:28,880
lose a game one oh one? That was crazy. Jonathan

389
00:19:28,920 --> 00:19:32,160
Gannon obviously very disappointing. Felt that we had multiple chances

390
00:19:32,160 --> 00:19:34,400
to put away the game all three phases, and we

391
00:19:34,400 --> 00:19:36,880
didn't do it. Collectively, we have to do a better job.

392
00:19:37,039 --> 00:19:39,720
Until we do a better job, we're going to keep losing.

393
00:19:40,000 --> 00:19:42,519
By the way, according to a sports radar, that's the

394
00:19:42,559 --> 00:19:45,160
first time in NFL history that a team has lost

395
00:19:45,279 --> 00:19:47,599
all three games in a row on the very last

396
00:19:47,599 --> 00:19:50,240
play on a game winning field goal. And of course,

397
00:19:51,000 --> 00:19:55,960
you know the defense which they intercepted the pass, then

398
00:19:55,960 --> 00:20:02,920
they fumbled back, but they really contained they can They

399
00:20:02,920 --> 00:20:05,440
contained Tennessee all game. You know, Tennessee did not lookod

400
00:20:05,440 --> 00:20:07,599
and then the final drive, boom, there's Calm Ridley wide

401
00:20:07,640 --> 00:20:11,720
open downfield for a forty yard pass. You know, Demikardo

402
00:20:11,759 --> 00:20:16,319
fumbling at the one inch line. Arizona is a little

403
00:20:16,319 --> 00:20:18,359
bit shell shocked right now. I don't trust them, and

404
00:20:18,480 --> 00:20:23,200
he's killing people. You know, dominant performance against a lesser foe.

405
00:20:23,240 --> 00:20:26,039
The offense is scored thirty three, twenty nine, forty one,

406
00:20:26,079 --> 00:20:29,240
and forty in their four wins, the second time in

407
00:20:29,319 --> 00:20:32,319
three home games they've held their opponent under ten. They

408
00:20:32,319 --> 00:20:35,440
held the Dolphins to eight points in Week one. Now,

409
00:20:35,480 --> 00:20:38,400
the box score for Indy wasn't dominant yesterday. Didn't need

410
00:20:38,440 --> 00:20:40,240
to be. You know, they only we oucate him by

411
00:20:40,240 --> 00:20:44,920
a yard per play. But also worth noting how strong,

412
00:20:44,960 --> 00:20:47,079
I mean, they're so strong in the trenches. They blew

413
00:20:47,119 --> 00:20:49,240
up the line of scrimmage over and over again. That

414
00:20:49,400 --> 00:20:51,720
was a difference in the total in that ballgame, for sure.

415
00:20:52,240 --> 00:20:55,440
And the offsive line is blowing open holes for Jonathan

416
00:20:55,480 --> 00:20:58,400
Taylor and giving Danny Dimes time to throw. Vegas had

417
00:20:58,440 --> 00:21:02,839
recorded a sack in thirty nine consecutive games, the longest

418
00:21:02,880 --> 00:21:05,359
active streak in the NFL. That streak came to an

419
00:21:05,480 --> 00:21:09,480
end thanks to indies O well play yesterday, Shane Stike

420
00:21:09,519 --> 00:21:11,400
and quote, the guys are playing at a high level

421
00:21:11,440 --> 00:21:19,279
right now. They're playing together, you know, the It's an

422
00:21:19,279 --> 00:21:21,720
indie team that I'm in no rush to step in

423
00:21:21,759 --> 00:21:24,279
front of. I would not be surprised at all if

424
00:21:24,279 --> 00:21:27,359
we see more Colts money between now and kickoff Arizona.

425
00:21:27,400 --> 00:21:30,200
Though Arizona's not getting blown out, they're just losing by

426
00:21:30,799 --> 00:21:33,200
a little bit. But this might be the kind of

427
00:21:33,200 --> 00:21:35,599
game where demoralized team gets slapped around a little bit.

428
00:21:36,400 --> 00:21:38,240
Speaker 1: All right, Teddy, let everybody know what you've got going

429
00:21:38,240 --> 00:21:41,359
on right now over at wager talk dot com.

430
00:21:41,640 --> 00:21:43,799
Speaker 2: Yeah, so we didn't have a good day yesterday, unfortunately,

431
00:21:44,960 --> 00:21:47,680
but it's been a good couple of weeks, the last

432
00:21:47,680 --> 00:21:49,319
two and a half weeks. Twenty four and twelve All

433
00:21:49,319 --> 00:21:51,680
sports run. The baseball has been good for and one

434
00:21:51,720 --> 00:21:54,440
start to the playoffs. The college football has been really good,

435
00:21:54,880 --> 00:21:56,799
with the exception of my big ticket, I want Everything

436
00:21:56,880 --> 00:22:00,440
on Saturday ten and three College football run. And the

437
00:22:00,519 --> 00:22:04,960
NFL is still profitable for the season, even off yesterday's disappointment.

438
00:22:05,720 --> 00:22:10,240
Single best bet available tonight for Monday Night football w

439
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440
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441
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442
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443
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444
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great special offers that we've got at waitertalk dot com.

445
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You get it for me, you can get it for

446
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any book. But if you want some football, let's partner up.

447
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You can get tonight's play if you want twenty five bucks.

448
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449
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Speaker 1: Yeah, that is crazy, Teddy. The NBA is starting already

450
00:22:41,319 --> 00:22:43,960
and college football or season college basketball is just right

451
00:22:44,039 --> 00:22:47,039
around the corner. Time is flying. When you're having a

452
00:22:47,079 --> 00:22:49,559
good time during the NFL season, you know who's not

453
00:22:49,599 --> 00:22:53,000
having a good time. The Baltimore Ravens are not having

454
00:22:53,079 --> 00:22:55,640
a good time, and neither is their fan base. AARONL.

455
00:22:55,680 --> 00:22:58,359
Epstein just went on an absolute like three or four

456
00:22:58,440 --> 00:23:02,559
TikTok tangent yesterday about the woes, the injuries and the

457
00:23:02,720 --> 00:23:07,960
issues within Baltimore. Teddy, you mentioned that you upgrade downgrade

458
00:23:07,960 --> 00:23:10,079
your power ratings every single week, and you said, hey,

459
00:23:10,119 --> 00:23:15,640
hand up, I don't know if I've downgraded Baltimore enough yet.

460
00:23:15,680 --> 00:23:19,519
At fan duel this morning, Baltimore is still favored to

461
00:23:19,599 --> 00:23:23,119
win their division. I am just my head is kind

462
00:23:23,119 --> 00:23:25,359
of in a pretzel, so kind of talk about this

463
00:23:25,440 --> 00:23:27,960
Baltimore Ravens team and then of course them facing the

464
00:23:28,039 --> 00:23:28,720
Rams this weekend.

465
00:23:30,000 --> 00:23:34,200
Speaker 2: Sure right now? Okay, so look headline here, there were

466
00:23:34,279 --> 00:23:36,119
four and a half and five and a half for

467
00:23:36,160 --> 00:23:39,200
the Rams against the Ravens total forty four and a half.

468
00:23:39,240 --> 00:23:42,119
My powering number came Rams five and a half. The

469
00:23:42,160 --> 00:23:45,920
markets opened seven and forty five last night, and now

470
00:23:45,960 --> 00:23:48,160
I'm seeing the sevens are gone. It's all seven and

471
00:23:48,200 --> 00:23:51,799
a half slash forty five and a half. So you're

472
00:23:51,839 --> 00:23:54,240
asking the Rams to win by more than a touchdown

473
00:23:54,519 --> 00:23:56,240
against the Baltimore team again. They got blown off the

474
00:23:56,240 --> 00:24:00,000
field again. Yesterday. They can't run, you can't win in Baltimore.

475
00:24:00,039 --> 00:24:02,839
Derrick Henry fifteen carries thirty three yards. A full team

476
00:24:02,920 --> 00:24:06,279
nineteen carries forty four yards. Henry had one hundred and

477
00:24:06,319 --> 00:24:10,480
sixty nine rushing yards versus Buffalo week one. Since that time,

478
00:24:11,599 --> 00:24:16,920
twenty three fifty forty two thirty three rushing yards in

479
00:24:16,920 --> 00:24:20,160
the last four games. That's forty six carries for one

480
00:24:20,240 --> 00:24:23,400
hundred and forty eight yards. Three yards of carry. That

481
00:24:23,400 --> 00:24:26,519
ain't gonna win football games in Baltimore. You know, Cooper

482
00:24:26,599 --> 00:24:28,880
rushed through three picks. Lamar Jackson is not gonna be

483
00:24:28,880 --> 00:24:31,799
back this week. But that's not even the story. The

484
00:24:31,799 --> 00:24:35,559
bigger story is the defense. They've lost four games. In

485
00:24:35,599 --> 00:24:39,440
those four losses, they've allowed forty one, thirty eight, thirty

486
00:24:39,519 --> 00:24:43,839
seven and forty four. Houston scored. Houston, a team that

487
00:24:43,880 --> 00:24:46,799
hadn't moved the football off season, scored on all eight

488
00:24:46,880 --> 00:24:51,000
offensive possessions. Win Stroud was in the game, all right,

489
00:24:51,279 --> 00:24:55,319
So you know they started five rookies on defense, filling

490
00:24:55,400 --> 00:24:57,519
for all the injured players. All right. They're now two

491
00:24:57,599 --> 00:25:00,000
to ten their last twelve tries playing without Lamar Jez.

