WEBVTT 1 00:00:00.280 --> 00:00:02.319 My lord, are you needy? I ride on the back 2 00:00:02.359 --> 00:00:04.919 window of my truck. My Goober number is fifteen twenty. 3 00:00:05.719 --> 00:00:08.080 And if you're at Guber two and then I list, 4 00:00:08.119 --> 00:00:10.439 Michael says, go here dot com. And then you still 5 00:00:10.439 --> 00:00:12.720 want talkbacks, you are insatiable. 6 00:00:15.560 --> 00:00:24.239 Yeah, pretty much. So sounds about right. Yeah, yeah, yeah. 7 00:00:24.320 --> 00:00:30.480 We were told last night that let's go back. I 8 00:00:30.879 --> 00:00:38.520 still believe that the strikes on the three nuke sites 9 00:00:38.880 --> 00:00:44.079 inside Iran was a tactical success. 10 00:00:45.880 --> 00:00:46.960 It set them back. 11 00:00:48.479 --> 00:00:51.119 As I said yesterday, we don't know for sure what 12 00:00:51.159 --> 00:00:54.479 the damage assessments are yet, so we don't know to 13 00:00:54.520 --> 00:00:58.280 what extent it is that they have accomplished what they 14 00:00:58.359 --> 00:01:01.240 want to accomplish. But nonetheless that doesn't take away from 15 00:01:01.240 --> 00:01:05.400 the success of it, because either you and this is 16 00:01:05.439 --> 00:01:09.120 where I think we still have problems with Trump's language. 17 00:01:09.760 --> 00:01:12.959 We don't know that, for example, that it was a 18 00:01:13.040 --> 00:01:16.200 complete obliteration this it was kind of It was interesting 19 00:01:16.280 --> 00:01:21.400 last night because JD. Vance appears on Brett Bear's show 20 00:01:22.120 --> 00:01:29.359 at four o'clock our time, and they're reading a announcement 21 00:01:29.599 --> 00:01:34.000 that Trump's made on truth Social about the cease fire, 22 00:01:35.719 --> 00:01:40.560 and Brett Bear and JD. Vance, the Vice President are 23 00:01:40.599 --> 00:01:45.799 going back and forth about the word obliteration, and I 24 00:01:45.879 --> 00:01:51.439 understand exactly what Brett Bear was getting at, because the 25 00:01:51.799 --> 00:01:59.159 word obliteration is the action or fact of obliterating or 26 00:01:59.280 --> 00:02:03.519 being obliterate. Total destruction is the way I would define 27 00:02:03.560 --> 00:02:11.840 it total destruction. So if you have totally destroyed Iran's 28 00:02:12.199 --> 00:02:17.199 ability to build a nuke, then indeed that is obliteration. 29 00:02:18.879 --> 00:02:23.879 If you have destroyed it enough that you they still 30 00:02:23.919 --> 00:02:28.800 have enough equipment, they've got some centrifuges hidden somewhere that's 31 00:02:28.840 --> 00:02:32.800 at sixty percent or greater, that's at some site we 32 00:02:32.840 --> 00:02:36.840 don't know about, then you haven't obliterated it. 33 00:02:37.319 --> 00:02:37.919 You have. 34 00:02:39.960 --> 00:02:45.000 I would even say destroyed. You have disrupted it. And 35 00:02:45.520 --> 00:02:51.039 whether that's a disruption for one year, five years, or 36 00:02:51.080 --> 00:02:55.400 twenty years doesn't make any difference. That is still a 37 00:02:55.560 --> 00:03:04.400 tactical success because you have bought time for whatever, including negotiations, 38 00:03:04.439 --> 00:03:08.120 including time for the Israelis and Massad and the IDEF 39 00:03:08.199 --> 00:03:12.439 to do whatever else they need to do, or just 40 00:03:13.280 --> 00:03:17.120 all out war between the two countries again not US, 41 00:03:17.199 --> 00:03:22.400 but between Israel and around. So I still consider that 42 00:03:22.439 --> 00:03:27.479 to be a tactical success, and I think you should too. 43 00:03:28.319 --> 00:03:30.360 It also shows our ability. 44 00:03:30.800 --> 00:03:34.840 Now, I don't know how we're going to get accurate 45 00:03:34.960 --> 00:03:42.479 damage assessments unless somehow Massad has some operatives that can 46 00:03:42.800 --> 00:03:49.560 get in there, and which would not be far fetched 47 00:03:49.560 --> 00:03:53.960 in my mind, because we know for a fact that 48 00:03:54.039 --> 00:03:59.919 Massad had operatives on the ground prior to our bomb 49 00:04:01.280 --> 00:04:04.439 a few days ago. So they may still be there, 50 00:04:05.680 --> 00:04:08.199 and they may have informants, they may have some spies, 51 00:04:08.240 --> 00:04:11.000 they may have some access to information that would give 52 00:04:11.080 --> 00:04:15.280 us some good damnage assessments. Maybe the IAEA, although I 53 00:04:15.280 --> 00:04:17.680 don't trust them, maybe they can get in and they 54 00:04:17.680 --> 00:04:23.399 can do some assessments. But the quibbling yesterday over obliteration 55 00:04:25.000 --> 00:04:29.399 versus you know, you've you've destroyed or delayed or disrupted. 