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To 20 00:00:57.880 --> 00:01:00.159 say who's dropping by, or if you want, you can 21 00:01:00.159 --> 00:01:03.439 easily chat with visitors through the camera even when you're away. 22 00:01:03.719 --> 00:01:06.239 Simply Safe it's been protecting your world for twenty years. 23 00:01:06.400 --> 00:01:09.840 Celebrate their anniversary with us and save sixty percent on 24 00:01:09.920 --> 00:01:13.319 your new simply Safe system at simplysafe dot com slash crooked. 25 00:01:13.439 --> 00:01:16.400 That's sixty percent off at simplysafe dot com slash crooked. 26 00:01:16.560 --> 00:01:18.920 Plus when you order, write in our show name in 27 00:01:18.959 --> 00:01:20.719 the how did you hear about a survey to let 28 00:01:20.799 --> 00:01:23.840 them know we sent you. Don't forget there's no safe 29 00:01:24.079 --> 00:01:25.000 like simply Safe. 30 00:01:25.719 --> 00:01:28.439 Every big story starts with a question, why did this happen, 31 00:01:28.480 --> 00:01:29.239 Who's behind it? 32 00:01:29.280 --> 00:01:30.599 And what happens next? 33 00:01:30.599 --> 00:01:31.359 That's three questions. 34 00:01:31.439 --> 00:01:34.319 I'm Considered This from NPR. They answer those questions every 35 00:01:34.359 --> 00:01:37.000 weekday by going beyond the headlines with the reporting, contacts 36 00:01:37.000 --> 00:01:39.359 and analysis that help you make sense of the biggest 37 00:01:39.359 --> 00:01:41.640 story of the day. The news doesn't stop it. 38 00:01:41.719 --> 00:01:43.400 What happened? Get the full story. 39 00:01:43.480 --> 00:01:59.319 Listen to Consider This from NPR wherever you get your podcasts. 40 00:02:09.599 --> 00:02:12.280 Welcome to pot Dave America. I'm John Faber, I'm John Lennont, 41 00:02:12.319 --> 00:02:14.680 I'm Toddy Etur. On today's show, we'll talk about Trump 42 00:02:14.759 --> 00:02:18.840 declaring economic d Day against Iran, but also maybe against 43 00:02:18.840 --> 00:02:22.439 Canada and the American people. We'll also cover jd Vance 44 00:02:22.479 --> 00:02:25.280 as a return to the campaign trail, complete with mentions 45 00:02:25.319 --> 00:02:29.039 of his papaw Sharia law and his friendship with Susan Collins. 46 00:02:30.319 --> 00:02:32.800 We got a quick midterm update that includes the weird 47 00:02:32.879 --> 00:02:36.680 meeting between Hakeem Jeffreys and Jared Kushner. The long awaited 48 00:02:36.719 --> 00:02:40.360 Duffy Family reality show finally hits the airwaves. I've been 49 00:02:40.759 --> 00:02:42.840 desperate for this to pop up on YouTube, as have 50 00:02:43.080 --> 00:02:44.280 most Americans. 51 00:02:43.919 --> 00:02:46.560 Need someone to watch for Assault Lake comes back, and. 52 00:02:47.080 --> 00:02:49.719 Later you'll hear my interview with Congressman Seth Moulton, who 53 00:02:49.719 --> 00:02:52.240 faces off against Senator at Markey next week in the 54 00:02:52.319 --> 00:02:56.960 last big primary contest before the midterms. But first we 55 00:02:57.039 --> 00:03:01.039 have some big news. The newest podcast joining the Crooked 56 00:03:01.080 --> 00:03:05.360 media family is called Still Counting, hosted by Nate Silver, 57 00:03:05.599 --> 00:03:09.560 Claire Malone, and Galen Druk. You might remember this crew 58 00:03:09.560 --> 00:03:12.000 from the five thirty eight pod, which we always thought 59 00:03:12.000 --> 00:03:14.719 was one of the smartest, most entertaining shows about politics 60 00:03:14.719 --> 00:03:17.439 out there before five thirty eight was shut down by 61 00:03:17.439 --> 00:03:18.719 the corporate media last year. 62 00:03:19.680 --> 00:03:22.240 But some big corporate mouse. 