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Speaker 1: All right, welcome in. It is time for full court press.

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I am once again in a hotel lobby of a hotel.

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I'm not staying at Robino. This is my new play.

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As I told you off air, I did order breakfast,

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I saw my diet coke, and yeah, I'm ready to

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ready to rock even up since about one thirty am.

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So I've gone through this card Robino, and as as always,

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Thursday rolls around. It's mid major Thursday, and I have

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a million opinions, so not you know before we go

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into it. Though, I have to say very satisfied with

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how last night worked out, because not only did I

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go to and zero hit my five percent play, win

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both games and overtime with underdogs, which never happens.

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Speaker 2: The five games I threw out, I think.

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Speaker 1: Four of them would have lost. I would have gone

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like one and four on the ones that I passed on.

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So it just doesn't get better. That's like the dream

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scenario right there.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, Well, the last couple of days kind of the opposite.

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What's what happened to you? Early? Happened to be? I

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got beat by a hook again on a team total

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Alabama Birmingham UAB over eighty three and a half got

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to eighty three against UTSA in that contest. This day

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was probably for me Adam in a two month span,

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the least productive day I've had in college. Who a

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two and five spot bailed out at the end by

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Florida getting way over their team total. We discussed the

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South Carolina game and by Houston with the late cover

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against TCU. Yeah, TCU, watch so many games you forget,

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but nothing to worry about here still right number two

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A wider talk sins December the first, So we're ready

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to hit this card today. Let's go get it.

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Speaker 1: I gotta get my buddy Aaron Kid a shout out

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because I don't know if I I don't know if

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I add Tennessee to the card if not for him.

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Speaker 2: He was.

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Speaker 1: Very convincing on that one, and I you know, we

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came on the show, I'd already kind of liked it.

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Speaker 2: So he got me over the edge with that one.

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Speaker 1: Charlotte gets and done in ot of course, Robino the

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one time I need someone to just jack up a

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three and miss at the buzzer, guy makes a perfect

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pass to send it in a overtime.

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Speaker 2: But we got it done. And listen, you carried the

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So if you're new.

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Speaker 1: Here, Rob and I have a package where you can

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get all of our plays for a three day span,

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and Veno carried us for like the first two months

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of the year. So it's it's kind of my turn

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here to to do that the month of January. I

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think I'm up something like twenty two to twenty three

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units in January at this point, maybe a little more. Actually,

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I think I'm up actually might be closer to twenty

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sixth So just trying to find winners, and that's what we're.

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Speaker 2: Gonna do today.

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Speaker 1: Like I said, it's mid major Thursday, Veno. But when

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the number nine team in the country plays on national

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TV on a slate like this, I suppose it's got

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to be the feature game. A huge number out in

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aims tonight. But my numbers kind of in line with

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this one. So, Youno, talk to me Colorado, Iowa State,

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are you laying those points with the Cyclones?

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Speaker 3: Well, it seems excessive. I have to say as much, Adam,

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as much as I like the Iowa State team, as

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much as I think they have Elite eight capabilities, this

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is a price range and they didn't fail to cover

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their spread on Saturday against Oklahoma State, but they came close,

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and that particular number was about ten and a half.

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Today you're looking at much much more on the road.

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Urges me at home here against Colorado. A couple of

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things here with Iowa State this which are kind of

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baffling to me. But it seems like TJ. Yatsenberger cannot

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get forty minutes of basketball out of his team. We

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talked last week, I think it was, and I came

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on with his quote, or maybe it was the week before,

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and you know, Milan Milicinovitch came up. You know, players

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said the same thing. They could not get out of

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the gate first half. They were getting beaten up in

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first halves. I tried them against Cincinnati first half, they

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blew another one. And then last week they came through

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a couple of big first half wins against UCF and

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Oklahoma State. However, the second half was no good against

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Oklahoma State. I mean it turned right around and Iowa

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State comes out of the shoot flat to start the

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second half to get out scored fifty to thirty three

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by Oklahoma State. As they tried like crazy to come

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back and cover that number. So there's something about Iowa State,

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where he can't get this team to give him two

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full halves of basketball. And if you don't get two

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full halves of basketball here, it's kind of tough to

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cover this type of numbers. Seventeen seventeen and a half. Now,

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Colorado's not without their own issues, that's for sure. Tad

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Boyle one of our favorite coaches for at least being honest,

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brutally honest in some instances, and he's just not thrilled

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with the defensive play. You know, I'll paraphrase here real

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quick without reading from the quote sheet, but he basically

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said he's got a lot of great coaches on his

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staff and they continue to try to get through to

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these kids the importance of defense, and he says it

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just falls on deaf years. He thought, in his words,

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he thought they were on the right track for the

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last couple of games prior to the UCF game. Thought

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they played good defense at West Virginia in a losing effort.

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Thought they played good defense against Kansas. I'm not going

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to argue with him. They probably did play pretty good

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defense in both those games, but neither one came up

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with a W, neither straight up or against the spread,

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and then against UCF, Johnny Dawkins team just buries him

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for ninety five points and he was almost of the

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close to saying, if you read between the lines, were

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back to square one with this defense. We can't get

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they don't have any problems scoring. You've talked about freshman

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this week. We've talked about freshman this week. Isaiah Johnson

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has been on fire for Colorado, leading scorer for the team.

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You know, originally I looked at total going over because

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Colorado really doesn't have an issue scoring points and Iowa

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State for all of our I don't know, praise, let's

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call it praise about how well they can play defense.

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There's too many points this year where they just haven't

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shown it. Like I say, you want forty minutes for

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basketball out of Iowa State. It's not to say that

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it can't be done at Hilton Coliseum in a nationally

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televised game like this, it could, but I'd be more

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willing to try Colorado plus seventeen and a half, thinking

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that maybe Tad Boyle's recent rate, recent ramp maybe didn't

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fall on deaf fiars for twenty four hours, and maybe

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Colorado does come out on the road and play really hard,

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and then they have the scoring capability on the other end.

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And if I combine that with Iowa States in ability

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to give me forty minutes, I think plus seventeen and

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a half looks large. Total could still be under consideration, Adam,

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But sidewise, I think I would lean to the road

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team here Colorado.

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Speaker 2: Oh, I definitely lean that way.

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Speaker 1: Was I was hoping to get like twenty that might

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have been at a little ambitious. My number was like

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seventeen point eight, so very close to what the spread is.

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So when I saw that, and obviously, being as I made,

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you know, went through a lot of these games, made

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a lot of my numbers. At about two am, didn't

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really look at all the openers. I was like, okay,

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you know, I was hoping to see a little bit

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more value with the visitors to jump in. Two things

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that caught well, Colorado's the obvious thing that they're going

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to get penalized for by the books is five straight losses.

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The other thing, you know that they get penalized for

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all the time by the books is playing on the road. Right,

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It's like they're going to get the monster for playing

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at home. And then when they turn around and go

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on the road, and they're no longer in their favorable

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you know, in the CuO Event Center, with the altitude

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in their favor, they tend to get it tends to

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swing in the other direction. And I think I think personally,

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I was hoping it would be like more pronounced in

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the number. I think the odds makers kind of nailed

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the number here, but it meant I guess it is relevant,

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right like Colorado one and three and true road games

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this year, they tend to not play many true road

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games prior to like a non conference play, so they're

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always going to have a bad road record because when

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you play in a league like the Big Twelve, winning

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on the road is hard for the really good teams

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in the league, and so for a team like Colorado,

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it's gonna it's gonna be very hard. I was that

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was a disappointing effort over the weekend against Central Florida.

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I did kind of like Colorado in that game. They

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kind of know showed and I ended up losing by nine,

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but I never really felt like they were going to

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win that game. So Rob, I think if I was

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going to play this one, it would have to be

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Colorado plus the points. Listen, if Iowa State takes all

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sorts of money throughout the day, which I don't think

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is gonna happen because I think it's high enough as

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it is. But if this were to get up to

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like twenty, which you know, some group bets it and

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then everyone else decides that that's the play National TV

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Hilton Coliseum, Iowa State does take money at home often,

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I would be willing to play back at that. I

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think twenty would be my jump in point. But I

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do like the I think the buffs are, you know,

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gonna have a show some respect to themselves here and

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give us a game that's like within twenty, because the

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last couple of times out have not been great for

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this Colorado team.

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Speaker 3: No, they really haven't. In Adam where home road is concerned,

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Like you say, you put those two together. Colorado receiving

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a larger bump when they're at home and penalized when

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they're on the road, and Ioways State, we know, for

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twenty years, has received the bump twenty five years at

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Hilton Coliseum, so it's kind of like a double bump. Yeah,

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so maybe there is a little extra value here in

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the price at seventeen and a half. Like I say,

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if the Colorado kids respond even half decently too, the

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coach's wishes they can sneak under the number, I would think.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't hate that at all.

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Speaker 1: And again, I just I thought it was a good No,

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I thought it was a good line by the books.

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I felt like they you know, I was hoping for

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something egregious, which would have been twenty or better. But yeah,

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I still lean Colorado in that one. All right, let's

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go to Garth. Garth, thank you for the donation. As always,

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Garth wants to talk William and Mary. He says, William

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and Mary has been up and down recently, but he

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feels like this.

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Speaker 2: Is a time to back them.

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Speaker 1: Well, it's an interesting spot to back William and Mary,

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Rob because a couple of reasons. One, the tribe are

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heading on the road. They tend to shoot it worse

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on the road. They tend to play worse on the

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road in general. Two, William and Mary's ad a couple

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of big wins lately. And we know this is the

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out of the year. I've brought this up on the

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show a couple of times. Calendar is about to flip

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to February, suddenly Brian Earle's relentless style might start to

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take its toll on this team. We've seen it with

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some of his less experienced teams in the past, and

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when I say less experience, I mean less experience to

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the way he wants to play. He coached up here

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at Cornell for years, and there would be Cornell teams

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that would look like world beaters for three months rob

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and get to February and suddenly they were out of gas.

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Speaker 2: So it's something I've kind.

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Speaker 1: Of been looking at his William and Mary teams to

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see if something like that was going to happen. But

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I don't really necessarily want to back Elon here either.

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Casper Klazik, classic former you all ben be great. Dane

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might be hurt in this one, and he's been one

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of their better defenders this year. So if Elon's not

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going to get stopped, that's the thing. If you can't

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stop William and Mary, they can score in bunches, and

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you've had some success trying to figure out well figuring

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out when they were going to score or knock a

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score this year. So talk to talk to me about

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William and Mary. Elon do you want to take a

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shot with the tribe here.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, the total range obviously odds makers now two months

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in are wives to William and Mary right, not that

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they haven't been since the get go, But you get

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an opener of one sixty eight and a half and

240
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immediately it puts you into a thought process. It's not

241
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one of those where I can look at it and say,

242
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oh my god, that's off. I look at that and

243
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they stop me in my tracks from running to the

244
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window with over at one sixty eight and a half.

245
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It's got drawn some money to the under here one

246
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sixty seven and a half. But I do think that

247
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situationally it probably favors Elon.

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Speaker 1: Right.

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Speaker 3: Elon's the team that comes in off of back to

250
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back losses. William and Mary's the team that comes in

251
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off of three straight wins. So when you put two

252
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and two together between pretty good, above average conference teams,

253
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you come up with, let's play the team off the

254
00:12:51,919 --> 00:12:53,960
back to back losses. They are the more desperate sides.

255
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So I think situationally it lines up good for Elon.

256
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I think what else lines up halfway decent When you

257
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start to nationalize in Elon plays the fact that those

258
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two losses are home to tousand. No shame there because

259
00:13:08,159 --> 00:13:10,840
in that spot right tausand was in desperation. You may

260
00:13:10,879 --> 00:13:13,200
have even used that game as a part of the

261
00:13:13,360 --> 00:13:15,320
parlay leg that day. I'm not sure, but I know

262
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we talked about it, and Towsand came through a team

263
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that started zero and four a much better preseason prognostications.

264
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They were desperate. They win a game, and then you

265
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go play Charleston, who we've talked about at length. Since

266
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returning a couple of their key offensive players have been better.

