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<v Speaker 1>With Laurent's segle and from London and Gerard read from Berlin.

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<v Speaker 2>This is redefining energy today.

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<v Speaker 1>On Redefining Energy, Laurno. We're going to bring an old

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<v Speaker 1>friend back on the show, aren't we.

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<v Speaker 3>Yes, it's David's Casebrook, the Brook in queen Brook and

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<v Speaker 3>reading on the show five years ago, very popular episode

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<v Speaker 3>episode sixty six. The things have changed so much so

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<v Speaker 3>it was probably time to bring in and discuss all

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<v Speaker 3>this data center and the revolution of twenty fourteen power development.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah. I think that's what I love about David is

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<v Speaker 1>these guys have been at the forefront of this renewable

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<v Speaker 1>stuff for twenty five years over and I mean always

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<v Speaker 1>at the forefront of that. They're not just an infrastructure

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<v Speaker 1>investor really are. They're local and sort of saying, well,

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<v Speaker 1>where's the future going? And that's creator. Yeah, we need

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<v Speaker 1>to have Drap back on again. Yeah.

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<v Speaker 3>And for the people who don't know queen Brook, it's

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<v Speaker 3>a mid size specialties fun They have executed twenty seven

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<v Speaker 3>billion dollars two hundred and forty projects. They've built more

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<v Speaker 3>than forty gigawad operating across US, UK and Australia, and

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<v Speaker 3>they're so good. Definitely punching above their weight. And of

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<v Speaker 3>course at some point we're going to enter in the

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<v Speaker 3>data center realm. And here they've developed out of thin

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<v Speaker 3>air a company called Rowan, so you can hear about Rowan,

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<v Speaker 3>which is one of the top three successful data centered

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<v Speaker 3>developer in America. And they just signed a Chinamos did

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<v Speaker 3>with Blackstone one billion dollars. Very very impressive. I'm keen

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<v Speaker 3>to hear what David is to.

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<v Speaker 1>Say, So let's bring another show.

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<v Speaker 3>David, Welcome back to the show.

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<v Speaker 2>It's so nice to see you guys again. I can't

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<v Speaker 2>believe it's been this long. Always a pleasure to talk

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<v Speaker 2>to you too.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, David, maybe just kick off this and I think

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<v Speaker 1>actually the last half another show was almost five years ago. Yes,

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<v Speaker 1>you've been in this renewable space for almost a quarter

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<v Speaker 1>of us and shit at this point in time. But

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<v Speaker 1>I'd love to hear what's changed over the last five

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<v Speaker 1>years for you, and then you know, we can probably

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<v Speaker 1>dig a little bit deeper into Quinn Brock and what

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<v Speaker 1>you're doing differently and then really talk a little bit

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<v Speaker 1>more about the future. Now, that's what we'd love to

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<v Speaker 1>sort of go through today. But startup, and what are

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<v Speaker 1>the big things that you look at and say, wow,

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<v Speaker 1>this is what's changed. Yeah.

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<v Speaker 2>Look, I would say if I go back five years,

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<v Speaker 2>I'm thinking, you know, twenty one, twenty two. Back then,

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<v Speaker 2>the big things that we were pondering were getting out

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<v Speaker 2>of wind on shore wind and into solar and storage

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<v Speaker 2>in a fairly big way. And the projects that we

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<v Speaker 2>were doing were persuading us in that direction, largely because

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<v Speaker 2>on the solar and storage side, you know, with our

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<v Speaker 2>Gemini project in Nevada, which it was just cost based,

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<v Speaker 2>we were looking at the potency of those two technologies

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<v Speaker 2>combined together. There have been a lot cheaper since then,

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<v Speaker 2>but of course both in time of day, but in

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<v Speaker 2>overall Lcoe they were unbeatable. And on the other hand,

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<v Speaker 2>we were finishing up about a five year build of

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<v Speaker 2>our Scout wind platform and it was occurring to us

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<v Speaker 2>that we saw that the fund was going out of

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<v Speaker 2>on sure wind from a risk adjusted return perspective. For

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<v Speaker 2>a couple of reasons, particularly in the US, we saw

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<v Speaker 2>it as a cluster technology, which means everyone develops it

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<v Speaker 2>in the same location, and that Tier one wind sites

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<v Speaker 2>and then did Tier two, etc. But that particularly in

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<v Speaker 2>the US with the production tax credits led to price cannibalization,

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<v Speaker 2>and so it was a very very difficult period to

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<v Speaker 2>think about sort of consistent returns with so much volatility

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<v Speaker 2>being driven by too much capacity going into the same

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<v Speaker 2>node or into the same connection. And of course then

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<v Speaker 2>we started to see price separation between your connection point

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<v Speaker 2>and irrelevant pricing node from a customer point of view,

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<v Speaker 2>So to us, you can't really diversify yourself out of that.

