Speaker 1: Hold it, you are alive, my friend.
Speaker 2: Welcome to Wager Talk Today, the gold standard of sports
betting shows, where we talk, the talk ed, walk the
Walk Wednesday, Massive, massive show. We've got NBA, a lot
of college hoops, We've got championship level football.
Speaker 3: On the board.
Speaker 2: We each dialed in for some big games of the week.
We're gonna start things off with Brian Power. He's gonna
go over nine Ers Seahawks. He's gonna talk the Cavaliers.
Speaker 3: And the Sixers.
Speaker 2: Drew Martin is going to join us talk from college
basketball Iowa, Perdue, Vanderbilt in Texas, and the Ross. The
Boss is going to join us to talk about the
National Championship game, and he'll break down Nuggets and Mavericks.
It's a big, big day. Let's get it going. Let's
bring in Brian. Brian, I hope your morning's been going
better than mine. I spilled two things in the kitchen.
I am disorganized. I feel like I am three hours behind.
Speaker 3: But how are you?
Speaker 4: Very sorry to hear all those things? Andy, I'm doing okay,
a little sleepy. We uh recorded Morning Wager a little
bit earlier than normal, but it helped. I had a
good night last night, so that always helps you fire
through and always glad to be here with you breaking
these games down.
Speaker 1: Always my one of my favorite spots the week, favorite times.
Speaker 3: Of the week, if you will. Brian says that on
every show.
Speaker 2: Let's get into it, let's start, let's talk this Niners
in Seahawks game. Obviously these teams know each other well.
Seattle massive favorite of minus seven. There are some seven
and a halfs out there over under forty five and
a half. This is a brutal game for San Francisco
last time they met. Nning change here, You believe in
Shanahan or is this just gonna be a repeat of
the last time these teams met.
Speaker 4: Well, I'll answer that last question a little bit as
far as has anything changed, not really. It's only been
two weeks since they've played, so you alluded to this.
Any of these teams know each.
Speaker 1: Other very well. I'm sure everyone remembers.
Speaker 4: These teams met just two weeks ago regular season finale.
Number one seed and home field advantage in the NFC
were on the la line in that game. I bet
both Seattle on the money line and under forty seven
and a half. Seattle, of course, wins thirteen to three,
so I cash both bets pretty easily. So I'm pretty
excited to talk about this. The third meeting of the
season between the NFC West rivals. These teams, if you recall,
many may have forgotten this one opened the season against
one another Week one they've played for the first time.
This is the first time in league history we've had
a playoff matchup between teams that faced each other in
both the first and last weeks of the regular season.
Sort of an oddity there. It was the forty nine
ers in case you forgot, that prevailed back in Week
one at Seattle. Seventeen to thirteen was the final score
there at the time, Andy, I don't think anyone could
have really anticipated the Seahawks would end up as the
NFC's number one seed. They were, after all, home underdogs
in that contest. Now, as you mentioned at the outset
minus seven minus seven and a half depending.
Speaker 1: On your book for the rubber match.
Speaker 4: So it's a pretty interesting starting point for our handicap guys.
The road team in both regular season meetings was favored
and covered the spread. It's a much different story for
the divisional round. My power ratings say this, if you're
talking seven and a half. My power ratings say this
one maybe on the wrong side of seven. I personally
and he made the game Seattle minus six and a half.
But my handicap from two weeks ago when I bet Seattle.
Speaker 1: But and the under.
Speaker 4: Hasn't really changed the Seahawks team. You look at him,
I know there's a lot of skepticism with Darnold as
the quarterback.
Speaker 5: They did.
Speaker 4: Guys finish the regular season number one in point differential,
number one in DVA, number one in yards per play differential.
Those are the three key metrics I look at, so
there's nothing phony at all about their success. Meanwhile, this
forty nine ers offense I felt was a little bit
overrated going into the last meeting with Seattle. I wrote
about it in my analysis for the game. They were
coming off a three game stretch where they've been forced
to punt just one time. But then they go against
an outstanding Seattle defense held to just three points in
one hundred seventy three total yards. You go back and
you look at that great offensive stretch. San Francisco had Andy.
Who are they playing? Okay, they faced the Titans who stink,
the Colts, who are without both starting cornerbacks and the
Bears defense which sticks as well, so it was a
bit of a mirage. I thought what the forty nine
Ers had done offensively over those three weeks. I also
faded the forty nine ers offense somewhat last week in
the wild card game at Philadelphia. I bet the under
there that was a winner, although the Niners, of course
ended up winning twenty three to nineteen. Is six point
underdogs too bad Dans down here, so we can't make
fun of him there, although I'm sure he's celebrating Kevin
Patulo now being eighty six, so I'm sure he's happy
about that. Anyway, Let's focus on the total here just
a little bit. Seattle's defense, number one in the league
points allowed, gave up seventeen point four just seventeen point
four points per game in the regular season, and the
San Francisco defense that's considered their weak point. Andy right
that they've been unable to generate any real consistent pressure
on opposing quarterbacks since losing Fred Warner and Bosa. But
Sam Darnald, okay, he's faced the forty nine Ers four
times in his career, not all with the Seahawks. Obviously,
but in those four games, the Donald led offenses have
scored just sixty two total points. We're talking about a
matchup here, guys that's produced just thirty and sixteen total
points in the two previous meetings this year. I think
the best course of action if you're looking to bet
the total on Saturday, would be to play the first
half under twenty three. There's even a twenty three and
a half still out there as we're recording right now.
