Speaker 1: You are alive, my friend. Welcome to Wager Talk Day,
to the gold standard of sports betting shows, where we
talk the talk and walk the walk. It is Tuesday,
It's five dollars Tuesday. We're all about finding edges. We're
gonna be heavy on college football. Jesse's gonna break down
Iowa State Colorado. He's gonna give us two college teams.
We give him the choice. You want to fade, you
want to support two teams. Well, we all know he's
coming on here to fade a couple teams. Brian Power
is gonna take a look at Blue Jays and Yankees,
Eagles and Giants and the pres My good friend Lawrence
is gonna preview Broncos versus Jets in London. Let's cash
some tickets across the board. Of course, we're gonna do
all around the world. It's NHL. Of course, we got
to give out a free NHL play, so no time
to waste. Hit the like button please, you guys know
it helps the algorithm, and appreciate you guys for watching
us live. Let's bring in Jesse and let's talk some
college football. Jesse, this Iowa State Colorado game, I just
wonder some point does this this deon Sanders health situation,
at what point does it affect the team? I don't know.
You're wearing the Colorado jersey. I want your take on
Dion and what's going on sadly with him, and then
your take on this game.
Speaker 2: Well, I think it's fair to tell the viewers a
little bit of the backstory with the Colorado jersey, because
if I'm gonna come out here and talk about Colorado
wearing their jersey, they might think I'm a little bit biased.
But I didn't come upon this jersey because I'm a fan.
In fact, I lost a bet with Colorado fans, which
is how I ended up with this jersey. It was
a win win, though I'm happy with it. I am
a fan. From week to week, I will bet against
Colorado or I will bet on Colorado. But I gotta
say this line opened at four and a half. It's
been bet down to mostly threes across the board now.
I do still see some three and a half and
I do like Colorado in this spot, Andy, because if
you watched Iowa State play it since Sinnati last week,
there's no way you could be laying money with Iowa
State as a road favorite. Now they lost thirty eight
to thirty and you might think, well, that's not that bad,
but they trailed thirty one to seven with a minute
to go in the second quarter, and they stormed all
the way back. Admirable performance from Rocko Beck. He threw
for three hundred and fourteen yards and a pair of
touchdowns on thirty of forty eight passing. He also ran
the ball in for two more touchdowns. And there was
this narrative heading into this game that Iowa State lost
both at starting corners for the season and they were
going to be really vulnerable to the pass However, Brendan
Soresby threw for just two hundred and fourteen yards and
two tutties. He did score two rushing touchdowns as well,
and it wasn't the passing game that did them in.
It was the running game. Cincinnati ran the ball for
two hundred and sixty four or two hundred and sixty
yards on thirty four carries, averaging seven point six yards
per carry. The game was not as close as it
appeared to be at the end. The reason why Iowa
State was able to claw their way back into that
game is one hundred and twenty eight penalty yards for
the Bearcats, and that included a couple of touchdowns getting
taken off the board. Cincinnati was really dominant in that game.
And I worry about Iowa State. I think they're just
a little bit too banged up. Colorado has a lot
of fight in them, and you know the health concerns
for Dion. He's a man of faith and I believe
that his players are probably thinking along those lines. And
I think in tough times with his health, you know
the team's going to rally around him. I do like
Colorado getting the points here. I also like the over.
I think we can see Colorado score some points on
this defense. Like I say, just got absolutely gashed on
the ground by Cincy last week. Colorado, with their dual
threat quarterback, I think they can put some points on
the board here. I wouldn't be surprised to see both
teams score in the thirties again here in this game.
Speaker 1: All right, Jesse, we always give you the chance to
give us two teams a bet on two teams a fade.
I already know the teams you're gonna talk about, and
I'm gonna go a head to head with you on
one of them. So if you could in the chat
put a little little friendly wager that Jesse and I
can make, just a gentleman's little wager here. I want
to hear the teams you're gonna fade, and then I'm
gonna tell you which one I disagree with, and we'll
come back next week and see if we can settle up.
So put in the chat. Maybe I gotta wear a
hat or something, something kind of dopey. Just put in
the chat. What do you like? So, Jesse, give us
two teams you're gonna fade.
Speaker 2: Well, let's start with your favorite Florida State. I've been
printing money fading Florida State. The last couple of weeks.
We did have Virginia outright over Florida State, and I
did bet against them, or I didn't have a client
play on it, but I gave out a play on
Florida's on Miami in that game. Florida State. Really they're
still living off of that win over Alabama in week one.
Then they go out and play a couple cupcakes, including
East Texas A and M and Kent State. And I
think this line is influenced by, first of all, the
yardage and the points they put up against those two
cupcakes and the Alabama win. Let's look at Thomas Castellanos.
If you remember, I was highly critical of his comments
giving Alabama bulletin board material in the offseason heading into
that Week one matchup. It worked out for him, but
since that Alabama game, he has struggled. In fact, his
year to date stats, if you exclude FCS teams, just
against Division I schools, he's just got three touchdowns and
five picks on well below sixty percent passing. They don't
really have much of a threat in the passing game.
They are able to run the ball, though, and that
could that could be scary. But they're going up against
a Pitt team that can actually defend the run pretty well.