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<v Speaker 2>Very difficult back then to contract your way out of

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<v Speaker 2>that from a hedging perspective, and so there was really

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<v Speaker 2>a really huge turning point for us was the decision

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<v Speaker 2>to get out of on shore wind and into solar

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<v Speaker 2>battery storage, which at the time and in the five

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<v Speaker 2>years since, we saw it back then as the engine

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<v Speaker 2>room of the energy transition. We were a pioneer of

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<v Speaker 2>solar and DC coupled storage, and that was with four

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<v Speaker 2>hour solution back then. Everything that's happened since then, I mean,

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<v Speaker 2>it's more than eighty percent of most grid cues. It's

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<v Speaker 2>now the dominant technology combination, and certainly in the markets

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<v Speaker 2>where we're active. And so I would say that technology

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<v Speaker 2>trend based on cost. The sheer cost competitiveness and the

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<v Speaker 2>time of day service that solar and storage could deliver

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<v Speaker 2>because turned out to be absolutely right.

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<v Speaker 3>So in the past five years, the financing condition, so

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<v Speaker 3>you've seen more investors come in, the risk profile changing.

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<v Speaker 3>How has it evolved because at the same time the

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<v Speaker 3>interest rates have gone up.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I'd say it. In the early days, the novelty

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<v Speaker 2>was in being in the sector itself, and so there

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<v Speaker 2>was reasonable return capture through the whole development cycle. And

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<v Speaker 2>when money was cheap, M and A strategies and renewables

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<v Speaker 2>attracted a lot of institutional capital. There's a lot of

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<v Speaker 2>new entrants coming in. I mean, generalists were turning into

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<v Speaker 2>renewable infrastructure. Generalists were having renewables represent the largest component

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<v Speaker 2>of their funds, of their core and their core plus funds,

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<v Speaker 2>and so money started to flow into the sector. Generalists

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<v Speaker 2>took significant amount of that capital. M and A strategies

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<v Speaker 2>really dominated a lot of the capital flows that went

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<v Speaker 2>into the sector, and there were reasonable returns I mean,

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<v Speaker 2>in a relative sense, reasonable chance to be had through

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<v Speaker 2>those M and A strategies. I think in that time

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<v Speaker 2>we've seen a lot of capacity build, a lot of

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<v Speaker 2>capital flow, both on the equity and debt side to

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<v Speaker 2>a point where where we are today, a lot of

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<v Speaker 2>the institutional capital that we speak to around the world

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<v Speaker 2>has kind of got their allocation of what they would

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<v Speaker 2>sort of refer to as generic megawatts or the sort

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<v Speaker 2>of the more or maybe the core plus strategies that

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<v Speaker 2>have suffered a lot with interest rates given these discounter

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<v Speaker 2>cash flow assets. As interest rates go up, wax go up,

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<v Speaker 2>navs go down, that's put a lot of pressure on

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<v Speaker 2>some of those historic sort of M and A strategies,

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<v Speaker 2>particularly things that were bought aggressively in competitive auctions. They

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<v Speaker 2>haven't performed very well. That's been a little bit of

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<v Speaker 2>appall over renewables sitting in their portfolios. That has tempered

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<v Speaker 2>appetite for more. Fast forward to kind of where we

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<v Speaker 2>are today, I'd say from where we sit, particularly a

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<v Speaker 2>lot of institutional capital looking for differentiation in the strategy.

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<v Speaker 2>They're looking for differentiation in the returns. They're looking for

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<v Speaker 2>new ways to play infrastructure within the energy transition. So

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<v Speaker 2>we're kind of in the age of the specialist and

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<v Speaker 2>we're in the age of differentiation. And the other thing

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<v Speaker 2>I would say is you look at the evolution of

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<v Speaker 2>investment product that's been created and offered to the capital

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<v Speaker 2>that flows into the sector back not that maybe five

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<v Speaker 2>years ago you had solar funds and you had very

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<v Speaker 2>technology specific investment funds that we're doing kind of one

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<v Speaker 2>thing in either one country or a number of countries.

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<v Speaker 2>And I think over that time what we've seen is

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<v Speaker 2>investors now are attracted more to either technology agnostic, multi

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<v Speaker 2>technology or diversified strategies that are across more than one

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<v Speaker 2>way to play the energy transition. So that's part of

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<v Speaker 2>that differentiation, and I think it's also a function of

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<v Speaker 2>the fact that the return on investment and return on

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<v Speaker 2>equity across technologies has largely commoditized. And so whilst we

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<v Speaker 2>know that there are significant differences technologically and performance wise

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<v Speaker 2>in the way these assets behave and a lot of cases,

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<v Speaker 2>a lot of stres srategies, you're not getting rewarded for

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<v Speaker 2>that differential. And so the choice in terms of the

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<v Speaker 2>fundamental risk beta, whether it's construction, whether it's operational, you're

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<v Speaker 2>not getting compensated for that, particularly using sort of M

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<v Speaker 2>and A strategies. And so the market has sort of

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<v Speaker 2>tended to shift towards more value add where the investor

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<v Speaker 2>is investing more for sponsors that are differentiated in the

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<v Speaker 2>way they go about creating a higher return and sort

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<v Speaker 2>of mitigating their risk position on the downside, and moving

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<v Speaker 2>away from those generic megawats that sort of still necessary

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<v Speaker 2>for decarbonization. It's just not as interesting for investors to

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<v Speaker 2>deploy a lot more capital in that direction. It's far

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<v Speaker 2>more going into the value add strategies.

