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<v Speaker 1>And Financial Report time, Dan Eastman, your host, and today

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<v Speaker 1>is Monday, August tenth, twenty twenty six. Thank you so

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<v Speaker 1>much for tuning in. As always, we appreciate your viewership

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<v Speaker 1>here at the Eastman Financial Report as well as throughout

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<v Speaker 1>the day on all of the amazing programming you see

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<v Speaker 1>at Worldviewtube and of course here at Worldview Radio. So

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<v Speaker 1>we appreciate you tuning in, taking your time. And as

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<v Speaker 1>you know, we've been broadcasting in this space since two

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<v Speaker 1>thousand and six, and we broadcast from a very special podium.

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<v Speaker 1>We are a Christian broadcasting network and it is our ministry,

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<v Speaker 1>our mission, our passion, and our goal to take the

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<v Speaker 1>great concepts of the day, the news and information of

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<v Speaker 1>the day, and bring that into the great marketplace of

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<v Speaker 1>ideas from a Christian perspective. And that's what we do,

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<v Speaker 1>and that's what we've been doing since two thousand and six,

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<v Speaker 1>and we shall continue to do that until the Second Coming,

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<v Speaker 1>because this is in fact our ministry, and we walk

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<v Speaker 1>in the steps of basically the Apostles when you think

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<v Speaker 1>about it, two thousand years ago, the Apostles were going

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<v Speaker 1>about the Middle East and sharing the good news of

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<v Speaker 1>the Gospel and that wasn't a paywall, that wasn't a subscription,

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<v Speaker 1>it wasn't entertainment. It was a message really given, but

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<v Speaker 1>a message freely given, a great risk, personal risk and

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<v Speaker 1>health risk to the message, to the deliverers of the message.

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<v Speaker 1>And there's not much that's changed today. That's why we

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<v Speaker 1>follow in the tradition of spreading the gospel message and

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<v Speaker 1>we use this vehicle, worldviewtube dot com and Worldview Radio

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<v Speaker 1>to achieve that goal. And that is our ministry. And

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<v Speaker 1>if you'd like to help us in that ministry, you

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<v Speaker 1>can do that by going to Worldviewfoundation dot com and

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<v Speaker 1>making a donation. You can sign up for a one

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<v Speaker 1>time donation it's very very much appreciated, or you can

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<v Speaker 1>sign up for a monthly plan. And that has the

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<v Speaker 1>added benefit of flattening our revenue curve a bit so

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<v Speaker 1>we can better match our costs to the revenues and

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<v Speaker 1>keep our content free of charge. As you know, we're

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<v Speaker 1>not charging a paywall or a subscription fee to hear

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<v Speaker 1>our daily content. It's a gift, freely given. The address

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<v Speaker 1>is on the bottom of the screen. It's Wvwfoundation dot

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<v Speaker 1>com or you can type in Worldviewfoundation dot com takes

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<v Speaker 1>you to the same place, and oh, you can use

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<v Speaker 1>the HANDQR code and it'll smartly take your smartphone right

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<v Speaker 1>to the website and you can make a donation and

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<v Speaker 1>that goes to our foundation. And the foundation is very

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<v Speaker 1>much a supporting tool of this broadcast ministry. That's why

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<v Speaker 1>it's so important to make that donation to the foundation,

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<v Speaker 1>because this is what keeps our broadcast content free of

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<v Speaker 1>charge and current and up to date and meaningful and relevant.

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<v Speaker 1>And if you've been watching our coverage over the last

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<v Speaker 1>few months of the Iranian situation, you realize that our

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<v Speaker 1>coverage is very very good and very very special because

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<v Speaker 1>we have people on the ground in the Middle East

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<v Speaker 1>with extreme knowledge of the situation. We're sharing that knowledge

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<v Speaker 1>with us almost on a daily basis. So it's a

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<v Speaker 1>really great platform. And that's why when you do support

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<v Speaker 1>our network, you are continuing to help us bring relevant

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<v Speaker 1>content to that great marketplace of ideas. Again, from the

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<v Speaker 1>Christian perspective, you can also help our ministry by doing

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<v Speaker 1>business with the vendors you see advertising throughout the day.

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<v Speaker 1>We're not like the big commercial networks. We don't sell

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<v Speaker 1>blocks of advertising time to advertisers. Rather, we know the

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<v Speaker 1>companies that we deal with. We meet them, we understand them,

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<v Speaker 1>we know them, trust them, and then when they advertise

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<v Speaker 1>on our network, you can be assured that we've vetted

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<v Speaker 1>these companies and we believe in what they're doing. And

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<v Speaker 1>when you make a purchase, either the goods or services,

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<v Speaker 1>a small portion of that proceeds comes back to us

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<v Speaker 1>in the form of a commission, and then also enhances

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<v Speaker 1>our bottom line. It keeps us broadcasting free of charge.

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<v Speaker 1>So pay attention to the the commercials you see in

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<v Speaker 1>the advertisements throughout the day, and know that those are

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<v Speaker 1>companies that we know and trust and that you can

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<v Speaker 1>feel comfortable doing business with them. There's a third way

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<v Speaker 1>you can help the network, and of course you can

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<v Speaker 1>help yourself at the same time, and that is to

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<v Speaker 1>subscribe to our new product called the Vault. To go

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<v Speaker 1>to worldviewtube dot com slash Vault, you can subscribe to

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<v Speaker 1>an amazing collection of information. Here's the address on the

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<v Speaker 1>bottom of the screen worldviewtube dot com slash Vault. We

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<v Speaker 1>have been broadcasting since two thousand and six in this space.

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<v Speaker 1>And of course Brandon Howse has written over sixteen books,

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<v Speaker 1>and he has done conferences and events, seminars around the country.

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<v Speaker 1>All of that information is now digitized and it lives

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<v Speaker 1>within the vault. It's over thirty years of content. It's

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<v Speaker 1>an amazing collection, which is effectively the archive of the Ministry.

