Speaker 1: NFL Week two underway. We've got barking dogs. Of course,
we're gonna hit on those primetime games, including a doubleheader
on Monday night. Maybe the deli's back open. We're gonna
get that steam and teaser report from VR and finish
it off off with some best bets next up on
bet on It. The comment section complained last week the
Marco D'Angelo didn't get a talk for nine minutes. Kelly
Stewart here, Kelly and Vegas. Yanni the Greek Greek underscore gambler,
Marco D'Angelo at Marco and Vegas. So I'm making him
go first. I'm making him dissect this Thursday night game.
This one's kind of got my brain in a pretzel, Marco.
Both of these teams looked fantastic in their Week one starts.
Washington a three and a half point underdog at green
Bay to forty eight and a half.
Speaker 2: Well, Kelly, you stole my opening line about these teams
looking great last week, but the team that looked the
best was Green Bay and because who they played. Yeah,
Washington looked good last week, but they played the Giants,
and even though the Giants was one of those sharp
sides and I'll admit, you know, I was on the
Giants last week. It's still the Giants. I think the
stock is too high on green Bay. And I went
back and forth whether I was gonna use the side
or I was gonna use the total in this game
because I think green Bay's over priced. But where I
decided and landed in this game is I'm gonna look
at the total, and I think you're gonna see some
value this week on the totals because last week there
were just a slew of unders in Week one of
the NFL, and after what we saw in the preseason
with all of the overs, it reverted back. Well, you
know what, history has a way of repeating itself. As
we always say, generally speaking, the defenses are ahead of
the offenses in Week one because all of the teams
that don't play any starters during the preseason, they're not
hitting the ground running. And I'm gonna look to the
over here in this one in this week, because I
think everybody's gonna have that fresh in her mind about
all of the unders. But we've seen that one trend.
Remember Kelly, all those prime time games that we kept
playing unders, it kept going over. I think it continues here.
You've got two teams that are non division teams. It's
hard to prepare for a team in a short week,
but if you're playing a division rival, you know them,
it's easier for preparation. That's not gonna be the case
for either one of these teams this week. Also, you
look at green Bay that game that they come off
of the knee jerk's gonna reaction is gonna be if
green Bay held Detroit the thirteen points? You know, that
prolific Detroit offense that we've seen over the years, what
are they going to do to Washington. Washington didn't score
a lot of points last week. It was just in
that New York Giant team that kept setting them up
in good field position. That's not gonna be the case
this week. Remember that was a division game that was
their biggest rival. And oh, by the way, and we'll
see how the season plays out. That Detroit offense did
not look good last week. Are they missing something? Yeah,
they're missing their offensive coordinator Ben Johnson. Let's see how
that plays out later. The other part of it was
Jared Goff's not mobile. You know, he's a statue back there.
They were able to put pressure on him. They come
with pressure and they don't get Daniels at first crack.
Guess what's gonna happen. He's gonna be off to the races.
He's a mobile quarterback, can beat you with his arm,
can beat you with his legs. I think you're gonna
see both teams score a lot of points in this game.
I'm going over the total of forty eight and a half.
I think we're gonna have a Thursday night shootout fun.
I do lean to the dog, full disclosure, but I
like the old as well, and that's where we're going
on the show.
Speaker 1: First week overs twelve and four, they were rather impressive
towards the under VR. You've got the Sunday night football game.
I think this is gonna be an absolute barn burner
as well. Let's get into it. Atlanta Falcons a five
point underdog at the Minnesota Vikings forty five and a half.
The Arc Minnesota and JJ McCarthy looked abysmal. I had
the Bears and Teasers on Monday Night, closing out four
or five of them. Step back, nothing to worry about.
I can't believe I had to sweat that teaser there
in the end. Was that more of a Minnesota comeback
or more of a Bears defensive fallback.
Speaker 3: No, was the collapse of the Bears. That's what it was.