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<v Speaker 1>David May, I just follow on this because the one

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<v Speaker 1>thing that I would see when I'm looking at a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of your competitors is exactly what you said, I'm

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<v Speaker 1>going to be more brutal than what you said. Is

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<v Speaker 1>all they've done is they have run power plans from

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<v Speaker 1>Excel sheets for the last fifteen to twenty years. Now.

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<v Speaker 1>You've been very different now because I even just go

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<v Speaker 1>back to the fact that you bought a flexibility platform,

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<v Speaker 1>you realize that you had to sort of become an

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<v Speaker 1>energy services company, and you didn't use that phrase, and

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<v Speaker 1>I'm just curious why you didn't have that phrase energy

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<v Speaker 1>such system.

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<v Speaker 2>That's a great question. I mean, it probably touched on

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<v Speaker 2>something I should have mentioned in response to Laurren's question earlier,

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<v Speaker 2>which is what's happened in the last five years for

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<v Speaker 2>US is we're thinking thematically these days, and we're investing

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<v Speaker 2>thematically because at the end of the day, our job

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<v Speaker 2>is to deliver the same thing from an investment outcome

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<v Speaker 2>and performance perspective. It's a rinse and repeat exercise. But

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<v Speaker 2>of course, in terms of our return targets and what

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<v Speaker 2>we're offering for our investment services doesn't really change from

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<v Speaker 2>decade to decade mid teens plus, but what we have

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<v Speaker 2>to do to achieve it has changed fundamentally a year

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<v Speaker 2>to year, vintage to vintage, fund to fund, market to market.

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<v Speaker 2>We have to to reinvent our strategy each time thematically,

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<v Speaker 2>and so we've learned to invest now more by choosing

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<v Speaker 2>a select number of thematics which are directionally where we

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<v Speaker 2>think we can apply our skills and generate these value

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<v Speaker 2>add returns. And so we don't think in market terms,

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<v Speaker 2>or we don't think specifically in market or country terms.

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<v Speaker 2>We think thematically and we try to apply those thematics

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<v Speaker 2>across all of the markets where we are active. And

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<v Speaker 2>the most significant part of that is that our strategic

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<v Speaker 2>focus has shifted entirely to being customer centric, so we

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<v Speaker 2>are solving problems and to solve problems for customers. Customers

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<v Speaker 2>don't care what technology choices you make. They care about reliability,

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<v Speaker 2>they care about impact, they care about cost, and so

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<v Speaker 2>when we think about the tools we need in our toolkit,

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<v Speaker 2>they are all the things you mentioned. Yes, of course,

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<v Speaker 2>we have to have full suite development capability across all

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<v Speaker 2>all the bank of all proven technologies. We need to

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<v Speaker 2>be able to mix them and compliment them to achieve

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<v Speaker 2>a supply profile that matches what the customer needs. But

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<v Speaker 2>then we need to do more than that. We need

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<v Speaker 2>to algorithmically optimize batteries using AI. We need to do

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<v Speaker 2>that through the whole project development suite, and we need

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<v Speaker 2>access to flexibility. We need to fill in the gaps

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<v Speaker 2>going back to what I said in twenty two, the

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<v Speaker 2>missing hours problem. Since then, we've developed an eight hour battery,

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<v Speaker 2>now working on a twelve hour battery. It's purely designed

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<v Speaker 2>to be able to deliver that twenty four to seven

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<v Speaker 2>profile to data centers or steel mills or smelters, because

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<v Speaker 2>that's the problem we're increasingly trying to solve. We're not

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<v Speaker 2>trying to develop mega watts just to stick into the grid.

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<v Speaker 2>We're trying to develop a services and a solutions project.

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<v Speaker 2>Or combination of projects that solve a customer's problem. So

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<v Speaker 2>I'd say over the last five years we have pivoted

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<v Speaker 2>entirely to being thematically driven solutions business in the energy transition.

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<v Speaker 1>Can I just dig on that a little bit and

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<v Speaker 1>after question? Yeah, cool and again a bit a bit provocative.

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<v Speaker 1>Here does that really sit in a fund structure? And

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<v Speaker 1>where I'm coming from ante is at the end of

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<v Speaker 1>the day, you've got a fund. At some point you're

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<v Speaker 1>trying to get a return to someone to that song, right,

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<v Speaker 1>So tell me how does that of fit in? And

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<v Speaker 1>where is the secret SAP and all of our.

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<v Speaker 2>The secret source is that the capital lives in the

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<v Speaker 2>fund and that's where it belongs because that's our fiduciary business.

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<v Speaker 2>But we have an equivalent number of people over one

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<v Speaker 2>hundred and hour in our project development, construction, design, operations, procurement.

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<v Speaker 2>That's the secret source. We are finding over time. The

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<v Speaker 2>only way we can consistently deliver differentiated value add returns

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<v Speaker 2>with proprietary thematics that we are thinking about every day

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<v Speaker 2>that solve customer problems is we have to be able

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<v Speaker 2>to deliver those solutions ourselves increasingly, and so today across

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<v Speaker 2>the Quinnrook pipeline. Even compared to say, five years ago,

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<v Speaker 2>we were way more dependent on portfolio businesses that we

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<v Speaker 2>were creating ourselves to execute a certain thematic. These days,

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<v Speaker 2>we're still doing that, but more than half of our

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<v Speaker 2>portfolio now is things that Quimrook itself is developing, site acquisition,

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<v Speaker 2>grid connections, permitting, design, procurement.

