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Speaker 1: And hello, greetings to everyone. Welcome to the Big Podcast

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on this Tuesday. Today is the twenty seventh day of January,

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Year of Our Lord, twenty twenty six. My name is

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Tom Sullivan. And oh, no, long list of things to

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talk about today. We've got Iran. I'm still waiting to

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see what's going to happen there. Ukraine, the talks between

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US Russia and Ukraine. Follow up a little bit on that.

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We've got of course, a lot on Minnesota, the presidents

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in Iowa. So let's oh and also let's start with this.

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Did you know remember when they had the government shutdown,

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they finally agreed to come back to work, but they

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only passed a temporary spending bill that would expire January thirtieth. Well,

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looking at my calendar, that's Friday, so I presume that's

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your calendar too. So we're going to be facing yet

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another shutdown. But this time they've already passed a lot

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of the spending bills. They don't have one big omnibus bill.

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They break it down into various things. And so the

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Democrats are going, this is our last lever to use.

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They want to either get rid of ICE or defund

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ice or do anyway. They're mad about Ice and this

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is their the only lever they've got to say anything

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about it. Here's kind of a montage of some of

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the Dems that are upset about Ice and using the

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government shut down as a threat.

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Speaker 2: I have answers until we start rectifying that situation. I

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cannot vote for funding an organization that's going to continue

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killing Americans.

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Speaker 3: And at the end of the day, this is the

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leverage we have. We have to stop and if it

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results in a partial government shutdown, this is the lever

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we have. It's time to stand up.

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Speaker 2: Democrats should be prepared to use every single available measure,

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including shutting down our government, to ensure that we get

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not just reform, but a complete change at the top.

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Speaker 1: You don't need to be a government specialist to understand

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that you are not going to do a complete change

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to a government agency with three days left to go.

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It's not going to happen. The other thing that's about this,

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like I said, this will not be a complete shutdown.

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I don't know what will be shut down and what

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will not, but most of the government will be funded

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and operating, which takes a lot of the leverage away

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from them. On this. But the other thing about this

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is eighty percent of the Department of Homeland Security spending budget,

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eighty percent of it has nothing to do with ICE.

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ICE was funded by the Big Beautiful Bill and is

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funded through twenty twenty nine. So I'm not quite sure

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if they know what they're doing or they're just exasperated.

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Here's Susan Collins, you know, nice moderate Republican.

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Speaker 4: It it includes, for example, funding for FEMA. We've just

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gone through a horredic storm that has caused a lot

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of damage, and FEMA is very important. It includes funding

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for TSA.

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Speaker 1: Okay, so I hear some of you cheering about cutting

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off the funding for TSA, unless, of course, you have

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a flight and you'd like to make sure that TSA

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is there working so you don't have more hassles at

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the airport than you normally have. That's just a sample

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of some of the Democrats other than Susan Collins. Some

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of the Democrats talking about they're going to change ICE

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in three days. It's not going to happen, but it

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goes beyond that. And I know that you love to

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hear from Hollywood celebrities about their thoughts regarding ICE. Well,

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I just so happened to have one Ed Norton, who

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I love his acting. He's a great actor. But Ed

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Norton is very upset with what's going on with Ice.

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Speaker 5: These are not normal times. We have, you know, extra

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judicial like assaults on Americans and humans going on on

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a daily basis now, and it's not okay. What they're

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doing in Minnesota with the strike needs to expand. I

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think we should be talking about a national, national, general

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economic strike until this is over.

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Speaker 1: He's kind of jumping on the coattails of a there's

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a group in Minneapolis who wants to have a strike

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and shut down Minneapolis, and you know, go on strike

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against it. No matter where you work. I don't care

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if you work for a major corporation or you work

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for the local coffee shop. So let me ask you something.

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I wish I had a way to get a hold

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of Ed Norton. But if you want to do a strike,

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whom does that hurt? Whom does it help? Well, it

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doesn't hurt Ice. They're still working. I know you may

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not like what they're doing, but they are still working

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and they still get their paychecks. And even if the

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demo grants won't pass the funding bill for DHS. The

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ICE is still going to get their paychecks and having

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a strike will only affect whom the people that go

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on strike, because the employer, if you don't show up

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for work, they're not going to pay you for not

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showing up for your strike. So I look at these

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kinds of ideas and I think, are people just not

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able to think?

