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Speaker 1: Ottawa Senators in action tonight and it should be a

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very good one taking on the New York Rangers. Guys,

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Monday night hockey. Just one game on the board tonight.

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Don't worry. We're here on Puck Time wager Talk TV

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Andrew and Carmine to break things down for you as

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well as some great stuff coming up on the show.

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We'll have some stuff to break down, some stuff to

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get to and hopefully you guys will chime in with

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us in the comments section afterwards or the live chat

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here on the video. I want to give a huge

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thanks to all of you that joined me on the

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five percent play Saturday night. Nebraska gets the job done.

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I told you, hey, look we're low volume with college basketball.

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We pick our spots when we see fit. A lot

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of you guys joined me on it and we made

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some money. Saturday night college basketball March Madness. I hope

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you guys all had a great, great weekend. And carm

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that Bogo special man you were texting me on the

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weekend about the Montreal canadi We had that Bogo special

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going on. Still available, people that they want our NHL,

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they can get me and you together at a great price.

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I had a four and oh NHL weekend with cash

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a five percent college basketball ticket, so feeling pretty good

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going into today. Man, how are you doing? Doing well?

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Speaker 2: Four and one NHL weekend overall? Including a five percent

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winner on Saturday with the Saint Louis Blues, And you know,

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it's one of those weird ones where the final score

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I think was like something like three to one or whatever.

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But I never I never felt uncomfortable the whole game

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because the Blues are playing extremely well right now. Every

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game they are putting in like a maximum effort and

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playing well. Whether they win by a goal or they

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win by seven, it doesn't matter. It was a straight

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money line play at minus one thirty and I'm happy

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it got there. So with that said, yeah, we got

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a great schedule ahead, guys on today's show, though, what

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we're going to do is, obviously there's only one game

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tonight Autowe the Rangers, and we'll get to it in

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a little bit. We are going to do a couple

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NHL Playoff make or Miss segments because you guys ask

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for it, so we are going to do it. And

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then I've gotten absolutely crazy play from Andrew. But the

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more I think about it the more it kind of

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makes a little sense to because Andrew, I like hedgeable bets,

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and it's all I'm going to say, hedgeable bets. I

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put them in and then if it is a good

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amount later on that I can headge out on I

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do it. If not, I write it out. But with

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what I said, no, the bogo definitely Montreal Canadians where

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they get seven goals from.

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Speaker 1: You know what I mean.

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Speaker 2: And then like last night's game, the Sabers lose no

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t but pick up seven of eight points on this

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road trip. The Savers, playing extremely well right now now,

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gave up a power play goal at the end, unfortunately

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to force the overtime, and then they lose it in overtime.

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But I gave up. I had a client play on

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the over in that game, and a couple a couple

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of my friends are like, how do you take an

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over in a Sabers game in which they've only allowed

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one goal in three games on the road? I go,

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because it sets up perfectly for to be an over

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against Anaheim and six six fight final. It doesn't get

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any better, did you? Oh? Where you go?

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Speaker 1: There's a sweat trader trader and yesterday, I had the

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Ducks and I had the Flames, and I'm watching March Madness.

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So I'm going back and forth with all the games

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that I'm on, and it's almost like karma got me

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for not being loyal to the games I was supposed

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to watch. The Flames are up three to one, the

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Ducks are up four to two. They both go to

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overtime four to two and three to one. I'm like,

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are you gotta be kidding me? And and obviously the

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Sabers went went up, took the lead from from the Ducks.

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H So you know, we can plain a lot on

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the show about losing in three on three overtime. So

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it felt pretty good yesterday to get some some overtime winners.

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But you know what's funny, car I used to talk

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about goaltending is not meaning much to me in the

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past few weeks in the show, a goaltending has meant

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a lot. And I've been using different websites to break

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down these goalie stats. How big of a drop off

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is it from Vassilevsky to Jonas Johansson like that guy,

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that guy whenever he starts, I don't care how good

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Tampa Bay's roster is that guy is one of the

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worst goalies in the league, Like he gives up two

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goals every year.

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Speaker 2: Say the worst goalie you might with. The analytics might

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support you, but you have a Tampa team that that

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does play a lot sort of like I used a

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phrase in in soccer, a forward foot sort of soccer

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where you're always on the attack. In Tampa teams that

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way and sometimes you leave the back end a little open.

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Vasilewski is a good goalie to have back there when

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you do. He makes some great saves, so you got

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to give him a sort of kudos on that. But

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some honestly, Andrew like with some of these goalies, like

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yesterday Vegas, if not for Casey the Smith in the

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third period and for pretty much the last thirty five

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minutes of that game, if not for Casey the Smith,

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the Vegas Golden Knights would have blown the Dallas Stars

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out of the building. And I had Dallas Stars. He

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he made save after say Vegas was all over him.

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It was like a power play for twenty minutes for

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the Vegas Golden Knights. For a team on the second

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of a back to back losing four to one against

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Nashville the night before Man they skated and they brought it.

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So kudos to the to the Knights, and we see

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some gold like that Villy whoso end goal yesterday for Anaheim.

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They had to score six goals with Villy and net

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Billy is Johnny Detroit's favorite goalie for when he was

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here in Detroit. I think he offered to drive him

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to the airport and never come back when he played

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for the Red Wings. But with that said, I am

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going to watch the Red Wings and the Buffalo Sabers

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on Friday, so I will not be on Friday show,

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but I will be doing a live six and sixty

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either from Buffalo or wherever I am at the time

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that the show goes live. Six and sixty goes five

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and one. This past weekend, the aforementioned Detroit Red Wings

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bloye late third period lead and lose to the Boston Bruins.

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That was the only loss in the six and sixty

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nineteen and five. The last four weeks is the six

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and sixty. If you've been following, you've been making money.

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If you've been fading, you probably have my face on

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a dartboard somewhere. With that, it's what it is man

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Andrew speaking of the aforementioned Detroit Red Wings, Let's discuss

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whether the Detroit Red Wings make the NHL Playoffs, and

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then we will get to Ottawa and the Rangers, along

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with a Ralph Michaels fade or follow stats. But there

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you have it. Andrew minus one forty on the s

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plus one fifteen on the know they play Ottawa. I

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believe that's tomorrow night. I think yes, on the second

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of and Ottawa will be on the second of a

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back to back. Then they play the Sabers in Buffalo.

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Philadelphia at home. Little it's kind of a weird home away,

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home away kind of schedule for him, but it's East

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Coast stuff, so it's not too bad in the travel

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Pittsburgh away, Philadelphia away. So they stay in Pennsylvania for

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a couple of days, play the New York Rangers, who

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may or may not have spit bit to use a

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horse racene phrase, the Minnesota Wild at home, the hot

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Columbus Blue Jackets that ran into a wall called Soroken yesterday,

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Philadelphia Flyers, New Jersey Devil's a couple of home games

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there before they head to the Sunshine State to finish

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it off against Tampa and Florida. Florida has already started

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their vacation, but at that point, even though they started

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a couple of weeks ago, Tampa might still be playing

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for something, Andrew, because the Atlantic Division probably will go

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down to the final week before it's settled. Give me

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your thoughts on this one.

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Speaker 1: Well, I think when it comes to these type of bets,

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and we're going to talk about a couple of them today,

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is you're not just we've talked about, of course a

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couple throughout the past week or two on the show.

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You're not just talking about one team to make or miss.

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You're talking about other teams around them to make or miss,

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which is what I find the most interesting. Right Like,

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you look at the New York Islanders and the way

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thing is that things have set up now the Columbus

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Blue Jackets deep frogged the New York Islanders. So now

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the Columbus Bluejackets ranked number third in the Metropolitan Division.

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So with that happening, you know they've got themselves set

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where they're thinking, Okay, you know this New York Islanders team,

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they're a wild card team or nothing. Because I think

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Columbus is probably going to stay in that spot. So

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now the two wild card teams being the Boston Bruins

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and the New York Islanders. So you know, you've pretty

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much have the Red Wings, the Islanders, and the Bruins

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battling it out. A big win for my Canadians on

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Saturday night, which they needed over those aforementioned New York Islanders.

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So I think that when you look at this team,

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especially with the teams around them, like the New York

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Islanders have the third toughest schedule remaining in the NHL season,

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I think it just sets up for if if the

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Red Wings get the job done against the teams they

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should beat, then they're on their way to the playoff spot.

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And you know, at first I was fading this team

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because they lost Confer and they lost Larkin. But you know,

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getting one of those guys back and now having a

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Larkin kind of skating around and getting ready to go

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here soon. When I see the Devils on there, when

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I see Philadelphia on there, even though they're playing a

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bit better, you know, I think this sets up for

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an opportunity for them to win out and that's all

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they have to do. So at minus one point, I'm

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taking the yes. But Caren, this is as much to

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me as a spot here where the New York Islanders

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are not safe right now in a playoff position. And

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you know, we've talked about this. It's not a fresh thing.

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It's not a new thing with the format for the

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NHL playoffs the way it works. But man, I miss

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the one versus eight so bad because it makes it

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so interesting for us the way we formulate how things work.

