1 00:00:00,680 --> 00:00:03,560 Speaker 1: Three two one. 2 00:00:04,280 --> 00:00:08,320 Speaker 2: You all welcome to the best sports betting show on 3 00:00:08,359 --> 00:00:10,880 the planet. This is Wager Talk Today. I am your host, 4 00:00:10,960 --> 00:00:16,519 Andy Lang. We are diving deep today into college football. 5 00:00:16,640 --> 00:00:19,120 Jesse's going to join us talk a couple of teams 6 00:00:19,199 --> 00:00:21,879 in the Big Twelve. We're going to talk about attacking 7 00:00:21,920 --> 00:00:25,399 the second half of the MLB season, and we're going 8 00:00:25,440 --> 00:00:28,440 to do some bankroll resets. Are gonna show you how 9 00:00:28,440 --> 00:00:31,839 we're going to attack the the betting markets, at least 10 00:00:31,839 --> 00:00:33,920 how I am with this new tax law. So we'll 11 00:00:33,920 --> 00:00:35,560 talk about that at the end, and then we're gonna 12 00:00:35,560 --> 00:00:38,439 do the very difficult Raiders seven and a half season 13 00:00:38,439 --> 00:00:40,920 win total. And Andrew McGinnis is going to give us 14 00:00:41,039 --> 00:00:46,000 some CFL looks and a free play. Happy Wednesday, everybody, 15 00:00:46,359 --> 00:00:50,039 hope five dollars Tuesday treated everybody good. Hit the like 16 00:00:50,119 --> 00:00:53,039 button and subscribe to the channel. I mean, we're like 17 00:00:53,439 --> 00:00:56,600 a few people away from two hundred and ten thousand subscribers. 18 00:00:56,600 --> 00:01:00,200 We're almost there, almost there, And we have a couple winners. 19 00:01:00,679 --> 00:01:03,119 Speaker 1: Dan, you want to do the winners of the of 20 00:01:03,159 --> 00:01:04,480 the the flex pass. 21 00:01:04,719 --> 00:01:07,400 Speaker 3: Oh, I love that right out the game, you know, 22 00:01:07,560 --> 00:01:11,959 it gives some people some excitement. Reasons to comment below, Baby. 23 00:01:12,120 --> 00:01:13,040 Speaker 1: Yeah, absolutely so. 24 00:01:13,519 --> 00:01:17,480 Speaker 2: I had some really really good comments Chris, you were 25 00:01:17,480 --> 00:01:18,400 the random winner. 26 00:01:18,480 --> 00:01:21,560 Speaker 1: I love the OVA. Oh v a h I love it. 27 00:01:22,000 --> 00:01:25,239 Speaker 2: And then the comment with the wife being the suffering 28 00:01:25,319 --> 00:01:29,879 Giants fan. That's always going to have our attention. Uh So, 29 00:01:30,480 --> 00:01:34,319 user name Tommy point us your name, Johnny. Congratulations, you 30 00:01:34,359 --> 00:01:35,920 guys are the big winners for these. 31 00:01:35,879 --> 00:01:39,519 Speaker 3: And Andy, uh you you were correct, you were you 32 00:01:39,519 --> 00:01:41,319 were saying, I feel like we're gonna see a lot 33 00:01:41,319 --> 00:01:44,560 of Giants unders. I think there were like three comments 34 00:01:44,599 --> 00:01:47,799 about Giants overs, but yeah, they win three days of 35 00:01:47,840 --> 00:01:50,439 flex picks men, And it's that easy. You watch the 36 00:01:50,439 --> 00:01:52,560 show here, you're joining us live. We love doing the 37 00:01:52,560 --> 00:01:55,480 live chat with you. Comment below after the video goes, 38 00:01:55,799 --> 00:01:58,799 comment with your wager Talk username and boom, you're automatically 39 00:01:58,959 --> 00:02:01,760 entered in to win some some free action here from 40 00:02:01,760 --> 00:02:04,599 wager Talking. Sometimes we do the swag giveaways to Andy. 41 00:02:04,680 --> 00:02:07,799 So more reasons than ever to join that conversation below 42 00:02:07,920 --> 00:02:09,560 and make sure you subscribe. 43 00:02:09,560 --> 00:02:13,000 Speaker 2: Baby, absolutely so. Congratulations to you guys. See we're already 44 00:02:13,000 --> 00:02:15,680 giving out winners. All right, let's bring in Giohnny, Let's 45 00:02:15,680 --> 00:02:19,400 talk Steam Report. Johnny Happy Wednesday. 46 00:02:19,639 --> 00:02:21,800 Speaker 1: How are you never better? 47 00:02:21,840 --> 00:02:22,080 Speaker 4: Brother? 48 00:02:22,120 --> 00:02:25,639 Speaker 5: Coming off a nice easy fin dollar winner over over 49 00:02:26,000 --> 00:02:30,719 in the All Star Game. Also hit our NBA hit 50 00:02:30,759 --> 00:02:32,879 our time. I think I swept last night, perfect three 51 00:02:32,960 --> 00:02:36,680 and zero. I love this time of year. It's great 52 00:02:36,719 --> 00:02:40,439 to find those other markets already. Subscribers you should have received. 53 00:02:40,759 --> 00:02:44,120 We have pending ranked now. There's a tennis play that 54 00:02:44,159 --> 00:02:47,159 I gave out yesterday that's for free. That's also available 55 00:02:47,240 --> 00:02:51,000 up on the free page site at wager Talk. I 56 00:02:51,120 --> 00:02:54,199 sent out a golf play and a tennis play, so 57 00:02:54,240 --> 00:02:58,560 we have two golf I mean two tennis and a 58 00:02:58,599 --> 00:03:03,639 golf play. I added also another free premium today that's 59 00:03:03,719 --> 00:03:06,800 available for you guys, a four percent another four percenter, 60 00:03:07,520 --> 00:03:10,560 this one I believe is in golf that I release. 61 00:03:11,840 --> 00:03:14,719 We also bet a dog in tennis, and I gave 62 00:03:14,759 --> 00:03:19,639 out four NBA Summer League already perfect again in Summer 63 00:03:19,719 --> 00:03:23,639 League yesterday. So uh yeah, like I said, these smaller markets, man, 64 00:03:23,680 --> 00:03:26,520 that's where the money is. I know, it's the break 65 00:03:26,560 --> 00:03:29,120 with with with baseball, and people are kind of taking 66 00:03:29,159 --> 00:03:31,680 all these few days. But as you could see, I'm 67 00:03:31,680 --> 00:03:35,039 not even changing. I'm just in work gear these next 68 00:03:35,080 --> 00:03:35,960 few days. 69 00:03:35,800 --> 00:03:36,719 Speaker 1: It's a good. 70 00:03:36,520 --> 00:03:39,639 Speaker 5: Opportunity to make money. Like I said, all star breaks 71 00:03:39,759 --> 00:03:41,919 good good, good time, good time makes some money. 72 00:03:43,199 --> 00:03:44,919 Speaker 1: Any steam that we should note. 73 00:03:44,960 --> 00:03:47,159 Speaker 2: I know we got a w NBA game that's just 74 00:03:47,199 --> 00:03:50,599 tipped off, and we got Summer League, we got tennis. 75 00:03:50,639 --> 00:03:53,120 As you mentioned UFC, I haven't seen too much movement 76 00:03:53,159 --> 00:03:55,639 in UFC lines anything of note today. 77 00:03:56,039 --> 00:03:56,280 Speaker 6: Yeah. 78 00:03:56,360 --> 00:03:59,039 Speaker 5: In w NBA Atlanta got hit early. That line just 79 00:03:59,080 --> 00:04:02,360 moved way too quickly and way too significantly. Probably somebody 80 00:04:02,439 --> 00:04:06,280 wasn't playing, but Atlanta did get early steam as well 81 00:04:06,319 --> 00:04:09,159 as the under. So Atlanta and under in that early game. 82 00:04:09,400 --> 00:04:11,599 If you see anything that offers a little bit of value, 83 00:04:11,639 --> 00:04:14,879 live just not that's the sharp side Atlanta and the under. 84 00:04:15,400 --> 00:04:18,680 Also Minnesota later on Minnesota minus eight and a half, 85 00:04:18,720 --> 00:04:23,240 Minnesota minus nine in WNBA action, and also the under 86 00:04:23,399 --> 00:04:24,759 from one fifty eight and a half all the way 87 00:04:24,800 --> 00:04:28,759 down the one fifty seven under, Golden State and Seattle. 88 00:04:29,360 --> 00:04:34,920 That's what has gotten hit so far in WNBA action. Again, 89 00:04:35,000 --> 00:04:37,480 like I said, the early game, Atlanta and the under. 90 00:04:37,560 --> 00:04:40,199 I was able to get down for the groups that 91 00:04:40,519 --> 00:04:43,519 I moved that for, but the line just moved too quickly. 92 00:04:43,519 --> 00:04:46,319 So unfortunately subscribers that's why you haven't got WNBA. 93 00:04:46,399 --> 00:04:47,160 Speaker 4: Don't be pissed. 94 00:04:47,439 --> 00:04:49,240 Speaker 5: If we weren't getting the good numbers, I'm not going 95 00:04:49,319 --> 00:04:51,720 to send them out. And the number on Atlanta and 96 00:04:51,759 --> 00:04:54,399 even the under was just was gone by the time, 97 00:04:55,079 --> 00:04:57,040 you know, I saw in the way to talk back 98 00:04:57,120 --> 00:05:00,519 end the line had just moved too much. In so League, 99 00:05:00,519 --> 00:05:03,279 like I said, I released four plays two subscribers already. 100 00:05:03,920 --> 00:05:06,720 I'll give you guys one of the premiums here. Uh, 101 00:05:07,519 --> 00:05:10,319 Brooklyn we took. I'll give you Brooklyn because we took Brooklyn, 102 00:05:10,439 --> 00:05:14,199 started taking Brooklyn at plus two, took the nets, and 103 00:05:14,240 --> 00:05:17,439 then took the nets on the money line as well simultaneously. 104 00:05:17,959 --> 00:05:19,720 When they went to pick them, we laid the pick 105 00:05:19,800 --> 00:05:22,240 and laid the minus one as well, and even had 106 00:05:22,240 --> 00:05:24,879 some Brooklyn money line. So Brooklyn got bet as a 107 00:05:24,920 --> 00:05:27,240 dog and even got bet as a slight favorite of 108 00:05:27,279 --> 00:05:30,439 a pick them minus one. So laid a little juice 109 00:05:30,480 --> 00:05:34,839 there after getting two on Brooklyn, and uh, like I said, 110 00:05:34,959 --> 00:05:38,079 Summer League, that the lines moved pretty quickly there. As 111 00:05:38,160 --> 00:05:40,319 you can see the Brooklyn I think now they're probably 112 00:05:40,319 --> 00:05:42,560 like two point favorites. We started betting the when they 113 00:05:42,560 --> 00:05:46,600 were two point dogs. That's sharp and uh Summer League 114 00:05:46,759 --> 00:05:49,199 and maybe I'll add another free play. Like I said, 115 00:05:49,480 --> 00:05:52,560 four came in so far. But these groups are starting 116 00:05:52,560 --> 00:05:56,439 to bet the Summer League as I speak, and hopefully 117 00:05:56,439 --> 00:05:59,720 we get some confirmation in w n B A because 118 00:05:59,720 --> 00:06:01,519 so far or it's just been Minnesota and the under 119 00:06:01,560 --> 00:06:02,560 in Golden State. 