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Speaker 2: Is this?

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Speaker 1: Is it that hard? So we'll get back to all

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things ice in Minnesota in just a few minutes. Let

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me let me go back around to remember the President

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on the flight back from Davos was talking to the

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reporters and said that we have a big armada that

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is in the area of Iran, and there is We've

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got lots lots of navy that we know of that

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are in the various waters that are very close to Iran.

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And the question is what's Iron going to do. Well,

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let's start with the Navy Admiral Starvinas is a retired admiral,

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but he is a former NATO commander. Let's see what

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he says.

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Speaker 6: Inside Iran. There's going to be a mixed reaction, shall

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we say, on the part of the opposition, the dissidence,

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those who have been risking their lives one minute. Don't worry.

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Help is on the way. It's a red line, as

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you point out, you kill another protester and we're going

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to take action. You're showing pictures now of Abraham Lincoln,

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a carrier I embarked in for a year. She's now

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off the coast. So President Trump has a lot of

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options to use force here, kinetically with cyber communications, all

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of that. But his instincts, as always, are negotiated, find

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a deal. Nothing wrong with that other than the fact

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that this is the most rotten theocratic regime. They're hardliners.

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These are not people like they are in Caracas, who

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may be willing to cut a deal, or Kunyang, North Korea.

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These are hard line believers in what they're doing. So

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while I certainly hope the President can come to a negotiation,

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perhaps something that makes them for swear nuclear weapons and

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above all stop killing protesters, I have a lot of

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skepticism about whether that can land. I'm glad that carrier

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is on station.

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Speaker 1: Okay, So he's not very optimistic about the fact that

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the people that run Iron are going to buckle. How

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about general team.

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Speaker 7: Well, first of all, I mean this appears to be

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a bloodbath that compares to nothing else in terms of

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the horror that this regime has inflicted on his own

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people for forty five plus. He is these numbers are

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absolutely staggering and just dealing anecdotally with people on the street.

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So now that the internet is beginning to open up,

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they keep telling me that the people that are guarding

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them now and forcing them not to come out of

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their homes, most of them speak Arabic, not farcie. So

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they have brought in militias from other countries to help

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them do this dirty deed. Here we are with this

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is this massacre for sure exceeds anything as I indicated,

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And the President said he was going to help, and

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I believe he's going to do just that. Two things

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are really at stake here. The regime is the weakest

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it's ever been in its history politically, economically and militarily,

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and I do believe an appropriate strike obviously to avenge

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what has taken place here. Also, the President gave his word.

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I think he'll fulfill it. But what the intent of

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it has to be is to further weaken the regime

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and put it on a pathway to its collapse. If

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we did nothing, then we're going to send a lifeline

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to the regime and it'll help extend the regime. If

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we try to negotiate with them, that'll do much the same.

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It legitimizes the regime and it's a gut punch to

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the protesters involved here. We have to see the opportunities

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in front of it. A military strike by itself would

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probably not cause an im media collapse of the regime,

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but it will certainly put them on the pathway to it,

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because as I indicated before, they've never been so weak.

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And yes, Iran has the means to retaliate, but they

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don't want to go to Warwick the United States that

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guarantees them the loss of the regime, despite the bluster

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of their comments that they're making.

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Speaker 1: All right, So it's a hotspot and nobody's paying much

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attention to it because of everything going on domestically with

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Ice and Minneapolis. Mike Pompeo, I thought, one of our

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best Secretary of States ever, does he think that it's

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really going to happen where we attack Iran?

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Speaker 8: I think undoubted the answer to that is yes. Indeed,

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your point about the massacre that took place, and now

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hearing numbers in the tens of thousands, thirty forty thousand

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people killed. I think about the conflict in Gaza. This

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is a staggering number of murders committed by this regime

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that demonstrates that they are enormously weak. They had to

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retaliate with massive force and a military strike or a

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set of military strikes on key infrastructure issues like their

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energy infrastructure, their telecommunications infrastructure, or even going after the

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very murderers who committed this massacre, go after the police

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stations and the besiege and the IRGC actors who killed

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all these people. This would give the Iranian people the

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opportunity to regroup, to get back to the streets, and

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to fundamentally change the regime in a way that would

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benefit the United States of America enormously.

