WEBVTT

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to Bedtime Astronomy. Explore the wonders of the cosmos

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<v Speaker 1>with our soothing Bedtime Astronomie podcast. Each episode offers a

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<v Speaker 1>gentle journey through the stars, planets, and beyond, perfect for

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<v Speaker 1>unwinding after a long day. Let's travel through the mysteries

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<v Speaker 1>of the universe as you drift off into a peaceful

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<v Speaker 1>slumber under the night sky.

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<v Speaker 2>If you want to find the next Earth, like a

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<v Speaker 2>literal second home for humanity out there in the galaxy, yeah,

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<v Speaker 2>the absolute worst place you could look is right around

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<v Speaker 2>a star that looks exactly like our son.

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<v Speaker 3>I mean, which sounds completely backward, right, because for decades

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<v Speaker 3>that was the whole strategy, right.

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<v Speaker 2>You assume you wanted a carbon copy of our solar system. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 2>a nice, stable yellow Sun and a rocky little planet

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<v Speaker 2>just sitting at the exact right distance exactly.

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<v Speaker 3>But the data has completely forced us to basically tear

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<v Speaker 3>up that playbook. Finding a twin of Earth around a

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<v Speaker 3>twin of the Sun is just well, with our current

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<v Speaker 3>tach it's practically.

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<v Speaker 2>Impossible, which is so frustrating. But that's why today we're

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<v Speaker 2>talking about venturing into I guess you could call it

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<v Speaker 2>the cosmic graveyard.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, that's a good way to put it.

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<v Speaker 2>We're looking at these things called failed stars, and we're

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<v Speaker 2>getting into all this because of a Canadian space mission

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<v Speaker 2>called POOAA, which is launching in twenty twenty nine.

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<v Speaker 3>Right, and POUAIT is totally abandoning the blinding light of

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<v Speaker 3>those bright yellow suns. It is a highly optimized, really

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<v Speaker 3>aggressive strategy to search in the shadows basically.

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<v Speaker 2>Okay, so let's lay out the scoreboard first, because the

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<v Speaker 2>numbers here they really tell a super frustrating story for astronomers. Oh, absolutely, right, Now,

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<v Speaker 2>humanity has confirmed nearly six thousand, three hundred exoplanets.

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<v Speaker 3>Which is just a staggering number to even think about.

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<v Speaker 2>It's massive. Just pause and think about that. Over six

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<v Speaker 2>thousand alien worlds orbiting other stars that we know exists

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<v Speaker 2>for sure. But out of that huge catalog, only two

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<v Speaker 2>hundred and twenty three are actually designated as terrestrial.

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<v Speaker 3>Right, meaning they're rocky planets with a solid surface like

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<v Speaker 3>Earth or Mars.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, it's two hundred and twenty three. So you look

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<v Speaker 2>at a ratio like that and it's like, what roughly

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<v Speaker 2>three percent roughly.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, it's so.

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<v Speaker 2>Easy to jump to the conclusion that rocky planets are

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<v Speaker 2>just as super rare anomaly in the universe.

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<v Speaker 3>But that is a total trap. You really can't look

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<v Speaker 3>at it that way.

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<v Speaker 2>Really, why not, Because.

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<v Speaker 3>The vast majority of those six thousand worlds are gas

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<v Speaker 3>giants or ice giants. There are these massive, bloated planets

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<v Speaker 3>that don't even have a solid surface, right, So.

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<v Speaker 2>We're talking about places like Jupiter or Neptune.

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<v Speaker 3>Exactly, environments where the atmospheric pressure is so intense it

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<v Speaker 3>would you know, it would literally crush anything long before

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<v Speaker 3>it ever reached some hypothetical core.

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<v Speaker 2>So the fact that we have thousands of gas giants

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<v Speaker 2>and barely any rocky ones.

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<v Speaker 3>It tells us practically nothing about what's actually out there

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<v Speaker 3>in the universe, But it tells us absolutely everything about

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<v Speaker 3>the limitations of our own telescopes.

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<v Speaker 2>Okay, so it's classic selection bias. It's like, uh, if

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<v Speaker 2>you drag a huge fishing net through the ocean, but

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<v Speaker 2>the net has these massive holes in it right right,

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<v Speaker 2>you pull it up, You're like, wow, the ocean only

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<v Speaker 2>contains giant tuna, but really all the small fish just

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<v Speaker 2>slipped right through the gaps.

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<v Speaker 3>That's a perfect analogy. The tools we rely on are

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<v Speaker 3>heavily biased toward finding the loudest, biggest things in the room.

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<v Speaker 2>Okay, so unpack that for us. Why are our tools

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<v Speaker 2>so biased?

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<v Speaker 3>Well, it comes down to the physics of exoplanet detection.

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<v Speaker 3>Planets don't emit their own light, right, at least not

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<v Speaker 3>in the visible spectrum. They only reflect the light of

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<v Speaker 3>their host star.

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<v Speaker 2>Right, there's just bouncing light back at us.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, So direct imaging, like actually pointing a telescope and

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<v Speaker 3>taking a photograph of a planet, is unbelievably difficult. It's

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<v Speaker 3>like trying to photograph a firefly buzzing right next to.

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<v Speaker 2>A lighthouse from like fifty miles away.

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<v Speaker 3>Exactly, the glare from the lighthouse the star just completely

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<v Speaker 3>washes out the tiny speck of light from the planet.

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<v Speaker 2>So if we can't just take a picture of them,

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<v Speaker 2>how are we finding thousands of them?

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<v Speaker 3>We have to rely on indirect methods we observe the

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<v Speaker 3>effect that the planet has on its star. Historically, we

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<v Speaker 3>leaned really heavily on something called the radial velocity method.

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<v Speaker 2>A radio velocity Okay, what is that? In plain English?

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<v Speaker 3>It's basically measuring a microscopic wobble as a planet orbits

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<v Speaker 3>a star. It's gravity actually tugs on the star a

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<v Speaker 3>little bit and makes the star wobble back and forth

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<v Speaker 3>in space.

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<v Speaker 2>Oh wow, so the star is actually moving.

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<v Speaker 3>Just a tiny bit. Yeah. And obviously a massive bulky

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<v Speaker 3>gas giant like Jupiter is going to yank on that

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<v Speaker 3>star a lot harder than a tiny speck of rock

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<v Speaker 3>like Earthwood.

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<v Speaker 2>So the wabble is bigger.

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<v Speaker 3>The wabble is much bigger. The Doppler shift in the

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<v Speaker 3>starlight is way more pronounced, and our telescopes can catch

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<v Speaker 3>that signal pretty easily.

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<v Speaker 2>Okay, that makes total sense. Big planet equals big wobble

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<v Speaker 2>equals easy to spot. But what about the other method,

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<v Speaker 2>the one that really blew the doors open.

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<v Speaker 3>You're talking about the transit method.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, the transmit because that's what the Kepler mission used.

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<v Speaker 3>Right exactly. Kepler changed everything. And the transit method is

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<v Speaker 3>conceptually super simple. It's just an eclipse.

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<v Speaker 2>So a planet just passes in front of the star.

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<v Speaker 3>Right, It passes directly between our telescope and the host star,

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<v Speaker 3>and it blocks a tiny, tiny fraction of the starlight.

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<v Speaker 2>Okay, but let's run the numbers on that, because I

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<v Speaker 2>feel like people underestimate how hard this is if we

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<v Speaker 2>take an Earth sun analog.

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<v Speaker 3>Okay, let's do it.

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<v Speaker 2>Let's say there's an alien astronomer hundreds of light years

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<v Speaker 2>away staring at our Sun and hoping to catch the

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<v Speaker 2>Earth transitting. Right, how much light does the Earth actually block?

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<v Speaker 3>About zero point zero percent.

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<v Speaker 2>One hundredth of one percent.

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<v Speaker 3>Exactly one hundredth of one percent of the Sun's total light.

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<v Speaker 3>And here's the kicker. That dip only happens once a year.

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<v Speaker 2>Because our orbit takes a year, right.

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<v Speaker 3>And the transit itself only lasts for a few hours.

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<v Speaker 2>That is insane. It's literally like trying to detect a

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<v Speaker 2>single moth flying in front of a stadium spotlight from

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<v Speaker 2>miles of miles away. Yes, and you're doing it purely

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<v Speaker 2>by measuring the drop in the spotlights overall glare.

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<v Speaker 3>Which is incredibly hard. And to make it worse, you

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<v Speaker 3>can't just spot it once to actually confirm an orbit.

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<v Speaker 3>You need to see multiple transits.

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<v Speaker 2>You're waiting years and years just to verify a.

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<v Speaker 3>Signal, years, and you're looking for a signal that is

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<v Speaker 3>barely distinguishable from background static.

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<v Speaker 2>The static. Let's talk about the static, because the stars

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<v Speaker 2>themselves are not making this easy for us.

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<v Speaker 3>Not at all. Stars are not uniform perfectly static light bulbs.

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<v Speaker 3>They are violently churning spheres of plasma. Right, They have

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<v Speaker 3>massive sunspots that rotate into view, and those sunspots are dark,

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<v Speaker 3>so they block light and actually mimic a planetary transit.

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<v Speaker 2>Oh so a sunspot can look like a fake planet exactly.

