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Speaker 1: Welcome to Wager You talked today, the gold standard of

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sports betting shows, where we talked the talk and walk

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the walk. Football Friday, boys and girls. We got an

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incredible lineup to get you ready for the weekend. Janni

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the Greek leads us off with the Steam Report, Teddy Covers,

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gonna cover Oklahoma and Alabama and Seahawks and the Rams,

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and we're gonna do of course, sell me. Marco's gonna

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break down Chiefs versus Broncos, Notre Dame Pitt and he's

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gonna bring us his wings Sauce of the week. Dan

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and I are gonna wrap things up with our Pick

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five Super Contest segment, and we got some free plays

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for everybody. Like I told Dan, nothing gets the weekend

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started like a Brooklyn Nets player.

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Speaker 2: Prop.

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Speaker 1: Don't worry, I got you covered, all right. Hit that

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like button and let's bring in Yanni, Yanni. It's Friday

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every sport. Basically, it's going to baseball. Let's get started.

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It's football Friday. Let's start with some college football. Let's

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start with college foot.

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Speaker 3: Coming off a nice little winning day will always take that.

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Of course, good two good football games. I mean one's

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a really Chalky one. But still we're seeing good action.

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Let me pull up the latest.

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Speaker 4: That we have.

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Speaker 2: In this one.

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Speaker 3: Hold on all right, Louisville, Clemson under money.

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Speaker 4: The Actually it looks if you look.

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Speaker 3: At like those percentage sites that tell you where the

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action is, it's going to show you that over is

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where the public money is. I bet you it's going

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to show you six out of ten seventy percent on

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the over. Here's what I can tell you looking right

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now in the back end of a book that has

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a lot of recreational players, they're getting under money from

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the recreational betters. They got under money from the sharp

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betters at fifty one and a half. Also, so you

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have a situation where you have the public and the

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sharps on the under. That's why you're looking at fifty

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at some of these Sharper books, remember.

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Speaker 4: Fifty to fifty one.

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Speaker 3: Those are some key totals and for the book to

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come down that rest assured. You're getting a lot of

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pressure from both sides. Because if this was two way

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action where you had so much over money from the public,

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sharps come in take the under fifty one and a half.

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That would help balance it out. That's not what you're seeing.

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You're seeing pressure on that under. So I think that's

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public and Sharps on the same side. And then Louisville

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also Louisville getting the money from the recreational betters. And

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when you look at Louisville right now, they're ranked like

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in the top twenty, all right, they're barely in my

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top thirty power rating wise.

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Speaker 4: Why because they've had.

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Speaker 3: The sixty eighth toughest almost the seventieth toughest schedule and

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all of college football. So Louisville's had a very easy

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strength of schedule, and I think that's why you're seeing

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that three getting picked off.

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Speaker 4: Like whenever it's gone to three, it opened three.

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Speaker 3: And a half, Sharps took the three and a half

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went to three, Piggybackers took the three that pushed it

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to two and a half. But you're getting two and

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a half from the public on Louisville. Anytime a book

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is going to three, that's getting picked off. So on

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the on the side, you have a difference of opinion

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between the sharps and the public. Sharp's on the dog,

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public on the favor, but both are on the under.

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Oregon Minnesota. Now, this is the difference of opinion on

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the total. Sharps went under when this line opened up.

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Public is going over obviously low total.

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Speaker 4: Oregon.

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Speaker 3: They're gonna bet it over even though they haven't been,

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you know, that over team they have been historically. Also,

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line has moved up in favor of Oregon. We saw

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some TakeBack at twenty six. You're gonna see that a

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lot when the line moves significantly. We'll talk about that

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in college basketball. Don't let that really scare you. With

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that said again, Oregon's gonna get the money. They're not

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attracting any Minnesota action, except, like I said, from the

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Sharps when it got as high as twenty six. But yeah,

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Sin it's one of those games that, you know, not

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not a sexy game, high spread, load total, you know,

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nothing to get excited about. But yeah, that's what That's

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what we got in the college football today.

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Speaker 1: All Right, Anything interesting going on with NFL that we

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need to be aware.

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Speaker 3: Of, uh, the little because it's all about Saturday college

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football so far, you know, other than Purdy now saying

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he's starting in San Francisco and that three now got juice,

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It already got bet the look ahead was one that

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got bet up now got the three. Also, there was

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a ton of public money already fading Arizona and bet

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in San Francisco. So it'll be interesting to see how

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long it takes before they get the three and a half,

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because it's gonna be it's the later afternoon game also,

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so it's gonna be a ton of one sided action.

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And here's what I wanted to talk about real quickly

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in the NFL since you brought it up. These these

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lines that moved like that, the Chargers line, the San

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Francisco line, they all went from like pit minus one

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or even plus one look ahead to minus three key

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number of three, all because of what happened on Sunday.

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That's a lot of recency bias factored into those threes

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that you're seeing on the NFL board for Sunday. Doesn't

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mean the dog's gonna cover, but you are now paying

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a premium to back those favorites.

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Speaker 4: So if you're gonna lay that three, have.

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Speaker 3: Some conviction because that look ahead was they were the

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dog or at a pick them. And again the adjustment

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may be warranted, but it's a little significant when.

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Speaker 4: You get up to that key number of three.

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Speaker 1: All right, we'll talk a little NBA. We have a

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ton of NBA games tonight, So where's the money coming in?

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On NBA?

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Speaker 3: I narrated it down the three sides that are legit

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five oh four, Knicks minus four and a half and

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five five ten, Minnesota minus eleven and five twelve, New

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Orleans plus ten and a half and plus ten. I'm

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trying because again there's so all the lines move. Every

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single game, the line's gonna move. My goal with the

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morning segment is to share those games that I think

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are are going to track the most betting action, to

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kind of let the betters know what's going on in

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those games or those that are either getting resistance so

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I could share that or not getting resistance like this

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one continues to get bet And the goal is that

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you should already have your leans and if you agree

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on it, they need to get some confirmation. If you disagree,

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you know, take a step back and look again. But

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next Minnesota, New Orleans. Real quickly, college basketball, here's what

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you got to look at in college basketball, guys, lines

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are going to move in both directions this early on

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because of the fact they just not efficient. You talked

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to all bookmakers are going to tell you this is

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a very difficult month for them to book, and nothing

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reflects that more than the line movements. When you get

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line movements like you're seeing in college basketball, it's usually

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because players are out. Weather related like those are big

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factors that moved the lines. In this case, this early

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on in college basketball, it's the case of the wise

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guys saying no, no, no, your numbers off. It's not even

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information base, it's just that a difference of opinion in

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power ratings. So when the line moves significantly, don't be

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surprised to see two way action because that's all we're

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getting in the month over November. And here let me explain.

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Start off eight forty two.

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Speaker 2: Duke.

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Speaker 3: Now you know, Duke's gonna get money from the public, right,

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they're gonna get bed on later in the day, what

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did the wise guys do. They come out and they

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lay thirty two and a half.

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Speaker 4: That was the look ahead.

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Speaker 3: Within minutes it got the thirty six. That didn't matter.

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They lay thirty six, thirty seven. Then all the piggybackers

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dive on top and it got the highest thirty nine.

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That's when you saw take back on Indiana State. So

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now they're laying Duke and taking back Indiana State. At

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thirty nine, you need to decide was Duke a dummy

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because those limits on overnights, those limits early before the

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off screens open up, those are low. For a couple

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nickel betts, you could get that Duke line from thirty

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two up to thirty nine. So if it's gonna cost

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me a couple of dimes to get it up to

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thirty nine, and now I could put ten x that

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at plus thirty nine, that may be my my real

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sign that I like, there's a lot of that going on.

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Speaker 4: And that's the beauty of monitoring line movements because.

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Speaker 3: We saw it with I'll be quick eight forty four

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Kentucky from thirty four all the way up to minus

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thirty seven.

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Speaker 4: But at thirty nine, Eastern Illinois.

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Speaker 3: Got bet same thing, Michigan minus six, seven, seven and

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a half eight. The piggybackers laid the eight, not the

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betting syndicates, and then at nine and a half they

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came in and took TCU. They came in and took

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TCU at plus nine y because they got minus six

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over here, minus seven over here, plus nine and a

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half over here with olmost very little risk or smaller

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bet here, bigger bet there. Like there's a lot going

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on that we have to try to decipher. Eight seventy

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six Saint Mary same thing from eleven and a half

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up to fourteen and a half when North Texas took

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money at plus sixteen eight eight three, Gonzaga from minus

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eleven to minus thirteen and a half, Arizona State took

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money at plus fifteen plus fourteen and a half. But

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there are two signs where we didn't see any resistance,

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and that's eight sixty two to Pole plus six plus

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five and a half and eight eighty eight Hawaii minus

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fourteen and fifteen. So no resistance on the Pole, on

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Hawaiian resistance on Duke Kentucky, Michigan, Saint Mary's and Gonzaga.

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And what are those five teams have in common. They

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all are gonna attract public money at the window tonight

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because they are all high profile, elite programs that are

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heavily favored. That's that's gonna happen every single day during

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the month of November, a little lesson in December, little

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less in January, almost none in February, and then we

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get the march madness.

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Speaker 1: They're doing the same thing with Carlos protest. I'm literally

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watching it happen all morning, like money comes in on Edward.

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Someone asked me about it. I said, just wait, they're

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just trying to get the best of Carlos exactly. Sure enough,

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money just start coming in on protests.

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Speaker 4: You see it every day. Andy, you watched this enough,

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It's like, you know what's gonna happen.

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Speaker 1: Yes, yes, so you mentioned there's a little bit of hockey.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, we swept the board. Sharp swept the board yesterday.

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Subscribers went to and oh here's what we got today.

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All totals, all totals, and I like them. They're opposite

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the public on all of these. Again not heavy public action,

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but the few bets I did see are opposite. Twenty

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four Vancouver Carolina over six and a half even money,

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Philly Saint Louis under five and a half even money,

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and then Islanders and Washington over six and a half

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even money. So all of these they want to even

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money or plus, thinking it's a coin flip at worst,

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over six and a half, Vancouver, Carolina under five and

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a half, Philly Saint Louis over six and a half

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Islanders in Washington. Dang, we bring a lot of information

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for these guys in a very short time.

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Speaker 1: Great stuff. I did not sweep the board in NHL.

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I lost my player prop. I had a goalie over saves.

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It's fly it over, It's great. He leaves that the

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second period ends and then he just takes himself out

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of the game.

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Speaker 4: That's the worst.

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Speaker 1: What are you doing? Get out there, make a few

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more saves.

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Speaker 5: Well.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, in UFC, I don't know if anything's changed here.

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Darry USh did misweight, so now I'm gonna probably be

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on Saint Denis in some form or fashion. I see

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a ton of money coming in on Malcolm well Maker

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over his new opponent, and a ton of money coming

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in on Cline over Angie Hill. Anything change for you?

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Speaker 3: No, And I like them both. I mean again, the

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line's just gotten way out of hand. But I don't

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see any value in either of those dogs. But one

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favorite that did get my attention, and I agree with you.

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I'm on Darry Uche.

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Speaker 4: It's no secret I.

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Speaker 3: Gave it out even on bet on It the USC

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show I did like a week and a half ago.

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I got good line value, a little bit of closing

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line value, but the way they match up when I

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saw them stand next to each other, Denise just she's

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just too big for dary USh, I think, just too

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much power. We'll see how that happens. But the one

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favorite that caught my attention and got my money yesterday

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was Bo Nickel in his.

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Speaker 4: Fight with Vieira. And here's the reason for that.

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Speaker 3: Andy, had he not looked the way he did against

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the Ridder, who we now know is legit, had he

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not lost to Brendan Allen, he'd be fighting for a title.

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Now we know obviously that was an ugly look quitting

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against Brendan Allen, but still that loss isn't as bad.

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Speaker 6: Now.

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Speaker 3: With that said, had Bo Nickel not fought the Ridder,

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what would this line be. Had he not lost the

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decision even against the Ridder controversial, what would this line

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be Anything other than that result, this line would be

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much different. I think this line is a big reaction

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to that one single result. I don't think it's warranted

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because it's a they fought for less than ten minutes,

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Like anything can happen in a ten minute fight. I

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think there's a lot of randomness. Not saying Nickel would

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beat the ridder now, but just saying that that big

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line movement, the adjustment. Let's not forget he was like

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a minus thousand favorite in that fight, eight hundred whatever

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he was.

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Speaker 1: He lost, But now.