56 00:04:29.800 --> 00:04:33.360 I think disrupts probably the best word. You have disrupted 57 00:04:33.519 --> 00:04:40.480 their nuclear program. I think that remains open either way. 58 00:04:40.519 --> 00:04:45.000 It was a tactical success, and I think that, you know, 59 00:04:45.000 --> 00:04:51.120 when people compare Trump's presidency to reality TV show, there's 60 00:04:51.120 --> 00:04:57.319 probably still some truth to that, but that conceit. 61 00:04:57.319 --> 00:04:59.199 Oh, it's just a reality TV show. 62 00:05:00.120 --> 00:05:05.519 It does, however, capture the radical strangeness of his leadership, 63 00:05:06.560 --> 00:05:09.959 which is, as I said, I think a nice way 64 00:05:09.959 --> 00:05:13.120 to put it as opposed to radical strangeness would be 65 00:05:13.240 --> 00:05:19.720 the head fakes that he's engaged in. He's a master 66 00:05:19.800 --> 00:05:23.240 of persuasion. He is a master at the head fake. 67 00:05:24.120 --> 00:05:28.040 He tries to shape world events through confusion, big bombs, 68 00:05:28.120 --> 00:05:33.000 capital letters, head fakes, you know, misdirections, all of that. 69 00:05:35.439 --> 00:05:40.079 When he announced last night on truth, social and all caps, 70 00:05:40.360 --> 00:05:43.879 the ceasefire is now in effect. Please do not violate it, 71 00:05:45.480 --> 00:05:49.680 well for an hour or so, Well for an hour 72 00:05:49.759 --> 00:05:52.360 or so. When I look back on the timeline, for me, 73 00:05:52.519 --> 00:05:55.439 I go to bed thinking, oh, that's interesting. A cease fire, 74 00:05:57.199 --> 00:06:01.319 I admit I don't believe it, because I don't think 75 00:06:01.399 --> 00:06:06.360 that absent some statement from the Iranians, which I've not 76 00:06:06.480 --> 00:06:10.120 heard either than I guess we've heard it in directly 77 00:06:10.160 --> 00:06:16.040 by them launching an attack on Israel, which by the way, 78 00:06:16.199 --> 00:06:22.800 made a direct hit on a civilian location. It was 79 00:06:22.839 --> 00:06:25.759 a direct hit that killed the people in their bomb shelter. 80 00:06:26.800 --> 00:06:30.639 That's what the Iranians did. The Israelers do not attack 81 00:06:30.720 --> 00:06:34.279 civilian targets and have not attacked civilian targets. They've been 82 00:06:34.319 --> 00:06:41.879 attacking military installations and military targets in Iran. So when 83 00:06:41.879 --> 00:06:46.079 the ceasefire is announced, I'm skeptical, and then you know, 84 00:06:46.759 --> 00:06:48.160 until I go to bed, it seems like. 85 00:06:48.120 --> 00:06:48.839 He might be right. 86 00:06:49.279 --> 00:06:51.240 Iran and Israel might have made, you know, the right 87 00:06:51.319 --> 00:06:54.560 noises through the right channels about a cessation of fire. 88 00:06:55.879 --> 00:07:00.319 But then this morning, according to the idea, they the 89 00:07:00.360 --> 00:07:06.240 Iranians launched that missile at Israel, and Israel rightfully so retaliated, 90 00:07:07.160 --> 00:07:11.040 particularly because you know, I would say, if you wanted 91 00:07:11.040 --> 00:07:14.480 to play this out of all the different scenarios, if 92 00:07:14.519 --> 00:07:18.360 the Iranians had like they did with us, they launched 93 00:07:18.360 --> 00:07:22.120 fourteen missiles at our base. Was it in Cutter or 94 00:07:22.639 --> 00:07:29.000 wherever it was, that would nowhere near the actual base, 95 00:07:30.279 --> 00:07:33.439 and according to Trump, we had heads up that they 96 00:07:33.439 --> 00:07:36.439 were going to do that. Okay, you need to do something. 97 00:07:36.800 --> 00:07:41.160 They the Iranians need to do something domestically to show 98 00:07:41.199 --> 00:07:43.800 that the regime is still in charge, to try to 99 00:07:43.839 --> 00:07:46.720 quell any uprising that might be stirring, which we don't 100 00:07:46.759 --> 00:07:49.680 know because we don't have much real good intel or 101 00:07:49.720 --> 00:07:53.639 information coming out of there right now. Because the Israelis 102 00:07:53.639 --> 00:07:57.279 did the right thing and they disrupted their news networks too, 103 00:07:57.399 --> 00:08:01.399 so good for them, which is state. 