Speaker 1: What's up? Everybody? Welcome into another episode of Profit Picks.
If you are new, we do always start the show
by being transparent, and yesterday it was another good day.
Four to two and one is how it ended up
for me, and I'm not gonna lie. I was really
irritated by the push because I mean, it's probably the
right thing to do. But chose Lakers minus four minus
one oh five versus the three and a half minus
It was minus one twenty, so I chose to save
a little bit of money and I didn't get to
catch my ticket, but I think that's still the right
thing to do. Maybe. I mean, also I could have
waited and got a better number at closing. But the
two losers were flag over six and a half rebounds
which got hooked eight and over twenty and a half
points and rebounds. He didn't even play the second half.
I don't think. I don't remember seeing him on the
court at all. He got benched again, so they ended
up playing the third string center, maxic Cleeve last night,
so that one was I guess the back. All winners
were Warriors plus six and a half. That's my dog,
Room over five and a half. Magic first half my
five and a half rebounds for Magic first half minus
five and a half and Nasar Thompson over five and
a half rebounds. So nice day for me, you know,
good to be back with you. Everything you're in.
Speaker 2: Yesterday was good. Ski three to Oho and one. Uh.
The three and oh was in college hoop.
Speaker 3: The one push was in that same game, and I
guess you know, we're on opposite ends of that. Dj
Edgecombe play at the end of the game which basically
got me to the team total of one fifteen ring
the push and it basically stole the Lakers cover because
they were going to cover that game.
Speaker 2: If he does.
Speaker 3: You know, Maxie makes a lay up, the in bounced
the ball, he steals it. I mean he just stole
it and chuck and it went down. So that's how
that thing ended up there.
Speaker 2: That's my dog. On my end wasn't too good though.
Speaker 3: Dallas was down two with four minutes left and lost
by twelve.
Speaker 2: Got blown out the.
Speaker 3: Last four minutes, so I thought Dallas plus seven and
a half might get there, but it was not a
client play.
Speaker 2: We were three to zero in one yesterday, Very very
good day.
Speaker 1: M Casey likes that they're go Casey and a building,
that's why, dog. But I think it was this show,
you know. I think it was this show where I
was talking about Steve Kerr. I mean I probably was
talking about him more than one time because he just Oh,
I don't Eve want to get back into all that.
But we talked about it, right, yes, we did. So
yesterday I'm watching the game and Golden State was doing
everything they needed to do in the first half. The
lineups are good, everything was good. Then for some reason
in the second half, Steve Kerr gets pots happy. I
don't know what happened, and everything goes south. The lawyers
are down double digits the next time I blink, then
Files goes to the bench. They going like a twenty
five to seven run to go and win the game.
I mean, you don't got to be a rocket scientist, man.
I don't know why Steve Kurr loves odds. I have
no clue, but I'm happy they got the window.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm just gonna you know, I don't put a
lot of handicapping emphasis into plus minus Pods was minus
twenty one plus minus minus twenty one, the closest player
on Golden State to minus twenty one was Pat Spencer
minus three. So that's how bad he was. He was
eighteen points worse than anybody else on the floor.
Speaker 1: He's terrible, man. And the crazy part is like a
lot of times I don't even look at the plus minus.
You know, right, it'll be a game where he might
have a decent one and it's still a bad game.
Like I don't know, my eyes tell me they need
to go in a different direction. But let's talk about
some games for today. We already got that money on
the boarders yesterday. First game for today looks like Nixon
Pistons opened up minus two, looks like three three and
a half and total open two twenty three and a half.
We'll call it. I mean it's between two twenty and
two nineteen and a half now. And as far as
the injuries are concerned, Towns has been downgraded to doubtful,
A not going to be making his debut, McBride is
out and Annobe is questionable. Art is also questionable. For
the Pistons, it looks like Tobias Harris, Duncan Robinson both probable,
Jalen Duran is questionable, Sorry and Smith are both out.
The Pistons are on a back to back here Vino,
and the last time the Pistons played the Knicks, I'm
pretty sure they gave him a nice bank and they
won by like thirty. Oh. How do you think it's
going to turn out this time around?