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<v Speaker 3>Plus they have solar flares and internal pulsations that cause

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<v Speaker 3>their brightness to wildly fluctuate all the time.

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<v Speaker 2>So you're trying to find a zero point zero one

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<v Speaker 2>percent dip caused by an Earth sized planet amidst all

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<v Speaker 2>this chaotic, boiling stellar noise.

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<v Speaker 3>It's an immense challenge. But conversely, if you're a looking

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<v Speaker 3>at a Jupiter sized planet around a sun like star,

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<v Speaker 3>it blocks about one whole percent of.

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<v Speaker 2>The light, which is huge by comparison.

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<v Speaker 3>Right, that is a massive, unmistakable signal compared to the

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<v Speaker 3>noise floor.

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<v Speaker 2>Okay, so knowing all of this, the need for a

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<v Speaker 2>specialized tool becomes super obvious. If the fishing net has

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<v Speaker 2>holes that are too big, you don't just keep casting

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<v Speaker 2>it over and over hoping for a miracle.

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<v Speaker 3>No, you build an entirely different net.

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<v Speaker 2>Which brings us to the entire driving philosophy behind the

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<v Speaker 2>POET mission. Yes, poet T it stands for Photometric Observations

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<v Speaker 2>of Exoplanet Transits. Like we said, it's a Canadian microsatellite

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<v Speaker 2>launching in twenty twenty nine and its sole purpose is

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<v Speaker 2>to find Earth size and super Earth exoplanets.

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<v Speaker 3>But the brilliant thing is they aren't trying to achieve

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<v Speaker 3>this by building some monstrously huge mirror.

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<v Speaker 2>Right, because building a bigger camera to stare at the

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<v Speaker 2>same stadium spotlight doesn't actually solve the fundamental contrast problem,

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<v Speaker 2>right exactly.

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<v Speaker 3>The genius of po is that it changes the spotlight itself.

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<v Speaker 2>Okay, explain that how do you change the spotlight?

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<v Speaker 3>Instead of looking at G type yellow dorks like our sun,

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<v Speaker 3>the mission is targeting what astronomers classify as ultracool dwarfs.

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<v Speaker 2>Ultracool dwarfs.

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<v Speaker 3>Okay, So, going back to your analogy, if you swap

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<v Speaker 3>out that massive stadium spotlight for a dim, little.

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<v Speaker 2>Desk lamp, oh I see where this is going.

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<v Speaker 3>Right, and that same moth flies in front of the

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<v Speaker 3>desk lamp, the percentage of light that gets blocked absolutely skyrockets.

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<v Speaker 2>Because the background light is so much smaller.

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<v Speaker 3>Exactly, the fractional dip in brightness goes from that imperceptible

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<v Speaker 3>zero point zero one percent to a highly measurable one

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<v Speaker 3>percent or even more.

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<v Speaker 2>That is such a clever hack. So let's really dig

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<v Speaker 2>into what makes a star an ultra cool dwarf, because

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<v Speaker 2>targeting the runts of the stellar litter is just a

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<v Speaker 2>fascinating approach.

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<v Speaker 3>To me, it's the best strategy we have right now.

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<v Speaker 2>So when we look at the stellar classification system, it's

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<v Speaker 2>essentially a temperature scale, right, that also correlates with mass

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<v Speaker 2>and size.

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<v Speaker 3>That's right, Our sun is a G type star. K

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<v Speaker 3>type stars are a little bit smaller, they're cooler, and

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<v Speaker 3>they glow with a slightly orange hue.

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<v Speaker 2>Okay, and M type M.

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<v Speaker 3>Type stars are the red dwarfs. They're even smaller and

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<v Speaker 3>cooler still. But then you get to the bottom of

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<v Speaker 3>the barrel, the brown dwarfs.

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<v Speaker 2>And these are the ones Pew is specifically hunting. The

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<v Speaker 2>literature always refers to brown dwarfs as failed stars. Yes,

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<v Speaker 2>what does that actually mean? What are the physical mechanism

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<v Speaker 2>of a star failing?

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<v Speaker 3>To understand the failure, you really have to look at

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<v Speaker 3>how a star is born. In the first place, A

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<v Speaker 3>star begins as this massive collapsing cloud of hydrogen, gas

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<v Speaker 3>and dust.

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<v Speaker 2>Right, gravity is just pulling everything together.

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<v Speaker 3>Exactly as gravity pulls all that material inward, the pressure

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<v Speaker 3>and the temperature at the very core begin to styrocket,

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<v Speaker 3>and if the collapse in cloud has enough mass, the

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<v Speaker 3>core temperature reaches a critical threshold, which.

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<v Speaker 2>Is what like millions of degrees.

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<v Speaker 3>Around ten million degrees celsius. At that point, the kinetic

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<v Speaker 3>energy of the hydrogen atoms is so ridiculously high that

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<v Speaker 3>they actually overcome their nat electromagnetic repulsion.

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<v Speaker 2>They stop pushing each other away, right.

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<v Speaker 3>They slam together, and they fuse into helium. This is

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<v Speaker 3>nuclear fusion, and it releases a staggering amount of energy.

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<v Speaker 2>Like billions of nuclear bombs going off.

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<v Speaker 3>Constantly, pretty much, and the outward pressure from that continuous

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<v Speaker 3>nuclear explosion perfectly balances the inward crush of gravity. When

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<v Speaker 3>that balance is achieved, a true star ignites.

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<v Speaker 2>But a brown dwarf just doesn't have the gravitational muscle

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<v Speaker 2>to reach that ignition point precisely.

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<v Speaker 3>That is the issue. A brown dwarf gathers a substantial

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<v Speaker 3>amount of mass, far more than a gas giant like Jupiter,

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<v Speaker 3>but it falls agonizingly short of the mass required to

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<v Speaker 3>trigger sustain hydrogen fusion.

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<v Speaker 2>So it gets super hot, but it never quite catches fire.

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<v Speaker 3>Right. The core gets incredibly hot, and it might briefly

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<v Speaker 3>fuse some deterium, which is like a heavier isotope of hydrogen,

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<v Speaker 3>but it can't maintain the main event.

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<v Speaker 2>So if it doesn't have that outward nuclear explosion, why

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<v Speaker 2>doesn't gravity just crush it into a black hole or something.

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<v Speaker 3>What stops the c is actually this bizarre quantum mechanical

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<v Speaker 3>phenomenon called electron degeneracy pressure.

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<v Speaker 2>Electron degeneracy pressure that sounds intense.

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<v Speaker 3>It is basically, the electrons in the core physically refuse

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<v Speaker 3>to be squeezed any tighter. It's a fundamental rule of

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<v Speaker 3>quantum physics.

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<v Speaker 2>So it's just trapped in this weird middle ground.

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<v Speaker 3>Exactly. It's too massive to be a regular planet, but

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<v Speaker 3>it completely lacks the nuclear engine to be a true star.

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<v Speaker 3>It just sits there, glowing faintly from the residual heat

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<v Speaker 3>of its own gravitational collapse, like a dying ember. Yes,

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<v Speaker 3>just slowly cooling off over billions of years.

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<v Speaker 2>And because they lack that internal engine pushing outward. Brown

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<v Speaker 2>dwarfs and even the smallest M type red dwarfs are

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<v Speaker 2>physically tiny compared to our Sun.

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<v Speaker 3>Right, Oh, incredibly tiny. An ultra cool dwarf is roughly

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<v Speaker 3>ten percent of the Sun's diameter.

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<v Speaker 2>Ten percent, So in terms of actual physical volume, how

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<v Speaker 2>big is that?

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<v Speaker 3>They are barely larger than Jupiter?

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<v Speaker 2>Wow? Okay, So that brings the desk lamp analogy into

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<v Speaker 2>sharp mathematics. Because the surface area of a star is

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<v Speaker 2>proportional to the square of its radius, right right, So

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<v Speaker 2>if you shrink the star's diameter to ten percent of

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<v Speaker 2>the suns, its surface area actually shrinks to just one percent.

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<v Speaker 3>Of the signs exactly. You put an Earth sized planet

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<v Speaker 3>in front of that tiny surface area, and suddenly it's

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<v Speaker 3>casting a massive shadow relative to the star's total output.

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<v Speaker 2>You've completely rewritten the geometry of the transit. You've skewed

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<v Speaker 2>it to favor finding small, rocky worlds.

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<v Speaker 3>It's an elegant hack of astrophysical geometry. Honestly, you maximize

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<v Speaker 3>the planet to star size ratio by creating that drastically

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<v Speaker 3>higher contrast. You can use a relatively small, cost effective

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<v Speaker 3>instrument in space to detect signals.

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<v Speaker 2>It signals that normally you'd need what a massive, billion

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<v Speaker 2>dollar telescope.

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<v Speaker 3>To see exactly. It lets you do incredible science on

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<v Speaker 3>a budget.

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<v Speaker 2>Cost effective is definitely the operative phrase there, because the

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<v Speaker 2>PA team isn't starting from scratch on this hardware.

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<v Speaker 3>No, they have a huge head start, right.

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<v Speaker 2>They are building on the legacy of these previous Canadian microsatellites,

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<v Speaker 2>specifically one called MOST which launched back in two thousand

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<v Speaker 2>and three and Neosat, which launched in twenty thirteen.