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And we're going to get to the Western Conference in

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a little while here. But I mean, when you look

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at things with that Metropolitan Division, so you've got Columbus

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sitting on eighty five points, Detroit sitting on eighty four,

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so they could leap frog Columbus and end up in

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that third spot in the division, or they could take

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over the New York Islanders and then have that last

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spot in the wild card spot. So it's incredibly close

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that it's worth noting as well. The Islanders have played

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seventy one games. The Red Wings have played seventy games,

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so they're only behind one point and they've played one

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less game than them.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, Andrew, this this conference is unbelievable, Like I'm enjoying it.

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Some teams are in playoff hockey mode at the moment.

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Obviously the Ottawa Senators that we're going to talk about

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in a couple of minutes.

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Speaker 1: Carm I think I lost you. I can't hear you.

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Carm I think I lost your cart. I can't hear you.

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All Right, there we go. I got you. Oh, I

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got you. Yeah.

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Speaker 2: Every once in a while it dips out. But the

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Philadelphia has picked up four wins in their last five,

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three of them win to overtime. Four games went overtime,

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they won three. They lost their Coumbus Blue Jackets in

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ot playing extremely good hockey, and they're right back. They're

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in the mix as well too. It is one of

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those ones where in order for one of those teams

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kind of like in Ottawa of a Washington of Philadelphia,

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that they are in all likelihood if they have like

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let's say, eleven games left, they're gonna have to win

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like eight of them. And that is just to determine

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if they might get a wild card spot, because still

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the teams in front of them could go five hundred

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and you don't make it in well, left themselves with

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a lot to do. We're going to discuss them in

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a second. But this, this division or this conference is unbelievable.

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And yeah, if we had the one versus eight to

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versus seven matchups, it would be phenomenal. Like can you

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imagine Carolina, you finish first and you get rewarded by

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playing the New York Islanders with soroken goal or Ottawa

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Senators who have won like, you know, eighteen of nineteen,

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let's say by that point, or the Columbus Blue Jackets,

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who are who've been fantastic under Rick Bonus. Like when

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you lose a game while only allowing a goal, it's

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it's one of those ones where I feel like it's

240
00:13:43,200 --> 00:13:45,879
a loss, but is it really like a loss in

241
00:13:45,919 --> 00:13:50,279
the sense of team did not play well, they just

242
00:13:50,360 --> 00:13:55,360
ran into the wall that is Eli Sarrokin. So absolutely,

243
00:13:55,440 --> 00:13:58,360
it's going to be a phenomenal race. I kind of

244
00:13:58,360 --> 00:14:01,360
hope a lot of this stuff gets settled. Prior to

245
00:14:01,399 --> 00:14:05,120
me leaving to go away for the last week. I

246
00:14:05,159 --> 00:14:08,399
figured the last week of the regular season would be

247
00:14:08,440 --> 00:14:11,639
the great time to get my wife away for a

248
00:14:11,639 --> 00:14:15,279
week before it becomes the NHL playoffs and the World

249
00:14:15,360 --> 00:14:19,039
Cup of Soccer for me and then and baseball as

250
00:14:19,039 --> 00:14:22,759
well too, which I am going to be heavily on

251
00:14:23,000 --> 00:14:26,000
as well to MLP and then starting this all over

252
00:14:26,039 --> 00:14:29,159
again with football season, college, NFL and stuff. So I

253
00:14:29,240 --> 00:14:32,879
picked the one week and the league does not agree

254
00:14:32,879 --> 00:14:35,200
with me. They just spit it back in my face. Andrew,

255
00:14:35,480 --> 00:14:39,200
So you're going with yes on the Detroit Red Wings. Andrew,

256
00:14:39,279 --> 00:14:41,080
let me ask you this question and then we'll go

257
00:14:41,159 --> 00:14:44,480
to the first game or the only game on tonight's card.

258
00:14:45,679 --> 00:14:48,320
I am going to Detroit. I'm going to Buffalo to

259
00:14:48,320 --> 00:14:51,480
watch the Detroit game with Johnny from one of the

260
00:14:51,480 --> 00:14:55,039
owners from Wager Talk, his lovely wife Paula, and my

261
00:14:55,120 --> 00:14:58,840
buddy JENNI you've met my buddy Joe. What odds would

262
00:14:58,879 --> 00:15:04,519
you put on me sneaking in an octopus and toss

263
00:15:04,559 --> 00:15:07,399
it in on the ice after the Sabers victory?

264
00:15:08,000 --> 00:15:08,399
Speaker 1: But I I.

265
00:15:10,399 --> 00:15:13,360
Speaker 2: Put like a little Sabers jersey on that octopus too.

266
00:15:14,679 --> 00:15:17,039
Speaker 1: I think whatever odds I bet on that happening, I

267
00:15:17,080 --> 00:15:19,679
have to bet equally on how many beers are consumed

268
00:15:19,679 --> 00:15:22,639
at the game in order to have the courage to

269
00:15:22,720 --> 00:15:27,399
do that. But knowing you, I don't know, do you

270
00:15:27,440 --> 00:15:31,039
have a seafood market you're gonna find before you go

271
00:15:31,080 --> 00:15:35,559
to the game. It's an octopus. Get into Maybe I'll

272
00:15:35,559 --> 00:15:38,000
give you minus one. I'll give you the same odds

273
00:15:38,000 --> 00:15:41,279
as the Red Wings minus one forty to get it there.

274
00:15:42,559 --> 00:15:49,720
Speaker 2: H that's gonna steam. I'm arriving early on Friday in Buffalo,

275
00:15:50,240 --> 00:15:52,399
checking into the hotel and end meeting. We're all going

276
00:15:52,440 --> 00:15:54,679
to meet up and have some beers and wings and

277
00:15:54,720 --> 00:15:58,600
burgers and stuff before the game. So that I'm going

278
00:15:58,639 --> 00:16:01,559
to guess that one up to about one eighty five.

279
00:16:03,200 --> 00:16:05,519
We'll know as the week goes, but we'll try and

280
00:16:05,519 --> 00:16:08,600
get it done. Well. That said, Andrew, we got another

281
00:16:08,639 --> 00:16:10,159
make or miss, but we're going to get to that

282
00:16:10,360 --> 00:16:14,279
at the end. I want to talk about tonight's game obviously,

283
00:16:14,919 --> 00:16:20,840
so let's bring it up. Okay, Andrew, here's more than

284
00:16:20,919 --> 00:16:24,080
with this game tonight, and let me just write down

285
00:16:24,080 --> 00:16:29,080
this number here. Ottawa was minus one ninety one. The

286
00:16:29,120 --> 00:16:31,559
New York Rangers are plus one fifty five. Total sits

287
00:16:31,600 --> 00:16:40,200
here at six shasterkins confirmed for the New York Rangers tonight.

288
00:16:40,480 --> 00:16:45,080
Uh Will, it'll likely be all mark the world and

289
00:16:45,159 --> 00:16:48,919
I mean the world is going to be on the

290
00:16:48,919 --> 00:16:52,720
Autawa Senators tonight because there is absolutely no reason to

291
00:16:52,799 --> 00:16:54,960
bet the Rangers, even though they won five of six

292
00:16:55,559 --> 00:16:58,200
before this four game losing streak, and I couldn't figure

293
00:16:58,200 --> 00:17:01,720
out why they were even winning games the world, there

294
00:17:01,799 --> 00:17:03,799
is not a single person who wants to take the

295
00:17:03,799 --> 00:17:05,920
New York Rangers tight and all the money seems to

296
00:17:05,920 --> 00:17:08,799
be going on Ottawa, and that line could hit minus

297
00:17:08,839 --> 00:17:13,640
two hundred to ten by game time. Can I be

298
00:17:13,799 --> 00:17:18,200
the contrarian and just say, like the game that everyone

299
00:17:18,319 --> 00:17:21,119
is on, I want to or the team that everyone's on,

300
00:17:21,160 --> 00:17:23,559
I want to be on the other side. What are

301
00:17:23,559 --> 00:17:24,359
your thoughts on this one?

302
00:17:24,880 --> 00:17:28,279
Speaker 1: Look, I agree with you. I's it makes it weirder

303
00:17:28,319 --> 00:17:30,279
because it's only one game of the day and I

304
00:17:30,319 --> 00:17:33,720
feel like that's what is tougher for us because if

305
00:17:33,759 --> 00:17:36,200
you look at the analytics, if you look at the

306
00:17:36,240 --> 00:17:39,839
defensive numbers, if you look at even the goaltending numbers,

307
00:17:39,920 --> 00:17:42,880
if you look at the rest factor, if you look

308
00:17:42,920 --> 00:17:47,319
at the urgency level, pretty much everything in this game

309
00:17:47,559 --> 00:17:50,319
comes down to the Ottawa Senators. Now, the one thing

310
00:17:50,359 --> 00:17:53,359
I will say, and we can't compare the Rangers and

311
00:17:53,400 --> 00:17:59,519
the Islanders, but back to backs don't always mean a

312
00:17:59,640 --> 00:18:02,960
team is going to struggle. They do not always mean

313
00:18:03,000 --> 00:18:05,960
that because we saw that with the New York Islanders

314
00:18:06,000 --> 00:18:08,400
right yesterday, Karen, who would have thought the New York

315
00:18:08,400 --> 00:18:10,839
Islanders would bounce back after what we saw from them.