Speaker 1: Seattle.
Speaker 4: Over its last five games, guys, they've scored a grand
total of just thirty two points in the first half,
so barely over six per game. As for the side,
I still think the Seahawks are the better team. Already
mentioned the key metrics they ranked number one in. They
probably should have beaten the forty nine ers even worse
than thirteen to three two weeks ago.
Speaker 1: They moved the ball.
Speaker 4: More than that score would indicate forty nine Ers are
really bang average when it comes to yards per play differential.
That's a little surprising, but with the number currently where
it is, I think I would tease, and I probably
will do this. I'm probably gonna tease the Seahawks down.
You could use Houston as a second leg or depending
on who you like, Buffalo Denver makes for a good
teaser piece. There's you know, you shop around, you can
get either of those teams at one and a half.
Speaker 2: Yeah, this seems like the most obvious teaser in a
I mean, I guess, I guess Rams against Panthers was
an obvious one. But yeah, this seems like a really
really obvious one here. So this isn't like Donald. It's
kind of crazy. Donald's Like, isn't he the most like
winning quarterback the last two two seasons or something like
It just like piles up these wins and you're always
just worried about the big game.
Speaker 4: Like yeah, I mean, so you go back to the
game two weeks ago when these teams met, Seattle's dominating, okay,
and I never felt good the whole time.
Speaker 1: It's one of those times.
Speaker 4: And truth be to all, I talk this all the time,
I never feel good like I could be up, like
the rule is.
Speaker 1: So I think the biggest comeback in.
Speaker 4: NFL histories was what Buffalo did against Houston in the
nineties thirty something down. Unless if I'm leading by more
than that, I don't feel good ever about a game.
I just always am prepared doing what we do. Andy,
I don't have to tell you this. You always have
to be sort of prepared in the back of your mind,
all right bottom, you know, I Green Bay as five
percent plans Saturday.
Speaker 1: Okay, it ha that stuff happens.
Speaker 4: But I didn't feel great with Donald had turnovers had
been an issue for him despite Seattle being so successful.
Speaker 1: This is a Seattle team.
Speaker 4: I mean, it's pretty crazy how good they've been with
those kind of giveaways. So yeah, I agree, Donald is
kind of I guess the question mark for Seattle big
picture moving forward.
Speaker 2: We got Cavaliers in six years. Before we get into
that one. It's a great Wednesday. What do you have
up for everybody?
Speaker 4: Yeah, so right before we went live, I did post
a play, a late night play, so you've got plenty
of time to get on board this one.
Speaker 1: We're coming off a two and zer Tuesday sweep.
Speaker 4: Guys, thank you to all of you who joined me
for five dollars Tuesday.
Speaker 1: You got a very very easy winner.
Speaker 5: It's very rare.
Speaker 4: As I prefaced in the promo for the play, that
I lay double digits. Andy, you know that I think
a lot of people who catch me here on wager
Talk the YouTube channel.
Speaker 1: I know that as well.
Speaker 4: I don't lay double digits very often in basketball, but
I did last night. I said it was a great spot,
and boy was it. I laid twelve and a half
with Houston in college hoops. They annihilated West Virginia by
a lot. Seventy seven to forty eight was the final
score there. Also in the Rockets team total over which
just got there half a point. I said they were
gonna shoot better from three, and they didn't, but they
still got over. So that was good at two and
oh Tuesday, and we are looking to fire at eight
night Wednesday. That is college basketball. Is that play the
late night power Slam on my page wt up bus
slash pp.
Speaker 2: It's a weird feeling when a play wins but not
in the fashion that you expected.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I know, I feel guilty. You can I can
I adjust this analysis real quick.
Speaker 4: Not spend two paragraphs writing about the Houston Rockets three
point shooting is going to improve tonight.
Speaker 1: Then they go, you known.
Speaker 2: Well, let's say if we got some three point shooting
improving in this Cavaliers Sixers game tonight. Cavaliers, Man, I
don't know if they're going to turn the season around.
They've been, to me, the most disappointing team this season.
They have all the talent, they really don't have any excuses,
but they've been struggling. Got Philly. It's basically a pick
him here Philly minus one over under two thirty seven.
Looking at the starting lineups, it's just usual. I mean,
there's always going to be a question about him Bed,
He's always questionable. There's always going to be a questionable
about Paul George. But Cleveland looks like they're gonna have
most of their roster. Sam Merrill's back in the starting lineup.
Looks like he's going to be a permanent starter for them.
How do you break down this game?
Speaker 4: Yeah, it's crazy, Andy, you talk about the Cavs last
year versus this year. They've already lost more games this
year than they did the entire regular.
