Speaker 1: Welcome to the cut Line. We're breaking down the American Express.
We're gonna give you some outright winners, some head to
head matchups.
Speaker 2: We're gonna go over some of our top.
Speaker 1: Favorite finishes, some draft Kings lineups, and our one and dones.
Speaker 2: Thank you every much for joining.
Speaker 1: I'm your host, Andy Lang, being joined as always by
my golf betting expert Yan. So we're adding new segments
as we go on throughout the course of the season.
So this is one of my favorite. This goes back
to my days when I did the podcast Yon we do.
It's called Tails from the Courtesy Tent. It's an honor
of whenever guys spray the ball into courtesy tents and
they have to walk around and basically these are the
worst shots of the week and we get to poke
fun at professional golfers. We talked about fading Colin Mori Kawa,
and he lived up to the hype.
Speaker 2: Yan.
Speaker 1: He flat out topped one coming out of a bunker,
not hit it fat, not like worm burner, into the
side of the complete top job that went seventy yards.
This was a fairway wood that he barely got to
go seventy years And yeah, he missed the cut by one.
Speaker 3: I mean, this is this is a shot that I
would play like this is this is not bad like
I mean, he didn't have it with the potter eiver,
but when you have a guy with a pottery, you
need to be making better shots than this.
Speaker 1: So yes, this man was once the best ball striker
on the planet. Now he's just just warm burning it
into the ground. And then our boy Harry Hall, he
did good for us. Jan Uh did his part in
the parlay. Was a good DFS player and everything. But
you can't hit a tree that's twenty feet in front
of you.
Speaker 2: Now when you're in contention.
Speaker 3: It's not like you can't see it, do you know
what I mean, It's right in front of you. Bro.
Speaker 1: He wasn't even in like a forest or like a
hard shot.
Speaker 2: This is a basic hit it to the right.
Speaker 3: Two trees, two trees. Can't can't do it. And to
be fair, like he had a fantastic week for him
to play a shot like this.
Speaker 2: It was.
Speaker 1: It was quite funny and it just the dreaded sound,
the double thump, the ball comes off the club right
into the wood of congratulations Colin Morikawa Harry Hall two
of the best golfers on the planet, even they can't
avoid tales from the courtesy tent. All right, let's go
to the one and done for the American Express Week one.
I couldn't even get my guy to make it through
the cut, Jean, you got your your guy through Corey Connors,
so you've got a positive uh week out of him.
In the best part, you don't have to worry about
him for the rest of the year.
Speaker 2: I'm so jealous.
Speaker 1: I'm just gonna let Corey Connors hang over my head
because I'm gonna pick him.
Speaker 2: So you you did better than I did. Who do
you got this week?
Speaker 3: I'm very interested to see where you use Corey Connor's though.
To be fair, that's that's gonna be a fun watch.
Next week. I have gone with Daniel Berger, who had
two months off and came back with a tight sick flow.
Speaker 2: Last week.
Speaker 3: He had two point seven strokes gained putting, and this
is gonna be a putting contest. It was twenty first
in this last year and sort of just how I'm
approaching one and done in this early season is on
hoping for these top twenty five's top twenties without ever
using like a top ten guy, just keep shipping away
with it. So I'm taking Daniel Berger this week.
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go with the guy that I always struggle.
You can't figure out when to use him because he's
up and down. But that's Sam Burns. And you mentioned
you and Iron on the same page. I just went
to who's the best putter over the last twelve months?
Sam Burns, that's my guy. We're gonna get into the course. Preview,
of course is preview. But I think this is a
good place where if there's a guy who can absolutely
go lights out with the putter, it's the guy that's
plus zero point ninety three strokes gained putting number one
in PGA over the last twelve months in this field.
Speaker 2: So Sam Burns is gonna be mine.
Speaker 1: And yeah, you are on the same page, So let's
let's talk about this course here.
Speaker 2: I I really don't like tournaments like this.
Speaker 1: Yah.
Speaker 2: I can't stand the three different courses.
Speaker 1: They don't have the shot link on on a couple
of them, they don't have cameras.
Speaker 2: The coverage is brutal.
Speaker 1: So what they're gonna do is they're gonna play PGA
West Stadium course. PJ West Nicholas and Lakita Stadium course
is the toughest of the trio that's actually got some
defense to it, water deep bunkers. The Nicholas tournament course
just wide fair ways, really no trouble, and Lakita is
a putt putt course. It's just short's there's nothing to it.