267
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And now you get a home game against William and

268
00:13:34,399 --> 00:13:37,840
Mary again, like you say, a little bit lesser on

269
00:13:37,840 --> 00:13:40,799
the road than they are at home. Still very very

270
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capable of scoring points in bunches, but Elon is too,

271
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and I feel like Elon here may be able to

272
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outscore William and Mary. Again. The price tag on the

273
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total sort of makes me stop in my try. I

274
00:13:55,720 --> 00:13:57,399
don't want to have to have this game get to

275
00:13:57,440 --> 00:13:59,200
one seventy to win, you know what I mean. I

276
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don't want to have to have eighty six eighty four.

277
00:14:01,440 --> 00:14:04,840
There's just not enough wiggle room in that particular spot.

278
00:14:04,960 --> 00:14:07,639
But if you're asking me, do I want to try

279
00:14:07,639 --> 00:14:12,279
the home team plus two. It's possible it could be

280
00:14:12,399 --> 00:14:15,159
possible that those Elon back to back losses. Here's what

281
00:14:15,240 --> 00:14:18,799
stops me. It's possible that the back to back Elon

282
00:14:18,879 --> 00:14:23,200
losses against quality competition in the CIA could be more

283
00:14:23,279 --> 00:14:26,399
indicative of who they are right now, you know. And

284
00:14:26,480 --> 00:14:29,480
so you can run to the window with the situational play.

285
00:14:29,480 --> 00:14:31,399
But when you lose, you say, oh my god, I

286
00:14:31,399 --> 00:14:33,679
should have thought of the fact that maybe Elon isn't

287
00:14:33,679 --> 00:14:37,559
as good as maybe prior results suggested they were. So

288
00:14:37,799 --> 00:14:39,679
it's a tough game for me, Garth. I'm not going

289
00:14:39,759 --> 00:14:42,080
to argue you off the Bill and mary Side, certainly

290
00:14:42,919 --> 00:14:45,360
early money is not arguing you off of it because

291
00:14:45,360 --> 00:14:49,399
they've been bumped from one. I see one instance where

292
00:14:49,440 --> 00:14:51,679
there's a two and a half right now, but mostly

293
00:14:51,679 --> 00:14:53,279
one and a half some twos out there.

294
00:14:55,559 --> 00:14:57,759
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm not going to talk you off William and

295
00:14:57,840 --> 00:15:00,919
mary Side either, you know. I The couple of things

296
00:15:00,960 --> 00:15:03,480
I brought up at the beginning are just that they're

297
00:15:03,519 --> 00:15:06,759
more anecdotal in the sense that it's like, you know,

298
00:15:08,000 --> 00:15:10,039
I mean, I'm talking about Brian Earl's teams from like

299
00:15:10,039 --> 00:15:12,320
five years ago, right like things could could have changed

300
00:15:12,360 --> 00:15:14,399
for him. But I just the point I really was

301
00:15:14,440 --> 00:15:17,440
trying to make is I'll be cautious with William and

302
00:15:17,440 --> 00:15:21,120
Mary going into February because that style has warned some

303
00:15:21,159 --> 00:15:24,240
of his teams out in the past. But in this matchup,

304
00:15:24,759 --> 00:15:29,039
they should rob they should score points like Elon. Not

305
00:15:29,120 --> 00:15:31,240
only I mean you take one of their better defenders off,

306
00:15:31,320 --> 00:15:34,279
like Classic didn't play last game, but he played the

307
00:15:34,320 --> 00:15:36,799
previous games, and this still isn't a great Elon defense.

308
00:15:36,840 --> 00:15:38,879
You know, this was a team last year that had

309
00:15:38,879 --> 00:15:43,960
the Simpkins brothers, who are great, great perimeter defensive guards,

310
00:15:44,279 --> 00:15:46,399
and of course they had seven foot four Matthew Van

311
00:15:46,480 --> 00:15:50,200
Coleman who's now at Marshall, who was the sort of

312
00:15:50,279 --> 00:15:53,480
like the guy they built their entire defensive scheme around.

313
00:15:53,799 --> 00:15:56,200
They play a zone and when you have a seven

314
00:15:56,279 --> 00:15:59,600
foot four center, you can stretch the zone well beyond

315
00:15:59,639 --> 00:16:02,039
the three point line, and that really worked for them

316
00:16:02,080 --> 00:16:05,600
last year. Now, we both talked about Billy Taylor having

317
00:16:05,639 --> 00:16:08,159
a you know, being impressive in the respect that he's

318
00:16:08,159 --> 00:16:10,639
been able to do it on the offensive end this year,

319
00:16:11,080 --> 00:16:13,519
but that defense was always going to get worse, and

320
00:16:13,559 --> 00:16:15,720
it has, and you know, you look at their last

321
00:16:15,720 --> 00:16:18,840
five games, right, gave up eighty two to Campbell, eighty

322
00:16:18,879 --> 00:16:21,720
five to Northeastern. That's bad, like that is not good.

323
00:16:21,759 --> 00:16:25,840
That is a walking wounded Northeastern team. Eighty nine or

324
00:16:25,879 --> 00:16:28,879
eighty five to Hastra. But see, here's the thing, Rob

325
00:16:28,919 --> 00:16:32,639
Hastra is a type of team that makes shot after shot,

326
00:16:32,759 --> 00:16:34,559
and they're a great jump shooting team.

327
00:16:34,679 --> 00:16:35,519
Speaker 2: And what did Elon do?

328
00:16:35,559 --> 00:16:37,960
Speaker 1: They turned around and just scored eighty nine, right, So

329
00:16:38,080 --> 00:16:41,960
that's possible that and they did it on the road,

330
00:16:42,320 --> 00:16:44,639
So that's definitely something that could happen here. So I

331
00:16:44,679 --> 00:16:47,320
do think if Elon wins this game, I think you're

332
00:16:47,360 --> 00:16:50,840
going to see something similar to the Hofstra game where

333
00:16:50,840 --> 00:16:53,080
they give up you know where they just dropped ninety

334
00:16:53,120 --> 00:16:56,480
and they win a high scoring game. If they can't score,

335
00:16:56,799 --> 00:16:58,840
then you're gonna see something like the last couple of times,

336
00:16:58,840 --> 00:17:02,559
out thousands of air defensive team, they couldn't score. It's

337
00:17:02,600 --> 00:17:06,000
actually pretty disappointing that they gave up seventy two to Towson,

338
00:17:06,359 --> 00:17:09,039
a team that seems to have a six minute offensive

339
00:17:09,079 --> 00:17:11,200
drought in every single game that they play. And then,

340
00:17:11,240 --> 00:17:14,160
of course Charleston's been kind of hit or missed this year.

341
00:17:14,200 --> 00:17:17,160
And they handled them last time out down in Charleston.

342
00:17:17,240 --> 00:17:19,920
So it's a very interesting game. I think I'm with Garth.

343
00:17:20,000 --> 00:17:21,480
I think if I played this one it would be

344
00:17:21,559 --> 00:17:24,000
it'd be William and Mary. There's just more upside there

345
00:17:24,319 --> 00:17:25,319
right now in my opinion.

346
00:17:26,799 --> 00:17:28,839
Speaker 3: And the two teams you pointed out at the end,

347
00:17:28,839 --> 00:17:35,240
they're Adam Towsand and Hofstra. They're less than pedestrian style

348
00:17:35,279 --> 00:17:37,519
teams on the offensive end. So when you're giving up

349
00:17:37,559 --> 00:17:41,000
that many points to teams who don't really want to

350
00:17:41,039 --> 00:17:44,960
push the basketball, you know, that means you're giving up

351
00:17:44,960 --> 00:17:46,920
a lot of shots that are going in. So for

352
00:17:47,079 --> 00:17:51,279
elon defense, obviously a concern here, Garth, maybe from a

353
00:17:51,279 --> 00:17:54,440
total's perspective to a quick look at the William and

354
00:17:54,480 --> 00:17:56,119
Mary team total.

355
00:17:57,079 --> 00:18:00,200
Speaker 1: Do I I'm confused? Do I look like I'm being

356
00:18:00,279 --> 00:18:01,000
held hostage?

357
00:18:01,000 --> 00:18:01,160
Speaker 3: Here?

358
00:18:01,680 --> 00:18:05,279
Speaker 1: We got some nice windows behind me. I'm in them.

359
00:18:05,400 --> 00:18:08,759
I'm in the eerie Pa Hilton Garden in lobby right

360
00:18:08,799 --> 00:18:11,000
now is exactly where I am. So a few but

361
00:18:11,240 --> 00:18:13,440
I'm good. They actually were there. They've been great to me.

362
00:18:13,440 --> 00:18:15,880
They said, yeah, you're good. Over there, we'll refill your

363
00:18:15,920 --> 00:18:19,039
diet coke. Right Actually, I'm right down the street from

364
00:18:19,119 --> 00:18:23,279
a Mercyhurst not going there today, but I'm trying to

365
00:18:23,279 --> 00:18:25,039
get much further west.

366
00:18:24,839 --> 00:18:25,359
Speaker 2: Than that today.

367
00:18:25,359 --> 00:18:28,559
Speaker 1: But that is where I am, pretty much a stone

368
00:18:28,559 --> 00:18:30,079
stroll from the Mercyhurst campus.

369
00:18:30,119 --> 00:18:33,039
Speaker 3: So I'm got a ski resort almost.

370
00:18:33,359 --> 00:18:34,920
Speaker 2: I'm good. It's just yeah, I couldn't.

371
00:18:35,039 --> 00:18:37,759
Speaker 1: I couldn't figure out how to actually, to be honest

372
00:18:37,759 --> 00:18:40,440
with you, I just didn't care enough to worry about

373
00:18:40,440 --> 00:18:43,920
the lighting back there, biased to drink a sip of rain.

374
00:18:45,000 --> 00:18:46,079
Speaker 2: I've already done rain.

375
00:18:46,480 --> 00:18:49,240
Speaker 1: I've already had a Starbucks where it's gonna be a

376
00:18:49,279 --> 00:18:52,519
heavy caffeine day, which is no different than most other days,

377
00:18:52,599 --> 00:18:56,839
Rob Rito, but uh, heavy caffeine day, Ronnie says, No Starbucks.

378
00:18:56,880 --> 00:18:59,200
Starbucks is noisy. This is great, Like this is like

379
00:18:59,319 --> 00:19:03,920
nice and quiet Starbucks. There as noisy as hell. They've

380
00:19:03,920 --> 00:19:06,960
got you know, probably have Harry Styles on the background

381
00:19:07,039 --> 00:19:07,720
or something just.

382
00:19:07,680 --> 00:19:10,480
Speaker 2: Being obnoxious right, like just too much music.

383
00:19:10,480 --> 00:19:16,400
Speaker 1: It's crazy, real quick promo today as always, Rob Bino

384
00:19:16,440 --> 00:19:20,240
and I all access three days, double the firepower you

385
00:19:20,279 --> 00:19:21,279
get all of our plays.

386
00:19:21,559 --> 00:19:22,680
Speaker 2: I had a good night last night.

387
00:19:22,720 --> 00:19:25,240
Speaker 1: It went to and Zho hit my five percent play

388
00:19:25,680 --> 00:19:28,000
and hoping to do that again. I've got one play

389
00:19:28,039 --> 00:19:30,119
locked in right now, I have a few. This is

390
00:19:30,119 --> 00:19:33,519
gonna be like yesterday, Rob, where I had like nine games. Yeah,

391
00:19:34,000 --> 00:19:36,759
we'll call it seven realistically that I liked ended up

392
00:19:36,759 --> 00:19:40,480
picking the right too. I wonder if it's kind of

393
00:19:40,480 --> 00:19:42,400
how I feel like today's going to go. I feel

394
00:19:42,400 --> 00:19:44,480
like I've got like eight or nine. I'm gonna throw

395
00:19:44,519 --> 00:19:46,480
the majority of them out. I'm gonna settle on like

396
00:19:46,519 --> 00:19:49,240
two or three. But I've already got one locked in

397
00:19:49,720 --> 00:19:52,000
and maybe we'll give maybe we'll give one out on

398
00:19:52,039 --> 00:19:54,759
the show. Because again, I'm very close with a lot

399
00:19:54,799 --> 00:19:57,279
of these and just looking for something to push me

400
00:19:57,319 --> 00:19:59,359
over the edge on quite a few of them.

401
00:19:59,519 --> 00:20:01,319
Speaker 2: Also try I'm going to confirm injury news.

