1
00:00:00,120 --> 00:00:02,680
Speaker 1: Ready, they are ready.

2
00:00:05,559 --> 00:00:06,679
Speaker 2: All right, we are live.

3
00:00:06,719 --> 00:00:08,160
Speaker 1: I'm logging in.

4
00:00:07,839 --> 00:00:09,919
Speaker 3: To my Odds Logic screen as we speak on my

5
00:00:09,919 --> 00:00:11,759
iPad because, as you guys can tell, I'm not in

6
00:00:11,800 --> 00:00:15,080
my office today. Just got back from San Francisco and

7
00:00:15,160 --> 00:00:17,679
it has been a well it's been a really fun

8
00:00:17,679 --> 00:00:19,160
twelve hours since I got home. My house is a

9
00:00:19,160 --> 00:00:21,000
little under construction, so you guys have to bear with

10
00:00:21,039 --> 00:00:24,640
me with the laptop and the marginal lighting at best.

11
00:00:24,800 --> 00:00:26,719
Speaker 1: And yes that is a TV on my ceiling outside.

12
00:00:26,719 --> 00:00:29,640
Don't ask. It's been a cause.

13
00:00:29,320 --> 00:00:34,399
Speaker 3: For some serious arguments. But good morning everyone. College basketball Saturday.

14
00:00:34,439 --> 00:00:36,560
We've got a star started lineup for you today. We've

15
00:00:36,560 --> 00:00:39,280
got Yanni the Greed coming up first, Adam trigger Rob

16
00:00:39,359 --> 00:00:42,320
Vino from Full Court Press. Yes, I know you guys

17
00:00:42,320 --> 00:00:43,920
want to talk all things super Bowl, but that is

18
00:00:43,920 --> 00:00:46,560
for tomorrow with Aaron Epstein. So if you guys have

19
00:00:46,640 --> 00:00:50,079
a comment a question in the chat regarding a game,

20
00:00:50,960 --> 00:00:52,640
I usually am pretty lenient with you guys because I

21
00:00:52,640 --> 00:00:55,320
can use the command F feature and search for the

22
00:00:55,359 --> 00:00:59,280
game on Odds Logic, But today I need rotation numbers.

23
00:00:59,359 --> 00:01:03,280
Son to answer the questions with rotation numbers first, because

24
00:01:03,280 --> 00:01:06,319
it's not as easy on an iPad with one hundred

25
00:01:06,359 --> 00:01:08,799
plus college basketball games, and that is thank you, Johnny.

26
00:01:08,840 --> 00:01:12,000
I do look tired, and that is because I was

27
00:01:12,040 --> 00:01:17,120
in San Francisco Radio Row all week and uh yeah,

28
00:01:17,159 --> 00:01:18,359
thank you so much for that.

29
00:01:19,599 --> 00:01:22,280
Speaker 1: It feels like it's eight am. I'm fine.

30
00:01:22,319 --> 00:01:24,000
Speaker 3: I was on Radio Row at this time by the time.

31
00:01:24,079 --> 00:01:27,200
But now Johnny is a tear of my enemy. Okay, guys,

32
00:01:27,280 --> 00:01:30,280
let's get right into it here. Johnny the Greek, he's

33
00:01:30,280 --> 00:01:31,400
out in Vegas right now.

34
00:01:32,120 --> 00:01:34,439
Speaker 1: Vre you said something to me, and I don't ever mean.

35
00:01:34,319 --> 00:01:37,200
Speaker 3: To disparage Vegas, right like I don't, but I do

36
00:01:37,200 --> 00:01:39,560
a show with Crack and sometimes we bitch about Vegas

37
00:01:39,719 --> 00:01:42,640
and say, like, Vegas is Vegas is wrong here, whether

38
00:01:42,680 --> 00:01:48,120
it's like a parking situation or charging nine hundred dollars

39
00:01:48,159 --> 00:01:51,840
to sit in one seat at a sports book. The

40
00:01:51,840 --> 00:01:53,400
west Gate super Book, by the way, is doing a

41
00:01:53,439 --> 00:01:57,079
free Super Bowl party in their theater Room three. Yes,

42
00:01:57,159 --> 00:01:59,239
you still have the paper beer and you to paper food,

43
00:02:00,000 --> 00:02:03,959
but it is free starting at one pm Pacific tomorrow.

44
00:02:04,120 --> 00:02:07,799
So I was kind of complaining, like I thought, maybe

45
00:02:08,439 --> 00:02:11,080
Vegas wasn't getting that buzz, and you said it really

46
00:02:11,199 --> 00:02:13,120
wasn't no at all.

47
00:02:13,360 --> 00:02:17,280
Speaker 4: Actually, I'm look, I'm all shaving. I'm excited tonight to

48
00:02:17,400 --> 00:02:20,400
go out and you know, see what's really happening out there.

49
00:02:20,479 --> 00:02:21,439
Speaker 2: But I can tell you just.

50
00:02:21,520 --> 00:02:23,439
Speaker 4: Running in and out of sports books like I've been

51
00:02:23,479 --> 00:02:26,319
doing throughout this week, you know, attacking some of the props,

52
00:02:27,039 --> 00:02:29,719
I just haven't felt that buzz that I haven't passed

53
00:02:29,719 --> 00:02:33,120
Super Bowls, Like, I haven't gotten that excitement yet that

54
00:02:33,240 --> 00:02:36,439
I usually start getting from the people coming to town.

55
00:02:36,520 --> 00:02:39,479
You start seeing the jerseys of both teams, you start

56
00:02:39,879 --> 00:02:43,159
hearing conversations everywhere, whether you're in the elevator, whether you're

57
00:02:43,159 --> 00:02:45,800
waiting in line, like people are talking about the game,

58
00:02:45,840 --> 00:02:48,919
they're talking about bets, and I'm just not seeing that yet.

59
00:02:48,960 --> 00:02:49,960
Speaker 2: I don't know whether it's.

60
00:02:50,120 --> 00:02:52,120
Speaker 4: These two teams just kind of came out of nowhere,

61
00:02:52,159 --> 00:02:55,319
you know, before the season started, both upwards of fifty

62
00:02:55,319 --> 00:02:57,439
to one to win the Super Bowl. So none of

63
00:02:57,520 --> 00:03:00,759
us saw this coming, that's for sure. And maybe the

64
00:03:00,879 --> 00:03:04,400
lack of excitement. I just don't know. But I will

65
00:03:04,439 --> 00:03:07,840
tell you I've been through enough Super Bowls to gauge,

66
00:03:08,080 --> 00:03:10,120
and I just haven't felt it.

67
00:03:10,319 --> 00:03:12,360
Speaker 2: Now we'll know come Monday morning.

68
00:03:12,360 --> 00:03:14,879
Speaker 4: When they report how much was bet and what the

69
00:03:14,960 --> 00:03:18,520
hold is, how it's compared and if it continues, you know,

70
00:03:18,680 --> 00:03:24,039
climbing if the betting grows from last year. But yeah,

71
00:03:24,080 --> 00:03:26,560
I'd be surprised if that's the case, at least from

72
00:03:26,599 --> 00:03:28,159
what it looks like so far.

73
00:03:29,280 --> 00:03:31,120
Speaker 3: You know what, though, I also feel like, from like

74
00:03:31,159 --> 00:03:33,840
a TV perspective, you know, I'm gonna watch the game,

75
00:03:33,840 --> 00:03:35,840
but like, I'm not having a party this year. I

76
00:03:35,840 --> 00:03:39,000
think it's the amount of exhaustion, as Johnny alluded to,

77
00:03:39,360 --> 00:03:42,879
coming back from San fran the time change, the house construction,

78
00:03:42,919 --> 00:03:44,800
all this stuff. I just want to sit down on

79
00:03:44,800 --> 00:03:46,800
my couch and watch a game and just kind of

80
00:03:48,159 --> 00:03:48,639
hang out.

81
00:03:48,719 --> 00:03:48,879
Speaker 2: You know.

82
00:03:49,560 --> 00:03:52,919
Speaker 3: It's not like this big event like it's been for

83
00:03:53,000 --> 00:03:56,439
me personally. So I'm curious to see what the overall

84
00:03:56,520 --> 00:03:59,639
watchable numbers are as well for this game. As you

85
00:03:59,680 --> 00:04:02,879
mentioned and the page, I mean, there was we were

86
00:04:02,879 --> 00:04:07,680
in San Francisco, not Santa Clara, not San Jose, right,

87
00:04:07,759 --> 00:04:09,199
some of the one of the teams was staying in

88
00:04:09,240 --> 00:04:12,800
Palo Alto two hours away. So it didn't have that

89
00:04:13,080 --> 00:04:15,919
Super Bowl like when we were in Vegas for Radio Row,

90
00:04:15,960 --> 00:04:18,319
when I was in Miami, last year, everybody said New

91
00:04:18,399 --> 00:04:23,519
Orleans just had a crazy buzz. It wasn't like that

92
00:04:23,600 --> 00:04:25,800
in Sanfrand. We saw several media members, but there were

93
00:04:25,839 --> 00:04:28,759
so many people that I didn't see that I expected to.

94
00:04:28,879 --> 00:04:31,120
It was just it was just really strange there as well.

95
00:04:31,199 --> 00:04:33,800
So I think it's like the game overall, as you

96
00:04:33,839 --> 00:04:38,000
said that, it's just not getting the publicity that we expected.

97
00:04:38,000 --> 00:04:40,839
All right, I think I've got seventeen games from art

98
00:04:40,920 --> 00:04:42,160
at the Westgate Superbook.

99
00:04:42,720 --> 00:04:43,759
Speaker 1: It's absolutely nuts.

100
00:04:44,160 --> 00:04:46,000
Speaker 3: Again, if you guys have a question for VR, I

101
00:04:46,079 --> 00:04:48,759
need rotation numbers if you want your question answered, because

102
00:04:48,800 --> 00:04:50,680
I got Odds Logic on my iPad today and it's

103
00:04:50,720 --> 00:04:54,600
not as easy as on my desktop with multiple screens.

104
00:04:54,639 --> 00:04:56,480
So you guys have to bear with me here and

105
00:04:56,519 --> 00:05:00,199
I should probably pick up college basketball and not NBA.

106
00:05:00,360 --> 00:05:02,800
Go figure, VR. It's one of those mornings. But I'm

107
00:05:02,839 --> 00:05:04,560
here for you, guys, and VR is here for you.

108
00:05:04,720 --> 00:05:06,120
So let's get into some of the stuff that you

109
00:05:06,120 --> 00:05:09,959
guys seen. Let's talk about the steam sheet and what

110
00:05:10,000 --> 00:05:12,720
you've got over there, as well as some premium plays,

111
00:05:12,759 --> 00:05:14,519
and then start taking some of these questions from the audience.

112
00:05:15,079 --> 00:05:18,639
Speaker 4: Yeah, real quickly, NFL, I know we're talking just college

113
00:05:18,680 --> 00:05:20,639
basketball today, but just want to throw it out there.

114
00:05:20,839 --> 00:05:24,040
Starting to see some of the takebacks on some of

115
00:05:24,040 --> 00:05:25,959
those props that got bet early.

116
00:05:26,319 --> 00:05:27,959
Speaker 2: I talked about it early in the week that.

117
00:05:28,000 --> 00:05:31,759
Speaker 4: We saw nothing but overs from even the bettingson that

118
00:05:31,839 --> 00:05:34,360
gets early, and now we're starting to see some of

119
00:05:34,399 --> 00:05:36,920
that take back. And two of the very popular props

120
00:05:36,920 --> 00:05:39,240
that I've seen a lot of sharp betters talk about,

121
00:05:39,639 --> 00:05:41,839
I saw take back on and the first one is

122
00:05:41,959 --> 00:05:45,199
Drake May interceptions. I know we all bet the over

123
00:05:45,399 --> 00:05:48,000
half because that's the sharp side. Well I can tell

124
00:05:48,040 --> 00:05:51,759
you yesterday the BOT put in under half at plus

125
00:05:51,759 --> 00:05:52,399
one twenty.

126
00:05:52,920 --> 00:05:56,279
Speaker 2: Also, Drake May rushing yards. I know we're all on

127
00:05:56,319 --> 00:05:57,000
that over.

128
00:05:56,839 --> 00:05:58,639
Speaker 4: Thirty two and a half thirty three and a half,

129
00:05:58,639 --> 00:06:01,199
but I can tell you right now the BOT got

130
00:06:01,319 --> 00:06:04,160
under thirty eight and a half minus one fifteen last night.

131
00:06:04,480 --> 00:06:09,439
So we are seeing some take back on somebody's props,

132
00:06:09,480 --> 00:06:13,360
some middle attempts, and some scalps as well. And that's

133
00:06:13,360 --> 00:06:16,920
going to happen between now and kickoff. So watch your

134
00:06:17,000 --> 00:06:21,160
odds logic screens for that. Now, basketball, that's.

135
00:06:21,040 --> 00:06:21,800
Speaker 2: What we're here for.

136
00:06:22,040 --> 00:06:22,680
Speaker 5: Real quickly.

137
00:06:22,800 --> 00:06:26,480
Speaker 4: In the NBA, just a couple overnights that we saw

138
00:06:26,560 --> 00:06:30,000
get hit Brooklyn minus five, Utah plus eight and a half,

139
00:06:30,160 --> 00:06:34,199
and Memphis plus nine. But all the action, all the attention,

140
00:06:34,399 --> 00:06:38,839
all the volume is in college basketball. There's probably like

141
00:06:38,879 --> 00:06:41,720
sixteen plus games already on the steam sheet.

142
00:06:42,439 --> 00:06:44,199
Speaker 2: I'll read off a couple of them, Kelsey.

143
00:06:44,240 --> 00:06:47,600
Speaker 4: If what we match up with six thirty seven Princeton

144
00:06:47,600 --> 00:06:50,639
plus three and a half, six fifty six Georgia State

145
00:06:50,839 --> 00:06:54,079
minus five and a half, seven to one, Alabama plus three.

146
00:06:54,120 --> 00:06:57,879
The public's on Alabama as well, seven thirteen Western Carolina

147
00:06:57,959 --> 00:07:01,680
plus the five, eight twenty to Nevada minus ten and

148
00:07:01,680 --> 00:07:05,720
a half, six thirteen Drexel plus four, six thirty four

149
00:07:05,839 --> 00:07:09,360
TCU minus nine and a half, seven six oh seven

150
00:07:09,680 --> 00:07:12,120
six Villanova minus two and a half.

151
00:07:12,160 --> 00:07:13,079
Speaker 2: That's one sided.

152
00:07:13,199 --> 00:07:15,720
Speaker 4: I got like one hundred percent of the tickets and

153
00:07:15,800 --> 00:07:19,720
the money on Villanova. Sharps on Villanova as well, UH

154
00:07:19,879 --> 00:07:23,040
seven eighty one Pacific minus the eight, and right now

155
00:07:23,160 --> 00:07:25,839
total came in on the extra board three oh six,

156
00:07:25,879 --> 00:07:29,639
six six five under one forty three Northwestern State, East

157
00:07:29,759 --> 00:07:32,800
Texas A and m SO. Plays will just keep coming

158
00:07:32,839 --> 00:07:35,959
in kel throughout the day, Like right now, we just

159
00:07:36,040 --> 00:07:39,120
got Syracuse Virginia over one forty seven, Game six oh nine,

160
00:07:39,240 --> 00:07:42,680
Syracuse Virginia over one forty seven. And that's what it's

161
00:07:42,680 --> 00:07:44,480
going to be like next week when we start doing

162
00:07:44,480 --> 00:07:48,600
the steam Room on Saturdays, we'll get NonStop live stuff

163
00:07:48,639 --> 00:07:51,160
coming in. So but first we have this weekend and

164
00:07:51,199 --> 00:07:52,800
see if we could continue doing damage.