They ranked number one in the ACC against the run,
allowing just sixty six yards per game. And it's not
like Pitt hasn't played anybody, and it's not like this
isn't a good pit team. Pitt's record is absolutely well,
it's not a fair representation of the team because their
quarterback Eli Holstein ranked dead last in Power four among
Power four quarterbacks inefficiency. He was absolutely terrible. He lost
his job. Incomes freshman Mason Heinschall. I don't know how
to say his name, but the kid, the eighteen year
old throws for three hundred and twenty three yards no
picks on thirty of forty one passing against Boston College. Yes,
I know it was just one result. Yes, I know
it was against Boston College. But I'm pretty convinced that
this Mason Heinschel is going to be better than Eli
Holstein because, let's face it, the bar was pretty low.
You know, this is a big, big number, double digit spread.
I honestly think Pitt has a puncher's chance here. I'll
take the double digits, I'll take ten and a half,
and I'll take them for a sprinkle on the money line.
Speaker 1: No, and you disagree, No, No, it's this next one
that I'm gonna friendly disagree with you on. So all right,
go for it. What's your next team? You're fading well.
Speaker 2: Georgia Tech was one of my long shots heading into
the season to make the playoffs. I'm a big Georgia
Tech guy. I love Brent Key, I love Haines King. Unfortunately,
this is a team that you know, due to the
style they play, they can lay an egg occasionally, and
in their last game, against wake They trailed what seventeen
to three at the half. Against Wake they needed to
come back with a miracle in overtime to win thirty
to twenty nine. So you know, they laid an egg there,
they got away with it. Now they're playing a Virginia
Tech team that lost its coach or fired its coach
early in the season. Virginia Tech is two to one
under Phil Montgomery, and that includes a road win at
NC State. Now they just played Wake Forest as well,
and they played a one score game at home against
wig Forest and lost. So both these two teams are
coming off games against Wake Forest. Georgia Tech won in
overtime and Virginia Tech lost a close game. Georgia Tech
obviously relies on the running game and Haines King the quarterback. Now,
one thing is they also rely on the health of
Haines King. If Haines King gets stinged up, they're kind
of screwed. But they also struggled to defend the run.
I think that might be the key here. Georgia Tech
ranks dead last in the ACC, allowing one hundred and
sixty six rushing yards per game. Now, Virginia Tech doesn't
run the ball as well as Georgia Tech does, but
there's still average to above average running the ball. I
think both teams want to establish the run here, and yeah,
Georgia Tech's a little better at running the ball and
Virginia Tech's a little better at defending it. I think
we get within that two and a half time or
fourteen and a half point spread. I think Virginia Tech
can keep this to less than two touchdowns.
Speaker 1: All right, this is the one. I think Georgia Tech
drops a hammer. Like you said, last week was kind
of there. They laid an egg. I think they get
back on track. And you're right, Haines King is I
mean long term this isn't great for him, but with
twenty one carries last week, but he did average five
yards per carry in I just can't get over this
Virginia Tech team who gave up two hundred and fifty
rushing yards to Old Dominion. I think this is a
great spot for Georgia Tech.
Speaker 2: To that was creamy coach change.
Speaker 1: Though I will it details details, just it's it's a
fair point. It's a great point. I just like these
teams that when they played their worst, they kind of
came out with with a with a win. So I'm
gonna I'm gonna go ahead to head with you. I'll
take Georgia Tech to win by twenty So yeah, yeah,
that's uh, That's where I'll be going with that one.
So what else do you like in this week? Jesse?
What what teams have you been enjoying, watching or supporting?
Speaker 2: Yeah, Alabama and Vandy went well for me. I did
a show on Last Call I said, you know, the
public's got this one completely wrong because the public just
loved Vandy. And I did say on Last Call with
Joe Madden, I said, if you like Dandy, bet him
for the first half, but Alabama's gonna run away with
it late. And sure enough, that's what happened. Now, I
know I'm gonna catch some flak. Some people are gonna say, oh,
well that you know, last score in the final seconds,
you got lucky. I don't think that. I don't think
that's a fair take. I think that was part of
the handicap. Because it was a revenge game. You had
to know that if Kaylen Debor was going to have
an opportunity to run in a late score, he was
gonna take it. I believe I said that in my
analysis of the game. So yeah, that was the highlight
of the week with college football last week. As far
as what I got going on right now, we got
the NHL opening night. My five dollars Tuesday play is
a player prop in the game between the Pittsburgh Penguins
and the New York Rangers, a big rivalry game, probably
an entertaining game to watch. So yeah, you can pick
up that up for five bucks.
Speaker 1: Awesome, awesome, great stuff. Jesse always looking sharp in the
Colorado jersey. Best of luck. We're gonna visit it next week.
If Georgia Tech wins, maybe you have to dress like
a bee. All right, great work, Jesse. Always my favorite
college breakdowns of the week. You always bring the thunder.
Good luck to you on five dollars Tuesday. And yeah,
let's go get NHL season started. Jesse. Everybody, thank you
so much for joining us. Let's just move right into
Brian Power. Brian is looking spiffy as always with the shirt.
