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Speaker 1: What's going on?

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Speaker 2: Everybody? Welcome into another episode of Profit Picks. If you

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are new, we always start this show by being transparent.

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And yesterday I did not have a good day in WNBA.

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Speaker 1: For sure.

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Speaker 2: The Dream ended up losing by seventeen, and that was

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my only WNBA play. I did play some tennis, but

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I'm gonna be honest with you guys. The one match

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I know I had early it was able to finish,

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but the rest it was like rain delay all day.

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And I'm the kind of person who I really enjoy

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watching tennis. I don't want to just wake up and

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see the scorer. So I'm gonna go back and rewatch

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the matches and not ruin it for myself and I

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do a little extra recap on my tennis tomorrow. How

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about that? So not good in WNBA yesterday, Robno, I

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don't know. I have a feeling you kind of the

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same way, because you were liking that over right.

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Speaker 3: I did, and I played it again. It was light

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because I wasn't in love with anything, but it was

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not even close. Ski I got it. Say Indiana brought

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defense that went for forty minutes. Give the credit. They

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want to stay alive in the playoffs, and boy, they

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played like it on the defensive end because Atlanta was

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frustrated for sure with referee calls, with how tight Indiana

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was guarding them, et cetera, et cetera. So now it's

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going to go the distance, go back to Atlanta. But

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I did play over one and a half in that game,

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and like I say, it just never came close.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, you know it just like that. The better teams

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out of the two teams.

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Speaker 2: Out of the two games yesterday lost in my opinion,

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but it just boiled down to, you know, back against

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the wall.

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Speaker 1: You know, win or go home, you're gonna get the

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max effort.

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Speaker 2: I mean, even though the Storm were losing pretty much

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all game, they didn't quit until the end and they

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were able to come out with a W.

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Speaker 1: So you can't how do I say, what all will

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we learned from yesterday?

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Speaker 2: You can't underestimate, you know, the effort level for the team,

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you know, who's playing for their playoff life. That's just

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what I learned yesterday. Not that I don't already know that,

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but just a reminder, you know. So we'll talk about

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these games here today. We have two of them to

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get through, and number one is going to be six

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thirty five, six thirty six, Phoenix and New York opened

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up New York minus four and a half.

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Speaker 1: We saw, you know, Stewie got a little banged up.

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Speaker 2: I think it was an overtime of the last game,

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and there was some uncertainty whether she was going to

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play or not. The line did come down to about

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two and a half, but now you're saying Stewie is

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going to give it a go, and the line went

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right back up to four and a half. Even a

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five and a half popping up at a shop right now.

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Speaker 1: Total, not a whole lot of movement.

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Speaker 2: I see an opener of one p fifty nine and

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a half, and it's left them like that.

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Speaker 1: Pretty much across the board. As far as.

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Speaker 2: Injury report, I'm refreshing here.

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Speaker 1: I'm pretty sure I saw on.

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Speaker 2: Twitter they said Stuie's gonna give it a go. She's

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still listed as questionable, but I think she's gonna be

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out there. Whether she'll be effective or how effective she'll be,

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how injured she is, you know, that's to be determined

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for Phoenix. Nobody on the injury report, Vino. I mean

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that last game, Phoenix was right there. They really could

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have took that game, probably should have really, but in

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overtime this seemed like they didn't have enough, couldn't even

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really score an overtime. Now get a little bit of

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a banged up Stewie. You are on the road for

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the Mercury. But and I'll double check this, this is

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just off my memory. I feel like they've played the

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Liberty pretty close or pretty good so far this season.

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Speaker 1: I think four and a half is a bit too much.

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Speaker 2: And also, before I pass it to you, you know,

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both teams coming off that overtime game, I know they're tired.

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You know, I think there will be less points in

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this game as well, So or Mercury are my initial

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looks in this game.

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Speaker 1: How do you feel about that?

