Speaker 1: Is that is that a real possibility and then not
Speaker 1: too distant future meet Of course, very different I don't
Speaker 1: need to tell you than California when it comes to regulation.
Speaker 1: They don't really have much here in terms of dealing
Speaker 1: with autonomous but it's a different story in California.
Speaker 2: Yeah, but California is already approved way I am always
Speaker 2: been doing autonomus driving.
Speaker 1: Another there for a while. But do you need a
Speaker 1: separate approval.
Speaker 2: Or right now, the approval process is very haphazard and
Speaker 2: sort of state by state and sometimes city by city.
Speaker 1: We were talking in the Secretary of Transportation about that
Speaker 1: very fact a moment ago. Yeah.
Speaker 2: Right, So it's going to be important to have a
Speaker 2: unified set of national regulations for self driving cars. Otherwise
Speaker 2: you're going to get into this weird situation where if
Speaker 2: you're driving from Maine to New York, you're going to
Speaker 2: go through ten different sets of regulations. Car is going
Speaker 2: to behave differently. It's not going to make any sense.
Speaker 2: So one set of regulations that just like there is
Speaker 2: for highway driving, that's what I think makes sense for
Speaker 2: the country as a whole. But my prediction is that
Speaker 2: probably by the end of next year, we'll have probably
Speaker 2: hundreds of thousands, if not hundreds of thousands, if not,
Speaker 2: if not over a million Teslas doing self driving in
Speaker 2: the US.
Speaker 1: Those are not okay, what percentages those are going to be? Well,
Speaker 1: not the cyber cab you're just talking about on full
Speaker 1: self driving level four.
Speaker 2: Un supervised full self driving run. You do not need
Speaker 2: to pay attention.
Speaker 1: Right for me, if I own a Tesla and I
Speaker 1: have the software the capability.
Speaker 2: Of doing it, yes, right, But we'll have a model
Speaker 2: which is kind of like some combination of Uber and Airbnb.
Speaker 2: So if you, if you're a Tesla owner, you'll be
Speaker 2: able to add or subtract your car to the fleet.
Speaker 2: So just like an AIRB and B, you could like
Speaker 2: run out your spare bedroom or run out your house
Speaker 2: when you're not using it, and the same thing will
Speaker 2: be available for Tesla owners. So it's a way for
Speaker 2: Tesla owners to own revenue. Instead of having your car
Speaker 2: sit in the parking lot, your car could be earning money.
Speaker 1: Talked to you, and I talked about that a couple
Speaker 1: of years ago, which takes me back a bit because
Speaker 1: of course, I mean you remember twenty nineteen, you were
Speaker 1: talking about twenty twenty the introduction of autonomous And now
Speaker 1: you just introduced a fairly somewhat ambitious target. Why do
Speaker 1: you have the confidence now that and then what was it?
Speaker 1: In a year there'll be a million available?
Speaker 2: Well it might end of next year, I think.
Speaker 1: Twenty six.
Speaker 2: Okay, yeah, right, I think that's I mean, these things
Speaker 2: happen slowly but then all at once, so you know,
Speaker 2: it's a Peter Tiel has a book zero one. Once
Speaker 2: you make once you have a proof point, once you
Speaker 2: have it working, then scaling up is you know, just
Speaker 2: amount of time. So once it's working well in Austin,
Speaker 2: then you know, we'll make sure it works well in
Speaker 2: other cities. I mean there are obviously some unique cases
Speaker 2: like downtown New York, like you know if you're in
Speaker 2: but that's a highly unusual situation. Most cities in America
Speaker 2: are like Austin.
Speaker 1: So right, although you can go on full self driving
Speaker 1: right now in New York, I mean you can obviously
Speaker 1: have to sit there behind the wheel, but and it'll
Speaker 1: do it. Oh yeah, no, it'll it'll it'll navigate the traffic.
Speaker 1: I've seen it.
Speaker 2: Yes, even a test that you buy it right now,
Speaker 2: and the self driving just costs ninety nine dollars a month,
Speaker 2: will give you autonomous driving anywhere in the country right now.
Speaker 2: The question is when? When is it unsupervised? Right where
Speaker 2: that's that's where.
Speaker 1: Where you're sitting in the back, so to speak.
Speaker 2: Right, yes, where you're like asleep and a car you
Speaker 2: wake up at your destination.
Speaker 1: Yeah.
Speaker 2: In order for that to be the case, we want
Speaker 2: the autonomous car to be much safer than a car
Speaker 2: driven by apost