492
00:25:01,039 --> 00:25:03,279
So you have a defense reeled with injuries, you have

493
00:25:03,279 --> 00:25:06,400
an offense reeled with injuries. You know, I've got Baltimore

494
00:25:06,559 --> 00:25:09,440
ranked among the second you know. I don't have them

495
00:25:09,519 --> 00:25:12,599
ranked with the Tennessees and the Carolinas and then the

496
00:25:12,680 --> 00:25:15,640
New Orleans of the world, or the Jets in that matter,

497
00:25:15,759 --> 00:25:18,680
or where the Raiders are going in that matter. But

498
00:25:18,880 --> 00:25:21,960
I've got Baltimore in that next tier amongst the other

499
00:25:22,079 --> 00:25:25,839
bad teams right now. And again, the markets a full

500
00:25:25,880 --> 00:25:28,880
two points lower on the Ravens than I am for

501
00:25:29,200 --> 00:25:32,759
this one. It's worth noting teams are going into the

502
00:25:32,799 --> 00:25:35,839
by this past week went two and oho. Again, that's

503
00:25:35,920 --> 00:25:38,440
five and one this season. ATS teams going into the

504
00:25:38,480 --> 00:25:43,720
bye next week. Baltimore and Buffalo are on buy. That's

505
00:25:43,759 --> 00:25:48,279
certainly something worth paying attention to. Harball quote, I thought

506
00:25:48,279 --> 00:25:50,359
we would play better. I thought we would tackle better.

507
00:25:50,400 --> 00:25:51,799
It was not at the standard. We have enough good

508
00:25:51,839 --> 00:25:54,880
players out there to play better than we did. Heat

509
00:25:54,960 --> 00:25:57,759
on the defense corner, zac or they was asked me

510
00:25:57,759 --> 00:26:01,519
he was gonna consider changes with the defensive staff. Quote.

511
00:26:01,599 --> 00:26:03,160
I do not think that's the answer. We have to

512
00:26:03,200 --> 00:26:04,599
go to work is what we need to do. We

513
00:26:04,640 --> 00:26:06,319
need to stick together, is what we need to do

514
00:26:06,480 --> 00:26:10,599
we need to find ourselves blah blah blah. So no

515
00:26:10,759 --> 00:26:15,880
changes to the staff for Baltimore. As for the Rams,

516
00:26:15,920 --> 00:26:18,640
obviously they're coming off a pretty frustrating loss of their own.

517
00:26:18,720 --> 00:26:20,480
Kyra and Williams fubbles is the one foot line, no

518
00:26:20,640 --> 00:26:23,000
go ahead touchdown, and the offense couldn't get a yard

519
00:26:23,039 --> 00:26:24,960
with the game on the line in overtime and the

520
00:26:25,039 --> 00:26:27,480
defense got gashed for three hundred and forty two yards

521
00:26:27,480 --> 00:26:32,000
passing to a backup quarterback and backup receivers. That being said,

522
00:26:32,319 --> 00:26:34,880
these Thursday night games there's a lot of randomness. I

523
00:26:35,039 --> 00:26:37,519
really tried not to overreact to what we just saw

524
00:26:37,519 --> 00:26:40,039
on a Thursday night game and get an old quarterback

525
00:26:40,079 --> 00:26:42,200
on a short weekend staff for its stats look fine,

526
00:26:42,640 --> 00:26:45,079
but I've seen him sharper. That's something to be aware of.

527
00:26:45,279 --> 00:26:47,319
And yards per play in the game that they lost,

528
00:26:47,319 --> 00:26:50,519
the Rams seven point one the Niners four point nine.

529
00:26:51,000 --> 00:26:55,079
You know, McVeigh, I'm pretty sick right now. I'm sick

530
00:26:55,119 --> 00:26:56,880
of the spot I put our group into end the game.

531
00:26:57,079 --> 00:26:58,880
But these are tough beats and you got to be

532
00:26:58,920 --> 00:27:01,640
able to learn from them and move forward. The Rams

533
00:27:01,640 --> 00:27:04,200
are three and two. They're two plays from being five

534
00:27:04,200 --> 00:27:06,279
and oh the block field little against Philly and the

535
00:27:06,279 --> 00:27:09,240
fourth and one stuff against San fran There's a thought

536
00:27:09,240 --> 00:27:12,480
process out there perhaps that maybe this La Rams team,

537
00:27:12,519 --> 00:27:15,559
even late in seven and a half, is underpriced. My

538
00:27:15,680 --> 00:27:18,400
powering number said, they're not all right.

539
00:27:18,480 --> 00:27:22,000
Speaker 1: The Jaguars play tonight, but we're gonna talk about next

540
00:27:22,000 --> 00:27:27,519
Sunday's game versus well, the Seattle Seahawks. Teddy the mad

541
00:27:27,599 --> 00:27:30,200
Russian and I have a sirk injury. Would you? Every

542
00:27:30,240 --> 00:27:33,119
year called Kelly and Russia, and every single week we

543
00:27:33,200 --> 00:27:36,440
have like some ridiculous thing happened to us. This way,

544
00:27:36,480 --> 00:27:38,240
we didn't have anything crazy happen, but we did have

545
00:27:38,279 --> 00:27:42,359
the Seahawks and it was not pretty. That Bucks team,

546
00:27:42,480 --> 00:27:45,759
I thought, you know, has showed some real resilience this

547
00:27:45,920 --> 00:27:47,920
NFL season, and we can get into them a little

548
00:27:47,920 --> 00:27:51,680
bit later. But I thought, hey, Darnold has been impressive

549
00:27:52,119 --> 00:27:55,160
in Seattle. I have liked this team a lot, and

550
00:27:55,240 --> 00:27:57,039
yet they could not get the win at home.

551
00:27:59,359 --> 00:28:03,039
Speaker 2: Look ahead line here, Jacksonville pick them slash minus one

552
00:28:03,119 --> 00:28:06,480
total of forty four. My powering number pick them Jaggs Seahawks.

553
00:28:06,480 --> 00:28:09,519
The markets open pick them one slash one and a half.

554
00:28:09,519 --> 00:28:12,119
So there was some variants last night, total anywhere from

555
00:28:12,119 --> 00:28:14,079
forty four and a half to forty five and a half.

556
00:28:14,440 --> 00:28:19,839
This morning, I'm seeing Seattle as minus one slash minus

557
00:28:19,839 --> 00:28:21,160
one and a half. There are pick them's out there

558
00:28:21,160 --> 00:28:24,200
as well, if you'll like the Jags tonight plus the

559
00:28:24,279 --> 00:28:27,240
points against KC. Again, if this team looks good on

560
00:28:27,319 --> 00:28:30,359
national TV tonight, they're likely to be the favorites against

561
00:28:30,359 --> 00:28:32,480
the Seattle team West Coast team traveling east off the

562
00:28:32,519 --> 00:28:36,480
loss off a poor defensive showing. So if the Jags

563
00:28:36,480 --> 00:28:39,200
get bombed tonight, I'm not convinced that the markets will

564
00:28:39,240 --> 00:28:42,160
be excited about them the same way they are right now.

565
00:28:42,200 --> 00:28:45,799
So depending on which way you like Monday night football

566
00:28:45,839 --> 00:28:47,480
this evening, you may want to put a parlay in

567
00:28:47,920 --> 00:28:51,359
on or against Jacksonville this line and beginning the best

568
00:28:51,359 --> 00:28:53,559
of the number for week two if you get week

569
00:28:53,599 --> 00:28:57,559
one right. Of course, the Jags, you know, thirteen takeaways

570
00:28:57,559 --> 00:28:59,680
through four games, at the most in the NFL by far.

571
00:29:00,240 --> 00:29:04,720
Last year for the full seventeen game season had nine takeaways,

572
00:29:04,720 --> 00:29:07,200
so they're only four more than the entirety of last year.

573
00:29:07,319 --> 00:29:08,640
We'll see if they can do some of that tonight

574
00:29:08,680 --> 00:29:11,599
against KC. And Seattle's not turning the ball over a lot.

575
00:29:11,799 --> 00:29:14,119
They had won yesterday, but the one interception came at

576
00:29:14,119 --> 00:29:17,279
absolutely wrong time, inside two minutes with the score tied

577
00:29:17,319 --> 00:29:20,559
at thirty five, all in their own territory. And of course,

578
00:29:20,839 --> 00:29:23,680
Jason Myers missed a forty four yard field goal earlier

579
00:29:23,720 --> 00:29:26,960
in the game. And let's not forget the Jalen Milroe

580
00:29:27,000 --> 00:29:29,519
fumble of all the play calls yesterday that you're going

581
00:29:29,559 --> 00:29:31,359
to be frustrated about if you're a fan of your team.