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Speaker 2: You know?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, A couple things to add to your point about

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Phoenix being right there the other day in game one,

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I mean, let's face it, Alyssa Thomas has a layup

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that she makes generally ninety percent of the time that

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wins the game. It never makes overtime, but you know,

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it just bounced off and it didn't go her way,

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and therefore they went to overtime. But I'll say this,

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just to add to the fact that they were right

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there with a good opportunity to win the game with

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Satu Sobii. I mean, what in God's name was that

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Two for seventeen from the field, one for ten from three,

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and they still almost want you have to believe, And

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I guess you know in reading some of the things

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post game, even the coach, Nate Tibbitts alluded to it.

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Phoenix is a young basketball team. A lot of times

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I think of them as the Big three Thomas and Sobly,

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and I just think, well, they have enough veteran leadership,

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but they are young, and they're youthful in the context

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that Saboly's never been in a playoff game, right with Dallas,

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they were never in the playoffs. I think he said

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it was her first time out there in the playoffs,

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so under those types of lights, maybe that's what happened

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to her. But I would expect a big bounce back

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from her tonight. You just can't have Satu going two

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for seventeen, one for ten. It was home floor that

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did help Phoenix. It was a pretty good crowd. It'll

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help New York tonight. I find this game difficult ski

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for as far as side is concerned for one reason,

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because I don't know how long Breonna Stewart will last.

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It's going to be we saw last night what these

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playoffs are going to be. Bump and grind, bump and grind,

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fight for your life. And Phoenix has interior people, including

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a list of Thomas that could you know, actually Breonna

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Stewart one wrong fall, that knee again, and it's you know,

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eight minutes an out or she could play the expected

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amount of time. So it's tough to handicap because I'm

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of the belief, I've said this bazillion times on the show,

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that they're tremendously better defensively when she's on the floor.

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I think her assignment was Alissa Thomas the other day,

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and Thomas had a good game, but she didn't go

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off in all three categories, So that makes it hard.

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If I knew Stewart was fully healthy, I might lean

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New York's way. But Phoenix has come into this building

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and won one time already, and like you said, they

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did win the season series, so they're not afraid of

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New York by any stretch of the imagination. In fact,

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if you ask me, Alissa Thomas looked angry walking into

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the tunnel that they blew that game in Phoenix the

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other day. So I think I would have to side

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with under in this case, which again doesn't come out

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of my mouth too often, but just watching and I

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think you said something pretty prevalent for these games here

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in your opening there that we have to remember that

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these games tighten up in the playoffs. If we were

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talking about NBA Ski, you and I would be saying, well,

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you know, the defense will get tighter. It's it's game.

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You know, this is game two of a three game series.

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But you know what I'm saying, if it was game

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five to seven game, we would be factoring in slower pace,

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more defense. I think it's got to be factored in here,

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especially after watching Indiana Atlanta last night, so I think

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under one fifty nine and a half could be a

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way to go. But I have not been the game.

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Speaker 2: Well you know what we do here on this show, Robie, know,

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we open them up. We stopped the show, We opened

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up our wallets on this show. And I mean we've

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talked about this all year. Brianna Stewart, you've said that

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they're a better defensive team with her on the court, right,

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Maybe it's her offense that lacks with the injury, maybe

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not much of the defense.

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Speaker 1: The overtime, I think.

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Speaker 2: It's huge as much as Gus as Phoenix wasn't you know,

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and couldn't score. I think that's going to transfer over,

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like both teams are going to be tired. I think

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that's gonna affect the offense in this game. You're gonna

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get defense because it's winner, go home, but the offense

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could really suffer in this one. I'm betting under I'm

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telling you right now, so bear with me for one second.

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Speaker 1: Let me just I don't like to talk about it,

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and I bet it. You know what I'm saying.

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Speaker 3: I will just make one more point to your point

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about the sides being tired here after overtime in this

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in the case of this particular series, it is a

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long flight back and forth. It's Phoenix to New York.

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It's not a Atlanta to Indiana type deal where the

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flight is fairly quick, so you're fatigued off overtime, You

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get on a plane, you fly all the way back tired.