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Speaker 3: You're getting him at a huge discount against an older

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Vieira who's coming off a win against Gore.

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Speaker 4: And that's the only reason this price is this low.

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His best years are behind them. I like Nickel there, love.

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Speaker 1: It, love it. It's a jim packed weekend. I can

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only imagine what you have. But wager talk, let us

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know what you got.

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Speaker 3: UFC packages up there, eight bets in there already with

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a five percent, so with that package is good sitting there.

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College football won ten of twelve weeks. I'm coming off

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a losing week, but already four and oho in college football.

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This week we're gonna progress towards our mean of being

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number one in profit. I'm gonna have a kick ass

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Saturday card that's already up there. Sunday NFL as well,

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that card's up there, pair of four percent, and of

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course our Steamer on Sunday, we'll go live heading into

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that final hour. I'll be back on last Cole Saturday

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and Sunday.

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Speaker 5: Best the luck.

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Speaker 3: If you're betting college football on NFL, you're already on board.

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So let's just do some damage this weekend. And good

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luck to you in the UFC as well.

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Speaker 1: Brother, Yeah, let's have a big weekend. What a betible

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card in UFC. UFC three twenty two. Janni the Greek,

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thank you so much, great stuff this week getting us

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ready for the weekend. All right, what do we have

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up at wager talk here? I did not have a

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great night last night, full disclosure, lost in NBA, lost

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that NHL play. We did hit our NFL prop so

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that was awesome. Just barely gets over. But we have

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our Sunday pack that is up for NFL. Don't get that.

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We have a special on my page WT dot bus

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last al gets you Sunday and Monday Monday night football

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props that we have up. So I'm looking to build

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off of last night's when NBA props are up for tonight.

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We got a couple of them in there. I'm gonna

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give out one on all around the world. And we're

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debuting boxing. We've been paper trading boxing for a while.

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We put on our first bet officially to clients last

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week it hit, and folks at wager talk are gracious

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enough to let us do half price to try and

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build this thing up. I want to show you what

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00:15:07,960 --> 00:15:10,320
we can build bankrolls with boxing. So it's only seven

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dollars and fifty cents for our boxing best bet, and

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of course we got our five percent UFC best bet.

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Absolute ton going on over at wager talk here, you

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can get there on my on my page at wt

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dot buzz slash al up thirty units in November, so

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really humming along. Speaking of humming along, Teddy Covers coming

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off a nice, nice weekend last weekend in NFL, we

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got football to talk about, Teddy, but I sent you

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a message earlier. I want to get your thoughts on

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the Thunder. I'm trying to not overreact to this being

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one of the best teams I've ever seen. It might

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be the deepest team I've ever seen in the NBA.

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This team can sit guys and they got plenty. I've

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never seen an NBA team It's like they got too

327
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many guys on their team. What's your take on the Thunder.

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I know it's early, I know I'm overreacting, but I'm

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lown away by this team.

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Speaker 7: So I had a great NFL Sunday last Sunday, swept

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the board, and then this week I decided to step

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in front of the Oklahoma City.

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Speaker 2: Thunder a couple of times.

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Speaker 7: I stepped in front twice, and neither one was competitive.

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You know, the Warriors got annihilated. The Lakers got annihilated,

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I mean annihilated. Games were over by halftime. We know,

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let's went out the fourth quarter.

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Speaker 8: The quote from the opposing coaches and the opposing players

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after the games, we're speaking up Oklahoma City pretty good.

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In my power ratings, I've had the Thunder at least

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three and a half points better than the number two

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team in the league all year. And the fact that

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my number said I could step in front of OKAC

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twice this week tells me I don't have them high enough.

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Speaker 2: So maybe they're five points.

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Speaker 7: I mean, I've got Houston as a number two team

347
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right now, a Cleveland Denver all in the mix. But

348
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Cleveland's got a bunch of injuries as we speak. But okay,

349
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A may well be five, five and a half six

350
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points better than the number two team in the league

351
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right now. And again after you're getting my teeth kicked

352
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in betting against them twice this week. I'm not in

353
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any rush to bet against them again. Surely not U

354
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for the the next couple of days. They are as

355
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deep as any team I've ever seen andy at the

356
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NBA level, and they're really really good.

357
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Speaker 2: Obviously they were fair again.

358
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Speaker 7: This is a team that was favored in every playoff

359
00:17:26,400 --> 00:17:30,319
game last year, all right, you know, home road, and

360
00:17:30,680 --> 00:17:32,920
if the playoffs started today, they'd be favored in every

361
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playoff game again this year.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, incredible to watch. They just they just stumbling this.

363
00:17:40,200 --> 00:17:42,559
A j guy was just like, oh, I can start

364
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on any team. It's just where did these guys come from? Anyway,

365
00:17:47,279 --> 00:17:49,799
thunder are are are amazing. But let's talk about some

366
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Let's start with the NFL. Chiefs brought Seahawks Rams. I

367
00:17:54,319 --> 00:17:56,480
want to get your thoughts on Seahawks Rams. I think

368
00:17:56,480 --> 00:17:57,960
this is the game of the week. I think this

369
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is just the two the two best teams in the NFC.

370
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I made the case that this is the best one

371
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to two in any division, the Seahawks and the Rams.

372
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And the Rams are laying minus three over under forty

373
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eight and a half. NFL Game of the week in

374
00:18:12,960 --> 00:18:14,839
my opinion, what's your breakdown on this game?

375
00:18:15,599 --> 00:18:17,119
Speaker 7: So what does Seattle have to you to get some

376
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respect for the betting marketplace, because it hasn't happened this season.

377
00:18:20,279 --> 00:18:22,240
You know, they're seven to won their last Day game.

378
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They lost an Opening Day to San Francisco in a

379
00:18:24,079 --> 00:18:28,720
fluky game, and since that time, again, they haven't just

380
00:18:28,759 --> 00:18:29,839
been good, they've been dominant.

381
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Speaker 2: Six of their seven wins have come by more than

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a touchdown.

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Speaker 7: The only loss since Opening Day for Seattle that came

384
00:18:35,839 --> 00:18:36,759
thirty eight to thirty.

385
00:18:36,519 --> 00:18:37,319
Speaker 2: Five for the Bucks.

386
00:18:38,039 --> 00:18:40,839
Speaker 7: The Seahawks led that game by a touchdown with like

387
00:18:40,880 --> 00:18:43,039
a minute to play and then there was a little

388
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bit of late game insanity end up losing that Donald

389
00:18:44,960 --> 00:18:47,839
threw a pick turnumber on the final drive instead of

390
00:18:47,880 --> 00:18:48,960
the game winning field goal.

391
00:18:49,119 --> 00:18:53,039
Speaker 2: For the Bucks. But Seattle has been in every single.

392
00:18:52,720 --> 00:18:55,559
Speaker 7: Game, and again the only loss is Opening Day came

393
00:18:55,599 --> 00:19:00,160
by three points. But why aren't they getting respect in

394
00:19:00,200 --> 00:19:04,319
the betting markets? Real simple, Sam Donald versus good defense,

395
00:19:04,680 --> 00:19:07,519
that's what the betting markets are concerned about. Just like

396
00:19:07,559 --> 00:19:09,079
we saw on the Bucks game where Donald threw the

397
00:19:09,119 --> 00:19:11,440
key interception that cost him the game. And when you

398
00:19:11,519 --> 00:19:15,000
have Sam Donald versus Matthew Stafford. Stafford's going to get

399
00:19:15,000 --> 00:19:16,759
to love and Stafford has been as good as any

400
00:19:16,839 --> 00:19:22,400
quarterback in the league all right. Twenty touchdowns, zero interceptions

401
00:19:22,480 --> 00:19:25,240
over the last six weeks. That is a veteran quarterback

402
00:19:25,279 --> 00:19:27,519
who was locked in. You can say he's playing the

403
00:19:27,559 --> 00:19:30,440
best football of his entire career right now. Oh, by

404
00:19:30,440 --> 00:19:35,160
the way, the Seahawks minus four turnover margin, and of course,

405
00:19:35,799 --> 00:19:39,519
la from a points bread perspective, they've been dominant, all right.

406
00:19:39,559 --> 00:19:41,960
They've only lost twice this year against the spread, and

407
00:19:42,160 --> 00:19:44,920
one of those two losses came in arguably the worst

408
00:19:44,920 --> 00:19:47,200
bad beat of the season, when the Rams were going

409
00:19:47,240 --> 00:19:48,559
to kick the game when he field goal and instead

410
00:19:48,559 --> 00:19:51,160
had it blocked and returned for a touchdown in Philadelphia.

411
00:19:51,240 --> 00:19:55,680
So they've been a points spread machine basically, and they've

412
00:19:55,680 --> 00:19:58,640
been a pointsrat machine against Seattle, eight and one against

413
00:19:58,640 --> 00:20:00,640
the spread the last nine versus the Sea Bags.

414
00:20:00,880 --> 00:20:03,680
Speaker 2: They covered both meetings last year.

415
00:20:04,319 --> 00:20:08,440
Speaker 7: That being said, Seattle's won ten straight road games. I mean,

416
00:20:08,480 --> 00:20:11,119
this team's been a monster on the highway, better at home,

417
00:20:11,440 --> 00:20:12,759
better on the highway than on the road.

418
00:20:13,079 --> 00:20:16,759
Speaker 2: And of course it's a Seattle team.

419
00:20:17,039 --> 00:20:20,480
Speaker 7: That five and Oho in their last five tries division

420
00:20:20,559 --> 00:20:23,119
road dog under McDonald's he's been very, very good in

421
00:20:23,119 --> 00:20:23,400
this role.

422
00:20:23,480 --> 00:20:26,559
Speaker 2: Meanwhile, the Sea of the Rams just one.

423
00:20:26,359 --> 00:20:30,079
Speaker 7: In six against the spread their last seven as divisional

424
00:20:30,559 --> 00:20:31,720
home shalk.

425
00:20:33,319 --> 00:20:35,599
Speaker 2: I'm making cases for both these teams. I am.

426
00:20:35,759 --> 00:20:38,400
Speaker 7: This is not one of my stronger opinions. Slight lean

427
00:20:38,480 --> 00:20:40,319
towards Seattle here. I'm not in any rush to step

428
00:20:40,359 --> 00:20:42,279
in front of La. All the sharp money has come

429
00:20:42,319 --> 00:20:44,359
for the Rams early in the week, driving the two

430
00:20:44,440 --> 00:20:47,559
and a half to three at plus three and a half.

431
00:20:47,559 --> 00:20:49,240
At three and a half, I look at the Seahawks

432
00:20:49,599 --> 00:20:52,680
at three. I think this game is priced appropriately. Maybe

433
00:20:52,720 --> 00:20:54,240
we're looking at under between two teams.

434
00:20:54,920 --> 00:21:00,039
Speaker 1: Good the football, Yeah, probably a game better to just

435
00:21:00,160 --> 00:21:02,759
watch and enjoy as a fan as opposed to trying

436
00:21:02,759 --> 00:21:04,960
to put your money on it. There's just a lot

437
00:21:05,000 --> 00:21:09,119
better spots here. Let's talk Oklahoma and Alabama. Then we're

438
00:21:09,160 --> 00:21:11,200
gonna do sell me. We got was it number four

439
00:21:11,319 --> 00:21:14,599
versus number eleven? Really good matchup here? How do you

440
00:21:14,599 --> 00:21:16,319
break down Oklahoma and Alabama?

441
00:21:16,720 --> 00:21:16,920
Speaker 9: Sure?

442
00:21:17,079 --> 00:21:19,039
Speaker 2: Let me look at the odds logic live out screen.

443
00:21:19,079 --> 00:21:21,240
Speaker 7: And by the way, guys, if you haven't gotten your

444
00:21:21,319 --> 00:21:23,880
free trial gets your a free seven day all access

445
00:21:23,880 --> 00:21:26,359
for odds Logic dot Com. It's a cool product to

446
00:21:26,400 --> 00:21:29,960
play around with, you know what I mean. I encourage

447
00:21:29,960 --> 00:21:31,599
you to try it because A I use it every

448
00:21:31,680 --> 00:21:34,519
day and be it's good, all right, So check it

449
00:21:34,559 --> 00:21:36,839
out again. Odds Logic dot Com backslash tad. He gets

450
00:21:36,839 --> 00:21:40,839
you a free seven day trial all access for the

451
00:21:40,880 --> 00:21:43,640
Odds Logic Live Odds screen. But looking at that Live

452
00:21:44,039 --> 00:21:47,240
odd Logic Live our screen right now, I'm seeing Alabama

453
00:21:47,480 --> 00:21:49,759
minus six the prevailing number. There's a couple of five

454
00:21:49,799 --> 00:21:52,599
and a halfs out there, total sitting forty six slash

455
00:21:52,920 --> 00:21:57,559
forty six and a half, And in this one got

456
00:21:57,599 --> 00:22:00,759
a stronger opinion than the first team we broke down.