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<v Speaker 3>Right, And when people hear the word satellite, they usually picture,

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<v Speaker 3>you know, a school bus covered in gold foil.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, something massive floating around.

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<v Speaker 3>But microsatellites are a different breed entirely. They're essentially the

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<v Speaker 3>size of a suitcase or maybe a small washing machine.

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<v Speaker 2>A washing machine in space.

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<v Speaker 3>Basically, but the science they yield is entirely disproportionate to

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<v Speaker 3>their physical footprint. Take MOST for example, it stood for

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<v Speaker 3>Microvariability and Oscillations of Stars.

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<v Speaker 2>Which sounds very complicated. What was it actually trying to do?

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<v Speaker 3>Initially it was designed for astro seismology. Okay, so studying

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<v Speaker 3>starquakes exactly, studying the acoustic waves bouncing around inside stars

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<v Speaker 3>to determine their age and what they're made of. But

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<v Speaker 3>it proved to be so incredibly precise that the team

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<v Speaker 3>actually pivoted it to exoplanet research and.

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<v Speaker 2>It ended up making a huge discovery.

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<v Speaker 3>Oh, one of the most foundational discoveries in early exoplanet

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<v Speaker 3>atmospheric science. O.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I want to get into this because this discovery

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<v Speaker 2>involved a hot Jupiter exoplanet orbiting a star called HD

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<v Speaker 2>twenty zero nine four five eight kitchen name super catchy.

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<v Speaker 2>So most observe this system and discover that this massive,

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<v Speaker 2>blistering planet had a remarkably low albedo.

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<v Speaker 3>Right.

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<v Speaker 2>And albedo is just the measure of reflectivity, So like

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<v Speaker 2>Earth has an albedo of about zero point three, meaning

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<v Speaker 2>it reflects thirty percent of the sunlight that hits it.

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<v Speaker 3>Mostly because of our clouds and ice caps.

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<v Speaker 2>Right. But what most found was that this hot Jupiter

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<v Speaker 2>was absorbing almost everything.

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<v Speaker 3>It was darker than fresh asphalt. It had an albedo

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<v Speaker 3>nearing absolute zero.

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<v Speaker 2>This is so weird to think about a giant, pitch.

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<v Speaker 3>Black planet, right because prior to that observation, there was

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<v Speaker 3>this working assumption that hot jupiters might have highly reflective

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<v Speaker 3>bright cloud decks, you know, maybe made of silicates or

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<v Speaker 3>these exotic chemical compounds.

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<v Speaker 2>Like Venus, but way bigger and hot.

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<v Speaker 3>Exactly, Venus is super bright. But most proved that the

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<v Speaker 3>atmosphere of this specific hot Jupiter was absorbing the star's

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<v Speaker 3>energy directly.

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<v Speaker 2>So what does a pitch black atmosphere actually look like? Chemically?

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<v Speaker 3>It suggested a clear, totally cloudless upper atmosphere where alkali

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<v Speaker 3>metals things like sodium and potassium were just absorbing all

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<v Speaker 3>the visible light. Or perhaps it had incredibly dark light

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<v Speaker 3>absorbing particulate hazes.

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<v Speaker 2>So it's basically covered in cosmic.

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<v Speaker 3>Smog pretty much. And that single finding forced atmospheric modelers

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<v Speaker 3>to completely rethink how energy is deposited and circulated in

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<v Speaker 3>these extreme.

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<v Speaker 2>Environments, all from a suitcase sized satellite exactly. Then you

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<v Speaker 2>had neosat follow up a decade later, tracking near Earth

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<v Speaker 2>asteroids in space Debray, and both of these missions achieved

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<v Speaker 2>world class science using telescopes that were only fifteen centimeters

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<v Speaker 2>in diameter.

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<v Speaker 3>Which is tiny.

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<v Speaker 2>It's literally a six inch mirror. You can buy larger

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<v Speaker 2>telescopes at a hobby shop.

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<v Speaker 3>You really can.

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<v Speaker 2>So now Pubitty is bumping that up to a twenty

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<v Speaker 2>centimeter telescope, which is, you know, slightly bigger. But the

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<v Speaker 2>real leap isn't just the size of the mirror.

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<v Speaker 3>Is it, No, not at all. The real upgrade is

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<v Speaker 3>the wavelengths of light it's engineer to actually see.

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<v Speaker 2>Right, because most in neosat worked invisible.

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<v Speaker 3>Light like our eyes do.

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<v Speaker 2>But POET is expanding into the near ultraviolet, visible, near infrared,

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<v Speaker 2>and short wavelength infrared.

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<v Speaker 3>And that shift into the infrared is absolutely non negotiable

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<v Speaker 3>given the targets they're going after.

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<v Speaker 2>Because they're looking at those ultra cool dwarfs.

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<v Speaker 3>Right, If you look at an ultracool dwarf invisible light,

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<v Speaker 3>you're essentially looking at a blank wall. They emit incredibly

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<v Speaker 3>little visible radiation.

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<v Speaker 2>Why is that? Why are they so dim visually?

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<v Speaker 3>It comes down to Ween's displacement law. It's a fundamental

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<v Speaker 3>principle of thermal radiation. Basically, it states that the wavelength

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<v Speaker 3>at which an object emits the most light is inversely

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<v Speaker 3>proportional to its temperature.

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<v Speaker 2>Okay, let's break that down.

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<v Speaker 3>Sure, so our sun burns at roughly fifty five hundred

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<v Speaker 3>degrees celsius, right, because of that specific temperature. Its peak

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<v Speaker 3>emission is right in the middle of the visible spectrum

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00:17:04.200 --> 00:17:05.680
<v Speaker 3>yellow green light, which.

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<v Speaker 2>Is why our eyes of all to see that specific

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00:17:07.319 --> 00:17:08.079
<v Speaker 2>light exactly.

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00:17:08.400 --> 00:17:12.039
<v Speaker 3>But brown dwarfs and red dwarfs are vastly cooler. Their

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<v Speaker 3>surface temperatures might only be two thousand or maybe three

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<v Speaker 3>thousand degrees, so.

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<v Speaker 2>They aren't burning nearly as hot.

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<v Speaker 3>Because they are cooler, the peak of their emission spectrum

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<v Speaker 3>shifts heavily to the right. It moves entirely out of

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<v Speaker 3>the visible spectrum and deep into the infrared.

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<v Speaker 2>Oh I see.

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<v Speaker 3>So if you want to study these stars, and more importantly,

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<v Speaker 3>if you want to capture enough photons from them to

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<v Speaker 3>measure a one percent dip when a planet transits, you

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<v Speaker 3>have to tune your instrument to the frequency they are

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<v Speaker 3>actually broadcasting on.

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<v Speaker 2>You have to speak your language right.

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<v Speaker 3>You need sensors capable of detecting heat radiation.

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<v Speaker 2>Basically, but doing that requires a highly specialized detector. You

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<v Speaker 2>can't just put a standard CCD chip from a digital

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<v Speaker 2>point and shoot camera into space and hope to see infrared.

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<v Speaker 3>No the thermal noise which is blind the sensor.

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<v Speaker 2>And this brings up a really crucial question for me.

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<v Speaker 2>A twenty cent meter telescope is still incredibly small, very small.

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<v Speaker 2>We have ten meter telescope sitting on mountains right here

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<v Speaker 2>on Earth, massive observatories. Why bother sending an eight inch

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<v Speaker 2>mirror into orbit when we could just use a giant

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00:18:17.200 --> 00:18:20.720
<v Speaker 2>ground based observatory to look for these infrared transits?

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00:18:21.000 --> 00:18:25.720
<v Speaker 3>Because the Earth's atmosphere is an absolute nightmare for infrared astronomy.

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00:18:25.799 --> 00:18:26.519
<v Speaker 2>A nightmare.

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00:18:26.599 --> 00:18:30.240
<v Speaker 3>How well, First you have the turbulence of the atmosphere itself,

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00:18:30.680 --> 00:18:33.599
<v Speaker 3>which causes the light from the star to waver.

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00:18:33.519 --> 00:18:35.559
<v Speaker 2>And twinkle right the twinkling stars.

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<v Speaker 3>That twinkling introduces an unacceptable level of noise into the

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<v Speaker 3>photometric data. It ruins the precision. But the really insurmountable

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00:18:44.480 --> 00:18:45.680
<v Speaker 3>barrier is.

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00:18:46.079 --> 00:18:48.720
<v Speaker 2>Water vapor, water vapor like clouds.

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00:18:48.519 --> 00:18:51.519
<v Speaker 3>Even just the invisible moisture in the air. The water

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00:18:51.640 --> 00:18:54.720
<v Speaker 3>molecules in Earth's atmosphere act like a solid brick wall

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00:18:54.799 --> 00:18:58.079
<v Speaker 3>for many bands of infrared light. They physically absorb the

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00:18:58.119 --> 00:19:01.200
<v Speaker 3>incoming infrared radiation for it ever reaches the ground.

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00:19:01.599 --> 00:19:04.839
<v Speaker 2>Wow, So our atmosphere is effectively opaque to the very

401
00:19:04.920 --> 00:19:06.799
<v Speaker 2>light po it needs to see.