120 00:06:02,360 --> 00:06:06,759 Speaker 6: Seattle, nothing really in MMA yet. 121 00:06:07,160 --> 00:06:09,160 Speaker 5: In the UFC, I think that will start to pick 122 00:06:09,279 --> 00:06:15,759 up probably tomorrow and uh Friday, and that's usually when 123 00:06:15,800 --> 00:06:18,600 the bulk of the action comes in and you start 124 00:06:18,600 --> 00:06:21,399 seeing some of the bigger line moves in the UFC. 125 00:06:21,560 --> 00:06:25,040 I haven't seen really anything too significantly other than Max 126 00:06:25,079 --> 00:06:29,839 Holloway moving the line moving in his favor, which I expected. Again, 127 00:06:29,959 --> 00:06:33,319 Dustin opened as the favorite, that didn't last very long 128 00:06:33,360 --> 00:06:36,399 at all. That line flipped immediately to where Max was 129 00:06:36,439 --> 00:06:38,600 the favorite, and since then he's getting a little bit 130 00:06:38,639 --> 00:06:41,639 of money. But don't don't be surprised if this line 131 00:06:41,680 --> 00:06:44,920 comes way back. I think the Dustin betters just haven't 132 00:06:44,959 --> 00:06:47,759 gotten to the window yet. I think they'll start speaking 133 00:06:47,759 --> 00:06:50,040 probably Friday and Saturday, because again, if you've seen the 134 00:06:50,079 --> 00:06:52,720 line move up, he could have got plus one ten yesterday, 135 00:06:52,759 --> 00:06:55,240 but you get plus one fifteen, one twenty today. You're 136 00:06:55,279 --> 00:06:57,920 gonna wait and see if you get twenty five or 137 00:06:57,920 --> 00:07:00,800 one thirty tomorrow. So I think the dust money is 138 00:07:00,839 --> 00:07:02,959 still going to come in. And I'm a little bit 139 00:07:03,000 --> 00:07:07,240 surprised to see Ega just continuing to get bet. I 140 00:07:07,279 --> 00:07:09,120 was surprised that he got hit at minus one eighty, 141 00:07:09,199 --> 00:07:11,079 but the fact that he's getting hit at minus two hundred, 142 00:07:11,160 --> 00:07:14,319 minus two ten and I'm seeing minus two twenty in 143 00:07:14,959 --> 00:07:17,600 a shop like ben online, who I respect a lot 144 00:07:17,639 --> 00:07:21,920 when it comes to MMA. Uh, yeah, Ega is getting 145 00:07:21,959 --> 00:07:24,879 blasted for some reason. And again Pitbull looked as bad 146 00:07:24,920 --> 00:07:27,480 as you could possibly look, So I think there's a 147 00:07:27,480 --> 00:07:29,120 little recency bias to that price. 148 00:07:30,040 --> 00:07:30,240 Speaker 2: Yeah. 149 00:07:30,319 --> 00:07:33,199 Speaker 1: The WNBA game, Atkins and Angel Reese were ruled out. 150 00:07:33,240 --> 00:07:33,639 That's why. 151 00:07:33,959 --> 00:07:37,199 Speaker 2: That's why that play got That play got hit really hard. 152 00:07:37,279 --> 00:07:38,959 So if you guys are watching it live and you 153 00:07:38,959 --> 00:07:41,000 want to live bet, you could look at Cardoza over 154 00:07:41,040 --> 00:07:43,560 her rebounds. She only has one to start the game, 155 00:07:43,600 --> 00:07:45,759 but her total was nine and a half. She's going 156 00:07:45,839 --> 00:07:47,560 to be the big playing most of the minutes. So 157 00:07:48,600 --> 00:07:51,800 Brian ass was asking about any regular season win totals 158 00:07:51,800 --> 00:07:54,879 that you have in your eye on Gianni by the way, 159 00:07:54,920 --> 00:07:58,279 your your your proclamation about the Tigers. I think they 160 00:07:58,319 --> 00:08:03,160 lost four in a row to take it down to 161 00:08:03,199 --> 00:08:04,079 sixty point eight. 162 00:08:04,720 --> 00:08:07,040 Speaker 1: So, uh, that's where it is. 163 00:08:07,240 --> 00:08:08,439 Speaker 5: It's not like I'm a psychic. 164 00:08:08,480 --> 00:08:10,839 Speaker 4: It's just it's the we see it every year. It's 165 00:08:10,959 --> 00:08:12,920 just the repeat. Why you got to change. 166 00:08:13,240 --> 00:08:14,399 Speaker 6: Nothing's going to change. 167 00:08:14,639 --> 00:08:16,959 Speaker 5: And everybody's been bashing me all about Detroit. 168 00:08:17,000 --> 00:08:17,360 Speaker 1: Detroit. 169 00:08:17,360 --> 00:08:18,560 Speaker 5: They keep winning, they keep winning. 170 00:08:18,639 --> 00:08:20,600 Speaker 4: Just just let's see where it ends. 171 00:08:20,680 --> 00:08:23,120 Speaker 5: Let's see where it ends, how it all turns out. 172 00:08:23,720 --> 00:08:28,839 I'm trying to find season win totals for second half 173 00:08:28,879 --> 00:08:29,839 and I just don't. 174 00:08:29,879 --> 00:08:30,879 Speaker 4: I'm not seeing them. 175 00:08:31,399 --> 00:08:35,000 Speaker 2: Okay, I got all DraftKings. Uh so maybe maybe we'll 176 00:08:35,000 --> 00:08:36,759 do that topic tomorrow if you can find them. 177 00:08:37,240 --> 00:08:40,120 Speaker 5: Yeah, because like again, none of my uh I can't 178 00:08:40,120 --> 00:08:44,759 bet it. Like again, I have something those those those books, 179 00:08:44,759 --> 00:08:47,080 but I use them for some live stuff. I'm not 180 00:08:47,120 --> 00:08:49,399 going to bet this ship, excuse me, like to get 181 00:08:49,879 --> 00:08:53,039 it flagged off of that stuff for like DraftKings or fanduels. 182 00:08:53,960 --> 00:08:56,639 But yeah, even my my off screen outs don't have 183 00:08:57,159 --> 00:08:59,399 second half season win totals. And I just keep hitting 184 00:08:59,480 --> 00:09:02,240 refreshed because I have my numbers already my guy sent 185 00:09:02,320 --> 00:09:04,799 it to me where he expects all these team to 186 00:09:04,840 --> 00:09:08,039 finish when the dust settles. He made his adjust you know, 187 00:09:08,159 --> 00:09:12,480 all his updates at heading into the break. But yeah, 188 00:09:12,679 --> 00:09:14,120 hopefully we have some of the more and it we 189 00:09:14,159 --> 00:09:16,639 could go over. I'll make sure I look for even 190 00:09:16,679 --> 00:09:19,000 if the draftking ones, I'll even pull those up and 191 00:09:19,039 --> 00:09:21,480 give you some that I think of offer up some value 192 00:09:21,519 --> 00:09:22,279 for you guys. 193 00:09:22,279 --> 00:09:24,399 Speaker 1: All right? That all right, Brian, Well we'll do a little. 194 00:09:24,200 --> 00:09:28,279 Speaker 2: Bit more deep dive on that tomorrow. So Giohnny, congratulations 195 00:09:28,279 --> 00:09:29,399 on the five dollars play. 196 00:09:29,519 --> 00:09:33,879 Speaker 1: Nice sweep. What do you have up for clients today? 197 00:09:34,000 --> 00:09:34,360 Speaker 4: All right? 198 00:09:34,399 --> 00:09:37,679 Speaker 5: We got our UFC package up. The five percent is 199 00:09:37,720 --> 00:09:38,480 already in there. 200 00:09:38,559 --> 00:09:39,320 Speaker 4: Love that play. 201 00:09:40,000 --> 00:09:45,279 Speaker 5: That's already up and a valuable I have my NFL 202 00:09:45,840 --> 00:09:48,679 season win Totals and Futures package, and I combined it 203 00:09:48,720 --> 00:09:51,159 with college football, so it's just one package, NFL and 204 00:09:51,200 --> 00:09:54,720 college football season win Totals and futures. Like I said, 205 00:09:54,759 --> 00:09:56,919 stuff will just be coming in there as I confirm 206 00:09:57,159 --> 00:09:59,799 confirm the first college football season win total that went 207 00:09:59,840 --> 00:10:02,639 out already to subscribers. We'll have some more between now 208 00:10:02,919 --> 00:10:06,639 and kick off of the first weekend of college football 209 00:10:06,679 --> 00:10:11,039 and NFL, And again there's just I can't package up 210 00:10:11,120 --> 00:10:13,840 the NBA Summer League because the lines, you're just not 211 00:10:13,879 --> 00:10:15,120 going to be able to get the lions, Like, if 212 00:10:15,159 --> 00:10:17,399 you're not a subscriber, you're not going to get the lines. 213 00:10:17,440 --> 00:10:19,759 We have enough time to get down, but you don't 214 00:10:19,759 --> 00:10:21,919 have more than like fifteen minutes or so. The lines 215 00:10:21,919 --> 00:10:24,200 are going to really really start moving, so unfortunately you 216 00:10:24,200 --> 00:10:27,000 can't put them in a package. But baseball is almost 217 00:10:27,039 --> 00:10:29,519 back and we'll have daily packages up again. 218 00:10:29,919 --> 00:10:30,799 Speaker 4: I'm sure they got. 219 00:10:30,639 --> 00:10:34,600 Speaker 5: Some long term special for you guys, because we're running 220 00:10:34,600 --> 00:10:37,200 hot right now and really excited about the second half 221 00:10:37,200 --> 00:10:38,919 of baseball and football ahead. 222 00:10:39,679 --> 00:10:42,279 Speaker 2: All right, great stuff Giohnny the Greek go check him 223 00:10:42,320 --> 00:10:43,600 out at Where's your Talk? 224 00:10:44,120 --> 00:10:44,919 Speaker 1: Happy Wednesday? 225 00:10:45,360 --> 00:10:49,200 Speaker 2: Continued success Johnny, So Arius asking give the numbers of 226 00:10:49,200 --> 00:10:51,120 what a one percent five per cent play looks like 227 00:10:51,159 --> 00:10:53,879 in terms of bank world management. Yes, Arius, I will 228 00:10:53,879 --> 00:10:56,519 do that at the end. We've kind of forgotten to 229 00:10:56,519 --> 00:10:58,399 do that last week, so I will get back to 230 00:10:58,480 --> 00:10:59,919 showing you guys some bankroll management. 