I almost put on that shirt, Brian, and then I
was like, Brian normally wears that Wager shirt, so I'm
going to make sure I don't wear it that way.
You're muted, Brian.
Speaker 3: You think I've done enough of these, and I would
forget to I would remember to turn that off. What
I was saying, Andy, I was joking, And now the
joke won't land as well. Is I'm glad you think
of me when you're getting dressed. At least that is
refreshing to know.
Speaker 1: When I first got to Wager Talk, everyone just thought
I was crazy because I hate when I'm wearing the
same color as another guest. I think it looks bad
on camera. And so when we would come on shows
if we were wearing the same shirt, I would get
up and go change and everyone'd be like, what are
you doing? And I was like, look, it's my thing.
So just it's my one thing that I'm really anal about.
Speaker 3: So we can be dressed appropriately. Are on the program today.
Speaker 1: Absolutely, let's let's do some Major League baseball here. The
Yankees have done a great job. They've held the Blue
Jays to twenty three runs the first two games. Yikes. Uh,
so we have Babor for Toronto, pardon for uh for
the Yankees here. I don't know what to say about this.
This pitching staff for the Yankees, it's been really, really bad.
How do you break down this game? I mean, we
got the Yankees as a favorite here in the over
under at seven and a half. So the books are
are are sticking sticking to their guns on this number.
What do you what are you seen in this game?
Speaker 4: Uh?
Speaker 3: Yeah, So I'm gonna start by apologizing to Blue Jays fans,
Andy h. Of course we have Okay, what a great
we have so many great Canadians here at way to talk.
Jesse Schule was on before me. Of course, one of
my favorites, the pres will be on next. I do
believe I saw karm Carmea and Bianco in the chat,
I think. And the reason I'm apologizing, Andy, is because
I have spent the bulk of this season saying the
Yankees were the best team in the American League East. That, clearly,
based on what you just said, has not been the
case the first two games of this series. Toronto, as
you astutely pointed out, has scored twenty three runs off
twenty nine hits to take that commanding two nothing lead
in this best of five situation. They have more home
runs eight than strikeouts in the series. Pretty good for
Toronto at the plate. Game two, this is incredible. Game
two saw the Blue Jays take a twelve nothing lead
before the Yankees recorded their first hit, so a one
sided game. Indeed. Now, of course, the Yankees are returning
home for Game three, they are favored to win. With
Carlos Rodon on the mound. Rodd has allowed three runs
or fewer each of his last eleven starts, so you
might say he seems like an ideal candidate to slow
down this Toronto offense. But well you might. One might
have said the same thing about Max Free heading into
Game two, and he obviously got lit up. And there
are some troubling numbers guys for Rodna heading into tonight's
critical Game three three point seven to eight FIP not
all that great five point three to two career era
in the postseason. Two regular season starts for Toronto, We're done.
Allowed six runs, two were unearned, and had the same
number of walks as he did strikeouts.
Speaker 1: That's never good.
Speaker 3: Also, Vlad Guerrero, who's obviously been on a tear in
this series so far six for nine, two home runs,
six RBIs He's ten for seventeen lifetime against Rodan. It's
not good if you're a Yankees fan, obviously, And oh,
by the way, I have not even mentioned yet this
atrocious Yankees bullpen, which has an ERA of nine and
a one point seven to six whip so far in
the playoffs since August first, this has been the sixth
worst bullpen by era have the Pinstripes been. So I'm
not I'm gonna admit here, I'm not confident enough Andy
to bet Toronto to make it a three and zhero sweep.
But given all the info I just laid out, I
will bet on their offense to go over the team
total of three and a half tonight. Since the All
Star Break, the Blue Jays have been number one in
all of baseball when it comes to run scored, batting
average OPS and w r C.
Speaker 1: Plus.
Speaker 3: We only need again four runs tonight from them, and
we're guaranteed all twenty seven outs because they're the road team.
So Toronto team total over three and a half, all right.
Speaker 1: That's seven and a half for the for the for
the for the total. Game is just it seems long
in the face, it seems and maybe that's just the
I'm not a baseball guy. Maybe that's just the average
guy and me and the books are going no, no, no,
we're not going to overreact. Andy, you're the one that overreacts.
But boy, that's seven and a half man. Maybe maybe
the books are telling us something they already they already know. Yeah,
like I said one game on game.
Speaker 3: Coming coming into this series, my thought was the again,
and that's why I started with the apology. I thought
the Yankees were the better team. I thought they had
a chance to win this series in four. That is
now impossible to do. Obviously, they would have to win
three in a row to advance. So I don't want
to come too much off my pre series opinion, but look,
this Blue Jays offense the proofs of the pudding, Like
I said, number one basically in every key offensive category
since the break. So let's bet on that offense to
go over three and a half runs. I don't think
it should be that hard.
Speaker 1: Let's move to Thursday night football, Eagles and the Giants.
Jackson Dart King crashing down to Earth. I saw a
stat that was the first time in NFL history a
team had turned the ball over five possessions in a row. Yeah, yikes,
short week. Maybe the short week is good because you
don't have time to dwell on it and think about it.
Or maybe not enough time to get ready and prepared.