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<v Speaker 1>So if you are interested in something we talked about

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<v Speaker 1>a week ago, a month ago, a year ago, and

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<v Speaker 1>you can go into the vault and you can find

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<v Speaker 1>that information. Now you might be thinking, wow, thirty years

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<v Speaker 1>of information, that's a lot to rummage through to find

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<v Speaker 1>I'm looking for. Well, fear not. We have developed an

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<v Speaker 1>amazing search engine tool that allows you to search by topic,

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<v Speaker 1>maybe political topic, news topic, financial or economic topic, whatever,

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<v Speaker 1>even the scriptural passages, Bible related versus that will bring

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<v Speaker 1>up the information you're looking for. It's an amazing search

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<v Speaker 1>engine tool and I highly recommend going to the Vault

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<v Speaker 1>and trying it out. Now you think, wow, that's got

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<v Speaker 1>to be pretty expensive all that information, Well, you know

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<v Speaker 1>it's not. It's less than eight dollars a month if

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<v Speaker 1>you subscribe by the year, a really great bargain. It's

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<v Speaker 1>less than a cup of coffee at a fancy coffee shop,

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<v Speaker 1>and certainly less than a lunch anywhere in the United States.

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<v Speaker 1>But The point is for less than eight dollars a month,

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<v Speaker 1>you can subscribe, and if you're not sure, you can

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<v Speaker 1>subscribe on a monthly basis, and that's less than ten

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<v Speaker 1>dollars a month. So again, if you order the extra

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<v Speaker 1>deluxe coffee, it's about the same price. So it's really

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<v Speaker 1>an excellent expenditure for you to have this Vault tool

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<v Speaker 1>in your personal toolbox because it's an amazing collection of information.

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<v Speaker 1>Keep in mind, we all know people in our lives

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<v Speaker 1>who are struggling with issues, maybe a health issue, financial issue,

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<v Speaker 1>a business issue, a career issue, or whatever. Think about

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<v Speaker 1>giving them a gift subscription to the Vault as well,

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<v Speaker 1>because it's a very spiritually and scripturally uplifting experience to

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<v Speaker 1>get into the Vault. And we all know people in

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<v Speaker 1>our lives who can use that. So you can take

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<v Speaker 1>them out for lunch or coffee for ten dollars a

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<v Speaker 1>month or eight dollars a month, or you can just

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<v Speaker 1>get them a subscription of the Vault, or do both.

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<v Speaker 1>But it's really a wonderful gift to give. And also

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<v Speaker 1>in the Vault, we are it's ever expanding. It's a

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<v Speaker 1>dynamic system that we now have Bible courses included. So

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<v Speaker 1>if you go to the Vault, you can see that

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<v Speaker 1>the Book of Revelation is now the first course and

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<v Speaker 1>you can go in and do the dropp down menu.

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<v Speaker 1>But it's an amazing Bible study that's prepared by Brandon

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<v Speaker 1>House himself is lined by and the Book of Revelation.

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<v Speaker 1>It's the first course that we're offering, and I'm sure

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<v Speaker 1>we'll be offering more courses as time goes on. But

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<v Speaker 1>it's an amazing tool, so give it some thought. And certainly,

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<v Speaker 1>if you want to be part of the bigger ministry

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<v Speaker 1>and help the ministry grow and never expand, you should

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<v Speaker 1>join the Vault because it's really the future of ministry,

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<v Speaker 1>more and more digital content, more and more courses, more

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<v Speaker 1>and more explanation, more and more relevance and substance. And

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<v Speaker 1>that's what makes this ministry so impressive and so worth supporting.

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<v Speaker 1>So that's how you help us. You can make a donation,

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<v Speaker 1>you can do business with the vendors you see advertising

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<v Speaker 1>throughout the day, and you should subscribe to the Vault

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<v Speaker 1>for yourself and friends and family who could sure use

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<v Speaker 1>the product as well. Okay, well, let's jump into the

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<v Speaker 1>news today and of course, we're in the middle of August,

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<v Speaker 1>and that is traditionally, at least from the Wall Street

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<v Speaker 1>perspective and even the federal government perspective, the month of

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<v Speaker 1>the year where things slow down. Everybody's trying to we's

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<v Speaker 1>in that last little bit of summer vacation before the

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<v Speaker 1>great Labor Day weekend approaches. And what we find are

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<v Speaker 1>the markets tend to be quiet because so many people

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<v Speaker 1>are relaxing and enjoying a little bit of summer rather

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<v Speaker 1>than trading away and creating all the economic excitement. But

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<v Speaker 1>we will still see government numbers this month, and we're

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<v Speaker 1>actually waiting for the Consumer Price indext number to come

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<v Speaker 1>out this week. It'll come out later this week, and

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<v Speaker 1>that's going to be an important variable because, as we know,

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<v Speaker 1>the Federal Reserve, as it makes its periodic determinations as

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<v Speaker 1>to whether to raise interest rates or lower interest rates,

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<v Speaker 1>or leave them alone, leave them the same, they look

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<v Speaker 1>quite often at the consumer Price Index and the PCE,

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<v Speaker 1>which is a different way of looking at the same

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<v Speaker 1>basket of goods. Effectively, what the government's trying to do

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<v Speaker 1>is figure out what people spend their money on on

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<v Speaker 1>a monthly basis, and are the prices going up or

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<v Speaker 1>are they coming down? And of course they always go up.

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<v Speaker 1>Everyone buys the same basket of goods. Some people might

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<v Speaker 1>like X while other people's prefer why and that's why

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<v Speaker 1>it's always the statistical process. And that's why when you

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<v Speaker 1>hear the consumer Price index the CPI or the PCE

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<v Speaker 1>or those numbers and OUs do, you have to sort

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<v Speaker 1>of take it with just a little bit of grain

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<v Speaker 1>of salt because they are estimates. They are best guesses

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<v Speaker 1>projections of effectively where we think the consumer prices are going,

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<v Speaker 1>or you know, the price index where it's going, And

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<v Speaker 1>it's all basically done bio mathematics and statistical sampling. So

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<v Speaker 1>we have to be a little bit careful when we

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<v Speaker 1>see the consumer price indext numbers come out that keep

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<v Speaker 1>in mind we're getting into that period of the time

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<v Speaker 1>and the period of the year where that number becomes

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<v Speaker 1>very very important to millions and millions of Americans who

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<v Speaker 1>are living on Social Security or benefiting from the Social

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<v Speaker 1>Security program that they paid into all of their lives,

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<v Speaker 1>their working lives, and how they're sort of reaping the

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<v Speaker 1>harvest of the the Social Security benefit. That benefit is

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<v Speaker 1>adjusted for twenty twenty seven based upon the consumer price

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<v Speaker 1>index numbers that roll out in the last four months

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<v Speaker 1>of the prior calendar year, so it started to become meaningful.

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<v Speaker 1>And of course, if you're a retiring on Social Security,

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<v Speaker 1>you want the biggest consumer price in the next number

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<v Speaker 1>you could imagine. And if you're the federal government who

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<v Speaker 1>has to pay the the checks, you want the smallest.

