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Speaker 1: Welcome in to the opening line report.

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Speaker 2: Kelly Stewart here with Teddy covers as we are every

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single Monday, going over that NFL slate with you guys. Teddy,

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We're going to get into it right away. We've got

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lots to cover today. I've got my flashing light ready

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in case we have any of those emergency betting alerts.

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Shout out to you, by the way, if you guys

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were paying attention last week, Teddy said, do you like

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the Colts?

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Speaker 1: Now is the time to get them three and the hook.

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Speaker 2: That was a difference maker there yesterday for Colts backers

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versus Kansas City backers. That's what we want to do here,

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right Teddy, is get you that early information, tell you

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where we think the line is going to go, and

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if you like a side or a total, you should

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be getting on it now or possibly even waiting.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, the whole point of the emergency betting alert is

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not saying, oh, you have to bet this game. It's

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not saying I've got a big opinion about this game.

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It's saying this line is moving. If you want to

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get the best of the number, grab it right now.

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If you like that side, and I think it's now

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twice in the last three week where that half point

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that we were talking about has made the difference between

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either a win or a push, or a push or

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a loss. And when you talk about the difference, the

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little edges that make all the difference over time. You

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turn two losses out of one hundred plays into pushes,

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you turn two pushes out of one hundred plays in

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the wins, you be shocked at what that does for

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your bank roll long term. That's all. It takes little

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edges over time. As the point of the show, and

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obviously plenty to talk about today, I'm busy Monday Thanksgiving week.

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Happy Turkey Day for all of you out there.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, Happy Thanksgiving everybody. I've got my notes up from

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the weekend. So Teddy really quickly let everybody know what

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you got going on for Monday Night football. Every single Monday,

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you put out a free play video on your page

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wt Dot Buzz, Backslash, tc, So guys, you can go

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over and watch his free opinion video. But you also

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have a big ticket for Monday Night Football tonight, A

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rare big ticket.

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Speaker 3: We haven't had a lot of them this foot all season.

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We got one tonight, number two all time in NFL

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five percent pic tickets to wager talk. I started number one,

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but someone's gotten hotter than me. Unfortunately I'm number two now.

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That'll fine. I'll take it long term success. I've got

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a good track record with all plays four percent and above,

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a good a track record on the five percent pig

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ticket place, and I'm in play on the total tonight

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for the forty nine Ers Panthers. Get it right now

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on my page wt dot buzz backslash see.

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Speaker 2: I'm working on a promo code for you guys if

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you are new here to wager talk, so let me

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work on that. In the back end, I'm gonna let

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Teddy talk about what we learned last week.

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Speaker 1: Teddy, I'm just gonna let you go rapid fire. What

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did we learn.

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Speaker 2: Thursday night football through Sunday night football?

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Speaker 3: Well, I wrote this phrase down specifically for you, Kelly,

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chalk eating weasels. The chalk eating weasels did not enjoy

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yesterday's gape Baltimore, Detroit, New England, Seattle, Kansas City. They

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all came from behind to win and straight up fashion.

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If you had the underdogs in the money line, you

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were not amused with those comebacks, but none of them.

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The Ravens, Lions, Patriots, Seahawks, Chiefs none cover the spread.

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The only chalk to cover early Chicago minus two and

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a half, Green Bay minus six, and then the only

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chalk to cover late was Jacksonville in overtime and one

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of the ugliest covers we'll ever talk about, and the

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La Rams in the late game. So we saw Dallas, Atlanta,

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Cleveland all winning outright as short underdogs nine and four

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to the under this week heading in the Monday Night

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football game Monday Night Football, the Rams and Bucks thirty

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eight first half points, the second half only a field

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goal even if you had a teaser. That game stayed

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under even despite the thirty eight first half points. So

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there's a little recap of what just happened yesterday. Again,

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emergency betting alerts if we have them, I'll give them. Oh,

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by the way, market the movement as we speak. Let's

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start getting an of these games.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, we love that.

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Speaker 2: Get your odds logic screen open, guys, or head over

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to the wager Talk Free odds page so you can

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follow along. It is on a slight delay, so you

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may not see it glowing like a Christmas tree. But

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Teddy's right, there are plenty of lines on the move

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right now as we speak. Let's get into those Thanksgiving games.

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We have a trio of Thanksgiving games and Black Friday

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for your viewing pleasure. Teddy starting off with the Green

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Bay Packers and the Detroit Lions.

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Speaker 3: Yeah. Sure, And like we do every week, this show

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will start out we give four sets of lines for

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every game. I give the look aheadlines. These are the

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beedible lines on this game from last week, so we

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can see how much just one game this past Sunday

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affected the point spread. I'll give you my powering number

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for this game, and again it's just team a TEMB

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home field that do not factor situations in a my

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powering number. So you get the look headline, you get

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my powering number, you get the opener from last night,

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and then we'll talk about where the money has come

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for today. Since the openers with the Packers and the Lions.

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Lookhead line Detroit, there were threes, there were three and

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a half, so I'll call it a split line. Three

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s last three and a half total forty eight and

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a half. As a look ahead, my powering number has

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the Lions minus three and a half. The markets opened

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three and forty nine last night. They're sitting three and

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forty nine right now. There are forty eight and a

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half forty nine and a halfs out there, but we're

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really number three and forty nine. So look ahead, line

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my powering number opener, current number all in a very

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similar points spread range. We look at Green Bay right now.

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You know, their offense has been mediocre. The rushings okay,

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the passing game has been good with Jordan Love number

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six in the NFL seve point at yards per pass attempt,

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where the Packers have been statistically impressive this season. On

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the defensive side of the football, the defense number three

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in yards per pasttempt allowed, number three in yards per

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rush allowed, number three in yards per play allowed. Jeff

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Athlete's name, the defensive coordinator, is getting bandied about for

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lots of jobs, although he quit a job to take

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this job is at DC. He was the Boston College

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a head coach. And again Green Bay yesterday, the defense

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controlling the flow against Minnesota. They forced three turnovers, They

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had five sacks. You know, the Vikings had four net

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yards and three turnovers in the second half of that ballgame.

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I talk a lot about the concept of running backs

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don't matter, Josh Jacobs doesn't hurt well. Emmanuel Wilson from

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Fort Valley State, Nope. I never heard of it either.

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I had to look it up. It's in Georgia. One

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hundred and seven rushing yards, two touchdowns yesterday. That's, yes,

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the highest single game total by any Packers running back

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this season. Matt Lafleur after the game quote, I've never

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called the same run so many times consecutively. It was

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like three yards in a cloud of dust. But it

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was effective. Bottom line. I just thought the way our

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defense was playing, he took the air out of the

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ball and said, go win it for us. As for Detroit, No,

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Detroit number six yards for play on defense, number five

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yards per pass that on offense, top ten yards per

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rush on offense, seven point six yards for play on offense. Yesterday.

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Jamier Gibbs with multiple touchdown runs long touchdown runs, including

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won on the first play of overtime in that win

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for the Lions. Justay, and it was their worst defensive

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game of the season. I mean it really was. But

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the game ended with an Agent Hutchinson sack on fourth down.

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Detroit just three and three straight up two and four

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against Spread their last six games they entered yesterday out

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of the playoffs, you know, they sailed by double digits

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multiple times. I was a cutty win for Detroit, you know,

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Gibbs quote, it was a must win, Jake Bates hitting

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that fifty nine yard field goal by the slimmest of

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margins at the end of regulation, and then of course

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the Lion's finding a way to win. Not so much

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cover laying three here. I don't expect this number to

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move a whole lot. That being said, yeah, it's not

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going off a three. I mean, I don't see a

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book moving a two and a half. I don't see

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a book moving a three and a half. I expect

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this line to be painted three unless we get some

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injury news that I'm not expecting.

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Speaker 2: All right, moving along to the next game, and this

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one is kind of a battle of two different styles.

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We have a a lower scoring Chiefs team, which is

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kind of unheard of, but they've been a dead on

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under team all season long and a debt on overteam.

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The Dallas Cowboys is their opponent. Teddy, talk to me

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about this Cowboys team once you break down the line here,

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because you mentioned last week that the market was falling on.

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Speaker 1: The Chiefs right. Three ended up being the right number.

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Speaker 2: That's how much they beat the Indianapolis colts by with

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a push. Kind of feels like the same thing here,

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like maybe that hook is going all right? Kelly, you

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know you like the Cowboys.

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Speaker 3: Hooks matter, you know they can't matter. Look atline here,

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Kansas City minus three and a half. There were some

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fours out there. Total of fifty one my powering number,

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Kansas City minus three and a half. The markets opened

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last night Kansas City minus three and a half. Total

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fifty one and a half. What do we see today,

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Kansas City minus three and a half. We're seeing some

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upward movement on the total. Fifty two starting to pop

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up right now at what I would call leading indicator books,

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but they're still juiced fifty one and a half to

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the under at some other spots I wouldn't argue. I'm

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almost tempted by saying, bet let's do it. We got

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emergency betting alert, let's do it. There's fifty one and

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a halfs out there, Douliut, it's one of those days

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where I really know what we're gonna end up using

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the emergency betting alerts on I Want to make.

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Speaker 1: You be the the Duli from.

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Speaker 3: Yeah Yeah Wayne's World reference for those of you who

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like nineties movies but the bottom Line or eighty Saturday

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Night Live skits. This total is getting bet up right now,

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fifty one and a half last night, I'm seeing fifty

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two's right now. If you like the over Detroit Dallas

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Casey on Thanksgiving Day, Thanksgiving Day, you expect to see

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over money, expect to see public money. Fifty one and

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a half the best you're likely to see, like the over.

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I bet it's sooner rather than later. So Kansas City

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had there's sixth try and they finally on a one

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score game, now one in five this year in one

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score games after winning them all last year. Prior to

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the win yesterday, their biggest comeback all season had been

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rallying from seven points down against the Ravens in Week four.

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Patrick Mahomes after that was a tough, greedy win. They

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were minus two and turnovers. They were one of six

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in the red zone. They had forty two minutes of possession.

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They had ninety one offensive plays. It was just dink

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and dunk all day. First downs Kansas City thirty three

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Indy ten total yards Kansas City four to ninety four

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Indy two fifty five. The box score much more dominant

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in favor of the Chiefs than the game felt on

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the field, and Mahomes quote, that's exactly what we needed

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to win against a really good team, and the game's

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not going your way. You could have folded in that

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situation and kind of the rest of the season, but

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guys responded. It was a do or die type thing.

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Guys made plays happen. All five of our losses felt

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like this game where there were plays we could make

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and we didn't. You can talk about it all day,

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but until you prove it, it doesn't matter. We proved

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today that we could make the plays still. Kansas City

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all in three ats, the last three all his short

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favorites like they are here. Dallas just got their first

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setup back to back wins for the season. They're five

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to five and one. All of a sudden, the playoffs

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are realistic option. They outgained Philly by more than a

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yard per play yesterday. The defense is clearly getting better

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for Dallas, and we thought that might be the case

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when they were buyers at the trade deadline. You know,

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first win for the Cowboys were trailing by three touchdowns

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or more since twenty fourteen. Schottenheimer coach shot himber after

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the game, you heard me say it a thousand times.

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You can't win the game in the first quarter, second third,

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but you can win the game in the fourth quarter.

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I told them, believe, believe in each other, believe in

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the fact that we'll find a way to do it.

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They did. Both teams in this instance may be a

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little bit fat and happy for the short week.

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Speaker 2: All right, If you guys are just joining us a

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little over one thousand of you, feel free to jump

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in the comments.

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Speaker 1: We're going through the rest of these thingsgiving games.

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Speaker 2: Cincinnati Bengals taking on the Baltimore Ravens and Teddy I

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went ahead and burn the Ravens. I brought them against

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the Jensen Survivor yesterday. I had to do it. It looked

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ugly for a quarter, and I really never in doubt

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after that. But that's because I think this Bengals team

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is starting to play better. I took the seven and

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a half yesterday. If you guys were paying attention on

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last call, John Murray said, hey, we need the seven

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in the hook with the Bengals.