165
00:07:52,800 --> 00:07:53,800
Speaker 2: What a week it's been.

166
00:07:54,120 --> 00:07:56,240
Speaker 1: Yeah, what an amazing week it has been.

167
00:07:56,399 --> 00:07:58,199
Speaker 3: Looking at the comment section, we have a ton of

168
00:07:58,279 --> 00:08:00,920
new wager Talk insiders. If you guys are looking to

169
00:08:01,040 --> 00:08:04,399
join wt dot Buzz Backslash insiders two dollars and ninety

170
00:08:04,439 --> 00:08:06,600
nine sent a month. Johnny detroit Is texted me like,

171
00:08:06,600 --> 00:08:08,160
I'm not on a live show right now. He's in

172
00:08:08,160 --> 00:08:10,720
the comments section. What does this man want for me

173
00:08:10,879 --> 00:08:13,040
on this Saturday morning? I know what you guys want.

174
00:08:13,079 --> 00:08:15,439
You guys want this exhaustive list. Vri texted to you.

175
00:08:15,480 --> 00:08:17,399
That was me going off on your phone.

176
00:08:17,600 --> 00:08:18,639
Speaker 1: Not a play.

177
00:08:18,879 --> 00:08:21,120
Speaker 3: I think about seventeen plays. I dropped them in the chat.

178
00:08:21,399 --> 00:08:24,120
We're going to go through some of these. You mentioned

179
00:08:24,240 --> 00:08:25,000
Georgia State.

180
00:08:25,120 --> 00:08:25,720
Speaker 1: That was one.

181
00:08:25,639 --> 00:08:29,160
Speaker 3: Of the plays that came across at the Westgate super

182
00:08:29,199 --> 00:08:31,199
Book as well. But I want to kind of talk

183
00:08:31,199 --> 00:08:34,279
to you about this exhaustive list A couple of them.

184
00:08:34,320 --> 00:08:36,320
I'm already moved two points, have a point, I don't

185
00:08:36,320 --> 00:08:39,360
mind tailing, right. So two weeks ago we went twelve

186
00:08:39,600 --> 00:08:44,200
seven and one on the plays. The sharp guys went

187
00:08:45,000 --> 00:08:50,360
I believe it was twelve No thirteen thirteen thirteen and

188
00:08:50,519 --> 00:08:52,440
six thirteen.

189
00:08:52,120 --> 00:08:52,600
Speaker 1: Six and one.

190
00:08:52,799 --> 00:08:55,919
Speaker 3: Regardless, we had a push, they had to win, we

191
00:08:55,960 --> 00:08:56,679
had a loss.

192
00:08:57,080 --> 00:08:57,879
Speaker 1: They had to push.

193
00:08:58,039 --> 00:09:00,840
Speaker 3: Right, And so when the markets a half point, when

194
00:09:00,879 --> 00:09:03,600
the market's off in some of these total cases two points,

195
00:09:03,799 --> 00:09:06,919
what is your recommendation for those in the chat?

196
00:09:06,960 --> 00:09:08,039
Speaker 1: What should they be doing with this?

197
00:09:08,200 --> 00:09:08,360
Speaker 5: Right?

198
00:09:08,399 --> 00:09:11,240
Speaker 3: So, like I got this information about forty five minutes ago,

199
00:09:11,480 --> 00:09:13,159
I put in all these bets right then and there.

200
00:09:13,240 --> 00:09:14,759
That's why I wanted to drop them off the top

201
00:09:14,799 --> 00:09:16,679
of the show as well, because I know they're gonna

202
00:09:16,679 --> 00:09:19,279
still be on the move from those board cleaners and

203
00:09:19,320 --> 00:09:22,559
those steam chasers. So kind of break that down from

204
00:09:22,600 --> 00:09:24,679
what you think they should be doing with this information.

205
00:09:24,720 --> 00:09:26,799
Speaker 4: All right, it depends on the half of point number one,

206
00:09:26,840 --> 00:09:28,519
the half of points, what you're going to see the

207
00:09:28,559 --> 00:09:31,200
most difference in now when they get up till point

208
00:09:31,240 --> 00:09:33,360
point and a half difference, it's a different story. But

209
00:09:33,639 --> 00:09:39,559
most of the subscribers and most vetters that are reading

210
00:09:39,600 --> 00:09:43,000
the market and trying to piggyback steam, they're usually gonna

211
00:09:43,000 --> 00:09:45,480
get a half point worse. Now, each half point ain't

212
00:09:45,480 --> 00:09:48,039
the same. And here's what I mean. Like a perfect example,

213
00:09:48,320 --> 00:09:49,039
these matchup.

214
00:09:49,120 --> 00:09:51,440
Speaker 2: I have Nevat. We bet Nevada minus ten and a half.

215
00:09:51,600 --> 00:09:53,320
Art has Nobata minus ten and a half.

216
00:09:53,440 --> 00:09:55,559
Speaker 4: If I looked at my screen and I saw if

217
00:09:55,600 --> 00:09:57,879
I like Nevatta, Let's say I look at my screen,

218
00:09:57,960 --> 00:10:00,879
I look up and it's minus eleven, betting it right away.

219
00:10:01,679 --> 00:10:05,559
To me, the half point at that particular bet doesn't matter.

220
00:10:05,600 --> 00:10:06,360
Speaker 2: And here's why.

221
00:10:06,559 --> 00:10:09,600
Speaker 4: Because if the sharp side covers, the worst I can

222
00:10:09,639 --> 00:10:12,440
do is push, meaning they have to win by eleven. Right,

223
00:10:12,519 --> 00:10:14,360
if the minus ten and a half covers, the worst

224
00:10:14,399 --> 00:10:16,519
they could do is win by eleven. So the worst

225
00:10:16,559 --> 00:10:19,519
I can do by laying eleven if they cash, is

226
00:10:19,600 --> 00:10:23,480
me pushing. Now what if they bet Nevada minus ten

227
00:10:23,919 --> 00:10:25,919
and I look up in my half ten and a half.

228
00:10:25,960 --> 00:10:28,480
Now it's a different story. Because they push it ten,

229
00:10:28,559 --> 00:10:31,000
I lose at ten and a half. If it lands ten,

230
00:10:31,039 --> 00:10:33,279
these guys get their money back. I lose a whole

231
00:10:33,399 --> 00:10:37,080
unit plus juice. So now that puts me behind. That's

232
00:10:37,279 --> 00:10:41,600
the difference in the half points. So if I'm if

233
00:10:41,639 --> 00:10:43,639
I'm in a position where they can push and I

234
00:10:43,639 --> 00:10:45,679
can lose, that half point matters.

235
00:10:45,879 --> 00:10:46,960
Speaker 2: But if I'm in.

236
00:10:46,879 --> 00:10:48,919
Speaker 4: A position where the worst that happens is they win

237
00:10:48,960 --> 00:10:51,559
and I push, I could live with that. That's fine.

238
00:10:51,679 --> 00:10:54,840
So you want to differentiate between the half point differences.

239
00:10:55,360 --> 00:10:57,480
Speaker 2: Next what points? But are we talking about?

240
00:10:57,720 --> 00:11:00,840
Speaker 4: A half point matters a lot more when you're talking

241
00:11:00,960 --> 00:11:02,720
three and a half to four, four and a half

242
00:11:02,720 --> 00:11:04,960
to five, five and a half to six compared to

243
00:11:05,080 --> 00:11:07,799
seventeen and a half to eighteen, that a half point

244
00:11:07,840 --> 00:11:09,960
doesn't matter because you're expecting a team to score a

245
00:11:10,000 --> 00:11:10,639
lot of points.

246
00:11:10,960 --> 00:11:12,639
Speaker 2: And there's a lot of variance in bob.

247
00:11:12,759 --> 00:11:15,480
Speaker 4: So if you're betting a big favorite that's minus seventeen,

248
00:11:15,519 --> 00:11:18,240
if they go to minus seventeen and a half minus eighteen.

249
00:11:17,879 --> 00:11:19,440
Speaker 2: You're not losing all that much value.

250
00:11:19,799 --> 00:11:22,320
Speaker 4: But if you're laying a favorite that's minus four and

251
00:11:22,360 --> 00:11:25,000
now he goes to minus five minus five and a half.

252
00:11:24,879 --> 00:11:28,360
Speaker 2: That's a huge difference. That's a significant change.

253
00:11:28,399 --> 00:11:32,679
Speaker 4: I always talk about implied win probability, and you'll notice

254
00:11:32,799 --> 00:11:35,759
the higher you go up in money line, the lesser

255
00:11:35,960 --> 00:11:41,120
the change and implied win probability, even though the numbers expand,

256
00:11:41,200 --> 00:11:44,240
meaning going from a minus two hundred to a minus

257
00:11:44,279 --> 00:11:47,720
three hundred is only an eight percent change in implied

258
00:11:47,759 --> 00:11:51,559
win probability. But going from minus you know, one point

259
00:11:51,559 --> 00:11:54,960
fifty to minus two hundred, just that fifty cents that

260
00:11:55,039 --> 00:11:57,480
changes it, you know, seven and a half eight percent.

261
00:11:57,960 --> 00:12:01,159
So there's a big difference between move in fifty cents

262
00:12:01,159 --> 00:12:03,480
and move in a whole dollar, and yet you have

263
00:12:03,600 --> 00:12:07,919
the exact same change in implied win probability. So not

264
00:12:08,440 --> 00:12:12,639
to go into a deep advanced discussion, but that's what

265
00:12:12,720 --> 00:12:15,960
I would focus on. If it's a lower spread, I

266
00:12:15,960 --> 00:12:18,519
wouldn't want to be too far off of it. I

267
00:12:18,519 --> 00:12:20,960
would want to be within a point of it at

268
00:12:20,960 --> 00:12:24,480
the worst. If we're talking. Once we get over double digits,

269
00:12:24,840 --> 00:12:29,080
I have a little more leeway because again the variance

270
00:12:29,159 --> 00:12:31,720
is going to be greater when you're expecting more points

271
00:12:31,720 --> 00:12:34,320
to be scored. So in that position, I feel a

272
00:12:34,320 --> 00:12:37,080
little more comfortable. So I would keep it to that.

273
00:12:37,360 --> 00:12:40,000
And like I said before, I would pull up I

274
00:12:40,000 --> 00:12:44,960
would google money line conversion chart, and I would simply

275
00:12:45,080 --> 00:12:47,679
keep that up, and I would see what is the difference,

276
00:12:47,679 --> 00:12:49,840
What does it actually mean when it moved, because you

277
00:12:49,840 --> 00:12:51,639
could you'll see when it goes from eight to eight

278
00:12:51,679 --> 00:12:53,960
and a half, the money line also moves, So what

279
00:12:54,200 --> 00:12:57,559
was the change in implied win probability? If it moves

280
00:12:57,600 --> 00:13:00,919
three four five percent, your edge is gone. So there

281
00:13:00,960 --> 00:13:03,559
you move on to the next bet. If it moves

282
00:13:03,600 --> 00:13:06,519
one percent too, you should still be fine. So that's

283
00:13:06,519 --> 00:13:09,000
how I gauge it because I'm living in the same

284
00:13:09,000 --> 00:13:11,600
world cal I'm getting the same place, and I have

285
00:13:11,679 --> 00:13:14,720
to determine is there still value now that it's moved

286
00:13:14,720 --> 00:13:16,519
to half a point, now that it's moved the point,

287
00:13:16,559 --> 00:13:19,120
now that the totals moved. So those are decisions I

288
00:13:19,159 --> 00:13:22,600
have to make throughout the entire day. And it's it's

289
00:13:22,679 --> 00:13:25,120
kind of more or less like an intuition and a

290
00:13:25,159 --> 00:13:29,519
feel thing. There's not really a set guideline because again,

291
00:13:29,840 --> 00:13:33,240
you know, the sport differs, the market difference, the time

292
00:13:33,279 --> 00:13:35,960
of the year differs, like what kind of action is

293
00:13:35,960 --> 00:13:37,559
it just sharp, is it just public?

294
00:13:38,320 --> 00:13:39,679
Speaker 2: So you know, things kind of change.

295
00:13:39,679 --> 00:13:42,759
Speaker 4: But I would keep it along those guidelines, pay attention

296
00:13:42,840 --> 00:13:45,559
to the half point, how much it means to you

297
00:13:45,600 --> 00:13:47,360
whether you're going to be on the losing side or

298
00:13:47,360 --> 00:13:51,480
a push. And then if you're talking lower spreads, less

299
00:13:51,519 --> 00:13:55,279
of an adjustment, the higher the spread, the worst of

300
00:13:55,320 --> 00:13:56,320
a number you can take.

301
00:13:57,080 --> 00:13:58,960
Speaker 1: All Right, let's get into a couple of things that

302
00:13:59,279 --> 00:14:00,080
almost may.

303
00:14:00,120 --> 00:14:03,519
Speaker 3: Your card today, because that's what happens on the steam sheet, right.

304
00:14:03,600 --> 00:14:06,840
So you and Crack are similar in the way, like

305
00:14:06,960 --> 00:14:09,639
when I do a show with you, he's getting information,

306
00:14:09,799 --> 00:14:12,840
they're getting it down for themselves, and he's like, yeah,

307
00:14:12,840 --> 00:14:16,159
we've got twelve bets, but I can only release four

308
00:14:16,200 --> 00:14:18,720
of them to subscribers because they've moved too much. And

309
00:14:18,759 --> 00:14:21,000
the comment sections like no, no, no, no, no, we

310
00:14:21,039 --> 00:14:24,080
want them all. So what you did was you said, okay, fine,

311
00:14:24,120 --> 00:14:26,600
you guys want them all. Here's the steam sheet right,

312
00:14:26,679 --> 00:14:29,080
here are my premium selections. Here's what you should be

313
00:14:29,080 --> 00:14:31,720
betting three, four, five percent on. But these one and

314
00:14:31,799 --> 00:14:34,240
two percent plays because they've either moved or you don't

315
00:14:34,240 --> 00:14:38,559
have that strong of a push towards them. Here they are, guys,

316
00:14:38,639 --> 00:14:41,320
And so I love that because then our audience doesn't

317
00:14:41,360 --> 00:14:43,120
feel like they're missing out.

318
00:14:43,519 --> 00:14:44,840
Speaker 2: No, And that's that it took.