63 00:03:23.639 --> 00:03:27.560 Who will remain nameless, right but now, nay Claire and 64 00:03:27.599 --> 00:03:29.319 Galen wanted to get back on the air ahead of 65 00:03:29.319 --> 00:03:33.360 the midterms, and we are thrilled that they've chosen Crooked 66 00:03:33.479 --> 00:03:34.199 as their new home. 67 00:03:34.280 --> 00:03:34.759 Damn right. 68 00:03:35.240 --> 00:03:37.039 So each week on the pod, they're going to dig 69 00:03:37.039 --> 00:03:39.960 into the latest in politics and polling to break down 70 00:03:40.000 --> 00:03:42.120 what's happening and why. But they're also going to cover 71 00:03:42.159 --> 00:03:45.680 everything from elections to betting markets to AI with their 72 00:03:46.000 --> 00:03:49.759 trademark rigorous analysis and plenty of hot takes. You can 73 00:03:49.800 --> 00:03:52.960 hear the trailer right now by subscribing to Still Counting 74 00:03:53.360 --> 00:03:56.639 wherever you get your podcasts and on YouTube at Still 75 00:03:56.680 --> 00:03:57.680 Counting Podcast. 76 00:03:57.840 --> 00:04:00.599 Great for the audience, huge get for us, huge kid. 77 00:04:01.280 --> 00:04:04.639 I look, Dan's Pollarcoaster is fantastic and I will continue 78 00:04:04.639 --> 00:04:07.159 to listen to it all the time. But I need 79 00:04:07.240 --> 00:04:09.680 a little more of a polling junkie fix. Wow, is 80 00:04:09.719 --> 00:04:11.680 still Counting in my life? I just need more. 81 00:04:11.960 --> 00:04:14.479 I thought it was going to be, but there it 82 00:04:14.520 --> 00:04:16.240 was a yes, it was literally exactly. 83 00:04:16.680 --> 00:04:20.600 This is pod is like is good. It's basically for 84 00:04:20.600 --> 00:04:23.399 for for pat America. Host is like selling drugs outs 85 00:04:23.399 --> 00:04:26.759 out of school, you know, the first hits free thing. 86 00:04:27.240 --> 00:04:30.160 Tell me I like keeping Dan on his toes and 87 00:04:30.160 --> 00:04:31.160 be a little Dan. 88 00:04:31.560 --> 00:04:35.560 Hey, hey, hey, Dan, you know, prove us wrong. Prove 89 00:04:35.639 --> 00:04:35.959 us wrong. 90 00:04:36.000 --> 00:04:36.160 Dan. 91 00:04:36.199 --> 00:04:38.199 All right, it's not it's not. It's not a no, 92 00:04:38.279 --> 00:04:38.959 but it's not a yes. 93 00:04:39.199 --> 00:04:41.079 We're not we're not We're not a full hard yes 94 00:04:41.120 --> 00:04:41.480 on Dan. 95 00:04:44.519 --> 00:04:48.160 Despite the yes, we Dan merge that's everywhere. New episodes 96 00:04:48.199 --> 00:04:51.160 have still kind of drop. September ninth, Uh and uh yeah, 97 00:04:51.199 --> 00:04:54.800 we're very excited to have subscribe and Galen subscribe right away, 98 00:04:54.879 --> 00:04:58.519 joining the fam. All right, let's start here with the news. 99 00:04:58.879 --> 00:05:02.040 Donald Trump continues to bankrupt America by waging war against 100 00:05:02.040 --> 00:05:07.199 two of our greatest adversaries, Iran and Canada. We'll get 101 00:05:07.240 --> 00:05:09.639 to that in a second, but first we should talk 102 00:05:09.680 --> 00:05:13.199 about breaking news, but a third war. Trump is losing 103 00:05:13.240 --> 00:05:17.839 against another longtime adversary he's been personally obsessed with for years. 104 00:05:18.240 --> 00:05:18.800 Let's listen. 105 00:05:19.160 --> 00:05:21.800 Let's call it the fat drug. The fat drug fat 106 00:05:22.040 --> 00:05:22.759 for fat people. 