Speaker 1: Season last year. How about wow? I mean that just
illustrates kind of the fall here.
Speaker 4: My dad was frantically texting me in the opening five
minutes of Monday's game against Utah that we need to
fire Kenny Atkinson. I thought that was a bit of
the scretch, but you know, that's what my dad does, Darien.
When the Calves come out with just a putrid performance
like they did Monday night at home against the Jazz,
they lose outright andy, as you know, to a team
that had been blown out by more than fifty points
by Charlotte at home. I mean, come on, man, I
mean you know Utah was gonna come up. There's some
sense of professional pride there for Utah, there had to be.
But if you're Cleveland, you cannot lose that game as
thirteen point home favorites. It was a very sluggish start,
like I just mentioned, a Calves were able to come back,
which was interesting. They come they outscore Utah forty to
twenty in the second quarter, but then they wilt again
did Cleveland in the second half. You look at the
first quarter and the second half of that game. The
Calves were outscored thirty three points in those three quarters
by Utah and Holme that can't happen. They were minus
twenty in rebounding for the game was Cleveland Donovan Mitchell. Afterwards, Mitchell,
by the way, was just seven of twenty one shooting
in the loss. That helps explain the result a little bit.
But Mitchell came out and said, quote, we are all
at fault for not coming out ready to go the caves.
Speaker 1: They're a league worst, Andy. This is another illustration.
Speaker 4: Not only have they lost more games this year than
they did all of last regular season twelve and twenty
nine ATS, that's the worst mark in the league at
the betting window, one in five against the number their
last six games. Just a far cry from what we
saw last year when they finished first in the East.
Speaker 1: But I suspect okay, and I.
Speaker 4: Was looking at the chat here when you were teaming
this game up, and it seems like maybe some people
are on board with this too. You get humiliated like
the Calves did on Monday, I think you come out
with some fire in the belly. This is the first
of back to back games, and Philly teams are going
to beat again here on Friday. Sixers just went through
one of these back to backs against the same team.
They split a pair of games with the Raptors up
in Toronto. Probably should have won bowl both games. The
loss was the first game they blew a fourth quarter lead,
lost in overtime.
Speaker 1: You mentioned the health. Both teams are healthy. Philly's been good.
Speaker 4: They've won six of eight overall, I get it, and
they've been one of the league's better ATS teams twenty
three to fourteen to one. I just come back to
the fact that I think after a bad loss, the
Calves are likely to be more motivated here at the outset.
So let's test that line of thinking. Any Let's get
a little cute with this play. Let's play the Calves
first quarter plus half a point. Okay, I think they
can at least stay even. All we need them to
stay even for twelve minutes. If if Dan, I wish
Dan was here, because I could have said Dan, I
would I know that you don't want to watch the
Sixers for more than twelve minutes. So here I am
to help you out there. But Calves first quarter plus
half a point. Let's get a little interesting here with it.
Speaker 3: First quarter half point.
Speaker 2: All right, I'm in, I'm in, I'm in the stride
for the Calves. Can can keep it close? Interesting breakdown?
I did not see that coming.
Speaker 3: But great way.
Speaker 1: Let's keep me.
Speaker 3: A great way to keep looking about that. So you
told everybody what you have up. How is what's going
on in soccer these days?
Speaker 2: From your perspective? Well, I do some bets, but I
don't know who's hot. I don't know who's not. Dan
gave out a really nice Boonesliga play. What's what's soccer
looking like in your end?
Speaker 1: Well, i'll tell you where it's generally not hot right now.
Speaker 4: I was over in Germany and we've had three matches
get snowed out in the last five days, so that happens.
Speaker 1: So the all snow out in the moonlege.
Speaker 4: I really wanted to play Leipzig on Saturday, but that
was one of the ones that got snowed out. So
you know, I haven't played anything. I just haven't been showing.
I'm so knee deep in the weeds like the soccer
for me, you know. And we've done great soccer over
the last two years. Number one actually in that units game,
going back to April twenty twenty four. Last week on
five dollars Tuesday, we had a three nil winner with Brentford,
which was really nice. I actually messaged ye afore mentioned
Dan Alexander that I use some follow language about summer
about it? Yes, I yes, who's Sunderland who Brentford played?
I said their act needs to stop. I use more
colorful language, and it did so but with soccer right now,
I'm so knee deep in with the football and basketball
college troops. Lots a breakdown that i didn't play any
soccer this week. I'm sure I'll have something though, with
the Premier League ramping back up.
Speaker 3: Nice nice, Brian power everyone. Thank you so much for
joining us. Brian, great breakdown, Niners.
Speaker 2: And Seahawks, Cavaliers and Sixers. Have a good Wednesday, Brian,
thanks for joining us. Always always look forward to having
you on the show. Let's see, I've got a Wednesday
pack up. Yesterday was frustrating. We lost a five dollars
play and then we swept the rest of the place
for all access clients. So you're all access client. You
took advantage of the seven days third days past. You're
happy you got just the five dollars play. That was
a loser, so apologize for that. We've got a Wednesday
pack that's up. We're doing something different on Wednesday. We're
putting all sports up. We have tennis, we have golf,
and we have NBA. So we're just we're not just
focusing on one play. You want three different sports.
