Speaker 1: This is Dan Caplis and welcome to today's online podcast
Speaker 1: edition of The Dan Caplis Show. Please be sure to
Speaker 1: give us a five star rating if you'd be so kind,
Speaker 1: and to subscribe, download, and listen to the show every
Speaker 1: single day on your favorite podcast platform. Election Day. What
Speaker 1: a gift from our founders and all the men and
Speaker 1: women who have fought and died for this nation that
Speaker 1: we can do this on election day and settle our
Speaker 1: differences peacefully at the polls. We're all lottery winners. And
Speaker 1: that's not hyperbole. I mean, think of all the people
Speaker 1: in human history who did not have this opportunity. And yeah,
Speaker 1: I understand a lot of people are on edge as
Speaker 1: we get into these results because it's real right now.
Speaker 1: I mean, we've been doing our best to dissect like
Speaker 1: that lab frog, you know, Kentucky and Indiana, but now
Speaker 1: it gets real. It gets really real with Georgia just
Speaker 1: closing about six minutes ago, as well as Virginia. So
Speaker 1: we'll start to get some of those returns and they'll
Speaker 1: be a lot. I think that we're able to read
Speaker 1: into those now. At five point thirty mins, we'll have
Speaker 1: North Carolina closing, in Ohio and even though Ohio's sure
Speaker 1: thing for Trump will be looking at that Senate race,
Speaker 1: the first of the big Senate races to come up,
Speaker 1: that Ohio closing at five thirty. So we'll dive into that.
Speaker 1: Exit polls. Yeah, you know, it's kind of hard to
Speaker 1: resist because they're out there and there's something I think
Speaker 1: they're historically unreliable. But when we like the outcome of
Speaker 1: the exit polls, we really like to talk about those.
Speaker 1: We ended the last hour playing exit poles sound from CNN,
Speaker 1: which had you know, the lefties on CNN pretty sad
Speaker 1: as it just talked about the kind of the doom
Speaker 1: and gloom attitude in America right now toward the current
Speaker 1: state of affairs.
Speaker 2: And Florida has really gotten their act together since the
Speaker 2: two thousand fiasco and the hanging Chad's Dan. They've already
Speaker 2: got thirty percent of their votes counted and the polls
Speaker 2: just closed Donald Trump with a narrow lead though fifty
Speaker 2: one forty eight. He leads one point seven plus million
Speaker 2: to one point six plus million. Again, that's with thirty
Speaker 2: percent of the vote in and he's up over Harris
Speaker 2: in Florida.
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's going to be a bigger margin than that
Speaker 1: I would expect. Now, the full steak doesn't close until
Speaker 1: six Mountain, right, I think the full the panhandle the
Speaker 1: pants read okay, okay, and yeah, on those Florida totals
Speaker 1: at this point were not clear on where everything's coming from.
Speaker 2: Right, and I can let me just clarify. There are
Speaker 2: two big Harris counties you would expect. One of those
Speaker 2: is Broward, traditionally blue, and that's between Miami Dade County
Speaker 2: and Paul Beach County. No surprise here, Harris is up
Speaker 2: sixty one, thirty nine and seventy percent of the vote
Speaker 2: in there. Then Orange County, that's where Orlando is also
Speaker 2: a blue county, and Harris is up fifty eight to
Speaker 2: forty one there.
Speaker 1: Yeah, and you know how interesting it is to sit
Speaker 1: here and talk about Trump only up one or two
Speaker 1: or three in Florida. It wasn't that long ago, right,
Speaker 1: It wasn't that long ago where you would have killed
Speaker 1: to have the Republican up by half a point in Florida. So, yeah,
Speaker 1: to your point about how things have changed, So we'll
Speaker 1: keep an eye on Florida.
Speaker 3: Quick.
Speaker 1: Florida very important a lot of electoral votes.
Speaker 2: That percentage is actually slightly behind Harris in that pace.
Speaker 2: In both Broward, which is just north of Miami, in Orlando,
Speaker 2: which is Orange County, Harris is trailing the Biden pace
Speaker 2: by just a touch in both of those.
Speaker 1: You know, which is nice to hear. And I come
Speaker 1: back to this key point that I would apply to
Speaker 1: every state that's not a swing state. They have not
Speaker 1: been barraged with all of these ads that show who
Speaker 1: Harris truly is ideologically and how crazy, wild, psycho far
Speaker 1: left she is ideologically. Keep in mind, it's just those
Speaker 1: seven swing states. Now, the other states have picked up
Speaker 1: some of the national ads during football games, etc. Talking
Speaker 1: about some of her really kind of insane radical stuff
Speaker 1: like taxpayer money for sex change operations for prisoners. Yeah,
Speaker 1: so there's been some of that for all of us,
Speaker 1: but the relentless pounding on her craziness that's been in
Speaker 1: the swing states. So, whether it's Kentucky, Indiana, Florida, if
Speaker 1: they had had that steady diet of this is who
Speaker 1: Kamala Harris really is, you can bet her numbers would
Speaker 1: be lower there. So, yeah, we will keep an eye
Speaker 1: on Florida. We're not seeing any results yet out of Virginia.
Speaker 1: Or Georgia. But we'll bring those to you as soon
Speaker 1: as we get them.