You get the Eagles in an obvious bounce back spot.
This line is already up over the key number of seven,
so we're up to seven and a half over unders
forty one and a half. How do you break down
Eagles and the Giants.
Speaker 3: I'm glad you brought over that turnover stand because I'm
going to get to that in just a minute. But first,
did you all know, going back to the start of
last season, the Giants are one of two teams in
the league that does not have a single division win.
Everybody watching live in the chat. If you want to
everyone watching live in the chat, if you want to
take a guess who the other team is, I'll give
the answer at the end of the breakdown and you
get no prize, but you can always brag to your friends.
I guess that's something. But this is the second week
in a row, Andy, to your point with the turnovers,
that we have an underdog on Thursday Night Football, coming
off a game where they turned the ball over a
bunch last week. Of course it was the Niners. They
were minus four and turnover march in the previous game
against the Jaguars. Will guess what they did. They obviously
bounce back and beat the Rams out right. Interesting stat
about teams that turn over the ball a lot here,
you go back to twenty twenty teams that come off
a game where they had four more turnovers seventy one
fifty one and six against the spread the following week,
so almost sixty percent. Pretty profitable situation there. Giants hope
that trend continues because, as you mentioned, Andy, they turn
it over five times last week and a pretty pathetic
loss to the Saints. That game really swung on an
eighty six yard fumble return for touchdown. So that was
the key of those five turnovers because at the time
it looked like the Giants were going to go in
take the lead. Instead Scatabo fumbles it's returned all the
way to the house. G men lose twenty six to fourteen.
Jackson Dark you mentioned to him he spells his name
with an X. I don't know about that, but I
do know that he's led the Giants to a touchdown
on the opening drive each of his two starts. It's
probably not gonna happen every game, but it's something worth monitoring.
Brian Dayball the head coach for New York. He's clearly
scripting the beginning of the game well for his rookie quarterback.
But my bet here it's more about just wanting to
fade the Eagles.
Speaker 5: Andy.
Speaker 3: It's something I did last Sunday, and Denver plus four
and a half ended up being an outright winner. Yes,
Philadelphia is still four and one on the season, but
none of those four wins have been by more than
seven points. This is a team, guys. The Eagles, they
are minus point nine and yards per play differential. To
put that number in perspective, the Giants are minus point
eight in yards per play differential. So give me the
plus seven and a half here home dogs getting seven
or more in a division game that's historically profitable. It's
a low total here as well, so you gotta thik
points at a premium. Having that seven and a half
point head start with the Jerban seems like the way
to go for me. And if I don't know if
any and got the question right, but the other team
beside the Giants without a division win, going back to
the start of last season, would you like to take
a stamp?
Speaker 1: Andy?
Speaker 3: As I see you scratching your chin I'll give you.
Speaker 1: I'll give you a second to think. Who the is
it the Tennessee Titans.
Speaker 3: Surprisingly, it is not. That is a very good guess,
though it is trying to.
Speaker 1: Think it just the worst of the worst Jet is
I don't know.
Speaker 3: It is the team that will be playing the Titans
this week. The Los Vegas Raiders do not have a
division going back to the start of last season. So
Raiders and Giants are the two team. Oh, there we go.
Somebody got got some correct ones in there. Many people
got it again. Your prize will be on the way.
Just send Andy your address. They'll take care of the cash.
There you go.
Speaker 1: Guys, do not post your address in the chat.
Speaker 4: Do not.
Speaker 1: As in the chat? All right, Bolt take taking the Giants.
But yeah, they get that key number. Question if it
was six and a half?
Speaker 3: If yes, well I understand that Dan isn't here today,
so that it a little easier to say Giants plus
seven and a half.
Speaker 1: If it was six and a half, you're still taking
Giants or is that a layway? Just you get the key?
Speaker 3: Yeah, the key number helps. I'm not gonna lie to you,
but I mean the Eagles, look obviously the Giants, they stink.
But it's not all again. The Eagles have not been
a dominant four and one. I mean, I laid out
all the people can go back to my page, they
can see all the reasons I took Denver against them
last week. You know, you hate to say it's a
deserved close loss, but it was a deserved close loss
for the Eagles after some of the pulling their feet
out of the fire those first couple weeks.
Speaker 1: I was with you one hundred percent. I did a
breakdown video on that game. I took the Broncos as well.
I actually Dan and I were talking. I think that
was a great loss for Philly. They were kind of
squeaking by. They needed, they needed to get a loss
out of the way, regroup, let's get back on track.
I actually think the Eagles are going to be just fine.
You don't want to be playing your best ball at
the beginning of the season. I think you want to
yea or as this season goes on.
Speaker 3: Yeah, but I'll tell you that from last year. Certainly,
I still think, I mean, if you just kind of
wan't like my broad global thoughts, I still think the
Eagles will probably win this division, the NFC East. I
liked him under their win total and to win the
division before the start of the season. I think those
two things can certainly come about. But again, I just
I'm not in the habit Andy, of land more than
a touchdown on the road in a division game.
Speaker 1: So just kind of.
Speaker 3: Just I guess like the concept or whatever the word
escapesman that I'm looking for here the Giants would be.