104 00:08:01.240 --> 00:08:02.920 Run, not civilian state run. 105 00:08:05.959 --> 00:08:12.000 When they made that direct hint. Israel did the only 106 00:08:12.040 --> 00:08:13.680 thing I would expect him to do, and that was 107 00:08:13.720 --> 00:08:17.920 to fire back. They launched another missile, and the war 108 00:08:18.160 --> 00:08:19.879 is back on again. 109 00:08:20.439 --> 00:08:22.519 I don't know. My TV is frozen right now. 110 00:08:24.360 --> 00:08:28.480 The Trump headlines are well as you would expect Drudge 111 00:08:28.519 --> 00:08:32.639 to be. Ceasefire falters, Trump goes berserk, drops off bomb 112 00:08:32.679 --> 00:08:34.679 on Life TV, which I just listened to again and 113 00:08:34.720 --> 00:08:38.159 he really did drop it. Updates blah blah blah. So 114 00:08:38.240 --> 00:08:41.600 you know it's on again, off again. Nobody really knows. 115 00:08:43.360 --> 00:08:46.720 Some sources are suggesting that a ceasefire might not be 116 00:08:46.840 --> 00:08:51.039 working because so many Iranian officials have actually fled, they've 117 00:08:51.039 --> 00:08:53.879 gone into hiding or they've been killed, and their troops 118 00:08:53.879 --> 00:08:56.600 don't know whether stop firing or not. They don't know 119 00:08:56.639 --> 00:09:00.399 what to do, so they reflexively do what they've been 120 00:09:00.440 --> 00:09:04.679 trained to do, which is, Okay, it's nighttime, let's launch 121 00:09:04.720 --> 00:09:11.240 some missiles, and they do regardless. By the time Trump 122 00:09:11.440 --> 00:09:14.480 woke up again, the conflict that he had dubbed the 123 00:09:14.480 --> 00:09:17.200 twelve day war last night, at least on social media, 124 00:09:17.840 --> 00:09:20.639 might be well headed toward a second week of hostilities. 125 00:09:22.440 --> 00:09:26.399 None of us should be surprised by this. I think 126 00:09:26.440 --> 00:09:31.120 we have to be objective and think to ourselves. So 127 00:09:31.480 --> 00:09:35.039 I'll say it out loud. I think Trump spoke too 128 00:09:35.080 --> 00:09:38.519 soon last night. Remember yesterday on the program when I 129 00:09:38.519 --> 00:09:42.240 talked about we we still have to wait to see 130 00:09:42.840 --> 00:09:47.679 what happens next. I think we're starting to see what 131 00:09:47.799 --> 00:09:53.039 happens next. So the twelve day war, I think is 132 00:09:53.360 --> 00:09:57.120 Trump's attemper And again, man, I say all of this 133 00:09:58.159 --> 00:10:02.080 knowing that we're all being played and it is all 134 00:10:02.080 --> 00:10:06.000 ahead fake. And He's making this announcement about a cease 135 00:10:06.039 --> 00:10:10.039 fire knowing that the Iranians may still launch something and 136 00:10:10.120 --> 00:10:11.799 the Israelis may still launch back. 137 00:10:12.120 --> 00:10:14.360 And vbi's told Trump that they're you know. 138 00:10:14.519 --> 00:10:17.399 And Yahu said, we're going to do that, and Trump said, okay, 139 00:10:17.440 --> 00:10:19.200 but you know, I'm going to announce the cease fire 140 00:10:19.559 --> 00:10:22.320 because I want to, you know, head fake the Iranians 141 00:10:22.320 --> 00:10:26.600 into thinking that we've kind of when I say we, 142 00:10:27.200 --> 00:10:30.639 both the Americans and the Israelis and all of our 143 00:10:30.679 --> 00:10:34.120 allies have considered, okay, we've done everything we're going to do. 144 00:10:36.519 --> 00:10:40.600 I think that may be the real situation, the actual 145 00:10:40.639 --> 00:10:47.559 situation on the ground. He announces the two weeks. You know, 146 00:10:47.639 --> 00:10:50.720 I'm going to give him two weeks or they have 147 00:10:50.799 --> 00:10:54.320 two weeks to do something. He acts within two days. 148 00:10:55.159 --> 00:10:57.960 There's no question in my mind that the Israelis knew 149 00:10:58.200 --> 00:11:02.879 that was coming. The Israelis let it obviously, Sure, this 150 00:11:03.000 --> 00:11:04.000 is what we want you to do. 151 00:11:04.159 --> 00:11:06.080 Go in and do it. So we go in and 152 00:11:06.120 --> 00:11:06.440 do it. 153 00:11:07.679 --> 00:11:12.159 Trump announces the ceasefire, trying to lure the Iranians into 154 00:11:12.159 --> 00:11:15.919 thinking that the Israelis won't do anything. The Iranians, of course, 155 00:11:15.960 --> 00:11:19.519 thinking the Israelis, you know, are because they will follow 156 00:11:19.559 --> 00:11:23.679 whatever we say to do. Wink wink, the Iranians will 157 00:11:24.039 --> 00:11:26.519 lob a missile and we're back to where we are. 158 00:11:27.039 --> 00:11:33.519 But what's changed the damage to the nuclear facilities. I 159 00:11:33.559 --> 00:11:37.320 think Trump at times senses the hand of the Almighty 160 00:11:37.799 --> 00:11:42.080 in all of this, because he did muse after announcing 161 00:11:42.080 --> 00:11:46.039 the ceasefire in a certain and very ironic way, that 162 00:11:46.120 --> 00:11:49.159 perfect hit late in the evening, brought everyone together, and 163 00:11:49.200 --> 00:11:53.799 the deal was made head fake or factual, I don't know. 164 00:11:54.679 --> 00:11:57.000 The b two strikes then had become, at least in 165 00:11:57.039 --> 00:12:00.399 Trump's mind, another miracle along the way of him of 166 00:12:00.440 --> 00:12:05.440 his odyssey. Divine providence made the bullets missing Butler when 167 00:12:05.440 --> 00:12:08.159 they tried to assassinate him, and the massive bombs in 168 00:12:08.240 --> 00:12:13.159 Iran on Saturday brought about peace, so he's kind of 169 00:12:13.679 --> 00:12:17.840 channeling the Good Lord. And Trump also told both Israel 170 00:12:17.879 --> 00:12:21.120 and around both nations will see tremendous love, peace, and 171 00:12:21.159 --> 00:12:23.919 prosperity in their futures. They have so much to gain 172 00:12:23.919 --> 00:12:25.679 and yet so much to lose if they stray fen 173 00:12:25.759 --> 00:12:28.919 the road of righteousness and truth. The future for Israel 174 00:12:28.960 --> 00:12:32.000 and Iran is unlimited and filled with great promise. God 175 00:12:32.039 --> 00:12:34.720 bless you both, God bless you both. That's kind of interesting. 176 00:12:37.360 --> 00:12:40.679 That's why I think there's still head fachs going on. 177 00:12:41.600 --> 00:12:44.879 If Iran is just into deceased fire before it began, 178 00:12:45.759 --> 00:12:49.519 or before it began, then how will Trump, to peacemaker 179 00:12:49.600 --> 00:12:52.039 respond to such a clear abrogation of his demands that 180 00:12:52.120 --> 00:12:56.960 they not do anything. What seems certain is that, other 181 00:12:57.039 --> 00:13:00.559 than a desire to play kate Trump through Katari inner mediaries, 182 00:13:00.799 --> 00:13:04.240 the incentives for Iran and Israel to keep warring I 183 00:13:04.279 --> 00:13:08.080 think are still in place now. Iran may have officially 184 00:13:08.120 --> 00:13:11.440 saved face with its telegraph strikes at the bases in 185 00:13:11.519 --> 00:13:18.200 Qatar and then Iran yesterday, but the Iranian regime cannot payper. 186 00:13:18.840 --> 00:13:21.519 They just simply cannot paper over the humiliations of the 187 00:13:21.559 --> 00:13:25.840 last few days. They just can't do that. But Israel 188 00:13:26.399 --> 00:13:29.919 can see that the Iranian regime is buckling on the 189 00:13:29.960 --> 00:13:37.000 steps of the escalation ladder. They're trying, and every time 190 00:13:37.039 --> 00:13:40.120 they try, that gives Israel a chance to go in 191 00:13:40.159 --> 00:13:43.840 and take out even more of their launch pads, their 192 00:13:43.919 --> 00:13:47.240 launch facilities, and take out even more if they can 193 00:13:47.360 --> 00:13:48.200 of the leadership. 194 00:13:50.519 --> 00:13:51.559 And I don't mind that. 195 00:13:53.200 --> 00:13:57.759 And I don't mind that because if we're going to 196 00:13:57.919 --> 00:14:03.000 see I'm going to use the phrase regime change, If 197 00:14:03.039 --> 00:14:09.919 we're going to see regime change in Iran, then the 198 00:14:10.120 --> 00:14:16.080 environment has to be such that there can be a 199 00:14:16.360 --> 00:14:21.240 natural regime change. We should have learned over the past 200 00:14:21.320 --> 00:14:25.559 twenty five years that our country, and I certainly don't 201 00:14:25.559 --> 00:14:30.639 think the Israelis too, but certainly this country cannot walk 202 00:14:30.720 --> 00:14:35.320 into another country and take it from a in the 203 00:14:35.360 --> 00:14:42.759 case of a Iran, a theoretic a theocratic despot tyranny, 204 