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Speaker 1: And Hi, how are you welcome to the Big Podcast?

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It is Friday. I don't know my've lost track of days.

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Speaker 2: It's Friday today.

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Speaker 1: It's the second day of January, Year of Our Lord,

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twenty twenty six. My name is Tom Sullivan. And actually

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a fairly busy day for the first business day of

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the new year. We've got the President talking about his health.

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He was taking questions from reporters, you know how he

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does kind of an open ended thing, and he brought

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up his health, so others we'll explore that a little bit.

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Questions about now we're in a new year, what's China

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going to do about Taiwan? Venezuela is starting to push back,

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and we'll see where that's going to go in twenty

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twenty six. And there's a wealth tax proposal in California

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that I want to dig into because that's something we

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don't have. We have income taxes, but not wealth taxes

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per se. But and then I've also got a call

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into Jason Lewis, who used to well, he and I

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belonged to a small club. After I did ten years

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of filling in for Rush Limbaugh, I went to Fox

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and I couldn't do it. Anymore. They called Jason and

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asked him to do it. So he's in Minnesota, so

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I do want to see if we can connect with

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him on what's going on with the Minnesota fraud, which

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is apparently not unique to just a Minnesota. But let's

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start today with this business about Taiwan. What is China

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going to do? General Robert Spaulding looks into this pretty carefully.

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I thought his comments were interesting here he is.

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Speaker 3: I think they have the capability, certainly to impose their

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will on Taiwan, but you have to wonder why they

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haven't done it, And I think there's a couple of reasons. One,

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I think they're concerned about the backlashing implications to trade

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considering how their economy is going, and so I do

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think it does restrain them. You know.

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Speaker 4: The other challenge, though, that we face is as.

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Speaker 3: They become further decoupled from the Western economy, then they

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may become more aggressive. So it's hard to say now

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what will happen with this, even because of the rhetoric.

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Speaker 1: So if China does attack, what are we going to do?

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We've President Biden said that we would respond, but the

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rules say that we will not respond. What does the

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general think.

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Speaker 3: I don't think we'll have really the resources or the

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time to respond. I mean, it's just off their shore.

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They have immense military capability. I think the response is

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going to come in very much the same way that

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the Russia Ukraine scenario has played out, and that is

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it'll be sanctioned, It'll be a further cut off of trade.

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I think the United States will work to get the

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world behind cutting off China from economically from the West.

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Speaker 1: The problem is is economically we are tied because of

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the massive chip production that they do in Taiwan. And

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what happens then because if they take over the island,

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there goes our chip production.

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Speaker 5: Well.

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Speaker 3: I think that's why Biden administration and Trump administration has

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continued to accelerate the movement of man manufacturing back to

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the United States. I think one of the thing that's

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been happening quietly behind the scenes is Steve Feinberg at

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the Pentagon has been working hard to re establish an

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industrial base here in the United States and in friendly countries.

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And so I think that's what you're going to see

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a continued a continuation of a rebuilding of our industrial

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base here in the United States.

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Speaker 1: Well, I know that's the plan, but it takes years

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to build one of those highly sophisticated chip manufacturing facilities.

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Speaker 5: No, it's not.

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Speaker 3: But it's been going on for several years already. It's

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just accelerating now, and I think it's accelerating a way.

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Is that quite Frankly the business community is oblivious to.

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I think if you were in the halls of the Pentagon,

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you'd see this very concerted effort to establish firmly in

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the United States the ability to produce the things that

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we need.

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Speaker 1: So it's really good to hear that the Pentagon has

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got the pedal to the medal to try to figure

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out how to help the private sector businesses shore up

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reshore chip manufacturing here, even though it will take a

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long time if something happens before we're fully ready. What

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does the general see for our future?

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Speaker 3: Well, I think if if we're going to have a

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crisis in Taiwan, it's certainly some of the things that

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we could see here in the United States's disruption to

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our digital infrastructure, to our power grid. We've already seen

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malware embedded throughout our country. I think we'd see further

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isolation and cut off from things that are needed here.

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It could be rarers, it could be other things that

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are part of the supply chain here. A lot of

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times difficulty that we have is identifying Chinese components because

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they do get tranships through other countries and then added

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into the supply chain, oftentimes unbeknownst to the act actual supplier.

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Speaker 1: China apparently is doing a lot of that transhipping as

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they call it, which is the fancy word for China

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basically has factories in Vietnam or Indonesia or some other

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place and they ship through them, and so it looks

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like it's coming from Vietnam or from Indonesia rather than

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from China. But that's what's going on there. And speaking

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of international hot business, we start twenty twenty six. Venezuela

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apparently has detained five US citizens. If I was a

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US citizen in Venezuela, I would have been long gone.