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<v Speaker 1>And of course the federal government is an entity that

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<v Speaker 1>actually puts the numbers out into the marketplace. So we

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<v Speaker 1>will watch and see where the consumer price in next

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<v Speaker 1>is going. And keep in mind it was rather flat

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<v Speaker 1>and actually declining in certain elements the last month. The

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<v Speaker 1>headline declined and we were looking at core consumer price

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<v Speaker 1>index core inflation of like two point six percent, which

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<v Speaker 1>is fairly close to the two percent bogie that the

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<v Speaker 1>Federal Reserve tries to get to through its monetary policy.

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<v Speaker 1>So we'll be watching that number carefully. And of course,

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<v Speaker 1>the moment it's released, the pundits will say this, and

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<v Speaker 1>the other pundits will say that, but I will be

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<v Speaker 1>here to analyze it, and we'll figure out exactly what

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<v Speaker 1>it means together, not only for Social Security increases, but

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<v Speaker 1>what does it mean to the larger general economy, and

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<v Speaker 1>that's what we're going to be looking at. And we

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<v Speaker 1>all know that inflation has been a problem since the

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<v Speaker 1>Biden administration, where it touched nine percent, which was almost

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<v Speaker 1>nineteen seventies vintage inflation numbers, and the Federal Reserve had

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<v Speaker 1>to act rather quickly to slow the economy down by

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<v Speaker 1>raising interest rates. And that's why the mortgage rates went

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<v Speaker 1>from two to two and a half percent mortgages up

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<v Speaker 1>to six and a half percent, which is more traditional

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<v Speaker 1>actually in American mortgage history, but it was such a

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<v Speaker 1>shock to the system going from two percent to six

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<v Speaker 1>percent while housing prices remain fixed. That's suddenly the housing market,

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<v Speaker 1>at least for the three and a half years that

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<v Speaker 1>I've been broadcasting, has been sluggish, to say the least.

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<v Speaker 1>It's just really put a damp around the housing market.

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<v Speaker 1>Fewer homes listing because nobody wants to sell our house,

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<v Speaker 1>set a two percent mortgage and then go buy a

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<v Speaker 1>new house six percent mortgage, and they can't because mortgages

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<v Speaker 1>and mortgage payments, of course, have to fall within certain ratios.

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<v Speaker 1>Those are lending standards. And if you have X dollars

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<v Speaker 1>of take home pay, the bank will calculate some numbers,

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<v Speaker 1>and it will decide what is the largest monthly mortgage

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<v Speaker 1>payment you can make given your take home pay, and

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<v Speaker 1>you can't. They won't go above it. They won't lend

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<v Speaker 1>above that. So you either have to scrape up a

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<v Speaker 1>larger down payment to buy the house that the price

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<v Speaker 1>you're looking at, or you have to find a less

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<v Speaker 1>expensive house because the mortgage has to be either smaller

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<v Speaker 1>or the value of the house is smaller so that

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<v Speaker 1>the mortgage would be smaller so that the mortgage payment

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<v Speaker 1>can be affordable. Then it's that underwriting metric that has

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<v Speaker 1>put the brakes on the housing market. It's not that

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<v Speaker 1>the banks wouldn't lend money. If people walked in to

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<v Speaker 1>the bank with the appropriate take home pay number and

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<v Speaker 1>the appropriate ratio as monthly mortgage payment as a percentage

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<v Speaker 1>of the take home pay, they give you a loan tomorrow.

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<v Speaker 1>It's not that we don't have money in the system

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<v Speaker 1>for lending. It's that the fewer and fewer and fewer

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<v Speaker 1>Americans can afford to borrow the money they need to

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<v Speaker 1>buy the host they need because the prices are too high.

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<v Speaker 1>And this has raised an interesting debate. As I mentioned

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<v Speaker 1>often I'm on X probably more than I should be

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<v Speaker 1>going back and forth with economic minds, since one faction

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<v Speaker 1>is saying they cannot understand why the housing prices just

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<v Speaker 1>haven't reacted by declining given the fact that cateris parabous,

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<v Speaker 1>as we say in economics. The mortgage rates have gone up,

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00:13:33.720 --> 00:13:37.000
<v Speaker 1>the mortgage monthly payment has gone up for the same

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<v Speaker 1>amount of money, and it is outside of the purview

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<v Speaker 1>of the average take home pay. So why haven't housing

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<v Speaker 1>prices come down in a in a free functioning market,

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<v Speaker 1>That's exactly what happened if as the costs go up,

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<v Speaker 1>the demand shifts back, and then the price and the

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00:13:56.320 --> 00:13:59.679
<v Speaker 1>quantity and the price demanded go down. We're not seeing

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<v Speaker 1>that housing And the question is, will why not wire

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<v Speaker 1>housing prices not just collapsing to bring the housing prices

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00:14:07.600 --> 00:14:09.960
<v Speaker 1>down so that a six and a half percent mortgage

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00:14:10.440 --> 00:14:12.320
<v Speaker 1>is the same as a two and a half percent mortgage,

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<v Speaker 1>Where a higher house, higher priced house, it should be

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<v Speaker 1>lower priced house six and a half percent mortgage the

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<v Speaker 1>same monthly payment, and it's not. And that's the big question.

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<v Speaker 1>So when you look at the macro forces in the

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<v Speaker 1>housing market, you quickly realize that the average American home buyer,

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<v Speaker 1>whatever whatever average American means, is competing with other buyers

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<v Speaker 1>that are not usually factored into the equations. And I

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<v Speaker 1>think that's where a lot of economists are making a mistake,

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<v Speaker 1>because they're looking at individuals and couples who can buy

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<v Speaker 1>a home based on their take home pay and the

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<v Speaker 1>ratios and how much mortgage monthly payment. They keep in mind,

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<v Speaker 1>when a lender lends money at a house, it's the

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<v Speaker 1>principle and interest. That's your mortgage payment plus the insurance.

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<v Speaker 1>They really like you to keep the play ensured in

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<v Speaker 1>case there's a fire. They don't want to lose their collateral.

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<v Speaker 1>And taxes, real estate taxes, and real estate taxes keep

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<v Speaker 1>going up and up and up. To the great sugar

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<v Speaker 1>in of all of us. It seems like we all

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00:15:11.519 --> 00:15:14.240
<v Speaker 1>rent our land from the local municipality and the school

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<v Speaker 1>board rather than own the land, because if you don't

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<v Speaker 1>pay your property taxes, they will certainly take your house.