107 00:05:24.319 --> 00:05:26.079 Anybody uses the table, don't ask. 108 00:05:26.560 --> 00:05:28.839 And a friend of mine who's very fat told. 109 00:05:28.560 --> 00:05:30.439 Me, and I want to tell you, you know, he 110 00:05:30.439 --> 00:05:32.439 could be a famous guy. He's begging me not to 111 00:05:32.480 --> 00:05:33.600 release his day. 112 00:05:34.160 --> 00:05:38.480 He's a very highly neurotic, very fat sort of a 113 00:05:38.560 --> 00:05:39.680 fat slab. I would drum. 114 00:05:39.920 --> 00:05:42.639 I bought the fat drug. I said, I didn't know 115 00:05:42.720 --> 00:05:43.959 you used it because. 116 00:05:43.720 --> 00:05:50.000 It's not working and the governor is a big fat slab. Jesus, 117 00:05:50.240 --> 00:05:51.120 we can't do that, sir. 118 00:05:51.279 --> 00:05:53.079 You can't call JB. 119 00:05:53.199 --> 00:05:55.000 Pritzk or a fat pig. Please. 120 00:05:55.600 --> 00:05:58.959 You know some people say never use the fat word, 121 00:05:59.399 --> 00:06:01.279 and I know I would never call anybody fed. 122 00:06:01.319 --> 00:06:02.399 I have my own problems. 123 00:06:02.759 --> 00:06:06.480 Well he sure does, because here's Sunday's headline from the 124 00:06:06.519 --> 00:06:10.480 Washington Post. Doctor say Trump's weight post as a significant 125 00:06:10.519 --> 00:06:13.639 health risk. The president has gained about twenty pounds since 126 00:06:13.639 --> 00:06:18.319 his campaign, according to his statements and those of AIDS. SO. 127 00:06:18.680 --> 00:06:22.000 Back in June, the White House had to publicly refute 128 00:06:22.040 --> 00:06:25.279 speculation that Trump was on an experimental new weight loss 129 00:06:25.360 --> 00:06:28.639 drug after stat News reported that a seventy nine year 130 00:06:28.639 --> 00:06:32.079 old man with government connections got early access to the drugs. 131 00:06:32.519 --> 00:06:34.959 I guess the White House was telling the truth. 132 00:06:35.040 --> 00:06:38.759 Yes, it turns out that Trump is not like reckless 133 00:06:38.800 --> 00:06:41.959 gay guys in West Hollywood buying compound versions of this 134 00:06:42.040 --> 00:06:42.959 drug from China. 135 00:06:43.480 --> 00:06:44.519 Is that happening, I think so? 136 00:06:46.160 --> 00:06:47.959 I just want to say for the record that Favor 137 00:06:48.000 --> 00:06:49.759 and I wanted to lead with Canada and Love it 138 00:06:49.879 --> 00:06:52.600 locked the door of our production meeting until we agreed 139 00:06:52.839 --> 00:06:53.959 to start with the GLPS. 140 00:06:54.040 --> 00:06:56.759 I did to start with fat, I said, deserve fat dessert. 141 00:06:56.839 --> 00:06:59.519 Hey it's August, let's have desert for dinner, all right? 142 00:07:00.000 --> 00:07:01.800 The cakes for the fun clearly has been. 143 00:07:01.800 --> 00:07:03.959 Yeah, he's well, he's well called. 144 00:07:04.120 --> 00:07:06.199 I love the moments in those videos where he hesitates 145 00:07:06.199 --> 00:07:09.720 where he goes and this person they're fat. 146 00:07:10.439 --> 00:07:13.480 I want you to know, I uh put that super 147 00:07:13.519 --> 00:07:17.000 cuts together myself. There was like ten more clips of 148 00:07:17.079 --> 00:07:19.839 him just saying fat, fat slob. He tells the story 149 00:07:19.839 --> 00:07:21.639 about the friend like fifty times. 