Speaker 1: Hello, and welcome to the Dynasty Do podcast. I'm your host,
Corey Evans. This week's show is titled One Hit Wonder
or the Real Deal. In a sense, I'm looking at
the production over now a four week sample size, nentwering
week five for One Hit Wonder Spike week players that
we should look to cash hours, sell high on or
the Real Deal fits with their current NFL schemes that
should provide us rest of season value in redraft or
Dynasty formats. Forget to that. My nose might sound a
little stuffy. I'm congested from my vacation, probably picked up
a cold, so I apologize that the audio or pronunciation
quality isn't as good as usual, but the show must
go on.
Speaker 2: Vacation was awesome.
Speaker 1: It was my first ever cruise, had a blast, and
it was a big event.
Speaker 2: For me in my life.
Speaker 1: I got engaged to my girlfriend now fiance, Jackie.
Speaker 2: Shout out to her. She is my one point oh
one of.
Speaker 1: Draft picks, whether it's redraft, Orgie drafts. She's amazing and
a huge support system for me and my work. So
the vacation was much needed, a great time. But back
to business. I'm here to serve you, my audience, and
we'll get right back to it with that idea of
one hit wonder or real deal for player value rest
of season. First is Xavier Scott, running back with the
Minnesota Vikings. He had two rushes for one yard. He
contributed significantly as a pass catcher six receptions forty three
yards and a touchdown across eight targets against Pittsburgh across
thirty eight percent of snap so a sub forty percent snapshare.
Yet the volume as a pass catcher kept him as
a viable flex and or RB two candidate for this
past weekend of games. Jordan Mason remains and figures to
be the Vikings RB one at least until Aaron Jones
returns from ir due to his hamstring injury, which is
rumored to be around week eight or so. For now,
though in the interim, Xavier Scott appears to have the
edge over Cam Akers as the Vikings RB two along
with as I mentioned or alluded to that passing down role.
He had a sixteen yard receiving touchdown and that's an
encouraging sign for Scott's usage. If Minnesota is a negative
game script six one two twenty one, so he packs
a large body frame into an elusive receiving skill set.
He was an undrafted talent or prospect out of Maine
with a well rounded resume receiving log of ninety three
eight seventy seven and three touchdowns, as well as a
rushing log of one oh nine six eighty eight and
six scorers for a crisp six point three yards per rush.
That's with one year at Yukon and three years with Maine.
The best part from a donasy lens is that Xavier
Scott is twenty six, so there could be some shelf
life for us to pick up stash or even potentially
play him until Aaron Jones is back. In terms of
the episode topic one Hit Wonder the real Deal, I
am still under the belief that Scott is a one
hit wonder until we see it repeatly or at least
a more stable trend of both rushing and receiving production. However,
you can't do much better off the waiver wire, especially
a week at running back. When it comes to adding
Scott for some fab or a waiver priority, Kenneth Gainwell
he had nineteen rushes, ninety nine yards and two touchdowns
for five point two yards per rush added six receptions
for thirty five yards six targets versus Minnesota, a seventy
percent snapshare. Jalen Moren was a surprise and active due
to a knee ailment, which propelled Gamewell into a feature
workload that did not disappoint. We're all accustomed with Gainwell,
former prospect out of Memphis who intrigued a lot based
on versatility and explosiveness, did not do all that much
with limited reps in Philadelphia, found a new home in Pittsburgh.
He's trusted in pass protection. He's a solid, not spectacular
option in fantasy. The issue is Pittsburgh is on buy
and Week five and then Jalen Morren's injury sounds relatively minor.
He almost suited up for this past Week four game,
yet did not feel hund percent and warm ups, meaning
Gainwell likely to live his best showing of the campaign
and he was on fantasy benches for the most part
in Week.
Speaker 2: Four as a result. One hit wonder the real deal.
Speaker 1: I'm labeling Gamewell as a one hit wonder and the
ultimate cell high. If anybody in your league needs a
running back solution, pitch Gamewell as the opportunity to find
that answer. I don't believe it's going to be the case.
Jillen Mooreen, assuming health cooperates, or even eventually Caleb Johnson
come post by or even second half of the season
for Pittsburgh seems like the more safe bet. Snap breaks
per week for game well been fifty four percent, forty two,
twenty six, and seventy seven. Again, he stepped up with
Warren out of the picture that seventeen percent of snaps
is the outlier. Collectively, he's at thirty five, one, fifty four,
and three rushing scores for four point four yards per
rush and thirteen grabs four sixty five yards, sixteen targets.
