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Speaker 1: All right, welcome in. Everybody is Friday. It's time for

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full court press. Our guy Rob Vino is going to

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be in the sky in a minute. He's flying to

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Vegas today. As you know from the East coast. That's

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like an all day long flight, all day thing. But

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we've got Matt Winnick with us. If you've been with

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us since the beginning of the year, you remember Matt

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a couple of times from Thanksgiving week Feast week we

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had him in twice.

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Speaker 2: So Matt, welcome back.

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Speaker 1: And for the new people that we've dragged in along

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the way, introduce yourself and let them know where they

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can find your stuff.

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Speaker 3: Yep, Matthew at Matthew Winnock on Twitter. A lot of

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content on Basket Under Review and then everything else. All

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my other ramblings will just be on my Twitter page.

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College basketball is my three hundred and sixty five day

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year job. So it's it's college hoops every day.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I can't say enough about the Basket under Review site.

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I mean, I've been friends with the three man weave

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guys or a decade now, I think at this point,

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and you know, to get everyone in the same place.

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Speaker 2: Essentially was a genius idea it is. I don't know.

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Speaker 1: If you don't go there for like your home base

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for college basketball coverage, I think you're doing yourself a disservice.

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Speaker 2: So truly incredible.

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Speaker 1: This was the first year it was Basket under Review

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in the kind of this format, and it's been outstanding.

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Speaker 2: And there's still there's still a lot of games to play. Matre.

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Speaker 1: We're it's almost over, but it's like just starting in

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a sense, right, Like we still have n I T

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games this weekend, a slew of games the next three days.

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And you know I always start the show with a

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feature game, but yesterday I said to Rob, there's no

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feature getting there all bit, every game is like the

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same magnitude. One tournament game is not bigger than the other.

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So I'm gonna start. We started talking off air, and

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we're gonna start with a little two for one. I

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want to talk both one seeds against the both won

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sixteen matchups today. So you've got Florida playing Prairie View,

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Arizona playing Long Island. Yes, this was my way to

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incorporate Sienna College Sienna University now into the show one

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more time. You know, it was a heartbreaker for me,

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even though I had a nice win out plus twenty

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nine and a half. Everyone in the country was a

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Sienna fan for a minute yesterday, at least for a

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little bit. But the reason I bring that up is

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because I think, listen, if you've really followed some of

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these smaller teams this year, Howard Sianna, like, I don't

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think it was crazy to think that Sienna would would

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sort of have a good showing in that game. I

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don't think anyone expected them to have a thirteen point

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second half lead, even Howard at one point, Matt. They

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went to UNC Wilmington Trash Coliseum and won on the road,

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So to think that they could cover thirty against Michigan

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not crazy. I guess what I'm trying to set up

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here is the two sixteen seeds today. I just don't

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know how the same jew as yesterday's. I'm gonna look

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at Florida, I'm gonna look at Arizona. Do you think

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both big favorite smash in the one verse sixteens today?

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Speaker 3: I do, but I think they're gonna do it in

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different ways. For Florida, I just think that praiview A

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and M's a really bad team, Like they're winning a

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lot of games. Of course it was the Swack and

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of course it was Lehigh, and we've seen in recent

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years that Swack teams kind of have an edge in

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these you know, typically a Slack team's gonna play like

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a Northeast team, whether it's the America East or the

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Patriot or the NEC or whatever it might be, and

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they just have such an athleticism edge if they find

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a way to win those games. No athleticism edge against

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Florida and Prayview. A and M's offense is basically just

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Dante Horden going io in the mid range and Florida

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will be like cool, I'm good with that. I have

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Prairieview team total under in that game it's sixty ish

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Ken Pomas, it's sixty one. I just think that Florida

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don't want to take the full game under because Florida

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might score one hundred and ten points. But I do

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not think pray View top sixty. In the other game,

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lu is gonna run with Arizona, and as a mid major,

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big underdog, you don't want to run with Arizona. That

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seems like a disaster. Lu can actually shoot the three,

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and Arizona defends the rim really well. I think that

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Arizona picks their number and could score one hundred and

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ten points on LU because of the game's going to

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be so fast.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I kind of feel like both these teams could

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pick their number. I was at the Florida Arkansas game

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a couple of weeks ago down in Gainesville where they

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seemingly picked their number on an SEC team, and they

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did that a couple of times this year. So for

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me like that, if I had to look at the two,

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I guess I do have some respect for l IU

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and the way they've played up a couple of times

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in the last couple of years to some bigger opponents.

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Speaker 2: But I'm with you in the respect that this was.

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Speaker 1: I'm sure LU would have rather had Duke as well, right,

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like something that like contrasted a style a little bit, because, Yeah,

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if you're going to get in a track meet for

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forty minutes or that's you know, the way that you

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would want to play, you probably don't want to do

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it against Arizona. But Florida is the team where it's

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like it's gonna just come down to if they have

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any mercy or not, if they want to put up

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one hundred and ten one hundred and fifteen today they'll

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they'll do that, And that's the one I kind of

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look and say, Okay, thirty, we're at thirty five.

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Speaker 2: Thirty five and a half hasn't really moved much.

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Speaker 1: So it's not like you've had a scenario, not like

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a Michigan where you know, the number came out and

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then it was bet three four points. In the other way,

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you could still easily take like thirty five minus one

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fifteen at some of the more public books right now

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that there's those do exist right now at a couple

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of the legals, is what I meant to say. And man,

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I kind of think Florida could have the fifty point

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win today. So if I had to choose one of

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those two, I think I'd lay it with the Gators

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for sure.

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Speaker 3: And put it this way, Florida won by twenty six

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points against Norfolk State last year in the first run

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as a one seed. Pray View is one hundred and

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two spots worse on camp than Norfolk State was during

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that game.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, and something I wanted to bring up before we

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move on, because I Slick Vick here says, you know,

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Sienna was up thirteen points, and they were up eleven

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at halftime, yet they were still plus eleven and a

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half on the live line.

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Speaker 2: Yeah.

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Speaker 1: So I saw this on Twitter, and this sounds right

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to me. I didn't check this, like I didn't fact

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check this. But even with Sienna having a thirteen point

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lead in the second half, they were never an in

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game favorite to win the game. So Duke was always

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still the in play favorite, even going into the under

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sixteen media time out still down double digits, they were

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always the in play favorite to win the game. That

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shows you the difference or the golf in talent between

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the ones and the sixteens. But I think it's more

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pronounced today than maybe the books are even sort of saying.

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So I listen, the two sixteen seeds, Sienna and Howard

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covered the number yesterday.

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Speaker 2: I think I think you could see a one seed

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sweep there today.

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Speaker 1: I wouldn't be at all surprised if Arizona and Florida

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covered the number today.

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Speaker 3: You know, I want you to guess, what do you

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think the lowest percent chance Ken Palm gave Duke at

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any point during that game yesterday.

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Speaker 1: Lowest percent chance, I think, so basically, what percent chance

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did Sienna have to win?

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Speaker 2: Like what was the highest for them or could I

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look at them either way?

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Speaker 3: Whatever we went want to slice, I can do the

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inverse math.

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Speaker 1: I would say Sienna got as high as like a

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fifteen percent chance to win the game.

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Speaker 3: Not bad, twenty four point two percent, and that was

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when they were leading sixty one fifty six with eight

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minutes for me.

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Speaker 2: Okay, so that was on the live run and it

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was done.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean it's just like and so then just

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to do a little comparison, like yesterday you had Sienna

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opened twenty nine and a half and Howard was up

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as high as I think thirty or thirty one. You're

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really only being asked to lay a couple more points

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in today's games. Yet this just feels like such a

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bigger gap than those two. Maybe it's the benefit of

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hindsight having seen them play, but I'll just go back

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to like Howard going in to win at Wilmington, Sienna

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sort of you know, playing the way that they were

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playing going into that at that game and having a

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Gaven Dotie and stuff like that. This these two six

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teams just seem so much weaker to me that I

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think you could take both one seats.

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Speaker 3: I wouldn't say that. I mean LU is in the

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in the territory of Howard and then territory of Sienna.

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It's just Arizona is such a bad matchup for a

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team that wants to run and has to get to

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the rim, like you got to be slow and shoot threes.

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I mean, think about when Tommy Lloyd last lost a

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first round game against Princeton, and think about how different

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Lu is than Princeton, And that's just like Princeton is

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the style of team that has a chance in a

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game like this, and lu is just not. Not to mention,

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I don't think that Rod Strickland's anywhere near the coach

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that Mitchenderson is.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I had a big play on Princeton in that

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game and then the next game that was was three

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years ago. Best tournament in my life from a from

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a betting standpoint. I I don't know if I'll ever

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recreate that. We can always we can always try. I

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think I had hit fourteen straight bets that tournament before

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losing a bet that like should have like, I lost

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like inexplicable loss to end the streak.

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Speaker 2: So it's always how it goes, I had.

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Speaker 1: I had a good run last week that ended on

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cal Baptist Utah Valley, which I maybe we'll get to

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cal Baptist at some point. But yeah, it always it

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always seems like when you're really on a big run,

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it's gonna end on some crazy like just gave you

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probably should have won anyway. Yeah, all right, Garth, let's

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get Garth going here. He said rough o in three

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day yesterday. Yeah, we got a bet. What we're gonna

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bounce back Garth. He's had a great season. He's a

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regular contributor to the to the chat. Appreciate the donation.

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He wants to go. UCLA. They're taking on UCF. I

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guess the lead into this game, Matt, is you know

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the health of UCLA. I thought that they were playing

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great ball and then they kind of you know, I

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didn't even think they played poorly. Without a couple guys

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in the Big ten tournament. I think they're probably at

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full strength today. I'd be shocked if they don't show

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up with everyone ready to go. It's the NCAA tournament.

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But I don't know, have you heard anything different? And

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how are you seeing UCLA UCF abill it was.

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Speaker 3: At least a question mark bent for sures in the

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thing with UCLA is they don't really have a true big.

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Xavier Booker at the five is a little undersized under

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physical physicality wise, UCF is a very physical frontcourt and

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they're very big j Michael Stillwell and John Bowle that

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I think ucl wins this game. UCLA is the way

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more skilled team, They're the better coach team. But I

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convividly remember watching I was on Texas Tech going into UCF.

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I think this would be in January, and Texas Tech,

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just as a smaller team with smaller guards, really struggled

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with the interior size of UCF. And though I do

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think UCLA wins this game, I'm a little bit hesitant

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on the multi possession spread because I wonder how physical

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UCF is down low and what type of issues that

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gives UCLA, especially if Tyler Bildeau was limited.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, so I'm glad you brought up the Texas Tech

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game that was actually January thirty first. It was definitely

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the high point of the season so far for UCF

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because after winning that game, they they finished the regular

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season three and six. They split in the Big Twelve tournament,

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but I think more concerning, if you will, than the record,

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there was the fact that like Houston twenty four point loss,

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Cincinnati twenty four point loss, got crushed, gave up one

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to eleven to Oklahoma State, gave up eighty seven to Baylor,

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got blown out by West Virginia last game of the

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regular season, and then just got crushed by Arizona in

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the Big Twelve tournament. So some very lopsided losses, some

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you know, like I really felt like their defense started

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to go in that last month of the season. But

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it's an interesting I always it's always interesting going conference tournament,

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especially when you get eliminated early to NCAA tournament because

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you get the week off. This will be eight days

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since they last played. And I think something that I'm

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trying to figure out exactly how I want to like

253
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quantify it, because more of these teams play today.

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Speaker 2: But man, the Big twelve best.

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Speaker 1: Conference I think in college basketball this year, at least

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at the top, and those teams really like beat up

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on each other. So you gotta do you give the

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Big Twelve teams a little bit of a of a

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break when they maybe had a rough February. Now that

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like they're nearing the end of the gauntlet. They're exhausted,

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and now they get eight days to sort of regroup

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and you know, kind of like reset.

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Speaker 2: Does that make you like more because of that?

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Speaker 3: Maybe the Big Ten? I mean, I guess the head Wisconsin,

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the SEC also did very well. Georgia obviously laid a stinker,

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but everyone else won at least so far. I guess

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at the end of the day, maybe, especially because UCF

268
00:13:20,840 --> 00:13:22,879
was a little banged up down the stretch, as everyone was.

269
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John Boll got hurt in they were lost in the

270
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Big Twelve tournament, but he should be fine. I just

271
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think about how physical the Big Twelve is, like how

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00:13:30,720 --> 00:13:33,720
many teams trap ball screens and how many teams rebound

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00:13:33,799 --> 00:13:38,279
really well, and like maybe that actually adds value to

274
00:13:38,399 --> 00:13:41,679
UCF because they endured that. And yeah, they struggled down

275
00:13:41,720 --> 00:13:44,960
the stretch, but it's like they did play a lot

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of you know, really physical, big teams and they were

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00:13:47,559 --> 00:13:51,480
very good in the non con. So again, I think

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UCLA wins. But as someone who loves I think UCLA

279
00:13:55,279 --> 00:13:58,639
is awesome. I think they're underrated. I am a little

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worried about the size this matchup.