Speaker 3: Grab that.
Speaker 2: We're up fourteen units in the last seven days've been
seeing the board really really well, especially tennis tennis. We
have three straight winners and there's a couple matchups that
we love. I'm actually gonna go over the tennis place
in all around the world. So you want to build
a bankroll with a few different sports. Grab that that
is up over at wager Talk, WT Up Buzz Slash
al Out. Twenty twenty six off to a really really
good start, looking forward to that. Let's let's check you
with Drew Martin. We got to get our college basketball fix. Drew,
thank you so much for joining us, Looking fresh as always.
Speaker 3: How's everything been going for you, sir.
Speaker 5: Going good?
Speaker 6: Andy, Thanks for having me on as always. Man, you're
looking good yourself. I like the color system there. You
look fresh and bright on this Wednesday morning. I heard
you say it was a rough morning though, man, spilling stuff.
I'm guessing some of this coffee or something. Always a
rough way to start your day.
Speaker 3: Man. I spilled just a little bit of coffee.
Speaker 2: It wasn't that much and it managed to hit like everything,
like a little on the air fier, a litle on
the counter, a little on the stove, every drawer that
it dripped down.
Speaker 3: It looked like a bomb went off and he just
spilled a little bit. But I digress. Let's talk.
Speaker 2: I know, I know, Let's talk to school that's pretty
close to where I live.
Speaker 3: Purdue.
Speaker 2: We got we're bringing down Iowa Perdue in Vanderbilt, Texas.
Let's focus on this Purdue team. Big favorites here minus
ten over under one, forty three and a half Iowa Perdue.
How do you see this one going down?
Speaker 3: Yeah?
Speaker 6: Nice Big Ten matchup on the Big Ten network, by
the way, and I do note the early start six
thirty Eastern times, so before that's seven o'clock window. And
I'll tell you this right near your house, Andy McKie Arena.
Tough place to play there in West Lafayette, Indiana. And
I like Purdue here minus ten. I think they're gonna
win by double digits or more. They're fifteen to one
on the season, five and ohero in the Big Ten
and the number one offensive efficiency team in the country.
We know what we're getting with Matt Painter. That is
good offense. He's not what in his twentieth season with Purdue,
he's made the tournament sixteen out of twenty years. Like
I said, you know what you're gonna get This is
also a great schedule spot for the boiler Makers. Third
straight home game, and they've won four straight against Iowa,
both straight up and against the spread. So all of
that pointing towards Purdue here now nothing against the Hawkeys.
They are twelve and oh they've been good at ats,
but they have lost two straight games and they've lost
every road game this season, so going into a tough
place to play, they've lost by double digits each of
the last two times playing in West Lafayette. All of
that pointing here, Andy, it missed the client card, But
I do like Purdue minus ten here. I think they
win by double digits tonight at home in front of
the home fans.
Speaker 5: Wouldn't be surprised if they run it up.
Speaker 3: Colin was going exactly where I was thinking.
Speaker 2: When Drew comes on and says the team's gonna beat
up another team, it's generally right. Generally right, So all
minus twenty if Drew says so, remember, did not make
the client card. Did not make the client card, So
proceed with caution with that one moved to.
Speaker 3: Vanderbilt and Texas.
Speaker 2: Let's see, I don't know hardly anything about either of
these teams, Vanderbilt in particular, So tell me a little
bit about each team.
Speaker 3: And we got Vanderbilt minus five over under one sixty six.
And how you see this game going?
Speaker 5: Well?
Speaker 6: Any I mean, Vanderbilt is one of the better teams
in the country. They're sixteen and oh out the gate
this season. And I'll tell you the commodores. You know,
I always go back to, like my college years, drinking
beers and we'll just leave it at drinking beers with
my friends and arguing about what's the best kind of
SEC Conference basketball and football team, and we'd always have
arguments about it. I kind of love that. Well, welcome
to twenty twenty six. You can make the argument Vanderbilt
has the best combo in the entire SEC Conference and
whether it be the nil which they got a lot
of money, you know, a lot of net Worth alumni,
and we're seeing it here on the hardwood. It's not
only on the gridiron. They've won every game this season
by five points or more.
Speaker 1: And when you look at their.
Speaker 6: Statistical profile top ten in both offensive and defensive efficiency,
and they run an up tempo style of basketball, that
just becomes a profile. I don't want to step in
front of meaning I'm betting on Vanderbilt or I'm passing
in commodore games. Now they are having to go on
the road here Moody Center, Austin, Texas. However, we got
to keep in mind the Longhorns first year under Sean Miller.
They're ten and six on the year. They've already got
six losses here as we're still what coming up to
mid January.
Speaker 5: They have played a tough schedule. They did beat Bama
last time out, but they've kind of struggled on defense.