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Speaker 1: Patriots made it interesting. I thought maybe maybe they were

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gonna end up blowing them out. They didn't.

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Speaker 2: This Bengals team still has some fight, and I think

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in this divisional game they might as well.

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Speaker 3: Tim I sure, I mean Thanksgiving short week, and it

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looks like Joe Burrow's going to be back for Cincinnati.

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The line says that Joe Burrow is going to be

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back for Cincinnati. Cincinnati was Burrows in practice this past week,

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and I spent a lot of time. You know, every

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week I talk about the one team that I spent

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a bunch of time thinking about, and Cincy this week

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was a team I spent a lot of time thinking

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about where I want their powering number, what my number

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should be for the Bengals in Joe Burrow's first game back,

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And of course, you know their receiving corps got banged

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up yesterday. T Higgins left the game chasing as well.

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There are issues, but look aheadline Baltimore minus seven total

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fifty three, and of course the market's expected for to

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be back this week. My powering number has the Ravens

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minus seven and a half. The markets open split last

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night seven s last seven and a half fifty one

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and a half, and we've seen the seven and a

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halfs get taken out this morning. There's still a couple

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of them out there. Not enough for me to emergency

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betting alerted because you know one guy will get it

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and no one else will. But if you'll like Sincy,

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you can find seven and a half's right now. I'm

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not convinced they're going to be available. They're not many

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of them, and I don't think they're going to be

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available much longer. That being said, you know, Flack Goo

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through a pick six yesterday and the Bengals still cover,

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which is I guess a positive sign, but they're still

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dead last in the NFL and defensive yards per play allowed,

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they're number thirty against the rush, they're number thirty one

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and yards per passive attempt allowed. And when you're thirty

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against the yards per rush and thirty one against yards

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per pass attempt, that's a problem. You know. You know,

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another one and eight. Since Burrow got hurt, you know,

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he practiced last week. He expected to return for this

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ball game. Chase obviously had the one game suspension. Higgins

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suffered the concussion. We'll have to see if either of

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both of the I'm assuming Chase is gonna play. I

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don't know if we're gonna see Higgins in this ball game.

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This quote from Zach Taylor really stood out to me

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because I always look for teams, the coaches talking in

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the past tense, you know, and it's been a rough

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year for Cincy obviously, Zach Taylor quote. Just been one

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of those years where we haven't found a way at

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the end of the game, and that's been frustrating. It's

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important for everyone to keep at this thing and find

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a way to get some momentum. I do not view

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that as a bet on quote. Baltimore's gone from one

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to five to six and five, you know, first place

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now our first place tie with Steelers in the AFC

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North coach Harbaugh quote, it feels great, but it's halfway done.

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It's not over. SE's not over. Harmo's really worried about

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the letdown. And of course, I mean, it hasn't been pretty.

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They struggled to beat the Browns, they struggled to beat

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the Jets the last two weeks. You know, Lamar Jackson

315
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thirteen to twenty three for a buck fifty three. He's

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dealing with kneest issues, he's dealing with ankle injuries issues.

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Dereck Henry hasn't been all that effective sixty four yards

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on twenty one carries yesterday. You know Jackson, by the way,

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Lamar Jackson under two hundred ards, passing three straight games

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for the first time in five years, back to back

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games without a touchdown, pass for the first time in

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six years. And again he's missing practice time. The knee sore,

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the ankle sore. You know that. Being said, they've held

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their last six opponents under twenty points. Remember there was

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like fire oft fire ot an Devens coreator. Well, that's

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their longest streak in fifteen years holding up his opponents.

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Six opponents under twenty point in a row. This is

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the exact same defense that allowed an NFL worst thirty

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three points a game, thirty two points games of the

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first six games of this season, the last six under twenty.

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Every time, Baltimore's defense a good NOTCHI two better that

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Cincinnati defense. And that's putting it mildly.

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Speaker 2: All right, let's go to black Friday, and this is

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the Chicago Bears team. I probably are Social media manager

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John Hoblin an apology about I'm gonna lose my under

336
00:16:21,480 --> 00:16:22,679
eight and a half wins.

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Speaker 1: Is this Bear's team the real deal?

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Speaker 3: So define real deal?

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Speaker 1: I don't know, Teddy. I keep saying they're overrated. They

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haven't really beat anybody.

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Speaker 2: They keep finding ways to win football games, so I

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guess that's what I mean.

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Speaker 3: The confidence level for Chicago is through the roof. They

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believe every time they're in a close game and they're

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gonna win it, because that's all they've done all year.

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They bought into what Ben Johnson's selling, and the markets

347
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are convinced, Oh, it's all turnovers, it's all turnovers. It's nonsense.

348
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I'm convinced. And you find a team or two like

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Chicago every year in the NFL with a statistical profile

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isn't pretty, and people find an excuse for why they're

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winning games that isn't the You know, I would rather

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be betting on Chicago than against them right now, playing

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in simple fair point art.

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Speaker 1: Are you betting on them in this game? Do you

355
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in this game?

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Speaker 3: Well? Exactly, let's talk about where my number is. Look

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aheadline here Philly seven forty four and a half my

358
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powering number, and I've got the Eagles ranked amongst the

359
00:17:23,599 --> 00:17:26,160
the top. I think they have a matter a half

360
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point lower than the best team in the league. But

361
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I got Philly right at the top. My powering number

362
00:17:30,440 --> 00:17:33,160
is six for this game. The market seven, you know,

363
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off the key number. So it tells me. It tells

364
00:17:36,759 --> 00:17:38,559
you that I'm a little bit off market on Chicago,

365
00:17:38,920 --> 00:17:41,119
and I'm fine with that. I'm going to stay off

366
00:17:41,160 --> 00:17:46,079
market on Chicago until proven otherwise. Open seven and forty

367
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four and a half last night and we're seeing seven

368
00:17:49,640 --> 00:17:52,079
forty four and a half the prevailing number today. There

369
00:17:52,119 --> 00:17:55,799
is some variants on that total. The Bears defense has

370
00:17:55,960 --> 00:17:58,960
ugly numbers. They're number thirty and yards per play all out,

371
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they're number thirty and per past temp allowed. Their number

372
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twenty nine in yards per rush of love. Those are

373
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not bet on numbers. They were even in the turn

374
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round then even when the turner battle against Pittsburgh, plus

375
00:18:09,160 --> 00:18:12,400
the both teams lost two turnovers. But this defense is

376
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creating turnovers every single week. It's a confident unit. The offense,

377
00:18:16,799 --> 00:18:20,079
the avoiding key mistakes at key times. They're a confident unit.

378
00:18:20,240 --> 00:18:22,119
I talked about it. The betty markets are fixated on

379
00:18:22,160 --> 00:18:25,119
the turnover margin. Number one in the NFL. They're fixated

380
00:18:25,160 --> 00:18:27,960
on the bad defensive numbers, but I call it missing

381
00:18:28,000 --> 00:18:30,759
the forest for the trees. This team's eight and one

382
00:18:30,839 --> 00:18:33,880
straight up, seven and two against the spread their last nine,

383
00:18:33,960 --> 00:18:36,599
and the markets are going to continue to call them lucky.

384
00:18:36,720 --> 00:18:38,480
You know, we're not going to see the betty markets

385
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fall in love with Chicago right now. So as long

386
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as they keep winning, they might be being money to

387
00:18:43,680 --> 00:18:46,480
be made on this team. Caleb Williams, who didn't play

388
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well yesterday and they still won and scored thirty one

389
00:18:48,680 --> 00:18:51,240
points quote today, in the beginning, I don't feel I

390
00:18:51,240 --> 00:18:53,680
got into a good rhythm. I was missing passes. It

391
00:18:53,720 --> 00:18:55,799
was kind of weird. I wasn't too frustrated, like a

392
00:18:55,799 --> 00:18:57,279
couple of weeks ago when I was missing past and

393
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got extremely frustrated. I understand. I wrote my notes to

394
00:19:00,720 --> 00:19:03,240
stay positive for myself, but also for the guys. I

395
00:19:03,240 --> 00:19:06,240
think I did a solid job with that this week.

396
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So again, Chicago wise, guys don't like them. Philly. They're

397
00:19:12,319 --> 00:19:14,200
up twenty one nothing after the first three drives, and

398
00:19:14,279 --> 00:19:17,480
they go three and out end of half three and out.

399
00:19:17,960 --> 00:19:21,240
One first down in punt three and out missed fifty

400
00:19:21,279 --> 00:19:23,279
six yard field goal. They got two first downs on

401
00:19:23,319 --> 00:19:26,000
that drive, Saquon Barkley fumble on the edge of field

402
00:19:26,000 --> 00:19:27,680
goal range, and then they got two first downs maybe

403
00:19:27,680 --> 00:19:30,960
three on that drive, muff punt, no possession, one first

404
00:19:30,960 --> 00:19:35,240
down in punt. Basically after twenty one and nothing, the

405
00:19:35,240 --> 00:19:37,880
offense didn't work. You know, three and outs, three and outs,

406
00:19:37,880 --> 00:19:42,680
miss field goals, pumbles, punts, you know, muff punts, fourteen penalties.

407
00:19:42,960 --> 00:19:44,400
They did go three to three in the red zone

408
00:19:44,400 --> 00:19:46,839
and lost the game. This offense has been running hot

409
00:19:46,880 --> 00:19:50,359
and cold all year and it didn't change yesterday. But

410
00:19:50,960 --> 00:19:52,680
they had lost a game with a twenty one point

411
00:19:52,799 --> 00:19:56,559
lead since nineteen ninety nine. All Right, it's been a while.

412
00:19:57,000 --> 00:19:59,960
Nick Sirianni quote, I'm not gonna make any sweeping joke

413
00:20:00,240 --> 00:20:02,640
said this particular time where there's a lot of mistakes

414
00:20:03,200 --> 00:20:06,079
that we had, some of the self inflicted wounds that

415
00:20:06,079 --> 00:20:07,839
we have today. I'm always gonna put that on me

416
00:20:08,640 --> 00:20:11,680
as a head coach. This offensive scored twenty one or

417
00:20:11,759 --> 00:20:13,920
less in five of their last seven games. There's still

418
00:20:13,920 --> 00:20:15,920
four and three against the spread during that span. But

419
00:20:15,920 --> 00:20:19,240
it's not like the offense is clicking right now. Last

420
00:20:19,279 --> 00:20:21,200
year they didn't have back to back losses all season

421
00:20:21,519 --> 00:20:23,759
this year. They lost that first game, they lost again

422
00:20:23,839 --> 00:20:26,599
the next week as favorites to the g Men. They're

423
00:20:26,599 --> 00:20:29,839
in a comparable spot here on a short week against

424
00:20:29,880 --> 00:20:31,839
a Bears team that continues to find a way.

425
00:20:33,160 --> 00:20:34,720
Speaker 2: And the team that has the opposite of the short

426
00:20:34,759 --> 00:20:38,000
week would be the Houston Texans. Off that nice home

427
00:20:38,200 --> 00:20:41,799
Thursday night football win over the Buffalo Bills, they are

428
00:20:41,839 --> 00:20:44,559
taking on the Indianapolis Colts that hey hand up Teddy.

429
00:20:44,680 --> 00:20:46,880
For a better part of three and a half quarters

430
00:20:46,880 --> 00:20:49,279
of that Chiefs game, I thought, I'm on the wrong side.

431
00:20:49,359 --> 00:20:53,000
Speaker 1: I don't deserve to win this game in the slightest.

432
00:20:53,640 --> 00:20:54,359
Speaker 3: Which side you have?

433
00:20:55,079 --> 00:20:57,519
Speaker 2: Well, I had Chiefs minus three, so I'll gladly take

434
00:20:57,559 --> 00:20:58,000
the push.

435
00:20:58,079 --> 00:20:59,640
Speaker 1: But good grief.