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<v Speaker 1>So if the question becomes why are these prices not

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<v Speaker 1>coming down, and I postulate that these housing prices are

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<v Speaker 1>being propped up by an influx in America of foreign buyers.

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<v Speaker 1>People can come to the United States and buy a house.

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<v Speaker 1>Not they don't have to sneak in, they're not illegals.

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<v Speaker 1>You can do that if you're here legitimately, you can

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<v Speaker 1>buy property, just like if you're an American and you

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<v Speaker 1>want to buy property, and other jurisdictions, you can go

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<v Speaker 1>to Canada and buy property. You can go to Europe

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<v Speaker 1>and buy property. Now there are restrictions, like in Mexico

292
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<v Speaker 1>they don't let you buy an ocean front property because

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<v Speaker 1>it wouldn't be any left for the Mexicans, so there

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<v Speaker 1>are leases. But the point is you can go and

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<v Speaker 1>buy properties around the world, and so can other people,

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<v Speaker 1>and they come here, and as wealth is generated globally,

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00:16:02.679 --> 00:16:05.399
<v Speaker 1>it was much more wealth globally than there ever has

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<v Speaker 1>been in history. They come to the United States to

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00:16:07.720 --> 00:16:10.639
<v Speaker 1>buy a house and that puts access demand pressure, which

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00:16:10.799 --> 00:16:13.960
<v Speaker 1>keeps prices up. The second thing we're competing with, and

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<v Speaker 1>this has been subject of congressional inquiry, is that you're

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<v Speaker 1>competing with the great, big, great, big institutionalized money who

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00:16:21.360 --> 00:16:24.960
<v Speaker 1>buy single family homes for the purpose of renting them out.

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<v Speaker 1>And when a big, gigantic hedge fund or big institutional

305
00:16:30.039 --> 00:16:33.080
<v Speaker 1>money will come into a community and buy up a

306
00:16:33.120 --> 00:16:36.480
<v Speaker 1>bunch of houses and then rent them out. That aggregate

307
00:16:36.519 --> 00:16:39.320
<v Speaker 1>that stimulates aggregate demand. So you have the local people

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00:16:39.360 --> 00:16:41.440
<v Speaker 1>who want to buy and own a home, you have

309
00:16:41.600 --> 00:16:43.600
<v Speaker 1>foreign money coming in, and you got these great, big

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00:16:43.600 --> 00:16:46.440
<v Speaker 1>institutional investors demanding houses so they can turn around to

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00:16:46.519 --> 00:16:49.960
<v Speaker 1>rent them out and on behold, the aggregate demand for

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00:16:50.039 --> 00:16:52.799
<v Speaker 1>housing does not drop even though the price goes up,

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00:16:52.840 --> 00:16:58.080
<v Speaker 1>which is counterintuitive to classical economic thought, but it's what's happening.

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<v Speaker 1>Because you're not calculating the gross demand for housing. You're

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00:17:01.600 --> 00:17:03.840
<v Speaker 1>only looking at the individual and couples that are trying

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00:17:03.840 --> 00:17:06.119
<v Speaker 1>to buy a house. You're now looking at the influx

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00:17:06.119 --> 00:17:08.599
<v Speaker 1>of foreign buyers and you're certainly not looking at you know,

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<v Speaker 1>I don't want to mention any big names, but they

319
00:17:11.319 --> 00:17:15.200
<v Speaker 1>tend to be named after minerals and they buy, you know,

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00:17:15.559 --> 00:17:17.920
<v Speaker 1>hundreds of thousands of houses in a market, and then

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00:17:17.960 --> 00:17:20.440
<v Speaker 1>they rent them out. Well, those houses aren't available for sale,

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<v Speaker 1>and that's the problem. So aggregate demand in housing is

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<v Speaker 1>not dropping in a time when interest rates are up,

324
00:17:26.079 --> 00:17:30.079
<v Speaker 1>and that is really squelched. Now from the foreign buyer's perspective,

325
00:17:30.119 --> 00:17:32.839
<v Speaker 1>they're coming in with cash. That's usually how that works,

326
00:17:33.039 --> 00:17:35.839
<v Speaker 1>and certainly from the big institutional investor. They're coming in

327
00:17:35.839 --> 00:17:38.000
<v Speaker 1>with cash, and the cash probably came from your four

328
00:17:38.039 --> 00:17:41.400
<v Speaker 1>oh one K, your pension plan or your IRA, you know,

329
00:17:41.440 --> 00:17:45.079
<v Speaker 1>your mutual funds. But that's that's the difference. While you're

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00:17:45.119 --> 00:17:47.359
<v Speaker 1>out there trying to qualify for a mortgage and showing

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00:17:47.359 --> 00:17:50.000
<v Speaker 1>your mortgage stubs and how old your car is and

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00:17:51.400 --> 00:17:54.359
<v Speaker 1>qualifying for a mortgage, the cash buyers are just coming

333
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<v Speaker 1>in and raising the prices. Now, it's not a uniform

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<v Speaker 1>across the US. I mean, there are a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>markets that aren't starting to show signs of deterioration in

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00:18:03.240 --> 00:18:07.640
<v Speaker 1>average home pricing. But when we look at the macro

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00:18:07.759 --> 00:18:10.480
<v Speaker 1>number or year over year, we're still at about one

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00:18:10.480 --> 00:18:14.359
<v Speaker 1>point and six percent appreciation overall across the United States.

339
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<v Speaker 1>So that macro number continues to go up. Well, I've

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00:18:17.559 --> 00:18:19.079
<v Speaker 1>got to take a break here. We'll come back and

341
00:18:19.119 --> 00:18:21.839
<v Speaker 1>I'll talk about other economic issues. Be right back.

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<v Speaker 2>Banks Introducing Worldviewtube Vault. Over thirty five years of radio broadcasts,

343
00:18:35.319 --> 00:18:41.640
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347
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348
00:18:57.640 --> 00:19:01.839
<v Speaker 2>three in depth lessons complete with overview quizzes, walking you

349
00:19:02.000 --> 00:19:04.839
<v Speaker 2>verse by verse through one of the most important books

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00:19:04.839 --> 00:19:09.119
<v Speaker 2>in scripture. Getting started is simple. Go to Worldviewtube dot

351
00:19:09.160 --> 00:19:13.880
<v Speaker 2>com slash vault and join today. Already a member, visit

352
00:19:13.960 --> 00:19:17.440
<v Speaker 2>worldvietube dot com, click the person icon in the top

353
00:19:17.599 --> 00:19:21.720
<v Speaker 2>right and log in. Then hover over Vault in the

354
00:19:21.759 --> 00:19:27.039
<v Speaker 2>menu and select courses. That's it. You're in. Join Worldviewtube

355
00:19:27.119 --> 00:19:30.519
<v Speaker 2>Vault today at worldviewtube dot com slash vault.