402
00:20:01,319 --> 00:20:03,240
Speaker 1: We'll talk about that with a couple of these and

403
00:20:03,279 --> 00:20:07,680
a little bit Colin Gregory and I see, he says,

404
00:20:07,920 --> 00:20:13,240
UNC w Hammer, this is a very interesting game. I

405
00:20:13,240 --> 00:20:15,279
want to stay in the in the in the coastal

406
00:20:15,640 --> 00:20:18,119
for a minute, Rob, you know, and I want to

407
00:20:18,160 --> 00:20:22,759
talk UNC Wilmington Towson. When I was down at Towson

408
00:20:22,799 --> 00:20:24,680
a couple of weeks ago, they all said you got

409
00:20:24,680 --> 00:20:27,279
to come back for the Wilmington game. That's the game.

410
00:20:27,359 --> 00:20:29,000
That's the one you should be at. And of course

411
00:20:29,079 --> 00:20:32,240
I said, you know, I I got to take advantage

412
00:20:32,400 --> 00:20:34,279
when I'm here. I never know when I'm gonna get back.

413
00:20:34,400 --> 00:20:37,279
So but that's what everyone I talked through there was.

414
00:20:37,319 --> 00:20:39,799
They were all excited for that game. That's their big game.

415
00:20:40,079 --> 00:20:42,319
I believe it's been sold out for a couple of

416
00:20:42,359 --> 00:20:48,319
weeks now or very close to sold out. So that's

417
00:20:48,319 --> 00:20:52,079
gonna be an awesome environment, no doubt about it. Five

418
00:20:52,079 --> 00:20:55,480
thousand Seed Arena down there in Towson, Maryland, and they

419
00:20:55,480 --> 00:20:58,119
will likely have the best crowd they'll have all year.

420
00:20:59,160 --> 00:21:02,279
But Rob I alluded to this in our breakdown of

421
00:21:02,279 --> 00:21:06,680
William and Mary Towson. Every game goes five minutes without

422
00:21:06,680 --> 00:21:10,640
scoring a basket. William and Mary has size, and I'm sorry,

423
00:21:10,880 --> 00:21:14,319
will you unc Wilmington has size and they rebound, which

424
00:21:14,319 --> 00:21:17,880
are two ways that Towson scores points, and they don't

425
00:21:17,880 --> 00:21:21,599
score many of them. So Colin Gregory, I tend to

426
00:21:21,680 --> 00:21:24,319
agree with you. This looks like a really good matchup

427
00:21:24,359 --> 00:21:27,599
for Wilmington, minus the fact that you're getting like the

428
00:21:27,720 --> 00:21:31,039
home run spot for Towson, coming off a bad loss

429
00:21:31,319 --> 00:21:34,119
and in front of probably a sellout crowd. What do

430
00:21:34,160 --> 00:21:37,440
you think Robin know, Towson, William and Mary think.

431
00:21:37,759 --> 00:21:42,599
Speaker 3: God, yeah, they're all interchangeable, right and see Wilmington feel

432
00:21:42,640 --> 00:21:45,559
the teal. I remember being in Richmond Coliseum years ago

433
00:21:45,599 --> 00:21:48,440
when I lived in Richmond, Virginia, early two thousands, when

434
00:21:48,480 --> 00:21:52,480
they held the Colonial Athletic Association tournament there, and the

435
00:21:52,680 --> 00:21:57,160
NC Wilmington fans were all there in teal tyed shirts,

436
00:21:57,240 --> 00:22:00,960
and feel the teal was the words of the day

437
00:22:01,000 --> 00:22:03,799
as they went through that field and wound up winning

438
00:22:03,839 --> 00:22:06,400
that tournament. In this game, Adam, I scratch my head

439
00:22:06,400 --> 00:22:08,920
at the total movement here, and I guess people just

440
00:22:09,000 --> 00:22:11,559
want to pick off low numbers. One twenty nine and

441
00:22:11,599 --> 00:22:14,680
a half in modern day college basketball for an opener

442
00:22:15,359 --> 00:22:19,240
is extremely low, and so maybe you just mechanically bet

443
00:22:19,319 --> 00:22:21,400
over in these games. I saw it happen yesterday in

444
00:22:21,480 --> 00:22:24,400
a couple of spots, or maybe somebody really thinks to

445
00:22:24,519 --> 00:22:27,200
have a really good read on these two getting up

446
00:22:27,200 --> 00:22:28,880
and over the total. But the price tag it's at

447
00:22:28,960 --> 00:22:31,759
now one thirty four and a half. You're asking for

448
00:22:31,880 --> 00:22:35,440
sixty eight sixty seven against two teams that are they're

449
00:22:35,519 --> 00:22:39,559
not only slow possession, they're two of the slowest possession

450
00:22:39,680 --> 00:22:44,200
teams in college basketball. Remember we had this talk earlier

451
00:22:44,240 --> 00:22:50,039
about adjusted tempo or time per possession. For me, it's

452
00:22:50,160 --> 00:22:53,039
time per possession. And these teams both ranked three twenty

453
00:22:53,160 --> 00:22:56,519
five and three eighteen out of three sixty five. Nobody

454
00:22:56,559 --> 00:22:58,680
wants to go anywhere they want it to be. And

455
00:22:59,039 --> 00:23:03,880
if the thousand fan base is as fired up about

456
00:23:04,240 --> 00:23:07,920
the game as it was told to you, then I

457
00:23:07,960 --> 00:23:14,079
would expect more of a tournament type feel to this game.

458
00:23:14,240 --> 00:23:17,079
You know what I mean. Defensive, every possession counts, that

459
00:23:17,279 --> 00:23:20,920
sort of thing, dig in, make stops, etc. It makes

460
00:23:20,960 --> 00:23:25,200
me want to play under in this game. And see Wilmington. However,

461
00:23:25,319 --> 00:23:27,559
when I went through their game logs, they've been able

462
00:23:27,640 --> 00:23:31,559
to score on everybody in this league, regardless the only

463
00:23:31,640 --> 00:23:34,720
team that got them into a really low scoring or

464
00:23:34,720 --> 00:23:37,519
a couple of teams Drexel and Hampton, but it was

465
00:23:37,640 --> 00:23:41,799
really early in the conference season. Since then, they've been

466
00:23:41,839 --> 00:23:45,440
able to score on just about everybody. Again, a lot

467
00:23:45,519 --> 00:23:48,920
of those teams aren't necessarily tousing where you can combine

468
00:23:50,119 --> 00:23:55,839
slow possession offense with lockdown defense and throw in the

469
00:23:55,960 --> 00:23:59,240
drought portion of this which you've talked about multiple times.

470
00:23:59,480 --> 00:24:01,200
I just think thirty four and a half is too

471
00:24:01,319 --> 00:24:03,799
high here. I can't see this game unless it goes

472
00:24:03,880 --> 00:24:06,519
over time. You're always subject to overtime in a game

473
00:24:06,680 --> 00:24:10,519
like this, but sixty nine sixty seven, sixty eight sixty

474
00:24:10,519 --> 00:24:12,119
seven just seems a little bit high to me. I

475
00:24:12,319 --> 00:24:13,680
kind of feel like this one will be more in

476
00:24:13,720 --> 00:24:16,599
the sixty six to sixty three range, and the opener

477
00:24:17,039 --> 00:24:19,480
was more correct than where the market is pushed it.

478
00:24:22,440 --> 00:24:24,799
Speaker 1: Yeah, the thing I can't get over here for Towson,

479
00:24:25,160 --> 00:24:26,920
and why I could just straight up could not make

480
00:24:26,960 --> 00:24:29,000
a case for Towson rob is the fact that, like

481
00:24:30,559 --> 00:24:34,039
they just don't move the ball okay, and they don't

482
00:24:34,079 --> 00:24:37,359
really have jump shooters. Ta Hatta and Williamson should be

483
00:24:37,400 --> 00:24:39,720
able to score sort of at will. It's it's kind

484
00:24:39,759 --> 00:24:43,400
of puzzling that those two just can't carry this offense

485
00:24:43,400 --> 00:24:48,920
a little bit more. But when you take like potential

486
00:24:48,960 --> 00:24:51,240
second chance points, which you're probably not gonna, you know,

487
00:24:51,400 --> 00:24:54,680
not gonna get many boards against Wilmington, and now Wilmington's

488
00:24:54,720 --> 00:24:57,519
got size inside where you're you're probably not getting any

489
00:24:57,599 --> 00:25:01,839
many clean looks at the rim, Like this could be

490
00:25:01,880 --> 00:25:04,680
a game where Towson's scores less than sixty points. Now,

491
00:25:05,359 --> 00:25:07,319
can they win again, Like they could win a game

492
00:25:07,920 --> 00:25:10,599
fifty eight to fifty six. They've done it before, But

493
00:25:10,960 --> 00:25:14,680
that is that's my major concern where it's like, is

494
00:25:14,759 --> 00:25:18,160
Wilmington gonna be totally like now? I guess we could

495
00:25:18,160 --> 00:25:20,839
go back a couple of weeks ago. Wilmington's had a

496
00:25:21,000 --> 00:25:23,519
whale of a time trying to play on the road, right, Like,

497
00:25:23,599 --> 00:25:26,880
they've dug themselves some big time holes recently, and I

498
00:25:27,200 --> 00:25:29,920
feel like they finally got caught not too long ago.

499
00:25:30,000 --> 00:25:31,880
But they I mean, they've come back from some like

500
00:25:31,960 --> 00:25:34,720
twenty point deficits. The thing is, though, I don't think

501
00:25:35,000 --> 00:25:37,519
you made the comment that they might be bored playing

502
00:25:37,559 --> 00:25:39,880
some of these lesser teams in this league. I think

503
00:25:40,119 --> 00:25:42,400
they're gonna I think Towson's gonna get their full attention.

504
00:25:43,000 --> 00:25:45,680
And if Wilmington shows up and they're fully engaged and

505
00:25:45,799 --> 00:25:49,000
Towson gets their full attention, I think it's far more

506
00:25:49,160 --> 00:25:52,240
likely Wilmington would win that game. So I leen Wilmington

507
00:25:52,319 --> 00:25:53,680
with Colin with Colin.

508
00:25:54,920 --> 00:25:57,200
Speaker 3: Again. The game you talk about where they got caught

509
00:25:58,000 --> 00:25:59,960
by getting off to a slow start was the Willie

510
00:26:00,079 --> 00:26:02,680
and Mary game where they're down thirty to eight with

511
00:26:02,880 --> 00:26:05,440
ten minutes left in the first half and you just

512
00:26:05,880 --> 00:26:08,119
but William and Mary has the ability to score thirty

513
00:26:08,160 --> 00:26:11,960
and ten minutes where thousand. Just even if you struggle early,

514
00:26:12,039 --> 00:26:14,079
they're probably gonna let you hang around, right, They're not

515
00:26:14,160 --> 00:26:17,920
gonna run off any right, huge margin leads, so we'll see.

516
00:26:18,079 --> 00:26:18,480
Speaker 2: Yeah, you can.

517
00:26:19,839 --> 00:26:21,640
Speaker 1: You could struggle early in a game like that, and

518
00:26:21,759 --> 00:26:24,279
it might be it might be fourteen to nine, like

519
00:26:24,839 --> 00:26:26,960
thirteen minutes into the game, you're still very much in

520
00:26:27,000 --> 00:26:27,279
the game.

521
00:26:27,359 --> 00:26:30,400
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's a really good point. Interesting one.

522
00:26:30,440 --> 00:26:32,559
Speaker 1: But Colin, good luck if you play Wilmington tonight, I

523
00:26:33,160 --> 00:26:36,759
certainly would can't really talk you off of that. This

524
00:26:36,920 --> 00:26:41,079
is a good one five percent super chat from Hugh.

525
00:26:41,400 --> 00:26:44,920
I think he's following up on his joke from the

526
00:26:44,960 --> 00:26:46,880
other day, but he has a question. I've got a

527
00:26:47,000 --> 00:26:49,960
very quick answer to this. So Hugh says, single game

528
00:26:50,000 --> 00:26:53,480
boost token that normal unit and take boost profit or

529
00:26:53,599 --> 00:26:55,640
lower the bet and boost to get a one unit

530
00:26:55,680 --> 00:26:58,880
win that the full unit. Anytime you get a boost,

531
00:26:58,880 --> 00:27:00,799
you should bet as much as they'll allow you to

532
00:27:00,880 --> 00:27:04,920
boost it. So whatever whatever they'll allow max the max

533
00:27:05,000 --> 00:27:07,079
bet the boost will allow is always to play there,

534
00:27:07,279 --> 00:27:09,359
am I right? Rob, that's always the play, right.