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00:14:02,519 --> 00:14:04,080
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, you could look at it from the

282
00:14:04,240 --> 00:14:06,519
if you're looking at it from the UCLA side, I mean,

283
00:14:07,480 --> 00:14:10,799
prior to kind of getting some tough injury lot going

284
00:14:10,840 --> 00:14:13,080
into the Purdue game, they I mean, they looked as

285
00:14:13,120 --> 00:14:14,399
good as they've looked all season.

286
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Speaker 2: Yeah, beating Michigan State.

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Speaker 1: I think a full strength UCLA has a very good

288
00:14:19,360 --> 00:14:21,879
chance to beat Perdue in that game. Already beat them

289
00:14:21,919 --> 00:14:24,840
once during the regular season and down the stretch. I mean,

290
00:14:24,879 --> 00:14:28,039
if you if you'll forgive the hiccup at the Barn,

291
00:14:28,480 --> 00:14:29,519
which is which is fine.

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Speaker 2: That's a tough place to play.

293
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Speaker 1: And you know, that was a kind of a one

294
00:14:33,000 --> 00:14:35,559
off road game for them going up to Minnesota on

295
00:14:35,639 --> 00:14:38,919
a one off like they have been as impressive as

296
00:14:38,960 --> 00:14:40,679
anyone since like mid February.

297
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Speaker 3: And not to be not to be a Mick Cronin apologist,

298
00:14:44,919 --> 00:14:47,039
but I think in a way, and I kind of

299
00:14:47,120 --> 00:14:49,480
took this lesson last year when I picked Utah State

300
00:14:49,559 --> 00:14:51,679
to beat UCLA in the around of sixty four last year,

301
00:14:51,679 --> 00:14:54,519
and it wasn't even close in a way New Big

302
00:14:54,720 --> 00:14:57,759
Ten teams or in any of these conferences West Coast

303
00:14:57,759 --> 00:14:59,440
teams that have to go back and forth coast to

304
00:14:59,519 --> 00:15:02,639
coast every other week are underrated because if you look

305
00:15:02,720 --> 00:15:06,320
at all of UCLA's worst results, double digit loss at

306
00:15:06,399 --> 00:15:09,919
Ohio State, double digit loss at Michigan at Michigan State,

307
00:15:10,080 --> 00:15:14,159
loss at Minnesota, like you mentioned at Wisconsin at Iowa State.

308
00:15:14,519 --> 00:15:16,840
Their only home loss in lead and play was a

309
00:15:16,960 --> 00:15:19,840
double overtime one point lost to Indiana. They were very

310
00:15:19,840 --> 00:15:22,320
good in the Big Ten tournament. They were pretty good

311
00:15:22,360 --> 00:15:25,639
in the non con almost to beat Arizona, competed with Gonzaga,

312
00:15:25,960 --> 00:15:28,120
and then they were awesome at home. So in a way,

313
00:15:28,919 --> 00:15:31,080
these teams that have to go back and forth and

314
00:15:31,120 --> 00:15:33,879
back and forth every other week are probably a little underrated,

315
00:15:33,879 --> 00:15:36,039
at least in power rankings at this time of the year.

316
00:15:37,559 --> 00:15:40,759
Speaker 1: Yeah, and the other thing is too, it's like travel

317
00:15:41,000 --> 00:15:43,720
for the NCAA tournament is not the same as travel

318
00:15:43,879 --> 00:15:44,919
during the regular season.

319
00:15:45,039 --> 00:15:48,159
Speaker 2: Like everyone is getting in a plane and going somewhere.

320
00:15:48,919 --> 00:15:51,759
Speaker 1: You're showing up multiple days early, everyone's running through the

321
00:15:51,879 --> 00:15:56,039
same practice, media session, it's all the same thing. So

322
00:15:56,159 --> 00:15:58,960
it's like there are travel spots that are tough. Like

323
00:15:59,519 --> 00:16:02,399
I remember, just because I have friends that went to

324
00:16:02,559 --> 00:16:05,879
Seaton Hall. I remember Seaton Hall got sent out like

325
00:16:06,639 --> 00:16:08,919
after they like they got sent way out West and

326
00:16:09,000 --> 00:16:10,919
it was like a logistical nightmare and then they got

327
00:16:11,000 --> 00:16:13,559
smashed by like Gonzaga, Like there's there's always gonna be

328
00:16:13,639 --> 00:16:16,559
like a couple like of Outliers. But for the most part,

329
00:16:16,679 --> 00:16:21,159
I don't think travel is ever like a huge deal

330
00:16:21,559 --> 00:16:24,759
for NCAA tournament because they get there a.

331
00:16:24,840 --> 00:16:27,159
Speaker 3: Question for you then not to skip a hat or

332
00:16:27,240 --> 00:16:28,600
to go off of track. But I know that we

333
00:16:28,639 --> 00:16:31,960
don't really care on the show that much as someone

334
00:16:32,000 --> 00:16:35,720
who picked Santa Clara today. Are we worried that it's

335
00:16:35,759 --> 00:16:39,320
a nine to fifteen am local tip for their top

336
00:16:39,360 --> 00:16:39,879
body clock?

337
00:16:41,320 --> 00:16:43,639
Speaker 1: You know, that's a really interesting like the body clock

338
00:16:43,759 --> 00:16:46,399
thing is very interesting in my opinion, we can go

339
00:16:46,559 --> 00:16:49,559
right to that game because I'm the interesting thing about

340
00:16:49,600 --> 00:16:52,600
that game, Matt, is how many how many people are

341
00:16:52,639 --> 00:16:55,519
gravitating toward the Santa Claric side kind of acting like

342
00:16:55,639 --> 00:16:58,159
Kentucky just doesn't have much of a chance.

343
00:17:00,200 --> 00:17:02,279
Speaker 2: Uh that's you? So you so you who do you

344
00:17:02,440 --> 00:17:03,120
like your Kentucky?

345
00:17:03,799 --> 00:17:06,119
Speaker 3: I like no, I like Santa Clara here, Okay, I

346
00:17:06,200 --> 00:17:07,920
mean they have a chance.

347
00:17:07,759 --> 00:17:10,960
Speaker 1: But right, but but I guess, like I guess you

348
00:17:11,039 --> 00:17:13,559
know it, just you know what I don't I made

349
00:17:13,599 --> 00:17:16,440
this whole point the other day. This tournament is the

350
00:17:16,559 --> 00:17:19,200
one time of year where you you can't worry if

351
00:17:19,319 --> 00:17:22,480
like every like the public underdog is not a thing

352
00:17:22,599 --> 00:17:25,359
because it's it's March madness. The public is going to

353
00:17:25,519 --> 00:17:27,960
love almost every underdog. And I kind of made this

354
00:17:28,079 --> 00:17:31,160
point with South Florida. They were a super public like

355
00:17:31,960 --> 00:17:35,400
publicly backed dog yesterday. Now I didn't know it would

356
00:17:35,400 --> 00:17:37,000
go the way it did where they go down twenty

357
00:17:37,039 --> 00:17:39,519
and then have to like fight back, but I never

358
00:17:39,640 --> 00:17:42,480
put that stock. Like Miami, Ohio today is another one.

359
00:17:42,799 --> 00:17:44,599
I don't think you should worry about, like the fact

360
00:17:44,599 --> 00:17:46,480
that everyone likes them, wants them to win, so on

361
00:17:46,519 --> 00:17:48,400
and so forth. But but yeah, we can stay on

362
00:17:48,519 --> 00:17:51,839
this game. So West to I've always found West to

363
00:17:51,920 --> 00:17:54,240
East is tougher. I feel like you can. You can

364
00:17:54,319 --> 00:17:56,400
do that in any sport where it's like, go look

365
00:17:56,440 --> 00:17:59,640
at the NFL West Coast teams struggle in that one

366
00:17:59,720 --> 00:18:03,519
PM kick all the time. It's just like every year

367
00:18:04,200 --> 00:18:06,200
sometimes they stay on the East Coast because of it.

368
00:18:06,359 --> 00:18:09,880
So I know, for me, I've lived in New York

369
00:18:09,960 --> 00:18:12,680
my entire life. Anytime I go out to the West Coast,

370
00:18:13,119 --> 00:18:16,519
coming back is always more difficult. So yeah, there could

371
00:18:16,559 --> 00:18:19,319
be something to the early tip and maybe the body

372
00:18:19,359 --> 00:18:22,960
clocks not being adjusted. But Santa Clara, unlike some of

373
00:18:23,000 --> 00:18:26,079
the other West Coast teams, I do believe Santa Clara's

374
00:18:26,119 --> 00:18:27,319
come East at least once.

375
00:18:27,720 --> 00:18:29,680
Speaker 2: Didn't they win at Xavier earlier this year.

376
00:18:29,920 --> 00:18:32,480
Speaker 3: Yep, it killed Xavier killed.

377
00:18:32,640 --> 00:18:35,680
Speaker 1: So sometimes sometimes, like I don't know, I think it's

378
00:18:35,720 --> 00:18:38,279
maybe a little bit more difficult for the team that

379
00:18:38,400 --> 00:18:41,400
maybe never left California once all year and then has

380
00:18:41,480 --> 00:18:44,039
to come east. But even like year and a year out,

381
00:18:44,079 --> 00:18:46,400
I feel like Santa Clara will put some miles here

382
00:18:46,519 --> 00:18:49,880
during non conference play. Maybe that helps them a little bit.

383
00:18:50,319 --> 00:18:53,400
Speaker 3: I think it's about the travel and it's more about

384
00:18:53,519 --> 00:18:55,880
the tip, like the tip being nine in the morning,

385
00:18:56,039 --> 00:18:58,920
like it's ten in the morning. At nine in the morning,

386
00:18:59,079 --> 00:19:02,000
for me today, I could not have played a basketball.

387
00:19:03,720 --> 00:19:06,400
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think you're right about that. I think ESPEC.

388
00:19:07,039 --> 00:19:10,160
Speaker 1: Yeah, the tip time definitely is because listen, even if

389
00:19:10,200 --> 00:19:12,400
you're an East Coast team, I mean you you've seen

390
00:19:12,880 --> 00:19:15,319
some teams that are on the East Coast come out

391
00:19:15,359 --> 00:19:17,799
at the twelve, twelve to fifteen tip in this tournament,

392
00:19:18,119 --> 00:19:20,200
and it's like they weren't they weren't there.

393
00:19:20,240 --> 00:19:22,920
Speaker 2: I mean, there's always just going I'm just going off

394
00:19:22,960 --> 00:19:23,480
of memory.

395
00:19:23,720 --> 00:19:25,519
Speaker 1: There's been teams that have gotten blown out in this

396
00:19:25,640 --> 00:19:29,039
spot where you have to wonder if having to tip

397
00:19:29,119 --> 00:19:31,519
off at twelve fifteen in a weekday mess with them

398
00:19:31,519 --> 00:19:33,240
a little bit. So yeah, I could, I guess. I

399
00:19:33,440 --> 00:19:37,160
think it's something that can take into consideration. But onto

400
00:19:37,200 --> 00:19:40,000
the game, you said you like Santa Clara. They've been

401
00:19:40,039 --> 00:19:42,039
a super impressive team to me this year, So, like,

402
00:19:42,119 --> 00:19:46,359
I understand why people think they have a really good

403
00:19:46,440 --> 00:19:46,880
chance here.

404
00:19:47,160 --> 00:19:48,720
Speaker 2: Just talk to me about why you like the matchup

405
00:19:48,759 --> 00:19:49,799
for Santa Clara in this game.

406
00:19:50,200 --> 00:19:52,920
Speaker 3: Yeah, So Santa Clara is a team that's gonna allow

407
00:19:52,920 --> 00:19:55,039
a lot at the rim. They're gonna accept that you're

408
00:19:55,039 --> 00:19:57,240
gonna score at the rim against them because they pressure

409
00:19:57,279 --> 00:19:58,759
the ball so much. They're going to force a lot

410
00:19:58,799 --> 00:20:01,559
of turnovers. They're gonna take away your open three pointers,

411
00:20:01,599 --> 00:20:03,519
and they're going to run in transition and help to

412
00:20:03,599 --> 00:20:07,599
take advantage of your bad missus. They've only lost one

413
00:20:07,720 --> 00:20:10,400
game all year when a team shoots below fifty nine

414
00:20:10,440 --> 00:20:14,480
percent above fifty nine percent from two point range. So

415
00:20:14,519 --> 00:20:16,839
if you can't make sixty percent of your twos. You're

416
00:20:16,880 --> 00:20:20,440
not beating Santa Clara because that's their only weakness. Kentucky

417
00:20:20,559 --> 00:20:23,000
is not a very good two point offense. They finished

418
00:20:23,079 --> 00:20:26,400
tenth in the SEC and two point percentage. They've only

419
00:20:26,480 --> 00:20:30,000
topped sixty percent four times against the top one hundred

420
00:20:30,039 --> 00:20:32,400
team this year, and they've played I don't know, like

421
00:20:32,519 --> 00:20:35,039
twenty five top one hundred games, so four out of

422
00:20:35,079 --> 00:20:37,640
those twenty five of the top sixty percent. They can

423
00:20:37,799 --> 00:20:39,480
do it here, but it's not like they have elite

424
00:20:39,640 --> 00:20:42,720
post presence. Otega Oway is a good downhill driver, but

425
00:20:42,799 --> 00:20:44,720
he's more of a mid range scorer than at the rim.