00:14:43.279 --> 00:14:47.840 and overnight turn it into a democracy. The objective should 205 00:14:47.879 --> 00:14:50.320 be if we can at least get rid of the 206 00:14:50.320 --> 00:14:56.159 theocratic tyranny, the the the iyatolas, and then let the 207 00:14:56.159 --> 00:14:58.919 people figure out what the hell they want to do next, 208 00:14:59.519 --> 00:15:02.559 then I think the Israelis ought to be allowed to 209 00:15:02.639 --> 00:15:07.879 continue to create enough chaos so that somewhere, somehow, whether 210 00:15:07.919 --> 00:15:10.679 it's the Shaw's Sun who's still in exile I think 211 00:15:10.720 --> 00:15:14.320 in this country can get back and lead an uprising, 212 00:15:14.679 --> 00:15:17.519 or whether there are some people and Massade very well 213 00:15:17.559 --> 00:15:22.000 may have identified people within country that could start an uprising, 214 00:15:22.440 --> 00:15:24.799 then Israel ought to be given a free hand to 215 00:15:24.840 --> 00:15:28.039 continue to do what it wants to do, to allow 216 00:15:28.240 --> 00:15:32.279 time for that fermentation to occur, so that whatever those 217 00:15:32.320 --> 00:15:35.919 people or wherever those people are, whether they're in this country, 218 00:15:36.200 --> 00:15:41.039 because there's a diaspora all over the world of Iranians 219 00:15:41.080 --> 00:15:43.960 who escape back in nineteen seventy nine who want to 220 00:15:44.000 --> 00:15:47.639 return their country back to some sort of you know, 221 00:15:47.799 --> 00:15:51.159 freedom and liberty, whatever version of that they may see. 222 00:15:53.120 --> 00:15:58.440 So it's possible that the Israelis felt that a pause 223 00:15:58.679 --> 00:16:03.759 in the violence now or at least these limited strikes 224 00:16:04.960 --> 00:16:11.639 would actually help overthrow that theocratic regime. Yet that would 225 00:16:11.720 --> 00:16:15.519 be kind of an interesting pivot from the IDF's Maximalust 226 00:16:15.840 --> 00:16:23.559 campaign against the IRGC, the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps. Israel's 227 00:16:23.559 --> 00:16:29.720 defense ministers this morning promised intense strikes in return, and 228 00:16:29.759 --> 00:16:33.320 then Trump responds, Israel, do not drop those bombs. If 229 00:16:33.360 --> 00:16:35.960 you do it as a major violation, bring your pilots 230 00:16:35.960 --> 00:16:38.480 home now, Donald J. Trump, President of the United States, 231 00:16:38.759 --> 00:16:40.879 which I find kind of ironic. We kind of know 232 00:16:40.919 --> 00:16:45.000 who you are, mister President. Again, a head fake, a 233 00:16:45.120 --> 00:16:50.600 very potential head fake. So as peace is declared, what 234 00:16:50.679 --> 00:16:53.240 do we have? Well, as peace is declared, the war's 235 00:16:53.279 --> 00:16:56.039 really still going on in a certain and a very 236 00:16:56.080 --> 00:17:02.000 ironic way, or perhaps in in an unreal trumping update 237 00:17:02.080 --> 00:17:05.400 to George Orwell's nineteen eighty four pieces War and Strength 238 00:17:05.480 --> 00:17:10.000 is ignorance. But either way, I would just caution all 239 00:17:10.039 --> 00:17:17.319 of us, be you aware of the head fakes. Israel 240 00:17:17.680 --> 00:17:20.680 has made it known and made it clear, and I'm 241 00:17:20.720 --> 00:17:22.880 sure they've made I'm sure night Yaill's made it clear 242 00:17:22.880 --> 00:17:26.720 to Trump that thank you for doing what you did. 243 00:17:27.519 --> 00:17:31.480 That gives us some flexibility. The Iotota is still in hiding. 244 00:17:32.599 --> 00:17:36.240 Pluton has told the Uranians, I'm not giving you any weapons. 245 00:17:36.839 --> 00:17:42.720 China remains completely silent. This war isn't over yet, and 246 00:17:42.839 --> 00:17:48.279 regime chain may still occur. But all we've done is 247 00:17:48.319 --> 00:17:49.599 get rid of those facilities. 248 00:17:49.720 --> 00:17:52.359 Why don't those morons figure out a way to crack 249 00:17:52.440 --> 00:17:59.160 down on the cars that have no tags, no license plate, expired, 250 00:17:59.200 --> 00:18:03.400 temporary tag, expire tags because you know they're not paying 251 00:18:03.480 --> 00:18:06.319 anything they could. Polus is missing out on a whole 252 00:18:06.359 --> 00:18:09.440 lot of quote fees on that, plus. 253 00:18:09.160 --> 00:18:13.680 They don't have insurance. The scumballs. 