Speaker 2: Mike Tomlin trust Kenneth Gainwell.
Speaker 1: So he's more valuable to Pittsburgh in real life than
us in fantasy circles. Cannot imagine even if Warren misses
another week or two, Game one being a fantasy staple,
the two touchdowns really did enhance his value and is
more of a one hit wonder based on his career
arc what we've seeing in Philadelphia and a short stint
in Pittsburgh as opposed to expecting more of the same
with that nineteen ninety nine two rushing effort with six
receptions thirty five yards from this past weekend. That seems
unsustainable and unrealistic to bank on from here on out.
Luke McCaffrey, somewhat of an afterthought after a disappointing rookie campaign,
is suddenly on the fantasy radar and not a fixture,
but an important piece of Washington's passing offense. Two receptions
twenty one yards and a touchdown, three targets against Atlanta,
only a thirty seven percent snap participation.
Speaker 2: Yet that's back to back games with a receiving.
Speaker 1: Score for mc Luke McCaffrey or Christ mccafey's brother who
posted a three to fifty six one touchdown after going
to meet three versus Las Vegas. So we're seeing step
by step McCaffrey becoming more involved. And that's with Marcus
Mariota quarterback, not even Jamie Daniels. And that's why I
am intrigued here. McCaffrey remains a bet on LONGGT upside
being tied to Jade and Daniels. Terry mclaurin's quad injury
is TVD in terms of his return timeline. It's signed
optimistic earlier on this week that he would be back
for Week five. Now suddenly could be out another game
or two, perhaps longer. Deebo Samuel is the one certain
set it, forget it option in Cliff Kingsbury's offense or
scheme for the time being. Luke McCaffrey, though, in terms
of one hit wonder, the real deal might just be
the real deal. We were all excited when he was
a third round pick one hundred overall out.
Speaker 2: Of Rice in twenty twenty four.
Speaker 1: With stand out of the traits a four point four
to six speed for forty yard dash, thirty sixte vertical
ten foot one is broad, and a six point seven
second three cone drill, He's finally seen the field. Washington
needs help at pass catcher not named Terry McLaurin. Deebo
Samuel up McCaffrey is mixing inside the slot and outside
the perimeter, with Jalen Lane also being incorporated.
Speaker 2: At the very least.
Speaker 1: Up McCaffrey has forced himself on the field and is
already an established piece on special teams. With nine higoff
returns for two twenty five yard to date, two games
back to back, is hard to really put a positive
spin on for long term value when it comes to
scoring a touchdown in each contest, that being said one
hit one or the real deal. Out of all names
so far, I am most excited about Luke McCaffrey based
on what we saw out of college, let alone the
pedigree of the McCaffrey family, all being exceptional athletes, not
to mention lmc carving out a role over the past
two games without Jaden Daniels. When Daniels is back, there
could be even more upside baked in to his outlook.
McLaurin is the wildcard here once McLaurin is back. Unfortunately,
McCaffrey is expendable to both US in fantasy and Washington.
But again, long term picture here, I like what I
see from Luke McCaffrey Ken Dre Miller. He's finally making
some noise and returning dividends from his TCU prospect days.
Eleven rushes, sixty five yards and a touchdown for five
point nine yards per rush against Buffalo, a thirty one
percent snap share. His snap percentage just per week I
off tracked in at fifteen percent, fifteen percent, twenty seven percent,
and the aforemention thirty one percent so not quite yet
on the heels of Kamara. There's been some vaulturing with
reds and opportunities and this touchdown this past weekend. All
in all, Kendre has twenty eight rushes for a buck
twenty four and that one touchdown for four point four
yards per carry, and three receptions for eleven yards across
three targets. The spin here is that Miller has fared
much better with Kellen Moore than being in the doghouse
or on the bench with Dennis Allen in previous season's
health availability has also been a downside to rostering Hendry Miller,
Yet this year, so far, so good on that front.
We can't forget a former third round pick seventy two
overall out of TCU who offers plenty of intrigue from
here on out. Since Kamara is entering already in his
age thirty NFL season, I can see this being a
one to two punch where if there's positive game script,
we're seeing some neutral volume for Kendre Miller. Negative game
script because Miller is not really adept in pass protection
or receiving, that's where Kamara will see an expanded workload.