319
00:14:44,879 --> 00:14:46,559
Speaker 4: So I can't believe it took us seven years to

320
00:14:46,559 --> 00:14:49,399
figure this out. I don't know why either that was

321
00:14:49,440 --> 00:14:51,960
the move because look at the results since we've done that,

322
00:14:52,080 --> 00:14:54,360
and again not the talent, but since we've done that,

323
00:14:54,440 --> 00:14:58,000
my results have been phenomenal and from my premium subscribers

324
00:14:58,039 --> 00:15:01,559
they benefited greatly. But they haven't missed out on the

325
00:15:01,559 --> 00:15:04,200
information because a lot of these guys are sharp cappers,

326
00:15:04,440 --> 00:15:07,600
like they're really good at capping their own stuff, and

327
00:15:07,639 --> 00:15:09,759
they're doing what I was doing where I was a

328
00:15:09,840 --> 00:15:12,279
decade ago, two decades ago, where I was trying to

329
00:15:12,360 --> 00:15:14,960
learn everything, and for me, the steam sheet would have

330
00:15:14,960 --> 00:15:18,559
been the most valuable asset because it has all the

331
00:15:20,080 --> 00:15:23,440
plays that I know. Now this is went into the

332
00:15:23,440 --> 00:15:27,519
sharp accounts. Now I could determine is there still value there?

333
00:15:27,720 --> 00:15:29,879
And even on the stuff you don't agree with, you

334
00:15:29,960 --> 00:15:32,159
get to see how does the market work, how does

335
00:15:32,200 --> 00:15:35,279
it react to these plays? What happens later is their

336
00:15:35,399 --> 00:15:37,840
buy back? Are they just trying the middle? Like you

337
00:15:37,960 --> 00:15:42,600
learn so much just by monitoring the signs. Like I said,

338
00:15:42,799 --> 00:15:45,279
I could tell more times than not now whether they're

339
00:15:45,279 --> 00:15:47,000
going to be on side A or side B, which

340
00:15:47,000 --> 00:15:49,639
has made me really good at determining which way the

341
00:15:49,679 --> 00:15:53,759
market's going to move just because of doing this, and

342
00:15:54,320 --> 00:15:56,320
once you do it over and over and over again,

343
00:15:56,360 --> 00:15:57,960
you start to see this is what they're looking for.

344
00:15:58,120 --> 00:15:59,840
Speaker 2: These are the kind of signs they like to lay.

345
00:16:00,039 --> 00:16:01,279
These are numbers they're betting.

346
00:16:02,039 --> 00:16:04,840
Speaker 4: And again, it's just been such a valuable tool, and

347
00:16:04,840 --> 00:16:07,360
that what's what goes in there. Every bet that goes

348
00:16:07,360 --> 00:16:11,600
in there, kel I have action on, but I don't

349
00:16:11,679 --> 00:16:15,879
have the conviction to bet more. And those that I

350
00:16:15,960 --> 00:16:18,440
put for premiums, those are the ones that match up

351
00:16:18,440 --> 00:16:21,279
with the power ratings that I use that I see

352
00:16:21,320 --> 00:16:25,120
in multiple accounts that I have a strong opinion on myself.

353
00:16:25,440 --> 00:16:26,519
Speaker 2: Those are premiums.

354
00:16:26,559 --> 00:16:29,639
Speaker 4: Everything else I take a percentage of the accounts because

355
00:16:29,639 --> 00:16:32,399
I trust they're you know, going to profit long term.

356
00:16:32,720 --> 00:16:36,440
And all this stuff is gold for betters to use

357
00:16:36,480 --> 00:16:39,120
and for themselves to confirm or fade.

358
00:16:39,679 --> 00:16:41,080
Speaker 1: Yeah, it absolutely is gold.

359
00:16:41,200 --> 00:16:43,519
Speaker 3: You guys see some of that gold on the show

360
00:16:43,559 --> 00:16:45,600
called bet on It. If you guys have ever been

361
00:16:45,639 --> 00:16:47,600
over there, he shares that kind of stuff with you, guys.

362
00:16:47,600 --> 00:16:48,559
Speaker 1: Premium they are.

363
00:16:48,519 --> 00:16:50,480
Speaker 3: Give me a little sample, give me, give me a

364
00:16:50,519 --> 00:16:53,320
few games from the steam sheet today for our audience.

365
00:16:53,720 --> 00:16:56,480
Speaker 1: That almost major your card.

366
00:16:56,799 --> 00:16:58,600
Speaker 3: But you're like, you know what this it's just not

367
00:16:58,639 --> 00:17:01,000
a strong enough a conviction to make it three percent play.

368
00:17:01,519 --> 00:17:06,400
Speaker 4: Western Carolina plus the five game, seven thirteen. Western Carolina

369
00:17:06,480 --> 00:17:10,599
came really close to making that sheet. Where was it

370
00:17:10,640 --> 00:17:14,799
that got hit eight oh nine Northern Arizona over Weber

371
00:17:15,559 --> 00:17:18,319
at plus six and a half? That came really close

372
00:17:18,599 --> 00:17:21,920
to making my sheet? And where's that last one?

373
00:17:22,440 --> 00:17:24,400
Speaker 2: Where are you? Six eighty nine? Bull State?

374
00:17:24,680 --> 00:17:26,720
Speaker 4: But I saw a lot of Paul I didn't get

375
00:17:26,720 --> 00:17:29,400
the respect. And then I started seeing when I started

376
00:17:29,400 --> 00:17:33,240
seeing the square counts on a team like Bull State,

377
00:17:33,359 --> 00:17:35,680
that sticks out to me. It's kind of like I

378
00:17:35,799 --> 00:17:38,119
seeing them on Bowling Green this morning, what could you

379
00:17:38,160 --> 00:17:38,480
like about?

380
00:17:38,640 --> 00:17:38,759
Speaker 2: Like?

381
00:17:38,759 --> 00:17:42,079
Speaker 4: What is thinking out about Bowling Green? That's where I

382
00:17:42,440 --> 00:17:45,079
pay attention to the public information. Like I don't care

383
00:17:45,119 --> 00:17:47,640
about fading the public, but I like to know when

384
00:17:47,680 --> 00:17:50,759
they're on like these these when it really sticks out

385
00:17:50,960 --> 00:17:53,200
on a particular match up. And then I'll look and

386
00:17:53,240 --> 00:17:55,359
I'll be like, oh, this team's won three straight and

387
00:17:55,400 --> 00:17:58,480
they covered by like thirty plus, No wonder they're all

388
00:17:58,519 --> 00:18:01,400
betting them today. And I'm not an auto fade. But

389
00:18:01,480 --> 00:18:04,359
you start to realize, Okay, now it's overvalued and I

390
00:18:04,400 --> 00:18:06,839
could take the other side, So that's where that comes

391
00:18:06,880 --> 00:18:09,480
into play. But yeah, a lot of action today, a

392
00:18:09,480 --> 00:18:12,240
lot of college basketball, and for the guys that got

393
00:18:12,279 --> 00:18:15,079
the steam sheet, I'm gonna keep up dating that throughout

394
00:18:15,119 --> 00:18:17,640
the day because again, plays will keep coming in and

395
00:18:17,680 --> 00:18:20,680
the UFC will go in there, the MMA stuff and

396
00:18:21,119 --> 00:18:24,160
anything else I get throughout the day. So yeah, leading

397
00:18:24,200 --> 00:18:26,519
into the Super Bowl, let's through some damage on Saturday

398
00:18:27,000 --> 00:18:28,440
and have a good Sunday.

399
00:18:28,880 --> 00:18:30,920
Speaker 3: All right, VR is going to be back with Errol

400
00:18:30,960 --> 00:18:33,759
Epstein tomorrow talk all things super Bowl. But today we

401
00:18:33,799 --> 00:18:37,119
are college basketball focus at Greek Underscore Candler on your

402
00:18:37,240 --> 00:18:40,720
social channels. We'll be back for a March Madness edition

403
00:18:40,720 --> 00:18:42,119
to bet on it as well.

404
00:18:42,599 --> 00:18:46,839
Speaker 1: VR. I will see you and next Saturday. Appreciate your help, guys.

405
00:18:46,960 --> 00:18:51,640
Speaker 3: Deputy Dot Buzz back slash VR over there on Wager Talk,

406
00:18:51,720 --> 00:18:53,640
let's get in the guys from Full Court Press. We're

407
00:18:53,640 --> 00:18:58,920
gonna hit all of these questions. What's up, guys, Good morning,

408
00:19:00,039 --> 00:19:03,160
Johnnyturs and I look tired in the chat, so I'm

409
00:19:03,200 --> 00:19:03,960
a little I'm.

410
00:19:03,839 --> 00:19:05,400
Speaker 1: Just gonna keep taking myself off screen.

411
00:19:05,480 --> 00:19:07,359
Speaker 3: You guys are going to be front and center glad

412
00:19:07,440 --> 00:19:11,759
Adam's lighting actually looks worse than mine, sitting here from

413
00:19:11,799 --> 00:19:12,400
my kitchen.

414
00:19:12,480 --> 00:19:16,119
Speaker 1: I'm at my kitchen table. My Brett decided.

415
00:19:16,519 --> 00:19:18,279
Speaker 3: And this is the hard part about being a woman,

416
00:19:18,279 --> 00:19:20,200
because you don't want to bitch because you asked them

417
00:19:20,200 --> 00:19:22,960
to do something. But Brett decided last week to start

418
00:19:23,000 --> 00:19:25,960
construction on my office, and I'm like, I still have like.

419
00:19:25,960 --> 00:19:28,079
Speaker 1: Four more shows and now they're all going to be

420
00:19:28,079 --> 00:19:29,119
from my kitchen. That's okay.

421
00:19:29,200 --> 00:19:31,920
Speaker 3: Though I got new floors. I'm so excited. Well, they're

422
00:19:31,960 --> 00:19:34,839
not there yet, but they're in progress. So I'm going

423
00:19:34,920 --> 00:19:38,359
to keep my negative comments to myself. We're gonna get

424
00:19:38,359 --> 00:19:41,000
into college basketball. Almost twenty five hundred of you guys

425
00:19:41,000 --> 00:19:45,119
watching live across all of the channels really quickly. I

426
00:19:45,160 --> 00:19:46,799
should have done this before I brought you too.

427
00:19:46,680 --> 00:19:50,400
Speaker 6: On Super Bowl to super Bowl All Access here at

428
00:19:50,400 --> 00:19:54,559
wager talk dot com starts tomorrow super Bowl sixty February

429
00:19:54,640 --> 00:19:59,720
eighth through Super Bowl sixty one February fourteenth, eleven and

430
00:19:59,720 --> 00:20:00,319
eighty eight dollars.

431
00:20:00,359 --> 00:20:02,880
Speaker 1: That is normally almost two thousand dollars.

432
00:20:02,920 --> 00:20:05,799
Speaker 3: That works out to exactly ninety nine dollars per month,

433
00:20:06,240 --> 00:20:08,640
three dollars and twenty five per cents per day for

434
00:20:08,720 --> 00:20:11,720
every single pick, every single sport, and every single five

435
00:20:11,759 --> 00:20:15,000
percent best bet released by your favorite capper over the

436
00:20:15,000 --> 00:20:18,400
next twelve months. Whether you want VR, whether you want Adam,

437
00:20:18,599 --> 00:20:21,400
do you want Rob, you guys are gonna get twenty

438
00:20:21,400 --> 00:20:25,880
five percent off on future purchases through this period as well.

439
00:20:25,880 --> 00:20:26,799
Speaker 1: You're gonna get a coupon.

440
00:20:26,880 --> 00:20:29,839
Speaker 3: So any other regular price cap er you want, Flex

441
00:20:29,920 --> 00:20:33,039
Pass All Access package is also going to be twenty

442
00:20:33,039 --> 00:20:35,640
five percent off. Okay, there is my little promo so

443
00:20:35,640 --> 00:20:37,240
that Johnny doesn't yell at me more in the comment

444
00:20:37,279 --> 00:20:40,200
section this morning, let's get to college basketball. We're gonna

445
00:20:40,200 --> 00:20:43,039
start off right here with Steve. He is first seven

446
00:20:43,039 --> 00:20:45,839
to fifty one seat in the hall. Guys, you guys

447
00:20:45,839 --> 00:20:48,559
didn't hear me, says I go my iPad on odds

448
00:20:48,599 --> 00:20:51,079
Loger today, So you guys have to bear with me here.

449
00:20:51,319 --> 00:20:53,160
It takes a minute to keep reconnecting because I keep

450
00:20:53,200 --> 00:20:55,160
letting the screen go. So you are going to get

451
00:20:55,160 --> 00:20:57,440
your questions answered if you give me a rotation number.

452
00:20:57,480 --> 00:20:59,599
If you do not, that's gonna make my life a

453
00:20:59,599 --> 00:21:02,000
little bit harder. So we're gonna scroll all the way

454
00:21:02,000 --> 00:21:05,599
down seven fifty one Seaton Hall is playing Creighton. They

455
00:21:05,640 --> 00:21:07,880
opened as they one and a half point favorite, total

456
00:21:07,920 --> 00:21:10,519
one thirty seven and a half, now up to two.

457
00:21:10,960 --> 00:21:12,880
Speaker 2: The total has gotten beat up a little.

458
00:21:12,640 --> 00:21:15,480
Speaker 3: Bit, now up to one thirty nine at the super

459
00:21:15,519 --> 00:21:21,240
Book Adam any opinion here on the side.

460
00:21:20,440 --> 00:21:23,440
Speaker 7: Yeah, I first of all, my lighting is is just bright.

461
00:21:23,480 --> 00:21:24,319
Speaker 5: It's not that bad.

462
00:21:25,119 --> 00:21:27,519
Speaker 7: These are these these head on lights that you wanted

463
00:21:27,519 --> 00:21:30,119
me to get, And yeah, I just I just look

464
00:21:30,200 --> 00:21:34,440
like I'm glowing right now. But Seaton Hall opposite of

465
00:21:34,480 --> 00:21:37,480
glowing cal They can't score. That that is the problem

466
00:21:37,480 --> 00:21:41,279
with Seaton Hall. I got caught with them earlier this week,

467
00:21:41,759 --> 00:21:47,240
and they're It's tough because defensively they're so good, they're

468
00:21:47,279 --> 00:21:50,559
so intense. When Shaheen Holloway's got a team that really

469
00:21:50,599 --> 00:21:53,440
buys in on the defensive end like this one does,

470
00:21:54,720 --> 00:21:58,400
they'll they'll grind out games. And that that's appealing to

471
00:21:58,440 --> 00:22:01,039
me in terms of backing seat in Hall. But earlier

472
00:22:01,079 --> 00:22:04,440
this week they just could not score against Villanova and

473
00:22:04,559 --> 00:22:06,359
they played a game that I didn't think they played

474
00:22:06,359 --> 00:22:08,039
that poorly, yet they still.

475
00:22:07,839 --> 00:22:08,640
Speaker 5: Lost by twelve.

476
00:22:08,759 --> 00:22:12,119
Speaker 7: So heading all the way out to Omaha here, I'm

477
00:22:12,160 --> 00:22:14,440
just kind of done with this team. Of course, today

478
00:22:14,480 --> 00:22:16,160
will be the day they come out and play. But

479
00:22:16,559 --> 00:22:18,960
they're not gonna get my money, especially not on this

480
00:22:19,079 --> 00:22:21,000
slate when there's such better things to bet.

481
00:22:21,079 --> 00:22:23,240
Speaker 5: So yeah, I just can't do it.

482
00:22:23,319 --> 00:22:25,519
Speaker 7: I still have a soft spot for the way they

483
00:22:25,519 --> 00:22:27,920
play defense and the way they battle, but they just.