They played awesome in the first half and then you
just saw what the Bears are about in the second half,
and that was the difference maker. But you know, I
like to look at teams that actually stock drops off
a win or stock improves af a loss, because that
happens a lot. And here's a spot where the Viking
stock actually drops off that win because exactly what you
touched on, Like they more or less got lucky to
get that win. But I look at it from the
perspective of now they have some momentum. You played that badly,
and yet you still want a game against a division rival,
which is huge. So I think this week, like they're up,
that team's up. They're feeling good about themselves. Falcons. On
the flip sides, the opposite, you lost a really tight
game against the division rival that you're going to be
battling to win the division. And more importantly, you had
a quarterback in Michael Pennick's junior who played above what
we expect and I expect the regression. You know, you
had a ninety three, ninety five quarterback rating, no interceptions,
nice completion percentage. I just don't think that's going to
hap against the Minnesota Vikings. And what the Falcons where
they could attack them is in that vertical passing game.
But I just don't think they're going to have success
because the pressure Vikings are gonna be able to bring.
If they could bring that pressure to Pennix and they
have trouble extending the field, like having those wide receivers
run those long routes and have some big plays, I
don't think they're going to be able to like systematically
beat the Vikings break them down. That's not going to happen.
I like Minnesota on offense. I like Minnesota on defense
as well. I just think they have all the advantages here.
They know what they have to do to beat Atlanta.
I haven't bet it yet. I want to see where
this line kind of settles, and you know, fives one
of those dead numbers one way or the other. We'll
see if the market gets me involved. But I just
think Minnesota is the right side. Again. I think it's
a team who stock dropped after a win. But you
know as expected. They were team fourteen win team last
year and they looked the part again this year. So
I think it's Minnesota or pass for me.
Speaker 1: The first game of the Monday night football double header,
Tampa Bay catching two and a half at Houston total
forty two and a half. Look, hand up. I don't
love this game. I think you could argue that Bucks
were lucky that Atlanta missed that field goal, but Baker
did have a really substantial game winning drive prior to that,
and then they missed the pat That is my feelings
on that game. Let's talk about the Houston Texans. They
turned the ball over twice, eleven penalties and then went
two for nine on third down. Better quarterback here, I
would argue, is Baker Mayfield, And I would say that
I don't trust this offensive line to keep CJ. Stroud upright.
We've got a better defense here on the road. Plus
the points, I think the obvious answer here is low total,
teasing Tampa up over a touchdown, Give me Tampa Bay
here and I will get you guys a second leg.
Marco's got a nice segment here in the deli that
I may be looking at, and we'll talk to VR
up here shortly about those teaser spots, and Marco gets
to break down the second Monday night football game. That's
why we've got a doubleheader on Monday Night, the late game.
Hopefully I'm in bed for this one ten pm Eastern
there on Monday Night football. Chargers three and a half
point favorite now at the Las Vegas Raiders total forty
six and a half. Marco, do you like the hometown
team here?
Speaker 2: Well, Kelly, this is a division game, and it's a
Monday night game, so you wouldn't expect, you know, either
team to be flat or looking ahead. But I have
to point out the obvious. The Chargers are coming off
a gigantic win upsetting the Chiefs. Is that was as
big of an opening week win as you could possibly have.
Not only did the Chargers give up a home game
playing in Brazil last week, but the NFL, which for
whatever reason, made them give up a home game that
was a division game. That was a huge disadvantage for
the Chargers, and they overcame it beat the Chiefs. Now
off that gigantic win, you're asking them to go on
the road for a second week in a row. Yeah,
it's a division game. I get it. It's the Raiders.
It's Monday Night football, but it's Monday night home opener
for the Raiders. Not only is it the Monday night
home opener, it's the first home game regular season for
their new head coach Pete Carroll. The question is going
to be coming into the season. The narrative by everybody
was that the Kansas City Chiefs have taken a step
backwards and that the Chargers and the Broncos have closed
the gap. But the big thing was which one of
those two teams was going to be that team that
took the step to overcome and dethrone the crown from
Kansas City. So even though this is a division game,
look at who the Chargers play next week in their
true home opener. It's the Denver Broncos. To me, this
is a horrible scheduling spot. I am going to look
to the Raiders getting the points. I think the stock
is as high as it can be on the Chargers.
It was a lot of hype coming into the season.