So it's becoming somewhat of an RBBC. Kellen Moore is
one of those few offensive gurus when it comes to
game planning and being creative both pre and post snap
when it comes to motion. So Kendre Miller's value is rising.
For now, I'm gonna say one hit Wonder, let's see
it happen again or multiple times and him carve in
possibly to the workload or snap sheer of Alva Kamara.
I want to believe that ken Dra could be the
airpayers of Kamara and or be the real deal, but
it's far too soon to get that excited about what
we've seen over four weeks of action to date. Time
for a quick breakuping back with three more one hit
Wonder or real deal players entrem week five. Before that,
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Speaker 2: Be right back after that short break.
Speaker 1: How about Isaiah Bond Three catches fifty eight yards and
six targets against Detroit along with a fifty five percent snapshare.
Secret Tillman is a big factor here, placed on injury
reserve at the hamstring injury, which allows Bond to theoretically
jump into a larger role. Bon should be sloted from
more work moving forward. Enters Week five at seven catches
for eighty five yards across fourteen targets. Limited yet expanding
role On the horizon, there's Jerry Judy, there's Bond himself,
There's Jamari Thrash and they figure to compliment Quin Shawn
Jupkins now the focal point of Cleveland's offense. Harrold Fannings you,
David Njoku. The crazy part here is that Isaiah Bond
went undrafted in most rookie Dynasty drafts, definitely in redraft
unless it was a fairly deep league. He also went
undrafted out of Texas in real life due to offield
allegations that since were cleared. Prior to signing with Cleveland,
most scouts had Isaiah Bond as a borderline day one
or Day two talent and was even in the conversation
of was it Isaiah Bond or Matthew Goldin out of
the same school that being Texas and prospect outlooks pre draft.
So this is if you have rostered him and Dynasty
picked him up or drafted him late, a possible steal
and absolute home run and value compared to what he
costs to now is offering for us in the fantasy landscape.
In college, he spent two years at Alabama and Wilmut Texas
for collective production of ninety nine receptions, one thousand, four
hundred and twenty eight yard receiving and ten touchdowns or
fourteen point four yards per catch. Dylan Gabriel is now
reportland line to take over for Joe Flacco, which could
be an upgrade for the entire offense. Gabriel is sort
of like Tua Tagle Lowell, where it's a lefty quarterback
and makes quick decisions, gets the ball out on his
first or second read, which does benefit slot wide outs
even to a certain extent primeter options like Bond. This
could be PPR goal think Jalen Waddle for a Soyle comparison.
If it all pans out, therefore one hit wonder the
real deal. I'm going to say Bond is the real
deal because he would have been at the very least
a Day three pick, if not again on that fringe
Day one day two radar, had it not been for
those off field allegations. So if you have Bond rostered,
this is more of a hold for me than cash
out because the talent exists opportunities now on line, which
translates to a lot of room for growth or stat ceiling.
Rest of season Woody Mark seventeen rushes sixty nine yards
and a touchdown for four point one yards per rush.
Four receptions fifty yards and a score, so two total touchdowns.
That was five targets versus Tennessee across fifty six percent
of snaps.
Speaker 2: It was a true breakout performance for Woody Marks.
Speaker 1: This is now in our BBC possibly favoring Woody Marks
over Nick Chubb. If it's seventy thirty sixty forty, that
remains to be seen. Let's look at it week by
week snap rates and touches. Nick Chubb snap breaks per
week so far fifty one percent, fifty three fifty two
and forty two. Marx snap breaks per week of eleven percent,
twenty seven, forty eight.
Speaker 2: Fifty six.
Speaker 1: That was the change of tide. Forty two percent for
Nick Chubb, fifty six percent for Woody Marx. Will it
continue that way is what we need to see. Chubb's
touches per week have been thirteen, fourteen, twelve and fifteen
that's rushes and receptions combined. Marx His touches per week
have been three, four to seven and twenty one. That
is the callout. Woody Marks took over this backfield for Houston.