254 00:18:14.000 --> 00:18:15.000 Did you have the first hour? 255 00:18:15.960 --> 00:18:21.319 Because the lawlessness is they don't care about those people. 256 00:18:21.720 --> 00:18:24.480 They only care about you, law abiding citizens. It's like 257 00:18:24.519 --> 00:18:28.319 with guns, and every gun law passed by the Colorado 258 00:18:28.359 --> 00:18:31.720 Public Bureau this year has to do with law abiding 259 00:18:31.759 --> 00:18:33.440 citizens because the criminals are not. 260 00:18:33.440 --> 00:18:35.039 Going to follow the laws. They don't care. 261 00:18:36.519 --> 00:18:39.240 They don't give a rats ask whether somebody's eighteen or 262 00:18:39.279 --> 00:18:41.720 twenty one years old. They don't care about whether they've 263 00:18:41.720 --> 00:18:43.839 gone through a training course or not a training course. 264 00:18:44.000 --> 00:18:46.720 They don't care because they don't buy guns from gun dealers, 265 00:18:46.720 --> 00:18:50.119 from FFLs. They buy guns on Well, they're gon have 266 00:18:50.160 --> 00:18:52.519 to move off Federal Boulevard because apparently there's gonna be 267 00:18:52.519 --> 00:18:58.400 some construction up there. But everything is designed to punish you, 268 00:18:59.039 --> 00:19:03.799 not them. And once you get that mindset, you'll understand 269 00:19:03.839 --> 00:19:06.759 just exactly how bad things are. So let's go back 270 00:19:06.799 --> 00:19:10.799 to Iran for a moment and let in fact, that's 271 00:19:10.880 --> 00:19:18.000 let's go specifically to Iran. I actually hold the Iranian 272 00:19:18.039 --> 00:19:24.279 people in very high regard and they they have suffered tremendously. 273 00:19:26.440 --> 00:19:27.200 You know, if you go. 274 00:19:27.240 --> 00:19:30.160 Back in history when the when when the camels lazed 275 00:19:30.160 --> 00:19:32.880 in the sun on the Arabian Peninsula, the Persians were 276 00:19:32.920 --> 00:19:37.480 actually leading a very grand civilization. And although the greatness 277 00:19:37.519 --> 00:19:43.200 of Persia is now history, the Iranian people are intellectually 278 00:19:43.279 --> 00:19:49.160 and culturally sophisticated now. Even inside the Islamist extremist regime 279 00:19:49.200 --> 00:19:52.119 that's been fashioned by the Ayatola Komine, there are some 280 00:19:52.200 --> 00:19:56.160 bright stars who have too often put their European and 281 00:19:56.240 --> 00:20:00.000 American interlocateurs to shame. For those and some other reasons 282 00:20:00.440 --> 00:20:04.680 I have. I have been kind of shocked by the ineptmist, 283 00:20:04.960 --> 00:20:09.160 the incompetence, and the down right stupidity of the Iranian 284 00:20:09.200 --> 00:20:12.559 government in managing its relationship with the rest of the world, 285 00:20:13.519 --> 00:20:15.680 until I realized, oh wait a minute, this we have 286 00:20:15.759 --> 00:20:19.599 to stop. Start with the premise that the Ayatola, the Molas, 287 00:20:20.000 --> 00:20:21.920 the theocracy. 288 00:20:21.200 --> 00:20:25.640 That leads Persia Iran, they're nuts. 289 00:20:27.119 --> 00:20:34.640 They're they're so filled with their ideology of hatred toward 290 00:20:34.759 --> 00:20:42.519 the Infidels, betward toward Judaism, toward toward Christians Christendom. So 291 00:20:42.680 --> 00:20:46.640 between Israel and the United States, the Great Satan and 292 00:20:46.680 --> 00:20:53.680 the Little Satan. That's why they completely miss mismanage their 293 00:20:53.720 --> 00:20:55.119 relationships with the rest. 294 00:20:54.920 --> 00:20:55.759 Of the world. 295 00:20:56.599 --> 00:20:58.480 And when I say the rest of the world, I 296 00:20:58.519 --> 00:21:02.799 will include Russia and China in that too. One of 297 00:21:02.880 --> 00:21:07.279 the most fascinating things that I read last night was 298 00:21:07.319 --> 00:21:11.000 the story about how the president of Iran, which is 299 00:21:11.039 --> 00:21:14.160 separate from the Ayatola, the President of Iran, goes to 300 00:21:14.240 --> 00:21:17.960 Moscow and meets with Putin. They sign some sort of 301 00:21:17.960 --> 00:21:24.240 an agreement, but there is no mutual defense accord in 302 00:21:24.240 --> 00:21:31.680 that agreement, and Putin refuses to provide any sort of 303 00:21:31.720 --> 00:21:35.799 military