I could see Vanderbilt, you know, we're going with two
favorites here on the two games we're breaking down Andy,
you could call me a square if you want. But
if they cash, hey, that's what matters.
Speaker 6: I think Vanderbilt I wouldn't be surprised if they win
by double digits. And to the commenter there, you know
the alt line on Purdue minus twenty.
Speaker 5: That's a huge ault line.
Speaker 6: Usually when you go to the alt lines, it's like,
you know, minus five and a half, Hey, La, minus
eight something like that. If you want to go there, Hey,
I'm not going to argue with you. I do think
Vanderbilt covers this number and again, I wouldn't be surprised
if they win by double digits. So we're going Vanderbilt.
We're laying the wood here nine o'clock eastern on ESPN two,
a little watch and win here in Austin, Texas on Vanderbilt.
Speaker 2: All right, I'm looking at it right now on DraftKings
plus one fifty six Vanderbilt minus nine and a half.
Speaker 5: All right, well, dice a little bit.
Speaker 3: I like that, all right, I'll sprinkle it.
Speaker 2: I'll tell you absolutely all right, Vanderbilt drops the hammer
tonight plus one fifty six to get a double digit
win from Drew Martin.
Speaker 3: Drew's the front runner. We love it, the favorite. I
love it, Drew. What do you have for clients for today?
Speaker 6: We got a nice little seventeen and three Wednesday run
here going. So we got one single out play Wednesday
night for the clients. You can go check that out
wetalk dot com. That's what we got for Wednesday. Got
a couple games circle here for the Thursday card, going
to get in on the overnights, and got the National
Championship game up eight to no. In college football postseason,
both bowls and the playoff game, so we got the
National Championship. Top play looking to make it nine to
oh this year in college football postseason. But yeah again
for tonight seventeen and three Wednesday run, so you can
hop on that.
Speaker 3: One Andy seventeen and three Wednesday run.
Speaker 2: This is always fascinating in our industry when you run
good on a certain day. And I think you and
I have talked about this, So why Wednesdays? Is there
a certain lead that plays on Wednesday? Because we've talked,
We've talked about this, what's going on on Wednesdays?
Speaker 5: Yeah, it carried over from college football.
Speaker 3: So it's all that's right. We talked about college football,
college football.
Speaker 6: I haven't gone through and I don't want to get
it wrong, but I would I would be almost certain
that all twenty of those plays are college football and
then a carryover to college basketball.
Speaker 5: But yes, it goes to what you're talking about.
Speaker 6: You know, I'm a guy that that I'm not going
to pepper the board with a bunch of plays. You know,
it's more one to three plays a night, and I
concentrate on certain conferences. So when you come to Wednesday nights,
certain conferences are playing. We just talked about, you know,
the Big Ten the SEC, So that would be the
main reason why it's like, oh, some of these conferences
play Wednesday night and they play again on Saturday, and
then they just.
Speaker 5: Keep doing that. So that's the main reason.
Speaker 6: And sure enough Squared Away one of these one of
these teams that has been a definite money maker playing tonight.
So so yeah, it goes back to college football, that
being you know, the MAC Conference, back to Sunbelt Conference,
even back in the month of October. So just concentrating
on certain conferences playing on certain nights, and yeah, that's
that's where the seventeen and three Wednesday run goes. But
it's also been sixteen and six since Christmas Eve and
sixty percent since early September, the last what almost one
hundred and forty client plays, hitting sixty percent. So it's
been a heck of a run here, Andy, and looking
to keep it going, keeping my head down and just
just kind of going at it each and every day,
going after the board and hopefully keep that sixty percent
long term run role in my men.
Speaker 2: Okay, well, I have I have proof, breaking in real
time proof that the books are terrified of you and
that they watch this show.
Speaker 3: Chris, can you pull up what I just sent you.
Speaker 7: This is.
Speaker 2: They took down the all life Drew as I was
talking about it on the Vanderbilt They literally took the
bets down off of Draft DraftKings as I put it
in my bet slip and I was talking about it.
Speaker 3: That's the power of Drew Martin Drew.
Speaker 5: You know what, Andy, I have something else to say.
And I've gone a little bit more towards the believable.
Speaker 6: I've gone a little bit more towards the off screens,
particularly with college basketball. And the reason is because if I,
if I go with one of these major sports books,
they'll move the line right away, so then the clients
get like a point last two points less. And I've
noticed that, so now I got I just personally, it
just go off screen, right out right out the right
out the gates.
Speaker 5: And to not let anybody.
Speaker 3: Know, amazing, amazing. They watched the show. They pay attention.
They were like, uh, Drew, Drew likes the allt line.
Take the all lines down. Drew likes the all line.
Take the all lines down.
Speaker 6: I didn't even got that all line, to be honest,
that on that Vanderbilt game, I just took it five
and a half so the off line that was from
everybody watching the show.
Speaker 3: You're right, all.
Speaker 2: Right, Drew, great breakdown, great segments. We're looking at the
favorite tonight. Go grab Drew's best bets and let's continue
that to you that Wednesday success. That's an awesome run,
and congratulations on sixty percent long term, it's a hell
of a run for yourself and clients.