150 00:07:21.680 --> 00:07:24.000 One other thing to note too, is this is the 151 00:07:24.319 --> 00:07:27.959 this is the figures that they're telling us. I feel 152 00:07:28.000 --> 00:07:30.720 like they've been slowly trying to get the number back 153 00:07:30.759 --> 00:07:32.480 to a real number, so he may not have gained 154 00:07:32.480 --> 00:07:35.240 as much as they're saying. On the other hand, based 155 00:07:35.279 --> 00:07:37.920 on the weight and height they've released, his BMI is 156 00:07:38.000 --> 00:07:40.959 twenty nine point seven, which means if his weight was 157 00:07:41.040 --> 00:07:43.959 one pound more, he would be technically obese, which I'm 158 00:07:43.959 --> 00:07:46.519 sure he would not like. And so for all we know, 159 00:07:47.199 --> 00:07:50.600 they've kind of brought that number down a pound or two. 160 00:07:50.759 --> 00:07:52.920 Yeah, they may have been telling the truth about him 161 00:07:52.920 --> 00:07:55.279 not being on this experimental GLP one, or it could 162 00:07:55.360 --> 00:07:56.439 just be eaten through it. 163 00:07:56.240 --> 00:07:58.240 It has happened before through it power. 164 00:07:58.560 --> 00:08:00.480 My favorite part of these stories though, is that as 165 00:08:00.519 --> 00:08:02.480 they track his weight, they cite when he was arrested 166 00:08:02.480 --> 00:08:04.879 in Georgia. When he was booked, they released that he 167 00:08:05.000 --> 00:08:08.360 was six three two fifteen, which was John Elway's playing 168 00:08:08.360 --> 00:08:11.160 weight when he won two super Bowls in NFL MVP. 169 00:08:11.560 --> 00:08:14.040 Isn't it amazing by the way, well muscle is heavier. 170 00:08:14.920 --> 00:08:16.759 Isn't it amazing by the way that we're just kind 171 00:08:16.759 --> 00:08:18.600 of you can just say something like, oh, you remember 172 00:08:18.600 --> 00:08:21.879 when he was arrested in Georgia because of his mugshot 173 00:08:22.199 --> 00:08:25.879 because the president is a convicted criminal, but also gain 174 00:08:25.959 --> 00:08:28.839 twenty pounds since twenty twenty four is an eighty year 175 00:08:28.879 --> 00:08:33.120 old almost obese man. I don't know what even what 176 00:08:33.159 --> 00:08:35.519 to say. Oh, what's again? He's gonna turn over a 177 00:08:35.720 --> 00:08:36.639 new leaf right now? 178 00:08:36.799 --> 00:08:37.000 Yeah? 179 00:08:37.039 --> 00:08:39.720 Yeah, he's one to really he's one to really make 180 00:08:39.720 --> 00:08:41.279 a lot of resolutions and try to keep them. 181 00:08:41.480 --> 00:08:43.519 No, well done, Burger today, just the steamed fish. 182 00:08:44.679 --> 00:08:47.039 It was also their response to this story was to 183 00:08:47.080 --> 00:08:50.559 attack Joe Biden, who is currently recovering from cancer. So 184 00:08:50.600 --> 00:08:52.759 that's a classy move as always from the White House. 185 00:08:52.799 --> 00:08:54.639 Did you see the video of Trump's workout that was 186 00:08:54.679 --> 00:08:57.240 on Twitter over the weekend. No, it's actually really good. Yes, 187 00:08:57.240 --> 00:08:58.240 should roll this thing. 188 00:08:59.120 --> 00:08:59.360 Don't know? 189 00:09:09.360 --> 00:09:12.679 This is? This is? That is the clip I showed 190 00:09:12.679 --> 00:09:15.840 my choulders this morning when I was laughing, and I 191 00:09:15.879 --> 00:09:17.960 was like, it's like, why are you watching that? And 192 00:09:18.000 --> 00:09:19.600 I was like, it's a work thing. And He's like, 193 00:09:19.919 --> 00:09:21.600 what is it at work? And I was like, well, 194 00:09:21.720 --> 00:09:25.039 sometimes we watch clips of robots falling and then and 195 00:09:25.039 --> 00:09:26.840 then people laugh at them, and then we laugh at it, 196 00:09:26.879 --> 00:09:28.440 and then people watch us laugh at the videos. And 197 00:09:28.519 --> 00:09:30.480 Charlie's like, oh, I want to do that job. 198 00:09:30.519 --> 00:09:31.159 It's a good job. 199 00:09:31.240 --> 00:09:31.600 They can't. 200 00:09:31.960 --> 00:09:34.919 Kind of just a point of personal privilege about the 201 00:09:35.039 --> 00:09:36.799 Robot Olympiad that's going on the. 202 00:09:36.759 --> 00:09:38.799 World Humanoid Robot Games in Beijing. 