Speaker 4: Now.
Speaker 1: Colorado, Hey, we all know how it works in Colorado, right,
Speaker 1: if you're listening here, you know that mail ballots counted first.
Speaker 1: And that's the case. Do you don't happen? No, Ryan,
Speaker 1: in Florida? Is it mail ballots counted first or last
Speaker 1: in Florida?
Speaker 2: Different states do it different way because that would account
Speaker 2: for the number that they've already got in.
Speaker 1: Yeah. No, that's an excellent point and would also probably Yeah,
Speaker 1: and then you look at Colorado, mail ballots counted first.
Speaker 1: So what happens here in Colorado if you're new to
Speaker 1: the state, welcome, And what happens is it'll be seven
Speaker 1: fifteen to seven point thirty when all of a sudden
Speaker 1: there's a really big percentage of the vote announced, and
Speaker 1: then you'll get the election day votes a bit later.
Speaker 1: And I'm over generalizing here, but that's the normal flow
Speaker 1: of things. So in Colorado we know a lot early.
Speaker 1: We don't know everything early, but we know a lot early.
Speaker 2: There's ABC reporting here, which we are affiliated with obviously
Speaker 2: over this sadly, I know, but can we end that well,
Speaker 2: I don't know this might lend itself to an interesting tidbit.
Speaker 2: It says ABC News is warning of quote severe cracks
Speaker 2: unquote in the Democrat voter base in Michigan today. Traditional
Speaker 2: Democrat strongholds such as Wayne County, that's where Detroit is
Speaker 2: are seeing huge amounts of black and Arab voters jumping
Speaker 2: to Trump.
Speaker 1: Well, that's good news. That may be the first good
Speaker 1: news to ever come out of ABC for Trump. Yeah,
Speaker 1: or Michigan at least today. Yeah, eight five or serah
Speaker 1: five eight two five five the number. I want to
Speaker 1: get to some text as well, Dan, I honestly don't
Speaker 1: have any faith in the voting process because of how
Speaker 1: many things just didn't seem right with the last election.
Speaker 1: I'm hoping this election is not being fixed. O Hair
Speaker 1: somehow wins. I would love to ask this Texter, did
Speaker 1: you vote? I assume you did. I hope you did,
Speaker 1: because anybody who doesn't vote because they don't have confidence
Speaker 1: in the system, you are part of the problem. So
Speaker 1: and I understand you. Look at the polls. You've got
Speaker 1: an enormous number of people who who don't have confidence
Speaker 1: in the system. And that's one thing I wanted to
Speaker 1: get to at some point Ryan is. We saw the
Speaker 1: exit polls nationally and this is this is general, but
Speaker 1: about eighty percent of the folks nationally in the exit polls,
Speaker 1: you know, had real confidence in the integrity of the
Speaker 1: election system. But then, as we are touching on this,
Speaker 1: this excellent survey done out of American Politics Research Lab
Speaker 1: at the University of Colorado, and it's very detailed. You
Speaker 1: can see their methodology. You get into that and you
Speaker 1: don't have that same level of confidence. So, you know,
Speaker 1: questions such as will you consider the winner to be legitimate?
Speaker 1: This is a Colorado poll question. Only sixty percent of
Speaker 1: Independence were willing to say yes today, you know, things
Speaker 1: like that. Here's another one. We'll get to some of
Speaker 1: those others. But yeah, it's really concerning. And I come
Speaker 1: back to what I've been saying for a very very
Speaker 1: long time. Elections in Colorado will be conducted fairly and accurately.
Speaker 1: This is the CU Boulder poll question that was put
Speaker 1: out statewide. In a scientific poll. Only sixty percent of
Speaker 1: Independence were willing to say that elections in Colorado will
Speaker 1: be conducted fairly and accurately. Only sixty one percent could
Speaker 1: agree with that. And I come back to the hyperpartisanship
Speaker 1: of Jenna Griswold. They've been talking about that for a
Speaker 1: long time now. I personally believe that there should be
Speaker 1: zero tolerance for any any kind of fraud, any kind
Speaker 1: of irregularity, et cetera. With that set, I personally believe
Speaker 1: the elections in Colorado are overall safe and fair and reliable,
Speaker 1: and that the problems we as the GOP have been
Speaker 1: having Republican candidates conservatives, you know, those are caused by
Speaker 1: other things, and we've got to be honest about that
Speaker 1: in order to be able to go out and win.
Speaker 1: But with that said, when you have such a hyper
Speaker 1: partisan Secretary of State who, in the interest of democracy,
Speaker 1: tries to ban the leading candidate from the ballot in
Speaker 1: Colorado so voters don't even have the option to vote
Speaker 1: for that person, and then all the other junks she does,
Speaker 1: and that's even before the six hundred passwords released online
Speaker 1: and then the real offense in my mind, deciding deciding
Speaker 1: not to tell the clerks and the public. Yeah, that's
Speaker 1: going to undermine confidence, which is ironic and said, because
Speaker 1: I think overall elections in Colorado are very well run.
Speaker 1: I think we've got to find a way to win.
Speaker 1: But yeah, so she just she is the biggest threat.