Speaker 3: Thank you Drew for joining us. Appreciate you man.
Speaker 5: Thanks Andy, have a good one.
Speaker 3: But you two you two three one two asks.
Speaker 2: With NBA having eighty two games opposed to the NFL
having eighteen, wouldn't NBA props require a higher percentage of
bankroll through into I'm not quite sure. I'm not quite
sure what the question means. If you're asking, do I
bet more on NFL props than I do on NBA?
Speaker 3: No, No, it's the same. Uh, it's the same.
Speaker 2: The plays that I will bet more on are a
little bit more of the obscure ones like tennis has
been on a good run. I'll bet more on that.
Cricket incredible run. I will bet more on cricket. So
some of the sports that are really off the beaten path,
where the lines are particularly soft, I will bet more on,
but the props in the main sports, like the NFL, NBA, MLB,
those are same bets. So all right, let's bring in
the boss. It's one of the only bosses in my
life that I like. Ross, You're the boss. Everyone loves
to get to go see. How are you, sir?
Speaker 7: Hey, I'm glad you asked Sandy. I'm doing pretty good
despite coming up a terrible night last night. Look to
bounce back today and I'm very confident in doing so.
Speaker 2: All right, Well, it's bounced back Wednesday. Brother, Let's have
ourselves a good one. You're gonna talk the Nuggets and
the Mavericks, but first you gotta get your take on
the college football National Championships.
Speaker 3: It to my Hoosiers. This line is kind of holding
steady at minus eight and a half.
Speaker 2: It's kind of a weird number. It's kind of a
no man's land right there. So over under forty seven.
What's your take on the Hurricanes and the Hoosiers.
Speaker 7: Yeah, I mean, it's hard to step in front of
the Hoosiers right now. But let's not forget. This is
the first time we're going to be seeing a national
championship game where a team is playing on their home field,
so that sort of levels it out a little bit.
But I'm looking at the first half total in this game,
and it's twenty three and a half. I've used Miami
as an under the first half total in all three
of the playoff games, and I'm going to do so again.
I mean, this is a team that's played thirteen and
two under the first half total this year, and there's
only been a combined twenty point scored per game in
those fifteen contests during first half action. As a matter
of fact, if Miami was facing a team that allowed
one hundred and twenty yards or fewer rushing per game,
like Indiana does, they go six and zero to the
under in those in those spots. So that's against the
first half total, of course, And like I alluded to,
three and zero to the under in the playoffs against
the first half total and only fourteen point six point
scored per game in first half action, and they did
that against some pretty good competition. Andy, you know, it's
not like they've played creampuffs so far. And of course
you're in the playoffs, you shouldn't be. But this is
a team that started out as a number ten seeds,
so they played three higher seeds and this will be
the fourth consecutive game against a higher seats, so they've
they really clamped down defensively, especially during the first half.
Now they even did so against o Miss. Oh missed
did rack ups and points and yards in the second
half against them. But again I can't ignore those statistics,
especially defensively in the first half. Indiana, by the way,
five and one to the under this year away or
neutral site games. That's five and one to the under
against the first half total excuse me, and away or
neutral site games against teams like Miami that average thirty
one or more per game. So again, the Hoosiers have
proven throughout the season no matter what you throw at them,
especially defensively, they have the ability to shut you down.
And this Indiana team's only allowed to combine seven points
in the first half of their two playoff games against
Alabama and Oregon. I mentioned Miami how good they've been
defensively in the first half.
Speaker 1: They've allowed just to combine.
Speaker 7: Thirteen points in the first half against the likes of
Texas A and m Ohio State and o Miss some
pretty good offensive teams. So I like this game to
go under the first half total of twenty three and
a half.
Speaker 3: I like it. I like it. That's a unique take
on the game, backed up with a lot of stats.
I like it.
Speaker 2: Yeah, these two defenses are nasty many I've been saying
it all along.
Speaker 3: The coach and the quarterback for IU get all the praise.
Speaker 2: And all the headlines, but the defensive IU is really
really good.
Speaker 3: So uh probably probably the probably the right play there.
These two defenses should should dominate. So, uh, we're going
to take a look at the Nuggets and the Mavericks.
You know. Nuggets. Yeah, they're kind of hanging in there
with all these injuries.
Speaker 2: They're gonna be a little bit of a favorite here.
It's pretty close to pick them over under twenty six.
I like, ten years ago to twenty six you would
be like, oh my god, what a huge total. Now
two twenty six teams low? So what do you what's
your take here on this Nuggets team that's uh doing
a pretty decent job navigating these injuries.
Speaker 7: Yeah, I mean, it's to twenty six isn't a huge
total when you considered effect it. Dallas has played under
I think in six consecutive games now, but in any event.
I'm looking at the side here. Look, Denver's coming off
last night's one twenty two one sixteen win a New Orleans.