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But apparently so this is going to heat up to

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some sort of hostage situation. And in Ukraine, Ukraine is

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trying to convince others that Russia is planning a large

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scale provocation to try to disrupt the peace talks whatever

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they are that are going on. And then they're going

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to blame Ukraine and they're going to try and use

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material that well, they'll say, look at this is made

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in the US, something that blew up in Russia. So

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William Taylor, former Ambassador to Russia, is basically chiming in.

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Speaker 6: This is what the Russians do. They have lied about,

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as you just said, they've lied about these attacks, and

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the CIA called them out. They lied earlier, Sarah, this

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is the pattern they Putin said when he invaded Crimea

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in twenty fourteen, he said those weren't Russian troops. Well,

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a couple months later he admitted that they were Russian troops.

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And then before he invaded big time, the enormous invasion

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in twenty twenty two, Putin and love Roth the farm

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mister said no, we're not going to invade Ukraine.

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Speaker 2: Well we know what happened.

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Speaker 6: So the point is they do lie about these things,

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and the Ukrainans are right to be careful about another

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false flag operation. This will demonstrate that the Russians are

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not serious. We've known this that they're not serious, but

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that's will further confirm they're not after peace. They are

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after Ukraine. And they've said that. Putin has said that

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over and over he wants to eliminate Ukraine, destroy Ukraine,

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have Ukraine capitulate, surrender. That's what they're after. They're not

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interested in the negotiations. They want to derail these negotiations.

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And that's what's happening. So, and answer to your question,

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what do we do with the United States? Do we

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continue to work with Ukrainians and the Europeans to make

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Ukraine defensibles of make Ukraine able to defend itself. And

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we put pressure on Putin to come to the table,

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stop the war, stop the killing.

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Speaker 1: Well that's nice, but it's not going to happen. Putin

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is he just stuck in his ways. He wants Ukraine

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and he's gonna lie, cheat and steel until he gets

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that things. That's his that's his goal. So we've got

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problems with Venezuela, with the five American citizens being held.

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We've got problems with Russia and the Ukraine peace talks.

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I'm not a big fan of these diplomats, and there

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they sit around and have a high tea, but they're talking.

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They had a meeting over New Year's with others Ukraine

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and people from Europe and the United States and they

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were all working out. They were ninety percent of the

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peace agreement they think has been ironed out, but they

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did not ask Russia. Russia is going to say whatever

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they come up with, No, we don't agree to that.

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So it's as we start off the year, we're count

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on the fact that Putin is gonna is going to

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dig his heels in absolutely foreshore. Let's bring it home

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from all this international news. So Zorn Mom, Donnie is

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now the mayor of New York City, and I just

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want to report to you the city is still here,

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still here. It looks just the same. I was going

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to go down and see if I could get on

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a free bus. Then I found out that none of

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the buses are aren't free yet. I don't know when

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they're going to be free. But that's and I'll go

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shopping over at the New York City grocery store and

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see what they have over there. So all that's going

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to come about. By the way, at the it's wearing

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in ceremony, it was very cool because it was at

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midnight at twelve oh one, and they swore him in.

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And it's in a abandoned subway station underneath City Hall

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and I'm thinking, what is the message of an abandoned

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old subway station? And speaking of free buses, are they

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going to make the subways free? I don't see how

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any of this is going to work, but I'll report

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to you as as things come along. The FBI made

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a bust well yesterday, this is a guy exactly on

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New Year's Eve. This is a guy, an eighteen year

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old guy from Charlotte, North Carolina, that has been coordinating

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with who he thought was Isis. It was an undercover

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NYPD guy and also an undercover FBI guy, and that

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he wanted to go around in the suburbs of Charlotte

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with a hammer and a knife and knock on doors

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and when you open the door, he would greet you

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by hitting you over the head and then stabbing you

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to death. He wanted to kill at least twenty people,

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was his goal. He told to the people that he

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thought were Isis. But this isn't the first time. He

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also was contacted when he was fourteen. He's eighteen now.

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When he was fourteen, he apparently wanted to also have

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join ISIS in some way, and they hot up with

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him and his grandfather put a halt to turn him

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in and they said they would get him mental health help,

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but apparently whatever he got did not work. But anyway,

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he's committed. His loyalty to isis. He wanted to attack

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also in a grocery store and a burger kin in

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the suburbs of Charlotte, North Carolina. Here is Russ Ferguson,

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the US attorney for that part of the country.

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Speaker 7: Talked about where he was planning to do this attack,

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which was at a grocery store and a fast food

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restaurant in mint Hill, places that we go every day

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and don't think that we may be harmed. He talked

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about what means he would use to kill innocent people.

