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Speaker 1: NFL Week two underway. We've got barking dogs. Of course,

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we're gonna hit on those primetime games, including a doubleheader

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on Monday night. Maybe the deli's back open. We're gonna

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get that steam and teaser report from VR and finish

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it off off with some best bets next up on

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bet on It. The comment section complained last week the

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Marco D'Angelo didn't get a talk for nine minutes. Kelly

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Stewart here, Kelly and Vegas. Yanni the Greek Greek underscore gambler,

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Marco D'Angelo at Marco and Vegas. So I'm making him

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go first. I'm making him dissect this Thursday night game.

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This one's kind of got my brain in a pretzel, Marco.

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Both of these teams looked fantastic in their Week one starts.

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Washington a three and a half point underdog at green

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Bay to forty eight and a half.

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Speaker 2: Well, Kelly, you stole my opening line about these teams

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looking great last week, but the team that looked the

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best was Green Bay and because who they played. Yeah,

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Washington looked good last week, but they played the Giants,

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and even though the Giants was one of those sharp

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sides and I'll admit, you know, I was on the

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Giants last week. It's still the Giants. I think the

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stock is too high on green Bay. And I went

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back and forth whether I was gonna use the side

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or I was gonna use the total in this game

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because I think green Bay's over priced. But where I

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decided and landed in this game is I'm gonna look

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at the total, and I think you're gonna see some

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value this week on the totals because last week there

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were just a slew of unders in Week one of

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the NFL, and after what we saw in the preseason

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with all of the overs, it reverted back. Well, you

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know what, history has a way of repeating itself. As

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we always say, generally speaking, the defenses are ahead of

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the offenses in Week one because all of the teams

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that don't play any starters during the preseason, they're not

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hitting the ground running. And I'm gonna look to the

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over here in this one in this week, because I

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think everybody's gonna have that fresh in her mind about

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all of the unders. But we've seen that one trend.

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Remember Kelly, all those prime time games that we kept

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playing unders, it kept going over. I think it continues here.

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You've got two teams that are non division teams. It's

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hard to prepare for a team in a short week,

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but if you're playing a division rival, you know them,

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it's easier for preparation. That's not gonna be the case

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for either one of these teams this week. Also, you

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look at green Bay that game that they come off

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of the knee jerk's gonna reaction is gonna be if

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green Bay held Detroit the thirteen points? You know, that

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prolific Detroit offense that we've seen over the years, what

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are they going to do to Washington. Washington didn't score

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a lot of points last week. It was just in

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that New York Giant team that kept setting them up

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in good field position. That's not gonna be the case

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this week. Remember that was a division game that was

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their biggest rival. And oh, by the way, and we'll

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see how the season plays out. That Detroit offense did

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not look good last week. Are they missing something? Yeah,

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they're missing their offensive coordinator Ben Johnson. Let's see how

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that plays out later. The other part of it was

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Jared Goff's not mobile. You know, he's a statue back there.

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They were able to put pressure on him. They come

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with pressure and they don't get Daniels at first crack.

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Guess what's gonna happen. He's gonna be off to the races.

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He's a mobile quarterback, can beat you with his arm,

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can beat you with his legs. I think you're gonna

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see both teams score a lot of points in this game.

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I'm going over the total of forty eight and a half.

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I think we're gonna have a Thursday night shootout fun.

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I do lean to the dog, full disclosure, but I

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like the old as well, and that's where we're going

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on the show.

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Speaker 1: First week overs twelve and four, they were rather impressive

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towards the under VR. You've got the Sunday night football game.

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I think this is gonna be an absolute barn burner

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as well. Let's get into it. Atlanta Falcons a five

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point underdog at the Minnesota Vikings forty five and a half.

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The Arc Minnesota and JJ McCarthy looked abysmal. I had

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the Bears and Teasers on Monday Night, closing out four

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or five of them. Step back, nothing to worry about.

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I can't believe I had to sweat that teaser there

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in the end. Was that more of a Minnesota comeback

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or more of a Bears defensive fallback.

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Speaker 3: No, was the collapse of the Bears. That's what it was.

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They played awesome in the first half and then you

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just saw what the Bears are about in the second half,

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and that was the difference maker. But you know, I

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like to look at teams that actually stock drops off

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a win or stock improves af a loss, because that

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happens a lot. And here's a spot where the Viking

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stock actually drops off that win because exactly what you

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touched on, Like they more or less got lucky to

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get that win. But I look at it from the

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perspective of now they have some momentum. You played that badly,

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and yet you still want a game against a division rival,

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which is huge. So I think this week, like they're up,

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that team's up. They're feeling good about themselves. Falcons. On

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the flip sides, the opposite, you lost a really tight

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game against the division rival that you're going to be

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battling to win the division. And more importantly, you had

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a quarterback in Michael Pennick's junior who played above what

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we expect and I expect the regression. You know, you

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had a ninety three, ninety five quarterback rating, no interceptions,

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nice completion percentage. I just don't think that's going to

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hap against the Minnesota Vikings. And what the Falcons where

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they could attack them is in that vertical passing game.

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But I just don't think they're going to have success

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because the pressure Vikings are gonna be able to bring.

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If they could bring that pressure to Pennix and they

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have trouble extending the field, like having those wide receivers

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run those long routes and have some big plays, I

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don't think they're going to be able to like systematically

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beat the Vikings break them down. That's not going to happen.

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I like Minnesota on offense. I like Minnesota on defense

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as well. I just think they have all the advantages here.

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They know what they have to do to beat Atlanta.

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I haven't bet it yet. I want to see where

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this line kind of settles, and you know, fives one

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of those dead numbers one way or the other. We'll

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see if the market gets me involved. But I just

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think Minnesota is the right side. Again. I think it's

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a team who stock dropped after a win. But you

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know as expected. They were team fourteen win team last

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year and they looked the part again this year. So

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I think it's Minnesota or pass for me.

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Speaker 1: The first game of the Monday night football double header,

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Tampa Bay catching two and a half at Houston total

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forty two and a half. Look, hand up. I don't

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love this game. I think you could argue that Bucks

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were lucky that Atlanta missed that field goal, but Baker

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did have a really substantial game winning drive prior to that,

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and then they missed the pat That is my feelings

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on that game. Let's talk about the Houston Texans. They

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turned the ball over twice, eleven penalties and then went

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two for nine on third down. Better quarterback here, I

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would argue, is Baker Mayfield, And I would say that

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I don't trust this offensive line to keep CJ. Stroud upright.

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We've got a better defense here on the road. Plus

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the points, I think the obvious answer here is low total,

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teasing Tampa up over a touchdown, Give me Tampa Bay

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here and I will get you guys a second leg.

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Marco's got a nice segment here in the deli that

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I may be looking at, and we'll talk to VR

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up here shortly about those teaser spots, and Marco gets

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to break down the second Monday night football game. That's

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why we've got a doubleheader on Monday Night, the late game.

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Hopefully I'm in bed for this one ten pm Eastern

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there on Monday Night football. Chargers three and a half

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point favorite now at the Las Vegas Raiders total forty

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six and a half. Marco, do you like the hometown

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team here?

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Speaker 2: Well, Kelly, this is a division game, and it's a

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Monday night game, so you wouldn't expect, you know, either

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team to be flat or looking ahead. But I have

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to point out the obvious. The Chargers are coming off

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a gigantic win upsetting the Chiefs. Is that was as

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big of an opening week win as you could possibly have.