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<v Speaker 1>Now.

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<v Speaker 2>Not only that gives us the ability to retain a

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<v Speaker 2>lot of value and offer that value back up to

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<v Speaker 2>our investors, but we're pursuing proprietary thematics that we don't

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<v Speaker 2>want the market to know about, necessarily because we want

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<v Speaker 2>to continue to be a first mover. So to answer

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<v Speaker 2>your question, if you were just a fund manager, I

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<v Speaker 2>don't think you can do all of that that needs

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<v Speaker 2>to be done. That when I say we are thematically driven,

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<v Speaker 2>we're customer centric. We can solve problems and create solutions.

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<v Speaker 2>As just as a fund manager, it's very very difficult

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<v Speaker 2>to do that. You can do it via portfolio company

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<v Speaker 2>and assemble portfolio companies, but of course you've got to

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<v Speaker 2>sell those portfolio companies at some point in time and

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<v Speaker 2>then you lose all that capability. We still do that,

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<v Speaker 2>you know, we still turn over our portfolio companies, but

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<v Speaker 2>what we've done internally is create the enduring capability, the

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<v Speaker 2>enduring skill set from project development side, acquisition grid. These

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<v Speaker 2>are things that are common to everything that we do,

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<v Speaker 2>and so being able to have that in perpetuity I

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<v Speaker 2>think is really really critical. It's a critical differentiator for us.

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<v Speaker 3>Let's talk about the elephant in the rumor, well, not

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<v Speaker 3>the different the herb of elephants, which well she was

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<v Speaker 3>not pronounced four years ago, a Berlin pass data sentels

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<v Speaker 3>and that has been a fantastic driver of your gross recently.

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<v Speaker 3>Rather just shoveling make out what our work to the

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<v Speaker 3>grid and let the grid take care of it more

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<v Speaker 3>or less, let's talk about the past five years and

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<v Speaker 3>our integration in the hyperscalar universe.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, it is the biggest topic today, wasn't back in

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<v Speaker 2>twenty one when we were on the blackboard trying to

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<v Speaker 2>figure out I mean, in twenty one was obvious that

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<v Speaker 2>hyperscale data centers were the largest virtual buyers of renewable power. Right,

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<v Speaker 2>they all had net zero commitments, they were all doing

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<v Speaker 2>the biggest PPAs. But one of the things that we

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<v Speaker 2>noticed was that data centers were getting bigger. I mean,

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<v Speaker 2>Gemini was supporting a two hundred megawatt data center in

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<v Speaker 2>twenty twenty one for Google in Nevada. That was monstrous

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<v Speaker 2>in twenty twenty one and in the desert, and we

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<v Speaker 2>were like, what's going on. We had just like this

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<v Speaker 2>light bulb moment where we said, the hierarchy of needs

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<v Speaker 2>for data centers is changing to power first, and that's

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<v Speaker 2>right up our street. So we looked across the landscape

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<v Speaker 2>of the US industry, which hadn't gone hyper scale really,

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<v Speaker 2>and AI wasn't a thing. Post COVID five G was

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<v Speaker 2>a thing. Netflix was a thing, Zoom was a thing,

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<v Speaker 2>Teams thing, and that was driving a lot of growth

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<v Speaker 2>in power need and their full capacity of data centers.

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<v Speaker 2>But we saw beyond that. We just thought, this is

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<v Speaker 2>an exorable trend. And we looked across the industry landscape

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<v Speaker 2>and they were mostly property businesses, like there were real

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<v Speaker 2>estate trusts, and they were triple net lease where power

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<v Speaker 2>was a pass through and they just signed up to

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<v Speaker 2>the local utility and passed the costs onto the data

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<v Speaker 2>center operator. So what occurred to us was we just

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<v Speaker 2>need to expand our development capability. We're already finding sites

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<v Speaker 2>that can host massive gigawattscale supply solutions. Why don't we

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<v Speaker 2>expand our ability to find sites that also host these

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<v Speaker 2>data center Think back to what I said before, We

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<v Speaker 2>needed to get physical because the world was virtual, and

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<v Speaker 2>in a virtual ppa world, you don't get paid for

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<v Speaker 2>quality and you don't have any bargaining leverage when you're

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<v Speaker 2>negotiating price and terms. But you do when you're physically

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<v Speaker 2>delivering out of site where a customer needs access to

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<v Speaker 2>all the things you're developing at that site. So, if

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<v Speaker 2>you think about that collectively, we needed to go physical.