316
00:18:11,680 --> 00:18:14,559
But after all of me saying that, Ralph Michaels comes

317
00:18:14,599 --> 00:18:17,319
in here and says, oh yeah, the Rangers are one

318
00:18:17,359 --> 00:18:20,400
to ten with no rest, and the Senators are eight

319
00:18:20,400 --> 00:18:23,119
and two against the team with no rest. So it's

320
00:18:23,200 --> 00:18:28,559
like every single thing adds up to the Ottawa Senators

321
00:18:28,559 --> 00:18:33,400
getting the job done again one and ten with no rest.

322
00:18:34,160 --> 00:18:37,960
I mean, this is one of those things here, Karen,

323
00:18:37,960 --> 00:18:40,680
where I've said it to you down the stretch about

324
00:18:40,759 --> 00:18:44,000
keeping it simple, stupid, and when you look at things

325
00:18:44,039 --> 00:18:48,279
right now Outawa, right now, four point two three expected

326
00:18:48,359 --> 00:18:52,920
goals per game, ten point six high danger attempts per game.

327
00:18:53,319 --> 00:18:59,119
This is over the last five game sample size. I mean, look,

328
00:18:59,440 --> 00:19:01,559
and here's the thing too, the last thing I'll say

329
00:19:01,559 --> 00:19:04,519
to you. They set things up for Shastarkin to play

330
00:19:04,519 --> 00:19:06,279
a second half of back to back. We've been seeing

331
00:19:06,279 --> 00:19:09,440
that a lot more lately. Right it's just this team

332
00:19:09,519 --> 00:19:15,039
right now averaging four point three eight expected goals against

333
00:19:15,160 --> 00:19:19,359
per game four point three, So if Shasterarkin doesn't stand

334
00:19:19,400 --> 00:19:24,160
on his head, this team is absolutely screwed. I rest

335
00:19:24,200 --> 00:19:24,920
my case.

336
00:19:26,920 --> 00:19:30,240
Speaker 2: It can happen. Srokean did it yesterday. But you look

337
00:19:30,359 --> 00:19:33,400
look at those numbers, and this is from Ralph Michael's

338
00:19:33,440 --> 00:19:36,000
on the Fade or Follow stats that we have created.

339
00:19:37,799 --> 00:19:40,960
Any home dog of plus one twenty five or higher

340
00:19:41,000 --> 00:19:44,640
with no rest versus arrested team is forty one and

341
00:19:44,720 --> 00:19:50,279
one hundred and twenty four minus thirty one point five roi.

342
00:19:53,359 --> 00:19:55,440
And if it's game sixty year later, which it is,

343
00:19:55,519 --> 00:19:59,440
it's seven and thirty five fifty seven minus fifty seven

344
00:19:59,720 --> 00:20:04,200
ro Man. That is like buying like those dogie coins

345
00:20:04,240 --> 00:20:07,400
from Elong Musk where he just pumps it, dumps it

346
00:20:07,440 --> 00:20:09,039
and you lose all your money because you got in

347
00:20:09,119 --> 00:20:13,000
late Rangers one in ten no rest. But look at

348
00:20:13,039 --> 00:20:18,680
Ottawa three and zero against a team with no rest

349
00:20:19,680 --> 00:20:24,000
and sixteen sixteen to five is the combined score of

350
00:20:24,000 --> 00:20:30,640
those three games. Absolutely remarkable number there, Andrew it is.

351
00:20:30,920 --> 00:20:33,920
But it is a weird thing. It's just I'm telling you,

352
00:20:35,680 --> 00:20:38,640
and I'm likely going to be wrong on this. But

353
00:20:39,240 --> 00:20:43,079
with everyone on the New York Range, sorry the Ottawa

354
00:20:43,119 --> 00:20:47,880
Senators tonight, you know I mean, and people are saying,

355
00:20:47,880 --> 00:20:52,480
look in the chat, they're cooked. Sroken's got to stand

356
00:20:52,519 --> 00:20:55,200
on his head. It's like you said, we have seen

357
00:20:55,960 --> 00:20:58,720
crazier things happen in the NHL, you know. I mean

358
00:20:58,880 --> 00:21:03,599
the New York Rangers went five games ago I think

359
00:21:03,640 --> 00:21:08,240
it was, went into Minnesota and even though though the

360
00:21:08,240 --> 00:21:10,720
Wild weren't playing the greatest, they went on the road

361
00:21:11,400 --> 00:21:14,720
into Minnesota and dominated the game start to finish and

362
00:21:14,759 --> 00:21:19,839
winning four to two. Then they come home and they're like,

363
00:21:20,000 --> 00:21:22,200
they've lost four straight games, and we're like, Okay, the

364
00:21:22,200 --> 00:21:26,759
old Rangers are back. It is the NHL has been

365
00:21:27,279 --> 00:21:31,839
if nothing else, Andrew a bizarro NHL season. I am

366
00:21:31,839 --> 00:21:34,400
not trying to convince anybody to take the New York

367
00:21:34,519 --> 00:21:37,400
Rangers tonight. It is not going to be a client

368
00:21:37,480 --> 00:21:41,799
play on the New York Rangers tonight. But men, I'm

369
00:21:41,839 --> 00:21:44,400
gonna sit back watch this game, and I would not

370
00:21:44,480 --> 00:21:48,920
be surprised if the New York Rangers make this a

371
00:21:49,079 --> 00:21:52,319
game tonight. So we shall see. So we're a mono

372
00:21:52,400 --> 00:21:55,680
amano on this one. Right, You're on the Sands, I'm

373
00:21:55,720 --> 00:21:56,759
on the Rangers.

374
00:21:58,440 --> 00:22:00,400
Speaker 1: The only thing I've gotten this game here, karma is

375
00:22:00,440 --> 00:22:02,519
a player prop because I feel the exact same way

376
00:22:02,559 --> 00:22:05,119
as you. So I'm not on the sense quite yet

377
00:22:06,480 --> 00:22:08,799
because of the same things that you're saying. Man, when

378
00:22:08,799 --> 00:22:11,599
I logged on with you before with the show, I'm like,

379
00:22:12,319 --> 00:22:14,480
you know, it feels pretty easy. Feels like we could

380
00:22:14,519 --> 00:22:17,680
all make some money on the Ottawa Senators. And you

381
00:22:17,720 --> 00:22:20,319
know what's cool is that there's teams that just love

382
00:22:20,400 --> 00:22:24,920
to play spoiler right, teams that just want to they

383
00:22:24,920 --> 00:22:27,000
want to cause problems down the stretch. And you know,

384
00:22:27,119 --> 00:22:29,880
part of me was looking at maybe some overs, and

385
00:22:29,920 --> 00:22:32,000
part of me is looking at some team totals or

386
00:22:32,119 --> 00:22:34,920
team total under for the Rangers because of all mark

387
00:22:35,000 --> 00:22:38,400
and such. But when you look at this, like this

388
00:22:38,519 --> 00:22:42,960
game and the goaltending battle right now, and you talk

389
00:22:42,960 --> 00:22:44,759
about just throak and having to stand on his head,

390
00:22:45,279 --> 00:22:48,000
it's like one of those things for Ottawa. It's not

391
00:22:48,079 --> 00:22:50,319
even just their offense has been playing so well. It's

392
00:22:50,319 --> 00:22:53,480
their defense has been playing well. They're limiting shots, but

393
00:22:53,640 --> 00:22:55,880
a lot of the shots they get are from the outside.

394
00:22:56,519 --> 00:23:00,759
So it's very interesting to me looking at this one here.

395
00:23:01,119 --> 00:23:04,359
My question is, calm from you, how do people how

396
00:23:04,359 --> 00:23:09,160
do people get the best price they possibly can if

397
00:23:09,160 --> 00:23:13,079
they want to take the Ottawa Senators, Because That's what

398
00:23:13,160 --> 00:23:15,839
I think is probably the most using for teams right now.

399
00:23:16,319 --> 00:23:24,519
Speaker 2: I say I say this earlier, I stated that Ottawa

400
00:23:25,000 --> 00:23:27,759
everyone's betting Ottawa. Outawa's going to continue to take the money,

401
00:23:27,799 --> 00:23:31,519
and as they should because they're the better team. So

402
00:23:31,640 --> 00:23:35,400
this is the first of a back to back for

403
00:23:35,680 --> 00:23:40,480
the Ottawa Senators, right, So you have the Detroit Red

404
00:23:40,519 --> 00:23:45,759
Wings tomorrow night. They're in Detroit, a much more important

405
00:23:45,799 --> 00:23:48,559
game in the grand scope of things for Ottawa. Both

406
00:23:48,559 --> 00:23:51,319
games are important. Yeah, but let's look at it from

407
00:23:51,319 --> 00:23:54,759
a goalie perspective. We know skin is starting. From a

408
00:23:54,799 --> 00:23:58,319
goalie perspective, you have all mark. You're not going to

409
00:23:58,359 --> 00:24:02,079
start in both games. You have the backup, is what

410
00:24:02,240 --> 00:24:06,559
James Rymer? Do you start James Rymer tonight? If you

411
00:24:06,799 --> 00:24:10,079
if they James Reimer comes off the ice first at

412
00:24:10,119 --> 00:24:13,759
the morning skate, then people were like, oh, it's not

413
00:24:13,839 --> 00:24:18,559
all marketing goal it is James Rymer. Does the confidence

414
00:24:18,640 --> 00:24:20,920
level go down a little bit with betters and maybe

415
00:24:20,960 --> 00:24:23,640
we see that one ninety one ninety two turn into

416
00:24:23,680 --> 00:24:27,039
like a one eighty. So do you wait on the

417
00:24:27,119 --> 00:24:31,559
starting goalie for the Ottawa Senators only not to get

418
00:24:31,559 --> 00:24:34,119
you off the bet only to get you a better number,

419
00:24:34,559 --> 00:24:39,400
because again it's about saving vig. If if this is

420
00:24:39,400 --> 00:24:43,599
the high end of the number with all Mark in it,

421
00:24:43,640 --> 00:24:46,839
is there a lower end with James Rymer at one

422
00:24:47,000 --> 00:24:51,279
eighty maybe one seventy five, where you say I save

423
00:24:51,400 --> 00:24:56,640
sixteen cents injuice by waiting, and long term you say

424
00:24:56,680 --> 00:25:01,039
fifteen cents on any bet you're going to make money

425
00:25:01,039 --> 00:25:03,319
long term by saving vig. What do you do?