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Speaker 1: So it was oddspot, and we don't know if that's

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going to become kinetic or not. The other area that

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is kinetic is, of course, Ukraine, and Russia is continuing

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to bombard Ukraine even more than they did before. There

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was a meeting over the weekend between the US, Russia

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and Ukraine and let's find out. Let's go back to

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Mike Pompeio find out his take on what's going on there.

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Speaker 8: Let's get back to the president's statement that said they

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want a deal. I think that's fundamentally not going to

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prove to be true. They probably want a deal that

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would call off the dogs with the president is amassing

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in the region, but they don't want a deal that

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would force them to leave, which in the end is

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the only thing they can give the Ranian people the

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opportunity to restore their freedom and a better life for

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their children and grandchildren. A military intervention continues to put

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pressure on the regime and the Iotola and empower those

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inside the country who are trying to change this regime

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in a way that delivers those basic ideas of human

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dignity and just to be able to raise their families.

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Speaker 2: Bill.

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Speaker 8: This is not that complicated. This regime has to go

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at this point. There's no there's no deal, there's no agreement.

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President Obama tried that path. We led to continue their

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nuclear program. Joe Biden. President Biden tried to do the

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same thing. This is not a regime that could be

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negotiated with. This is a regime that is going to

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have to be forced from power by the Iranian people

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in the United States can provide support for that.

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Speaker 1: I don't even want to bring up Venezuela. We don't

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know what's going on there. We don't know what's going

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to happen in ran we don't know what's going to

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happen between Russia and Ukraine. Everybody and their brother says,

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there's no way, there is no way that Vladimir Putin

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is going to give an inch. So let's come on

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back to domestic stories today. And the whole thing about

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Minnesota is getting more interesting to me. I don't. I

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know a lot of people are either supporting Ice or

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their crucifying Ice, whichever side you're on. But what's been

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bothering me is And maybe it's because once you are

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a police officer, you're always a police officer. It's in

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my blood. I wore I wore a badge in a

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gun a long time ago. But I watch what's going on,

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and it's dawned on me what my problem is with

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what the deal is. They've got the wrong police doing

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the wrong job. The border patrol, God bless them, they

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are the ones that have shut down the border. I mean,

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they have sealed that thing as tight as you can

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possibly seal it, because it takes certain skills. And I

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know a lot of people also look at Greg Bovino

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and think he's the worst guy on earth. I'm thinking

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he's probably really good at his job, which is sealing

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the border. But going into major urban cities is a

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totally different form of police activity. And you want when

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you mix yourself in with the civilian population, you want

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a professional police management. You want police You want professional

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police officers that know how to go about enforcing the law.

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And I don't have any any I mean, I definitely

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want all the illegal criminals rounded up and thrown out

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of this country. But I think the raid, the raids

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that they were doing was something that you would do

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on a border, but you wouldn't do it in somebody's

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neighborhood or backyard. And I think that's where Boveno ran

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into problems. And the President is looking at this and going,

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you know, he wants all the illegals to be tossed,

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but he's also looking at the politics of this and

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realizing that pole after poll after pol is saying people

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are not happy with this, they don't like to see this,

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and what for example, the guy that was killed last

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over the weekend Saturday. I would have been fired if

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I had walked up and shoved somebody in the chest

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and knocked them down on the on the street. That's

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not what.

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Speaker 2: Local police will do.

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Speaker 1: I was trained you don't put your hands on anybody

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unless you're taking them into custody. If you're you put

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oh yeah, you put your hands on them when you're

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arresting them and put him in handcuffs. And as the

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same goes for the citizen. The citizen cannot put their

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hands on a police officer, border patrol, or ice or

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anybody else or they're going to be potentially arrested. But

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the way that there was the brutality of knocking people

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down on the street. It started with knocking that lady

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down and this Alexapretti went to her aid. So the

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investigation needs to be done and needs to be done

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in a professional way. That's all I'm saying is that

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I really think Minneapolis needs a professional police department. But

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they won't come out of their precincts because they're not

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allowed to by city ordinance. That's where the problem is.