Justin Herbert looked absolutely fantastic in that first game. I
just can't see them doing that for two weeks in
a row. And here's a little angle I have, and
I know the comment section is gonna go, well, let
me know, go ahead, give it to me if you want.
But Week two is the trickiest week of the season
for betters because so many people are gonna look at
Week one and they're going to overreact to what they
saw in one week or they're going to do this.
And I hear it all the time when I'm in
sports books or if I'm sitting at a poker table,
listen to John Q public talk, and they'll say, Oh,
this team can't start the season ozho and two. There's
no way they're gonna lose both games to start the season,
because everybody knows the history of teams that lose both
games and how hard it is to make the playoffs.
But there's also a flip side to that. There's gonna
be a team or two that's going to be a
major surprise that starts the season at two and Oh,
and that team that's going to be a surprise is
gonna be the Las Vegas Raiders. Yeah, it would be
no surprise for the Chargers to be two and zero,
but it would be a big surprise for the Raiders.
And I'm gonna go with that I think they're undervalued
in this one. Let's take the dog plus the points
and they know Kelly you love primetime home dogs.
Speaker 3: Throw in it.
Speaker 2: It's a division game, it's Vegas, this game starts late.
Let's go ahead and take the raid.
Speaker 1: Eyes can't wait to wake up a winner. Guys, get
your notepads out and your pins ready. The Steam report
is coming in hot, and then VR when you get
done with that. I have a couple other things I
want to talk about, including those teasers you give out
every single Sunday morning on Last Call. Oddslogic dot Com
backslash Kelly in Vegas. If you guys are looking for
a one week free trial, you guys can check out
all of the line movement. You can check out injury reports, weather,
so forth. You're gonna get up to date automatic refresh
on your screen. I have mine on and sometimes it
scares the shit out of me because it dings so
loud when a line is moving or a game has ended,
So be careful with that one. VR. Get it ready, guys.
I'm gonna let the dog off the leash.
Speaker 3: Let them roll, all right. We got a lot of
moves in week two. Let's not forget. This is one
of the biggest adjustment weeks based off of one game
and a lot of overreactions. That's why you're seeing a
lot of movement, especially off the look ahead. Remember there's
a look ahead line where lines are post did two
weeks in advance. In fact, this whole season, you could
bet more or less, and then they start getting bet
into and then you'll see a line settle. And here's
what I'm talking about. We saw with green Bay opens
up minus two and a half gets bet up through
that key number, and that's when you saw the Washington
money come in. So you have sharps on both sides
of that game. Green Bay minus two and a half
in Washington plus four. Now move on to Sunday's action.
New England plus two and a half and under forty five,
two fifty three, Jacksonville plus the five and a half
and four and a half all the way down, Cleveland
plus thirteen and plus twelve and a half, two fifty eight,
Dallas minus three, Dallas minus four, Dallas minus four and
a half, and Dallas minus fine. Remember the look ahead
was really low on somebody's That's why you're seeing some
major adjustments two sixty two New York Jets plus eight
and a half. All the way down the key number
of plus seven two sixty four under forty eight and
a half in forty eight Chicago Detroit to seventy two
Indianapolis Colts plus two and a half slash money line
as well to seventy eight. They went under forty six
and a half. That was the look ahead. Then they
posted forty four and a half that got hit under
as well. All the way down the under forty two
and a half dropped the forty one and a half.
That's where you started seeing over money. It seems like
it's settling around that forty two and a half forty
three range. So you have steam at under forty four
and a half, steam it over forty one and a half.
Not much money came in at that look ahead at
forty six and a half. Remember the limits are low.
And finally Vegas Chargers over seemed to get out ahead
of the public there that's already betting that game over.
They went over forty five and a half and over
forty six in the Chargers and the Raiders on Monday
night early still it's only Wednesday, but those are some
of the moves that got hit immediately after Week one games.
Speaker 1: Rvre, I happen to catch your segment Monday on wager
Talk today. It's also posted up on the wager Talk
Instagram channel. Regarding teasers, So one of the things that
I think we started two years ago now on last call,
when I was hosting now eron Epstein hosting on Sundays
for me, was Hey, we're gonna bet the closing line teasers,
because the closing line is the sharpest. So if something
moves to three, something closes one, they're no longer an
underdog teaser value or getting up over that nine, whatever
it may be that takes it out of that long teaser.
