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Speaker 1: All right, welcome in everybody. It is Tuesday. It's time Thursday. Sorry,

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it's Thursday. Time for Total Bases. I was talking to

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Brian Lennon off air, and it's like, I can't believe

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we're at the end. There's two more shows for us

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in the regular season, and we're done with the regular

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season of Major League Baseball. It's it's I kind of

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can't believe it's coming to an end. But uh, you know,

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when the regular season ends, the playoffs start, and we're

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going to continue to do this show during the playoffs.

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So just me and Brian today, we got Tokyo. Brandon

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is still on his trek back to Tokyo. He'll be

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back tomorrow. But Brian, I'm we both had five percent

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winners last night and I'm looking forward to talking some

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basses with you. So how how I want to So

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you got to the window with that Rockies Mariners over

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yesterday and it ended up being easy winner. That's awesome.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm glad you pointed that out. That didn't even

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pay any attention to it. And that's something that I've

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been working on the last week or so and it's

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worked out very well. Is just trying to find the one,

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one or two games where it just looks off and

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to get such a bad picture that Colorado had, and

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it was basically batting practice. If you watch the game

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at all, Seattle hitting home runs everywhere. And we won

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that game at four innings seven and a half. It

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ended up scoring eleven. It's slowing. It just slowed down

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the second half of the game. But yeah, thanks for

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pointing that out and got our clients a nice five

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percent now twenty and four on our Major League Baseball

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four and five percent plays. And as we mentioned yesterday,

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unless it's a five percent play, our baseball players are

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now going to be nine dollars through the rest of

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the regular season. I don't know if that continues in

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the playoffs. We will see. Haven't heard from management on

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that yet. But yeah, still a great time to bet

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baseball if you're Unfortunately a lot of people aren't playing

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attention to baseball. Fact I wanted to mention this. I

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did go to the Aviators game last night they won

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the Pacific League title. There was hardly anybody there. There

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was hundreds hundreds of people there. I turned on the

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Cincinnati Reds game playoffs right there in the cusp. They're

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going against schemes. Nobody's at the Cincinnati Reds game. What

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the hell's going on with everybody? Even the fans of

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these teams fighting for the playoffs, have decided football is

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what they're going to pay their attention to. What that's

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good for me, good for my clients because I can

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make more money that way. Keep that up. But yeah,

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I just don't understand it. If it's on the board

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and you got a better chance of winning, I don't care.

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If it's tiddley winks, I'll bet it. And if there's

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a line out there. Look look, look when COVID started,

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everybody's betting table tennis, Russian table tennis. Who knew? But yeah, good,

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good profit for us yesterday and uh let's continue on today.

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Speaker 1: It's definitely it definitely is town by town, city by city.

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I saw Erie, PA had a good crowd for Binghamton

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Erie where the where our rumble Ponies won the Eastern

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League last night. So that was you know, it's just

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you know, it probably the only show in town out there,

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I'll tell you where there was also a decent crowd

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and where we're going to start today. So I had

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a five percent winner yesterday on the Diamondbacks plus one

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and a half was sweating that one out here on

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the East Coast so well after one am, so I'm

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heavily caffeinated now so i can do this show. But

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that was, like, going back to what you were saying,

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that was kind of it for me yesterday. I had

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one spot that I loved and I almost just kind

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of ignored everything else. For the most part, worked out

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in my favor, although the Pirates ended up kind of

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coming through and I don't know if I was ever

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going to actually make that bet. I just thought it

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was good value. But back to the Diamondbacks game, I

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took the plus one and a half. I felt like

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my handicap pretty much played out as I sort of

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kind of spoke about, and that they would fight right

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till the end. They end up cashing against the one

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and a half, but don't win the game. Now, as

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we look at the NL playoff picture, they got kind

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of helped out right, The Mets didn't win, and the

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Reds lost an extra inning. So this game is I

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want to start with this game for a couple of reasons.

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One people have asked about this series this week and

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we haven't really talked about it. And two, I find

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it intriguing what the Diamondbacks are going to do here.

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So Tory Lavella, Brian not a great in game manager.

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Last night, I think he cost him the game. He

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bunted Perdomo in the bottom of the tenth inning and

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essentially what he did after they it was a tie game,

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so they just need to get the runner home from second.

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So I understand why you want to move him to third,

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I guess. But basically what he did was take the

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bat out of Perdomo's hands and Corbyn Carroll's hands and

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give up an out. Didn't disagree with or didn't agree

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with that, and I I actually find myself disagreeing with

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some of his managerial moves. But the reason I'm even

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bringing this up that dude is a good motivator. I

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love him for. Like I've listened to a lot of

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his postgame talks, pregame talks of late and where he

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lacks in the x'es and O's department, I think he

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makes up for and getting this team ready to play,

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motivating them and what I think you're gonna see here

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as I think now he's out in your time so

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he's probably just getting his coffee. But in a couple

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hours when all those players get in for this day game,

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I think you're gonna see the speech where it's like

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where he's like every inning today is the ninth inning.

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It's your last home game. So you talked about crowds,

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you know, the crowded Cincinnat very good. That was a

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good crowd out in Phoenix last night. Probably a lot

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of Dodgers, fait I did see a lot of blue

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either here nor there, but like it's their last home game,

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so you should get a decent turnout for this game.

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Obviously pretty much a playoff game for Arizona. But he's

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gonna move Gallon to the Padre series. So that's why

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you're looking at bullpen game today for the Diamondbacks. They're

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gonna move Gallon to Friday, and they've already said we're

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gonna go Gallon Rodriguez fot Friday, Saturday, Sunday in San Diego.

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So I think that's almost like I'm looking at the

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price here. I can get Diamondbacks plus one and a

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half minus one ten because it's a bullpight bullpen game.

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I actually kind of like that because here's what's gonna happen.

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You're gonna have Jalen Beeks is likely gonna open. He'll

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probably face Otani. He's essentially going out there to get

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Otani and Freeman out in that first inning, and then

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you're probably gonna get I think you're gonna get mixing

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and matching until he feels comfortable enough. Maybe if he

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gets a run early or something, he'll put Now Nobelle

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Chris matt In, who's barely pitched in the past two weeks. Now,

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this is a guy that was actually throwing the ball

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pretty well. As a fifth starter. Lavello says, Hey, I'm

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not going five starters anymore. We're gonna go down in

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a four. So he's really threw on one inning in

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like the last nine days. He should be fresh. He's

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got like a sub three era. So we we'll do

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the breakdown backwards this time, because I already kind of

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gave my my spiel. He'll here and I'll go to you.

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I really think that Lavello is going to have his

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team motivated to be like, hey, every inning today is

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the ninth inning. Every inning is the ninth inning. This

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is this is the playoffs. Every innings the ninth inning.

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We're gonna manage that right from the from the jump,

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and the Dodgers maybe they Exhaley won yesterday, the Padres

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lose if they're not like fully focused, that's gonna be

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tough for them to have to deal with. Like leverage arm,

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leverage arm, Chris matt Arizona playing for their lives. And

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you're getting the plus one and a half. So I'm

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actually gonna make this my parlay league Diamondbacks plus one

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and a half. But I want to see your rebuttal here.

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Speaker 2: Okay, Well, Yamamoto is has been terrific all season long.

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He's gonna be on the road. As you mentioned, the

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big ste lefty.

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Speaker 1: Uh.

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Speaker 2: The line right now is about a one seventy eight

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and a half, slightly to the over, slightly to the over. Yeah,

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with Yamamoto, you know what you're gonna get. The guy's

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been terrific all year and one of the most consistent

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pitchers in Major League Baseball, one of the few Dodgers

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pitchers that just stayed healthy. This will be his thirtieth

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start on the season. You can get thirty starts out

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of anybody in Major League Baseball these days. You're having

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a really good, healthy season. I can't say anything bad

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about them, but the Dodgers' bullpens continues to struggle. It's

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amazing with the you know we saw with the Mets

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earlier saw with the Dodgers, the padres as good as

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they have been. I believe Cleveland now has the best

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bullpen in Major League Baseball, and that's without Class A

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being suspended. So they've just done a tremendous job. And

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they always seem to do pretty good job in the

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bullpen because they just can't afford to get those high

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priced starters. But yeah, I'm worried about the Dodgers' bullpen,

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and you don't know how long they're going to go

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with the starter out there today. They're getting ready for

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the playoffs. They know they're in the playoffs. The very

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good chance almost nothing's a lot, but a very good

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chance that they win the division and they get that buy.

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So yeah, if it's ballet goes five innings, I could

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see Arizona coming in here and taking avantage on the

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second half of the game. And you mentioned they did

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push Gallon back Rodriguez and fought, so I would expect

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you mentioned Chris Matt he pitched seventeen through the ball

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seventeen pitches on Sunday. Hasn't pitched since, but he's been

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terrific all year. And if you take a look at

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their bullpen, none of them other than Ryan Thompson. He's

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been used two days in a row, but it's only

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fourteen total pitches. But really Garcia, who took the loss yesterday,

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through thirty nine pitches the last two days. See I

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believe the only one that's not available. I'm not a

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big fan of this Arizona bullpen, so if I was

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to play it, I'd either play the Dodger first five

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or I would look maybe Arizona at Dodgers take a

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lead into the fifth or sixth inning and Yamamoto's out

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of there. Maybe a good tech come in and bet

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the Arizona alive at a pretty good price.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, Yamamoto one start at Chase Field earlier this year,

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gave up five runs in five innings. I think he,

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if I remember correctly, though, he didn't pitch that badly,

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but he did give up a Grand Slam in that game.

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I'm going off memory, but I'm pretty sure he was

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like cruising along, loaded the bases and I believe it

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may have been Gabby Marino or someone like that hit.

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It took a took a deep for a Grand Slam.

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Still ended up, but it's still notable. Was definitely one

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of his worst starts of the season. You know you're

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doing pretty good when your worst start of the year

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is like five runs over five innings. That's that's pretty good.

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But yeah, I can't I'm with you, Brian, I can't

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say anything bad about Yamamoto. What I will say is

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this ballpark is tough on pitchers if you pull the league.

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This is everyone's favorite place to hit, and sometimes I

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think over the years, you've seen aces go to the

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desert and get throw worse than they Maybe you know,

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it tends to be one of their bad starts. I'm

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not saying that there's anything to that per se, but

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you know, Yamamoto's had some big performances recently. Dodger Stadium's

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very friendly pitcher park, not so much Chase Field and

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big you know, big alleys at Chase Field, a lot

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of triples out there. So again, I think it's a

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I think it's a better matchup for the Diamondbacks than

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what the market is suggesting with where I think people

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are going to look at this and say, oh, Yamamoto

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bullpen game, Dodgers, easy, easy win, And that's not the case.

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And I think it's priced like that. So if you

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can get a free run to work with here plus

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one and a half minus one ten, that's a very

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good bet, especially because the Diamondbacks have now showed you

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twice they're not gonna quit. They are gonna scratch and

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claw right till the end. And they've gotten again, and

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they've gotten at this bullpen twice. So yeah, that'll be

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my parlay. Leg I like that quite a bit. All right, Well,

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let's go to this day game, because I actually can't

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believe this. The Pirates win an extras yesterday. The need

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to win tax is even bigger today for the Reds.

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I'm actually surprised at that. We talked about it yesterday.

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The Reds were favored against Schemes. I did a free

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play video. I gave the Pirates out. They end up

236
00:12:32,480 --> 00:12:35,759
getting to win. Now you got to play minus one

237
00:12:35,919 --> 00:12:39,559
seventy to go against Braxton Ashcraft. Why? Because the Reds

238
00:12:39,600 --> 00:12:42,679
need this game? Brian? I mean, do you see some

239
00:12:42,759 --> 00:12:43,799
value on the Pirates here?

240
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Speaker 2: I knew Ashcraft going for Pittsburgh. Lodolo the lefty for Cincinnati.

241
00:12:49,600 --> 00:12:52,200
We're looking at about it one sixty five right now,

242
00:12:52,840 --> 00:12:55,919
a total of eight. And yeah, I as much as

243
00:12:55,960 --> 00:13:00,600
I like Lodolo, there's nothing wrong with Brandon Ashcraft. We're

244
00:13:00,600 --> 00:13:04,480
looking at the bullpens. The problem with Pittsburgh is their

245
00:13:04,559 --> 00:13:08,080
top four bullpen arms have all pitched back to back days.

246
00:13:08,519 --> 00:13:12,840
That is the problem. Santana, Mattson, Lawrence, and Mareta of

247
00:13:12,919 --> 00:13:17,200
all pitched the last four days. At least two of

248
00:13:17,200 --> 00:13:21,240
them probably will not pitch in this game, and that

249
00:13:21,440 --> 00:13:27,799
really shortens up this Pittsburgh bullpen. Matzinski the other day

250
00:13:27,879 --> 00:13:31,080
pitched through a forty eight pitches on Sunday. He'll probably

251
00:13:31,159 --> 00:13:34,360
come in is the first guy out of the bullpen

252
00:13:34,600 --> 00:13:36,440
and try to give you some length there. And he's

253
00:13:36,480 --> 00:13:39,559
actually been pitching pretty well. Look at the last two weeks.