426
00:25:05,079 --> 00:25:07,519
Speaker 1: I think you have to be karm I think you

427
00:25:07,599 --> 00:25:09,079
have to be when you when you look at it,

428
00:25:09,079 --> 00:25:12,039
you have to be looking at different ways to make money,

429
00:25:12,079 --> 00:25:15,400
and at that way is waiting. Let's be real here,

430
00:25:15,599 --> 00:25:18,400
Allmark is better than Rhymer. I don't think it's by

431
00:25:18,480 --> 00:25:21,960
a huge crazy margin in the last like twenty games,

432
00:25:22,359 --> 00:25:25,519
but on the season, when you look at him, I

433
00:25:25,559 --> 00:25:29,200
think this is a no doubter. If people come out

434
00:25:29,240 --> 00:25:31,160
and they're making their bets on Ottawa and they're like,

435
00:25:31,200 --> 00:25:33,839
holy shit, I didn't know Rymer was playing and you

436
00:25:33,920 --> 00:25:36,440
should have listened to Karmine on puck time. Then you

437
00:25:36,480 --> 00:25:39,559
wait until six or seven o'clock to pull the trigger

438
00:25:40,279 --> 00:25:42,720
on that. But yeah, this is all I've got here

439
00:25:42,799 --> 00:25:46,759
for us, Karmen. This one Igor Shusterken over twenty six

440
00:25:46,799 --> 00:25:49,880
and a half saves. That's minus one twenty. We do

441
00:25:50,000 --> 00:25:53,799
have one confirmed goalie in this game. Of course, as

442
00:25:53,839 --> 00:25:57,640
you mentioned, we're waiting to hear the goaltending confirmation numbers

443
00:25:58,359 --> 00:26:01,839
for the Ottawa Senators. But I do think that when

444
00:26:01,839 --> 00:26:05,000
you look at this Ottawa Senators team, as much as

445
00:26:05,039 --> 00:26:09,160
they've been shot suppressing, they've also been creating chances offensively.

446
00:26:09,240 --> 00:26:13,480
Their offensive numbers just look fantastic lately. And as much

447
00:26:13,480 --> 00:26:15,920
as I'm joking around saying that Shasterkin's going to have

448
00:26:15,960 --> 00:26:18,680
to stand on his head, the reason why I'm saying

449
00:26:18,759 --> 00:26:21,240
that is because they're just giving up so many chances.

450
00:26:21,279 --> 00:26:25,559
Like the narrative coming into this game is that it's

451
00:26:26,000 --> 00:26:29,160
you know, it's your goalie makes thirty plus saves or

452
00:26:29,200 --> 00:26:31,599
bust for this New York Rangers team. That's really the

453
00:26:31,640 --> 00:26:34,559
way I see it here, Karen. They're going to face trouble,

454
00:26:34,720 --> 00:26:38,480
They're going to face and motivated Ottawa team. And if

455
00:26:38,480 --> 00:26:41,359
what you were talking about a few moments ago about

456
00:26:41,400 --> 00:26:44,240
this game being a sketchy game and it can Rangers

457
00:26:44,240 --> 00:26:48,119
play spoiler, you and I both know if they play spoiler,

458
00:26:48,160 --> 00:26:51,200
it's probably not because the game finished five to four, right,

459
00:26:51,279 --> 00:26:55,000
It's probably because Shasterkin played amazing and the game was

460
00:26:55,039 --> 00:26:57,680
three to two in the third period. It's kind of

461
00:26:57,680 --> 00:27:01,200
the way I see it, So igor start getting over

462
00:27:01,440 --> 00:27:05,039
twenty six and a half saves. That's the consensus number

463
00:27:05,079 --> 00:27:07,440
at most books. Shop around for the best price you can.

464
00:27:10,240 --> 00:27:11,240
Speaker 2: Can you hear me, Andrew?

465
00:27:12,000 --> 00:27:13,240
Speaker 1: I got you to have lost?

466
00:27:13,440 --> 00:27:17,680
Speaker 2: Okay? Anytime I change windows, I just wanted to change

467
00:27:19,039 --> 00:27:22,920
browsers to check some any news on who the starting

468
00:27:22,920 --> 00:27:26,079
goalie might be. But I missed the end of I

469
00:27:26,079 --> 00:27:29,200
can see that the Shustirkin saves prop going over because

470
00:27:29,200 --> 00:27:32,839
Otto was gonna bring it, and that gets even That

471
00:27:32,880 --> 00:27:36,839
gets even better. I think if it's a closer game

472
00:27:37,480 --> 00:27:40,519
because or if the Rangers get ahead, because you know,

473
00:27:40,559 --> 00:27:43,559
Otto was just not gonna give in. So we're seeing

474
00:27:43,559 --> 00:27:46,519
a great season from them. But I'm gonna tell you

475
00:27:46,799 --> 00:27:48,359
because we saw it last year, and we saw it

476
00:27:48,359 --> 00:27:51,680
the year before, and again, I'm not trying to make

477
00:27:51,720 --> 00:27:56,039
a case for the New York Rangers tonight at all.

478
00:27:56,559 --> 00:27:59,960
I am just saying, because there's one game on the board,

479
00:28:00,480 --> 00:28:04,799
you don't necessarily have to go nuts and play it.

480
00:28:04,880 --> 00:28:06,359
I think a lot of people wait to make their

481
00:28:07,519 --> 00:28:09,960
bets later on because they have action on something else

482
00:28:10,000 --> 00:28:11,839
earlier on. And this is the whole thing about bankroll

483
00:28:11,920 --> 00:28:18,440
management is if your bank roll's big enough, or you

484
00:28:18,440 --> 00:28:21,000
know what I mean, or you're practicing proper bankroll management,

485
00:28:21,039 --> 00:28:22,720
you can put the betting when you're supposed to put

486
00:28:22,720 --> 00:28:26,640
it in and not lose any value some people. It

487
00:28:26,799 --> 00:28:31,880
is a perfect example. It is like March Madness. You

488
00:28:31,920 --> 00:28:33,960
have a team that's minus ten and you're like, well,

489
00:28:34,000 --> 00:28:35,880
I'm going to bet the earlier games because this game

490
00:28:35,920 --> 00:28:39,359
doesn't go off until you know, ten o'clock at night.

491
00:28:39,400 --> 00:28:41,519
And then they're eleven and a half and they're like, well,

492
00:28:41,519 --> 00:28:42,599
it was going to take them at ten, I might

493
00:28:42,599 --> 00:28:44,599
as well take them at eleven and a half. You're

494
00:28:44,640 --> 00:28:48,400
getting a worse price by waiting. You put it in

495
00:28:48,920 --> 00:28:53,200
when you think the number has its value. But to

496
00:28:53,519 --> 00:28:55,119
the point I was trying to make before I went

497
00:28:55,160 --> 00:28:57,920
off on that narrative is not you know, last year

498
00:28:57,920 --> 00:29:00,319
and the year before, I watched the Buffalo Sabers as

499
00:29:00,559 --> 00:29:04,799
plus two fifty plus three hundred favorites late in the season,

500
00:29:04,839 --> 00:29:09,640
the last twenty games or less win games. We saw

501
00:29:09,759 --> 00:29:15,799
the Chicago Blackhawks going to Pittsburgh where the Penguins needed

502
00:29:15,839 --> 00:29:17,839
to win the final game of the regular season Andrew

503
00:29:17,839 --> 00:29:21,039
if you remember, to make the playoffs, and Chicago beat

504
00:29:21,039 --> 00:29:27,319
them as a monster dog. So it happens. What happens

505
00:29:27,319 --> 00:29:30,720
on the ice, you just don't know sometimes, and we're

506
00:29:30,720 --> 00:29:32,720
the ones stuck trying to make a decision where we

507
00:29:32,759 --> 00:29:35,319
either look good or we have egg on our face.