Can you kind of break down the methods to the
madness last week I had already bet it. I couldn't
wait Saturday. I put the Lions in a teaser. I
came back on Sunday and a bunch of Packers fans
at my house. I said, you know, I'm gonna try
to middle this game got too greedy. But that was
the only teaser leg that was woable that lost. The
total was probably a little too high for me to
be wonging it. Anyway, talk about teasers from week one
and maybe some spots we have circled here for week
number two.
Speaker 3: Yeah, Detroit was our only loser on our teasers. I
narrowed it down the five of them about ten minutes
before kickoff, and four of those got the money. The
reason I'm betting against the closing line. And I know
there's even sharps that'll argue this, but it's worked out
for me. I don't have a big enough sample size
to have statistical significance, but what I can tell you
is over the last two now plus seasons, this has
worked out best because with a teaser, you only catch
a teaser if the game lands near the number. The
highest probability of the game leader near the number is
when the number is its sharpest. We know that the
number is its most efficient at the close because all
the information's already been factored into that price. So that's
why sometimes, like you touched on, a team could be
plus three. I'm not going to tease them, but come
fifteen minutes before game time, if that dog gets steamed
down to where I'm now getting them at plus two
plus one and a half, now I will use the teaser.
Cause again, now I can't get the three that's gone,
but now I can get the three, and I can
go through the next big key number of seven by
teasing it. So that's what we're looking for. We're looking
for those sharp moves that maybe the numbers no longer avaiuable,
but now it's teasable for us, because again, the goal
is to go through the numbers three sixty seven. The
goal is to not lay more than one twenty five,
and the goal is to only bet those numbers, not
the teams. The teams are irrelevant. I could be against
that team on a straight bet. The only thing we're
doing is teasing those numbers because that has proven to
give us about a two percent edge over the books.
If we're able to lay minus one twenty. That's what
you want to aim for laying that minus one twenty.
I know they're still a valuable out there six point
teasers for minus one twenty, but if you're laying minus
one thirties, don't even do it. You're better off straight
betting those aren't beatable. You're now no longer plus ev
stay away from six and a half seven point teasers
because they're never priced right. For a while, there were
ten point teasers where there was some value on even
some six point teasers, on sixteen teasers that you know
they were mispriced. But books have really cleaned that up
because teasers become so popular that now you just got
to focused on six point teasers. Lay one, twenty five
or better, go through three, six, seven, bet it verst
the closing number, and you'll do just fine. You'll cash
more than you trash. When the season's over, You'll have
made some money.
Speaker 1: Damn it, damn it, dammit. I said during the Barking
Dog segment, the game that Marco gave out I thought
was teasable. Now I'm looking at my odd screen and
just what VR said there on the teasers, it is
now moving out of that position. Seattle now catching three.
Marco Barking Dog says, Hey, I want a dog that
has the shots that went out right. Why do you
like them this week against your Pittsburgh Steelers.
Speaker 2: Well, we went against the Steelers last week, and boy,
you know, for Marco that was like the perfect ending
to a game. I had the Jets plus two and
a half and the Steelers still won the game, but
I cashed my ticket. Talk about an emotional hedge that
was it. But let's be serious now, Okay, have you
heard more at nauseum about Aaron Rodgers and the Steelers
from last week? All you heard about was four touchdown passes,
no interceptions. Everybody is just chugging the kool aid here
in Pittsburgh with Aaron Rodgers after one performance. You know
what nobody's talking about, though? How about the fact that
the Jets put up thirty two points on the Steelers, Yes,
and went up and down the field with Justin Fields.
I told you Justin Fields was going to have a
big game last week. He had something to prove. I
told you back when we did the preview in August,
when we went through the divisions, I said, I am
going to look for spots early in the season to
go against the Steelers because they're not going to be
priced right. This is one of them again, all right
in this one, I'll be honest with you. I can
considered putting this in as a trap game for that segment,
but we're using something else because we've got a great
sandwich situation. Green.