484
00:22:27,839 --> 00:22:29,160
Speaker 5: Don't put the ball through the basket.

485
00:22:29,240 --> 00:22:33,920
Speaker 7: So did I guess, Lean Creighton, I really don't have

486
00:22:33,960 --> 00:22:34,920
anything strong there.

487
00:22:35,240 --> 00:22:38,039
Speaker 3: All right, I'm just gonna keep this going, Robino. Question

488
00:22:38,119 --> 00:22:40,559
about the total? Six forty five, six forty six is

489
00:22:40,640 --> 00:22:45,920
Manhattan's Sacred Heart A sneaky over total is currently one

490
00:22:46,759 --> 00:22:47,519
sixty three.

491
00:22:47,640 --> 00:22:50,440
Speaker 1: Let me double check and make sure that is still accurate.

492
00:22:52,319 --> 00:22:54,640
Speaker 3: One sixty two and a half, one sixty three and

493
00:22:54,680 --> 00:22:57,279
a half at a prominent sharp book. So yeah, that

494
00:22:57,440 --> 00:22:59,519
is probably the consensus, guys, And this is what we're

495
00:22:59,519 --> 00:23:01,400
gonna do. All We're gonna do some rapid fire get

496
00:23:01,400 --> 00:23:02,960
over some of these games for you guys. Check the

497
00:23:03,000 --> 00:23:05,720
comment section for all the sharp stuff, from Art to Caesar,

498
00:23:05,720 --> 00:23:06,799
from the Westgates, Superbuck.

499
00:23:09,039 --> 00:23:12,160
Speaker 8: Let's get into Sacred Heart, because school that's been near

500
00:23:12,160 --> 00:23:13,799
and dear to my heart so far this season.

501
00:23:13,880 --> 00:23:15,440
Speaker 5: Adam and I talk about him quite a bit.

502
00:23:15,480 --> 00:23:17,960
Speaker 8: We've mentioned Dan kwan Hill since he's returned to Sacred

503
00:23:18,000 --> 00:23:21,000
Heart to've been an offensive juggernaut, so to speak, having

504
00:23:21,039 --> 00:23:25,279
the other night team total over against Fairfield in that game.

505
00:23:25,359 --> 00:23:28,920
Sacred Heart could not stop anything, but they did score.

506
00:23:29,880 --> 00:23:33,519
Game got into the high one seventies. I can't bring

507
00:23:33,599 --> 00:23:37,359
myself to play unders where they're involved now, but the

508
00:23:37,359 --> 00:23:39,680
odds makers have gotten to them. Kelly, This number at

509
00:23:39,720 --> 00:23:41,720
one sixty three and a half just seems a little

510
00:23:41,720 --> 00:23:44,799
bit too high. There's been instances over the course of

511
00:23:44,839 --> 00:23:47,240
the last seven eight games since Hall's been back where

512
00:23:47,279 --> 00:23:50,240
they do go dry scoring wise a little bit, just

513
00:23:50,279 --> 00:23:53,400
don't shoot the ball. Well, it's not for lack of opportunity,

514
00:23:53,559 --> 00:23:54,960
just the lack of shots going in.

515
00:23:55,920 --> 00:23:57,640
Speaker 5: Once sixty three is a little bit high for me

516
00:23:57,720 --> 00:23:58,480
to get to the over.

517
00:23:58,599 --> 00:24:01,759
Speaker 8: I always look at Sacred Hearts team total on the

518
00:24:01,839 --> 00:24:04,640
road today, so I'm gonna let this go. But yes,

519
00:24:04,720 --> 00:24:06,599
Sacred Heart's been really good to me as far as

520
00:24:06,599 --> 00:24:07,359
overs are concerned.

521
00:24:07,359 --> 00:24:09,519
Speaker 5: I'm not gonna talk to anybody off. Just don't have

522
00:24:09,559 --> 00:24:10,559
a play on it myself.

523
00:24:11,319 --> 00:24:14,200
Speaker 3: All right, let's keep going through these comments again, Guys,

524
00:24:14,279 --> 00:24:19,119
I really appreciate anybody adding the rotation number. If you

525
00:24:19,119 --> 00:24:20,680
guys don't know what the rotation number is, I know

526
00:24:20,720 --> 00:24:22,960
it sounds crazy because this was like such a big

527
00:24:23,000 --> 00:24:24,839
deal when I used to go bet at the casino.

528
00:24:25,079 --> 00:24:27,720
You better know your rotation numbers so that the teller

529
00:24:28,079 --> 00:24:32,640
isn't constantly scrolling. It's the little number on the very

530
00:24:32,680 --> 00:24:35,920
far left on any odd screen, particularly odds Logic is

531
00:24:35,920 --> 00:24:38,759
my favorite. Odds logic dot com backslash Kelly in Vegas

532
00:24:38,799 --> 00:24:41,759
for a free weeks. So let's go through and see

533
00:24:41,759 --> 00:24:45,279
what else we've got. Here is one from Craig. Craig

534
00:24:45,319 --> 00:24:47,640
wants to know six 'h three, So this one's an

535
00:24:47,799 --> 00:24:52,440
early start. Here in the next thirty minutes, Louisville team

536
00:24:52,559 --> 00:24:54,559
total tell a little over eighty five and a half.

537
00:24:54,599 --> 00:24:56,440
Proble Im gonnakick it back to you because you gave

538
00:24:56,480 --> 00:25:00,799
this one out last week and uh yeah, I I

539
00:25:00,839 --> 00:25:02,559
was the loser in the parlay last week's shocker.

540
00:25:02,599 --> 00:25:05,519
Speaker 5: Guys, they got their forest last week.

541
00:25:05,599 --> 00:25:08,319
Speaker 8: Slow started against SMU, didn't look really good in the beginning,

542
00:25:08,359 --> 00:25:11,079
but then they came alive, got their share of points.

543
00:25:11,119 --> 00:25:14,880
Louisville does average right in this area for the season,

544
00:25:15,400 --> 00:25:17,960
a little bit of an injury problem here with Javon Hadley,

545
00:25:17,960 --> 00:25:20,680
who only played three minutes to start last game, went

546
00:25:20,680 --> 00:25:23,279
out with a back injury. Couldn't get full confirmation that

547
00:25:23,319 --> 00:25:26,960
he will go today. However, you are playing wake Forest,

548
00:25:27,319 --> 00:25:31,200
who Steve Forbes had to admit in his teleconference on Monday,

549
00:25:31,480 --> 00:25:35,039
saying last team, last year's team was better defensively. This

550
00:25:35,119 --> 00:25:37,440
year we tried to play faster, a little bit better

551
00:25:37,519 --> 00:25:40,039
offensive team than we were last year. It's been a

552
00:25:40,079 --> 00:25:42,640
give and take, a lot of give. They give up

553
00:25:42,640 --> 00:25:45,440
a lot of points, Kelly. I could see Louisville getting

554
00:25:45,480 --> 00:25:49,279
to that number today. However, I found it to be

555
00:25:49,480 --> 00:25:51,440
just on the boundary of where I wanted to get.

556
00:25:51,480 --> 00:25:53,240
If it would have been like eighty three and a half,

557
00:25:53,240 --> 00:25:55,680
I probably would have made that play. But we're sitting

558
00:25:55,680 --> 00:25:57,799
a little higher than that here. Even though wake Forest

559
00:25:57,799 --> 00:25:59,920
allows a lot in Louisville might find their way to night.

560
00:26:00,720 --> 00:26:01,920
Speaker 5: I'm not sure I could bet it.

561
00:26:01,960 --> 00:26:04,400
Speaker 8: But again, I'm not here to talk anybody off of

562
00:26:04,440 --> 00:26:06,359
what their opinion is, just giving you what I looked

563
00:26:06,359 --> 00:26:07,359
at all.

564
00:26:07,440 --> 00:26:10,240
Speaker 3: Right, Friend of the Show, Garth is here, so I'm

565
00:26:10,240 --> 00:26:14,440
gonna let Adam take this one. Thoughts on Temple East Carolina.

566
00:26:14,599 --> 00:26:16,319
I like Temple minus two and a half. The rotation

567
00:26:16,359 --> 00:26:19,400
number six fifteen six sixteen.

568
00:26:19,359 --> 00:26:20,599
Speaker 1: Open two and a half.

569
00:26:20,720 --> 00:26:23,920
Speaker 3: Now we've seen Temple drop down to two at Circa

570
00:26:23,960 --> 00:26:24,920
and Super Book.

571
00:26:24,960 --> 00:26:25,920
Speaker 1: That's really interesting.

572
00:26:26,119 --> 00:26:28,359
Speaker 3: The totals come down a bit two to one thirty

573
00:26:28,559 --> 00:26:30,160
nine and a half.

574
00:26:31,119 --> 00:26:33,240
Speaker 7: Yeah, that's a that is an interesting one because this

575
00:26:33,599 --> 00:26:36,559
one definitely I'd love to still have Gianni on here

576
00:26:36,559 --> 00:26:39,240
because this one was getting manipulated for sure. This was

577
00:26:39,279 --> 00:26:42,039
all the way up. I think Temple got hit. It

578
00:26:42,119 --> 00:26:44,000
was all the way up to maybe three and a half.

579
00:26:44,160 --> 00:26:47,440
It's definitely coming back down, Mike, so Garth. The tough

580
00:26:47,440 --> 00:26:50,319
one here is my numbers closer to pick. I guess

581
00:26:50,400 --> 00:26:53,680
I understand why this may have gotten faked up, and

582
00:26:53,720 --> 00:26:56,759
then some East Carolina money would come in because of course,

583
00:26:56,799 --> 00:27:00,279
Temple comes off of the win of their season, the

584
00:27:00,359 --> 00:27:02,000
signature when they beat.

585
00:27:01,839 --> 00:27:04,319
Speaker 5: South Florida at home earlier.

586
00:27:04,200 --> 00:27:06,240
Speaker 7: Last week, so they've had the whole week off, they

587
00:27:06,319 --> 00:27:08,759
beat them on Saturday, have the whole week off. Now

588
00:27:08,799 --> 00:27:10,680
have to go on the road and play in East

589
00:27:10,680 --> 00:27:14,160
Carolina team that's sort of viewed as inferior, but they're

590
00:27:14,160 --> 00:27:17,599
probably not. Those two teams probably aren't that far apart.

591
00:27:17,920 --> 00:27:20,440
Even though East Carolina has been the worst team this year.

592
00:27:21,079 --> 00:27:23,440
East Carolina same kind of deal. Though they had a

593
00:27:23,519 --> 00:27:26,880
nice win last week against Fau Road win for them,

594
00:27:26,920 --> 00:27:29,559
that's an upset to go to Boca Raton and win.

595
00:27:30,640 --> 00:27:32,839
So here, I'm not really disagreeing with you, sort of

596
00:27:32,880 --> 00:27:35,680
like leaning toward the Temple side, thinking they're the better team.

597
00:27:36,200 --> 00:27:40,039
East Carolina doesn't have a huge home atmosphere. But one

598
00:27:40,079 --> 00:27:43,039
thing I will say about ECU, which has kept me

599
00:27:43,200 --> 00:27:47,640
off of fading them this year, the Sharps love ECU.

600
00:27:47,920 --> 00:27:51,599
They bet them all the time. They must think that

601
00:27:51,759 --> 00:27:56,319
ECU value wise, like relative to like where they are

602
00:27:56,359 --> 00:27:58,839
now relative to where they thought they would be is

603
00:27:58,960 --> 00:28:01,480
lower because it's seems like ECU gets it with sharp

604
00:28:01,519 --> 00:28:04,279
money every single game. So this whole little thing where

605
00:28:04,279 --> 00:28:07,160
they faked up the Temple bet ECU doesn't surprise me.

606
00:28:07,440 --> 00:28:10,119
I'm not saying you're wrong for liking the Temple side,

607
00:28:10,160 --> 00:28:12,960
but two teams very even I had the number closer

608
00:28:13,000 --> 00:28:16,680
to pick kind of a toss up. I maybe lean

609
00:28:16,799 --> 00:28:20,680
ECU based on that activity, but East Carolina I would

610
00:28:20,720 --> 00:28:22,240
have liked it a lot better at three and a half.

611
00:28:22,319 --> 00:28:27,519
Speaker 3: Though, all right, let's keep it going here. Quinnipiac Nagara.

612
00:28:27,519 --> 00:28:28,160
Speaker 1: I know airdup.

613
00:28:28,200 --> 00:28:30,480
Speaker 3: Twenty three is asking trig, but I'm gonna give it

614
00:28:30,920 --> 00:28:32,720
to Rob Currently.

615
00:28:33,680 --> 00:28:35,119
Speaker 1: Well, this one's come down a little bit at the

616
00:28:35,119 --> 00:28:35,559
super book.

617
00:28:35,599 --> 00:28:38,279
Speaker 3: Quinnipiac opened up as a thirteen point favorite, twelve and

618
00:28:38,319 --> 00:28:40,920
a half at the super book, and they're welding steady there.

619
00:28:40,920 --> 00:28:41,720
Speaker 1: Well, the rest of the.

620
00:28:41,680 --> 00:28:45,359
Speaker 3: Market is at thirteen and a half, thirty seven and

621
00:28:45,359 --> 00:28:45,640
a half.

622
00:28:45,680 --> 00:28:46,640
Speaker 1: Here is the total.

623
00:28:47,880 --> 00:28:50,039
Speaker 8: It seems like an awful lot. I mean, obviously it's

624
00:28:50,039 --> 00:28:52,880
a contrast in styles here, guys. Quinnipiac wants to get

625
00:28:52,960 --> 00:28:55,680
up and go. Niagara wants to make the game into

626
00:28:55,680 --> 00:28:58,559
a fifty five possession game when you're dealing.

627
00:28:58,319 --> 00:28:59,799
Speaker 5: With a number like thirteen and a half.

628
00:29:00,039 --> 00:29:02,559
Speaker 8: Niagara does have to make a few shots to get there,

629
00:29:04,039 --> 00:29:06,839
but I don't know that Quinnipiac's defense is good enough

630
00:29:06,880 --> 00:29:09,720
to hold them to where they'd have to hold them

631
00:29:09,759 --> 00:29:11,599
to get to get the cover. In this game, I

632
00:29:11,599 --> 00:29:14,680
could see something in the sixty eight fifty seven range,

633
00:29:15,160 --> 00:29:17,759
which it's a you know, double digit loss, but it

634
00:29:17,880 --> 00:29:21,400
still gets you there. Not in the market of playing Niagara,

635
00:29:21,640 --> 00:29:25,079
because they are so poor offensively, and it's maybe the

636
00:29:25,119 --> 00:29:26,720
worst team in the MAC this year.

637
00:29:26,759 --> 00:29:27,640
Speaker 5: But they're well coached.

638
00:29:27,720 --> 00:29:31,039
Speaker 8: Adam talks about them quite often, and probably well coached

639
00:29:31,160 --> 00:29:34,000
enough to get within this number because Quinnipiac at times,

640
00:29:34,039 --> 00:29:36,440
to tell you the truth, although they're more talented, it

641
00:29:36,480 --> 00:29:39,559
can be a little bit undisciplined. So I would probably

642
00:29:39,559 --> 00:29:41,960
look to take the points. Again, not something I played,

643
00:29:41,960 --> 00:29:43,559
but I think the points would be a little bit

644
00:29:43,680 --> 00:29:44,920
enticing with Niagara there.