402
00:19:06.480 --> 00:19:08.880
<v Speaker 3>Exactly the problem. You could build a one hundred meter

403
00:19:08.920 --> 00:19:11.400
<v Speaker 3>telescope on the ground, and it still wouldn't matter for

404
00:19:11.480 --> 00:19:15.119
<v Speaker 3>certain infrared wavelengths because the signal simply doesn't reach the mirror.

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00:19:15.160 --> 00:19:16.559
<v Speaker 2>It's getting soaked up by the sky.

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00:19:16.839 --> 00:19:20.680
<v Speaker 3>Right, So, by placing a small, highly stabilized twenty centimeter

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00:19:20.759 --> 00:19:24.119
<v Speaker 3>telescope in the vacuum of space, far above all that water,

408
00:19:24.200 --> 00:19:25.799
<v Speaker 3>vapor and atmospheric.

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00:19:25.279 --> 00:19:26.880
<v Speaker 2>Turbulence, it's just perfectly clear.

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00:19:27.079 --> 00:19:32.720
<v Speaker 3>Poet operates in pristine silence. It can gather uncorrupted photons

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00:19:32.759 --> 00:19:36.400
<v Speaker 3>with a precision that ground based observatories can literally only

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00:19:36.480 --> 00:19:36.839
<v Speaker 3>dream of.

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00:19:37.079 --> 00:19:39.440
<v Speaker 2>Okay, so that makes perfect sense. We have our perfect,

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00:19:39.880 --> 00:19:43.279
<v Speaker 2>highly tuned infrared camera in orbit. The next big hurdle

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00:19:43.319 --> 00:19:45.079
<v Speaker 2>is figuring out where exactly to point it.

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00:19:45.240 --> 00:19:48.839
<v Speaker 3>Yes, target selection is everything, because you can't just sweep

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00:19:48.880 --> 00:19:51.759
<v Speaker 3>the sky blindly with a tiny satellite and hope a

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00:19:51.799 --> 00:19:53.640
<v Speaker 3>transit happens to occur while you're looking.

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00:19:54.279 --> 00:19:55.519
<v Speaker 2>Space is too big.

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00:19:55.440 --> 00:19:58.079
<v Speaker 3>Way too big, and telescope time is expensive.

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00:19:58.240 --> 00:20:01.200
<v Speaker 2>You need a highly curated list, which brings us to

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00:20:01.200 --> 00:20:02.400
<v Speaker 2>the Peel input catalog.

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00:20:02.599 --> 00:20:05.880
<v Speaker 3>The creation of this catalog is an exercise in ruthless

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00:20:06.200 --> 00:20:11.160
<v Speaker 3>ruthless optimization. Howso, the initial sweep identified over seven thousand

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00:20:11.240 --> 00:20:13.759
<v Speaker 3>two hundred candidate ultra cool dwarfs.

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00:20:13.839 --> 00:20:15.400
<v Speaker 2>Okay, that's a lot of potential targets.

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00:20:15.400 --> 00:20:18.079
<v Speaker 3>It is, but like you said, telescope, time and space

428
00:20:18.160 --> 00:20:22.720
<v Speaker 3>is a precious, finite resource. Poet's primary mission timeline.

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00:20:22.359 --> 00:20:25.359
<v Speaker 2>Is just a year, oh, just one year, one year, So.

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00:20:25.480 --> 00:20:27.920
<v Speaker 3>Pointing the satellite at a star that has a low

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00:20:28.000 --> 00:20:31.279
<v Speaker 3>probability of yielding a clean transit is a total waste

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00:20:31.279 --> 00:20:35.279
<v Speaker 3>of multimillion dollar hardware. They had to aggressively filter that

433
00:20:35.400 --> 00:20:38.400
<v Speaker 3>list down to just over three thousand candidate.

434
00:20:38.440 --> 00:20:40.759
<v Speaker 2>Okay, so how do they narrow it down? The first

435
00:20:40.799 --> 00:20:42.680
<v Speaker 2>major filter was proximity, right.

436
00:20:42.599 --> 00:20:44.000
<v Speaker 3>Right, proximity is huge.

437
00:20:44.160 --> 00:20:48.640
<v Speaker 2>They restricted the final catalog to candidates located within one

438
00:20:48.720 --> 00:20:53.160
<v Speaker 2>hundred parsecs from Earth, and just to bypass the astronomical

439
00:20:53.240 --> 00:20:57.200
<v Speaker 2>jargon here, a parsec is about three point two six

440
00:20:57.359 --> 00:20:59.799
<v Speaker 2>late years right, So one hundred par six is roughly

441
00:21:00.000 --> 00:21:02.480
<v Speaker 2>three hundred and twenty six light years in galactic terms.

442
00:21:02.480 --> 00:21:03.920
<v Speaker 2>This is basically our front porch.

443
00:21:04.039 --> 00:21:06.799
<v Speaker 3>Oh entirely, the Milky Way is one hundred thousand light

444
00:21:06.880 --> 00:21:10.599
<v Speaker 3>years across. We are exclusively looking at our immediate neighbors, So.

445
00:21:10.559 --> 00:21:11.680
<v Speaker 2>Why restrict it so much?

446
00:21:11.720 --> 00:21:14.559
<v Speaker 3>Why not look further it's dictated by the inverse square

447
00:21:14.640 --> 00:21:17.920
<v Speaker 3>law of light. Even though POET is optimized for infrared,

448
00:21:18.200 --> 00:21:21.359
<v Speaker 3>ultra cool dwarfs are inherently dim. They just don't put

449
00:21:21.400 --> 00:21:23.759
<v Speaker 3>out a lot of energy, right. They're embers, and the

450
00:21:23.799 --> 00:21:28.039
<v Speaker 3>intensity of light drops off exponentially as distance increases. If

451
00:21:28.079 --> 00:21:30.759
<v Speaker 3>you select a target that's a thousand light years away,

452
00:21:31.559 --> 00:21:34.759
<v Speaker 3>the satellite simply won't collect enough photons to achieve the

453
00:21:34.759 --> 00:21:37.440
<v Speaker 3>signal to noise ratio required to detect a transit.

454
00:21:37.559 --> 00:21:39.279
<v Speaker 2>It would just be too faint to measure a one

455
00:21:39.319 --> 00:21:40.599
<v Speaker 2>percent drop exactly.

456
00:21:41.279 --> 00:21:44.279
<v Speaker 3>By staying within one hundred parsex, the team guarantees a

457
00:21:44.359 --> 00:21:48.240
<v Speaker 3>high enough photon flex to make the measurements statistically viable.

458
00:21:48.599 --> 00:21:51.799
<v Speaker 2>Okay, so the distance filter makes perfect logical sense. But

459
00:21:51.880 --> 00:21:55.559
<v Speaker 2>there's another parameter that you use that feels completely counterintuitive

460
00:21:55.559 --> 00:21:55.759
<v Speaker 2>to me.

461
00:21:56.039 --> 00:21:56.960
<v Speaker 3>The bright stars.

462
00:21:57.400 --> 00:22:01.920
<v Speaker 2>Yes, the catalog specifically ext excluded binary star systems, which

463
00:22:01.960 --> 00:22:03.799
<v Speaker 2>I totally understand, right.

464
00:22:03.759 --> 00:22:07.319
<v Speaker 3>Two stars orbiting a common center of mass. Their overlapping

465
00:22:07.440 --> 00:22:10.400
<v Speaker 3>light curves would make teasing out a planetary transit a

466
00:22:10.440 --> 00:22:11.559
<v Speaker 3>mathematical nightmare.

467
00:22:11.680 --> 00:22:15.039
<v Speaker 2>It would be a mess. But they also explicitly excluded

468
00:22:15.079 --> 00:22:18.319
<v Speaker 2>extra bright stars, which if you are struggling to collect

469
00:22:18.359 --> 00:22:21.799
<v Speaker 2>photons with a tiny twenty centimeter telescope. Why on earth

470
00:22:21.799 --> 00:22:24.759
<v Speaker 2>would you deliberately exclude the brightest targets in your category.

471
00:22:25.000 --> 00:22:28.039
<v Speaker 3>It really does seem backwards until you dive into how

472
00:22:28.039 --> 00:22:30.400
<v Speaker 3>the detector actually works at a physical level.

473
00:22:30.680 --> 00:22:32.119
<v Speaker 2>Okay, explain the detector to me.

474
00:22:32.640 --> 00:22:36.559
<v Speaker 3>The sensors on a satellite are essentially grids of microscopic

475
00:22:36.599 --> 00:22:40.119
<v Speaker 3>buckets called pixels, and they collect photons. Every time a

476
00:22:40.160 --> 00:22:42.759
<v Speaker 3>photon hits a pixel, it generates an electron.

477
00:22:42.920 --> 00:22:44.960
<v Speaker 2>Right basic digital photography exactly.

478
00:22:45.359 --> 00:22:47.680
<v Speaker 3>But if you point the telescope at a star that

479
00:22:47.799 --> 00:22:52.079
<v Speaker 3>is too bright, those microscopic buckets fill up with electrons

480
00:22:52.119 --> 00:22:53.079
<v Speaker 3>far too quickly.