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<v Speaker 2>We needed to expand our development capability to include places

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<v Speaker 2>where you'd put a hyperscale data center that needed massive

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<v Speaker 2>power supply, particularly renewables at the time, and needed to

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<v Speaker 2>be well developed in the right location, at the right

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<v Speaker 2>timing and the right price point. And so that's what

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<v Speaker 2>gave us a huge conviction to go hard into the

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<v Speaker 2>hyperscale data center Thematic empowered Land providing a customer solution

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<v Speaker 2>for hyperscale data centers. Now, at the time, everyone said

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<v Speaker 2>we were learning. They said, you guys are kidding. How

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<v Speaker 2>can you waltz into the US data center industry and

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<v Speaker 2>sort of crack it open with this idea of yours,

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<v Speaker 2>and that inspires us being told we're mad or we

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<v Speaker 2>can't do something. So I think our conviction wasn't wavered,

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<v Speaker 2>and we went and did what we not know. We

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<v Speaker 2>didn't know really about hyper scale data center busyesers and

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<v Speaker 2>the customer perspective, and so we hired a whole bunch

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<v Speaker 2>of people from the customer and we didn't need to

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<v Speaker 2>be taught out to develop projects, but we needed to

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<v Speaker 2>acquire the customer mindset to know what was the right

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<v Speaker 2>thing to do at the right time. And that was

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<v Speaker 2>really an important initiative that we took. So we started

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<v Speaker 2>Rowan back in twenty twenty one in the US. I'm

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<v Speaker 2>proud to say that from dollar one employee number one

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<v Speaker 2>in that five years, Rowan is now number three data

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<v Speaker 2>center developer in the United States, one of the fastest growing,

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<v Speaker 2>has got three hundred and fifty people. You saw the

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<v Speaker 2>deal we announced with Blackstone. But importantly, over that time,

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<v Speaker 2>the power first is now obvious to everybody. It's obvious

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<v Speaker 2>you've got data center company's buying power developers. It's the

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<v Speaker 2>only thing that matters. It's the only thing that gets

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<v Speaker 2>you a lease with any of the compute firms is

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<v Speaker 2>power and timing of power, and so now it's obvious.

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<v Speaker 2>But importantly, the delivery of the power solution, together with

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<v Speaker 2>the land solution and the permit solution hasn't changed. It's

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<v Speaker 2>become more acute and more obvious. And so the power

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<v Speaker 2>element to the strategy is now more critical than ever.

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<v Speaker 2>And actually people are paying big money and I'm paying

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<v Speaker 2>a lot of value away to acquire that power capability

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<v Speaker 2>along with the data center development piece. Probably it's our

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<v Speaker 2>most successful investment. Is showing no signs of letting up.

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<v Speaker 2>But I guess the most important thing beyond Quinbrook, of course,

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<v Speaker 2>is it's entirely changed the supplied demand paradigm. And five

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<v Speaker 2>years ago, no one was seeing the demand curve tilt

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<v Speaker 2>up as aggressively as we're now seeing it, and we

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<v Speaker 2>are in supply demand equilibria markets. From a pricing perspective,

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<v Speaker 2>that's what drives the price and value of electricity in particular,

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<v Speaker 2>and therefore data centers are having the single largest impact

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<v Speaker 2>on affordability on available of capacity. Competition for capacity. You're

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<v Speaker 2>seeing it in acute political reaction, in community reaction, in

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<v Speaker 2>places where capacity is being saturated or is overbuilt. So

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<v Speaker 2>this is really the issue of our age. Because it

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<v Speaker 2>affects everything, you can't ignore it. Fortunately for us, we're

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<v Speaker 2>in the middle of it up to our eyeballs. That's

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<v Speaker 2>where we'd rather view the game from inside the tent

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<v Speaker 2>because it is so fundamentally important and influential to everything

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<v Speaker 2>in the sector.

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<v Speaker 1>David, I'm sort of curious about how far you go

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<v Speaker 1>into this energy value chain within data centers and where

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<v Speaker 1>I'm coming from, and this is I can understand what

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<v Speaker 1>you're doing is you're bringing power to the meter, But

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<v Speaker 1>if you look between the meter and the chip, it's

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<v Speaker 1>all electrics at the end of the day, power electron acity.

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<v Speaker 1>You've got capacitors in there, you've got batteries in there.

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<v Speaker 1>Do you vertically integrate more into that or do you

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<v Speaker 1>just leave the hyperscalers through that or how do you

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<v Speaker 1>see that?

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<v Speaker 2>Well, people talk about the hyperscale is like they're amorphous.

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<v Speaker 1>They're not.

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<v Speaker 2>Every single one of them is different in how they

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<v Speaker 2>approach their power strategy. But the pressures of time forcing expediency,

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<v Speaker 2>which means the more you're able to do, the more

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<v Speaker 2>valuable you are at this moment in time and So

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<v Speaker 2>if you have long lead equipment that they don't have,

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<v Speaker 2>if you have development capability, if you're able to provide

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<v Speaker 2>behind the meda capacity, whether that's truck mounded gts or

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<v Speaker 2>its batteries, or you've got a track record in you've

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<v Speaker 2>got a long duration battery, you've got any of these things,

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<v Speaker 2>you've got, the more tools you've got in your bag

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<v Speaker 2>to solve their power issue, because they still think of

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<v Speaker 2>it like as a customer should power to the chip

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<v Speaker 2>or power at the chip. That's what drives their business.

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<v Speaker 2>That's what they need, and so they don't want to

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<v Speaker 2>have to compromise on that journey. But now the next

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<v Speaker 2>single biggest shift in the industry because of grid can

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<v Speaker 2>community opposition is you've got to bring your own power.

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<v Speaker 2>So now we're going through another evolution of the solution required,

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<v Speaker 2>which I think is a partial answer to your question

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<v Speaker 2>that the hyperscalers can't just think about power at the

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<v Speaker 2>chip anymore. They have to be accommodating to now some

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<v Speaker 2>of the constraints of behind the meta solutions for power acceleration.

