Speaker 1: My lord, are you needy? I ride on the back
Speaker 1: window of my truck. My Goober number is fifteen twenty.
Speaker 1: And if you're at Guber two and then I list,
Speaker 1: Michael says, go here dot com. And then you still
Speaker 1: want talkbacks, you are insatiable.
Speaker 2: Yeah, pretty much. So sounds about right. Yeah, yeah, yeah.
Speaker 3: We were told last night that let's go back. I
Speaker 3: still believe that the strikes on the three nuke sites
Speaker 3: inside Iran was a tactical success.
Speaker 2: It set them back.
Speaker 3: As I said yesterday, we don't know for sure what
Speaker 3: the damage assessments are yet, so we don't know to
Speaker 3: what extent it is that they have accomplished what they
Speaker 3: want to accomplish. But nonetheless that doesn't take away from
Speaker 3: the success of it, because either you and this is
Speaker 3: where I think we still have problems with Trump's language.
Speaker 3: We don't know that, for example, that it was a
Speaker 3: complete obliteration this it was kind of It was interesting
Speaker 3: last night because JD. Vance appears on Brett Bear's show
Speaker 3: at four o'clock our time, and they're reading a announcement
Speaker 3: that Trump's made on truth Social about the cease fire,
Speaker 3: and Brett Bear and JD. Vance, the Vice President are
Speaker 3: going back and forth about the word obliteration, and I
Speaker 3: understand exactly what Brett Bear was getting at, because the
Speaker 3: word obliteration is the action or fact of obliterating or
Speaker 3: being obliterate. Total destruction is the way I would define
Speaker 3: it total destruction. So if you have totally destroyed Iran's
Speaker 3: ability to build a nuke, then indeed that is obliteration.
Speaker 3: If you have destroyed it enough that you they still
Speaker 3: have enough equipment, they've got some centrifuges hidden somewhere that's
Speaker 3: at sixty percent or greater, that's at some site we
Speaker 3: don't know about, then you haven't obliterated it.
Speaker 2: You have.
Speaker 3: I would even say destroyed. You have disrupted it. And
Speaker 3: whether that's a disruption for one year, five years, or
Speaker 3: twenty years doesn't make any difference. That is still a
Speaker 3: tactical success because you have bought time for whatever, including negotiations,
Speaker 3: including time for the Israelis and Massad and the IDEF
Speaker 3: to do whatever else they need to do, or just
Speaker 3: all out war between the two countries again not US,
Speaker 3: but between Israel and around. So I still consider that
Speaker 3: to be a tactical success, and I think you should too.
Speaker 2: It also shows our ability.
Speaker 3: Now, I don't know how we're going to get accurate
Speaker 3: damage assessments unless somehow Massad has some operatives that can
Speaker 3: get in there, and which would not be far fetched
Speaker 3: in my mind, because we know for a fact that
Speaker 3: Massad had operatives on the ground prior to our bomb
Speaker 3: a few days ago. So they may still be there,
Speaker 3: and they may have informants, they may have some spies,
Speaker 3: they may have some access to information that would give
Speaker 3: us some good damnage assessments. Maybe the IAEA, although I
Speaker 3: don't trust them, maybe they can get in and they
Speaker 3: can do some assessments. But the quibbling yesterday over obliteration
Speaker 3: versus you know, you've you've destroyed or delayed or disrupted.
Speaker 3: I think disrupts probably the best word. You have disrupted
Speaker 3: their nuclear program. I think that remains open either way.
Speaker 3: It was a tactical success, and I think that, you know,
Speaker 3: when people compare Trump's presidency to reality TV show, there's
Speaker 3: probably still some truth to that, but that conceit.
Speaker 2: Oh, it's just a reality TV show.
Speaker 3: It does, however, capture the radical strangeness of his leadership,
Speaker 3: which is, as I said, I think a nice way
Speaker 3: to put it as opposed to radical strangeness would be
Speaker 3: the head fakes that he's engaged in. He's a master
Speaker 3: of persuasion. He is a master at the head fake.
Speaker 3: He tries to shape world events through confusion, big bombs,
Speaker 3: capital letters, head fakes, you know, misdirections, all of that.