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So Tom Holman's there, maybe he can work with them

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on getting the local police to go out and help

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do the policing. You cannot do successful policing without the

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support of the public. That's basic one oh one. And

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I don't think the Border Patrol worries about that when

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they're out there in the desert of the Southwest trying

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to shut down the border. That's not one of their concerns.

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So Paul Morrow, former NYPD guy, talks about the details

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of what an investigation should be, should.

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Speaker 9: Involve sense, But I think that what it goes to

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was the larger issue of what the parameters of let's

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stick to the investigation here as opposed to larger political aspects.

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What are they going to look at? First of all,

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we know he had his phone out. That is pretty

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did right. You got to get that phone, you got

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to get into that phone, You got to see what

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it looked like from his perspective, what he saw. That's

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maybe the most germane video of all here. You also

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want to hear what he was saying. The audio matters

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as well. Were they talking to each other, whether commands

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he couldn't hear because they were blowing all of those whistles.

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You also want to see, obviously, any other video that

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you can get. You want to see any messages that

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are on his phone. You want to make sure all

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the video in the area has been gathered. You have

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to do interviews because they're going to be people around

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there that you should have detained. This woman that was

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involved in the practice, you got to make sure you

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talk to her, identify her. This is a lot of

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stuff you got to do. Then you got to synchronize

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it and come up with the full narrative. And of

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course you got to see if this video from the officers.

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Most the vice minus standing still doesn't have the body

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warning will warrant. They we're rolling those up, but they

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don't have those. You got to interview them all and

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you've got to see if anything is contradictory. That stuff

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takes time, and that's why the safest thing in retrospect

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is to say we're investigating.

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Speaker 1: Well, he's not alone. John Miller, also former NYPD, talks

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about the fact that the commands of if there's audio

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on the on the there's four officers of the five

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or six that were taking Alex pretty down, four of

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them had body cameras, So they need to get the

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body cameras and get the audio here's John.

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Speaker 10: Miller would normally unfold would be yes, HSI might assist

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Border Patrol in an investigation as a as a outside entity,

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but still within the same agency. The FBI would be

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investigating it because it's a shooting by another federal entity.

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But normally this would be something where the Department of

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Justice would step up on the level of the Attorney

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General and say, we are directing the investigation from the

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Civil Rights Division to determine if the civil rights of

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the person who was killed were violated. Were conducting an

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internal reviewers to the shootings. We're not quite hearing anything

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like that. What we've heard is a story that has

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already been discounted about how it unfolded, and one that

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federal authorities have done very little to readjust even though

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more information is out there, and we've heard about internal

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investigations and investigations, but not one supervised by prosecutors. If

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you just look back on the Renee Good case, which

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is not that long ago, we're talking a couple of weeks.

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The supervising FBI agent who originally open the investigation into that,

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which would have probed whether the shooting had a legal basis.

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Basically resigned on the idea that this investigation was not

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going to happen. So you're correct, And one way to

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put potentially solve that would be to take the Minnesota

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Bureau of Criminal Apprehension, which has its own police shooting

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officer involved shooting investigative unit, a specialized team. This is

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what they do, and to bring them into the federal

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investigation and say we will now do this as a parallel.

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It would give you an outside, independent entity that could

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at least sign off on the fact that there was

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a legitimate investigation. So far, still resistance to that one

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queue here though, sending Tom Holman out to Minneapolis. The

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borders are when you already have Greg Bovino on the

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ground in charge of their ground forces. Tom has been

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better at creating relationships with law enforcement, even in contentious environments.

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It may be a sign that they want to tamp

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some of that dissatisfaction and friction down.

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Speaker 7: As you know.

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Speaker 10: The IACP International Association of Chiefs of Police released a

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press release very unusual on a Saturday night to say

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that they demanded a meeting with the White House to

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find a constructive path forward in a way to get

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local law enforcement to be dealing with their federal law

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enforcement counterparts again, so we're seeing those fractures. This has

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been a real challenge, whether it's the Rene Good case

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or the Alex Pretti case. What you have is a

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crime scene where they lost control of the crime scene

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almost immediately. Now part of that is because crowds showed up,

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and you know, DHS agents became the target of that.