And one of the things that I don't like is like,
if you don't just shred Lakita, you're you're kind of
out of it. So it really you have to go
really low on Lakina, and you can because the wire,
the weather looks perfect.
Speaker 2: There's basically no there's little to know, you know, when.
Speaker 1: This should be a minus twenty or lower. I mean,
my guess as they absolutely fly through this one. So
what do you what's your take on these these court
these tournaments that use multiple courses in this one in particular.
Speaker 3: So it's really strange, right because we've got the Scottish
one over here, and that's one of my favorite tournaments
of the year. This is one of my least favorite
tournaments of the year. Okay, I just I'm not a
fan of tournaments where you need to go twenty five
under to win, like like you're saying with Laquinta and
Nicklaus is first of all, they got no shot tracker.
That's an awful experience as a viewer. And their course
is where fifty nines have happened. This just is not
my tournament, like like you're saying, the stadium course is
vaguely interesting. They put in new greens last year and
that played a bit tougher, but even that is super manageable.
It's not a fan of this tournament, but waiting to
mate money on networkardless.
Speaker 1: I will give you one decent thing that they've kind
of started to get rid of as these pro ams,
so you don't have golfers walking down the fairway, insider
trading with the vice president of Charles Schwab.
Speaker 2: You know Bill Murray.
Speaker 1: Doing sand angels and one of the bunkers Ray Romano remember,
almost famously sculled one out of the bunker. We did
skull it and almost hit Jordan's speeth in the head
when Jordan Speith was trying to tee off. So at
least they've gotten rid of some of the stuff that
would give us five and a half hour rounds. But yeah,
if you're like jan and don't like low scoring. This
is not really not really the course for you. So
but we we got much much better tournaments on the
horizon here. So let's take a look at total strokes gained.
We're just gonna kind of look a little bit at
the last twelve months. There's really no surprise is here
except for one. I would think jan I had absolutely
no idea that Sepstraka was this high up for total
strokes gained last year. And obviously there's some guys not
playing but third in this field.
Speaker 2: I would have never guessed. I would have absolutely never
guessed that.
Speaker 1: But the Scottie Scheffler run away last twelve months, Russell
Henley second, then you got Straka, Ben Griffin can't Ley,
I guess was a little bit of a of a surprise.
I guess he kind of had a little bit of
a better year. Robert McIntyre proved me wrong last week.
I thought he looked great. I didn't think that was
a good course.
Speaker 2: Yeah, very good.
Speaker 1: Alex Norn, that kind of comes as a little bit
of a surprise.
Speaker 2: That he was the same as Matthew Fitzpatrick.
Speaker 1: Would I would have guessed Fitzpatrick then kind of finished
out with Harris English Burns, Ludwick Obert, Jason Day, there's
our boy, Harry Hall and Seawou Kim. I don't know
how he's plus one point zero six total strokes game
when the guy can't put minus zero point three putting
is masked for work by sea woo to be.
Speaker 2: That high up.
Speaker 1: So those are the total strokes gain. And now we
get to players that can trip you up. These are
players that I think people are gonna be betting on
that they're putting in DFS lineups, and I'm here to
say I think they're gonna disappoint. Last week went one
and two on this Mori Kyle was a good call.
McIntyre Matsuyama, those are two not bad calls.
Speaker 2: And Yahn, I'm going straight to the top.
Speaker 1: Scotti Scheffler is my number one golfer that I am
really really worried.
Speaker 2: About this week.
Speaker 1: So here's why someone did a great breakdown of him
at the Ryder Cup and why he struggles at at
the Ryder Cup. And they were saying that in a
normal golf tournament, he gets four rounds to do the
same routine on the same holes, and it's just it's
eighteen holes after eighteen holes off eighteen holes after eighteen
holes that heinus Caddy can get to know the course.
They get to know the holes, and it's just it's
just a mental assault on the course. This guy was
making the case that he struggles when everything resets and
you start over, which is what happens at the Ryder Cup.
You're playing different partners, it's different strategies, and he can't
just say I'm gonna do the same thing over.
Speaker 2: You know these you know all these four rounds. Well,
guess what.
Speaker 1: Now we're playing multiple different courses. And I don't think
it's a coincidence that he's finished seventeenth, eleventh, twenty fifth
and missed cut the last four times he's played here.