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He said he was going to wear a kevlar vest

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and attack people with knives and hammers. And of course

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he talked about when he was going to carry out

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this attack, which was New Year's Eve.

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Speaker 1: So they moved in on New Year's Eve and arrested

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this guy. James Barnacle is the FBI agent in charge

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for Charlotte.

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Speaker 8: What we found was a manifest them which the federal

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complaint alleges contained detailed plans to execute a massacre on

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New Year's Eve. The JTTF collected evidence showing he turned

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his back on his country and his fellow citizens by

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pledging allegiance to ISIS with the intent of becoming a martyr.

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We allege Sturvant was willing to sacrifice himself by committing

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a terrorist attack using knives and a hammer to support

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the murder, torture, and extreme violence that ISIS represents.

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Speaker 1: So ISIS is still trying to radicalize and in this

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case successfully, But the kid was like, most of these

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want to be terrorists. They're not necessarily the brightest bulb around,

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so thank goodness they got him. Steve Moore, not the

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economist guy, but Steve more former FBI agent, has worked

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on these kinds of cases. This is his reaction.

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Speaker 2: What what strikes me, excuse me, what strikes me is

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that this is what ISIS really wants. You know, we

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all think about terrorism in terms of, say the nine

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to eleven plot, things like that complicated, multi country, multi fine,

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multi state financed attacks. When what ISIS is pushing for

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and what al Qaeda was pushing for is uh individual attacks,

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lone wolf attacks because those are harder to stop and

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terrify people because it happens in their own backyard. Usually

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I would like to see what kind of help he

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got number one, But actually it raises fewer questions than

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it does. Makes me feel good about things. I mean,

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the fact that the parents were willing to come forward,

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the fact that he he wasn't able to purchase a gun.

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And this also indicates, by the way, if it can't

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purchase a gun, that doesn't mean they're not going to attack.

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There's some things that went right here, and we're fortunate

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for that.

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Speaker 1: So the FBI and the Joint Terrorism Task Force, they're

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still out there, they're still watching, there's still keeping track

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of social media and other means to try to figure

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out who is being radicalized in twenty twenty six.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, it's it's intensely difficult because what happens is, you know,

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we have free speech in America, that's the wonderful thing

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about this country. And people can say things online and

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lower people in line online into their little their little groups,

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and then once you start direct messaging these people, you

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can say things that are conspiratorial, that are violent, that

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are planning crimes, and we're not going to They're not

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going to be on our direct radar unless we are

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directed to them. So that's the kind of thing that

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you know that radicalization does. Sticking with the domestic news today,

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we've got courts have ruled that the President doesn't have

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the authority to send the National Guard into all these

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various cities Portland, Chicago, Los Angeles. So he's with d

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C is different because that's a federal state, but the

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rest of them. So the President said, all right, we're

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going to withdraw the National Guard and give the National

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Guard back basically to the governors in those states. So

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the question now becomes, what will he do about his

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efforts to crack down on crime using federal muscle.

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Speaker 5: Your characteration correct that wrestling with that that issue on

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how do you keep the citizens of these major cities safe.

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I think that Trump administration plan was to have the

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National Guard go in there and supplement the police forces

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that were on place, trying to free them up to

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do more law enforcement, a little bit of a show

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of force to kind of keep the bad guys at

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bay and listen, Judges in these different venues have determined

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the president can't do that. But what the President can do,

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and what he's hinted at, is coming back stronger in

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a different way. I think you've seen that quote, and

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that would be the mean one thing. It would be mean.

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Invoking the Insurrection Act is the way the president can

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do that, and and that still remains on the table.

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I think that a tool that is viable for the

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president to put troops in these different cities, and if

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the if the rate, crime rate, or if the circumstances warrant,

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I think you'll see the administration should do exactly that.

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Speaker 1: Well, that may be the next move. But there are

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also limitations to the Insurrection Act, and you're going to

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have to show that there was a real uprising against

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against the country for that to happen. How do you

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have defined all of that? Again, back back to the courts,

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obviously it will go. So the president, Speaking of the President,

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he was again doing one of those talking to the

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media taking questions, and one of the reporters asked him

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about his health and the fact that we never got

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an answer about the MRI scan that he had at

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Walter Read a month or two ago. And it turns

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out where the President says, well, it wasn't an MRI,

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it was a cat scan. It was a scan, and

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the they're they're they're quite different but maybe to a

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person that doesn't pay much attention. Uh, maybe as he

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thought it was the same thing. Here's David Irvin talking

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about the fact that people are now in the left

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side of the media trying to compare and question Donald

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Trump about his health versus the way that the Republicans

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questioned Joe Biden's elth.

