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<v Speaker 1>Hey, folks, welcome into the Thinking Crypto podcast. You're home

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<v Speaker 1>for cryptocurrency news and interviews. I'm your host, Tony Edward

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<v Speaker 1>on your weight and to please sit that subscribe button

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<v Speaker 1>as well as the thumbs up button and leave a

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<v Speaker 1>comment below. If you're listening on a podcast platform such

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<v Speaker 1>as Spotify or Apple, please leave a five star rating

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<v Speaker 1>and review. Folks, I'm sure many of you are looking

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<v Speaker 1>at the price charts and seeing bitcoin dump today. It

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<v Speaker 1>actually touched ninety ak and you may say, Tony, I

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<v Speaker 1>remember you talking about ninety ak, and it's what I've

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<v Speaker 1>been sharing in the live streams in my newsletter that

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<v Speaker 1>bitcoin was heading from the overbought zone, which we hit

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<v Speaker 1>when bitcoin touch one hundred and twelve thousand, and it's

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<v Speaker 1>been on its way down to the over soul zone.

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<v Speaker 1>This is just the market cycles playing out. Nothing unusual here. Now.

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<v Speaker 1>I know there is a macro uncertainty out there with

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<v Speaker 1>war and so forth, but aside from the news right,

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<v Speaker 1>the chart is still holding up and it's still the

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<v Speaker 1>cyclical pattern playing out here, so there's nothing unusual. It

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<v Speaker 1>wasn't like, oh, all of a sudden, the market's crashed

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<v Speaker 1>because of war. No, the markets have been on the

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<v Speaker 1>way down. And yes, the war news and narrative comes in,

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<v Speaker 1>and then you see the price starts to tumble. Right,

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<v Speaker 1>It just almost makes it happen faster than it maybe

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<v Speaker 1>it would have played out. So the daily RSI is

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<v Speaker 1>still showing us on the way down to oversoul. And

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<v Speaker 1>right now the daily RSI is about thirty eight, so

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<v Speaker 1>we're near that oversoul zone. And you may say, but Tony,

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<v Speaker 1>there's war, who's going to invest? Well, unfortunately, guys. Unfortunately

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<v Speaker 1>we've seen historical patterns with macro uncertainty, with wars, pandemic

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<v Speaker 1>and much more. They don't trigger a bear market. It

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<v Speaker 1>all goes back, is global liquidity rising. Are we still

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<v Speaker 1>in a bull market? Because those factors actually outweigh what's

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<v Speaker 1>happening in the world. Remember the people who are going

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<v Speaker 1>nuts about Russia, your the bull market's not going to happen.

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<v Speaker 1>Look what's happening Russia, Ukraine, blah blah blah. And then

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<v Speaker 1>bitcoin and all coins have been going up, the stock

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<v Speaker 1>market have been going up. Since it all goes back

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<v Speaker 1>to are the governments and central banks pushing liquidity into

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<v Speaker 1>the market, debasing the currency printing, right, And that's what's

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<v Speaker 1>been going on, and we've been watching global liquidity it's

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<v Speaker 1>been on the rise. So I anticipate Bitcoin could it

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<v Speaker 1>could go a bit more lower, maybe ninety six K,

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<v Speaker 1>ninety five K before we bottom out and then start

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<v Speaker 1>moving up and we'll see how everything plays out. But guys, again,

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<v Speaker 1>I hate war. I wish all these things were not happening,

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<v Speaker 1>but this is the world we live in and we

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<v Speaker 1>just got to look at the data when it comes

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<v Speaker 1>to the charts and what's going to happen next. So

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<v Speaker 1>with the big dump, eight hundred and seventy five million

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<v Speaker 1>dollars liquidated from the crypto market over the past twenty

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<v Speaker 1>four hours. Of course, all coins are bleeding out as

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<v Speaker 1>expected because the market follows Bitcoin, and all coins are

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<v Speaker 1>going to take a beating. But that's okay because they

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<v Speaker 1>will have their day in the sun as Bitcoin starts rallying. Remember,

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<v Speaker 1>Bitcoin will pump hit its overbod zone. Liquidity will rotate

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<v Speaker 1>to the all coins and they'll start pumping. So we

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<v Speaker 1>got to be patient here. And one good thing with

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<v Speaker 1>bitcoin's weekly close, the bulls. According to Matthew Highland, the

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<v Speaker 1>bitcoin bulls successfully defended the support on the close, so

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<v Speaker 1>key support levels are still being held up here and

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<v Speaker 1>on the weekly still looking bullish. We are still seeing

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<v Speaker 1>green on the mag D. The weekly RSI still looks good. Right.