He can't like get into a groove here, and he
is hands down the number one priced golfer. I get it,
But fourteen two hundred in DFS, No way, I'm gonna
get to why. How I think you might actually be
able to fade him, But Scotti, Schefler's gonna be nowhere
near my betting slips.
Speaker 2: What do you think about Scheffler this week?
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm with you one hundred percent. Like the one
time where I'm going to go against Scotty is in
a pot and conto.
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, yeah, absolutely, We move on to the next one.
Patrick can't lay. I just I can't wrap my head
around this guy. He's one of the big names near
the top, and I think he's gonna be a natural
pick for everyone because he's played good here fifth, but
don't forget fifth place last year before that fifty second
in twenty sixth. He's the weakest putter among these, you know,
top five guys off the tee. Play over the last
six months has been underwhelming, So I'm just not gonna
put Patrick can'tlay near my one and done's DFS or
anything like that. So uh thoughts on Patrick can't lay
this week?
Speaker 3: You another top guy who I just think is going
to struggle to separate himself from the rest of the field.
Speaker 1: Okay, sure with me on that one, and I am
gonna bring up Seawoo. Kim struggled to find success at
this event, finishing twenty second or worse in each of
the last three years.
Speaker 2: Putting major liability.
Speaker 1: We went over that it's it's just a putting contest
and his course history isn't that good here fifty first,
twenty fifth twenty second. He did finish eleventh last week.
That's why I think he's going to be on people's radars. Oh,
kind of an underpriced guy finished eleventh. But Seewoo Kim
not doing it for me. So Scotti Scheffler, Patrick Can'tley
and Seewu Kim are going to be some players that
I think can trip you up. All right, yeah, we
go to head to heads. I'll let you go first.
What's the head to head that you looked at? What
side you want?
Speaker 3: A really simple one for me, it's Kurt Kitty Yama
over Tayler Pendriff. For me, Kitty Arma just has so
many tools to absolutely destroy these weak courses. He is
a fantastic tea to green player. Pendriff's approach numbers aren't
really any good and he does not have a good
record in this competition. Another Kitty Yarma potting. I just
think it's the only way to play this one.
Speaker 1: I am going to put some of my money where
my mouth is and I will take Ben Griffin plus
two sixty five over Scotty Scheffler. The last time these
two played together here, Ben Griffin beat him.
Speaker 2: Ben Griffin was ninth. Scotty Scheffler was seventeenth.
Speaker 1: This is of course Ben Griffin loves he's seventh and
ninth the last couple of years. And I know Scheffler
has this, you know, gigantic, you know total strokes, gained
advantage over.
Speaker 2: Every over everybody.
Speaker 1: But you know it's the approach, but it's not necessarily
the putting. And like we said, if this turns into
a putting contest, lookout and plus two sixty I don't
know when you're gonna want to take another tournament to
fade Scotty Scheffler. Like you know, immediately I looked at
him and I was like, do we just go with
the Scotti Scheffler top five every week? And I was like,
oh not this tournament. I wouldn't even take him in
the in the top ten with his struggles here could
be wrong. Whatever you're betting against Scotti Scheffler, you know
you're taking you're taking your money into your own hands.
But I think plus two sixty five on Ben Griffin,
who has looked really, really good. So Ben Griffin plus
two sixty five over Scottiy Scheffer will be the head
to head I'm looking at all right, we are running
a golf special and this is what we're gonna do
every week. So when we record this show, we're just
gonna make it really easy. And see, you get seven
days of golf for just twenty five dollars. You get
all of our plays from the beginning of the tournament,
pre tournament all the way through. We did really good
with our daily bets, and so we want to make
sure you guys have everything. I'm gonna put my DFS
lineup in the write ups as well, so you get those.
We had a nice cash and draftking, so any of
our top finishers, you're gonna get head to heads our
daily plays coming off a profitable week. Last week wasn't
hugely profitable. But anytime you can make a little bit
of money off the first tournament of the year, you're
in really, really good shape. So seven days of golf,
just twenty five dollars, all percentages aren't looted, and that
gets you every single play for the American Express. Get
there at my page WT do buzz slash al.
Speaker 2: Okay.
Speaker 1: Top finishers, Yeah, and you can pick anything from top ten,
top twenty, top five, whatever market you want.