254
00:13:39,600 --> 00:13:45,399
He's ranked fifteenth in the Baseball the rankings over there

255
00:13:45,440 --> 00:13:49,759
at RUSS Resources a tremendous job. But yeah, if you're

256
00:13:49,759 --> 00:13:54,000
looking to play Pittsburgh, I think the first five is

257
00:13:54,039 --> 00:14:00,879
probably the way to go. Lodolo going for for the

258
00:14:01,000 --> 00:14:03,720
home team here, let's take a look at the numbers

259
00:14:03,759 --> 00:14:08,720
here on Lodolo, He's he comes in with a three

260
00:14:08,759 --> 00:14:11,559
point four to four ERA, three point five seven expected,

261
00:14:11,720 --> 00:14:15,080
one point h eight whip. He's been very good in

262
00:14:15,080 --> 00:14:17,720
the whip department this year, which is which is one

263
00:14:17,759 --> 00:14:20,200
of his weaknesses. He's had chase rates in the nineteight

264
00:14:20,279 --> 00:14:23,840
percentile walk rate ninety six percentile terrific. He's always been

265
00:14:23,879 --> 00:14:26,960
pretty good with the walk rate. Doesn't allow a lot

266
00:14:27,000 --> 00:14:29,759
of base runners, and that's where he's very good at.

267
00:14:30,000 --> 00:14:32,440
But if you take a look at his overall numbers,

268
00:14:33,399 --> 00:14:36,159
basically slightly better in the league average. He only throws

269
00:14:36,200 --> 00:14:39,039
the four pitches all all of them uses all the time.

270
00:14:39,120 --> 00:14:41,759
The center from twenty percent was for Singer at twenty nine,

271
00:14:42,320 --> 00:14:45,480
so he's got four pitches is very comfortable with. But

272
00:14:46,159 --> 00:14:48,399
when you take a look at the Cincinnati bullpen, let's

273
00:14:48,399 --> 00:14:54,799
see how that goes. Here. Cincinnati's bullpen, it's actually in

274
00:14:54,799 --> 00:14:58,720
a lot better shape. Pagan pitched through twenty six pitches yesterday,

275
00:14:58,720 --> 00:15:02,080
but he had the previous three days off centillion seventeen

276
00:15:02,120 --> 00:15:05,519
after the last two days off, so the bullpen fits

277
00:15:05,960 --> 00:15:09,720
the Reds better. But let's take a look at that

278
00:15:09,759 --> 00:15:14,360
first five here Sincinnati and Pittsburgh. We could catch Ashcraft

279
00:15:14,399 --> 00:15:18,120
at about a one forty five and as opposed to

280
00:15:18,240 --> 00:15:21,799
in the full game, where it's only four or five

281
00:15:21,840 --> 00:15:24,720
cents differential. That's where you get your advantage in this

282
00:15:24,759 --> 00:15:27,759
one Ashcraft first half. I don't want any part of

283
00:15:27,759 --> 00:15:30,759
the Pittsburgh bullpen going later on in this game. They

284
00:15:30,799 --> 00:15:34,120
just don't have enough arms available. So Ashcraft the first

285
00:15:34,159 --> 00:15:36,840
half at a nice plus money price is the way

286
00:15:36,879 --> 00:15:39,639
I'm looking at this one. It's on my list so

287
00:15:39,720 --> 00:15:42,600
far today, Brian.

288
00:15:42,720 --> 00:15:46,159
Speaker 1: I was just kind of trying to confirm this, and

289
00:15:45,720 --> 00:15:48,039
I think this is going to be the case. So

290
00:15:49,240 --> 00:15:52,039
this makes me like that, Well, I like your Ashcraft

291
00:15:52,039 --> 00:15:54,360
bet because I've talked about him a ton on this show.

292
00:15:54,639 --> 00:15:57,039
I'm very high on him, and I wouldn't be able

293
00:15:57,039 --> 00:15:59,159
to talk you off of Ashcraft at any sort of

294
00:15:59,240 --> 00:16:01,639
value ever. But I think you can look at the

295
00:16:01,639 --> 00:16:04,639
Pirates full game. I think you could potentially consider Pirates

296
00:16:04,639 --> 00:16:07,120
plus one and a half if that was a little cheaper.

297
00:16:07,320 --> 00:16:09,600
I would be considering Pirates plus one and a half

298
00:16:09,600 --> 00:16:12,039
as a play, but I think they they did a

299
00:16:12,039 --> 00:16:14,679
good job of pricing that. I feel like a little

300
00:16:14,679 --> 00:16:16,919
bit out of range. I think if it was minus

301
00:16:16,919 --> 00:16:20,000
one twenty five. I'm probably in minus one forty five.

302
00:16:20,200 --> 00:16:22,840
I really can't, but uh, I think you're gonna see

303
00:16:22,879 --> 00:16:28,679
Hunter Barco here after after Ashcraft. And if you're unfamiliar

304
00:16:28,679 --> 00:16:33,120
with Pirates Baseball and the Pirates organization being bad for

305
00:16:33,159 --> 00:16:35,799
a long time does have its perks. It means you

306
00:16:35,840 --> 00:16:39,039
get to draft all these absolute studs. The Pirates are

307
00:16:39,039 --> 00:16:42,519
so loaded with young arms that and then of course

308
00:16:42,559 --> 00:16:46,240
Paul Skan's overshadowed all of them, so you have I mean,

309
00:16:46,440 --> 00:16:48,759
the list goes on and the next guy on that

310
00:16:48,879 --> 00:16:53,480
list is Hunter Barco, who has been mostly a starter,

311
00:16:53,799 --> 00:16:56,639
but they they've played around with him at at Triple

312
00:16:56,679 --> 00:16:59,039
A a little bit more recently, bringing him out of the

313
00:16:59,039 --> 00:17:02,799
bullpen him start games, so he very He kind of

314
00:17:02,879 --> 00:17:06,720
snuck up and quietly made his major league debut three

315
00:17:07,039 --> 00:17:09,960
three days ago through one inning in relief against the Reds.

316
00:17:10,720 --> 00:17:14,519
He's more of a starter. He long term, he's probably

317
00:17:14,559 --> 00:17:17,920
a starter, So I think you're gonna see him. I

318
00:17:17,920 --> 00:17:20,880
think they're gonna pull the Bubba Chandler move here, and

319
00:17:20,960 --> 00:17:23,880
I think you're gonna see this game. Go Ashcraft Barco,

320
00:17:24,359 --> 00:17:27,480
and that's it unless they really need a ninth inning guy.

321
00:17:28,119 --> 00:17:32,759
And that is he's he's another one right up there

322
00:17:32,799 --> 00:17:36,960
with Bubba Chandler. Nasty stuff, I believe. Now now I'm

323
00:17:37,039 --> 00:17:40,079
questioning my uh No, he is a lefty. So you're

324
00:17:40,119 --> 00:17:43,799
gonna get Ashcraft for four innings really good, you know,

325
00:17:43,839 --> 00:17:46,279
four or five innings, however long he can go. And

326
00:17:46,319 --> 00:17:48,880
then they're gonna bring it a lefty in with equally

327
00:17:48,920 --> 00:17:52,000
good stuff that these guys probably haven't seen much of.

328
00:17:52,200 --> 00:17:54,279
And then they're probably gonna let him go three four innings

329
00:17:54,279 --> 00:17:57,799
because he's really a starter, and the Pirates have done

330
00:17:57,799 --> 00:17:59,759
this for what, for whatever reason, I don't think they're

331
00:17:59,759 --> 00:18:02,000
gonna give him a start at this point. They kind

332
00:18:02,000 --> 00:18:04,480
of had him working out of the penn in Indianapolis,

333
00:18:04,640 --> 00:18:07,880
so my guest here to save to reset their bullpen.

334
00:18:08,119 --> 00:18:10,160
I think you're gonna see Ashcraft as long as he

335
00:18:10,200 --> 00:18:12,640
can go, Barco, as long as he can go. That

336
00:18:12,799 --> 00:18:15,960
is very, very appealing. It reminds me of that game

337
00:18:16,480 --> 00:18:19,599
maybe three four weeks ago where Ashcraft got the start

338
00:18:19,640 --> 00:18:21,920
and then they brought in Bubba Chandler and he finished

339
00:18:21,920 --> 00:18:24,000
the game. And I want to say they maybe shut

340
00:18:24,039 --> 00:18:27,400
the Rockies out in that game. I know we talked

341
00:18:27,400 --> 00:18:32,279
about it on the show, and it was not known

342
00:18:32,799 --> 00:18:34,599
that they would do that, but they did. They went

343
00:18:34,640 --> 00:18:38,039
Ashcraft Chandler and it was lights out. I think that's

344
00:18:38,079 --> 00:18:39,519
what they're doing to the Reds here. I think you're

345
00:18:39,519 --> 00:18:44,960
gonna see Ashcraft followed by Hunter Barco and it's gonna

346
00:18:45,000 --> 00:18:46,839
be good. I think it will be good for the Pirates.

347
00:18:46,839 --> 00:18:49,119
So do what you will with that. Pirates first five

348
00:18:49,240 --> 00:18:52,200
is fine. Take a shot on Pirates plus one plus

349
00:18:52,279 --> 00:18:54,559
one fifty, the plus one and a half, maybe the

350
00:18:54,680 --> 00:18:57,440
under maybe Reds Reds team total four and a half.

351
00:18:57,599 --> 00:19:01,799
I'd play under that if it's those two a couple.

352
00:19:01,599 --> 00:19:06,720
Speaker 2: Of ops yesterday, I like that under Barco. For those

353
00:19:06,960 --> 00:19:09,599
who don't know, he's the second round draft pick twenty two.

354
00:19:09,720 --> 00:19:13,319
He's their fourth overall prospect right now. So here's a

355
00:19:13,400 --> 00:19:14,359
top prospect for them.

356
00:19:15,519 --> 00:19:17,839
Speaker 1: Yeah. And I think the only reason he wasn't sort

357
00:19:17,839 --> 00:19:21,000
of up here starting games earlier he did have an

358
00:19:21,039 --> 00:19:23,799
injury back in like May. But he's I mean, that

359
00:19:23,920 --> 00:19:26,440
was a long time ago. He kind of he came

360
00:19:26,519 --> 00:19:30,480
back from it kind of quickly, but I think they

361
00:19:30,519 --> 00:19:32,680
were being more cautious with him because of the injury.

362
00:19:32,720 --> 00:19:35,200
At this point, I mean, he's been back for a while.

363
00:19:35,279 --> 00:19:37,480
So I don't think there's any effects of the injury.

364
00:19:37,559 --> 00:19:39,200
But I do think that's why he was a little

365
00:19:39,240 --> 00:19:41,839
bit slower to come up. And let's say, because he's

366
00:19:41,960 --> 00:19:44,599
right in line with like a Chandler with like he's

367
00:19:44,759 --> 00:19:47,039
just it's like one A, one B at this point

368
00:19:47,400 --> 00:19:50,880
for the prospects in their organization, So Ashcraft, Chandler, Barco,

369
00:19:50,960 --> 00:19:53,920
they're all, they're all equally as good. I just think

370
00:19:53,960 --> 00:19:55,839
the reason you haven't seen him yet was his injury

371
00:19:56,200 --> 00:19:58,640
kind of derailed the early part of his season. So

372
00:19:59,279 --> 00:20:01,599
that would be what I'm absolutely gonna be watching. It's

373
00:20:01,640 --> 00:20:03,920
the early game. I know, I get yelled at on

374
00:20:04,039 --> 00:20:06,160
the show by the chat if I don't get some

375
00:20:06,319 --> 00:20:08,720
early action out there. So I would find a way

376
00:20:08,759 --> 00:20:10,559
to bet the Pirates. I would find a way to

377
00:20:10,640 --> 00:20:13,359
take maybe an under. I think that Red's team total

378
00:20:13,440 --> 00:20:16,039
under is a winner. I'm not a big team total guy,

379
00:20:16,400 --> 00:20:18,079
but if you're getting a four and a half there,

380
00:20:18,119 --> 00:20:22,559
I'll be surprised if they if they can go over that. Okay,

381
00:20:23,599 --> 00:20:26,359
let's see all right, Yeah, I mean how could we

382
00:20:26,519 --> 00:20:30,680
not how can we not talk Guardians Guardians Tigers right now? Brian?

383
00:20:31,680 --> 00:20:35,799
I mean, it is just contagious in Cleveland. You've got

384
00:20:36,839 --> 00:20:39,359
who is it Valera that had had a huge homera.