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Speaker 5: That comparing President Trump's health to President Biden's health is ludicrous.

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Donald Trump is incredibly healthy. I just want to read

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from the Washington Post story because I think it's really

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important this one line. Trump has been almost omnipresent in

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his second term, fielding questions from journalists, sometimes several times

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a day, delivering impromptu remarks, and regularly hosting dinners at

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the White House. That's incredibly important because what Joe Biden

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did was none of that. Joe Biden hid from the press.

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He did not invite the media into the Oval Office.

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I talked to the reporters in this Wall Street Journal

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last night, this story last night. They said that during

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their interview of the president, you know, he pushed back

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very vigorously on his health. But they've been president in

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the Oval Office with him when he's you know, juggling chainsaws.

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When he's being air traffic controllers on the phone. He

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is incredibly vigorous. I spent time with a guy. You

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may not like his policies, you may not like a

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lot of things about this president, but his health is

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one thing that I think is gets made a whole

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great deal about and there's no there there whatsoever.

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Speaker 1: I totally agree. And to his point, he said, whether

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you like President Trump or not, that you can't compare

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these two guys health wise. Now, Donald Trump may keel over,

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I hope not, but he's going one hundred miles an hour,

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and poor old Joe was shuffling around trying to figure

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out where he was. So let's talk to doctor Jonathan Reiner,

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who has been a physician to some of the presidents.

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He's a cardiologist here or he's in washing in DC.

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And doctor Reiner reacted to some of the news about

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the CAT scan versus the MRI scan and the fact

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that the president, the president said talking to the media,

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he said, yeah, he says, uh, I take aspert every day.

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They want me to take one of those small ASP elements,

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but he says, I take I take the full inchilada,

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the whole pill, not just some small, little baby aspird

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and so he's he said, I don't care what the

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doctors say, I'm going to take more aspirt. So doctor

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Reiner reacts to all of.

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Speaker 9: This point, you know, like the Bruce, this is a

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story that just doesn't seem to go away.

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Speaker 5: Uh.

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Speaker 9: Well, first of all, the president is very self conscious

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of that bruise on his hand when he sits at

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the desk in his oval office. You know, he typically

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covers that hand with his left hand. So what doesn't

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make sense to me is why somebody who is obviously

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self conscious of the discoloration on his hand would take

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a dose of aspirin, which would be more likely to

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cause bruising. And we know with clarity that a higher

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dose of aspirin causes more bleeding, which is why we

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don't use that dose of aspirin. So why in the

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face of something that obviously bothers him, would he insist

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on taking a higher dose of aspirin.

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Speaker 5: So it just makes makes no sense to me.

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Speaker 9: The other piece of this, by the way, is that

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we have no history of the president having heart disease

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or or prior stroke, So why is he even taking

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the aspir It's not recommended.

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Speaker 2: So this has been studied.

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Speaker 9: Aspirins a drug that's been around for more than a century,

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and we know with clarity what dose of aspirin is

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sort of in the sweet spot with the greatest efficacy,

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most effective, with the least amount of risk, and that

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dose is eighty in the United States, is eighty one milligram,

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So a quarter of the dose that he's taking. So

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if if I go in and I take care of

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somebody who's having a heart attack and we fix their

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carnary artery, the dose of aspirin that they go home

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on this is someone who's had a heart attack, would

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be eighty one milligrams a day. So it doesn't make

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any sense to me why he would be taking three

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hundred and twenty five milligrams unless there is a medical

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history that you know, we don't know anything about. And again,

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it makes zero sense in the in the setting of

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increased bleeding.

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Speaker 1: Okay, so we'll never know why he wants to take

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more aspirin than his doctor's recommend. But what was this

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business about? He called an MRI and then now he says, no,

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it was a CT scan. What was that all about?

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Speaker 9: No, I mean absolutely not, you know, We were originally

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told that the president's assessment, where this testing was done

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in October, was done as just sort of, you know,

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a routine testing, But his routine exam was in April.

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His routine yearly physical was this past April. So we

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assumed that there must have been a reason why the

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president was tested then. And now we're learning from doctor

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Barbarabella the president's position that it was done to rule

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out a definitively rule out a cardiovascular issue. The President

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must have been having some symptoms. You know, this is

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all being dripped out over the course of very weeks.

387
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We should really have the president's physician just come out

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answer some questions and put this issue to rest. What

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doctor Barbabella said, by the way, is that there was

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there was no evidence of any abnormality on the testing.

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But the President has had a cardiac cete in the past.

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We know this because doctor Ronnie Jackson in twenty eighteen

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during the president's first administration, stated that the President had

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this exact test and it showed some carnary calcifications, which

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is an abnormality, suggesting perhaps some underlying coronary artery disease.