582
00:29:31,880 --> 00:29:34,079
All right, let's bring Milroe into the game to run

583
00:29:34,119 --> 00:29:36,759
the option and then throw a bad pitch and fumble

584
00:29:37,920 --> 00:29:42,920
not equal to bucks touchdown. So multiple injuries for Seattle

585
00:29:42,960 --> 00:29:46,400
as well. They're playing without three starters on defensive DeMarcus Lawrence, Devin,

586
00:29:46,440 --> 00:29:49,400
Willie Witherspoon, and Julian Love two. In the secondary, the

587
00:29:49,440 --> 00:29:53,480
linebacker Derek Hall got hurt yesterday. The other cornerback, Rick Woollen,

588
00:29:53,799 --> 00:29:57,000
got hurt yesterday as well, So those are concerns. And

589
00:29:57,039 --> 00:30:01,160
again they gained eight point six per play on offense,

590
00:30:01,480 --> 00:30:03,839
six point one yards per rush, ran the ball right

591
00:30:03,839 --> 00:30:06,559
down Tampa throat all again, ten yards per pass attempt.

592
00:30:06,559 --> 00:30:08,160
They went four or four in the red zone. They

593
00:30:08,160 --> 00:30:09,920
went six and nine on third down, one on one

594
00:30:09,960 --> 00:30:12,400
on fourth down. They scored thirty five points at home.

595
00:30:12,920 --> 00:30:15,079
It's hard to lose a game like that. Seattle found

596
00:30:15,079 --> 00:30:15,559
a way.

597
00:30:17,240 --> 00:30:19,720
Speaker 1: Yes they did, and that's because me and Jeff both

598
00:30:19,720 --> 00:30:22,559
were on them. I'm fully convinced. No, all jokes aside.

599
00:30:22,680 --> 00:30:26,440
It is funny how sometimes when you and a buddy agree, Teddy,

600
00:30:26,480 --> 00:30:28,880
you're like, damn it. And it was the same thing

601
00:30:28,920 --> 00:30:30,960
as what I said about the Jets. You and I

602
00:30:31,000 --> 00:30:33,720
were both on the Jets. We thought, hey, we've got

603
00:30:34,039 --> 00:30:37,799
Dallas Sunday Night football and a barn Burner versus the Packers.

604
00:30:37,799 --> 00:30:41,799
They get the game tying, you know, win if you will,

605
00:30:41,799 --> 00:30:45,039
which I think for the Cowboys it was considered a win.

606
00:30:45,240 --> 00:30:47,440
Maybe not for the Packers, but definitely for the Cowboys.

607
00:30:47,599 --> 00:30:49,960
Then they get to travel east and it's just the

608
00:30:50,039 --> 00:30:52,400
lowly Jets. Yet the line was two and a half

609
00:30:52,440 --> 00:30:54,200
and it was begging you to lay it with Dallas.

610
00:30:54,240 --> 00:30:56,279
And if you laid it with Dallas, you look pretty

611
00:30:56,359 --> 00:30:56,920
darn smart.

612
00:30:58,920 --> 00:31:05,000
Speaker 2: Yeah. Uh So, Dallas didn't think that they were that

613
00:31:05,119 --> 00:31:07,839
the win against that the tie against the Packers was

614
00:31:07,839 --> 00:31:09,759
a good thing. And you read the quotes after the game.

615
00:31:09,839 --> 00:31:12,880
It's very clear, Dak Prescott. I saw this coming on

616
00:31:12,960 --> 00:31:14,839
a simple fact. This team knows how confident we are,

617
00:31:14,839 --> 00:31:17,000
what we're capable of doing. We knew it was important

618
00:31:17,000 --> 00:31:18,920
to get the taste of last week out of our

619
00:31:19,000 --> 00:31:20,960
mouth and out of our mind.

620
00:31:23,079 --> 00:31:25,599
Speaker 1: Okay, good point. Well, now they get to face the

621
00:31:25,640 --> 00:31:28,680
Panthers like another game that you just don't think that

622
00:31:28,799 --> 00:31:31,200
Dallas is going to be up for, right, Like these

623
00:31:31,200 --> 00:31:34,720
are these like kind of weird situations where I think

624
00:31:34,720 --> 00:31:36,160
the rubber is going to meet the road here for

625
00:31:36,200 --> 00:31:39,240
the Dallas Cowboys. Right, they are not fully healthy, but

626
00:31:39,279 --> 00:31:42,640
they've been getting healthier week by week. Dak Prescott's still

627
00:31:42,720 --> 00:31:45,319
up right. Panthers, on the other hand, I mentioned how

628
00:31:45,759 --> 00:31:48,880
awful they look. They were down seventeen at one point,

629
00:31:48,880 --> 00:31:52,440
and I thought, good grief, who let me bet the Panthers?

630
00:31:52,680 --> 00:31:56,759
And then here come the Panthers. What do we make

631
00:31:56,799 --> 00:31:59,480
of these two teams headed into Week six?

632
00:32:00,599 --> 00:32:03,720
Speaker 2: Look ahead line Dallas minus three and a half forty seven.

633
00:32:03,839 --> 00:32:07,480
My powering number Dallas minus three. The markets opened three

634
00:32:07,519 --> 00:32:11,079
and a half and forty nine last night, and I'm

635
00:32:11,079 --> 00:32:14,720
still seeing three and a half's out there now. But

636
00:32:15,720 --> 00:32:19,119
forty nine and a half the total. Maybe it's time

637
00:32:19,200 --> 00:32:25,200
to emergency betting alert this one line plus three and

638
00:32:25,240 --> 00:32:27,359
a half. Again, it's not gonna hurt you to bet

639
00:32:27,400 --> 00:32:29,359
it now. I don't see this line going up. I

640
00:32:29,400 --> 00:32:33,920
can only see it going down. Why well, the Cowboys,

641
00:32:33,920 --> 00:32:36,720
you're playing with four backup offsitive linemen and ocd Lamb.

642
00:32:37,359 --> 00:32:39,119
All right, Nate Thomas just made the first start of

643
00:32:39,160 --> 00:32:43,480
his career, filling in for Tyler Geidon. Hakeema Denji made

644
00:32:43,480 --> 00:32:46,400
his first start with the Cowboys at guard. All right.

645
00:32:46,440 --> 00:32:49,599
We've got Trevor Keenan and brock Hoffman starting his first

646
00:32:49,640 --> 00:32:53,160
game at center, TJ Bass starting only his second game

647
00:32:53,240 --> 00:32:56,319
at right guard. You got bb Heart, You've got Booker Heard,

648
00:32:56,359 --> 00:33:00,039
you've got Tyler Smith active but unable to play in

649
00:33:00,079 --> 00:33:03,000
that ballgame. Those are now. We don't know what the

650
00:33:03,039 --> 00:33:06,279
injury ports gonna look like this week for the offensive line.

651
00:33:06,640 --> 00:33:09,559
But again, you got one hundred and eighty rushing yards

652
00:33:09,559 --> 00:33:11,440
eight point two yards per play, seven point one yards

653
00:33:11,480 --> 00:33:15,079
per pass, sorry, eight point two yards per pass at

654
00:33:15,119 --> 00:33:18,359
ten seven point one yards per play, no ceeding, no problem.

655
00:33:18,440 --> 00:33:21,119
You know, Ryan Florinoy comes out of nowhere. Jake Ferguson

656
00:33:21,960 --> 00:33:24,519
combined for thirteen catch with one hundred and sixty three yards.

657
00:33:25,440 --> 00:33:29,559
Dallas was pretty plays with himself after that ballgame, and

658
00:33:30,160 --> 00:33:33,039
the defense still has some pretty ugly metrics even after

659
00:33:33,079 --> 00:33:35,960
the win, especially because the box score lied in that

660
00:33:36,000 --> 00:33:37,680
game against the Jests, where the Jets put up a

661
00:33:37,680 --> 00:33:40,559
bunch of yard. It's late, so I would anticipate perhaps

662
00:33:40,599 --> 00:33:42,680
some Panthers money, and of course Panthers are two and

663
00:33:42,720 --> 00:33:44,400
oh straight up and against this bread at home. I

664
00:33:44,440 --> 00:33:47,519
thought the crowd mattered yesterday. The team looked much more comfortable,

665
00:33:48,000 --> 00:33:52,359
you know. The defense shut down opposing running backs thirteen

666
00:33:52,400 --> 00:33:56,240
carries fourteen yards. Carolina's running backs twenty nine carries, two

667
00:33:56,279 --> 00:33:59,039
hunter and thirty eight. Rip Daldell with a career game

668
00:33:59,200 --> 00:34:01,759
two hunred and six yard on twenty three carries. Quote,

669
00:34:01,839 --> 00:34:04,039
they got to buckle up, you know. Of course, he's

670
00:34:04,079 --> 00:34:08,000
a former cowboy talking trash to his former team. They

671
00:34:08,000 --> 00:34:10,239
gotta buckle up. I think they know for sure. They

672
00:34:10,239 --> 00:34:12,960
didn't keep me there for five years for no reasons.

673
00:34:13,280 --> 00:34:16,199
Yards per play Carolina outgame Miami by one point seven.

674
00:34:16,480 --> 00:34:18,320
The slow starts are a problem when you think back

675
00:34:18,320 --> 00:34:20,639
to that Arizona game and of course yesterday tying the

676
00:34:20,639 --> 00:34:25,159
franchise record with a seventeen point come from behind victory.