645
00:29:46,400 --> 00:29:47,880
Speaker 1: Okay, let's keep this going.

646
00:29:48,279 --> 00:29:52,240
Speaker 3: Look at all of these questions without rotation numbers. All right, fine,

647
00:29:52,400 --> 00:29:54,440
this isn't a question, but this is a big game

648
00:29:54,480 --> 00:29:58,519
that's going to be tipping off here shortly six' oh five,

649
00:30:00,079 --> 00:30:05,759
Six so Six Arkansas Mississippi State arkansas minus six one sixty,

650
00:30:05,920 --> 00:30:08,519
three one sixty three and a half one sixty four

651
00:30:08,599 --> 00:30:11,279
now is the. Total this one's come up quite a

652
00:30:11,440 --> 00:30:17,400
bit from the opener break. Down Mississippi state at home

653
00:30:17,480 --> 00:30:18,279
Versus arkansas.

654
00:30:18,279 --> 00:30:23,519
Speaker 7: Trag this one's so tough Because arkansas obvious team where

655
00:30:23,519 --> 00:30:26,039
they've got the home road. Splits it's well known at

656
00:30:26,039 --> 00:30:28,839
this point they're a team that you know on the

657
00:30:28,960 --> 00:30:32,400
road never seems to play us. Good their splits would

658
00:30:32,440 --> 00:30:35,000
suggest that this, year and this is going back a long, Time.

659
00:30:35,079 --> 00:30:36,400
Speaker 5: KELLY i mean you can go back.

660
00:30:36,279 --> 00:30:40,559
Speaker 7: Ten fifteen years The muscleman, days like it almost doesn't.

661
00:30:40,599 --> 00:30:44,640
Matter every Year arkansas has this crazy home road contrast

662
00:30:45,160 --> 00:30:48,640
this year twelve and one at, home two and three

663
00:30:48,920 --> 00:30:51,519
on the, road so it's definitely there. Again and now

664
00:30:51,519 --> 00:30:54,920
of course you're laying multiple possessions on the. Road that's

665
00:30:55,400 --> 00:30:58,960
something that you, KNOW i think would scare some folks

666
00:30:58,960 --> 00:31:01,359
Off arkansas that kind of tune into those home road.

667
00:31:01,400 --> 00:31:04,359
Splits with that being, SAID i don't Think Mississippi state's

668
00:31:04,400 --> 00:31:07,440
any good this year at. ALL I arkansas to, Me

669
00:31:08,359 --> 00:31:10,480
i'm STILL i think we've now had it three weeks

670
00:31:10,480 --> 00:31:12,559
in a row on this. Show it's either been on

671
00:31:12,599 --> 00:31:15,319
the show or any time they play And rob AND

672
00:31:15,359 --> 00:31:18,079
i talk About, ARKANSAS i say the same. THING i

673
00:31:18,119 --> 00:31:22,160
think they are so much more talented than their sort

674
00:31:22,200 --> 00:31:25,279
of like output has been so far this, season AND

675
00:31:25,319 --> 00:31:28,200
i continue to wait for them to really turn the.

676
00:31:28,200 --> 00:31:32,000
Corner now they're having a good season sixteen and, six

677
00:31:32,240 --> 00:31:34,319
they're in the top twenty. Five there's nothing wrong with,

678
00:31:34,359 --> 00:31:36,680
That it's just THAT i thought they could be knocking

679
00:31:36,720 --> 00:31:38,400
on the door of the top ten by this, point

680
00:31:38,839 --> 00:31:42,519
and some of the youngsters just haven't really fully you,

681
00:31:42,559 --> 00:31:45,640
know come along yet to the ability to get the

682
00:31:45,640 --> 00:31:48,200
big win on the road last time out a home,

683
00:31:48,279 --> 00:31:51,039
game a rare loss at home To. Kentucky in this,

684
00:31:51,160 --> 00:31:53,880
GAME i just think there's so much more talented Than Mississippi.

685
00:31:53,880 --> 00:31:56,519
STATE i think This Mississippi state team is. Awful i've

686
00:31:56,559 --> 00:31:58,759
kind of said, this you, know early this year when

687
00:31:58,759 --> 00:32:01,240
they were struggling with the team Like New orleans on

688
00:32:01,319 --> 00:32:06,240
their home. FLOOR i Believe Kansas state kel even beat this.

689
00:32:06,319 --> 00:32:09,119
Team what does that say About Mississippi state right?

690
00:32:09,119 --> 00:32:11,960
Speaker 3: Now, well you know, what they only lost The nebraska

691
00:32:12,039 --> 00:32:14,319
by a Point. Trigg so that's the funniest. Thing and,

692
00:32:14,799 --> 00:32:17,240
oh by the, way we were talking About Bowling green

693
00:32:17,279 --> 00:32:19,519
before you guys popped on AND i want to, say, yeah, YEAH,

694
00:32:19,599 --> 00:32:21,079
VR i know Who Bowling green.

695
00:32:21,240 --> 00:32:24,279
Speaker 1: Is, yeah that that isn't triggering.

696
00:32:24,400 --> 00:32:29,079
Speaker 3: Whatsoever let's get Into Seattle portland, real what'll.

697
00:32:28,799 --> 00:32:30,920
Speaker 7: What i'll wrap up with that one, Though Kell i'm

698
00:32:30,960 --> 00:32:32,880
just gonna, say this is a rare scenario WHERE i

699
00:32:32,880 --> 00:32:34,599
THINK i would just lay it lay it with the

700
00:32:34,960 --> 00:32:37,200
WHAT i think is the significantly better. TEAM i know

701
00:32:37,200 --> 00:32:39,160
they're on the, road BUT i want nothing to do

702
00:32:39,200 --> 00:32:41,079
With Mississippi, state so our's a double's.

703
00:32:41,240 --> 00:32:44,680
Speaker 3: CHECK i think that is actually on the sharp. List

704
00:32:44,680 --> 00:32:48,160
there are so many games that were coming. THROUGH i

705
00:32:48,200 --> 00:32:50,200
just bet them, all like just full, disclosure, GUYS i

706
00:32:50,240 --> 00:32:51,480
just bet them all because it's easier that.

707
00:32:51,519 --> 00:32:52,839
Speaker 1: WAY i will say this a.

708
00:32:52,799 --> 00:32:57,400
Speaker 3: Sharp group hit that under one sixty four confirm From

709
00:32:57,519 --> 00:33:00,519
art To Caesar westgate Superbook. Robe you Know i'm gonna

710
00:33:00,559 --> 00:33:05,559
get into a question About Seattle portland seven ninety, five

711
00:33:05,640 --> 00:33:08,079
seven ninety. Six seattle is a three and a half

712
00:33:08,079 --> 00:33:11,640
point favorite now and this total has just gotten completely.

713
00:33:11,680 --> 00:33:15,200
Obliterated opened one thirty seven all the way up to

714
00:33:15,279 --> 00:33:19,000
one two and a couple prominent offers one forty two

715
00:33:19,000 --> 00:33:21,079
and a half here In florida at the Hard Rock good.

716
00:33:21,200 --> 00:33:22,720
Speaker 1: Grief before you.

717
00:33:22,680 --> 00:33:24,200
Speaker 3: Get into, it, THOUGH i want you to talk about

718
00:33:24,200 --> 00:33:26,559
double The, firepower the promotion you And adam having going

719
00:33:26,559 --> 00:33:28,559
on over at wager talk dot.

720
00:33:28,559 --> 00:33:31,680
Speaker 8: Com, yeah we're good at talking about, that, Now, kel

721
00:33:31,720 --> 00:33:33,960
we got our facts straight on. This it's called DOUBLE

722
00:33:34,000 --> 00:33:36,599
thebb OR cbb double The. Firepower MAYBE i got that,

723
00:33:36,640 --> 00:33:40,559
wrong but you get the idea college basketball. Package only

724
00:33:41,000 --> 00:33:43,640
Myself adam all the plays that we released every day

725
00:33:43,640 --> 00:33:46,960
for a three day, period including five percenters if we

726
00:33:47,000 --> 00:33:49,759
happen to have one on that given, day fifty nine

727
00:33:49,799 --> 00:33:52,559
dollars for the three days worth of. SELECTIONS i always

728
00:33:52,559 --> 00:33:55,640
say it's a pretty nice package to get because of

729
00:33:55,720 --> 00:33:59,319
the way we Handicap adam, is you, know ninety nine percent.

730
00:33:59,480 --> 00:34:02,480
Sides i'm probably ninety nine percent, total so you're going

731
00:34:02,559 --> 00:34:04,519
to get a good mix of. Both but it's any

732
00:34:04,559 --> 00:34:07,640
three day period that you, like go ahead and purchase

733
00:34:07,759 --> 00:34:10,119
for three days fifty nine dollars.

734
00:34:09,800 --> 00:34:10,639
Speaker 5: Double THE cbb.

735
00:34:10,760 --> 00:34:13,519
Speaker 8: Firepower and it's been a really good Season i'll just

736
00:34:13,519 --> 00:34:15,880
stick this in at the end here Since december, first

737
00:34:15,920 --> 00:34:18,039
about a seven and a half week period, now where

738
00:34:18,039 --> 00:34:21,039
we've been up over forty, units ranking number two over

739
00:34:21,079 --> 00:34:23,519
at wager talk since that. Time so good long run.

740
00:34:23,559 --> 00:34:28,000
Here adam's been good In february as. Well so fifty

741
00:34:28,079 --> 00:34:32,159
nine bucks three days double THE cbb Firepower Seattle portland

742
00:34:32,440 --> 00:34:35,519
without missing a beat, here kel that total probably has nothing.

743
00:34:35,239 --> 00:34:37,320
Speaker 5: To do With seattle being good.

744
00:34:37,360 --> 00:34:42,719
Speaker 8: Offensively seattle so up and down more into being a

745
00:34:42,760 --> 00:34:45,679
grinder type team than they are an open floor. Team

746
00:34:45,760 --> 00:34:49,039
this is mostly due To portland and their ability to

747
00:34:49,039 --> 00:34:55,280
score points. Here obviously some analytics or some mathematicians out

748
00:34:55,280 --> 00:34:57,480
there thought that maybe it started too low and push

749
00:34:57,519 --> 00:35:00,360
it up y because there's really no personnel reason to

750
00:35:00,440 --> 00:35:03,000
go ahead and bet this game is heavily to the

751
00:35:03,079 --> 00:35:06,639
over as they. Have LIKE i SAY i said, earlier

752
00:35:06,679 --> 00:35:10,880
it's definitely due To portland being hot lately offensively the

753
00:35:10,920 --> 00:35:15,079
better offensive. Team there was no earlier meeting between the,

754
00:35:15,119 --> 00:35:17,199
two so we don't even have recent history to go

755
00:35:17,280 --> 00:35:20,440
on as of. Yet at this point in, TIME i

756
00:35:20,440 --> 00:35:23,519
don't know THAT i would get, involved as Is ski

757
00:35:23,599 --> 00:35:25,320
AND i like to say on his, show you don't

758
00:35:25,320 --> 00:35:27,159
want to take the ass end of the line, Here

759
00:35:27,599 --> 00:35:31,320
so probably passed at this point in. Time but congratulations

760
00:35:31,360 --> 00:35:33,199
to those who have their closing line value with this.

761
00:35:33,280 --> 00:35:36,559
Speaker 3: Total no kidding and talk about SOME clv on A.

762
00:35:36,800 --> 00:35:39,920
Saturday let's keep it going right off the. Top this

763
00:35:40,000 --> 00:35:44,039
game is tipping off a lesson twenty four Minutes, Wisconsin.

764
00:35:44,239 --> 00:35:48,320
Indiana the very top of The odds logic screen here

765
00:35:48,360 --> 00:35:51,800
four and a half was the opener one fifty five

766
00:35:51,880 --> 00:35:55,199
and a. Half this one's lighting up like crazy one

767
00:35:55,320 --> 00:35:59,679
fifty eight now currently the total dropping down on the

768
00:35:59,719 --> 00:36:03,800
who down to even two and a half here In

769
00:36:04,039 --> 00:36:07,159
florida at the Hard rock kind of some Crazy Steam adam.

770
00:36:07,320 --> 00:36:08,880
Breakdown This big ten matchup for.

771
00:36:08,880 --> 00:36:13,880
Speaker 7: Me, yeah probably something to do With Tayton connorway being.

772
00:36:13,960 --> 00:36:16,119
OUT i THINK i saw that come across that he's

773
00:36:16,159 --> 00:36:20,880
probably out for. TODAY i don't know that that matters a.

774
00:36:20,920 --> 00:36:23,679
Ton they've played without him at times this. YEAR i

775
00:36:23,719 --> 00:36:26,679
thought they've been. Fine that being, SAID i do like

776
00:36:26,719 --> 00:36:29,519
the spot For Wisconsin i've. Got i've got a list

777
00:36:29,559 --> 00:36:33,159
of seventeen games Here Cal i've played four of. Them

778
00:36:33,519 --> 00:36:38,199
there's thirteen That i'm still thinking. About wisconsin is one

779
00:36:38,239 --> 00:36:41,800
of those thirteen that you, KNOW i bet Against indiana

780
00:36:41,880 --> 00:36:45,639
last week or in their last. GAME usc got the

781
00:36:45,719 --> 00:36:48,760
job done in that. GAME i didn't necessarily Think indiana

782
00:36:49,519 --> 00:36:51,920
like played. POORLY i just THOUGHT usc had one of

783
00:36:51,920 --> 00:36:56,280
their better. Games, Now indiana was Out west for that whole.

784
00:36:56,280 --> 00:37:00,000
Week they played ucla double. Overtime they win that, Game

785
00:37:00,079 --> 00:37:03,760
they turn, around ran out kind of actually didn't really

786
00:37:03,800 --> 00:37:05,400
run out of. Gas they made a run late to

787
00:37:05,440 --> 00:37:09,119
nearly steal it fell just short AGAINST. Usc wisconsin said

788
00:37:09,159 --> 00:37:11,920
the whole week to sort of rest and prepare for this.

789
00:37:12,000 --> 00:37:16,119
Game now you Take connorway out For, indiana it's not

790
00:37:16,239 --> 00:37:19,519
the worst matchup up For wisconsin BECAUSE i do think

791
00:37:19,559 --> 00:37:22,119
they'll Force indiana into some tougher, shots and that is

792
00:37:22,199 --> 00:37:24,400
the you know the thing With. Indiana if you can make,

793
00:37:24,440 --> 00:37:28,880
them you, know shoot tougher shots that you know that

794
00:37:28,880 --> 00:37:32,400
that can be a path to. Victory you, know the

795
00:37:32,440 --> 00:37:35,239
game is at home where they shoot it. Better and

796
00:37:35,360 --> 00:37:37,519
again that would be like the angle For. Indiana i've

797
00:37:37,599 --> 00:37:39,280
kind of looked to play on them at home this

798
00:37:39,400 --> 00:37:41,440
year because of, that BECAUSE i feel like they make

799
00:37:41,480 --> 00:37:44,320
more shots at. Home but for me here It's wisconsin Or.