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So maybe this is why doctor Barbarabella wanted to repeat

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this test to see if there's been any change in

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those assessments. But again, there's there are a lot of

399
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questions here, particularly why is the president taking so much

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aspern and also why is the president taking aspirin at all?

401
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Speaker 1: Well, we don't have the answers to those questions, and

402
00:25:01,400 --> 00:25:03,839
Donald Trump is not alone. A lot of people are

403
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super sensitive about their health. And I mean, the guy

404
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goes like the energizer bunny and he's seventy nine years old.

405
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I think he But that doesn't mean you or me

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or anybody. Donald Trump couldn't keel over the next minute.

407
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So it's it's we don't know, but at least somebody

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we know that the doctors are keeping a close watch

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on him whether he follows their advice. As another whole show. Okay,

410
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let's go out to California, where there is a proposal

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for a wealth tax, and it's a tax for people

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that have a wealth, not an income, but a wealth

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of a one billion dollars or more. Yep, that's a

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lot of money, and a lot of people in California

415
00:25:54,279 --> 00:25:58,119
not well, not a lot. But there's the tech center

416
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has made Silicon Valley has made billionaires out of people

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that used to be minimum wage people. I mean, it's

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classic stories of people, the early coders in their T

419
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shirts and peach parties, and it clicked and hit in

420
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the next thing you and oh they're billionaires. So Robert

421
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Frank reports on the wealthy for CNBC. He was talking

422
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about this this morning.

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Speaker 10: We're going to go to a wealth proposal in California

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that has angered some of the state's richest and some

425
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in the startup community. One of the big questions around

426
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the proposed billionaire tax is valuation. So most of the

427
00:26:34,400 --> 00:26:37,400
two hundred billionaires in California made their wealth in tech,

428
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usually a stake in a private or a public company.

429
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Tech companies, as we all know and have seen, are

430
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highly evolved. So let's say your steak in a tech

431
00:26:46,759 --> 00:26:50,400
company was worth a billion dollars as of January first,

432
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next year, you would owe fifty million dollar tax.

433
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Speaker 4: If that valuation falls, let's say.

434
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Speaker 10: By half in a few months, you would still owe

435
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that fifty million dollar tax.

436
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Speaker 4: In other words, tough. The bill makes no mention of

437
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refunds or credits.

438
00:27:04,759 --> 00:27:08,039
Speaker 10: Now, the issue is especially important giving the volatility of

439
00:27:08,079 --> 00:27:11,759
tech stocks and valuation last year the AI boom created

440
00:27:11,880 --> 00:27:16,039
fifty new billionaires, many of them in California. If AI

441
00:27:16,200 --> 00:27:19,480
valuations could decline, some of those AI billionaires will no

442
00:27:19,519 --> 00:27:21,200
longer be billionaires.

443
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Speaker 4: But they'd still a well tax on wealth that they

444
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no longer have.

445
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Speaker 5: Now.

446
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Speaker 10: The bill does make provisions for private companies or illiquid

447
00:27:28,680 --> 00:27:32,160
assets that allows them to pay over five years, but

448
00:27:32,240 --> 00:27:35,680
the amount that is owed actually doesn't change, and there

449
00:27:35,680 --> 00:27:40,000
are penalties of up to twenty to forty percent of

450
00:27:40,039 --> 00:27:43,319
the amount owed for those who failed to pay. So

451
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a lot of people I've talked to a lot of

452
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tax attorneys that are helping a lot of Californians either

453
00:27:48,960 --> 00:27:51,559
make plans or move out of California. The question will be,

454
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because this is retroactive to yesterday, you have to approve

455
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you're no longer tax resident as of January first, twenty

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twenty six.

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Speaker 4: Did they get enough time?

458
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Speaker 10: Will Will it sort of withstand the legal challenges that

459
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it will inevitably be faced. But there are a lot

460
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of billionaires in California and soon to be billionaires that

461
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are trying to lead, playing to leave, at least finding

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out what it takes to lead California.

463
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Speaker 11: There were a flurry of announcements that went out, Peter

464
00:28:19,319 --> 00:28:22,480
TiAl making a point of saying that his new office

465
00:28:22,519 --> 00:28:25,960
in Miami is set up. Larry Sachs said that he's

466
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got a new office that just opened in Austin, Texas.

467
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And I think Peter Tile's signed that December signed the

468
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least their extension on that.

469
00:28:35,839 --> 00:28:38,400
Speaker 4: What was Larry Page's Larry Page the same thing. He's

470
00:28:38,400 --> 00:28:41,759
got a family office in Miami. As family office head

471
00:28:41,839 --> 00:28:43,079
is now spending a lot of time Miami.