677
00:34:26,239 --> 00:34:30,480
But Dave Canalis talked about don't let things spiral, you know,

678
00:34:30,559 --> 00:34:32,440
after they had that awful loss to New England where

679
00:34:32,440 --> 00:34:36,320
they lost by twenty nine. Bryce Young, I think it

680
00:34:36,360 --> 00:34:38,840
was a great message that carried over. Obviously not to

681
00:34:38,840 --> 00:34:41,519
start that we want, but for us to be able

682
00:34:41,559 --> 00:34:43,840
to refocus. Canal has talked about it all the time,

683
00:34:43,960 --> 00:34:46,480
being able to refocus from the good to the good

684
00:34:46,559 --> 00:34:49,760
from the bad. You saw that in all phases, regardless

685
00:34:49,760 --> 00:34:51,559
of what was going on with the scoreboard, just able

686
00:34:51,559 --> 00:34:53,480
to refocus and go on to the next play. That

687
00:34:53,719 --> 00:34:56,480
was a character win for Carolina. I do expect them

688
00:34:56,679 --> 00:35:01,079
take some money, especially if this cowboy's injury report looks

689
00:35:01,079 --> 00:35:03,400
you know, you talk they were about there. The offensive

690
00:35:03,400 --> 00:35:05,519
line is't getting healthier, The offense isn't getting healthier right

691
00:35:05,559 --> 00:35:08,280
now in the defense has all kinds of concerns when

692
00:35:08,320 --> 00:35:11,320
you look at the full season stats, so I would

693
00:35:11,360 --> 00:35:13,639
not be shocked. We've seen some already. There's still three

694
00:35:13,639 --> 00:35:16,920
and a half's widely available for Carolina. I'm not convinced

695
00:35:16,960 --> 00:35:19,840
that'll be the case all day or all week.

696
00:35:20,599 --> 00:35:24,519
Speaker 1: All right, Teddy, The Chargers off back to back losses,

697
00:35:24,679 --> 00:35:29,119
now head to Miami to play the Dolphins. You mentioned

698
00:35:29,239 --> 00:35:31,280
power ratings wise and how you've moved some of these

699
00:35:31,360 --> 00:35:34,719
teams around. How much have you downgraded the Chargers over

700
00:35:34,760 --> 00:35:35,559
the past two weeks.

701
00:35:36,280 --> 00:35:38,360
Speaker 2: Not that much, you know, I'm a little bit of

702
00:35:38,440 --> 00:35:41,079
point or two. You know, maybe I don't. I don't

703
00:35:41,119 --> 00:35:42,599
have my power. Let me pull them up so I

704
00:35:42,639 --> 00:35:43,480
can answer that question.

705
00:35:43,920 --> 00:35:46,639
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm just generally curious because I kind of watched

706
00:35:46,920 --> 00:35:49,440
both games. Right, you said I do not use the

707
00:35:49,519 --> 00:35:52,039
Chargers and Survivor. I threw a little bit on the Giants.

708
00:35:52,039 --> 00:35:53,719
I knew it was the sharp side. I had zero

709
00:35:53,800 --> 00:35:56,000
faith in the Giants, but they got it done. Then

710
00:35:56,199 --> 00:35:59,039
yesterday I had the Commanders teased every possible direction and

711
00:35:59,079 --> 00:36:02,519
the line went to three and I was panic stricken, like,

712
00:36:02,639 --> 00:36:05,199
oh boy, what's gonna happen? But the second half, the

713
00:36:05,239 --> 00:36:09,480
Commanders really dominated that football game. Justin Herbert, I personally

714
00:36:09,519 --> 00:36:14,199
think was making uncarre characteristic mistakes, and I think we've

715
00:36:14,199 --> 00:36:16,400
got to give a little bit more credit to the Commanders,

716
00:36:16,480 --> 00:36:18,880
not necessarily downgrade the Chargers so much.

717
00:36:19,440 --> 00:36:22,920
Speaker 2: Sure, I'm with you. One hundred percent. Look aheadline here,

718
00:36:24,000 --> 00:36:27,159
Chargers minus five and a half forty five my powering number,

719
00:36:27,280 --> 00:36:30,719
chargers minus six. The markets opened five and a half

720
00:36:30,800 --> 00:36:32,960
and forty five last night. What did we see in today?

721
00:36:33,719 --> 00:36:36,679
Fours for this ballgame? Still four and a half's out there,

722
00:36:36,760 --> 00:36:39,239
but four is the prevailing number. So we've seen a

723
00:36:39,360 --> 00:36:43,360
boatload of Miami money over the last twelve hours or so,

724
00:36:43,599 --> 00:36:46,039
total forty four and a half. A little bit of

725
00:36:46,159 --> 00:36:49,199
under money there as well. And look the Chargers. Look

726
00:36:49,199 --> 00:36:51,199
at the scoreboard. They said they lost twenty seven to ten.

727
00:36:52,199 --> 00:36:54,480
There were three plays away from having a blowout win

728
00:36:54,760 --> 00:36:57,599
in that ball game. The Punn return touchdown before halftime

729
00:36:57,679 --> 00:36:59,639
that got called back on a roughing the putter which

730
00:36:59,639 --> 00:37:02,760
didn't hel to return. So instead of seventeen to seven,

731
00:37:03,320 --> 00:37:08,199
now it's ten to ten. At halftime, they're trailing twenty

732
00:37:08,239 --> 00:37:10,840
to ten. In Washington Territory. They get stuffed on fourth

733
00:37:10,920 --> 00:37:13,000
and two, and they got the ball back their first

734
00:37:13,039 --> 00:37:14,840
and goal from the one down ten. They got stuffed

735
00:37:14,840 --> 00:37:17,039
the first two play. Herbert threw a pick off a

736
00:37:17,079 --> 00:37:19,199
guy's face mask in the third play game over, and

737
00:37:19,280 --> 00:37:21,039
then allowed a nine to nine yard touchdown drive to

738
00:37:21,079 --> 00:37:24,360
close out the game. So really three plays for the

739
00:37:24,519 --> 00:37:27,559
Chargers seventeen point loss. They could have won that game

740
00:37:27,599 --> 00:37:30,280
by that margin had those three plays gone differently. That said,

741
00:37:30,280 --> 00:37:32,599
they weren't able to execute on any of them. Herbert's

742
00:37:32,599 --> 00:37:35,280
a leading rusher, that's a problem. Marion Hampton not a factor.

743
00:37:35,639 --> 00:37:37,840
And this is a team that wanted to run the football,

744
00:37:38,079 --> 00:37:40,639
talked all offseason We're going to run the football. They

745
00:37:40,679 --> 00:37:42,719
had the fewest runs on first and second downs of

746
00:37:42,760 --> 00:37:45,960
any team in the NFL on a percentage basis yards

747
00:37:46,039 --> 00:37:48,480
per play five point two for the Chargers, seven point

748
00:37:48,519 --> 00:37:51,599
one for Washington. Ten penalties, two turnovers. This is one

749
00:37:51,639 --> 00:37:54,000
of the least penalized teams the first three weeks of

750
00:37:54,039 --> 00:37:56,760
the season, you know, fifteen penalties in the loss of

751
00:37:56,840 --> 00:38:01,960
the Giants ten yesterday. So Harbaugh quote, we got to

752
00:38:02,000 --> 00:38:05,519
tighten up the operation in every way. And you know,

753
00:38:06,480 --> 00:38:08,920
Herbert's now been sacked sixteen times. He was sacked four

754
00:38:08,960 --> 00:38:12,880
times yesterday in the offsive line. They lost Beckton and

755
00:38:13,280 --> 00:38:16,960
pin Pipkins yesterday two OFFSI of linemen got hurt during

756
00:38:17,039 --> 00:38:19,159
the game for the Chargers. And the fact that we've

757
00:38:19,159 --> 00:38:21,920
seen the Miami money tells me that maybe those injury

758
00:38:22,000 --> 00:38:26,920
reports aren't real good just yet. That being said, Miami,

759
00:38:27,159 --> 00:38:29,679
I did not like the looks on the Dolphins. I

760
00:38:29,760 --> 00:38:32,480
did not like how they responded to diversity yesterday at all.

761
00:38:33,079 --> 00:38:34,920
You can't run, you can't stop the run. You know,

762
00:38:35,039 --> 00:38:38,159
they're running backs thirteen carries fourteen yards and allowed twenty

763
00:38:38,280 --> 00:38:40,639
nine for two thirty eight. This is the team that

764
00:38:40,719 --> 00:38:42,719
had you know, top ten and run defense last year.

765
00:38:43,559 --> 00:38:46,960
Four times in five games this year they've given up

766
00:38:47,440 --> 00:38:51,679
one hundred and fifty rushing yards. You know, Mike McDaniel quote,

767
00:38:51,960 --> 00:38:53,559
I think we were out game by two hundred yards

768
00:38:53,559 --> 00:38:55,159
in the run game. That's not good enough you really

769
00:38:55,199 --> 00:39:00,519
win if ever, But when you watch the game, Carolina

770
00:39:00,559 --> 00:39:03,559
wanted it more and that was when you watch the

771
00:39:03,599 --> 00:39:07,079
effort in the fourth quarter. Carolina was hungrier. Miami was

772
00:39:07,119 --> 00:39:10,039
playing for their season, and Carolina was a hungrier team.

773
00:39:10,480 --> 00:39:12,760
Dolphins were favored, they were plus two in turnovers. They

774
00:39:12,760 --> 00:39:14,400
still lost the game. They rout game by one point

775
00:39:14,440 --> 00:39:17,639
seven yards per play. TUA after the game. No one

776
00:39:17,719 --> 00:39:20,039
wants to start the season one and four. There's just

777
00:39:20,079 --> 00:39:21,800
so many things to go into it. We've got to

778
00:39:21,840 --> 00:39:23,440
figure this out. We've got to figure it out. Now

779
00:39:23,559 --> 00:39:28,039
this feeling sucks. I don't want Miami right now. Chargers

780
00:39:28,239 --> 00:39:30,440
are on my short list, although I am concerned about

781
00:39:30,519 --> 00:39:32,119
injury report on the offensive line.