Speaker 1: She is the biggest threat for her hyperpartisanship and her
Speaker 1: mistakes ryan to confidence in Colorado elections.
Speaker 2: And there's some question about confidence in Georgia elections. They've
Speaker 2: tightened up their voting laws there. But a couple of
Speaker 2: good early indicators for Kamala Harris and two Kaler counties
Speaker 2: around it Atlanta, Douglas County with seventy one percent of
Speaker 2: the vote, she is outpacing Joe Biden there, She's up
Speaker 2: sixty six thirty four. Biden won that county sixty two
Speaker 2: thirty seven. Another color county, Rockdale County, sixty eight percent
Speaker 2: of the vote in Harris is up seventy six twenty
Speaker 2: four and Biden won that county over Trump just seventy
Speaker 2: to twenty nine. So outperforming Trump in those two counties,
Speaker 2: outperforming Biden in those two counties. Kamala Harris around Atlanta so.
Speaker 1: Far, Yeah, and we're just starting to get these votes
Speaker 1: in out of Georgia. But then of course we get
Speaker 1: to Trump's strongholds and we get to the rural votes
Speaker 1: out of Georgia. And we've known all along that Trump
Speaker 1: will need explosive turnout and support there certainly showed very
Speaker 1: well in the early voting, and so we'll see as
Speaker 1: the actual votes come in where we're at on that,
Speaker 1: so probably a good chance to take a break here.
Speaker 1: By the time we get back, we'll have more votes
Speaker 1: out of Georgia, and then we have North Carolina closing
Speaker 1: at five point thirty. You're on the Dankpla Show and
Speaker 1: now back to the Dan Taplas show pot cast. It
Speaker 1: is on now starting to get returns from Georgia, for example, Virginia,
Speaker 1: where just a handful of returns out of Virginia as
Speaker 1: substantial returns. Indiana and Kentucky those less valuable, right because
Speaker 1: if you're not a swing state, you haven't been seeing
Speaker 1: all these Kamala Harris ads which tend to drive down
Speaker 1: her support. Six o'clock Mountain. Of course, Pennsylvania closes along
Speaker 1: with the entire state of Florida. We have very healthy
Speaker 1: Florida returns at this point. And Ryan, you picked up
Speaker 1: on Miami Dad.
Speaker 2: Of course, incredible really when you look at Joe Biden
Speaker 2: winning Miami Dade County, this is the most populated county
Speaker 2: in Florida. Joe Biden won it by seven point three,
Speaker 2: fifty three point four to forty six point one.
Speaker 1: Donald Trump has.
Speaker 2: Flipped the script with seventy seven percent of the vote
Speaker 2: in He's up eleven on Kamala Harris in Miami Dade
Speaker 2: County fifty five forty four. Damn, that's an eighteen point
Speaker 2: swing to Trump from twenty twenty eight.
Speaker 1: And where are we statewide now? In Florida, we'll get
Speaker 1: those latest numbers.
Speaker 2: They'll state five second with fifty nine percent of the
Speaker 2: vote in Florida. And they're doing a remarkable job of
Speaker 2: counting one of the most populated states in the Union.
Speaker 2: But Pennsylvania, Michigan can't do it. Fifty three forty six.
Speaker 2: Trump is up by about four hundred and fifty thousand
Speaker 2: votes three point five million to about three point one million.
Speaker 1: Yeah, it is so funny because I can picture myself
Speaker 1: sitting in this same chair, going back to if my
Speaker 1: memory serves me right, it's been a minute, but was
Speaker 1: it two thousand and four? And then the two thousand
Speaker 1: and eight election in Florida? Always so so very close,
Speaker 1: And how nice now that it's a little more comfortable there.
Speaker 1: But checking with Don in Fort Collins, you're on the
Speaker 1: Dan kaplis, sho'll welcome Don.
Speaker 4: Hey, Dan, certainly have our fingers crossed for this evening. Yeah,
Speaker 4: And I think the only thing that can derail Trumps
Speaker 4: at this point is some mischief using the voting machines
Speaker 4: and some of the mischief that took place in twenty twenty.
Speaker 4: Other than that, I think things are certainly looking in
Speaker 4: his favor.
Speaker 1: And Donald at this point. What leaves you believing that
Speaker 1: there's no way other than than theft for him to lose. Listen,
Speaker 1: I'm the guy who's been predicting all along. I predicted
Speaker 1: Biden would be deposed, they'd get a different nominee. I've
Speaker 1: predicted that that Trump would then rise up again in
Speaker 1: the polls. Not to be a jerk, but I think
Speaker 1: I've called this thing correctly for a very long time,
Speaker 1: and I've predicted for a long time that Trump would win,
Speaker 1: and I believe, in the end win comfortably, and I
Speaker 1: pray to God that's true. But can't you see any
Speaker 1: legitimate scenario where he might lose? No? Okay, all right, well,
Speaker 1: I love that. I love hearing that, my friend, Thank you.
Speaker 1: You know, Unfortunately, and obviously I don't expect this to happen.
Speaker 1: I've been predicting the opposite, but unfortunately that there is
Speaker 1: a scenario not involving theft, where President Trump could lose.