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Speaker 10: Now, the question of residency isn't just did you leave

473
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or were you out of the state for more than

474
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one hundred and eighty days. It has to do with

475
00:28:49,839 --> 00:28:52,160
your bank accounts, where your kids are in school, where

476
00:28:52,200 --> 00:28:55,079
your pet goes to the vet, where your dentist is.

477
00:28:55,160 --> 00:28:58,319
So unless you've shown a pattern of all those things

478
00:28:58,359 --> 00:29:01,720
being in Texas or Florida for the past year, and

479
00:29:01,759 --> 00:29:05,119
the California auditors are very tough, even tougher than New

480
00:29:05,240 --> 00:29:07,799
York when it comes to forcing you to prove that

481
00:29:07,839 --> 00:29:10,160
you have actually left. So that's going to be a

482
00:29:10,240 --> 00:29:13,480
question along with can you actually make will the tax

483
00:29:13,519 --> 00:29:17,240
itself survive legal claims, but can you make a tax retroactive?

484
00:29:17,279 --> 00:29:18,599
Speaker 4: That's going to be another question.

485
00:29:18,799 --> 00:29:23,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, there have been taxes that have been retroactive, very

486
00:29:23,319 --> 00:29:28,200
very unpopular. Obviously surprise this lob went into effect a

487
00:29:28,279 --> 00:29:32,400
year ago or six months ago. It has happened not often.

488
00:29:33,079 --> 00:29:36,240
But the real problem with a wealth tax is exactly

489
00:29:36,240 --> 00:29:40,720
what he explained. If you're a billionaire because your company

490
00:29:41,039 --> 00:29:44,240
hit it big and you own most of the stock,

491
00:29:44,839 --> 00:29:49,160
but then all of a sudden it doesn't continue its

492
00:29:49,200 --> 00:29:53,839
popularity and it falls in value and you're no longer

493
00:29:53,920 --> 00:29:57,319
a billionaire, what happens to the billionaire tax that you paid.

494
00:29:58,400 --> 00:30:01,480
And that's the problem, especially with t where the stock

495
00:30:01,599 --> 00:30:06,079
values can rapidly go up and can rapidly fall. And

496
00:30:06,359 --> 00:30:10,839
I'm looking ahead at the AI buzz that everybody's talking about,

497
00:30:10,880 --> 00:30:14,319
and there are a lot of AI companies that are

498
00:30:15,000 --> 00:30:18,880
valued to the moon, and a lot of them are

499
00:30:18,920 --> 00:30:22,359
not going to exist a year from now or maybe

500
00:30:22,880 --> 00:30:25,839
five years. For sure, there's going to be a washout,

501
00:30:25,960 --> 00:30:28,160
just like there was with the Internet. There will be

502
00:30:28,240 --> 00:30:31,319
a lot of companies that are trying, but very few

503
00:30:31,359 --> 00:30:34,799
of them will succeed. And if you're one of the

504
00:30:34,839 --> 00:30:37,160
owners of one of those that doesn't succeed, what do

505
00:30:37,200 --> 00:30:39,480
you do about getting the money back. There's no provision

506
00:30:39,559 --> 00:30:45,599
for that. So two people, one of them is Patrick Toomey,

507
00:30:45,759 --> 00:30:50,839
a former senator from Pennsylvania, and Heidi HIKEMP, a former

508
00:30:51,119 --> 00:30:55,039
senator from South Dakota. She was a Democrat, still is.

509
00:30:55,359 --> 00:30:59,440
Pat Toomey was a Republican still is. Here's how they

510
00:30:59,480 --> 00:31:02,559
reacted to this business about the California Wealth Tech.

511
00:31:02,839 --> 00:31:03,160
Speaker 4: Well.

512
00:31:03,599 --> 00:31:05,240
Speaker 12: So as the bottom line is, I think this is

513
00:31:05,279 --> 00:31:08,519
a remarkably bad idea from a state that is quite

514
00:31:08,599 --> 00:31:12,519
generous in providing us with bad ideas. First and foremost

515
00:31:12,599 --> 00:31:15,599
is the principle here. We are not anywhere in this

516
00:31:15,680 --> 00:31:19,599
country to my knowledge, have we established the principle that

517
00:31:19,640 --> 00:31:22,279
the government is going to confiscate part of your assets

518
00:31:23,000 --> 00:31:25,119
to give them the way to people who to them

519
00:31:25,119 --> 00:31:27,799
if they don't belong. This is something new and different.