Speaker 1: To play for me. All right, it's five dollars Tuesday.
What do you have up for everyone?
Speaker 3: Yeah, I just want to go back to the weekend, guys.
The weekend started great, Andy.
Speaker 2: I had my.
Speaker 3: Biggest college football play of the season of five percent
max bet. It was Cincinnati over Iowa. State. Got a
little hairy at the end, but Cincinnati was definitely the
right side. That was when I thought it was gonna
be the start of a great weekend. Unfortunately, guys, the
rest of the weekend was kind of a disappointment. At
least we did have the Jaguars last night. You talk
about teams that deserve to lose close, Andy, I don't
think any team deserves to lose close more than the
Kansas City Chiefs. When Joe Buck kept talking about that
eleven and zero staff from last year. I said, who
the regression gods could come smiling on us, and they
did so that was a nice win to cap the
NFL week with the Jaguars. I wanted to point one
thing out too about this show last three weeks. I
am six and oh when coming on the show with
the picks I've given out, so Blue Jays team total over,
which is a client play, a two percent client play,
and that play on the Giants. Perhaps you would like
to scribble that down on a piece of paper everyone,
and you should also scribble out on a piece of
paper WT dot Buzz slash BP. That is where you
go for a best bet in college football, as always
Andy for five dollars Tuesday, I like to choose a
college football game where I think we're getting a good
line right now, and I give it out for five bucks.
Let's beat that line. Movie you get it for that
great price of five dollars four percent best bet, only
five dollars.
Speaker 1: Again.
Speaker 3: We want our biggest play the season last Saturday with
Cincinnati against Ohio Iowa State and maybe something if they
beat Ohio State. But yeah, go to my page right
now and get that four percent best bet for just
five dollars. Really like this one, and I recommend getting
it now instead of later. Let's get that best available line.
Speaker 1: Brian Power, everyone, and tell everyone about the Blitz Every Thursday.
Speaker 3: Yes, every Thursday, we are talking college football for a
full hour. We will talk any game you would like.
Obviously we highlight all of the biggest matchups each and
every week, but it's driven by you guys the show.
If you guys, I see some fimiliar names in the
chat right here that join us every week for the
Blitz again every Thursday, one pm Eastern immediately following you
here on wager Talk Today. Any game you have a
question you want our opinion me, Ralph, Michaels, Ross, Benjamin,
We'll break it down for you. Happy to do so,
tune in live best way so that way you can
get your questions answered.
Speaker 1: Brian Power, everyone, Thank you so much. Always a great segment.
Six No run on these picks on the show. It
is five dollars Tuesday. All handicappers have a five dollars
pick up at wager talk dot com. Mine is always
on Contender Series. We only got two more weeks left
of Contender Series and we have a best bet that
is up. We cashed last week. So if you want
college football, we got plenty of those. We got MLB,
we got those. You want Contender series, we got you covered.
Get as many five dollars plays as your coup role
with me. Encourage you to get your favorite handicapper, try
out some handicappers that you haven't tried before that responsibly.
We don't want too much of your bank rolling play
on one night, but five dollars Tuesday great way to
take advantage of all of the plays that we have
up at wager talk dot com. We're gonna do some
free plays with all around the world after Pres, and
then I'm gonna give you a little Contender Series breakdown.
But let's bring in the Pres right now. And yes,
let's all right, Pres. I think your your mic might
be on the computer, not necessarily the mic there. But
we have a couple of things wow to show you.
Really yeah, yeah, yeah, we have a couple of things
to show you. One is a picture of the ring
girl in one of the fights that I research for
Contender Series. And the other let's start with Bill Sandevil's comment.
He says, Andy Pres was ripping the prop picks that
you and Andrew had yesterday and a lot of them hit.
He pissed me off with his ramp. What props did
we do we do that you didn't like?
Speaker 4: No idea. I don't even know that you had any
prop bets. What I was what I was ranting about,
is this stupidity of a guy's going.
Speaker 5: To get a touchdown?
Speaker 4: We must take a touchdown prop or a sack prop?
Speaker 5: Or is this.
Speaker 4: Today somebody scores a goal. I don't buy those props.
I don't make those props. I think those props are
the same as a warranty at best Buy.
Speaker 5: I think the books lit.
Speaker 4: Their chops when people make them. Now, with all that said,
if Andy and Andrew have figured out a way to
beat an impossible, unbeatable, insane market, bam buy their plays.
It's five dollars Tuesday. I cannot win in playing that game.
I have you know you sit there and I did
the math last year on this nonsense. Andy, take take
Austin Matthews scored seventy goals one year, got to sixty nine.
But let's go with seventy goals in eighty two games.
So that would mean that if you paid, you would
have to you would have to be paying a fortune.
I can't remember a fortune every time he plays because
he's averaging basically one goal a game. But he's not
because there were like twenty games where he scored two goals.
There were four games that year where he scored three goals.
Speaker 1: Okay, So when you look at.
Speaker 4: It from that perspective, there is no way that there's
any value betting goal props or sack props or touchdown
props unless you know something I don't, which strangely you do,
because you can beat that market and I can't, and
I don't think. I think that ninety nine point nine
percent of people playing the touchdown goal market couldnot beat it.