385
00:20:39,480 --> 00:20:43,599
I mean, it's just like, you know, everyone's contributing. It's

386
00:20:43,680 --> 00:20:46,759
it's rubbing off and it couldn't. It's it's going the

387
00:20:46,839 --> 00:20:49,319
other It's like going the other way for the Tigers

388
00:20:49,359 --> 00:20:51,920
where no one can they can't get out of their

389
00:20:51,920 --> 00:20:55,039
own way. It's actually been kind of crazy to watch

390
00:20:55,359 --> 00:20:58,279
that that it's that is unfolded like this very very

391
00:20:58,400 --> 00:21:01,680
reminiscent of the Red Sox collapse the year that they

392
00:21:02,000 --> 00:21:04,839
had that ten game lead or whatever and didn't make

393
00:21:04,920 --> 00:21:08,680
the playoffs. Think, well, the Tigers can kind of think

394
00:21:08,720 --> 00:21:11,839
they're lucky stars that the the A's are smacking the

395
00:21:11,920 --> 00:21:14,319
astros around right now. They're kind of keeping him in

396
00:21:14,400 --> 00:21:19,920
the mix. But here we go, series finale, Guardians Tigers.

397
00:21:20,680 --> 00:21:23,119
Why can't I find a line for this game? Do

398
00:21:23,200 --> 00:21:23,599
you haven't?

399
00:21:24,200 --> 00:21:26,519
Speaker 2: De Try hasn't announced a picture yet.

400
00:21:26,880 --> 00:21:30,519
Speaker 1: I see, So it's the AJ it's the potential AJ hinch.

401
00:21:31,039 --> 00:21:33,839
I'll throw Kayder Montero for four innings and then throw

402
00:21:33,880 --> 00:21:36,480
a bunch of other random ship which which worked last

403
00:21:36,559 --> 00:21:39,920
year phenomenally, Brian, it hasn't worked for them, this year,

404
00:21:39,960 --> 00:21:41,240
and I think that's part of the reason they're in

405
00:21:41,319 --> 00:21:41,880
this situation.

406
00:21:42,720 --> 00:21:45,519
Speaker 2: Yeah, I believe Montero came in and I had to

407
00:21:45,559 --> 00:21:51,920
pitch Relaf unless I'm wrong. Yeah, he U the last

408
00:21:52,160 --> 00:21:55,039
two nights he has had to pitch relief.

409
00:21:54,839 --> 00:21:57,160
Speaker 1: So yeah, I just threw his name out there kind

410
00:21:57,200 --> 00:21:59,519
of randomly. I I don't know who the bulk guy

411
00:21:59,599 --> 00:22:02,000
is today, but it's probably not him.

412
00:22:02,039 --> 00:22:03,359
Speaker 2: If that's the well that was, I'm sorry. That was

413
00:22:03,480 --> 00:22:07,039
Rafael Mantaro, my mistake, My mistake. Rafael Montario came in

414
00:22:07,119 --> 00:22:11,039
and pitched Kyder. Mantaro was the guy who was scheduled

415
00:22:11,079 --> 00:22:15,759
originally to pitch today, but it's strange that it hasn't

416
00:22:15,799 --> 00:22:18,559
been announced yet. So maybe, uh, they're going to do

417
00:22:18,640 --> 00:22:20,480
a bullpen game or something today, or.

418
00:22:20,519 --> 00:22:23,480
Speaker 1: They'll they'll probably open for him if if Hinch likes

419
00:22:23,519 --> 00:22:25,480
a matchups just a.

420
00:22:26,599 --> 00:22:29,799
Speaker 2: Yeah, yep, could be. Yeah, we're looking at these two

421
00:22:29,839 --> 00:22:33,359
teams right now in Cleveland. Obviously whatever they're doing is

422
00:22:33,440 --> 00:22:39,960
working for him. Messi's going, Uh, he's a one seventy

423
00:22:40,519 --> 00:22:43,880
about a one seventy favorite right now. Catch back is

424
00:22:43,920 --> 00:22:47,039
one forty one forty five take back excuse me, a

425
00:22:47,200 --> 00:22:50,119
total of eight, but a lot of places, especially here

426
00:22:50,160 --> 00:22:52,319
in Vegas, there's nothing up right now because they won't

427
00:22:52,359 --> 00:22:54,799
go unless there's a They know who's going to start

428
00:22:54,880 --> 00:22:57,839
for Detroit, and I just visited all the Detroit websites

429
00:22:57,880 --> 00:23:00,240
and as far as I could tell, nobody's mentioning it thing.

430
00:23:00,400 --> 00:23:03,559
So it's a surprise at this point who's going to start.

431
00:23:03,640 --> 00:23:05,039
So I'm not going to get too involved in it.

432
00:23:05,440 --> 00:23:08,720
I will say, regardless of who Detroit throws out there

433
00:23:08,839 --> 00:23:11,160
right now, there's no way I'm laying one seventy. I

434
00:23:11,240 --> 00:23:14,799
do like Messik. He's a lefty and he's a guy

435
00:23:14,799 --> 00:23:16,880
I want to back. But if you look at the

436
00:23:17,119 --> 00:23:20,079
Cleveland bullpen, they're best guys in the bullpen have pitched

437
00:23:20,119 --> 00:23:22,920
the last two days. They didn't throw a lot of pitches,

438
00:23:23,319 --> 00:23:25,000
which is good, so they may be able to come

439
00:23:25,039 --> 00:23:27,400
back out and play pitch the third. And the way

440
00:23:27,839 --> 00:23:30,319
Cleveland's been winning all these games, they've gotten a lot

441
00:23:30,400 --> 00:23:33,200
of usage. Now. The good thing is when your best

442
00:23:33,200 --> 00:23:35,799
pitchers get a lot of usage, that means you're winning.

443
00:23:36,319 --> 00:23:38,960
The bad part is if they have too many games

444
00:23:39,000 --> 00:23:40,880
in which they go, now, are they going to be

445
00:23:40,920 --> 00:23:44,039
rested enough? If and when they do make the playoffs.

446
00:23:44,640 --> 00:23:48,119
So I like Cleveland, but I can't can't lay that number.

447
00:23:48,160 --> 00:23:50,759
Gotified in a different way to play it. You know,

448
00:23:50,960 --> 00:23:53,880
they Detroit Tigers, this are not hitting. Let me take

449
00:23:53,920 --> 00:23:59,119
a look at team totals here. Obviously without knowing who's

450
00:23:59,160 --> 00:24:01,559
going for them, it's not much out there, but we're

451
00:24:01,559 --> 00:24:05,359
looking at three and a half hundred one thirty. I

452
00:24:05,400 --> 00:24:07,599
don't know if I'll get there because because of the

453
00:24:07,680 --> 00:24:12,680
Cleveland bullpen, but it's something right now that I'm gonna

454
00:24:12,720 --> 00:24:15,400
keep an eye on, see how this works out. I

455
00:24:15,480 --> 00:24:17,519
don't want to play Detroit because of the way they're playing,

456
00:24:17,599 --> 00:24:21,440
because they're just putting themselves in such a hole there.

457
00:24:22,240 --> 00:24:24,039
You can just watch them. And I talked about this

458
00:24:24,200 --> 00:24:26,119
and I said two days ago that they struck out

459
00:24:26,119 --> 00:24:28,960
twenty the only stroke. Cleveland struck out nineteen betters for Detroit,

460
00:24:29,039 --> 00:24:31,240
I made a mistake. There's two strikes on the last

461
00:24:31,279 --> 00:24:33,240
guy and they hit a little ground or I believe,

462
00:24:33,880 --> 00:24:36,559
but still when he's striking out and looking as bad

463
00:24:36,640 --> 00:24:38,680
at the plate as they are right now, I don't

464
00:24:38,680 --> 00:24:43,200
want any part of the Tigers. So we'll see what

465
00:24:43,359 --> 00:24:45,400
they do. But at this point I can't lay the

466
00:24:45,440 --> 00:24:47,799
one seventy with Cleve. That's just that's just too much.

467
00:24:47,880 --> 00:24:50,400
There's plenty of value in this series on Cleveland. We've

468
00:24:50,480 --> 00:24:52,839
used them in one way or another the other two games.

469
00:24:53,519 --> 00:24:56,000
This one I'll probably be setting out.

470
00:24:58,440 --> 00:25:01,680
Speaker 1: Yeah, I said yesterday and I will continue. I've said

471
00:25:01,680 --> 00:25:03,480
this the whole series so far, and I'll say it

472
00:25:03,519 --> 00:25:07,359
again right now. In relative relative to the side. I mean,

473
00:25:07,440 --> 00:25:10,680
that's an insane price to lay with the Guardians at

474
00:25:10,720 --> 00:25:13,799
this point. But there is absolutely no way that I

475
00:25:13,839 --> 00:25:16,680
will put a dollar on the Detroit Tigers until they

476
00:25:16,680 --> 00:25:19,799
win a game. Just can't do it. It's uh, you

477
00:25:19,960 --> 00:25:23,079
just can't do it. I said it yesterday and yesterday

478
00:25:23,119 --> 00:25:25,519
and you could have got minus one twenty five on

479
00:25:25,640 --> 00:25:28,000
the on the Guardians. Now they're asking you to lay

480
00:25:28,079 --> 00:25:31,599
minus one seventy five with a rookie pitcher on the mound.

481
00:25:31,680 --> 00:25:34,559
I mean, listen, if you if you could make a

482
00:25:35,039 --> 00:25:37,160
find a good reason to take the Tigers here, more

483
00:25:37,200 --> 00:25:40,599
power to you, because that is incredible line value for

484
00:25:41,039 --> 00:25:44,079
this Tigers team. I just can't do it. What I

485
00:25:44,160 --> 00:25:47,160
could potentially do, Brian is take the over, and I'm

486
00:25:47,200 --> 00:25:49,119
gonna explain why I think that this number is a

487
00:25:49,160 --> 00:25:53,640
little bit low. So the Tigers for for all, forever,

488
00:25:53,799 --> 00:25:56,200
for all of the sort of bad that's gone on

489
00:25:56,319 --> 00:26:00,559
the past couple of weeks, they have hit lefties collectively

490
00:26:00,640 --> 00:26:03,480
hit lefties well this season, which is actually very interesting

491
00:26:03,519 --> 00:26:07,920
because their lineup is not optimal in my opinion, against

492
00:26:07,960 --> 00:26:11,119
the left handed pitcher. But they actually have had a

493
00:26:11,400 --> 00:26:14,920
full season. They've done well against left handed pitching. So

494
00:26:15,079 --> 00:26:16,640
do what you will with that. I don't really know

495
00:26:16,720 --> 00:26:19,319
what to make of that, because they don't. You don't

496
00:26:19,400 --> 00:26:23,440
get your what you and I would probably construct this

497
00:26:23,599 --> 00:26:26,559
like the ultimate optimal Tiger's lineup. You don't get that

498
00:26:26,640 --> 00:26:30,000
against the lefty. However, they've done okay against left handed pitching,

499
00:26:30,079 --> 00:26:31,799
so do what you will with that. Where I think

500
00:26:31,839 --> 00:26:34,480
they might have a little bit of an edge here

501
00:26:35,000 --> 00:26:39,039
is against MESSI why Columbus and Toledo play constantly, they

502
00:26:39,079 --> 00:26:41,640
play all the time. They've probably seen him quite a

503
00:26:41,680 --> 00:26:44,079
bit at the triple A level, because, of course, part

504
00:26:44,119 --> 00:26:46,599
of the Tiger's problem is a lot of their lineup

505
00:26:47,039 --> 00:26:49,279
was a triple A either last year. Earlier this year

506
00:26:49,359 --> 00:26:53,480
they they finally got exposed for the four A lineup. Right,

507
00:26:53,599 --> 00:26:57,799
like these guys, like you know, I pretty much anyone

508
00:26:57,880 --> 00:27:00,799
other than Carrie, and you know, a couple of guys

509
00:27:00,839 --> 00:27:03,640
like they're all guys that arguably could still be down

510
00:27:03,720 --> 00:27:06,519
in Triple A. So that being said, they've seen a

511
00:27:06,519 --> 00:27:09,240
lot of Messic the last two years. I feel like

512
00:27:09,359 --> 00:27:12,839
Messick's got away with it a little bit. You look

513
00:27:12,880 --> 00:27:15,400
at his first month in the you know, his last

514
00:27:15,799 --> 00:27:18,319
the month of September, so after he obviously had that

515
00:27:18,359 --> 00:27:20,559
great start against the Diamondbacks to start his career, and

516
00:27:20,640 --> 00:27:22,359
I think the next one was against the Rays. Two

517
00:27:22,440 --> 00:27:26,000
tremendous starts this month. His whip is one point five

518
00:27:26,000 --> 00:27:29,759
to seven. Now the ERA is okay, he's got a three,

519
00:27:29,920 --> 00:27:32,480
So he has a three ERA in four September starts.

520
00:27:32,519 --> 00:27:36,960
His era's three batting average against three thirty. That's not great.

521
00:27:37,480 --> 00:27:41,039
Whip one point five to seven, that's not great either.