356
00:19:32.000 --> 00:19:34.759
<v Speaker 1>Okay, I'm back. You should really take a look at

357
00:19:34.799 --> 00:19:37.240
<v Speaker 1>the vault. It's a great product and just go to

358
00:19:37.359 --> 00:19:41.480
<v Speaker 1>Worldviewtube dot com slash vault and check it out. It's

359
00:19:41.559 --> 00:19:43.640
<v Speaker 1>well worth your time and it's certainly well worth your

360
00:19:43.640 --> 00:19:46.119
<v Speaker 1>money to be part of that bigger ministry, and the

361
00:19:46.200 --> 00:19:49.680
<v Speaker 1>coursework is great. Let's talk about oil. This is of course,

362
00:19:49.799 --> 00:19:52.039
<v Speaker 1>not only the Eastman Financial Report, but more and more

363
00:19:52.079 --> 00:19:54.720
<v Speaker 1>of the Eastman Petroleum Report. And the news in oil

364
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<v Speaker 1>today is there's no news in oil today. West Texas

365
00:19:58.200 --> 00:20:03.319
<v Speaker 1>at eighty good good, better than seventies, but it certainly

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<v Speaker 1>as one hundred and fifty to two hundred as some

367
00:20:05.440 --> 00:20:08.880
<v Speaker 1>protagonists who are promising us to the grin by the

368
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<v Speaker 1>way of the folks, the good people in the Permian basin,

369
00:20:11.960 --> 00:20:14.759
<v Speaker 1>who would probably would prefer a hundred dollars oil right now.

370
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<v Speaker 1>But it's eighty and that's the global market price for

371
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<v Speaker 1>spot oil. This is a spot These are long term

372
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<v Speaker 1>delivery contracts our friends and the Brent that's in the

373
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<v Speaker 1>North Sea. Of course, they drilled down to the bottom

374
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<v Speaker 1>of the North Sea and pump the oil through pipes

375
00:20:26.839 --> 00:20:29.839
<v Speaker 1>to Scotland and send it off into global commerce. They're

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00:20:29.880 --> 00:20:31.960
<v Speaker 1>at eighty six that it used to be one hundred

377
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<v Speaker 1>and fourteen two weeks ago. Mexico has come off its

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<v Speaker 1>lofty perch eighty to eighty dollars a barrel last week,

379
00:20:38.880 --> 00:20:41.319
<v Speaker 1>now down to seventy two because the supply and the

380
00:20:41.359 --> 00:20:44.400
<v Speaker 1>demand of adjusted and of course there's more supply hits

381
00:20:44.400 --> 00:20:47.039
<v Speaker 1>the market brings the price down, so they're at seventy two,

382
00:20:47.039 --> 00:20:49.960
<v Speaker 1>which is good for the US because, like I point out,

383
00:20:50.559 --> 00:20:54.759
<v Speaker 1>American gasoline is primarily made from Mexican oil, US oil,

384
00:20:54.839 --> 00:20:59.039
<v Speaker 1>which is Permian and Dakotas, and Canadian oil and to

385
00:20:59.079 --> 00:21:01.680
<v Speaker 1>some extent, coming all as well. So the point is

386
00:21:02.240 --> 00:21:05.799
<v Speaker 1>Mexico is coming off of that eighty dollars a barrel

387
00:21:06.000 --> 00:21:09.400
<v Speaker 1>o rush of last week, but it's back to seventy two,

388
00:21:09.480 --> 00:21:13.759
<v Speaker 1>which of course is below the West Texas, and it's

389
00:21:13.759 --> 00:21:16.400
<v Speaker 1>by the delta is about eight and eight dollars spread,

390
00:21:16.720 --> 00:21:19.519
<v Speaker 1>and our dear friends in Canada are at sixty five,

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00:21:19.640 --> 00:21:22.200
<v Speaker 1>which is where they should be. So the point is

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<v Speaker 1>that with all the excitement going on and then in

393
00:21:24.440 --> 00:21:28.160
<v Speaker 1>the Persian Gulf, the oil market care lesson. It just

394
00:21:28.319 --> 00:21:32.079
<v Speaker 1>is ignoring the whole thing. Because as you noticed, if

395
00:21:32.079 --> 00:21:34.359
<v Speaker 1>you don't buy your favorite gas station this morning, there

396
00:21:34.400 --> 00:21:36.559
<v Speaker 1>are no lines. You can pull in, only you might

397
00:21:36.599 --> 00:21:37.799
<v Speaker 1>have to wait for the guy in front of you

398
00:21:37.960 --> 00:21:41.480
<v Speaker 1>to finish cleaning his windshield off, but there's no lines,

399
00:21:41.519 --> 00:21:44.599
<v Speaker 1>and you can buy gasoline and drive off happily ever after.

400
00:21:44.720 --> 00:21:47.079
<v Speaker 1>So what it tells us is the oil business for

401
00:21:47.119 --> 00:21:49.640
<v Speaker 1>all of the news, and there's a lot of political news.

402
00:21:49.680 --> 00:21:51.559
<v Speaker 1>And of course this is not a political show. It's

403
00:21:51.559 --> 00:21:55.680
<v Speaker 1>an economics show, so I tend to not dabble in politics.

404
00:21:55.680 --> 00:21:57.640
<v Speaker 1>And of course, if you've been watching me the last

405
00:21:57.640 --> 00:21:59.559
<v Speaker 1>three and a half years, to some of my viewers said,

406
00:21:59.559 --> 00:22:02.599
<v Speaker 1>I'm a little frustrated, Professor Eastman, you should be talking

407
00:22:02.640 --> 00:22:05.279
<v Speaker 1>more about politics, and I said, no, that's Brandon's job.

408
00:22:05.359 --> 00:22:07.880
<v Speaker 1>My job was to talk about economics. But every once

409
00:22:07.880 --> 00:22:10.839
<v Speaker 1>in a while they touch, and this is one of

410
00:22:10.880 --> 00:22:14.960
<v Speaker 1>the big places that that that war and economics touch

411
00:22:15.039 --> 00:22:17.240
<v Speaker 1>at the gas pump, and that's what we talk about it.