457
00:22:01,079 --> 00:22:03,680
Speaker 2: You know, Alabama lost.

458
00:22:03,880 --> 00:22:06,440
Speaker 7: They got blown out by Oklahoma last year was twenty

459
00:22:06,599 --> 00:22:09,000
four to three in Norman.

460
00:22:09,079 --> 00:22:10,880
Speaker 2: It was a pretty bad loss.

461
00:22:11,519 --> 00:22:14,000
Speaker 7: And one thing we've seen this year from Kailen to

462
00:22:14,039 --> 00:22:15,640
Bor in this squad, they'd be pretty good in these

463
00:22:15,680 --> 00:22:19,759
revenge and these revenge spots for a year ago about

464
00:22:19,759 --> 00:22:23,920
eight and one ats in their last nine tries in

465
00:22:23,960 --> 00:22:26,359
this role. They've been beating up on good teams. They've

466
00:22:26,359 --> 00:22:28,359
been beating up on good teams at home, and the

467
00:22:28,440 --> 00:22:32,279
number looks short, you know again, since they lost on

468
00:22:32,400 --> 00:22:34,720
opening day and that was a poor performance, and opening

469
00:22:34,759 --> 00:22:39,799
the day eight straight wins for Alabama, winning most of

470
00:22:39,839 --> 00:22:44,960
them by margin. They're in revenge, they're at home, and

471
00:22:45,000 --> 00:22:48,599
they're laying less than a touchdown. You know that to

472
00:22:48,640 --> 00:22:52,319
me feels a little bit cheap for the home team. Now,

473
00:22:52,720 --> 00:22:56,640
certainly from a situational standpoint. They have Oklahoma coming off

474
00:22:56,680 --> 00:23:01,680
that fun win at Tennessee in which, yeah, they played

475
00:23:02,079 --> 00:23:05,759
fairly well, but Tennessee made a lot of mistakes in

476
00:23:05,799 --> 00:23:08,000
that ballgame. Tennessee turned the ball over again and again

477
00:23:08,039 --> 00:23:11,480
and gave the ball to Oklahoma in advantageous field position

478
00:23:11,759 --> 00:23:14,640
as soon as by blacash In. John Mattier, the quarterback

479
00:23:14,839 --> 00:23:19,519
who again has shown signs this year of playing well,

480
00:23:20,240 --> 00:23:23,240
but when he steps up in class, he's had issues.

481
00:23:23,599 --> 00:23:25,559
John Mitteer in nineteen to twenty nine, one hundred and

482
00:23:25,599 --> 00:23:27,880
fifty nine passing yards in that game, five point five

483
00:23:27,960 --> 00:23:30,799
yards for past them, no touchdowns, one pick, and that

484
00:23:30,920 --> 00:23:37,079
was against Tennessee's defense. Meanwhile, Joey Aguilar against against this

485
00:23:39,400 --> 00:23:46,880
the defense for defense for Oklahoma three or ninety three

486
00:23:46,920 --> 00:23:50,319
passing yards, eight point seven yards per passing, the three touchdowns,

487
00:23:50,559 --> 00:23:53,039
they ran the ball effectively, they won the turnover battle.

488
00:23:53,160 --> 00:23:57,000
I'm not convinced they can do either one in this matchup.

489
00:23:57,640 --> 00:24:00,000
Alabama to me a little bit of a one way

490
00:24:00,160 --> 00:24:03,759
team right now. I think that that opening day loss

491
00:24:03,960 --> 00:24:06,440
got the focus and got the line value that everyone

492
00:24:06,519 --> 00:24:08,599
was looking for. That Crimpton tied have been bet on

493
00:24:08,680 --> 00:24:10,920
ever since. I don't think that changes here. The number

494
00:24:10,960 --> 00:24:12,759
short the wise guys like this sooner the Wise, you

495
00:24:12,880 --> 00:24:15,319
like the shooters, they like this a Sooner's defense. I

496
00:24:15,359 --> 00:24:20,240
do not trust Matier against this level of defense. I

497
00:24:20,279 --> 00:24:24,079
think Alaba Alabama finds a way to pull away. Crimson

498
00:24:24,079 --> 00:24:25,480
Tider pass for this better.

499
00:24:26,920 --> 00:24:30,000
Speaker 1: All right, Teddy, we're gonna do sell me the first, Teleroom,

500
00:24:30,000 --> 00:24:32,480
what do you have out coming up? A beautiful, beautiful

501
00:24:32,519 --> 00:24:34,880
sweep in NFL. Let's do it again. I'm sure you

502
00:24:34,920 --> 00:24:36,680
got some plays up Teleroom. What's up on your page

503
00:24:36,720 --> 00:24:37,319
at wager talking?

504
00:24:37,680 --> 00:24:37,880
Speaker 9: Sure?

505
00:24:37,880 --> 00:24:39,359
Speaker 7: Sure we went three to zero in the NFL last

506
00:24:39,359 --> 00:24:41,079
Sunday and looking to do it again this week.

507
00:24:41,279 --> 00:24:41,599
Speaker 2: Right now?

508
00:24:41,599 --> 00:24:43,359
Speaker 7: All I got the NBA posted as soon as I'm

509
00:24:43,559 --> 00:24:46,480
finished with this segment. What we got a couple of

510
00:24:46,480 --> 00:24:48,200
free play videos to do, and then we're putting up

511
00:24:48,200 --> 00:24:52,160
my plays for NBA and college football this weekend. So

512
00:24:52,759 --> 00:24:57,400
check back WT Dot Buzz, Backslash TC to get on board.

513
00:24:57,480 --> 00:25:00,160
NBA already posted again, NFL and college to follow in

514
00:25:00,200 --> 00:25:01,279
the not too distant future.

515
00:25:03,000 --> 00:25:06,759
Speaker 1: All right, it's time for the segment you all don't

516
00:25:06,759 --> 00:25:09,519
want the segment you all need. Let's bring in Dan.

517
00:25:10,200 --> 00:25:15,759
Dan randomly picks a NFL game. He then assigns myself

518
00:25:16,279 --> 00:25:18,680
and Teddy aside, and we have to make the case

519
00:25:18,799 --> 00:25:22,599
impromptu on the spot as to why said team will

520
00:25:22,720 --> 00:25:25,519
cover the spread. Where are we going this week? Dan?

521
00:25:26,039 --> 00:25:28,839
Speaker 5: Well, guys, the comments section is always.

522
00:25:28,640 --> 00:25:30,920
Speaker 6: Like Dan, you never give Andy any good teams. Like

523
00:25:31,000 --> 00:25:34,240
last week, I let Andy break down the Jets. I

524
00:25:34,400 --> 00:25:36,519
let Andy break down the Jets, but I never give

525
00:25:36,599 --> 00:25:40,079
him any good teams. So, okay, we're gonna dispel that narrative,

526
00:25:40,119 --> 00:25:42,160
because gentlemen, what we're looking at here.

527
00:25:42,119 --> 00:25:44,799
Speaker 5: We're looking at the Green Bay Packers.

528
00:25:44,279 --> 00:25:49,039
Speaker 6: Taking on the New York Football Giants, and they're always Dan,

529
00:25:49,160 --> 00:25:52,119
you make Andy break down the team, that's you know,

530
00:25:52,359 --> 00:25:53,079
dog crap.

531
00:25:53,119 --> 00:25:55,720
Speaker 5: Whatever. Well, hey, guys, what you get the breakdown a favorite?

532
00:25:55,759 --> 00:25:55,880
Speaker 1: Here?

533
00:25:55,920 --> 00:25:56,240
Speaker 5: Andy?

534
00:25:56,319 --> 00:26:00,480
Speaker 6: They're a touchdown favorite on the road follow going back

535
00:26:00,519 --> 00:26:03,200
to back losses. That is the Green Bay Packers and Teddy.

536
00:26:03,240 --> 00:26:05,880
You'll let us know about the New York Football Giants,

537
00:26:05,920 --> 00:26:09,559
But first make the case coaches, fired Andy, this should

538
00:26:09,559 --> 00:26:12,519
be a slam dunk spot here for you and the

539
00:26:12,559 --> 00:26:13,519
Green Bay Packers.

540
00:26:13,519 --> 00:26:15,960
Speaker 5: What say you sell me on that NFL side.

541
00:26:16,000 --> 00:26:18,160
Speaker 6: I typically don't like laying seven on the road, so

542
00:26:18,240 --> 00:26:19,480
you better have quite the case.

543
00:26:22,200 --> 00:26:24,079
Speaker 1: Give Andy the good team, you know, the one that's

544
00:26:24,119 --> 00:26:28,559
dropped to in a row at home to Carolina and

545
00:26:28,640 --> 00:26:31,640
you just put up seven points. Yeah, yeah, thanks for

546
00:26:31,640 --> 00:26:36,680
giving me the good team there, Dan. Okay, can you

547
00:26:36,759 --> 00:26:39,640
interest me in a team that has not done well

548
00:26:39,680 --> 00:26:41,680
at home and is now on the road. Yeah, that's

549
00:26:41,720 --> 00:26:45,480
the Green Bay Packers. Their last two road games they won.

550
00:26:45,799 --> 00:26:48,480
They beat the Steelers by ten points. And this is

551
00:26:48,519 --> 00:26:51,200
just a fade of the Giants. Yeah, fired head coach.

552
00:26:51,920 --> 00:26:55,319
Their stark running back is out now, their star quarterback

553
00:26:55,519 --> 00:26:58,599
is out with what is it, six trips to the

554
00:26:58,799 --> 00:27:02,759
blue tent with concussion protocol. Enter famous Jamis. There's a

555
00:27:02,759 --> 00:27:04,920
reason why he hasn't been playing all year on this

556
00:27:04,960 --> 00:27:07,599
team or any other team. It's because he throws a

557
00:27:07,720 --> 00:27:11,200
lot of passes to the other team. And not only that,

558
00:27:11,799 --> 00:27:14,559
their rush defense is truly horrific. They've given up over

559
00:27:14,599 --> 00:27:18,519
two hundred yards rushing average in the last three games.

560
00:27:18,559 --> 00:27:20,799
This is a perfect spot for Green Bay to get

561
00:27:20,839 --> 00:27:23,759
back to basics. Let's run the ball with Josh Jacobs.

562
00:27:23,799 --> 00:27:28,839
Let's take advantage of this really bad rush rushing defense.

563
00:27:29,359 --> 00:27:32,039
And where's the motivation for the Giants? I mean, I mean,

564
00:27:32,039 --> 00:27:33,680
come on, all the wind has been taken out of

565
00:27:33,680 --> 00:27:36,119
their sales. This is an impossible job for an infant

566
00:27:36,160 --> 00:27:38,559
coach to come in and try and fire up the troops.

567
00:27:38,559 --> 00:27:41,960
They're down neighbors, They're down scattered both their Jackson Dart

568
00:27:42,319 --> 00:27:45,759
They're basically playing a backup team. Great get right spot

569
00:27:45,799 --> 00:27:48,200
for Green Bay. I have no problem laying the touchdown

570
00:27:48,200 --> 00:27:49,359
here on the Packers on the road.

571
00:27:50,400 --> 00:27:54,920
Speaker 6: No problem laying the touchdown for Mike Kofka's new audition

572
00:27:55,079 --> 00:28:00,000
for potentially a head coaching job. And Taddy let Jamis Cook.

573
00:28:00,359 --> 00:28:03,359
Jameis wins did, not Russell Wilson will be playing quarterback

574
00:28:03,440 --> 00:28:05,680
sell me on the New York Football Giants.

575
00:28:05,920 --> 00:28:08,119
Speaker 7: Well, let's start with this. It's Jameis Winston, a quarterback,

576
00:28:08,119 --> 00:28:16,200
not Russell Wilson. But the uh and the clear issue here,

577
00:28:16,519 --> 00:28:19,160
well there's two. First, you have the new coach bump,

578
00:28:19,160 --> 00:28:21,279
and I know that Tennessee didn't react well to the

579
00:28:21,319 --> 00:28:25,880
new coach bump when they faced New England. That said,

580
00:28:26,480 --> 00:28:30,000
historically in the NFL, you like a team that first

581
00:28:30,039 --> 00:28:32,240
we get for the coach got fired. And this is

582
00:28:32,319 --> 00:28:37,200
that for the g men motivation. Everyone's playing for their jobs.