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<v Speaker 2>They may get grid power five years from now, but

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<v Speaker 2>the behind the meta solution has imperfections. The power quality

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<v Speaker 2>isn't necessarily as reliable as grid power, but that's Ford

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<v Speaker 2>seeing compromises, and so that's changing the nature of the

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<v Speaker 2>engagement between the behind the meta power supplier and the hyperscaler.

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<v Speaker 2>Some of the hyper scalers are massively building out their

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<v Speaker 2>internal power teams because they need their own delivery capability.

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<v Speaker 2>That doesn't make the solution any different to whether it's

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<v Speaker 2>a third party solution or any how solution. You're still

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<v Speaker 2>constrained by the art the possible technologically behind the meta

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<v Speaker 2>at a certain point. But technology is evolving in a

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<v Speaker 2>way that's helping that, so real time power management, algorithmic

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<v Speaker 2>optimization of the interface between the load and the supply point.

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<v Speaker 2>But again, come back, I'll like to take the conversation

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<v Speaker 2>all the way back to episode sixty six, the missing

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<v Speaker 2>hours and being behind the meter in twenty four seven.

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<v Speaker 2>Our challenge right now and a lot of the projects

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<v Speaker 2>that we're developing is we're getting very close to twenty

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<v Speaker 2>four to seven power. It isn't the way we thought

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<v Speaker 2>we would be there. Necessarily, long duration batteries have taken

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<v Speaker 2>a bit longer to get there, but we're probably at

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<v Speaker 2>the cutting edge of that. But the urgency of the

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<v Speaker 2>power needs, particularly of the data center industry at the moment,

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<v Speaker 2>for particularly AI compute means you don't have time for

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<v Speaker 2>a lot of that evolution, and you have to be

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<v Speaker 2>more expedient in that solution, and that's why you're seeing

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<v Speaker 2>this move to short term gts. Eventually we think they'll

420
00:24:01.440 --> 00:24:05.000
<v Speaker 2>be and they're still doing backup generators in a lot

421
00:24:05.039 --> 00:24:07.400
<v Speaker 2>of their projects. They don't have the time to experiment

422
00:24:07.440 --> 00:24:11.960
<v Speaker 2>with some of these new solutions, so expediency has forced

423
00:24:12.039 --> 00:24:14.519
<v Speaker 2>us to fall back on what we know. But the

424
00:24:14.519 --> 00:24:18.400
<v Speaker 2>innovation really is in the software and the control systems

425
00:24:18.640 --> 00:24:24.359
<v Speaker 2>that are able to do multi technology combinations of integrated

426
00:24:24.440 --> 00:24:28.519
<v Speaker 2>solution behind the meta. That's the next biggest shift that

427
00:24:28.559 --> 00:24:32.039
<v Speaker 2>we're seeing. What they say, necessity is the mother of invention,

428
00:24:32.880 --> 00:24:38.000
<v Speaker 2>and so now we're seeing a whole plethora of solutions

429
00:24:38.000 --> 00:24:42.119
<v Speaker 2>claiming to solve that problem for behind the meta supplied

430
00:24:42.160 --> 00:24:45.559
<v Speaker 2>to energy intensive load. That's I think one of the

431
00:24:45.559 --> 00:24:48.799
<v Speaker 2>most fascinating developments we'll see over the next couple of.

432
00:24:49.839 --> 00:24:52.640
<v Speaker 1>David, maybe just one last question, because you're working internationally,

433
00:24:52.960 --> 00:24:55.640
<v Speaker 1>can you talk about the differences in the markets here

434
00:24:55.680 --> 00:24:58.200
<v Speaker 1>in particular, I'm sort of looking at the difference between

435
00:24:58.200 --> 00:25:02.119
<v Speaker 1>the you know, the US market and obviously the urine market,

436
00:25:02.119 --> 00:25:04.319
<v Speaker 1>but you're also in the Australian market as well.

437
00:25:05.119 --> 00:25:10.279
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, we can pursue the same thematics with different gusto

438
00:25:10.599 --> 00:25:13.400
<v Speaker 2>in each one at any given particular point in time.

439
00:25:13.440 --> 00:25:13.960
<v Speaker 1>But look, the.

440
00:25:13.960 --> 00:25:18.319
<v Speaker 2>US is still a very very attractive market if you

441
00:25:18.400 --> 00:25:23.240
<v Speaker 2>can pivot, strategically, pivot and tactically pivot. Putting the data

442
00:25:23.240 --> 00:25:26.079
<v Speaker 2>center thing aside, which of course is the most acute

443
00:25:26.720 --> 00:25:29.319
<v Speaker 2>in the US, we're still doing a lot of solar

444
00:25:29.359 --> 00:25:32.359
<v Speaker 2>and batteries, and we're still doing a lot of particularly

445
00:25:32.400 --> 00:25:36.319
<v Speaker 2>green fuels we find very attractive in the United States.