Not only are they playing with no rest, this will
be their third game in four days. And this this
is a team that's been playing shorthanded and actually done
quite well of late in that situation. But again, this
is a whole different circumstance when you're playing with no rest,
your third game in four days, back to back road
games with no rest, So you have to take all
that into consideration. And then you you look at Dallas.
They're coming off of one thirteen five home win versus
Brooklyn that that game was on Monday night, and this
will just be their third game in six days. Not
only do they have a rest advantage, but they're they're
playing their second consecutive game at home, sleeping in their
own beds. You know what, rest advantage isn't always a
big factor in the NBA. But when you when you
take everything into consideration, I mean, you're talking about a
Denver team playing without three guys tonight that average over
fifty points per game, Nick Nicola yok being the worst
absence of them all, I mean, doesn't take a brain
surgeon to say that Denver is nowhere near as good
without with Jokic as they are without them. So Dalla's
last five games defensively, they've clamped down a bit, and
that's why they've been playing unders. But keeping the consideration
who they're playing tonight and how shorthanded they are, and
you look at what they're allowing one hundred and nine
points per game forty shooting over their last five.
Speaker 5: This is also a Dallas.
Speaker 7: Team this year at home that's gone seven to zero
against the spread and five and two straight up when
playing opponents that are plus three or greater point per
game differential, which Denver definitely qualifies. You know, But Andy,
here's the thing, though, Denver's plus three or greater point
per game differential, but what are they without Jokic in
the lineup? So they're a whole different team in that regard.
Dallas has shined in the situation and I think they'll
shine again tonight. And even with one hundred and twenty
two points Denver scored last night, there's still only averaging
one hundred and seven points per game in their last four,
shooting less than forty four percent from the field. So
I like Dallas here on the money line. I'm seeing
them at minus one, minus one and a half. I'm
okay with the points spread, but again, I don't like
pushes or losses when you're laying one, one and a
half two points, So I always opt for the money
line favored in those types of situations. If I indeed
like that side, which I do tonight, I would say
take Dallas on them as a money line favor tonight
of minus one twenty five or lower.
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's pretty hard to argue with that rest the
breast disadvantage, brutal scheduling spot, So I have to agree
with you on that one. I want to hear what
you have up at wager talk, But first, how are
you feeling about your Buffalo Bills.
Speaker 7: Well, you know what I said, Well, I used the
Buffalo Bills last week as a free pick and a
premium pick at wager Talk, and I caught a lot
of criticism for that. And I think you know, when
you look at the experience level of the Bills in
playoff games in recent years compared to what Jacksonville was
and now even compared to what Denver is, you can't
ignore that, Okay, Now the odds makers are showing this
game opened as a pick them, and now Buffalo's are
short favorite despite the fact or a pick them wherever
you're looking or Denver might be minus one. My point
is they're looking at this as a pretty even match up.
I would think that anybody would logically come to that
conclusion in terms of the odds makers perspective when saying that,
let's think about this, who would you rather have in
a close game down the stretch Josh Allen.
Speaker 3: Or Boone Knicks.
Speaker 7: Let me repeat that question, who would you rather have
in a close game in the fourth quarter?
Speaker 3: Josh Allen or bow Knicks? Now I mean Josh.
Speaker 7: I don't want to take anything away from Denver, buddy.
You know they're the number one seed for reason. Their
defense is good. The only thing that scares me here
is their wide receiver corps. Buffalo is there week is
definitely their weak link on offensively, and it's got even
decimated even more losing Gabe Davis to a season ending
injury and losing Tyrrell Shavers to a season ending injury.
So I would be very conservative with this. I get
accused of being a homer, and I can assure you not.
I'm not a homer. If you watch me on wader
Talk TV on my solo videos, I took Cleveland against
Buffalo not too long ago. So I'm just using common
sense here and saying, you know me, Andy, I like
to think like an odds maker, why is this line
where it's at when you got a number six seed
playing the top seed with rest and the number six
seeds coming off a physical, I mean physical game against Jacksonville.
Speaker 2: Yeah yeah, I mean Josh Allen, he's superman right now.
He's the number one quarterback you'd want in the fourth quarter.
Speaker 7: So yeah, he was paying rent and the Blue Tent
and he kept coming out, you know.
Speaker 3: You know, man, oh man, by the.
Speaker 2: Way, can we can they make the Blue tents bigger
the billion dollar company and.
Speaker 7: Put a heater in there at this time a year,
you know, and a TV so they can while they're
getting massaged, they could watch what's going on in the
game and they don't miss anything.
Speaker 3: You know, it needs the hospitality. Oh that's great. Ross.
What do you have of everyone at Wager Talking.
Speaker 7: I'm waiting for you know, you got these NFL eyes
in the sky that if guys got what they seem
to be a possible concussion. The next thing that's going
to come up with this whole fixing scandal is going
to be the guy up in the booth is like
saying a certain players got, you know, should go into
the blue tent several times, you know, So we'll see
what happens with that. Anyway, I'm being facetious. And what
do I have going on? Well, I'm glad you asked
college football championship game. I'll have a four percent best
bet in that game going on next Monday, and I'm
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That's sixty three percent, folks, just short as seventy one
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thirteen and six, including five and three in the playoffs,
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Speaker 1: Per day for that package.