231 00:11:00,000 --> 00:11:02,320 Speaker 1: I'll show you my bank roll. I'll show you what 232 00:11:02,360 --> 00:11:02,960 we did with. 233 00:11:02,879 --> 00:11:05,440 Speaker 2: Our bets last week, how we lowered the volume, and 234 00:11:05,639 --> 00:11:07,759 we'll talk about the percentages and the flat betting. 235 00:11:07,799 --> 00:11:11,480 Speaker 1: So yes, absolutely we will go over that. So let's 236 00:11:11,519 --> 00:11:12,639 go all around the world here. 237 00:11:12,759 --> 00:11:14,559 Speaker 2: Let's do some free plays, and I'm gonna give you 238 00:11:14,559 --> 00:11:18,039 a free play that I'm guessing is in a sport 239 00:11:18,200 --> 00:11:22,919 that we have never mentioned at all. So I'm very 240 00:11:22,960 --> 00:11:26,679 excited about this one, Dan, But let's start with MLS. 241 00:11:26,759 --> 00:11:29,960 We'll go Chicago at Atlanta. This this comes from Nick Borman. 242 00:11:30,840 --> 00:11:33,559 We're gonna do a parlay both teams to score plus 243 00:11:33,639 --> 00:11:34,240 the over two. 244 00:11:34,200 --> 00:11:34,679 Speaker 1: And a half. 245 00:11:35,159 --> 00:11:39,639 Speaker 2: Chicago eleven for eleven on this particular play this season, 246 00:11:39,720 --> 00:11:41,960 so can't beat that. And then the last two home 247 00:11:42,000 --> 00:11:44,639 games for Atlanta they've scored seven and they've given up four. 248 00:11:44,919 --> 00:11:47,120 They haven't done a lot on offense last couple of games, 249 00:11:47,159 --> 00:11:49,840 but those are on the road, so Atlanta's back at home, 250 00:11:49,960 --> 00:11:52,320 so look for both teams to score plus over two 251 00:11:52,360 --> 00:11:55,080 and a half. NASCAR, we're going with Alex Bowman to 252 00:11:55,120 --> 00:11:56,799 finish in the top ten. He's had a couple of 253 00:11:56,799 --> 00:12:00,080 lousy finishes this track. He loves This is Dove for 254 00:12:00,240 --> 00:12:02,399 fifth and eighth last two races here, and he has 255 00:12:02,440 --> 00:12:05,879 several top ten finishes at track similar to this one, 256 00:12:05,919 --> 00:12:07,840 so you can get that one at minus one fifteen. 257 00:12:08,759 --> 00:12:13,120 And yes, I'm playing a power slap play. This is 258 00:12:13,120 --> 00:12:17,039 a parlay piece. His name is Emmanuel Moonees and he 259 00:12:17,159 --> 00:12:20,559 is fantastic. He's only got two recent losses. They were 260 00:12:20,600 --> 00:12:21,919 split decision losses. 261 00:12:22,279 --> 00:12:24,799 Speaker 1: I thought he won one of them. And he's facing a. 262 00:12:24,799 --> 00:12:28,120 Speaker 2: Guy who's one in two in power slap. Moonies is 263 00:12:28,759 --> 00:12:31,320 one of the best. He's got an iron chin and 264 00:12:31,360 --> 00:12:34,200 he hits like a truck. This guy, he's this guy 265 00:12:34,240 --> 00:12:37,159 he's facing is completely overmatch. So you won a parlay piece. 266 00:12:37,440 --> 00:12:40,960 Take a look at Emanuel Moone's in power Slap. So, yes, 267 00:12:41,039 --> 00:12:46,799 those are your free plays. You're welcome everybody for the 268 00:12:46,840 --> 00:12:50,120 power slap content. All right, we put something together special 269 00:12:50,159 --> 00:12:52,679 for the All Star break here, guys, just for the viewers, 270 00:12:52,919 --> 00:12:56,320 it's full season access to both NFL and college football. 271 00:12:56,720 --> 00:13:00,360 Speaker 1: This gets you every football play all the way through. 272 00:13:00,200 --> 00:13:03,320 Speaker 2: The Super Bowl and National Championship. It's locked down for 273 00:13:03,639 --> 00:13:06,240 seven seventy seven and if you want to add the 274 00:13:06,279 --> 00:13:09,360 rest of MLB with that, only ninety nine dollars. 275 00:13:09,440 --> 00:13:10,320 Speaker 1: It's less than a. 276 00:13:10,320 --> 00:13:14,559 Speaker 2: Dollar a day three Sports one price. This is the 277 00:13:14,600 --> 00:13:16,720 early bird special on football. So if you know you're 278 00:13:16,759 --> 00:13:19,919 gonna get football, might as well lock it in right now. 279 00:13:19,919 --> 00:13:22,000 That way, you can take advantage of the second half 280 00:13:22,120 --> 00:13:25,039 of MLB season with your favorite capper. So again, NFL 281 00:13:25,120 --> 00:13:28,600 College Football, this is the All Star Break special. Add 282 00:13:28,639 --> 00:13:31,559 the second half of MLB for under one dollar per 283 00:13:31,639 --> 00:13:34,600 day any handicapper that is on the deals page over 284 00:13:34,679 --> 00:13:37,120 at wager talk dot com. 285 00:13:37,240 --> 00:13:39,519 Speaker 1: All right, let's bring in Andrew Beginnis. We got to 286 00:13:39,559 --> 00:13:42,480 get our we gotta get our CFL fixed in here. 287 00:13:42,559 --> 00:13:46,200 Speaker 2: So, Andrew, how would you say the CFL season is 288 00:13:47,320 --> 00:13:49,279 kind of progressing here? Do we have the haves the 289 00:13:49,320 --> 00:13:52,200 have nots? Do we have a runaway favorite? What's your 290 00:13:52,240 --> 00:13:54,399 take so far? What are we week seven? 291 00:13:55,360 --> 00:13:55,960 Speaker 6: Week seven? 292 00:13:56,600 --> 00:13:57,320 Speaker 1: Yeah, weird. 293 00:13:57,519 --> 00:14:00,320 Speaker 7: We're officially a third of the way through this and 294 00:14:00,399 --> 00:14:03,440 so far, Andy, I say the takeaway for this season 295 00:14:03,519 --> 00:14:08,080 would be the parody we thought we had going into 296 00:14:08,080 --> 00:14:10,559 this year, and we were kind of talking up going 297 00:14:10,559 --> 00:14:14,639 into this season just isn't really there as much. There's 298 00:14:14,679 --> 00:14:17,519 the bottom feeders, there's the middle class, and then there's 299 00:14:17,519 --> 00:14:20,000 the top of the top. There's been some surprise teams 300 00:14:20,039 --> 00:14:23,080 like the Calgary Stampeders, and some teams have played better 301 00:14:23,120 --> 00:14:25,879 than we expected maybe, but when it ultimately comes down 302 00:14:25,919 --> 00:14:28,679 to it, we expected more from some of the bottom 303 00:14:28,720 --> 00:14:31,879 teams this year and so far, the Red Blacks, the 304 00:14:32,000 --> 00:14:35,519 Edmonton Elks, same old, same old teams here. So but 305 00:14:35,639 --> 00:14:38,639 everyone's saying dog days of Summer the most quiet week 306 00:14:38,679 --> 00:14:42,200 in sports. I got a game Thursday, Friday, Saturday, Sunday 307 00:14:42,200 --> 00:14:45,679 in the CFL. I'm excited about it. You get me excited, 308 00:14:45,720 --> 00:14:47,799 and you talk about the all around the world segment 309 00:14:47,799 --> 00:14:49,600 because I never know what the hell's sport you're going 310 00:14:49,679 --> 00:14:52,919 to talk about and get out there a power slap replay. 311 00:14:53,000 --> 00:14:54,759 I mean, I love it. And this is the best part. 312 00:14:54,960 --> 00:14:57,639 I mean, we had Giohnny talking about it. There's always 313 00:14:57,639 --> 00:15:00,519 something going on right now in sports, always something talk about. 314 00:15:01,279 --> 00:15:04,360 Speaker 2: Well, let's talk a little bit about a specific play here. 315 00:15:04,360 --> 00:15:06,080 We're going to take a look at the rough Riders 316 00:15:06,399 --> 00:15:09,919 in the BC Lions. What is your take on this game? 317 00:15:11,320 --> 00:15:14,200 Speaker 7: Andy, I always want to give out plays that everybody 318 00:15:14,240 --> 00:15:16,240 else is able to get down on it. As of 319 00:15:16,320 --> 00:15:20,240 late the past few years, props and team totals overall 320 00:15:20,320 --> 00:15:24,480 have become more and more available in the CFL betting marketplace. 321 00:15:24,559 --> 00:15:26,759 So in this one, we're going to look at over 322 00:15:26,799 --> 00:15:30,600 twenty six and a half team total for the BC Lions. 323 00:15:30,600 --> 00:15:32,960 When I look at this Lions team, well, they've had 324 00:15:32,960 --> 00:15:33,799 a tough schedule. 325 00:15:33,919 --> 00:15:34,120 Speaker 6: You know. 326 00:15:34,360 --> 00:15:36,320 Speaker 7: I really had a lot of faith in them coming 327 00:15:36,360 --> 00:15:39,759 into this year. But the only easy games they've had 328 00:15:39,759 --> 00:15:42,519 this year are against the exact same team, two games 329 00:15:43,120 --> 00:15:48,399 against the Edmonton Elks. Other than that, they've played Winnipeg twice, 330 00:15:48,559 --> 00:15:52,399 they've played Saskatchewan already, and they played the Montreal Alouettes 331 00:15:52,440 --> 00:15:54,360 where they came back and had to win that game 332 00:15:54,480 --> 00:15:55,440 by just one point. 333 00:15:55,519 --> 00:15:58,039 Speaker 6: So when I look at this team, I. 334 00:15:57,960 --> 00:15:59,600 Speaker 7: Feel like they're about to go on a role and 335 00:15:59,639 --> 00:16:02,000 I feel like their offense maybe doesn't even look as 336 00:16:02,039 --> 00:16:04,960 good so far than they're capable of just based on 337 00:16:05,000 --> 00:16:07,360 their schedule. And don't get me wrong, I know it's 338 00:16:07,440 --> 00:16:10,240 only a nine team league, so how easy could their 339 00:16:10,240 --> 00:16:12,840 schedule have been? But they haven't really had too many 340 00:16:12,879 --> 00:16:15,799 easy games. Now they're coming off a game against the 341 00:16:15,919 --> 00:16:19,399 Elks where they put up thirty two points, and across 342 00:16:19,480 --> 00:16:23,279 all sports at CFL, NFL, NBA, NHL, whatever it might be, 343 00:16:23,720 --> 00:16:26,200 there's two ways that I approach when a team is 344 00:16:26,200 --> 00:16:30,200 coming off a victory over a really bad team. Is 345 00:16:30,240 --> 00:16:32,720 it a team that could have used a confidence boost? 