Speaker 3: When he announced last night on truth, social and all caps,
Speaker 3: the ceasefire is now in effect. Please do not violate it,
Speaker 3: well for an hour or so, Well for an hour
Speaker 3: or so. When I look back on the timeline, for me,
Speaker 3: I go to bed thinking, oh, that's interesting. A cease fire,
Speaker 3: I admit I don't believe it, because I don't think
Speaker 3: that absent some statement from the Iranians, which I've not
Speaker 3: heard either than I guess we've heard it in directly
Speaker 3: by them launching an attack on Israel, which by the way,
Speaker 3: made a direct hit on a civilian location. It was
Speaker 3: a direct hit that killed the people in their bomb shelter.
Speaker 3: That's what the Iranians did. The Israelers do not attack
Speaker 3: civilian targets and have not attacked civilian targets. They've been
Speaker 3: attacking military installations and military targets in Iran. So when
Speaker 3: the ceasefire is announced, I'm skeptical, and then you know,
Speaker 3: until I go to bed, it seems like.
Speaker 2: He might be right.
Speaker 3: Iran and Israel might have made, you know, the right
Speaker 3: noises through the right channels about a cessation of fire.
Speaker 3: But then this morning, according to the idea, they the
Speaker 3: Iranians launched that missile at Israel, and Israel rightfully so retaliated,
Speaker 3: particularly because you know, I would say, if you wanted
Speaker 3: to play this out of all the different scenarios, if
Speaker 3: the Iranians had like they did with us, they launched
Speaker 3: fourteen missiles at our base. Was it in Cutter or
Speaker 3: wherever it was, that would nowhere near the actual base,
Speaker 3: and according to Trump, we had heads up that they
Speaker 3: were going to do that. Okay, you need to do something.
Speaker 3: They the Iranians need to do something domestically to show
Speaker 3: that the regime is still in charge, to try to
Speaker 3: quell any uprising that might be stirring, which we don't
Speaker 3: know because we don't have much real good intel or
Speaker 3: information coming out of there right now. Because the Israelis
Speaker 3: did the right thing and they disrupted their news networks too,
Speaker 3: so good for them, which is state.
Speaker 2: Run, not civilian state run.
Speaker 3: When they made that direct hint. Israel did the only
Speaker 3: thing I would expect him to do, and that was
Speaker 3: to fire back. They launched another missile, and the war
Speaker 3: is back on again.
Speaker 2: I don't know. My TV is frozen right now.
Speaker 3: The Trump headlines are well as you would expect Drudge
Speaker 3: to be. Ceasefire falters, Trump goes berserk, drops off bomb
Speaker 3: on Life TV, which I just listened to again and
Speaker 3: he really did drop it. Updates blah blah blah. So
Speaker 3: you know it's on again, off again. Nobody really knows.
Speaker 3: Some sources are suggesting that a ceasefire might not be
Speaker 3: working because so many Iranian officials have actually fled, they've
Speaker 3: gone into hiding or they've been killed, and their troops
Speaker 3: don't know whether stop firing or not. They don't know
Speaker 3: what to do, so they reflexively do what they've been
Speaker 3: trained to do, which is, Okay, it's nighttime, let's launch
Speaker 3: some missiles, and they do regardless. By the time Trump
Speaker 3: woke up again, the conflict that he had dubbed the
Speaker 3: twelve day war last night, at least on social media,
Speaker 3: might be well headed toward a second week of hostilities.
Speaker 3: None of us should be surprised by this. I think
Speaker 3: we have to be objective and think to ourselves. So
Speaker 3: I'll say it out loud. I think Trump spoke too
Speaker 3: soon last night. Remember yesterday on the program when I
Speaker 3: talked about we we still have to wait to see
Speaker 3: what happens next. I think we're starting to see what
Speaker 3: happens next. So the twelve day war, I think is
Speaker 3: Trump's attemper And again, man, I say all of this
Speaker 3: knowing that we're all being played and it is all
Speaker 3: ahead fake. And He's making this announcement about a cease
Speaker 3: fire knowing that the Iranians may still launch something and
Speaker 3: the Israelis may still launch back.