481
00:22:53.160 --> 00:22:56.279
<v Speaker 2>They saturate. The bucket literally overflows, Yes.

482
00:22:56.519 --> 00:23:00.880
<v Speaker 3>The technical term is blooming. The electrons physically spill over

483
00:23:01.000 --> 00:23:03.880
<v Speaker 3>into adjacent pixels, completely corrupting the image.

484
00:23:03.920 --> 00:23:06.400
<v Speaker 2>Oh so it ruins the data for the surrounding area too.

485
00:23:06.400 --> 00:23:09.240
<v Speaker 3>Completely ruins it. But even before you reach full saturation,

486
00:23:09.720 --> 00:23:11.640
<v Speaker 3>there's another problem called poisson.

487
00:23:11.359 --> 00:23:13.200
<v Speaker 2>Noise woss on noise. What is that?

488
00:23:13.759 --> 00:23:15.680
<v Speaker 3>It has to do with the fact that the arrival

489
00:23:15.680 --> 00:23:18.960
<v Speaker 3>of photons from a star isn't perfectly steady. It's not

490
00:23:19.039 --> 00:23:23.119
<v Speaker 3>a continuous, smooth stream. It follows a statistical distribution.

491
00:23:23.279 --> 00:23:24.480
<v Speaker 2>Okay, so it fluctuates.

492
00:23:24.680 --> 00:23:27.920
<v Speaker 3>Right, There's a natural, completely unavoidable variance in the number

493
00:23:27.960 --> 00:23:31.640
<v Speaker 3>of photons hitting the detector from millisecond to millisecond For

494
00:23:31.720 --> 00:23:34.960
<v Speaker 3>an extra bright star. The sheer volume of photons means

495
00:23:35.000 --> 00:23:38.359
<v Speaker 3>that the absolute value of this statistical noise is huge.

496
00:23:38.799 --> 00:23:41.720
<v Speaker 2>H So the noise floor naturally rises with the brightness.

497
00:23:41.880 --> 00:23:45.720
<v Speaker 3>Yes, exactly, the tiny little dip caused by the planetary

498
00:23:45.720 --> 00:23:50.079
<v Speaker 3>transit just gets swallowed whole by the massive, unavoidable statistical

499
00:23:50.119 --> 00:23:52.759
<v Speaker 3>noise of that overwhelmingly bright star.

500
00:23:53.000 --> 00:23:55.480
<v Speaker 2>Wow. It's like trying to hear a pin drop inside

501
00:23:55.480 --> 00:23:56.480
<v Speaker 2>a heavy metal concert.

502
00:23:56.559 --> 00:23:59.279
<v Speaker 3>Perfect analogy. It doesn't matter how good your microphone is.

503
00:23:59.319 --> 00:24:01.400
<v Speaker 3>The background volume makes it impossible.

504
00:24:01.559 --> 00:24:03.640
<v Speaker 2>So you need stars that aren't too dim but aren't

505
00:24:03.640 --> 00:24:04.359
<v Speaker 2>too bright either.

506
00:24:04.640 --> 00:24:07.839
<v Speaker 3>Right. By focusing on a Goldilock's level of brightness, stars

507
00:24:07.880 --> 00:24:10.279
<v Speaker 3>that provide enough photons to measure, but not so many

508
00:24:10.319 --> 00:24:13.519
<v Speaker 3>that the detector saturates or the statistical noise spikes po

509
00:24:13.640 --> 00:24:15.680
<v Speaker 3>it maximizes its sensitivity.

510
00:24:15.799 --> 00:24:18.440
<v Speaker 2>That is brilliant. Okay, So they run the numbers on

511
00:24:18.440 --> 00:24:22.680
<v Speaker 2>this highly refined Goldilocks catalog and the computer models predict

512
00:24:22.720 --> 00:24:27.799
<v Speaker 2>that pot can reliably detect Earth sized exoplanets, specifically worlds

513
00:24:27.839 --> 00:24:30.200
<v Speaker 2>between one and two point five Earth radii.

514
00:24:30.119 --> 00:24:32.799
<v Speaker 3>So true Earth sized worlds and super Earth.

515
00:24:33.119 --> 00:24:36.759
<v Speaker 2>But the models also highlight the orbital periods. There are

516
00:24:36.799 --> 00:24:40.519
<v Speaker 2>specifically targeting planets with orbital periods ranging from seven to

517
00:24:40.599 --> 00:24:41.680
<v Speaker 2>fifty days, and.

518
00:24:41.599 --> 00:24:44.200
<v Speaker 3>We really need to unpack the physical reality of a

519
00:24:44.279 --> 00:24:46.240
<v Speaker 3>seven day orbital.

520
00:24:45.880 --> 00:24:48.759
<v Speaker 2>Period because it sounds crazy. The orbital period is the

521
00:24:48.839 --> 00:24:52.200
<v Speaker 2>length of a planet's year. Earth takes three hundred and

522
00:24:52.279 --> 00:24:54.720
<v Speaker 2>sixty five days to complete a circuit around our Sun.

523
00:24:55.440 --> 00:24:57.559
<v Speaker 2>If a planet is whipping around its host star in

524
00:24:57.640 --> 00:25:01.559
<v Speaker 2>just seven days, its orbital radius has to be incredibly small.

525
00:25:01.960 --> 00:25:04.319
<v Speaker 2>It is practically skimming the surface of the star.

526
00:25:04.400 --> 00:25:05.359
<v Speaker 3>It's hugging it tight.

527
00:25:05.480 --> 00:25:07.640
<v Speaker 2>Right. If you put Earth on a seven day orbit

528
00:25:07.720 --> 00:25:10.440
<v Speaker 2>around our Sun, it wouldn't even be a planet anymore.

529
00:25:10.480 --> 00:25:13.119
<v Speaker 2>It'd be a molten droplet of magma. The heat would

530
00:25:13.119 --> 00:25:15.160
<v Speaker 2>strip the atmosphere away in a matter of hours.

531
00:25:15.200 --> 00:25:17.319
<v Speaker 3>It would be totally annihilated, exactly.

532
00:25:17.720 --> 00:25:20.039
<v Speaker 2>So this seems to contradict the entire goal of the mission.

533
00:25:20.759 --> 00:25:23.960
<v Speaker 2>We are looking for another Earth, presumably a place that

534
00:25:24.039 --> 00:25:29.680
<v Speaker 2>could harbor life. Why prioritize planets parked in an absolute inferno.

535
00:25:29.400 --> 00:25:32.359
<v Speaker 3>Because around an ultra cool dwarf, a seven day orbit

536
00:25:32.480 --> 00:25:33.839
<v Speaker 3>is not an inferno.

537
00:25:33.559 --> 00:25:35.440
<v Speaker 2>Because the star is so cold.

538
00:25:35.680 --> 00:25:38.279
<v Speaker 3>Exactly. It brings us directly into the concept of the

539
00:25:38.319 --> 00:25:42.799
<v Speaker 3>habitable zone. The habitable zone, often called the Goldilocks zone,

540
00:25:43.359 --> 00:25:46.680
<v Speaker 3>is the specific orbital band around a star where the

541
00:25:46.720 --> 00:25:50.559
<v Speaker 3>surface temperature of a rocky planet is theoretically stable enough

542
00:25:50.599 --> 00:25:51.799
<v Speaker 3>to maintain liquid water.

543
00:25:52.119 --> 00:25:56.319
<v Speaker 2>And liquid water is the absolute indispensable solvent for all

544
00:25:56.359 --> 00:25:57.240
<v Speaker 2>known biology.

545
00:25:57.319 --> 00:25:59.960
<v Speaker 3>We haven't found a single living thing that doesn't need it.

546
00:26:00.160 --> 00:26:03.440
<v Speaker 2>So the boundaries of that Goldilock zone are entirely dependent

547
00:26:03.519 --> 00:26:05.720
<v Speaker 2>on the energy output of the host star.

548
00:26:06.000 --> 00:26:07.839
<v Speaker 3>The campfire analogy works best here.

549
00:26:07.880 --> 00:26:09.640
<v Speaker 2>I think, oh, I like that. Let's hear it.

550
00:26:09.839 --> 00:26:12.880
<v Speaker 3>Our sun is a raging bonfire. If you want to

551
00:26:12.920 --> 00:26:15.799
<v Speaker 3>not get burned, you have to stand quite a distance away.

552
00:26:15.960 --> 00:26:18.160
<v Speaker 3>Earth sits comfortably in that outer band where it's just

553
00:26:18.240 --> 00:26:21.240
<v Speaker 3>nice and warm, makes sense, But an ultracol dwarf is

554
00:26:21.319 --> 00:26:24.319
<v Speaker 3>just a tiny smoldering ember. If you want to feel

555
00:26:24.319 --> 00:26:26.519
<v Speaker 3>the warmth, if you want your water to remain liquid

556
00:26:26.599 --> 00:26:29.480
<v Speaker 3>and not freeze solid, you have to huddle intimately close

557
00:26:29.519 --> 00:26:30.039
<v Speaker 3>to the fire.

558
00:26:30.839 --> 00:26:32.799
<v Speaker 2>So for a star that is ten percent the mass

559
00:26:32.839 --> 00:26:36.359
<v Speaker 2>of our Sun and thousands of degrees cooler, the habitable

560
00:26:36.440 --> 00:26:39.759
<v Speaker 2>zone just gets pulled in incredibly tight, very.