346 00:16:33,080 --> 00:16:35,519 Is it a spot where they could have used momentum? 347 00:16:35,879 --> 00:16:38,840 And if so, I think they used that momentum to 348 00:16:38,960 --> 00:16:41,679 roll into their next game. But if it was a 349 00:16:41,720 --> 00:16:45,159 team that had all kinds of momentum beforehand and then 350 00:16:45,200 --> 00:16:47,960 they played a bad team, maybe they could slow the 351 00:16:48,039 --> 00:16:50,440 role a little bit and like Marco says, get a 352 00:16:50,480 --> 00:16:52,759 little bit too fat and sassy. But this was a 353 00:16:52,840 --> 00:16:56,279 Lion's team that needed an ego boost, needed a confidence boost, 354 00:16:56,600 --> 00:16:58,919 and they put up thirty two points last week. Not 355 00:16:59,039 --> 00:17:01,399 to mention, saskatchew one lost their first game of the 356 00:17:01,480 --> 00:17:02,919 year last week. I think that will kind of hit 357 00:17:02,919 --> 00:17:04,599 them a little bit and they're gonna lose two in 358 00:17:04,680 --> 00:17:07,480 a row now. And also the icing on the cake. 359 00:17:07,920 --> 00:17:12,200 I saw yesterday a report not one, not two, but 360 00:17:12,519 --> 00:17:17,440 three DB's injured for Saskatchewan. Three key defensive players for 361 00:17:17,519 --> 00:17:20,640 Saskatchewan did not practice. That's all I need to see 362 00:17:20,680 --> 00:17:23,079 to take this team total up and over twenty six 363 00:17:23,119 --> 00:17:24,440 and a half of the Lions. 364 00:17:26,079 --> 00:17:31,559 Speaker 2: Three that's the entire bench is playing guys. 365 00:17:32,599 --> 00:17:35,960 Speaker 1: Oh man, that is that is brutal man. Yeah, that's 366 00:17:36,160 --> 00:17:36,559 that's right. 367 00:17:36,640 --> 00:17:39,119 Speaker 7: You don't want to overreact right to injury information, Like 368 00:17:39,160 --> 00:17:40,920 you don't want to be like, oh, these guys are injured, 369 00:17:40,960 --> 00:17:42,000 so let's jump on this. 370 00:17:42,079 --> 00:17:44,039 Speaker 6: But I already liked the play. It just made it 371 00:17:44,039 --> 00:17:44,759 that much better. 372 00:17:45,680 --> 00:17:50,119 Speaker 1: You also don't want to underreact, you know. Yeah, that's 373 00:17:50,200 --> 00:17:52,440 a that's a that's a that's a big one there. 374 00:17:53,400 --> 00:17:53,640 Speaker 6: Yeah. 375 00:17:53,680 --> 00:17:57,599 Speaker 2: The Edmonton Elks, man, they just just kick get out 376 00:17:57,599 --> 00:17:58,400 of their own way. 377 00:17:58,640 --> 00:17:59,279 Speaker 1: Someone posts. 378 00:17:59,319 --> 00:18:01,920 Speaker 2: It's like they're just out there just just to be 379 00:18:02,000 --> 00:18:02,680 out there. 380 00:18:02,519 --> 00:18:04,079 Speaker 1: Like you're just going through the motions. 381 00:18:04,480 --> 00:18:09,559 Speaker 2: No heart, no, no, nothing inspiring, just just just brutal. 382 00:18:09,599 --> 00:18:12,440 So you and I have talked a lot about team totals, 383 00:18:12,920 --> 00:18:15,680 and that's something that you and I wanted to attack, 384 00:18:15,720 --> 00:18:17,759 and you and I have been you know, to saying, hey, 385 00:18:17,759 --> 00:18:20,599 we're gonna get ready to do this for NFL season. 386 00:18:21,519 --> 00:18:24,720 We dabbled in it in NFL and found a lot 387 00:18:24,720 --> 00:18:27,559 of success. It just feels like when you're when you're 388 00:18:27,599 --> 00:18:29,720 focusing on one team and what can they do on 389 00:18:29,839 --> 00:18:32,400 offense versus the other team's defense, it just feels like 390 00:18:32,480 --> 00:18:35,799 it's a much easier handicap there. So I know you 391 00:18:35,799 --> 00:18:38,519 and I have talked about team totals Yeah, what's your 392 00:18:38,559 --> 00:18:40,440 expectation for team totals moving forward? 393 00:18:41,559 --> 00:18:43,599 Speaker 7: Absolutely, Andy, I just love being able to narrow in 394 00:18:43,680 --> 00:18:46,680 on one team, one team only. You know, if you're 395 00:18:46,799 --> 00:18:49,400 you know, around the water cooler the next day, or 396 00:18:49,440 --> 00:18:51,039 if you're at a bar you're talking to your friends, 397 00:18:51,079 --> 00:18:53,759 you're not complaining about a backdoor cover or how this 398 00:18:53,799 --> 00:18:56,640 team screwed you or this defense screwed you. I mean, 399 00:18:56,680 --> 00:18:59,400 imagine how many Bengals betters could have made money last 400 00:18:59,480 --> 00:19:02,720 year just making the team total and not worrying about 401 00:19:03,039 --> 00:19:05,160 them having to win the game or cover a point 402 00:19:05,160 --> 00:19:07,400 spread and things like that. And you know, one thing 403 00:19:07,440 --> 00:19:09,680 I will say to people about the team totals is, 404 00:19:09,720 --> 00:19:13,559 don't be afraid to take those numbers that might put 405 00:19:13,559 --> 00:19:16,200 you kind of over that football number, right, So let's 406 00:19:16,200 --> 00:19:17,920 say a twenty one and a half or a twenty 407 00:19:17,960 --> 00:19:20,519 seven and a half. Like people are always interested in 408 00:19:20,559 --> 00:19:24,079 taking the number that seems the best, but you know, 409 00:19:24,359 --> 00:19:26,559 sometimes those are there for a reason and there's no 410 00:19:26,640 --> 00:19:28,880 problem going over that. Like, for example, for me, during 411 00:19:28,880 --> 00:19:31,720 the NHL season, if I had a team that was 412 00:19:31,759 --> 00:19:34,640 over three and a half minus one twenty five, I 413 00:19:34,720 --> 00:19:37,079 might have found a different way to get in. But 414 00:19:37,599 --> 00:19:39,920 if I saw that plus one oh five plus one ten, 415 00:19:40,079 --> 00:19:42,279 sometimes that was the range I liked a little bit. 416 00:19:42,359 --> 00:19:44,319 So one thing I like about it the most is 417 00:19:44,359 --> 00:19:46,440 that you can manage your bank roll properly. And I 418 00:19:46,480 --> 00:19:49,440 always think back to the NHL season. This past NHL 419 00:19:49,559 --> 00:19:52,559 season was the time I had the most team totals 420 00:19:52,559 --> 00:19:55,920 and andy my hit percentage was fifty one point six 421 00:19:56,680 --> 00:19:59,000 and I was up like twenty two units on the season. 422 00:19:59,119 --> 00:20:02,799 So it really changes your winning percentage when you're limiting 423 00:20:02,839 --> 00:20:04,279 your risk, factoring your juice. 424 00:20:05,920 --> 00:20:07,960 Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm with you. I can't wait to attack it 425 00:20:08,000 --> 00:20:08,440 a little bit more. 426 00:20:08,480 --> 00:20:10,599 Speaker 2: In fact, when Dan and I did the Bengals break down, 427 00:20:10,640 --> 00:20:13,680 we said, just take the Bengals opponent over their team total. 428 00:20:13,720 --> 00:20:17,640 They can't stop anybody. They didn't improve their defense, So yeah, 429 00:20:17,720 --> 00:20:19,440 we're good. We're gonna look at that moving forward. 430 00:20:19,640 --> 00:20:22,680 Speaker 7: And the Elks and every team that's played them has 431 00:20:22,759 --> 00:20:24,839 hit their team total for what it's worth. So fright 432 00:20:24,920 --> 00:20:26,640 of you out there right there, if you want to 433 00:20:26,680 --> 00:20:29,119 just lock in a bet every weekend right now, that's 434 00:20:29,359 --> 00:20:30,000 what makes me laugh. 435 00:20:30,039 --> 00:20:30,440 Speaker 1: So there's a. 436 00:20:30,400 --> 00:20:33,519 Speaker 7: Quarterback situation right now in the CFL. Everyone thinks that 437 00:20:33,599 --> 00:20:35,759 the guy that's been on the bench for Edmonton, should 438 00:20:35,759 --> 00:20:36,279 be the starter. 439 00:20:36,720 --> 00:20:38,799 Speaker 6: I probably agree with that. He's the veteran. 440 00:20:38,880 --> 00:20:41,240 Speaker 7: They're trying to bring in the younger guy and kind 441 00:20:41,240 --> 00:20:44,119 of get Trey Ford going. But you can't really get 442 00:20:44,119 --> 00:20:46,400 mad at a quarterback if his team's given up thirty 443 00:20:46,400 --> 00:20:49,119 five points on average per game. Like I understand he's 444 00:20:49,160 --> 00:20:52,519 not really driving the ball and maintaining possession. But if 445 00:20:52,519 --> 00:20:54,400 I'm a fan of that team or a sports better 446 00:20:54,519 --> 00:20:56,880 taking that team every week, I'm like, you can't really 447 00:20:56,880 --> 00:20:59,279 blame the QB if your team's given up thirty five 448 00:20:59,279 --> 00:21:00,440 to forty points, you know what I mean? 449 00:21:00,519 --> 00:21:04,279 Speaker 2: And Andy, yeah, absolutely absolutely, But yeah you find these 450 00:21:04,400 --> 00:21:08,160 find these trends and just ride them, man, just absolutely 451 00:21:08,160 --> 00:21:11,160 write them. So yeah, Faith the Elks feels like that's 452 00:21:11,319 --> 00:21:13,720 feels like we could have retired years ago if we 453 00:21:13,720 --> 00:21:16,160 would have just stuck to this over the last few years. 