Speaker 1: It's Football Friday and time for the weekend's action. Here's
the best bets.
Speaker 2: All right, it is that time that we all look
forward to our best best. We'll give you our three
best college plays, three best NFL plays. TC Martin, Marco
DiAngelo here at the West Kate, Las Vegas at the
super Book, and join us from a place in parts unknown.
You never know where this man is because he is
mister ESPN the college football side. Trevor Matics. Trev what's
going on?
Speaker 1: Brother? How you doing?
Speaker 3: You see? I'm doing great? How are you doing?
Speaker 2: Man?
Speaker 1: We're doing great? Brother.
Speaker 2: Okay, this is the money time conference championship games. Let's
take our three best trev Who do you got?
Speaker 3: Okay? Eight? So let's start with Keennessall State, everybody's favorite team,
Tennisal State is at Jacksonville State and they're in the
Conference USA Conference Championship and they're laying two and a
half on the road. And I like Kenansas State, even
though when they played in the regular season Jackson State won,
but Kensas State had one hundred and forty eight more yards,
but they had four turnovers, they missed the field goal,
they threw interceptions at the Jacksonville State ten yard line
going in twice. They threw one interception in the end zone,
and so I think that this line should be even
more in favor of Kanasas State. The thing is, I
think people see the first game between these two and
they think Jackson State won that one, so Jackson State
should win this one. Well, I think that really Kennesas
should have won that first game, and so I will
take Kanasas State minus two and a half. Now we've
got the Sun Belt Championship game. Toroy is at James Madison.
James Madison's laying twenty three and a half and I
will lay the points with James Madison. That's a ton
of points. But it's a spot as well because if
Duke wins the ACC champions game, they'll have five losses
and probably won't make the playoff as a conference champion.
The champion of the American Conference between two later and
North Texas will definitely be in. And if Duke with
the ACC, then James Madison, as champion of the Sub
Belt has a chance to also be in the playoff,
is one of the top five highest rates conference champions,
and so they have incentive not just to win, but
to run up the score and the staffs favor in
terms of season long metrics favor James Madison. I mean,
they're twenty fourth in the nation in yards per play.
Troy is one hundred and twenty second in yards per play.
Defense is a similar disparity. James Madison is sixth in
the nation and yards per play allowed, Troy is seventy
fourth in yards per play allowed. And I think that
you know, when you look at what they accomplished over
the course of the season, it should be a big
number that James Madison is laying. But I think the
incentive they're running up on Troy is enough for me
to be willing to lay the points because James Madison
is in the playoff mix. Then the third one UNLV.
They're getting five and a half at Boise State, and
I like UNLD plus the points in this game. I
know that Boise beat them the first time around this year,
but UNLB put up four hundred and seventy six yards
of offense. The problem is that they bogged down as
they got close to scoring position. And I think they
will do really well in this game, in part because
their defense has really gotten a lot better in the
last month or so, they needed to win four straight
games to have a chance to win a tiebreaker to
get to the back excuse me, the Mountain West Championship game.
And they did, and their defense rose up and only
gave up an average of sixteen points in each of
those four games, and that included Hawaiian, who was also
in the thick of the title race, and UNLV held
Hawaii to just two hundred and thirty one total yards
and ten points. I think they're deep, that has improved dramatically,
and colambri Ad offense has been absolutely fantastic. I think
that you've got the offense which is mature and doing great.
You've got the defense, which is much better now than
it has been at any time in the year. And
you've got starting quarterback Mattix at Boise State who's coming
back off an injury. He's missed a whole bunch of times.
I expect him to be a bit rusty. You put
it all together, and I'll take the points with the Rebels, all.
Speaker 2: Right, Trevor, Matt's going with the Rebels. Marco D'Angelo, your
three best college plays here in the conference championship weekend.
Speaker 4: Let's start with the MAC Conference and I'm going to
take Miami of Ohio. I think the wrong team is
favored in this game. I think Miami, Ohio should be favored.
Even though Western Michigan has the better record, they played
a tougher schedule Miami. If you go back to the
beginning of the season, they opened the season first five games.
Four of their first five games were on the road.
The lone home game was against UNLV and that was
a barn burner we talked about at earlier today. I
think they get the job done here. They run the
football well they once they got the conference play. One
hundred and fifty yards is what the average was or
more every game but two Western Michigan. Their strength is
running the football. Guess what Miami does best stop the run.
I'll take the match up with Miami of Ohio. Second one,
we already talked about this earlier today. It's Indiana. For me,
I'm gonna buy the scenario that the game means more
to Indiana than it does Ohio State, and I'm gonna
take the points with them, and if they meet again
down the road, I'll probably have a different opinion. And
for the last one, I like chaos. I want chaos.
I'm rooting for Duke.
Speaker 1: You take it.