436
00:21:00,759 --> 00:21:02,920
Speaker 2: I don't know if that was more of a testament

437
00:21:03,039 --> 00:21:05,559
to how poorly the Chiefs played, But I thought the

438
00:21:05,599 --> 00:21:08,279
Colts looked good for three and a half quarters.

439
00:21:08,640 --> 00:21:08,880
Speaker 1: Yeah.

440
00:21:08,920 --> 00:21:11,519
Speaker 3: I think that the Colts have been a good Another

441
00:21:11,519 --> 00:21:14,000
team has been good all year, and the markets haven't

442
00:21:14,039 --> 00:21:19,960
wanted to accept what they've seen with Indy. Look aheadline here,

443
00:21:20,759 --> 00:21:23,960
Colts minus three and a half, forty six and a half.

444
00:21:24,000 --> 00:21:27,359
My powering number came three. The markets opened three and

445
00:21:27,440 --> 00:21:30,599
a half forty four and a half last night, and

446
00:21:30,680 --> 00:21:34,440
we're seeing three and a half slash four slash four

447
00:21:34,440 --> 00:21:37,279
and a half right now, forty four and a half

448
00:21:37,440 --> 00:21:46,079
right now, And let's do one more emergency betting alert. Yeah,

449
00:21:47,920 --> 00:21:49,680
and I know my market, my number is low on

450
00:21:49,720 --> 00:21:51,720
it open three and a half, I'm seeing four and

451
00:21:51,759 --> 00:21:53,720
a half now, But there are still plenty of three

452
00:21:53,720 --> 00:21:56,000
and a half slash fours out there. If you'll like

453
00:21:56,119 --> 00:21:58,920
the Colts. There's love for the Colts in the markets

454
00:21:58,920 --> 00:22:03,599
this week. I bet Indy sooner rather than later for Sunday.

455
00:22:05,119 --> 00:22:08,200
The Texans had that only three straight up slash ats start.

456
00:22:08,240 --> 00:22:10,720
There's six and two cents the only losses coming to

457
00:22:10,759 --> 00:22:14,160
Denver and Seattle. No shame there three and oh straight

458
00:22:14,240 --> 00:22:16,039
up two and one against spread the last three weeks.

459
00:22:16,079 --> 00:22:19,240
With a backup QB CJ. Stroud could be back in

460
00:22:19,279 --> 00:22:22,079
the mix this week. The defense had eight sacks at

461
00:22:22,160 --> 00:22:24,160
Josh Allen a game showing the interception the number two

462
00:22:24,200 --> 00:22:26,240
in the NFL, and yards were play allowed. They're leading

463
00:22:26,279 --> 00:22:28,799
the league in fewest points and yards allowed per game.

464
00:22:29,640 --> 00:22:32,720
Will Anderson off that incredible defensive showing quote tonight was

465
00:22:32,759 --> 00:22:36,160
just a perfect example of everyone just hunting, relentlessly, doing

466
00:22:36,240 --> 00:22:41,319
whatever it takes. Obviously the divisional showdown here. That being said,

467
00:22:41,759 --> 00:22:45,240
Andy they had a bad second half. You know, they

468
00:22:45,240 --> 00:22:47,440
had five first downs in the second half. In overtime,

469
00:22:47,440 --> 00:22:49,039
they went two of eight on third downs. They were

470
00:22:49,079 --> 00:22:51,519
constantly in third and long. You know, the last first

471
00:22:51,559 --> 00:22:53,359
down of the game came with three minutes left in

472
00:22:53,400 --> 00:22:56,759
the third quarter. Jonathan Taylor a non factor in the

473
00:22:56,799 --> 00:23:00,960
ball game. You know, there are again. Kansas City had

474
00:23:01,039 --> 00:23:04,000
thirty three first downs. Indy had ten total yards, four

475
00:23:04,079 --> 00:23:07,440
ninety four to two fifty five. The d was great.

476
00:23:07,720 --> 00:23:09,119
They held the Chiefs to one to six in the

477
00:23:09,160 --> 00:23:12,480
red zone. You know, I do worry about that defense

478
00:23:12,559 --> 00:23:14,279
being on the field for more than forty two minutes

479
00:23:14,400 --> 00:23:17,599
ninety one defensive snaps. That's a lot, and that tells

480
00:23:17,640 --> 00:23:21,039
me that Indy's not going to be my side on

481
00:23:21,119 --> 00:23:23,559
Sunday in this ball game. I'm not going to be

482
00:23:23,559 --> 00:23:25,079
one of those who are gonna say, all right, let

483
00:23:25,079 --> 00:23:26,519
me find the three and a half met of colts

484
00:23:26,599 --> 00:23:29,079
right now. I worry about a defense that's on the

485
00:23:29,079 --> 00:23:32,519
field for ninety one snaps and what they are going

486
00:23:32,599 --> 00:23:35,119
to do the next week Shane Stike and quote, obviously

487
00:23:35,240 --> 00:23:37,559
very frustrating on Updauris standers today. There's a lot of

488
00:23:37,559 --> 00:23:39,279
stuff I wanted to call that I felt good about

489
00:23:39,279 --> 00:23:41,519
in the past game. We just weren't efficient doing it.

490
00:23:41,519 --> 00:23:44,680
It starts with me worth noting the Colts are still

491
00:23:44,720 --> 00:23:46,519
three and one against US Bread as is underdogs they

492
00:23:46,519 --> 00:23:49,759
covered yesterday for many betters. Their only loss was the

493
00:23:49,839 --> 00:23:52,079
bad beat in La against the Rams, the one that

494
00:23:52,160 --> 00:23:53,640
two to two at Well had the eighty eight yard

495
00:23:53,680 --> 00:23:56,839
touchdown in the final seconds when they were trying to

496
00:23:56,839 --> 00:24:00,359
get a game winning field goal and up getting game

497
00:24:00,480 --> 00:24:04,519
winning touchdown. So Indy has been excellent on the highway here.

498
00:24:04,559 --> 00:24:07,480
Obviously they're playing at home and the early money has

499
00:24:07,559 --> 00:24:08,960
come for the Colts.

500
00:24:09,720 --> 00:24:12,759
Speaker 2: All right, let's see what the early money is doing

501
00:24:12,799 --> 00:24:16,200
in the Arizona Tampa Bay game. And Teddy, we're talking

502
00:24:16,200 --> 00:24:20,960
about markets crashing. Are the markets crashing on the bucks.

503
00:24:20,480 --> 00:24:22,319
Speaker 3: Well Baker Mayfield? You know this is all about the

504
00:24:22,480 --> 00:24:25,039
Baker Mayfield injury. Mayfield had his arm and a sling.

505
00:24:25,960 --> 00:24:29,440
Last night. We saw Teddy Bridgewater come in and Teddy

506
00:24:29,440 --> 00:24:32,119
Bridgewaters you know he's a nice guy. Everyone loves him.

507
00:24:32,720 --> 00:24:34,599
I don't think he's an NFL quarterback at the stage

508
00:24:34,640 --> 00:24:36,640
of his career. Didn't look like one. Last night. It

509
00:24:36,640 --> 00:24:38,519
looked like one or any of his last three stops

510
00:24:38,880 --> 00:24:43,160
in the league. Look aheadline here was Tampa six slash

511
00:24:43,200 --> 00:24:45,079
six and a half total forty nine and a half.

512
00:24:45,400 --> 00:24:50,799
My powering number was with Mayfield seven without him three.

513
00:24:51,759 --> 00:24:57,200
The markets opened two and a half forty four, forty

514
00:24:57,400 --> 00:25:00,240
four and a half forty five, and that's kind of

515
00:25:00,240 --> 00:25:03,000
where they're sitting. Many books do not yet have a

516
00:25:03,039 --> 00:25:07,160
line posted for this ballgame. Given the QB status that

517
00:25:07,200 --> 00:25:09,559
we don't know right now when it comes to Mayfield,

518
00:25:09,599 --> 00:25:12,240
expect we'll hear something throughout the course of the day.

519
00:25:13,200 --> 00:25:17,160
Arizona's loss yesterday was as demoralizing as it gets. All Right,

520
00:25:17,599 --> 00:25:21,960
I'm not sure I've seen a team all year make

521
00:25:22,079 --> 00:25:26,240
more mistakes than Jacksonville yesterday and win a game. You know,

522
00:25:29,079 --> 00:25:32,680
Arizona's defense forced four turnovers, the offense had none. They

523
00:25:32,720 --> 00:25:35,480
still lost the game and failed to cover the points.

524
00:25:35,519 --> 00:25:39,000
Bread Jacoby Brissett said an all time NFL record for

525
00:25:39,039 --> 00:25:41,640
completions forty seven completions last week in San Frand he

526
00:25:41,720 --> 00:25:44,759
was brilliant again here thirty three or forty nine, three seventeen,

527
00:25:45,319 --> 00:25:48,200
you know, one touchdown, no picks, but he took six sacks.

528
00:25:48,559 --> 00:25:50,839
And this team's won and eight straight up their last nine.

529
00:25:50,880 --> 00:25:53,759
Their only win came in Dallas on National TV. They're

530
00:25:53,799 --> 00:25:57,039
owing three ats their last three, all us dogs. It's

531
00:25:57,160 --> 00:25:59,960
looking increasingly likely that Jonathan Gann it won't be bad

532
00:26:00,519 --> 00:26:02,920
or Kyler Murray or ja Kobeber said, this feels like

533
00:26:02,960 --> 00:26:04,839
a house cleaning an Indian. Oh, by the way, Marvin

534
00:26:04,839 --> 00:26:09,559
Harrison hasn't come back from injury either, so or appendix

535
00:26:09,640 --> 00:26:11,920
is appendix burst and he hasn't played since. I have

536
00:26:11,960 --> 00:26:16,119
to see what he does, you know. Obviously, Baker Mayfield,

537
00:26:16,759 --> 00:26:19,640
the injury is a significan concern for Tampa. They're now

538
00:26:19,680 --> 00:26:22,160
tied with Carolina first in the NFC South at six

539
00:26:22,200 --> 00:26:25,640
and five. They could be behind the Panthers depending on

540
00:26:25,680 --> 00:26:29,599
how things break tonight. If Carolina upsets San Francisco, the

541
00:26:29,599 --> 00:26:32,640
Bucks will be out of first place. You know, and

542
00:26:32,799 --> 00:26:35,519
Mayfield was what nine to nineteen for forty four yards,

543
00:26:35,759 --> 00:26:39,880
two picks, Teddy Bridgewater eight or fifteen for sixty two yards,

544
00:26:40,559 --> 00:26:45,799
both quarterbacks under constant pressure. The offense for Tampa Bay

545
00:26:46,759 --> 00:26:49,359
one point eight yards per past at him. That's about

546
00:26:49,400 --> 00:26:51,480
as bad as it gets. I would expect to see

547
00:26:51,480 --> 00:26:56,680
something better than that against an Arizona team that's struggling

548
00:26:56,680 --> 00:26:57,119
in every way.

549
00:26:57,200 --> 00:27:00,279
Speaker 2: Right now, all right, you mentioned that that law was

550
00:27:00,319 --> 00:27:05,000
demoralizing for the Cardinals. Does that mean that that win

551
00:27:05,240 --> 00:27:09,200
for Jacksonville is going to help kind of catapult their season?

552
00:27:09,279 --> 00:27:09,480
Speaker 1: Four?

553
00:27:09,759 --> 00:27:12,920
Speaker 2: They do get a take on probably the worst team

554
00:27:13,000 --> 00:27:15,200
in the NFL, the Tennessee Titans.