Speaker 3: Look at it.
Speaker 2: You're looking at the Steelers minus three at home after
they put up all those points last week, and then
you've got Seattle traveling cross country. The Steelers are only
a three point favor. With all of the hype of
the Steelers, and remember, you know, the Steelers still made
the playoffs last year with Russell Wilson. They got trounced
in the first round, but they made the playoffs. They're
only a three point favorite. If this was a neutral field,
you're gonna tell me, with all the hype, the Pittsburgh
really would be a pick them. That's you know what
they're telling you here in this game that smells fishy
as hell. I like Seattle. I think they can actually
go in there and beat Pittsburgh. Seattle played well against
San Francisco last week, and they were actually driving at
the end of the game deep in San Francisco territory
in a seventeen thirteen game. Had a chance to win
that game and untimely fumble bit Sam Darnold and cost
him the game. If he has a clean game this week,
if Justin Fields was able to move the ball the
way they did last week, I think Seattle is going
to go in and ruin the home opener for the
Pittsburgh Steelers. Give me Seattle plus the points in this one.
I'd be happy. I'm calling it twenty to seventeen Seattle,
but if we get Pittsburgh twenty one twenty, I'll be
okay with that as well.
Speaker 1: All Right, Marco's looking to thread the needle once again
with his team VR. You're making me a little nervous.
I'm okay. Your spreadsheet here, and you like the Carolina
Panthers as your barking dog. I know my team and
I and some of my solo entries have the Arizona
Cardinals slated for this week. Should we be worried for survivorbackers?
Speaker 3: Everybody does. And here's the bottom line I'm gonna tell
you now, Caroline is the worst team in the NFL
power rating wise, there's nobody worse than Caroline right now.
With that said, there's still not this many points worse
than Arizona at home, which has basically less than a
two point one point six seven home field advantage. At
that bottom line, Bryce Young's getting better and better, and
they just Arizona doesn't have the defense to just completely
shut them down. If you're not able to put pressure
on Bryce Young and that Carolina offensive line holds, he
finds his rhythm. This team's just going to be fine
as far as putting up points. Now, the key is
can they contain Kyler Murray and that offense. That's the
bottom line, And I think they can check the injury
report makes ther j C. Horns playing, because that's who
they're going to have on Harrison. If he's one on
one on Harrison. I like my chances of them slowing
down Arizona. Again, this is going to be one of
the most teased sides in Arizona, so you may want
to wait a little bit in case they do add
that teaser protection because I am seeing some six and
a half's out there, so obviously sharp picked off the sevens.
That's why you know the Sharper books don't have seven anymore.
But with all that said, the public hasn't spoken yet
that money from the public's not coming in until Sunday
rest a short. They have all of college football, they
have primetime action on Thursday and Friday, they have college
football on Saturday, they have MMA and the Canelo Fight
on Saturday night. They're not already locking up a lot
of their cash in the NFL. When they do rest
the short, Arizona will be one of the most one
sided bet games and one of the most one sided
teased signs as well. And it's a terrible teaser right now,
like anyone teasing it down from six and a half
or seven down to minus one minus a half. It's
a terrible teaser. You're better off laying the points again,
I don't care if it helps you any cash is
where they only win by three, it's still a terrible teaser.
I didn't give one out. You talked about it before
I forgot. But the best teaser right now Indianapolis. Take
the Colts up and I mean wait till Sunday to
see what happens there. But that's the perfect teaser. You
got a home team, you have a total that's being
steamed to the under from forty four down to forty two,
so less points are expected, less points means each point's
worth more, and you're going through three, six and seven.
So if you want to use a teaser, look at
teasers like that, like on the Colts. But getting back
to the Carolina side again, the key is can they
keep it within the number? And that's what I'm looking at.
I don't think they win this one outright, but I
do think that back door stays open, and against a
secondary like Arizona's, I do think Carolina's gonna be able
to move the football. And again, if they could keep
it within two scores, within ten thirteen points, we're live
at the end of the game. So give me Carolina,
give me the seven points, and say if we could
cash a nice barking dog whoo.