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Not only did the Chargers give up a home game

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playing in Brazil last week, but the NFL, which for

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whatever reason, made them give up a home game that

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was a division game. That was a huge disadvantage for

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the Chargers, and they overcame it beat the Chiefs. Now

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off that gigantic win, you're asking them to go on

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the road for a second week in a row. Yeah,

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it's a division game. I get it. It's the Raiders.

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It's Monday Night football, but it's Monday night home opener

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for the Raiders. Not only is it the Monday night

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home opener, it's the first home game regular season for

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their new head coach Pete Carroll. The question is going

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to be coming into the season. The narrative by everybody

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was that the Kansas City Chiefs have taken a step

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backwards and that the Chargers and the Broncos have closed

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the gap. But the big thing was which one of

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those two teams was going to be that team that

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took the step to overcome and dethrone the crown from

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Kansas City. So even though this is a division game,

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look at who the Chargers play next week in their

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true home opener. It's the Denver Broncos. To me, this

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is a horrible scheduling spot. I am going to look

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to the Raiders getting the points. I think the stock

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is as high as it can be on the Chargers.

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It was a lot of hype coming into the season.

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Justin Herbert looked absolutely fantastic in that first game. I

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just can't see them doing that for two weeks in

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a row. And here's a little angle I have, and

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I know the comment section is gonna go, well, let

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me know, go ahead, give it to me if you want.

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But Week two is the trickiest week of the season

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for betters because so many people are gonna look at

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Week one and they're going to overreact to what they

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saw in one week or they're going to do this.

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And I hear it all the time when I'm in

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sports books or if I'm sitting at a poker table,

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listen to John Q public talk, and they'll say, Oh,

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this team can't start the season ozho and two. There's

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no way they're gonna lose both games to start the season,

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because everybody knows the history of teams that lose both

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games and how hard it is to make the playoffs.

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But there's also a flip side to that. There's gonna

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be a team or two that's going to be a

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major surprise that starts the season at two and Oh,

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and that team that's going to be a surprise is

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gonna be the Las Vegas Raiders. Yeah, it would be

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no surprise for the Chargers to be two and zero,

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but it would be a big surprise for the Raiders.

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And I'm gonna go with that I think they're undervalued

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in this one. Let's take the dog plus the points

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and they know Kelly you love primetime home dogs.

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Speaker 3: Throw in it.

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Speaker 2: It's a division game, it's Vegas, this game starts late.

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Let's go ahead and take the raid.

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Speaker 1: Eyes can't wait to wake up a winner. Guys, get

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your notepads out and your pins ready. The Steam report

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is coming in hot, and then VR when you get

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done with that. I have a couple other things I

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want to talk about, including those teasers you give out

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every single Sunday morning on Last Call. Oddslogic dot Com

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backslash Kelly in Vegas. If you guys are looking for

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00:12:17,120 --> 00:12:19,679
a one week free trial, you guys can check out

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all of the line movement. You can check out injury reports, weather,

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so forth. You're gonna get up to date automatic refresh

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on your screen. I have mine on and sometimes it

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scares the shit out of me because it dings so

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loud when a line is moving or a game has ended,

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So be careful with that one. VR. Get it ready, guys.

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I'm gonna let the dog off the leash.

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Speaker 3: Let them roll, all right. We got a lot of

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moves in week two. Let's not forget. This is one

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of the biggest adjustment weeks based off of one game

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and a lot of overreactions. That's why you're seeing a

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lot of movement, especially off the look ahead. Remember there's

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a look ahead line where lines are post did two

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weeks in advance. In fact, this whole season, you could

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bet more or less, and then they start getting bet

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into and then you'll see a line settle. And here's

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what I'm talking about. We saw with green Bay opens

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up minus two and a half gets bet up through

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that key number, and that's when you saw the Washington

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00:13:19,759 --> 00:13:22,080
money come in. So you have sharps on both sides

240
00:13:22,080 --> 00:13:24,200
of that game. Green Bay minus two and a half

241
00:13:24,360 --> 00:13:27,879
in Washington plus four. Now move on to Sunday's action.

242
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New England plus two and a half and under forty five,

243
00:13:32,080 --> 00:13:34,960
two fifty three, Jacksonville plus the five and a half

244
00:13:35,960 --> 00:13:38,759
and four and a half all the way down, Cleveland

245
00:13:39,039 --> 00:13:43,120
plus thirteen and plus twelve and a half, two fifty eight,

246
00:13:43,279 --> 00:13:46,840
Dallas minus three, Dallas minus four, Dallas minus four and

247
00:13:46,879 --> 00:13:49,440
a half, and Dallas minus fine. Remember the look ahead

248
00:13:49,559 --> 00:13:52,080
was really low on somebody's That's why you're seeing some

249
00:13:52,440 --> 00:13:56,360
major adjustments two sixty two New York Jets plus eight

250
00:13:56,360 --> 00:13:58,000
and a half. All the way down the key number

251
00:13:58,000 --> 00:14:00,759
of plus seven two sixty four under forty eight and

252
00:14:00,759 --> 00:14:03,879
a half in forty eight Chicago Detroit to seventy two

253
00:14:04,080 --> 00:14:06,879
Indianapolis Colts plus two and a half slash money line

254
00:14:06,879 --> 00:14:10,559
as well to seventy eight. They went under forty six

255
00:14:10,600 --> 00:14:12,720
and a half. That was the look ahead. Then they

256
00:14:12,759 --> 00:14:14,799
posted forty four and a half that got hit under

257
00:14:14,840 --> 00:14:16,919
as well. All the way down the under forty two

258
00:14:16,960 --> 00:14:18,960
and a half dropped the forty one and a half.

259
00:14:19,000 --> 00:14:21,679
That's where you started seeing over money. It seems like

260
00:14:21,720 --> 00:14:23,720
it's settling around that forty two and a half forty

261
00:14:23,759 --> 00:14:26,360
three range. So you have steam at under forty four

262
00:14:26,360 --> 00:14:28,879
and a half, steam it over forty one and a half.

263
00:14:28,879 --> 00:14:30,480
Not much money came in at that look ahead at

264
00:14:30,480 --> 00:14:32,600
forty six and a half. Remember the limits are low.

265
00:14:33,039 --> 00:14:36,960
And finally Vegas Chargers over seemed to get out ahead

266
00:14:36,960 --> 00:14:39,879
of the public there that's already betting that game over.

267
00:14:40,080 --> 00:14:41,960
They went over forty five and a half and over

268
00:14:42,039 --> 00:14:45,840
forty six in the Chargers and the Raiders on Monday

269
00:14:45,919 --> 00:14:48,960
night early still it's only Wednesday, but those are some

270
00:14:49,039 --> 00:14:54,600
of the moves that got hit immediately after Week one games.

271
00:14:54,399 --> 00:14:57,360
Speaker 1: Rvre, I happen to catch your segment Monday on wager

272
00:14:57,360 --> 00:14:59,840
Talk today. It's also posted up on the wager Talk

273
00:15:00,000 --> 00:15:03,080
Instagram channel. Regarding teasers, So one of the things that

274
00:15:03,120 --> 00:15:06,360
I think we started two years ago now on last call,

275
00:15:06,440 --> 00:15:09,080
when I was hosting now eron Epstein hosting on Sundays

276
00:15:09,080 --> 00:15:12,639
for me, was Hey, we're gonna bet the closing line teasers,

277
00:15:12,679 --> 00:15:15,639
because the closing line is the sharpest. So if something

278
00:15:15,679 --> 00:15:18,960
moves to three, something closes one, they're no longer an

279
00:15:19,039 --> 00:15:23,000
underdog teaser value or getting up over that nine, whatever

280
00:15:23,039 --> 00:15:25,639
it may be that takes it out of that long teaser.