782
00:39:32,840 --> 00:39:36,360
Speaker 1: All Right, we mentioned the Bucks Baker doing Baker things

783
00:39:36,599 --> 00:39:40,320
and figuring out how to win football games. He looked

784
00:39:40,639 --> 00:39:44,760
rather impressive again, mentioning impressive. Do you think that that

785
00:39:44,920 --> 00:39:49,000
Thursday night football game versus the Rams was more indicative

786
00:39:49,119 --> 00:39:52,119
of this Niners team and being able to plug and

787
00:39:52,159 --> 00:39:55,280
play Mac Jones into that offense, or do you think

788
00:39:55,320 --> 00:39:57,519
that was more of a loss by the Rams.

789
00:40:04,639 --> 00:40:07,239
Speaker 2: So I'm thinking about it, and the answer is a

790
00:40:07,280 --> 00:40:10,119
little bit from common. I mean it's I don't rip

791
00:40:10,199 --> 00:40:12,280
the Rams too much for that loss. I really don't. Again,

792
00:40:12,320 --> 00:40:14,960
they're a play away from winning the game. They just

793
00:40:15,000 --> 00:40:18,440
got stuffed on four it down, you know, Williams fumble

794
00:40:18,480 --> 00:40:20,719
at the goal line. I mean it was two random,

795
00:40:20,920 --> 00:40:23,719
you know, pretty random things for that game. And when

796
00:40:23,760 --> 00:40:25,920
you have the old quarterbacks on Thursday night, you can't

797
00:40:26,000 --> 00:40:28,719
rip them. They won the yards per play battle against

798
00:40:28,760 --> 00:40:31,760
San fran by two point two yards per play, you know,

799
00:40:33,119 --> 00:40:34,679
seven point one to four point nine, and they held

800
00:40:34,719 --> 00:40:36,800
San Franta two and five in the red zone. The

801
00:40:36,880 --> 00:40:39,280
Rams played all right, and then the breaks just went

802
00:40:39,320 --> 00:40:44,400
the Niners way on the most impactful plays of that

803
00:40:44,760 --> 00:40:48,000
ball game. Look aheadline here Tampa two and a half

804
00:40:48,159 --> 00:40:50,199
last three forty six and a half my power in

805
00:40:50,280 --> 00:40:53,079
Tampa minus three and a half the markets last night

806
00:40:53,639 --> 00:40:55,480
I called it three slash two and a half more

807
00:40:55,519 --> 00:40:57,679
threes than two and a halfs out there forty seven

808
00:40:57,719 --> 00:41:01,519
and a half for Tampa and San Fran, and it's

809
00:41:01,559 --> 00:41:03,559
all threes this morning. The two and answer gone forty

810
00:41:03,559 --> 00:41:07,159
seven and a halfter prevailing number. San Fran will have

811
00:41:07,239 --> 00:41:12,159
extra rest time slash prep time. They are a West

812
00:41:12,199 --> 00:41:14,239
Coast team traveling east, but it's not an early start

813
00:41:14,320 --> 00:41:17,519
game again. They've got out out gained by two point

814
00:41:17,519 --> 00:41:19,440
two yeards for play, but they're still going to be

815
00:41:19,480 --> 00:41:22,039
playing without Rock Perty and Nick Posa and George Kittle

816
00:41:22,079 --> 00:41:26,480
and the top three wide receivers. You know, they're coming

817
00:41:26,559 --> 00:41:30,679
off a huge division win in which you know they've

818
00:41:30,719 --> 00:41:34,880
played in overtime. They're four and one. All four of

819
00:41:34,920 --> 00:41:37,039
their wins have come by five points or last year

820
00:41:37,039 --> 00:41:39,920
can make in case they stole all five. You know,

821
00:41:40,119 --> 00:41:42,480
all four wins and San Fran could easily be oning

822
00:41:42,559 --> 00:41:45,960
five right now when you know, they're in game after game.

823
00:41:46,280 --> 00:41:49,039
And oh, by the way, they lost two more defenders

824
00:41:49,320 --> 00:41:53,079
during the ball game. Kyla Davis and Gross Matos both

825
00:41:53,119 --> 00:41:58,400
got hurt during the game to starting defensive alignment. Baker

826
00:41:58,519 --> 00:42:01,960
was pretty special again yesterday, you know, twenty nine to

827
00:42:02,039 --> 00:42:05,599
thirty three, three seventy nine, two touchdowns, no picks, eleven

828
00:42:05,679 --> 00:42:09,119
point five yards per pass attempt, only four in completes.

829
00:42:11,039 --> 00:42:15,320
That being said, other than Baker nineteen carries forty one yards.

830
00:42:15,320 --> 00:42:17,719
They're still not running the footall effectively. They missed Bucky

831
00:42:17,760 --> 00:42:20,880
Irving in that ballgame. The defense got absolutely gashed. They

832
00:42:20,880 --> 00:42:23,960
didn't sack Donald once. Donald completed eighty two percent of

833
00:42:24,000 --> 00:42:27,480
his passes. They give up six point one yards per rush,

834
00:42:27,840 --> 00:42:30,599
ten yards per pass attempt. They allowed five touchdowns, no

835
00:42:30,719 --> 00:42:34,960
field goals. Those are not good defensive numbers. That being said,

836
00:42:35,679 --> 00:42:38,679
make case Baker's MVP right now. You know, ten touchdown passes,

837
00:42:38,719 --> 00:42:42,480
one interception in five games. You know, and it's worth

838
00:42:42,599 --> 00:42:46,559
noting Mayfield has been in Tampa for three years. He's

839
00:42:46,639 --> 00:42:49,280
on his third offensive Cornador. Why he's gotten each of

840
00:42:49,320 --> 00:42:51,480
the last two offens of the Cornators a head coaching job,

841
00:42:52,639 --> 00:42:57,000
you know, William Cohen the latest example, but brutal list

842
00:42:57,079 --> 00:42:59,840
of injuries for this team. Obviously, Mike Evans has hurt.

843
00:43:00,159 --> 00:43:03,039
You got Tristan Wurs missed the first couple of games

844
00:43:03,119 --> 00:43:05,800
this season. Two more starting off the lineman I got hurt.

845
00:43:06,079 --> 00:43:12,280
Jalen McMillan is out, Bucky Irving has heard defense down

846
00:43:12,360 --> 00:43:17,119
three starters. The Tampa injury report not pretty, which is

847
00:43:17,159 --> 00:43:18,679
going to keep this line at three? It's not going

848
00:43:18,719 --> 00:43:20,920
to go up to three and a half. All right.

849
00:43:21,639 --> 00:43:24,760
Speaker 1: I'm gonna see if Baker can keep hanging on. I

850
00:43:24,880 --> 00:43:27,239
kind of like the Bucks here in this one, Teddy.

851
00:43:27,320 --> 00:43:30,480
Anything injury wise that you're looking at for that Niners

852
00:43:30,519 --> 00:43:33,880
game before we move on to some more of the

853
00:43:33,920 --> 00:43:38,079
other Sunday afternoon games. Last I saw party was week

854
00:43:38,119 --> 00:43:41,639
to week. George Kittle hearing some different rumors he may

855
00:43:41,679 --> 00:43:44,000
be back this week. Anything on your end as far

856
00:43:44,000 --> 00:43:44,760
as the injury.

857
00:43:44,519 --> 00:43:46,800
Speaker 2: Report goes, not yet. No, I mean just a Sunday night,

858
00:43:47,000 --> 00:43:49,119
You're not going to hear about who's you know, A

859
00:43:49,199 --> 00:43:50,880
lot of that stuff comes out Monday and then throughout

860
00:43:50,920 --> 00:43:53,719
the course of the week. But both Tampa and San

861
00:43:53,800 --> 00:43:56,599
fran have significant injury concerns. The line could easily move

862
00:43:56,679 --> 00:44:00,400
based on what we're going to see. I would not expect.

863
00:44:00,639 --> 00:44:02,920
I'm not counting on Perdy being back this week, but really,

864
00:44:03,400 --> 00:44:05,239
how much of a difference powering wise is there right

865
00:44:05,280 --> 00:44:06,559
now between Perty and mac Jones.

866
00:44:06,920 --> 00:44:09,000
Speaker 1: That's kind of what I was asking about Thursday Night Football.

867
00:44:09,360 --> 00:44:11,760
And don't if I watch that game without sound and

868
00:44:11,840 --> 00:44:14,679
no names on the back of the jersey, Mac Jones

869
00:44:14,760 --> 00:44:18,000
look very brock Purty esque. All right, let's go into

870
00:44:18,119 --> 00:44:20,320
the worst game on the slate this week. But just

871
00:44:20,400 --> 00:44:22,840
because it's a bad game does not mean we cannot

872
00:44:23,039 --> 00:44:25,000
find value, right Teddy?

873
00:44:25,719 --> 00:44:28,199
Speaker 2: Shoot, I mean, look, I lost money betting the Jets

874
00:44:28,280 --> 00:44:28,559
this week.