561
00:26:39.599 --> 00:26:42.720
<v Speaker 3>Tight, so tight that a planet residing right in the

562
00:26:42.720 --> 00:26:46.440
<v Speaker 3>middle of an ultra cool dwarf's habitable zone will complete

563
00:26:46.480 --> 00:26:48.519
<v Speaker 3>its entire orbit in a matter of days or a

564
00:26:48.519 --> 00:26:49.079
<v Speaker 3>few weeks.

565
00:26:49.319 --> 00:26:51.519
<v Speaker 2>Okay, So this seven to fifty day parameter isn't just

566
00:26:51.559 --> 00:26:54.440
<v Speaker 2>a convenient byproduct of the transit method.

567
00:26:54.599 --> 00:26:57.839
<v Speaker 3>No, it is actively filtering for planets sitting right in

568
00:26:57.880 --> 00:26:59.440
<v Speaker 3>the sweet spot for liquid water.

569
00:27:00.720 --> 00:27:03.200
<v Speaker 2>Orbiting that close to a star, even a dim one

570
00:27:03.559 --> 00:27:07.759
<v Speaker 2>introduces a massive physical complication. At a seven day orbit,

571
00:27:08.000 --> 00:27:11.519
<v Speaker 2>the gravitational interaction between the star and the planet has

572
00:27:11.519 --> 00:27:12.319
<v Speaker 2>to be immense.

573
00:27:12.440 --> 00:27:13.920
<v Speaker 3>You're bringing up the elephant in the room.

574
00:27:14.119 --> 00:27:18.400
<v Speaker 2>Tidal locking, Yes, tidal locking. Because the planet is so close,

575
00:27:18.720 --> 00:27:21.799
<v Speaker 2>the gravitational pull of the star exerts an extreme tidal

576
00:27:21.839 --> 00:27:23.640
<v Speaker 2>force on the planet's mass.

577
00:27:23.359 --> 00:27:26.559
<v Speaker 3>Right it's pulling on the rock itself, and over millions

578
00:27:26.559 --> 00:27:30.599
<v Speaker 3>of years, this tidal friction physically slows the planet's rotation down.

579
00:27:31.000 --> 00:27:33.960
<v Speaker 3>It slows down until its rotational period perfectly matches its

580
00:27:34.039 --> 00:27:34.720
<v Speaker 3>orbital period.

581
00:27:34.799 --> 00:27:37.480
<v Speaker 2>This, like our Moon. The Moon is tidally locked to Earth,

582
00:27:37.680 --> 00:27:39.920
<v Speaker 2>which is why we only ever see one side of it.

583
00:27:39.920 --> 00:27:43.880
<v Speaker 3>It's exactly the same mechanism. An Earth sized planet in

584
00:27:43.920 --> 00:27:47.319
<v Speaker 3>a seven day orbit around a brown dwarf will have

585
00:27:47.599 --> 00:27:52.559
<v Speaker 3>one hemisphere permanently facing the star, bathed in eternal daylight.

586
00:27:52.559 --> 00:27:55.839
<v Speaker 2>And the other hemisphere is permanently facing the deep frieze

587
00:27:55.839 --> 00:27:58.279
<v Speaker 2>of space, locked in eternal night.

588
00:27:58.559 --> 00:27:58.799
<v Speaker 3>Right.

589
00:27:58.880 --> 00:28:01.599
<v Speaker 2>I mean that sounds like a catastrophic environment for life.

590
00:28:01.960 --> 00:28:04.160
<v Speaker 2>One side is a boiling desert and the other side

591
00:28:04.240 --> 00:28:07.640
<v Speaker 2>is a frozen wasteland of solid carbon dioxide. How does

592
00:28:07.640 --> 00:28:09.799
<v Speaker 2>a planet like that support liquid water.

593
00:28:10.319 --> 00:28:12.119
<v Speaker 3>It's a great question, and it really comes down to

594
00:28:12.200 --> 00:28:15.880
<v Speaker 3>atmospheric dynamics. Early models actually assume what you just said,

595
00:28:16.000 --> 00:28:18.960
<v Speaker 3>that tidally locked planets would boil off their atmospheres on

596
00:28:19.000 --> 00:28:20.680
<v Speaker 3>the day side, which would then just freeze out and

597
00:28:20.720 --> 00:28:22.160
<v Speaker 3>collapse onto the night side.

598
00:28:21.960 --> 00:28:23.920
<v Speaker 2>Leaving a completely barren rock exactly.

599
00:28:24.200 --> 00:28:27.200
<v Speaker 3>But advanced climate modeling over the last few years suggests

600
00:28:27.200 --> 00:28:30.480
<v Speaker 3>a much more robust mechanism. Really, how so, if the

601
00:28:30.519 --> 00:28:34.759
<v Speaker 3>planet has a sufficiently thick atmosphere, that extreme temperature difference

602
00:28:35.000 --> 00:28:37.720
<v Speaker 3>actually drives massive planet wide winds.

603
00:28:37.440 --> 00:28:40.960
<v Speaker 2>Oh a global circulation system redistributing the heat.

604
00:28:41.240 --> 00:28:45.519
<v Speaker 3>Yes, the incredibly hot air on the day side expands

605
00:28:45.559 --> 00:28:49.400
<v Speaker 3>and rises rapidly, and then it rushes across the terminator line,

606
00:28:49.680 --> 00:28:52.400
<v Speaker 3>which is the permanent twilight zone dividing day and.

607
00:28:52.400 --> 00:28:55.000
<v Speaker 2>Night, and it carries that heat to the dark hemisphere.

608
00:28:55.119 --> 00:28:59.279
<v Speaker 3>Right, this constant, violent convection could stabilize the entire climate.

609
00:28:59.599 --> 00:29:01.799
<v Speaker 3>It would prevent the oceans on the day side from

610
00:29:01.799 --> 00:29:04.319
<v Speaker 3>boiling away and keep the atmosphere on the night side

611
00:29:04.319 --> 00:29:05.400
<v Speaker 3>from freezing solid.

612
00:29:05.599 --> 00:29:09.000
<v Speaker 2>That is so wild, So life might actually thrive right

613
00:29:09.039 --> 00:29:11.200
<v Speaker 2>in the middle in that terminator.

614
00:29:10.839 --> 00:29:15.079
<v Speaker 3>Zone, exactly perpetually bathed in the dim red light of

615
00:29:15.119 --> 00:29:18.720
<v Speaker 3>a sun that literally never sets, anchored by these relentless

616
00:29:18.720 --> 00:29:19.559
<v Speaker 3>global winds.

617
00:29:19.880 --> 00:29:25.599
<v Speaker 2>The environment would be profoundly alien, but physically mathematically capable

618
00:29:25.680 --> 00:29:26.880
<v Speaker 2>of supporting biology.

619
00:29:26.960 --> 00:29:28.039
<v Speaker 3>That's the current consensus.

620
00:29:28.119 --> 00:29:30.480
<v Speaker 2>Yet, and this really underscores the ultimate role of the

621
00:29:30.519 --> 00:29:33.519
<v Speaker 2>Poet mission, because Poet is not going to definitively find

622
00:29:33.559 --> 00:29:35.079
<v Speaker 2>alien life on its own, right.

623
00:29:35.039 --> 00:29:38.480
<v Speaker 3>Oh No, A twenty centimeter microsatellite doesn't have the resolving

624
00:29:38.559 --> 00:29:43.319
<v Speaker 3>power to image alien forests or detect biological gases.

625
00:29:43.000 --> 00:29:46.160
<v Speaker 2>Right Poet illit is essentially the ultimate cosmic Scout a

626
00:29:46.240 --> 00:29:50.119
<v Speaker 2>scout Yes. Its mission is to survey the neighborhood, identify

627
00:29:50.200 --> 00:29:53.720
<v Speaker 2>the handful of rocky planets residing in the habitable zones

628
00:29:53.759 --> 00:29:57.400
<v Speaker 2>of these dim stars, and hand off their precise coordinates.

629
00:29:57.480 --> 00:30:01.240
<v Speaker 3>It acts as the vanguard for a monumental cosmic relay race.

630
00:30:01.680 --> 00:30:05.400
<v Speaker 3>Pewat runs the grueling first leg. It stares at those

631
00:30:05.440 --> 00:30:10.200
<v Speaker 3>three thousand stars, watches all the static, and finally flags

632
00:30:10.200 --> 00:30:13.559
<v Speaker 3>a confirmed target and then what. Once Pewitt determines the

633
00:30:13.599 --> 00:30:16.799
<v Speaker 3>planet's exact size and the precise timing of its transit,

634
00:30:17.119 --> 00:30:21.359
<v Speaker 3>it passes the baton to the heavy hitters of modern astronomy.

635
00:30:20.920 --> 00:30:23.359
<v Speaker 2>Of billion dollar observatories.

636
00:30:22.640 --> 00:30:26.240
<v Speaker 3>Exactly observatories like the James Webb Space Telescope or the

637
00:30:26.319 --> 00:30:28.440
<v Speaker 3>upcoming Habitable World's Observatory.