555
00:27:15,599 --> 00:27:19,039
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean so, look headline here at seven and

556
00:27:19,119 --> 00:27:22,559
forty two, my powering number seven. The market's open seven

557
00:27:22,599 --> 00:27:25,240
and forty two last night. I'm looking right now, I'm

558
00:27:25,240 --> 00:27:26,839
seeing a mix. There are six and a halfs and

559
00:27:26,920 --> 00:27:31,839
sevens out there, forty two the prevailing total. I think

560
00:27:31,960 --> 00:27:36,640
we're talking about a key number. There were some positive

561
00:27:36,680 --> 00:27:39,319
things yesterday. You know, the key number of seven. You

562
00:27:39,359 --> 00:27:42,400
want to jump in on Tennessee now and grab the

563
00:27:42,400 --> 00:27:44,920
plus seven. Certainly the markets are showing that they want

564
00:27:44,920 --> 00:27:48,000
plus seven, but leading indicator folks aren't there. I'm not

565
00:27:48,000 --> 00:27:53,400
convincing Mark's gonna move in that baggame. And so Tennessee

566
00:27:53,480 --> 00:27:56,119
was down thirty to ten, and the offense got a

567
00:27:56,119 --> 00:27:58,799
bit of a spark and they played hard down stocks.

568
00:27:58,839 --> 00:28:01,920
The effort was there. If you compare the you know,

569
00:28:02,200 --> 00:28:05,519
the Tennessee versus the Raiders last drive of the game,

570
00:28:05,960 --> 00:28:08,400
neither team's gonna win. They're both down by two scorers,

571
00:28:08,839 --> 00:28:11,319
and the Raiders letting the clock tick and dinkin and

572
00:28:11,400 --> 00:28:15,839
Tennessee's like, we'rest scoring this drive. You know, the Titans

573
00:28:15,839 --> 00:28:19,119
wanted it more. The back door opened with Tennessee in

574
00:28:19,119 --> 00:28:22,000
that regard. That's how they got their only win against Arizona.

575
00:28:22,799 --> 00:28:26,640
And certainly they played like a hungry team and a

576
00:28:26,640 --> 00:28:29,720
team that was desperate for success when they got some

577
00:28:29,759 --> 00:28:32,319
momentum in the second half of that bogging. They're still

578
00:28:32,440 --> 00:28:34,519
number twenty six in yards per rush, number thirty one

579
00:28:34,519 --> 00:28:36,759
in yards per past them, number thirty one in yards

580
00:28:36,799 --> 00:28:39,680
per play. They're right there with the Browns, Raiders, Saints Jets.

581
00:28:39,680 --> 00:28:42,039
The worst offense is in the NFL. I Oh, by

582
00:28:42,079 --> 00:28:44,599
the way, the defense yesterday eight point nine yards per

583
00:28:44,599 --> 00:28:47,119
play allowed, that large per pass, allowed five point seven

584
00:28:47,160 --> 00:28:49,880
yards per rush. They give them up thirty points. You know,

585
00:28:50,319 --> 00:28:52,400
cam Wards still took four sacks. He's the most sacked

586
00:28:52,440 --> 00:28:54,680
quarterback in the league. You know, there's a one to

587
00:28:54,720 --> 00:28:56,200
ten team and the team had the worst record in

588
00:28:56,200 --> 00:28:59,559
the NFL last year. They're at the bottom. That being said,

589
00:29:00,000 --> 00:29:02,480
they started the season two and six, ats their first eight.

590
00:29:03,119 --> 00:29:05,079
One of the two covers came by a points last

591
00:29:05,079 --> 00:29:07,599
half a point in Denver Week one, and the other

592
00:29:07,640 --> 00:29:09,640
one came in the game where Arizona fumbled the ball

593
00:29:09,640 --> 00:29:10,920
at the one yard line of the game. They were

594
00:29:10,920 --> 00:29:16,160
blowing them out. Now Tennessee three and oh ats their

595
00:29:16,240 --> 00:29:18,960
last three. You know, they got a punt return, touchdown,

596
00:29:19,000 --> 00:29:22,480
making plays on special teams and the offense got something going.

597
00:29:22,720 --> 00:29:25,160
You know, Mike McCoy, the intern K coach, we each

598
00:29:25,160 --> 00:29:27,240
got to be more consistent. These guys fought their tails

599
00:29:27,240 --> 00:29:29,240
off once again until the very end. We got to

600
00:29:29,279 --> 00:29:32,039
be more consistent throughout the ballgame. Good luck with that.

601
00:29:32,759 --> 00:29:34,160
And again I talked a little bit about it in

602
00:29:34,160 --> 00:29:38,440
a minute ago. Jacksonville was awful in terms of mistakes. Yesterday,

603
00:29:38,519 --> 00:29:42,519
Trevor Lawrence threw three interceptions, and the three interceptions one

604
00:29:42,599 --> 00:29:45,119
was at first in goal from the six, the other

605
00:29:45,160 --> 00:29:47,200
one gave the Cardinals a short field and set up

606
00:29:47,240 --> 00:29:49,759
an Arizona touchdown, and then he had a fumble six

607
00:29:49,799 --> 00:29:52,359
as well. So it's like a twenty one point swing

608
00:29:52,440 --> 00:29:55,720
off those three turnovers, you know, chance to close out

609
00:29:55,759 --> 00:29:57,559
the game taking an e no and said they throw

610
00:29:57,640 --> 00:30:00,319
long on fourth and one, give Arizona time for a

611
00:30:00,359 --> 00:30:02,640
game tying field goal try. And I'm not even gonna

612
00:30:02,640 --> 00:30:05,759
mention the muffed punt safety late in the fourth quarter

613
00:30:05,799 --> 00:30:08,160
that got called back. They settled for a field goal

614
00:30:08,160 --> 00:30:10,880
and overtime, a classic way to lose the offense at

615
00:30:10,920 --> 00:30:15,240
four turns even fourth none and they still won the game.

616
00:30:15,680 --> 00:30:17,920
And the quotes coming out of the locker room, you know,

617
00:30:18,000 --> 00:30:21,039
Liam Cohen, guys stepped up. Nobody flinched, nobody's walking around

618
00:30:21,039 --> 00:30:23,440
with their head down and frustrated. You got to keep playing,

619
00:30:23,680 --> 00:30:26,000
That's been the message. These guys close it out when

620
00:30:26,000 --> 00:30:28,880
we needed it. Tight ends Brenton Strange quote. I'm so

621
00:30:28,960 --> 00:30:31,240
proud of this team for saying steady, never giving up,

622
00:30:31,240 --> 00:30:33,440
because it's been different in the past. We just keep

623
00:30:33,480 --> 00:30:36,279
going no matter what. That's the important thing in a

624
00:30:36,319 --> 00:30:41,000
football game. For as bad as Jacksonville played, I came

625
00:30:41,039 --> 00:30:45,359
out of the game and upgraded by Jack's power reading Teddy.

626
00:30:45,440 --> 00:30:49,640
Speaker 2: Yesterday, Baker Mayfield threw that interception that was basically a

627
00:30:49,680 --> 00:30:51,519
pick six. However, you really want to call it, and

628
00:30:51,559 --> 00:30:54,440
that really changed the trajectory of the game versus the

629
00:30:54,680 --> 00:30:58,039
LA Rams. Was that more of a testament to the

630
00:30:58,240 --> 00:31:01,680
Rams offense right now? A lot of people buying on

631
00:31:01,720 --> 00:31:05,960
Matthew Stafford to win MVP. Carolina still plays tonight, but

632
00:31:06,000 --> 00:31:08,039
now we're asking the Rams to go on the road

633
00:31:08,599 --> 00:31:11,319
versus I would call them a really scrappy Carolina team.

634
00:31:11,359 --> 00:31:15,119
Speaker 1: This was my longer shot to win the NFC South.

635
00:31:16,359 --> 00:31:18,960
Speaker 3: Look aheadline here Rams nine and a half, forty five

636
00:31:19,000 --> 00:31:21,039
and a half, My powering numbers eight and a half

637
00:31:21,079 --> 00:31:24,240
for LA, the Markets nine and a half forty five

638
00:31:24,279 --> 00:31:27,880
and a half last night prior to Monday Night football.

639
00:31:27,920 --> 00:31:31,359
I'm seeing tens out there. Forty six is right now.

640
00:31:31,440 --> 00:31:32,720
So we've seen a little bit of over money in

641
00:31:32,759 --> 00:31:36,519
a little bit of Rams money since their impressive performance

642
00:31:37,119 --> 00:31:40,480
last night. And now LA has got you know, the

643
00:31:40,559 --> 00:31:43,519
number ones, currently the number one seed in the NFC

644
00:31:43,599 --> 00:31:47,079
after Philly lost. You know, they'll be favored in every

645
00:31:47,079 --> 00:31:50,200
game down the stretch, it looks like, including games against

646
00:31:50,200 --> 00:31:54,079
the Lions and the Seahawks. You know, Stafford twenty seven

647
00:31:54,599 --> 00:31:57,400
passing touchdown, it's not an interception. That is the longest

648
00:31:57,440 --> 00:32:00,720
streak by any player since play by play data was

649
00:32:00,759 --> 00:32:04,400
first tracked in nineteen seventy eight. The defense knocked Mayfield out.

650
00:32:04,400 --> 00:32:06,119
They held Tampa to one point eight yards per past

651
00:32:06,160 --> 00:32:08,400
them two point nine yards per play, and there were

652
00:32:08,480 --> 00:32:11,359
plus two in turnovers. There's a lot to like about

653
00:32:11,359 --> 00:32:14,680
the La Rams. Problem is the market thirty there rams

654
00:32:14,680 --> 00:32:17,000
now factor's doing. They're not priced as one of the,

655
00:32:17,079 --> 00:32:21,319
if not the Super Bowl favorites. As for Carolina Monday

656
00:32:21,400 --> 00:32:24,519
Night Football against San fran if they win, Mark's going

657
00:32:24,559 --> 00:32:27,759
to show him love tonight despite the deficiencies the forty

658
00:32:27,839 --> 00:32:30,200
nine ers have shown throughout the course of the season.

659
00:32:32,440 --> 00:32:35,519
Speaker 2: All right, let's keep this show rolling. Teddy, I did

660
00:32:35,559 --> 00:32:39,039
get that promo code from our sales team. Just let

661
00:32:39,039 --> 00:32:43,519
everybody know fifty percent off Teddy's big ticket Monday Night

662
00:32:43,559 --> 00:32:48,119
Football promo code. Big ticket fifty gets you fifty percent off.

663
00:32:48,319 --> 00:32:50,880
So Teddy, let everybody know what's going on over at

664
00:32:50,880 --> 00:32:53,839
wager talk dot com. Should they buy the Monday Night

665
00:32:53,839 --> 00:32:56,119
Football play or should they be looking to partner up

666
00:32:56,160 --> 00:32:57,000
more long term?

667
00:32:57,599 --> 00:32:59,880
Speaker 3: So we're off at two and oh NFL sweep yesterday.

668
00:33:00,079 --> 00:33:02,000
We run a sixty seven percent NFL run over the

669
00:33:02,079 --> 00:33:03,359
last three weeks, and I know. I came in here

670
00:33:03,440 --> 00:33:05,400
last money and I was all pissed off. Well, we

671
00:33:05,440 --> 00:33:09,440
want that's going to happen sometimes. But the last three

672
00:33:09,440 --> 00:33:11,359
weeks have been again sixty ten percent run, so it's

673
00:33:11,400 --> 00:33:14,440
been solid. Obviously, the long term trackerk in the NFL

674
00:33:14,799 --> 00:33:17,279
a rock solid as well. I do have a five

675
00:33:17,279 --> 00:33:19,279
percent big ticket tonight, and if you want to get

676
00:33:19,279 --> 00:33:21,200
a play, get it and use that promo code big

677
00:33:21,200 --> 00:33:24,559
Ticket fifty, get fifty percent off at check out. You

678
00:33:24,599 --> 00:33:27,519
get it for half price. That's not what I would recommend.

679
00:33:27,759 --> 00:33:29,680
I would say, don't buy a play, buy a package,

680
00:33:29,759 --> 00:33:31,880
and we have a deal right now. Look, I'm telling

681
00:33:31,880 --> 00:33:33,920
you guys. I told you guys last week. It's a

682
00:33:33,920 --> 00:33:36,720
good deal. All right. This has not been a banner.

683
00:33:36,799 --> 00:33:38,799
It has not been my best football season, not even close.