800
00:37:44,320 --> 00:37:46,599
Pass now you Take connorway, out AND i think it's

801
00:37:46,639 --> 00:37:48,320
a pretty strong lean to The badgers for.

802
00:37:48,360 --> 00:37:51,239
Speaker 1: Me All, right another early game in The Big. Ten

803
00:37:51,280 --> 00:37:52,000
we're gonna kick it To.

804
00:37:52,039 --> 00:37:55,559
Speaker 3: Robno six, eleven six twelve here on The Odds loges,

805
00:37:55,599 --> 00:38:00,000
Screen nebraska open up twelve and a. Half still sitting, there, Steady,

806
00:38:00,000 --> 00:38:02,840
hey this total got steamed to oblivion as. Well open

807
00:38:02,880 --> 00:38:06,000
one forty one and a half now one forty five

808
00:38:06,119 --> 00:38:09,440
there at The westgate Super. BOOK i know you do

809
00:38:09,480 --> 00:38:11,960
a lot with, Totals, rob AND i appreciate. IT i

810
00:38:11,960 --> 00:38:15,800
think this total's probably. Unbettable at this, point we mentioned

811
00:38:15,800 --> 00:38:18,840
this case eight team and how they Took nebraska on

812
00:38:18,880 --> 00:38:23,599
a neutral. Court to the, End nebraska has went one

813
00:38:23,679 --> 00:38:28,039
direction since that, game and it has been all to the.

814
00:38:28,079 --> 00:38:30,800
Moon at what point in time are we paying too

815
00:38:30,840 --> 00:38:32,199
much of our premiums about this? Team?

816
00:38:32,239 --> 00:38:35,480
Speaker 8: Though, Well i'm so glad this question came up killed

817
00:38:35,480 --> 00:38:38,039
Because i'm thinking to, MYSELF i probably shouldn't have done

818
00:38:38,079 --> 00:38:40,280
this to the three of. Us this is my parlay

819
00:38:40,360 --> 00:38:43,599
leg and it goes at, twelve and it's already like

820
00:38:43,800 --> 00:38:45,960
twenty minutes to, twelve so you want to make sure

821
00:38:46,039 --> 00:38:47,480
everybody gets in.

822
00:38:47,519 --> 00:38:49,360
Speaker 5: Here BUT i played The nebraska team.

823
00:38:49,440 --> 00:38:51,920
Speaker 8: TOTAL i isolated this one over seventy eight and a,

824
00:38:51,960 --> 00:38:54,280
half a team that's coming off a couple of back

825
00:38:54,320 --> 00:38:57,679
to back losses here and in the words of head

826
00:38:57,719 --> 00:38:59,599
Coach Fred, hoiberg.

827
00:38:59,599 --> 00:39:01,760
Speaker 5: We need to get, right we need to get.

828
00:39:01,800 --> 00:39:04,719
Speaker 8: Better the layoff a lot of these head coaches were

829
00:39:04,719 --> 00:39:08,639
talking about the week. LAYOFF sec, Coaches big ten coaches

830
00:39:09,199 --> 00:39:12,480
had seven days, off and a lot of them were

831
00:39:12,559 --> 00:39:15,360
happy that they had time to get their teams. Healthier

832
00:39:15,639 --> 00:39:18,119
this is one head coach who is happy mainly Because

833
00:39:18,199 --> 00:39:20,960
rank mask has had some time to get, healthier missed the,

834
00:39:21,000 --> 00:39:24,480
game didn't play well in that most recent game that they,

835
00:39:24,599 --> 00:39:28,320
played but now should be good. Here hoiberg's calling for

836
00:39:28,360 --> 00:39:31,719
this to be a get right game and there's probably

837
00:39:31,760 --> 00:39:36,079
no better team to get right offensively Against. Dan, rutgers

838
00:39:36,079 --> 00:39:39,039
which is such a poor defensive team right, now lost

839
00:39:39,039 --> 00:39:42,440
six in a, row allowing eighty five a. Game in

840
00:39:42,480 --> 00:39:45,320
that six game. Skid Steve, pikel their head, coach just,

841
00:39:45,360 --> 00:39:47,800
says you, know we're young and still, learning seven freshmen

842
00:39:47,840 --> 00:39:50,719
on the. Squad it shows up every Time rutgers takes

843
00:39:50,719 --> 00:39:53,239
the floyd that they can't. Defend last game AGAINST, UCLA

844
00:39:53,239 --> 00:39:55,320
i think they gave up ninety nine or something. Crazy

845
00:39:55,760 --> 00:39:58,880
so for me it Was nebraska team total over seventy

846
00:39:58,880 --> 00:40:01,280
eight and a, half and for us that number didn't.

847
00:40:01,360 --> 00:40:03,719
Move the full game total has, moved but the seventy

848
00:40:03,760 --> 00:40:05,880
eight has seventy eight and a half is stayed. Steady

849
00:40:06,400 --> 00:40:08,199
it'll be my parlay leg for the three of us

850
00:40:08,239 --> 00:40:11,000
year In nebraska team total over seventy eight and a

851
00:40:11,000 --> 00:40:12,360
half and it goes in about twenty.

852
00:40:12,360 --> 00:40:16,000
Speaker 3: Minutes, Okay Adam, Trigger i'm just gonna go right over

853
00:40:16,039 --> 00:40:18,679
to you while we're waiting on some more questions here

854
00:40:18,719 --> 00:40:22,280
and THEN i got another total For Rob. Veno give

855
00:40:22,320 --> 00:40:25,119
me your par leg for. Today i'll give you guys

856
00:40:25,119 --> 00:40:26,800
mind as well before the end of the. Show but

857
00:40:26,840 --> 00:40:30,360
we got some time for, mine all, Right i'll give

858
00:40:30,360 --> 00:40:32,679
out one of my four best. Bets i'm on my

859
00:40:32,719 --> 00:40:35,320
way to this game in a couple. Hours i'm back

860
00:40:35,360 --> 00:40:36,039
in The Alba mater.

861
00:40:36,119 --> 00:40:38,440
Speaker 7: Today i've barely done that this, year so it's not

862
00:40:38,599 --> 00:40:41,719
Like I've i've really played On sienna a, ton, Honestly

863
00:40:41,760 --> 00:40:44,239
they've it's been hard to find really good spots to

864
00:40:44,280 --> 00:40:47,400
play On sienna because there's they've been. Winning they've won

865
00:40:47,440 --> 00:40:51,440
six in a. Row they're starting to sort of find

866
00:40:51,599 --> 00:40:54,480
the you know the, water find the level you know

867
00:40:55,199 --> 00:40:58,239
quote where it's like this was always WHAT i think

868
00:40:58,280 --> 00:41:01,119
most people Expected siena would be this, year near the

869
00:41:01,119 --> 00:41:03,719
top of the. Mac now they Trail merrimack by a half.

870
00:41:03,760 --> 00:41:06,480
Game this is actually a huge game In Jersey city this.

871
00:41:06,599 --> 00:41:09,079
Afternoon Saint peter's is right up there with. Them so

872
00:41:09,159 --> 00:41:12,199
really you Have, merrimack who's who's held on to First

873
00:41:12,440 --> 00:41:15,519
Sianna Saint peter's for second. Place it's a really big

874
00:41:15,519 --> 00:41:17,840
game AND i just you're Getting sienna at a pick,

875
00:41:17,880 --> 00:41:20,719
here and WHEN i look at these two, teams to,

876
00:41:20,800 --> 00:41:24,519
Me sienna is still the clear better. Option Saint peter's struggles,

877
00:41:24,559 --> 00:41:27,920
offensively like the one thing they can do is throw

878
00:41:27,960 --> 00:41:31,320
a couple different defenses At, sienna namely a. Zone sienna's

879
00:41:31,480 --> 00:41:34,440
very much struggled with zone this year at. Times BUT

880
00:41:35,360 --> 00:41:37,320
i do think they've gotten a little bit better in

881
00:41:37,360 --> 00:41:39,280
that in that, Regard whereas if you went back to

882
00:41:39,360 --> 00:41:42,199
early in the, season if you threw a decent zone At,

883
00:41:42,239 --> 00:41:44,519
sienna they they couldn't get much offense going at. All,

884
00:41:44,880 --> 00:41:47,960
Now Gavin doti's sort of figured, out you, know not

885
00:41:48,119 --> 00:41:51,079
to just totally dribble into the. Zone Brandon coyle started

886
00:41:51,079 --> 00:41:54,280
to hit more, shots and the freshman full of, fact

887
00:41:54,519 --> 00:41:57,360
who no one really knew who he was coming into

888
00:41:57,360 --> 00:41:59,960
the year because he was Behind Tasman, goodrick who's now

889
00:42:00,039 --> 00:42:01,880
out for the year with a knee. Injury he was

890
00:42:01,920 --> 00:42:06,440
Behind Riley moby who transfers From. Iowa he's been arguably

891
00:42:06,440 --> 00:42:10,199
the best big and he's played tremendous For, Sienna and

892
00:42:10,239 --> 00:42:13,639
because he's so strong and so, physical it almost doesn't

893
00:42:13,639 --> 00:42:15,719
matter if he z OWNED. Cna at this, point because

894
00:42:15,719 --> 00:42:17,400
they can get the ball into him and he's able

895
00:42:17,440 --> 00:42:20,320
to make something. Happen If Saint peter's goes, Man Gavin

896
00:42:20,360 --> 00:42:22,639
dotie's going to torch. THEM i just don't think they

897
00:42:22,679 --> 00:42:24,920
have the offense to keep up With, cienna who's been

898
00:42:24,960 --> 00:42:28,079
the most efficient offense in the. Map it's only a.

899
00:42:28,119 --> 00:42:31,360
Pick that's, disrespectful Kel i'm gonna make sure they know

900
00:42:31,440 --> 00:42:33,000
it When i'm there in an hour and a. Half

901
00:42:33,159 --> 00:42:36,360
that's a disrespectful. Line sianna is gonna win In Jersey city.

902
00:42:36,360 --> 00:42:39,280
Today four percent Play all, right let's keep it.

903
00:42:39,320 --> 00:42:41,960
Speaker 3: Going cade did not give me a rotation, number but

904
00:42:42,000 --> 00:42:42,719
neither of the rest of.

905
00:42:42,719 --> 00:42:44,119
Speaker 1: You so we're just gonna start going through some of

906
00:42:44,159 --> 00:42:46,400
these THAT i can at least find on My Odds loger.

907
00:42:46,400 --> 00:42:48,880
Speaker 3: Screen he thinks in total is too low here at,

908
00:42:48,920 --> 00:42:51,320
one it's even one forty in some spots here on

909
00:42:51,360 --> 00:42:54,679
The Odds augier, Screen robino rotation number six fifty nine

910
00:42:54,880 --> 00:42:58,119
six Sixty Missouri state At.

911
00:42:58,280 --> 00:42:58,760
Speaker 1: Liberty.

912
00:43:00,119 --> 00:43:03,599
Speaker 8: Yeah i've always come to the, Conclusion, kelly that saying

913
00:43:03,599 --> 00:43:06,480
any total is too low When Kwanzo martin is involved

914
00:43:06,519 --> 00:43:10,320
as your head coach is probably not a good code

915
00:43:10,320 --> 00:43:10,679
to live.

916
00:43:10,719 --> 00:43:12,880
Speaker 5: By Obviously quonzo.

917
00:43:13,000 --> 00:43:17,199
Speaker 8: Here Missouri state has BEEN i think better than expectations this,

918
00:43:17,280 --> 00:43:20,760
year but still they lean on the defensive. Side liberty

919
00:43:20,840 --> 00:43:22,880
is such a shot making. Team that's the, problem. Right

920
00:43:23,000 --> 00:43:27,880
richie McKay's team very pedestrian like on. Offense but, man

921
00:43:27,920 --> 00:43:30,039
they're so efficient and they make, shots and sometimes it

922
00:43:30,039 --> 00:43:31,800
doesn't matter how slow you go if you're going to.

923
00:43:31,880 --> 00:43:35,119
Score who cares, anyway that's the problem you run into.

924
00:43:35,199 --> 00:43:38,159
Here If liberty has a hot shooting, day this probably gets.

925
00:43:38,239 --> 00:43:40,639
OVER i don't know that they have it against The

926
00:43:40,639 --> 00:43:43,320
Missouri state defense, though so for, ME i can make

927
00:43:43,360 --> 00:43:45,159
contradictory arguments to both sides.

928
00:43:45,199 --> 00:43:47,360
Speaker 5: Here not SOMETHING i want to get involved.

929
00:43:47,400 --> 00:43:49,840
Speaker 8: With but for the third time, Today i'll Say i'm

930
00:43:49,880 --> 00:43:51,800
not here to talk anybody off of what they, like

931
00:43:52,599 --> 00:43:54,360
just telling you THAT i can't find a real good

932
00:43:54,480 --> 00:43:54,880
edge in this.

933
00:43:54,960 --> 00:43:58,119
Speaker 3: Game you, Know that's the interesting thing, Here rob AND

934
00:43:58,119 --> 00:43:59,480
i want to touch on that BECAUSE vr AND i

935
00:43:59,519 --> 00:44:02,159
talk about it a lot to start the.

936
00:44:02,199 --> 00:44:04,320
Speaker 1: Show BUT i do think that it's kind of.

937
00:44:05,360 --> 00:44:08,079
Speaker 3: Okay SO i got basically twenty plays from The westgates Super.

938
00:44:08,079 --> 00:44:09,639
Book i'll drop them in the chat again because now

939
00:44:09,639 --> 00:44:12,679
there's almost five thousand of you guys. Watching i'm not

940
00:44:12,719 --> 00:44:15,840
gonna sit here and, try especially with some of these smaller,

941
00:44:15,880 --> 00:44:18,119
schools to try to, Differentiate, Right i'm just gonna tail

942
00:44:18,480 --> 00:44:22,239
every single. Week it's been profitable the. End, right when

943
00:44:22,320 --> 00:44:25,679
there are this many college basketball? Games what is your

944
00:44:25,719 --> 00:44:28,440
advice to these guys trying to sift? Through, Right Like,

945
00:44:28,760 --> 00:44:31,079
Adam i've talked about this. Before, Obviously i'm gonna get

946
00:44:31,119 --> 00:44:33,320
you guys my play from The Big. TWELVE i focus

947
00:44:33,360 --> 00:44:36,119
on The Big, ten The Big, twelve THE, sec a

948
00:44:36,119 --> 00:44:38,159
little bit OF acc and WHEN i lived In, VEGAS

949
00:44:38,199 --> 00:44:40,639
i really like The Mountain West conference for college basketball

950
00:44:41,639 --> 00:44:44,599
for guys like you And adam that have to go

951
00:44:44,679 --> 00:44:48,960
through three hundred college basketball teams and to try to

952
00:44:49,800 --> 00:44:53,920
really hone in this late into the season for me

953
00:44:54,079 --> 00:44:54,679
has been really.

954
00:44:54,679 --> 00:44:55,119
Speaker 1: Difficult.

955
00:44:55,159 --> 00:44:57,840
Speaker 3: RIGHT i was On Radio row In San francisco all

956
00:44:57,880 --> 00:44:59,480
week and they're, like give us a college basketball play.

957
00:44:59,480 --> 00:45:01,679
Speaker 1: Today i'm, like do you? Think do you think?