638
00:30:28.559 --> 00:30:30.960
<v Speaker 2>Because you can't just point a ten billion dollar machine

639
00:30:31.000 --> 00:30:33.200
<v Speaker 2>like WEB at a random star and hope you get lucky.

640
00:30:33.359 --> 00:30:38.200
<v Speaker 3>Never, telescope time is fiercely, fiercely competed for by scientists globally.

641
00:30:38.599 --> 00:30:41.119
<v Speaker 3>It requires guaranteed high priority targets.

642
00:30:41.160 --> 00:30:43.759
<v Speaker 2>WEB needs know exactly when and where to look.

643
00:30:43.559 --> 00:30:45.680
<v Speaker 3>Down to the minute and when WEB looks at a

644
00:30:45.680 --> 00:30:49.240
<v Speaker 3>pwet discovered planet during a transit it executes an incredible

645
00:30:49.240 --> 00:30:51.440
<v Speaker 3>technique called transmission spectroscopy.

646
00:30:51.839 --> 00:30:55.599
<v Speaker 2>Okay, let's break down the mechanics of transmissions tectroscopy, because

647
00:30:55.599 --> 00:30:58.359
<v Speaker 2>this is basically how we sniff an alien atmosphere without

648
00:30:58.359 --> 00:30:59.200
<v Speaker 2>ever leaving Earth.

649
00:30:59.279 --> 00:31:01.839
<v Speaker 3>Right, That's exact eactly what it is. When the rocky

650
00:31:01.880 --> 00:31:04.119
<v Speaker 3>body of the planet passes in front of the star,

651
00:31:04.519 --> 00:31:07.519
<v Speaker 3>it blocks light like we discussed, But a rocky planet

652
00:31:07.599 --> 00:31:10.799
<v Speaker 3>isn't just a solid sphere. It has a thin halo

653
00:31:10.880 --> 00:31:15.200
<v Speaker 3>of gas surrounding it its atmosphere. As the starlight streams

654
00:31:15.319 --> 00:31:19.759
<v Speaker 3>toward Earth, a microscopic fraction of it actually grazes the

655
00:31:19.880 --> 00:31:23.480
<v Speaker 3>very edge of the planet and passes directly through that atmosphere.

656
00:31:23.640 --> 00:31:26.319
<v Speaker 2>So the starlight is essentially being filtered through the alien.

657
00:31:26.039 --> 00:31:31.359
<v Speaker 3>Air beautifully said. Yes, and different chemical molecules absorb different

658
00:31:31.799 --> 00:31:36.039
<v Speaker 3>very specific wavelengths of light. Water vapor absorbs one specific

659
00:31:36.079 --> 00:31:40.880
<v Speaker 3>set of frequencies, carbon dioxide absorbs another, methane absorbs yet another.

660
00:31:41.119 --> 00:31:42.960
<v Speaker 2>It's a chemical fingerprint exactly.

661
00:31:43.240 --> 00:31:46.599
<v Speaker 3>So when web captures that filtered starlight, its spectrograph acts

662
00:31:46.640 --> 00:31:49.680
<v Speaker 3>like a highly advanced prism. It breaks the light apart

663
00:31:49.720 --> 00:31:53.480
<v Speaker 3>into its constituent colors, and the scientists They just look for.

664
00:31:53.440 --> 00:31:55.319
<v Speaker 2>The gaps, the missing wavelengths.

665
00:31:55.720 --> 00:31:59.480
<v Speaker 3>Right. If a specific frequency of infrared light is completely

666
00:31:59.519 --> 00:32:03.200
<v Speaker 3>missing the spectrum, you know exactly which molecule in the

667
00:32:03.240 --> 00:32:06.319
<v Speaker 3>planet's atmosphere absorbed it because it acts like a barcode,

668
00:32:06.440 --> 00:32:10.400
<v Speaker 3>a perfect chemical barcode. You have effectively analyzed the chemical

669
00:32:10.400 --> 00:32:14.119
<v Speaker 3>composition of an atmosphere located hundreds of light years away.

670
00:32:14.240 --> 00:32:17.599
<v Speaker 2>And the ultimate prize in reading that barcode is finding

671
00:32:17.640 --> 00:32:19.000
<v Speaker 2>biosignature gases.

672
00:32:19.119 --> 00:32:20.279
<v Speaker 3>That is the holy grail.

673
00:32:20.640 --> 00:32:23.640
<v Speaker 2>Yes, we are looking for an atmosphere that is completely

674
00:32:23.720 --> 00:32:26.839
<v Speaker 2>out of chemical equilibrium, right, because if you just leave

675
00:32:26.880 --> 00:32:30.640
<v Speaker 2>a bunch of gases alone, geology and solar radiation will

676
00:32:30.680 --> 00:32:33.640
<v Speaker 2>eventually cause them to react and settle into a stable

677
00:32:33.720 --> 00:32:34.279
<v Speaker 2>dead state.

678
00:32:34.440 --> 00:32:38.359
<v Speaker 3>Exactly. Look at Mars. Mars has an atmosphere in perfect equilibrium.

679
00:32:38.400 --> 00:32:41.319
<v Speaker 3>It's mostly just carbon dioxide. It's totally geologically dead.

680
00:32:41.400 --> 00:32:43.759
<v Speaker 2>But Earth's atmosphere is wildly.

681
00:32:43.359 --> 00:32:46.960
<v Speaker 3>Unstable, very unstable. We have high concentrations of oxygen, which

682
00:32:47.000 --> 00:32:50.960
<v Speaker 3>is incredibly reactive. Oxygen really wants to bond with everything

683
00:32:50.960 --> 00:32:52.559
<v Speaker 3>and pull itself out of the atmosphere.

684
00:32:52.559 --> 00:32:54.720
<v Speaker 2>But rust iron, it burns wood, It doesn't want to

685
00:32:54.799 --> 00:32:55.519
<v Speaker 2>just float there.

686
00:32:55.759 --> 00:32:59.279
<v Speaker 3>Right, And we also have methane, which reacts incredibly quickly

687
00:32:59.319 --> 00:33:02.799
<v Speaker 3>with oxygen to form water and carbon dioxide. If you

688
00:33:02.799 --> 00:33:06.440
<v Speaker 3>put methane and oxygen together, they naturally destroy each other rapidly.

689
00:33:06.759 --> 00:33:10.000
<v Speaker 2>So if a telescope detects both oxygen and methane in

690
00:33:10.119 --> 00:33:12.039
<v Speaker 2>high concentrations on the same.

691
00:33:11.839 --> 00:33:15.720
<v Speaker 3>Planet, then something incredibly powerful has to be continuously pumping

692
00:33:16.440 --> 00:33:19.319
<v Speaker 3>vast quantities of those gases into the air to replenish them,

693
00:33:19.400 --> 00:33:21.319
<v Speaker 3>Otherwise they would just neutralize each other.

694
00:33:21.640 --> 00:33:26.079
<v Speaker 2>Geological processes like volcanoes can produce some methane, right, and

695
00:33:26.240 --> 00:33:29.240
<v Speaker 2>ultraviolet light breaking down water can produce a little bit

696
00:33:29.240 --> 00:33:29.920
<v Speaker 2>of oxygen.

697
00:33:29.960 --> 00:33:34.319
<v Speaker 3>Sure, abiotic processes can produce price amounts, but finding them

698
00:33:34.359 --> 00:33:38.559
<v Speaker 3>in massive concurrent abundance that is exceptionally difficult to explain

699
00:33:38.680 --> 00:33:40.559
<v Speaker 3>via purely geological mechanisms.

700
00:33:40.799 --> 00:33:43.079
<v Speaker 2>So what's the most logical explanation.

701
00:33:42.799 --> 00:33:46.440
<v Speaker 3>The most logical explanation for a planetary atmosphere held perpetually

702
00:33:46.440 --> 00:33:51.039
<v Speaker 3>out of chemical equilibrium like that is a global biosphere.

703
00:33:50.680 --> 00:33:55.079
<v Speaker 2>Life plants exhaling oxygen, and microbes producing massive amounts of.

704
00:33:55.039 --> 00:33:58.240
<v Speaker 3>Methane exactly, And this brings it all back to why

705
00:33:58.240 --> 00:34:01.880
<v Speaker 3>the precision of PO is just so critic Web's ability

706
00:34:01.920 --> 00:34:05.079
<v Speaker 3>to analyze an atmosphere is entirely dependent on the quality

707
00:34:05.119 --> 00:34:08.320
<v Speaker 3>of the light passing through it. By targeting ultra cool dwarfs,

708
00:34:08.320 --> 00:34:11.480
<v Speaker 3>the planet's atmosphere blocks a proportionally larger amount of the

709
00:34:11.519 --> 00:34:15.320
<v Speaker 3>star's total light. The transmission spectrum is thicker, it's clearer,

710
00:34:15.599 --> 00:34:17.679
<v Speaker 3>and it's so much easier for WEB to read.

711
00:34:18.119 --> 00:34:23.639
<v Speaker 2>It is such a beautifully synergistic approach. Canada provides this agile,

712
00:34:24.199 --> 00:34:28.159
<v Speaker 2>relatively inexpensive microsatellite to do all the heavy lifting of discovery.