412
00:22:18.160 --> 00:22:22.799
<v Speaker 1>There is a rather interesting story floating around which doesn't

413
00:22:23.400 --> 00:22:26.079
<v Speaker 1>lead me to the political side, a bit that the

414
00:22:26.200 --> 00:22:28.559
<v Speaker 1>United States is running out of missiles. You know, I'm

415
00:22:28.599 --> 00:22:31.519
<v Speaker 1>reading this stuff. And of course there was a little

416
00:22:31.559 --> 00:22:33.920
<v Speaker 1>bit of a snaff who or if somebody had leaked

417
00:22:33.960 --> 00:22:36.839
<v Speaker 1>something out of a cabinet meeting and caught the ire

418
00:22:36.960 --> 00:22:39.359
<v Speaker 1>and a wrath of President Trump himself, which is a

419
00:22:39.359 --> 00:22:42.319
<v Speaker 1>good thing because those meetings, if you can't talk freely

420
00:22:42.359 --> 00:22:47.799
<v Speaker 1>amongst your your your top learned advisors, senior advisors, and

421
00:22:48.000 --> 00:22:51.480
<v Speaker 1>what if some brainstorming and worst case scenarios and really

422
00:22:51.519 --> 00:22:53.720
<v Speaker 1>have an open discussion of where we are, where we go,

423
00:22:53.839 --> 00:22:55.160
<v Speaker 1>and what do we need? What are we going to do?

424
00:22:55.559 --> 00:22:58.319
<v Speaker 1>And then you know, there's there's always some dutiful soul

425
00:22:58.440 --> 00:23:01.160
<v Speaker 1>chirping away to the media. Runs great, big false story.

426
00:23:03.160 --> 00:23:05.839
<v Speaker 1>I'd like to set that story aside, and the story

427
00:23:05.880 --> 00:23:08.440
<v Speaker 1>is that we're running out of missiles. Well, I can

428
00:23:08.519 --> 00:23:12.000
<v Speaker 1>assure you these gentlemen, the United States is not running

429
00:23:12.000 --> 00:23:15.559
<v Speaker 1>out of firepower. And the good people have around should

430
00:23:15.599 --> 00:23:18.599
<v Speaker 1>be and I'm sure are very thankful that the United

431
00:23:18.640 --> 00:23:23.519
<v Speaker 1>States States is taking a very reasonable and cautious approach

432
00:23:24.039 --> 00:23:28.200
<v Speaker 1>to settling the issue of the Iranian situation in the

433
00:23:28.240 --> 00:23:31.160
<v Speaker 1>Persian golf and the horror moves straight now, mind you,

434
00:23:31.160 --> 00:23:34.319
<v Speaker 1>the Horrormon strait's only twenty percent of oil in the

435
00:23:34.319 --> 00:23:36.839
<v Speaker 1>good times, and once the good times return, that'll be

436
00:23:37.119 --> 00:23:41.160
<v Speaker 1>dramatically reduced because we know the President Trump's efforts are

437
00:23:41.200 --> 00:23:44.480
<v Speaker 1>basically to shift oil production to the Western Hemisphere and

438
00:23:44.559 --> 00:23:47.880
<v Speaker 1>other places. There's ninety five countries on the planet Earth

439
00:23:47.920 --> 00:23:50.799
<v Speaker 1>that are producing and selling oil, and the idea is

440
00:23:50.839 --> 00:23:54.799
<v Speaker 1>to break the crazy terroristic gridlock of the Persian golf

441
00:23:54.839 --> 00:23:58.640
<v Speaker 1>and Middle East oil, where we pump that refined gasoline

442
00:23:58.640 --> 00:24:02.400
<v Speaker 1>in rsuvs and they use the money to commit terrorism

443
00:24:02.559 --> 00:24:05.759
<v Speaker 1>that horrifies the world. Forty seven years, we're trying to

444
00:24:05.759 --> 00:24:08.279
<v Speaker 1>turn that off, and it's a slow process, but I

445
00:24:08.279 --> 00:24:11.000
<v Speaker 1>can assure you the United States of America hasn't even

446
00:24:11.079 --> 00:24:16.119
<v Speaker 1>begun to engage the Iranians. You're trying to get them

447
00:24:16.240 --> 00:24:20.119
<v Speaker 1>to regime change, to join the modern world and set

448
00:24:20.279 --> 00:24:24.880
<v Speaker 1>the hysteria of the six hundred. It's beyond us. Aside

449
00:24:25.440 --> 00:24:28.480
<v Speaker 1>as the rest of the globe enters into a modern year.

450
00:24:28.640 --> 00:24:31.359
<v Speaker 1>We talk about data centers, we talk about all sorts

451
00:24:31.400 --> 00:24:37.599
<v Speaker 1>of artificial intelligence. The future is a purely digital, interconnected future.

452
00:24:37.960 --> 00:24:39.960
<v Speaker 1>And here we got this part of the globe that's

453
00:24:40.000 --> 00:24:42.559
<v Speaker 1>still living in the six hundred. It's doing horrible things

454
00:24:42.640 --> 00:24:45.359
<v Speaker 1>to people for no other reason that you don't want

455
00:24:45.359 --> 00:24:47.519
<v Speaker 1>to sign out of their program. And I think President

456
00:24:47.519 --> 00:24:49.559
<v Speaker 1>Trump is probably one of the bravest presidents in a

457
00:24:49.599 --> 00:24:52.119
<v Speaker 1>very long time that steps in and says, you know what,

458
00:24:52.160 --> 00:24:54.039
<v Speaker 1>we can fix this, and we will, and we'll do

459
00:24:54.079 --> 00:24:57.319
<v Speaker 1>it on our terms. So when you see the prognosticators

460
00:24:57.359 --> 00:25:00.359
<v Speaker 1>and all of them naysayers on X saying we're although

461
00:25:00.519 --> 00:25:02.720
<v Speaker 1>just about out of missiles and President Trump is out

462
00:25:02.759 --> 00:25:05.559
<v Speaker 1>of tricks and he's scrambling around and looking for the exit.