426
00:20:45,200 --> 00:20:49,160
And the question is ten Kentucky be a dominant ridden

427
00:20:49,200 --> 00:20:51,319
team against a Santa Clara team that's going to let

428
00:20:51,359 --> 00:20:54,039
you do that? And I just don't think this Kentucky

429
00:20:54,079 --> 00:20:56,519
team is that good. I ask anyone that talks to

430
00:20:56,519 --> 00:20:57,920
me to Kentucky this, and if you have a good

431
00:20:57,920 --> 00:21:00,720
answer for me, I don't buy all means. Is Kentucky

432
00:21:00,839 --> 00:21:03,400
really good at no?

433
00:21:04,039 --> 00:21:05,759
Speaker 2: I have no answers a really good question.

434
00:21:06,240 --> 00:21:08,480
Speaker 3: They're not a top fifty in anything.

435
00:21:10,400 --> 00:21:12,759
Speaker 1: I think they're really good at getting up for teams

436
00:21:12,799 --> 00:21:15,720
that are better than them, which doesn't really doesn't really

437
00:21:15,799 --> 00:21:16,319
play here.

438
00:21:16,440 --> 00:21:18,240
Speaker 2: Sure, that's about all.

439
00:21:18,240 --> 00:21:19,960
Speaker 1: That's about all I can say that they could get

440
00:21:20,039 --> 00:21:22,319
up for like the Florida's and like the but but

441
00:21:22,480 --> 00:21:25,519
now as the in the role of the favorite, like

442
00:21:25,759 --> 00:21:27,799
they're not, like it's hard to get up for you

443
00:21:28,119 --> 00:21:30,680
got okay, So let's make the argument. Kentucky still got

444
00:21:30,759 --> 00:21:32,319
to play at twelve fifteen and they got to play

445
00:21:32,319 --> 00:21:34,160
Santa Clara. Are they going to be up for this

446
00:21:34,319 --> 00:21:38,440
game at twelve fifteen against the West Coast Conference team

447
00:21:38,680 --> 00:21:39,799
means the NCAA Tournament.

448
00:21:40,559 --> 00:21:44,880
Speaker 3: I genuinely think Santa Clara has a better team than

449
00:21:45,000 --> 00:21:49,359
Kentucky today. It's fair with with Jaden Quintins and with

450
00:21:49,480 --> 00:21:52,400
Jaylen Lowe, like maybe it's a different story with the

451
00:21:52,519 --> 00:21:56,160
current rosters. I genuinely think Santa Clara is better and

452
00:21:56,279 --> 00:21:58,319
I think that it's a good matchup because Kentucky won't

453
00:21:58,319 --> 00:22:00,519
be able to expose their rim defense. And that's exactly

454
00:22:00,559 --> 00:22:02,440
why Gonzaga was able to meet them so easily.

455
00:22:03,759 --> 00:22:05,440
Speaker 2: I will tell you this, I've struggled.

456
00:22:05,519 --> 00:22:07,799
Speaker 1: Kentucky's the team one of the teams I've struggled with

457
00:22:07,880 --> 00:22:12,559
the most. Trying to manipulate my number for them with

458
00:22:12,960 --> 00:22:16,599
the omission, so no Quintin's no low. Like, I've had

459
00:22:16,640 --> 00:22:20,839
a really hard time because I oftentimes show value on Kentucky,

460
00:22:21,240 --> 00:22:24,319
and I feel like it's because I'm I haven't I

461
00:22:24,440 --> 00:22:26,920
haven't made the correct adjustment. So I haven't bet many

462
00:22:27,000 --> 00:22:30,599
Kentucky games because of that. But just going off of

463
00:22:30,759 --> 00:22:35,079
like watching them play all year, i'd prefer them in

464
00:22:35,160 --> 00:22:38,240
the role like they were a couple, like like against Florida,

465
00:22:38,279 --> 00:22:41,480
where they're a dog, they're kind of playing with house money.

466
00:22:41,640 --> 00:22:43,480
Speaker 2: I don't really like them the favorite role at all.

467
00:22:43,920 --> 00:22:46,559
Speaker 3: I don't like taking Kentucky games because when I'm like

468
00:22:46,920 --> 00:22:50,000
a lot of my betting is matchup based and like

469
00:22:50,160 --> 00:22:52,160
what are you really good at and strengths versus strengths

470
00:22:52,240 --> 00:22:56,519
or weaknesses, and it's just Kentucky is so mad at everything.

471
00:22:56,920 --> 00:22:59,680
They're not particularly bad at much. They don't really rebound

472
00:22:59,680 --> 00:23:01,279
the ball that well, and they don't force a lot

473
00:23:01,319 --> 00:23:03,880
of turnovers. But I like taking cen of Clericy in

474
00:23:03,920 --> 00:23:05,599
because it's like, oh, they're going to win the reboundinger,

475
00:23:05,640 --> 00:23:07,440
Oh they're going to win the turnover battler. Oh they're

476
00:23:07,440 --> 00:23:10,079
going to make more three players Kentucky. It's kind of

477
00:23:10,119 --> 00:23:12,519
just like they put five guys on the court and

478
00:23:12,599 --> 00:23:15,839
then play basketball like they have no distinct style, they

479
00:23:15,880 --> 00:23:18,359
have no distinct advantage, they have no distinct strength. They

480
00:23:18,480 --> 00:23:19,000
just kind of play.

481
00:23:21,359 --> 00:23:24,640
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think it's I think those are fair points

482
00:23:24,680 --> 00:23:27,200
and it'll be interesting. That's one of the ones where

483
00:23:27,960 --> 00:23:30,039
I flip flopped on that one a couple of times.

484
00:23:30,359 --> 00:23:32,079
There was a point in time this week where I

485
00:23:32,240 --> 00:23:34,319
was like, oh, I'll definitely be on Santa Clara. Here

486
00:23:35,279 --> 00:23:37,599
I started to talk myself into Kentucky. So typically when

487
00:23:37,640 --> 00:23:39,720
I do that, it's it's an easy pass. But that'll

488
00:23:39,839 --> 00:23:43,839
that'll be one that I'm very interested to watch. So

489
00:23:43,960 --> 00:23:46,680
you want to talk about matchups and styles, Let's go

490
00:23:46,759 --> 00:23:49,200
to this game out because I want to talk about

491
00:23:49,240 --> 00:23:51,880
this one. So Matt, remember, we do a parlay on

492
00:23:52,000 --> 00:23:55,319
this show. So I don't know if rob my co

493
00:23:55,519 --> 00:23:58,240
host Rob Riino, is is. I told him he could

494
00:23:58,240 --> 00:24:00,359
send in a parlay leg if he wants too, So

495
00:24:00,720 --> 00:24:02,200
if he does, it'll be a three teamer.

496
00:24:02,640 --> 00:24:05,240
Speaker 2: If he doesn't, it'll just be you and I. We

497
00:24:05,400 --> 00:24:07,799
are chasing a couple of units on the year.

498
00:24:07,839 --> 00:24:11,119
Speaker 1: But also it's March twentieth, and the fact that we're

499
00:24:11,160 --> 00:24:14,400
even in striking distance is solid, so hopefully we can

500
00:24:14,519 --> 00:24:16,920
hit today. I want to talk about a game that

501
00:24:17,440 --> 00:24:20,799
I have an opinion on. I caught some of one

502
00:24:20,839 --> 00:24:23,200
of your shows earlier this week, and I believe you

503
00:24:23,279 --> 00:24:25,720
were talking with Brian Ralph about this game, and I'm

504
00:24:25,759 --> 00:24:27,720
pretty sure you have an opinion on it as well.

505
00:24:28,000 --> 00:24:31,240
We may agree, so let's talk Miami of Ohio, Tennessee.

506
00:24:32,640 --> 00:24:37,279
Wager Talk clipped me from our selection Sunday show special

507
00:24:38,440 --> 00:24:41,319
where the pairings came out and they asked me for

508
00:24:41,440 --> 00:24:44,039
a hot take, and my hot take was Miami of

509
00:24:44,079 --> 00:24:47,680
Ohio wins multiple games in the NCAA tournament. And I

510
00:24:47,759 --> 00:24:49,920
thought that that just was just gonna die in the

511
00:24:49,960 --> 00:24:52,160
show because we did like a two hour show. But

512
00:24:52,240 --> 00:24:54,960
they clipped it and put it on TikTok, and so

513
00:24:55,680 --> 00:24:57,640
I had a bunch of people coming at me and

514
00:24:57,759 --> 00:25:00,519
I said, Oh, this is either really good or really bad. Right,

515
00:25:00,880 --> 00:25:06,680
We're either going to We're either gonna am I still am? I?

516
00:25:07,039 --> 00:25:07,599
Can you hear me?

517
00:25:07,720 --> 00:25:07,920
Speaker 2: Still?

518
00:25:08,799 --> 00:25:10,440
Speaker 3: You're good?

519
00:25:11,200 --> 00:25:14,759
Speaker 1: That Central New York WHI internet right there just just

520
00:25:15,599 --> 00:25:17,440
I don't know. We we have a pretty windy day here.

521
00:25:17,440 --> 00:25:18,920
I don't know why I would my internet would not

522
00:25:19,000 --> 00:25:22,759
be working. But anyway, coming back to this game, you know,

523
00:25:22,880 --> 00:25:26,079
I was I was like, I was happy they clipped it,

524
00:25:26,160 --> 00:25:28,119
but I wasn't because I was like, man, if SMU

525
00:25:28,240 --> 00:25:30,119
comes and just rolls them, I'm gonna look really dumb

526
00:25:30,160 --> 00:25:33,200
on TikTok here. But anyway, I made the point that

527
00:25:33,400 --> 00:25:35,920
that I said, you know, Miami of Ohio, I think

528
00:25:35,960 --> 00:25:38,039
they can win multiple games in this tournament. And part

529
00:25:38,079 --> 00:25:42,119
of my reasoning for that was they just played a

530
00:25:42,240 --> 00:25:44,759
month and a half worth of games where they had

531
00:25:44,799 --> 00:25:46,720
the biggest target on their back and they were they

532
00:25:46,759 --> 00:25:49,279
were they were hunted by everyone. On the night in

533
00:25:49,319 --> 00:25:52,359
a night out basis, I went to the Ohio game,

534
00:25:52,400 --> 00:25:54,240
which was one of the best games I've ever had

535
00:25:54,279 --> 00:25:57,200
the privilege of being at Miami of Ohio, Ohio and Athens,

536
00:25:57,720 --> 00:26:01,240
and even with them favored in that game, it felt

537
00:26:01,319 --> 00:26:03,759
like they were kind of the underdog because we were

538
00:26:03,839 --> 00:26:06,400
in Athens and you know, it was ten thousand people

539
00:26:06,880 --> 00:26:09,759
cheering against them, and I'm just like, man, they love this.

540
00:26:09,960 --> 00:26:13,839
They love this role of being like the you're gonna

541
00:26:13,839 --> 00:26:17,960
doubt us role, and now Matt, they are in that role.

542
00:26:18,480 --> 00:26:21,240
They were in that role on Wednesday when they blew

543
00:26:21,279 --> 00:26:24,039
out SMU, and they're very much in that role today

544
00:26:24,079 --> 00:26:27,799
against Tennessee. So am I crazy to think Miami of

545
00:26:27,799 --> 00:26:30,680
Ohio can win this game despite the fact that they're

546
00:26:30,680 --> 00:26:31,839
now a double digit underdog.

547
00:26:32,279 --> 00:26:34,599
Speaker 3: Yeah, So I did pick Miami Ohio on my show

548
00:26:34,680 --> 00:26:39,400
with Brian on Sunday or I'll really s on Monday. Unfortunately,

549
00:26:39,480 --> 00:26:41,039
I've come around and change my mind.

550
00:26:41,839 --> 00:26:44,599
Speaker 2: Okay, talk to me about why I'll.