Speaker 3: Yeah, one twenty one to ninety to be exact, and
it was in this building. So the Knicks with a
little bit of revenge. The Knicks playing really really well
at this point in time. The injury list, of course
a concern. I think those question marks will probably turn
into probables and Knicks will be.
Speaker 2: At full strength.
Speaker 3: I'll tell you what, Detroit better win this game after
what they did last night. I mean, they got beat
by Will Riley and the Wizards last night, and the
Pistons played guys. I mean the only guy that didn't
play was Tobias. I know we were in here yesterday
and Kate had a question mark next to him, but
he ended up going. Jalen Durran I guess came up
with a little bit of knee pain and you know,
only played thirteen minutes, so he left the game. He
didn't play play it out, maybe in anticipation of being.
Speaker 2: Ready for tonight.
Speaker 3: But the Pistons a team that I have said more
than once always comes to play, always gives you forty
eight minutes. They prove that they're just like the rest
of the NBA when they don't give a darn, they
don't give a darn.
Speaker 2: And last night it didn't seem like.
Speaker 3: They cared whatsoever to get beat by that combination of
players that the Wizards had and get beat pretty convincingly,
So I think obviously their attention was on tonight bigger game.
The money likes the Detroit side. They've come in strong
on the Pistons here, from two all the way up
to three and a half. Now. I find it a
little difficult to go against the Knicks the way they're
playing at this point in time. I know their home
road stuff has been drastically different, but as of late,
I think if I'm wrong, I'm pretty close. I think
the Knicks have eight wins in a row. You're only
asking them to win here, but Detroit obviously.
Speaker 2: A formidable opponent. I kind of like the angles with
New York here.
Speaker 3: I'll wait and see you to make sure everybody's in
the game, but I'm pretty sure they are. I think
it could be pretty safe in my shoes if you
want to take three and a half.
Speaker 2: Haven't done it yet, but I think that's the way
I would look Ski.
Speaker 1: I can help. But notice you didn't say anything about
the total. I know which direction you would prefer to go,
and the market is saying this one is one another way.
So I think it's going in the right direction. I'll
just say that, all right.
Speaker 2: Yeah, you know me if I don't think it's going over.
Speaker 3: Off the list, if I think there's any chance to
under it's not on the list today.
Speaker 1: We've been doing as long enough. You know. I think
I got a good idea here. Heat in Celtics opened
up six and a half looks like six to open
two twenty nine and a half looks like two twenty
seven and a half. And injury work Heroes out, Rosiers out,
Tatum is out, so pretty healthy honestly for both teams.
I'm pretty sure it's a big rest advantage, isn't it?
For the Heat. We gonna go you first on this one.
You know why I look it up. But yeah, two
days off for the heat Celtics, three days, three games
and four nights. What do you think about this one?
And Lussovich will start tonight.
Speaker 2: Yeah, important at least.
Speaker 3: Well, I mean I shouldn't say important because he hasn't
played a game with this team yet. But I just
feel like Vusovich is the kind of guy the role
that he plays, where he can adapt to any system,
play the truth. He's not a guy that needs the ball,
that's going to dominate the ball. He's very good as
far as being a so called point center. We talked
yesterday about how Billy Donovan, at points during his time
in Chicago Vusovich's time in Chicago described him as a
guy that they could run their offense through, whether it
be shot, pass or anything.
Speaker 2: Just get it to him.
Speaker 3: He make the right play, kind of like a poor
man's Jokic, where he makes the right play at the
free throw line if you get the ball into him. Boston, surprisingly, Ski,
they're really under the radar this year. They have the
second best point differential in the Eastern Conference. Their point
differential is better than Detroit's there In fact, in the
whole NBA, they're only second to OKC win games by
seven point three per pop. And that's more than what's
barely more than what you require to lay tonight. I
don't know here's one. Since we just talked about this,
let me tell you what I thought about this total
coming down A little surprised. I understand that Boston is
like the NBA's new touris, they don't want to run,
they go slow, but they're so efficient at scoring points.
Like I always say, I don't care if you have
six eight less possessions in a game if you score
on a huge amount of them.
Speaker 2: And that's really what Boston does, and I don't know
that Miami can stop that.