684
00:33:39,440 --> 00:33:41,799
But I put the work in and I sure as

685
00:33:41,799 --> 00:33:44,160
hell have him quit and I expect to make money

686
00:33:44,680 --> 00:33:49,440
Thanksgiving December, January into February. We've had some real night

687
00:33:49,519 --> 00:33:52,799
late season runs in years past. I expect to make money.

688
00:33:52,799 --> 00:33:55,799
In college and the NFL, you can get every play

689
00:33:55,960 --> 00:33:58,680
every day right through the Super Bowl. There's no bait

690
00:33:58,720 --> 00:34:01,720
and switch all the college through the National Championship, game

691
00:34:01,960 --> 00:34:04,359
all the NFL, including the Super Bowl props and everything,

692
00:34:05,119 --> 00:34:08,679
three seventy five. All right, it's like the equivalent of

693
00:34:08,840 --> 00:34:11,320
one big ticket a week less than one big ticket

694
00:34:11,360 --> 00:34:14,679
a week. So you get my big ticket tonight for

695
00:34:16,239 --> 00:34:19,599
nothing for included in that package. If you'd like to

696
00:34:19,599 --> 00:34:21,599
get on board a partner up through the end of

697
00:34:21,639 --> 00:34:24,519
the season, so use the promo code for tonight if

698
00:34:24,559 --> 00:34:26,480
you just want to single play, if you want to

699
00:34:26,480 --> 00:34:28,559
get on board and make some money throughout the rest

700
00:34:28,559 --> 00:34:31,800
of the football season. Three seventy five, just with my

701
00:34:31,800 --> 00:34:35,199
homepage WTT buzz backslash TC and I do want to

702
00:34:35,199 --> 00:34:37,920
ask you guys, one simple favorite if you'll like and look.

703
00:34:37,960 --> 00:34:39,639
I understand some people that want to buy play some

704
00:34:39,679 --> 00:34:42,920
people have no interest. That's okay, I don't mind, that's fine.

705
00:34:43,000 --> 00:34:46,599
Thank you for considering it. The one thing I will ask.

706
00:34:47,000 --> 00:34:48,599
If you're watching the show and you like it, hit

707
00:34:48,599 --> 00:34:51,440
that like button. Thank you. Problem solved. If you haven't

708
00:34:51,440 --> 00:34:53,559
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709
00:34:53,559 --> 00:34:55,280
a quarter of a million, close to quarter of a

710
00:34:55,280 --> 00:34:57,960
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711
00:34:58,119 --> 00:35:02,239
Subscribe right now, and of course comment below tell us

712
00:35:02,239 --> 00:35:04,960
what do you think I can't promise Thanksgiving week, man,

713
00:35:05,000 --> 00:35:06,760
I gotta be out of town. I can't promise I'm

714
00:35:06,760 --> 00:35:08,679
gonna be in the comments answering everyone this week. But

715
00:35:08,719 --> 00:35:10,000
I'll do my best to get in there at least

716
00:35:10,000 --> 00:35:14,000
at some point today to comment, to reply to your comments.

717
00:35:14,480 --> 00:35:17,280
Thank you for the likes, comments, and follows.

718
00:35:17,440 --> 00:35:18,679
Speaker 1: All right, let's keep it moving.

719
00:35:19,199 --> 00:35:22,719
Speaker 2: We've got probably the second worst team in the NFL.

720
00:35:22,800 --> 00:35:25,679
They were favored yesterday. That would be the New Orleans Saints.

721
00:35:25,719 --> 00:35:27,760
I didn't understand that one at all, and I was

722
00:35:27,800 --> 00:35:30,119
sick to my stomach teasing the Falcons, and that.

723
00:35:30,119 --> 00:35:32,800
Speaker 1: Was the easiest one I had all day. They now

724
00:35:32,880 --> 00:35:35,159
face the Miami Dolphins.

725
00:35:35,719 --> 00:35:38,559
Speaker 3: Yeah, Atlanta is one of those that in retrospect, you're like, man,

726
00:35:38,599 --> 00:35:41,400
that was too easy and I didn't have them. Look

727
00:35:41,400 --> 00:35:45,000
aheadline here, Miami minus four and a half, forty two

728
00:35:45,079 --> 00:35:47,639
and a half my powering number, Dolphins minus six. The

729
00:35:47,639 --> 00:35:49,679
market's open five and a half forty two and a

730
00:35:49,719 --> 00:35:52,760
half last night, and we're seeing a mix. Five and

731
00:35:52,800 --> 00:35:55,239
a half and six is forty one and a half

732
00:35:55,360 --> 00:35:58,920
prevailing number in this one. As for the Saints, you

733
00:35:58,920 --> 00:36:01,679
know they are out by one point seven yards. Per

734
00:36:01,679 --> 00:36:03,840
play by the Falcons. They would zero for three in

735
00:36:03,840 --> 00:36:07,119
the red zone. They had two turnovers. The offense produced

736
00:36:07,159 --> 00:36:09,599
exactly one field goal for the game. The defense scored

737
00:36:09,760 --> 00:36:12,239
on a Cousin's pick six. They got to the Falcons

738
00:36:12,239 --> 00:36:15,400
one yard line twice and came away with three total points.

739
00:36:15,760 --> 00:36:18,599
You know, Tyler shuck thirty of forty three two hundred

740
00:36:18,599 --> 00:36:22,000
and forty three yards, so he wasn't completing downfield passes.

741
00:36:22,000 --> 00:36:24,280
It was all tinking dunk and he took five sacks

742
00:36:24,280 --> 00:36:27,159
in that ballgame. The Saints kicker Blake Groupe missed two

743
00:36:27,199 --> 00:36:29,480
more field goals. He got eight field goal misses for

744
00:36:29,639 --> 00:36:32,719
the season. If we see this again, worth noting the

745
00:36:32,719 --> 00:36:35,119
Saints are now oh and two ats oh and two

746
00:36:35,119 --> 00:36:37,599
straight up off a win both losso coming by double digits.

747
00:36:37,719 --> 00:36:40,199
So if they win again this year, let's fade them.

748
00:36:40,280 --> 00:36:42,039
And of course they're one in five against the spread,

749
00:36:42,079 --> 00:36:44,599
the last six three and eight against the spread. Full season,

750
00:36:45,119 --> 00:36:48,480
New Orleans has been a point spread disaster. Team Miami

751
00:36:48,519 --> 00:36:50,320
had a point I had been a point for disastered team.

752
00:36:50,320 --> 00:36:51,679
Now all of a sudden, they're three and one straight

753
00:36:51,760 --> 00:36:53,719
up in three and one ats their last four. The

754
00:36:53,800 --> 00:36:55,400
only loss came to the Ravens in a game that

755
00:36:55,440 --> 00:36:57,239
was closer than the twenty two point final margin, would

756
00:36:57,280 --> 00:37:00,760
indicate they're off a win versus Commanders, versus the Commanders

757
00:37:00,800 --> 00:37:04,440
in Spain, and a bye week. That being said, Miami

758
00:37:04,519 --> 00:37:06,679
is a favorite, Well, we haven't seen him in this

759
00:37:06,760 --> 00:37:10,079
role a whole lot. They've been dogs most of this season.

760
00:37:10,760 --> 00:37:12,320
Speaker 2: Yeah, Teddy, I'm not sure I can lay it with

761
00:37:12,400 --> 00:37:15,800
the Dolphins, but the comments section sure is ready to

762
00:37:16,320 --> 00:37:20,440
You mentioned Atlanta now a road favorite at the New

763
00:37:20,559 --> 00:37:22,079
York Jets.

764
00:37:22,639 --> 00:37:25,440
Speaker 3: Yeah, look, headline here Falcons minus two, thirty nine and

765
00:37:25,440 --> 00:37:28,719
a half. My powering number, Falcons minus three. The market's

766
00:37:28,760 --> 00:37:31,159
open two and a half thirty nine and a half

767
00:37:31,360 --> 00:37:34,119
last night for Atlanta as road favorites, and that's exactly

768
00:37:34,159 --> 00:37:37,280
where they're sitting this morning. Line really hasn't moved and

769
00:37:37,320 --> 00:37:40,400
it hasn't gone to three, which tells you that Atlanta's

770
00:37:40,440 --> 00:37:43,199
the markets are not excited about Atlanta, you know. And look,

771
00:37:43,440 --> 00:37:46,440
the Falcons had what thirteen first downs yesterday, three of

772
00:37:46,519 --> 00:37:49,920
twelve on third downs, nine penalties, Cousins threw a pick six.

773
00:37:50,480 --> 00:37:52,800
They still basically dominated wire to wire, allowed only three

774
00:37:52,840 --> 00:37:55,639
point eight yards for play, you know Cousins sixteen to

775
00:37:55,719 --> 00:37:59,360
twenty three. You know Michael Pennix isn't coming back worth

776
00:37:59,360 --> 00:38:04,440
knowing it didn't have Drake London, didn't have Kyle Pitts. Sorry,

777
00:38:04,480 --> 00:38:07,079
they didn't have Drake London. And Kyle Pitts really wasn't

778
00:38:07,199 --> 00:38:09,159
very good at a bunch of drops yesterday. We'll have

779
00:38:09,199 --> 00:38:11,079
to see it. I'm not sure what London status is

780
00:38:11,400 --> 00:38:14,000
for this week. In my mind, he's a type of

781
00:38:14,000 --> 00:38:17,239
player that should impact the points spread by at least

782
00:38:17,639 --> 00:38:20,400
a hook. It landed a lot better with him in

783
00:38:20,400 --> 00:38:22,800
the lineup. The Jets scored the first touchdown and then

784
00:38:22,840 --> 00:38:24,440
were outscored twenty three to three the rest of the

785
00:38:24,480 --> 00:38:28,000
game against Baltimore. The lost Clints, the jets tenth consecutive

786
00:38:28,039 --> 00:38:32,199
losing season. Tyrod Taylor quote, It definitely stings. I hate losing.

787
00:38:32,360 --> 00:38:35,519
This locker room hates losing. Those guys battle their tails off,

788
00:38:36,239 --> 00:38:38,519
just being efficient, consistently, consistently going out there and doing

789
00:38:38,559 --> 00:38:40,880
the right things. I think we took a step in

790
00:38:40,920 --> 00:38:44,599
that direction today. We just didn't finish it. Look there

791
00:38:44,599 --> 00:38:47,840
were minus two and turnovers still covered. They outgained Baltimore

792
00:38:47,880 --> 00:38:50,760
two eighty two to two. Forty one. The outyard per

793
00:38:50,800 --> 00:38:54,320
played Baltimore four point nine to four point two, and

794
00:38:55,280 --> 00:38:57,079
you know they got outscored twenty three to three after

795
00:38:57,280 --> 00:39:01,000
in that first touchdown, So yards don't matter. Matter. The

796
00:39:01,079 --> 00:39:04,519
Jets with Taylor power rated just where they were with

797
00:39:04,719 --> 00:39:05,679
Justin Fields.

798
00:39:06,400 --> 00:39:06,880
Speaker 1: All right.

799
00:39:07,039 --> 00:39:12,280
Speaker 2: The internet went crazy yesterday over Shader Sanders, first rookie

800
00:39:12,800 --> 00:39:14,719
quarterback in his first.

801
00:39:14,519 --> 00:39:18,199
Speaker 1: Road start for the Browns to get a win.

802
00:39:18,360 --> 00:39:21,719
Speaker 2: That was Was that more of a testament of the

803
00:39:21,760 --> 00:39:25,960
Browns or the Raiders? And then again San Francisco plays

804
00:39:26,000 --> 00:39:27,119
the Panthers tonight.