203 00:09:38.960 --> 00:09:41.120 So they keep saying things like, oh, this is the 204 00:09:41.159 --> 00:09:45.000 fastest robot, this is the fastest robot, and it's like okay, 205 00:09:45.039 --> 00:09:48.639 but like, we have lots of robots that can go 206 00:09:48.840 --> 00:09:50.919 very fast already. I guess they just don't have human lengths. 207 00:09:50.919 --> 00:09:52.480 They have to have a human leg to them. Is 208 00:09:52.519 --> 00:09:53.279 that what makes it different? 209 00:09:53.720 --> 00:09:56.159 Yeah, like you're saying like you're saying, way way most. 210 00:09:55.919 --> 00:09:57.519 B Yeah, we got lots of fast ship. 211 00:09:57.960 --> 00:10:01.159 You know, I think it's a humanoid. The humanoid. 212 00:10:01.759 --> 00:10:03.399 Oh, it's got to be humanoid. 213 00:10:04.279 --> 00:10:04.879 I'm going to kill you. 214 00:10:04.879 --> 00:10:07.480 But there's also like weird dogs and ship getting preaded around. 215 00:10:07.519 --> 00:10:09.000 There's a guy riding a giant dog. 216 00:10:09.080 --> 00:10:10.759 Yeah, that one that was nightmare fuel. 217 00:10:10.879 --> 00:10:11.600 That's really bad. 218 00:10:11.799 --> 00:10:13.679 No, I think it's great that we should give them thumbs. 219 00:10:13.720 --> 00:10:15.559 And also that open eye have every once in a 220 00:10:15.600 --> 00:10:16.000 while is like. 221 00:10:16.039 --> 00:10:18.039 Yeah, we lost a couple. We think they're in the pacemakers. 222 00:10:18.080 --> 00:10:22.240 Now it's sorry everybody. 223 00:10:22.240 --> 00:10:24.559 We're gonna we've realized the air of our ways again 224 00:10:25.000 --> 00:10:25.799 and now we got up. 225 00:10:25.960 --> 00:10:27.639 We put up. Just here's the thing. 226 00:10:27.679 --> 00:10:29.759 We put a lock on the door, but the one 227 00:10:29.759 --> 00:10:31.360 of our guys fell in love with the robot and 228 00:10:31.440 --> 00:10:33.360 unlocked it, and so we got to figure out how 229 00:10:33.320 --> 00:10:35.159 to make them less sexually charming. 230 00:10:35.200 --> 00:10:36.039 But they're not sure how. 231 00:10:35.960 --> 00:10:36.360 To do that. 232 00:10:36.440 --> 00:10:37.879 But you know what, there's only so much we can 233 00:10:37.960 --> 00:10:40.240 do because China, right, right, yeah, then. 234 00:10:40.159 --> 00:10:42.240 The rest of the ones cut the China. You're doing 235 00:10:42.279 --> 00:10:43.080 karate kicks. 236 00:10:43.279 --> 00:10:45.200 They're drop kicking like six years old. 237 00:10:45.360 --> 00:10:46.360 Like, so, what do you want us to do if 238 00:10:46.360 --> 00:10:49.840 we have a few escape the sandbox? That's sorry, you 239 00:10:49.879 --> 00:10:52.039 gotta crack cracked a couple of eggs when I supposed 240 00:10:52.039 --> 00:10:57.159 to not I p o right, make an omelet anyway? Uh, 241 00:10:57.200 --> 00:11:00.840 there aren't. We do have some more consequential but no 242 00:11:00.960 --> 00:11:06.000 less absurd Trump stories. Soybean farmer Scott Bessant announced Operation 243 00:11:06.240 --> 00:11:10.320 Economic Outcast on Monday, a series of new sanctions against 244 00:11:10.320 --> 00:11:13.360 Iran and the threat of much larger sanctions down the 245 00:11:13.440 --> 00:11:17.960 road that he likened to the most significant military invasion 246 00:11:18.120 --> 00:11:20.639 of the twentieth century. But there seemed to be a 247 00:11:20.679 --> 00:11:24.159 bit of a gap between Besant's framing and the reality. 