551
00:26:44,400 --> 00:26:47,160
Speaker 3: Actually probably be on Tennessee against the spread. And the

552
00:26:47,240 --> 00:26:50,519
reason why is Tennessee's the number one offensive rebounding team

553
00:26:50,519 --> 00:26:52,519
in the country. Forty five percent of their missus they

554
00:26:52,559 --> 00:26:55,680
get back Miami Ohio. Obviously, the MAC is not a

555
00:26:55,759 --> 00:26:58,680
dominant offensive rebounding conference. In fact, I'll tell you right now,

556
00:26:58,960 --> 00:27:01,720
they were twenty first at thirty conferences an offensive hund

557
00:27:01,720 --> 00:27:05,640
percentage as a conference. They've played one really good offensive

558
00:27:05,680 --> 00:27:09,839
rebounding team and that's UMass, and they've allowed Tennessee. I said,

559
00:27:09,880 --> 00:27:12,359
forty five percent of their missus, right They've only allowed

560
00:27:12,480 --> 00:27:15,920
forty five percent one time all year to anyone, and

561
00:27:16,039 --> 00:27:19,720
it was their loss. So when they allow my Tennessee's

562
00:27:20,200 --> 00:27:23,759
offensive rebounding average or more, they're zero to one. And

563
00:27:23,839 --> 00:27:27,599
when they allow below Tennessee's offensive rebounding average. They are

564
00:27:27,720 --> 00:27:30,759
thirty two in oh So my question to myself was,

565
00:27:31,440 --> 00:27:35,839
can Miami allow Tennessee below their offensive rebounding average? And

566
00:27:36,039 --> 00:27:38,960
I just don't think they can. And so if Tennessee's

567
00:27:38,960 --> 00:27:41,440
gonna grab forty five to fifty percent of their misses,

568
00:27:42,279 --> 00:27:46,039
can Miami shooting and shot making be great enough against

569
00:27:46,200 --> 00:27:49,960
a Tennessee defense that is twenty times better than SMU

570
00:27:50,000 --> 00:27:53,480
without BJ Edwards. And I just don't think they can.

571
00:27:55,200 --> 00:27:56,640
Speaker 2: So I got in.

572
00:27:56,759 --> 00:27:59,799
Speaker 1: It wasn't an argument, but like you know, I had

573
00:28:00,599 --> 00:28:03,319
you know, at Miami of Ohio wins eighty nine to

574
00:28:03,400 --> 00:28:06,599
seventy nine, pretty convincing win for a seven point dog

575
00:28:06,680 --> 00:28:10,839
against SMU. I had people coming in and saying, well, like, well,

576
00:28:10,920 --> 00:28:13,000
they just they just shot there, they shot out of

577
00:28:13,039 --> 00:28:14,799
their minds, And I said, no, they didn't.

578
00:28:15,559 --> 00:28:16,119
Speaker 2: I was like that.

579
00:28:16,319 --> 00:28:19,000
Speaker 1: I said, if if Miami of Ohio shot out of

580
00:28:19,039 --> 00:28:21,400
their minds against SMU, they would have won by twenty five.

581
00:28:22,039 --> 00:28:24,759
Speaker 2: They would have won that game much bigger than they did.

582
00:28:24,839 --> 00:28:27,160
Speaker 1: There was a stretch in the first half where I

583
00:28:27,200 --> 00:28:29,039
thought we were I thought I was in trouble with

584
00:28:29,119 --> 00:28:31,680
Miami of Ohio plus seven because they missed nine shots

585
00:28:31,720 --> 00:28:34,480
in a row and I said, Okay, well that can't

586
00:28:34,559 --> 00:28:39,680
happen against the team the caliber of SMU. But turned out,

587
00:28:39,839 --> 00:28:44,160
no BJ Edwards, SMU just wasn't that good. I kind

588
00:28:44,200 --> 00:28:46,480
of had said that all year, and so you know,

589
00:28:46,640 --> 00:28:49,960
I'm acknowledging. I'll acknowledge right now, no question, Tennessee is

590
00:28:49,960 --> 00:28:55,240
a much better team than SMU. But Tennessee for me,

591
00:28:55,400 --> 00:28:56,920
so I don't know how much of this was the

592
00:28:57,000 --> 00:28:59,519
fact that I was at the Tennessee Syracuse game earlier

593
00:28:59,599 --> 00:29:03,000
this year kind of saw Syracuse punch them in the

594
00:29:03,559 --> 00:29:06,480
mouth and ever since that game, and this is where

595
00:29:06,599 --> 00:29:10,400
sometimes you going to games can be great because you

596
00:29:10,519 --> 00:29:13,240
get like a I think you get a unique perspective

597
00:29:13,279 --> 00:29:16,599
that's ultimately you can draw from maybe more, especially if

598
00:29:16,640 --> 00:29:18,680
you're able to get near.

599
00:29:18,599 --> 00:29:19,440
Speaker 2: The court and stuff like that.

600
00:29:19,960 --> 00:29:22,000
Speaker 1: But sometimes it can work the other way where it's

601
00:29:22,039 --> 00:29:24,079
like it sticks in your head all like for for

602
00:29:24,240 --> 00:29:26,240
a long period of time because you saw the team

603
00:29:26,359 --> 00:29:29,039
up close. And I'll be honest, ever since that day,

604
00:29:29,079 --> 00:29:31,960
I was like, this Tennessee team is not the Tennessee

605
00:29:32,039 --> 00:29:35,000
team of the past couple of years, namely on the

606
00:29:35,079 --> 00:29:37,599
defensive end. I don't think this Tennessee team is as

607
00:29:37,640 --> 00:29:40,880
good defensively as if they've been in past year. So

608
00:29:40,960 --> 00:29:43,400
I see where you're coming from with the rebounding aspect.

609
00:29:43,799 --> 00:29:45,799
But is there a world where Miami of Ohio just

610
00:29:45,880 --> 00:29:48,279
goes nuclear and they can't do anything about it?

611
00:29:49,000 --> 00:29:51,559
Speaker 3: So what Miami did against Simme, I think was really

612
00:29:51,680 --> 00:29:53,920
really smart is they just played five out the whole

613
00:29:54,000 --> 00:29:57,240
time and like even Antoine Willfolk, they're five men who

614
00:29:57,319 --> 00:29:59,240
can't shoot, and went zero for three from three and

615
00:29:59,279 --> 00:30:01,799
I think at least two of those were airballs. Like

616
00:30:02,079 --> 00:30:04,599
it still was smart because it did everything they could

617
00:30:04,720 --> 00:30:07,519
to get cemit Ugatoglu out of the paint, not blocking

618
00:30:07,599 --> 00:30:10,440
shots and having a defend on the perimeter. The problem

619
00:30:10,559 --> 00:30:13,000
is SeMet Ukutoglu is one of the worst, like on

620
00:30:13,200 --> 00:30:16,519
ball perimeter defenders in the entire country. And the five

621
00:30:16,640 --> 00:30:19,279
men they're plowing out with Tennessee is Felix Akpara, who

622
00:30:19,400 --> 00:30:22,839
is absolutely good enough defensively on the perimeter like handle

623
00:30:22,920 --> 00:30:26,440
switches to handle playing in the perimeter. And I just

624
00:30:26,519 --> 00:30:29,000
don't think the five out strategy that Miami is going

625
00:30:29,079 --> 00:30:33,160
to have to employ here actually works as well against Tennessee.

626
00:30:33,279 --> 00:30:37,839
Because their bigs are way better outside defenders than SMU's

627
00:30:37,839 --> 00:30:41,759
were they like Travis Steel excellent coaching job. SMU is

628
00:30:41,759 --> 00:30:44,559
gonna play two bigs, make everyone play on the perimeter,

629
00:30:44,759 --> 00:30:48,240
and Tennessee can do that way better. I think.

630
00:30:50,240 --> 00:30:50,440
Speaker 2: Yeah.

631
00:30:50,599 --> 00:30:53,640
Speaker 1: And I think it's also worth noting if you know,

632
00:30:53,799 --> 00:30:56,720
if Jillespie or men or let's say both of them

633
00:30:56,799 --> 00:31:01,079
have have very strong offensive showings in this game, Miami

634
00:31:01,119 --> 00:31:03,359
Ohio would be it probably be in trouble if that's

635
00:31:03,440 --> 00:31:07,359
the case those I mean, when those two don't play

636
00:31:07,400 --> 00:31:10,480
well offensively. I think Tennessee can struggle a little bit.

637
00:31:10,519 --> 00:31:14,400
But then again, it probably Miami Ohio might need some

638
00:31:14,559 --> 00:31:17,640
luck on the where the ball bounces when it comes

639
00:31:17,680 --> 00:31:20,400
off the rim for Tennessee because that stat was the

640
00:31:20,480 --> 00:31:25,279
one that maybe you know where it's like Tennessee grabs

641
00:31:25,359 --> 00:31:27,880
like such a high percentage of their misses that if

642
00:31:27,880 --> 00:31:30,759
they're just getting like put back after put back second

643
00:31:30,839 --> 00:31:34,640
chance points, easy buckets, you might need a big time

644
00:31:34,680 --> 00:31:38,240
shooting performance from Miami of Ohio. But hey, there's not

645
00:31:38,359 --> 00:31:40,319
many teams that could do it. I think they're one

646
00:31:40,359 --> 00:31:43,039
of the teams that could just shoot lights out for

647
00:31:43,160 --> 00:31:43,720
forty minutes.

648
00:31:43,759 --> 00:31:45,279
Speaker 2: So it'll it'll be a fun one.

649
00:31:45,720 --> 00:31:48,440
Speaker 3: That's the thing about Tennessee as well, is when they

650
00:31:48,480 --> 00:31:51,799
play bad defenses, they win by a lot like Miami's

651
00:31:51,839 --> 00:31:54,920
one hundred and fifty second in ken Tom defense. The

652
00:31:55,039 --> 00:31:59,279
three teams above them that Tennessee's played, Auburn, Rutgers, LSU,

653
00:31:59,559 --> 00:32:02,519
they won those games by eight, ten, twenty five, and ten.

654
00:32:03,000 --> 00:32:05,920
And then those teams ranked below Miami in defensive rating

655
00:32:06,160 --> 00:32:10,400
they went by thirty nine, twenty nine, fifteen, twenty five,

656
00:32:11,119 --> 00:32:15,960
fifty one, forty two, and thirty three. So they can

657
00:32:16,000 --> 00:32:17,759
beat bad defense. Is it's just when they play really

658
00:32:17,759 --> 00:32:19,720
good defense, when you only have two good players, it's

659
00:32:19,759 --> 00:32:24,079
not good enough. I'm forty for saying all these things.

660
00:32:24,119 --> 00:32:26,039
I know you like Miami, and I hope you're right.

661
00:32:26,119 --> 00:32:27,000
Speaker 2: Hey, a lot of fun.

662
00:32:27,640 --> 00:32:29,519
Speaker 3: I just feel like the run.

663
00:32:29,559 --> 00:32:34,079
Speaker 1: Ends here, so I'll so first, I just want to answer,

664
00:32:34,160 --> 00:32:37,400
so crazy crazy sticks, what time does your picks drop today?

665
00:32:37,720 --> 00:32:39,880
I've already got two picks locked in. I haven't bet

666
00:32:39,960 --> 00:32:42,920
anything else. I have two plays locked in. One is

667
00:32:43,000 --> 00:32:45,319
my biggest bet of this round. It's a five percent.

668
00:32:45,400 --> 00:32:47,279
That's our max rating on the site. You can get

669
00:32:47,319 --> 00:32:50,519
that over on wager talk. Matt, you can give this

670
00:32:50,640 --> 00:32:52,519
is an we'll do the mid show promo here if

671
00:32:52,519 --> 00:32:54,480
you missed the beginning of the show. You can find

672
00:32:54,519 --> 00:32:57,920
all of his stuff on his own Twitter account. What's

673
00:32:57,960 --> 00:32:58,680
the Twitter handle?

674
00:32:58,720 --> 00:32:59,759
Speaker 2: Again? I should have probably had it on.

675
00:32:59,799 --> 00:33:03,079
Speaker 3: This at my first name, last name, Matthew Linneck right there.

676
00:33:04,480 --> 00:33:06,920
Speaker 1: So at first name, last name right there on the screen,

677
00:33:06,960 --> 00:33:10,359
but also headed over to Basket under Review because Matt

678
00:33:10,480 --> 00:33:14,119
is part of a conglomerate of people on Basket under Review,

679
00:33:14,160 --> 00:33:16,519
most of them which you probably know, that put out

680
00:33:16,799 --> 00:33:20,200
phenomenal content. They've been doing it all season, and it

681
00:33:20,480 --> 00:33:22,920
is even though there's only a couple of weeks left.

682
00:33:22,960 --> 00:33:25,519
I mean, we still have Sweet sixteen, we still the

683
00:33:25,640 --> 00:33:30,200
nit the second round of the NCAA Tournament. The stuff

684
00:33:30,240 --> 00:33:32,160
on that website is so good that, as a if

685
00:33:32,200 --> 00:33:34,319
you're betting this sport, I don't know how that's not

686
00:33:34,400 --> 00:33:37,519
your home base. I've said that since I had you

687
00:33:37,599 --> 00:33:40,640
on earlier this year. Jim Root came on and guest

688
00:33:40,680 --> 00:33:44,440
hosted the show, and I think you guys have done.

689
00:33:44,319 --> 00:33:45,200
Speaker 2: A phenomenal job.

690
00:33:45,240 --> 00:33:48,119
Speaker 1: And I'll hype that up for you as long as

691
00:33:48,160 --> 00:33:50,799
you guys are as long as it exists also the

692
00:33:50,880 --> 00:33:54,839
discord is I need to be in the discord more.

693
00:33:54,880 --> 00:33:56,880
There's a lot of good info in that discord as well.