508
00:29:35,559 --> 00:29:38,680
So I'm going to try and avoid the egg on

509
00:29:38,720 --> 00:29:42,160
the face. I am not advocating betting the New York

510
00:29:42,240 --> 00:29:45,359
Rangers tonight, but you might want to. This is one

511
00:29:45,400 --> 00:29:46,920
of those ones where you might want to wait for

512
00:29:47,000 --> 00:29:50,200
the if you like the Ottawa centers on the starting

513
00:29:50,200 --> 00:29:52,200
goalie because it can't go much higher, but it can't

514
00:29:52,240 --> 00:29:56,400
go lower. The price based on the fact that I

515
00:29:56,480 --> 00:29:59,559
think it would be rhymer and goal tonight and all

516
00:29:59,640 --> 00:30:02,960
mark against the Detroit Red Wings tomorrow, I think you

517
00:30:03,039 --> 00:30:06,160
want your best goalie when you're facing a team that

518
00:30:06,200 --> 00:30:10,759
you're trying to catch to make the NHL playoffs.

519
00:30:10,400 --> 00:30:13,279
Speaker 1: And it's worth noting too. Like from the offensive perspective

520
00:30:13,319 --> 00:30:15,880
for New York, a lot of my numbers say they're

521
00:30:15,920 --> 00:30:20,599
overachieving offensively, like the goals they're scoring versus expected goals

522
00:30:21,319 --> 00:30:24,400
like they could plummet. So the goalie being in for

523
00:30:24,400 --> 00:30:26,559
Ottawa is a huge factor if you like New York

524
00:30:27,079 --> 00:30:29,400
and if you like Ottawa, as you said, Karen, people

525
00:30:29,440 --> 00:30:31,559
might as well just wait because if Raymer gets put

526
00:30:31,599 --> 00:30:34,079
in that minus one ninety, it's not going to get

527
00:30:34,079 --> 00:30:36,720
any higher. It's just going to get lower probably here.

528
00:30:36,799 --> 00:30:39,519
So we'll see what happens with that. But I'm very

529
00:30:39,559 --> 00:30:41,759
curious what happens here with this game as far as

530
00:30:41,799 --> 00:30:45,640
the total is concerned, because I do think that New

531
00:30:45,720 --> 00:30:48,880
York is overachieving offensively, but I also think that they're

532
00:30:50,599 --> 00:30:52,720
they're relying so much on just Thirken that I very

533
00:30:52,720 --> 00:30:54,960
well could see like a four to two game something

534
00:30:55,000 --> 00:30:57,240
like that. And you know, with the total the way

535
00:30:57,279 --> 00:30:58,839
it is, we don't really know where that's going to

536
00:30:58,880 --> 00:31:02,000
get us four to three for ever, So I would

537
00:31:02,079 --> 00:31:04,279
not be shocked, put it this way, to see the

538
00:31:04,319 --> 00:31:08,319
first period go under one and a half. Because New

539
00:31:08,400 --> 00:31:11,000
York can't beat Ottawa in a five to four game.

540
00:31:11,079 --> 00:31:13,480
I don't believe they can. I don't think if it's

541
00:31:13,519 --> 00:31:16,720
a race to four, race to five wins, the New

542
00:31:16,799 --> 00:31:19,920
York is gonna play And you know, one thing funny

543
00:31:19,920 --> 00:31:21,920
about these back to backs is I've talked about it

544
00:31:21,960 --> 00:31:25,599
a lot this year. When I first started handicapping hockey,

545
00:31:25,680 --> 00:31:27,559
it used to be an automatic bet to the over

546
00:31:27,680 --> 00:31:29,559
with back to backs, like, oh, back to back, this

547
00:31:29,640 --> 00:31:31,759
team's going to be tired now, a lot of back

548
00:31:31,799 --> 00:31:34,200
to backs. What was the score yesterday, Caren with that

549
00:31:34,279 --> 00:31:38,119
back to back? One? Nothing? Won nothing after they lost

550
00:31:38,160 --> 00:31:43,079
seven to three the Islanders. Right, So sometimes that stuff happens.

551
00:31:42,680 --> 00:31:46,240
Speaker 2: Andrew, what's the price on Mika Sabanda Jade scoring a

552
00:31:46,279 --> 00:31:51,799
goal tonight? Does anybody know? Look, I'm looking for it.

553
00:31:51,880 --> 00:31:55,160
Speaker 1: At you. What's one ninety five and I can give

554
00:31:55,200 --> 00:31:57,599
you twelve to one for the first goal of the game.

555
00:31:58,599 --> 00:32:02,319
Speaker 2: All right, Okay, I won't take the first goalie game,

556
00:32:02,359 --> 00:32:04,079
but I'll take me one to ninety five on the

557
00:32:04,079 --> 00:32:09,920
power play when Brady destruct access stupid penalty. Andrew, let's

558
00:32:09,920 --> 00:32:13,039
switch to the Western Conference with a make or miss

559
00:32:13,440 --> 00:32:17,519
from you, and we are going to talk the Nashville Predators,

560
00:32:18,359 --> 00:32:21,680
fresh off a victory, oops, wrong one, let's get rid

561
00:32:21,720 --> 00:32:25,240
of that one. Wherever that one went. We are going

562
00:32:25,319 --> 00:32:28,359
to talk the Nashville Predators. I'll add it to the

563
00:32:28,400 --> 00:32:33,000
stage there, fresh off at victory over the Vegas Golden Knights,

564
00:32:33,559 --> 00:32:37,119
Andrew plus one point fifteen to make the playoffs, minus

565
00:32:37,160 --> 00:32:41,640
one thirty five to miss Santos. The Devil's a couple

566
00:32:41,720 --> 00:32:45,559
teams dead in the water, Montreal Canadians team in the

567
00:32:45,559 --> 00:32:50,119
playoffs Tampa. Then a weird schedule they go. They head

568
00:32:50,119 --> 00:32:53,640
to the West Coast for them, of course, and it's

569
00:32:53,960 --> 00:32:59,480
the Kings, the Sharks, the Kings, Anaheim. Two games against

570
00:32:59,519 --> 00:33:04,079
the Kings in La, then Utah, five game road trip

571
00:33:04,119 --> 00:33:08,640
return home based Minnesota, San Jose, and Anaheim finish off

572
00:33:08,640 --> 00:33:13,839
with three games on home ice. Yes or no? And

573
00:33:13,920 --> 00:33:14,640
why Yeah?

574
00:33:14,680 --> 00:33:16,759
Speaker 1: We had some people in the chat saying, Hey, talk

575
00:33:16,799 --> 00:33:18,839
about this team a little bit more, talk about some

576
00:33:18,880 --> 00:33:23,720
other teams a bit more. And I think that there's

577
00:33:23,759 --> 00:33:27,119
a time and a place where you can almost sell

578
00:33:27,319 --> 00:33:30,640
high on a team, and I think that we're selling

579
00:33:30,799 --> 00:33:34,039
at the best possible point we can. If you would

580
00:33:34,039 --> 00:33:37,519
have given me this bet to make KRM last week

581
00:33:37,720 --> 00:33:40,599
or two weeks ago, the price would have been way different.

582
00:33:41,079 --> 00:33:44,279
You're getting them. As everybody starts to get excited about

583
00:33:44,279 --> 00:33:47,200
this team, I want to go against them. And I've

584
00:33:47,240 --> 00:33:50,720
already talked on the show about the La Kings making

585
00:33:50,759 --> 00:33:55,519
the playoffs. According to most websites, as far as strength

586
00:33:55,559 --> 00:33:59,160
of schedule is concerned, the Los Angeles Kings have the

587
00:33:59,240 --> 00:34:03,960
most faiavorable schedule remaining in the NHL, so that benefits

588
00:34:04,000 --> 00:34:07,480
them in their bid to making the postseason. And of

589
00:34:07,519 --> 00:34:09,159
course you look at the teams around them. With the

590
00:34:09,199 --> 00:34:12,800
Seattle Kraken, that team has fallen off in a big way.

591
00:34:13,079 --> 00:34:15,320
And the Nashville Predators are tipped my cap for them,

592
00:34:15,719 --> 00:34:17,599
you know, getting the job done a little bit here,

593
00:34:17,639 --> 00:34:19,079
but I don't think they're going to be able to

594
00:34:19,159 --> 00:34:21,079
keep it going. And a lot of that has to

595
00:34:21,079 --> 00:34:24,400
do with their goaltending saving their butt every night, and

596
00:34:24,480 --> 00:34:27,239
I just don't think that's something you can sustain down

597
00:34:27,280 --> 00:34:30,199
the stretch. So when I look at the no at

598
00:34:30,199 --> 00:34:32,960
minus one thirty five, yes we're laying shock, but this

599
00:34:33,000 --> 00:34:35,920
is chalk that's worth laying. Look at the March Madness

600
00:34:35,960 --> 00:34:39,199
on Friday night, favorites went sixteen to zero. It's okay

601
00:34:39,199 --> 00:34:42,440
to bet favorites sometimes, guys, And this minus one thirty

602
00:34:42,440 --> 00:34:46,519
five I think is a reasonable number. So when you

603
00:34:46,599 --> 00:34:50,239
look at the Pacific Division right now and the way

604
00:34:50,280 --> 00:34:52,960
things stack up, we'll talk about that in a second Ducks, Knights,

605
00:34:53,039 --> 00:34:58,000
Oilers and the Central Avalanche Stars and wild has been

606
00:34:58,039 --> 00:35:02,679
solidified forever. Fortunately for them, Karen. They've got no shot

607
00:35:02,880 --> 00:35:05,760
obviously at being one of those top three teams. So

608
00:35:05,800 --> 00:35:08,280
they're just worrying about being a wild card team. And

609
00:35:08,360 --> 00:35:10,239
I don't think the wild card is going to be

610
00:35:10,280 --> 00:35:13,599
a home for them. So and yeah, Joe Vonnie says,

611
00:35:14,280 --> 00:35:17,199
what make David said on Saturday night. Hilarious quote from

612
00:35:17,239 --> 00:35:21,760
McDavid the pillow fight Pacific. McDavid had some great quotes

613
00:35:21,760 --> 00:35:22,320
on Saturday.