713
00:34:28.440 --> 00:34:31.199
<v Speaker 2>It filters out all the noise of the cosmos, just

714
00:34:31.239 --> 00:34:34.239
<v Speaker 2>defined the perfect geometric setups, and.

715
00:34:34.079 --> 00:34:37.920
<v Speaker 3>Then the massive international mega observatories step in to read

716
00:34:38.159 --> 00:34:41.840
<v Speaker 3>the chemical barcodes. It really is an extraordinary testament to

717
00:34:41.880 --> 00:34:45.599
<v Speaker 3>how collaborative and highly optimize the search for extraterrestrial life

718
00:34:45.639 --> 00:34:46.079
<v Speaker 3>has become.

719
00:34:46.480 --> 00:34:48.800
<v Speaker 2>When you look at the entirety of this endeavor, it

720
00:34:48.840 --> 00:34:53.079
<v Speaker 2>represents a really remarkable evolution in scientific thinking. We started

721
00:34:53.079 --> 00:34:55.440
<v Speaker 2>by basically just staring at stars that looked like our own,

722
00:34:55.840 --> 00:34:58.679
<v Speaker 2>using instruments that were only really capable of finding bloated

723
00:34:58.760 --> 00:34:59.440
<v Speaker 2>gas giants.

724
00:34:59.480 --> 00:35:01.440
<v Speaker 3>We were looking for our twin with the wrong glasses

725
00:35:01.440 --> 00:35:02.159
<v Speaker 3>on right.

726
00:35:02.519 --> 00:35:06.320
<v Speaker 2>We confirmed thousands of worlds that couldn't possibly support life,

727
00:35:06.519 --> 00:35:10.679
<v Speaker 2>while the rocky, potentially habitable planets remain totally hidden in

728
00:35:10.679 --> 00:35:13.360
<v Speaker 2>the glare. But instead of just hitting our heads against

729
00:35:13.360 --> 00:35:15.239
<v Speaker 2>the wall, we change the parameters.

730
00:35:15.400 --> 00:35:18.880
<v Speaker 3>The limitations of our tools forced a complete shift in perspective.

731
00:35:19.199 --> 00:35:21.480
<v Speaker 3>If the sun like stars are too bright, well look

732
00:35:21.519 --> 00:35:23.480
<v Speaker 3>at the dim ones right. If the habitable zone of

733
00:35:23.519 --> 00:35:26.840
<v Speaker 3>a red dwarf is incredibly tight, use that to your advantage,

734
00:35:27.000 --> 00:35:30.960
<v Speaker 3>because those tight, fast orbits mean more transits and faster confirmation.

735
00:35:31.800 --> 00:35:35.559
<v Speaker 2>The physics that initially seem like a massive barrier, you know,

736
00:35:35.599 --> 00:35:37.719
<v Speaker 2>the tiny size of the stars, the tidal locking of

737
00:35:37.760 --> 00:35:41.760
<v Speaker 2>the planets, They are actively being weaponized to make detection possible.

738
00:35:41.840 --> 00:35:44.599
<v Speaker 3>It is the ultimate expression of scientific pragmatism.

739
00:35:44.840 --> 00:35:47.519
<v Speaker 2>The upcoming launch of Payat in twenty twenty nine isn't

740
00:35:47.559 --> 00:35:50.559
<v Speaker 2>just about putting another mirror in space. It is about

741
00:35:50.599 --> 00:35:54.039
<v Speaker 2>deploying a highly targeted strategy to sift through the cosmic

742
00:35:54.079 --> 00:35:57.440
<v Speaker 2>noise of our local neighborhood, to ignore the bright, chaotic

743
00:35:57.519 --> 00:35:59.880
<v Speaker 2>suns in favor of the quiet red embers.

744
00:36:00.079 --> 00:36:03.719
<v Speaker 3>It'll map the orbital periods, measure the radii, and basically

745
00:36:03.800 --> 00:36:07.480
<v Speaker 3>hand the absolute most promising seven day year super Earth's

746
00:36:07.920 --> 00:36:10.320
<v Speaker 3>directly over to the heavy machinery to search for the

747
00:36:10.320 --> 00:36:11.119
<v Speaker 3>breath of life.

748
00:36:11.199 --> 00:36:14.800
<v Speaker 2>The ingenuity of finding a way to measure a fractional

749
00:36:14.920 --> 00:36:18.079
<v Speaker 2>dip in infrared starlight from a satellite the size of

750
00:36:18.079 --> 00:36:20.880
<v Speaker 2>a washing machine, it just cannot be overstated.

751
00:36:20.920 --> 00:36:24.519
<v Speaker 3>It's amazing. It brings the loftiest, most philosophical question humanity

752
00:36:24.559 --> 00:36:28.039
<v Speaker 3>has ever asked, Are we alone down to a literal

753
00:36:28.079 --> 00:36:30.360
<v Speaker 3>matter of photon collection and noise reduction?

754
00:36:30.519 --> 00:36:32.800
<v Speaker 2>And as we wait for this mission to launch, it

755
00:36:32.880 --> 00:36:36.360
<v Speaker 2>leaves us with a rather profound philosophical pivot to consider.

756
00:36:36.920 --> 00:36:39.440
<v Speaker 2>When we look up at the sky, we instinctively view

757
00:36:39.519 --> 00:36:42.119
<v Speaker 2>Earth as the standard, the baseline.

758
00:36:42.199 --> 00:36:43.880
<v Speaker 3>Of course we do. It's all we know, right.

759
00:36:44.000 --> 00:36:46.719
<v Speaker 2>We have a massive, fiercely hot yellow Sun, we have

760
00:36:46.760 --> 00:36:49.400
<v Speaker 2>a nice, leisurely three hundred and sixty five day orbit,

761
00:36:49.760 --> 00:36:52.400
<v Speaker 2>we have regular days and nights, and we just assume

762
00:36:52.519 --> 00:36:56.159
<v Speaker 2>this is the ideal universal template for a thriving biosphere.

763
00:36:56.280 --> 00:36:58.480
<v Speaker 3>But the sheer math of the galaxy tells a very

764
00:36:58.519 --> 00:36:59.199
<v Speaker 3>different story.

765
00:36:59.239 --> 00:37:02.119
<v Speaker 2>Because ultra cool dwarfs, red dwarfs, and brown dwarfs make

766
00:37:02.199 --> 00:37:04.760
<v Speaker 2>up the overwhelming majority of stars in the Milky.

767
00:37:04.440 --> 00:37:07.119
<v Speaker 3>Way, Yellow dwarfs like our sun are actually in the

768
00:37:07.239 --> 00:37:08.519
<v Speaker 3>tiny minority.

769
00:37:09.079 --> 00:37:12.760
<v Speaker 2>So imagine the scenario a decade from now. What if

770
00:37:12.800 --> 00:37:16.239
<v Speaker 2>Webb points its massive mirrors at one of pode It's

771
00:37:16.280 --> 00:37:19.840
<v Speaker 2>prime targets. What if it analyzes the atmosphere of a

772
00:37:19.920 --> 00:37:23.440
<v Speaker 2>super Earth tightly orbiting a dim red failed star.

773
00:37:23.440 --> 00:37:26.159
<v Speaker 3>A planet locked in eternal twilight with a year that

774
00:37:26.239 --> 00:37:28.480
<v Speaker 3>lasts only six days exactly?

775
00:37:29.000 --> 00:37:32.039
<v Speaker 2>And what if it finds the undeniable chemical fingerprint of

776
00:37:32.079 --> 00:37:34.840
<v Speaker 2>a robust, churning global biosphere.

777
00:37:34.920 --> 00:37:37.440
<v Speaker 3>It demands a total reevaluation of our place in the

778
00:37:37.480 --> 00:37:38.360
<v Speaker 3>cosmic hierarchy.

779
00:37:38.440 --> 00:37:41.000
<v Speaker 2>It really would. It would mean our blazing sun and

780
00:37:41.039 --> 00:37:43.840
<v Speaker 2>our long varied seasons aren't the standard template at all.

781
00:37:44.000 --> 00:37:46.199
<v Speaker 2>If life can take root and thrive in the fierce,

782
00:37:46.400 --> 00:37:49.480
<v Speaker 2>tidally lock winds of a red dwarf system, it forces

783
00:37:49.559 --> 00:37:51.639
<v Speaker 2>us to ask an incredibly humbling question.

784
00:37:51.880 --> 00:37:53.880
<v Speaker 3>What if we are the cosmic oddballs?

785
00:37:54.000 --> 00:37:57.679
<v Speaker 2>Exactly? What if the true bustling metropolises of the universe

786
00:37:57.800 --> 00:38:00.280
<v Speaker 2>aren't bathed in bright yellow light like our own, but

787
00:38:00.360 --> 00:38:02.639
<v Speaker 2>are hidden away in the dim red glow of the

788
00:38:02.639 --> 00:38:06.239
<v Speaker 2>galaxy's smallest inhabitants. The so called failed stars might just

789
00:38:06.280 --> 00:38:08.280
<v Speaker 2>turn out to be the most successful engines of life

790
00:38:08.280 --> 00:38:11.239
<v Speaker 2>in the universe, and we are just the outlier, finally

791
00:38:11.320 --> 00:38:12.480
<v Speaker 2>learning how to look in the dark.