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<v Speaker 1>We haven't hit that very overbought zone on the higher

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<v Speaker 1>time frame of the weekly, so we've still got room

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<v Speaker 1>for upside here, and the bitcoin dominance is on its

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<v Speaker 1>way up. And here Wrecked Capital said, bitcoin dominance is

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<v Speaker 1>just five point five percent away from revisiting that seventy

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<v Speaker 1>one percent level for the first time since January twenty

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<v Speaker 1>twenty one. Remember January was the blowoff top year, right,

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<v Speaker 1>So bitcoin dominance playing out just like it did in

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<v Speaker 1>those bullmarket years. And we got a bit of a

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<v Speaker 1>fake out in late May where it showed that bitcoin

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<v Speaker 1>dominance was you know, dropping significantly. But man, it's on

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<v Speaker 1>the way up, and I think once we hit that

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<v Speaker 1>seventy one percent zone that might take us or take

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<v Speaker 1>bitcoin to the new all time high. And then all season,

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<v Speaker 1>the epic all season starts. And then in conjunction, you're

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<v Speaker 1>seeing USDT dominance on the rise, so the liquidity is

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<v Speaker 1>going back to tether and tether they are minting a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of USDT today. Two billion minted on June seventeenth,

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<v Speaker 1>there was another billion minted. So we've seen this show before.

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<v Speaker 1>How many times have I shared these data points with you, folks,

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<v Speaker 1>And I'm not saying that to Bo's I'm just trying

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<v Speaker 1>to help you understand the markets and what's happening. I'm

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<v Speaker 1>trying to share it a knowledge that I've learned being

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<v Speaker 1>here from multiple bullmarket cycles, talking to different hedge fund

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<v Speaker 1>and VC guys, talking different analysts and traders. So I

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<v Speaker 1>now understand a cyclical pattern. I know the metrics to

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<v Speaker 1>look at, and that's why I'm not panicking. I'm not

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<v Speaker 1>worrying and I don't panic sell anymore. I used to

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<v Speaker 1>because I didn't know. I wasn't educated. But now that

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<v Speaker 1>I'm educated about what's happening, I'm able to make money

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<v Speaker 1>in the market. And I'm not saying I'm some Wall

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<v Speaker 1>Street analysts or a guy who's been doing trading. I

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<v Speaker 1>don't day trade. I simply play the macro, buy the lows,

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<v Speaker 1>sell the highs, and go through the peaks and valleys

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<v Speaker 1>on the way up. That's just part of it. And

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<v Speaker 1>I look at these different metrics to valudate my thesis,

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<v Speaker 1>to make sure it's not about my emotions and how

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<v Speaker 1>I'm feeling, but rather what is the data telling me

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<v Speaker 1>and folks, despite once again everything that's going on, just

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<v Speaker 1>like Russia, Ukraine, just like March twenty twenty. Oh no,

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<v Speaker 1>they're shutting down the world. Right, market's just pumped because

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<v Speaker 1>notice the herd right now will be very afraid. Oh

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<v Speaker 1>my god, everything's crashing. You're going to see the headlines

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<v Speaker 1>as sensational headlines. Stock market crashes, this, bitcoin crashes that right,

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<v Speaker 1>that is for the masses who are uneducated. I know

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<v Speaker 1>that's a tough statement. A lot of people, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>may have a knee jerk reaction saying Tony, you're you're

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<v Speaker 1>a jerk, right, But I'm being realistic and this is

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<v Speaker 1>how it all works, and I want you guys to

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<v Speaker 1>understand that. And here's some more confirmation. Bitcoin whales, according

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<v Speaker 1>to on chain data from Saniment, continue to accumulate, so

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<v Speaker 1>they're not getting shaked out here. They are accumulating. So

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<v Speaker 1>while it's a ten of more, Bitcoin continue to rise,

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<v Speaker 1>so the smart money they know what's going to happen.