armaments to the Iranians. Now they have a mutual 304 00:21:35.799 --> 00:21:40.559 defense agreement, but Putin's basically already thrown that aside and said, yeah, 305 00:21:40.599 --> 00:21:42.079 well you can ask me for whatever you want. You're 306 00:21:42.119 --> 00:21:47.240 not getting squat. Yeah, you're not getting anything. And the 307 00:21:47.319 --> 00:21:52.640 Chinese have just gone dark, the Chinese Communist Party has 308 00:21:52.799 --> 00:21:58.599 totally gone dark. So the Iranians are at this point 309 00:21:58.799 --> 00:22:04.359 truly id and I gets some theories that's why this 310 00:22:04.559 --> 00:22:08.559 is and I don't want to digress into just, you know, 311 00:22:08.599 --> 00:22:14.559 a bunch of nerdy musings on Persian history, but developing, developing, 312 00:22:14.599 --> 00:22:17.599 Maybe just a better understanding of how this regime must 313 00:22:17.680 --> 00:22:20.680 be thinking and makes decisions might tell us a lot 314 00:22:20.720 --> 00:22:23.440 about the coming weeks and the coming months. So I 315 00:22:23.480 --> 00:22:25.960 don't want to indulge in well, because I'm not I'm 316 00:22:26.160 --> 00:22:32.200 certainly can't claim to be any sort of scholar. But 317 00:22:32.920 --> 00:22:37.480 what spawned the Islamic Republic? And no, it wasn't the CIA, 318 00:22:37.559 --> 00:22:39.240 and it wasn't just a Shaw, and it wasn't even 319 00:22:39.279 --> 00:22:44.000 only Jimmy Carter's fault. Most Iran watchers agree that this 320 00:22:44.079 --> 00:22:48.559 is a deeply ideological regime. Ever since the end of 321 00:22:48.599 --> 00:22:52.319 the Cold War, the United States has thought little about 322 00:22:52.319 --> 00:22:55.799 that ideology, at least not in the grand sense of 323 00:22:55.839 --> 00:23:01.359 communism or Islamism, but an understanding of the centrality of 324 00:23:01.440 --> 00:23:07.519 Islamist ideology to the Islamic Republic of Iran. I don't 325 00:23:07.519 --> 00:23:10.039 think we can begin to predict what their choices are. 326 00:23:10.440 --> 00:23:14.039 Kameny himself gave the game away saying, and I quote, 327 00:23:14.240 --> 00:23:16.400 I have said time and time again that to build 328 00:23:16.440 --> 00:23:20.400 a society on the basis of the principles of Islam 329 00:23:20.920 --> 00:23:25.119 is an ideological choice, not just a religious one. 330 00:23:25.160 --> 00:23:26.720 Islam, in fact, is. 331 00:23:26.680 --> 00:23:34.880 An ideology in which religion represents one aspect. The centrality 332 00:23:34.880 --> 00:23:41.559 of Islamist theology. Of Islamist ideology is actually enshrine in 333 00:23:41.640 --> 00:23:46.119 the Islamic Republic of Iran's constitution and infuses every aspect 334 00:23:46.160 --> 00:23:57.039 of their governance. This from the Washington Institute, I think 335 00:23:57.160 --> 00:24:03.440 explains the ioto's ideology pretty well. Listen, both leaders of 336 00:24:03.480 --> 00:24:09.079 the Islamic Republic, Komena and Kammona, exhibit an unwaving ideological 337 00:24:09.160 --> 00:24:13.440 commitment with little difference and outlook. A recent survey by 338 00:24:13.559 --> 00:24:17.680 Radio Farda of Kammone's speeches in twenty twenty three found 339 00:24:17.720 --> 00:24:21.200 that he used the term enemy no fewer than three 340 00:24:21.319 --> 00:24:24.839 hundred and seventy three times and mentioned US two hundred 341 00:24:24.839 --> 00:24:28.440 and ninety nine times, not a single reference to Russia 342 00:24:28.559 --> 00:24:33.960 or China. On average, Enemy appeared seven times per speech. 343 00:24:34.440 --> 00:24:40.079 In Kammone's rhetoric, resistance against the enemy, however, vague, has 344 00:24:40.119 --> 00:24:45.839 become a foundational pillar of his ideology. It is the 345 00:24:46.039 --> 00:24:53.680 United States of America and our allies principally israel ideology 346 00:24:53.720 --> 00:24:59.640 Inside the uranium government is is not the luxury that 347 00:24:59.640 --> 00:25:02.359 the din dozens of New York and San Francisco understand. 