Speaker 4: I am looking for Duke to win and just knock
Virginia out open up a couple more spots so then
we don't have to have the debate. Does Miami get
in or does Notre Dame get in? Lift them both in.
I'm taking Duke plus the points out right.
Speaker 1: I feel we have a food bet coming.
Speaker 3: Marco.
Speaker 1: You dwell on that for the next seven or eight minutes.
How's that?
Speaker 4: How's that?
Speaker 1: Okay?
Speaker 2: Texas Tech and byu, Trevor, I love you, and I
love the Cougar tail, but I gotta go against your brother.
I gotta go against you. I hate to do it,
but this Texas Tech team is rolling right now. They
have got the complete package offensively and defensively. And here's
the deal with Texas Tech. I've been screaming into the mountaintop.
This defense is for real, just like Indiana. I think
their defense is for real as well too. But you know,
the most points given up in a game by Texas
Tech is twenty two all season long, that's the highest.
Speaker 1: Number they've given up in a game is twenty two.
Speaker 2: They actually lost that game to Arizona State, all right,
and they use that as really motivation too.
Speaker 1: They have two shutouts on their resume.
Speaker 2: They've given up seven points in one game, nine points,
ten points, eleven points, fourteen twice, and then a next
high of seventeen. This offense is the same juggernaut that
we've seen in Texas Tech teams before, but the difference
is the defense. Texas Tech all offense and all defense,
and they beat BYU twenty nine to seven earlier this season.
In that game, BYU did not score until they got
a courtesy touchdown with six minutes left in the game.
And in that game, BYU only had two hundred and
fifty five total yards. They were three for fourteen on
third down courtesy of the Tech defense. This is going
to be another complete domination by Texas Tech. I like
BYU has shown up, and I'm sure it'll be a
little bit. It will be more competitive than it was
the first time around. But Texas Tech they've got they've
got something on their mind here, and that's a national championship.
I'll take Texas Tech laying a rather high number here
of twelve and a half, but they did it before.
I think they can do it again to BYU and
then the SEC Championship game, loved game.
Speaker 1: Every year, all right, played in Atlanta.
Speaker 2: Is Georgia minus two and a half against Alabama. Georgia
is just as hot, maybe as Texas Tech right now.
And actually Georgia's been getting better each and every week,
and they're facing a very familiar opponent in Alabama.
Speaker 1: Revenge is one hundred.
Speaker 2: Percent there because Georgia lost to Alabama twenty four to
twenty one. Oh and Kirby Smart has been reminded by
everyone down in the SEC and the national media that
he's one in seven against Alabama. That is going to
change and Georgia is going to roll the Tide. I
love you Mark McMillan, all right, but this week it's
going to be all about Georgia in that game. Though
when they played earlier this year that Bama won by
three points. Bama actually dominated that game until the fourth
quarter and Georgia rallied back, but it was just too late.
Speaker 1: In that game, Georgia ran the ball for.
Speaker 2: Two hundred and twenty seven yards, one hundred more than
Alabama in that game. I think that Kirby Smart in
this Georgia team has learned that loss. Alabama has shown
holes in that loss to Oklahoma. I can't forgive him
for that. Georgia wins in two and a half is
a bargain for one of the best teams in the
country against a team that is really on the fringe
of making.
Speaker 1: It into the college football playoff.
Speaker 2: And finally, I'm going against you, Mark, I really shocked
that you're taking Duke because Duke has no business in
this game whatsoever. Duke is playing for a conference championship?
Are you kidding me? Their best win is against Clemson,
and that was forty six to forty five. Earlier in
the season. They didn't play Miami, they didn't play Florida State,
they didn't play your pit, they didn't play Louisville, and
they lost to Yukon into Illinois in Tulane, Georgia Tech
and Virginia. What are we talking about here? Virginia beat
Duke thirty four to seventeen. In that game, they rolled
up five hundred and forty yards. They smoked them. I'm
calling for more smoke. I'm calling for more check and wings.
Uva rolls and they got something.
Speaker 1: To play for.
Speaker 2: Duke, forget about it. Can't compete against Virginia.
Speaker 4: Is this a house monster?
Speaker 5: You know it would be a house monster, but you
already acc you already lost. Yeah, it's a Cadillac chicken
wing house monster.
Speaker 1: How's that, Trevor?
Speaker 3: Go ahead, brother, house monster? What's the house monster?
Speaker 2: Well, the house monster is when I lose my mind
and I just say that I love this game and
bet the house. Bet the house. That is the TC
Martin house monster. This one's kind.
Speaker 4: Of he's living in a over the country.
Speaker 1: What's that?
Speaker 3: Is that? Why you have houses all over the country
and in Hawaiian.
Speaker 2: I think you have to be confused with some of
the other folks who work with the ESPN because you.
Speaker 3: Bet the house and you win it. Now you gotta
you gotta go live in that one for a while.