694
00:33:57,200 --> 00:33:59,039
Speaker 3: The off season, the off season is a good time

695
00:33:59,079 --> 00:34:00,680
to be in there, especially is we like to talk

696
00:34:00,720 --> 00:34:01,599
when there's not much.

697
00:34:01,480 --> 00:34:06,000
Speaker 1: Going on, and you know, we've got another twenty six

698
00:34:06,079 --> 00:34:08,480
minutes on this show. Both of us will be giving

699
00:34:08,480 --> 00:34:10,679
out at least one best bet here on the show,

700
00:34:11,000 --> 00:34:12,960
and we'll lock it in for the parlay.

701
00:34:13,039 --> 00:34:13,960
Speaker 2: I want to go back.

702
00:34:14,079 --> 00:34:17,880
Speaker 1: So okay, I think we can hit these two as

703
00:34:18,079 --> 00:34:21,880
a pair as well. If Miami, Ohio is not today's

704
00:34:21,960 --> 00:34:26,000
high point, who is it? Is it cal Baptist or

705
00:34:26,119 --> 00:34:28,559
is it Northern Iowa. I haven't bet either of those yet,

706
00:34:28,960 --> 00:34:31,599
but in my head, one of those two could be

707
00:34:32,920 --> 00:34:35,920
the double digit team, a double digit underdog that wins

708
00:34:35,960 --> 00:34:38,199
out right today. So your pick, you can, you know,

709
00:34:38,360 --> 00:34:39,880
you can talk about both of them. You can pick

710
00:34:39,920 --> 00:34:42,280
what one you want to talk about. Is there a

711
00:34:42,360 --> 00:34:44,239
big upset like high point on the card today.

712
00:34:45,159 --> 00:34:47,840
Speaker 3: I don't think there is one, but my most likely

713
00:34:47,960 --> 00:34:50,920
would be Northern Iowa. And that's just because you know, style,

714
00:34:51,079 --> 00:34:53,920
In my opinion of these styles make fights, and the

715
00:34:54,000 --> 00:34:58,599
Northern Iowa's style has the potential to sort of negate

716
00:34:58,679 --> 00:35:01,239
what Saint John's wants to do to make this game

717
00:35:01,280 --> 00:35:03,400
really slow, to keep them off the free throw line

718
00:35:03,440 --> 00:35:07,000
and off the offensive glass. Now, for that to work,

719
00:35:07,079 --> 00:35:08,960
they actually have to be able to keep them off

720
00:35:08,960 --> 00:35:10,760
the glass, and that just might not be possible. They

721
00:35:10,800 --> 00:35:13,559
do not have someone with the physicality of Zubi edgefor frankly,

722
00:35:13,679 --> 00:35:17,679
quite literally, no one does. And Saint John's is gonna

723
00:35:17,679 --> 00:35:20,280
have to make shots here because Northern Iowa, you know,

724
00:35:20,559 --> 00:35:23,480
forces a lot of shot making. I think Saint John's.

725
00:35:23,559 --> 00:35:26,039
I don't love Saint John's, but I think they're underrated

726
00:35:26,280 --> 00:35:29,519
as a shot making team. Ozaiah Sellers is a very

727
00:35:29,559 --> 00:35:33,559
good shot maker, join sant and Ian Jackson are inconsistent.

728
00:35:34,119 --> 00:35:36,199
When they play well, they're very good shot makers. And

729
00:35:36,360 --> 00:35:38,880
if Saint Johns shoots thirty five percent from three here,

730
00:35:39,360 --> 00:35:42,760
like they'll win by fifteen. And so I don't really

731
00:35:43,000 --> 00:35:46,440
want to pick a game where it's like, oh, well,

732
00:35:47,000 --> 00:35:50,039
the underdog's only gonna win if the favorite plays bad

733
00:35:50,639 --> 00:35:53,800
versus the underdog's gonna win because they're a really good

734
00:35:53,960 --> 00:35:57,000
team to beat that that squad, and I just don't

735
00:35:57,000 --> 00:35:57,760
think that's the case here.

736
00:36:00,079 --> 00:36:02,519
Speaker 1: So I've had the Uh, I've been at like three

737
00:36:02,599 --> 00:36:05,000
Saint John's games to syear probably probably the team I've

738
00:36:05,039 --> 00:36:07,760
seen the most of any team that I've seen in person,

739
00:36:08,280 --> 00:36:11,840
And uh, what you talk about their ability to make shots?

740
00:36:12,800 --> 00:36:14,519
Speaker 2: To me, it's direct.

741
00:36:14,599 --> 00:36:18,880
Speaker 1: It's a direct like when they play good defense and

742
00:36:18,960 --> 00:36:21,519
they're playing high pressure defense and they're and they're forcing

743
00:36:21,599 --> 00:36:24,559
turnovers and the defense is playing well, it feels like

744
00:36:25,000 --> 00:36:29,239
that they hit shots off of that. Like so for example,

745
00:36:29,239 --> 00:36:31,679
I'll go back to the Yukon game at Madison Square

746
00:36:31,760 --> 00:36:35,599
Garden where like they made a lot of jumpers in

747
00:36:35,679 --> 00:36:38,840
that game, but it was also like I felt like

748
00:36:38,920 --> 00:36:41,239
it was a direct There was like almost like a

749
00:36:41,320 --> 00:36:45,440
direct correlation between them playing pressure defense either getting a

750
00:36:45,559 --> 00:36:48,519
getting a big rebound because they forced and missed, or

751
00:36:48,559 --> 00:36:51,039
getting a turnover and then hitting the shot off of

752
00:36:51,079 --> 00:36:54,199
the turnover. So I guess that would worry me a

753
00:36:54,239 --> 00:36:56,440
little bit if I if I'm on Northern Iowa, because

754
00:36:56,920 --> 00:36:58,960
you got to ask yourself as it has Northern Iowa

755
00:36:59,159 --> 00:37:02,719
played against the team that can pressure them like Saint

756
00:37:02,800 --> 00:37:03,800
John's can pressure them.

757
00:37:03,679 --> 00:37:07,400
Speaker 3: Here, No, absolutely, it's the Missouri Valley that no one

758
00:37:07,519 --> 00:37:09,480
plays like Saint John's in the Missouri Valley.

759
00:37:10,679 --> 00:37:13,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, so that was so you know, just the you know,

760
00:37:14,039 --> 00:37:16,039
I'll give you so the games. I went and saw

761
00:37:16,119 --> 00:37:16,760
Saint John's.

762
00:37:16,760 --> 00:37:19,079
Speaker 1: I was at Carnaseca when they played De Paul and

763
00:37:19,559 --> 00:37:21,320
you know that that was a game where they were

764
00:37:21,360 --> 00:37:24,519
a big favorite, but they really they really didn't like pressure,

765
00:37:24,679 --> 00:37:27,840
like they didn't probably play their best defensive game and

766
00:37:27,920 --> 00:37:31,960
they didn't cover. But like in the bigger games, the

767
00:37:32,079 --> 00:37:34,599
Yukon game at the Garden, I also saw Saint John's

768
00:37:34,639 --> 00:37:36,960
play Villanova at in Philly.

769
00:37:37,280 --> 00:37:38,679
Speaker 2: Those were two sort of big.

770
00:37:38,559 --> 00:37:42,519
Speaker 1: Time, big games, and in both games the defense directly

771
00:37:42,599 --> 00:37:45,559
fueled the offense. And then you had teams like Villanova

772
00:37:45,639 --> 00:37:48,519
wasn't really ready for that kind of ball pressure and

773
00:37:48,639 --> 00:37:52,159
they struggled and Yukon figured it out. But we've now

774
00:37:52,239 --> 00:37:55,159
seen Yukon twice not could not be able to handle

775
00:37:56,079 --> 00:38:00,639
their relentless defensive pressure. And that's kind of my concern

776
00:38:01,480 --> 00:38:04,519
as someone that did sort of saw the pairings and said.

777
00:38:04,360 --> 00:38:05,320
Speaker 2: Ooh, that's it.

778
00:38:05,519 --> 00:38:07,960
Speaker 1: Northern I was interesting right there because they're a super

779
00:38:08,039 --> 00:38:11,440
veteran team. They're going to play a slower game. They

780
00:38:11,519 --> 00:38:13,920
weren't at full strength all year, so maybe like they're

781
00:38:13,960 --> 00:38:17,239
better than we think they are. But then I'm just like,

782
00:38:17,320 --> 00:38:19,880
if they if Saint John's is at an eleven out

783
00:38:19,920 --> 00:38:22,800
of ten on the defensive pech Pressure Meter, maybe they

784
00:38:22,880 --> 00:38:26,280
have trouble. So that's a I've kind of maybe pumped

785
00:38:26,280 --> 00:38:28,199
the brakes a little bit on the Nora and I

786
00:38:28,400 --> 00:38:29,199
with love.

787
00:38:29,719 --> 00:38:32,320
Speaker 3: So Saint Johnson's played one other mid major team whose

788
00:38:32,360 --> 00:38:35,639
strength is denying free throws and denying second chances. That

789
00:38:35,840 --> 00:38:38,960
was Harvard. Saint john still grabbed forty seven percent of

790
00:38:39,000 --> 00:38:41,320
their misses and that's the most Harvard's allowed all year

791
00:38:41,360 --> 00:38:44,000
by far. So obviously Northern I was a bit better

792
00:38:44,039 --> 00:38:45,880
than Harvard, but it's the same concept of a team

793
00:38:45,960 --> 00:38:47,679
that is trying to keep you off the glass and

794
00:38:47,760 --> 00:38:49,519
keep you up the free throw line. Like you can

795
00:38:49,559 --> 00:38:51,760
have a strategy in a style and a way to play,

796
00:38:52,119 --> 00:38:55,000
sometimes it just doesn't work because the opponent's too good

797
00:38:55,079 --> 00:38:57,119
at what they do. And I think that might be

798
00:38:57,199 --> 00:38:57,679
the case here.

799
00:39:00,599 --> 00:39:02,639
Speaker 1: All right, we are going to so we're gonna give

800
00:39:02,679 --> 00:39:06,480
a pick out right here. Rob Vino must be through security.

801
00:39:06,840 --> 00:39:09,360
He has texted me and he's given me his leg

802
00:39:09,480 --> 00:39:13,199
for the parlay, and so I have a I definitely

803
00:39:13,280 --> 00:39:15,880
have an opinion on this. This game definitely one of

804
00:39:15,960 --> 00:39:19,519
these teams. But we'll break down his play, so his

805
00:39:19,760 --> 00:39:22,880
play is gonna be the over in Furman in Yukon,

806
00:39:23,000 --> 00:39:26,840
he likes over one thirty six and a half. Talk

807
00:39:26,880 --> 00:39:28,880
to him, just I'll give you the floor kick us

808
00:39:28,920 --> 00:39:32,159
off on this one. Furman Yukon. Do you agree or

809
00:39:32,199 --> 00:39:33,960
disagree with points in this game?

810
00:39:34,840 --> 00:39:36,599
Speaker 3: This is a game I don't have a really strong

811
00:39:36,639 --> 00:39:38,840
opinion on just because I really like Furman and I

812
00:39:38,960 --> 00:39:41,519
also think they don't have a chance here. Uh. The

813
00:39:41,599 --> 00:39:44,239
good news for Furman is they're not playing an extreme

814
00:39:44,400 --> 00:39:47,039
pressure defense and they turn it over way too much.

815
00:39:47,119 --> 00:39:49,320
Yukon is nothing to pressure them all that much. The

816
00:39:49,480 --> 00:39:53,400
bad news here is Furman used their size, their length,

817
00:39:53,639 --> 00:39:58,039
and their interior finishing to win the Sokon. They hit threes,

818
00:39:58,039 --> 00:39:59,679
which they're gonna have to do here, but they won

819
00:39:59,719 --> 00:40:04,159
because the interior Yukon is a dominant rim defense, and

820
00:40:04,280 --> 00:40:06,679
I don't think Furman has any chance to score at

821
00:40:06,719 --> 00:40:09,440
the rim here, so the jumpers are gonna have to fall.

822
00:40:09,639 --> 00:40:11,639
And they've been inconsistent from three all year.

823
00:40:13,480 --> 00:40:17,159
Speaker 1: So we had a couple of shows leading in to

824
00:40:17,400 --> 00:40:21,119
this election show We came on air early before the

825
00:40:21,199 --> 00:40:22,840
bracket was out, so I think we went on air

826
00:40:22,880 --> 00:40:27,119
about five forty five, and I really wanted Sianna to

827
00:40:27,239 --> 00:40:29,400
draw Yukon. I felt like Sianna should have been a

828
00:40:29,480 --> 00:40:33,400
fifteen seed, not a sixteen. I picked Yukon as the

829
00:40:33,480 --> 00:40:35,599
as the team I would have wanted to play. I

830
00:40:35,679 --> 00:40:37,920
got a lot of heat from some Yukon fans for that.

831
00:40:38,599 --> 00:40:38,920
Speaker 2: I don't know.