583
00:28:37,240 --> 00:28:40,559
Speaker 2: Man, you know it's the NFL. They're not the thing.

584
00:28:40,880 --> 00:28:43,240
Speaker 10: Oh yeah, yeah, yeah, Well we'll worry about it next time.

585
00:28:43,480 --> 00:28:45,519
You know, you guys are playing from millions of dollars

586
00:28:45,640 --> 00:28:49,519
personally every week. I'm not expecting anything but an effort,

587
00:28:49,680 --> 00:28:53,039
a concurdered effort from the Giants on Sunday.

588
00:28:53,240 --> 00:28:55,559
Speaker 8: But the bigger issue of issue issue here is Greenback.

589
00:28:56,960 --> 00:28:59,079
We've seen this package and we just get all the

590
00:28:59,119 --> 00:29:01,359
numbers right here. Lay more than a field goal this

591
00:29:01,480 --> 00:29:02,200
year the.

592
00:29:02,279 --> 00:29:04,319
Speaker 7: Late seven and a half to Cleveland, and lost the

593
00:29:04,440 --> 00:29:06,640
late six and a half to Dallas and tied they

594
00:29:06,680 --> 00:29:09,720
late fifteen to Cincinnati. I was with Green Bay in

595
00:29:09,759 --> 00:29:12,960
that game. Never sniffed the points break cover. Really lucky

596
00:29:12,960 --> 00:29:14,359
to win that game by nine. They could have lost

597
00:29:14,400 --> 00:29:17,880
straight up against Arizona Land seven. They barely won that game,

598
00:29:18,039 --> 00:29:20,440
ended up winning by four thirteen and a half against

599
00:29:20,440 --> 00:29:25,319
Carolina lose straight up, so that my friends won two, three, four.

600
00:29:25,440 --> 00:29:27,279
Five times this year they've been favored by more than

601
00:29:27,319 --> 00:29:29,640
a field goal, five times they've lost against the spread.

602
00:29:30,000 --> 00:29:32,880
That is an emerging trend. Worth right, give me the

603
00:29:32,920 --> 00:29:35,200
GeV points for.

604
00:29:35,200 --> 00:29:35,880
Speaker 5: What it's worth.

605
00:29:36,079 --> 00:29:41,200
Speaker 6: Twenty and fourteen is that trend? Teddy when at following

606
00:29:41,240 --> 00:29:43,759
the coach being fired? That since twenty ten, twenty and

607
00:29:43,759 --> 00:29:46,960
fourteen against the spread record and you're flipping a coin

608
00:29:47,079 --> 00:29:49,599
on the money line at seventeen and seventeen, So.

609
00:29:49,880 --> 00:29:52,680
Speaker 5: If you like, if you like riding that, and then

610
00:29:52,680 --> 00:29:53,519
that could be something.

611
00:29:53,599 --> 00:29:56,240
Speaker 6: Sorry, Andy, I maybe let out the bag which I

612
00:29:56,279 --> 00:29:59,400
have in my circa plays, but comment below and let

613
00:29:59,480 --> 00:30:03,640
us know which side you were sold on, Packers and

614
00:30:03,759 --> 00:30:06,519
Giants to comment below what game maybe you want to

615
00:30:06,559 --> 00:30:09,680
hear for next week. But as always, guys, I love

616
00:30:09,759 --> 00:30:12,640
this segment and I look forward to it every single

617
00:30:12,640 --> 00:30:14,519
week as I do hearing about the.

618
00:30:14,440 --> 00:30:16,799
Speaker 5: Wing sauce with Marco coming up here. Well done both

619
00:30:16,839 --> 00:30:17,599
of you, gentlemen.

620
00:30:17,680 --> 00:30:21,079
Speaker 6: But Andy, I gave you a side again that I

621
00:30:21,160 --> 00:30:23,839
probably already didn't want I'm sorry, I'm sorry.

622
00:30:24,599 --> 00:30:27,559
Speaker 1: Great, this is great, Teddy, thank you so much. Let's

623
00:30:27,559 --> 00:30:29,680
get another sweep in NFL. Thank you so much for

624
00:30:29,759 --> 00:30:31,200
joining us. Have a great weekend.

625
00:30:31,839 --> 00:30:33,720
Speaker 7: Thank you Andy, And of course be sure to tune

626
00:30:33,720 --> 00:30:36,000
in right here on the Way to Talk YouTube channel

627
00:30:36,000 --> 00:30:39,000
for end Zone Live on Sunday and of course for

628
00:30:39,039 --> 00:30:40,960
the Way to Talk Opening Line Report next Monday.

629
00:30:41,519 --> 00:30:45,599
Speaker 1: Cheers all right, yeah, Opening Line Report Mondays at eleven.

630
00:30:45,720 --> 00:30:49,000
I watched the show while I'm getting ready for WAJER

631
00:30:49,039 --> 00:30:52,200
talk today. So great comment the comment section, fat Sean,

632
00:30:52,240 --> 00:30:55,000
can we investigate the women's college basketball from last night

633
00:30:55,039 --> 00:30:58,279
in Hawaii? They were minus forty one and a half

634
00:30:58,400 --> 00:31:02,000
favorites over a detail, the team total of seventy three

635
00:31:02,039 --> 00:31:03,640
and a half and they scored a total of forty

636
00:31:03,640 --> 00:31:07,640
six points after ot. Yes, fat Sean, no investigation needed.

637
00:31:07,640 --> 00:31:10,799
They were one of twenty six from threes and the

638
00:31:10,839 --> 00:31:12,599
cat was out of the bag with this team. They

639
00:31:12,599 --> 00:31:15,279
struggled against Portland State in their first game. There was

640
00:31:15,359 --> 00:31:19,319
no reason to be betting anything on Hawaii women's basketball.

641
00:31:19,359 --> 00:31:21,359
They are a fade when they're that big of favorites.

642
00:31:22,440 --> 00:31:24,720
Someone asked about the Gray Cup. I will go with

643
00:31:24,839 --> 00:31:27,440
the rough Riders. They've been the best team all year.

644
00:31:27,599 --> 00:31:29,319
This is a three and a half point spread. I

645
00:31:29,319 --> 00:31:31,960
have no problem playing the money line or laying the

646
00:31:32,000 --> 00:31:34,839
minus three and a half. All right, bet you guys

647
00:31:34,880 --> 00:31:36,480
didn't expect me to come with the heat on the

648
00:31:36,920 --> 00:31:40,119
Hawaii women's basketball program. All right, let's bring on Marco

649
00:31:40,519 --> 00:31:43,480
and let's talk some more football. Marco, were you on

650
00:31:43,519 --> 00:31:45,319
Hawaii over Saint Mary's?

651
00:31:46,559 --> 00:31:47,440
Speaker 2: No? I was not.

652
00:31:50,079 --> 00:31:52,519
Speaker 1: Okay, well neither was I. I just looked that up.

653
00:31:52,559 --> 00:31:54,880
All right, we got some big games here, we got

654
00:31:54,920 --> 00:31:57,680
our sauce of the week. Let's jump right into it.

655
00:31:57,759 --> 00:32:00,880
Chiefs and Broncos probably second best game on the card.

656
00:32:01,599 --> 00:32:04,039
I think the Seahawks and Rams might be best. But man,

657
00:32:04,079 --> 00:32:07,319
this one's a doozy. I have this in my super

658
00:32:07,359 --> 00:32:11,200
contest plays. I hope we're on the same side. We

659
00:32:11,279 --> 00:32:14,400
got the Chiefs minus four over under forty four and

660
00:32:14,440 --> 00:32:16,319
a half. What's your breakdown on this one?

661
00:32:17,359 --> 00:32:19,680
Speaker 11: Well, let's just call this what it is. It's the

662
00:32:19,680 --> 00:32:22,400
public perception game of the week. It might be the

663
00:32:22,400 --> 00:32:25,640
public perception game of the year because you've got the

664
00:32:25,680 --> 00:32:30,640
Denver Broncos coming in here as a favorite against the

665
00:32:30,720 --> 00:32:34,920
eight and two. Denver Broncos are getting no respect. And

666
00:32:35,400 --> 00:32:38,279
all you're going to hear this week is Andy Reid

667
00:32:38,519 --> 00:32:40,920
coming off a bye. He's had two weeks to prepare

668
00:32:40,960 --> 00:32:43,920
for this game. And we know Andy Reid in his

669
00:32:44,000 --> 00:32:47,559
head coaching career off of a bye is twenty two

670
00:32:47,680 --> 00:32:50,400
and four straight up. He was thirteen and one with

671
00:32:50,519 --> 00:32:54,200
the Eagles, now nine and three with the Kansas City Chiefs.

672
00:32:55,119 --> 00:32:59,559
The public is going to bet Kansas City. We've talked

673
00:32:59,559 --> 00:33:04,440
to numerous book makers around town, various radio shows. I

674
00:33:04,480 --> 00:33:06,519
do when I talk to them, I joke with them.

675
00:33:06,519 --> 00:33:09,400
I says, you know, you guys have the Kansas City

676
00:33:09,480 --> 00:33:12,920
Chiefs as the favorite still in the future book to

677
00:33:13,039 --> 00:33:15,519
win the Super Bowl. And do you know if the

678
00:33:16,000 --> 00:33:19,759
season ended right now before this Sunday's games right now,

679
00:33:19,920 --> 00:33:22,920
they wouldn't even be in the playoffs. That's how much

680
00:33:22,960 --> 00:33:26,599
the public believes in Kansas City. And we're looking at

681
00:33:26,640 --> 00:33:29,880
a line of four. I can't get to the window

682
00:33:30,000 --> 00:33:32,759
in lay four in this game. And everybody's going to

683
00:33:32,839 --> 00:33:37,559
point out last Thursday Night's game, the ugly performance by

684
00:33:37,680 --> 00:33:39,480
Denver against the Raiders.

685
00:33:40,039 --> 00:33:41,519
Speaker 4: Well, when we did bet on it.

686
00:33:41,480 --> 00:33:44,240
Speaker 11: I said, this is a game that the Broncos have

687
00:33:44,359 --> 00:33:47,400
one goal. They want to get in and they get out.

688
00:33:47,920 --> 00:33:50,160
I used the under on bet on It, and I

689
00:33:50,240 --> 00:33:53,839
used the Raiders for my clients, and that's exactly what

690
00:33:54,000 --> 00:33:58,200
Denver did. It was it was Vanillova performances you could have.

691
00:33:58,559 --> 00:34:01,920
They were playing their third game in eleven days, and

692
00:34:02,039 --> 00:34:05,160
so just totally throw that game out. You're gonna end.

693
00:34:05,279 --> 00:34:07,559
They've had like a mini buy because they come on

694
00:34:07,640 --> 00:34:10,719
off the Thursday. So even though Kansas City has the

695
00:34:10,760 --> 00:34:13,760
full bye week, they're getting ten days of themselves to

696
00:34:13,800 --> 00:34:16,280
prepare for this game. And I think they started to

697
00:34:16,320 --> 00:34:18,800
prepare for it the week they were playing the Raiders

698
00:34:18,840 --> 00:34:21,159
because they really didn't need to do much to beat

699
00:34:21,199 --> 00:34:24,960
the Raiders. I'm taking the inflated number. I just cannot

700
00:34:25,199 --> 00:34:29,800
see Kansas City is a four point favorite. Denver does

701
00:34:29,840 --> 00:34:32,440
have a good defense. The only time this defense really

702
00:34:32,480 --> 00:34:35,840
got shredded was that game against the Giants. But if

703
00:34:35,880 --> 00:34:40,360
you remember the situation going into that game, Denver was

704
00:34:40,480 --> 00:34:44,760
returning from London. Not only did they play in London

705
00:34:44,800 --> 00:34:48,679
the week before, they played on the East Coast the

706
00:34:48,719 --> 00:34:52,800
week before that, and then come home without the bye

707
00:34:52,840 --> 00:34:57,039
week and played in the altitude fatigue definitely was a

708
00:34:57,039 --> 00:34:59,639
factor in that game for them, and they gave up

709
00:34:59,679 --> 00:35:01,599
a ton of points but found a way to win

710
00:35:01,639 --> 00:35:03,760
it at the end. I'm gonna go ahead and take

711
00:35:03,800 --> 00:35:05,079
Denver plus the points.