Speaker 5: Yeah, that's all I'm saying. I get it.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, Andrew and I do do the show
on Monday for fun, and yeah, we were spot on
on the show at Kelsey anytime touchdown. We had Lawrence
under passing touchdowns on mahomes over attempts at that stuff.
All right, Now, I got to show you something funny,
all right, pres So I research Contender series and you're
looking at a lot of regional fighters fighting in some
very small promotions, and you see some weird things. I
saw something I have never seen before and I would
like to show you. So let's pull up this photo
one of the fights. What oh no, So that is
the ring girl in one of the promotions that one
of the fighters fighting. Never seen anything like it before
in my life. I did a double take, a triple take,
a quadruple take. But yes, we will be breaking down.
Speaker 4: Eddy.
Speaker 5: I'm not going to give any thoughts on any.
Speaker 4: Of this, Dude, I want to stay not canceled.
Speaker 1: I agree, I agree, but anyway, but we have no
opinion on that photo. It was just something we thought
we should share with everybody. So all right, let's let's
talk a little bit. Let's talk some actual sports. Here.
You got the Broncos and the Jets. This is a
London game. Denver opened minus five and a half, blown
through five and a half, six, six and a half,
minus seven, I'm seeing seven and a Half's interesting stat Now,
justin fields is now oh and twenty six when the
opposing team scores over twenty one points. What a just
He needs to be in these low scoring games and.
Speaker 5: Over unders be in one list game?
Speaker 1: Andy, Okay, how do you break down and the Jets?
Speaker 4: Okay, before I get into that I just want to
end this prop market stuff.
Speaker 5: Jesse Schull is in there. Jesse Schule is.
Speaker 4: A prop betting gaut and I'm prop bets. I'm okay
if you bet over yards, overpassing, over rushing yards. I
gave out three prop bets last night on Wager Told
Glass call over at ten yards. I lost over Trevor
Lawrence's rushing yards. I won over Pat Mahomes rushing yards.
Speaker 5: I won. I went to and one in props.
Speaker 4: I'm specifically talking about touchdown and goal props. Okay, this game,
let's break this down for you guys. So I got
two bets for you in this game, Andy, and both
of them are team totals. We're gonna look, I'm not
gonna look at the over in this game. Now, I
understand that I'm going to take the over both team totals.
Speaker 5: I like that bet better than the over this game.
Speaker 4: Specifically, So Denver over twenty seven and a half points
against the New York Jets. I'll break that down real quick,
Andy Denver. Denver has gone over twenty seven points two
of the five games now twenty one against Philadelphia. That's
a real legitimate defense. Twenty against the Chargers. I think
they have one of the best secondaries in all of
football at twenty against Tennessee, an anomaly game that was
the first game of the season. They're playing the New
York Jets. The New York Jets have allowed over twenty
seven and a half points in every game this year
but one. The one game they did not allow over
twenty seven and a half points was against Miami, in
which they got twenty seven points. Sorry the Jets allowing points.
So the Jets are allowing thirty seven, twenty seven, twenty nine,
thirty and thirty four. The Broncos can score take over
twenty seven and a half and that is plus money
Andy plus one ten.
Speaker 5: As far as the New York Jets, I.
Speaker 4: Like over sixteen and a half For the New York Jets.
They have gotten twenty two, twenty one, twenty seven, ten
and thirty two. That means that they've gone over the
total of sixteen and a half in every game this
year but one.
Speaker 5: As far as Denver's defense goes, they.
Speaker 4: Allowed seventeen against Philadelphia, three against Cincinnati, twelve against Tennessee,
but they did allow three and twenty nine against the Chargers.
Speaker 5: The over on the New York Jets.
Speaker 4: I don't like as much as the over in Denver,
but the Jets are gonna have to keep pay somehow,
some way. I think they can get us to seventeen points.
I like overteam total in this game of both teams
instead of the over on the entire game.
Speaker 1: All right, well, Diana says, we sound like idiots.
Speaker 4: And you know it's I always find it fascinating who
is the idiot, the idiot or the person listening to
the idiot, Like, like you get paid to be on
the show, I owe wag your talk. Diana decides on
her own accord to listen to two idiots.
Speaker 1: Hey, what are you gonna do?
Speaker 5: Is the idiot?
Speaker 1: I listen? Hey, sometimes Pops called the kettle black.
Speaker 4: Diana said, I'm so appreciative that Diana is here, and
we love you, Diana. Michael Jackson did a song about you.
We appreciate you. Please continue to comment. And I've been
called way worse than an idiot.
Speaker 1: Just this morning, and he can I hijack? Can I
hijack hijack away?
Speaker 5: Okay, So.
Speaker 4: We run a show called the Best Betting Show Ever.
It's with Me, Joe, Naary and Art to Caesar. It's
a great show to watch. It's funny as hell, it's
jam packed with information. Yes what I asked people recently
to put up a dating profile for Joe and Aary.
A gentleman named Matt Partley put it up. It's it's
if you listened to yesterday's show. I read the whole
dating profile. It is freaking spectacular. But I do want
to highlight a couple of things. This is Joe Niary's
dating profile about me. They say love is a gamble,
good thing. I handicap. My safe word is push.