614
00:35:22,360 --> 00:35:27,480
Speaker 2: Actually, yeah, well we should probably have a make or

615
00:35:27,559 --> 00:35:31,719
miss on the Edmonton Oiters because they aren't that far

616
00:35:31,800 --> 00:35:36,440
off of missing the playoffs as well too. Andrew. You know,

617
00:35:36,519 --> 00:35:41,320
I look at this and I see your point about

618
00:35:41,639 --> 00:35:44,400
the excitement and what have you. But I look at

619
00:35:44,400 --> 00:35:46,960
the schedule and here's a few things that I think about.

620
00:35:47,000 --> 00:35:52,760
They have twelve games left, and I believe that with

621
00:35:52,880 --> 00:35:55,719
them being in a playoffs part at the moment, if

622
00:35:55,760 --> 00:35:58,519
they were to go eight and four the rest of

623
00:35:58,559 --> 00:36:01,760
the way, which for the way these teams are playing

624
00:36:01,760 --> 00:36:05,639
in the Pacific, sorry, in the Western Conference, the ones

625
00:36:05,639 --> 00:36:08,639
that are fighting for a spot right now, eight and

626
00:36:08,760 --> 00:36:13,000
four is like gold. It is like sixty six percent.

627
00:36:13,559 --> 00:36:16,760
So where do you find eight wins here? So let

628
00:36:16,760 --> 00:36:21,000
me go through this. San Jose Sharks at home. I

629
00:36:21,239 --> 00:36:24,760
give that a win. New Jersey Devils. That's win number two.

630
00:36:25,519 --> 00:36:28,800
They play Montreal and Tampa Bay. So if they have

631
00:36:28,880 --> 00:36:32,960
the momentum going and they have Montreal coming in, that

632
00:36:33,000 --> 00:36:35,519
could be win number three. But I think one of

633
00:36:35,519 --> 00:36:38,280
the two games against either Montreal or Tampa Bay they win.

634
00:36:38,480 --> 00:36:42,440
So three wins. After four, you start the road trip

635
00:36:42,480 --> 00:36:45,039
off on the West Coast, even though it's at Hey.

636
00:36:45,039 --> 00:36:47,599
They play in Tampa Bay. You're gonna play the Kings twice.

637
00:36:48,239 --> 00:36:50,239
I have a feeling they're gonna they have to win

638
00:36:50,280 --> 00:36:52,360
at least one of those two. They could win them

639
00:36:52,400 --> 00:36:55,639
both because the Kings just don't seem to be impressing

640
00:36:55,639 --> 00:36:59,480
me at the moment. So we are now at five

641
00:37:00,400 --> 00:37:02,639
mixed in between. I think the Sharks have spit the bit.

642
00:37:02,920 --> 00:37:07,119
There's six in Hannhe'm a loss, in Utah a loss.

643
00:37:07,239 --> 00:37:11,280
Come home, play Minnesota, San Jose and Anaheim, and they

644
00:37:11,280 --> 00:37:14,159
have to win two of those three games, and I

645
00:37:14,159 --> 00:37:18,639
think they can do it. That's eight wins. Seven wins

646
00:37:19,000 --> 00:37:20,159
might be enough to get him in.

647
00:37:22,800 --> 00:37:25,079
Speaker 1: Well, like you said, Car, the thing is we're asking

648
00:37:25,079 --> 00:37:28,639
some of these teams like when when you what did

649
00:37:28,719 --> 00:37:32,119
you always say about must win does not mean will win? Right, No,

650
00:37:32,280 --> 00:37:35,480
if a team puts themselves in a situation, they're there

651
00:37:35,519 --> 00:37:36,119
for a reason.

652
00:37:37,199 --> 00:37:43,599
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's just it's one of those ones. Teams. East

653
00:37:43,679 --> 00:37:46,679
Eastern Conference teams going to the West Coast have done

654
00:37:46,719 --> 00:37:50,800
extremely well. Nashville is obviously a West Western Conference team.

655
00:37:50,639 --> 00:37:50,800
Speaker 1: But.

656
00:37:52,599 --> 00:37:55,199
Speaker 2: Going to those games that are in like San Jose,

657
00:37:55,440 --> 00:37:59,000
Anaheim and La having been killer they were earlier in

658
00:37:59,000 --> 00:38:02,559
the season when the Sharks were playing well, and we're

659
00:38:02,800 --> 00:38:04,880
right there and you know, I mean, and you can

660
00:38:04,920 --> 00:38:06,760
make a case that, hey, the Sharks are still there,

661
00:38:06,760 --> 00:38:10,079
but they're not winning games right now at the moment.

662
00:38:10,360 --> 00:38:13,639
So it is tough to put any kind of confidence

663
00:38:13,719 --> 00:38:18,079
in the Sharks. The Ducks, you know, they they'll surprise you.

664
00:38:18,559 --> 00:38:22,719
They'll lose seven to Utah and then go to Utah

665
00:38:22,760 --> 00:38:25,280
and play a masterful game and beat them four to one,

666
00:38:26,840 --> 00:38:29,320
a game in which I said, is you know I

667
00:38:29,440 --> 00:38:32,880
liked Utah? Sorry, I liked and I'm I said they

668
00:38:32,880 --> 00:38:34,760
were a live dog on Friday. They were going to

669
00:38:34,840 --> 00:38:36,679
go in there and win and they did it, so

670
00:38:38,159 --> 00:38:40,519
it was only plus one ten. But I'll take money

671
00:38:40,519 --> 00:38:44,880
on a bet any point. Now. That's where we stand

672
00:38:44,880 --> 00:38:45,760
on this one, Andrew.

673
00:38:46,320 --> 00:38:48,239
Speaker 1: This one is.

674
00:38:48,239 --> 00:38:52,360
Speaker 2: Completely wild to me. But I see your point on

675
00:38:52,360 --> 00:38:58,679
this one. So Andrew, tell us why you like the

676
00:38:58,719 --> 00:39:02,559
Anaheim Ducksteen to one. I need you look a little

677
00:39:02,599 --> 00:39:03,239
different there.

678
00:39:03,360 --> 00:39:06,159
Speaker 1: It's okay, Spiffy. I should have worn that jacket today.

679
00:39:06,159 --> 00:39:08,239
It would have looked cool if I wore the same outfit.

680
00:39:08,599 --> 00:39:09,440
That would have been nice.

681
00:39:10,280 --> 00:39:15,119
Speaker 2: The Ducks quack quack eighteen to one to win the

682
00:39:15,599 --> 00:39:16,880
Western Conference.

683
00:39:18,760 --> 00:39:21,239
Speaker 1: Quack quack quack, the Anaheim Ducks. I want to read

684
00:39:21,280 --> 00:39:23,760
something out to you guys before I mentioned this pick.

685
00:39:24,880 --> 00:39:30,760
This is the each division's cumulative goal differential on the season,

686
00:39:31,519 --> 00:39:34,280
and I sent this into our puck time group for

687
00:39:34,360 --> 00:39:37,440
all the hockey handicappers. I just could not believe this

688
00:39:37,519 --> 00:39:41,159
last night when I saw this carm The Atlantic Division,

689
00:39:41,199 --> 00:39:44,480
who we know has been so great this year, plus

690
00:39:44,760 --> 00:39:51,320
one oh four accumulative goal plus a minus differential, Metropolitan

691
00:39:51,440 --> 00:39:55,639
plus thirty eight, the Central with Colorado and Minnesota, and

692
00:39:55,760 --> 00:39:59,840
Dallas at plus fifty nine. Here's the bombshell for you guys.

693
00:40:00,719 --> 00:40:06,639
The accumulated goal differential for the Pacific Division is minus

694
00:40:06,840 --> 00:40:11,440
two hundred and one, minus two to oh one for

695
00:40:11,519 --> 00:40:16,400
the accumulative goal differential for that division. So what does

696
00:40:16,400 --> 00:40:19,639
that mean? The division has been garbage, is what it means.