Speaker 1: You know, I got sh there?
Speaker 3: You go? All right?
Speaker 1: What do you got? Brother? What do you got? NFL side?
Speaker 2: And I'm sorry, I'm forgetting forget me going against BYU.
But I hope I made a little sound logic there.
Speaker 3: You know. You want business is business? Have you ever
seen the movie Casino? Yes, when Joe Feshy took people
out to the cornfield with an axe handle, it was
just business man. It wasn't personal. It just wasn't personal,
So don't worry about it.
Speaker 1: The Hall of Favorite the BYU Hall of Famer Trevor Mattice.
Speaker 3: All right, well, let's see if this is a Hall
of Fame. Pak Okay, So Jacksonville is hosting the Colts
start getting a point and a half, and I like
Jacksonville in this game. The Colts started out hot and
they have cooled down dramatically. They've lost three and the
last four games. Jonathan Taylor running back, averaged basically three
to four yards depending on those games on the ground,
so he hasn't been dominant. Part of the reason he
hasn't been dominant is that there's quarterback issues there. Daniel
Jones is playing with a broken bone in his leg.
He's not mobile, and when he's not mobile, he's got
to be Peyton Manning in the pocket, and he's not
that gun. And he has struggled as well, and defensees
have taken off on him. Jacksonville actually happens to have
one of the better pass rushes in the NFL, and
by the way, they're one of the better run stopping
teams in the NFL as well. Their defense has been
doing really well in stopping to run. And so if
the Colts can't get Jonathan Taylor going there in trouble,
and I don't think that they will, and I think
Jacksonville is going to cover that point in a half.
So Miami is at the Jets. The Jets are getting
three points at home, and I am going with Gang Green.
I'm going with the Jets to Actually I think they'll
win out right, but I'll take the points with them.
The thing is, they had been actually doing quite well
over their last five games. Depending on who you ask,
they're either five to zero or four and one against
the spread. Their defense, which has taken a little bit
of time to kind of get used to Aaron Glyn's
defensive schemes, and they had to get some backups rolled
in because they have some injuries. Very quietly, their defense
has been very good. They've been doing a really good
good job over the last month or so, and so
the offense has been doing better for the Jets because
they've done much better at getting the ball distributed to
some very good playmakers. Meantime, to a tongue by Lowa,
the my Onmi quarterback is zero to seven in games
that are forty degrees or lower. This one's expected to
be in that vicinity, and so I will take the
Jets plus the three points, and I will fade to
a tonguo by Lowa, and I will bet with the
Jets resurgent defense. Then I've got a total, of course,
and that is Pittsburgh at Baltimore, and the total there
is forty two and a half. And I will go
under on this one. And really this is a bet
against two quarterbacks that are banged up. Stewart's quarterback Eric
Rodgers is playing with a broken bone in his non
throwing hand. But man, has he been terrible. He's just awful.
He's been noble, he has been gutty and courageous, but
that he has not been effective. And so I will
consider that he will continue to be ineffective against the
Ravens defense that, once it got healthy about mid season,
is starting to play much better. And then on the
other side, Lamar Jackson didn't even practice yesterday. He was
a limited participant on Wednesday. He missed a bunch of
games with a hamstring. Now he's got an ankle problem reportedly,
and even when he is playing recently coming back from
that hamstring injury. He's been turning the ball over, he
hasn't been running very much. He hasn't been very effective
at all. And I think on a cold, blustery day,
just like the Steelers have problems with their quarterback with injury,
I think the Ravens have the same problem with their quarterback.
And I'm going to pay both quarterbacks in this game
and take the end.
Speaker 1: Of all Right, Trev good stuff, Marco D'Angelo, what do
you got.
Speaker 4: I'm going to start with one of the marquee games
on the card this week, and I'm looking at the
Minnesota Washington game. I'm going to take Minnesota and the
return of JJ McCarthy. Not a of JJ, but man,
he is a site for sore eyes compared to what
was behind center last week. And the thing last week,
if you remember, I was on Washington and the reason
I was on Washington they were coming out of their
bye week and it was a TV game. And I say,
teams that are out of it, the only time you're
going to get a performance from them late in the
season is spoiler against the division rival or primetime standalone game.
That's what you got last week out of Washington, and
what happened to end up losing a gut wrencher in overtime.
They went for two points for the win as they
were supposed to, but came up short. I'll take Minnesota
in that defense. This week, they got embarrassed in Seattle
Play number two. Well, I'm gonna buckheads with my buddy Trevor.
I'm going with the Indianapolis Colts. The Colts have four
losses on the season, all of them have been by
seven points or less. And you look at some of
the teams that they lost to. They lost to the Rams,
they lost to Houston, they lost to Kansas City. Kansas
City good defense, but underachieving. The other two teams are
the best defense in the league in Houston, and the
Rams are Super Bowl favorites probably right now out of
the NFC, so I think they get the job done.