281
00:15:25,639 --> 00:15:27,159
Can you kind of break down the methods to the

282
00:15:27,200 --> 00:15:30,840
madness last week I had already bet it. I couldn't

283
00:15:30,840 --> 00:15:33,600
wait Saturday. I put the Lions in a teaser. I

284
00:15:33,639 --> 00:15:35,720
came back on Sunday and a bunch of Packers fans

285
00:15:35,720 --> 00:15:36,879
at my house. I said, you know, I'm gonna try

286
00:15:36,919 --> 00:15:39,480
to middle this game got too greedy. But that was

287
00:15:39,480 --> 00:15:42,559
the only teaser leg that was woable that lost. The

288
00:15:42,600 --> 00:15:44,759
total was probably a little too high for me to

289
00:15:44,759 --> 00:15:47,960
be wonging it. Anyway, talk about teasers from week one

290
00:15:48,360 --> 00:15:50,440
and maybe some spots we have circled here for week

291
00:15:50,519 --> 00:15:50,960
number two.

292
00:15:51,519 --> 00:15:55,279
Speaker 3: Yeah, Detroit was our only loser on our teasers. I

293
00:15:55,399 --> 00:15:58,120
narrowed it down the five of them about ten minutes

294
00:15:58,159 --> 00:16:00,919
before kickoff, and four of those got the money. The

295
00:16:01,039 --> 00:16:04,159
reason I'm betting against the closing line. And I know

296
00:16:04,200 --> 00:16:07,200
there's even sharps that'll argue this, but it's worked out

297
00:16:07,279 --> 00:16:09,519
for me. I don't have a big enough sample size

298
00:16:09,519 --> 00:16:11,919
to have statistical significance, but what I can tell you

299
00:16:12,200 --> 00:16:16,000
is over the last two now plus seasons, this has

300
00:16:16,080 --> 00:16:19,879
worked out best because with a teaser, you only catch

301
00:16:19,960 --> 00:16:23,639
a teaser if the game lands near the number. The

302
00:16:23,720 --> 00:16:26,519
highest probability of the game leader near the number is

303
00:16:26,519 --> 00:16:29,279
when the number is its sharpest. We know that the

304
00:16:29,360 --> 00:16:32,720
number is its most efficient at the close because all

305
00:16:32,799 --> 00:16:37,960
the information's already been factored into that price. So that's

306
00:16:37,960 --> 00:16:40,399
why sometimes, like you touched on, a team could be

307
00:16:40,480 --> 00:16:43,600
plus three. I'm not going to tease them, but come

308
00:16:43,679 --> 00:16:47,039
fifteen minutes before game time, if that dog gets steamed

309
00:16:47,039 --> 00:16:49,120
down to where I'm now getting them at plus two

310
00:16:49,600 --> 00:16:53,159
plus one and a half, now I will use the teaser.

311
00:16:53,279 --> 00:16:56,200
Cause again, now I can't get the three that's gone,

312
00:16:56,320 --> 00:16:58,840
but now I can get the three, and I can

313
00:16:58,879 --> 00:17:02,399
go through the next big key number of seven by

314
00:17:02,519 --> 00:17:05,359
teasing it. So that's what we're looking for. We're looking

315
00:17:05,480 --> 00:17:11,279
for those sharp moves that maybe the numbers no longer avaiuable,

316
00:17:11,839 --> 00:17:16,279
but now it's teasable for us, because again, the goal

317
00:17:16,400 --> 00:17:19,000
is to go through the numbers three sixty seven. The

318
00:17:19,039 --> 00:17:21,319
goal is to not lay more than one twenty five,

319
00:17:21,880 --> 00:17:24,799
and the goal is to only bet those numbers, not

320
00:17:24,920 --> 00:17:28,319
the teams. The teams are irrelevant. I could be against

321
00:17:28,359 --> 00:17:31,160
that team on a straight bet. The only thing we're

322
00:17:31,160 --> 00:17:34,400
doing is teasing those numbers because that has proven to

323
00:17:34,480 --> 00:17:37,559
give us about a two percent edge over the books.

324
00:17:37,680 --> 00:17:39,920
If we're able to lay minus one twenty. That's what

325
00:17:39,960 --> 00:17:42,160
you want to aim for laying that minus one twenty.

326
00:17:42,359 --> 00:17:44,240
I know they're still a valuable out there six point

327
00:17:44,240 --> 00:17:46,519
teasers for minus one twenty, but if you're laying minus

328
00:17:46,559 --> 00:17:49,079
one thirties, don't even do it. You're better off straight

329
00:17:49,119 --> 00:17:52,519
betting those aren't beatable. You're now no longer plus ev

330
00:17:52,839 --> 00:17:55,079
stay away from six and a half seven point teasers

331
00:17:55,119 --> 00:17:57,920
because they're never priced right. For a while, there were

332
00:17:57,920 --> 00:18:01,000
ten point teasers where there was some value on even

333
00:18:01,039 --> 00:18:04,880
some six point teasers, on sixteen teasers that you know

334
00:18:04,920 --> 00:18:07,680
they were mispriced. But books have really cleaned that up

335
00:18:07,720 --> 00:18:10,720
because teasers become so popular that now you just got

336
00:18:10,759 --> 00:18:13,799
to focused on six point teasers. Lay one, twenty five

337
00:18:13,880 --> 00:18:16,880
or better, go through three, six, seven, bet it verst

338
00:18:16,920 --> 00:18:19,599
the closing number, and you'll do just fine. You'll cash

339
00:18:19,640 --> 00:18:21,960
more than you trash. When the season's over, You'll have

340
00:18:22,000 --> 00:18:22,720
made some money.

341
00:18:23,480 --> 00:18:25,720
Speaker 1: Damn it, damn it, dammit. I said during the Barking

342
00:18:25,759 --> 00:18:28,279
Dog segment, the game that Marco gave out I thought

343
00:18:28,319 --> 00:18:30,480
was teasable. Now I'm looking at my odd screen and

344
00:18:30,680 --> 00:18:32,960
just what VR said there on the teasers, it is

345
00:18:33,039 --> 00:18:37,599
now moving out of that position. Seattle now catching three.

346
00:18:37,799 --> 00:18:41,119
Marco Barking Dog says, Hey, I want a dog that

347
00:18:41,160 --> 00:18:43,759
has the shots that went out right. Why do you

348
00:18:44,000 --> 00:18:46,880
like them this week against your Pittsburgh Steelers.