522
00:27:41,119 --> 00:27:45,200
That's four starts in September for Messick. I do feel

523
00:27:45,279 --> 00:27:47,279
like if the Tigers were gonna break out a little bit,

524
00:27:47,640 --> 00:27:49,599
it might be against him. I feel like this is

525
00:27:49,640 --> 00:27:51,799
a reasonable spot for them to get a couple of runs.

526
00:27:52,319 --> 00:27:54,759
But right now, Brian, the Guardians are just feeding off

527
00:27:54,799 --> 00:27:57,920
of each other. It's timely hit after timely hit, and

528
00:27:58,000 --> 00:28:00,839
they're still playing this game in Cleveland, so I actually

529
00:28:00,880 --> 00:28:02,599
think that total is a little bit low. This is

530
00:28:02,680 --> 00:28:05,359
probably one of my stronger totals leans on the board today.

531
00:28:05,799 --> 00:28:07,680
I think, is it over eight? Is that what you're

532
00:28:07,680 --> 00:28:08,119
seeing there?

533
00:28:08,519 --> 00:28:12,599
Speaker 2: Seven and a half, a couple seven halves, but mostly eight. Yeah.

534
00:28:12,720 --> 00:28:14,279
Speaker 1: I have a feeling that that's going to be all

535
00:28:14,559 --> 00:28:16,640
eight at some point, like probably as we get close

536
00:28:16,680 --> 00:28:18,240
to the first pitch. If you can still get a

537
00:28:18,319 --> 00:28:20,480
seven and a half in this game, I think that's

538
00:28:20,720 --> 00:28:21,960
a solid look at a total.

539
00:28:22,920 --> 00:28:27,480
Speaker 2: I will say regarding Messe, I believe in the last

540
00:28:27,680 --> 00:28:31,279
month his BABEB is like three seventy one, so he's

541
00:28:31,319 --> 00:28:33,000
had a lot of bad luck in that regard. I

542
00:28:33,079 --> 00:28:37,680
believe he's I believe he's second in baseball and highest

543
00:28:37,759 --> 00:28:41,559
babb and he's still getting out of jams even with

544
00:28:41,680 --> 00:28:44,880
the bad luck. There's a concern also, you know, normally

545
00:28:44,960 --> 00:28:48,599
I would I would say Detroit without facing the LEFTI

546
00:28:48,640 --> 00:28:51,200
it means carry Carpenter's out of lineup. But he has

547
00:28:51,279 --> 00:28:53,519
done nothing as a late I believe he did head

548
00:28:53,559 --> 00:28:56,240
homer the other day, but other than that last seven days,

549
00:28:56,759 --> 00:28:59,720
his hitting rank is ranked three hundred and forty second

550
00:29:00,240 --> 00:29:03,920
Parker metals three forty five. I went sel Perez three

551
00:29:03,920 --> 00:29:07,400
point fifty two and Baiez, who was hurt yesterday. It

552
00:29:07,440 --> 00:29:10,359
was at three h four. So they have one guy

553
00:29:10,440 --> 00:29:12,880
who's hitting in the top one hundred in baseball, and

554
00:29:12,960 --> 00:29:15,720
that's Labor Torres at eighty six. And he's not a

555
00:29:15,759 --> 00:29:17,519
guy who's going to get you a ton of home runs.

556
00:29:17,559 --> 00:29:20,160
He's just more of a singles guy. So that's my

557
00:29:20,279 --> 00:29:24,160
concern about Detroit. But Carpenter is not hitting well right now.

558
00:29:24,279 --> 00:29:28,720
He'll probably be replaced by Banyas and Jones. They came in,

559
00:29:28,839 --> 00:29:31,359
they played the last time he faced the lefty. They

560
00:29:31,440 --> 00:29:34,200
did give McKinstry off that day, but mckissrey's one of

561
00:29:34,240 --> 00:29:38,240
their guys that's actually hitting pretty well right now. So yeah,

562
00:29:38,359 --> 00:29:40,880
normally I don't like to play Detroit against the lefty,

563
00:29:41,440 --> 00:29:44,640
but maybe Carpenter being out the lineup won't hurt them

564
00:29:44,680 --> 00:29:47,079
at all because he's just not playing well. So I

565
00:29:47,119 --> 00:29:49,200
will have I'm gonna sit back and relax. But I

566
00:29:49,279 --> 00:29:51,519
think a lot of that messic thing was just just

567
00:29:51,720 --> 00:29:55,799
bad luck. So he's still watched the games. He still

568
00:29:55,799 --> 00:29:58,599
looks like he's he's pitching the same as he was before.

569
00:29:58,720 --> 00:29:59,759
So maybe that's the case.

570
00:30:01,359 --> 00:30:03,519
Speaker 1: Yeah, and again it's for me, it would be more

571
00:30:03,759 --> 00:30:06,640
just like they have had. So I went back and looked.

572
00:30:06,680 --> 00:30:11,880
He's made three starts against Toledo this year, most of

573
00:30:11,920 --> 00:30:15,200
them earlier in the year, and so guys like Jamai Jones.

574
00:30:15,359 --> 00:30:17,640
So I pulled the Tiger's lineup the last time they

575
00:30:17,680 --> 00:30:19,839
faced a lefty, which was against the Wentz, and they

576
00:30:19,920 --> 00:30:27,880
had Jones leading off, Wentzel, Perez A Bonyez, Parker, Meadows,

577
00:30:28,839 --> 00:30:31,960
Jace Jung. All of those guys have been at triple

578
00:30:32,000 --> 00:30:34,240
A the most most of the year. So I wonder

579
00:30:34,319 --> 00:30:37,720
if I mean, you know, Hinch just is smarter than most.

580
00:30:38,440 --> 00:30:40,400
I wonder if he's gonna look at those minor league

581
00:30:40,440 --> 00:30:42,960
splits and try to put the lineup out there that's

582
00:30:43,000 --> 00:30:45,119
seen him the most, because again, they've had a ton.

583
00:30:45,519 --> 00:30:48,799
If you were down at Toledo this year, you've you've

584
00:30:48,839 --> 00:30:51,920
seen him for I think he's accumulated something like twenty

585
00:30:52,319 --> 00:30:56,160
one or two winnings against the Mudheads, and so Hinch

586
00:30:56,200 --> 00:30:58,440
has got to be grasping at straws at this point. Anyway,

587
00:30:58,519 --> 00:31:01,160
maybe he's like, hey, let's just see you know, you guys,

588
00:31:01,279 --> 00:31:06,240
Jace Young can't get any worse, right now, Let's get

589
00:31:06,279 --> 00:31:07,599
some of these guys in that at least had a

590
00:31:07,640 --> 00:31:10,079
big sample against him. It'll be interesting. But I do

591
00:31:10,200 --> 00:31:12,119
think it finds its way over at some point. And

592
00:31:12,400 --> 00:31:16,160
some of that credit to the Guardians timely hit. What

593
00:31:16,240 --> 00:31:18,279
it was that Jose Ramirez last night gets the big

594
00:31:18,400 --> 00:31:20,359
hit to sort of put that game out of reach.

595
00:31:20,640 --> 00:31:23,960
I don't think that changes. Teams just been getting big

596
00:31:24,000 --> 00:31:26,359
hit after big hits, so doesn't take much to get

597
00:31:26,400 --> 00:31:29,839
over seven and a half, and I think this one does. Okay,

598
00:31:30,799 --> 00:31:36,400
let's move on. Let me go back to my let

599
00:31:36,400 --> 00:31:38,319
me go back to my list here I do want

600
00:31:38,359 --> 00:31:42,359
to get Yeah, let's talk Mets Cubs. Like I feel

601
00:31:42,359 --> 00:31:45,039
like we've kind of, you know, talked about this series.

602
00:31:45,079 --> 00:31:49,960
I haven't oddly enough, I feel like I have been

603
00:31:50,000 --> 00:31:52,880
wrong about this series, and it's like I've had a

604
00:31:52,920 --> 00:31:54,839
little bit of bad luck and now I haven't bet

605
00:31:54,880 --> 00:31:57,599
any of these. But on Monday I had the Cubs

606
00:31:57,640 --> 00:32:00,119
in a free pick video Kate Horton gets hurt. The

607
00:32:00,680 --> 00:32:03,279
Cubs blow a big lead last night. It looked like

608
00:32:03,359 --> 00:32:06,079
everything was great until it wasn't. The Cubs just unloaded

609
00:32:06,119 --> 00:32:10,359
on Jonah thong first time. Three looked pretty good. Mets

610
00:32:10,400 --> 00:32:11,759
had a big play to get out of a gym,

611
00:32:12,119 --> 00:32:15,000
threw it through a runner out at home and but

612
00:32:15,119 --> 00:32:18,359
then suddenly they just got bombed. So looks like it's

613
00:32:18,359 --> 00:32:22,319
gonna be Imanaga MacLean obviously a huge game for the Nets.

614
00:32:22,359 --> 00:32:26,000
That goes without saying, are you getting involved Nets Cubbies tonight?

615
00:32:28,160 --> 00:32:30,200
Speaker 2: At this point, it's up in the air. We got

616
00:32:30,279 --> 00:32:33,759
my plane against the left Naga basically a pick them

617
00:32:33,839 --> 00:32:36,680
right now with a total of seven and a half.

618
00:32:37,920 --> 00:32:41,720
When I'm looking at the weather, the Wrigley field is

619
00:32:41,839 --> 00:32:45,559
blowing into the slightly in. It's minus eight percent of

620
00:32:45,599 --> 00:32:49,599
what it normally would be, so it's slight differential. Seattle's

621
00:32:49,599 --> 00:32:53,160
where it's blowing in at about fourteen fourteen percent run

622
00:32:53,200 --> 00:32:57,640
differential than it would normally be. They had a little

623
00:32:57,640 --> 00:33:01,200
bit of that yesterday and it didn't matter because the

624
00:33:01,359 --> 00:33:04,480
pitching for Colorado. So get that in mind. But most

625
00:33:04,559 --> 00:33:07,559
of the most of the games today the wind is

626
00:33:07,720 --> 00:33:11,359
blowing out, and I think out of the eight out

627
00:33:11,359 --> 00:33:13,880
of the twelve the wind is is either blowing out

628
00:33:14,000 --> 00:33:16,400
or neutral, and so there could be some runs in

629
00:33:16,480 --> 00:33:20,799
these games today. When we take a look at the

630
00:33:20,880 --> 00:33:24,599
starting pitchers. McLean's been terrific, but one point two seven

631
00:33:24,640 --> 00:33:27,279
e RA but three point two eight expected one point

632
00:33:27,359 --> 00:33:32,000
h one whip. Excuse me, It's still only throwing forty

633
00:33:32,240 --> 00:33:35,599
less than forty three innings, so not everything has come

634
00:33:35,640 --> 00:33:41,200
out with enough enough sample size here for baseball savant.

635
00:33:41,319 --> 00:33:45,200
But even though he's done great, he does so somethings.

636
00:33:45,279 --> 00:33:47,400
There is some things that he's a little weakend. The

637
00:33:47,519 --> 00:33:50,799
chase rate, walk great is less than normal, and hard

638
00:33:50,880 --> 00:33:53,920
hit rates, so uh, he's pitching a little bit above

639
00:33:53,960 --> 00:33:56,039
his head right now, but it's it sure has worked

640
00:33:56,079 --> 00:33:58,880
so far for him in Minaga three point three seven

641
00:33:58,920 --> 00:34:01,759
ERA four point zero, I've expected zero point nine to

642
00:34:01,799 --> 00:34:05,519
six whip. This is also a mixed bag. His walk

643
00:34:05,559 --> 00:34:08,480
great ninety six percentile, chase rade eighty fifth, but everything

644
00:34:08,519 --> 00:34:13,719
else basically is league average and below. He is basically

645
00:34:15,280 --> 00:34:17,000
doesn't throw him any ground balls and on the fourth

646
00:34:17,079 --> 00:34:21,119
percentile eight tenth pass ball velost the eighth. So two

647
00:34:21,239 --> 00:34:24,119
guys that can be hit here, even though their numbers

648
00:34:24,119 --> 00:34:27,639
show they've got some good numbers on the season, which

649
00:34:27,679 --> 00:34:30,840
would point me a little bit to the over in

650
00:34:30,960 --> 00:34:33,000
this one. Since it is sitting here at seven and

651
00:34:33,079 --> 00:34:38,039
a half, but the winds blowing slightly in and because

652
00:34:38,079 --> 00:34:40,639
it is going to be treated like a playoff game,

653
00:34:40,679 --> 00:34:42,199
you have to always take a look at who the

654
00:34:42,800 --> 00:34:46,119
Mets bullpen have available. Now. They did have Diaz and

655
00:34:46,320 --> 00:34:49,519
Rogers go on Tuesday, and they threw twenty seven to

656
00:34:49,599 --> 00:34:52,960
thirty one pitches last night. They had the day off.