875
00:44:31,960 --> 00:44:36,320
Speaker 1: Titan's take on the Las Vegas Raiders, we mentioned how

876
00:44:36,320 --> 00:44:41,280
do the Cardinals respond after their ugly loss? Tennessee gotta win?

877
00:44:41,440 --> 00:44:46,440
Brian Callahan not fired yet, Gino Smith turnover machine. My

878
00:44:46,559 --> 00:44:49,519
guy has thrown eight interceptions so far this year. And

879
00:44:49,599 --> 00:44:51,039
that is why I took the Colts last week. I

880
00:44:51,079 --> 00:44:53,320
said I can't trust this team, especially on the road.

881
00:44:53,360 --> 00:44:56,079
But now they're back at home and they're laying a

882
00:44:56,320 --> 00:44:57,719
lot of points here, Teddy.

883
00:44:57,960 --> 00:44:59,599
Speaker 2: Yeah, and the Raiders' home field isn't worth a whole

884
00:44:59,639 --> 00:45:02,840
lot all right, Allegiance Stadium is usually half filled with

885
00:45:02,920 --> 00:45:05,719
opponent's crowd, and the Raiders have no history of winning

886
00:45:06,280 --> 00:45:08,519
on this field. So if you're gonna say, oh, the

887
00:45:08,599 --> 00:45:11,960
Raiders are at home, I give the Raiders as small

888
00:45:11,960 --> 00:45:13,480
a home field edge as there is in the league.

889
00:45:14,360 --> 00:45:16,880
Look a headline five and a half sass six forty

890
00:45:16,920 --> 00:45:18,960
one and a half. My powering number Raiders three and

891
00:45:18,960 --> 00:45:20,480
a half. And I crashed the Raiders in my power

892
00:45:20,519 --> 00:45:23,840
rating after yesterday. I want no part. They look pretty bad.

893
00:45:24,159 --> 00:45:26,960
And you read the quotes afterwards and you'll understand why. Uh,

894
00:45:27,280 --> 00:45:29,599
six and forty one and a half's where it opened.

895
00:45:30,480 --> 00:45:33,559
And we're already seeing five and a halfs And I'm

896
00:45:33,559 --> 00:45:38,280
going to emergency bet togother at this right now, du

897
00:45:38,760 --> 00:45:43,599
du you yeah, if you want to, if you want

898
00:45:43,639 --> 00:45:46,480
Tennessee plus six, grab it. This can't hold. It can't.

899
00:45:46,920 --> 00:45:49,800
The Raiders aren't good enough to lay six points. Now.

900
00:45:50,400 --> 00:45:53,119
Admittedly the Titans needed. The Titans needed a break in

901
00:45:53,159 --> 00:45:55,719
the worst way, and Arizona gave him about ten of them.

902
00:45:55,920 --> 00:45:57,480
You know, they looked at in the water. They trailed

903
00:45:57,480 --> 00:45:59,480
twenty one to three. They allowed three touchdowns up for

904
00:45:59,559 --> 00:46:03,519
a drive. You know, and then boom, all of a sudden.

905
00:46:03,920 --> 00:46:06,360
You know, they took advantage of a bunch of Cardinals mistakes.

906
00:46:06,880 --> 00:46:09,400
But coach Callahan, you know who was everyone was calling

907
00:46:09,400 --> 00:46:11,920
for him to be fired at halftime. You know, things

908
00:46:12,039 --> 00:46:13,679
just have to go your way sometimes. We have had

909
00:46:13,679 --> 00:46:15,079
a lot of those. So far this year, we haven't

910
00:46:15,079 --> 00:46:17,559
had a lot of bounds in our favor. Sometimes you

911
00:46:18,039 --> 00:46:21,559
need that. In the fourth quarter, cam Ward thirteen of eighteen,

912
00:46:21,599 --> 00:46:23,679
one hundred and ninety three yards. You know, I wish

913
00:46:23,719 --> 00:46:25,199
we had started better, but at the end of the day,

914
00:46:25,199 --> 00:46:27,239
it doesn't matter how you start, it's how you finished.

915
00:46:27,280 --> 00:46:30,559
Calvin Ridley, we needed it pretty bad. Just feel confident

916
00:46:30,639 --> 00:46:33,199
moving forward. We should build from this. That being said,

917
00:46:33,239 --> 00:46:36,280
Tennessee is a bad team off a win. Those teams

918
00:46:36,320 --> 00:46:40,599
have not historically done very well. But you know, the

919
00:46:40,719 --> 00:46:43,119
Raiders have been a disaster since Week one, all right.

920
00:46:43,159 --> 00:46:44,960
They won a New England Week one, and they haven't

921
00:46:44,960 --> 00:46:47,679
won a game since. Pete Carroll talked about how all

922
00:46:47,760 --> 00:46:50,760
three phases were struggling. I forgot it was last week

923
00:46:50,800 --> 00:46:53,280
or two weeks ago, and I think it was a

924
00:46:53,320 --> 00:46:55,159
game in Washington where they were non competitive and they

925
00:46:55,199 --> 00:46:58,760
were even more non competitive in Indie yesterday. Gino Smith

926
00:46:58,800 --> 00:47:00,840
has nine interceptions. By the way, that's the most by

927
00:47:00,840 --> 00:47:02,920
any Raiders quarterback in the first five games this season

928
00:47:03,239 --> 00:47:07,039
since Jim Plunkett. The last NFL quarterbacks to have nine

929
00:47:07,440 --> 00:47:11,440
interceptions in his team's first five games, that'd be Zach Wilson.

930
00:47:11,840 --> 00:47:16,400
You never want to be compared with Zach Wilson. Pete

931
00:47:16,440 --> 00:47:19,159
Carroll quote. It was really disappointing for us. That's such

932
00:47:19,159 --> 00:47:21,000
a hard time getting into this game. We need to

933
00:47:21,079 --> 00:47:24,760
change course from the way we're going talking about the

934
00:47:24,960 --> 00:47:28,119
struggles of late. I'm processing it poorly, to tell you

935
00:47:28,199 --> 00:47:30,480
the truth, because I did expect to win right out

936
00:47:30,519 --> 00:47:36,679
of the shoots. So oh, by the way, both Titans

937
00:47:36,719 --> 00:47:39,679
in active yesterday, that's the two best pass Catchersers, Bowers

938
00:47:39,719 --> 00:47:43,079
is elite, Meyers. Could they lost another cornerback, Eric Stokes

939
00:47:43,519 --> 00:47:46,719
hurt in that ball game. Raiders are coming apart at

940
00:47:46,760 --> 00:47:51,559
the seams. Even with the tough spot for Tennessee, Raiders

941
00:47:51,599 --> 00:47:53,800
can't hold at six, they really can't. Well, we'll see

942
00:47:53,800 --> 00:47:55,639
them some Tennessee money between now and kickoff.

943
00:47:55,920 --> 00:47:57,920
Speaker 1: All Right, Almost a twenty eight hundred of you guys

944
00:47:58,039 --> 00:47:59,880
watching live, whether it's on the wager, Chuck, you do

945
00:48:00,079 --> 00:48:03,239
channel X, et cetera. So thank you guys for that

946
00:48:03,360 --> 00:48:05,639
jump in the comment section. Give us a like. Make

947
00:48:05,719 --> 00:48:07,719
sure you hit that subscribe button so you never miss

948
00:48:07,800 --> 00:48:10,400
another episode of the opening line report, Teddy, it is

949
00:48:10,480 --> 00:48:12,880
Monday morning, so that means I made a mistake and

950
00:48:12,960 --> 00:48:14,639
we got to go back to the one pm slate

951
00:48:14,679 --> 00:48:17,400
because we've got the New England Patriots taking on the

952
00:48:17,440 --> 00:48:19,440
New Orleans Saints. I don't know how I can forget

953
00:48:19,480 --> 00:48:23,920
these two teams, Patriots off that nice Sunday night football win.

954
00:48:24,000 --> 00:48:26,760
Admittedly I went to bed at halftime, so you're gonna

955
00:48:26,760 --> 00:48:28,639
have to give me the cliff notes on how that

956
00:48:28,760 --> 00:48:31,760
second half of the game went. Saints. Speaking of second half,

957
00:48:32,079 --> 00:48:34,519
what a second half by them. They were able to

958
00:48:34,639 --> 00:48:36,960
really capitalize on the mistakes of the New York Giants.

959
00:48:37,239 --> 00:48:39,559
I was very happy, even though I laid a bad number,

960
00:48:39,760 --> 00:48:41,960
I laid one with this team. It's very happy to

961
00:48:42,000 --> 00:48:42,800
get the end result.

962
00:48:43,639 --> 00:48:46,519
Speaker 2: What did you make a mistake on? I don't understand, Well, we.

963
00:48:46,559 --> 00:48:48,039
Speaker 1: Were in the four pm slate and this is a

964
00:48:48,079 --> 00:48:48,760
one pm game.

965
00:48:49,320 --> 00:48:52,559
Speaker 2: Oh I'm sorry. We go out, we go in rotation order.

966
00:48:52,719 --> 00:48:56,760
It's not that's you can make all the mistakes you

967
00:48:56,800 --> 00:48:58,760
want like that, no big deal. You know, people figure

968
00:48:58,760 --> 00:49:00,960
out what the start time is. Look at headline New

969
00:49:01,000 --> 00:49:04,159
England three and a half and forty five against the Saints.