Speaker 2: And vbi's told Trump that they're you know.
Speaker 3: And Yahu said, we're going to do that, and Trump said, okay,
Speaker 3: but you know, I'm going to announce the cease fire
Speaker 3: because I want to, you know, head fake the Iranians
Speaker 3: into thinking that we've kind of when I say we,
Speaker 3: both the Americans and the Israelis and all of our
Speaker 3: allies have considered, okay, we've done everything we're going to do.
Speaker 3: I think that may be the real situation, the actual
Speaker 3: situation on the ground. He announces the two weeks. You know,
Speaker 3: I'm going to give him two weeks or they have
Speaker 3: two weeks to do something. He acts within two days.
Speaker 3: There's no question in my mind that the Israelis knew
Speaker 3: that was coming. The Israelis let it obviously, Sure, this
Speaker 3: is what we want you to do.
Speaker 2: Go in and do it. So we go in and
Speaker 2: do it.
Speaker 3: Trump announces the ceasefire, trying to lure the Iranians into
Speaker 3: thinking that the Israelis won't do anything. The Iranians, of course,
Speaker 3: thinking the Israelis, you know, are because they will follow
Speaker 3: whatever we say to do. Wink wink, the Iranians will
Speaker 3: lob a missile and we're back to where we are.
Speaker 3: But what's changed the damage to the nuclear facilities. I
Speaker 3: think Trump at times senses the hand of the Almighty
Speaker 3: in all of this, because he did muse after announcing
Speaker 3: the ceasefire in a certain and very ironic way, that
Speaker 3: perfect hit late in the evening, brought everyone together, and
Speaker 3: the deal was made head fake or factual, I don't know.
Speaker 3: The b two strikes then had become, at least in
Speaker 3: Trump's mind, another miracle along the way of him of
Speaker 3: his odyssey. Divine providence made the bullets missing Butler when
Speaker 3: they tried to assassinate him, and the massive bombs in
Speaker 3: Iran on Saturday brought about peace, so he's kind of
Speaker 3: channeling the Good Lord. And Trump also told both Israel
Speaker 3: and around both nations will see tremendous love, peace, and
Speaker 3: prosperity in their futures. They have so much to gain
Speaker 3: and yet so much to lose if they stray fen
Speaker 3: the road of righteousness and truth. The future for Israel
Speaker 3: and Iran is unlimited and filled with great promise. God
Speaker 3: bless you both, God bless you both. That's kind of interesting.
Speaker 3: That's why I think there's still head fachs going on.
Speaker 3: If Iran is just into deceased fire before it began,
Speaker 3: or before it began, then how will Trump, to peacemaker
Speaker 3: respond to such a clear abrogation of his demands that
Speaker 3: they not do anything. What seems certain is that, other
Speaker 3: than a desire to play kate Trump through Katari inner mediaries,
Speaker 3: the incentives for Iran and Israel to keep warring I
Speaker 3: think are still in place now. Iran may have officially
Speaker 3: saved face with its telegraph strikes at the bases in
Speaker 3: Qatar and then Iran yesterday, but the Iranian regime cannot payper.
Speaker 3: They just simply cannot paper over the humiliations of the
Speaker 3: last few days. They just can't do that. But Israel
Speaker 3: can see that the Iranian regime is buckling on the
Speaker 3: steps of the escalation ladder. They're trying, and every time
Speaker 3: they try, that gives Israel a chance to go in
Speaker 3: and take out even more of their launch pads, their
Speaker 3: launch facilities, and take out even more if they can
Speaker 3: of the leadership.
Speaker 2: And I don't mind that.