348 00:25:02.400 --> 00:25:04.960 I just don't think the elites in this country understand 349 00:25:04.960 --> 00:25:08.039 it at all. I think it's intrinsic to the thinking 350 00:25:08.279 --> 00:25:12.920 and the worldview of the Ranian decision makers. This regime 351 00:25:13.000 --> 00:25:16.920 has reigned for forty six years now, and most of 352 00:25:16.960 --> 00:25:22.640 the country, in fact, it's entire political echelon, grew up in, 353 00:25:23.279 --> 00:25:28.079 were educated by, and they sign on to Kuminaz's mix 354 00:25:28.200 --> 00:25:35.160 of Shia's supremacist theocracy and the imperative to export their revolution. 355 00:25:38.240 --> 00:25:39.559 And we are the main. 356 00:25:39.519 --> 00:25:43.480 Obstacles to that, well Israel. Israel and the United States 357 00:25:43.519 --> 00:25:50.799 are the main obstacles to that, you know, even Europe. 358 00:25:50.960 --> 00:25:56.400 But I'm not going to digress down there. That ideology 359 00:25:56.519 --> 00:26:02.720 that the Washington Institute described is the is the Iotolis 360 00:26:02.720 --> 00:26:11.880 and Namola's reality. An expert on Iran, Hannah A. Rent, 361 00:26:13.200 --> 00:26:19.000 wrote very incisively some forty years ago, just as terror, 362 00:26:19.200 --> 00:26:23.599 even in its pre total, merely tyrannical form, ruins all 363 00:26:23.640 --> 00:26:30.400 relationships between men, so the self compulsion of ideological thinking 364 00:26:30.559 --> 00:26:39.720 ruins all relationships with reality. That is, our so called 365 00:26:39.960 --> 00:26:44.519 partner in that JCPOA the. 366 00:26:44.480 --> 00:26:45.960 Iran nuclear deal. 367 00:26:47.240 --> 00:26:51.799 So comprehending that Iran is not the country too many inside, 368 00:26:52.200 --> 00:26:55.920 I think even our own government believe it, believe it 369 00:26:55.960 --> 00:27:03.119 to be dictates a completely different approach to I think 370 00:27:03.240 --> 00:27:05.799 is where as it may seem to many people, it 371 00:27:05.920 --> 00:27:08.920 is Donald Trump who best understands how to speak the 372 00:27:09.000 --> 00:27:13.799 language that the Iranian regime understands. He's not interested in 373 00:27:13.839 --> 00:27:17.119 the hand waving, the gesturing, the one step forward, two 374 00:27:17.160 --> 00:27:20.440 steps back menu added what the diplomats excel at doing. 375 00:27:21.519 --> 00:27:24.440 I think that's why Marco Rubio has been so effective, 376 00:27:24.720 --> 00:27:29.200 because he understands that too. You know, he has Trump 377 00:27:29.319 --> 00:27:31.680 and Rubio have one question, are you doing what we 378 00:27:31.759 --> 00:27:35.480 ask you to do? And if you're not, there'll be 379 00:27:35.519 --> 00:27:38.759 hell to pay. And that's why I think this whole 380 00:27:38.759 --> 00:27:42.920 thing about the peace deal was to some level the 381 00:27:43.000 --> 00:27:47.240 head fake he was by telegraphing that there is a 382 00:27:47.279 --> 00:27:50.960 cease deal, telegraphing that's what I'm asking you to do 383 00:27:52.400 --> 00:27:55.799 now that we've shown our strength and our willingness to 384 00:27:55.839 --> 00:28:01.240 do that, then shut her down. But I think even 385 00:28:01.279 --> 00:28:07.240 in that regard, Trump may have miscalculated how radical and 386 00:28:07.319 --> 00:28:12.920 how embedded that theology is. So for more than three 387 00:28:12.960 --> 00:28:17.880 decade decades now, Tehran has worked inexorably towards having that 388 00:28:18.000 --> 00:28:22.279 new capability, And the semantics are important. 389 00:28:22.440 --> 00:28:23.200 Very important. 390 00:28:24.160 --> 00:28:28.400 We do not know if Iran wants a nuclear weapon 391 00:28:29.200 --> 00:28:32.319 or weapons. We know that Iron wants to be able 392 00:28:32.319 --> 00:28:34.240 to have such a weapon at the time of it's choosing. 393 00:28:35.400 --> 00:28:37.839 And I think it's an important distinction. If you hear 394 00:28:38.119 --> 00:28:42.319 that the intelligence community doesn't believe that the Ayatola has 395 00:28:42.759 --> 00:28:45.319 made the decision to go for a weapon, all that 396 00:28:45.400 --> 00:28:47.839 means is they don't think he's decided to take the 397 00:28:47.880 --> 00:28:50.519 parts and just put them together. And that's precisely what 398 00:28:50.640 --> 00:28:55.519 jd Vance was trying to explain to brat Bearr yesterday. 399 00:28:55.039 --> 00:29:00.359 When you have this interfuges, when you have the enriched uranium, 400 00:29:01.599 --> 00:29:06.680 when you're building the rockets, the ballistic missiles, you're not going, 401 00:29:06.799 --> 00:29:08.200