697
00:40:19,719 --> 00:40:22,760
Karm And I'll tell you this is one of those

698
00:40:22,840 --> 00:40:25,639
divisions that you look at and you think, Okay, if

699
00:40:25,679 --> 00:40:29,239
Anaheim finished as the top spot, they're going to get

700
00:40:29,280 --> 00:40:32,480
a wild card team. And unlike what we were talking

701
00:40:32,559 --> 00:40:35,519
about on the show a few moments ago, the wild

702
00:40:35,639 --> 00:40:38,280
card teams in the West, I would say, are going

703
00:40:38,360 --> 00:40:40,559
to be a little bit easier for the top dogs

704
00:40:40,599 --> 00:40:43,639
to beat than in the East. You were talking about

705
00:40:43,679 --> 00:40:46,559
it with the with the Eastern Conference. You know, looking

706
00:40:46,559 --> 00:40:48,559
at some of those wild card teams in the East,

707
00:40:48,960 --> 00:40:51,639
you could be facing an Ilias Sarrokan and a New

708
00:40:51,719 --> 00:40:55,000
York Islanders team playing well, a Boston Bruins team playing well,

709
00:40:55,039 --> 00:40:58,920
a Detroit Red Wings team playing well. Those teams you

710
00:40:58,960 --> 00:41:01,360
don't really want to play though. But when I'm talking

711
00:41:01,400 --> 00:41:04,320
about the LA Kings or the Nashville Predators or some

712
00:41:04,400 --> 00:41:07,920
of these teams in the West, Utah Mammoth, I feel

713
00:41:07,960 --> 00:41:10,679
like Anaheim can take care of those teams, and Colorado

714
00:41:10,719 --> 00:41:14,400
can definitely take care of those teams. So eighteen to one,

715
00:41:14,840 --> 00:41:17,559
not even to win the Stanley Cup, to win the

716
00:41:17,599 --> 00:41:21,519
Western Conference on the Anaheim Ducks. I love this wager

717
00:41:22,119 --> 00:41:25,559
because of how weak the Pacific Division has been. They're

718
00:41:25,599 --> 00:41:28,800
going to win their division, They're going to play a

719
00:41:28,920 --> 00:41:32,360
wildcard team in round one, They're going to win a

720
00:41:32,400 --> 00:41:35,760
playoff series and win round one, and then all of

721
00:41:35,800 --> 00:41:38,960
a sudden, you're going up against probably an Edmonton in

722
00:41:39,079 --> 00:41:41,719
round two. You're going into that with an eighteen to

723
00:41:41,760 --> 00:41:45,360
one ticket. If you win that game, that series against

724
00:41:45,360 --> 00:41:47,360
an injured and a team that lacks a lot of

725
00:41:47,400 --> 00:41:51,559
depth and bad goaltending and bad defense, you're going into

726
00:41:51,599 --> 00:41:54,679
the Western Conference finals with an eighteen to one ticket.

727
00:41:54,920 --> 00:41:57,639
And I'll make it very clear, karm I would not

728
00:41:57,800 --> 00:42:01,039
be playing this ticket if it was not for the

729
00:42:01,079 --> 00:42:04,960
format of the NHL playoffs. If it was one versus eight,

730
00:42:05,079 --> 00:42:08,280
two versus seven, three versus six, I would not be

731
00:42:08,360 --> 00:42:12,039
playing this. But because of the way this format works out,

732
00:42:12,960 --> 00:42:15,679
they're gonna beat a wild card team and they're gonna

733
00:42:15,679 --> 00:42:18,559
play a Pacific Division opponent that I just don't think

734
00:42:18,639 --> 00:42:21,039
is very good. If we look at things on paper,

735
00:42:21,119 --> 00:42:23,880
Vegas has not had a great year, and we both

736
00:42:24,000 --> 00:42:26,039
know Edmonton has not had a great year. So as

737
00:42:26,119 --> 00:42:29,000
much as I've been talking about Edmonton and value on

738
00:42:29,079 --> 00:42:32,079
them at twelve to thirteen to one, and I still

739
00:42:32,079 --> 00:42:33,840
think there is for them to win the Stanley Cup,

740
00:42:34,280 --> 00:42:37,079
eighteen to one for a conference bet, I think is

741
00:42:37,119 --> 00:42:37,960
a pretty good price.

742
00:42:40,119 --> 00:42:43,559
Speaker 2: Yeah it is. It is a great crazy bet, So

743
00:42:44,599 --> 00:42:51,480
go go go Ducks. As I mentioned before, ice wise,

744
00:42:52,719 --> 00:42:55,639
you know, you look at it and eighteen to one

745
00:42:55,760 --> 00:42:58,840
becomes a hedgeable bet. Anything under ten to one is

746
00:42:58,840 --> 00:43:03,199
an hedgeable bet. So let's take the premise that we

747
00:43:03,599 --> 00:43:06,800
know in the Central that of those the top three

748
00:43:06,800 --> 00:43:11,079
teams right now in the league, one of them is

749
00:43:11,079 --> 00:43:14,639
going to be gone after the first round, Minnesota or

750
00:43:15,000 --> 00:43:20,679
the Dallas Stars unless Dallas somehow catches Colorado. Landeskog is

751
00:43:20,719 --> 00:43:24,559
back and and they looked pretty good on the weekend.

752
00:43:24,760 --> 00:43:31,079
So likely Dallas or sorry Dallas or Minnesota is gone.

753
00:43:32,440 --> 00:43:35,159
You look at if if Anaheim wins the division, and

754
00:43:35,239 --> 00:43:40,400
let's give out the hypothetical that it is Edmonton and

755
00:43:40,719 --> 00:43:44,960
the Vegas Golden Knights finishing second and third in the Pacific,

756
00:43:45,199 --> 00:43:49,519
one of those teams is gone. So you're getting rid

757
00:43:49,559 --> 00:43:52,760
of some firepower teams that have playoff experience that do

758
00:43:52,840 --> 00:43:56,719
extremely well gone in the first round, and the path

759
00:43:56,760 --> 00:43:59,000
becomes a little bit bigger or a little bit better

760
00:43:59,239 --> 00:44:02,639
for the You just you see who the matchup is.

761
00:44:02,639 --> 00:44:07,840
They're not going to face Colorado until the conference until

762
00:44:07,840 --> 00:44:09,880
the conference finals. If they were to make it that

763
00:44:09,960 --> 00:44:13,480
far in the conference finals against Colorado with Colorado having

764
00:44:13,559 --> 00:44:16,119
home ice, Colorado is going to be probably about minus

765
00:44:16,159 --> 00:44:19,320
three hundred to three point fifty to win the series.

766
00:44:20,199 --> 00:44:23,239
You're now having minus three fifty that you can hedge

767
00:44:23,400 --> 00:44:28,760
against a plus eighteen hundred, and that is where you

768
00:44:28,880 --> 00:44:30,159
decide what you want to do.

769
00:44:30,639 --> 00:44:37,039
Speaker 1: So ye edgible bets conference bet right edgible bets have.

770
00:44:37,000 --> 00:44:40,960
Speaker 2: To be something that are plus fifteen hundred or fifteen

771
00:44:40,960 --> 00:44:43,440
to one or more. I do it a lot with

772
00:44:44,280 --> 00:44:50,119
soccer bets, and I'll let mys know, guys, I'm not hedging,

773
00:44:50,679 --> 00:44:54,760
but if you want to hedge, here's the hedge and

774
00:44:54,800 --> 00:44:57,960
how you're supposed to take it. And some take the advice,

775
00:44:58,000 --> 00:45:01,199
some ride it out and and we end up winning.

776
00:45:01,280 --> 00:45:07,000
So that's all I say. And trew the bogo bogo

777
00:45:07,000 --> 00:45:09,480
for you, and I I believe is still Live. What

778
00:45:09,519 --> 00:45:11,719
do you have played before we close out this show?

779
00:45:11,920 --> 00:45:15,360
Tomorrow's five dollars customer appreciation. We have Don Buster on

780
00:45:15,400 --> 00:45:18,199
the show tomorrow. We have Brian Leonard on the show tomorrow.

781
00:45:18,239 --> 00:45:21,480
We're gonna have an action packed show going for you guys.

782
00:45:21,519 --> 00:45:23,760
Press is away this week. He will not be on

783
00:45:23,800 --> 00:45:25,519
any of the shows. I don't know if that's a

784
00:45:25,559 --> 00:45:27,880
good thing or bad thing for you guys, but he

785
00:45:27,960 --> 00:45:32,119
will not be here on the show. But what is

786
00:45:32,119 --> 00:45:33,880
your week shaping up like? In the NHL?

787
00:45:35,159 --> 00:45:37,199
Speaker 1: Well, as far as the NHL is concerned, tomorrow is

788
00:45:37,239 --> 00:45:39,920
a massive, massive slate. I'm waiting for numbers to come out.

789
00:45:40,519 --> 00:45:43,400
The team totals have gone pretty good lately, and you know,

790
00:45:43,440 --> 00:45:45,079
I hit some bumps in the road, Karen, with the

791
00:45:45,119 --> 00:45:47,360
team totals. I needed teams to get to four or

792
00:45:47,400 --> 00:45:50,000
five and they were landing on two or three. I'm

793
00:45:50,000 --> 00:45:52,000
looking at a big play tomorrow, and I'm looking at

794
00:45:52,000 --> 00:45:54,960
a team total play. But as I mentioned, the college

795
00:45:55,000 --> 00:45:58,639
basketball five percent went really well on Saturday night, and

796
00:45:58,679 --> 00:46:01,599
I'm looking at hopefully one team that's gonna be a

797
00:46:01,679 --> 00:46:05,159
little bit underappreciated the market. We're gonna look at betting

798
00:46:05,559 --> 00:46:08,679
on Wednesday. So some best bets coming this week, no

799
00:46:08,760 --> 00:46:11,599
doubt about it. Some best bets coming this week. And

800
00:46:11,719 --> 00:46:14,840
that package I mentioned to you guys on the show

801
00:46:14,880 --> 00:46:17,519
on Friday, it's going to be up to this afternoon.