832
00:40:38,960 --> 00:40:40,639
Speaker 1: If Sianna played like they did yesterday, I might have

833
00:40:40,639 --> 00:40:43,679
beat this Yukon team. Point is, I really don't like

834
00:40:43,800 --> 00:40:46,639
Yukon at all. I'm only looking for ways to play

835
00:40:46,679 --> 00:40:50,320
against them. And yet here I couldn't bring myself to

836
00:40:50,400 --> 00:40:56,280
take twenty with Furman because, ah, you know, the SoCon

837
00:40:56,440 --> 00:40:57,800
was historically bad this year.

838
00:40:59,320 --> 00:41:00,480
Speaker 2: I guess Furman.

839
00:41:00,840 --> 00:41:03,880
Speaker 1: You know, Rob and I had had talked about Furman

840
00:41:03,920 --> 00:41:05,760
a couple of different times in the context of like

841
00:41:05,840 --> 00:41:09,559
the SoCon tournament, and I know Rob really did sort.

842
00:41:09,400 --> 00:41:12,000
Speaker 2: Of like Furman in that tournament. They ended up eventually

843
00:41:12,039 --> 00:41:12,360
winning it.

844
00:41:12,599 --> 00:41:14,360
Speaker 3: I picked them. I got that one, right, Yeah.

845
00:41:14,559 --> 00:41:17,360
Speaker 1: Good, yeah, I mean, listen, they think about how far

846
00:41:17,480 --> 00:41:20,440
Furman has come from the field of sixty eight opener

847
00:41:21,039 --> 00:41:22,960
when they couldn't even dribble the ball past half court

848
00:41:23,000 --> 00:41:24,159
against I think it was high point.

849
00:41:24,280 --> 00:41:27,159
Speaker 3: Yeah, well the right point guard in his first ever

850
00:41:27,280 --> 00:41:29,920
game against the top five turnover defense in the country.

851
00:41:30,079 --> 00:41:33,480
Speaker 1: But yeah, but I'm just saying like they've cleaned up

852
00:41:33,480 --> 00:41:37,079
the turnovers for the most part. But if those issues

853
00:41:37,119 --> 00:41:39,039
are ever going to get exposed, it's probably going to

854
00:41:39,079 --> 00:41:41,760
be by a team like Yukon, where you're really stepping

855
00:41:41,840 --> 00:41:44,159
up in class, and I just don't know that Furman

856
00:41:44,239 --> 00:41:46,079
has the ability to step up in class. So even

857
00:41:46,159 --> 00:41:49,719
even with all the Yukon, even with me disliking them

858
00:41:49,760 --> 00:41:52,039
as much as I do, I couldn't find my way

859
00:41:52,119 --> 00:41:53,800
on to Furman plus twenty and a half here.

860
00:41:54,559 --> 00:41:57,199
Speaker 3: I was very happy that I won Furman to win

861
00:41:57,239 --> 00:41:58,639
the Sokon. That was a lot of fun and I'm

862
00:41:58,679 --> 00:42:01,639
really happy. At the same time, I can acknowledge they

863
00:42:01,719 --> 00:42:04,719
kind of got lucky because they shot fifty two, forty five,

864
00:42:04,840 --> 00:42:06,840
and thirty nine percent from three of those games, and

865
00:42:06,880 --> 00:42:09,760
they're not a great three point shooting team. They're gonna

866
00:42:09,840 --> 00:42:13,159
have to be forty five percent to have a chance

867
00:42:13,199 --> 00:42:15,159
to win here, and I think they probably need to

868
00:42:15,199 --> 00:42:19,119
hit forty for this ever to hit, which I mean

869
00:42:19,199 --> 00:42:20,039
let's absolutely do.

870
00:42:21,800 --> 00:42:23,559
Speaker 2: So do you think there's at all?

871
00:42:23,880 --> 00:42:26,360
Speaker 1: Do you think this is like Danny Hurley wants to

872
00:42:26,440 --> 00:42:28,199
run it up because he's a little pissed about how

873
00:42:28,280 --> 00:42:29,039
last weekend went?

874
00:42:29,199 --> 00:42:30,480
Speaker 2: Is there any of that in this game?

875
00:42:30,639 --> 00:42:35,199
Speaker 3: Or well, let's see. Uh, when they were huge favorites

876
00:42:35,480 --> 00:42:37,679
as one seeds last year they beat two years ago,

877
00:42:37,719 --> 00:42:41,880
they beat Stetson by thirty nine, and then they beat

878
00:42:42,039 --> 00:42:43,920
Iona by twenty four in the first round. But then

879
00:42:43,960 --> 00:42:46,119
I remember that game that was Rick.

880
00:42:46,039 --> 00:42:49,079
Speaker 1: Now, that was an Albany, New York Matt they're all

881
00:42:49,239 --> 00:42:51,760
in New York. They I actually that year I went

882
00:42:51,840 --> 00:42:53,760
to the Yukon Saint Mary's game. I went to the

883
00:42:53,800 --> 00:42:56,199
Saturday games, but I had a lot of buddies there,

884
00:42:56,199 --> 00:42:59,519
and I remember they were like they did sort of

885
00:42:59,559 --> 00:43:01,360
make a point to like trash I own in the

886
00:43:01,400 --> 00:43:03,639
second half of that game, like they kind of ran

887
00:43:03,719 --> 00:43:04,000
it up.

888
00:43:04,320 --> 00:43:06,239
Speaker 3: I mean, it was about tied at halftime, and that

889
00:43:06,320 --> 00:43:10,000
game did go over pretty easily. But also Rick Patino

890
00:43:10,039 --> 00:43:13,880
had an NBA starting backcourt, so that's gonna make it pretty.

891
00:43:13,880 --> 00:43:15,480
And then also the Stetson game when they were the

892
00:43:15,519 --> 00:43:18,000
one seed, that one also flew over one hundred and

893
00:43:18,079 --> 00:43:20,400
forty three points in that one for a slow Yukon team.

894
00:43:20,440 --> 00:43:23,400
They played sixty nine possessions. So yeah, I can see

895
00:43:23,440 --> 00:43:25,880
a world where if this is a blowout, it might

896
00:43:25,960 --> 00:43:27,199
be a run up to score situation.

897
00:43:28,480 --> 00:43:32,119
Speaker 1: Well, Rob Vino is a totals guru, and if he

898
00:43:32,800 --> 00:43:35,320
likes he's I mean, he's having a great season, much

899
00:43:35,400 --> 00:43:38,800
of which is fueled by his ability to hit totals.

900
00:43:38,840 --> 00:43:41,440
And if he likes firm and Ukon over one thirty

901
00:43:41,440 --> 00:43:43,559
six and a half, I'm certainly not gonna argue with him.

902
00:43:43,599 --> 00:43:48,039
So that is parlay leg number one. I'll do you

903
00:43:48,239 --> 00:43:50,079
know what your best bet is. If you do, I'll

904
00:43:50,159 --> 00:43:51,320
let you go to that game right now.

905
00:43:52,000 --> 00:43:55,760
Speaker 3: Sure, it's a bit of a big favorite spread, which

906
00:43:55,840 --> 00:43:58,079
was not the greatest thing yesterday, but some did hit.

907
00:43:58,119 --> 00:44:01,440
I was on Illinois. That one was really easy. I

908
00:44:01,679 --> 00:44:08,639
think Virginia destroys Right State today. Virginia is huge in

909
00:44:08,800 --> 00:44:12,159
Right State is the type of team that is a

910
00:44:12,440 --> 00:44:16,760
very good team against fellow mid majors, Horizon League teams,

911
00:44:16,840 --> 00:44:21,280
teams in their general stratosphere, and just teams that cannot

912
00:44:21,360 --> 00:44:25,320
play up because they're very small and they don't shoot

913
00:44:25,400 --> 00:44:29,800
threes and they allow a ton of twos. That's just

914
00:44:29,880 --> 00:44:32,480
a really bad strategy because if you're playing rim versus

915
00:44:32,599 --> 00:44:35,079
rim against one of the tallest teams in the country

916
00:44:35,320 --> 00:44:38,559
that's the second best shot blocking team in the entire sport.

917
00:44:39,239 --> 00:44:42,639
That's just like a matchup of strength versus strength battle

918
00:44:42,679 --> 00:44:47,320
that you cannot play. Wright State has no one taller

919
00:44:47,400 --> 00:44:49,760
than six foot seven or heavier than two hundred and

920
00:44:49,760 --> 00:44:52,800
twenty five pounds in their rotation. They're a ninety fifth

921
00:44:52,840 --> 00:44:55,159
percentile rim rate team, which means they get to the

922
00:44:55,239 --> 00:44:58,079
rim more than all but five percent of teams. Virginia

923
00:44:58,159 --> 00:45:00,639
is gonna block twenty shots in this game. They should

924
00:45:00,639 --> 00:45:02,840
have gotten whooped by Cal when they played Cal, but

925
00:45:02,960 --> 00:45:05,639
Cal shot twenty five percent from three point line, and

926
00:45:05,679 --> 00:45:09,079
then they did play Butler. Butler shot only thirty three

927
00:45:09,119 --> 00:45:12,119
percent from deep, but absolutely dominated them because they shot

928
00:45:12,239 --> 00:45:15,480
twenty three more free throws in a game where both

929
00:45:15,519 --> 00:45:18,639
teams got to the rim a million times. I think

930
00:45:19,000 --> 00:45:20,599
that Virginia is gonna get to the line a lot.

931
00:45:20,639 --> 00:45:22,360
They're gonna get to the brim a lot, and Wright

932
00:45:22,440 --> 00:45:24,599
State's gonna have to be a dominant three point shooting

933
00:45:24,639 --> 00:45:27,719
team like most mid major teams. The problem is, right

934
00:45:27,800 --> 00:45:30,360
State is two hundred and ninety fourth in percentage of

935
00:45:30,360 --> 00:45:33,159
their points from three. They don't shoot threes, So I

936
00:45:33,199 --> 00:45:35,599
don't see a world in which they can compete with

937
00:45:35,679 --> 00:45:39,639
Virginia because it's not threes versus threes, it's twos versus

938
00:45:39,760 --> 00:45:41,800
twos with the second best shot bucking team in the

939
00:45:42,000 --> 00:45:42,599
entire country.

940
00:45:44,360 --> 00:45:47,559
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm with you here, good friend of the show,

941
00:45:47,800 --> 00:45:51,239
my buddy Aaron Kidd, He's he's often times in the

942
00:45:51,280 --> 00:45:56,039
comments during the show on this show, Virginia season ticket holder,

943
00:45:57,199 --> 00:46:00,559
he's my first call anytime we talk Virginia basketball. He's

944
00:46:00,800 --> 00:46:03,119
I think he was at every single game in Charlottesville

945
00:46:03,159 --> 00:46:07,360
this year and typically is. And he said, this is

946
00:46:07,400 --> 00:46:11,599
a dream matchup for them, like an absolute dream matchup,

947
00:46:11,719 --> 00:46:13,440
could not have asked for.

948
00:46:13,679 --> 00:46:16,119
Speaker 2: Like he's he actually want to take it one step further.

949
00:46:16,199 --> 00:46:18,599
Speaker 1: He said he thinks if they played Tennessee in the

950
00:46:18,679 --> 00:46:20,880
next round, that's a dream matchup for them as well.

951
00:46:20,960 --> 00:46:22,599
Speaker 2: So he was very happy with the draw.

952
00:46:23,159 --> 00:46:26,639
Speaker 1: And we compared numbers, and I'm at this is one

953
00:46:26,679 --> 00:46:32,280
that I'm thinking long and hard about. You know, personally,

954
00:46:32,320 --> 00:46:34,840
I've had I struggled to lay like like massive numbers

955
00:46:34,880 --> 00:46:37,079
in these early games for whatever reason, I don't know,

956
00:46:37,159 --> 00:46:39,920
I just gravitate toward dogs more or it ends up

957
00:46:39,920 --> 00:46:41,920
being a pass for me. But I'm at like twenty

958
00:46:42,000 --> 00:46:43,880
one and a half here, I think on my number,

959
00:46:44,039 --> 00:46:46,800
I'm going off memory, but it was over twenty and

960
00:46:46,920 --> 00:46:48,880
this is still sitting out there seventeen and a half

961
00:46:48,960 --> 00:46:51,119
like we were eighteen. I think we can use eighteen

962
00:46:51,239 --> 00:46:53,480
or seventeen and a half for the parlay. I'm looking

963
00:46:53,519 --> 00:46:55,719
at the board right now, I see most of the

964
00:46:55,800 --> 00:46:59,480
seventeen and a halfs are juiced. There's eighteen minus one ten.

965
00:47:00,320 --> 00:47:02,559
Are you are you surprised this one hasn't budged from

966
00:47:02,599 --> 00:47:03,199
where it opened.

967
00:47:03,280 --> 00:47:04,320
Speaker 2: I'm a little bit surprised.