454 00:21:16,279 --> 00:21:20,720 So congratulations, you're number one in CFL year today at 455 00:21:20,759 --> 00:21:22,680 wager talking, I know we're running the special, so tell 456 00:21:22,720 --> 00:21:23,319 everyone about that. 457 00:21:24,599 --> 00:21:28,519 Speaker 7: Really excited Andy about this, Yes, number one since the preseason, 458 00:21:28,920 --> 00:21:32,640 and we're combining the package. You buy the CFL, you're 459 00:21:32,640 --> 00:21:37,000 gonna get thirty days of NFL access for free. And 460 00:21:37,079 --> 00:21:38,839 it started off as a really slow year in the 461 00:21:38,920 --> 00:21:40,839 NFL last year, but I really picked it up. I 462 00:21:40,839 --> 00:21:42,440 think a lot of it was the team totals, and 463 00:21:42,519 --> 00:21:44,599 a lot of it were the props that I started attacking. 464 00:21:44,920 --> 00:21:46,799 But I went a perfect nine to zero in the 465 00:21:46,839 --> 00:21:49,519 postseason in the playoffs, So I'm chomping at the bit. 466 00:21:49,680 --> 00:21:52,200 I cannot wait for NFL to get back. So if 467 00:21:52,200 --> 00:21:53,839 you guys want to join me the rest of the 468 00:21:53,880 --> 00:21:56,880 CFL season, only a third of the way through the year, 469 00:21:57,279 --> 00:21:59,279 you're going to get all the rest of the CFL 470 00:21:59,359 --> 00:22:03,519 plus my first thirty days. That does include NFL preseason. 471 00:22:03,880 --> 00:22:05,880 And I'll tell you guys this with the CFL, I 472 00:22:05,920 --> 00:22:08,119 say it every time I'm on here. If you ever 473 00:22:08,200 --> 00:22:11,720 have heard someone use the expression line movement, you haven't 474 00:22:11,759 --> 00:22:15,359 seen line movement like CFL line movement. I feel bad 475 00:22:15,400 --> 00:22:18,599 for anybody trying to buy daily picks in CFL. People 476 00:22:18,640 --> 00:22:21,119 wonder where my packages are, but I can't have them up. 477 00:22:21,200 --> 00:22:23,720 The lines move too fast. If you guys want to 478 00:22:23,759 --> 00:22:26,920 get involved, we're turning minus four and a half bets 479 00:22:26,920 --> 00:22:29,240 into closing lines of minus eight and a halfs. 480 00:22:29,440 --> 00:22:31,640 Speaker 6: You don't see that in other sports. NFL. 481 00:22:31,680 --> 00:22:33,960 Speaker 7: It's minus six and a half and a big move 482 00:22:34,079 --> 00:22:37,039 is to minus seven and a half. That's nothing compared 483 00:22:37,079 --> 00:22:39,000 to the CFL. You guys want to jump on board 484 00:22:39,000 --> 00:22:41,880 with me the rest of my CFL plus thirty days 485 00:22:42,440 --> 00:22:45,039 in the NFL. So seven and three run right now. 486 00:22:45,039 --> 00:22:46,640 Looking forward to the weekend, we've got a big five 487 00:22:46,680 --> 00:22:48,119 percent play going Friday night. 488 00:22:49,400 --> 00:22:51,920 Speaker 2: Love it man, continued success. Hold on to that number 489 00:22:51,920 --> 00:22:55,359 one spot. We say on the show, like, we're not 490 00:22:55,400 --> 00:22:57,960 doing this thing. We're on number one last eighteen days 491 00:22:57,960 --> 00:23:00,359 and one percent players or everything. But yeah, listen, when 492 00:23:00,359 --> 00:23:03,680 you're number one in a in a sport for the season, yes, 493 00:23:03,799 --> 00:23:06,240 that is bragging, right, So congratulations, good luck on that 494 00:23:06,279 --> 00:23:09,880 play and take advantage of CFL hidden Gem, hidden jem 495 00:23:09,960 --> 00:23:10,839 to build your bankroll. 496 00:23:10,880 --> 00:23:13,440 Speaker 1: Guys, CFL and Andrews doing it upright. 497 00:23:13,480 --> 00:23:21,119 Speaker 2: So uh yeah, Gianny missed steam on uh Korean snail Racing, 498 00:23:21,200 --> 00:23:25,279 So Cam wanted to know about steam in Korean snail racing. 499 00:23:25,680 --> 00:23:30,000 Snail one Speedy Shellington, not much action, Snail two, Turbo 500 00:23:30,079 --> 00:23:33,200 Slim got some public action. The Sharps came back and 501 00:23:33,240 --> 00:23:37,279 bought on that slime mix Slick no action, Uh Snail 502 00:23:37,400 --> 00:23:40,880 mc snailey looks like nothing on there, but Slicker Racer 503 00:23:40,960 --> 00:23:43,480 did take some late actions. So Cam, there is your 504 00:23:44,079 --> 00:23:46,720 Korean snail racing. And yes, I did just make all 505 00:23:46,759 --> 00:23:48,720 of those up. There is no there is no betting 506 00:23:49,559 --> 00:23:52,279 on Korean snail racing. But if there was, but if 507 00:23:52,319 --> 00:23:55,960 there was, that's your steam report. So we do it 508 00:23:56,000 --> 00:23:57,799 all here. Wait wager talk today. 509 00:23:58,000 --> 00:24:02,319 Speaker 1: All right, let's bring turbos there. It is Turbo slim 510 00:24:02,359 --> 00:24:05,240 money line it is. Let's go, Cam, cash it baby. 511 00:24:05,920 --> 00:24:08,519 Speaker 2: The good news is you cannot lose that bet. So 512 00:24:09,079 --> 00:24:12,079 let's bring in Jesse and let's talk some college football. 513 00:24:12,119 --> 00:24:16,519 Let's talk about some teams and some athletes that do exist. Jesse, 514 00:24:16,599 --> 00:24:18,559 we're gonna talk a little bit about the Big Twelve. 515 00:24:18,599 --> 00:24:21,039 And I know you've got a free play, so you 516 00:24:21,079 --> 00:24:22,759 know the floor is Thers. I'm just gonna let you 517 00:24:22,799 --> 00:24:25,079 go because I know you're gonna talk about Baylor in particular, 518 00:24:25,119 --> 00:24:26,720 and then you're gonna talk about a. 519 00:24:26,599 --> 00:24:29,519 Speaker 1: Bunch of teams. So let us have it. Man, give 520 00:24:29,599 --> 00:24:30,599 us your Big twelve report. 521 00:24:31,799 --> 00:24:32,039 Speaker 6: Yeah. 522 00:24:32,079 --> 00:24:34,599 Speaker 4: Well, I was one of many people that were surprised 523 00:24:34,640 --> 00:24:38,000 when Phil Steele came out with his Big Twelve rankings 524 00:24:38,480 --> 00:24:41,200 because he had Baylor ranked number one overall in the 525 00:24:41,200 --> 00:24:45,799 Big Twelve, followed by Utah and Iowa State, and most 526 00:24:45,880 --> 00:24:48,000 rankings don't have any of those three teams in the 527 00:24:48,039 --> 00:24:52,359 top three, so raised a lot of eyebrows. I like 528 00:24:52,440 --> 00:24:56,599 Phil Steele, of course, I hate to go against him, 529 00:24:56,640 --> 00:25:00,400 but I have to disagree. I think Baylor is over hyped. 530 00:25:01,400 --> 00:25:03,920 I see the reason why people would be high on Baylor. 531 00:25:04,279 --> 00:25:06,400 They return a lot. I think they're eleventh in the 532 00:25:06,440 --> 00:25:10,559 country in returning production, so they're bringing a lot of 533 00:25:10,599 --> 00:25:12,960 guys back. But I just don't think they were that 534 00:25:13,079 --> 00:25:17,160 good last year. People are high on their quarterback, Sawyer Robertson. 535 00:25:17,200 --> 00:25:20,359 He put up nice numbers last year, but without any 536 00:25:20,400 --> 00:25:23,519 really signature wins, Like he was throwing for a ton 537 00:25:23,559 --> 00:25:27,039 of yards and touchdowns against bottom feeders of the Big Twelve, 538 00:25:27,079 --> 00:25:29,480 And to me, that's just not that impressive. If you 539 00:25:29,559 --> 00:25:33,960 look at the teams that he beat last year Texas Tech, TCU, 540 00:25:34,079 --> 00:25:40,119 Oklahoma State, West Virginia, Houston, Kansas, and Air Force. I'm 541 00:25:40,160 --> 00:25:43,640 not giving him any gold stars for any of those victories. 542 00:25:44,519 --> 00:25:48,279 This Baylor team sort of reminds me of twenty twenty 543 00:25:48,319 --> 00:25:51,960 two NC State coming into the twenty twenty two season. 544 00:25:52,079 --> 00:25:55,079 Everybody was high on NC State, and I must admit 545 00:25:55,119 --> 00:25:58,759 I was buying the height myself. Their quarterback Devin Leary, 546 00:25:58,839 --> 00:26:01,960 had thrown for over thirty five hundred yards and thirty 547 00:26:01,960 --> 00:26:06,240 five touchdowns the season before, and they came in expected 548 00:26:06,279 --> 00:26:09,319 to run away with the ACC. They ended up going 549 00:26:09,359 --> 00:26:12,200 four and four in the ACC, and they were a 550 00:26:12,279 --> 00:26:15,559 woe full four and nine against the spread and Lear 551 00:26:15,599 --> 00:26:18,160 each threw for just twelve hundred and sixty five yards, 552 00:26:18,440 --> 00:26:22,359 eleven touchdowns, and four picks. He only played six games, 553 00:26:22,480 --> 00:26:26,279 but that included the non conference schedule against cupcakes, so 554 00:26:26,400 --> 00:26:28,559 those numbers will give you an indication that he was 555 00:26:28,880 --> 00:26:33,440 extremely disappointing. I kind of expect a similar season here 556 00:26:33,440 --> 00:26:36,480 for Baylor. I think they're overhyped. I don't. I'm not 557 00:26:36,519 --> 00:26:39,640 going to buy into the Sawyer Roberts and hype based 558 00:26:39,680 --> 00:26:43,240 on playing eight or ten games last year and beating 559 00:26:43,359 --> 00:26:46,759 up on weak opponents. So that's my opinion on Baylor. 