802
00:46:17,920 --> 00:46:21,360
It's gonna be a package for baseball and CFL. We

803
00:46:21,400 --> 00:46:24,639
were number one last year at the website with CFL betting.

804
00:46:25,199 --> 00:46:27,840
The props were great, the sides were great, the totals

805
00:46:27,840 --> 00:46:30,719
were great, and as far as MLB is concerned, I

806
00:46:30,920 --> 00:46:33,679
ended last year on a plus twenty five unit run

807
00:46:33,800 --> 00:46:37,639
with best bets. I found okarm I didn't need to

808
00:46:37,679 --> 00:46:40,920
release two percent plays. Those were not winning. The four

809
00:46:40,960 --> 00:46:43,960
percent and five percent were crushing it. So I learned

810
00:46:44,480 --> 00:46:47,320
just keep it small, but cash those four percent and

811
00:46:47,400 --> 00:46:50,679
five percent tickets. So we got a big play NHL tomorrow.

812
00:46:50,719 --> 00:46:53,599
If I get the right number college basketball on Wednesday,

813
00:46:53,639 --> 00:46:58,360
I'm hoping, and I think when I look at this board,

814
00:46:58,400 --> 00:47:00,800
we should have a lot of play because Thursday. The

815
00:47:00,840 --> 00:47:04,599
best part about days like this, With just one one game,

816
00:47:04,960 --> 00:47:07,880
you get an early start on handicapping the Tuesday slate.

817
00:47:08,639 --> 00:47:11,599
So even though we broke down the Ottawa game, we

818
00:47:11,719 --> 00:47:14,360
already get a bunch of time. So to break down

819
00:47:14,360 --> 00:47:17,199
the Tuesday game. So the Bogo special. I love it

820
00:47:17,239 --> 00:47:20,000
because you and I we are like never head to HEADCARM.

821
00:47:20,039 --> 00:47:23,039
It's great. We see the board differently, we bet different games.

822
00:47:23,239 --> 00:47:24,880
You guys can get that bogo if you want to

823
00:47:24,920 --> 00:47:28,400
get our hockey, go to our pages WT Dot Buzz,

824
00:47:28,480 --> 00:47:33,320
Backslash CB or backslash AM to get both of us

825
00:47:33,360 --> 00:47:35,440
for three days all sports. Or you can get that

826
00:47:35,519 --> 00:47:39,159
great deal KARM six days all access for the price

827
00:47:39,199 --> 00:47:40,079
of three.

828
00:47:41,679 --> 00:47:45,079
Speaker 2: Absolutely great deal. I'm going to have this afternoon. The

829
00:47:45,119 --> 00:47:49,119
lines will come out for the NHL. You know, I

830
00:47:49,159 --> 00:47:51,119
have my own lines for each and every game, and

831
00:47:51,159 --> 00:47:53,039
then I just compare them with the lines as they

832
00:47:53,079 --> 00:47:57,760
come out and see where the value lies. And I've

833
00:47:57,800 --> 00:48:00,760
got the schedule mapped out, so I know the games

834
00:48:00,760 --> 00:48:02,800
I want to take if I can get the right number.

835
00:48:03,639 --> 00:48:06,880
But I'll have customer appreciation plays up. If something really

836
00:48:06,920 --> 00:48:09,440
stands out as a five percent play, I will have

837
00:48:09,559 --> 00:48:12,599
it up. But I know I do have one for

838
00:48:12,719 --> 00:48:17,679
Thursday that I really do like, so we shall see

839
00:48:17,679 --> 00:48:22,079
how that goes. A couple mentions in the chat, which

840
00:48:22,079 --> 00:48:25,840
I'll go through Andrew real quickly. I banned the guy

841
00:48:26,000 --> 00:48:33,079
in the comments section stupid comments like calling people special

842
00:48:33,199 --> 00:48:39,760
needs people? How bad is your life? How bad is

843
00:48:39,800 --> 00:48:44,119
your life, dude, that you need to make comments about

844
00:48:44,280 --> 00:48:48,000
calling people special needs people? Like seriously, wake up and

845
00:48:48,039 --> 00:48:49,960
try and be a better version of yourself each and

846
00:48:49,960 --> 00:48:55,519
every morning. And AOD yes, dude, I'm looking forward to

847
00:48:55,760 --> 00:49:03,119
Thursday's Thursday's World Cup qualifying. I'm gonna have some plays up. Man, Italy,

848
00:49:03,320 --> 00:49:05,480
What the hell, man, are you going to qualify for

849
00:49:05,519 --> 00:49:11,320
a World Cup? It is unbelievable, the Italian team two

850
00:49:11,400 --> 00:49:15,079
straight World Cups where they've missed. I have tickets for

851
00:49:15,119 --> 00:49:18,440
the first game Canada versus the European qualifier, which would

852
00:49:18,440 --> 00:49:23,280
be Italy if they beat Northern Ireland on Thursday and

853
00:49:23,320 --> 00:49:28,280
then beat the winner of Wales and Bosnia on Sunday.

854
00:49:28,280 --> 00:49:30,760
I believe that the game is on Sunday, so we

855
00:49:30,800 --> 00:49:34,559
shall we shall see. Rhymer is confirmed, so there you go.

856
00:49:34,639 --> 00:49:37,880
We'll see if there is a drop in price there.

857
00:49:37,880 --> 00:49:42,039
But guys take advantage of that Bogo package, Andrew, I'm

858
00:49:42,079 --> 00:49:44,800
seeing some price drops already. Certain it down to one

859
00:49:44,840 --> 00:49:48,400
seventy seven, super Book down to one seventy five MGM,

860
00:49:48,480 --> 00:49:49,920
down to one seventy.

861
00:49:49,840 --> 00:49:52,960
Speaker 1: Nobody likes rhymer. Nobody likes rhymer.

862
00:49:53,599 --> 00:49:56,440
Speaker 2: Let's see if the Ottawa Senators like rhymer or not

863
00:49:57,320 --> 00:50:03,559
as well? To a couple we all need, Yeah, a

864
00:50:03,639 --> 00:50:06,320
couple of quick little notes, Andrew. And sometimes it's it's

865
00:50:06,360 --> 00:50:12,599
hockey related, but not hockey related, Jesse Pearce. UH thoughts

866
00:50:12,679 --> 00:50:19,039
go out to their family her she's a hockey hockey

867
00:50:19,039 --> 00:50:22,840
writer and I think UH she's involved in UH for

868
00:50:22,920 --> 00:50:25,119
one of the teams, and her and her three kids

869
00:50:25,119 --> 00:50:28,800
passed away in a house fire. So are you know

870
00:50:28,800 --> 00:50:31,159
our thoughts and prayers to her and UH and the

871
00:50:31,199 --> 00:50:34,559
family and of course the the other thing, Andrew, us

872
00:50:34,599 --> 00:50:40,320
being Canadian, there was ah a tragedy today at LaGuardia,

873
00:50:40,440 --> 00:50:43,480
or last night or early this morning LaGuardia with an

874
00:50:43,480 --> 00:50:48,679
Air Canada plane hitting a fire truck of all things,

875
00:50:48,800 --> 00:50:52,239
and pilot and co pilot both died. Forty people taken

876
00:50:52,280 --> 00:50:55,599
to the hospital with serious injuries, but all are expected

877
00:50:55,639 --> 00:51:00,599
to survive. Thoughts and prayers are with them as well too, Andrew.

878
00:51:01,039 --> 00:51:04,000
That's pretty much it. Should we call this off because

879
00:51:04,000 --> 00:51:05,960
if jor DANII is here, you know what you would say,

880
00:51:06,480 --> 00:51:08,880
how the hell did you guys spend fifty two minutes

881
00:51:08,920 --> 00:51:09,840
on one game.

882
00:51:10,639 --> 00:51:15,039
Speaker 1: Yes, well, we talk about one game, carn But tomorrow

883
00:51:15,119 --> 00:51:24,519
we've got Toronto, Boston, Colorado, Pittsburgh, Carolina, Montreal, Chicago, New York, Seattle, Florida, Ottawa, Detroit, Columbus, Philadelphia, Minnesota, Tampa, Bay, Vegas, Winnipeg, Washington,

884
00:51:24,559 --> 00:51:30,039
Saint Louis, New Jersey, Dallas, A Jose. We've also got La, Calgary, Edmonton, Utah,

885
00:51:30,159 --> 00:51:33,159
Anaheim and Vancouver. I feel like the guy on price

886
00:51:33,239 --> 00:51:35,559
is right. With all that being said, there's a ton

887
00:51:35,599 --> 00:51:39,199
of games on Tuesday. We are back tomorrow, same time,

888
00:51:39,320 --> 00:51:42,679
same place here on puck time. Thanks for watching, guys,

889
00:51:42,760 --> 00:51:44,519
best of luck, we'll see you next time.