Speaker 3: The other side of the coin is just because Boston
wants to play their offense slow doesn't mean that my
he's not going to try and run and maybe for
short spurts in this game, get the tempo up a
little bit. I kind of think this game's going over.
Like you said earlier, Miami's really healthy now got Davion
Mitchell back. He was out for a couple of games
prior earlier this week and last week to twenty six
and a half, I feel like it's just you know,
a group of analytics, an analytics team just doing the
numbers and saying, man, this one can't get over. But
I kind of disagree. I think to twenty six and
a half here is a little bit low.
Speaker 1: I think I disagree here. Usually I would agree in
Miami Heat games because I know they like to play
with pace, But just lately they've been they've been just
letting teams do whatever they want from a three point line.
My teams have been just killing them wide open threes.
After having a couple of days off, I feel like
that would be a point of emphasis, like we got to,
you know, fix up some of his defense because you're
not gonna be able to overcome just you know, teams
hitting twenty three pointers every game, So if they're cleaning
up the defense makes me think that I like Under
a little bit more. Combining that with you said Boston
doesn't want to run, I'm seeing a little bit of
a lower scoring game. So we shall see. In this
one Pelicans and t Wolves, I think I missed the
one here, but we'll go to this one for now
and then I'll get back to the other one. I
think I forgot to do a banner. Actually, Pelicans and
t Wolves opened up minus ten and a half and
it's down to nine and a half. It is moving
right now. Are you getting injury news? Let me just
check here, what's going on. Let's refresh. Actually, I don't
see anything yet. The symbols questionable, Randall's questionable, Phillips questionable.
I'm not sure if Rando's on there earlier. What do
you think here of you know, do you think the
Timberwolves are worthy of laying close to double digits?
Speaker 3: Well, they've played them twice already this year and they
haven't beaten New Orleans by more than nine, so right
off the bat, and I don't think I looked at
these boxes this morning. I'm pretty sure I should dig
through my notes, but I'm pretty sure Zion didn't play
in either game, and New Orleans was within double digits
of Minnesota. And it just comes back to the fact
that Minnesota. We talked about it yesterday, whether it was
on air or off air, that Minnesota kind of plays
when they want to play, And I don't know, is
this an instance where they want to play maybe? But
New Orleans when they're right, it's kind of tough to shake.
And it's proven to be a pretty decent matchup for
them against this Minnesota team. So I don't think i'd
be too quick to run in lay points with the
Timberwolves here. That being said, I don't know that i'd
want to get caught in a game or Minnesota comes
out fired up and wins by fifteen either, So a
little bit scared on that. On that angle of the game.
Total wise, I could see points ski. I mean, it's
two thirty six and a half right now as I
look at is the common number across the board that
could be in a really good place. Though, two thirty
six and a half. I don't know that I'm too
thrilled with that number either. So for me, this one's
probably pass, and it's basically a pass, just because I
don't know what to do with Minnesota in certain situations anymore.
When I got bold and thought that they were turning
a corner, they shot me down. I didn't cash that night,
and for me to guess at how they're going to play,
see a few more nine and a half popping up
now on this game as it goes down from ten
and a half to ten to nine and a half.
Speaker 2: So something must be going on.
Speaker 1: That's what I'm thinking about. I don't see anything. I'm
trying to find it. I don't see anything. I will say,
I don't think the Timberwolves. Yeah, it's going down. It's
going as crashing. What does happen? All right? I'm sorry
because I was interested in Pelicans and this line is crashing,
and if we're going to get in, we need to
get in now. So what's happening? That's funny to know.
I don't see anything, but something is happening. Regardless, I
don't think that the Timberwolves do not deserve to be
laying as many points. Haven't been good in this role
all year. This one is on the move. I see
a nine and a half. I think I need to
take it, you know. Can you talk about it? I'll
take over in the head.
Speaker 2: Go ahead, yeah, take your time, get it in. That's
what we're here for.
Speaker 1: You can't talk yeash.
Speaker 3: Well, I wouldn't, only because they played this team twice
without Zion and they didn't win by ten either time,
and so it's hard to think that you know, with
their results that they care enough to go out and
win by two. Of all that being said, like I
said to you before, I get scared of this team.
Because here's the key. I won't play the game so
you'll be clear, because if I played.