Speaker 1: It'd be disastrous for this nation. I literally pray it
Speaker 1: doesn't happen. But when you have a strong personality like
Speaker 1: President Trump and then you have him assaulted, viciously assaulted
Speaker 1: in the way that he has been relentlessly from the left,
Speaker 1: including their media arm from the Russia hoax, through law fairs,
Speaker 1: through all of these other scurllless attacks they've launched against him,
Speaker 1: and then throw in, like any human, a few unforced
Speaker 1: errors here and there. Then yeah, there's a scenario where
Speaker 1: a country, a nation, just like people can, a country
Speaker 1: could make a mistake and could decide they're done with
Speaker 1: him and go with the alternative, even if the alternative
Speaker 1: is as unqualified as Kamala Harris. I that could happen.
Speaker 1: I'm the guy who's been saying all along, it's not
Speaker 1: America is not going to elect a far left San
Speaker 1: Francisco radical, right.
Speaker 2: Well, I think this is just really important. I know
Speaker 2: Florida isn't considered a swing state, but it has been,
Speaker 2: and Donald Trump only defeated Joe Biden by three point
Speaker 2: three percent last time around. He is cruising. He's up seven,
Speaker 2: and the league continues to grow. They haven't even got
Speaker 2: the Panhandle and Dan. How about this for a shocker.
Speaker 2: So far, I've measured every single county that's turning in
Speaker 2: results in Florida. That includes Leon County where Tallahassee is
Speaker 2: Florida State University and the government with the state capitol,
Speaker 2: Duval County where Jacksonville is, Panellas County, where Saint Pete is,
Speaker 2: Hillsborough County, where Tampa is, Orange County, where Orlando is Dan.
Speaker 2: He is outperforming his numbers against Joe Biden in every
Speaker 2: single county in Florida so far against Kamala.
Speaker 1: Harris, which is fantastic considering that they haven't been bombarded
Speaker 1: with these Harris ads that the negative but truthful adds
Speaker 1: against Kamala Harris. So so impressive there. And you know,
Speaker 1: my hope, I've talked about it for a long time. A.
Speaker 1: We need Trump to win, right but B if he can,
Speaker 1: the more he can win by, the more he can
Speaker 1: win by, the better it's going to be for America
Speaker 1: in so many different ways. Get back to the text
Speaker 1: for a second, and we'll get some calls. Ah Dan
Speaker 1: hilarious about Amy leaving the country. I hope it works
Speaker 1: again for twenty four of that from Alexa. Yeah, no,
Speaker 1: it's we did this in twenty sixteen. Amy and I
Speaker 1: I like to think that just the greatest marriage imaginable.
Speaker 1: And I know she'd agree with that, but we disagree
Speaker 1: on politics. So in twenty sixteen she literally left the
Speaker 1: country for election day. She actually went. She was playing
Speaker 1: baseball then and she went with him to Dominican Republic
Speaker 1: for a tournament. And this year, yep, she got on
Speaker 1: a plane this morning and she'll beyond another continent for
Speaker 1: the results. So that is a very healthy thing for
Speaker 1: certain marriages such as ours and which which phrases another
Speaker 1: topic crying, And I don't know full of time to
Speaker 1: get into it tonight, but I wish we would. Let's
Speaker 1: say we get what we've been predicting and what we
Speaker 1: so desperately hope and pray for, and that is a
Speaker 1: Trump victory. You know, what will be the correct approach
Speaker 1: tomorrow toward those we may know, those we may be
Speaker 1: married to, those we may work with, et cetera, all
Speaker 1: of us to those who feel just as strongly the
Speaker 1: opposite way, and as hard as that is for us
Speaker 1: to understand, if we are blessed with this great victory tonight,
Speaker 1: what is the proper approach tomorrow? Act like winners okay,
Speaker 1: and what does that look like?
Speaker 2: My friend magnanimous, I think you know that the American
Speaker 2: people made the right choice, and we build a better
Speaker 2: America from that day forward. I think Donald Trump is
Speaker 2: gonna keep to his promise. I believe that he will
Speaker 2: win tonight, and I believe he'll be handed a Republican
Speaker 2: Senate and House, and for two years they're going to
Speaker 2: be able to get things done like maybe federal voter
Speaker 2: law reform and other things that Donald Trump can do
Speaker 2: on day one, like he said to start to drill
Speaker 2: for oil and to close down the board.
Speaker 1: Order Yeah, yeah, and men out of women's sports to
Speaker 1: the extent you can do that, yeah, by executive constitutionally.
Speaker 1: Of course, we're we're not counting chickens here. We're just well,
Speaker 1: like to look ahead. If we get the victory we've
Speaker 1: been predicting and desperately want tonight, then then you know,
Speaker 1: how do you handle that Tomorrow's back. My father always said,
Speaker 1: grown up, I'm sure yours said something similar, Ryan, And
Speaker 1: in fact, he said it in a toast at our wedding,
Speaker 1: and he was a great college basketball player. That there's
Speaker 1: an enormous difference between somebody who prevails and a winner, right,
Speaker 1: and being a winner. Being a winner is shaped by
Speaker 1: how you handle that success and what you do with it.