Speaker 3: And I don't mind that because if we're going to
Speaker 3: see I'm going to use the phrase regime change, If
Speaker 3: we're going to see regime change in Iran, then the
Speaker 3: environment has to be such that there can be a
Speaker 3: natural regime change. We should have learned over the past
Speaker 3: twenty five years that our country, and I certainly don't
Speaker 3: think the Israelis too, but certainly this country cannot walk
Speaker 3: into another country and take it from a in the
Speaker 3: case of a Iran, a theoretic a theocratic despot tyranny,
Speaker 3: and overnight turn it into a democracy. The objective should
Speaker 3: be if we can at least get rid of the
Speaker 3: theocratic tyranny, the the the iyatolas, and then let the
Speaker 3: people figure out what the hell they want to do next,
Speaker 3: then I think the Israelis ought to be allowed to
Speaker 3: continue to create enough chaos so that somewhere, somehow, whether
Speaker 3: it's the Shaw's Sun who's still in exile I think
Speaker 3: in this country can get back and lead an uprising,
Speaker 3: or whether there are some people and Massade very well
Speaker 3: may have identified people within country that could start an uprising,
Speaker 3: then Israel ought to be given a free hand to
Speaker 3: continue to do what it wants to do, to allow
Speaker 3: time for that fermentation to occur, so that whatever those
Speaker 3: people or wherever those people are, whether they're in this country,
Speaker 3: because there's a diaspora all over the world of Iranians
Speaker 3: who escape back in nineteen seventy nine who want to
Speaker 3: return their country back to some sort of you know,
Speaker 3: freedom and liberty, whatever version of that they may see.
Speaker 3: So it's possible that the Israelis felt that a pause
Speaker 3: in the violence now or at least these limited strikes
Speaker 3: would actually help overthrow that theocratic regime. Yet that would
Speaker 3: be kind of an interesting pivot from the IDF's Maximalust
Speaker 3: campaign against the IRGC, the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps. Israel's
Speaker 3: defense ministers this morning promised intense strikes in return, and
Speaker 3: then Trump responds, Israel, do not drop those bombs. If
Speaker 3: you do it as a major violation, bring your pilots
Speaker 3: home now, Donald J. Trump, President of the United States,
Speaker 3: which I find kind of ironic. We kind of know
Speaker 3: who you are, mister President. Again, a head fake, a
Speaker 3: very potential head fake. So as peace is declared, what
Speaker 3: do we have? Well, as peace is declared, the war's
Speaker 3: really still going on in a certain and a very
Speaker 3: ironic way, or perhaps in in an unreal trumping update
Speaker 3: to George Orwell's nineteen eighty four pieces War and Strength
Speaker 3: is ignorance. But either way, I would just caution all
Speaker 3: of us, be you aware of the head fakes. Israel
Speaker 3: has made it known and made it clear, and I'm
Speaker 3: sure they've made I'm sure night Yaill's made it clear
Speaker 3: to Trump that thank you for doing what you did.
Speaker 3: That gives us some flexibility. The Iotota is still in hiding.
Speaker 3: Pluton has told the Uranians, I'm not giving you any weapons.
Speaker 3: China remains completely silent. This war isn't over yet, and
Speaker 3: regime chain may still occur. But all we've done is
Speaker 3: get rid of those facilities.
Speaker 4: Why don't those morons figure out a way to crack
Speaker 4: down on the cars that have no tags, no license plate, expired,
Speaker 4: temporary tag, expire tags because you know they're not paying
Speaker 4: anything they could. Polus is missing out on a whole
Speaker 4: lot of quote fees on that, plus.
Speaker 5: They don't have insurance. The scumballs.
Speaker 2: Did you have the first hour?
Speaker 3: Because the lawlessness is they don't care about those people.
Speaker 3: They only care about you, law abiding citizens. It's like
Speaker 3: with guns, and every gun law passed by the Colorado
Speaker 3: Public Bureau this year has to do with law abiding
Speaker 3: citizens because the criminals are not.
Speaker 2: Going to follow the laws. They don't care.
Speaker 3: They don't give a rats ask whether somebody's eighteen or
Speaker 3: twenty one years old. They don't care about whether they've
Speaker 3: gone through a training course or not a training course.
Speaker 3: They don't care because they don't buy guns from gun dealers,
Speaker 3: from FFLs. They buy guns on Well, they're gon have
Speaker 3: to move off Federal Boulevard because apparently there's gonna be
Speaker 3: some construction up there. But everything is designed to punish you,
Speaker 3: not them. And once you get that mindset, you'll understand
Speaker 3: just exactly how bad things are. So let's go back
Speaker 3: to Iran for a moment and let in fact, that's
Speaker 3: let's go specifically to Iran. I actually hold the Iranian
Speaker 3: people in very high regard and they they have suffered tremendously.