657
00:34:53,440 --> 00:34:57,800
Heisley or Elsley excuse me, through twenty four, but he

658
00:34:57,880 --> 00:35:00,800
hadn't pitched the previous time, so should be in decent

659
00:35:00,840 --> 00:35:04,760
shape for the bullpen. Probably not going to get there

660
00:35:04,800 --> 00:35:07,199
in this game. I had the Mets two days ago

661
00:35:07,360 --> 00:35:08,840
lucked out. That was a game they fell behind it

662
00:35:08,840 --> 00:35:11,360
early and got that beginning. I'll take that win and

663
00:35:11,440 --> 00:35:14,360
get out of this series with that victory. Probably because

664
00:35:14,960 --> 00:35:16,679
I'm seeing better games on the board today.

665
00:35:18,639 --> 00:35:20,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, I feel the same way. I think it would

666
00:35:20,960 --> 00:35:23,360
be Mets or Pass for me here. I'm very high

667
00:35:23,360 --> 00:35:25,519
on McLean I think, you know. I was. I was

668
00:35:25,559 --> 00:35:28,000
going back and forth with someone on Twitter that was like,

669
00:35:28,119 --> 00:35:31,039
oh see, like you know, I told you the Mets

670
00:35:31,199 --> 00:35:34,159
young guys were gonna it wasn't gonna last. We're gonna

671
00:35:34,159 --> 00:35:36,920
struggle in it. And I was like, no, what I

672
00:35:37,119 --> 00:35:40,280
said was they need to call these guys up because

673
00:35:40,320 --> 00:35:42,519
they need to see if they're they're sitting on an ace.

674
00:35:43,119 --> 00:35:46,599
It's not the the the they didn't want to have

675
00:35:47,480 --> 00:35:51,000
sprote McLean and tongup this year, but guys like Sean

676
00:35:51,079 --> 00:35:55,639
and I are sucking Sengau Frankie Mantes getting hurt. That

677
00:35:55,920 --> 00:35:58,039
is the reason that they're up, not because they just

678
00:35:58,119 --> 00:36:01,559
were like dying to take dudes from Double A and

679
00:36:01,719 --> 00:36:04,199
have them starting playoff games. So let's get that straight.

680
00:36:04,280 --> 00:36:08,480
The Mets are they're doing this for two reasons. One necessity.

681
00:36:08,800 --> 00:36:11,079
Two they've got to see if they're sitting on a

682
00:36:11,119 --> 00:36:14,639
guy that could be like the guy that ends up

683
00:36:14,639 --> 00:36:16,960
being the ACE in the playoffs. So like, forget like

684
00:36:17,440 --> 00:36:20,559
Jonah Toong struggling. The dude had two starts at Triple A. Okay,

685
00:36:20,679 --> 00:36:23,320
forget that he's gonna be fine, he's awesome, but like

686
00:36:23,719 --> 00:36:25,960
he's up here just trying to help out right now,

687
00:36:27,360 --> 00:36:29,320
he shouldn't even be up in the big leagues. But again,

688
00:36:29,559 --> 00:36:31,840
they needed to see if he was going to just

689
00:36:31,960 --> 00:36:34,079
be like so good that they had to put him

690
00:36:34,079 --> 00:36:37,800
on the playoff roster. McClain has actually been that guy,

691
00:36:38,079 --> 00:36:40,159
like they've So that's kind of what I was looking

692
00:36:40,199 --> 00:36:42,840
at when I said, Okay, they've got Sproke, they've got McClain,

693
00:36:42,880 --> 00:36:45,559
they've got Tonged down at Triple A. If one of

694
00:36:45,639 --> 00:36:48,039
these dudes can pan out to be really good, I

695
00:36:48,079 --> 00:36:49,760
think the Mets are going to be in okay shape. Now.

696
00:36:50,000 --> 00:36:53,079
The Mets have not played good baseball, that's, you know,

697
00:36:53,159 --> 00:36:55,920
aside the point, and they've played their way into now

698
00:36:56,039 --> 00:36:58,480
sort of needing to have a good weekend to get

699
00:36:58,519 --> 00:37:02,280
to the playoffs. But it doesn't mean Nolan McLain still

700
00:37:02,280 --> 00:37:05,159
hasn't been that guy. He's been awesome, and you know

701
00:37:05,239 --> 00:37:07,920
it's from from a the way I great out put

702
00:37:08,039 --> 00:37:10,159
pitchers at the Triple A level. He was. He was

703
00:37:10,320 --> 00:37:14,440
one almost this entire season. Uh, go watch Pitching Ninja.

704
00:37:14,960 --> 00:37:17,440
Rob Friedman posts every time he's got to start. Rob

705
00:37:17,480 --> 00:37:22,920
Friedman posts the uh the splits of of his sweeper

706
00:37:23,119 --> 00:37:25,320
and slot. Uh, the two pitches that go in the

707
00:37:25,360 --> 00:37:28,280
opposite directions. I think one's a sweeper. One is a sinker.

708
00:37:29,239 --> 00:37:32,719
I mean arm tunnels exactly the same ball comes out.

709
00:37:32,960 --> 00:37:35,639
One takes a hard right, the other takes a hard left.

710
00:37:35,679 --> 00:37:37,800
I don't think the league. I think it's gonna be

711
00:37:37,800 --> 00:37:40,280
a little while before the league figures out how to

712
00:37:40,679 --> 00:37:45,039
handle that. So I'm I'm, I'm sort of I feel like,

713
00:37:45,079 --> 00:37:48,199
if you like the Mets at all, this is the spot,

714
00:37:48,400 --> 00:37:50,599
like you have to win with McLean on the mound

715
00:37:50,639 --> 00:37:52,760
here if you don't. I know, they got the Marlins

716
00:37:52,840 --> 00:37:55,159
this weekend, but if the Mets lose this game, they're

717
00:37:55,199 --> 00:37:58,599
really asking to miss the playoffs in my opinion, So again,

718
00:37:58,719 --> 00:38:00,440
not not one that's gonna make my card, but I

719
00:38:00,519 --> 00:38:04,280
do give the slightest avenges to the Mets, and personally

720
00:38:04,679 --> 00:38:06,360
I like McLean, so it would have to be Mets

721
00:38:06,360 --> 00:38:13,159
are passed. All right, let's move up, move along. Do

722
00:38:13,280 --> 00:38:15,320
you let me go to the chat? I kind of

723
00:38:16,760 --> 00:38:18,360
I want to see if there's one that people are

724
00:38:18,599 --> 00:38:22,079
are really asking about that I'm ignoring here. Let's see,

725
00:38:27,400 --> 00:38:30,519
let's see someone's the Seahawks money line. I will, I

726
00:38:30,559 --> 00:38:33,280
guess I'll take this time to promote myself for a second.

727
00:38:33,360 --> 00:38:36,840
I have a five percent play in the Thursday night

728
00:38:36,880 --> 00:38:38,960
football game tonight, which is very rare for me. I

729
00:38:39,159 --> 00:38:43,440
typically don't play the midweek games, but I like an

730
00:38:43,480 --> 00:38:45,639
angle here and so I do have a five percent

731
00:38:45,679 --> 00:38:50,480
football play that goes tonight Seahawks Cardinals, having it from

732
00:38:50,559 --> 00:38:53,039
six and two. I made eight NFL bets this year, Brian,

733
00:38:53,079 --> 00:38:55,519
and I'm six and two, so I'm pretty happy about that.

734
00:38:56,079 --> 00:38:58,599
U two and three of them are five percenters. I'm

735
00:38:58,639 --> 00:39:00,960
two and one on those in the one was the

736
00:39:01,039 --> 00:39:03,920
Texans on Monday Night Football, where they were a fourth

737
00:39:03,960 --> 00:39:06,360
and ten away from from basically winning that game. So

738
00:39:07,480 --> 00:39:10,159
pretty happy with the NFL. I have a five percent

739
00:39:10,239 --> 00:39:13,679
play up that goes tonight. We're going to continue on here,

740
00:39:14,360 --> 00:39:17,440
and I got one we should talk about. So I

741
00:39:17,920 --> 00:39:20,559
actually was very close to adding this to my client

742
00:39:20,639 --> 00:39:23,159
card I ultimately talked myself off of it. I'm glad

743
00:39:23,159 --> 00:39:26,000
I did, because I thought you were right with your

744
00:39:26,000 --> 00:39:29,920
handicap of the Royals yesterday and just didn't work out.

745
00:39:30,000 --> 00:39:33,199
They you know, they didn't hit and they lost a

746
00:39:33,360 --> 00:39:37,360
close game three to two. I'm looking at this sort

747
00:39:37,400 --> 00:39:40,440
of game today again and I'm inclined to go back

748
00:39:40,519 --> 00:39:44,119
with the Royals. I don't dislike this matchup for them.

749
00:39:44,559 --> 00:39:46,920
I liked the matchup yesterday. I thought you did a

750
00:39:46,960 --> 00:39:49,760
great job pointing out the value on the Royals there. Again,

751
00:39:50,199 --> 00:39:52,559
it just didn't work out. You're still getting them. You're

752
00:39:52,559 --> 00:39:54,119
not getting the plus price, but you can still get

753
00:39:54,199 --> 00:39:56,679
them in that minus one oh five range. Are you

754
00:39:56,880 --> 00:39:58,280
running it back with the Royals here?

755
00:40:00,800 --> 00:40:03,039
Speaker 2: Yeah, the Royals yesterday were one of my teams. I

756
00:40:03,159 --> 00:40:05,360
ended up going two and three, but because we won

757
00:40:05,440 --> 00:40:08,519
the big five percent play, ended up profiting for clients,

758
00:40:09,440 --> 00:40:11,280
and of course a lot of people that's all they

759
00:40:11,280 --> 00:40:14,559
care about is the five percent plays. But yeah, the

760
00:40:14,639 --> 00:40:20,559
Royals going with Michael Lorenzen here against Mitch Ferris and

761
00:40:21,079 --> 00:40:23,840
the Lorenzen's the ready. Ferris is the lefty, and we're

762
00:40:23,880 --> 00:40:26,199
looking at Kansas City about a one to ten favorite

763
00:40:26,400 --> 00:40:29,320
slight favorite total of nine here, slightly to the over.

764
00:40:30,519 --> 00:40:33,840
When you take a look at the numbers from Michael

765
00:40:33,840 --> 00:40:37,320
Lorenzen four point seven o ERA four point seventy four,

766
00:40:37,400 --> 00:40:41,280
expected one point three to five whip. Other than his

767
00:40:41,440 --> 00:40:44,159
walk rate, which is in the seventy first percentile, basically

768
00:40:44,239 --> 00:40:47,320
everything else is either the average or worse. Sension eight

769
00:40:47,400 --> 00:40:51,920
percent ile, expected batting average seventeenth, expected DRA eighteenth. He's

770
00:40:51,960 --> 00:40:54,920
a an exander throw seven different pitches from eight to

771
00:40:55,000 --> 00:40:57,400
twenty two percent of the time. I do like that,

772
00:40:57,599 --> 00:40:59,760
and that's the only, basically the only reason at h

773
00:40:59,800 --> 00:41:02,559
three thirty three in his eleventh season, while he's still

774
00:41:02,639 --> 00:41:04,960
pitching in the major leagues. He's sort of like one

775
00:41:05,000 --> 00:41:09,639
of those veteran lefties you see that that continue to

776
00:41:10,400 --> 00:41:13,440
rack up innings, but he's a right hander. He's going

777
00:41:13,519 --> 00:41:16,920
up against Mitch Ferris, and he's not facing Vieler in

778
00:41:17,000 --> 00:41:20,039
this game, but he is facing lorens And and he's

779
00:41:20,039 --> 00:41:22,480
got a six point five two ERA five point three

780
00:41:22,519 --> 00:41:25,599
to three expected one point four or five whip. Obviously,

781
00:41:25,639 --> 00:41:27,960
he's only throwing nineteen innings, so there's not a whole

782
00:41:28,000 --> 00:41:29,880
lot out there, but his fastball velocity he's only in

783
00:41:29,920 --> 00:41:32,280
the fifth percentile, and he throws at half the time

784
00:41:32,360 --> 00:41:35,079
and he only has three pitches. So he's not he's

785
00:41:35,159 --> 00:41:38,559
not a guy and looking h to back, it's not

786
00:41:38,679 --> 00:41:42,599
as though he's he's a guy that we've been waiting

787
00:41:42,639 --> 00:41:45,239
on to come up here and play for the Angels.