970
00:49:04,239 --> 00:49:05,880
My powering number in New England three and a half.

971
00:49:05,960 --> 00:49:07,679
The markets were three and a half and forty five

972
00:49:07,800 --> 00:49:10,000
last night and we saw three and a half and

973
00:49:10,159 --> 00:49:13,239
there were forty five and a half earlier this morning.

974
00:49:13,679 --> 00:49:16,480
So we're not seeing anything from the markets right now.

975
00:49:16,840 --> 00:49:18,639
And of course the Patriots coming off that was a

976
00:49:18,679 --> 00:49:21,760
statement game win for New England in Buffalo last night.

977
00:49:21,760 --> 00:49:24,480
You worry about a team like that off a win

978
00:49:24,800 --> 00:49:28,360
like that, laying points on the road. I would not

979
00:49:28,480 --> 00:49:31,000
call it an optimal New England spot. That being said,

980
00:49:31,719 --> 00:49:35,199
don't be fooled by the Saints beating the Giants yesterday.

981
00:49:35,480 --> 00:49:37,199
They went oher three in the red zone. They had

982
00:49:37,199 --> 00:49:40,079
two point nine yards per carry, only five point four

983
00:49:40,159 --> 00:49:42,840
yards per play. What did they do? They didn't turn

984
00:49:42,920 --> 00:49:46,320
the ball over and they forced five. You know, when

985
00:49:46,320 --> 00:49:48,360
you're plus five and turnovers, you're supposed to win. And

986
00:49:48,480 --> 00:49:50,559
even with that, they needed an eighty seven yard passing

987
00:49:50,639 --> 00:49:52,800
touchdown on a blown coverage, had an eighty six yard

988
00:49:52,840 --> 00:49:56,000
full over a turn touchdown that flipped the game. Spencer

989
00:49:56,079 --> 00:49:58,559
Rattlers now one to ten as a starter, you know quote,

990
00:49:58,840 --> 00:50:00,800
it feels good to get that first win. Was a

991
00:50:00,840 --> 00:50:03,920
team win. The defense played great, de Fid line was elite.

992
00:50:04,800 --> 00:50:08,880
Taysom Hill made its first appearance of the season. Foster

993
00:50:09,000 --> 00:50:11,360
Moreau was back on the defensive side after you know,

994
00:50:11,440 --> 00:50:14,320
he got hurt last year. So two longtime veterans returning

995
00:50:14,360 --> 00:50:17,199
to the roster. But now we're talking about a bottom

996
00:50:17,239 --> 00:50:20,159
feet er off a win. I tapped the brakes on

997
00:50:20,440 --> 00:50:22,599
New Orleans. They're not a team I'm excited about this week.

998
00:50:22,719 --> 00:50:25,719
Speaker 1: All right, let's tap the brakes. Let's hit the gas

999
00:50:25,800 --> 00:50:27,440
medal on this team. Teddy, I think I have to

1000
00:50:27,519 --> 00:50:30,000
go Packers and Survivor this week. Like I said about

1001
00:50:30,000 --> 00:50:32,760
the Colts, I needed a rocking chair winner. Surely this

1002
00:50:32,960 --> 00:50:37,079
is going to be a rocking chair Survivor winner. Double

1003
00:50:37,119 --> 00:50:40,519
digit favorite here the Bengals are taken on the green

1004
00:50:40,599 --> 00:50:41,320
Bay Packers.

1005
00:50:41,880 --> 00:50:45,760
Speaker 2: Look ahead thirteen and a half forty four. My powering

1006
00:50:45,880 --> 00:50:47,840
number only comes twelve and a half of the Packers,

1007
00:50:47,880 --> 00:50:49,440
and I've got green Bay price with the elite, So

1008
00:50:49,480 --> 00:50:53,480
maybe I'm not low enough on Cincinnati Markets opened fourteen's

1009
00:50:53,559 --> 00:50:57,360
last fourteen and a half last night forty four and

1010
00:50:58,480 --> 00:51:00,880
the fourteens are gone pretty much. It's mostly fourteen and

1011
00:51:00,920 --> 00:51:03,840
a half's out there right now for since the box

1012
00:51:03,880 --> 00:51:07,320
score is gonna lie For the Bengals Lions, they said

1013
00:51:07,360 --> 00:51:08,760
two hudred and six of their three hundred and twenty

1014
00:51:08,800 --> 00:51:11,000
two yards came in the fourth quarter when they trailed

1015
00:51:11,039 --> 00:51:13,880
twenty eight to three. And it wasn't that kind of

1016
00:51:13,920 --> 00:51:17,960
twenty eight to three from the Super Bowl. It was

1017
00:51:18,239 --> 00:51:20,960
Bengals with a backup quarterback who's struggling twenty eight to three.

1018
00:51:20,960 --> 00:51:23,639
They weren't coming back. And that's a third straight game

1019
00:51:23,719 --> 00:51:26,159
since he has scored just three points in the first

1020
00:51:26,199 --> 00:51:28,280
three quarters of the game. They scored twenty one in

1021
00:51:28,320 --> 00:51:31,440
the fourth. But you know, they've been out the last

1022
00:51:31,480 --> 00:51:33,320
three losses, I could, by a margin of one to

1023
00:51:33,400 --> 00:51:39,119
thirteen to thirty seven. You know, can they put Jake

1024
00:51:39,159 --> 00:51:43,840
Browning out there again? I don't know, Zach Taylor. After

1025
00:51:43,920 --> 00:51:45,519
a game like that, we're gonna look at all the

1026
00:51:45,599 --> 00:51:47,800
personnel to make sure we're doing the right thing. I

1027
00:51:47,880 --> 00:51:50,000
won't shy away from that, because a fair question after

1028
00:51:50,039 --> 00:51:52,280
the amount of turnovers we had we hung the defense

1029
00:51:52,320 --> 00:51:55,159
out to dry a couple times in a row. That's

1030
00:51:55,280 --> 00:51:58,239
my job. I call the plays on offense, and it

1031
00:51:58,400 --> 00:52:00,159
hasn't been good enough. I've got to keep us out

1032
00:52:00,159 --> 00:52:05,960
of danger. That's on me. So other options for Cincinnati.

1033
00:52:06,079 --> 00:52:08,400
They got Brett Ripen on the fifty three man roster.

1034
00:52:08,519 --> 00:52:11,079
They have Mike White and Sean Clifford on the practice squad.

1035
00:52:11,719 --> 00:52:14,400
We've seen pretty much every time that the coach has

1036
00:52:14,440 --> 00:52:17,840
gone I don't know. On Sunday night, we've seen a

1037
00:52:17,920 --> 00:52:20,679
quarterback change. We saw it with Joe Flacco this past week,

1038
00:52:20,800 --> 00:52:25,079
So I don't know Brown. There was a spark in

1039
00:52:25,119 --> 00:52:27,199
the fourth quarter. I don't know if enough of the

1040
00:52:27,239 --> 00:52:30,440
spark to keep him there. The Packers are off a

1041
00:52:30,559 --> 00:52:33,480
tie and a bye. They tied. They went nine for

1042
00:52:33,519 --> 00:52:35,119
eleven on third down. They didn't have a fourth time

1043
00:52:35,159 --> 00:52:38,199
conversion five or five into the red zone touchdowns, But

1044
00:52:38,320 --> 00:52:41,239
it was the first time all season where Jeff Affley's

1045
00:52:41,280 --> 00:52:45,320
defense got gashed in that game against Dallas. Tie and

1046
00:52:45,360 --> 00:52:47,679
a bye might be a pretty good motivator. Worst defensive

1047
00:52:47,679 --> 00:52:49,199
formance of the season by a wide margin might be

1048
00:52:49,239 --> 00:52:51,960
a pretty good motivator. That could all be bad news

1049
00:52:52,039 --> 00:52:54,719
for a Cincinnati team that is basically in free fall

1050
00:52:54,800 --> 00:52:55,119
right now.

1051
00:52:55,800 --> 00:52:58,039
Speaker 1: Yes, they are in free fall. It is not a

1052
00:52:58,119 --> 00:53:01,280
good time to be a Cincinnati Bengals fan. Let's get

1053
00:53:01,320 --> 00:53:03,840
into the double header up. I apologize, We've got to

1054
00:53:03,840 --> 00:53:07,400
go to Sunday night football first. Detroit is headed to

1055
00:53:07,559 --> 00:53:10,719
Kansas City. Kansas City still plays tonight Monday night football

1056
00:53:10,719 --> 00:53:11,440
in Jacksonville.

1057
00:53:12,079 --> 00:53:14,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm gonna go quick with the Monday night games.

1058
00:53:14,000 --> 00:53:15,840
We'll just do a little beat beat, but because I

1059
00:53:15,840 --> 00:53:18,800
know we're running out of time. Look at line Kansas

1060
00:53:18,840 --> 00:53:21,920
City one and forty nine against Detroit. My powering number

1061
00:53:22,000 --> 00:53:25,119
also one and forty nine. The markets right now one

1062
00:53:25,199 --> 00:53:27,519
slash one and a half forty nine and a half

1063
00:53:27,639 --> 00:53:31,559
slash fifty. So we're seeing some over money for Detroit.