Speaker 2: The Timberwolves game, it's been wrong.
Speaker 3: Have a hard time figuring them out the only way
I would play it if it were me. What's interesting,
SKI is the total hasn't gone anywhere, Like the game
price has come down, but the total has stayed the
same for the most part. I don't see a move
on this total anywhere, So maybe that's just an indicator
that that's I see nines.
Speaker 1: Now I'm checking. I'm checking my usual spot because I'm
saying a good number and it won't let me log in.
I did beat, yeah.
Speaker 3: Eat, having a really reputable big money spot now.
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, that's why I'm stopping. That's why I just
got it in because I already liked this and something
is happening to where it should be in my favor. Honestly,
I mean, it just boils down to the temper. Wolves
don't deserve to be laying. Like somebody asked me the
other day as I'm sitting this out, somebody asked me
the other day, like, why was I on the Grizzlies. Well,
a lot of it was I'm afraid of the Timberwolves.
I just you know, they haven't been consistent, haven't been
playing good basketball. They're not a believer in what's going
on over there. Too many points in this one. Nine
and a half is what I just got. Give me
a couple of seconds. There we go, boom, all right,
you know we should be you know how this this
new back end goes though.
Speaker 3: Oh yeah, yeah, yeah yeah.
Speaker 1: But at least I did see the comments the other
day and they said that they like when we stopped
the show to make bets. So at least that there
is that, you know, I'm happy I'm talking about.
Speaker 2: That back You've been a chick.
Speaker 3: You might have just put in a rugby player or something.
Speaker 1: Oh my god, I'm double checking. That's what's taking me
so long. But I pretty sure I am. I'm good.
I got publicans nine and a half. No, I'll deal
with it later. If something happens and I need to
address that bet, then I will. But I liked it earlier.
See any reason not to bet it? I did just
bet it, all right. People in chests say wolves are nothing, man.
I don't know, man, not for me, not for my money.
Grizzlies and Blazers. It did open up minus seven and
a half. Looks like eight and a half or nine.
Injury report, Denny's questionable, Murray's out titles out for the
Grizzlies pipping is questionable. Aldama ar Eedie, Ti Jerome and
John Renner out big difference in his line up here,
Todave you know, no Tie Jerome. He's been a big
part of why they've been playing so well the past
couple of games. Will they still be able to do
it without him here? Or it's this number of Blazers
minus eight and a half for a reason?
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's interesting because I think Scoot Henderson makes his
debut tonight in the Blazers lineup. Been out and now tonight.
I think I read this is gonna be his his
spot to step in and work himself into the lineup.
I tay you for me in this game Memphis Portland,
it would probably be over. But I think the biggest thing,
and I tell you all the time, I'm not really
a prop player in the NBA. It's not my lane.
But how Donovan Klinging doesn't clear his numbers? I know
you've been on him before. This is such a small
lineup that Memphis puts out on the floor tonight, Like,
how does Donovan Klingon not get fourteen boards and you know,
score sixteen points? I don't know, but his points and
rebounds total is But I know I'm going to investigate
it once we get done here and see if I
can make some money on him, because he should be
a one man show underneath against Memphis here tonight. Up
and down the floor for sure. The way they both
want to play. I know the Memphis guys get pretty
good effort. I just think they're so small in this
contest that Portland can have their way. They haven't been
a good home favorite. We talked about it, great home dog,
not a good home favorite. So who wants to lay
eight and a half with them? But just zeroing in
on Donavan Clinging, I feel like it's a good way
to go.
Speaker 1: Here, Casey says Clinging, and she says Scott.
Speaker 2: She mean she might mean Scoop.
Speaker 1: Yeah, Scoop did have good chemistry. She's saying there, Yeah,
that definitely could be a look. I wrote him down
on my list. I just we've held up the show
enough today. I'll just I'll look at it after. But
that is a good call out by you. He should
be able to do something or you know, have a
good game today. Last game on the slate, Clippers and Kings,
we are gonna go opener of three now three and
a half. No move on the total. Garland out, Jackson out,
Mathering out, So all the new additions still not ready
to play for the Clippers, for the Kings, so bonus
is questionable. Kigy Murray is out. I mean, I still
feel the same way about the Kings. I don't want
my money on them. They're gonna have to show me
some some form of life before I do anything as
far as taking the Kings. So for that reason, I'll
lean towards the Clippers here. If you know, what do
you think.