958
00:45:01,719 --> 00:45:05,280
Speaker 3: Me i've had any time to even look at the

959
00:45:05,320 --> 00:45:09,360
college basketball, Slate AND i used to always wait until

960
00:45:09,400 --> 00:45:11,679
college football season was. OVER i was, like college basketball

961
00:45:11,719 --> 00:45:14,199
love conference. PLAY i don't need to be doing college

962
00:45:14,199 --> 00:45:17,360
basketball In. November, no the reality is right, now you

963
00:45:17,440 --> 00:45:20,039
better be starting college basketball In september because with the

964
00:45:20,039 --> 00:45:21,360
transferporter the coaching.

965
00:45:21,440 --> 00:45:21,840
Speaker 1: Changes.

966
00:45:22,280 --> 00:45:25,599
Speaker 3: Nil it is a completely different landscape to handicap than

967
00:45:25,599 --> 00:45:26,440
it was a decade.

968
00:45:26,440 --> 00:45:30,199
Speaker 5: Ago oh, yeah, question go, Ahead, adam you.

969
00:45:30,239 --> 00:45:32,679
Speaker 7: GO i was just gonna, SAY i can't wait till

970
00:45:32,719 --> 00:45:35,599
all the pros stroll in On monday once football is,

971
00:45:35,639 --> 00:45:36,559
done because you know that's.

972
00:45:36,599 --> 00:45:38,000
Speaker 5: Coming you know that's.

973
00:45:38,079 --> 00:45:41,719
Speaker 7: Coming everyone's gonna go to College basketball expert next, week

974
00:45:42,079 --> 00:45:43,440
so just be ready for.

975
00:45:43,480 --> 00:45:43,840
Speaker 1: That go.

976
00:45:43,880 --> 00:45:47,719
Speaker 8: AHEAD i would say real quick that The Full Court

977
00:45:47,800 --> 00:45:49,280
Press show was a huge help this.

978
00:45:49,400 --> 00:45:51,239
Speaker 5: Year. Kelly i'm kind of with you that.

979
00:45:51,400 --> 00:45:53,800
Speaker 8: SEASONS i don't, know Maybe i'm just getting old or

980
00:45:53,840 --> 00:45:57,320
OBVIOUSLY i, am but it seems like they overlap quicker

981
00:45:57,360 --> 00:46:00,360
and quicker every single, year and it's so hard, artists

982
00:46:00,360 --> 00:46:02,960
like you're in the sixth week of college football in

983
00:46:03,079 --> 00:46:06,440
college hoop is already at their midnight you, know shoot around,

984
00:46:06,440 --> 00:46:08,960
midnight man this, whatever and it's about to start doing

985
00:46:08,960 --> 00:46:10,880
The Full Court Press. SHOW i had, taken in all,

986
00:46:10,920 --> 00:46:15,199
HONESTY i had Taken November december off the last two,

987
00:46:15,239 --> 00:46:19,119
years just played, very very sporadically and waited Till january

988
00:46:19,199 --> 00:46:21,880
BECAUSE i couldn't keep full focus AND i used to

989
00:46:21,960 --> 00:46:24,320
keep really good focused power ratings on three hundred and

990
00:46:24,360 --> 00:46:26,400
sixty five, teams et. Cetera but doing the show With,

991
00:46:26,480 --> 00:46:29,719
adam it's kind of you, know we come, out we

992
00:46:29,760 --> 00:46:31,320
know a lot about what we're talking, about but it's

993
00:46:31,320 --> 00:46:33,679
still a learning process for guys like. Me like you

994
00:46:33,800 --> 00:46:37,480
mentioned the, nil the, transfers et, cetera et. CETERA i

995
00:46:37,519 --> 00:46:39,800
think you have to have a passion for these mid.

996
00:46:39,880 --> 00:46:42,199
MAJORS i Think adam AND i both. Do that's why

997
00:46:42,199 --> 00:46:42,639
we follow.

998
00:46:42,719 --> 00:46:43,679
Speaker 5: Them but to.

999
00:46:43,719 --> 00:46:46,639
Speaker 8: Your, point, yeah it's. Difficult it really is. Difficult it's

1000
00:46:46,679 --> 00:46:49,280
a lot of. Work sometimes my wife will be, like

1001
00:46:49,320 --> 00:46:51,239
are you ever coming out of that? Office, Yeah i'll

1002
00:46:51,239 --> 00:46:51,639
get up.

1003
00:46:51,719 --> 00:46:55,280
Speaker 5: There, eventually we'll watch something On. NETFLIX i, mean.

1004
00:46:55,239 --> 00:46:58,239
Speaker 3: What anything my office is getting done right? Now Because brut's, like,

1005
00:46:58,239 --> 00:47:01,440
oh football season's, Over. Kelly kelly hasn't even doing hardly

1006
00:47:01,480 --> 00:47:03,639
anything with college. BASKETBALL i think you forgot about last.

1007
00:47:03,760 --> 00:47:05,760
Speaker 7: All why do You why do you Think i'm in

1008
00:47:05,800 --> 00:47:08,599
a hotel room In Jersey city right. NOW i could

1009
00:47:08,599 --> 00:47:11,199
have stayed at my buddy's house In. WESTCHESTER i started

1010
00:47:11,199 --> 00:47:14,360
to do the math Because I'm i'm hanging out with

1011
00:47:14,400 --> 00:47:16,679
some of The siena guys this. WEEKEND i started doing

1012
00:47:16,719 --> 00:47:19,880
the math AND i, said you, know If i'm going

1013
00:47:19,920 --> 00:47:22,559
to the, city AND i got to get To Jersey

1014
00:47:22,559 --> 00:47:26,000
city by two o'clock And i've got like seven hours

1015
00:47:26,000 --> 00:47:27,920
of at least college.

1016
00:47:27,920 --> 00:47:29,280
Speaker 5: Basketball i've been up since five.

1017
00:47:29,320 --> 00:47:32,119
Speaker 7: AM i did go downstairs for breakfast, though other than,

1018
00:47:32,159 --> 00:47:35,000
That i've been up since five, am you, Know and

1019
00:47:35,039 --> 00:47:36,840
then i got to do this, show and THEN i

1020
00:47:36,920 --> 00:47:39,320
might have like there's just no. Time so that's the other,

1021
00:47:39,360 --> 00:47:42,840
thing Rob. BY i we just like, eat, sleep breath.

1022
00:47:42,920 --> 00:47:45,320
This IF i have any free, Time i'm probably at a.

1023
00:47:45,360 --> 00:47:48,559
GAME i wasn't The garden last, night. Phenomenal Saint john's

1024
00:47:48,559 --> 00:47:51,519
fans showed up as good AS i can ever. Remember

1025
00:47:51,559 --> 00:47:54,559
it was All Saint john's, fans all The yukon fans

1026
00:47:54,559 --> 00:47:56,599
that are like Like Joey cheese is like its Stores.

1027
00:47:56,679 --> 00:47:59,280
Speaker 5: South it wasn't last, night Cal it was All Saint john's.

1028
00:47:59,280 --> 00:48:01,800
Speaker 7: Fans but you got to really like love, IT i,

1029
00:48:01,840 --> 00:48:05,119
think or it's, YEAH i GUESS i agree with rob.

1030
00:48:05,159 --> 00:48:08,480
Speaker 1: There, okay SO i have a question personally for you guys.

1031
00:48:09,920 --> 00:48:13,480
Speaker 3: Going back to, coaching going back to Nil Calvin sampson

1032
00:48:13,679 --> 00:48:14,320
kind Of.

1033
00:48:15,000 --> 00:48:16,360
Speaker 1: Okay i'm gonna say this with a grain of.

1034
00:48:16,360 --> 00:48:19,639
Speaker 3: Salt SOMETIMES i believe what coaches say in THE nfl

1035
00:48:19,719 --> 00:48:21,320
college but, well and SOMETIMES i think they're just kind

1036
00:48:21,320 --> 00:48:25,000
of blowing. Smoke so There's Calvin samson basically Like houston's,

1037
00:48:25,079 --> 00:48:27,000
broke we can't afford.

1038
00:48:27,280 --> 00:48:28,719
Speaker 1: YadA, YadA, YadA YadA.

1039
00:48:28,760 --> 00:48:34,360
Speaker 3: YadA so Now i'm, going wait a, minute are they

1040
00:48:34,440 --> 00:48:37,840
LIKE i want to lay it With houston tonight on

1041
00:48:37,880 --> 00:48:41,239
the road as my best, Bet But i'm over too

1042
00:48:41,280 --> 00:48:43,960
now on my parlay legs for you, guys and that's

1043
00:48:44,039 --> 00:48:44,280
just not.

1044
00:48:44,400 --> 00:48:46,440
Speaker 1: Acceptable SO i wanted to run this one by.

1045
00:48:46,480 --> 00:48:48,079
Speaker 3: YOU i think this is kind of one of those

1046
00:48:48,119 --> 00:48:50,920
spots where everybody's gonna want to back the home dog IN.

1047
00:48:51,159 --> 00:48:53,480
Speaker 1: Byu but this is still A.

1048
00:48:53,440 --> 00:48:56,440
Speaker 3: Houston cougar steam who has been full steam ahead in

1049
00:48:56,519 --> 00:49:00,920
conference action minus At Texas tech. Game, Right samson is

1050
00:49:00,960 --> 00:49:03,760
still one of the best coaches in the. COUNTRY i

1051
00:49:03,840 --> 00:49:07,400
Know ski would be screaming from the mountaintops just take.

1052
00:49:07,480 --> 00:49:08,360
Speaker 1: Them first.

1053
00:49:08,400 --> 00:49:13,039
Speaker 3: Half thoughts on laying minus one and a half here

1054
00:49:13,119 --> 00:49:15,880
on the road With houston arguably one of the best

1055
00:49:15,920 --> 00:49:17,440
backwards in the country.

1056
00:49:18,159 --> 00:49:18,920
Speaker 5: Well real, quick.

1057
00:49:18,960 --> 00:49:22,360
Speaker 8: KEL i Saw Kelvin sampson's, rant AND i did on

1058
00:49:22,480 --> 00:49:24,880
the show yesterday With ski we were off, air AND i,

1059
00:49:24,920 --> 00:49:27,000
said why don't you just dig into those pockets and

1060
00:49:27,079 --> 00:49:30,239
Help houston out and get them some nil kids That

1061
00:49:30,320 --> 00:49:34,320
Kelvin sampson can't. Get he's probably, not you, KNOW byu

1062
00:49:34,360 --> 00:49:37,039
made the firm commitment a couple of years ago where

1063
00:49:37,079 --> 00:49:40,639
they were going to pay kids and handsomely so they

1064
00:49:40,800 --> 00:49:43,719
they've actually made the jump in that. League but right,

1065
00:49:43,760 --> 00:49:45,960
now where this game is, Concerned first of, all Where

1066
00:49:46,400 --> 00:49:50,159
Kelvin sampson is. Concerned this guy will find, anything AND

1067
00:49:50,239 --> 00:49:54,119
i mean anything motivationally to fuel, himself to fuel his,

1068
00:49:54,280 --> 00:49:58,719
team call ourselves, broke whatever it takes to get them to.

1069
00:49:58,760 --> 00:50:01,840
Play it's interesting to see them this year as the

1070
00:50:01,920 --> 00:50:04,639
most offensively efficient team in The big twelve.

1071
00:50:04,679 --> 00:50:05,719
Speaker 5: Wins the last time that ever.

1072
00:50:05,760 --> 00:50:09,599
Speaker 8: Happened generally It's, houston can't you hit water standing in

1073
00:50:09,599 --> 00:50:11,719
a boat in the, Ocean but this year they make,

1074
00:50:11,760 --> 00:50:15,679
shots plenty of offensive, weaponry and with A byu side is,

1075
00:50:15,719 --> 00:50:18,039
Concerned here's WHAT i worry about with. Them adam has

1076
00:50:18,079 --> 00:50:20,880
talked about this With william And mary a little bit

1077
00:50:20,920 --> 00:50:24,639
because of the pace they. Play but WITH, BYU i

1078
00:50:24,800 --> 00:50:28,519
just wonder if this grinder through The big twelve and

1079
00:50:28,559 --> 00:50:30,960
they've played some tough. Teams they've got four losses in

1080
00:50:31,000 --> 00:50:34,800
this league already because they played, tough tough. COMPETITION i

1081
00:50:34,840 --> 00:50:37,840
wonder if because they're so depth, shy that it doesn't

1082
00:50:38,159 --> 00:50:40,880
wear on them at this point of the season that,

1083
00:50:41,000 --> 00:50:43,800
place The Marriott center is a difficult as difficult as

1084
00:50:43,840 --> 00:50:44,800
any place to play and.

1085
00:50:44,880 --> 00:50:48,480
Speaker 5: WIN i don't. KNOW i would kind of Lean houston here.

1086
00:50:48,519 --> 00:50:50,400
MYSELF i know it's.

1087
00:50:49,880 --> 00:50:53,159
Speaker 8: A must game almost FOR byu with four league, losses

1088
00:50:53,760 --> 00:50:55,639
BUT i just think That houston at this point in,

1089
00:50:55,679 --> 00:50:58,119
time WHERE byu might be a little bit, fatigue that's

1090
00:50:58,119 --> 00:51:00,840
starting five and they're gonna come at you for all forty.

1091
00:51:00,880 --> 00:51:02,840
Speaker 5: Minutes so for, Me i'd slightly Being.

1092
00:51:02,920 --> 00:51:06,320
Speaker 3: Houston AND i do BECAUSE i, Agree LIKE i Took

1093
00:51:06,480 --> 00:51:08,840
Kelvin sampson the same way that you. Did you know

1094
00:51:09,000 --> 00:51:10,880
THAT i, thought all, right he's just trying to light

1095
00:51:10,920 --> 00:51:13,639
a fire nurse team's. Ass like he's just, like oh we're,

1096
00:51:13,679 --> 00:51:16,480
Broke oh we're poor in, Destitute oh poor us like

1097
00:51:17,199 --> 00:51:19,760
and then basically it's a it's a muss one FOR.

1098
00:51:19,800 --> 00:51:22,000
Speaker 1: BYU i think everybody's gonna want to take the home dog.

1099
00:51:22,039 --> 00:51:24,159
Speaker 3: There it looks so easy to take The cougars there at,

1100
00:51:24,199 --> 00:51:25,679
home who have now dropped three.

1101
00:51:25,719 --> 00:51:28,519
Speaker 1: Straight so my leg at the parlay is lay one

1102
00:51:28,519 --> 00:51:29,119
and a half on the.

1103
00:51:29,199 --> 00:51:31,119
Speaker 3: Road you know WHAT i should. DO i should go

1104
00:51:31,159 --> 00:51:33,039
on My Odds logic screen and look at the money.

1105
00:51:33,039 --> 00:51:35,440
Line if it's minus one thirty or, LESS i think

1106
00:51:35,480 --> 00:51:37,360
it's probably the right move to.

1107
00:51:37,599 --> 00:51:41,239
Speaker 1: Take i'm gonna double check that's all the way down

1108
00:51:41,239 --> 00:51:41,719
at bottom of.

1109
00:51:41,719 --> 00:51:44,480
Speaker 8: It take It's i's see only one fifteen in most.