Speaker 1: So let's hope we have that challenge tomorrow. But it
Speaker 1: is it's all about it's about first you got to win, right,
Speaker 1: save the country, but then hopefully by margins that allow
Speaker 1: the country to step forward in that first little baby
Speaker 1: step towards unity. And then the way that if we're
Speaker 1: blessed with this great victory, you know, just the way
Speaker 1: it's handled by the victors. I think, you know, should
Speaker 1: Donald Trump, as we've been predicting, win tonight, I think
Speaker 1: it becomes the most important speech of his life, the
Speaker 1: most important speech of his life, at least as it
Speaker 1: pertains to this nation and this nation moving forward. So
Speaker 1: we'll talk about all that. We're starting to get some
Speaker 1: meaningful numbers out of Georgia, a few, yeah, trickling in
Speaker 1: out of Virginia. We'll give you the latest that coming
Speaker 1: up at five thirty six eight five five. Where's your
Speaker 1: A five eight two five five texts Dan five seven
Speaker 1: seven three nine. You're on the Dankapla Show. You're listening
Speaker 1: to the Dan Kaplis Show podcast. So great to see
Speaker 1: Trump running it up in Florida the way that he is.
Speaker 1: Hopefully that's a sign of good things to come in
Speaker 1: the surrounding states. So when you look at the numbers
Speaker 1: coming in from Georgia right now, though Trump is up
Speaker 1: state wide, you look at some of the key counties
Speaker 1: and Harris appears to be doing pretty well there compared
Speaker 1: to where Biden was at. But again it's very early,
Speaker 1: and Trump appeared to be at least Republican returns very
Speaker 1: positive in the early vote in Georgia as well. Let's
Speaker 1: go to beautiful Wisconsin, where I've spent quite a bit
Speaker 1: of time, the critical swing state many think behind Pennsylvania.
Speaker 1: You're on the Dan Kapla Show.
Speaker 5: Welcome, Hi Dan, This is Cynthia. Just a couple of comments.
Speaker 5: My grandson goes to the University of Wisconsin and Stephen's
Speaker 5: point and Tim Walsh was there yesterday and they went
Speaker 5: to different classrooms and I guess asking them who they're
Speaker 5: going to vote for or are they going to vote
Speaker 5: for Harris or Trump, and only one person raised their
Speaker 5: hands for Harris, and the classes abrount, Yes, who's.
Speaker 1: This guy you mentioned? Waltz? Who is that guy? I mean,
Speaker 1: they've kind of buried him late in the campaign, haven't they.
Speaker 1: I saw a clip today where somebody asked a reporter
Speaker 1: asked him if he talked to Harris, and he said
Speaker 1: he hasn't talked to her in a couple of days.
Speaker 1: So hell, they've kind of banished AI a little bit.
Speaker 1: But that's great news. I love that kind of anecdotal stuff.
Speaker 1: What's your prediction for Wisconsin?
Speaker 5: Oh gosh, I'm just praying. I'm praying so hard man
Speaker 5: that that that President Trump takes Wisconsin. And I'm listening
Speaker 5: to you every day even though I'm over here coaching
Speaker 5: in a pole Kill school. My daughter's seven children all attend,
Speaker 5: and yes, and they're doing quite well. But I'm just
Speaker 5: praying that President Trump takes with continent.
Speaker 1: Me too, well. Cynthia, thank you for the calling. That
Speaker 1: nice encouraging story there, and and you know, hey, not
Speaker 1: to get all pretty or anything, but I'm glad to
Speaker 1: hear Cynthia talk about praying because you know, it's just me,
Speaker 1: but it's you may do the same thing. It's just
Speaker 1: something I remind myself of constantly in situations like this, is,
Speaker 1: you know, the long view, God's in charge, God wins
Speaker 1: in the end. I remain very confident that Trump will
Speaker 1: win tonight. But if there's some kind of curveball, some
Speaker 1: kind of surprise, I just I just believe that when
Speaker 1: crazy things like that and there's a reason for it.
Speaker 1: But yeah, so I just think that perspective, at least
Speaker 1: for me, is very helpful and very true. Eight five
Speaker 1: five for zero five A two five five text d
Speaker 1: A N five seven seven three nine. Obviously, you know,
Speaker 1: if you have the same kind of view I do
Speaker 1: about God and faith, we're supposed to do our part here,
Speaker 1: and I think lots of people have been doing that
Speaker 1: very well to try to stop the left from taking
Speaker 1: over America in this election, and hopefully we see U,
Speaker 1: we see us succeed tonight. Let's go to Eerie. My
Speaker 1: kind enough to join us on election Eve. We appreciate that, Mike,
Speaker 1: welcome to the Dan Kapla Show.
Speaker 3: Well, thank you, Dan that I appreciate that. I don't
Speaker 3: know if Cynthia and Don are representative of your Most
Speaker 3: of your listeners are not that it proves that map
Speaker 3: is hard. I get that. Hey, I'm just kind of
Speaker 3: curious from you. What's the what's the latest betting line
Speaker 3: on when Trump is going to declare victory? I heard
Speaker 3: it's eleven o'clock. I'm going with you under how about you?
Speaker 1: I think he'll de clear victory when it's clear he's
Speaker 1: going to win.
Speaker 3: Well, it's already clear he's gonna win. He's got it right.