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<v Speaker 1>And even macro signals like the Bitcoin pie cycle top

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<v Speaker 1>indicator nowhere close to flashing. So we got ways to

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<v Speaker 1>go I mentioned global liquidity earlier, Macro investor Ralph pal

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<v Speaker 1>shared an updated global liquidity chart showing that M two

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<v Speaker 1>is still rising globally. He says, here's the updated GMI

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<v Speaker 1>bitcoin to M two chart. Nothing seems unusual here, but

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<v Speaker 1>please do not expect all wiggles to match or all

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<v Speaker 1>timing points to be exact. It's the overall contextualization that

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<v Speaker 1>matters the most. And yes, all bleed more than Bitcoin

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<v Speaker 1>in corrections spot on right. So he's saying, look, there's

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<v Speaker 1>peaks and valleys on this chart. Don't expect Bitcoin to

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<v Speaker 1>align perfectly with everything, but it's more directional. And then

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<v Speaker 1>when you look at the chart, you see the directional

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<v Speaker 1>pattern here. So global liquidity is a leading indicator. And

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<v Speaker 1>look it's showing right now. Bitcoin potentially, potentially now not guaranteed,

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<v Speaker 1>could top out at one hundred and seventy K. So

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<v Speaker 1>let's see how this plays out, folks. It would be very,

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<v Speaker 1>very interesting, and the markets are going to follow this

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<v Speaker 1>despite short term volatility with news of wars and this

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<v Speaker 1>and that and whatever pops up. Right, Just look at

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<v Speaker 1>with the tariff uncertainty crash, what did the markets do

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<v Speaker 1>bounce v shape recovery, even the stock market same thing, right,

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<v Speaker 1>So guys understand how this game is played, and it

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<v Speaker 1>has to be the long term view, the macro view,

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<v Speaker 1>because if you're looking at the one minute chart, the hourly,

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<v Speaker 1>the daily, you know it's going to be brutal. If

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<v Speaker 1>you're going to go through a lot of emotions, it's

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<v Speaker 1>a it's an emotional rollercoaster. But when you zoom out,

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<v Speaker 1>you see how this all plays out, folks, And we're

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<v Speaker 1>still in a bull market, and we've still still got

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<v Speaker 1>ways to go here in this bullmarket, more upside and

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<v Speaker 1>the different factors are showing that. Now. You know, I

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<v Speaker 1>mentioned war, right and what we've seen historically, and Crypto

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<v Speaker 1>Wizard did a great job breaking this down, and this

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<v Speaker 1>is going to trigger some people. War is bullish? What

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<v Speaker 1>if I told you war is bullish? On March twenty,

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<v Speaker 1>two thousand and three, the Iraq War began and the

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<v Speaker 1>SMP five hundred saw a sizeable correction. After that, it

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<v Speaker 1>had a thirty five percent game easy endorsing war. Is

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<v Speaker 1>he happy about war? Of course not right, nobody's happy

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<v Speaker 1>about war? But why does war trigger this bullish activity

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<v Speaker 1>for the bull market? Because they have to print they

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<v Speaker 1>have to print to pay for all this. Get where

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<v Speaker 1>do you get the money to fund these wars and

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<v Speaker 1>so forth? Right, And I'm not just talking about the

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<v Speaker 1>United States. This happens globally. Israel is going to have

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<v Speaker 1>to do it to fund the war, and that's going

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<v Speaker 1>to lead to global liquidity going up. That's why even

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<v Speaker 1>in a war, markets rallied. And I know it seems illogical, right,

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<v Speaker 1>why would that happen? But it's because markets still move

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<v Speaker 1>based on war or news. They move on liquidity, and

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<v Speaker 1>as long as governments are debasing their currency and printing,

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<v Speaker 1>asset prices will rise. Folks. That's the fundamental knowledge and

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<v Speaker 1>thesis you need to have in the back of your

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<v Speaker 1>mind so that you're not panicking. You're not an emotional rollercoaster.

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<v Speaker 1>And I know a big part of it is patience, right,

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<v Speaker 1>You've got to be patient. That's the hard part for retail. Unfortunately,

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<v Speaker 1>this is where a smart money beats out a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of retail because they're more patient and educated about these metrics,

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<v Speaker 1>so they're not in an emotional roller coaster. Oh my god.