535
00:27:09,920 --> 00:27:13,559
Speaker 3: Yeah, and generally the max is so low that you

536
00:27:13,839 --> 00:27:16,519
have to include the boost really to make the boost

537
00:27:16,599 --> 00:27:19,039
worthwhile of taking. So yeah, I would agree with you.

538
00:27:19,119 --> 00:27:21,880
I would make the the max bet and attack the

539
00:27:21,880 --> 00:27:25,200
boost onto that, all right.

540
00:27:25,319 --> 00:27:27,400
Speaker 1: Since since Hugh, if you want to, if you want

541
00:27:27,440 --> 00:27:29,359
a game, shoot one in there, and I'll try to

542
00:27:29,480 --> 00:27:31,119
try to get to your game. But I'm gonna go

543
00:27:31,240 --> 00:27:34,160
to a swizz here because he says, give me Lemoyne

544
00:27:34,200 --> 00:27:37,400
plus the points, and I got a couple of things

545
00:27:37,440 --> 00:27:40,240
to say about this one. So uh yeah, the points

546
00:27:40,519 --> 00:27:44,200
look appealing being the number that they're at. The problem

547
00:27:44,359 --> 00:27:47,960
is Shiloh Jackson's very likely out for Lamoyne. Rob I

548
00:27:48,039 --> 00:27:51,359
texted you as I so, I played Lamoyne the other day,

549
00:27:51,400 --> 00:27:53,039
gave it out on the show. It was a winner.

550
00:27:53,119 --> 00:27:57,400
They had arguably their best shooting day of the season,

551
00:27:57,799 --> 00:27:59,319
even with Jackson out.

552
00:27:59,400 --> 00:28:03,880
Speaker 2: They went from three on Fairley Dickinson. They went up huge.

553
00:28:04,079 --> 00:28:07,400
It was really never a contest, but that was a

554
00:28:07,480 --> 00:28:09,279
surprise to me. There was nothing.

555
00:28:09,400 --> 00:28:12,359
Speaker 1: I didn't really hear anything about Jackson not playing until

556
00:28:12,400 --> 00:28:16,759
I had already bet the game. And again, Fairley Dickinson's

557
00:28:16,799 --> 00:28:19,319
one of the lesser teams in this league. So the

558
00:28:19,400 --> 00:28:21,559
fact that they were able to win and win big

559
00:28:21,759 --> 00:28:24,960
and not really miss him against Fairley Dickinson does not

560
00:28:25,079 --> 00:28:28,440
really surprise me. I didn't have any There was never

561
00:28:28,480 --> 00:28:30,160
a point in time where I thought to hedge out

562
00:28:30,200 --> 00:28:33,000
of my bet. It was just all right, we'll roll

563
00:28:33,079 --> 00:28:36,400
with this. They'll still probably win, and they did. Rob

564
00:28:36,920 --> 00:28:39,839
The only team to beat Long Island in league play

565
00:28:39,960 --> 00:28:44,480
so far this year is Lemoyne and Shiloh Jackson in

566
00:28:44,599 --> 00:28:48,000
that game had twenty one points and seven rebounds. He's

567
00:28:48,039 --> 00:28:50,960
the one upperclassman on this Lamoyne team, and now they're

568
00:28:51,000 --> 00:28:54,240
going to go on the road without him in the rematch.

569
00:28:55,799 --> 00:28:58,519
That spells trouble for Lamoyne. Even with those points, I

570
00:28:58,559 --> 00:29:00,440
don't think it's enough. I think this could get ugly

571
00:29:01,640 --> 00:29:04,759
at the in I've been to this place. I think

572
00:29:04,799 --> 00:29:08,839
it's in Brooklyn. I think it's LU Brooklyn, the Steinberg

573
00:29:08,920 --> 00:29:11,200
Wellness Center. There you go, Rob, That's where the game

574
00:29:11,319 --> 00:29:14,640
is tonight. The Shark Tank, the LU Sharks. There's a

575
00:29:14,920 --> 00:29:16,839
couple of New York Knicks are going to be in attendance.

576
00:29:16,880 --> 00:29:19,039
It's like they have a partnership with I think the

577
00:29:19,119 --> 00:29:21,799
Knicks so they should get a decent crowd for this game,

578
00:29:22,319 --> 00:29:25,039
and I think this one might be a long Island

579
00:29:25,079 --> 00:29:28,079
win going away with Jackson out. Do you have any

580
00:29:28,359 --> 00:29:30,559
insight on the total here because that could really alter

581
00:29:30,720 --> 00:29:32,519
what Lemoyne is capable of doing here.

582
00:29:34,039 --> 00:29:37,440
Speaker 3: Yeah, you know, I would. The team total is where

583
00:29:37,440 --> 00:29:39,920
I look, but I think it's too high priced for LU.

584
00:29:40,720 --> 00:29:42,839
Seventy seven and a half is allowed to ask even

585
00:29:43,160 --> 00:29:45,960
if Jackson doesn't play, so it would probably take me

586
00:29:46,200 --> 00:29:49,519
off of the total either way here. Of course, the

587
00:29:49,640 --> 00:29:51,680
other option to that, Adam, is to try and play

588
00:29:51,720 --> 00:29:56,240
the le Moyne team total under in this instance, missing

589
00:29:56,440 --> 00:29:58,440
all the offense and all the points that they're going

590
00:29:58,519 --> 00:30:01,079
to have their team total really quick just to bring

591
00:30:01,160 --> 00:30:03,519
it up, is you know, sixty nine and a half

592
00:30:03,640 --> 00:30:06,960
seventy and a half maybe a little steep there too,

593
00:30:08,519 --> 00:30:12,240
No real opinion either way. The number has really soared,

594
00:30:13,160 --> 00:30:15,079
Like you were saying, it's opened three and a half,

595
00:30:15,160 --> 00:30:17,319
it's eight and a half. Five point moves.

596
00:30:17,359 --> 00:30:20,039
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, that free three and a half.

597
00:30:20,680 --> 00:30:22,880
Speaker 1: That had to be the most rogue number ever, because

598
00:30:22,960 --> 00:30:26,079
like I even saw six is gone really really quick.

599
00:30:26,440 --> 00:30:30,039
Like I think this was somewhat known, like if you

600
00:30:30,319 --> 00:30:32,079
if a book hung a three and a half or

601
00:30:32,079 --> 00:30:33,960
a six like that had to be gone right away,

602
00:30:34,000 --> 00:30:36,680
because I think I don't think it was like totally

603
00:30:36,799 --> 00:30:39,480
unknown that Jackson would be out in this game. But yeah,

604
00:30:39,599 --> 00:30:42,200
I even eight and a half still probably well without

605
00:30:42,319 --> 00:30:44,799
without a Shiloh for Lemoyne, I make it ten and

606
00:30:44,839 --> 00:30:46,680
a half. I don't know about you, but I still

607
00:30:47,000 --> 00:30:48,519
there's still probably some value there.

608
00:30:49,759 --> 00:30:53,279
Speaker 3: If I go over timestamp really quick on this line movement, Adam,

609
00:30:53,400 --> 00:30:59,559
that actually opened three lasted five minutes before, lasted sixteen

610
00:30:59,599 --> 00:31:04,640
minutes up at the five lasted that lasted a while

611
00:31:04,759 --> 00:31:09,000
you had you had about six hours still that five until.

612
00:31:09,000 --> 00:31:12,240
Speaker 1: Right, but at like at like insanely low limits, probably

613
00:31:12,480 --> 00:31:15,359
right for like you know, because that's an X that's

614
00:31:15,359 --> 00:31:17,519
an extra board opener, So what is what what was

615
00:31:17,559 --> 00:31:19,599
any place even given on that until it was like

616
00:31:19,960 --> 00:31:21,400
already where it's at now.

617
00:31:23,920 --> 00:31:27,279
Speaker 2: But yeah, no, I think it, Rob. I think you

618
00:31:27,359 --> 00:31:28,000
make a good point.

619
00:31:28,039 --> 00:31:29,480
Speaker 1: If you were gonna, if you were going to try

620
00:31:29,519 --> 00:31:31,920
to like find a little bit of value in this one,

621
00:31:32,559 --> 00:31:35,759
it's probably the le Moine team total under because that way,

622
00:31:37,200 --> 00:31:40,079
I feel like they don't fully price the injury stuff

623
00:31:40,400 --> 00:31:42,799
into the total as much. You've kind of taught me that,

624
00:31:43,519 --> 00:31:45,920
And then you talk about like people love to bet

625
00:31:46,000 --> 00:31:48,680
overs right and Lemoine they still see Oh no, Jackson

626
00:31:49,000 --> 00:31:52,079
and Lamoyne still put up eighty seven points. But Long Island,

627
00:31:52,119 --> 00:31:53,920
We've talked about this. They're far and away the best

628
00:31:53,920 --> 00:31:57,240
team in this league. They're the best defensive team. This

629
00:31:57,400 --> 00:31:59,440
is a different animal than than what they played earlier

630
00:31:59,480 --> 00:32:01,799
in the weeks. Oh yeah, you could get a scenario

631
00:32:01,880 --> 00:32:04,240
where lu holds them under sixty even.

632
00:32:05,960 --> 00:32:08,200
Speaker 3: Yeah, with revenge, it's a revenge spot on the other

633
00:32:08,279 --> 00:32:10,759
side's home floor. It just makes it that much more

634
00:32:10,799 --> 00:32:14,400
appealing to think that Lemoyne would have difficulty scoring here.

635
00:32:18,680 --> 00:32:22,480
Speaker 1: All right, let's continue on. Still still plenty of games.

636
00:32:22,480 --> 00:32:25,240
I'm gonna you know, this is the challenge with some

637
00:32:25,400 --> 00:32:27,240
of these games. I'm gonna throw one out there that

638
00:32:27,359 --> 00:32:33,519
again is very contingent on some injury stuff, but is

639
00:32:33,599 --> 00:32:36,000
one that's very intriguing to me. So on Monday, Rob

640
00:32:36,079 --> 00:32:39,680
we talked about Tarleton State and they never played right

641
00:32:39,720 --> 00:32:44,240
because the winter storm was still down in Texas. They

642
00:32:44,319 --> 00:32:47,000
had ice and a little bit of tech, a little

643
00:32:47,000 --> 00:32:49,759
bit of ice on Texas roads. That's pretty much an instant.

644
00:32:50,079 --> 00:32:53,400
That's an instant cancelation right there, and that's what Charleton

645
00:32:53,480 --> 00:32:55,920
I believed dealt with on two occasions. I think they

646
00:32:56,000 --> 00:32:58,240
tried to get that game in twice and it got

647
00:32:58,319 --> 00:33:02,680
canceled both times. So very interesting because they've been off

648
00:33:02,759 --> 00:33:07,319
for a while. Billy Gilepsi has not coached in a while.

649
00:33:07,480 --> 00:33:11,440
He's been out with some health health issues, so there's

650
00:33:11,480 --> 00:33:13,640
been an assistant coach. I believe it's Glenn Sipriy and

651
00:33:13,720 --> 00:33:18,000
that's been the coach. Things have not gone well in

652
00:33:18,079 --> 00:33:20,799
Billy Clyde's absence. I believe Tarleton's now lost FO in

653
00:33:20,880 --> 00:33:25,000
a row. The crazy thing here is you've got the

654
00:33:25,079 --> 00:33:28,839
nation's leading scorer and he comes off the bench. But

655
00:33:28,960 --> 00:33:30,559
not only has he been coming off the bench, trop

656
00:33:30,599 --> 00:33:32,640
he hasn't been playing his full allotment a minute. So

657
00:33:33,480 --> 00:33:35,880
I guess those are the questions here, because I would

658
00:33:35,960 --> 00:33:38,400
love Tarleton in the spot at home as an underdog

659
00:33:38,680 --> 00:33:40,960
against the Utah Valley team that they played pretty good

660
00:33:41,000 --> 00:33:44,200
against not too long ago on this floor, because remember,

661
00:33:44,240 --> 00:33:46,359
everyone in this league is playing three times this year.

662
00:33:47,279 --> 00:33:51,160
But and even having some some pals down in Stevenville, Robb,

663
00:33:51,240 --> 00:33:53,319
I can't find any info out on this game either,

664
00:33:53,440 --> 00:33:55,599
So I lean towards Tarlan.