Speaker 3: There's no other way. Something nefarious or mischiefus would have
Speaker 3: to happen for him to lose. Is according to Dawn.
Speaker 1: Mike, who did what to your whedies today?
Speaker 3: I just get sick of they don't know how man.
Speaker 3: It's coming down to seven stakes. The seventh stakes are
Speaker 3: within a point and a half. It's it's the map
Speaker 3: could go either way. For them to say it's mischief
Speaker 3: is the only way he's going to lose. He's got
Speaker 3: the people.
Speaker 1: Bring who's the day Kimasabi? Who's the day Kimasabi? Because
Speaker 1: as much as you want him to have said that,
Speaker 1: President Trump has not said that.
Speaker 3: Oh for crying out loud, Dan for a man who
Speaker 3: says he believes in truth.
Speaker 1: No, Mike, back it up or packet up. This is
Speaker 1: what Mike does when he says something that isn't true,
Speaker 1: and then I asked him to back it up. So
Speaker 1: back it up, Mike. Give me that quote where Donald
Speaker 1: Trump said the only way he loses his mischief.
Speaker 3: He has said that incessively beautiful.
Speaker 1: I'm just asking you for one. Then, I'm so easy.
Speaker 1: I just want one because I heard him twice today.
Speaker 1: I heard him say once through Jonathan carl and ABC,
Speaker 1: and once directly that the chure bad things can happen.
Speaker 1: He could lose this race. So please give me your quote,
Speaker 1: my man. And you know what what I think is
Speaker 1: so encouraging to me. You've got him.
Speaker 3: Seventeen four on NBC, he said it, give.
Speaker 1: Us a quote, Please give Dan? Oh, Michael, Michael, have
Speaker 1: you tried.
Speaker 3: DCAF danse Okay, Michael.
Speaker 1: All I want is the quote. All I want to.
Speaker 3: Say, so gullible, Michael, gullible. I don't understand whether.
Speaker 1: Michael, it's isn't it hard to live life this angry
Speaker 1: because it interferes with your brain function?
Speaker 5: Yeah?
Speaker 1: Poor Mike.
Speaker 2: Yeah, he doesn't still sound very confident in his common Harris.
Speaker 1: No, no, and if if yeah, if he had that quote,
Speaker 1: I have to imagine we would have heard that quote
Speaker 1: eight five five. Was there a five eight two five
Speaker 1: five then number. I know you hate it, Dan, but
Speaker 1: I got to throw it out there.
Speaker 2: The polymarket betting odds are skyrocketing now at sixty four
Speaker 2: point five percent for Trump to just thirty five point
Speaker 2: eight percent for Harris. Trump has shot up six percent
Speaker 2: in the last fifteen minutes.
Speaker 1: I wish you had told me the opposite and the
Speaker 1: reason the reason for that, because I sat there. I'll
Speaker 1: show you the lazy You have sat in that very
Speaker 1: lazy boy, the platform with the tape on it. It's
Speaker 1: great you have sat in that very lazy boy. And
Speaker 1: I sat there. And I sat there in two tenty twenty,
Speaker 1: and I was so excited, and the betting nods had
Speaker 1: just gone over eighty five percent for Trump and brit
Speaker 1: Hume was talking about that on Fox and I just
Speaker 1: don't trust those betting No.
Speaker 2: But you know, twenty twenty was an anomaly for so
Speaker 2: many reasons.
Speaker 1: I guess I get it, yes, I just and I
Speaker 1: get it that it's real money that people are betting, etc.
Speaker 1: But you know, there can be a lot of stupid money.
Speaker 1: Bet Listen, I'm the guy like you. I've been sitting
Speaker 1: here on the show doing the hard work day after
Speaker 1: day for years now, talking about why I believe Trump
Speaker 1: is going to win tonight. But that's been based on
Speaker 1: all sorts of different things, a mix of data and
Speaker 1: common sense and this and that, and yeah, so I
Speaker 1: just I'm not going to bet on a bunch of
Speaker 1: people I don't know bet money. Did you see that
Speaker 1: Wall Street Journal's on the guy who bet thirty million
Speaker 1: on Trump? Whoa? And then Wall Street Journal and the
Speaker 1: news pages are hard left leaning editorial pages still good,
Speaker 1: but they were trying to say that he was a
Speaker 1: Trump shill who was meant to alter those odds in
Speaker 1: Trump's favor. And he did the interview to say, I'm
Speaker 1: not that at all. I'm just a guy. I got
Speaker 1: a lot of money, and I like betting, and I
Speaker 1: look at and his basic premise was that they always
Speaker 1: underpoll Trump's support and that Trump supporters aren't going to
Speaker 1: talk to post Is often, and so that's why he
Speaker 1: bet his thirty million. But five four zero five e
Speaker 1: two five five, Ryan, by the way, we'll host the
Speaker 1: coverage any fifty Koa Denver the blowtorch tonight and do
Speaker 1: his usual great job. I assume you go straight from
Speaker 1: here to there six o'clock tonight. It'll literally be a
Speaker 1: bee line that I'm there between the two studios. Yeah,
Speaker 1: I look forward to that coverage very very much. Georgia.