560 00:26:47,200 --> 00:26:50,160 But the rest of the Big Twelve, let's talk about 561 00:26:50,480 --> 00:26:54,839 Farmageddon in Ireland. I'll be real quick with that. I 562 00:26:54,880 --> 00:26:57,880 went into this game thinking, you know, Iowa State had 563 00:26:57,880 --> 00:27:01,000 a fantastic season last year, I kind of feel like 564 00:27:01,400 --> 00:27:04,079 they were playing over their heads and I don't want 565 00:27:04,079 --> 00:27:06,519 to be jumping on the Iowa State bandwagon. That was 566 00:27:06,559 --> 00:27:09,680 my initial thought. And Kansas State they look like a 567 00:27:09,720 --> 00:27:11,799 team that could be on the up and up. I 568 00:27:11,799 --> 00:27:14,240 think they were better than their record indicated last year. 569 00:27:14,279 --> 00:27:17,359 So I really wanted to pick Kansas State in this game. 570 00:27:17,640 --> 00:27:19,599 But the lines three and a half, it's at a 571 00:27:19,640 --> 00:27:22,640 neutral site. You look at who everybody's bringing back. Rock 572 00:27:22,680 --> 00:27:27,720 obecked a very experienced quarterback for Iowa State. Campbell, the coach, 573 00:27:27,880 --> 00:27:31,039 usually puts out a competitive team, and they got a 574 00:27:31,079 --> 00:27:34,000 lot of studs on defense. Yeah, they got to bring 575 00:27:34,039 --> 00:27:36,720 in some new receivers in the transfer portal. I'm not 576 00:27:36,799 --> 00:27:40,400 that worried about that. Kansas State may well be the 577 00:27:40,400 --> 00:27:42,799 better team, but I just can't find it in me 578 00:27:42,839 --> 00:27:45,880 to lay three and a half points in an international 579 00:27:45,960 --> 00:27:50,839 game in Ireland at a neutral site. And the stat 580 00:27:50,880 --> 00:27:54,319 Daddy gave me some numbers to work with season openers 581 00:27:54,640 --> 00:27:59,039 Conference dogs fifty four thirty two and two. That's sixty 582 00:27:59,039 --> 00:28:02,359 three percent again the spread. But then Kelly and Vegas 583 00:28:02,400 --> 00:28:04,720 was quick to point out that only two of those 584 00:28:04,759 --> 00:28:09,440 games fit the criteria of Conference dogs. That aren't in 585 00:28:09,440 --> 00:28:14,279 international games, So sorry, only two of those were international games, 586 00:28:14,319 --> 00:28:16,920 so take that for what you will. But I do 587 00:28:17,200 --> 00:28:20,200 like the Cyclones plus the points in Ireland. 588 00:28:21,240 --> 00:28:24,319 Speaker 2: Great breakdown, Jesse love it. Yeah, college football right around 589 00:28:24,319 --> 00:28:26,440 the corner. So we'll keep having Jesse come on and 590 00:28:26,720 --> 00:28:29,400 break down some more teams. Really good stuff. Let's talk 591 00:28:29,400 --> 00:28:33,000 about MLB here. We got the break, but baseball starts 592 00:28:33,039 --> 00:28:34,799 up here in just a couple of days. How are 593 00:28:34,799 --> 00:28:36,799 you looking to attack the second half of the season. 594 00:28:36,799 --> 00:28:39,839 You're looking to fade teams, you're looking to support teams. 595 00:28:40,079 --> 00:28:41,799 Speaker 1: What's your strategy? 596 00:28:42,079 --> 00:28:44,200 Speaker 4: Well, when I was looking at the schedule, they were 597 00:28:44,240 --> 00:28:46,440 asking me, what are you gonna do different in the 598 00:28:46,480 --> 00:28:49,440 second half? Well, I hit sixty five percent in the 599 00:28:49,480 --> 00:28:53,720 first half, fifty nine and thirty two, number one with units, 600 00:28:53,799 --> 00:28:56,640 number one, with win percentage number one with ROI I'm 601 00:28:56,640 --> 00:28:59,440 not gonna do a whole lot different Andy, I'm gonna 602 00:28:59,440 --> 00:29:01,519 stick with what I've been doing for the first half 603 00:29:01,519 --> 00:29:04,680 of the season. The one slight adjustment is I'm not 604 00:29:04,759 --> 00:29:07,319 going to lean into one of my criteria, which is 605 00:29:08,039 --> 00:29:11,839 current form momentum, teams on winning streaks or teams on 606 00:29:11,920 --> 00:29:14,480 losing streaks, because coming off the All Star break. I 607 00:29:14,480 --> 00:29:17,240 don't think that's very relevant. But I'm going to tell 608 00:29:17,240 --> 00:29:20,039 you how I break down a baseball game and try 609 00:29:20,079 --> 00:29:22,880 not to laugh. It's going to be old school. We're 610 00:29:22,880 --> 00:29:26,599 talking old school handicapping, pen and paper. I want you 611 00:29:26,680 --> 00:29:32,000 to write down ten criteria and just assign either team's 612 00:29:32,039 --> 00:29:35,759 advantage or if you decide there's no clear advantage, and 613 00:29:35,799 --> 00:29:38,039 I'll give you the ten criteria. We're going to start, 614 00:29:38,079 --> 00:29:41,279 of course, with starting pitchers. Then we're going to go 615 00:29:41,319 --> 00:29:48,720 into batter versus picture matchups, bullpens, weather, home and away splits, injuries, 616 00:29:49,599 --> 00:29:53,759 recent form, the momentum, winning streaks and losing streaks, situational 617 00:29:53,880 --> 00:29:58,079 which is like team's coming off a doubleheader, get away day, 618 00:29:58,279 --> 00:30:00,680 day game, after a night game, things like that, those 619 00:30:00,759 --> 00:30:04,519 kind of situations. Park factors. If you're betting totals, you know, 620 00:30:04,839 --> 00:30:07,440 you got to know how the park plays, whether it's 621 00:30:07,720 --> 00:30:12,079 the wind blowing in at Wrigley or Colorado or or 622 00:30:12,279 --> 00:30:15,440 you know the Sacramento Park, the Triple A Park, and 623 00:30:15,480 --> 00:30:21,240 Sacramento is a real over park and history rivalry games, 624 00:30:21,240 --> 00:30:24,480 you know, Yankees versus Red Sox. Sometimes one team might 625 00:30:24,519 --> 00:30:27,119 be the better team, but their their rival has their 626 00:30:27,400 --> 00:30:30,720 their number, and so you you assign advantages. That's ten 627 00:30:30,799 --> 00:30:33,720 criteria and if you can come up with a plus four, 628 00:30:34,319 --> 00:30:36,759 that's a bet on situation. And if it's any better 629 00:30:36,799 --> 00:30:39,400 than plus four, hit it a little bit harder. But 630 00:30:39,440 --> 00:30:43,200 that's that's a simple strategy and it's been working for 631 00:30:43,200 --> 00:30:45,519 me for a couple decades now. So that's that's how 632 00:30:45,519 --> 00:30:48,000 I handicap Major League Baseball. 633 00:30:48,160 --> 00:30:50,880 Speaker 2: Uh, do you start to bet against teams when they 634 00:30:50,920 --> 00:30:53,119 when it's pretty obvious that they're thrown in the towel 635 00:30:53,319 --> 00:30:55,960 or they start trading guys or is that something that 636 00:30:56,000 --> 00:30:58,200 you look at or do you just stick to those criteria? 637 00:30:59,240 --> 00:31:00,880 Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean I think that's going to go into 638 00:31:00,960 --> 00:31:06,359 some of those criteria, like the situational or the history 639 00:31:06,680 --> 00:31:10,480 or the current form right teams on big losing streak, 640 00:31:10,559 --> 00:31:15,240 especially in the second half, teams that are tanking. But yeah, 641 00:31:15,279 --> 00:31:18,000 I'm not going to change much. I mean, I do 642 00:31:18,039 --> 00:31:21,759 rely heavily on starting pitching matchups and I don't like 643 00:31:21,839 --> 00:31:25,599 to involve bullpens if I don't have to bullpens to me, 644 00:31:25,680 --> 00:31:27,480 if you're betting the total, or if you're betting like 645 00:31:27,519 --> 00:31:30,440 a run line dog, you want you have to factor 646 00:31:30,519 --> 00:31:33,119 in the bullpens. But if you're just betting on like 647 00:31:33,480 --> 00:31:35,519 an eight a lot because a lot of people, especially 648 00:31:36,200 --> 00:31:39,480 recreational betters, guys that aren't pros, they just want to 649 00:31:39,519 --> 00:31:44,160 bet on aces, right, de Gram's pitching, or Scooble or schemes. Right. 650 00:31:44,960 --> 00:31:47,240 I think if you're doing that, you're wasting your time 651 00:31:47,279 --> 00:31:49,359 betting on nine innings. You might as well just do 652 00:31:49,440 --> 00:31:50,319 first five bets. 653 00:31:51,640 --> 00:31:54,200 Speaker 2: Yeah, we've been known to have some Scooball fans in 654 00:31:54,200 --> 00:31:56,079 this chat, Jesse, that's for sure. 655 00:31:56,200 --> 00:31:58,000 Speaker 1: So that's awesome. 656 00:31:58,240 --> 00:32:01,319 Speaker 2: Congratulations on the big first half of the baseball season. 657 00:32:01,319 --> 00:32:03,079 Speaker 1: Tell over what you have up for clients at wager Talk. 658 00:32:04,200 --> 00:32:06,880 Speaker 4: Yeah. Well, CFL is another sport that I've been highly 659 00:32:06,880 --> 00:32:11,559 successful with, hitting over sixty percent since twenty twenty, number 660 00:32:11,559 --> 00:32:14,480 one at wager Talk since twenty twenty with CFL, and 661 00:32:14,519 --> 00:32:18,319 I do have two CFL plays up for Thursday and Friday, 662 00:32:18,720 --> 00:32:21,319 and of course Major League Baseball second half. I'm really 663 00:32:21,400 --> 00:32:24,240 excited about it. There's also a deal for the rest 664 00:32:24,279 --> 00:32:27,240 of the Major League Baseball season on the deals page 665 00:32:27,359 --> 00:32:31,200 wagertalk dot com and college football every game for Week 666 00:32:31,319 --> 00:32:34,279 zero and Week one videos at wager Talk TV. Check 667 00:32:34,279 --> 00:32:35,119 out my playlist. 668 00:32:36,039 --> 00:32:38,799 Speaker 2: Love it, great breakdowns, Jesse, can't wait. Next week we'll 669 00:32:38,799 --> 00:32:42,119 pick another team in conference for you to go over, Jesse. 670 00:32:42,200 --> 00:32:45,920 Everybody's we're gonna do the Raiders here in just a second, 671 00:32:46,160 --> 00:32:48,440 and then after that we're gonna talk about some bankroll stuff. 