805
00:39:27,760 --> 00:39:30,400
Speaker 3: Yeah, my clients and I cast with Cleveland yesterday. I

806
00:39:30,440 --> 00:39:34,280
thought there was a lot of irrational hatred towards Shudor Sanders,

807
00:39:34,320 --> 00:39:36,920
like he's a political flash point and people are going

808
00:39:36,960 --> 00:39:39,559
crazy about it. And I thought that he affected the

809
00:39:39,599 --> 00:39:42,559
points spread more than he should and the markets overreacted

810
00:39:42,639 --> 00:39:46,519
to his presence. And I knew that. You know, I've

811
00:39:46,519 --> 00:39:48,920
seen this line of this Raiders team, the Raiders can't

812
00:39:48,920 --> 00:39:51,519
be laying. I cashed a ticket with the Raiders his

813
00:39:51,559 --> 00:39:53,760
favorites against Tennessee, and I think it was week five

814
00:39:53,800 --> 00:39:57,000
or week six, and I'm like, this is this is

815
00:39:57,039 --> 00:39:58,880
a team to fade and not a team to beck

816
00:39:59,000 --> 00:40:04,039
in these type of rolls. What game we talked about

817
00:40:04,039 --> 00:40:07,360
Browns forty nine ers, san Fran look ahead six and

818
00:40:07,400 --> 00:40:09,760
a half forty one and a half. My powering number

819
00:40:10,639 --> 00:40:14,079
came only five for this ball game going into Monday

820
00:40:14,119 --> 00:40:16,719
night markets six and a half, forty one and a

821
00:40:16,760 --> 00:40:20,280
half last night, and we're seeing under money thirty nine

822
00:40:20,360 --> 00:40:23,280
and a half, forty and a half this morning. Obviously,

823
00:40:23,280 --> 00:40:25,159
there are still books that don't have a lineup for

824
00:40:25,199 --> 00:40:29,800
this because San Fran plays on Monday night football, you know,

825
00:40:29,960 --> 00:40:32,880
I mean the Worth noting. We don't know we're gonna

826
00:40:32,880 --> 00:40:35,960
see should or standers this week, all right. Kevin Stefanski

827
00:40:36,480 --> 00:40:38,559
asked if he was gonna commit with standards as a

828
00:40:38,559 --> 00:40:42,559
starter or if they were gonna if they were gonna

829
00:40:42,559 --> 00:40:46,159
go back to Dylan Gabriel once he clears concussion protocol.

830
00:40:46,599 --> 00:40:50,199
Stefanski's quote, I'm not gonna get into that. Proud of him,

831
00:40:50,239 --> 00:40:51,719
proud of this offense. There are a ton of things

832
00:40:51,719 --> 00:40:54,440
to learn from, but I'm just gonna worry about today

833
00:40:55,320 --> 00:40:58,880
Worth noting Shauldore standards. No, some of the fundamentals aren't there.

834
00:40:59,119 --> 00:41:01,960
We only got stacked one time yesterday, and there was

835
00:41:02,000 --> 00:41:05,800
a level of explosiveness in the Browns passing game with

836
00:41:06,079 --> 00:41:09,719
Sanders where he's taking shots downfield that we didn't see

837
00:41:09,960 --> 00:41:12,360
from any other QB for Cleveland so far this season.

838
00:41:13,800 --> 00:41:17,280
Speaker 2: JJ McCarthy, what are we gonna do with this kid?

839
00:41:17,360 --> 00:41:21,039
He now is a touchdown whoa even higher according to

840
00:41:21,360 --> 00:41:24,199
Dan Alexander over here than the Odds logic screen. But

841
00:41:24,920 --> 00:41:26,920
I don't know what to make of Minnesota. I didn't

842
00:41:27,000 --> 00:41:28,679
like him yesterday. I said I can't trust him. I

843
00:41:28,679 --> 00:41:31,800
thought Green Bay was really banged up. Now they're going

844
00:41:31,840 --> 00:41:34,239
on the road to play Seattle, and I think Seattle

845
00:41:34,280 --> 00:41:37,159
just kind of went to the motions yesterday against the Titans.

846
00:41:37,159 --> 00:41:39,480
I used them in Survivor. I wasn't really concerned they

847
00:41:39,480 --> 00:41:41,440
were gonna lose that game, but there was no real

848
00:41:41,599 --> 00:41:44,159
pressure to blow out the Titans.

849
00:41:45,440 --> 00:41:48,679
Speaker 3: They were I mean, they dominated the game and they

850
00:41:48,719 --> 00:41:50,920
kind of let Tennessee in the back door. Tennessee fought,

851
00:41:51,519 --> 00:41:55,159
but Seattle was comfortably in controlled. Throughout look headline here,

852
00:41:55,280 --> 00:41:57,320
there were seven and a half to the prevailing number

853
00:41:57,440 --> 00:41:59,199
forty three and a half. There were some sevens out

854
00:41:59,239 --> 00:42:03,320
there for Seattle. My powering number is nine. The markets

855
00:42:03,400 --> 00:42:05,320
opened eight and a half forty two and a half

856
00:42:05,440 --> 00:42:07,119
last night. The markets took out all the eight and

857
00:42:07,199 --> 00:42:09,519
a half. They took out most of the nines. I'm

858
00:42:09,519 --> 00:42:13,679
seeing nine and a half of prevailing numbers and tens. Sorry,

859
00:42:14,039 --> 00:42:15,679
I'm looking at the wrong game, looking at Vegas and

860
00:42:15,719 --> 00:42:20,599
the Chargers. My apologies. Let me restate that markets opened

861
00:42:20,639 --> 00:42:23,239
eight and a half and forty two and a half

862
00:42:23,360 --> 00:42:26,360
last night. What we're seeing today eight and a half

863
00:42:26,480 --> 00:42:28,840
slash forty two. There are no I was right, there

864
00:42:28,840 --> 00:42:30,639
are nine and a half out there. Nine and a

865
00:42:30,679 --> 00:42:32,719
half is the prevailing number for this boggain. That's what happens.

866
00:42:32,719 --> 00:42:34,199
We can do a show live and you don't get

867
00:42:34,199 --> 00:42:36,840
the tape and say, oh, let's redo that segment. Nine

868
00:42:36,880 --> 00:42:39,599
and a half. Forty two the prevailing number right now.

869
00:42:39,639 --> 00:42:42,639
So we have seen the Seattle money like I thought

870
00:42:42,840 --> 00:42:45,000
that we saw, and I wasn't losing my mind up here.

871
00:42:45,519 --> 00:42:47,320
The Vikings looked. They had a three and two start,

872
00:42:47,320 --> 00:42:50,079
They had the week one lucky Monday Night win against

873
00:42:50,079 --> 00:42:51,920
the Bears. Member they had nothing for three quarters and

874
00:42:51,920 --> 00:42:54,079
then JJ got hot in the fourth. Then they beat

875
00:42:54,119 --> 00:42:56,440
the Bengals at They're worst in the Browns that's their

876
00:42:56,440 --> 00:42:59,280
three and two start. They're one in five straight up,

877
00:42:59,320 --> 00:43:01,440
one in five eighteen he has since. The one win

878
00:43:01,559 --> 00:43:04,800
was impressive at Detroit. But in the four losses, the

879
00:43:04,880 --> 00:43:08,440
offense ten nineteen seventeen six. I don't get to twenty

880
00:43:08,440 --> 00:43:10,199
in any of them. And you're not gonna win many

881
00:43:10,239 --> 00:43:13,119
NFL games if you can't score twenty points. JJ McCarthy

882
00:43:13,199 --> 00:43:16,480
yesterday eighty seven passing yards, no touchdowns, two picks, sacked

883
00:43:16,559 --> 00:43:19,360
five times. In the second half of that ballgame, the

884
00:43:19,440 --> 00:43:22,760
Vikings had four net yards and three turnovers. You know,

885
00:43:22,800 --> 00:43:25,599
their only points came on field goals, both of which

886
00:43:26,559 --> 00:43:29,320
fifty two and fifty nine yards long field goals. Kevin

887
00:43:29,320 --> 00:43:32,840
O'Connell quote, we did not, in any way, shape or form.

888
00:43:33,199 --> 00:43:35,000
We do not play in any way, shape or form

889
00:43:35,079 --> 00:43:37,679
the type of second half that would give us a

890
00:43:37,800 --> 00:43:41,840
chance to compete. Minnesota is a team that's crashing in

891
00:43:41,880 --> 00:43:45,639
the betting markets right now, you know, really crashing. No

892
00:43:45,679 --> 00:43:48,679
one believes in McCarthy, No one believes in the Vikings.

893
00:43:48,719 --> 00:43:51,679
All the money that they spent this offseason improving the

894
00:43:51,800 --> 00:43:55,840
roster around McCarthy hasn't mattered, and it hasn't been enough.

895
00:43:56,360 --> 00:43:59,360
The quarterback play has been dismal, and Minnesota is a

896
00:43:59,400 --> 00:44:03,079
team that it's struggling to attract betting market support right now.

897
00:44:03,239 --> 00:44:07,079
That's not the case for Seattle. Eight point nine yards

898
00:44:07,079 --> 00:44:09,480
for pass attempt, five point seven years per rush, a

899
00:44:09,559 --> 00:44:12,320
seven point five to four point four yards per play attempt.

900
00:44:12,400 --> 00:44:13,760
You know you're out gaining your opponent by more than

901
00:44:13,760 --> 00:44:17,199
three yards per player. Doing something right. No turnovers, you

902
00:44:17,199 --> 00:44:20,800
know they did allow a punt return touchdown, and worth noting.

903
00:44:21,039 --> 00:44:23,800
Bad special teams make your stats look good. Good special

904
00:44:23,840 --> 00:44:25,960
teams make your stats look bad because the longer fields

905
00:44:25,960 --> 00:44:27,760
have to travel. They only went two and four in

906
00:44:27,800 --> 00:44:29,199
the red zone. They had been eight to one against

907
00:44:29,199 --> 00:44:32,079
the spread the last nine before thirty to ten became

908
00:44:32,119 --> 00:44:35,119
thirty to twenty four. First time all year Seattle won,

909
00:44:35,440 --> 00:44:40,079
but didn't cover the point spread, and certainly a team

910
00:44:40,119 --> 00:44:43,519
that you know markets are crashing on Minnesota. The markets

911
00:44:43,519 --> 00:44:46,480
are believing the Sea bags at this stage of the campaign.

912
00:44:46,599 --> 00:44:48,320
Well until they play a good defense.

913
00:44:48,920 --> 00:44:49,480
Speaker 1: There you go.

914
00:44:50,559 --> 00:44:52,239
Speaker 2: I don't know if this is a good defense or not.

915
00:44:52,280 --> 00:44:55,159
Buffalo is taking on Pittsburgh here. I actually don't know

916
00:44:55,159 --> 00:44:57,400
what to make of the Buffalo Bills at all. I

917
00:44:57,639 --> 00:45:00,880
was on the Texans Thursday night, set Ey zero.

918
00:45:00,800 --> 00:45:03,559
Speaker 1: Money line dollars. I didn't think the Bills were gonna lose.

919
00:45:03,360 --> 00:45:07,960
Speaker 2: That game, and they lost it in horrible fashion. I

920
00:45:08,000 --> 00:45:09,599
don't know what to make of this team right now.

921
00:45:09,679 --> 00:45:12,960
You mentioned Pittsburgh earlier when we talked about the Bears

922
00:45:12,960 --> 00:45:15,440
game and no Aaron Rodgers, no problem.

923
00:45:16,280 --> 00:45:18,760
Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, I mean well, I mean they didn't win.

924
00:45:19,239 --> 00:45:22,079
Speaker 1: No, do you think they would have won with Aaron

925
00:45:22,239 --> 00:45:23,639
that either.

926
00:45:23,960 --> 00:45:27,000
Speaker 3: The market said that there's zero point zero difference between

927
00:45:27,000 --> 00:45:29,400
Aaron Rodgers and Mason Rudolph, and I don't know. That's

928
00:45:29,440 --> 00:45:30,599
what I said on the show last week. I'm like,

929
00:45:30,639 --> 00:45:32,239
at the most, you're gonna see a half point difference

930
00:45:32,239 --> 00:45:35,480
between Aaron Rodgers and Mason Rudoff. Aaron Rodgers is a second,

931
00:45:35,679 --> 00:45:38,760
third tier, fourth tier NFL quarterback at this stage. I

932
00:45:38,760 --> 00:45:41,719
don't know if he's gonna play in this one. Look,

933
00:45:41,760 --> 00:45:43,880
head Lie, there were three and a half's for the

934
00:45:43,920 --> 00:45:46,639
Bills that were also fours out there, total forty seven.