Speaker 7: On top of that, you're going to get twenty five
percent off any other purchase, unlimited use, including all five
percent best bets with any other handicapper on the site,
for the entirety of that three hundred and sixty five days.
So Andy, you can't beat that deal.
Speaker 2: Love it, love it, Ross the Boss, you can be
my boss anytime. Thank you very much for joining us,
always crushing the segments.
Speaker 3: Thank you very much. Ross.
Speaker 2: Good luck on all that on all your boats moving forward.
Don't say modest on those runs. Those are good runs.
Speaker 3: Thank you for having me handy, all right, Ron, thank
you very much. All Right, we're going to get to
all all around the world here.
Speaker 2: We've got some specials coming up on uh on the
website real quick.
Speaker 7: UH.
Speaker 2: Looking at Toronto and Chicago, any opinion, Chicago is just
not a team I want to put any money on.
They've really regressed. They started off.
Speaker 3: Great, but they have one win in their last was
it five games? Now? The Raptors minus two and a
half against the Pacers.
Speaker 2: I think the Pacers have been overachieving a little bit.
I would say that is uh. I would say that
is that is probably the.
Speaker 3: Best bet of the of those Toronto and the Bulls.
Speaker 2: In fact, Raptors WTF or LFG? The Raptors are minus
two and a half. They're on the road against the
Indiana Pacers.
Speaker 3: Pacers. Let me pull this up.
Speaker 2: Put let me know, let me yeah, let me know
in the chat is the is the Raptors minus two
and a half on.
Speaker 3: The road, Uh, WTF or LFG.
Speaker 2: There's a Pacers team that won three games in a row,
giving them.
Speaker 3: Nine wins on the season.
Speaker 2: And I can tell you is the Pacers face and
I am livid that they won the won these games.
Speaker 3: They have no business winning games. What are we doing here?
Speaker 2: They beat Boston in an absolutely ugly, horrible game ninety
eight ninety six. It was terrible game. Both teams played awful,
So I will take that. This three game winning streak
comes to a complete halt tonight with Toronto. So all right, Chris,
let's do all around the world talking about some free plays.
I think I lost every single all around the World
bet yesterday that we put up, so we're due to
regress back. This is a client play. We're going with tennis.
I'm giving you the tennis play. This is in wt
A Hobart. I think I misspelled Hobart. I think it's
h O b a r t. But you get the
you get the drift. We're gonna take two money lines
in Parlam together. Rodi Kanu is playing really, really well.
We've been We've been making a lot of money off
of her, and she gets a really good matchup against
somebody that's this is a gigantic step up in cop petition.
Speaker 3: We think Roda Kona wins and Yovic we've been making
money off of her.
Speaker 2: She plays Lynette, who's a little bit older, kind of
on the down side of your career.
Speaker 3: These two are wagons right now. We've been betting them
every round, so we'll parlay.
Speaker 2: There's together get about minus one fifty nets and the Pelicans.
Michael Porter Junior over ten and a half rebounds plus assists.
He's gone over this in five out of six categories.
He's rebounding the ball really really well. The one game
that he didn't go over was like the stat like
vacuum game.
Speaker 3: But he's playing New Orleans.
Speaker 2: He gives up the twenty seventh most rebounds and assists
per game. In the last ten games, he's averaging nineteen
potential rebounds and potential assists. So Michael Porter Junior getting
it done with rebounds and assists. And then Sony Open.
By the way, the Golf Show is up on the
wager Talk channel. Myself and Yan broke down the Sony Open,
talked about a bunch of bets and everything. So check
that out. Get you ready for golf season. Yes, golf
is finally here. We're gonna take Russell Henley top twenty.
Speaker 3: He loves this place.
Speaker 2: Finished fourth and ten the last couple of years. Second
best total strokes gained in the field, and this course
is pretty basic and easy.
Speaker 3: They're getting rain, which means the course is gonna be soft.
Speaker 2: These greens are really receptive, the fairways aren't gonna roll
too much. It sets up perfectly for a Russell Henley
make no mistakes, have like fourteen pars per round, no bogie's,
and three or four birdies and finished inside the top
ten bee and a pretty good price on him to
finish inside the top twenty on that one.
Speaker 3: So all right, that's gonna do it for us. Thank
you so much for joining us. Thank you to Chris
Big Dog for producing.
Speaker 2: Dan is going to be off the rest of the
week as he is moving, and like I've said, the
only thing worse than moving is moving across the country.
Speaker 3: So Dan's gonna do that. So thoughts and prayers to Dan.
Speaker 2: But once he gets out there, he'll get settled in
and he'll be back next week. We are going to
be here Thursday and Friday breaking down all the games
and all the action. Shout out to you guys in
the chat. Please hit the life button. It really really
helps us out. If you haven't hit the like button,
just take a little time and boot hit the like button.
Speaker 3: Appreciate all you guys. Good luck on your bets and
we will see everyone tomorrow. Take care,