349
00:18:47,400 --> 00:18:50,079
Speaker 2: Well, we went against the Steelers last week, and boy,

350
00:18:50,160 --> 00:18:53,759
you know, for Marco that was like the perfect ending

351
00:18:53,880 --> 00:18:56,440
to a game. I had the Jets plus two and

352
00:18:56,440 --> 00:18:59,200
a half and the Steelers still won the game, but

353
00:18:59,279 --> 00:19:02,799
I cashed my ticket. Talk about an emotional hedge that

354
00:19:03,039 --> 00:19:08,000
was it. But let's be serious now, Okay, have you

355
00:19:08,319 --> 00:19:13,519
heard more at nauseum about Aaron Rodgers and the Steelers

356
00:19:13,559 --> 00:19:18,359
from last week? All you heard about was four touchdown passes,

357
00:19:18,480 --> 00:19:23,200
no interceptions. Everybody is just chugging the kool aid here

358
00:19:23,519 --> 00:19:27,000
in Pittsburgh with Aaron Rodgers after one performance. You know

359
00:19:27,079 --> 00:19:30,480
what nobody's talking about, though? How about the fact that

360
00:19:30,519 --> 00:19:33,920
the Jets put up thirty two points on the Steelers, Yes,

361
00:19:33,960 --> 00:19:37,759
and went up and down the field with Justin Fields.

362
00:19:37,759 --> 00:19:39,440
I told you Justin Fields was going to have a

363
00:19:39,440 --> 00:19:42,960
big game last week. He had something to prove. I

364
00:19:43,319 --> 00:19:46,599
told you back when we did the preview in August,

365
00:19:46,720 --> 00:19:49,119
when we went through the divisions, I said, I am

366
00:19:49,119 --> 00:19:51,480
going to look for spots early in the season to

367
00:19:51,519 --> 00:19:54,319
go against the Steelers because they're not going to be

368
00:19:54,359 --> 00:19:57,559
priced right. This is one of them again, all right

369
00:19:57,640 --> 00:19:59,880
in this one, I'll be honest with you. I can

370
00:20:00,000 --> 00:20:03,839
considered putting this in as a trap game for that segment,

371
00:20:03,880 --> 00:20:06,240
but we're using something else because we've got a great

372
00:20:06,599 --> 00:20:08,880
sandwich situation. Green.

373
00:20:09,079 --> 00:20:09,480
Speaker 3: Look at it.

374
00:20:09,519 --> 00:20:12,680
Speaker 2: You're looking at the Steelers minus three at home after

375
00:20:12,720 --> 00:20:15,079
they put up all those points last week, and then

376
00:20:15,359 --> 00:20:18,680
you've got Seattle traveling cross country. The Steelers are only

377
00:20:18,680 --> 00:20:21,039
a three point favor. With all of the hype of

378
00:20:21,079 --> 00:20:24,440
the Steelers, and remember, you know, the Steelers still made

379
00:20:24,480 --> 00:20:27,640
the playoffs last year with Russell Wilson. They got trounced

380
00:20:27,680 --> 00:20:31,799
in the first round, but they made the playoffs. They're

381
00:20:31,839 --> 00:20:34,319
only a three point favorite. If this was a neutral field,

382
00:20:34,319 --> 00:20:36,920
you're gonna tell me, with all the hype, the Pittsburgh

383
00:20:36,960 --> 00:20:40,079
really would be a pick them. That's you know what

384
00:20:40,119 --> 00:20:44,400
they're telling you here in this game that smells fishy

385
00:20:44,400 --> 00:20:47,400
as hell. I like Seattle. I think they can actually

386
00:20:47,440 --> 00:20:50,799
go in there and beat Pittsburgh. Seattle played well against

387
00:20:51,519 --> 00:20:54,880
San Francisco last week, and they were actually driving at

388
00:20:54,880 --> 00:20:58,640
the end of the game deep in San Francisco territory

389
00:20:58,680 --> 00:21:01,119
in a seventeen thirteen game. Had a chance to win

390
00:21:01,200 --> 00:21:07,160
that game and untimely fumble bit Sam Darnold and cost

391
00:21:07,279 --> 00:21:09,960
him the game. If he has a clean game this week,

392
00:21:10,440 --> 00:21:13,119
if Justin Fields was able to move the ball the

393
00:21:13,160 --> 00:21:15,839
way they did last week, I think Seattle is going

394
00:21:15,880 --> 00:21:19,759
to go in and ruin the home opener for the

395
00:21:19,759 --> 00:21:23,799
Pittsburgh Steelers. Give me Seattle plus the points in this one.

396
00:21:24,119 --> 00:21:27,400
I'd be happy. I'm calling it twenty to seventeen Seattle,

397
00:21:27,759 --> 00:21:30,599
but if we get Pittsburgh twenty one twenty, I'll be

398
00:21:30,759 --> 00:21:31,960
okay with that as well.

399
00:21:32,519 --> 00:21:35,160
Speaker 1: All Right, Marco's looking to thread the needle once again

400
00:21:35,279 --> 00:21:38,240
with his team VR. You're making me a little nervous.

401
00:21:38,440 --> 00:21:41,759
I'm okay. Your spreadsheet here, and you like the Carolina

402
00:21:41,880 --> 00:21:45,160
Panthers as your barking dog. I know my team and

403
00:21:45,240 --> 00:21:48,400
I and some of my solo entries have the Arizona

404
00:21:48,480 --> 00:21:52,599
Cardinals slated for this week. Should we be worried for survivorbackers?

405
00:21:53,000 --> 00:21:55,200
Speaker 3: Everybody does. And here's the bottom line I'm gonna tell

406
00:21:55,240 --> 00:21:57,480
you now, Caroline is the worst team in the NFL

407
00:21:57,759 --> 00:22:00,720
power rating wise, there's nobody worse than Caroline right now.

408
00:22:01,279 --> 00:22:03,759
With that said, there's still not this many points worse

409
00:22:03,799 --> 00:22:06,440
than Arizona at home, which has basically less than a

410
00:22:06,480 --> 00:22:10,200
two point one point six seven home field advantage. At

411
00:22:10,240 --> 00:22:15,440
that bottom line, Bryce Young's getting better and better, and

412
00:22:15,480 --> 00:22:19,400
they just Arizona doesn't have the defense to just completely

413
00:22:19,440 --> 00:22:23,839
shut them down. If you're not able to put pressure

414
00:22:23,880 --> 00:22:27,440
on Bryce Young and that Carolina offensive line holds, he

415
00:22:27,519 --> 00:22:29,960
finds his rhythm. This team's just going to be fine

416
00:22:30,000 --> 00:22:33,000
as far as putting up points. Now, the key is

417
00:22:33,079 --> 00:22:36,160
can they contain Kyler Murray and that offense. That's the

418
00:22:36,160 --> 00:22:40,759
bottom line, And I think they can check the injury

419
00:22:40,799 --> 00:22:43,880
report makes ther j C. Horns playing, because that's who

420
00:22:43,880 --> 00:22:46,359
they're going to have on Harrison. If he's one on

421
00:22:46,359 --> 00:22:49,400
one on Harrison. I like my chances of them slowing

422
00:22:49,440 --> 00:22:53,240
down Arizona. Again, this is going to be one of

423
00:22:53,279 --> 00:22:58,759
the most teased sides in Arizona, so you may want

424
00:22:58,799 --> 00:23:01,599
to wait a little bit in case they do add

425
00:23:01,640 --> 00:23:05,079
that teaser protection because I am seeing some six and

426
00:23:05,119 --> 00:23:08,279
a half's out there, so obviously sharp picked off the sevens.

427
00:23:08,319 --> 00:23:11,440
That's why you know the Sharper books don't have seven anymore.