Speaker 1: I hesitate to even give you these numbers because they're
Speaker 1: meaningless at this point, because there are a handful of
Speaker 1: votes in but sixty forty Trump in Georgia, just as
Speaker 1: these numbers are meaningless in North Carolina seventy thirty Harris.
Speaker 1: But that's with we got more people in the studio
Speaker 1: now than votes they have cast.
Speaker 2: Still waiting on Fulton County, which is Atlanta, which is
Speaker 2: of course the big city, and it's going to go
Speaker 2: heavily for Harris.
Speaker 1: But how much that's the question.
Speaker 2: Yeah, they're still waiting on account from Athens, that's a
Speaker 2: college town, Uga, Augusta. Still waiting on that in Richmond County, Columbus, Georgia,
Speaker 2: and they're just coming in in Savannah.
Speaker 1: So all those will likely favor Harris. Yeah, way, way
Speaker 1: way too, our ladies. Same thing in Virginia right now,
Speaker 1: with relatively few votes in and Harris up sixty forty. There.
Speaker 1: I don't think anybody has been counting on Virginia, right,
Speaker 1: You're just looking at Virginia as maybe an indicator of
Speaker 1: where the race stands as the.
Speaker 2: Hole, because that's gone down to fifty six forty theropy
Speaker 2: and like you said, a lot of the votes still
Speaker 2: out and the northern Virginia counties which are all going
Speaker 2: to go heavily for Harris, those seem to be being
Speaker 2: counted first.
Speaker 1: Interesting because it's always such a tease in Virginia, right,
Speaker 1: It's like you have every time, oh wow, we might get yeah,
Speaker 1: but no. And again I come back to this critical dynamic,
Speaker 1: which is it's only the swing states that are getting
Speaker 1: hammered with all of these ads that show who Kamala
Speaker 1: Harris really is. Ideologically it's her. It's on video, the
Speaker 1: words coming out of her own mouth, and that's what
Speaker 1: is driven down her support so much and boosted Trump.
Speaker 1: So any state that hasn't been barraged with those ads,
Speaker 1: you know, you got to take with a grain of salt.
Speaker 1: But then you look at Florida. Yeah, and to be
Speaker 1: cruising to what maybe eight or nine point victory, one.
Speaker 2: Quick tidbit too I used to live in Chesterfield County, Virginia.
Speaker 2: That's southwest of Richmond. It's a Bellweather county. It went
Speaker 2: for Biden in twenty twenty by about seven points. Trump's
Speaker 2: currently leading there.
Speaker 1: Nice. And then we're gonna what do you know how
Speaker 1: much in there by the way, what percentage in that
Speaker 1: county yet, probably don't have that credit quarter. Yeah okay,
Speaker 1: And then you know, we're going to Ohio I think
Speaker 1: is closing in a few rats here, and then we'll
Speaker 1: get into the first of the Senate races, first of
Speaker 1: the big Senate races. And yeah, cross your fingers, say
Speaker 1: a prayer in that speaking which Colorado, you can still
Speaker 1: get out and vote. If you haven't already, vote against
Speaker 1: seventy nine, vote for Gabe Evans if you're in CD
Speaker 1: j Eff Ford, if you're in CD three, and of
Speaker 1: course great Republicans everywhere. You're on the Dan Capla Show
Speaker 1: and now back to the Dan Kaplass Show podcast. I
Speaker 1: love the fact we actually have some returns right now now,
Speaker 1: obviously the first of the swing states starting to come in.
Speaker 1: Two few votes to make anything out of it. At
Speaker 1: this point, you've got to like what happened in Florida, right,
Speaker 1: swing state? How cool to be able to say that
Speaker 1: Florida not a swing state anymore. Remember just holding our
Speaker 1: breath on Florida, you know, cycle after cycle, but looks
Speaker 1: like Trump.
Speaker 2: But he's eleven there now eleven Dan, His lead is
Speaker 2: almost one million votes in.
Speaker 1: Florida, Lord, four point eighty five to three point nine three.
Speaker 1: Just you just hope that carries over. So interesting now
Speaker 1: as we look at the first few percentages of votes
Speaker 1: to come in, not meaningless numbers. I mean we're talking
Speaker 1: about a total of maybe you know, six hundred thousand,
Speaker 1: eight hundred thousand votes, but you look at early votes
Speaker 1: in North Carolina that that have Harris way way up,
Speaker 1: so you wonder where those came out of. And same
Speaker 1: thing in Ohio. Now we know Trump's going to win
Speaker 1: Ohio and to expect that'll win North Carolina.
Speaker 2: Yeah, pay no attention to the North Carolina numbers. That
Speaker 2: first one is Wait County, that's Raleigh, that's where NC
Speaker 2: state's a college town and whatever.