463
00:25:06.480 --> 00:25:08.359
<v Speaker 1>No he's not. No, he's not. And you know, I

464
00:25:08.480 --> 00:25:10.519
<v Speaker 1>know that if you look at the numbers, you look

465
00:25:10.519 --> 00:25:13.599
<v Speaker 1>at the economics, to look at the oil markets, and

466
00:25:13.720 --> 00:25:16.440
<v Speaker 1>what you will see is that the oil businesses are

467
00:25:16.440 --> 00:25:21.559
<v Speaker 1>written at place off production is shifting, and whatever happens

468
00:25:21.599 --> 00:25:24.839
<v Speaker 1>politically is not in the numbers. So that's why I

469
00:25:24.839 --> 00:25:28.519
<v Speaker 1>wouldn't get too franked up about reading these stories about

470
00:25:28.519 --> 00:25:31.119
<v Speaker 1>some of the United States of America losing the war

471
00:25:31.720 --> 00:25:35.319
<v Speaker 1>or failing. It's not we're not. That's just not the

472
00:25:35.359 --> 00:25:38.359
<v Speaker 1>way it is. War has changed. And I don't mean

473
00:25:38.359 --> 00:25:42.000
<v Speaker 1>the lecture on war an economics program, but war is

474
00:25:42.079 --> 00:25:46.319
<v Speaker 1>not World War. War is not Napoleon on horses. War

475
00:25:46.400 --> 00:25:49.480
<v Speaker 1>is not the Civil war with cannons and troops. War

476
00:25:49.519 --> 00:25:52.720
<v Speaker 1>is not the Vietnam War, thank god. War is not

477
00:25:52.920 --> 00:25:55.279
<v Speaker 1>even what we saw in the Iraq War back in

478
00:25:55.319 --> 00:25:59.160
<v Speaker 1>the day. Today, war is a much more asymmetric process.

479
00:25:59.319 --> 00:26:02.000
<v Speaker 1>It has to do with economics. It has to do

480
00:26:02.680 --> 00:26:07.359
<v Speaker 1>with the ability to interfere with the country's operation. That

481
00:26:07.400 --> 00:26:10.799
<v Speaker 1>doesn't necessarily require to march in and send in the

482
00:26:10.880 --> 00:26:13.359
<v Speaker 1>cavalry and white muff the map and all of that.

483
00:26:13.839 --> 00:26:17.000
<v Speaker 1>And that's not productive because you build generations of hatred

484
00:26:17.039 --> 00:26:19.960
<v Speaker 1>when doing that. It's much better to be smart. And

485
00:26:19.960 --> 00:26:21.680
<v Speaker 1>if you read the book you know, Art of War

486
00:26:21.799 --> 00:26:25.480
<v Speaker 1>by Sunsu the Chinese, you know, Chinese guy who wrote

487
00:26:25.519 --> 00:26:29.759
<v Speaker 1>that book. It's a different world today, and that's why

488
00:26:29.799 --> 00:26:31.480
<v Speaker 1>we talk about AI, and that's why we talk about

489
00:26:31.559 --> 00:26:33.559
<v Speaker 1>data centers. So that's why we talk about all of

490
00:26:33.599 --> 00:26:37.119
<v Speaker 1>this technological stuff because we've entered into a different realm.

491
00:26:37.480 --> 00:26:39.960
<v Speaker 1>And that's why it's so very interesting to see so

492
00:26:40.039 --> 00:26:44.160
<v Speaker 1>many economic commentators fixated on, you know, with the store

493
00:26:44.200 --> 00:26:46.240
<v Speaker 1>horror moves is closed and oil is going to two

494
00:26:46.319 --> 00:26:49.480
<v Speaker 1>hundred dollars up barrel. It's just not it's just not.

495
00:26:50.000 --> 00:26:52.519
<v Speaker 1>You're living in the past. Those models were great in

496
00:26:52.519 --> 00:26:55.400
<v Speaker 1>the nineteen seventies where if you own an automobile, you

497
00:26:55.440 --> 00:26:57.680
<v Speaker 1>need a gasoline. Well, today that's not the case. You

498
00:26:57.720 --> 00:27:01.119
<v Speaker 1>have five percent plus and growing electric cars. Who have

499
00:27:01.160 --> 00:27:03.240
<v Speaker 1>a you know, they get the last laugh driving right

500
00:27:03.279 --> 00:27:05.759
<v Speaker 1>past the gas station. You know, they may be plugging

501
00:27:05.799 --> 00:27:08.200
<v Speaker 1>into the grid, but they're not playing the Middle Eastern

502
00:27:08.279 --> 00:27:10.599
<v Speaker 1>game anymore. If you're tired at the gas prices going up,

503
00:27:10.599 --> 00:27:12.720
<v Speaker 1>you're tied in the Middle East. Buy a luntric car,

504
00:27:13.000 --> 00:27:15.000
<v Speaker 1>or buy an ethanol car. We have e eighty five

505
00:27:15.039 --> 00:27:17.240
<v Speaker 1>out here in the Midwest. Grow lots of corn, makes

506
00:27:17.319 --> 00:27:20.680
<v Speaker 1>really good fuel, e eighty five fuels, and of course

507
00:27:20.799 --> 00:27:26.119
<v Speaker 1>with the fifteen percent dilution of petroleum by ethanol very controversial,

508
00:27:26.279 --> 00:27:29.960
<v Speaker 1>but there are alternatives to being held hostage by the

509
00:27:30.000 --> 00:27:33.319
<v Speaker 1>Middle East, and you know, that's how markets change. There

510
00:27:33.319 --> 00:27:35.079
<v Speaker 1>are a lot of people back in the day who

511
00:27:35.160 --> 00:27:37.519
<v Speaker 1>simply didn't want to give up that horse and buggy.

512
00:27:37.960 --> 00:27:41.079
<v Speaker 1>That's how we've done it for millennia. We've ridden around

513
00:27:41.079 --> 00:27:42.920
<v Speaker 1>townel and a horse and buggy. I don't want to

514
00:27:43.000 --> 00:27:46.839
<v Speaker 1>use that new fangled thing. Well that was then. Today

515
00:27:47.240 --> 00:27:48.880
<v Speaker 1>we love to see a horse and buggy at the

516
00:27:48.920 --> 00:27:51.519
<v Speaker 1>fair or perhaps in the Amish country because it's quaint

517
00:27:51.559 --> 00:27:55.000
<v Speaker 1>and it's a reminder of yesterday. But you're cruising along

518
00:27:55.000 --> 00:27:57.839
<v Speaker 1>in a very sophisticated machine while you're watching. And that's

519
00:27:57.839 --> 00:28:01.400
<v Speaker 1>the point we have to be thinking about economics. And

520
00:28:01.440 --> 00:28:03.759
<v Speaker 1>it's like I talk about the silver mindo floating by.