520
00:31:27,839 --> 00:31:31,519
We definitely take income. We take a disproportionately high share

521
00:31:31,559 --> 00:31:35,200
of the income from upper income people, certainly relative to

522
00:31:35,279 --> 00:31:38,759
their share of earnings, and that's because we have an

523
00:31:38,799 --> 00:31:42,000
extremely progressive tax system, and it's one of the most

524
00:31:42,079 --> 00:31:45,079
progressive in the entire OECD. But this would be a

525
00:31:45,119 --> 00:31:48,440
whole new idea that we're going to just confiscate part

526
00:31:48,440 --> 00:31:51,799
of your assets after in most cases people have paid

527
00:31:52,039 --> 00:31:54,759
income taxes on whatever it is that allow them to

528
00:31:54,799 --> 00:31:57,920
accumulate these savings. A couple of other points I would

529
00:31:57,920 --> 00:32:01,440
make about this particular proposal. First of all, it's a

530
00:32:01,440 --> 00:32:03,720
lot of false advertising when they suggest this is going

531
00:32:03,759 --> 00:32:08,279
to be a one time hit. That's the way it's drafted.

532
00:32:08,359 --> 00:32:11,880
But it also stipulates in the proposal that any revenue

533
00:32:11,920 --> 00:32:15,920
from this new tax has to go to expanding healthcare,

534
00:32:15,960 --> 00:32:19,400
and that means medicaid. As a practical matter, as we've seen,

535
00:32:19,440 --> 00:32:23,640
including very recently with respect to Obamacare, anytime you expand

536
00:32:23,680 --> 00:32:28,200
an entitlement, the left intends that that expansion is permanent.

537
00:32:28,680 --> 00:32:31,920
And when the funding runs out and the spending continues,

538
00:32:32,119 --> 00:32:35,079
they're coming back for more. And when the exodus of

539
00:32:35,400 --> 00:32:37,880
billionaires it's not going to be just billionaires. People are

540
00:32:37,920 --> 00:32:40,480
going to realize there's no limiting principle here. If you

541
00:32:40,559 --> 00:32:43,440
can confiscate the assets of a billionaire, why not someone

542
00:32:43,480 --> 00:32:47,119
who's worth five hundred million or one hundred million. And

543
00:32:47,240 --> 00:32:50,519
so the exodus will be profound. And these are the

544
00:32:50,519 --> 00:32:54,039
folks that pay the lion's share of the revenue to California.

545
00:32:54,400 --> 00:32:55,640
Speaker 1: This is a.

546
00:32:55,559 --> 00:32:57,599
Speaker 12: Disaster in the making if they proceed with us.

547
00:32:58,359 --> 00:33:02,799
Speaker 1: I like the way he described rather politely, this idea

548
00:33:02,880 --> 00:33:05,519
came from a state that has given us a lot

549
00:33:05,519 --> 00:33:08,240
of bad ideas. He was talking about the fact that

550
00:33:08,799 --> 00:33:11,240
the whole idea is to provide the money from the

551
00:33:11,279 --> 00:33:18,240
billionaire tax for healthcare. This reminds me. I talked about

552
00:33:18,240 --> 00:33:22,440
it a couple of weeks ago after Rob Reiner was killed.

553
00:33:23,000 --> 00:33:26,119
Rob Reiner, Oh, it had to be thirty years ago.

554
00:33:26,240 --> 00:33:30,480
He came up with a bad idea, and his idea

555
00:33:30,519 --> 00:33:37,160
was he was all for helping with more early childhood education. Okay,

556
00:33:38,240 --> 00:33:42,559
The idea was to put a tax on cigarettes, and

557
00:33:42,599 --> 00:33:46,240
that money from the tax on smoking would pay for

558
00:33:46,839 --> 00:33:50,960
early childhood education in California. And I said at the time,

559
00:33:51,319 --> 00:33:56,160
what happens if fewer people smoke, What if smoking drops

560
00:33:56,200 --> 00:34:00,440
in popularity, where's the money going to come from the programs?

561
00:34:00,440 --> 00:34:02,640
You're not going to take the programs away. And that

562
00:34:02,799 --> 00:34:06,559
is exactly what has happened in California. They still have

563
00:34:07,480 --> 00:34:11,119
these moneies for early childhood education that were supposed to

564
00:34:11,159 --> 00:34:14,960
be funded by tobacco. But tobacco smoking is a fraction

565
00:34:15,079 --> 00:34:17,519
of what it used to be. And that's exactly what

566
00:34:17,559 --> 00:34:21,360
this is going to be as well. So Toomey is

567
00:34:21,400 --> 00:34:25,159
a Republican. Heidi high Camp is a Democrat former senator

568
00:34:25,159 --> 00:34:30,480
from South Dakota. This is her feelings about this wealth tax.