Speaker 1: Yeah. Yeah, so so far, I think the best way
Speaker 1: to sum it up. And then Ryan will have the
Speaker 1: coverage in eight fifty koa literally five steps across the
Speaker 1: hall starting at six o'clock mountain time tonight. Let me
Speaker 1: say one quick thing though, truly, one of the great
Speaker 1: people in Colorado I think in Colorado history is Alfred Williams,
Speaker 1: who's worked across the hall from us at Kawai for
Speaker 1: about four or five years now. Just one of the best,
Speaker 1: one of the best humans, one of the best talents,
Speaker 1: obviously one of the best athletes, and he has now
Speaker 1: left the station group and we will very very much
Speaker 1: miss out for just a great, great person. Getting back
Speaker 1: to the politics, look at tomorrow obviously, when we sit
Speaker 1: here tomorrow four o'clock mountain, we're going to be talking
Speaker 1: about a dramatically changed world and we're going to be
Speaker 1: talking about a crossroads moment in American history, no question
Speaker 1: about that. And so we'll be looking at, Okay, where
Speaker 1: does America go from Colorado the world? And I know, Colorado,
Speaker 1: we don't have the governor's areas, we don't have the
Speaker 1: Senate race this year, but we have some really important stuff.
Speaker 1: You can still get out and vote if you happen
Speaker 1: to be in CD eight for Gabe Evans up there,
Speaker 1: and I hope you do. That race could be decided
Speaker 1: by a few hundred votes, same with Jeff Hurd down
Speaker 1: in CD three. That one was decided by five hundred
Speaker 1: last time. So if you live in those districts, please
Speaker 1: anywhere in Colorado, if you haven't voted yet, you can
Speaker 1: still do the right thing, the moral thing, on every
Speaker 1: level and go out and vote against that hideous Amendment
Speaker 1: seventy nine. And there's still time to do that, and
Speaker 1: that could be close because the pro abortion movement needs,
Speaker 1: the radical pro abortion movement needs fifty five percent to
Speaker 1: put that in the constitution, so so important to defeat
Speaker 1: that if we can so right now in Georgia, and
Speaker 1: again this misleading because Fulton County hasn't come in, but
Speaker 1: Trump up sixty two to thirty seven. But again, you know,
Speaker 1: Fulton County hasn't come in, and we've all seen in
Speaker 1: the past what effect that can have. Ohio, we're starting
Speaker 1: to get some of those votes right now, really hoping
Speaker 1: for that GOP pick up there with Moreno. But again
Speaker 1: they've just got twenty two percent of the votes in,
Speaker 1: so nothing we can read into it, even though Moreno
Speaker 1: has about a nine point lead right now, Ryan, we
Speaker 1: got a couple of minutes left before the end of
Speaker 1: the show, Big picture predictions. I'll give you mine and
Speaker 1: then we'll look ahead to your coverage tonight.
Speaker 2: Forty nine to forty seven popular vote win for Trump.
Speaker 2: He sweeps all seven swing states that we've discussed, and
Speaker 2: I think he grabs a surprise either Virginia, New Hampshire, Minnesota,
Speaker 2: one of those three, maybe all of those three.
Speaker 1: Anything you've seen in the returns so far that either
Speaker 1: support or contradict that Florida is amazing.
Speaker 2: Just the margin in Florida, every single county, Harris is
Speaker 2: underperforming Biden, every single county in Florida. That is my
Speaker 2: numbing And so far he looks really good in Georgia.
Speaker 2: We got to watch him wait for this to play out.
Speaker 2: But I believe Florida and the trend line there that
Speaker 2: you always talk about, Dan, I think this has enormous
Speaker 2: implications for the country at large.
Speaker 1: Yeah, and listen, I mean, I've the guy who's been
Speaker 1: saying on air for a long long time now that
Speaker 1: Trump is going to win, and that Trump is going
Speaker 1: to win comfortably. I still believe that to be true.
Speaker 1: I can absolutely see looking at everything, you know, the
Speaker 1: relatively small chance the opposite could happen. I could see
Speaker 1: that I think America's had a hunger for a female president.
Speaker 1: But again, I think people can see this person, regardless
Speaker 1: of gender, is not the right person Kamala Harris to
Speaker 1: be president of the United States. And Donald Trump did
Speaker 1: so well in that first term, you know, the drill
Speaker 1: and Americans were better off and they lived that, and
Speaker 1: they experienced that, and they saw in that moment that
Speaker 1: can never be rehearsed, how he handled, you know, being
Speaker 1: shot in that Pennsylvania field and just the presence of
Speaker 1: mind and the strength and the courage, and Americans know
Speaker 1: we live in a dangerous world and the world's been
Speaker 1: on fire since Harris and Biden have been in office.
Speaker 1: And even if they don't like Trump, they want him
Speaker 1: on that wall. So I think there are so many
Speaker 1: reasons to believe that Donald Trump is going to win,
Speaker 1: and I pray wins, but also that he wins comfortably,
Speaker 1: because that then can be that first baby step toward unity,
Speaker 1: toward America moving forward together, not a silver bullet magic fix,
Speaker 1: an important first step. And then we need the Senate,
Speaker 1: right then we need the Senate. We need the GOP
Speaker 1: to have more than a one vote margin in the
Speaker 1: Senate and really start to get things going in the
Speaker 1: right direction. I can't wait to join you at four tomorrow.
Speaker 1: Look forward to hearing your coverage tonight. Ryan Schuling will
Speaker 1: be on NEED fifty KOWA in Denver. Thank you, Kelly
Speaker 1: for your help, and again, just hope everybody takes a
Speaker 1: deep breath, says a prayer. God's in charge, have faith,
Speaker 1: and hopefully we'll get to celebrate soon