428
00:23:11,519 --> 00:23:14,000
But with all that said, the public hasn't spoken yet

429
00:23:14,279 --> 00:23:16,680
that money from the public's not coming in until Sunday

430
00:23:16,920 --> 00:23:19,559
rest a short. They have all of college football, they

431
00:23:19,599 --> 00:23:22,119
have primetime action on Thursday and Friday, they have college

432
00:23:22,119 --> 00:23:25,279
football on Saturday, they have MMA and the Canelo Fight

433
00:23:25,400 --> 00:23:29,079
on Saturday night. They're not already locking up a lot

434
00:23:29,079 --> 00:23:32,240
of their cash in the NFL. When they do rest

435
00:23:32,240 --> 00:23:34,440
the short, Arizona will be one of the most one

436
00:23:34,519 --> 00:23:37,400
sided bet games and one of the most one sided

437
00:23:37,559 --> 00:23:41,799
teased signs as well. And it's a terrible teaser right now,

438
00:23:41,960 --> 00:23:44,000
like anyone teasing it down from six and a half

439
00:23:44,039 --> 00:23:47,000
or seven down to minus one minus a half. It's

440
00:23:47,000 --> 00:23:49,720
a terrible teaser. You're better off laying the points again,

441
00:23:49,759 --> 00:23:51,400
I don't care if it helps you any cash is

442
00:23:51,400 --> 00:23:53,960
where they only win by three, it's still a terrible teaser.

443
00:23:54,720 --> 00:23:56,599
I didn't give one out. You talked about it before

444
00:23:56,839 --> 00:24:01,079
I forgot. But the best teaser right now Indianapolis. Take

445
00:24:01,119 --> 00:24:04,279
the Colts up and I mean wait till Sunday to

446
00:24:04,319 --> 00:24:06,880
see what happens there. But that's the perfect teaser. You

447
00:24:06,920 --> 00:24:09,039
got a home team, you have a total that's being

448
00:24:09,119 --> 00:24:11,799
steamed to the under from forty four down to forty two,

449
00:24:11,839 --> 00:24:14,599
so less points are expected, less points means each point's

450
00:24:14,599 --> 00:24:17,119
worth more, and you're going through three, six and seven.

451
00:24:17,319 --> 00:24:19,039
So if you want to use a teaser, look at

452
00:24:19,400 --> 00:24:22,200
teasers like that, like on the Colts. But getting back

453
00:24:23,400 --> 00:24:27,880
to the Carolina side again, the key is can they

454
00:24:27,960 --> 00:24:30,400
keep it within the number? And that's what I'm looking at.

455
00:24:30,440 --> 00:24:33,160
I don't think they win this one outright, but I

456
00:24:33,200 --> 00:24:35,799
do think that back door stays open, and against a

457
00:24:35,839 --> 00:24:39,240
secondary like Arizona's, I do think Carolina's gonna be able

458
00:24:39,240 --> 00:24:41,640
to move the football. And again, if they could keep

459
00:24:41,680 --> 00:24:46,359
it within two scores, within ten thirteen points, we're live

460
00:24:46,440 --> 00:24:49,000
at the end of the game. So give me Carolina,

461
00:24:49,279 --> 00:24:51,839
give me the seven points, and say if we could

462
00:24:51,920 --> 00:24:55,240
cash a nice barking dog whoo.

463
00:24:55,519 --> 00:24:59,880
Speaker 1: Talking about teasers. I considered the Cincinnati Bengals this week,

464
00:25:00,079 --> 00:25:04,079
and that was until I started reminding myself how awful

465
00:25:04,319 --> 00:25:08,000
this team is in the month of September. Cincinnati two

466
00:25:08,039 --> 00:25:11,640
and nine straight up three and eight against the spread

467
00:25:11,759 --> 00:25:17,519
weeks one and two of the season. Cincinnati narrowly escaped

468
00:25:17,960 --> 00:25:23,039
for their survivor backers last week in Cleveland. Boy oh boy,

469
00:25:23,359 --> 00:25:26,519
does a Jacksonville look attractive this week, and that's why

470
00:25:26,559 --> 00:25:28,480
I think they have an opportunity to go in there

471
00:25:28,640 --> 00:25:31,279
and win this game out right. They had a lot

472
00:25:31,480 --> 00:25:34,440
of nice plays against the Panthers last week. VR just

473
00:25:34,480 --> 00:25:36,599
told you Panthers, one of the worst power rated teams

474
00:25:37,039 --> 00:25:43,000
in the NFL, defense forced three turnovers, and I think

475
00:25:43,160 --> 00:25:45,640
they're gonna do the same thing against Cincinnati here this week.

476
00:25:45,960 --> 00:25:50,880
They've got to stop being penalized eleven eleven flags thrown

477
00:25:50,920 --> 00:25:53,400
in their way ninety three yards and of course Trevor

478
00:25:53,480 --> 00:25:56,960
Lawrence with a turnover as well. If they can play cleaner,

479
00:25:57,599 --> 00:26:01,119
they can go in and beat the Bengals on the road.

480
00:26:01,519 --> 00:26:04,039
I like the three and a half here. Cincinnati is

481
00:26:04,079 --> 00:26:07,480
now off my survivor list. I do not trust this team.

482
00:26:07,799 --> 00:26:09,759
I think Jacksonville looks like a more complete team, at

483
00:26:09,839 --> 00:26:15,759
least here in September. Marco di'angelo. It's about lunchtime here

484
00:26:15,839 --> 00:26:17,759
on the East Coast, and that means I'm getting hungry.

485
00:26:18,279 --> 00:26:20,200
Is the deli back open this week? I know it

486
00:26:20,319 --> 00:26:24,319
has been absolutely on fire in college football.

487
00:26:25,359 --> 00:26:28,319
Speaker 2: Yeah, Kelly, check out if you like these segments that

488
00:26:28,400 --> 00:26:31,680
I do, the sandwich spots, the trap games. I do

489
00:26:31,960 --> 00:26:34,839
a bonus show. You know, I only give you, you know,

490
00:26:35,039 --> 00:26:37,559
one in each category here on the show, but I

491
00:26:37,720 --> 00:26:41,319
do Marko's Delhi. It'll come out Thursday night or early

492
00:26:41,400 --> 00:26:44,519
Friday morning each week, and we break down several other games.

493
00:26:44,599 --> 00:26:47,680
I tell you the situations. Last week we had five games,

494
00:26:47,720 --> 00:26:50,480
we went four and one, and you know, I'll tell

495
00:26:50,480 --> 00:26:52,559
you and I love the comments. I like you guys

496
00:26:52,640 --> 00:26:55,440
jumping in, but you guys always come in and say,

497
00:26:55,759 --> 00:26:57,519
how can you take this team?

498
00:26:57,680 --> 00:26:58,279
Speaker 3: They're ugly.

499
00:26:58,480 --> 00:27:00,720
Speaker 2: I'm gonna tell you right now, you're gonna get a

500
00:27:00,920 --> 00:27:05,480
lot of ugly looking games. That's why they fit in there.