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I could see jump Shot Legs not being there for

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a full forty minutes. I mean, these teams are good

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enough to score in spurts, but maybe not continuous, which

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was what it takes. You're asking both sides to get

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to eighty year and as we saw last night, it's

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not so easy to get to eighty. No, Las Vegas

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and Seattle did it. But there were a lot of

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points at the end of that game by Seattle. So

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we shall we shall see.

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Speaker 2: All right, So I appreciate that, Rob, you know, I

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am good to go. One fifty nine and a half

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is the best number we can get and confirm it

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is confirmed, so everybody can't go on the show and

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run and bedded and I get the ass end of

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the line.

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Speaker 1: All right. Next game we'll go to Links and Valkyrie's.

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Speaker 2: I don't know why I was thinking of a different

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game was played today, but we just saw it the

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others yesterday. So Links and Valkyries opened up minus ten

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for Minnesota on the road, and we see ten and

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a half pretty much everywhere.

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Speaker 1: Total open one fifty two consensus. We'll call it one

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fifty one and a half.

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Speaker 2: Injury report, Tiffany Hayes will be missing for Golden State

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and Griffin who's been missing pretty much all year for

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Minnesota out you know, started off that last game Mockery Store.

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I mean they always do. They throw a pretty good,

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pretty strong first punch. I mean they usually come out

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the gate in that first quarter. It's been that way

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all season long. We saw it once again from Minnesota side.

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It's almost like it was almost like they like they

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didn't understand or they forgot what Golden State likes to do,

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like just letting them shoot threes.

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Speaker 1: I f like.

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Speaker 2: After that first quarter, both teams kind of realize, Okay,

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we got to take away the three from each other,

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and especially Minnesota for on Golden State, the lack of

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Tiffany Hayes, that makes me think less offense, we know

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how good of a team defensive team Minnesota is. I

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think that they they realize what they have to do.

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I think they bring that in this game. And on

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the flip side, I mean Golden State has been good

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all year too. We can make a case for Coach

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of the Year over there in Golden State.

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Speaker 1: And what we've seen.

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Speaker 2: In revenge games, for the Valkyries, they lock up. They've

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seen you at a time or two. The next time

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they see you, they lock up. And I know they've

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seen the Lynks a few times, but just to put

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numbers to what I'm saying. The Valkyries and revenge Bots

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this season are fourteen and three to the under, and

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you have a Lynx team that just scored one hundred points.

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Speaker 1: I mean, the.

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Speaker 2: Emphasis isn't going to be defense. I don't know what

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we're doing here in the playoffs. That first game also

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had a hell of a lot of free throws. That's

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all coaching Nicasse. Hopefully I say their name right, because

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you know, I don't never listen to the people talk

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unless it's an interview. But all she was talking about was,

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you know how the free throws kind of changed the game,

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et cetera, et cetera. Because see less free throws in

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this game. I think there's less points. I know it

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went up a little bit from the previous game, but

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I don't think this one touches one to fifty. And

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I personally need the Links to win here, Rovio, I

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made a bet for them to win too. Zero doesn't

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necessarily mean they're gonna win by eleven.

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Speaker 1: Valkyris.

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Speaker 2: I mean that's been a sweet spot all year, right

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as a dog of like more than seven, especially at home.

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They do have a good home court. I couldn't run

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to the window and lay with the Links. In this situation,

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I think it's Valkyri's or under And I do think.

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I mean, we just saw yesterday the efforts you get

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from these teams with their back against the wall. I

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do think you get that here today. How are you

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viewing Links and Valkyries?

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Speaker 3: Well, I like the Links and I'm trying to find

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a way to bet them. Skip now. You mentioned the

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full game price ten and a half, and Golden State's

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a pretty good dog this season, in fact, a real

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good underdog this season. However, you know they've played Minnesota

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five times and lost by eleven or more four of

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those times. Minnesota is just beating this team like a drum.