Speaker 2: Give me your two who do you like?
Speaker 3: First one is Alex Norn top twenty at plus one forty.
He was last scene finishing second in the Hero World Challenge,
so he hasn't actually played for six weeks, and that's
my only concern is that he's just a bit rusty.
But ultimately I'm getting one of the best putters on
tour and an unreal course manager, and I really think
that helps.
Speaker 2: This week, he's.
Speaker 3: Ranked thirteenth from the world, like he's one of the
best players in this field. I think he contends I'm
going to be taking a small sprinkle on his outright,
but I think T twenty at plus one forty is
such a good price.
Speaker 2: I have to agree.
Speaker 1: He was one of the pleasant surprises and going over
total strokes gain, what's your next one?
Speaker 3: My second one is Jacob Bridgeman top forty at plus
one twenty. This is sort of a bit of a
case study of this guy, because this is a guy
that I'm going to be following for like the next
couple of years. He's only twenty six. He was fantastic
last year, so I'm sort of just sort of like
expecting him to come into his prime and make a
bit of a splash again this year. His approach and
His putting is such a big asset and that's really
suited to these courses. He was fantastic again last week
with a tie four finish, strokes gained in every category,
his iron plate was fantastic. I think he might be
competitive this week in top forty. Gives you such a
big margin of error and it's plus money. So Jacob
Bridgeman top forty.
Speaker 2: I did not look up Jacob Bridgman. He was not
on my Bingo card. Love to hear that. I will
go with.
Speaker 1: I keep talking about Ben Griffin, but top twenty including
ties at minus one fifteen for a guy who's finished
top ten the last two years, he's shown he can
do it on any course. He's shown he's not scared
going up against the big name. So Ben Griffin top twenty.
Just be careful about too much Ben Griffin exposure. I'm
not I'm not betting on Ben Griffin in every single category,
but when I'm looking at these numbers, I just can't.
I can't really believe the price. And then sticking with
that top twenty including ties, I am gonna go with
Matthew Fitzpatrick at plus one fifty. I really like what
this guy has done. Yeah, there's you know, there was
the hilarious story about how Matthew Fitzpatrick he couldn't drive
the ball to start the season, what was it, two
seasons ago, And it turns out they put weights in
his driver in the off season to help him, you know,
get stronger, and they just forgot to take him out.
So he was playing with badly weighted drivers and immediately.
Speaker 2: It got fixed.
Speaker 1: But you know, you can't really point to a weakness
in this guy's game. He's you know, easily plus strokes
gain in every category, plus zero point four to two,
putting around the green, solid approach, good off the tee.
You know, no problems there. So Matthew fits. We've seen
him on TGL as well, so you know he's he's
not rusty. He's coming in here with some at least
some swings under his belt. So plus one fifty. I
like Matthew Fitzpatrick to have a pretty good year here.
So all right, out right winners. Jean gets one, I
get one, and then we do draft kings darlings.
Speaker 2: Yean, you mean outright winner.
Speaker 3: I am going back to our boy Harry hall way Off.
I love this spot for him. I'm gonna be playing
him always. I'm playing him out right top twenty, top
forty and make the cut, you name it, I am
playing it. One of the best parts in the field.
If you give me a part in contest, I am
taking Harry and his consistency is his biggest asset, and
I just think being consistent this week gets you really
really close. So back to our boy Harry all this week.
Speaker 1: For me, yeah, I was scrolling down the list and
ruling out Scheffler. I've got been Griffin in you know
too much. There's seem burns. So I'll take a little
a little sprinkle on Ludvick Obert at plus twenty two hundred.
When this guy's on, he's you know, he makes the
case for being top three in the world. There was
that really weird tournament where he got sick and he
I can't remember if he withdrew or if he just
missed the cut, but he had a great first round
and he got sick and he wasn't the same since.
But the last couple of times we've seen him, he
kind of looks like he's getting back to his to
his old self. So around the green not very good,
but that's about it if he can get that putter going.
Speaker 2: We know he's going to be long.
Speaker 1: We know he's going to be setting off some short
iron shots on some of these courses, so he's going
to be licking his chops at these approaches coming in.
So ludvig Obert twenty two to one would be uh,
would be a guy that that I'm looking at and
I'm with you one hundred percent. Yeah, And I are
like the two biggest Harry Hall fans of of like
of two guys that host golf show like every week
that he plays.