501
00:27:05,759 --> 00:27:08,279
It's a sandwich spot. The other team's gonna be looking

502
00:27:08,400 --> 00:27:11,200
past them, or it's a trap game. We're not going

503
00:27:11,279 --> 00:27:13,480
to be coming up with all the marquee teams. You're

504
00:27:13,519 --> 00:27:16,319
not gonna have me telling you to take you this

505
00:27:16,599 --> 00:27:19,319
top twenty five favorite in a route that's not what

506
00:27:19,440 --> 00:27:22,079
I'm looking for. I'm looking for the bad spots where

507
00:27:22,240 --> 00:27:24,720
a team is going to be overpriced and maybe not

508
00:27:25,279 --> 00:27:28,759
totally focused on their opponent. With that said, let's segue

509
00:27:29,000 --> 00:27:31,319
into the Delhi and Kelly, this is one of those

510
00:27:31,359 --> 00:27:33,319
ones where you're gonna say it's a stinky one and

511
00:27:33,440 --> 00:27:36,400
you might have to hold your nose, but that's okay,

512
00:27:36,759 --> 00:27:39,279
we can do it. Just breathe, go to the window,

513
00:27:39,960 --> 00:27:42,559
say the team whisper it if you don't want anybody

514
00:27:42,599 --> 00:27:44,960
else to hear you that you're betting them. But we're

515
00:27:45,000 --> 00:27:49,039
taking the Tennessee Titans this week. And this is one

516
00:27:49,079 --> 00:27:53,319
of those spots where I'll be honest, I am betting Tennessee,

517
00:27:53,480 --> 00:27:56,480
but I'm just as much betting against the Rams in

518
00:27:56,640 --> 00:28:00,400
this game. When you look at this, you've got a

519
00:28:00,440 --> 00:28:05,759
home underdog. And yes, Tennessee's offense was horrible last week,

520
00:28:06,160 --> 00:28:10,519
but we know the stats. We know that rookie quarterbacks,

521
00:28:10,640 --> 00:28:15,920
especially number one drafted rookie quarterbacks, their first start is abysmal,

522
00:28:16,279 --> 00:28:19,680
and he was last week. The offense couldn't move, but

523
00:28:19,759 --> 00:28:23,000
they were going against a pretty damn good defense in

524
00:28:23,119 --> 00:28:25,839
the Denver Broncos. I put the Denver Broncos top five

525
00:28:26,880 --> 00:28:30,279
category defensively, they are an elite defense and that's what

526
00:28:30,519 --> 00:28:33,440
got them to win because their offense did not help

527
00:28:33,519 --> 00:28:35,799
them at all last week Denver. And we'll talk about

528
00:28:35,839 --> 00:28:39,240
them later in the show, but this is a spot

529
00:28:39,519 --> 00:28:42,559
look at the Rams. They were life and death last

530
00:28:42,599 --> 00:28:46,799
week against Houston. They weren't impressive. Slow start. We've seen

531
00:28:46,880 --> 00:28:50,759
this before from mcveigh's teams because he doesn't play the

532
00:28:50,839 --> 00:28:55,440
starters in the preseason. And we know that Bradford's just

533
00:28:55,519 --> 00:28:58,000
to hit away from, you know, getting knocked out of

534
00:28:58,039 --> 00:28:59,440
a game with his bad back.

535
00:28:59,319 --> 00:28:59,960
Speaker 3: And everything else.

536
00:29:00,559 --> 00:29:03,880
Speaker 2: But I can't help you're traveling across country week two

537
00:29:04,000 --> 00:29:07,319
to play a team that looked abysmal offensively last week.

538
00:29:07,720 --> 00:29:10,000
You could probably say, hey, we just got to show

539
00:29:10,079 --> 00:29:12,319
up and we're going to win. But where I'm really

540
00:29:12,400 --> 00:29:15,880
looking at this is the sandwich spot of it. Look

541
00:29:15,920 --> 00:29:18,720
at who the Rams play next week. They play the

542
00:29:18,799 --> 00:29:22,839
Philadelphia Eagles, and I tell you there's certain revenge spots

543
00:29:22,960 --> 00:29:26,160
that you've got a circle, and I've had this one circle.

544
00:29:26,960 --> 00:29:30,079
What I looked at is schedules back in July. As

545
00:29:30,119 --> 00:29:32,720
we do, we go through in circle spots, so you

546
00:29:32,799 --> 00:29:36,359
don't forget them. Who ended the Rams season last year?

547
00:29:36,920 --> 00:29:40,640
It was Philadelphia in Philadelphia in a game that the

548
00:29:40,759 --> 00:29:44,039
Rams were getting beat badly, but at the end had

549
00:29:44,079 --> 00:29:47,119
a chance to win that game and came up short.

550
00:29:47,440 --> 00:29:50,279
They're going to be looking ahead to next week. I'm

551
00:29:50,319 --> 00:29:53,319
gonna take Tennessee at home and this will be an ugly,

552
00:29:53,440 --> 00:29:59,240
one low scoring game. Let's take Tennessee seventeen sixteen as

553
00:29:59,599 --> 00:30:02,400
my san on which game this week in the Delhi?

554
00:30:02,599 --> 00:30:05,680
Hopefully the health department doesn't come and close me down

555
00:30:05,839 --> 00:30:07,759
after week two with food poisoning.

556
00:30:08,119 --> 00:30:11,240
Speaker 1: Hey, I'll give that Titans defense a ton of credit.

557
00:30:11,480 --> 00:30:14,000
They were able to exploit bo Nicks last week. Marco,

558
00:30:14,640 --> 00:30:17,759
that Deli sandwich is not as bad as you think.

559
00:30:17,839 --> 00:30:23,160
You've definitely had way worse ones. All right, guys, we're

560
00:30:23,160 --> 00:30:24,960
gonna get into the best bets. That's what you guys

561
00:30:24,960 --> 00:30:26,680
are all here for. If you have not given us

562
00:30:26,720 --> 00:30:29,440
that thumbs up or jumped in the comments section, yet

563
00:30:29,640 --> 00:30:33,839
you are behind VR your best bet for Week two

564
00:30:34,240 --> 00:30:34,920
in the NFL.

565
00:30:35,640 --> 00:30:39,160
Speaker 3: Yeah, and Marco nailed it with I like both these games. Actually,

566
00:30:39,559 --> 00:30:42,599
I really like the Seattle side over Pittsburgh. If you

567
00:30:42,680 --> 00:30:45,480
look at the box score for Pittsburgh and the Jets, again,

568
00:30:45,519 --> 00:30:48,400
you never want to get overreaction off of one game,

569
00:30:49,519 --> 00:30:52,720
but they got out played pretty much everywhere by the Jets.

570
00:30:52,839 --> 00:30:55,440
It's just the final score where you know there was

571
00:30:55,480 --> 00:30:58,200
a little luck involved on the Pittsburgh side. But I

572
00:30:58,319 --> 00:31:01,839
love what Marco pointed out, just tey points they allowed

573
00:31:02,000 --> 00:31:04,880
and Seattle, that's what they're gonna need a solid defense,

574
00:31:05,119 --> 00:31:11,240
because defensively they were impressive against San Francisco. They held

575
00:31:11,279 --> 00:31:16,160
San Francisco to what twenty points? Seventeen points and they

576
00:31:16,240 --> 00:31:19,279
had three fumbles. They fumbled the ball three times, lost

577
00:31:19,359 --> 00:31:23,880
two of those, and yet that defense forced two interceptions

578
00:31:23,960 --> 00:31:26,119
by Purty and like I said, held them the only

579
00:31:26,240 --> 00:31:30,200
seventeen points. If they could create some problems for the

580
00:31:30,279 --> 00:31:33,920
Steeler offense, which I think they will. Then offensively, I

581
00:31:34,000 --> 00:31:37,920
think Seattle's going to do just fine. Again. They underwhelmed

582
00:31:38,079 --> 00:31:41,240
in Week one with Sam Darnold, but I think they're

583
00:31:41,400 --> 00:31:44,599
They're not facing a San Francisco type of defense this week,

584
00:31:44,720 --> 00:31:46,599
so if anything, that was a good thing going up

585
00:31:46,640 --> 00:31:49,480
against that much resistance and now going up against a

586
00:31:49,799 --> 00:31:53,359
Steeler defense which is banged up. Look at that injury report.