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It's also because you can't have it both ways, which

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is when local law enforcement gets to the scene and

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federal authorities deny them access, you're already losing the integrity

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of that crime scene. And then when the federal authorities

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decide we have to pull out, and you don't know

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what evidence have they collected. Have they recovered all of

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the shell casings? Is there one that's you know, buried

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beneath the snow. Have they The way shooting like this

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should be done is a shooting team like the one

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that the state has should show up. They should get

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their equipment there, They should document every single piece of

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physical evidence. They should immediately download all body cameras that

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were present, and we understand there may have been at

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least two there. They should be able to contain that

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crime scene as pristine and work on it for as

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many hours as possible. And in both of these things,

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we didn't really see that happen. And it's going to

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make any any investigation, whether the state does its own

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or where the federal agents try to pull one together,

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more difficult and less reliable.

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Speaker 1: This is part of why I am frustrated, is because

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it's making law enforcement look bad.

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Speaker 11: It just is.

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Speaker 1: And these actions by the officers on the streets of

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Minneapolis are not what most city police officers would They

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would not they would not handle the situation anywhere near

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what these what these ares that. In other words, they

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again I repeat, they have the wrong police department doing

391
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the wrong job. Border patrols should be on the border

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and Ice should be doing the job in Minneapolis that

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they've been designed to do. But they brought in so

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many federal officers from some many different agencies. Has just

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become mismanaged, totally mismanaged. Which brings up Christine Home, who's

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the head of the whole operation, and she spent two

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hours along with her friend wink Wink Corey Lowandowski, who's

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been fired twice by Donald Trump in the past, but

399
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he's the one who's advising her on how to run

400
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Department of Homeland Security, and they spent two hours in

401
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the Oval office last night and today when the President

402
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was leaving for Iowa, the reporters asked if he if

403
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she was going to step down, and he said no.

404
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So he supports her. He has over and over again.

405
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I'm not a fan, but the president is and that's

406
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the only one that really matters. So this whole investigation

407
00:25:12,240 --> 00:25:15,880
thing still has a long way to go. One other angle,

408
00:25:16,000 --> 00:25:21,200
Bill George, who is a former retired CEO of Medtronics.

409
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They're a huge company based in Minneapolis. There's a lot

410
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of large corporations in Minneapolis, and Bill was asked about

411
00:25:31,599 --> 00:25:37,480
a letter that was signed by sixty different CEOs about

412
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the whole situation in Minneapolis, and his response was, and

413
00:25:41,559 --> 00:25:45,960
this is exactly right up my alley is don't get

414
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involved in politics, don't do it. Stick to the knitting,

415
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stick to business, no doubt. And that's the people fear.

416
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They don't want to be And I actually advise people

417
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to stay below the radar. It's tweaking the bear and

418
00:26:01,480 --> 00:26:04,640
stay below the radar. But I think what happened Andrew,

419
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Let's go back to Minnesota, because in twenty twenty, when

420
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George Floyd was murdered, there was a big swing to

421
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really focus on DEI and it went too far. And

422
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I think pendulum may have gone too far the other way.

423
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And I think now people are trying to figure out

424
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what's the right place. And again I think the feeling

425
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is stick to your business and folks on it issues.

426
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But this is hurting business, and so I think a

427
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lot of them don't want to be in the spotlight. Yes,

428
00:26:32,400 --> 00:26:34,759
the tech guys are way out in the spotlight, they're

429
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way out in front, but I don't think that the

430
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business leaders I know who signed this letter.

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Speaker 2: And I know all of them did not want to

432
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be out in front.

433
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Speaker 1: So the President today, I told you he was on

434
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his way to Iowa. He's in Des Moines and he

435
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is giving a speech on the economy and also showing

436
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up how things are in Iowa for Republicans. Republicans do

437
00:26:58,880 --> 00:27:04,160
really well in Iowa. Scott Bennett, the Treasury Secretary, kind

438
00:27:04,160 --> 00:27:06,319
of highlighted what the President's going to say.

439
00:27:06,680 --> 00:27:09,240
Speaker 11: Is going to tell a great story, and he can

440
00:27:09,279 --> 00:27:11,839
tell it like no one else can tell it. And

441
00:27:12,079 --> 00:27:16,039
as you said, this is the one big, beautiful bill

442
00:27:16,240 --> 00:27:21,599
kicking in on the business. On the business side, full expensing.