248 00:11:24.240 --> 00:11:24.759 Let's listen. 249 00:11:25.360 --> 00:11:29.279 In the Second World War, D Day mark the historic 250 00:11:29.320 --> 00:11:33.320 beginning of a campaign with our allies to target and 251 00:11:33.440 --> 00:11:39.480 drive the enemy from its positions, including those in third countries. Today, 252 00:11:40.200 --> 00:11:44.559 in that same spirit, we are launching an economic onslaught 253 00:11:44.879 --> 00:11:48.960 against Iran's financial connections around the globe. 254 00:11:49.120 --> 00:11:50.080 Around the globe. 255 00:11:50.279 --> 00:11:52.799 You described this as an economic D Day, but D 256 00:11:52.919 --> 00:11:55.559 Day wasn't a threat of an invasion in the US 257 00:11:55.600 --> 00:11:59.200 didn't give a timeline to Germany, So why not impose 258 00:11:59.240 --> 00:12:01.200 the sanctions today? 259 00:12:02.120 --> 00:12:08.000 Well, we are giving everyone the opportunity to remedy bad behavior. 260 00:12:08.240 --> 00:12:11.720 Why would I want to blow up the global financial system? 261 00:12:12.000 --> 00:12:12.120 Oh? 262 00:12:12.399 --> 00:12:16.480 Extraordinary sentence? Extraordinary sentence? Crazy? 263 00:12:16.759 --> 00:12:19.360 That is that? I like saw that as like, what 264 00:12:19.919 --> 00:12:21.759 what an absolute fucking doof? 265 00:12:22.039 --> 00:12:23.559 Because it's like, what, first. 266 00:12:23.360 --> 00:12:26.320 Of all, is that what you're threatening? Why are you 267 00:12:26.320 --> 00:12:28.879 the good you are? We're supposed to be the good guys. Yeah, 268 00:12:28.919 --> 00:12:31.240 and then also if you're suggesting that the thing you're 269 00:12:31.279 --> 00:12:34.840 going to impose is basically a global economic crisis, it 270 00:12:34.840 --> 00:12:37.600 does signal to the people you're threatening that you're deeply 271 00:12:37.720 --> 00:12:40.519 concerned about the risk you'd be taking, which you've consistently 272 00:12:40.559 --> 00:12:43.600 shown yourself willing to back off of when you get 273 00:12:43.600 --> 00:12:45.480 close to the line. Because they know that you can 274 00:12:45.519 --> 00:12:48.000 back off right before you go through your various threats. 275 00:12:47.720 --> 00:12:49.720 Those mulas must be terrified. Huh. 276 00:12:49.919 --> 00:12:52.360 Twenty five hundred Americans died on D Day, so you 277 00:12:52.399 --> 00:12:55.799 know some downsides that do. Yeah, the pissy kid ever 278 00:12:56.480 --> 00:12:59.159 calling That's why cost cup Essen calling this economic D 279 00:12:59.240 --> 00:13:01.399 Day is so funny because I cannot overstate how mundane 280 00:13:01.440 --> 00:13:03.879 this sanctions announcement actually was. This is just like stuff 281 00:13:03.879 --> 00:13:05.840 they roll out all the time. For example, they try 282 00:13:05.879 --> 00:13:08.159 to make it sound like they're sanctioning all these new sectors. 283 00:13:08.159 --> 00:13:10.559 So they mentioned gold in the aviation sector. But if 284 00:13:10.559 --> 00:13:12.679 you look at US sanctions over the years, we've been 285 00:13:12.720 --> 00:13:16.159 sanctioning gold the sort of gold industry since twenty eleven, 286 00:13:16.240 --> 00:13:18.320 and the aviation sectors in two thousand and eight. So 287 00:13:18.399 --> 00:13:22.000 this announcement today is not going to make the Iranian 288 00:13:22.039 --> 00:13:23.720 regime the RGC kind of give up. 289 00:13:23.799 --> 00:13:24.919 I think it's a lot of bluster, it's a lot 290 00:13:24.919 --> 00:13:25.240 of rhetoric. 