935
00:45:47,159 --> 00:45:49,480
My powering number Buffalo three and a half. The market's

936
00:45:49,480 --> 00:45:50,880
opened three and a half forty seven and a half

937
00:45:50,960 --> 00:45:53,400
last night, and that's exactly what we're seeing today. A

938
00:45:53,440 --> 00:45:56,519
couple of fours popping up, but mostly three and a

939
00:45:56,559 --> 00:45:58,960
half forty seven and a half four the Bills and

940
00:45:59,039 --> 00:46:03,639
the Steelers. Buffalo number three offense in the NFL six

941
00:46:03,719 --> 00:46:07,280
point one yards per play. Where's the problem? The run

942
00:46:07,320 --> 00:46:10,639
defense number thirty one, five point three yards per rush

943
00:46:10,679 --> 00:46:12,079
all out, and you're not gonna win a title when

944
00:46:12,079 --> 00:46:14,000
you're giving up five point three yards per Russia number

945
00:46:14,000 --> 00:46:16,760
thirty one against the run. They started four and oh

946
00:46:17,320 --> 00:46:18,960
that four and oh start. They had the lucky win

947
00:46:19,000 --> 00:46:25,280
against Baltimore, remember then, Jets Dolphin sints Since that time,

948
00:46:25,840 --> 00:46:28,639
three and four straight up, three and four against the

949
00:46:28,679 --> 00:46:35,079
spread their last seven ball games. You know Sean McDermott quote,

950
00:46:35,199 --> 00:46:37,800
when they hit our quarterback twelve times. I don't like that.

951
00:46:38,360 --> 00:46:39,960
I don't like that stat at all. It's not a

952
00:46:39,960 --> 00:46:41,159
healthy way to play. It's not a good way to

953
00:46:41,199 --> 00:46:43,360
keep our quarterback healthy. For this season. We've got to

954
00:46:43,639 --> 00:46:48,239
play better. Worth noting what's wrong with Buffalo compared to

955
00:46:48,280 --> 00:46:52,199
recent years turnover margin. Last year, they had eight turnovers

956
00:46:52,199 --> 00:46:56,559
full season in twenty twenty four. This year, a little

957
00:46:56,559 --> 00:46:58,199
bit more than halfway through the season, they already have

958
00:46:58,239 --> 00:47:03,679
twice that sixteen turnovers last year thirty two takeaways. This

959
00:47:03,800 --> 00:47:09,840
year so far, thirteen takeaways. So run defense, turnover margin,

960
00:47:10,199 --> 00:47:14,840
that is what Ail's buffalo is that playing the Pittsburgh

961
00:47:14,840 --> 00:47:18,880
strainths not necessarily, you know, because weally run the football

962
00:47:18,880 --> 00:47:21,920
are great, you know, and they don't force much turnovers.

963
00:47:22,000 --> 00:47:24,960
So defense number sixteen yards per rush allowed, number seventeen

964
00:47:24,960 --> 00:47:29,000
in yards per pass attempt allowed, perfectly mediocre. Yet I've

965
00:47:29,000 --> 00:47:31,079
been reading I read it twice yesterday. The Steelers have

966
00:47:31,119 --> 00:47:34,679
the worst pass Steelers league worst pass defense. You know, No,

967
00:47:35,599 --> 00:47:38,519
yards per pass attempt is your stat, not total yards

968
00:47:38,519 --> 00:47:41,840
that you're giving up via the air. They're number seventeen

969
00:47:41,880 --> 00:47:43,679
in yards per pass tempt allowed. They do not have

970
00:47:43,719 --> 00:47:45,840
the worst pass defense in the league. They are number

971
00:47:45,880 --> 00:47:49,440
twenty two in yards per play on offense. Mason Rudolph

972
00:47:49,440 --> 00:47:52,079
after the loss quote, there's never been panic here. We've

973
00:47:52,079 --> 00:47:55,079
been Pittsburgh Steelers long enough to know that when we're behind,

974
00:47:55,199 --> 00:47:57,199
down on the division and up, it's a natural ebb

975
00:47:57,199 --> 00:47:59,639
and flow of the season. I'm confident in our guys

976
00:47:59,639 --> 00:48:04,719
to keep fighting and up on top. Yes, they're confident.

977
00:48:04,800 --> 00:48:08,320
Pittsburgh still in the mediocre to good category, not the

978
00:48:08,440 --> 00:48:10,000
good to great all.

979
00:48:10,000 --> 00:48:13,440
Speaker 2: Right, I'm going to use the Chargers for Survivor this week, Teddy,

980
00:48:13,440 --> 00:48:15,239
because it just makes the most sense. They're taking on

981
00:48:15,280 --> 00:48:17,760
the Las Vegas Raiders, and as we mentioned earlier in

982
00:48:17,800 --> 00:48:19,599
the show, none of us want anything to do with

983
00:48:19,639 --> 00:48:22,719
this Raiders team, but they are catching a ton of

984
00:48:22,800 --> 00:48:26,239
points here. Do you think this line is over that

985
00:48:26,519 --> 00:48:29,920
teaser number for a reason? Does it deserve to be

986
00:48:30,159 --> 00:48:32,079
that higher the books? You say, Nah, we don't want

987
00:48:32,119 --> 00:48:33,920
any part of Chargers teasers this week.

988
00:48:34,880 --> 00:48:36,960
Speaker 3: I'm sure the books don't want any Chargers teachers this week,

989
00:48:37,159 --> 00:48:38,679
and I'm sure the books are going to be sided

990
00:48:38,679 --> 00:48:41,079
with Charger money this week. From a situational standpoint, it

991
00:48:41,119 --> 00:48:43,679
really stands out. Look headline here eight and a half

992
00:48:43,679 --> 00:48:45,760
forty two and a half, my priority number ten and

993
00:48:45,800 --> 00:48:48,079
a half. The market's nine and a half forty one

994
00:48:49,000 --> 00:48:50,920
last night, and that's mostly what we're seeing today. There

995
00:48:50,920 --> 00:48:54,159
are some tens that have already popped up. The Raiders

996
00:48:54,159 --> 00:48:57,280
beat the Patriots on opening Day. They're one and nine

997
00:48:57,320 --> 00:49:00,320
since the one game versus the Titans and Iron Remember

998
00:49:00,320 --> 00:49:03,519
that game, all right? The Raiders were not the right side.

999
00:49:03,519 --> 00:49:05,079
They were lucky to hang on for the win and

1000
00:49:05,079 --> 00:49:07,639
cover they won twenty to ten. It wasn't pretty all right.

1001
00:49:08,039 --> 00:49:10,760
Home field, there's no home field that allegian. The Browns

1002
00:49:10,760 --> 00:49:13,199
fans were louder than the Raiders fans yesterday. They have

1003
00:49:13,239 --> 00:49:16,119
only one spread cover and defeat again during this one

1004
00:49:16,159 --> 00:49:18,679
to nine stretch. That was that ten to seven Thursday

1005
00:49:18,760 --> 00:49:21,039
night game in Denver. The offense has been held to

1006
00:49:21,079 --> 00:49:22,920
sixteen points in the last four times. In the last

1007
00:49:22,960 --> 00:49:26,199
five games, Chip Kelly I wrote this before he got fired.

1008
00:49:26,360 --> 00:49:28,320
I'm like Chip Kelly, the worst off of the coordinator

1009
00:49:28,320 --> 00:49:30,199
in the league this year. Then ikkanith Ben, I'm like

1010
00:49:30,239 --> 00:49:33,719
Tip Kelly fired, which leaves the Raiders with no continuity

1011
00:49:33,719 --> 00:49:35,559
on offense and who the hell knows who's gonna call

1012
00:49:35,599 --> 00:49:39,159
plays this week? Gino got sacked ten times yesterday. The

1013
00:49:39,440 --> 00:49:42,199
Vegas allowed twenty sacks over the last three weeks. They

1014
00:49:42,199 --> 00:49:44,360
punted eight times, turned it over on downs twice, and

1015
00:49:44,400 --> 00:49:46,960
lost a fumble. That's no way to win a football game,

1016
00:49:47,320 --> 00:49:50,360
Max Crosby, Everyone's gonna be searching for answering solutions when

1017
00:49:50,360 --> 00:49:53,000
things are not going exactly well. Unfortunately, we're just not

1018
00:49:53,039 --> 00:49:55,880
good enough right now. It's been pretty clear that's the

1019
00:49:55,960 --> 00:50:00,760
reality of it. You know agree, the Chargers off a

1020
00:50:00,880 --> 00:50:04,440
bye and a blowout loss in Jacksonville, and you read

1021
00:50:04,440 --> 00:50:08,000
the quotes again before the bye week quote, when you

1022
00:50:08,079 --> 00:50:09,599
lose a game like that, you want to go out

1023
00:50:09,639 --> 00:50:10,840
there and you want to get that taste out of

1024
00:50:10,880 --> 00:50:12,960
your mouth. It's justin Herbert. It's tough because now we

1025
00:50:13,000 --> 00:50:14,639
have to wait two weeks to get back and play.

1026
00:50:14,880 --> 00:50:17,599
The rest could be good for us, but it wasn't

1027
00:50:17,639 --> 00:50:22,000
good for us at all the game. So urgency for

1028
00:50:22,360 --> 00:50:25,760
the Chargers off a really bad showing harball quote. Offensive,

1029
00:50:25,760 --> 00:50:27,760
we weren't running the ball well, we weren't protecting, we weren't

1030
00:50:27,719 --> 00:50:30,199
getting open Defensively, the same weren't stopping the run. We're

1031
00:50:30,239 --> 00:50:31,960
losing coverage. I mean, you go through every phase. We

1032
00:50:32,000 --> 00:50:34,400
got beat every which way you care to beat. So

1033
00:50:34,639 --> 00:50:37,000
the Chargers, who we were supposed to come in here focused,

1034
00:50:37,519 --> 00:50:39,199
I mean the Raiders who are supposed to come in

1035
00:50:39,199 --> 00:50:41,239
here like one of the if not the worst team

1036
00:50:41,239 --> 00:50:45,039
in the league. If I'm playing, I'm laying cash against

1037
00:50:45,039 --> 00:50:48,920
the Raiders yesterday, would have no hesitation betting against them

1038
00:50:49,239 --> 00:50:51,880
against the Chargers team that should be ready to play

1039
00:50:51,920 --> 00:50:54,679
in this one and dominated the first meeting despite their

1040
00:50:54,719 --> 00:50:56,480
offensive line issues.

1041
00:50:56,800 --> 00:50:59,119
Speaker 2: Teddy really quickly because I know we're up against it.

1042
00:50:59,159 --> 00:51:02,679
But you said something that made me kind of question,

1043
00:51:02,800 --> 00:51:05,599
who are your bottom three teams power rating wise in

1044
00:51:05,639 --> 00:51:09,639
the NFL as it stands on November twenty fourth. Here,

1045
00:51:11,119 --> 00:51:13,599
I just have to know because these are certain teams

1046
00:51:13,679 --> 00:51:16,280
as we get later onto the season, maybe you don't

1047
00:51:16,360 --> 00:51:19,360
want to as the queen of underdogs, if you will,

1048
00:51:19,400 --> 00:51:22,440
and betting on not great teams. Sometimes you just have

1049
00:51:22,519 --> 00:51:24,840
to say, all right, these teams have not Caughton up

1050
00:51:24,840 --> 00:51:27,679
with the market with actually how bad they truly are?