Speaker 1: Talking about teasers. I considered the Cincinnati Bengals this week,
and that was until I started reminding myself how awful
this team is in the month of September. Cincinnati two
and nine straight up three and eight against the spread
weeks one and two of the season. Cincinnati narrowly escaped
for their survivor backers last week in Cleveland. Boy oh boy,
does a Jacksonville look attractive this week, and that's why
I think they have an opportunity to go in there
and win this game out right. They had a lot
of nice plays against the Panthers last week. VR just
told you Panthers, one of the worst power rated teams
in the NFL, defense forced three turnovers, and I think
they're gonna do the same thing against Cincinnati here this week.
They've got to stop being penalized eleven eleven flags thrown
in their way ninety three yards and of course Trevor
Lawrence with a turnover as well. If they can play cleaner,
they can go in and beat the Bengals on the road.
I like the three and a half here. Cincinnati is
now off my survivor list. I do not trust this team.
I think Jacksonville looks like a more complete team, at
least here in September. Marco di'angelo. It's about lunchtime here
on the East Coast, and that means I'm getting hungry.
Is the deli back open this week? I know it
has been absolutely on fire in college football.
Speaker 2: Yeah, Kelly, check out if you like these segments that
I do, the sandwich spots, the trap games. I do
a bonus show. You know, I only give you, you know,
one in each category here on the show, but I
do Marko's Delhi. It'll come out Thursday night or early
Friday morning each week, and we break down several other games.
I tell you the situations. Last week we had five games,
we went four and one, and you know, I'll tell
you and I love the comments. I like you guys
jumping in, but you guys always come in and say,
how can you take this team?
Speaker 3: They're ugly.
Speaker 2: I'm gonna tell you right now, you're gonna get a
lot of ugly looking games. That's why they fit in there.
It's a sandwich spot. The other team's gonna be looking
past them, or it's a trap game. We're not going
to be coming up with all the marquee teams. You're
not gonna have me telling you to take you this
top twenty five favorite in a route that's not what
I'm looking for. I'm looking for the bad spots where
a team is going to be overpriced and maybe not
totally focused on their opponent. With that said, let's segue
into the Delhi and Kelly, this is one of those
ones where you're gonna say it's a stinky one and
you might have to hold your nose, but that's okay,
we can do it. Just breathe, go to the window,
say the team whisper it if you don't want anybody
else to hear you that you're betting them. But we're
taking the Tennessee Titans this week. And this is one
of those spots where I'll be honest, I am betting Tennessee,
but I'm just as much betting against the Rams in
this game. When you look at this, you've got a
home underdog. And yes, Tennessee's offense was horrible last week,
but we know the stats. We know that rookie quarterbacks,
especially number one drafted rookie quarterbacks, their first start is abysmal,
and he was last week. The offense couldn't move, but
they were going against a pretty damn good defense in
the Denver Broncos. I put the Denver Broncos top five
category defensively, they are an elite defense and that's what
got them to win because their offense did not help
them at all last week Denver. And we'll talk about
them later in the show, but this is a spot
look at the Rams. They were life and death last
week against Houston. They weren't impressive. Slow start. We've seen
this before from mcveigh's teams because he doesn't play the
starters in the preseason. And we know that Bradford's just
to hit away from, you know, getting knocked out of
a game with his bad back.
Speaker 3: And everything else.
Speaker 2: But I can't help you're traveling across country week two
to play a team that looked abysmal offensively last week.
You could probably say, hey, we just got to show
up and we're going to win. But where I'm really
looking at this is the sandwich spot of it. Look
at who the Rams play next week. They play the
Philadelphia Eagles, and I tell you there's certain revenge spots
that you've got a circle, and I've had this one circle.
What I looked at is schedules back in July. As
we do, we go through in circle spots, so you
don't forget them. Who ended the Rams season last year?
It was Philadelphia in Philadelphia in a game that the
Rams were getting beat badly, but at the end had
a chance to win that game and came up short.
They're going to be looking ahead to next week. I'm
gonna take Tennessee at home and this will be an ugly,
one low scoring game. Let's take Tennessee seventeen sixteen as
my san on which game this week in the Delhi?
