Speaker 1: Is that is that a real possibility and then not
too distant future meet Of course, very different I don't
need to tell you than California when it comes to regulation.
They don't really have much here in terms of dealing
with autonomous but it's a different story in California.
Speaker 2: Yeah, but California is already approved way I am always
been doing autonomus driving.
Speaker 1: Another there for a while. But do you need a
separate approval.
Speaker 2: Or right now, the approval process is very haphazard and
sort of state by state and sometimes city by city.
Speaker 1: We were talking in the Secretary of Transportation about that
very fact a moment ago. Yeah.
Speaker 2: Right, So it's going to be important to have a
unified set of national regulations for self driving cars. Otherwise
you're going to get into this weird situation where if
you're driving from Maine to New York, you're going to
go through ten different sets of regulations. Car is going
to behave differently. It's not going to make any sense.
So one set of regulations that just like there is
for highway driving, that's what I think makes sense for
the country as a whole. But my prediction is that
probably by the end of next year, we'll have probably
hundreds of thousands, if not hundreds of thousands, if not,
if not over a million Teslas doing self driving in
the US.
Speaker 1: Those are not okay, what percentages those are going to be? Well,
not the cyber cab you're just talking about on full
self driving level four.
Speaker 2: Un supervised full self driving run. You do not need
to pay attention.
Speaker 1: Right for me, if I own a Tesla and I
have the software the capability.
Speaker 2: Of doing it, yes, right, But we'll have a model
which is kind of like some combination of Uber and Airbnb.
So if you, if you're a Tesla owner, you'll be
able to add or subtract your car to the fleet.
So just like an AIRB and B, you could like
run out your spare bedroom or run out your house
when you're not using it, and the same thing will
be available for Tesla owners. So it's a way for
Tesla owners to own revenue. Instead of having your car
sit in the parking lot, your car could be earning money.
Speaker 1: Talked to you, and I talked about that a couple
of years ago, which takes me back a bit because
of course, I mean you remember twenty nineteen, you were
talking about twenty twenty the introduction of autonomous And now
you just introduced a fairly somewhat ambitious target. Why do
you have the confidence now that and then what was it?
In a year there'll be a million available?
Speaker 2: Well it might end of next year, I think.
Speaker 1: Twenty six.
Speaker 2: Okay, yeah, right, I think that's I mean, these things
happen slowly but then all at once, so you know,
it's a Peter Tiel has a book zero one. Once
you make once you have a proof point, once you
have it working, then scaling up is you know, just
amount of time. So once it's working well in Austin,
then you know, we'll make sure it works well in
other cities. I mean there are obviously some unique cases
like downtown New York, like you know if you're in
but that's a highly unusual situation. Most cities in America
are like Austin.
Speaker 1: So right, although you can go on full self driving
right now in New York, I mean you can obviously
have to sit there behind the wheel, but and it'll
do it. Oh yeah, no, it'll it'll it'll navigate the traffic.
I've seen it.
Speaker 2: Yes, even a test that you buy it right now,
and the self driving just costs ninety nine dollars a month,
will give you autonomous driving anywhere in the country right now.
The question is when? When is it unsupervised? Right where
that's that's where.
Speaker 1: Where you're sitting in the back, so to speak.
Speaker 2: Right, yes, where you're like asleep and a car you
wake up at your destination.
Speaker 1: Yeah.
Speaker 2: In order for that to be the case, we want
the autonomous car to be much safer than a car
driven by apost