1110
00:51:44,519 --> 00:51:47,320
Speaker 3: Places, Really, okay so we're gonna walk that. Back we're

1111
00:51:47,360 --> 00:51:49,119
not laying one and a half here With houston. Tonight

1112
00:51:49,159 --> 00:51:52,440
we're gona laying minus one fifteen on the money line

1113
00:51:52,960 --> 00:51:54,119
as my leg for the.

1114
00:51:54,159 --> 00:51:56,679
Speaker 1: Parlay Johnny detroit wants to know how many people are watching.

1115
00:51:56,719 --> 00:52:01,679
Speaker 3: Live almost six, thousand very very very close to six fifty,

1116
00:52:01,880 --> 00:52:07,159
nine one hundred and eighty watching you guys, Live adam

1117
00:52:07,199 --> 00:52:09,639
trigger any game that you want to break, Down lots of,

1118
00:52:10,480 --> 00:52:13,400
chat lots of guys complaining in the chat that like

1119
00:52:13,639 --> 00:52:15,880
when they open up their sports betting, app it doesn't

1120
00:52:15,880 --> 00:52:17,639
have the rotation number because they just.

1121
00:52:17,840 --> 00:52:18,960
Speaker 1: Don't that's WHY i need you.

1122
00:52:19,000 --> 00:52:20,719
Speaker 3: Guys even if you guys go to The Free Wager

1123
00:52:20,760 --> 00:52:23,360
Talk live odd screen type in the team, name give

1124
00:52:23,360 --> 00:52:26,239
me the rotation number on a daylight today when there's

1125
00:52:26,280 --> 00:52:28,320
a bazillion of these things come on guys LIKE i

1126
00:52:28,400 --> 00:52:28,840
need your.

1127
00:52:28,880 --> 00:52:33,559
Speaker 7: Help, yeah that the apps replace the rotation number with

1128
00:52:33,679 --> 00:52:36,320
like a search, Function so now all the apps have

1129
00:52:36,360 --> 00:52:39,000
the search, function so there's like no need For, yeah

1130
00:52:39,039 --> 00:52:40,679
it doesn't help us when we're trying to sift through

1131
00:52:40,679 --> 00:52:43,920
one hundred and fifty five. Games What i'll do, This

1132
00:52:44,000 --> 00:52:48,599
i'm Gonna i'm gonna read the parlay quick just because

1133
00:52:48,679 --> 00:52:50,519
there's this game is going to start in like five.

1134
00:52:50,559 --> 00:52:53,639
Minutes so the three, teamer our three teamer for the

1135
00:52:53,679 --> 00:52:56,880
show is going to Be nebraska team total over seventy

1136
00:52:56,880 --> 00:52:58,920
eight and a. Half and then we've Got sienna on

1137
00:52:58,960 --> 00:53:02,079
the money, line and then we've Got houston on the money.

1138
00:53:02,079 --> 00:53:04,599
Line so that's a three team. Er you got minus

1139
00:53:04,599 --> 00:53:07,559
one fifteen juice on two of. Those i'll you, know,

1140
00:53:07,719 --> 00:53:10,280
obviously shop, around get the mess, Number i'll calculate the,

1141
00:53:10,280 --> 00:53:13,199
price and we'll recap it On monday. Morning we kind

1142
00:53:13,199 --> 00:53:15,239
of need this one to get back right around even

1143
00:53:15,320 --> 00:53:19,599
for the Parlay.

1144
00:53:18,440 --> 00:53:20,559
Speaker 1: Kelly kelly is not.

1145
00:53:20,639 --> 00:53:24,360
Speaker 7: Good we were really close to being back to even

1146
00:53:24,400 --> 00:53:26,559
like earlier this, week and then we had some bad

1147
00:53:26,679 --> 00:53:29,000
luck on a couple of. Them but since you're giving

1148
00:53:29,000 --> 00:53:31,239
me the floor And i've Got i'm gonna have a

1149
00:53:31,239 --> 00:53:33,239
bunch of plays, Today Like i've already got four locked

1150
00:53:33,239 --> 00:53:35,440
in on the package With rob and you, know for,

1151
00:53:35,599 --> 00:53:38,840
CLIENTS i will likely add at least one, more two.

1152
00:53:38,920 --> 00:53:41,039
More there's one hundred and fifty five. Games what are

1153
00:53:41,079 --> 00:53:43,880
we supposed to? Do they gave us zero games yesterday

1154
00:53:44,039 --> 00:53:46,840
and zero games, tomorrow so it's it's gonna be one

1155
00:53:46,840 --> 00:53:48,840
of those days where you've got a huge. Slate So

1156
00:53:48,880 --> 00:53:51,519
i'll give a second client. Playout it's another early. TIP

1157
00:53:52,039 --> 00:53:54,800
i also don't feel like writing this. Up i've got

1158
00:53:54,800 --> 00:53:57,079
to get over to the, Arena so it's another REASON

1159
00:53:57,079 --> 00:53:57,679
i want to give it.

1160
00:53:57,719 --> 00:53:59,559
Speaker 5: Out BUT i laid the nine and a half With.

1161
00:53:59,679 --> 00:54:02,719
Vermont vermont is, Man.

1162
00:54:02,800 --> 00:54:05,079
Speaker 7: Rob when was the last time The Vermont catamounts lost

1163
00:54:05,119 --> 00:54:08,599
three games in a? ROW i truly can't. REMEMBER i

1164
00:54:08,880 --> 00:54:11,840
would love to know if someone could queue that. Up

1165
00:54:11,840 --> 00:54:14,440
it's it probably has been a very long time in

1166
00:54:14,599 --> 00:54:17,400
conference in The America. East i'm sure it's happened non,

1167
00:54:17,440 --> 00:54:20,400
conference because they'll challenge themselves in non conference. Play but

1168
00:54:20,480 --> 00:54:23,119
in this, league this team just does not lose three

1169
00:54:23,159 --> 00:54:26,280
games in a. Row that's what they're facing. Today back

1170
00:54:26,320 --> 00:54:29,559
to back losses For. Vermont suddenly they're no longer at

1171
00:54:29,559 --> 00:54:31,880
the top of The America east. Standings they're looking up

1172
00:54:32,079 --> 00:54:34,719
AT unbc and NJI. T i think that's a big

1173
00:54:34,760 --> 00:54:39,360
time wake up call for this team that just hasn't

1174
00:54:39,400 --> 00:54:41,320
really occurred in conference. PLAY i know they didn't win

1175
00:54:41,360 --> 00:54:43,719
the league last, year But bryant was very. Good it

1176
00:54:43,760 --> 00:54:45,840
was known That bryant was really good and going to

1177
00:54:45,920 --> 00:54:48,599
win the league this. Year vermont was supposed to come

1178
00:54:48,639 --> 00:54:51,960
and just run through this, league no. Problem they haven't

1179
00:54:52,000 --> 00:54:55,519
really done. That but here at, Home New hampshire's not very.

1180
00:54:55,519 --> 00:54:58,320
Good this is kind of a rivalry up. There Vermont

1181
00:54:58,320 --> 00:55:01,800
New hampshire does consider themselves to be. RIVALS i don't

1182
00:55:01,840 --> 00:55:05,000
know that it's like the craziest basketball, rivalry but it's

1183
00:55:05,039 --> 00:55:07,679
still kind of a big. Deal patrick Jim Or vermont

1184
00:55:07,719 --> 00:55:11,599
always typically plays well where they can extend a lead

1185
00:55:11,840 --> 00:55:14,000
and blow a team. Out so because we had a

1186
00:55:14,079 --> 00:55:17,639
nice blowout winner On thursday WITH unbc in this, LEAGUE

1187
00:55:17,679 --> 00:55:19,599
i decided to lay the nine and a. Half my

1188
00:55:19,719 --> 00:55:21,599
number was like fourteen and a, half so one of

1189
00:55:21,639 --> 00:55:24,960
the biggest discrepancy high DISCREPANCIES i have on the slate,

1190
00:55:25,000 --> 00:55:27,079
Today and when it comes down to, IT i think

1191
00:55:27,159 --> 00:55:30,239
any sort of focused effort here From vermont could blow

1192
00:55:30,280 --> 00:55:32,760
this one. Open and BECAUSE i was so far off

1193
00:55:32,800 --> 00:55:34,880
on the, number ALL i need is a double digit.

1194
00:55:34,920 --> 00:55:38,280
Win that sounds pretty. Good New hampshire hasn't been good

1195
00:55:38,280 --> 00:55:40,000
in a long. Time a little bit better this, year

1196
00:55:40,559 --> 00:55:42,639
but still not up to the top teams in this.

1197
00:55:42,719 --> 00:55:45,679
League So i'll. Bounce i'll Back vermont to bounce back

1198
00:55:45,719 --> 00:55:47,760
and do it by double. Digits vermont minus nine and a.

1199
00:55:47,800 --> 00:55:51,360
Speaker 3: Half all, right questions asking about Our caesar from westcont Super,

1200
00:55:51,360 --> 00:55:52,599
BOOK i dropped him in the chat.

1201
00:55:52,599 --> 00:55:54,400
Speaker 1: Twice, sorry you guys have to scroll.

1202
00:55:54,519 --> 00:55:56,840
Speaker 3: Up it's such an immense amount of games it takes

1203
00:55:56,920 --> 00:55:58,079
up like a giant.

1204
00:55:58,199 --> 00:56:01,239
Speaker 1: Chunk SO i don't want to continue to keep doing.

1205
00:56:01,280 --> 00:56:03,880
Speaker 3: That, ravino let me know what you've got going on

1206
00:56:03,920 --> 00:56:06,159
over at wager talk dot. Com let me know if

1207
00:56:06,159 --> 00:56:08,599
there is a game that narrowly missed your card that

1208
00:56:08,639 --> 00:56:11,920
you think might still be worth a free play for our.

1209
00:56:11,920 --> 00:56:16,039
Speaker 5: Audience, yeah real, quick what's going on over at wasertalk dot. Com,

1210
00:56:16,079 --> 00:56:17,239
obviously the Super bowl is.

1211
00:56:17,280 --> 00:56:20,119
Speaker 8: Tomorrow i've had a five percent play up at waysertalk

1212
00:56:20,199 --> 00:56:23,239
dot com Blue chip, release so you can find that

1213
00:56:23,360 --> 00:56:27,599
over at my homepagewt dot buzz SLASH. Rv i'll give

1214
00:56:27,599 --> 00:56:30,000
you a scratch my head game call that still may

1215
00:56:30,039 --> 00:56:32,559
make my. CARD i guess we could consider this. Free

1216
00:56:33,119 --> 00:56:36,519
clients may find this on there. Later But montana plays

1217
00:56:36,599 --> 00:56:39,320
later on Against. Idaho they are about a two point.

1218
00:56:39,360 --> 00:56:41,800
Favorite there was some scattered one and a half's out

1219
00:56:41,800 --> 00:56:45,480
There montana at Home boston eleven game home winning. Streak

1220
00:56:45,559 --> 00:56:49,000
the other night Against Eastern, washington a game that they

1221
00:56:49,000 --> 00:56:49,800
were expected to.

1222
00:56:49,880 --> 00:56:51,920
Speaker 5: Win kind of strange that they did lose that.

1223
00:56:51,960 --> 00:56:54,159
Speaker 8: One but here they are two nights, later playing back

1224
00:56:54,199 --> 00:56:57,920
at home against the worst offensive team in The Big

1225
00:56:57,960 --> 00:57:01,599
Sky Conference. Montana when when you have, Money williams usually

1226
00:57:01,639 --> 00:57:04,039
have the best player on the. FLOOR i just Think

1227
00:57:04,119 --> 00:57:08,239
montana for whatever, Reason AND i guess you, KNOW i

1228
00:57:08,360 --> 00:57:10,960
wasn't on with WHEN vr was, on but maybe he

1229
00:57:11,159 --> 00:57:13,480
Listed idaho as a play because they got some action

1230
00:57:13,559 --> 00:57:17,239
early on no injury. SITUATIONS i wonder if it's just

1231
00:57:17,280 --> 00:57:19,320
a game that they're gonna come back with. Later but for,

1232
00:57:19,360 --> 00:57:22,400
ME i really see no reason Why montana doesn't win

1233
00:57:22,440 --> 00:57:26,280
this game by three. Points, obviously the superior team a

1234
00:57:26,320 --> 00:57:28,599
little bit angry off of losing that eleven game home

1235
00:57:28,639 --> 00:57:31,159
streak the other. NIGHT i think they bounced back here

1236
00:57:31,159 --> 00:57:31,599
and win by.

1237
00:57:31,639 --> 00:57:32,760
Speaker 5: Three all.

1238
00:57:32,840 --> 00:57:36,360
Speaker 3: Right shout out to almost seven thousand of you guys

1239
00:57:36,440 --> 00:57:39,559
watching us live right here on this Beautiful saturday morning

1240
00:57:39,599 --> 00:57:42,639
with over one hundred and fifty college basketball. Games if

1241
00:57:42,639 --> 00:57:45,960
you're just joining, Us Kelly stewart, Here Rob, Veno Adam.

1242
00:57:46,000 --> 00:57:46,920
Speaker 1: Trigger they have.

1243
00:57:46,960 --> 00:57:51,119
Speaker 3: A daily college basketball show Called Full Court, press and On,

1244
00:57:51,199 --> 00:57:53,440
SATURDAYS i throw myself in the mix SO i can

1245
00:57:53,480 --> 00:57:57,519
take some cliff notes and hopefully find myself some. Winners

1246
00:57:57,880 --> 00:58:00,519
shout out to both of these guys working damn near

1247
00:58:01,199 --> 00:58:03,320
eight days a, week if that is even humanly.

1248
00:58:03,440 --> 00:58:06,599
Speaker 1: Possible if you guys have a question for them during the,

1249
00:58:06,599 --> 00:58:08,159
week drop it in.

1250
00:58:07,920 --> 00:58:11,199
Speaker 3: Their show chat. There excellent about getting to all of

1251
00:58:11,239 --> 00:58:15,239
the audience. Questions tomorrow is The Super bowl And Aeron

1252
00:58:15,320 --> 00:58:18,320
epstein is going to be here Hosting live WITH. Yachti

1253
00:58:18,400 --> 00:58:21,719
The Greek teddy Covers marco D'Angelo of wager talk dot.

1254
00:58:21,760 --> 00:58:25,239
Com if you guys are looking for some help with

1255
00:58:25,239 --> 00:58:27,039
Your Super bowl, prop she will be there to help,

1256
00:58:27,079 --> 00:58:29,679
you as well As Ralph, michaels who made an entire

1257
00:58:30,000 --> 00:58:34,719
guide over on the Wager talk. Homepage just click. Downloads

1258
00:58:34,920 --> 00:58:38,480
check that. Out Adam, Trigger Rob, veno thank you guys

1259
00:58:38,880 --> 00:58:41,119
for all of your hard work this college basketball season

1260
00:58:41,159 --> 00:58:43,840
and trying to get me up to. Speed of, course

1261
00:58:44,119 --> 00:58:47,840
here Mid february, again, guys check them. Out every single

1262
00:58:47,960 --> 00:58:50,639
day of the week ten Am Eastern full Court press

1263
00:58:50,840 --> 00:58:52,400
right here on the Wager talk YouTube.

1264
00:58:52,480 --> 00:58:52,760
Speaker 1: Channel