Hopefully the health department doesn't come and close me down
after week two with food poisoning.
Speaker 1: Hey, I'll give that Titans defense a ton of credit.
They were able to exploit bo Nicks last week. Marco,
that Deli sandwich is not as bad as you think.
You've definitely had way worse ones. All right, guys, we're
gonna get into the best bets. That's what you guys
are all here for. If you have not given us
that thumbs up or jumped in the comments section, yet
you are behind VR your best bet for Week two
in the NFL.
Speaker 3: Yeah, and Marco nailed it with I like both these games. Actually,
I really like the Seattle side over Pittsburgh. If you
look at the box score for Pittsburgh and the Jets, again,
you never want to get overreaction off of one game,
but they got out played pretty much everywhere by the Jets.
It's just the final score where you know there was
a little luck involved on the Pittsburgh side. But I
love what Marco pointed out, just tey points they allowed
and Seattle, that's what they're gonna need a solid defense,
because defensively they were impressive against San Francisco. They held
San Francisco to what twenty points? Seventeen points and they
had three fumbles. They fumbled the ball three times, lost
two of those, and yet that defense forced two interceptions
by Purty and like I said, held them the only
seventeen points. If they could create some problems for the
Steeler offense, which I think they will. Then offensively, I
think Seattle's going to do just fine. Again. They underwhelmed
in Week one with Sam Darnold, but I think they're
They're not facing a San Francisco type of defense this week,
so if anything, that was a good thing going up
against that much resistance and now going up against a
Steeler defense which is banged up. Look at that injury report.
They're losing a lot of pieces on the defensive side
of the ball and they're not really deep. So I
think Seattle's going to have success on the offensive side,
and like I said, defensively, look for them to shut
down the Steelers a lot better than the Jets did.
They could keep this within three for sure. But I
like the money line. It's a sprinkle for me. This
one I did release the subscribers. I did take the
three with Seattle. That one is a premium play to think.
Out of the three that I released, that's the only
one so far we fired on. But I like Seattle
a lot sprinkle that money line. They give Pittsburgh their loss.
Speaker 1: Awesome stuff. VR. Before we move on to Marco, can
you let everybody know what you've got up for the
second week of the NFL over at wager talk dot com.
Speaker 3: Indeed, I have my NFL package with four percent best bets.
We'll see if a five percent jumps out at us.
We never forced those. If that package is up, you
know we're number one right now combined College Football NFL
twenty twenty five. It's early, but so far, so good
out of the gate. And we'll have the steam room
on Sunday as well. It's for subscribers only thirty days
or more. You get the I'm in there leading up
the kickoff of the first batch of games. We go
over each and every game, cover signs, total player props,
all the lives of all the stuff that's coming in
while we're live as well, and of course those teasers
towards the end, so a ton of value, and more importantly,
the results numbers are speaking for themselves. We're hot right now.
I'm working with the best groups I have in a
really long time and just feeling like in the zone.
This is a good time.
Speaker 1: Oh, Marco, I know it's overreaction week. Are we overreacting
to how good the Indianapolis Colts looked?
Speaker 2: Well? Kelly, I think It's a combination of both how
good the Colts look and how bad Denver looked and
was lucky to get out of there with the win.
I gotta tell you, I know that that was a
popular game in Survivor last week was the Denver Broncos.
How were people feeling that had the Denver Broncos when
that score was thirteen to twelve. Well in the fourth
quarter and Sean Payton decides to go on fourth and
one in his own territory at the forty six yard
line and get stopped turning the ball over to Tennessee.
I am sure there is a lot of people's hearts
that stopped at that. But that's why I like Denver.
This week, they had that first week scare and we
talked about it. Denver is a team that had a
lot of hype coming into this season because of the
jump they made last year in year two with Sean
Payton bow Knicks rookie quarterback. Hey, you know what he
looked like. We said, be careful with all these rookie
quarterbacks that looked good last year. Don't assume it's going
to be a progression automatically the next year. And what
happened well, bow Knicks had a bad game. Okay, the
Denver offense did have three hundred and seventeen yards. They
should have had way more. Why did they only have
three and seventeen yards? Because they gave the ball away
four times. You give away four possessions, that's gonna hurt
your total yardage. But their defense was stopped. Now, part
of it was going against the rookie quarterback for Tennessee.