291 00:13:25.279 --> 00:13:26.399 It's a lot of them trying to figure out what 292 00:13:26.440 --> 00:13:29.360 they do to get through the midterms. The scary thing 293 00:13:29.480 --> 00:13:31.440 is that I think the Axios report on the sanctions 294 00:13:31.440 --> 00:13:34.639 today mentioned that they're considering restarting the war after the 295 00:13:34.639 --> 00:13:36.840 midterms are over. So you'll love when the wars are 296 00:13:36.840 --> 00:13:38.559 timed with the midterms. 297 00:13:38.639 --> 00:13:42.559 That's always well in the blowing up of the globe. 298 00:13:42.720 --> 00:13:45.879 So I had to dig into this because basically there 299 00:13:45.879 --> 00:13:49.279 were two things today. There were like sanctions against sixty 300 00:13:49.399 --> 00:13:53.200 Iran linked people, entities, vessels that, like you said, are 301 00:13:53.240 --> 00:13:56.360 pretty mundane, very like a typical day all. 302 00:13:56.279 --> 00:13:56.840 The time, right. 303 00:13:57.240 --> 00:14:01.039 And then there's the threat of Major's sanctions that would 304 00:14:01.039 --> 00:14:04.440 blow up the global economic system, which is sanctioning any 305 00:14:04.799 --> 00:14:09.279 country that does business with Iran China, for example, which 306 00:14:09.279 --> 00:14:10.919 he would not take off the table, but would also 307 00:14:11.000 --> 00:14:11.840 not mention the. 308 00:14:11.799 --> 00:14:14.399 Only thing that would matter is secondary sanctions on China 309 00:14:14.519 --> 00:14:18.000 to a less India, maybe Russia, maybe Turkey. But there's 310 00:14:18.000 --> 00:14:19.440 no way that they're going to do a bunch of 311 00:14:19.480 --> 00:14:22.320 secondary sanctions on Chinese banks, for example, in advance of 312 00:14:22.320 --> 00:14:24.320 the shijin Ping visit, nor do I think they would 313 00:14:24.360 --> 00:14:27.120 do them period, because the Chinese will retaliate against us, 314 00:14:27.159 --> 00:14:29.120 then the Iranians will ittaliate against us, and then it'll 315 00:14:29.159 --> 00:14:30.360 be a big dust. 316 00:14:30.240 --> 00:14:33.159 Up again, which leads you back to love It's original point, right, 317 00:14:33.200 --> 00:14:36.600 which is so it's just bluster, or else if it's 318 00:14:36.600 --> 00:14:40.120 not bluster, it's blowing up the global economic financial system, 319 00:14:40.440 --> 00:14:42.759 which I guess they don't want to do until after 320 00:14:42.799 --> 00:14:45.440 the midterms, or maybe they'll just bomb after the midterms. 321 00:14:45.440 --> 00:14:47.840 Well, the other part of just the threat in Axios 322 00:14:48.600 --> 00:14:51.480 about how we're going to maybe resume the military campaign 323 00:14:51.559 --> 00:14:53.519 after the election, which, by the way, as I think 324 00:14:53.559 --> 00:14:56.159 in part like I hope it's not true. I hope 325 00:14:56.159 --> 00:14:58.639 they're doing politics with their own neo cons that they're 326 00:14:58.639 --> 00:15:00.679 trying to keep in line, because this is of they're 327 00:15:00.720 --> 00:15:02.799 not doing the retaliation that a lot of these people want. 328 00:15:02.799 --> 00:15:04.879 They're doing sort of mid tier. They're doing sort of 329 00:15:04.879 --> 00:15:08.360 these sort of threats of future economic sanctions. But if 330 00:15:08.399 --> 00:15:10.159 it is a real threat, and I assume Urn will 331 00:15:10.200 --> 00:15:12.360 have to take it as a real threat, then they 332 00:15:12.360 --> 00:15:15.960 