665
00:33:55,680 --> 00:33:57,319
Speaker 2: It's something I'm going to be monitoring today.

666
00:33:57,920 --> 00:34:00,599
Speaker 1: But boy, if they were, you know, or kind of

667
00:34:00,680 --> 00:34:01,880
is the one that's going to have to keep them

668
00:34:01,920 --> 00:34:03,720
in that game because Utah Valley can score at the

669
00:34:03,799 --> 00:34:06,480
rim and Tarlton's rim defense has not been good. So

670
00:34:06,880 --> 00:34:10,119
can you help me make heads or tails? Utah Valley, Tarlton,

671
00:34:10,280 --> 00:34:11,559
are you seeing anything in this one?

672
00:34:12,559 --> 00:34:14,639
Speaker 3: Well? You know what I see is back to back

673
00:34:15,519 --> 00:34:18,119
losses by Utah Valley on the road as well, So

674
00:34:18,880 --> 00:34:22,199
you know, the desperation sort of factor or the must

675
00:34:22,280 --> 00:34:27,199
win type factor to me would point to the healthier team,

676
00:34:27,559 --> 00:34:29,920
the team that's already won on this floor by six

677
00:34:30,000 --> 00:34:33,159
and is now down to three and a half. This

678
00:34:33,320 --> 00:34:35,880
game has come down off of the opener. You can

679
00:34:35,960 --> 00:34:37,719
find three and a half's out there, a team with

680
00:34:37,960 --> 00:34:41,920
a huge scoring capability. I find it hard to play

681
00:34:41,960 --> 00:34:46,320
against Utah Valley. But that being said, Adam, they've got

682
00:34:46,360 --> 00:34:49,559
three losses in league and all three are on the road.

683
00:34:50,199 --> 00:34:53,960
Got beat by Abilene by seventeen on the road, and

684
00:34:54,079 --> 00:34:56,599
the last two that I just talked about were Southern Utah,

685
00:34:56,639 --> 00:34:59,039
who I think we talked about the other day. It's

686
00:34:59,079 --> 00:35:02,400
not in the second an exceptionally good basketball team. There's

687
00:35:02,480 --> 00:35:05,519
subpar to put it mildly, and they lose that Southern

688
00:35:05,639 --> 00:35:09,519
Utah and then cal Baptist, which is a decent team,

689
00:35:09,639 --> 00:35:13,159
gets the best of them in ot So I don't know.

690
00:35:13,280 --> 00:35:17,840
I would think that Utah Valley would be the way

691
00:35:17,920 --> 00:35:20,480
I would look. However, I don't like the road results

692
00:35:20,639 --> 00:35:23,320
enough to say that I could get to the window

693
00:35:23,400 --> 00:35:27,159
with them against the team who has home floor revenge,

694
00:35:27,920 --> 00:35:32,320
and we really don't know the status of d or

695
00:35:32,480 --> 00:35:35,440
so I don't know. It's a tough game to play.

696
00:35:35,719 --> 00:35:38,119
Total wise, let me just speak on that. For half

697
00:35:38,159 --> 00:35:40,480
a second year, this number has been bet up from

698
00:35:40,519 --> 00:35:42,400
one fifty six to one fifty seven and a half

699
00:35:43,000 --> 00:35:45,920
a lot of points. And again, you can't really play

700
00:35:45,960 --> 00:35:48,559
that until you know the injury news is confirmed. At

701
00:35:48,599 --> 00:35:51,639
that point, maybe you lose some line value both side

702
00:35:51,679 --> 00:35:55,280
and total if it's either confirmed or one way or

703
00:35:55,280 --> 00:35:58,119
the other in or out. So for me, it's probably

704
00:35:58,199 --> 00:36:00,199
kind of a no play. I think my slow this

705
00:36:00,320 --> 00:36:02,840
lead would have been toward Utah Valley here, but nothing

706
00:36:02,880 --> 00:36:03,840
I would go to the window with.

707
00:36:06,760 --> 00:36:08,880
Speaker 1: Yeah, listen, I'll give you an I'll give you a

708
00:36:08,920 --> 00:36:11,519
little in game angle here that you can use in

709
00:36:11,599 --> 00:36:15,360
this one, because so because Charleton likes to start with

710
00:36:15,440 --> 00:36:17,840
Dior Johnson on the bench, they have been more of

711
00:36:17,880 --> 00:36:20,639
a second half team most of the year. The other

712
00:36:20,880 --> 00:36:24,239
key guy here is Freddie Hicks. He's been out and

713
00:36:24,920 --> 00:36:28,679
that that to me is almost like, obviously, you need

714
00:36:28,760 --> 00:36:33,119
your scoring. But what Freddie Hicks does is keeps everyone organized,

715
00:36:33,480 --> 00:36:35,719
slows the game down. He gets to the foul line

716
00:36:35,960 --> 00:36:39,199
more than any other player in the country over his career.

717
00:36:39,840 --> 00:36:43,679
He is he is, I believe, shot more free throws

718
00:36:43,960 --> 00:36:47,280
per minutes on the floor than any other active player

719
00:36:47,360 --> 00:36:50,440
in college basketball right now. It's kind of a crazy stat,

720
00:36:50,760 --> 00:36:53,400
just you know, one that I think goes a little

721
00:36:53,400 --> 00:36:56,000
bit unnoticed, but that dude absolutely lives at the free

722
00:36:56,039 --> 00:36:56,519
throw line.

723
00:36:56,840 --> 00:36:57,719
Speaker 2: And that is huge.

724
00:36:58,039 --> 00:37:00,599
Speaker 1: That's huge for Charleton because they don't don't have much

725
00:37:00,639 --> 00:37:03,960
of a post presence on this target on this team.

726
00:37:04,519 --> 00:37:08,239
So that's where I think they've really really been struggling.

727
00:37:08,400 --> 00:37:11,079
Is even though Hicks is not like a post player

728
00:37:11,199 --> 00:37:14,760
per se, he gets to the line and he can

729
00:37:14,840 --> 00:37:17,920
score inside. He just kind of wills his way to

730
00:37:18,000 --> 00:37:21,039
the basket and they've really missed that. So because they've

731
00:37:21,079 --> 00:37:23,960
had so much time now elapse between their last game,

732
00:37:24,400 --> 00:37:27,400
maybe the market here is front running him coming back

733
00:37:28,519 --> 00:37:29,719
and Dior being fine.

734
00:37:30,000 --> 00:37:32,239
Speaker 2: Because that's that. And that's the final thing I'll say

735
00:37:32,239 --> 00:37:32,840
about this game.

736
00:37:33,159 --> 00:37:35,639
Speaker 1: If Freddie Hicks is in the starting lineup and he's there,

737
00:37:36,079 --> 00:37:39,519
and Deor Johnson is in the in the uniform and

738
00:37:39,599 --> 00:37:41,239
he comes off the bench and he's in the game

739
00:37:41,320 --> 00:37:43,880
like he usually is, I think you look for a

740
00:37:43,920 --> 00:37:47,400
spot to either bet Tarlton in game or take their

741
00:37:47,440 --> 00:37:50,119
second half line, especially if they fall behind a little

742
00:37:50,119 --> 00:37:53,280
bit early, because that is the combination that will keep

743
00:37:53,320 --> 00:37:55,440
them in the game against Utah Valley. Now on the

744
00:37:55,480 --> 00:37:59,679
flip side, Rob No, Freddie Hicks Dior is not totally

745
00:37:59,760 --> 00:38:00,840
on in the first half.

746
00:38:01,400 --> 00:38:01,519
Speaker 3: Uh.

747
00:38:01,840 --> 00:38:03,320
Speaker 1: The other thing you're gonna want to look for is

748
00:38:03,440 --> 00:38:06,079
Utah Valley getting to the rim because Utah Valley, if

749
00:38:06,119 --> 00:38:07,639
you if you just let them score at the rim,

750
00:38:07,639 --> 00:38:08,960
they'll score on every possession.

751
00:38:09,800 --> 00:38:11,440
Speaker 2: You might want to go the other way. It's a

752
00:38:11,559 --> 00:38:11,800
it's a.

753
00:38:12,000 --> 00:38:15,119
Speaker 1: Phenomenal game for in game betting, and those are the

754
00:38:15,159 --> 00:38:16,920
things you should look for for that So that is

755
00:38:17,719 --> 00:38:20,360
you know, that's one that again if you have the

756
00:38:20,400 --> 00:38:23,039
ability to live bet and you watch for those things,

757
00:38:23,079 --> 00:38:25,039
I think you will find yourself a winner in play

758
00:38:25,159 --> 00:38:28,239
based on who's playing or not playing for Charlton in

759
00:38:28,360 --> 00:38:34,119
that game. Robino, we have Hugh. So Hugh has followed

760
00:38:34,199 --> 00:38:36,880
up and he is uh. He said, there's two big

761
00:38:36,960 --> 00:38:39,599
ten games today, So I'm gonna let you take your

762
00:38:39,679 --> 00:38:42,719
pick round. Pick one of the big ten games and

763
00:38:42,880 --> 00:38:46,920
uh and kick us off. Let's uh offhand. I think

764
00:38:47,000 --> 00:38:50,280
one of them is Illinois. Oh, we have your choices

765
00:38:50,280 --> 00:38:53,480
are Penn State, Northwestern or Washington Illinois.

766
00:38:53,599 --> 00:38:55,760
Speaker 2: So pick the one you like best. And though let's

767
00:38:55,760 --> 00:38:56,840
talk some Big ten hoops.

768
00:38:58,800 --> 00:39:04,440
Speaker 3: Well, we can talk about the Washington Illinois game, I guess, Adam,

769
00:39:04,480 --> 00:39:07,719
because I think there's more to talk about where that

770
00:39:07,880 --> 00:39:14,119
game is concerned. Earlier this week, maybe Saturday. Man, the

771
00:39:14,199 --> 00:39:17,000
days go by so fast that I can't remember when

772
00:39:17,119 --> 00:39:20,920
I had mentioned that. Illinois head coach Brad Underwood said

773
00:39:20,920 --> 00:39:26,880
that losing Boswell at point guard made them a better offense.

774
00:39:27,440 --> 00:39:31,199
A lesser defense, but a better offense. And man, you've

775
00:39:31,239 --> 00:39:34,239
seen that two games in a row out of Illinois right,

776
00:39:34,360 --> 00:39:39,079
a huge point production. It's allowed them to get other

777
00:39:39,199 --> 00:39:44,320
guys going in this spot. Washington on the road again.

778
00:39:44,440 --> 00:39:48,280
It's not a full three hour cross country trip, but

779
00:39:48,400 --> 00:39:51,480
it is middle of the country trip. We've talked about

780
00:39:51,519 --> 00:39:55,400
these west to East things inside the Big ten. Washington

781
00:39:55,480 --> 00:39:57,760
has a tendency to give up a bunch of points,

782
00:39:59,039 --> 00:40:02,679
but Washington at times capable. I've really I've read a

783
00:40:02,719 --> 00:40:08,199
funny I read a funny comment the other day about Washington,

784
00:40:08,320 --> 00:40:12,719
Adam this. This struck me a little bit where somebody

785
00:40:13,079 --> 00:40:16,880
was saying that what is Danny Sprinkle doing here? For

786
00:40:17,039 --> 00:40:20,079
what he did and for what Mike Hopkins did, they

787
00:40:20,079 --> 00:40:22,440
should have just kept Lorenzo Romar he was doing the

788
00:40:22,559 --> 00:40:25,440
same thing. And maybe maybe there's some truth to that.

789
00:40:26,000 --> 00:40:28,119
But Washington is off a big win seventy two to

790
00:40:28,199 --> 00:40:30,599
fifty seven against Oregon. We saw again last night Oregon

791
00:40:30,719 --> 00:40:32,679
is just a shell of themselves. There's so many injuries

792
00:40:32,719 --> 00:40:35,119
on that team. Beating them by fifteen it should be

793
00:40:35,159 --> 00:40:38,400
a given on any night. Ucla did the job last night.