968
00:47:04,360 --> 00:47:06,559
Speaker 3: Well, it also opened two points off ken coom right,

969
00:47:06,760 --> 00:47:09,800
So yeah, at least that started there, And like this

970
00:47:09,960 --> 00:47:12,199
happens sometimes. Like my favorite bet the first round of

971
00:47:12,280 --> 00:47:15,960
last year for a very similar reason was Arizona against

972
00:47:15,960 --> 00:47:18,639
the spread against Akron, and that one was a really

973
00:47:18,679 --> 00:47:20,559
easy cover. And I was sitting there all week being like,

974
00:47:20,679 --> 00:47:23,119
why is this not moving like crazy? And then it

975
00:47:23,239 --> 00:47:26,119
was really easy, So I'm not really too worried about that.

976
00:47:27,800 --> 00:47:30,039
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean it makes total sense.

977
00:47:30,559 --> 00:47:33,079
Speaker 1: They should deny Wright state the rim and it should

978
00:47:33,199 --> 00:47:36,480
just be you know, this Virginia team, I got to

979
00:47:36,519 --> 00:47:39,800
say there if it's not this year. And this is

980
00:47:39,840 --> 00:47:42,880
getting a little bit off topic, but the Ryan Odom

981
00:47:43,119 --> 00:47:46,719
with Griff Aldrick as his like business manager, like like

982
00:47:46,840 --> 00:47:51,079
atil manager co whatever he's doing running a fortune five

983
00:47:51,199 --> 00:47:54,119
hundred company is so genius. Like Virginia is gonna win

984
00:47:54,159 --> 00:47:56,679
one of these things probably within the next couple of years.

985
00:47:56,880 --> 00:47:59,920
Speaker 3: Put it this way, Virginian NC State both started from

986
00:48:00,079 --> 00:48:03,159
complete scratch in a pretty average acc with about the

987
00:48:03,239 --> 00:48:06,079
same budget to get there. Actually, I bet you NC

988
00:48:06,199 --> 00:48:09,880
State spent more on their roster and Virginia just ended

989
00:48:09,960 --> 00:48:13,159
up being so much better than NC State. And like

990
00:48:13,360 --> 00:48:15,000
you can, I think Will Wade is still a very

991
00:48:15,000 --> 00:48:17,599
good coach. I just think that explains how awesome this

992
00:48:17,760 --> 00:48:19,440
Virginia program is going to be moving forward.

993
00:48:21,519 --> 00:48:25,119
Speaker 1: Yeah, I I mean, listen, I can't disagree with my

994
00:48:25,480 --> 00:48:28,400
buddy Aaron he I think, because here's the thing, Like,

995
00:48:28,480 --> 00:48:31,440
even if Miami in Ohio shocks the world today, if

996
00:48:31,480 --> 00:48:34,920
you will, you know, does it, like, I think Virginia

997
00:48:34,920 --> 00:48:37,360
would take that right, they'd be pretty thrilled with that.

998
00:48:37,679 --> 00:48:41,079
So either they're going to get Tennessee who I'll definitely

999
00:48:41,199 --> 00:48:43,719
like Virginia probably in that game or they're going to

1000
00:48:43,760 --> 00:48:46,679
be a double digit favorite. So yeah, I can see

1001
00:48:46,719 --> 00:48:50,440
why the Virginia faithful were happy with the draw, and yeah,

1002
00:48:50,480 --> 00:48:53,199
this feels like it could be a pretty big blowout.

1003
00:48:53,239 --> 00:48:53,679
Speaker 2: So I'm with you.

1004
00:48:54,320 --> 00:48:56,800
Speaker 1: That is one that was on my long list for

1005
00:48:56,920 --> 00:48:59,800
today that I will be definitely, you know, giving some

1006
00:49:00,880 --> 00:49:05,719
for a potential early bet. I will take your big favorite, though,

1007
00:49:05,800 --> 00:49:09,199
and raise you a bigger favorite for the parlay. I'm

1008
00:49:09,199 --> 00:49:12,039
gonna go Iowa State here in the parlay. I think

1009
00:49:12,079 --> 00:49:15,519
they're gonna absolutely trash Tennessee State in this game.

1010
00:49:16,320 --> 00:49:19,480
Speaker 2: It's up to twenty four and a half most places.

1011
00:49:19,559 --> 00:49:21,280
Speaker 1: For the sake of the parlay, I'm just gonna put

1012
00:49:21,280 --> 00:49:24,039
twenty four and I'll just add a little bit of juice.

1013
00:49:24,079 --> 00:49:26,320
I'm actually I'll do it twice. So we're gonna go

1014
00:49:26,440 --> 00:49:29,840
seventeen and a half in the parlay with Virginia. We're

1015
00:49:29,880 --> 00:49:32,480
gonna go twenty four with Iowa State. I'll just attach

1016
00:49:32,599 --> 00:49:35,559
minus one twenty juice to both of those. Here's the thing,

1017
00:49:35,639 --> 00:49:37,239
and I see you Joe in the chat. He says

1018
00:49:37,280 --> 00:49:40,840
Tennessee State is pretty solid. Yeah, Tennessee State is very solid.

1019
00:49:40,880 --> 00:49:44,559
In the context of the Ohio Valley Conference where I listen,

1020
00:49:44,639 --> 00:49:47,719
I was way high on Tennessee State this year in

1021
00:49:47,880 --> 00:49:48,440
that league.

1022
00:49:48,519 --> 00:49:52,639
Speaker 2: I love Nolan Smith, I thought, you know, especially.

1023
00:49:52,320 --> 00:49:54,679
Speaker 1: When I saw Tennessee Martin sort of emerge as the

1024
00:49:54,719 --> 00:49:58,119
top team for a couple of for probably over a month,

1025
00:49:58,159 --> 00:50:00,679
I was like, man, Tennessee State is such better team

1026
00:50:01,119 --> 00:50:03,159
than Tennessee Martin. I love the way they play, I

1027
00:50:03,239 --> 00:50:06,440
love how they He kind of is, like I think

1028
00:50:06,480 --> 00:50:08,760
I've heard him hit described as he sort of went

1029
00:50:08,880 --> 00:50:10,760
against the analytics and he just put a bunch of

1030
00:50:10,840 --> 00:50:14,000
ballers out there that just like get up and down

1031
00:50:14,119 --> 00:50:15,599
and just play ball.

1032
00:50:16,280 --> 00:50:18,880
Speaker 2: And that's great in that league, but that's not gonna

1033
00:50:18,880 --> 00:50:19,880
work against Iowa State.

1034
00:50:20,360 --> 00:50:23,000
Speaker 1: And one thing I'll know, and you can comment on

1035
00:50:23,079 --> 00:50:26,039
this as well, I feel like some of the Big

1036
00:50:26,079 --> 00:50:28,280
twelve teams at the top are getting a little bit

1037
00:50:28,360 --> 00:50:31,119
disrespected because they got lost in the shuffle of the

1038
00:50:31,159 --> 00:50:34,079
Big Twelve Gauntlet, meaning like we're gonna sit here and

1039
00:50:34,119 --> 00:50:37,239
talk about Arizona like they're just gonna easily win this

1040
00:50:37,320 --> 00:50:41,000
whole tournament, but yet we're not gonna give Houston any love.

1041
00:50:41,320 --> 00:50:44,360
Speaker 2: Iowa State. I feel like even Texas Tech to an extent,

1042
00:50:45,199 --> 00:50:47,239
and all of those teams are very dangerous.

1043
00:50:47,280 --> 00:50:49,079
Speaker 1: And I just had a conversation before I got on

1044
00:50:49,159 --> 00:50:51,760
the show that I think Iowa State is a very

1045
00:50:51,840 --> 00:50:54,280
dangerous team, far more so than I gave them credit

1046
00:50:54,360 --> 00:50:56,719
for myself a couple of weeks ago. And I think

1047
00:50:56,760 --> 00:50:59,280
this is a forty point win. Thirty or forty point

1048
00:50:59,320 --> 00:51:02,679
win for I was date so agreed, disagree. Iowa State,

1049
00:51:02,760 --> 00:51:04,519
Tennessee Tennessee State this afternoon.

1050
00:51:04,960 --> 00:51:06,639
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean Iowa State loves to run up the

1051
00:51:06,639 --> 00:51:09,480
score against bad teams because they forced so many turnovers,

1052
00:51:09,519 --> 00:51:11,400
get so many offensive rebounds, and get to the rim

1053
00:51:11,519 --> 00:51:13,400
so much. It makes it very easy to the point

1054
00:51:13,400 --> 00:51:16,119
where they did play an OBC team this year. They

1055
00:51:16,159 --> 00:51:18,920
did not cover against Eastern Illinois twenty five point win.

1056
00:51:19,360 --> 00:51:22,719
They shot seventeen percent from three. If they shoot thirty

1057
00:51:22,840 --> 00:51:24,760
percent from three, they win that game by forty. And

1058
00:51:24,800 --> 00:51:27,599
I think it's the same deal here. Tennessee State actually

1059
00:51:27,679 --> 00:51:30,800
gained a lot of power ranking juice in their last

1060
00:51:30,880 --> 00:51:33,679
four games of the year. They were at two sixty

1061
00:51:33,840 --> 00:51:37,760
one six games ago, and Ken Palm another one eighty seven,

1062
00:51:37,880 --> 00:51:40,920
so very quick math. That's fifty four spots gained in

1063
00:51:41,039 --> 00:51:43,280
their last six games of the year. So then I

1064
00:51:43,360 --> 00:51:45,039
go to the three point line. How did they shoot

1065
00:51:45,440 --> 00:51:47,719
well in three of those games forty two percent, forty

1066
00:51:47,800 --> 00:51:50,199
one percent, sixty two percent, and that's going to help.

1067
00:51:50,719 --> 00:51:53,599
So I think you're probably getting an extra three to

1068
00:51:53,760 --> 00:51:57,159
four points on the spread because Tennessee State just completely

1069
00:51:57,239 --> 00:52:00,480
whooped their last six oppontments and again OBC, so I

1070
00:52:00,559 --> 00:52:02,880
think that probably a little value here.

1071
00:52:02,840 --> 00:52:03,320
Speaker 2: On the number.

1072
00:52:04,360 --> 00:52:06,880
Speaker 1: How do you gain that many points in kemp on

1073
00:52:06,960 --> 00:52:08,719
playing six OVC opponents?

1074
00:52:10,159 --> 00:52:12,440
Speaker 3: They played the better team. So they beat SIU E

1075
00:52:12,599 --> 00:52:15,239
by twenty seven, They beat Tennessee Martin back to back

1076
00:52:15,280 --> 00:52:17,199
games by twenty five and thirteen, and then they beat

1077
00:52:17,280 --> 00:52:20,199
Morehead by thirty six because they shot or twenty six

1078
00:52:20,280 --> 00:52:24,400
because they shot sixty two from thirty Pretty crazy.

1079
00:52:25,000 --> 00:52:28,039
Speaker 1: Yeah, that is that is crazy. And listen, I mean

1080
00:52:28,599 --> 00:52:31,280
they're a great story. They've had a great season. This

1081
00:52:31,519 --> 00:52:33,440
is another one where I just think they drew a

1082
00:52:33,599 --> 00:52:36,920
really really bad first round matchup for the for the

1083
00:52:37,000 --> 00:52:40,199
way that they for the way that they play, it's

1084
00:52:40,360 --> 00:52:43,239
just and again, yeah, like Iowa State and we can

1085
00:52:43,320 --> 00:52:45,360
even I guess we'll parlay it into the into talking

1086
00:52:45,400 --> 00:52:49,280
about this game because the chat wants to know. They've

1087
00:52:49,320 --> 00:52:53,639
been asking the whole show about Akron, Texas Tech, Texas Tech,

1088
00:52:54,119 --> 00:52:58,360
Iowa State, Houston are the three I'm referring to. I

1089
00:52:58,480 --> 00:53:00,239
guess you could throw Kansas in the mid but I

1090
00:53:00,320 --> 00:53:03,519
still think Kansas gets enough love, like just that they

1091
00:53:03,559 --> 00:53:05,960
don't deserve a time, so I'm gonna leave them out.

1092
00:53:06,400 --> 00:53:08,719
Iowa State, Houston, and Texas Tech I think could be

1093
00:53:08,760 --> 00:53:11,119
final four our teams. And I think we just kind

1094
00:53:11,199 --> 00:53:14,320
of stopped collectively stopped putting them in the final four

1095
00:53:14,719 --> 00:53:17,119
as of a couple of weeks ago and now and

1096
00:53:17,239 --> 00:53:18,920
I and I was guilty of that as well.

1097
00:53:19,320 --> 00:53:21,320
Speaker 2: And now I'm looking at the tournament. I'm looking at

1098
00:53:21,360 --> 00:53:21,880
the bracket.

1099
00:53:22,159 --> 00:53:24,599
Speaker 1: I'm looking at what Houston did to Idaho last night

1100
00:53:24,679 --> 00:53:28,679
and thinking like, are are they any really worse than Arizona?

1101
00:53:28,800 --> 00:53:31,039
They feel like almost on par with Arizona. Yet we've

1102
00:53:31,039 --> 00:53:34,159
got Arizona placed in the in the final. But when

1103
00:53:34,199 --> 00:53:35,800
I say we, I mean just like a lot of

1104
00:53:35,840 --> 00:53:38,320
people that come on and talk about these these games

1105
00:53:38,360 --> 00:53:39,480
on a daily basis.