712
00:35:05,119 --> 00:35:05,360
Speaker 2: Here.

713
00:35:05,719 --> 00:35:08,880
Speaker 11: What would be perfect for the NFL and for the

714
00:35:08,960 --> 00:35:12,239
Las Vegas books is to see this game land with

715
00:35:12,400 --> 00:35:16,280
Kansas City winning by three, keeping them alive in the playoffs,

716
00:35:16,320 --> 00:35:19,679
because if they lose this game to Denver, they're three

717
00:35:19,679 --> 00:35:23,039
and a half games back in the division and they're

718
00:35:23,039 --> 00:35:26,440
gonna have no shot of winning the division. So let's

719
00:35:26,519 --> 00:35:28,800
call it Denver plus four, and I see it as

720
00:35:28,800 --> 00:35:30,880
a field goal either way. But I'm gonna go ahead

721
00:35:30,880 --> 00:35:33,239
and take the field goal with Denver winning twenty three

722
00:35:33,280 --> 00:35:33,679
to twenty.

723
00:35:35,119 --> 00:35:37,159
Speaker 1: Oh, I love it. Twenty three to twenty all right,

724
00:35:37,440 --> 00:35:39,840
if the if the final score is twenty three to twenty,

725
00:35:40,159 --> 00:35:43,480
Marco's buying everybody dinner. I'm just I just decided that,

726
00:35:44,159 --> 00:35:48,199
just decided that's a rule. Car Carman asked them, please

727
00:35:48,679 --> 00:35:51,320
please stop texting him pictures of the dessert you're having

728
00:35:51,400 --> 00:35:53,280
every night. Come on, Marco, what are you doing here?

729
00:35:53,280 --> 00:35:53,679
Speaker 5: Making him?

730
00:35:53,960 --> 00:36:00,000
Speaker 1: Making him food jealous? I am I am going again

731
00:36:00,000 --> 00:36:03,639
against you, Marco. I'm gonna be the square dog and

732
00:36:03,719 --> 00:36:05,599
lay it with the Chiefs. I just don't trust a

733
00:36:05,639 --> 00:36:09,480
Broncos team whose wins include Tennessee both the New York

734
00:36:09,519 --> 00:36:14,760
teams Cincinnati, Vegas, Houston with Davis Bill. So, but we

735
00:36:14,800 --> 00:36:17,559
can both be we can both do well on this game.

736
00:36:18,800 --> 00:36:22,079
Let's talk Notre Dame and Pit. Interesting matchup here. Notre

737
00:36:22,159 --> 00:36:25,000
Dame seven wins in a row, Pit five wins in

738
00:36:25,000 --> 00:36:29,159
a row. But bookmakers know who's the better team here.

739
00:36:29,280 --> 00:36:31,440
The question is is Notre Dame gonna cover this twelve

740
00:36:31,519 --> 00:36:33,280
and a half or do you like the over under

741
00:36:33,320 --> 00:36:33,880
fifty five?

742
00:36:35,000 --> 00:36:36,719
Speaker 11: Well, looking at this game, you know it's a big

743
00:36:36,800 --> 00:36:41,519
week in Pittsburgh. Obviously, College game Day is coming to Pittsburgh.

744
00:36:41,559 --> 00:36:45,960
That doesn't happen very often. Notre Dame has National Playoffs

745
00:36:45,960 --> 00:36:48,920
in their site, and if they win out, they're in.

746
00:36:49,079 --> 00:36:51,760
Even though they have two losses, I think they're slam

747
00:36:51,880 --> 00:36:55,039
dunk to get in because the two losses came at

748
00:36:55,199 --> 00:36:57,599
the first two games to the season. They came by

749
00:36:57,599 --> 00:37:00,639
a grand total of four points and game to two

750
00:37:00,800 --> 00:37:03,840
top twenty five teams, actually two top ten teams in

751
00:37:03,960 --> 00:37:06,679
Miami and Texas A and M So no shame there

752
00:37:07,440 --> 00:37:12,360
during Notre dame seven game winning streak, the only one

753
00:37:12,400 --> 00:37:15,440
team top twenty four points against them. In fact, they've

754
00:37:15,440 --> 00:37:18,280
held five of the seven opponents during this winning streak

755
00:37:18,320 --> 00:37:22,119
to thirteen points or less. The Notre Dame defense, if

756
00:37:22,159 --> 00:37:24,920
you remove the Navy game, which we know Navy does

757
00:37:24,960 --> 00:37:27,920
one thing. They run the ball at gazillion times, so

758
00:37:27,960 --> 00:37:30,760
they're gonna get yardage. If you take that game out

759
00:37:31,199 --> 00:37:34,199
and look at the other eight games this season, Notre

760
00:37:34,280 --> 00:37:38,280
Dame is holding their opponents defensively to two point eight

761
00:37:38,360 --> 00:37:42,119
two yards per rush in just eighty nine yards per game.

762
00:37:42,960 --> 00:37:45,519
That's going to make Pit one dimensional. And if you

763
00:37:45,679 --> 00:37:49,360
make Pit one dimensional, Notre Dame is gonna be able

764
00:37:49,760 --> 00:37:53,800
to turn that pass rush loose and they're gonna create turnovers.

765
00:37:53,840 --> 00:37:56,719
If you look at Pitt's last game against Stanford, they

766
00:37:56,760 --> 00:38:00,599
had four turnovers in that game. In my opinion, Notre

767
00:38:00,679 --> 00:38:04,719
Dame is too physical for Pitt. Pitt comes out of

768
00:38:04,760 --> 00:38:08,320
the ACC, and to me, the ACC over the last

769
00:38:08,400 --> 00:38:11,559
five years has become the Big Twelve. All it is

770
00:38:11,559 --> 00:38:15,199
is offense, no defense. And I think that physicality of

771
00:38:15,280 --> 00:38:17,599
Notre Dame is gonna wear on Pit.

772
00:38:19,039 --> 00:38:20,440
Speaker 5: And put another.

773
00:38:20,159 --> 00:38:22,480
Speaker 11: Factor in I don't like to do this a lot,

774
00:38:22,519 --> 00:38:24,960
but I'm gonna throw it out there. I said they

775
00:38:24,960 --> 00:38:28,719
should be in no problem with two losses, but because

776
00:38:28,840 --> 00:38:34,119
they don't have a conference affiliation, you may have creep

777
00:38:34,159 --> 00:38:36,480
into the back of their minds that we might need

778
00:38:36,519 --> 00:38:38,960
some style points. And given it, Pitt is a top

779
00:38:39,000 --> 00:38:43,239
twenty five team, you're gonna look at. Notre Dame is

780
00:38:43,239 --> 00:38:45,239
not gonna take their foot off the gas with the lead.

781
00:38:46,039 --> 00:38:48,679
So that's another reason for me to go ahead and

782
00:38:48,719 --> 00:38:51,480
look and lay the points with Notre Dame. But here's

783
00:38:51,599 --> 00:38:56,039
the final reason. Okay, I've been doing this for I

784
00:38:56,119 --> 00:38:59,400
don't know how long. Okay, for four and a half decades,

785
00:38:59,480 --> 00:39:03,280
forty six the big exact years of doing this business.

786
00:39:03,360 --> 00:39:05,480
I have never in my life seen a head coach

787
00:39:06,440 --> 00:39:11,400
answer a question and a press conference like Pitt's head

788
00:39:11,440 --> 00:39:13,719
coach Pat Ardoozy did this week.

789
00:39:14,519 --> 00:39:15,679
Speaker 5: He was asked.

790
00:39:17,039 --> 00:39:21,800
Speaker 11: How big is this game for the pit program. He answered,

791
00:39:22,280 --> 00:39:25,519
that's a great question. I'm glad you asked it. This

792
00:39:25,599 --> 00:39:29,800
is not an ACC game. I would gladly lose this

793
00:39:29,920 --> 00:39:33,639
game one hundred and three or one hundred and ten

794
00:39:33,920 --> 00:39:36,719
to ten, as long as we win the next two

795
00:39:36,840 --> 00:39:42,679
ACC games and play for the conference championship. This game meet,

796
00:39:42,800 --> 00:39:48,039
you know, has no bearing on our season. You've got

797
00:39:48,079 --> 00:39:51,360
to be absolutely kidding me to make a statement like

798
00:39:51,440 --> 00:39:56,400
that in a press conference. And what I read it

799
00:39:56,440 --> 00:39:59,000
as he's given his team a build in, a build

800
00:39:59,039 --> 00:40:03,639
in excuse for losing this game. If they lose, I'm

801
00:40:03,639 --> 00:40:05,880
gonna lay it with Notre Dame, and I think they're

802
00:40:05,920 --> 00:40:07,840
not gonna take their foot off the gas. I think

803
00:40:07,920 --> 00:40:09,639
that Notre Dame's gonna put up a lot of points

804
00:40:09,639 --> 00:40:11,880
in this game. I got Notre Dame winning forty one

805
00:40:11,920 --> 00:40:15,239
to twenty three.

806
00:40:15,960 --> 00:40:18,760
Speaker 1: That's a wild Tommet. That's Oh, I didn't see that.

807
00:40:18,760 --> 00:40:24,119
That is wild? Is Marco? Is that a landline ringing that?

808
00:40:24,400 --> 00:40:27,119
Speaker 9: That was a the lion line that never gets a

809
00:40:27,119 --> 00:40:32,960
phone call except today. So it definitely was a scammer

810
00:40:33,480 --> 00:40:35,800
trying to sell me, probably solar.

811
00:40:35,639 --> 00:40:42,280
Speaker 1: Uh cash the over half a landline for Marco.

812
00:40:45,639 --> 00:40:48,280
Speaker 6: It was probably Nardoozy call and saying, hey, don't tell

813
00:40:48,280 --> 00:40:49,320
people about what I said.

814
00:40:49,800 --> 00:40:52,159
Speaker 5: The next day. I was talking about how you know we.

815
00:40:52,079 --> 00:40:53,320
Speaker 4: Can play them in a parking lot.

816
00:40:53,400 --> 00:40:54,159
Speaker 5: We'll be ready to go.

817
00:40:54,280 --> 00:40:57,119
Speaker 6: That was that was That was Nardoozy saying, come on, Marco.

818
00:40:57,320 --> 00:40:59,480
Come on, you're supposed to be a guy.

819
00:41:00,039 --> 00:41:06,800
Speaker 1: That's hilarious. Joe says, Uh, it's time for lemon pepper cupcakes. Uh, Marco,

820
00:41:06,960 --> 00:41:08,920
I actually looked this up to see if this is

821
00:41:08,920 --> 00:41:10,920
a real thing, and not only is it a real thing,

822
00:41:11,320 --> 00:41:12,360
they look incredible.

823
00:41:12,960 --> 00:41:13,119
Speaker 11: Uh.

824
00:41:13,280 --> 00:41:17,079
Speaker 1: Someone even fills them with guava filling. So now I

825
00:41:17,159 --> 00:41:20,039
may have a I may have something to try this afternoon,

826
00:41:20,280 --> 00:41:22,760
try and make lemon pepper cupcakes.

827
00:41:22,960 --> 00:41:23,079
Speaker 3: Uh.

828
00:41:23,760 --> 00:41:26,599
Speaker 5: So I can just see you making cupcakes.

829
00:41:27,960 --> 00:41:31,840
Speaker 1: Well, my my, my wife is a fantastic baker, like

830
00:41:31,840 --> 00:41:35,039
like she's she's fantastic, and so I bet you, I

831
00:41:35,079 --> 00:41:36,559
bet I could talk her to help me. I may

832
00:41:36,599 --> 00:41:39,559
do that next week. We'll bring some lemon pepper cupcakes

833
00:41:39,599 --> 00:41:41,719
next Friday. So Marco.

834
00:41:43,119 --> 00:41:51,840
Speaker 12: Too, I all take pictures and text him harm Yes, yes, Margot,

835
00:41:51,880 --> 00:41:54,079
we always do Sauce of the week Before we do that,

836
00:41:54,280 --> 00:41:55,280
tell her what you have up.

837
00:41:55,280 --> 00:41:58,840
Speaker 1: It's a huge weekend. We got Weekend Warrior. Every sport

838
00:41:59,159 --> 00:42:01,079
is pretty much going, what do you have up for everyone?

839
00:42:01,679 --> 00:42:02,960
Speaker 4: Well, we also have this week.

840
00:42:03,000 --> 00:42:07,400
Speaker 11: If everybody is the Weekend Warrior's been fantastic. Everybody loves that.