794
00:40:38,840 --> 00:40:43,159
But real quick, just the Illinois situation, I'll just speak

795
00:40:43,360 --> 00:40:50,960
generally from an Illinois offensive perspective right now. That game

796
00:40:51,039 --> 00:40:54,000
against Purdue in Purdue the other day, and I happen

797
00:40:54,079 --> 00:40:56,559
to have Illinois team total in that one or no

798
00:40:56,639 --> 00:40:59,440
I had full game total. Excuse me. It got to

799
00:40:59,519 --> 00:41:04,519
one set, but Illinois was behind maybe four or five

800
00:41:04,960 --> 00:41:11,039
with about four minutes left. And again Keaton Waggler or

801
00:41:11,119 --> 00:41:14,000
Waggler excuse me, another freshman that we didn't mention in

802
00:41:14,079 --> 00:41:17,719
this great freshman class, when absolutely berserk in that game.

803
00:41:17,960 --> 00:41:22,440
They couldn't stop him. They tried everything. He either got

804
00:41:22,480 --> 00:41:24,559
to the rim and got fouled or he made three pointers.

805
00:41:24,639 --> 00:41:26,760
He became the main guy. Stoyakovich was the guy the

806
00:41:26,800 --> 00:41:30,559
game before. You can just see how open the spacing

807
00:41:30,719 --> 00:41:34,440
is on this team now and how much attention opponents

808
00:41:34,519 --> 00:41:37,559
have to pay to Waggle that they really didn't. Boswell's

809
00:41:37,559 --> 00:41:40,280
a nice player, obviously, he has been there for a

810
00:41:40,320 --> 00:41:42,920
while and has been really good. But there's a difference

811
00:41:42,920 --> 00:41:46,159
about this Illinois offense right now. So I would think

812
00:41:47,119 --> 00:41:49,400
if I was going to lean here, I would probably

813
00:41:49,519 --> 00:41:55,840
lean toward that game going over because Illinois honestly doesn't mind,

814
00:41:56,360 --> 00:41:59,519
and Purdue Braden Smith played a good offensive game there

815
00:41:59,559 --> 00:42:03,760
to an Washington did not produce offense, but Illinois doesn't

816
00:42:03,760 --> 00:42:07,559
seem to mind allowing opponents to score. I think the

817
00:42:07,679 --> 00:42:09,679
mindset is that these kids on the floor that they

818
00:42:09,760 --> 00:42:11,760
know they can outscore you at this point in time.

819
00:42:11,880 --> 00:42:16,280
So Illinois is also pushing for conference lead. I think

820
00:42:16,320 --> 00:42:18,039
they're eight and one inside the Big Ten right now,

821
00:42:18,360 --> 00:42:20,480
and so they're making a move. It's a team we

822
00:42:20,559 --> 00:42:22,719
talked about early at them, It's a team with you know,

823
00:42:22,880 --> 00:42:26,760
Elite eight capability. When I look at them nowadays, I

824
00:42:26,840 --> 00:42:29,920
only look at them as an over type team where

825
00:42:30,000 --> 00:42:32,719
full game is concerned. So the fact that Washington gives

826
00:42:32,760 --> 00:42:35,719
it up, Illinois doesn't mind giving it up. Illinois can

827
00:42:35,800 --> 00:42:38,760
score maybe maybe a full game total there or an

828
00:42:38,800 --> 00:42:40,559
Illinois team total there, one or the other.

829
00:42:43,679 --> 00:42:43,880
Speaker 2: Yeah.

830
00:42:43,960 --> 00:42:46,159
Speaker 1: The first thing I noticed when I pulled this game

831
00:42:46,280 --> 00:42:51,480
up earlier today was our guy Marco D'Angelo. If they

832
00:42:51,519 --> 00:42:53,519
were doing like that on it for college, who would

833
00:42:53,519 --> 00:42:56,159
would be all over the spot here? Because this is

834
00:42:56,920 --> 00:43:00,639
this is the Deli Sandwich game for for Marco that

835
00:43:00,719 --> 00:43:02,960
he that he loves to bring up. That's hey, listen,

836
00:43:03,039 --> 00:43:07,000
that's it's very relevant. But they just beat Purdue on

837
00:43:07,159 --> 00:43:09,760
the road like that is a massive win for Illinois.

838
00:43:10,199 --> 00:43:12,199
And what do they have this coming weekend? Rob they

839
00:43:12,280 --> 00:43:16,320
go to Lincoln, Nebraska to the bank right the the

840
00:43:17,280 --> 00:43:19,719
to play a Nebraska team that up until two days

841
00:43:19,760 --> 00:43:24,159
ago was undefeated. So yeah, it's a home game. But man,

842
00:43:24,280 --> 00:43:27,519
this this you could be looking ahead to Nebraska a

843
00:43:27,559 --> 00:43:29,360
little bit. Even with the lost to Michigan. I mean

844
00:43:29,400 --> 00:43:32,880
that's still you have the chance in a week to

845
00:43:33,000 --> 00:43:36,159
beat two top five teams. Right, Purdue was number four

846
00:43:36,159 --> 00:43:38,400
in the country when they won that game. You still

847
00:43:38,440 --> 00:43:41,400
got Nebraska, who's number five in the country and will

848
00:43:41,480 --> 00:43:43,320
be on Sunday when that game is played.

849
00:43:45,679 --> 00:43:47,280
Speaker 2: I just don't think Washington's any good.

850
00:43:47,280 --> 00:43:52,360
Speaker 1: You made the point about Hopkins and Danny Sprinkle underachieving. Yeah,

851
00:43:52,360 --> 00:43:55,239
at least at least Lorenzo Romar used to get players, right, Like,

852
00:43:55,280 --> 00:43:59,239
at least Lorenzo Romar could recruit, and even though like

853
00:43:59,360 --> 00:44:02,039
his he might his teams might under achieve. Like you

854
00:44:02,239 --> 00:44:03,880
just knew he was gonna get a couple of studs

855
00:44:03,920 --> 00:44:05,920
that would keep you in games and you know you'd

856
00:44:05,960 --> 00:44:10,599
have a fighting chance. This Washington team is just no good.

857
00:44:11,000 --> 00:44:14,280
Like that's that's all I can't, you know, I wish

858
00:44:14,320 --> 00:44:17,760
I had more to add there. I just don't think

859
00:44:17,800 --> 00:44:19,840
they're a very good basketball team. So even in the

860
00:44:19,920 --> 00:44:24,480
spot that Illinois in, yeah, it's a big number, but

861
00:44:24,719 --> 00:44:27,559
I want no part of Washington. There's so much worse

862
00:44:27,599 --> 00:44:30,639
than Illinois that even if even if Illinois is somewhat

863
00:44:30,679 --> 00:44:33,159
focused on the weekend, they still might win this game

864
00:44:33,880 --> 00:44:37,239
by fifteen. It almost feels I know, it's like not

865
00:44:37,400 --> 00:44:40,440
a great comparison, but you know how Florida just felt

866
00:44:40,840 --> 00:44:44,119
so easy last night, and you're like, man, that looks

867
00:44:44,159 --> 00:44:48,239
like gonna lay fourteen, but it's such a mismatch and

868
00:44:48,320 --> 00:44:50,800
they just crushed. Like I wouldn't be that surprised if

869
00:44:50,840 --> 00:44:54,679
Illinois ran Washington off the floor, just they're just such

870
00:44:54,719 --> 00:44:56,880
a better team. But again, I haven't had a great

871
00:44:56,920 --> 00:44:58,920
beat on these teams, and I don't think you can

872
00:44:59,000 --> 00:45:02,079
fully discount the fact that they just beat Purdue and

873
00:45:02,159 --> 00:45:04,800
they've got Nebraska coming up this weekend, so that'll that'll

874
00:45:04,920 --> 00:45:06,199
likely keep me off of this one.

875
00:45:08,760 --> 00:45:09,119
Speaker 2: All right.

876
00:45:09,400 --> 00:45:12,719
Speaker 1: The chat is, you guys are relentless. I'm gonna give

877
00:45:12,760 --> 00:45:16,079
it out. I was, I was gonna sell this, but

878
00:45:16,320 --> 00:45:19,519
you know, Rob, as it goes day like this, I'm

879
00:45:19,519 --> 00:45:22,679
probably gonna have more than than one best bet, a

880
00:45:22,760 --> 00:45:24,800
couple different plays for sale. So I will lock in

881
00:45:24,880 --> 00:45:28,000
my leg of the parlay because there's like six people

882
00:45:28,079 --> 00:45:31,599
that have asked about the Calorvine Hawaii game. Your boy

883
00:45:31,760 --> 00:45:33,679
was gonna hold onto that one that was about to

884
00:45:33,719 --> 00:45:36,360
go up for sale on the website. But I can't

885
00:45:36,400 --> 00:45:40,519
hold out on you guys. Here in my jail celler,

886
00:45:40,960 --> 00:45:43,519
someone said the law office. That's actually good. This like

887
00:45:43,639 --> 00:45:46,639
the law library or something like someone said in there.

888
00:45:46,760 --> 00:45:49,760
But I played. I played uc R Vine here, Rob.

889
00:45:50,079 --> 00:45:53,320
It's a four percent play for me. I just played

890
00:45:53,320 --> 00:45:55,360
it on the moneyline minus one twenty five.

891
00:45:56,800 --> 00:45:57,199
Speaker 2: Hawaii.

892
00:45:58,039 --> 00:46:01,239
Speaker 1: You know, for me, it's it's almost this simple Hawaii.

893
00:46:01,400 --> 00:46:05,159
Last week at home, two blowout wins. One I expect,

894
00:46:05,239 --> 00:46:07,360
I guess was pretty expected against Bakersfield.

895
00:46:07,719 --> 00:46:09,960
Speaker 2: The other not quite as expected. I that was actually

896
00:46:10,000 --> 00:46:10,800
my only loss.

897
00:46:10,920 --> 00:46:13,719
Speaker 1: Last Saturday, I had north Ridge plus ten nine and

898
00:46:13,760 --> 00:46:17,159
a half ten, and they got blown out in a

899
00:46:17,239 --> 00:46:19,280
game that I didn't think they should really get blown

900
00:46:19,280 --> 00:46:22,199
out in. I felt like they just couldn't hit shots.

901
00:46:22,679 --> 00:46:26,480
They just it felt like they played Hawaii somewhat even

902
00:46:26,519 --> 00:46:28,679
and they just could not get out of their own

903
00:46:28,719 --> 00:46:31,159
way on the offensive end. I feel like they missed

904
00:46:31,199 --> 00:46:34,360
some layups, would just trip over themselves, and suddenly they

905
00:46:34,400 --> 00:46:37,559
were down twenty in a game that to me watching

906
00:46:37,599 --> 00:46:40,119
the game was more competitive than the final score would indicate.

907
00:46:41,320 --> 00:46:44,199
Now you turn around your Hawaii, you gotta leave the island,

908
00:46:44,360 --> 00:46:47,639
something they've barely done this year, go play what will

909
00:46:47,679 --> 00:46:49,719
be your toughest road game of the season to date.

910
00:46:50,559 --> 00:46:54,239
I suppose Oregon opening night, but like you know, that's

911
00:46:54,239 --> 00:46:56,239
a little bit different. This will be, in my opinion,

912
00:46:56,320 --> 00:47:00,159
a tougher road game because it's a conference game and

913
00:47:00,199 --> 00:47:02,599
Irvine's gonna want this one bad. Of course, if you

914
00:47:02,639 --> 00:47:05,480
missed the Hawaii Irvine game the first time around, you

915
00:47:05,519 --> 00:47:07,119
would have had to have been up till too eastern

916
00:47:07,400 --> 00:47:09,599
to catch the end of that. But uh, Hawaii hit

917
00:47:09,639 --> 00:47:12,880
the buzzer beater to win by one, So I just

918
00:47:13,000 --> 00:47:16,480
love the revenge j angle. I think Irvine is the

919
00:47:16,559 --> 00:47:19,320
better team. I think they're going to be able to

920
00:47:20,519 --> 00:47:24,599
force Hawaii into some tough shots here, and you know,

921
00:47:24,719 --> 00:47:27,000
I just don't know if that plays for the Bows.

922
00:47:26,719 --> 00:47:27,159
Speaker 2: On the road.

923
00:47:27,719 --> 00:47:31,039
Speaker 1: In addition to Hawaii on the road, Yeah, obviously they

924
00:47:31,119 --> 00:47:33,719
get this big advantage at home. Rob 're in Colorado,

925
00:47:33,719 --> 00:47:36,719
Buffalo's s right. You turn around and now you don't

926
00:47:36,760 --> 00:47:40,320
have the advantage of teams having to take the flight

927
00:47:40,360 --> 00:47:42,760
all the way to the Islands to play you. Now

928
00:47:42,800 --> 00:47:44,960
you're at a little bit more of a disadvantage on

929
00:47:45,000 --> 00:47:47,320
the road. So I took Irvine on the money line.