443
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We've got a capex boom. Capex boom was going to

444
00:27:24,319 --> 00:27:26,839
lead to an appoyment boom. Apployment boom leads to a

445
00:27:26,880 --> 00:27:30,640
consumer spending boom. And then on the other side, as

446
00:27:30,640 --> 00:27:33,480
you said, his signature policies, no tax and tips, no

447
00:27:33,599 --> 00:27:37,920
tax and overtime, no Texan sold security, deductibility of American

448
00:27:38,039 --> 00:27:41,319
made cars. He's keeping his promises to working Americans.

449
00:27:41,920 --> 00:27:45,880
Speaker 1: Well, that's the message that he brings to or brought

450
00:27:45,920 --> 00:27:51,920
now to Iowa. Very friendly territory. Harry Enton talked about

451
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how the Republicans are. That's just Republican territory.

452
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Speaker 12: So if you know anything about Iowa recent politics in Iowa, right,

453
00:28:00,319 --> 00:28:02,720
the President won it by double ditchits. He won it

454
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all three times. There has not been a Democratic senator

455
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that was a non incumbent, a non incumbent Democrat to

456
00:28:08,480 --> 00:28:11,039
win an Iowa Senate seat since nineteen hundred and eighty four.

457
00:28:11,160 --> 00:28:13,480
The chance that the GOP wins in twenty twenty six,

458
00:28:13,680 --> 00:28:16,039
a year ago, to win that Senate seat, it was

459
00:28:16,079 --> 00:28:16,880
eighty one percent.

460
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Speaker 2: Now it's down a sixty six percent.

461
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Speaker 12: Look, that's still a majority chance, but in the state

462
00:28:21,440 --> 00:28:24,960
that Donald Trump won by double ditchits that foreshadows big

463
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problems coming into the midterm elections.

464
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Speaker 1: Well, I don't think so. Sixty six percent approval, that's

465
00:28:29,920 --> 00:28:33,720
almost two thirds of people are are for the Republican

466
00:28:33,839 --> 00:28:38,000
senatorial candidate. So the Senate seat is up in Iowa

467
00:28:38,200 --> 00:28:42,680
and the Republicans they've got to work at it, but

468
00:28:42,880 --> 00:28:44,960
they should be able to hold on to that seat.

469
00:28:45,559 --> 00:28:48,559
This is all part of the promise by Susy Wilds

470
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that the President's going to go out and campaign like

471
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its twenty twenty four. So this is the this is

472
00:28:54,599 --> 00:28:59,000
the kickoff. So on Wall Street today we had a

473
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pretty positive day, hey, but the Dow not so much.

474
00:29:02,839 --> 00:29:06,359
The Dow got clobbered down four hundred eight to forty

475
00:29:06,440 --> 00:29:11,599
nine thousand and three. The reason why mostly United Healthcare.

476
00:29:12,039 --> 00:29:16,920
The healthcare stocks all got hammered after Medicare said that

477
00:29:16,960 --> 00:29:21,160
they're going to have a pay increase for Medicare payments

478
00:29:21,200 --> 00:29:25,319
to insurance companies. It's way below what Wall Street was expecting,

479
00:29:25,759 --> 00:29:28,720
so healthcare companies took it on the nose. The Dow

480
00:29:28,799 --> 00:29:31,880
down four oh eight. Mostly again, United Healthcare is a

481
00:29:31,880 --> 00:29:36,559
big part of the Dow SMP up twenty eight, Nasdaq

482
00:29:36,680 --> 00:29:40,920
up two hundred and fifteen. Gold continuing to go ow

483
00:29:40,960 --> 00:29:43,960
in the new record territory of ninety eight dollars to

484
00:29:44,039 --> 00:29:48,519
five one hundred and eighty. Oil up two bucks, just

485
00:29:48,720 --> 00:29:52,319
under sixty three dollars now for one barrel of oil.

486
00:29:53,039 --> 00:29:56,960
Thank you for coming by today. We'll be back again tomorrow.

487
00:29:57,000 --> 00:29:58,200
I hope to see you then