788
00:41:45,239 --> 00:41:48,639
There they're pitching starting pitching, as we know, is the

789
00:41:48,760 --> 00:41:50,360
weakness of the team and it's been that way for

790
00:41:50,440 --> 00:41:55,239
a while. And he's he comes in, uh, he was

791
00:41:56,519 --> 00:42:00,679
in a trade with Atlanta. He comes in. He's basically

792
00:42:01,280 --> 00:42:05,039
entering the season. He's the twenty third ranked player in

793
00:42:05,159 --> 00:42:07,360
their minor league system. So he's not a guy that

794
00:42:07,960 --> 00:42:12,039
I'm really going out there to love on buttective. Do

795
00:42:12,199 --> 00:42:15,280
take a look at the Royals. They're in really good

796
00:42:15,320 --> 00:42:18,079
shape in the bullpen, nobody because they didn't have the lead,

797
00:42:18,119 --> 00:42:20,079
they fell behind early. They never really used any of

798
00:42:20,119 --> 00:42:23,280
their best arms in the bullpen, whereas the Angels had

799
00:42:23,320 --> 00:42:29,039
to use Jensen Garcia for me and Soth who is

800
00:42:29,840 --> 00:42:32,119
so Sath was a guy that came out in twenty

801
00:42:32,159 --> 00:42:34,719
one and we really thought good things about this guy.

802
00:42:34,760 --> 00:42:37,360
But he's never made it to the next level. But

803
00:42:37,719 --> 00:42:42,039
you know their bullpen right now, Jansen would would have

804
00:42:42,119 --> 00:42:44,280
to pitch back to back. They're actually not in that

805
00:42:44,400 --> 00:42:47,400
bad of a situation. I think the Royals are a

806
00:42:47,440 --> 00:42:50,159
little bit better. And from a starting pitcher standpoint, as

807
00:42:50,239 --> 00:42:54,400
much as Lorenzen's a EH kind of guy, I would

808
00:42:54,559 --> 00:42:56,880
prefer that side. So we're getting at Kansas City. They

809
00:42:56,960 --> 00:43:00,599
now have a I believe there exactly five hundred on

810
00:43:00,639 --> 00:43:02,480
the record for the season. One of the things I

811
00:43:02,639 --> 00:43:04,519
like is I talked yesterday about his teams trying to

812
00:43:04,519 --> 00:43:08,039
finish the season with a winning record. I prefer them here.

813
00:43:08,280 --> 00:43:09,880
I don't know if I'll get here, if I can

814
00:43:09,960 --> 00:43:13,159
get him as an underdog, you know, maybe plus one

815
00:43:13,199 --> 00:43:15,000
oh five, and there's some plus one on ones out

816
00:43:15,039 --> 00:43:16,679
there right now. But if I got him a plus

817
00:43:16,719 --> 00:43:18,840
one oh five, I may have a small play against.

818
00:43:18,840 --> 00:43:20,280
So yeah, I think that's probably the right side in

819
00:43:20,360 --> 00:43:20,679
this game.

820
00:43:22,639 --> 00:43:26,400
Speaker 1: Someone in the chat says, wait, wtf I paid for

821
00:43:26,559 --> 00:43:30,079
this pick? Why is it free? Adam, I haven't given

822
00:43:30,119 --> 00:43:31,519
out a pick on this show yet, so I'm not

823
00:43:31,639 --> 00:43:34,119
quite sure what you're talking about. I did say that

824
00:43:34,159 --> 00:43:36,280
I have a five percenter in the NFL game tonight,

825
00:43:36,760 --> 00:43:39,440
and if you know anything about the NFL, you know

826
00:43:39,559 --> 00:43:41,480
that it's going to be Seahawks Cardinals because it's the

827
00:43:41,519 --> 00:43:43,880
only game. That's all. I said. I have a five

828
00:43:43,920 --> 00:43:46,599
percent play in the NFL game. Haven't given out anything

829
00:43:46,639 --> 00:43:49,880
for free. That being said, I will likely give my

830
00:43:49,960 --> 00:43:52,800
Major League Baseball play out for free today because if listen,

831
00:43:52,840 --> 00:43:54,920
if I've got a five percenter up, I really don't.

832
00:43:55,199 --> 00:43:57,440
I don't like to have like multiple packages. The five

833
00:43:57,480 --> 00:44:00,440
percenters are expensive enough as it is, so I will

834
00:44:01,159 --> 00:44:04,559
probably give Major League Baseball out for free today, which

835
00:44:05,039 --> 00:44:07,079
I think I've got three in a row in MLB,

836
00:44:07,239 --> 00:44:10,280
so I think that's what I'll do my five percenter

837
00:44:10,320 --> 00:44:13,039
in the NFL will be what's for sale on my page.

838
00:44:13,320 --> 00:44:15,920
Take a look at the free pick section, because if

839
00:44:15,960 --> 00:44:19,960
I do play something in MLB, maybe it's the DBAX,

840
00:44:19,960 --> 00:44:23,239
which is my parlay leg here I will I I've

841
00:44:23,280 --> 00:44:25,119
decided I'm going to give that out for free, so

842
00:44:25,519 --> 00:44:27,480
just wanted to clear that up. Have not released any

843
00:44:27,559 --> 00:44:30,440
play that I've that I have up for sale for

844
00:44:30,519 --> 00:44:34,280
clients on this show yet today. As far as this plays,

845
00:44:34,639 --> 00:44:37,519
this game is concerned, I suppose that this would get

846
00:44:37,559 --> 00:44:39,840
my I don't know if it'll make my client card,

847
00:44:39,840 --> 00:44:44,400
but it's certainly certainly what I'm looking at. Mitch Ferriss

848
00:44:44,719 --> 00:44:49,119
called up directly from Double A the Angel Man. The

849
00:44:49,239 --> 00:44:52,159
Angels might need to go the Marlins route where they

850
00:44:52,280 --> 00:44:58,880
fire every one associated with pitching in the organization, because

851
00:44:59,079 --> 00:45:05,239
this this is not two thousand and four, Like, no

852
00:45:05,400 --> 00:45:08,440
one calls dudes up directly from Double A anymore. No

853
00:45:08,519 --> 00:45:11,360
one does it. It's just not even a thing anymore

854
00:45:11,440 --> 00:45:14,800
unless you're in the Angels organization. They're the only I

855
00:45:14,880 --> 00:45:18,079
mean it, it's maybe a thing that's very rare and

856
00:45:18,119 --> 00:45:22,360
would probably be done like out of complete necessity. Why

857
00:45:22,519 --> 00:45:25,519
the Angels are still doing this is I don't understand

858
00:45:26,480 --> 00:45:30,920
they've done it with like four guys Al Dequerre well

859
00:45:31,199 --> 00:45:35,079
recently Ald Harry, who pitched yesterday. He's at least been

860
00:45:35,159 --> 00:45:36,400
up and down a little bit, but he was at

861
00:45:36,440 --> 00:45:38,559
Double A all here. Suddenly he's back in the big leagues.

862
00:45:39,239 --> 00:45:44,840
Kashnawitz debuted straight from Double A, and it's like Triple

863
00:45:44,920 --> 00:45:49,039
A is good enough now, where like Brian helped me

864
00:45:49,079 --> 00:45:51,280
out here back in the day, I don't think the

865
00:45:51,800 --> 00:45:53,960
quality of Triple A was as good as it is now.

866
00:45:54,119 --> 00:45:57,119
I think you have guys that are hanging around much longer,

867
00:45:57,199 --> 00:45:59,840
extending their careers, willing to pay Triple A because the

868
00:46:00,000 --> 00:46:03,400
money is much better now. So you have far more

869
00:46:03,719 --> 00:46:07,719
MLB veterans that are willing to play until they're thirty

870
00:46:07,800 --> 00:46:10,440
five to thirty six, thirty seven years old at Triple

871
00:46:10,519 --> 00:46:12,679
A because they're actually making a few dollars. It's not

872
00:46:12,719 --> 00:46:15,920
an insult like it was years ago with the money.

873
00:46:16,440 --> 00:46:20,480
So the quality of player at Triple A isn't improved,

874
00:46:21,039 --> 00:46:23,880
and I think these guys are at a disadvantage pitchers

875
00:46:24,239 --> 00:46:25,679
when they don't get to go up to Triple A

876
00:46:25,800 --> 00:46:28,320
for at least like a month and figure out how

877
00:46:28,400 --> 00:46:31,760
to face real MLB players because you don't have those

878
00:46:31,800 --> 00:46:35,199
at Double A. Would you would weigh in on that,

879
00:46:35,440 --> 00:46:36,800
I'm curious to see your team.

880
00:46:37,280 --> 00:46:40,719
Speaker 2: Back when they had COVID, they really cut out most

881
00:46:40,840 --> 00:46:44,840
of minor league baseball, So anybody who is in Double

882
00:46:44,880 --> 00:46:47,519
A or lower that really pretty much set them back

883
00:46:47,559 --> 00:46:51,679
a whole year. And that's why since then you have

884
00:46:51,880 --> 00:46:54,440
seen more guys being called off from Triple A because,

885
00:46:54,480 --> 00:46:56,320
like you mentioned, a lot of guys in Triple A

886
00:46:56,360 --> 00:46:59,119
would be the guys that were, you know, the twenty six,

887
00:46:59,239 --> 00:47:02,199
twenty seventh, eighth, guys that are veterans that didn't quite

888
00:47:02,239 --> 00:47:03,760
make it. You see with the Red Sox all the time,

889
00:47:03,760 --> 00:47:06,440
because they've been they've been bringing it. They were trying

890
00:47:06,480 --> 00:47:08,840
to find a first basement all season long. They tried

891
00:47:08,840 --> 00:47:11,440
to put bring somebody up, bring it back down, bringing

892
00:47:11,480 --> 00:47:14,239
back up Hamilton's second base, same kind of thing. And

893
00:47:14,760 --> 00:47:16,960
so those guys are the guys usually keeping Triple A.

894
00:47:17,719 --> 00:47:21,400
Double A issue more of your prospects, and as of

895
00:47:21,559 --> 00:47:24,320
now people are really worried about burning out their prospects.

896
00:47:24,400 --> 00:47:28,880
So that's one of the reasons it's it's not the

897
00:47:28,960 --> 00:47:32,519
same as it was in the past, But yeah, it's

898
00:47:32,679 --> 00:47:36,119
the the Angels pitching staff is everything the Angels do.

899
00:47:36,280 --> 00:47:39,519
It's I'm I feel terrible for the Angels players because

900
00:47:39,559 --> 00:47:42,119
I love the ballpark, I love the fans there, and

901
00:47:42,639 --> 00:47:46,119
they just they're an afterthought already, uh being there with

902
00:47:46,199 --> 00:47:51,440
San Diego, San Francisco, in La in California. So yeah,

903
00:47:51,599 --> 00:47:55,400
that's They're not a team I'm looking to back on

904
00:47:55,440 --> 00:47:56,239
a regular basis.

905
00:47:57,360 --> 00:47:59,679
Speaker 1: So back to this because I'm not. I'm not done yet,

906
00:47:59,679 --> 00:48:02,559
because I just my mind continues to be blown as

907
00:48:02,599 --> 00:48:06,679
I look at numbers. Here, h Mitch Ferris at Double

908
00:48:06,719 --> 00:48:10,679
A Rocket City. The trash Panda's a great, a great mascot.

909
00:48:11,039 --> 00:48:13,920
By the way, The Rocket City trash Pandas down in

910
00:48:13,960 --> 00:48:18,280
Alabama are the Double A affiliate for the Los Angeles Angels.

911
00:48:18,760 --> 00:48:22,480
Mitch Ferris has spent almost his whole season there, twenty

912
00:48:22,559 --> 00:48:25,280
three starts. He's got a four point two seven ERA

913
00:48:26,000 --> 00:48:28,280
and a one point four to seven win. Does that

914
00:48:28,559 --> 00:48:32,440
sound like something to you that should just be promoted

915
00:48:32,599 --> 00:48:35,480
straight to the the big league level, because it certainly

916
00:48:35,559 --> 00:48:39,960
doesn't to me. And so let's see what's happened since

917
00:48:40,000 --> 00:48:44,440
he's gotten called up to the bigs. Shocker. His ERA

918
00:48:44,679 --> 00:48:49,360
is over six. He has six point five to two

919
00:48:49,480 --> 00:48:53,280
e ra in in four starts at the big league level.

920
00:48:54,280 --> 00:48:58,639
Like I again, I just don't. I know, they don't

921
00:48:58,719 --> 00:49:01,360
have much. So that's the other I know they don't

922
00:49:01,400 --> 00:49:04,119
have much down at Salt Lake. They had one of

923
00:49:04,159 --> 00:49:08,159
the worst pitching staffs of any team in my in

924
00:49:08,239 --> 00:49:10,679
the PCL this year. It's why they finished close to last.

925
00:49:11,320 --> 00:49:13,360
But there's still like at least a couple of veterans

926
00:49:13,400 --> 00:49:16,760
down there. I guess. I just like, on the one side,

927
00:49:16,800 --> 00:49:19,840
it's like, whatever, they're meaningless games, let's see, let's see

928
00:49:19,880 --> 00:49:22,679
what he can do against big league hitters. But this

929
00:49:22,880 --> 00:49:24,840
is just not a guy that, in my opinion, has

930
00:49:24,880 --> 00:49:27,719
shown enough to be like, yeah, let's trot him out

931
00:49:27,760 --> 00:49:30,880
there on the road or I'm sorry they're home here,

932
00:49:30,920 --> 00:49:32,400
but like, let's trot him out there against the big

933
00:49:32,480 --> 00:49:34,360
league lineup. So I would have to go to the

934
00:49:34,480 --> 00:49:36,920
Royals here, I think there, I almost I think this

935
00:49:37,079 --> 00:49:40,719
is arguably a better bet than yesterday's with the Royals.