Speaker 5: What a line? What a line? Andy? My safe word
is push? Are you kidding me? I once romanticized a
money line.
Speaker 4: Dog so hard it ghosted me me. His hobby is
My hobby is whispering sweet nothings like closing line value
in your ear.
Speaker 1: He spills love CLV.
Speaker 4: Yes, dude, it was I'm not going to read at all,
but it was someone who understands that line movement isn't
about dance skills. It was so well written, dude, this
guy nailed it. I just wanted to bring some levity
and joy to our show.
Speaker 1: That's great, that's that's great. Profile. I got some friends
that use the dating profiles, and I'll just say I'm
glad I'm married.
Speaker 4: And well said, let's take a shot at a dating
profile for Andy. Everybody put up in the combat section
Away to Talk Today. If you were Andy and single
and dating profile, what would it be? So?
Speaker 1: Well, there's it's the The most obvious one is what
someone what? What? The phrase that's been floated around the show,
how they said I should open the show it's time
to bang with Andy Lang. That's I think. I think
that's the opening opening line on.
Speaker 4: It's time to Bang with Andy Lang. The amount of Diana.
What do you think about that slogan?
Speaker 1: I think i'd have more more women signing up that
I knew what to do with.
Speaker 5: So starts today.
Speaker 1: Yeah, we're gonna do a We're gonna do a hockey
prop here. I like Carter for Hagy to have a point.
What teams are you high on and not high on
going into the season.
Speaker 5: Well, I mean high.
Speaker 4: I'm looking at like win lost kind of things. So
my favorite win is Seattle. I think they've dropped the
line too as well a couple of points. So I
like Seattle over and wins, and I like Pittsburgh under
and wins. So those are the only two sort of
from that perspective, I don't I know people are running,
can you hear me? Oh yeah, I'm using a different
mic for some reason. I also don't like Montreal to
make the playoffs. And it's not that I don't think
they will won't make the playoffs. I think there's just
no value there. We got Detroit, Ottawa, Buffalo, all up
and coming teams. With Montreal, I think it even money.
You're better off taking Montreal to not make the playoffs.
Speaker 1: Yeah, Carmien was talking about Pittsburgh, and I'd have to agree.
I you know, when you when you have player props
and you you're betting on the same guy, you end
up watching the same team over and over and over again.
And last year, towards the end I was betting, I
was betting on the Penguins. They don't look too great.
Eight this year they were. They were really struggling. I'm
not sure what the upside to that team is.
Speaker 4: Yeah, they're playing. They're playing tonight too, so we're gonna
find out quick. With that said, they're given out old
they are. If Pittsburgh's gonna win ten games, they're gonna
win them early.
Speaker 1: Yes, yes, they're gonna fall apart as the longer the
season goes on. Agree completely, So all right, present's five
dollars Tuesday. What do you have up over at wager Talk.
Speaker 4: Well, thanks for asking, Andy, I have a NHL play
that goes tonight. It's a three percent play. You can
get it over a wager Talk for only five dollars. Obviously,
as you all know, NHL is my sport. I was
the number one NHL expert last year. I'm likely gonna
be the number one NHL expert again this year. And
we have incredible, incredible NHL betters over at wager Talk.
I also have a four percent NFL total bet. I
had a four percent NFL total bet last week up
for five dollars Tuesday.
Speaker 5: It was the.
Speaker 2: Over in.
Speaker 4: One of the games it won. It won, like I
honestly can't even remember what it was. I think it
was the Yeah, it was Seattle Tampa Bay over, so
that game won. I have the same style of play
up for five dollars. My NFL is sixty two percent
on the season. I'm up over twenty units of profit,
so I'm ecstatic with that. And also, Andy, make sure
everybody to tune in on Sunday. But the End Zone show,
I know you're not. You're not going to be doing
it the Sunday right.
Speaker 1: Probably not. You guys have a million people on that.
Speaker 4: But I need you the following Sunday, Andy, because I'm
out of town.
Speaker 1: Okay, just let me know, Just let me okay. So,
by the way, the the ego, the kahonas that just
the bravado that you have to have to come on there,
he and say, I'm likely going to be the number
one in NHL handicapper again. I mean just next level
with you. I was number one last year and I'm
likely to be. The season has an even brother.
Speaker 4: I chose the name the pres My show is called
the Best Betting Show Ever. Arrogance is my game, Narcissism
is my name.
Speaker 2: It's always crazy justin p There.
Speaker 5: Will be no blue line this year.
Speaker 4: Matthew Barnaby is not cannot do it on a daily basis,
but we will be bringing matt into the fold occasionally
in the Best Betting Show Ever. And yes, the press
doesn't lack confidence.
Speaker 1: Of course, I'm glad. I'm glad we're we're able to
get Matthew Barnaby sprinkled in a little bit. That was awesome.
He's really good. He's really good. So all right, Lawrence,
thank you so much. Great break down. It's NHL season.
Good luck to your leafs, and hopefully you gotta got
a good season ahead of you. I think your team. Yeah, absolutely, anytime.