841
00:42:07,480 --> 00:42:09,519
You want to make that even better. We've got a

842
00:42:09,599 --> 00:42:14,480
ten day package for ninety nine dollars right now, ten days,

843
00:42:14,679 --> 00:42:17,320
ninety nine dollars. That's everything, not just the college and

844
00:42:17,360 --> 00:42:20,440
pro football. You'll get every sport that's going on. So

845
00:42:20,480 --> 00:42:22,920
you can jump on board that. But yours truly has

846
00:42:23,000 --> 00:42:25,719
another special going this week, and I want to thank

847
00:42:25,760 --> 00:42:28,880
everybody for all of the birthday wishes. Last week we

848
00:42:28,960 --> 00:42:32,000
had that big birthday bash. We delivered another five percent

849
00:42:32,039 --> 00:42:35,639
winner with Nebraska now thirty six and sixteen on those

850
00:42:35,639 --> 00:42:39,559
five percent plays. We've put together a deal through the

851
00:42:39,599 --> 00:42:42,519
rest of the football season, right through the Super Bowl.

852
00:42:42,880 --> 00:42:46,280
You'll get every play, and not every play just in football,

853
00:42:46,320 --> 00:42:50,719
you'll get every play I have in every sport. Guys,

854
00:42:50,840 --> 00:42:53,800
we're on a twenty three to nine run the last

855
00:42:53,840 --> 00:42:57,880
fifteen days that's resulted in a profit of thirty four

856
00:42:57,960 --> 00:43:01,440
hundred and ninety seven dollars. You can pick this package up.

857
00:43:01,519 --> 00:43:05,039
Normally ninety nine dollars per week. There's thirteen weeks from

858
00:43:05,119 --> 00:43:07,920
now to the Super Bowl. That would cost you almost

859
00:43:07,920 --> 00:43:10,599
thirteen hundred dollars. We're giving it to you for seven

860
00:43:10,719 --> 00:43:14,639
hundred and forty nine dollars. Take advantage of that package.

861
00:43:14,840 --> 00:43:17,159
Over at wager Talk. You can go directly to my

862
00:43:17,320 --> 00:43:23,239
homepage at wt dot buzz backslash MD And guys, yes,

863
00:43:23,719 --> 00:43:26,480
we are gonna have another five percent sometime this weekend,

864
00:43:26,800 --> 00:43:27,880
so get on board.

865
00:43:27,960 --> 00:43:29,079
Speaker 4: Over at wager Talk.

866
00:43:31,800 --> 00:43:35,440
Speaker 1: All right, it's time Sauce of the Week. Marco gives

867
00:43:35,480 --> 00:43:38,599
his wing Sauce of the Week. Compares it to a team,

868
00:43:38,679 --> 00:43:40,760
a player, a coach. Who you got this week?

869
00:43:41,599 --> 00:43:42,920
Speaker 4: Well, we're gonna go with the player.

870
00:43:43,039 --> 00:43:46,880
Speaker 11: And the last few weeks, I've been kind of a

871
00:43:47,000 --> 00:43:49,320
dick with some of the people that I've called out.

872
00:43:49,679 --> 00:43:51,159
Speaker 4: This week, I'm gonna be a nice.

873
00:43:50,960 --> 00:43:56,320
Speaker 11: Guy and we're gonna go to the Indiana quarterback Fernando

874
00:43:56,920 --> 00:44:06,440
heis Mendoza. Uh, I see what you did there, Mendoza

875
00:44:06,599 --> 00:44:09,559
last week, guys, and I know Penn State has had

876
00:44:10,079 --> 00:44:13,760
a rough year, but Dan can tell you there's nothing

877
00:44:14,199 --> 00:44:18,280
like that crowd, you know, that fan base in Penn State.

878
00:44:19,000 --> 00:44:24,079
To take over two minutes left in the game, actually

879
00:44:24,159 --> 00:44:26,800
one fifty one left on the clock, starting at your

880
00:44:26,800 --> 00:44:30,519
own twenty yard line, no timeouts, and on the first

881
00:44:30,519 --> 00:44:33,679
play your sacked for seven yard loss, so you're back

882
00:44:33,719 --> 00:44:37,199
to your thirteen yard line. Clock is running, You've got

883
00:44:37,239 --> 00:44:41,000
no timeouts. He then proceeds to connect on a twenty

884
00:44:41,039 --> 00:44:44,679
two yard pass, a twelve yard pass, a twenty nine

885
00:44:44,760 --> 00:44:49,159
yard pass, a seventeen yard pass, and then on third

886
00:44:49,280 --> 00:44:52,679
in goal from the seven yard line just thirty six

887
00:44:52,719 --> 00:44:55,800
seconds left, he hit the game winner on probably the

888
00:44:55,880 --> 00:45:00,840
catch of the season by Omar Cooper Junior to win.

889
00:45:01,079 --> 00:45:04,039
That was an absolute clinic on running the two minute

890
00:45:04,159 --> 00:45:07,320
drill with no timeouts. And if you notice the passes

891
00:45:07,320 --> 00:45:09,960
that he completed that I said, every one of those

892
00:45:10,000 --> 00:45:14,039
passes were over ten yards. Why is that significant, Because

893
00:45:14,039 --> 00:45:17,519
when you have no timeouts, you need to stop the

894
00:45:17,519 --> 00:45:19,920
clock somehow. You either have to have a pass play

895
00:45:19,960 --> 00:45:23,159
that goes out of bounds or you get the first

896
00:45:23,199 --> 00:45:26,360
down where you get the chance to reset while they're

897
00:45:26,400 --> 00:45:30,880
resetting the chains. That was an absolute magnificent drive in

898
00:45:31,039 --> 00:45:37,199
hostile environment. And for you, mister Mendoza, you get the

899
00:45:37,320 --> 00:45:42,000
sweet chili sauce because that drive was absolutely sweet and

900
00:45:42,199 --> 00:45:45,960
you were chill, had ice running through your veins, my man,

901
00:45:46,440 --> 00:45:48,760
and I think you did lock up the Heisman Trophy

902
00:45:48,840 --> 00:45:51,199
unless you absolutely would have to shit the bed the

903
00:45:51,280 --> 00:45:52,760
last couple games of the season.

904
00:45:53,519 --> 00:45:55,239
Speaker 5: That is your Heisman Trophy winner.

905
00:45:56,920 --> 00:46:00,000
Speaker 1: I mean, heis Mendoza is just how is that not bad?

906
00:46:01,239 --> 00:46:03,159
I mean, you just coined it Mount Marco, so you

907
00:46:03,199 --> 00:46:06,440
know this thing's gonna take off. The production team's gonna

908
00:46:06,440 --> 00:46:08,360
clip this and send it out and all of a sudden,

909
00:46:09,199 --> 00:46:15,199
tag Heisman so funny. It was sweet. I was trying

910
00:46:15,199 --> 00:46:18,840
to think of a better college catch off the top

911
00:46:18,880 --> 00:46:22,360
of my head. I couldn't really. I mean, there's there's

912
00:46:22,360 --> 00:46:24,639
gotta be some out there, but that catch was just

913
00:46:25,719 --> 00:46:26,320
It means.

914
00:46:26,119 --> 00:46:31,320
Speaker 11: The combination not only of the catch, Andy, but the

915
00:46:31,360 --> 00:46:35,400
circumstances of the catch. I mean, we've had some spectacular catches,

916
00:46:35,519 --> 00:46:39,119
but how many of them were for game winners like that.

917
00:46:39,119 --> 00:46:42,679
That's that's what puts it over the top. No timeouts,

918
00:46:42,719 --> 00:46:47,079
third and goal. That was you know the call. The

919
00:46:47,199 --> 00:46:52,280
call was insane. It's just I had to like literally

920
00:46:52,679 --> 00:46:55,960
replay that call. I kept hitting rewind because I couldn't

921
00:46:56,000 --> 00:46:57,400
understand what the hell he was saying.

922
00:46:57,760 --> 00:46:59,840
Speaker 5: Could you want to on the first.

923
00:47:00,599 --> 00:47:08,719
Speaker 1: I was too busy yelling and screaming.

924
00:47:05,400 --> 00:47:07,119
Speaker 5: Oh my god, oh my god.

925
00:47:07,239 --> 00:47:11,840
Speaker 1: I'm texting friends and we all graduated from IU. So uh,

926
00:47:12,519 --> 00:47:15,199
Artie says Chris Carter made an amazing catch back in

927
00:47:15,239 --> 00:47:17,519
the day. Okay, I'll look that one up. But yeah,

928
00:47:17,559 --> 00:47:22,920
circumstances absolutely incredible. Sweet chili saw I was sweet sweet ones.

929
00:47:23,480 --> 00:47:25,880
All right, all right, Marco, next week I'm gonna try

930
00:47:25,880 --> 00:47:29,039
these lemon pepper cupcakes. Maybe I'll send us out bring

931
00:47:29,079 --> 00:47:32,000
them money here. We got to see them, right, that's

932
00:47:32,039 --> 00:47:34,920
a done deal. That's a done deal, Marco. Everybody always

933
00:47:34,960 --> 00:47:38,119
bringing the heat, great breakdowns and grab a Weekend Warrior

934
00:47:38,519 --> 00:47:40,679
Pass for him all of his football plays in that

935
00:47:40,800 --> 00:47:44,280
long term special. We always recommend when you get plays great,

936
00:47:44,760 --> 00:47:47,519
get a package, the multi day package. So Dan, let's

937
00:47:47,519 --> 00:47:49,400
do all around the world and then let's talk about

938
00:47:49,599 --> 00:47:55,039
our picks in the super contest here. Like I said,

939
00:47:56,039 --> 00:47:58,000
we got a lot of emails saying would you would

940
00:47:58,039 --> 00:48:01,320
you start giving out some Brooklyn Nets player? Absolutely yes,

941
00:48:01,400 --> 00:48:05,880
I will igort demit. That's false. We did not get

942
00:48:05,920 --> 00:48:08,159
one email about that. Igor Demon over one and a

943
00:48:08,199 --> 00:48:10,639
half made threes. Listen, this is a client play. He

944
00:48:10,679 --> 00:48:12,440
went over the first two games of the season, then

945
00:48:12,480 --> 00:48:15,119
a slump, but he settled back in. Cam Thomas is

946
00:48:15,159 --> 00:48:17,639
out of the lineup. Last three games without cam Thomas,

947
00:48:17,719 --> 00:48:20,519
he's gone over. His minutes are up. He's averaging five

948
00:48:20,559 --> 00:48:22,960
point seven to three point attempts in those games, shooting

949
00:48:23,039 --> 00:48:26,119
forty six point seven percent from threes, and the Magic

950
00:48:26,159 --> 00:48:28,920
are bottom ten defending threes to guards. This is a

951
00:48:28,920 --> 00:48:32,440
really good play going too. UFC Kyle Daucas inside the distance.

952
00:48:32,519 --> 00:48:35,360
This is a theme this weekend, fading the old fighters.

953
00:48:35,800 --> 00:48:40,079
Gerald Mierschard has fifty seven career fights and father time

954
00:48:40,760 --> 00:48:42,519
has not only caught up with him, it looks like

955
00:48:42,599 --> 00:48:45,960
he's passed him. He was truly awful and slow in

956
00:48:46,000 --> 00:48:49,159
his last fight. Doccas is getting his second run in UFC.

957
00:48:49,559 --> 00:48:52,480
He comes back in the UFC and Nuke's's opponent within

958
00:48:52,519 --> 00:48:55,519
the first minute of the fight. Doucas can wrestle and

959
00:48:55,559 --> 00:48:57,840
that's Gerald Mierschard's path the victory's try and gets on

960
00:48:57,840 --> 00:49:00,280
the ground. Thucas isn't gonna let that happen. Look for

961
00:49:00,360 --> 00:49:03,119
Dawcas to get the win in a violent fashion and

962
00:49:03,159 --> 00:49:05,639
then forty nine ers Cardinals. This is a client play

963
00:49:05,639 --> 00:49:08,920
as well. I think that the books are asleep on

964
00:49:08,920 --> 00:49:11,079
this one. Michael Wilson over forty six and a half

965
00:49:11,119 --> 00:49:14,320
receiving Marvin Harrison's out. Zay Jones is out, So your

966
00:49:14,360 --> 00:49:18,440
pass catchers are McBride, Dortch, and Michael Wilson, and even

967
00:49:18,480 --> 00:49:21,039
with Harrison and Jones in the line up paid three

968
00:49:21,079 --> 00:49:24,559
plus catches the last four games and the forty nine

969
00:49:24,639 --> 00:49:26,480
ers last three games, they've given up two hundred and

970
00:49:26,480 --> 00:49:30,159
fifty fifty seven yards passing Jacoby Brissett's been over two

971
00:49:30,199 --> 00:49:33,159
hundred and fifty yards and his fourth starts. This line

972
00:49:33,239 --> 00:49:36,519
is entirely too low. I put this out as a

973
00:49:36,519 --> 00:49:39,000
client play. I expect this to go past fifty. So

974
00:49:39,039 --> 00:49:44,000
lock this thing in. Michael Wilson over his receiving all right,

975
00:49:44,280 --> 00:49:45,280
time to bring in Dan.