587
00:31:53,440 --> 00:31:55,799
They're losing a lot of pieces on the defensive side

588
00:31:55,799 --> 00:31:58,640
of the ball and they're not really deep. So I

589
00:31:58,880 --> 00:32:02,000
think Seattle's going to have success on the offensive side,

590
00:32:02,200 --> 00:32:04,440
and like I said, defensively, look for them to shut

591
00:32:04,519 --> 00:32:07,319
down the Steelers a lot better than the Jets did.

592
00:32:07,640 --> 00:32:09,880
They could keep this within three for sure. But I

593
00:32:10,079 --> 00:32:12,960
like the money line. It's a sprinkle for me. This

594
00:32:13,119 --> 00:32:15,920
one I did release the subscribers. I did take the

595
00:32:16,000 --> 00:32:19,279
three with Seattle. That one is a premium play to think.

596
00:32:19,279 --> 00:32:21,480
Out of the three that I released, that's the only

597
00:32:21,559 --> 00:32:24,519
one so far we fired on. But I like Seattle

598
00:32:24,559 --> 00:32:27,599
a lot sprinkle that money line. They give Pittsburgh their loss.

599
00:32:28,079 --> 00:32:30,359
Speaker 1: Awesome stuff. VR. Before we move on to Marco, can

600
00:32:30,440 --> 00:32:32,960
you let everybody know what you've got up for the

601
00:32:33,200 --> 00:32:35,480
second week of the NFL over at wager talk dot com.

602
00:32:36,000 --> 00:32:39,440
Speaker 3: Indeed, I have my NFL package with four percent best bets.

603
00:32:39,480 --> 00:32:41,680
We'll see if a five percent jumps out at us.

604
00:32:41,759 --> 00:32:46,039
We never forced those. If that package is up, you

605
00:32:46,119 --> 00:32:49,440
know we're number one right now combined College Football NFL

606
00:32:49,599 --> 00:32:52,359
twenty twenty five. It's early, but so far, so good

607
00:32:52,519 --> 00:32:54,960
out of the gate. And we'll have the steam room

608
00:32:55,079 --> 00:32:58,480
on Sunday as well. It's for subscribers only thirty days

609
00:32:58,559 --> 00:33:01,880
or more. You get the I'm in there leading up

610
00:33:01,960 --> 00:33:04,200
the kickoff of the first batch of games. We go

611
00:33:04,319 --> 00:33:08,039
over each and every game, cover signs, total player props,

612
00:33:08,319 --> 00:33:10,440
all the lives of all the stuff that's coming in

613
00:33:10,559 --> 00:33:14,160
while we're live as well, and of course those teasers

614
00:33:14,240 --> 00:33:17,279
towards the end, so a ton of value, and more importantly,

615
00:33:17,359 --> 00:33:20,400
the results numbers are speaking for themselves. We're hot right now.

616
00:33:20,720 --> 00:33:22,480
I'm working with the best groups I have in a

617
00:33:22,559 --> 00:33:25,680
really long time and just feeling like in the zone.

618
00:33:25,759 --> 00:33:26,440
This is a good time.

619
00:33:27,880 --> 00:33:32,799
Speaker 1: Oh, Marco, I know it's overreaction week. Are we overreacting

620
00:33:33,200 --> 00:33:35,119
to how good the Indianapolis Colts looked?

621
00:33:36,599 --> 00:33:39,799
Speaker 2: Well? Kelly, I think It's a combination of both how

622
00:33:39,880 --> 00:33:44,359
good the Colts look and how bad Denver looked and

623
00:33:44,559 --> 00:33:47,960
was lucky to get out of there with the win.

624
00:33:48,200 --> 00:33:51,240
I gotta tell you, I know that that was a

625
00:33:51,319 --> 00:33:54,839
popular game in Survivor last week was the Denver Broncos.

626
00:33:55,279 --> 00:33:58,440
How were people feeling that had the Denver Broncos when

627
00:33:58,480 --> 00:34:01,839
that score was thirteen to twelve. Well in the fourth

628
00:34:02,000 --> 00:34:06,599
quarter and Sean Payton decides to go on fourth and

629
00:34:06,799 --> 00:34:11,039
one in his own territory at the forty six yard

630
00:34:11,119 --> 00:34:14,440
line and get stopped turning the ball over to Tennessee.

631
00:34:14,880 --> 00:34:17,599
I am sure there is a lot of people's hearts

632
00:34:17,719 --> 00:34:21,280
that stopped at that. But that's why I like Denver.

633
00:34:21,440 --> 00:34:24,639
This week, they had that first week scare and we

634
00:34:24,760 --> 00:34:27,679
talked about it. Denver is a team that had a

635
00:34:27,760 --> 00:34:30,079
lot of hype coming into this season because of the

636
00:34:30,159 --> 00:34:33,039
jump they made last year in year two with Sean

637
00:34:33,119 --> 00:34:36,800
Payton bow Knicks rookie quarterback. Hey, you know what he

638
00:34:37,239 --> 00:34:40,400
looked like. We said, be careful with all these rookie

639
00:34:40,480 --> 00:34:45,639
quarterbacks that looked good last year. Don't assume it's going

640
00:34:45,719 --> 00:34:49,199
to be a progression automatically the next year. And what

641
00:34:49,440 --> 00:34:53,159
happened well, bow Knicks had a bad game. Okay, the

642
00:34:53,360 --> 00:34:56,599
Denver offense did have three hundred and seventeen yards. They

643
00:34:56,639 --> 00:34:59,800
should have had way more. Why did they only have

644
00:35:00,039 --> 00:35:03,480
three and seventeen yards? Because they gave the ball away

645
00:35:03,840 --> 00:35:07,719
four times. You give away four possessions, that's gonna hurt

646
00:35:07,719 --> 00:35:11,400
your total yardage. But their defense was stopped. Now, part

647
00:35:11,440 --> 00:35:15,039
of it was going against the rookie quarterback for Tennessee.

648
00:35:15,559 --> 00:35:18,639
But we know this defense from last year, how good

649
00:35:18,719 --> 00:35:22,039
they were. I talked about the Chargers having a look

650
00:35:22,079 --> 00:35:25,840
ahead spot. The Chargers were coming off a satisfying win

651
00:35:26,119 --> 00:35:28,679
and are going to a game where they got the

652
00:35:28,719 --> 00:35:31,079
look ahead spot to Denver. So why do I not

653
00:35:31,320 --> 00:35:34,679
think Denver will look ahead here to the Chargers because

654
00:35:34,719 --> 00:35:37,960
they played so poorly last week. I've told you time

655
00:35:38,000 --> 00:35:41,559
and time again, teams that are big favorites that have

656
00:35:41,760 --> 00:35:45,039
the scare, I love to look at them in week

657
00:35:45,440 --> 00:35:47,599
in the next week because you're going to get value

658
00:35:47,639 --> 00:35:49,559
in the line and you're also going to get a

659
00:35:49,679 --> 00:35:53,760
very focused team. The Colts were the biggest surprise of

660
00:35:53,800 --> 00:35:57,639
the week last week, not that they won, more so

661
00:35:57,920 --> 00:36:01,400
in the fashion that they won in dominating Let's see

662
00:36:01,559 --> 00:36:04,440
Daniel Jones, which I think he was the right choice

663
00:36:04,519 --> 00:36:07,519
for the Colts. We all like the Colts in our

664
00:36:07,559 --> 00:36:11,559
preseason previews to win that division, and I said that

665
00:36:11,679 --> 00:36:14,880
he's going to be the quarterback for them this year

666
00:36:15,079 --> 00:36:17,599
sooner than later. Well, we started the season and I

667
00:36:17,679 --> 00:36:21,119
think unless he gets injured, he'll be the quarterback all year.