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Golden State can't score against Minnesota. The highest point total

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they've had in any game against Minnesota is seventy five,

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as low as fifty three, but most of them are

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pretty much in the same zone. Seventy one, seventy two,

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seventy two, seventy five at home. If you get seventy

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out of them in order to cover, you need eighty

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one out of the Links. I try so hard to

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talk myself into this. I said, Okay, let's just shave

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it in half. Let's see if I can get Minnesota

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first half, because they actually, even though they were ahead

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at halftime, they did, like you say, take a first

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half punch. Maybe they learned a little lesson and they

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come out a little quicker aro on the road. They

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are the veteran team. But we remember that Golden State's

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an excellent first half team. I think three and zero

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straight up as a home dog in first half action

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last ten or last ten games or so, and overall

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very good. So Minnesota is a bad first half team.

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It's always the second half with them. I'll give you

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some numbers just where this series is concerned, particularly just

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the series. First halfs in this series, Minnesota just won

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by seven, they won by twelve, then they lost out

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right by five, they only won by five, and they

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lost out right by one. Now, the two times they

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lost out right in the first half in this series,

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we're both here in Golden State. But the second halfs

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have been all Minnesota in every single game. So if

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you have patience to wait till the second half and

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you want to play Minnesota second half, I can't say

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no to that. But then again, you're just assuming that

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the first half results are going to be what they've

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normally been, right, and we don't know that for sure.

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I look at Golden State's roster and I just don't

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know how ski. I mean, the top four guards on

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this Minnesota team McBride, Courtney Williams, Heightaman and Djana was

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a huge pickup defensively for this team, those four guards.

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Where are Golden State's guards going in this game? I mean, again,

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you said it, they love to shoot threes. If they

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don't make threes, I just don't know here. I know

295
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Collier's gonna do what she's supposed to do. I know

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their front line is bigger than Golden State's front line.

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I really think Minnesota, the veteran team, is going to

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win this game, and I kind of think they're going

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to win by twelve oour or more so. In the end,

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I may end up playing Minnesota full game. To the

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point about Phoenix being young, there's nobody younger or more

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inexperienced at this than the Golden State team home or not.

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I know it's like a college atmosphere playing here, but

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I just think Minnesota is in there to get the

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job done and get it over with it. Maybe they

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think who cares if we lose, We're going back home,

307
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will win anyway. But I don't think that's the mindset

308
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of Minnesota and coach Reeve. And to the point about

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coach Nikasi moaning about free throws, her team shot more

310
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free throws than Minnesota did in that game. They shot

311
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twenty seven. Minnesota only shot twenty four. So I'm likely

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Minnesota haven't bet it yet, but out of both of

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these games, that's probably the one. The one bet. By

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the end of the day, I'll make Minnesota full game

315
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minus to ten and a half, I bet only. And

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I can wait a little bit ski because I see

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it going down to ten in some places and maybe

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I can catch a ten later on.

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Speaker 2: Well before I forget what she was saying, Coach Nikasa,

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she she did mention She's like she's talking about the

321
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timing of the free throw. She said, like it was

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messing up the rhythm that they had going and pretty

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much it just turned the momentum to the links. She

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was kept saying, I just want a fair fight. I

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just want a fair and fight.

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Speaker 1: So that's what she was saying. She wasn't happy with it.

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Speaker 2: A couple more things from the chat reminding us that

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it's not a true home game, says, this game is

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in San Jose, so it's true. We never know how

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that could affect. They do have, you know, good home

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advantage of Valhalla. We'll see how it is over there

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in San Jose. Mark says, check out Minnesota third quarter stats.

333
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I mean, I don't got to look at the stats.

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I know what they do after halftime. It's because they're

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well coached. They got the best coach in the league,

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Sharyl Reef, and they're the best team. So they go

337
00:17:33,839 --> 00:17:35,359
in at halftime. I see it what the other team

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through at them. They make adjustments, and they come out

339
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in flex on them. That's what you see every every

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time in the third quarter. So you know, I don't

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got to look at the stats already. I'm I'm there

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00:17:46,759 --> 00:17:48,039
with you, Mark, I know what they do in the

343
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third quarter. Good stuff on the game today, Robne do

344
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I feel like we broke them down pretty good two games,

345
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did it in a little bit under twenty minutes. So

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we will now move it on over the best bets.