It was a fairly positive matchup against Tennessee's depleted team
across the bordletone defense. Postgame textans head coach Tomiko Ryan
said he's excited to see how much more wood he
can handle moving forward. That's music to the ears of
those of us who have Woody Mark's roster and redraft
or dynasty. Not to mention that there was plenty of
appeal to take Woody as a third or fourth or
arcy draft pick this past summer rookie drafts because he
was effective at the college level from both a rushing
and receiving perspective four years with Missippi State and one
year at USC for all around production of six oh
eight thirty sixteen thirty one rushing touchdowns for five yards
per rush and two hundred and sixty one catches for
one thousand, five hundred and forty six yard receiving in
five touchdowns. As I mentioned in my Patreon content in
the offseason, Woody Marks was one of my favorite targets
in the third round because you're reminded me of Austin Eckler,
Shane Vereen, Rex Burkehead. Think some of these satellite options
with underappreciated feature down skill sets. Woody Marx also has
more size to him that could benefit complementing and replacing
Nick Schubb. Keep in mind, Woody checks in at five
ten two oh eight, so more than capable of producing
with ample violin. We saw it at the college level
and now in Week four first Tennessee and because of that,
I think that Woody Marx is not a one hit wonder.
This is the real deal, especially with Joe Mixon's uncertain
timeline to return. There's been no practice window at debated
as have yet and it sounds more sour than sweet
in terms of Joe Mixon returning for this season. Could
be a lost campaign for him. Time will tell, and
last been not least eighty or ad Ni Micschell had
three receptions for ninety six yards across four targets ininto
la rams eighty percent of snaps.
Speaker 2: That was good to see.
Speaker 1: He let go what could have been a massive game
because of a seventy six yard touchdown that instead resulted
in a touchback. He let go the football a bit
too soon and then another touchdown call back because of penalty.
This has been the same narrative for Ady Mixchell. He's
making big plays, he's dropping balls downfield, or.
Speaker 2: It's the could it would have, should have? What could
have happened?
Speaker 1: For Mikschell, he's been inches, if not yards away from
being a breakout or superstar candidate. There's just a lot
of missing pieces and in consistencies that are creating.
Speaker 2: Flaws in his game.
Speaker 1: Regardless Mixchwell emerged with Alex Pierce outdoded concussion. If Pierce returns,
mikexue will probably revert back to fantasy benches and or
a rotational piece for the Colts. Snap shares for eighty
have been twenty ten and forty two from week one
to three, again eighty nine percent in his past week,
but no Pierce. Therefore, we should not expect Mikechull to
suddenly take over the roles Michael Pittman, Josh Dillens, Alec Pierce,
but it's encouraging for developmental purposes after eighties disappointing where
he campaign in twenty twenty four, This time around there's
a little excuse for quarterback play, unlike with Anthony Richardson,
because Daniel Jones is playing really good football, so Ady
can't really have that benefit of the doubt any longer.
That excuse for now eighty remains a bet on pedigree
as the fifty second overall pick last year, along with
natural playmak and ability. We've seen it if you watch
his film, he's a fluid route runner. The hands, though,
are inconsistent. The crossroad in value therefore becomes a lack
of opportunity with other perceived better pass catchers. The inconsistent
hands I mentioned, and then that limited route tree despite
him being a crisp route runner. So all that baked
in one hit wonder the real deal. For now, it's
a one hit wonder week for Adie Mitchell. I am
still invested heavily in Adie Mitchell, one of my most
roster Dynasty players actually not intent or purpose, but based
on the value that I've been able to acquire him
for a drafted last year. I remain a fan of
a skill set he requires patience, reminds me a bit
of DeVante Adams or even George Pickins, where it took
time seasons to be put all together. If it all
pans out, though this is a wide receiver one prototype,
not banking on that or certain it's going to happen,
but I'm willing to take that shot when it comes
to a low cost. Shouldn't cost you more than the
third to acquire Mitchell and see what happens, especially with
the Colts being one of the better teams in football,
at least through four weeks of action. Thanks for listening.
Hope you'll enjoyed this week's show of One Hit Wonder
or the Real Deal. A quick recap of those names
being Xavier Scott, Kenneth Gainwell, Luke McCaffrey, Kendre Miller, Isaiah Bond,
Woodie Marx and ad Mitchell.
Speaker 2: Thanks again for listening. If you enjoyed this week show, please.
Speaker 1: Drop a five star review on Apple or Spotify. Helps
me out a ton as an independent podcast host. Until
next time, this is the dynas you're checking out. Hope
you'll enjoyed this week's slate of games and I'll talk
to you soon.
Speaker 2: See you Thegepoppe Popp