Speaker 2: You know, if you go.
Speaker 3: Back in history when the when when the camels lazed
Speaker 3: in the sun on the Arabian Peninsula, the Persians were
Speaker 3: actually leading a very grand civilization. And although the greatness
Speaker 3: of Persia is now history, the Iranian people are intellectually
Speaker 3: and culturally sophisticated now. Even inside the Islamist extremist regime
Speaker 3: that's been fashioned by the Ayatola Komine, there are some
Speaker 3: bright stars who have too often put their European and
Speaker 3: American interlocateurs to shame. For those and some other reasons
Speaker 3: I have. I have been kind of shocked by the ineptmist,
Speaker 3: the incompetence, and the down right stupidity of the Iranian
Speaker 3: government in managing its relationship with the rest of the world,
Speaker 3: until I realized, oh wait a minute, this we have
Speaker 3: to stop. Start with the premise that the Ayatola, the Molas,
Speaker 3: the theocracy.
Speaker 2: That leads Persia Iran, they're nuts.
Speaker 3: They're they're so filled with their ideology of hatred toward
Speaker 3: the Infidels, betward toward Judaism, toward toward Christians Christendom. So
Speaker 3: between Israel and the United States, the Great Satan and
Speaker 3: the Little Satan. That's why they completely miss mismanage their
Speaker 3: relationships with the rest.
Speaker 5: Of the world.
Speaker 3: And when I say the rest of the world, I
Speaker 3: will include Russia and China in that too. One of
Speaker 3: the most fascinating things that I read last night was
Speaker 3: the story about how the president of Iran, which is
Speaker 3: separate from the Ayatola, the President of Iran, goes to
Speaker 3: Moscow and meets with Putin. They sign some sort of
Speaker 3: an agreement, but there is no mutual defense accord in
Speaker 3: that agreement, and Putin refuses to provide any sort of
Speaker 3: military armaments to the Iranians. Now they have a mutual
Speaker 3: defense agreement, but Putin's basically already thrown that aside and said, yeah,
Speaker 3: well you can ask me for whatever you want. You're
Speaker 3: not getting squat. Yeah, you're not getting anything. And the
Speaker 3: Chinese have just gone dark, the Chinese Communist Party has
Speaker 3: totally gone dark. So the Iranians are at this point
Speaker 3: truly id and I gets some theories that's why this
Speaker 3: is and I don't want to digress into just, you know,
Speaker 3: a bunch of nerdy musings on Persian history, but developing, developing,
Speaker 3: Maybe just a better understanding of how this regime must
Speaker 3: be thinking and makes decisions might tell us a lot
Speaker 3: about the coming weeks and the coming months. So I
Speaker 3: don't want to indulge in well, because I'm not I'm
Speaker 3: certainly can't claim to be any sort of scholar. But
Speaker 3: what spawned the Islamic Republic? And no, it wasn't the CIA,
Speaker 3: and it wasn't just a Shaw, and it wasn't even
Speaker 3: only Jimmy Carter's fault. Most Iran watchers agree that this
Speaker 3: is a deeply ideological regime. Ever since the end of
Speaker 3: the Cold War, the United States has thought little about
Speaker 3: that ideology, at least not in the grand sense of
Speaker 3: communism or Islamism, but an understanding of the centrality of
Speaker 3: Islamist ideology to the Islamic Republic of Iran. I don't
Speaker 3: think we can begin to predict what their choices are.
Speaker 3: Kameny himself gave the game away saying, and I quote,
Speaker 3: I have said time and time again that to build
Speaker 3: a society on the basis of the principles of Islam
Speaker 3: is an ideological choice, not just a religious one.
Speaker 2: Islam, in fact, is.