672 00:32:48,440 --> 00:32:51,559 We're gonna get you guys ready with some spreadsheets. Listen, 673 00:32:51,680 --> 00:32:55,519 nothing brings into views like spreadsheets. That's just known across 674 00:32:55,920 --> 00:32:58,160 across media. So but we will talk about it. We 675 00:32:58,200 --> 00:33:00,880 had a question and I'm gonna go over some things 676 00:33:00,880 --> 00:33:03,519 about how to kind of combat this tax bill that 677 00:33:03,519 --> 00:33:06,519 they've passed. I have my Open Championship pack that is up. 678 00:33:06,599 --> 00:33:08,960 Never had a losing season in golf. A couple plays 679 00:33:08,960 --> 00:33:13,279 in there already and UFC eighteen plays are up one 680 00:33:13,279 --> 00:33:15,960 and zero on UFC last weekend and we hit a 681 00:33:15,960 --> 00:33:18,759 crossport perlay where we hit a couple of UFC plays. 682 00:33:18,759 --> 00:33:21,359 So really good weekend. Love the card this weekend. I 683 00:33:21,400 --> 00:33:23,880 think it's a very very betable card. We're still holding 684 00:33:23,880 --> 00:33:26,480 on to the number one spot in MMA profits and 685 00:33:26,480 --> 00:33:29,119 don't forget it's a PFL week lines are not out yet, 686 00:33:29,119 --> 00:33:29,920 but as soon as they. 687 00:33:29,799 --> 00:33:31,720 Speaker 1: Get out, we will have those up It's. 688 00:33:31,559 --> 00:33:34,119 Speaker 2: Important to grab these plays because we are very very 689 00:33:34,160 --> 00:33:35,359 low volume these days. 690 00:33:35,359 --> 00:33:37,000 Speaker 1: We do not have very many plays up. 691 00:33:37,039 --> 00:33:39,519 Speaker 2: Last week we had ten total, and we have five 692 00:33:39,559 --> 00:33:41,079 handicappers working with us. 693 00:33:41,119 --> 00:33:45,279 Speaker 1: So when we put plays up, they're solid. Go grab them. 694 00:33:45,519 --> 00:33:45,799 Speaker 3: All right. 695 00:33:45,880 --> 00:33:49,799 Speaker 2: Let's talk about the Raiders here, springing Dan and probably 696 00:33:49,880 --> 00:33:52,160 the most confusing one that we've. 697 00:33:52,000 --> 00:33:54,039 Speaker 1: Had so far. 698 00:33:54,319 --> 00:33:58,319 Speaker 2: Raiders seven and a half wins. They were four and 699 00:33:58,400 --> 00:34:01,160 thirteen last year my opinion day, and you kind of 700 00:34:01,160 --> 00:34:03,200 throw it out the window because this is not the 701 00:34:03,279 --> 00:34:03,839 same team. 702 00:34:03,920 --> 00:34:05,079 Speaker 1: It's completely different. 703 00:34:05,599 --> 00:34:09,039 Speaker 2: Offense was ranked twenty fifth, defense was thirty first. Makes 704 00:34:09,079 --> 00:34:10,679 you wonder how they won four games. 705 00:34:13,800 --> 00:34:16,960 Speaker 1: Your team is that bad offseason moves. 706 00:34:17,000 --> 00:34:19,079 Speaker 2: I mean Geno Smith's now the quarterback, they got a 707 00:34:19,119 --> 00:34:23,320 new coach, they drafted Ashton Johns, yet they added depth 708 00:34:23,360 --> 00:34:24,199 to the secondary. 709 00:34:24,280 --> 00:34:26,320 Speaker 1: I'll go over their schedule, which to me makes it 710 00:34:26,320 --> 00:34:27,280 even more confusing. 711 00:34:27,800 --> 00:34:32,880 Speaker 2: At Patriots home, Chargers at Commanders, Bears at Colts, Titans 712 00:34:33,000 --> 00:34:36,880 at Chiefs than their bye week, Jags at Broncos, Cowboys, 713 00:34:36,960 --> 00:34:41,360 Browns at Chargers, Broncos at Eagles at Texans, Giants, Chiefs. 714 00:34:41,480 --> 00:34:43,960 They're gonna get steamrolled in some games and then they're 715 00:34:44,000 --> 00:34:45,880 gonna win easily against some of them. 716 00:34:46,400 --> 00:34:48,000 Speaker 1: Any opinions on this one. 717 00:34:48,599 --> 00:34:52,760 Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, the schedule isn't awful, right, but one 718 00:34:52,760 --> 00:34:55,320 of the worst parts of the Raiders' schedule is the 719 00:34:55,360 --> 00:34:57,920 fact that they have to play in the AFC West. 720 00:34:57,920 --> 00:35:00,320 And if you remember the hot take that I through 721 00:35:00,400 --> 00:35:02,760 out there on the Kansas City Chiefs, I think this 722 00:35:02,840 --> 00:35:07,000 is going to be incredibly competitive division, largely in part 723 00:35:07,039 --> 00:35:09,679 that this is just the wild card team, so andy 724 00:35:09,800 --> 00:35:12,559 not to not to you know, drag it on out. 725 00:35:12,679 --> 00:35:14,880 But this is why it's as simple to me seven 726 00:35:14,920 --> 00:35:17,880 and a half wins for the Las Vegas Raiders with 727 00:35:17,960 --> 00:35:20,679 a new head coach, with a new quarterback who's going 728 00:35:20,719 --> 00:35:23,079 to heavily rely on a rookie running back who could 729 00:35:23,119 --> 00:35:25,280 be an absolute stub. But it's not like the offensive 730 00:35:25,280 --> 00:35:27,639 line he's going to be running behind is all that terrific. 731 00:35:28,639 --> 00:35:32,320 And factoring in that if you're relying on a rookie 732 00:35:32,360 --> 00:35:35,559 running back, you'd probably want him to have some time 733 00:35:35,639 --> 00:35:39,719 to get his feet underneath him. Right acclimate to the NFL, Well, 734 00:35:39,880 --> 00:35:44,800 the number one worst rest differential is the Las Vegas 735 00:35:44,840 --> 00:35:47,400 Raiders schedule this year. They're going to have a lot 736 00:35:47,440 --> 00:35:50,920 of games with quick turnaround for a team who's trying 737 00:35:50,920 --> 00:35:53,480 to find their identity. You know, I feel like more 738 00:35:53,519 --> 00:35:56,559 time to prepare for a Pete Carroll would be advantageous 739 00:35:56,559 --> 00:35:58,880 for this team. But around seven and a half wins 740 00:35:58,920 --> 00:36:01,079 after winning four line last year and a lot of 741 00:36:01,079 --> 00:36:04,039 those were toss up games, yes, there is reason to 742 00:36:04,079 --> 00:36:06,599 be more optimistic about this Las. 743 00:36:06,480 --> 00:36:07,480 Speaker 1: Vegas Raiders team. 744 00:36:08,079 --> 00:36:10,480 Speaker 3: You can't be any worse optimistic than when you knew 745 00:36:10,519 --> 00:36:12,480 you had a lamb dud head coach. You knew you 746 00:36:12,480 --> 00:36:14,920 didn't really have much of a direction. You know, you 747 00:36:15,000 --> 00:36:17,719 bring in Geno Smith, is that gonna be good? Is 748 00:36:17,719 --> 00:36:19,280 that going to be negative? I mean him and Pete 749 00:36:19,320 --> 00:36:22,119 Carroll had some sauce there. But for me, Andy, this 750 00:36:22,199 --> 00:36:25,519 is one that's so easy to just draw line through. 751 00:36:25,800 --> 00:36:28,920 There's thirty two teams in the NFL. Why are we 752 00:36:29,000 --> 00:36:32,400 trying to prognosticate against a team who we have absolutely 753 00:36:32,519 --> 00:36:35,039 no clue what they're going to look like with a 754 00:36:35,039 --> 00:36:39,199 completely new regime, a completely new look offense, a defense that, 755 00:36:39,679 --> 00:36:41,880 yeah they got Max Crosby, but it's pretty hit or 756 00:36:41,920 --> 00:36:44,719 miss on that back end. So for me, seven and 757 00:36:44,760 --> 00:36:48,239 a half winsoul, I would lean towards the underhandy because 758 00:36:48,239 --> 00:36:50,400 we have to have a pick on this, but this 759 00:36:50,440 --> 00:36:53,199 one's so easy you cross it off. You know nothing 760 00:36:53,320 --> 00:36:56,039 about the Raiders until a couple of weeks in. You 761 00:36:56,039 --> 00:36:58,119 want to hit him on an end season total. That's 762 00:36:58,159 --> 00:36:59,760 the way to bet them. But you're not betting the 763 00:36:59,840 --> 00:37:03,119 race before the season starts. That's just trying to call 764 00:37:03,159 --> 00:37:05,199 a shot and sound like it, sound like you know 765 00:37:05,239 --> 00:37:07,320 what you're talking about when you simply don't. 766 00:37:08,840 --> 00:37:11,440 Speaker 2: I'm the same way. I don't need to drag this out. 767 00:37:11,480 --> 00:37:13,039 I lean to the under, but there's no way I'm 768 00:37:13,039 --> 00:37:14,199 betting this with my own money. 769 00:37:14,239 --> 00:37:15,039 Speaker 1: Absolutely, no way. 770 00:37:15,320 --> 00:37:18,639 Speaker 3: So we can more Preses money, yeah, not even We 771 00:37:18,639 --> 00:37:20,400 wouldn't even bet this one with Preses money. 772 00:37:20,559 --> 00:37:23,639 Speaker 2: No, no. So that's the easy breakdown for the Raiders. 773 00:37:23,679 --> 00:37:25,639 There's way too many other bets on the board. So 774 00:37:26,000 --> 00:37:28,639 all right, Raiders, you're dead to us in terms of betting, 775 00:37:30,119 --> 00:37:32,039 betting for or against you. 776 00:37:32,239 --> 00:37:33,800 Speaker 1: Yep, we're done. We're done. 777 00:37:33,960 --> 00:37:37,239 Speaker 2: All right, let's talk some bakroll management and let's talk 778 00:37:37,519 --> 00:37:40,079 about our record from last week because it relates to 779 00:37:41,199 --> 00:37:43,480 this tax bill. So we had long talk with our 780 00:37:43,519 --> 00:37:47,800 team and how do we kind of combat this tax bill, Well, 781 00:37:47,880 --> 00:37:49,920 you need to hit it a really high percentage. So 782 00:37:50,239 --> 00:37:54,079 we've decided to really lower the volume and really get 783 00:37:54,280 --> 00:37:57,800 super super picky, and that's what we started with last week, 784 00:37:57,920 --> 00:38:01,000 and so we went seven and three. As you can see, 785 00:38:01,039 --> 00:38:03,199 we only had plays in a. 786 00:38:03,079 --> 00:38:04,119 Speaker 1: Few different sports. 787 00:38:04,119 --> 00:38:06,000 Speaker 2: We didn't have very many plays, but the plays that 788 00:38:06,039 --> 00:38:08,000 we did have were great. We had seventy percent of 789 00:38:08,039 --> 00:38:11,199 our bets. That's what we're gonna continue doing, only the 790 00:38:11,199 --> 00:38:15,159 best of the bet only one WNBA play lacrosse three. 