936
00:49:41,400 --> 00:49:45,039
I do like them here. If I hadn't already locked

937
00:49:45,039 --> 00:49:47,639
in my parlay leg, this would have probably been in.

938
00:49:48,800 --> 00:49:53,840
Speaker 2: But keep in mind Paris only throws three pitches. He

939
00:49:54,000 --> 00:49:56,480
throws his fourth same forty eight percent of the time.

940
00:49:56,599 --> 00:49:59,159
It's three point one miles an hour lower than the

941
00:49:59,199 --> 00:50:02,320
league average for a left Rose has changed twenty seven

942
00:50:02,360 --> 00:50:06,320
percent of the time. That's over seven miles an hour

943
00:50:07,000 --> 00:50:09,639
less than what a normal left he throws it, and

944
00:50:09,719 --> 00:50:11,960
a slader twenty five percent of the time, which is

945
00:50:12,159 --> 00:50:15,440
three point seven miles lower. So he's a twenty four

946
00:50:15,559 --> 00:50:19,440
year old junk pitcher that only has three pitches. Yeah,

947
00:50:19,480 --> 00:50:22,880
if if Kennas City was throwing somebody other than Lorenzen,

948
00:50:23,159 --> 00:50:25,440
obviously we wouldn't be the only Lane one ten in

949
00:50:25,519 --> 00:50:29,239
this game. But I agree, I think kenn City is

950
00:50:29,280 --> 00:50:31,920
a good bet. We're getting late in the show. I'm

951
00:50:31,960 --> 00:50:35,599
gonna I'm gonna give my leg out. I'm gonna go

952
00:50:35,960 --> 00:50:41,039
to the Houston in the athletics game. Houston Astros another

953
00:50:41,199 --> 00:50:46,480
team I saw. I saw a meme somebody put out

954
00:50:46,480 --> 00:50:48,239
and I don't remember who it was, but it had

955
00:50:48,960 --> 00:50:50,920
like in the Army when you crawl on your stomach,

956
00:50:51,000 --> 00:50:53,599
you know, underneath those wires. They said that that was

957
00:50:53,679 --> 00:50:56,760
the Houston Astros and the Detroit Tigers and the Cincinnati Reds.

958
00:50:56,840 --> 00:51:01,079
This week just barely hanging on for dear life and

959
00:51:01,320 --> 00:51:04,519
Houston just is not playing well. Houston comes in about

960
00:51:04,559 --> 00:51:07,440
a one thirteen one fourteen favorite here total of nine

961
00:51:07,480 --> 00:51:11,480
and a half to the under, and Houston is going

962
00:51:11,639 --> 00:51:15,320
with Brammer belt. Does you know Houston is playing a

963
00:51:15,360 --> 00:51:19,079
lot better ball before Framervelle does decided to screw up

964
00:51:19,119 --> 00:51:21,960
his catcher that game of a week or two ago.

965
00:51:22,960 --> 00:51:25,239
He's got a three point seven five ERA on the season,

966
00:51:25,320 --> 00:51:27,639
three point eight one expected, one point two far whip.

967
00:51:28,039 --> 00:51:30,360
He has not pitched as well as he has in

968
00:51:30,440 --> 00:51:32,280
the past. Last year at two point nine to one ERA,

969
00:51:32,440 --> 00:51:35,760
won fifteen games. His ground ball rates ninety seven percent

970
00:51:35,840 --> 00:51:39,599
of barrow rate ninety six, but average X velocity eleven

971
00:51:39,679 --> 00:51:43,840
percent of heart hit rate eighth extension eighth. He's not

972
00:51:43,960 --> 00:51:47,760
a guy that I want right now, and in fact,

973
00:51:47,920 --> 00:51:50,400
that's a lot of pressure on him because he's already

974
00:51:50,480 --> 00:51:52,519
in the doghouse from Houston. He's going to be a

975
00:51:52,599 --> 00:51:57,639
free agent, and he's not a guy I would trust

976
00:51:57,800 --> 00:51:59,960
being on them out here now. I get JT. Ginn,

977
00:52:00,440 --> 00:52:03,320
and I know you've been more of a fan than

978
00:52:03,320 --> 00:52:05,719
a lot of people have, but it's starting to show

979
00:52:06,239 --> 00:52:08,719
a lot of his stats are starting to show that

980
00:52:08,880 --> 00:52:10,920
maybe he's he's got a future. He's got a four

981
00:52:10,960 --> 00:52:14,000
point five to SEVENTYRA three point seven zero expected one

982
00:52:14,039 --> 00:52:16,440
point three to two whip still a little bit high,

983
00:52:16,519 --> 00:52:21,320
but most of his stackass page shows him in the red.

984
00:52:22,039 --> 00:52:24,519
He does struggle with the barrel rate seventeen percentile, a

985
00:52:24,559 --> 00:52:28,679
hard hit rate sixteenth. But he's a major ground ball pitcher,

986
00:52:28,760 --> 00:52:32,440
which really means a lot in this ballpark nineteth percentile.

987
00:52:32,519 --> 00:52:36,719
There stenches seventy seventh. Shes give me seventy second, with

988
00:52:36,960 --> 00:52:41,159
rate seventy fourth, strikeout rate seventy fourth. He's turning into

989
00:52:41,480 --> 00:52:44,639
a pretty decent pitcher for a team in Oakland or

990
00:52:44,760 --> 00:52:48,719
Sacramento this year or Vegas in twenty twenty eight. That

991
00:52:49,119 --> 00:52:52,840
is showing that there's some advantages to him and he

992
00:52:52,960 --> 00:52:55,199
may be a guy that ends up in this rotation

993
00:52:55,360 --> 00:52:58,119
for a while. The Athletics, you take a look at

994
00:52:58,159 --> 00:53:02,159
their hitters, they're hitting very well well right now. Sworderstrom

995
00:53:02,199 --> 00:53:05,840
has been great fifty two the last two weeks. Everybody

996
00:53:05,920 --> 00:53:08,920
on the team's decent. They haven't been like Houston. Houston.

997
00:53:09,320 --> 00:53:11,480
You take a look at their hitters, they've really struggled.

998
00:53:11,880 --> 00:53:15,840
Bullpen arms look pretty good for for the A's here.

999
00:53:15,960 --> 00:53:18,000
If you take a look at the Houston offense, the

1000
00:53:18,079 --> 00:53:20,960
only guy they have in the top one forty is

1001
00:53:21,079 --> 00:53:23,119
Jeremy Pina and he's been hurt the last three days,

1002
00:53:24,320 --> 00:53:26,960
so the rest of the guys have really struggled. They've

1003
00:53:27,000 --> 00:53:31,559
got Paratus has done nothing three l six, Walker three fourteen,

1004
00:53:32,039 --> 00:53:34,719
Sanchez three eighty six. He struggled the entire time he's

1005
00:53:34,760 --> 00:53:37,559
been with Houston. And we've got Jake Myers, who was

1006
00:53:37,639 --> 00:53:39,480
really hot a while back, but now he's at three

1007
00:53:39,599 --> 00:53:42,480
forty three. And Zach Cole, who they brought up, is

1008
00:53:42,519 --> 00:53:45,719
a three seven. So Houston is not hitting and they're

1009
00:53:45,719 --> 00:53:47,639
playing a guy who's pitching very well right now when

1010
00:53:47,639 --> 00:53:50,639
you're able to catch. The Athletics is a slight underdog

1011
00:53:50,719 --> 00:53:55,440
in this game. I'm going to play the Athletics. Let's

1012
00:53:55,480 --> 00:53:59,199
just put him at plus one hundred. That'll be my parlay.

1013
00:53:59,599 --> 00:54:03,440
We're gonna go with the Athletics plus one hundred here

1014
00:54:03,519 --> 00:54:07,920
against Houston, and they could finally put the Astros out

1015
00:54:07,960 --> 00:54:11,480
of their misery for a good point of this last

1016
00:54:11,960 --> 00:54:13,679
few wakes where Houston has been terrible.

1017
00:54:16,360 --> 00:54:19,280
Speaker 1: Rule of thumb, if the Mets trade away one of

1018
00:54:19,320 --> 00:54:21,719
their high draft picks. They always end up being good.

1019
00:54:22,159 --> 00:54:24,000
You can pretty much set your watch to it that

1020
00:54:24,519 --> 00:54:27,440
organization has a lot of bad luck, and they may

1021
00:54:27,559 --> 00:54:29,400
be getting more in the coming days when they blow

1022
00:54:29,480 --> 00:54:32,519
the wild card to miss the playoffs. But the list

1023
00:54:32,880 --> 00:54:36,159
of top prospects that the Mets have traded away that

1024
00:54:36,719 --> 00:54:39,519
ended up being awesome in their next stop is very,

1025
00:54:39,679 --> 00:54:43,079
very long. JT. Gin I have a feeling as the

1026
00:54:43,199 --> 00:54:45,559
years go on, is going to be on that list

1027
00:54:45,679 --> 00:54:48,320
if he isn't already, because of course he was the

1028
00:54:48,360 --> 00:54:51,159
second rounder for the Mets. I forget what trade they

1029
00:54:51,639 --> 00:54:54,360
maybe it was Blackburn or one of the they've traded

1030
00:54:54,360 --> 00:54:57,159
with the Aids a couple of times. Ship him over there.

1031
00:54:57,559 --> 00:54:59,400
He's probably going to be in their rotation for a

1032
00:54:59,440 --> 00:55:01,880
couple of years. And like you said, Brian, I've kind

1033
00:55:01,920 --> 00:55:04,440
of been high on him through the you know did

1034
00:55:04,519 --> 00:55:07,639
during his time in the minors, and he's he's someone

1035
00:55:07,760 --> 00:55:10,039
this is another guy that is on my list of

1036
00:55:10,159 --> 00:55:14,000
guys watched them in the offseason. I have a big red,

1037
00:55:14,119 --> 00:55:16,639
you know, big star next to JT. Gin because he's

1038
00:55:16,679 --> 00:55:19,719
someone that I'm going to be looking toward to next season.

1039
00:55:19,880 --> 00:55:22,880
As like maybe making the jump to be a guy

1040
00:55:22,960 --> 00:55:27,199
that's you know, locking down a rotation spot. But twenty

1041
00:55:27,320 --> 00:55:31,280
I mean, I have no problem with him here. I again,

1042
00:55:31,480 --> 00:55:35,159
I think, you know, I think pitching for this team

1043
00:55:35,519 --> 00:55:38,480
is gonna be tough. Sometimes pitching in this ballpark can

1044
00:55:38,559 --> 00:55:41,840
be difficult. But you know, so far three starts in

1045
00:55:41,840 --> 00:55:43,920
the month of September, one point seven to six CRA

1046
00:55:45,199 --> 00:55:47,679
two eleven batting average against one point one to one whip.

1047
00:55:49,159 --> 00:55:51,480
I like him, so yeah. I've never been a big

1048
00:55:51,840 --> 00:55:55,599
Fraanbervaldez guy. I still think that this point. I mean,

1049
00:55:56,519 --> 00:55:59,800
if there was ever any animosity in that locker room

1050
00:56:00,000 --> 00:56:03,480
for that and now they're losing, like it might be

1051
00:56:03,920 --> 00:56:06,679
the Astros might be cooked here after those two days.

1052
00:56:06,840 --> 00:56:09,360
I don't hate that angle at all. I know they

1053
00:56:09,400 --> 00:56:11,159
have a lot to play for, but then this, this

1054
00:56:11,360 --> 00:56:14,320
team just hasn't gone in there, and I kind of

1055
00:56:14,599 --> 00:56:18,360
this was I talked about this back in June, back

1056
00:56:18,400 --> 00:56:21,400
around the All Star break, I said, the odd team

1057
00:56:21,480 --> 00:56:24,159
out I think in the Al West is probably gonna

1058
00:56:24,159 --> 00:56:26,039
be the Astros. Now. At the time, I thought the

1059
00:56:26,159 --> 00:56:28,639
Rangers might actually still make the playoffs, but like I

1060
00:56:28,719 --> 00:56:30,679
didn't know the Guardians were gonna come from the clouds

1061
00:56:30,719 --> 00:56:34,760
and win, you know, every game they played, But it's

1062
00:56:34,840 --> 00:56:37,360
kind of played out that way, and I could kind

1063
00:56:37,400 --> 00:56:39,400
of I think that's kind of how I look at

1064
00:56:39,440 --> 00:56:43,079
it when you hear so yeah, I and Colin Gregory,

1065
00:56:43,119 --> 00:56:45,000
I believe, is an Astros fan, and he says Astros

1066
00:56:45,039 --> 00:56:49,880
are dead, Capital Dead. So yeah, I'm with you on

1067
00:56:49,960 --> 00:56:51,639
the a's here. I think it's a good call.