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00:17:59,519 --> 00:18:01,920
I am not going to put anything up on the

348
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screen here today, Ravino. You and I know why, but

349
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I will pass it to you and ask you if

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there's the best bet that you have for the show,

351
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and if there's anything that you would like to promote.

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Speaker 3: You know what. Promotion wise, Ski, I will just say it.

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If you've gone ahead and purchased the flex Picks packages before,

354
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then you know what they're about. It basically is more

355
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than one handicapper over a set time period, and you

356
00:18:35,319 --> 00:18:39,119
can interchange handicappers. If one day you think there's more

357
00:18:39,119 --> 00:18:41,920
college football involved than you, like a college football guy,

358
00:18:42,000 --> 00:18:46,160
you can go ahead and purchase that handicapper for the day.

359
00:18:46,200 --> 00:18:49,079
If you see it's a WNBA day and you like,

360
00:18:49,160 --> 00:18:51,559
say maybe me or Ski in that situation, or a

361
00:18:51,599 --> 00:18:54,279
good buddy you capper, you can do that too. So

362
00:18:54,279 --> 00:18:56,359
it's very very flexible. I guess that's why they call

363
00:18:56,400 --> 00:18:58,599
it flex Picks. That's the deal going on over there

364
00:19:00,079 --> 00:19:01,799
for this show though. And I hate to do this

365
00:19:01,880 --> 00:19:05,480
at playoff time, but I just don't have anything I

366
00:19:05,519 --> 00:19:08,960
haven't bet yet, So I don't have anything that I'm

367
00:19:09,039 --> 00:19:12,279
so confident in that I would release. Here is the

368
00:19:12,279 --> 00:19:15,000
best bet, Ski, Like I say, the closest I come

369
00:19:15,880 --> 00:19:20,680
to playing right now is the Minnesota full game minus

370
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ten and a half. I even looked a little that

371
00:19:22,640 --> 00:19:26,440
team total, but I'm just afraid of defenses ruling the day.

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00:19:27,160 --> 00:19:29,720
They're ruling the night here tonight. So I'm gonna pass

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00:19:29,799 --> 00:19:31,440
on best bets here today. I hate to do it

374
00:19:31,480 --> 00:19:34,200
to you guys because it is playoff time, but just

375
00:19:34,240 --> 00:19:36,079
don't have anything that I feel I can recommend.

376
00:19:37,559 --> 00:19:40,519
Speaker 2: So all good before I give my best bet for

377
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the show, Jeff, we will talk about it tomorrow, says Okay, Ski.

378
00:19:44,279 --> 00:19:47,119
Here's the question. Game three Thursday, does Seattle or Indiana

379
00:19:47,119 --> 00:19:48,759
have any chance to win? I feel like we see

380
00:19:48,759 --> 00:19:51,079
an upset. We'll be right back here again tomorrow to

381
00:19:51,119 --> 00:19:58,160
talk about it. But I will say two things. Number one,

382
00:19:59,640 --> 00:20:01,240
got it. Remember what I said in the beginning of

383
00:20:01,279 --> 00:20:04,599
the show too, just what you saw, and I'll extend

384
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on that.

385
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Speaker 1: It's a little different.

386
00:20:05,519 --> 00:20:07,400
Speaker 2: But what you saw in the last game is not

387
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necessarily what you're going to see in the next game.

388
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Speaker 1: Just always remember that. So can these teams win? They can?

389
00:20:14,359 --> 00:20:17,160
Will they? We'll talk about it tomorrow. My best bet

390
00:20:17,200 --> 00:20:22,400
for the show I'm gonna go with.