I am not convinced on Jacksonville, and yes, I will
take Daniel Jones over Trevor Lawrence in this one last
one for you, TC, I am gonna go with Kansas City. Yes,
They're backs are against the wall, Yes Houston is playing great,
but I just cannot see Houston back to back weeks
on the road playing three monster games in a row
to be able to deliver another one here in Kansas City.
This is the season. Give Andy Reid three extra days
to prepare. That's already had a coaching edge over the
Houston head coach. This makes it a little bit better.
Give me the Kansas City Chiefs. They live on.
Speaker 2: So let me get this straight. Last week, you bet
cam Ward. This week you're betting J. J.
Speaker 1: McCarthy. Yes you're listening, but not watching. You cash tickets
for those quarterbacks.
Speaker 4: Who's leading the pack?
Speaker 1: I'm I'm talking about these two. Come on, there you
go again.
Speaker 4: So Trevor, trust the process. Just trust the process.
Speaker 2: Trevor snaps the ball to the quarterback. He did that
for a living. He's not snapping the ball to those
kind of guys. I'll tell you right now.
Speaker 3: Well what GC went six and o last week, So
I'm going with his evaluation here.
Speaker 1: I love this guy.
Speaker 2: See, here's the guy even though I picked against his
alma mater, you know, and he still got my back.
Speaker 1: See that's a real friend too.
Speaker 3: You were you will five and one, right Marco?
Speaker 4: Now last week I was three and three. But you know,
for I'm the leader of the pack for the season,
and he keeps.
Speaker 3: Your mind before that, because that's pretty good too.
Speaker 5: Yeah, all right, fellas, Let's go Seattle in Atlanta.
Speaker 2: Okay, Atlanta's done. They're pathetic. They lost six of the
last seven games, including last week to the Jets. Seattle
is solid. They're playing for home field avantas in the playoffs.
Who would have thought that.
Speaker 3: Huh.
Speaker 2: Yes, They've won three out of their last four games
by at least twenty two points. Think about that. No
slip up here, Seattle. I'll lay the seven at Atlanta,
no problem. And Tampa Bay and New Orleans same thing.
Let's pick on more NFC South garbage. The Saints stink.
Tampa Bay must win just like they did last week.
Beat Arizona, and they beat New Orleans twenty three to
three back in October.
Speaker 1: Expect more of the same. Don't overthink it.
Speaker 2: Go against Atlanta, go against the Saints against teams that
will be in the playoffs or buying for playoff spots.
And then finally, Philadelphia and the Chargers on Monday Night.
I think it is a great spot for the Philadelphia Eagles.
I know they've been sliding a little bit. I realize this.
It's also crunch time, and this is where Philly's gonna
get it going.
Speaker 1: Here.
Speaker 2: They're coming off, you know again, you know, a couple
bad performances, two extra days rests, coming off that lost
to Chicago. But they're gonna be ready for a Charger
team that has injuries galore, including quarterback Justin Herbert. Here,
Philadelphia is going to fire back. They're gonna get the win.
And remember Philadelphia has not lost three games in a
row in over three years.
Speaker 1: I say, fly Eagles, fly in this.
Speaker 2: Game, short number on the road, two and a half
in a place where they will have home field advantage
in Los Angeles.
Speaker 4: Can't argue that they everybody has home field against the
Chargers in LA.
Speaker 2: Those are best Bets and Trevor managed, Marco DiAngelo myself.
Those are up on the website as well as their
other handicapper extraordinaire Scott Spreutzer, who has been on fire
this year as well, and of course Jay Schrader gil
Be the intern. All up there at TC martinshow dot com.
Check out the best bets page. Check out everything there
the past interviews and a great interview from just earlier
in the week on Wednesday with Trevor talking about the
college football playoff rankings. All right, parting words, Trevy.
Speaker 3: Wood, you guys are in trouble because you know how
I picked U n lv plus the points. Yes, well
guess what, Jay the quarterback and Gilby the intern also
have U n lv plus the points. You guys are
in trouble.
Speaker 1: Okay, so be it. And this is why they played
the game.
Speaker 3: But we're together on this.
Speaker 1: I love that. And see, that's that's it.
Speaker 2: You you got the togetherness, you got the old line
and the quarterback, and you got the water boy.
Speaker 1: That's good, Trevor. That's it.
Speaker 2: You got Jay the quarterback, and you got the water boy.
That's important because you need the water boy, you know,
especially when you're in the trenches there and it's late
in the game and the time out.
Speaker 4: We got to wrap this up.
Speaker 2: Yeah, thanks, treving yourself a good weekend, brother, enjoy the games.
Speaker 3: Thanks.
Speaker 1: I appreciate Trevor Man GSPN College Football