791 00:38:15,480 --> 00:38:19,679 We had two crossport parlays, one UFC and three cricket plays. 792 00:38:19,679 --> 00:38:25,559 So arius you asked about the one percent and five percent, 793 00:38:26,679 --> 00:38:29,880 here's how I do it. I recommend flat betting. You're 794 00:38:29,880 --> 00:38:32,719 gonna get much less of a roller coaster ride when 795 00:38:32,719 --> 00:38:34,719 you when you have a huge, big winning week, you're 796 00:38:34,760 --> 00:38:37,400 gonna make a little less, but it really protects you 797 00:38:37,440 --> 00:38:40,679 when you have those really really down weeks. In June 798 00:38:40,760 --> 00:38:43,679 was a terrible month for us. If you were to 799 00:38:43,719 --> 00:38:46,880 followed the percentages, the one percent to five percent, you 800 00:38:47,119 --> 00:38:49,400 would have lost a ton. When you do flat betting, 801 00:38:49,400 --> 00:38:51,760 and what it does that really really you know, it 802 00:38:51,840 --> 00:38:52,519 narrows it out. 803 00:38:52,559 --> 00:38:53,480 Speaker 1: So that's what I prefer. 804 00:38:53,519 --> 00:38:55,559 Speaker 2: I prefer flat betting because I just think me and 805 00:38:55,599 --> 00:38:57,079 my team are gonna have a winning record at the 806 00:38:57,159 --> 00:39:00,639 end of the year. So what I do is every month, 807 00:39:00,880 --> 00:39:03,159 I reset my bankroll and that tells me what a 808 00:39:03,280 --> 00:39:05,320 unit is. So Dan, if we could pull up the 809 00:39:05,360 --> 00:39:09,480 spreadsheet and you'll see June, we took a massive, massive 810 00:39:09,519 --> 00:39:13,039 hit on the bank roll. So you see we were 811 00:39:13,079 --> 00:39:18,159 at sixty seven thousand and one seventy four and uh yeah, 812 00:39:18,159 --> 00:39:20,039 I lost thirty four percent. So that dropped all the 813 00:39:20,079 --> 00:39:22,800 way down to forty four thousand, three thirty four. So 814 00:39:22,840 --> 00:39:25,639 one of the biggest, well money wise, biggest hit, but 815 00:39:25,719 --> 00:39:28,719 percentage wise, yeah, one of the biggest hits that we've had. 816 00:39:28,800 --> 00:39:32,519 So I reset the bankroll and determine what one unit 817 00:39:32,719 --> 00:39:33,639 is and then. 818 00:39:33,599 --> 00:39:34,840 Speaker 1: I bet two percent. 819 00:39:35,360 --> 00:39:37,440 Speaker 2: I think with this lower volume approach, I'm going to 820 00:39:37,480 --> 00:39:40,360 betting a little bit more per play because we are 821 00:39:40,400 --> 00:39:42,320 going to be super selective, so I may bump that 822 00:39:42,400 --> 00:39:44,480 up to three percent. Right now, I'm betting on the 823 00:39:44,480 --> 00:39:49,239 two percent. Some people like betting more per play. Myself, 824 00:39:49,440 --> 00:39:51,239 I just think if it's good enough to bet, it 825 00:39:51,639 --> 00:39:54,159 needs to be the same amount. So areas that is 826 00:39:54,199 --> 00:39:57,280 what I recommend but there are so many different ways 827 00:39:57,800 --> 00:39:59,960 that you can do it. Dan, do you prefer flatt 828 00:40:00,320 --> 00:40:02,679 or do you prefer the different percentages? 829 00:40:02,920 --> 00:40:03,639 Speaker 6: Yeah, I'm with you. 830 00:40:03,880 --> 00:40:07,320 Speaker 3: I'm a flat better through and through is simply because 831 00:40:07,320 --> 00:40:09,639 you have to remember that even some of your best 832 00:40:09,719 --> 00:40:12,719 bets at the end of the day that you handicap perfectly, 833 00:40:12,719 --> 00:40:15,400 they're going to lose around half the time. So for me, 834 00:40:16,159 --> 00:40:17,920 that's when I really got in trouble when I first 835 00:40:17,920 --> 00:40:20,679 started betting, was I felt stronger about one other play 836 00:40:20,719 --> 00:40:22,559 than the other, and then the one that I didn't 837 00:40:22,559 --> 00:40:25,280 feel as strong as that's the one who ends up winning. 838 00:40:25,320 --> 00:40:27,559 That's the sport that I go on a winning streak in. 839 00:40:27,679 --> 00:40:30,159 So flat betting for me was the way to do it. 840 00:40:30,199 --> 00:40:33,159 Some people can scale, you know how good they feel 841 00:40:33,199 --> 00:40:35,440 about a play. But the plays that I submit to 842 00:40:35,440 --> 00:40:38,199 you for our lacrosse picks, I submit them and I 843 00:40:38,280 --> 00:40:40,559 let you decide, Hey, how do we scale this one? 844 00:40:40,880 --> 00:40:44,519 Simply because for me, I'm betting one unit and the 845 00:40:44,559 --> 00:40:47,360 only time I'll go up and I'll bet two units 846 00:40:47,559 --> 00:40:51,159 is something that I absolutely love. But Andy, I would 847 00:40:51,199 --> 00:40:53,760 say that's probably I could count on one hand how 848 00:40:53,760 --> 00:40:56,159 many times I do that throughout an entire year of 849 00:40:56,199 --> 00:40:59,400 betting across all the different sports that we bet, and 850 00:40:59,440 --> 00:41:01,679 I've been on it even though I still do it, 851 00:41:01,719 --> 00:41:05,239 you know, wol me once, but but yeah, I'm never 852 00:41:05,360 --> 00:41:08,000 pulling off the rubber band and you know three xing, 853 00:41:08,159 --> 00:41:10,920 four xing, five xing my bat personal. 854 00:41:11,199 --> 00:41:12,559 Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't do that either. 855 00:41:12,840 --> 00:41:15,280 Speaker 2: I've learned my lesson and really what it does to 856 00:41:15,360 --> 00:41:18,159 protects you in the losing And I always say, hey, listen, 857 00:41:18,719 --> 00:41:20,400 best way to make money is to not lose it. 858 00:41:20,440 --> 00:41:22,719 You have to protect yourself when you have losing weeks 859 00:41:23,039 --> 00:41:26,559 and losing months. It's more important than what you do 860 00:41:26,639 --> 00:41:29,599 when you have a winning because you take massive hits 861 00:41:29,599 --> 00:41:31,239 to the bank roll and all of a sudden you're 862 00:41:31,280 --> 00:41:32,239 not going to have a bankroll. 863 00:41:32,280 --> 00:41:33,079 Speaker 1: So that's how we do it. 864 00:41:33,119 --> 00:41:35,559 Speaker 2: But the one percent to five percent that we use 865 00:41:35,760 --> 00:41:39,360 for on wager talk, it's kind of like confidence if 866 00:41:39,400 --> 00:41:42,559 you will so, But it does differ from handicapper to handicapper. 867 00:41:42,559 --> 00:41:44,960 If you have a specific handicapper, just reach out and 868 00:41:45,039 --> 00:41:46,199 ask them. 869 00:41:46,280 --> 00:41:46,360 Speaker 6: So. 870 00:41:46,639 --> 00:41:46,880 Speaker 1: Yeah. 871 00:41:46,920 --> 00:41:48,480 Speaker 2: So the plays that we have this week are in 872 00:41:48,519 --> 00:41:51,400 the Open Championship and in UFC. Those are plays I've 873 00:41:51,400 --> 00:41:54,599 already played with my own money. And also if you 874 00:41:54,639 --> 00:41:57,440 want to join our discord, it's Winning in the Shadows Discord. 875 00:41:57,599 --> 00:41:59,639 I'll put a link in the comment section you go 876 00:41:59,719 --> 00:42:02,400 in there. We have these spreadsheets for free that you 877 00:42:02,400 --> 00:42:04,639 can download. You can track all your plays, you can 878 00:42:04,679 --> 00:42:05,559 track your bank roll. 879 00:42:05,679 --> 00:42:06,280 Speaker 1: That's free to you. 880 00:42:06,360 --> 00:42:09,119 Speaker 2: So I'll put a link in the comment section below, 881 00:42:09,199 --> 00:42:11,519 so you guys can go download that. But if you're 882 00:42:11,519 --> 00:42:14,280 not tracking your plays, if you're not keeping track of 883 00:42:14,320 --> 00:42:17,119 your bank role, you're really doing yourself a disservice. And 884 00:42:17,239 --> 00:42:20,440 it's the best way to learn what's working what's not working. 885 00:42:20,360 --> 00:42:23,119 Speaker 1: So take advantage of that. Those are free tools and 886 00:42:23,199 --> 00:42:26,000 all the instructions in there on how to set up. 887 00:42:26,119 --> 00:42:30,039 Speaker 2: So thanks very much guys for joining us today. I 888 00:42:30,039 --> 00:42:32,280 know there's not a lot of sports going on, not 889 00:42:32,400 --> 00:42:35,639 my opinion. We've got Open Championship, we got UFC plays, 890 00:42:35,960 --> 00:42:40,360 we got NASCAR, we got Korean snail racing. By the way, 891 00:42:40,400 --> 00:42:42,800 post your favorite snail name in the comment section. 892 00:42:43,400 --> 00:42:47,199 Speaker 1: Had some good ones. Snail Bolt that was a good one. 893 00:42:47,559 --> 00:42:50,880 Speaker 2: So post your favorite snail name and we'll pick the 894 00:42:50,920 --> 00:42:53,199 best one and put it on the show tomorrow. 895 00:42:53,639 --> 00:42:55,400 Speaker 1: So make sure you hit the like. 896 00:42:55,440 --> 00:42:57,039 Speaker 2: But to make sure you subscribe to the Way You 897 00:42:57,079 --> 00:42:59,559 Talk channel, help us, help us get to that two 898 00:42:59,639 --> 00:43:02,199 hundred two thousand mark, and join the wager Talk family. 899 00:43:02,239 --> 00:43:05,480 So we'll be back Tomorrow'll start talking UFC, PFL. It's 900 00:43:05,519 --> 00:43:09,920 Dakota ditch of a week those who know, so good luck, 901 00:43:09,960 --> 00:43:12,639 and we're also going to talk to MLB win totals tomorrow. 902 00:43:12,639 --> 00:43:15,719 So lovely, lovely show today, We've got a big one tomorrow. 903 00:43:15,760 --> 00:43:17,679 Thanks for joining us, good luck on your bets and 904 00:43:17,800 --> 00:43:18,199 take care.