Speaker 2: We're just gonna be like Harry Hall Harry Hall.
Speaker 1: So just when when you watch the cut line, expect
your Hairy Hall content to be up there.
Speaker 2: So, okay, I mentioned on you guys last week.
Speaker 1: DraftKings was an incredible year for me last year, and
we did it again. We cashed in last week's tournament.
So here's just to let you guys know how I
play and my strategy. My strategy is I only play
fifty fifties and I want a lot of people in
the in the contest because they call them fifty fifties
their sixty forties. They pay out the top forty percent Okay,
So make no mistake, these fifty fifties ain't fifty fifties.
So when I play these, what I want to do
is I want to pick tournaments that have a lot
of people because you're gonna get well first, you're gonna
get some people that.
Speaker 2: Just forget to settle lineup.
Speaker 1: You're also gonna get people that probably don't don't play
it nearly as much as I do. And here's the
other sneaky thing. Don't don't spread this. Keep this between us.
If you want to play for two hundred dollars, don't
play in a two hundred dollars tournament playing four fifty
dollars ones you want the If you're playing for two
hundred dollars, you probably know the sport as well as
I do. If you're playing for fifty dollars, I think
I got a little bit of an edge. So that's
what I do, yan is I split up. It may
sound dirty, but I'm not a bot. I go in
there and I put my I put my uh my
plays in myself.
Speaker 2: But that is how I play DFS.
Speaker 1: And we had a really really nice cash finishing eighty
eighth out of like two hundred and forty. So let's
go to the DraftKings darlings here. I am going to
start with Lee Hodges. And Lee Hodges was an absolutely
fantastic darling last year for US.
Speaker 2: He's at sixty seven hundred. Uh six. Did you know
he finished sixth last week?
Speaker 3: Yan definitely slip on the line right now.
Speaker 2: We did. Did we see a shot of him?
Speaker 1: So yeah, Lee Hodges coming up with six plays finish.
Underlying stats back it up, putted lights out. He ranked
twentieth in greens and regulation, was number one in sand
saves and scrambling. He finished thirty fourth year last year.
That's solid enough for a course fit, a tournament fit.
So at the price sixty seven hundred, Lee Hodges is
going to be the anchor there.
Speaker 2: Kevin Roy, we did see him.
Speaker 1: He's at seventy one hundred, continues to check all the
right boxes for DFS value, thirteenth place finish where he ranked.
Speaker 2: Fifth, and putting. Talk about a putting contest.
Speaker 1: I'll take the guy that's lights out putting last week,
seventh round the green, really good touch when it mattered
the most. Driving accuracy isn't elite, but you don't really
need that on this course. There's not too many devastating
you know, like penalty areas and such. So Kevin Roy
at seventy one hundred, and hey, out of it, ain't broke,
don't fix it. John Perry seventy one hundred, same price
as last week. He came through us with a strong
nineteenth place finish. Going right back to him, he was
eighth and putting fifth in greens in regulation, fourteenth in
driving accuracy. That's the balance that you like in a
draft Kings Darling. So again, and just get me points
on the weekend and you're going to cash. So and
it was it's always funny, Yoahn, when like one guy
in your lineup missus the cut, and it's not the
DraftKings Darling.
Speaker 2: It's like the more expensive guy.
Speaker 1: But if you can nail those draft Kings Darlings, you
will do very very well in DFS.
Speaker 2: So once again the article.
Speaker 1: If you go to wagertalk dot comedy, just click on
the news section that's up on top. You'll see the
golf article with all the wright ups and everything like that.
We'll put the DFS light up in there for this week,
and we'll also include it in our right ups for
all of our plays, so once again, seven days of
golf for twenty five dollars. It gets every single play
throughout the tournament. We're big on daily plays, did really
well in those last week, so looking forward to another
big week there. We're already get some plays uploaded tonight,
so if you guys could do me favor, hit the
like button. It really really helps us out. Leave us
a comment below, tell us who's your best bet this
week or give us your one and done in the
comment section. Love seeing who you guys are betting on
it this week. The golf community is very very knowledgeable.
When you guys post comments, we pay attention. So Jean,
great job, Thank you very much. Let's have another big
winning week and thanks for everyone everyone for joining us.
Speaker 2: We'll see everyone next week. Take care,