All right again, five dollars Tuesday. Every handy Caper can
put up a five dollars Tuesday play. The lines have
just come out for my Contender series play that is
going up right as soon as this show is over,
So go grub that. We're coming off a really nice
win on Tuesday. We're coming off a five percent win
on Saturday and UFC, so we got a five percent
UFC play that is up for this weekend and we'll
have our five dollars Tuesday play. Go get the five
dollars Tuesday play. Make a deal, get the five dollars
Tuesday play. If it wins, then you go get the
five percent UFC play. Let's make that deal, all right, Chris,
Let's do it all around the world. Gotta do a
player prop for the Panthers and the Blackhawks. I was
just I was right behind pres in units won last year.
In NHL. I gotta, I gotta, I gotta get him.
I gotta get him this year. I gotta, I gotta,
I gotta one help him. We're gonna take Carter for
Hagy to have a point. Yeah, he has a point
in seven out of the last eight games against the Penguins.
He's got a point in nineteen out of the last
thirty games. He got injuries to bark Off and can Chuck.
That leaves a lot of points available. I think this
Panthers team is deep, but the big name guys are
gonna have to score points. So I like for Hage
to get a point tonight. Carlos Rodon over fourteen and
a half outs. I'm just playing the trends here over
and four straight against Toronto, and this is crazy. He's
gone over this in nineteen out of the last twenty starts.
Yesterday we rode this trend with Lzardo. He easily went
over that. So we'll go back to Rodon over fourteen
and a half outs. I lost the free darts play
I gave out yesterday. Let's try and get it again.
Mike de Decker minus one and a half sets over
Peter Wright. Peter Wright, if you don't know. He's the
ultimate fade in darts. This man used to be a
world champion and he's completely lost his way. The last
time they played, de Decker killed him, right, is two
to ten in his last twelve matches. So we'll take
to Decker minus one and a half sets over Peter Wright.
He is the ultimate fade machine. All right there, Yeah,
So there you go, Johnny Jumpman, there you go. There's
there's another. There's there's a dart to play this This
World Grand Prix of Darts is gonna be going on
all week, so hopefully we can stack some winners for you.
All right, Chris, let's bring up the Contender series graphic
every Tuesday, try and make the case for the underdogs.
These are not official bets. I'm just trying to make
the case here. So we'll start at the top. Lucas
called Us against Zinokoff. So the case is called Us
is a good fighter. He's got big time power. Zinokoff
likes to take guys down and control them on the ground,
but I don't think his striking is that good. If
Caldus keeps Us on the feet, called Us is live
for a knockout. So there is a little bit of
value there on call this The next fight is very,
very close. The case for Luna is he's tall, he's
got long arms and legs, and if he gets us
to the ground, he will absolutely dominate his opponent. His
opponent is short, it's stocky. He's got big time power.
Luna's no joke. He can use that length and read
and he's got really really good ground control and submission game,
so if he gets it on the ground, he's absolutely live.
Rodriguez against uh Roke Roki, I don't know. I don't
think Roki is that good. I actually think Rodriguez is
gonna win. He's got a lot of experience. He can
He's coming off with the Ultimate Fighter. We had a
really good showing. The guy he lost to ended up
winning the whole thing. But Roki does have power and
its Contender series. Two guys stand there and try and bang.
Roki can can spark him a little bit. I just
think Rodriguez is gonna be a little bit better with
his movement. So not a not a strong opinion on Roki.
The next fight is basically a pick him. That's gonna
be a car crash. Someone's going to sleep So anytime
you have two big guys that are gonna stand and bang,
that is gonna not go the distance, Okay, Luke Fernandez
and Raphael Purgantino. Purgantino is the one that fought with
the U with the special ring girl. I will just
tell you, I think Pergantino might be the worst fighter
I have ever done tape study on in my entire career.
Definitely the worst fighter I've seen this season on Contender series, Looke,
Fernandez is a prospect that the UFC really wants. Fernandez
is a killer. He can knock guys out, he can wrestle,
he can grapple, and this Purgantino guy has about two
or three minutes of cardio. He looked terrified, terrified at faceoffs.
I cannot make a case for Purgantino unless he comes
out and swings like a windmill and accidentally hits Fernandez.
That's about it. But Purgantino is in for a rough,
rough night. So that's a breakdown a Contender series. Right
after the show, I'm gonna do a full breakdown video
on these fights that'll be up on the Wager Talk channel.
And guys, we do our live show every Tuesday on
the Winning in the Shadows YouTube channel. Please join us.
The live bets have been absolutely fantastic. We get great
tidbits of information. We break down all the fighters that
get contracts so you get all those notes when they
make it to the UFC, and it's just a hell
of a lot of fun to watch Contender Series live.
So join us tonight. We'll root on the five dollars
Tuesday play and that's always gonna be a great Tuesday.
Thank you so much for joining us. Please hit the
like button, leave us a comment below. Tell us what
props you're liking tonight. Tell us what you like in NHL.
NHL season is back, baby, and we're gonna be back tomorrow,
same time, same place. Good luck on all your bets.
Take advantage of five dollars Tuesday over at wager talk
dot com. We'll say everyone tomorrow. Take care