446
00:25:36.759 --> 00:25:40.880
<v Speaker 2>Despite the tariff profile they're making construction costs and procurement

447
00:25:40.880 --> 00:25:45.359
<v Speaker 2>cost more expensive, but there are still very fertile territories

448
00:25:45.519 --> 00:25:49.039
<v Speaker 2>to be exploring in the US market. So I would

449
00:25:49.039 --> 00:25:52.599
<v Speaker 2>say we have slightly detuned our focus there in terms

450
00:25:52.680 --> 00:25:56.400
<v Speaker 2>of overall capital allocation. It's far more specific in the

451
00:25:56.440 --> 00:26:01.759
<v Speaker 2>things that we're doing. Liquid fuel solutions, for decarbonizing, data

452
00:26:01.839 --> 00:26:05.000
<v Speaker 2>center backup generation, things like that we find fascinating, and

453
00:26:05.000 --> 00:26:08.000
<v Speaker 2>we're going all in on those sectors, which we think

454
00:26:08.039 --> 00:26:10.359
<v Speaker 2>the US is probably the best market in the world

455
00:26:11.119 --> 00:26:15.359
<v Speaker 2>I'd say in Europe the overall return profile has improved

456
00:26:15.680 --> 00:26:18.240
<v Speaker 2>for what we do anyway from what it was five

457
00:26:18.319 --> 00:26:20.880
<v Speaker 2>years ago, where we stuck to our needing in the UK.

458
00:26:21.839 --> 00:26:26.640
<v Speaker 2>UK it's a tougher market to develop to the return

459
00:26:26.680 --> 00:26:30.119
<v Speaker 2>targets that we seek. We're seeing some pockets of opportunity

460
00:26:30.240 --> 00:26:33.400
<v Speaker 2>now merging into Coloneal Europe that wouldn't have met our

461
00:26:34.160 --> 00:26:37.640
<v Speaker 2>return targets before, and I think that's partly out of

462
00:26:37.680 --> 00:26:41.680
<v Speaker 2>necessity as well. And so I think that the opportunity

463
00:26:41.680 --> 00:26:44.799
<v Speaker 2>set is broadening in Europe, it's still not quite at

464
00:26:44.799 --> 00:26:48.400
<v Speaker 2>the same level of return opportunity for the sectors that

465
00:26:48.440 --> 00:26:52.079
<v Speaker 2>we're pursuing in the United States. And the one big

466
00:26:52.160 --> 00:26:54.440
<v Speaker 2>change in the last five years I also should have

467
00:26:54.480 --> 00:26:59.039
<v Speaker 2>mentioned the first conversation is Australia. In our opinion for

468
00:26:59.160 --> 00:27:03.000
<v Speaker 2>what we do right now, Australia is the most attractive

469
00:27:03.039 --> 00:27:06.759
<v Speaker 2>market in the OECD for US to develop these customer

470
00:27:06.799 --> 00:27:13.400
<v Speaker 2>centric solutions aimed at industrial decarbonization. At this moment in time,

471
00:27:13.599 --> 00:27:16.960
<v Speaker 2>Australia is top of the pops for US across all

472
00:27:17.000 --> 00:27:20.920
<v Speaker 2>of our markets. And so the ability to pivot and

473
00:27:21.079 --> 00:27:25.200
<v Speaker 2>refocus your efforts from your thematic focus and the capital

474
00:27:25.200 --> 00:27:29.559
<v Speaker 2>deployment in the markets that are offering you that value

475
00:27:29.559 --> 00:27:32.240
<v Speaker 2>added returnal opportunities are hugely employed. It has always been

476
00:27:32.240 --> 00:27:35.680
<v Speaker 2>important because this market, as you know we met back

477
00:27:35.720 --> 00:27:39.880
<v Speaker 2>in the nineties, has moved in a series of closing

478
00:27:39.920 --> 00:27:44.960
<v Speaker 2>and opening windows and doors, and whether that's technologically or regulatory,

479
00:27:45.079 --> 00:27:48.240
<v Speaker 2>or market or customer driven, it's really the ability to

480
00:27:48.279 --> 00:27:53.039
<v Speaker 2>anticipate those openings and anticipate those closings. And right now

481
00:27:53.240 --> 00:27:56.359
<v Speaker 2>it's actually a very fertile time to be investing in

482
00:27:56.400 --> 00:27:59.039
<v Speaker 2>all of those markets, but very subject to what you

483
00:27:59.119 --> 00:27:59.680
<v Speaker 2>choose to do.

484
00:28:00.279 --> 00:28:02.640
<v Speaker 1>David, can I just ask you very quick about Australia.

485
00:28:02.640 --> 00:28:07.200
<v Speaker 1>There is the Australian opportunity there specifically because the fact

486
00:28:07.200 --> 00:28:10.319
<v Speaker 1>that just solar and batteries makes economic sense given just

487
00:28:10.359 --> 00:28:13.000
<v Speaker 1>the high levels of radiation or is it something else.

488
00:28:13.000 --> 00:28:14.599
<v Speaker 2>It's a combination of things.

489
00:28:14.599 --> 00:28:14.759
<v Speaker 1>You know.