Speaker 2: I really want?
Speaker 3: Did you get there with some form of total, whether
it be full game total, Kings team total over. Don't
like the way that Clippers up is constructed here tonight
as far as offense is concerned, so I probably would
have leaned King's total over. They've got most of their
guys in and we know they're just a reckless team
that's gonna come down. Everybody's going to try and get theirs,
and maybe they can get theirs tonight against this Clippers
lineup while they try to put together the pieces after
the trade deadline is over.
Speaker 2: But it's nothing that I at skik.
Speaker 1: I'm sorry they did say, just now it came out
Matherin and Jackson expected to be available today.
Speaker 3: That makes a difference, at least in name. We don't
know how they fit in right, but certainly a name
and capability.
Speaker 2: It makes a little bit of a difference.
Speaker 3: For the Kings, real quick team total has been sporadic
four and three over their last seven, some games where
they're drastically under what they're asked to get tonight somewhere
they're well over it. So they're a hard team to
figure as well. Didn't play, But like I said, that's
the way I looked at first. I look towards a
King's team total over potentially a full game over simply
not because I and I said earlier, I don't like
the way that Clippers offense is constructed for this game,
But you can't like the King's defense in any way,
shape or form. So you know, just about anybody could
get out there and score on them.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree, I agree with that. I think we
did a pretty solid job here on the car. Rob
You know, now it's that time where we do our best.
Look through the car, see who might have that shot
actually went out right, but it has a good shot
to cover has a good shot to cover. But Mike
just went out right, that's.
Speaker 2: My don't.
Speaker 1: Do.
Speaker 3: That's my do.
Speaker 2: And anybody gotta say anything, you let me know.
Speaker 3: That's my doll.
Speaker 1: I know some dogs out there barking, Robb. You know,
w's direction are we going today?
Speaker 3: You know, every time I listen to that, I wonder
how Joe Ranierian Production came up with that, you know,
the narration and everything to that. It is, it's so good. Yeah,
we didn't talk about the game, Ski, but I don't know.
I'm probably dead wrong for putting my faith in the
slimmest underdog on the board here. But Milwaukee's played really
good the last two games. I mean, their offensive output
has been tremendous, and Indiana just has played so poorly
three and nineteen. I think on the road this year,
you're asking them to win when they've only won three
out of twenty two times. I don't know that that
can happen here. Line has shifted. There was Indiana money
they played against the Bucks, but I think the Bucks
were played against the last two times they took the
floor and they won them both. So I mean it's
probably some misguided faith here, Ski, But I think it's
more of a fade of the Pacers being on the
road with odds makers, you know, forcing them to win
a ball game, which they haven't done on the road
hardly at all.
Speaker 2: So I'll try.
Speaker 3: Milwaukee plus the one at home win the thing outright.
I guess money line would be the way you would
bet that to just get it now. You can't even
get a couple extra bucks. These book makers are one
point though. You're not gonna get anything extra. So take
your one, one and a half whatever you can get, play.
Speaker 1: The bucks, all right, good stuff from Vino and for
me for my dog. Today, we're gonna go with We're
gonna go with, as my gud Jay Money will say,
we're gonna turn the heat on today. We don't turn
the heat on today. We're going with Miami. I think
they have a chance to win this game. I mean,
you off and just look at well. I'll go back
to what we mentioned earlier. We talked about the total.
But Miami's been so poor defending the three. They're clearly
going to have a defensive emphasis on protecting the three,
and that's all Boston wants to do. Jack up threes.
It's also Boston who has to integrate a new player
right starting center Blusevic. It might be take some time
for that to get right. And just situationally, the Heat
have had two days off. Like I said, that gives
you time to work on what was going wrong last
time they played the Celtics, they lost to them. Give
them a chance to get some revenge bounce back from
their last game. Meanwhile, the Celtics coming off of a win,
you know, in a game they weren't even expected to
win their game before nine fourth and six, trying to
integrate a new player. I think the Heat are the
dog for this segment for me today. How can I
get back to Oh no, no, no, no, no no,
there we go, all right? You know, so let's do
a little bit of the promo stuff like we usually do.