1106
00:53:39,719 --> 00:53:46,360
Speaker 3: Well, Arizona beat Iowa State twice, they beat Houston twice. Uh,

1107
00:53:47,280 --> 00:53:49,760
they only lost to Texas Tech by three and JT.

1108
00:53:49,880 --> 00:53:53,880
Toppin played. Uh So, no, I do not think they're

1109
00:53:53,880 --> 00:53:54,679
as good as Arizona.

1110
00:53:55,320 --> 00:53:58,000
Speaker 1: Okay, No, that's a really That's that's why I brought

1111
00:53:58,039 --> 00:54:00,199
it up, because I just I, you know, there there's

1112
00:54:00,199 --> 00:54:02,760
a point in this season, go back to December and

1113
00:54:02,840 --> 00:54:05,440
going into January where I think a lot of people

1114
00:54:05,440 --> 00:54:08,639
would have had some of those teams interchangeable Houston, Arizona,

1115
00:54:08,760 --> 00:54:11,519
Iowa State, maybe even Kansas at that there was a

1116
00:54:11,599 --> 00:54:13,599
point in time where Kansas had a couple of back

1117
00:54:13,639 --> 00:54:16,119
to back wins where they vaulted themselves back into the

1118
00:54:16,440 --> 00:54:20,719
big time discussion. And so no, that's a really good point. Now, I'll,

1119
00:54:20,920 --> 00:54:22,599
like I said, I got off topic a little bit there.

1120
00:54:22,639 --> 00:54:24,880
I'll bring it back into the context of you know,

1121
00:54:24,960 --> 00:54:28,639
getting one more game breakdown in for the show. Texas

1122
00:54:28,719 --> 00:54:31,719
Tech sitting there at seven, it keeps getting pushed back

1123
00:54:31,760 --> 00:54:34,840
to seven and a half, going back to seven. Akron's

1124
00:54:34,840 --> 00:54:38,119
a very interesting team because it's almost like they're they're

1125
00:54:38,280 --> 00:54:40,400
due to win one of these games, and they've kind

1126
00:54:40,440 --> 00:54:42,920
of like there is a little bit of tournament experience

1127
00:54:43,000 --> 00:54:45,760
they go every year. Now they find themselves in a

1128
00:54:45,840 --> 00:54:49,719
game where they're a single digit dog, seems like I

1129
00:54:49,760 --> 00:54:53,400
guess winnable from that from that standpoint, But then I'm

1130
00:54:53,440 --> 00:54:57,719
also like Texas Tech have are we sleeping on them

1131
00:54:57,760 --> 00:54:59,679
a little bit just because they don't have toppen because

1132
00:54:59,719 --> 00:55:00,440
that line feels a.

1133
00:55:00,440 --> 00:55:03,480
Speaker 3: Little short Stylistically, this is the closest you're going to

1134
00:55:03,519 --> 00:55:05,599
get to Wisconsin high Point in the sense that both

1135
00:55:05,639 --> 00:55:08,320
teams shoot a lot of threes, and high Point won

1136
00:55:08,360 --> 00:55:10,480
that game because down the stretch they made all their

1137
00:55:10,559 --> 00:55:13,800
threes in Wisconsin didn't. If that happens, Akron absolutely can

1138
00:55:13,840 --> 00:55:16,119
win the game. The difference here, I think is that

1139
00:55:16,239 --> 00:55:18,480
Grant mcchaslym is a way better coach than great Guard.

1140
00:55:19,079 --> 00:55:21,800
I love Grant mccasly and I think he's a top

1141
00:55:21,880 --> 00:55:26,280
five coach in the country. I cannot envision him losing

1142
00:55:26,400 --> 00:55:29,840
in the first round. It can be close, but because

1143
00:55:29,880 --> 00:55:33,440
Akron is so small, Texas Tech can get away with

1144
00:55:33,599 --> 00:55:36,239
being so small. Because Texas Tech is small, they don't

1145
00:55:36,280 --> 00:55:38,639
have to play loop bemgoie big minutes because they don't

1146
00:55:38,639 --> 00:55:41,000
have a big man to contend with. And at the

1147
00:55:41,079 --> 00:55:43,119
end of the day, guards win March Madness games, and

1148
00:55:43,199 --> 00:55:45,519
Texas Tech has Christian Anderson. And as much as Tabari

1149
00:55:45,599 --> 00:55:49,320
Johnson is good, Christian Anderson's way better. And I don't

1150
00:55:49,320 --> 00:55:52,599
think Acron can do enough defensively to slow down Christian Anderson.

1151
00:55:53,039 --> 00:55:55,280
You look at those games that Texas Tech lost. TCU

1152
00:55:55,320 --> 00:55:58,159
and Iowa State especially are two teams that blow up

1153
00:55:58,199 --> 00:56:00,000
every ball screen and get the ball out of Christian

1154
00:56:00,039 --> 00:56:03,400
in Anderson's hands. Acron cannot do that. So Anderson's gonna

1155
00:56:03,400 --> 00:56:06,440
get his shots here, and I just don't think that

1156
00:56:06,719 --> 00:56:08,599
Akron is going to get enough stops to win this game.

1157
00:56:10,760 --> 00:56:12,679
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's just a I think that's a really good

1158
00:56:12,719 --> 00:56:13,480
point in general.

1159
00:56:13,760 --> 00:56:16,400
Speaker 1: Just how many like like TCUs a team all year

1160
00:56:17,039 --> 00:56:20,039
that has come up on this show and it's like

1161
00:56:21,000 --> 00:56:24,880
those guards are just in your shorts defensively, they are

1162
00:56:24,960 --> 00:56:28,440
gonna they make life so difficult for teams that want

1163
00:56:28,480 --> 00:56:30,960
to play through their guards, Like even even made life

1164
00:56:31,039 --> 00:56:33,639
very difficult for Ohio State yesterday. So that's yeah, I

1165
00:56:33,719 --> 00:56:37,800
think that that's probably I guess, like I lean toward

1166
00:56:37,840 --> 00:56:42,159
Texas Tech covering this game, and it's it's likely that that,

1167
00:56:44,079 --> 00:56:47,719
you know, right, unless Akron just goes absolutely bonkers from three,

1168
00:56:48,079 --> 00:56:50,239
it's hard to believe that Texas Tech doesn't win by

1169
00:56:50,280 --> 00:56:53,360
double digits, so I guess I'll sign off on a

1170
00:56:53,519 --> 00:56:55,079
Texas Tech lean minus seven.

1171
00:56:55,119 --> 00:56:56,440
Speaker 2: It's still seven someplaces.

1172
00:56:57,159 --> 00:56:59,280
Speaker 3: I think that's more likely than not what's going to happen.

1173
00:56:59,400 --> 00:57:02,360
But again, a lot of three point variants in this game.

1174
00:57:02,480 --> 00:57:06,559
Maybe if one team is up, if Acron's up at halftime,

1175
00:57:06,679 --> 00:57:09,119
I would take Texas Tech. If Texas Tech is up

1176
00:57:09,360 --> 00:57:12,079
fifteen to twenty at halftime, I would consider taking Acron.

1177
00:57:13,280 --> 00:57:16,440
Speaker 1: Yeah, can always bet these in play, just so many

1178
00:57:16,480 --> 00:57:20,199
friend donners. Yeah, that's one where that makes a lot

1179
00:57:20,239 --> 00:57:22,079
of sense. If Texas Tech falls behind a little bit

1180
00:57:22,159 --> 00:57:23,840
early to the point where you can just get them

1181
00:57:23,920 --> 00:57:27,320
in game to win the game, that's probably very good

1182
00:57:27,400 --> 00:57:27,960
in play that.

1183
00:57:28,320 --> 00:57:30,079
Speaker 3: And I mean think about Akron, like the way they

1184
00:57:30,199 --> 00:57:33,559
play it showed out in their MAC final against Toledo.

1185
00:57:33,559 --> 00:57:35,840
They were on twelve in the second half and then

1186
00:57:35,960 --> 00:57:38,039
then they hit all their threes and Toledo started missing

1187
00:57:38,800 --> 00:57:40,639
at the end of the day. There's a lot of

1188
00:57:40,760 --> 00:57:42,519
up and down with Akron games because they play so

1189
00:57:42,679 --> 00:57:44,880
fast they shoot and allow so many threes.

1190
00:57:46,239 --> 00:57:47,760
Speaker 2: Could even apply to the total too.

1191
00:57:47,800 --> 00:57:49,760
Speaker 1: I mean, if you get slow shooting out of the gate,

1192
00:57:49,800 --> 00:57:52,159
from both of those, like, there's probably a barrage coming

1193
00:57:52,199 --> 00:57:53,079
at at some point.

1194
00:57:53,480 --> 00:57:56,760
Speaker 3: Also, and this is just anecdotal, Texas Tech's offense is

1195
00:57:56,760 --> 00:57:58,559
always better in the first half. I don't know why,

1196
00:57:59,039 --> 00:58:01,639
but they're always better the first half. If there's a million,

1197
00:58:01,639 --> 00:58:04,320
if there's like ninety two points in the first half,

1198
00:58:04,760 --> 00:58:05,719
pick them under at a second.

1199
00:58:07,239 --> 00:58:10,480
Speaker 1: Good stuff, good stuff, Titan CT says Matt, nice to

1200
00:58:10,519 --> 00:58:14,000
see you again. Not sure what the show schedule is

1201
00:58:14,119 --> 00:58:16,880
next week, but we may we may have Matt back.

1202
00:58:16,960 --> 00:58:18,960
Speaker 2: We'll see. I got to see what the show schedule

1203
00:58:19,039 --> 00:58:21,400
is next week. I know this weekend, I.

1204
00:58:21,480 --> 00:58:23,880
Speaker 1: Believe we're doing Last Call, so I'll just be on

1205
00:58:23,960 --> 00:58:25,679
the Last Call show with Kelly in Vegas.

1206
00:58:26,039 --> 00:58:26,400
Speaker 2: Monday.

1207
00:58:26,440 --> 00:58:29,239
Speaker 1: There's no games, so no show, so maybe we'll be

1208
00:58:29,320 --> 00:58:32,960
back on Tuesday. I gotta get the exact schedule, but

1209
00:58:33,079 --> 00:58:35,000
we'd love to have Matt back. He always kills it

1210
00:58:35,239 --> 00:58:37,559
when he shows up here. As we sign off, yes,

1211
00:58:37,679 --> 00:58:40,480
we do have a three team or today Rob Dino

1212
00:58:41,119 --> 00:58:45,800
Furman Yukon over thirty six and a half. Matt is

1213
00:58:45,840 --> 00:58:48,800
gonna go Virginia minus seventeen and a half and I've

1214
00:58:48,840 --> 00:58:51,840
attached minus one twenty Juice we're parlaying, so it's still

1215
00:58:51,880 --> 00:58:54,480
gonna be plus money, does it matter. And then Iowa

1216
00:58:54,639 --> 00:58:58,559
State is my play minus twenty four. I've attached minus

1217
00:58:58,639 --> 00:59:00,599
one twenty juice to that as well for the parlay,

1218
00:59:00,639 --> 00:59:03,880
so obviously shop around. Those numbers are out there, like

1219
00:59:03,960 --> 00:59:07,559
seventeen and a half for Virginia. Minus one twenty is like, actually,

1220
00:59:07,639 --> 00:59:10,599
what's being offered at a lot of places, get yourself

1221
00:59:10,639 --> 00:59:12,800
twenty four for I would that I think that moved

1222
00:59:12,800 --> 00:59:15,119
a little bit off the opener. That is the three

1223
00:59:15,199 --> 00:59:18,639
teamer that's gonna get this parlay going. We are still

1224
00:59:19,400 --> 00:59:22,599
we're still chasing about fourteen parlay units on the year,

1225
00:59:22,639 --> 00:59:25,480
which again that's probably like a you know, minus one ten,

1226
00:59:25,519 --> 00:59:27,760
minus one twenty, minus one twenty will probably be close

1227
00:59:27,800 --> 00:59:30,000
to like six to one. We just got to rattle

1228
00:59:30,039 --> 00:59:31,519
off a couple of these and we're right back in

1229
00:59:31,599 --> 00:59:36,000
the mix. So enjoy the weekend everyone. Hope you guys

1230
00:59:36,079 --> 00:59:38,719
cash all your tickets. It is the second best day

1231
00:59:38,719 --> 00:59:41,320
of the year. Yesterday was the best, Today's the second best.

1232
00:59:41,440 --> 00:59:44,840
So have a great, great weekend everyone. I'll see you

1233
00:59:44,920 --> 00:59:47,559
on last call. Big shout out again for Matt for

1234
00:59:47,639 --> 00:59:49,920
joining check him out on basket under review and on

1235
00:59:50,039 --> 00:59:51,880
his Twitter and have a great day.

1236
00:59:51,920 --> 00:59:53,119
Speaker 2: Everyone will see you guys tomorrow