are telling you in advance, hey, we should conflate economic 333 00:15:16.000 --> 00:15:19.360 activity with military activity. If you're thinking if Iran is 334 00:15:19.360 --> 00:15:22.759 going to potentially retaliate against economic sanctions with military force, 335 00:15:22.799 --> 00:15:24.320 one argument against it would be that it would be 336 00:15:24.399 --> 00:15:25.080 escalating the war. 337 00:15:25.120 --> 00:15:25.840 But the US is. 338 00:15:25.759 --> 00:15:28.240 Promising to escalate the war potentially after the election. 339 00:15:28.679 --> 00:15:29.159 Anyway. 340 00:15:29.440 --> 00:15:31.600 The other part of it too, so did it's just 341 00:15:32.120 --> 00:15:34.000 in the best in op ed reannounced all this in 342 00:15:34.080 --> 00:15:40.159 a written like like he asked a large language model 343 00:15:40.279 --> 00:15:43.279 to write like a Victorian with a head injury. It's 344 00:15:43.360 --> 00:15:46.399 just like over the top, ridiculous thing. But in any 345 00:15:46.480 --> 00:15:51.639 set refers to something called Pascal's Wager, and basically he says, uh, people. 346 00:15:51.399 --> 00:15:53.200 Working that was going to be triggering for you. 347 00:15:53.240 --> 00:15:57.919 People working with Ran should be careful because of Pascal's wager, 348 00:15:58.000 --> 00:16:00.840 which basically says, you can't know for sure if God 349 00:16:00.919 --> 00:16:03.159 is real, so act as if God is real, because 350 00:16:03.159 --> 00:16:05.399 if it is, boy, you'll wish you believed, which is, 351 00:16:05.759 --> 00:16:09.039 you know, philosophically confusing, but whatever. And so he seems 352 00:16:09.039 --> 00:16:11.240 to be suggesting that countries may want to do a 353 00:16:11.279 --> 00:16:13.200 deal with Iran because in the short term it's quite 354 00:16:13.279 --> 00:16:15.720 beneficial to them, but they should be careful that even 355 00:16:15.759 --> 00:16:19.320 though partnering with the US, per Besson's argument, has no 356 00:16:19.480 --> 00:16:22.080 benefits whatsoever, to the point where you can't even tell 357 00:16:22.120 --> 00:16:25.440 if the United States exists, we could exist, and if 358 00:16:25.480 --> 00:16:27.240 we do, boy will be mad. 359 00:16:27.879 --> 00:16:29.159 That's sort of what he's. 360 00:16:29.000 --> 00:16:31.039 That's sort of the position he's trying to direct, I guess, 361 00:16:31.120 --> 00:16:32.799 not just to by the way, also to Korea, to 362 00:16:32.840 --> 00:16:35.320 other countries that are desperate to try to figure out 363 00:16:35.399 --> 00:16:37.279 how to get out of this sort of view Blot. 364 00:16:37.279 --> 00:16:39.399 Someone who most recently cut a deal seemingly with the 365 00:16:39.440 --> 00:16:42.440 Iranians to avoid getting fired at all the time, Did 366 00:16:42.480 --> 00:16:45.159 you guys see that? Barry McCaffrey tweeted quote in my judgment, 367 00:16:45.320 --> 00:16:48.559 US armed forces have probably permanently lost access. 368 00:16:48.240 --> 00:16:50.120 To fifteen Persian golf bases. 369 00:16:50.399 --> 00:16:52.840 Iran now poised to control access to the Gulf States, 370 00:16:52.919 --> 00:16:56.679 US will have to negotiate new access in western Saudi Arabia, Israel, 371 00:16:57.080 --> 00:17:00.279 Southern Europe. It's like an entire recalibration of our charity 372 00:17:00.360 --> 00:17:02.679 architecture in the Middle East because we have lost this 373 00:17:02.759 --> 00:17:03.440 war just sort. 374 00:17:03.360 --> 00:17:06.880 Of by accident. 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