Speaker 3: An ideology in which religion represents one aspect. The centrality
Speaker 3: of Islamist theology. Of Islamist ideology is actually enshrine in
Speaker 3: the Islamic Republic of Iran's constitution and infuses every aspect
Speaker 3: of their governance. This from the Washington Institute, I think
Speaker 3: explains the ioto's ideology pretty well. Listen, both leaders of
Speaker 3: the Islamic Republic, Komena and Kammona, exhibit an unwaving ideological
Speaker 3: commitment with little difference and outlook. A recent survey by
Speaker 3: Radio Farda of Kammone's speeches in twenty twenty three found
Speaker 3: that he used the term enemy no fewer than three
Speaker 3: hundred and seventy three times and mentioned US two hundred
Speaker 3: and ninety nine times, not a single reference to Russia
Speaker 3: or China. On average, Enemy appeared seven times per speech.
Speaker 3: In Kammone's rhetoric, resistance against the enemy, however, vague, has
Speaker 3: become a foundational pillar of his ideology. It is the
Speaker 3: United States of America and our allies principally israel ideology
Speaker 3: Inside the uranium government is is not the luxury that
Speaker 3: the din dozens of New York and San Francisco understand.
Speaker 3: I just don't think the elites in this country understand
Speaker 3: it at all. I think it's intrinsic to the thinking
Speaker 3: and the worldview of the Ranian decision makers. This regime
Speaker 3: has reigned for forty six years now, and most of
Speaker 3: the country, in fact, it's entire political echelon, grew up in,
Speaker 3: were educated by, and they sign on to Kuminaz's mix
Speaker 3: of Shia's supremacist theocracy and the imperative to export their revolution.
Speaker 2: And we are the main.
Speaker 3: Obstacles to that, well Israel. Israel and the United States
Speaker 3: are the main obstacles to that, you know, even Europe.
Speaker 3: But I'm not going to digress down there. That ideology
Speaker 3: that the Washington Institute described is the is the Iotolis
Speaker 3: and Namola's reality. An expert on Iran, Hannah A. Rent,
Speaker 3: wrote very incisively some forty years ago, just as terror,
Speaker 3: even in its pre total, merely tyrannical form, ruins all
Speaker 3: relationships between men, so the self compulsion of ideological thinking
Speaker 3: ruins all relationships with reality. That is, our so called
Speaker 3: partner in that JCPOA the.
Speaker 2: Iran nuclear deal.
Speaker 3: So comprehending that Iran is not the country too many inside,
Speaker 3: I think even our own government believe it, believe it
Speaker 3: to be dictates a completely different approach to I think
Speaker 3: is where as it may seem to many people, it
Speaker 3: is Donald Trump who best understands how to speak the
Speaker 3: language that the Iranian regime understands. He's not interested in
Speaker 3: the hand waving, the gesturing, the one step forward, two
Speaker 3: steps back menu added what the diplomats excel at doing.
Speaker 3: I think that's why Marco Rubio has been so effective,
Speaker 3: because he understands that too. You know, he has Trump
Speaker 3: and Rubio have one question, are you doing what we
Speaker 3: ask you to do? And if you're not, there'll be
Speaker 3: hell to pay. And that's why I think this whole
Speaker 3: thing about the peace deal was to some level the
Speaker 3: head fake he was by telegraphing that there is a
Speaker 3: cease deal, telegraphing that's what I'm asking you to do
Speaker 3: now that we've shown our strength and our willingness to
Speaker 3: do that, then shut her down. But I think even
Speaker 3: in that regard, Trump may have miscalculated how radical and
Speaker 3: how embedded that theology is. So for more than three
Speaker 3: decade decades now, Tehran has worked inexorably towards having that
Speaker 3: new capability, And the semantics are important.
Speaker 2: Very important.
Speaker 3: We do not know if Iran wants a nuclear weapon
Speaker 3: or weapons. We know that Iron wants to be able
Speaker 3: to have such a weapon at the time of it's choosing.
Speaker 3: And I think it's an important distinction. If you hear
Speaker 3: that the intelligence community doesn't believe that the Ayatola has
Speaker 3: made the decision to go for a weapon, all that
Speaker 3: means is they don't think he's decided to take the
Speaker 3: parts and just put them together. And that's precisely what
Speaker 3: jd Vance was trying to explain to brat Bearr yesterday.