521
00:28:03.880 --> 00:28:05.720
<v Speaker 1>You know, if you're hungry, you want to eat the minnow,

522
00:28:05.960 --> 00:28:07.799
<v Speaker 1>but you've got to look for the filment on the

523
00:28:07.839 --> 00:28:10.880
<v Speaker 1>nose because that's what catches you. And that's why these

524
00:28:10.960 --> 00:28:12.759
<v Speaker 1>numbers matter. And that's why when we look at the

525
00:28:12.799 --> 00:28:15.359
<v Speaker 1>petroleum numbers, and that's all you have to do, look

526
00:28:15.359 --> 00:28:17.640
<v Speaker 1>at the oil prices every day. If these numbers jump

527
00:28:17.680 --> 00:28:19.960
<v Speaker 1>to the moon, and we were suddenly looking at two

528
00:28:20.039 --> 00:28:23.880
<v Speaker 1>hundred dollars a barrel. That's the time to start worrying.

529
00:28:24.079 --> 00:28:26.119
<v Speaker 1>But we have yet to see that in five months,

530
00:28:26.119 --> 00:28:29.400
<v Speaker 1>and we won't because there's just it's just that different

531
00:28:29.480 --> 00:28:32.119
<v Speaker 1>of a game. I also want to mention, of course,

532
00:28:32.119 --> 00:28:34.759
<v Speaker 1>in my last minute here, that the United States Treasury

533
00:28:35.519 --> 00:28:38.279
<v Speaker 1>still issuing debt. We have to fund our two point

534
00:28:38.359 --> 00:28:41.480
<v Speaker 1>five trillion dollars annual deficit again this year, and our

535
00:28:41.960 --> 00:28:44.920
<v Speaker 1>fiscal year is ending September thirtieth, so we'll get the

536
00:28:44.920 --> 00:28:47.480
<v Speaker 1>final numbers in about six months after that, but it'll

537
00:28:47.480 --> 00:28:49.920
<v Speaker 1>be around two point five trillion, give or take. And

538
00:28:50.000 --> 00:28:53.039
<v Speaker 1>we have our forty trillion dollars in debt, so on

539
00:28:53.079 --> 00:28:55.839
<v Speaker 1>top of that, we're pretty much running on an insolvent basis.

540
00:28:56.119 --> 00:28:59.039
<v Speaker 1>But then along comes the Savers Match program, which is

541
00:28:59.119 --> 00:29:01.400
<v Speaker 1>very interesting because the federal government is going to give

542
00:29:01.799 --> 00:29:04.839
<v Speaker 1>people who make thirty five thousand dollars a year or less,

543
00:29:04.960 --> 00:29:08.599
<v Speaker 1>or seventy one thousand for a married couple, or less

544
00:29:09.119 --> 00:29:11.640
<v Speaker 1>one thousand dollars to put into an IRA or a

545
00:29:11.640 --> 00:29:13.880
<v Speaker 1>four to one kre sav these account. And that's it's

546
00:29:13.880 --> 00:29:16.279
<v Speaker 1>a wonderful thing because the social goal is so let's

547
00:29:16.279 --> 00:29:19.160
<v Speaker 1>get everybody saving and get some get a little equity

548
00:29:19.160 --> 00:29:22.400
<v Speaker 1>cushion under your balance sheet there. You want to have

549
00:29:22.480 --> 00:29:23.720
<v Speaker 1>a little bit of equity, you want to have a

550
00:29:23.759 --> 00:29:25.559
<v Speaker 1>little wealth skin in the game. And it's a good

551
00:29:25.599 --> 00:29:28.680
<v Speaker 1>thing and people should do that. But the question I have,

552
00:29:28.839 --> 00:29:32.200
<v Speaker 1>and I'm not criticizing the program, I'm just fearful, is

553
00:29:32.200 --> 00:29:34.720
<v Speaker 1>that with a two point five trillion dollar deficit and

554
00:29:34.839 --> 00:29:37.559
<v Speaker 1>forty trillion in debt, where are we getting the money

555
00:29:37.599 --> 00:29:41.240
<v Speaker 1>to do that? And that's a question that we don't

556
00:29:41.279 --> 00:29:44.279
<v Speaker 1>have an answer to other than for a second, for

557
00:29:44.440 --> 00:29:47.839
<v Speaker 1>the Treasury Secretary is going to be writing more checks. Anyway,

558
00:29:47.839 --> 00:29:49.559
<v Speaker 1>I want to talk more about it. It's important that

559
00:29:49.599 --> 00:29:52.000
<v Speaker 1>people have savings and savings base and it's a good

560
00:29:52.039 --> 00:29:55.160
<v Speaker 1>program and they're offering you a thousand dollars take it,

561
00:29:55.559 --> 00:29:59.799
<v Speaker 1>but keep in mind there's a macroeconomic problem that's attached

562
00:29:59.799 --> 00:30:02.319
<v Speaker 1>to it, and that's our deficits and our dat and

563
00:30:02.400 --> 00:30:05.160
<v Speaker 1>I think that's something that we really need to to discuss,

564
00:30:05.559 --> 00:30:08.160
<v Speaker 1>and we'll discuss that over time. Anyway, I'm out of

565
00:30:08.200 --> 00:30:10.160
<v Speaker 1>time for today. Thank you so much for tuning in.

566
00:30:10.359 --> 00:30:13.079
<v Speaker 1>Please go to Worldviefoundation dot com and make a donation

567
00:30:13.279 --> 00:30:15.799
<v Speaker 1>and subscribe to the Vault. It's the best thing you'll

568
00:30:15.799 --> 00:30:17.799
<v Speaker 1>do all week, is subscribe to the Vault and get

569
00:30:17.839 --> 00:30:20.319
<v Speaker 1>in there and start clicking around, and you can watch

570
00:30:20.359 --> 00:30:23.079
<v Speaker 1>all the Eastern Financial Report reruns along with all the

571
00:30:23.119 --> 00:30:25.720
<v Speaker 1>other great programming you see throughout the day on our network.

572
00:30:25.799 --> 00:30:27.880
<v Speaker 1>So anyway, I have a great afternoon and I will

573
00:30:27.920 --> 00:30:29.279
<v Speaker 1>talk to you tomorrow. Bye.