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<v Speaker 1>They wake up on Monday morning and the market's down,

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<v Speaker 1>many people start selling, Oh my god, I need to sell, No,

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<v Speaker 1>you don't. Now, if you have an emergency you need cash, obviously,

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<v Speaker 1>you do what you got to do. But if you're

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<v Speaker 1>just simply investing in looking to grow your wealth, you're

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<v Speaker 1>sitting back and buying dips and let it grow. And

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<v Speaker 1>there could be points where you take profits. Obviously where

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<v Speaker 1>we're looking to take profits in this bull market. But

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<v Speaker 1>the point is you shouldn't be panic selling. If you're

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<v Speaker 1>panic selling, you're doing it wrong. So, guys, I know

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<v Speaker 1>this is a triggering thing to talk about. War is bullish, right,

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<v Speaker 1>but unfortunately this is the world we live in now.

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<v Speaker 1>Moving ahead, Texas has passed their strategic Bitcoin Reserve into law, folks,

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<v Speaker 1>so they become the third stay to do this. This

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<v Speaker 1>is very bullish, folks. And as always, it will start

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<v Speaker 1>with a bitcoin and then it will go to all coins.

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<v Speaker 1>I've said that many times. We're seeing it at multiple fronts.

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<v Speaker 1>So Dennis Porter of the Satociaction Fund, shout out to

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<v Speaker 1>this man. I've had him on the podcast. He's responsible

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<v Speaker 1>for a lot of these things, he said. Texas joins

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<v Speaker 1>New Hampshire and Arizona to be the third state to

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<v Speaker 1>pass a strategic Bitcoin reserve. Legislation into law. Just huge.

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<v Speaker 1>I hope you see what's happening here, folks. We're seeing

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<v Speaker 1>huge adoption globally and this technology, it will power the economy,

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<v Speaker 1>the markets, and the government's blockchain will be used by

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<v Speaker 1>every industry. Stable coins bitcoin as a strategic reserve in

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<v Speaker 1>addition to all coins and much more so. Exciting times

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<v Speaker 1>are ahead. We just got to get through the uncertainty

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<v Speaker 1>of these things that happen, right, just like there was

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<v Speaker 1>uncertainty with the terriffs, and then we v shape or covered.

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<v Speaker 1>So expect volatility in the coming week and maybe weeks,

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<v Speaker 1>and then we're going to start to bottom out and

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<v Speaker 1>move up. It's like clockwork. And again I point you

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<v Speaker 1>to that chart I've been sharing even in my newsletter,

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<v Speaker 1>right and that is the RSI is just showing you

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<v Speaker 1>what the cyclical pattern is. It is clear as day.

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<v Speaker 1>It's textbook. So make sure you're studying this and you

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<v Speaker 1>know what you guys can do. I'm not trying to

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<v Speaker 1>give you homework or anything here, but you know, after

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<v Speaker 1>you watch or listen to these podcasts, go to TradingView

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<v Speaker 1>dot com or just go to any site that gives

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<v Speaker 1>you investing data and go research RSI go research, mac

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<v Speaker 1>D and all these things right under different moving averages

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<v Speaker 1>and so forth, and even big one on the monthly

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<v Speaker 1>still still bullish, guys. So patience is the key here, folks.

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<v Speaker 1>That's the news. Let me know what you think. Be

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<v Speaker 1>sure to check out our sponsor, Propy. They are leading

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<v Speaker 1>a pioneer in the web three space. They've been around

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<v Speaker 1>since twenty seventeen. They've facilitated over four billion dollars in transactions.

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<v Speaker 1>They use coinbase for the crypto escro because you can

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<v Speaker 1>use property to buy and sell real estate and receive

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<v Speaker 1>crypto as a payment. It's really cool, Noah, their platform

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<v Speaker 1>offers this, and I'm a Propy toekenholder. I have been

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<v Speaker 1>since twenty eighteen because I saw them being ahead of

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<v Speaker 1>the curve in disrupting the real estate industry at blockchain.

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<v Speaker 1>So if you'd like to learn more, check out the

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<v Speaker 1>links in the description. Also check out my newsletter. I

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<v Speaker 1>put out one yesterday. The newsletter is one hundred percent free.

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<v Speaker 1>It's on substack. Check out my book on Amazon it's

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<v Speaker 1>available in paperback, in digital, and my course at Mycrypto

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<v Speaker 1>course dot com. Folks, thank you so much for watching

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<v Speaker 1>and listening. I appreciate you all, and I'll talk to

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<v Speaker 1>you all later