1064
00:53:31,599 --> 00:53:34,159
And of course Jared Goff only threw four in complete passes,

1065
00:53:34,320 --> 00:53:38,199
you know, and yesterday's day Monty Gibbs three thirty carry

1066
00:53:38,199 --> 00:53:40,239
one hundred and nineteen yards, control of the whole flow,

1067
00:53:40,760 --> 00:53:42,400
you know, the box score lies. We talked about how

1068
00:53:42,440 --> 00:53:44,119
since he got all those starts in the fourth quarter,

1069
00:53:44,639 --> 00:53:47,440
since the Week one lost to the Packers, Detroit has

1070
00:53:47,480 --> 00:53:50,599
scored fifty two thirty eight thirty four and thirty seven

1071
00:53:50,679 --> 00:53:52,880
points four and oh straight up four and oh against

1072
00:53:52,880 --> 00:53:57,519
the spread. But the Ravens, Browns, Bengals, Bears are not

1073
00:53:57,679 --> 00:54:01,599
a who's who of good NFL teams. Kansas City's better

1074
00:54:01,599 --> 00:54:04,280
than those squads. The oh the Chiefs look on Monday

1075
00:54:04,559 --> 00:54:09,039
Night football. If they look good, the one and a half,

1076
00:54:09,079 --> 00:54:11,559
the hold, the two to hold, I don't see Kansas City.

1077
00:54:11,599 --> 00:54:13,480
And if they blow out Jacksonville Lane in a full

1078
00:54:13,519 --> 00:54:14,920
field goal here, I don't see it.

1079
00:54:15,639 --> 00:54:18,719
Speaker 1: Teddy, real quick power ratings wise, how far do you

1080
00:54:18,840 --> 00:54:23,639
have these two teams apart on a neutral field? Say

1081
00:54:23,679 --> 00:54:24,880
one one and a half? Maybe?

1082
00:54:25,599 --> 00:54:27,639
Speaker 2: Yeah, I have Detroit a one point better on.

1083
00:54:27,679 --> 00:54:29,719
Speaker 1: A neutral Okay, perfect, That's all I wanted to know,

1084
00:54:29,920 --> 00:54:31,880
just out of curiosity. Now let's get into these two

1085
00:54:31,920 --> 00:54:34,280
Monday night football games. If you guys are going to

1086
00:54:34,360 --> 00:54:36,440
hang around right after this, we got Andy Langhardy in

1087
00:54:36,440 --> 00:54:39,840
the comments section. Wager Talk today is up in five minutes,

1088
00:54:39,880 --> 00:54:43,079
So let's get Teddy going here. The Buffalo Bills just

1089
00:54:43,280 --> 00:54:47,119
got absolutely shocked last night by the New England Patriots.

1090
00:54:47,159 --> 00:54:49,440
Now they head to Atlanta to take on the Falcons.

1091
00:54:49,960 --> 00:54:52,440
Speaker 2: Yeah, look a headline here, Buffalo minus four and a

1092
00:54:52,440 --> 00:54:54,880
half slash minus five total of fifteen and a half.

1093
00:54:55,039 --> 00:54:57,679
My powering number Bills four and a half. The market's

1094
00:54:57,719 --> 00:55:00,719
open three and a half and forty nine. The three

1095
00:55:00,760 --> 00:55:04,480
and a halfs are holding. The total has been bet down.

1096
00:55:04,519 --> 00:55:06,960
There are still forty eight and a half's out there,

1097
00:55:07,280 --> 00:55:12,800
and let's do one final emergency betting alert. Let's do

1098
00:55:12,880 --> 00:55:16,760
one final emergency betting alert. It's like I'm on the trigger.

1099
00:55:16,760 --> 00:55:19,400
I'm on the trigger. Yeah, if you want the under bettit.

1100
00:55:19,519 --> 00:55:23,960
Right now, we're seeing the markets are the prevailing numbers

1101
00:55:24,000 --> 00:55:25,920
forty eight. There are forty seven and a half's out

1102
00:55:25,960 --> 00:55:28,679
there right now. This is already down from forty nine

1103
00:55:28,679 --> 00:55:30,920
and a half. But I don't know that even the

1104
00:55:31,000 --> 00:55:33,639
forty eighths are gonna hold for this ballgame. There are

1105
00:55:33,679 --> 00:55:36,960
concerns right now about Buffalo offensively, the Bills off the

1106
00:55:36,960 --> 00:55:40,280
Sunday night football loss against the Patriots, the Falcons off

1107
00:55:40,320 --> 00:55:43,440
the win versus Washington, and then the bye week last

1108
00:55:43,480 --> 00:55:45,559
week last year worth noting Rahee Marris out of the

1109
00:55:45,599 --> 00:55:48,519
bye week, I lost at home of the Chargers seventeen

1110
00:55:49,199 --> 00:55:53,320
to thirteen. And we'll see how fat and happy Atlanta

1111
00:55:53,480 --> 00:55:57,400
is coming off a buy and a win, Buffalo likely

1112
00:55:57,440 --> 00:56:00,000
to be hungry coming off the Sunday night football law.

1113
00:56:00,760 --> 00:56:04,360
Speaker 1: All Right, the Bills at the Commanders is our second

1114
00:56:04,559 --> 00:56:08,199
Monday night football game, Teddy, should I be wary? The

1115
00:56:08,280 --> 00:56:10,800
Commanders were kind of on that longer list to play

1116
00:56:11,000 --> 00:56:13,920
for survivor. Is this a spot where you're saying, ah,

1117
00:56:14,239 --> 00:56:15,400
be careful.

1118
00:56:16,480 --> 00:56:18,920
Speaker 2: The Bears are playing the Commanders. Look at line Washington

1119
00:56:19,000 --> 00:56:22,039
four and a half and fifty. My powering number five

1120
00:56:22,119 --> 00:56:24,559
and a half, so higher than the markets on Washington

1121
00:56:24,679 --> 00:56:27,880
right now. Last night opened four and a half and fifty,

1122
00:56:28,239 --> 00:56:30,920
and we're seeing some Chicago money as low as three

1123
00:56:30,960 --> 00:56:33,519
and a half. Had a lot of books, you know.

1124
00:56:34,079 --> 00:56:37,199
I mean the Commanders gashed the Chargers defense all game.

1125
00:56:37,440 --> 00:56:39,639
Deebok Saniel huge at the game of McLaurin, didn't show

1126
00:56:39,719 --> 00:56:42,840
up to Cory Krossky Merritt, averaging six point six yards

1127
00:56:42,880 --> 00:56:46,000
per full season. They outgained the Chargers by one point

1128
00:56:46,119 --> 00:56:49,000
nine yards per play. There's things to like about Washington

1129
00:56:49,000 --> 00:56:51,599
and they din't even play particularly well. And yesterday's game

1130
00:56:52,000 --> 00:56:55,320
the Bears coming off a win and a buy four

1131
00:56:55,440 --> 00:56:57,719
takeaways against the Raiders in that victory, and they still

1132
00:56:58,280 --> 00:56:59,960
only use you know, looking like one of the worst

1133
00:57:00,000 --> 00:57:01,960
team in the league, Chicago only one by one after

1134
00:57:02,039 --> 00:57:06,480
blocking the potential game winning field goal attempt advantage. In

1135
00:57:06,559 --> 00:57:10,280
my opinion situationally Washington, not Chicago.

1136
00:57:11,000 --> 00:57:14,280
Speaker 1: All right, Teddy covers at Teddy underscore covers on all

1137
00:57:14,320 --> 00:57:18,519
your social media channels WT dot, buzz, backslash, TC. If

1138
00:57:18,519 --> 00:57:21,320
you're looking to partner up with Teddy, Teddy, let everybody

1139
00:57:21,360 --> 00:57:23,599
know what you've got going on, not only for football season,

1140
00:57:23,679 --> 00:57:26,880
but as I mentioned, NBA is right around the corner sure.

1141
00:57:26,719 --> 00:57:28,800
Speaker 2: And baseball playoffs. I mean, the baseball playoffs have been

1142
00:57:28,840 --> 00:57:30,760
fantastic four and one so far this season. I think

1143
00:57:30,760 --> 00:57:33,800
it's fourteen and four dating back till last year in

1144
00:57:34,039 --> 00:57:37,800
MLB playoff action. The football has been a good run

1145
00:57:38,679 --> 00:57:41,079
the last fifteen and seven. I think it is with

1146
00:57:41,159 --> 00:57:43,039
my football players over the last two and a half weeks.

1147
00:57:43,679 --> 00:57:46,159
The NBA number one all time. That way your talking

1148
00:57:46,159 --> 00:57:48,280
since don start, not all times since twenty twenty two,

1149
00:57:48,679 --> 00:57:50,920
I'm number one or the two hundred units of profit.

1150
00:57:52,000 --> 00:57:54,280
Let's partner up. Check out the website WT dot, buzz,

1151
00:57:54,360 --> 00:57:57,880
backslast TC, is it wagertalk dot com, and boy guys,

1152
00:57:57,920 --> 00:58:00,159
we appreciate those comments very very much. Thank you for

1153
00:58:00,239 --> 00:58:02,840
commenting below, thank you for the likes, and good luck

1154
00:58:03,159 --> 00:58:04,280
with all your bets this week.

1155
00:58:04,760 --> 00:58:06,800
Speaker 1: All right, good luck guys. We will see you next

1156
00:58:06,960 --> 00:58:10,679
Monday morning, bright and early for NFL Week number seven.