1068
00:56:52,360 --> 00:56:55,559
Speaker 2: I do want to point out we've on my trustee

1069
00:56:55,840 --> 00:56:59,360
Odds logic page, which is our line service at wager Talk,

1070
00:57:00,440 --> 00:57:03,119
really really good. There's a lot of guys in the

1071
00:57:03,199 --> 00:57:05,119
industry that I followed that had nothing to do with

1072
00:57:05,199 --> 00:57:08,199
wager Talk. They all rave about this line service. So

1073
00:57:08,320 --> 00:57:10,440
make sure you get it, either the free version or

1074
00:57:10,559 --> 00:57:12,840
the paid version. It's getting better all the time. They're

1075
00:57:12,840 --> 00:57:15,960
gonna have prop they're gonna have props and a lot

1076
00:57:16,039 --> 00:57:18,199
of things going on there in the back that really

1077
00:57:18,480 --> 00:57:21,599
makes us proud. Troy Melton they have is listed as

1078
00:57:21,679 --> 00:57:24,199
a starter for Detroit. That makes a lot of sense.

1079
00:57:24,559 --> 00:57:28,400
I like him. He's their fifth fifth rank prospect in

1080
00:57:28,440 --> 00:57:31,599
the minors. He's alridy. He threw twenty one pitches on Saturday,

1081
00:57:31,679 --> 00:57:33,639
so he's had plenty of time off. He is going

1082
00:57:33,719 --> 00:57:36,559
to get the start here for Detroit. And now we're

1083
00:57:36,599 --> 00:57:40,920
starting to see some line movements because of that money's

1084
00:57:40,960 --> 00:57:43,679
coming in a little bit on Detroit. Here you can

1085
00:57:43,760 --> 00:57:46,239
get Cleveland now as low as A one fifty seven

1086
00:57:46,360 --> 00:57:48,679
just opened up a circa here in Vegas, so they're

1087
00:57:48,719 --> 00:57:53,159
delayed to updated. So Melton being in for Detroit is

1088
00:57:53,440 --> 00:57:56,280
better for Detroit in that game. And we talked about

1089
00:57:56,440 --> 00:58:01,639
the value. If you got more, uh cahonas that I've got,

1090
00:58:01,920 --> 00:58:04,039
then Detroit may not be a bad bet. But I'm

1091
00:58:04,039 --> 00:58:04,719
not going to bet them.

1092
00:58:06,320 --> 00:58:08,519
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean Detroit money had to come in at

1093
00:58:08,599 --> 00:58:12,679
some point. That price was was obnoxious. But again, even

1094
00:58:12,880 --> 00:58:16,199
even at a good price, I'll triple down on what

1095
00:58:16,239 --> 00:58:18,719
I've said all week. And I cannot be the Tigers

1096
00:58:19,400 --> 00:58:21,840
until something good happens for them. And and Cody, don't

1097
00:58:21,840 --> 00:58:24,840
worry about that. Cody says again, Adam, sorry, I heard

1098
00:58:24,880 --> 00:58:28,039
you wrong around some loud work equipment at work. I

1099
00:58:28,239 --> 00:58:30,800
just wanted to make sure that other people didn't think

1100
00:58:31,440 --> 00:58:33,480
that I that I gave something out that I didn't

1101
00:58:33,679 --> 00:58:36,559
because my one of my favorite so so Brian and

1102
00:58:36,639 --> 00:58:39,239
you can relate to this, Uh you know, when we

1103
00:58:39,400 --> 00:58:42,360
lose a five percenter, there are people that you know,

1104
00:58:42,679 --> 00:58:44,760
people are not happy about it. They're big plays and

1105
00:58:45,000 --> 00:58:47,840
like you were saying that you went whatever two and

1106
00:58:47,920 --> 00:58:51,119
three yesterday. But if if your five percenter wins, typically

1107
00:58:51,159 --> 00:58:53,440
people are happy, that's the one they want. So my

1108
00:58:53,599 --> 00:58:57,280
favorite thing I I this was maybe two years ago.

1109
00:58:57,440 --> 00:58:59,800
I had a five percenter in like it was like

1110
00:58:59,800 --> 00:59:02,119
a standalone football game, similar to tonight. I think it

1111
00:59:02,199 --> 00:59:06,119
was like Monday night football or something. I won, and

1112
00:59:06,400 --> 00:59:10,239
someone the next day was mad at me because they said,

1113
00:59:11,119 --> 00:59:14,559
they said, I can't believe you. I thought the way

1114
00:59:14,639 --> 00:59:16,400
you they are, like, the way you bet, I couldn't.

1115
00:59:17,519 --> 00:59:19,480
I never thought in the world thought you wouldn't have

1116
00:59:19,519 --> 00:59:21,400
been on the other side. So I bet the other side.

1117
00:59:21,559 --> 00:59:23,519
So I was like, wait a minute, you didn't buy

1118
00:59:23,559 --> 00:59:26,480
the play. You guessed that what I was gonna put out.

1119
00:59:27,280 --> 00:59:31,679
You guessed wrong. My play won, and you're upset with me.

1120
00:59:32,079 --> 00:59:34,039
I said, how is that like? But that's kind of

1121
00:59:34,280 --> 00:59:36,960
Brian Will. We'll concur this is the type of stuff

1122
00:59:37,000 --> 00:59:39,480
we deal with here, Like, you know, it is what

1123
00:59:39,559 --> 00:59:42,280
it is. I wouldn't want it any other way. Let's

1124
00:59:42,280 --> 00:59:44,559
put it that much. Put it that way, go go ahead.

1125
00:59:44,559 --> 00:59:47,800
Speaker 2: I just got a quick quick story. Years This is

1126
00:59:48,119 --> 00:59:52,599
as probably fifteen years ago. I was on a different

1127
00:59:52,639 --> 00:59:55,960
website and we hadn't come around with this yet, but

1128
00:59:56,679 --> 00:59:59,079
I had. I was on a ten game winning streak,

1129
00:59:59,119 --> 01:00:00,840
and I had a guy call me in the office.

1130
01:00:01,559 --> 01:00:03,960
This was back when I used to answer my own phone.

1131
01:00:04,119 --> 01:00:06,639
And he says, yes, it must be pretty confident about

1132
01:00:06,639 --> 01:00:08,920
today's play. You won ten straight And I said, well, yeah,

1133
01:00:08,960 --> 01:00:12,480
I won ten straight. I said, but that's good. I'm happy.

1134
01:00:13,039 --> 01:00:15,199
But that does not mean today's play is better than

1135
01:00:15,239 --> 01:00:18,280
anything else. It says, it's the same strength as the

1136
01:00:18,360 --> 01:00:20,280
last time I gave out, and he goes, well, you

1137
01:00:20,400 --> 01:00:22,039
came out ten in a row. How could you not be?

1138
01:00:22,280 --> 01:00:24,920
And he wouldn't buy my play because I wasn't overly excited.

1139
01:00:25,599 --> 01:00:28,320
Now I've been in this for forty five years. I

1140
01:00:28,400 --> 01:00:31,199
don't get excited about one play if it's a five

1141
01:00:31,199 --> 01:00:32,880
percent or sure, I want to win, And of course

1142
01:00:32,880 --> 01:00:35,639
it's important. That's five percent of your bankroll if you're

1143
01:00:35,639 --> 01:00:37,559
betting that. I don't even bet that. I bet one

1144
01:00:37,599 --> 01:00:41,719
in two percent of my bankroll on my ends. So yeah,

1145
01:00:41,880 --> 01:00:43,920
it's we want to win all the big ones. But

1146
01:00:44,679 --> 01:00:47,199
we're in this to grind. We're in this for every

1147
01:00:47,440 --> 01:00:51,000
people who Our main focus is guys who buy our season.

1148
01:00:51,159 --> 01:00:53,960
We want to have a winning record for them. Yes,

1149
01:00:54,039 --> 01:00:56,000
the guys that buy individual there's a whole lot more

1150
01:00:56,039 --> 01:00:58,079
of them. We try to win for them too. But

1151
01:00:58,559 --> 01:01:00,719
we're not going to win every game. It's just not

1152
01:01:01,000 --> 01:01:02,880
It's not possible. And we try to give you as

1153
01:01:02,920 --> 01:01:05,639
many opinions as we can on every game we play,

1154
01:01:06,119 --> 01:01:07,800
and a lot of times people say, oh, you were

1155
01:01:07,800 --> 01:01:10,000
wrong in this game. I says, well, I didn't play

1156
01:01:10,079 --> 01:01:12,000
that game. This is about you got elected on the show.

1157
01:01:12,039 --> 01:01:13,880
I said, yeah, I got people could plain if you

1158
01:01:13,960 --> 01:01:16,559
don't give them an opinion. But then when you give

1159
01:01:16,599 --> 01:01:20,320
an opinion, to loses. So we're in a no win situation.

1160
01:01:20,599 --> 01:01:21,280
Just get that in mind.

1161
01:01:21,719 --> 01:01:24,400
Speaker 1: But here's here's why. I mean. We're winning in the

1162
01:01:24,440 --> 01:01:25,920
fact that we get to do this for a living.

1163
01:01:26,159 --> 01:01:28,840
And I always say that it is it is. I

1164
01:01:28,920 --> 01:01:32,639
would much rather someone tell me I suck after a

1165
01:01:32,719 --> 01:01:35,599
five percent loss, then like, put a suit and tie

1166
01:01:35,639 --> 01:01:37,239
on and go to work. We're to go to a

1167
01:01:37,320 --> 01:01:40,000
real job every day. I still say I've been doing

1168
01:01:40,039 --> 01:01:44,119
this for god, Oh, like this is my only job

1169
01:01:44,239 --> 01:01:48,000
for over a decade. And I still say real job

1170
01:01:48,039 --> 01:01:50,079
because I just don't even feel like this is actual work.

1171
01:01:50,519 --> 01:01:53,599
But even though my if you ask Mallory, all I

1172
01:01:53,679 --> 01:01:56,039
do is work because it's like I'm either looking at

1173
01:01:56,079 --> 01:01:59,280
a screen watching a game, but it's like it's not work.

1174
01:01:59,519 --> 01:02:01,679
This is this is I'd probably be doing this if

1175
01:02:01,719 --> 01:02:03,320
I was at What's Part. It's the reason I don't

1176
01:02:03,320 --> 01:02:05,239
have a real job anymore, Brian, because when I was

1177
01:02:05,360 --> 01:02:08,599
at real jobs, I was doing this on the clock

1178
01:02:08,800 --> 01:02:11,039
at work, and they're like, you gotta go. You can't

1179
01:02:11,119 --> 01:02:14,079
just have the ODDS screen up on your you know,

1180
01:02:14,519 --> 01:02:16,239
your screen all day. You're supposed to be here doing

1181
01:02:16,320 --> 01:02:20,079
real work. So it's anyway, don't worry about that. I

1182
01:02:20,239 --> 01:02:22,480
just want to make sure someone didn't think I gave

1183
01:02:22,920 --> 01:02:25,559
the playout because I didn't. And Irish John, yeah, I

1184
01:02:25,679 --> 01:02:30,320
still leaned Detroit over even with money coming in. Still

1185
01:02:30,480 --> 01:02:32,519
I like my handicap there. So if you miss that.

1186
01:02:33,039 --> 01:02:35,800
As always, we are up on demand on the Wager

1187
01:02:35,880 --> 01:02:38,719
Talk YouTube channel. Head on over there, watch the replay,

1188
01:02:39,119 --> 01:02:41,000
drop us a comment. If you miss something, you can

1189
01:02:41,039 --> 01:02:44,199
always go back. But we did talk about Guardians Tigers

1190
01:02:44,280 --> 01:02:46,599
in depth and I'll wrap it up with the parlay

1191
01:02:46,920 --> 01:02:50,480
two teamer today just two of us. Tokyo Brandon will

1192
01:02:50,559 --> 01:02:54,320
be back tomorrow, so we'll have the whole crew back

1193
01:02:54,360 --> 01:02:56,920
for the final show of the regular season. But the

1194
01:02:57,000 --> 01:03:00,440
two teamer today Diamondbacks plus one and a half money

1195
01:03:00,519 --> 01:03:04,440
line plus two eighty one. Hopefully we haven't We haven't

1196
01:03:04,519 --> 01:03:07,159
hit one yet this week, so hopefully this is it,

1197
01:03:07,599 --> 01:03:10,000
and either way we'll see you guys dining and tomorrow.

1198
01:03:10,039 --> 01:03:11,960
Have a good night everyone, or have a good day everyone.

1199
01:03:12,079 --> 01:03:14,400
Cash all your tickets and we'll see you in the morning.