668
00:36:21,519 --> 00:36:24,960
But let's see what he does in Week two against

669
00:36:25,079 --> 00:36:27,400
what I feel as an elite defense. Give me Denver

670
00:36:27,800 --> 00:36:30,239
at a short number, I'm buy and low. Give me

671
00:36:30,320 --> 00:36:31,519
the Broncos.

672
00:36:31,760 --> 00:36:33,639
Speaker 1: Marco before I give out my best bet that has

673
00:36:33,679 --> 00:36:36,840
correlated with yours. Please let everybody know what you have

674
00:36:37,039 --> 00:36:39,079
going on there at wager talk dot com.

675
00:36:39,920 --> 00:36:42,679
Speaker 2: Well, Kelly, we've got that special going sight wide at

676
00:36:42,760 --> 00:36:45,119
wager Talk this week. It's called the Weekend Warrior. You

677
00:36:45,159 --> 00:36:48,000
can pick up Saturday and Sunday's football plays for just

678
00:36:48,199 --> 00:36:52,119
forty nine dollars. Pick your favorite kapper lock it in

679
00:36:52,239 --> 00:36:55,760
at that price. And why it's such a great deal, Well,

680
00:36:56,000 --> 00:36:59,079
you know that's gonna include any five percent place. Anybody

681
00:36:59,159 --> 00:37:01,440
that has a five percent and play always sells those

682
00:37:01,519 --> 00:37:05,320
plays for thirty five dollars. Yours truly's gonna have a

683
00:37:05,400 --> 00:37:07,639
five percent this weekend it will be my first win

684
00:37:07,800 --> 00:37:10,519
of the football season. You know, I'm very selective with

685
00:37:10,639 --> 00:37:13,840
these plays. We have to have a play that just

686
00:37:13,960 --> 00:37:17,639
fits a checks all of the boxes. How about over

687
00:37:17,719 --> 00:37:21,880
the last nineteen months thirty one and thirteen with those

688
00:37:21,960 --> 00:37:25,079
five percent plays. So jump on board the weekend Warrior.

689
00:37:25,320 --> 00:37:27,679
You'll get every play I have this week and going

690
00:37:27,760 --> 00:37:33,400
back to last year, number two in football combined college

691
00:37:33,480 --> 00:37:35,280
and pro and money one at wager.

692
00:37:35,119 --> 00:37:37,679
Speaker 1: Talk all right, I mentioned that my best bet was

693
00:37:37,719 --> 00:37:40,800
correlated to Marcos and it kind of is who looked

694
00:37:40,880 --> 00:37:45,039
worse last week? Yeah, well, I know I like betting

695
00:37:45,119 --> 00:37:47,920
hot garbage teams from Florida. If you guys check out

696
00:37:47,920 --> 00:37:49,760
the college football edition to bet on it. And I'm

697
00:37:49,800 --> 00:37:52,559
gonna take the Miami Dolphins this week because they could

698
00:37:52,599 --> 00:37:55,960
not have looked worse Week one. Tua sucks fire Mike

699
00:37:56,039 --> 00:38:00,960
Daniel Dolphins Twitter was going absolutely not and still is

700
00:38:01,159 --> 00:38:03,760
freaking out. One of the things I love about the

701
00:38:03,840 --> 00:38:06,199
Westgate super Book is their look ahead lines. This one

702
00:38:06,320 --> 00:38:09,079
was two and a half. Let's take a step back.

703
00:38:09,320 --> 00:38:12,400
What part of the Patriots lost last week looked good?

704
00:38:13,519 --> 00:38:17,719
Small sample size, but the Patriots absolutely owned by the

705
00:38:17,840 --> 00:38:22,000
Dolphins seven and zero in the last seven games, four

706
00:38:22,039 --> 00:38:25,880
and oh excuse me, four out of the last seven.

707
00:38:26,000 --> 00:38:28,760
They've covered three and one in the last four seasons

708
00:38:28,800 --> 00:38:34,559
with Tua. They're at home against the Patriots. I'm sorry

709
00:38:35,159 --> 00:38:39,199
New England's offense every time I saw them in the

710
00:38:39,280 --> 00:38:42,239
red zone, because that's all I watched on Sundays, just

711
00:38:42,400 --> 00:38:47,199
kept sputtering and stalling. That team got lucky with that

712
00:38:47,519 --> 00:38:51,719
fluky touchdown on the goal line fumble Drake may I

713
00:38:51,760 --> 00:38:54,119
don't think he's the answer there. I think everybody needs

714
00:38:54,159 --> 00:38:58,119
to calm down and realize Tua is going to be okay.

715
00:38:58,559 --> 00:39:01,159
He was missing his left tackle for the better part

716
00:39:01,239 --> 00:39:05,079
of that game. He should be back for Sunday. It's

717
00:39:05,119 --> 00:39:06,559
not gonna be as hot as I'd like it to

718
00:39:06,639 --> 00:39:09,880
be there in Miami for this one, but it's still

719
00:39:10,039 --> 00:39:12,559
going to be a spot where I lay the minus

720
00:39:12,639 --> 00:39:16,039
one with the Miami Dolphins and the biggest overreaction from

721
00:39:16,119 --> 00:39:20,920
week one. That's it, guys, So throw up that recap graphic.

722
00:39:21,199 --> 00:39:23,719
Thank you to VR, thank you to Marco. You guys

723
00:39:23,719 --> 00:39:26,880
are absolutely the best bringing the heat every single week

724
00:39:26,960 --> 00:39:29,440
here on bet On. It all right for you to

725
00:39:29,679 --> 00:39:32,360
scroll to the end the least you can do is

726
00:39:32,440 --> 00:39:35,239
give us that thumbs up, press that like button and

727
00:39:35,400 --> 00:39:37,159
jump in the comment section. What do you love about

728
00:39:37,159 --> 00:39:39,199
the show? What do you hate? Sorry that I wore

729
00:39:39,239 --> 00:39:41,719
a turtleneck this week We had to change up the

730
00:39:41,800 --> 00:39:45,880
vibes because I have been absolutely hot garbage. No, it's

731
00:39:45,920 --> 00:39:49,039
not hot garbage. Yeah that's right Ralph Michael's TNA. If

732
00:39:49,039 --> 00:39:51,960
you guys missed it, it has its own standalone segment

733
00:39:52,440 --> 00:39:54,519
here on the Wager Talking YouTube channel now and of

734
00:39:54,559 --> 00:39:56,519
course if you missed the college football edition to bet

735
00:39:56,599 --> 00:39:58,960
on it. We got lots of barking dogs and of

736
00:39:59,039 --> 00:40:02,800
course best bets that steam from VR and maybe the

737
00:40:02,880 --> 00:40:06,360
deli's open there as well. Have a great week, guys,

738
00:40:06,480 --> 00:40:08,239
and until next week, let's bet on it