But we know this defense from last year, how good
they were. I talked about the Chargers having a look
ahead spot. The Chargers were coming off a satisfying win
and are going to a game where they got the
look ahead spot to Denver. So why do I not
think Denver will look ahead here to the Chargers because
they played so poorly last week. I've told you time
and time again, teams that are big favorites that have
the scare, I love to look at them in week
in the next week because you're going to get value
in the line and you're also going to get a
very focused team. The Colts were the biggest surprise of
the week last week, not that they won, more so
in the fashion that they won in dominating Let's see
Daniel Jones, which I think he was the right choice
for the Colts. We all like the Colts in our
preseason previews to win that division, and I said that
he's going to be the quarterback for them this year
sooner than later. Well, we started the season and I
think unless he gets injured, he'll be the quarterback all year.
But let's see what he does in Week two against
what I feel as an elite defense. Give me Denver
at a short number, I'm buy and low. Give me
the Broncos.
Speaker 1: Marco before I give out my best bet that has
correlated with yours. Please let everybody know what you have
going on there at wager talk dot com.
Speaker 2: Well, Kelly, we've got that special going sight wide at
wager Talk this week. It's called the Weekend Warrior. You
can pick up Saturday and Sunday's football plays for just
forty nine dollars. Pick your favorite kapper lock it in
at that price. And why it's such a great deal, Well,
you know that's gonna include any five percent place. Anybody
that has a five percent and play always sells those
plays for thirty five dollars. Yours truly's gonna have a
five percent this weekend it will be my first win
of the football season. You know, I'm very selective with
these plays. We have to have a play that just
fits a checks all of the boxes. How about over
the last nineteen months thirty one and thirteen with those
five percent plays. So jump on board the weekend Warrior.
You'll get every play I have this week and going
back to last year, number two in football combined college
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Speaker 1: Talk all right, I mentioned that my best bet was
correlated to Marcos and it kind of is who looked
worse last week? Yeah, well, I know I like betting
hot garbage teams from Florida. If you guys check out
the college football edition to bet on it. And I'm
gonna take the Miami Dolphins this week because they could
not have looked worse Week one. Tua sucks fire Mike
Daniel Dolphins Twitter was going absolutely not and still is
freaking out. One of the things I love about the
Westgate super Book is their look ahead lines. This one
was two and a half. Let's take a step back.
What part of the Patriots lost last week looked good?
Small sample size, but the Patriots absolutely owned by the
Dolphins seven and zero in the last seven games, four
and oh excuse me, four out of the last seven.
They've covered three and one in the last four seasons
with Tua. They're at home against the Patriots. I'm sorry
New England's offense every time I saw them in the
red zone, because that's all I watched on Sundays, just
kept sputtering and stalling. That team got lucky with that
fluky touchdown on the goal line fumble Drake may I
don't think he's the answer there. I think everybody needs
to calm down and realize Tua is going to be okay.
He was missing his left tackle for the better part
of that game. He should be back for Sunday. It's
not gonna be as hot as I'd like it to
be there in Miami for this one, but it's still
going to be a spot where I lay the minus
one with the Miami Dolphins and the biggest overreaction from
week one. That's it, guys, So throw up that recap graphic.
Thank you to VR, thank you to Marco. You guys
are absolutely the best bringing the heat every single week
here on bet On. It all right for you to
scroll to the end the least you can do is
give us that thumbs up, press that like button and
jump in the comment section. What do you love about
the show? What do you hate? Sorry that I wore
a turtleneck this week We had to change up the
vibes because I have been absolutely hot garbage. No, it's
not hot garbage. Yeah that's right Ralph Michael's TNA. If
you guys missed it, it has its own standalone segment
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course if you missed the college football edition to bet
on it. We got lots of barking dogs and of
course best bets that steam from VR and maybe the
deli's open there as well. Have a great week, guys,
and until next week, let's bet on it