391
00:20:23,960 --> 00:20:26,480
Speaker 2: Well, first of all, promo wise, I'm just gonna say

392
00:20:26,880 --> 00:20:28,960
I'm betting in a lot of tennis right now, Like

393
00:20:29,000 --> 00:20:30,920
I said, I didn't recap yesterday because I like to

394
00:20:30,960 --> 00:20:32,880
watch the matches and it was rain de lay literally

395
00:20:33,119 --> 00:20:33,720
all day.

396
00:20:34,119 --> 00:20:35,000
Speaker 1: So I'm gonna catch up.

397
00:20:35,039 --> 00:20:38,680
Speaker 2: But prior to that, I believe I hit eleven in

398
00:20:38,759 --> 00:20:42,319
my last seventeen and I'm firing. I'll see how my

399
00:20:42,319 --> 00:20:44,039
plays did yesterday. I think I had five of them,

400
00:20:44,200 --> 00:20:46,160
and we're gonna continue to fire. So if you're looking

401
00:20:46,160 --> 00:20:48,920
for some tennis action throughout the days, every day, I

402
00:20:48,960 --> 00:20:51,319
am going to be, you know, getting heavily involved. As

403
00:20:51,359 --> 00:20:55,559
far as best bet for the show Man, I opened

404
00:20:55,599 --> 00:20:57,319
up my wallet already, Rob you know, y'all know what

405
00:20:57,319 --> 00:20:59,559
I'm betting. I mean, I told you guys are bet already.

406
00:20:59,559 --> 00:21:02,759
I'm rolling with that. We're going one fifty nine and

407
00:21:02,759 --> 00:21:07,839
a half under between Phoenix and New York. Gave you

408
00:21:07,880 --> 00:21:09,680
a lot of reasons why, but I'll add this just

409
00:21:09,720 --> 00:21:11,519
to put some numbers to a little bit of what

410
00:21:11,559 --> 00:21:18,960
I was saying. Looking at playoff games after overtime games,

411
00:21:18,960 --> 00:21:22,640
they're nine and two to the under, so a lot.

412
00:21:22,440 --> 00:21:25,759
Speaker 1: Of fatigue here, you know, win or go home situation.

413
00:21:26,400 --> 00:21:29,279
Speaker 2: I think we see a lot of defense, and I

414
00:21:29,279 --> 00:21:32,039
think the tired legs affects them on the offensive end.

415
00:21:32,440 --> 00:21:34,960
So my best bet for the show will be Phoenix

416
00:21:35,079 --> 00:21:37,319
in New York under one fifty nine and a half.

417
00:21:39,440 --> 00:21:39,720
Speaker 1: Vino.

418
00:21:40,279 --> 00:21:43,000
Speaker 2: Appreciate you taking the time to come catch these games

419
00:21:43,000 --> 00:21:45,039
with me. Helps my process. I'm sure you help everybody

420
00:21:45,039 --> 00:21:48,200
else out there as well, everybody in the chat. It's

421
00:21:48,240 --> 00:21:50,640
great to be back with you guys. I appreciate your input,

422
00:21:50,720 --> 00:21:53,640
your great people in great cappers, and we all you know,

423
00:21:53,839 --> 00:21:54,720
chip in and help.

424
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Speaker 1: Each other win.

425
00:21:55,519 --> 00:21:57,680
Speaker 2: So always gonna let you know you're much appreciated. Everybody

426
00:21:57,720 --> 00:22:01,440
else out there, whether it's Twitch, x kick, what else

427
00:22:01,440 --> 00:22:06,640
we have, YouTube shorts, Spotify, Apple, We appreciate everybody watching. Tomorrow,

428
00:22:06,839 --> 00:22:09,000
we'll talk to two WNBA games. We'll talk a little

429
00:22:09,000 --> 00:22:11,480
Thursday night football. We'll see if maybe we even have

430
00:22:11,559 --> 00:22:15,039
some college football however we can cash, we'll get to it,

431
00:22:15,079 --> 00:22:16,279
maybe even some tennis.

432
00:22:16,519 --> 00:22:19,480
Speaker 1: But we'll catch you guys tomorrow. Best of luck on

433
00:22:19,519 --> 00:22:20,400
all your action tonight.