1051
00:51:28,360 --> 00:51:34,400
Speaker 3: Bottom five Arizona, Las Vegas, the Jets, the Saints, the Titans. Okay,

1052
00:51:34,480 --> 00:51:38,119
that's my bottom five. But one or two of those

1053
00:51:38,159 --> 00:51:39,800
teams will make your money down the stretch, and the

1054
00:51:39,840 --> 00:51:44,960
other three, probably four won't, you know, so you gotta

1055
00:51:45,760 --> 00:51:47,840
I don't think you can blanketly say fade them all

1056
00:51:48,079 --> 00:51:48,960
it's a team by two.

1057
00:51:49,039 --> 00:51:49,679
Speaker 1: I don't think it's that.

1058
00:51:49,800 --> 00:51:52,039
Speaker 2: But sometimes I think, especially with the NFL, like you

1059
00:51:52,039 --> 00:51:54,360
said yesterday, you went to and Oh because you were selective.

1060
00:51:54,400 --> 00:51:56,400
You played the two games that you had the strongest

1061
00:51:56,480 --> 00:51:59,000
edge on, and sometimes when you're picking five for the

1062
00:51:59,039 --> 00:52:02,559
super contest, they can get a little convoluted, just kind

1063
00:52:02,599 --> 00:52:05,159
of know to leave some of these bad teams on

1064
00:52:05,239 --> 00:52:06,440
the sidelines, if you will.

1065
00:52:06,760 --> 00:52:09,239
Speaker 3: So that's again, that's why I used to play contests,

1066
00:52:09,239 --> 00:52:11,320
and I found that it ft with my handicapping. You know,

1067
00:52:11,360 --> 00:52:13,880
I don't play Survivor. I don't play the pith Thik

1068
00:52:13,920 --> 00:52:19,039
pick the pick five every week, and I don't do

1069
00:52:19,199 --> 00:52:23,159
those contests anymore because I don't want to be thinking

1070
00:52:23,199 --> 00:52:25,400
about one game. I don't want to be thinking about

1071
00:52:25,440 --> 00:52:27,320
five games. I want to be going through the card

1072
00:52:27,480 --> 00:52:32,880
naturally and that it helps me. It doesn't. Maybe it doesn't,

1073
00:52:32,960 --> 00:52:34,639
I don't know, but I love it in my head

1074
00:52:34,639 --> 00:52:37,880
it does. And of course this week there's no buys

1075
00:52:37,880 --> 00:52:39,760
this week, guy, So we got the show's gonna run

1076
00:52:39,760 --> 00:52:42,360
at a little longer two games ago Sunday night and

1077
00:52:42,400 --> 00:52:42,880
Monday night.

1078
00:52:42,920 --> 00:52:46,320
Speaker 2: So yep, let's talk about the Washington Commanders and the

1079
00:52:46,360 --> 00:52:48,719
Denver Broncos. I know I bashed the Bears, and I

1080
00:52:48,719 --> 00:52:50,519
know I bashed the Patriots, but I said that the

1081
00:52:50,559 --> 00:52:54,000
Broncos were my second most fraudulent team, and I am

1082
00:52:54,000 --> 00:52:56,159
a Denver Broncos fan, so I'm allowed to say that.

1083
00:52:56,960 --> 00:52:59,119
As the market got the little too heavy, here on

1084
00:52:59,159 --> 00:53:00,639
the Broncos coming out of that buy.

1085
00:53:01,440 --> 00:53:04,039
Speaker 3: No, I mean, I don't think the Broncs are frauden

1086
00:53:04,039 --> 00:53:07,960
at all. I think Denver is absolutely live to make

1087
00:53:08,000 --> 00:53:09,840
some noise in the postseason, just like they did in

1088
00:53:09,840 --> 00:53:13,039
the regular season. Look aat line here, Denver minus six

1089
00:53:13,039 --> 00:53:14,440
and a half, forty three and a half. They're like

1090
00:53:14,440 --> 00:53:17,880
the Bears of the AFC in terms of the markets

1091
00:53:17,920 --> 00:53:21,320
don't respect them and the level of play deserves some respect.

1092
00:53:21,679 --> 00:53:23,119
Six and a half forty three and a half. Look

1093
00:53:23,159 --> 00:53:25,440
aad line, my powering numbered Denver seven. The markets opened

1094
00:53:25,440 --> 00:53:27,039
six and a half forty three and a half last night,

1095
00:53:27,239 --> 00:53:30,000
and that's exactly what we're seeing today. Both teams coming

1096
00:53:30,000 --> 00:53:33,480
off buys. You know, the Commanders coming off that awful

1097
00:53:33,519 --> 00:53:36,599
loss to Miami. You know, the last four drives in complete,

1098
00:53:36,639 --> 00:53:38,920
passed it to Miami, one yard line, stopped on downs,

1099
00:53:39,119 --> 00:53:41,920
muff punt, missed field goals, interception of the first play

1100
00:53:41,920 --> 00:53:43,920
off overtime, and the defense give up one hundred and

1101
00:53:43,960 --> 00:53:46,320
sixty nine rushing yards at five point five yards per carry.

1102
00:53:46,599 --> 00:53:48,719
As for Denver, they had one hundred and forty seven

1103
00:53:48,760 --> 00:53:50,679
penalty yards and they were one for five in the

1104
00:53:50,719 --> 00:53:53,519
red zone. And they still beat Kansas City. Maybe hat

1105
00:53:53,519 --> 00:53:56,679
and fat and happy eight game winning streak went into

1106
00:53:56,719 --> 00:53:59,280
the buy office signature win versus their big, old, biggest rival.

1107
00:53:59,320 --> 00:54:02,239
That's not necessarily a bet on coming out.

1108
00:54:04,599 --> 00:54:09,199
Speaker 2: All right, fair enough Monday Night football, Teddy, the New

1109
00:54:09,280 --> 00:54:13,039
York Giants and Jamis Winston were sure exciting yesterday, at

1110
00:54:13,079 --> 00:54:15,840
least from a survivor's perspective. I was joking that I

1111
00:54:15,880 --> 00:54:18,920
was gonna have to change my dog's new name to Jamis, because.

1112
00:54:18,719 --> 00:54:22,400
Speaker 1: Holy cow, did he well? He looked like good Jamis.

1113
00:54:22,400 --> 00:54:24,239
Speaker 3: How about they he balled out yesterday.

1114
00:54:24,440 --> 00:54:26,599
Speaker 2: He was great, and he's one of my favorites for

1115
00:54:26,679 --> 00:54:29,000
a magnitude of reasons. But I was really glad that

1116
00:54:29,039 --> 00:54:32,079
the Lions pulled out the wind for survivor purposes.

1117
00:54:32,280 --> 00:54:34,239
Speaker 1: New England, I said it earlier.

1118
00:54:34,320 --> 00:54:37,920
Speaker 2: I thought that they have superseded expectations, they have superseded

1119
00:54:37,960 --> 00:54:41,559
the market. I feel like it's the easiest thing to

1120
00:54:41,559 --> 00:54:44,480
do here on Monday Night to tease the New England Patriots.

1121
00:54:45,360 --> 00:54:48,400
Speaker 3: I'm sure you won't be alone in that regard. Look

1122
00:54:48,440 --> 00:54:52,480
aheadlined here seven and a half forty six and a half.

1123
00:54:53,000 --> 00:54:55,440
My powering number comes nine and a half for this

1124
00:54:55,519 --> 00:54:59,400
ball game, so it's higher than the markets. I'm not

1125
00:54:59,400 --> 00:55:01,679
sure if I haven't raise my Giants powering enough. Maybe

1126
00:55:01,679 --> 00:55:03,039
that's the issue here, because I know I don't think

1127
00:55:03,039 --> 00:55:05,559
I'm off marketing on New England market seven to seven

1128
00:55:05,559 --> 00:55:08,079
and a half last night where they opened forty seven

1129
00:55:08,079 --> 00:55:10,239
and a half. We have seen under money come in

1130
00:55:10,280 --> 00:55:12,519
on this one forty six and a half, prevailing total

1131
00:55:12,880 --> 00:55:15,159
markets still sitting at seven and a half. So really

1132
00:55:15,159 --> 00:55:17,440
all we had of those first two emergency vetting alerts

1133
00:55:17,480 --> 00:55:21,800
and not much else on Thanksgiving week. The Giants are winning,

1134
00:55:21,800 --> 00:55:23,480
are covering games like this. They're one and five in

1135
00:55:23,519 --> 00:55:26,800
games decided by a touchdown or less. Boy, this team

1136
00:55:26,840 --> 00:55:29,480
can find a way to lose. You know, defense at

1137
00:55:29,719 --> 00:55:31,840
Lake meltdown and then forgot to show up for overtime.

1138
00:55:32,320 --> 00:55:35,719
Sixth straight loss for the Giants. Fifth time this season

1139
00:55:35,719 --> 00:55:37,400
they've lost by leading in the after leading in the

1140
00:55:37,440 --> 00:55:41,000
fourth quarter. Fifth time this season where they've lost after

1141
00:55:41,119 --> 00:55:46,320
leading by double digits. Ouch. Mike Kafa going forward on

1142
00:55:46,400 --> 00:55:49,400
fourth goal from the sixth with his team leading by

1143
00:55:49,440 --> 00:55:51,639
three points late. It's kind of taking a short field goal.

1144
00:55:52,079 --> 00:55:53,960
Don't know that that decision was the right one. His

1145
00:55:54,079 --> 00:55:56,199
quote We're trying to win the game, so we want

1146
00:55:56,199 --> 00:55:58,440
to score as many points as possible. We thought there

1147
00:55:58,480 --> 00:56:00,800
was a place to be aggressive. Don't know yet if

1148
00:56:00,800 --> 00:56:03,639
we're gonna see Jackson Dart back in the lineup this week,

1149
00:56:03,679 --> 00:56:08,519
that is the possibility. Patriots have nine straight games where

1150
00:56:08,519 --> 00:56:11,000
they scored at least twenty three and allowed twenty three

1151
00:56:11,079 --> 00:56:14,360
or less every time. The only team in the history

1152
00:56:14,360 --> 00:56:17,000
of the league to do that that was the AFL,

1153
00:56:17,159 --> 00:56:19,440
the nineteen sixty one Houston Oilers did that. So the

1154
00:56:19,480 --> 00:56:21,360
Patriots do was some you know. I mean Even's got

1155
00:56:21,360 --> 00:56:23,159
gassed on the ground yesterday. Give him five point two

1156
00:56:23,199 --> 00:56:26,400
yards per carry. They suffered multiple injuries on the offsive line.

1157
00:56:26,400 --> 00:56:29,320
The left guard Jared Wilson the left tackle Will Campbell

1158
00:56:30,000 --> 00:56:34,519
both carted off the field. Those are concerns here. They

1159
00:56:34,519 --> 00:56:37,599
started the same offsive line ten times the first eleven games.

1160
00:56:38,039 --> 00:56:40,960
Stefan Diggs quote, back to the grind because who didn't

1161
00:56:40,960 --> 00:56:43,480
play our best football? Obviously didn't coverysay, did not play great,

1162
00:56:43,800 --> 00:56:46,000
But be happy about the ten wins because that shit

1163
00:56:46,159 --> 00:56:49,440
is not easy to do. He's right about that. But

1164
00:56:49,760 --> 00:56:54,280
the g men who have played better than expected, well,

1165
00:56:54,920 --> 00:56:57,159
they have a chance perhaps here against the Patriots team

1166
00:56:57,159 --> 00:57:01,000
that has found ways to games in the same way

1167
00:57:01,000 --> 00:57:02,480
the Giants have found way to lose them.

1168
00:57:03,159 --> 00:57:06,199
Speaker 2: All Right, that has been the week. What is week

1169
00:57:06,280 --> 00:57:10,400
thirteen in the NFL? That is crazy to say out loud?

1170
00:57:10,920 --> 00:57:14,880
Teddy covers Kelly Stewart. This has been the opening line report.

1171
00:57:14,960 --> 00:57:19,159
Hangout up next? Wager Talk today with Andy Lang.

1172
00:57:19,679 --> 00:57:21,679
Speaker 3: Yeah, and what's that promo code? Call for the money