Speaker 3: When you have this interfuges, when you have the enriched uranium,
Speaker 3: when you're building the rockets, the ballistic missiles, you're not going,
Speaker 3: as he said, they're not planning.
Speaker 2: They don't have a moon program.
Speaker 3: So they have all of the components, so whether the
Speaker 3: order has been given to assemble the components is irrelevant.
Speaker 2: They have the components.
Speaker 3: So if you ask, does Iram want to be able
Speaker 3: to assemble those parts and he makes the decision, well, duh.
Speaker 2: The answer to that has to be. Yes.
Speaker 5: They say America is the land of opportunity. It is.
Speaker 5: Think about this. Last week a guy who was a
Speaker 5: former McDonald's employee says, the free world from Iranian nuclear
Speaker 5: power very amazing.
Speaker 3: He was also a garbage truck driver too. Yeah, proven
Speaker 3: that anybody can grow up to be So back to
Speaker 3: the Persian people. So what happens now? Now, if the
Speaker 3: Persian people could just get organized, and I do believe
Speaker 3: they really are smart, but let's separate the Persian people
Speaker 3: from the Iatolas, from the political leadership from the Molas.
Speaker 3: If the Mulas were smart like their people, they would
Speaker 3: cry uncle and agree to inspections. They would relinquish enrichment,
Speaker 3: they would accept a regional nuclear agreement, and more too,
Speaker 3: they would understand that the world's focus will inevitably falter,
Speaker 3: and that then they could go right back to the
Speaker 3: status quo, up the ante.
Speaker 2: And resume what they were doing beforehand. But remember, they're trapped.
Speaker 3: The Mollahs are in their ideological mire and they cannot
Speaker 3: accept the need to bend the knee to Washington and
Speaker 3: by extension, at least in their minds, to Israel and
Speaker 3: the rest of the world. So where where does that
Speaker 3: leave us, maybe the regime will fall. I don't have
Speaker 3: any opinion about whether that's likely or unlikely. I think
Speaker 3: it depends on a lot about groups within the exist
Speaker 3: not just the diaspora, those that exist outside the country,
Speaker 3: but those within the country. I just don't have any
Speaker 3: I just don't have any intel. I don't have any
Speaker 3: microscope that can give me any sort of idea about
Speaker 3: the dissidant groups. Oh, I know about the distant groups
Speaker 3: outside the country, in the in the diaspora, but I
Speaker 3: don't really know about the dissonant groups inside the country.
Speaker 3: So if the Iotola stays in his bunker, or if
Speaker 3: the Iotota is eliminated, or if they keep getting to
Speaker 3: you know, all the mid level managers the military, you know,
Speaker 3: the second, third, fourth level commanders, then at some point
Speaker 3: maybe the IRGC begins to really fall apart, and maybe somebody.
Speaker 2: Within there rises up.
Speaker 3: Now again, don't get me wrong, I'm not not even
Speaker 3: saying that's going to lead to some sort of democracy.
Speaker 3: But right now the objective should be the Iyatola and
Speaker 3: that I their ideology needs to be smothered, and then
Speaker 3: the whatever rises out of their ashes. Let that rise
Speaker 3: out could it be worse, I suppose so, but I
Speaker 3: doubt it will be. For the moment, I think we
Speaker 3: can obviously thank Trump, thank the US Armed Forces, thank
Speaker 3: Israel for at least creating this opportunity. And Trump can
Speaker 3: you know, do head fakes and talk about, you know,
Speaker 3: a peace agreement and tell Israel to back off publicly
Speaker 3: while he's telling bb go do what you need to do,
Speaker 3: because it ain't over till it's over. And I don't
Speaker 3: think it's over. I think that we did at the
Speaker 3: time that was most appropriate for us to eliminate the
Speaker 3: one thing that and I think we eliminated because to
Speaker 3: go back to jd Vance's discussion yesterday, all they needed
Speaker 3: to do is probably just put the components together and
Speaker 3: they could have launched something, or they could have taken
Speaker 3: and created a dirty you know, gotten a dirty bomb
Speaker 3: out of the country. And remember we still have maybe
Speaker 3: sleeper cells in this country. So no, it's not over
Speaker 3: at all.