930
00:47:47,599 --> 00:47:49,199
That's gonna be our parlay Lake. What do you think

931
00:47:49,239 --> 00:47:50,719
do you have anything in this one, Hawaii?

932
00:47:50,760 --> 00:47:51,039
Speaker 2: You sir?

933
00:47:52,639 --> 00:47:57,320
Speaker 3: I think both sides of this team total makes somewhat sense,

934
00:47:57,440 --> 00:47:59,800
But the one that makes the most sense to me, Adam,

935
00:47:59,880 --> 00:48:03,440
is Hawaii to stay under their number of sixty nine

936
00:48:03,480 --> 00:48:06,480
and a half. You know, teams haven't even shot forty

937
00:48:06,559 --> 00:48:10,280
percent from inside the arc against Irvine. You mentioned the

938
00:48:10,360 --> 00:48:13,280
two wins that Hawaii had over the weekend, but obviously

939
00:48:13,440 --> 00:48:16,960
neither in the defensive class that Irvine is in this team,

940
00:48:17,400 --> 00:48:22,159
they're both ranked one and two analytically inside their own

941
00:48:22,280 --> 00:48:26,280
conference in defensive efficiency. But when you go through further numbers,

942
00:48:26,920 --> 00:48:32,159
Irvine's a difficult team to score on and Hawaii, and

943
00:48:32,280 --> 00:48:34,400
first off, I was surprised that the game total went

944
00:48:34,480 --> 00:48:37,320
up as high as it did. Again another push that

945
00:48:37,400 --> 00:48:39,360
I'm kind of head scratching at one forty and a

946
00:48:39,400 --> 00:48:42,800
half is your full game total now, But for everything

947
00:48:42,840 --> 00:48:46,159
that you said, and if I tack on the fact

948
00:48:46,199 --> 00:48:49,960
that you see Irvine is the toughest defensive opponent that

949
00:48:50,079 --> 00:48:53,440
Hawaii's had in league so far this year. Sixty nine

950
00:48:53,480 --> 00:48:56,079
and a half seems like a reach. Irvine just doesn't

951
00:48:56,199 --> 00:49:00,800
allow teams to get to that number. Fifty nine to

952
00:49:00,960 --> 00:49:05,000
UC San Diego last gave sixty six to Riverside only

953
00:49:05,159 --> 00:49:09,360
sixty seven the first time in loss to Hawaii. Now

954
00:49:09,400 --> 00:49:11,960
you're asked to get three more on the road against

955
00:49:11,960 --> 00:49:14,320
a team with revenge. So to me, in that game,

956
00:49:14,440 --> 00:49:17,599
the angle I would look at the most aside from

957
00:49:17,639 --> 00:49:20,800
I think the side play is absolutely a good spot

958
00:49:20,840 --> 00:49:23,880
here with Irvine, But I think the if you're looking

959
00:49:23,920 --> 00:49:27,039
from a total perspective, Hawaii team total under makes the

960
00:49:27,119 --> 00:49:27,800
most sense to me.

961
00:49:29,679 --> 00:49:32,039
Speaker 1: Yeah, And the one final thing I'll say is that

962
00:49:32,199 --> 00:49:37,239
first meeting, Irvine shot a very poor percentage on what

963
00:49:37,360 --> 00:49:40,039
were mostly good looks. You know, they had a lot

964
00:49:40,119 --> 00:49:42,920
of they had a lot of of like what would

965
00:49:42,920 --> 00:49:46,039
be considered quality shots in that first game, and they

966
00:49:46,400 --> 00:49:49,800
shot a very low percentage on quality shots in that meeting.

967
00:49:50,159 --> 00:49:53,079
And rob yet they still basically had the game won,

968
00:49:53,440 --> 00:49:56,519
right like, it still took a shot literally not just

969
00:49:56,679 --> 00:49:58,840
like I mean that shot was straight.

970
00:49:58,639 --> 00:49:59,400
Speaker 2: Up at the buzzer.

971
00:49:59,480 --> 00:50:01,360
Speaker 1: The last shot out of the game had to go

972
00:50:01,559 --> 00:50:04,159
in for Hawaii to win that game, and that was

973
00:50:04,280 --> 00:50:08,159
with Irvine missing close look after close look on the

974
00:50:08,280 --> 00:50:11,239
road in Honolulu. Now you turn around, you get them

975
00:50:11,280 --> 00:50:13,880
at home, and we're only asking them to win. I

976
00:50:13,960 --> 00:50:16,360
think that that's kind of a bargain. And I did

977
00:50:16,440 --> 00:50:18,639
see this move a little bit, which is fine. We'll

978
00:50:18,760 --> 00:50:21,159
just put whatever the money line is, Rob, do you

979
00:50:21,280 --> 00:50:23,719
have your screen up there, because I'm I'm short of

980
00:50:23,800 --> 00:50:24,400
screen today.

981
00:50:24,440 --> 00:50:26,880
Speaker 2: So do you have a current money line for UC Irvine?

982
00:50:28,000 --> 00:50:30,960
Speaker 3: I absolutely do. I can tell you right now. Irvine

983
00:50:31,239 --> 00:50:35,199
is minus a dollar thirty.

984
00:50:36,360 --> 00:50:38,280
Speaker 2: Yeah, that'll be our That'll be our parlay leg.

985
00:50:38,320 --> 00:50:40,159
Speaker 1: And I gave it to clients at minus one twenty five,

986
00:50:40,239 --> 00:50:44,400
so four percent of play either is fine. We're gonna

987
00:50:44,400 --> 00:50:46,280
have one more game to talk about. But Rob, do

988
00:50:46,360 --> 00:50:48,039
you know what you want to lock in for the

989
00:50:48,119 --> 00:50:50,159
parlay leg or do you want to save that till

990
00:50:50,199 --> 00:50:51,639
the end and go to the other game first.

991
00:50:52,280 --> 00:50:54,119
Speaker 3: Now I'll just go quick with you, Adam. It's a

992
00:50:54,239 --> 00:50:58,840
simple bounce back team total. You had just mentioned the game.

993
00:50:58,960 --> 00:51:02,480
But Cal Northridge, who has been a favorite of mine

994
00:51:02,519 --> 00:51:06,000
all season long from an offensive perspective, gets held to

995
00:51:06,079 --> 00:51:09,079
sixty eight the other night, doesn't make a lot of shots.

996
00:51:09,199 --> 00:51:12,760
This is a team that very rarely gets held below

997
00:51:12,880 --> 00:51:16,840
eighty points. Tonight, they're back at home against UC Davis,

998
00:51:17,440 --> 00:51:20,280
a team that I think Cal Northridge can impose their

999
00:51:20,480 --> 00:51:23,960
uptempo will on. And the number is kind of low

1000
00:51:24,039 --> 00:51:26,519
in my estimation, eighty two and a half. I think

1001
00:51:26,599 --> 00:51:30,199
that they're probably ticketed for eighty five or more. Again,

1002
00:51:30,320 --> 00:51:32,960
it's more of a situation. Well, I guess you combine

1003
00:51:32,960 --> 00:51:37,079
the fundamentals here because I truly believe and the ticket

1004
00:51:37,159 --> 00:51:39,599
cashing that I've done with this team so far this

1005
00:51:39,800 --> 00:51:42,440
year and these instances kind of proves it that Cal

1006
00:51:42,519 --> 00:51:45,960
State Northridge is for me just a one way ticket.

1007
00:51:46,320 --> 00:51:49,920
They're gonna play fast, They're gonna make shots, they're gonna score.

1008
00:51:50,559 --> 00:51:53,360
They and Cal Poly are like two of the same

1009
00:51:53,480 --> 00:51:55,880
inside this league. I think Northridge might even be a

1010
00:51:56,000 --> 00:51:58,800
little bit better of a team overall. But for me

1011
00:51:58,960 --> 00:52:01,679
Adam in this spot, I think Davis which would prefer

1012
00:52:02,840 --> 00:52:04,480
I know they would prefer to try and slow the

1013
00:52:04,519 --> 00:52:06,440
game down a little bit, but I just don't think

1014
00:52:06,480 --> 00:52:09,199
it happens on Northridge's floor, And I think that the

1015
00:52:09,320 --> 00:52:12,480
shot making comes back a little bit here. Obviously, they're

1016
00:52:12,480 --> 00:52:14,320
a far better scoring team than what they showed them

1017
00:52:14,519 --> 00:52:17,119
in Hawaii. We just mentioned it, like number one in

1018
00:52:17,239 --> 00:52:20,519
defense defensive efficiency in that league. So it's a huge

1019
00:52:20,960 --> 00:52:23,400
step down in class here for them. So give me

1020
00:52:23,519 --> 00:52:27,559
the Cal State Northridge team total after last night, you know,

1021
00:52:27,679 --> 00:52:30,360
last night yesterday, I kind of butchered it on the folks, right,

1022
00:52:30,679 --> 00:52:34,119
I went Miami Florida first half kind of yeah, right,

1023
00:52:34,199 --> 00:52:37,000
a little different, and I see a twenty two to

1024
00:52:37,079 --> 00:52:38,920
twelve lead in the first half, and I'm thinking, man,

1025
00:52:38,960 --> 00:52:41,000
we're on our way. All of a sudden, it's forty

1026
00:52:41,039 --> 00:52:43,880
thirty five different. But bottom line is Miami covers the

1027
00:52:43,920 --> 00:52:46,880
full game. So I probably got out of my element

1028
00:52:47,000 --> 00:52:49,840
a little too much. We'll stick to my element here.

1029
00:52:49,920 --> 00:52:52,239
Cal State northridch team total over eighty two and a half.

1030
00:52:55,360 --> 00:52:58,400
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean we uh the batter's eyes back right.

1031
00:52:58,519 --> 00:53:01,119
This game's at Northridge, so we got that nice big

1032
00:53:01,280 --> 00:53:06,119
black backdrop which they which they tend to shoot extremely

1033
00:53:06,199 --> 00:53:11,079
well against. I seriously think someone, you know, I mean,

1034
00:53:11,119 --> 00:53:13,280
if if there's anyone close to the north Bridge program

1035
00:53:13,360 --> 00:53:15,840
that watches the show, let us know. I feel like

1036
00:53:15,880 --> 00:53:18,000
they did that for a reason, right, Like I feel

1037
00:53:18,039 --> 00:53:24,440
like they they made that gym super shooter friendly. That's

1038
00:53:24,519 --> 00:53:26,400
just what I think, Like, Otherwise, why would you go

1039
00:53:26,480 --> 00:53:29,519
out of your way to put this like massive black

1040
00:53:29,719 --> 00:53:31,239
wall behind the hoops.

1041
00:53:32,360 --> 00:53:32,679
Speaker 2: I don't know.

1042
00:53:32,800 --> 00:53:35,639
Speaker 1: That's just this my conspiracy theory for the day, Rob,

1043
00:53:35,760 --> 00:53:38,320
But like they've shot it better at home. And if

1044
00:53:38,360 --> 00:53:40,239
you go back to the first meeting, like you brought

1045
00:53:40,360 --> 00:53:42,719
up eighty nine to eighty, still got to eighty in

1046
00:53:42,760 --> 00:53:45,639
the first meeting on the road, so I think that's

1047
00:53:45,679 --> 00:53:46,159
a good look.

1048
00:53:46,320 --> 00:53:49,559
Speaker 2: I definitely thought about north Ridge maybe bouncing back. Like

1049
00:53:49,639 --> 00:53:50,119
I said, I.