976
00:49:46,039 --> 00:49:46,280
Speaker 2: Dan.

977
00:49:46,440 --> 00:49:50,039
Speaker 1: We're going over our super contest picks. Just a reminder

978
00:49:50,079 --> 00:49:55,159
to everybody, Dan is recording the show and his official breakdowns.

979
00:49:55,519 --> 00:49:58,039
Much more detail will be up low yesterday.

980
00:49:58,519 --> 00:50:02,079
Speaker 5: So thirty minutes of detail. Thirty minutes of detail to me.

981
00:50:03,679 --> 00:50:05,679
All right, it's posted right now. You can search it.

982
00:50:05,960 --> 00:50:07,039
Let's make millions.

983
00:50:07,440 --> 00:50:10,360
Speaker 6: If you just search Circle Wager Talk millions, you can

984
00:50:10,360 --> 00:50:12,639
find the show. But me and Adam Rosenberg make it

985
00:50:12,679 --> 00:50:14,840
every weekend, and it's up now now.

986
00:50:14,880 --> 00:50:18,480
Speaker 1: Oh, it's already up, perfect, perfect, all right, I'll share

987
00:50:18,519 --> 00:50:22,440
my picks here. I struggled. I can't say I'm super

988
00:50:22,480 --> 00:50:27,440
confident about you know, a lot of these, but I'll

989
00:50:27,519 --> 00:50:31,199
start with this Bengals and Steelers. I don't think the

990
00:50:31,199 --> 00:50:34,639
Steelers team is very good. They've lost three out of four.

991
00:50:34,719 --> 00:50:38,400
They lost outright to this Bengals team. They talk about

992
00:50:38,440 --> 00:50:41,639
not making adjustments. They let Jamar Chase do whatever he

993
00:50:41,679 --> 00:50:44,400
wanted and that win against the cold six turnovers. How

994
00:50:44,440 --> 00:50:48,199
is that gonna continue? They looked really bad. And I

995
00:50:48,239 --> 00:50:50,760
think this Bengals team, while their defense is really bad,

996
00:50:51,679 --> 00:50:55,639
damn their own players called them out. I've never seen

997
00:50:55,679 --> 00:50:59,039
that where they're the offensive players is like, hey, defense,

998
00:51:00,159 --> 00:51:04,079
you mind doing something? At some point, pride becomes a

999
00:51:04,079 --> 00:51:06,039
part of These guys are professional athletes that they're fighting

1000
00:51:06,039 --> 00:51:08,800
for jobs. So I like the Bengals to not wing

1001
00:51:08,880 --> 00:51:12,159
but cover this one. Chargers, this is just a fatee

1002
00:51:12,159 --> 00:51:15,360
of Trevor Lawrence. Trevor Lawrence bit you pretty bad last week.

1003
00:51:15,440 --> 00:51:19,599
I believed Dan. Did you see this stat? Davis Mills

1004
00:51:20,000 --> 00:51:23,039
has six career NFL wins. Three of them are head

1005
00:51:23,079 --> 00:51:26,719
to head against Trevor Lawrence's.

1006
00:51:25,519 --> 00:51:29,119
Speaker 6: Trevor Lawrence's father, Trevor Lawrence's fire That one hurt. I

1007
00:51:29,760 --> 00:51:32,079
had the jag last week against Houston. We were feeling

1008
00:51:32,119 --> 00:51:35,880
really really good. Actually, I left and I texted my buddy.

1009
00:51:35,920 --> 00:51:37,480
I was like, oh, man, you know, we lost the

1010
00:51:37,480 --> 00:51:40,079
Bucks game, but hey, you know what, at least we

1011
00:51:40,119 --> 00:51:42,119
went three in one and we were both feeling good.

1012
00:51:42,360 --> 00:51:44,840
The next time I get back to my phone, I

1013
00:51:44,880 --> 00:51:47,679
have like ten texts from Berg and he's like, dude,

1014
00:51:47,679 --> 00:51:48,559
we're about to lose.

1015
00:51:48,679 --> 00:51:49,599
Speaker 5: We're going to lose.

1016
00:51:49,800 --> 00:51:52,440
Speaker 6: We lost, and I was like, we had a nineteen

1017
00:51:52,519 --> 00:51:54,679
point lead in the fourth quarter.

1018
00:51:54,559 --> 00:51:58,719
Speaker 2: Against Davis Mill lost. Yeah.

1019
00:51:58,920 --> 00:52:01,800
Speaker 1: I'm this Jags Tea is just so fatable and this

1020
00:52:01,960 --> 00:52:05,559
Chargers team. Their offensive line isn't very good, but Gadson

1021
00:52:05,679 --> 00:52:07,239
is back, and I think you can make the case

1022
00:52:07,280 --> 00:52:10,000
this might be the best wide receiving corps in the league.

1023
00:52:10,039 --> 00:52:13,280
Jacks can't stop the pass Herbert. I have Herbert on

1024
00:52:13,320 --> 00:52:15,480
my fantasy team and I am just salivating at what

1025
00:52:15,519 --> 00:52:18,800
he's gonna do to this team. So Bucks plus five

1026
00:52:18,840 --> 00:52:23,159
and a half at the Bills. The Bills, listen, their

1027
00:52:23,239 --> 00:52:25,840
regular season super Bowl is a home game to the Chiefs.

1028
00:52:25,840 --> 00:52:28,519
We know that, but how good have they been at home?

1029
00:52:29,159 --> 00:52:33,280
Lost to the Patriots. You beat the Saints, beat the Dolphins,

1030
00:52:33,519 --> 00:52:36,400
should have lost to the Ravens. This Bucks team has

1031
00:52:36,400 --> 00:52:39,920
got a pretty good rush defense. Their achilles heel is

1032
00:52:39,960 --> 00:52:43,159
the pass defense. And this Bills team cannot stretch the field.

1033
00:52:43,199 --> 00:52:45,599
I think you can slow down this Bills offense. That's

1034
00:52:45,639 --> 00:52:49,199
too many points for the Bucks at the Bills Ravens.

1035
00:52:49,440 --> 00:52:51,000
So the Ravens and chief I just have in the

1036
00:52:51,000 --> 00:52:55,159
same category of we cannot screw around. The Ravens and

1037
00:52:55,239 --> 00:52:58,400
Chiefs have to be winning these games. They cannot screw around.

1038
00:52:58,840 --> 00:53:01,480
This is a Browns team just really can't muster up

1039
00:53:01,519 --> 00:53:04,360
a whole lot. They lost to the Jets, they got

1040
00:53:04,400 --> 00:53:07,880
blown out to the Patriots, and this Ravens team, you know,

1041
00:53:08,000 --> 00:53:09,719
they took care of business. They won by more than

1042
00:53:09,760 --> 00:53:12,800
seven points. So I just think this is Lamar and

1043
00:53:12,840 --> 00:53:14,960
the Ravens to the moon and then the Chiefs, like

1044
00:53:15,000 --> 00:53:18,639
I said, minus fourth the Broncos. There's a sneaky there's

1045
00:53:18,679 --> 00:53:21,639
a sneaky injury that I don't think people are taking

1046
00:53:21,679 --> 00:53:26,280
into account. JK. Dobbins is not playing. He's not great, okay,

1047
00:53:26,320 --> 00:53:28,719
but he is a veteran so now and he's.

1048
00:53:28,559 --> 00:53:30,039
Speaker 5: Been a huge part of that team too.

1049
00:53:30,719 --> 00:53:33,360
Speaker 1: Now you're depending on rookie RJ. Harvey, who has not

1050
00:53:33,559 --> 00:53:36,960
looked like a great rusher of the ball.

1051
00:53:38,639 --> 00:53:39,599
Speaker 5: Not a great rusher.

1052
00:53:39,719 --> 00:53:43,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, pass protection, I got some questions about that. And

1053
00:53:44,079 --> 00:53:49,199
bo Nicks. They put up ten points against the Las

1054
00:53:49,320 --> 00:53:54,960
Vegas Raiders. They also put up eighteen points against against Houston.

1055
00:53:55,480 --> 00:53:57,199
I think they're a little bit fraudulent. So I'll take

1056
00:53:57,199 --> 00:54:00,519
the Chiefs to lay the wood. So Begos, Chargers, Bucks, Ravens, Chiefs.

1057
00:54:00,559 --> 00:54:02,800
I know two of them. We're going straight head to head.

1058
00:54:02,800 --> 00:54:03,199
What are those?

1059
00:54:03,400 --> 00:54:05,000
Speaker 5: Yes, we are straight head to head.

1060
00:54:05,039 --> 00:54:07,119
Speaker 6: These are the picks for the water and wah Wah

1061
00:54:07,440 --> 00:54:12,079
entry in the circum million contest. I believe out of

1062
00:54:12,119 --> 00:54:15,880
the ten weeks we've been picking Andy, we have uh

1063
00:54:16,280 --> 00:54:20,079
what what you don't like the wooter in Wahwah jackson No, Jacksonville,

1064
00:54:20,880 --> 00:54:25,000
Oh yeah, yeah, that is see. I thought I thought

1065
00:54:25,039 --> 00:54:27,760
you were laughing about the joke of ai content we

1066
00:54:27,840 --> 00:54:30,119
have there. But you're laughing that I'm going back to

1067
00:54:30,159 --> 00:54:33,159
the wall. We're gluttons for punishment here, Jacksonville.

1068
00:54:33,639 --> 00:54:34,000
Speaker 5: That's that.

1069
00:54:34,239 --> 00:54:35,760
Speaker 6: You didn't think that was gonna be the one we

1070
00:54:35,760 --> 00:54:37,960
were head to head on, did you. It's it's buffalo.

1071
00:54:38,199 --> 00:54:41,000
We're laying it with Buffalo. It's a circle the wagons

1072
00:54:41,000 --> 00:54:44,639
game for the Buffalo Bills, and nobody circles the wagons

1073
00:54:44,760 --> 00:54:47,920
like the Buffalo Bills. Injuries I think are just starting

1074
00:54:47,920 --> 00:54:50,559
to mount. No Bucky Irving, no Chris Godwin. And I

1075
00:54:50,599 --> 00:54:52,760
also think not on the injury report, I don't think

1076
00:54:52,800 --> 00:54:55,599
Baker Mayfield looks right. I thought, you know, after the

1077
00:54:55,639 --> 00:54:58,199
bye he would maybe recover a little bit nicer. I

1078
00:54:58,239 --> 00:55:00,320
think there's a shoulder injury going on that's now being

1079
00:55:00,360 --> 00:55:03,480
reported with Baker Mayfield. But Andy, the one that I

1080
00:55:03,559 --> 00:55:06,079
know you want the thoughts on here, how the hell

1081
00:55:06,119 --> 00:55:10,280
did we end up on Jacksonville. Before Jacksonville lost to Seattle,

1082
00:55:10,320 --> 00:55:13,039
they have been one of the best teams at home.

1083
00:55:13,079 --> 00:55:15,320
Speaker 5: They as a matter of fact, beat the Chiefs at home.

1084
00:55:15,480 --> 00:55:17,920
Speaker 6: If people remember back on that Monday night football game

1085
00:55:18,199 --> 00:55:20,920
before that Seattle game, won and covered all three of

1086
00:55:20,960 --> 00:55:21,599
their home games.

1087
00:55:21,639 --> 00:55:23,239
Speaker 5: They've been a really nice home team.

1088
00:55:23,599 --> 00:55:25,800
Speaker 6: And then you're gonna argue, well, you know, they just

1089
00:55:25,800 --> 00:55:29,239
blew that game against the Texans and Davis Mills. Sure,

1090
00:55:29,800 --> 00:55:32,760
but the Texans are a terrific home team, and I

1091
00:55:33,320 --> 00:55:36,519
feel like, is there a potential for the hangover heading

1092
00:55:36,559 --> 00:55:38,639
into this game the way that they lost? Sure, but

1093
00:55:38,719 --> 00:55:42,000
there's also a potential that this team is not going

1094
00:55:42,039 --> 00:55:45,239
to allow themselves to keep that back door swinging open.