490
00:28:14.839 --> 00:28:18.279
<v Speaker 2>Firstly, they're closing a huge amount of coal plant in

491
00:28:18.279 --> 00:28:20.359
<v Speaker 2>Australia and it just needs to be replaced. Number two,

492
00:28:20.839 --> 00:28:23.759
<v Speaker 2>we don't tariff solar and batteries in Australia. We import

493
00:28:23.799 --> 00:28:26.240
<v Speaker 2>them all from China pretty much, but we get them

494
00:28:26.319 --> 00:28:31.319
<v Speaker 2>at wholesale compare they're triple the cost in the United States. Yeah,

495
00:28:31.440 --> 00:28:34.160
<v Speaker 2>we've got one of the best solar radiances anywhere in

496
00:28:34.200 --> 00:28:37.720
<v Speaker 2>the world. That solar irradiance and the land and now

497
00:28:37.839 --> 00:28:42.119
<v Speaker 2>transmission system in certain areas can be developed at scale.

498
00:28:42.759 --> 00:28:46.559
<v Speaker 2>In areas where we have a carbon intensive, electricity intensive

499
00:28:46.559 --> 00:28:51.079
<v Speaker 2>industry that's desperately seeking to decarbonize, located right next to

500
00:28:51.240 --> 00:28:54.599
<v Speaker 2>deepwater export ports to law Asia, it's just got a

501
00:28:54.640 --> 00:28:57.160
<v Speaker 2>lot going for it. And I give this speech at

502
00:28:57.200 --> 00:29:00.359
<v Speaker 2>conferences going back to Adam Smith and the Wealth of

503
00:29:00.440 --> 00:29:04.160
<v Speaker 2>Nations where we talked about a country's factor endowment and

504
00:29:04.200 --> 00:29:08.319
<v Speaker 2>you think about what is wealth at a national level? Really,

505
00:29:08.519 --> 00:29:11.519
<v Speaker 2>where's its genesis? These days it's no different And that's

506
00:29:11.559 --> 00:29:13.920
<v Speaker 2>what really where Australia is coming into its own at

507
00:29:13.960 --> 00:29:17.200
<v Speaker 2>the moment. It's got everything, It's got an abundance of everything.

508
00:29:17.599 --> 00:29:20.720
<v Speaker 2>Its endowment is all of the above and a little

509
00:29:20.720 --> 00:29:23.039
<v Speaker 2>bit like the US as well, very different to Europe,

510
00:29:23.119 --> 00:29:25.160
<v Speaker 2>very different to the UK, very different islands, very different

511
00:29:25.160 --> 00:29:28.279
<v Speaker 2>to Colonel Europe. It isn't and all of the above abundance.

512
00:29:28.279 --> 00:29:30.880
<v Speaker 2>But I think if you think about how you exploit

513
00:29:31.000 --> 00:29:37.720
<v Speaker 2>the energy transition profitably critical minerals supply chains, Australia sits

514
00:29:37.880 --> 00:29:42.119
<v Speaker 2>right at the very intersection of this next era of

515
00:29:42.559 --> 00:29:45.000
<v Speaker 2>industrial resiliency and self sufficiency.

516
00:29:45.839 --> 00:29:49.839
<v Speaker 3>David, it's a treat to have you. Unfortunately you need

517
00:29:49.880 --> 00:29:51.720
<v Speaker 3>to wait another five years to come back.

518
00:29:53.559 --> 00:29:56.720
<v Speaker 2>Fair enough, we'll do another retrospective.

519
00:29:56.759 --> 00:29:57.759
<v Speaker 1>No, it's really great.

520
00:29:57.799 --> 00:30:00.960
<v Speaker 3>So congratulation on your work and we always learn a

521
00:30:00.960 --> 00:30:03.400
<v Speaker 3>lot and I like the fact that you are a

522
00:30:03.519 --> 00:30:07.119
<v Speaker 3>first mover. That's great. So congratulations and thank you for

523
00:30:07.160 --> 00:30:07.960
<v Speaker 3>coming on the show.

524
00:30:08.359 --> 00:30:10.839
<v Speaker 2>Thank you, Jess Pleasure as always, thanks for having me.

525
00:30:11.079 --> 00:30:15.119
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, thanks for that, Dave Lauren. I'm always blown away

526
00:30:15.599 --> 00:30:18.599
<v Speaker 1>by David because listen, my job is also to look

527
00:30:18.599 --> 00:30:21.440
<v Speaker 1>in the future and see what's going on. But I

528
00:30:21.480 --> 00:30:26.440
<v Speaker 1>talk about it, he doesn't. It's just very impressive, you know.

529
00:30:26.519 --> 00:30:27.559
<v Speaker 1>That's all. I would just say.

530
00:30:27.799 --> 00:30:31.720
<v Speaker 3>Superb that's the title of the episode, and it's probably

531
00:30:31.799 --> 00:30:34.680
<v Speaker 3>the most important things that he has said. It's this

532
00:30:34.799 --> 00:30:38.680
<v Speaker 3>world of virtual we need to go physical.

533
00:30:39.160 --> 00:30:43.079
<v Speaker 1>Absolutely, we need to go physical. Well set exactly.

534
00:30:55.400 --> 00:30:57.960
<v Speaker 2>Thank you for listening to Redefining Energy.

535
00:30:58.359 --> 00:31:03.359
<v Speaker 1>Don't forget to read the show and subscribe on Apple Podcasts, Spotify,

536
00:31:03.799 --> 00:31:05.400
<v Speaker 1>or the platform of your choice.