1050
00:53:51,639 --> 00:53:53,800
Speaker 1: Felt like they were seeing ghosts for some of that

1051
00:53:54,000 --> 00:53:57,239
game against Hawaii because they were getting good looks and

1052
00:53:57,400 --> 00:54:00,159
they just couldn't make them. They just they they just

1053
00:54:00,239 --> 00:54:02,800
sort of like tripped over themselves a couple of different

1054
00:54:02,920 --> 00:54:05,320
a couple of times, and it was it was just

1055
00:54:05,400 --> 00:54:07,599
not their best work. So I don't mind the bounce

1056
00:54:07,679 --> 00:54:10,400
back for north Ridge. There, Rob, let's go to one

1057
00:54:10,480 --> 00:54:14,800
more chat question to close it out. He says, uh

1058
00:54:15,119 --> 00:54:18,960
as this mad Max. He says, fa FAU beats Memphis. Yeah,

1059
00:54:19,039 --> 00:54:22,960
I I listened. Stubborn Trig wants to come back with

1060
00:54:23,119 --> 00:54:25,119
FAU because of course that was a five per center

1061
00:54:25,159 --> 00:54:25,960
for me on Sunday.

1062
00:54:26,280 --> 00:54:27,159
Speaker 2: I got a good number.

1063
00:54:27,719 --> 00:54:29,840
Speaker 1: But the problem, Rob is I felt like they really

1064
00:54:29,960 --> 00:54:34,320
got thoroughly outplayed in most of that game. You know,

1065
00:54:34,480 --> 00:54:37,239
now you're talking Memphis, who's who's been down? But man,

1066
00:54:38,639 --> 00:54:40,519
does it does it feel like Memphis is the type

1067
00:54:40,559 --> 00:54:42,239
of team that, like, you don't really want to go

1068
00:54:42,360 --> 00:54:45,960
against once people are really counting them out, which could

1069
00:54:46,079 --> 00:54:48,639
kind of be this spot here. So that's what kind

1070
00:54:48,679 --> 00:54:51,119
of forced me to pass on this one. But talk

1071
00:54:51,159 --> 00:54:54,440
to me and mad Max Fau Memphis. He looks toward

1072
00:54:54,480 --> 00:54:56,800
the Fau moneyline. He says, no reason for Memphis to

1073
00:54:56,880 --> 00:54:59,360
be favored, and Memphis hasn't been good as a favorite,

1074
00:54:59,360 --> 00:54:59,800
I suppose.

1075
00:55:00,000 --> 00:55:02,519
Speaker 2: So how are you seeing this one, Florida Atlantic Memphis.

1076
00:55:03,519 --> 00:55:06,639
Speaker 3: I can't say I disagree. It's about this far. It's

1077
00:55:06,719 --> 00:55:08,480
not there yet. It's about this far from making my

1078
00:55:08,639 --> 00:55:13,360
card Florida Atlantic in the bounce back role. A couple

1079
00:55:13,440 --> 00:55:16,079
of things that are preventing me is Memphis has shown

1080
00:55:17,280 --> 00:55:21,119
a real capability on the defensive end, and in this league,

1081
00:55:21,159 --> 00:55:23,719
adam against these type teams, I guess that's where I

1082
00:55:23,800 --> 00:55:26,639
have to kind of weigh the difference. Fau is such

1083
00:55:26,679 --> 00:55:30,559
a superior type offensive team to what's actually in this conference,

1084
00:55:30,639 --> 00:55:33,159
the majority of this conference. That you can build nice

1085
00:55:33,159 --> 00:55:38,719
statistical numbers against weaklings that can't really score. But to me,

1086
00:55:39,079 --> 00:55:44,000
Fau has that ability. Can Memphis match them score for

1087
00:55:44,119 --> 00:55:47,559
score is my kind of thought here, and I don't

1088
00:55:47,599 --> 00:55:51,199
know that they can in all honesty. And the point

1089
00:55:51,239 --> 00:55:55,960
about favorite underdog is really relevant with Memphis. You love

1090
00:55:56,079 --> 00:55:58,760
Memphis in the underdog role. We may have said this before,

1091
00:55:58,960 --> 00:56:01,760
but as a favorite seem to fall on their face

1092
00:56:01,800 --> 00:56:03,639
a little bit. This is a game where both teams

1093
00:56:03,679 --> 00:56:06,679
I think are off losses if I remember right, and

1094
00:56:06,800 --> 00:56:10,280
so you could probably build the same case against me

1095
00:56:10,400 --> 00:56:12,599
and say, but Rob, this is Memphis home revenge for

1096
00:56:12,679 --> 00:56:15,800
a Florida Atlantic game plus to off a loss Florida

1097
00:56:15,800 --> 00:56:17,960
Atlantic is off the loss to South Florida. But South

1098
00:56:18,000 --> 00:56:20,800
Florida is such a different team, Adam. When that snowball

1099
00:56:20,880 --> 00:56:25,119
gets going offensively, it becomes an avalanche. And it's just

1100
00:56:25,239 --> 00:56:29,920
difficult to stay with Memphis not a great shooting team,

1101
00:56:29,960 --> 00:56:31,960
and they'll allow you to stay around in games. So

1102
00:56:32,519 --> 00:56:34,440
to me, like I said, I really want to get

1103
00:56:34,480 --> 00:56:38,159
to Fau here. But obviously we've talked about some things.

1104
00:56:38,519 --> 00:56:41,800
You know, you always have to build that list assets

1105
00:56:41,840 --> 00:56:45,760
and liabilities, and there are some liabilities to consider in

1106
00:56:45,920 --> 00:56:48,480
this one with the FAU side. If I can overcome those,

1107
00:56:49,119 --> 00:56:51,920
I'll probably be on FAU with you. But that's the

1108
00:56:52,000 --> 00:56:52,800
side I like here.

1109
00:56:55,360 --> 00:56:59,800
Speaker 1: Bayer's convinced that the Boca Raton's got like MAUI and

1110
00:56:59,840 --> 00:57:04,000
theational like caliber soft grims. So he does not like

1111
00:57:04,079 --> 00:57:07,159
Florida Atlantic when they go on the road, and I

1112
00:57:07,280 --> 00:57:10,960
mean they they there might be something to that.

1113
00:57:11,239 --> 00:57:11,559
Speaker 2: I don't know.

1114
00:57:11,599 --> 00:57:14,239
Speaker 1: I mean, there's always, there's always you know, we just

1115
00:57:14,280 --> 00:57:16,800
talked about north Ridge, right like creating a little bit

1116
00:57:16,840 --> 00:57:19,760
of a home court edge. Maybe they've done something like

1117
00:57:19,840 --> 00:57:24,119
that as well. You know, they played Memphis great the

1118
00:57:24,159 --> 00:57:26,360
first time around. But that that, I guess is where

1119
00:57:26,400 --> 00:57:29,400
I'll finish my point here is you know, they dropped

1120
00:57:29,559 --> 00:57:33,039
ninety eighty nine on Memphis in Boca ratonin in eighty

1121
00:57:33,119 --> 00:57:37,199
nine to seventy eight win where and I'm just gonna

1122
00:57:37,199 --> 00:57:39,440
pull the shooting splits up here. You know, they shot

1123
00:57:39,480 --> 00:57:43,400
fifty one percent from the field. So the other good

1124
00:57:43,480 --> 00:57:46,400
news for FAU in that game, they destroyed Memphis on

1125
00:57:46,440 --> 00:57:49,440
the glass. And I think if you've watched Memphis recently,

1126
00:57:49,559 --> 00:57:52,119
Like it's it's fair to say that this is not

1127
00:57:52,239 --> 00:57:55,719
the caliber of team Penny as has had in recent years.

1128
00:57:55,760 --> 00:57:55,960
Speaker 2: There.

1129
00:57:56,000 --> 00:57:58,679
Speaker 1: I mean, you know, the loss got they got destroyed

1130
00:57:58,960 --> 00:58:02,440
the last two games in Wichita State. Now, Tulsa is

1131
00:58:02,440 --> 00:58:05,280
a very good team. I still think FAU is probably

1132
00:58:05,320 --> 00:58:09,239
better than Wichita State. But at the same time, Penny

1133
00:58:09,280 --> 00:58:11,639
has been good in the rally the troop spot. Right,

1134
00:58:12,039 --> 00:58:14,800
So it's like back to back losses. Now you're at home,

1135
00:58:15,320 --> 00:58:18,079
can you rally the troops a little bit? Maybe it's

1136
00:58:18,119 --> 00:58:20,159
a tough one. I'm with you, though, it'd have to

1137
00:58:20,199 --> 00:58:23,840
be fa you were passed Robino before we close this

1138
00:58:23,920 --> 00:58:26,320
out at the gun, I see folks in the chat

1139
00:58:26,800 --> 00:58:31,519
talking about New Jersey Institute of Technology in Albany. All

1140
00:58:31,599 --> 00:58:34,360
I'll say is like, I think they like nji T

1141
00:58:35,119 --> 00:58:38,079
and see if if Jeremy Clayville comes back tonight, that

1142
00:58:38,119 --> 00:58:41,239
would be a nice boost for nj T. They've he

1143
00:58:41,320 --> 00:58:45,360
hasn't played since January third, and I thought I heard

1144
00:58:45,400 --> 00:58:47,320
a rumor that he might be back tonight, which would

1145
00:58:47,320 --> 00:58:50,840
be uh maybe. I mean Albany sucks like that, don't

1146
00:58:50,840 --> 00:58:53,199
get me right, that's just and I'll come on here

1147
00:58:53,239 --> 00:58:56,880
and say that proudly. That's our that's our in city

1148
00:58:57,039 --> 00:59:01,000
rival for Sianna. So can't stand Albany. Wish nothing but

1149
00:59:01,159 --> 00:59:05,280
the worst for that team, and hopefully hopefully they lose

1150
00:59:05,360 --> 00:59:07,519
tonight to nji T because I think some of the

1151
00:59:07,559 --> 00:59:12,199
boys in the chat will cash. And if Clave's back

1152
00:59:12,239 --> 00:59:16,280
for nji T, that's certainly appealing. Jeremy Clayville from last

1153
00:59:16,360 --> 00:59:19,400
year Saint Francis Red Flash team that went to the

1154
00:59:19,519 --> 00:59:21,519
NCAA Tournament. But yeah, he's been out for a couple

1155
00:59:21,599 --> 00:59:23,880
of games. Would be nice if they got him back,

1156
00:59:23,920 --> 00:59:25,800
and I think he would certainly be worth a point

1157
00:59:26,079 --> 00:59:29,719
or two. All right, rob Bino, we have reached the

1158
00:59:29,800 --> 00:59:33,599
end of the show. I think Bayu loves the parlay tonight.

1159
00:59:33,639 --> 00:59:36,840
That's what I love to hear. We're going to teamer.

1160
00:59:37,000 --> 00:59:41,000
We've got Cal Irvine minus one thirty on the money line.

1161
00:59:41,119 --> 00:59:43,440
It's also a four percent play for me and then

1162
00:59:43,480 --> 00:59:47,159
Vino's going Cal State Northridge team total over eighty two

1163
00:59:47,199 --> 00:59:49,320
and a half little two teamer.

1164
00:59:49,840 --> 00:59:52,159
Speaker 2: The math on that's probably like plus two fifty.

1165
00:59:52,440 --> 00:59:56,599
Speaker 1: I'll have it done if officially if it wins, of course,

1166
00:59:57,400 --> 00:59:59,599
minus five point one to eight units on the parlay

1167
00:59:59,639 --> 01:00:02,960
this year. But we're battling. I feel like we're a

1168
01:00:03,039 --> 01:00:06,199
couple away. Yesterday we had Tennessee Miami let us down.

1169
01:00:06,400 --> 01:00:09,719
The day before Miami of Ohio, UH cost us by

1170
01:00:09,719 --> 01:00:11,760
a half point. Pino, you gotta guess you got to

1171
01:00:11,800 --> 01:00:13,239
stay away from teams named Miami.

1172
01:00:13,400 --> 01:00:14,280
Speaker 2: We're gonna be all set.

1173
01:00:14,400 --> 01:00:20,679
Speaker 1: Yeah, double the firepower, all of my plays, all of

1174
01:00:20,760 --> 01:00:24,239
Veno's plays for any three day span. I'm gonna try

1175
01:00:24,280 --> 01:00:25,679
to make it to a game tonight. We'll see how

1176
01:00:25,719 --> 01:00:28,480
far I get. So check Twitter. You'll see where I

1177
01:00:28,559 --> 01:00:31,239
am in about eight hours from now. But yeah, we'll

1178
01:00:32,199 --> 01:00:34,880
We'll see you guys tomorrow morning. More full court Press,

1179
01:00:34,960 --> 01:00:37,480
ten am Eastern. I believe we're on again with Kelly

1180
01:00:37,599 --> 01:00:39,760
on Saturday. Good luck today. Everyone will see you soon.