569
00:34:31,159 --> 00:34:35,480
Speaker 13: Well, I've long said you can't really be successful in

570
00:34:35,559 --> 00:34:39,039
taxing I unrealized capital gains. I will disagree with Pat

571
00:34:39,079 --> 00:34:41,480
on one thing. He says this is a new idea.

572
00:34:41,800 --> 00:34:44,039
This is not a new idea. This is called a

573
00:34:44,039 --> 00:34:47,760
personal property tax. And this personal property tax has been

574
00:34:47,800 --> 00:34:51,360
tried and failed in many many states. It's been tried

575
00:34:51,400 --> 00:34:54,400
in a lot of other places across the world, and

576
00:34:54,440 --> 00:34:58,159
they've had to put the car in reverse and say

577
00:34:58,239 --> 00:35:01,920
it didn't work. And so let's let's also recognize that

578
00:35:02,000 --> 00:35:04,320
this is an initiative. They're going to need to get

579
00:35:04,599 --> 00:35:08,519
a lot of signatures. The governor of California has already

580
00:35:08,599 --> 00:35:11,519
suggested that he doesn't agree with this. I think some

581
00:35:11,599 --> 00:35:14,719
of this is an overreaction. But of course, you know,

582
00:35:14,760 --> 00:35:18,480
when you're looking at an effective date of this retroactively,

583
00:35:19,000 --> 00:35:21,440
I think that that causes a lot of concern when

584
00:35:21,440 --> 00:35:24,159
people look at it. But you know, the bottom line

585
00:35:24,199 --> 00:35:28,320
is that this is intrusive. This is not consistent with

586
00:35:28,400 --> 00:35:31,320
what we would call a taxable event. And Becky, as

587
00:35:31,320 --> 00:35:33,400
you know, also on my resume is I used to

588
00:35:33,480 --> 00:35:34,679
be a tax commissioner.

589
00:35:34,880 --> 00:35:36,519
Speaker 4: I used to do this for a living.

590
00:35:36,920 --> 00:35:39,760
Speaker 13: And these are very, very hard to administer. And I

591
00:35:39,800 --> 00:35:43,360
think the left has gotten this idea that we don't

592
00:35:43,440 --> 00:35:46,280
really need to dig into the tax code to find

593
00:35:46,320 --> 00:35:49,119
those loopholes. What we really should do is just do

594
00:35:49,199 --> 00:35:52,000
another whole new tax And I think there's a whole

595
00:35:52,039 --> 00:35:55,679
lot of ways to address income inequality, a whole lot

596
00:35:55,719 --> 00:35:59,880
of ways to address this in in you know, the perception,

597
00:36:00,400 --> 00:36:03,840
if not reality, that rich people are not being jacked.

598
00:36:04,199 --> 00:36:08,239
Then to simply embrace a wealth pass, I don't think

599
00:36:08,239 --> 00:36:10,400
it will work. I don't think it's going to pass.

600
00:36:10,639 --> 00:36:13,480
And I agree with Pat on one thing that people

601
00:36:13,480 --> 00:36:16,039
when they go to the polls, they say a billionaire today,

602
00:36:16,159 --> 00:36:17,679
it's me tomorrow.

603
00:36:18,280 --> 00:36:22,679
Speaker 1: So good for Heidi high Camp. She's a moderate Democrat

604
00:36:22,920 --> 00:36:26,760
and she doesn't think. She doesn't like this one. Iote, well,

605
00:36:26,800 --> 00:36:31,840
since we're talking about money, market was open full session today.

606
00:36:31,880 --> 00:36:35,760
The Dow Jones Industrials is the first day indicator of

607
00:36:35,800 --> 00:36:38,280
the rest of the year. I hope so Dow up

608
00:36:38,440 --> 00:36:41,880
three hundred and nineteen. The Dow forty eight thousand and

609
00:36:41,920 --> 00:36:46,960
three eighty two, SMP up thirteen nas, DAK fell six points,

610
00:36:47,199 --> 00:36:49,719
price of gold up a little less than a dollar

611
00:36:50,360 --> 00:36:54,800
to four thousand and three forty two, and oil essentially

612
00:36:54,880 --> 00:36:59,039
unchanged at fifty seven dollars now for a barrel of oil.

613
00:36:59,559 --> 00:37:04,519
Thank you for coming by. Happy, happy, and prosperous new

614
00:37:04,599 --> 00:37:07,239
year to you. I'm glad you could come by today

615
00:37:07,280 --> 00:37:09,719
as well. We will be back on Monday. Have a

616
00:37:09,760 --> 00:37:15,360
great weekend and we'll see you on Monday.