1095
00:55:45,559 --> 00:55:47,800
And this is a Chargers team who's heading into the buy.

1096
00:55:48,760 --> 00:55:51,679
And this team, just year over year, is a team

1097
00:55:51,719 --> 00:55:54,039
that heading into the buy. Sometimes it's a bet on,

1098
00:55:54,159 --> 00:55:57,039
sometimes it's a bet against two eight and one.

1099
00:55:57,599 --> 00:55:59,960
Speaker 5: The game before the bye week is the Charge.

1100
00:56:00,880 --> 00:56:02,679
Speaker 6: So I think this is a team who, also Andy

1101
00:56:02,840 --> 00:56:05,320
has traveled back and forth, back and forth, back and

1102
00:56:05,360 --> 00:56:08,000
forth their East Coast trips. They haven't covered one of

1103
00:56:08,000 --> 00:56:10,800
their East Coast trips yet They've won them, but they

1104
00:56:10,840 --> 00:56:13,320
haven't covered a single game on the East Coast. And

1105
00:56:13,320 --> 00:56:15,039
this is now that I believe the fourth time that

1106
00:56:15,079 --> 00:56:19,800
they're traveling east. So just more travel stuff, more spot

1107
00:56:19,960 --> 00:56:23,039
stuff than it being a true handicap. And I think

1108
00:56:23,320 --> 00:56:25,880
the real thing that put me over on allowing Berg

1109
00:56:25,960 --> 00:56:28,039
to talk me into Jacksonville that I said we're never

1110
00:56:28,079 --> 00:56:31,360
betting out and again is I'm just not so sure

1111
00:56:31,400 --> 00:56:34,639
that this Chargers defense that gets Ballyhood is all that

1112
00:56:34,760 --> 00:56:37,199
much better than this Jacksonville defense, who is one of

1113
00:56:37,199 --> 00:56:41,199
the sneakier better defenses in the league, especially against the run.

1114
00:56:41,920 --> 00:56:45,639
So that's the thoughts for me there on Jacksonville. The

1115
00:56:45,679 --> 00:56:48,440
well laying it with that Atlanta. My favorite pick of

1116
00:56:48,480 --> 00:56:51,400
the week is Minnesota. I'm not a believer in this

1117
00:56:51,440 --> 00:56:55,599
Bears team. This Bears team is not going to get

1118
00:56:55,599 --> 00:56:57,239
to push the ball up and down the field on

1119
00:56:57,280 --> 00:56:59,400
the Giants and the Bengals, which is why the market

1120
00:56:59,440 --> 00:57:02,760
is so high on them Flores versus young quarterbacks. I'm

1121
00:57:02,760 --> 00:57:05,159
gonna take that match up every time, especially under the

1122
00:57:05,199 --> 00:57:07,719
key number there. So those's the pick for me, Andy

1123
00:57:07,760 --> 00:57:09,760
and I let the cat out of the bag. Why

1124
00:57:09,760 --> 00:57:12,199
I like the Giants disgusting pick on the board, But

1125
00:57:12,239 --> 00:57:14,480
I think Mike Kafka is going to be a head

1126
00:57:14,480 --> 00:57:16,480
coach in the NFL, whether he wins this job for

1127
00:57:16,519 --> 00:57:19,679
the Giants or he gets hired elsewhere. Mike Kaffka is

1128
00:57:20,039 --> 00:57:24,679
an extremely terrific head coach candidate who was already being interviewed.

1129
00:57:25,039 --> 00:57:27,760
You asked, you know, where's the motivation there? Mike Kafka

1130
00:57:27,840 --> 00:57:30,119
is auditioning for a job, and I think they have

1131
00:57:30,199 --> 00:57:33,400
at least enough talent defensively to hang around with an

1132
00:57:33,400 --> 00:57:36,440
offense that's not looked too great in Green Bay.

1133
00:57:37,519 --> 00:57:39,360
Speaker 1: Well, I will tell you, I was like, why didn't

1134
00:57:39,400 --> 00:57:42,320
I land on them? I have three at bet online,

1135
00:57:42,400 --> 00:57:45,280
so you have you have the better number? Yeah? Yeah,

1136
00:57:45,320 --> 00:57:46,119
so they.

1137
00:57:46,360 --> 00:57:47,719
Speaker 5: Three on the Giants.

1138
00:57:48,719 --> 00:57:50,599
Speaker 1: No, no, no, I'm sorry Vikings.

1139
00:57:50,920 --> 00:57:53,639
Speaker 5: Oh okay, okay, yeah yeah, the King at one thing.

1140
00:57:54,480 --> 00:57:56,800
I was like, holy shit. I was like, I'm picking

1141
00:57:56,840 --> 00:57:57,960
Green Bay then, and.

1142
00:58:00,159 --> 00:58:01,840
Speaker 1: No, I'm sorry the Viking. I was like, how did

1143
00:58:01,880 --> 00:58:04,079
I not land on the Vikings over the Bears? That's why?

1144
00:58:04,079 --> 00:58:05,159
Because they how.

1145
00:58:05,000 --> 00:58:06,480
Speaker 5: Does yours get graded?

1146
00:58:06,559 --> 00:58:09,239
Speaker 6: Because I was I was looking into how they do

1147
00:58:09,320 --> 00:58:12,239
the circum million contests because that's seven. I was like, uh,

1148
00:58:12,480 --> 00:58:15,159
I could see it being around seven. I learned that

1149
00:58:15,199 --> 00:58:17,599
it's not a loss like it would be in Survivor.

1150
00:58:17,760 --> 00:58:20,960
If you push your play, you end up actually getting

1151
00:58:20,960 --> 00:58:25,039
a half point, so at least would count towards our total. Okay, yeah,

1152
00:58:25,119 --> 00:58:28,159
so I don't I don't worry as much about, you know,

1153
00:58:28,199 --> 00:58:30,480
being on a half, being off a half, because you

1154
00:58:30,519 --> 00:58:31,320
can get a half win.

1155
00:58:32,440 --> 00:58:32,679
Speaker 2: Yeah.

1156
00:58:32,800 --> 00:58:35,159
Speaker 1: Yeah, I've fallen behind a little bit, so I basically

1157
00:58:35,239 --> 00:58:36,039
can't have a losing.

1158
00:58:36,159 --> 00:58:38,320
Speaker 5: This is the West. You're at least going three and two,

1159
00:58:38,639 --> 00:58:40,000
you're at least coming three and two.

1160
00:58:40,119 --> 00:58:44,440
Speaker 1: God, they just need to see one go in. All right, Well,

1161
00:58:44,480 --> 00:58:46,519
good luck to us. We're going ahead to the head,

1162
00:58:46,599 --> 00:58:49,719
so maybe we'll go one in, one split one away.

1163
00:58:49,760 --> 00:58:51,079
Speaker 5: I know I wish that, you know, we have all

1164
00:58:51,119 --> 00:58:52,679
these fun things that we do with the chat.

1165
00:58:52,760 --> 00:58:55,000
Speaker 6: It's like I want to I want an all access

1166
00:58:55,599 --> 00:58:58,480
you know, Andy pass for three days if I win, Andy,

1167
00:58:58,519 --> 00:58:59,639
and I'll have to think of something.

1168
00:58:59,719 --> 00:59:01,199
Speaker 5: But we no, this is.

1169
00:59:02,840 --> 00:59:05,480
Speaker 1: This is easy. It's Jacksonville and Chargers. Let's go ahead

1170
00:59:05,480 --> 00:59:07,760
to head Jack and.

1171
00:59:08,000 --> 00:59:11,840
Speaker 6: Comment below what you think the punishment should be. I'll

1172
00:59:11,880 --> 00:59:14,199
take the jag. I can't believe the first bet we're

1173
00:59:14,199 --> 00:59:15,880
doing on the show. I have to have the jags.

1174
00:59:16,199 --> 00:59:17,480
Masterful gambit by you.

1175
00:59:17,639 --> 00:59:18,000
Speaker 2: Andy.

1176
00:59:18,239 --> 00:59:21,119
Speaker 6: Comment below, what does the loser have to do. I'll

1177
00:59:21,159 --> 00:59:24,159
take the plus three, you take the minus three? Uh,

1178
00:59:24,280 --> 00:59:26,000
and that and that's what we'll great that. If it's

1179
00:59:26,039 --> 00:59:28,000
a push, who knows, well.

1180
00:59:27,880 --> 00:59:30,000
Speaker 5: We'll figure something out. Maybe we'll both dress like idiots.

1181
00:59:30,000 --> 00:59:32,599
Speaker 6: But comment below and let us know what does loser

1182
00:59:32,679 --> 00:59:34,480
do and and who do you agree with?

1183
00:59:34,679 --> 00:59:35,760
Speaker 5: I have a feeling if it's.

1184
00:59:35,599 --> 00:59:37,519
Speaker 1: A push, Marco has to do the punishment.

1185
00:59:37,679 --> 00:59:39,639
Speaker 5: Yeah. Yeah, if it's a push, Marco has to do it.

1186
00:59:39,679 --> 00:59:43,280
Speaker 1: Deal for you for no reason? So all right, great

1187
00:59:43,320 --> 00:59:45,880
week of shows. Thank you so much for the chat.

1188
00:59:45,880 --> 00:59:49,119
Thank you so much to Dan Again. Sunday, NFL Props

1189
00:59:49,119 --> 00:59:53,639
pack is up five percent. UFC pack is up, unleashing

1190
00:59:53,719 --> 00:59:57,719
our first official boxing play. We had our well it's

1191
00:59:57,800 --> 00:59:59,599
our second one. We officially had our first one up.

1192
00:59:59,639 --> 01:00:01,960
We didn't didn't didn't release it to the public, but

1193
01:00:02,000 --> 01:00:04,360
we're one to zer in those so boxing play is

1194
01:00:04,400 --> 01:00:06,800
half priced. We're gonna show you guys how to build bankrolls,

1195
01:00:06,840 --> 01:00:08,599
and we have some big plays coming up. Three day

1196
01:00:08,639 --> 01:00:10,719
pass is a great way, or if you just want

1197
01:00:10,760 --> 01:00:13,599
individual plays, it's over at wt dot buzz slash al.

1198
01:00:13,599 --> 01:00:15,800
We're up thirty units in November. Let's build those bank

1199
01:00:15,880 --> 01:00:18,559
rolls this weekend, guys, let's have a big one Titans.

1200
01:00:18,639 --> 01:00:21,559
Check your email if they haven't sent it to you already,

1201
01:00:21,719 --> 01:00:23,719
email into customer Sport and you get your free three

1202
01:00:23,800 --> 01:00:26,280
day pass for beating me on our bet last weekend.

1203
01:00:27,039 --> 01:00:31,880
No no, I'm just gonna say no.

1204
01:00:31,159 --> 01:00:38,199
Speaker 5: No shaving, No shave it. We're both on air for

1205
01:00:38,239 --> 01:00:38,719
a living.

1206
01:00:39,000 --> 01:00:40,840
Speaker 4: We're just gonna walk around with one eye.

1207
01:00:41,360 --> 01:00:41,920
Speaker 5: Come on.

1208
01:00:45,039 --> 01:00:47,599
Speaker 1: Any legs a prop kang. Thank you very much. Yes,

1209
01:00:47,679 --> 01:00:51,199
Prop's been a really really good source of revenue and

1210
01:00:51,239 --> 01:00:53,639
profits for us over the last couple of years, so

1211
01:00:53,800 --> 01:00:55,960
all props are up, NBA props back is up as

1212
01:00:56,000 --> 01:00:58,000
well for tonight. All right, thanks very much. Hit the

1213
01:00:58,079 --> 01:01:00,159
like button, leave a comment below. What's the punishment for

1214
01:01:00,199 --> 01:01:02,119
myself and Dan? We're going head to head on the

1215
01:01:02,239 --> 01:01:05,280
Chargers and the Jaguars. Good luck this weekend. We're gonna

1216
01:01:05,280 --> 01:01:08,119
be back on Monday. Break down how the weekend went,

1217
01:01:08,559 --> 01:01:10,599
and go over how we're gonna make money next week.

1218
01:01:10,639 --> 01:01:12,519
Thanks for joining everyone. Good luck on your bets. Take

1219
01:01:12,559 --> 01:01:12,719
care