Put this up there, ten days of all access for
the price of seven save sixty nine dollars. Good way
to get involved with either Vino or myself. And outside
of that, you know, I'm gonna put that best bet
up there. If you have one, we love to hear it.
If you don't, it's all good. And if you have
anything else you like to promote, feel free.
Speaker 2: Real quick.
Speaker 3: The only thing I'll promote here is for the company itself. Well,
let me just say real quick, for those interested in
the Super Bowl, I do have five percent best bet up.
Speaker 2: It's been up for quite a while now.
Speaker 3: If you're gonna play the Super Bowl on Sunday, you
can find my five percent blue chip at WT dot
buzz slash RV. And then secondly I'll say is we
turn the calendar to exclusively basketball college basketball tomorrow morning
for those who play college hoop, wait your talk last
eleven am to twelve am or twelve pm on the
East coast. That makes it eight to nine on the
West coast. Go over myself and Adam Trigger. I'm with
Kelly Stewart. We spend the last forty five minutes of
that show eleven to fifteen on discussing all the college
games that you guys are requested. We try to get
the most in as we can before tip off happens
at twelve noon, nine Pacific. So wait your talk last
call tomorrow Saturday morning for best bet here Ski. You know,
I kind of hope you're right. I kind of hope
Miami does win this game against Boston because if they do,
I think the game gets over I said it earlier.
I thought the line move was wrong. Down to two
twenty six and a half. If Miami wins, it's gonna
be with points. I don't think it's gonna be in
some defensive scrum for the for the heat. Generally, if
I see a heat game that's lined total wise beneath
like two thirty eight, immediately the antennas go up. Why
are we under two thirty eight and here we're about
twelve points less than that? So asking this game to
become you know, a one fifteen, one twelve something like that.
If Miami wins, I don't see any problem there. Boston
is a good shot making team, even if Miami does
show up their defense. So, like I said, Miami wins,
I think I'm in even better shape. So I'm gonna
play Miami Boston. I already have played Miami Boston. Best
bet over to twenty six and a half.
Speaker 1: Good stuff from Vino, No more problem. I'll just remind
everybody that basketball and college basketball keep chugging along. I
think I'm at like fifty five units for the season combined.
And also I don't know if Rod mentioned, but Rob's
been killing it. I said I was a name up
there on the last thirty days. You know he's doing
some good work too. My best bet for the shows.
Speaker 3: Were we ski really quick. We were so close on
that list. I looked at it like the number of plays,
the the wins and losses, the it's like we have
the same.
Speaker 2: Thing going on.
Speaker 1: We're sharing.
Speaker 2: Huh yeah, we're sharing.
Speaker 1: Here. If that's what's working, I mean, however, we got
to do it. Let's keep that record going, all right.
The best bet for me, I am gonna go with
what we just talked about, Timber. We just simply don't
deserve to lay. That's just what it is. I mean,
that's why I stopped to show. That's why I bet
it because as a favorite, I know of more than
seven they are ten fourteen ats. I don't know. I
mean Repelicans have came down to nine and a half,
that we're ten and a half earlier. But I mean
as a double digit underdog, Pelicans are eleven and five ats.
It's been the road they've been thriving in all year.
It's too many points in my mind here, So I
don't think the nine and a half will stay there.
I don't think. I think that means Randall's probably not
gonna play. But regardless, like I said, too many points
in this one, we'll take the Pelicans plus nine and
a half. That's the best bet for the show, all right.
You know, I always like to let should know that
I appreciate you taking the time to catch these games
and do the show with me. Helps my process. I'm
sure it helps everybody else as well. People in the chat,
we appreciate you good people, good cappers, and we're always
trying to help you other get to the window. So
best of luck, everybody. We didn't talk super Bowl, but
hey man, I got the super Bowl package. I don't
feel like talking about it anymore. I'm super bowled out.
I got to talk about it one more time anyway.
But Youno, I'm sure you have your super Bowl stuff
up too, And yeah, we'll catch you guys. We'll talk
about the super Bowl on Monday. So best of luck, everybody.
We'll talk to you day.