1 00:00:02,799 --> 00:00:03,680 Speaker 1: What's up? Everybody? 2 00:00:03,720 --> 00:00:07,480 Speaker 2: Welcome into another episode of Profit Picks. If you are new, 3 00:00:07,799 --> 00:00:10,679 we always start this show by being transparent. There were 4 00:00:10,720 --> 00:00:14,400 no shows over the weekend. Last one was Friday. Friday 5 00:00:14,480 --> 00:00:17,679 and it was a really good day and I won 6 00:00:18,000 --> 00:00:20,800 seven out of eight. I believe it was an association, 7 00:00:21,000 --> 00:00:24,760 So that was a really good one. Saturday, I played 8 00:00:25,960 --> 00:00:28,879 Houston first half. I got the early line and it 9 00:00:29,000 --> 00:00:32,079 plummeted after the opener and I lost. If you got 10 00:00:32,119 --> 00:00:36,679 a later line, you won. And then Sunday NBA was 11 00:00:36,679 --> 00:00:39,719 not kind. I should have just stayed away. Yesterday, oh 12 00:00:39,840 --> 00:00:42,479 and three NBA, I won one and on college basketball 13 00:00:42,560 --> 00:00:45,399 and went three and two in NFL, So it was 14 00:00:46,119 --> 00:00:50,920 slightly backward yesterday. But since we last talked, it was 15 00:00:50,960 --> 00:00:52,600 some money made Veno. 16 00:00:54,000 --> 00:00:56,000 Speaker 1: Good to be back with you. How's everything going? 17 00:00:57,439 --> 00:00:58,320 Speaker 3: Things are good? Ski? 18 00:00:59,640 --> 00:01:03,479 Speaker 4: Let's Saturday? Well, first of all, I didn't play NBA 19 00:01:03,600 --> 00:01:04,439 Saturday or Sunday. 20 00:01:04,439 --> 00:01:05,000 Speaker 3: I don't believe. 21 00:01:05,040 --> 00:01:06,959 Speaker 4: Well, I think I might have played the Golden State. 22 00:01:08,239 --> 00:01:10,159 Now they played Chicago. I didn't have that game. So 23 00:01:10,239 --> 00:01:13,640 no NBA Saturday or Sunday. College hoop has been what's 24 00:01:13,719 --> 00:01:17,640 been hot lately? Fourteen and six last twenty had a 25 00:01:17,680 --> 00:01:20,760 good day with that. Yesterday NFL was a complete split, 26 00:01:20,840 --> 00:01:23,920 too good, too bad. I'm involved tonight in this game 27 00:01:23,959 --> 00:01:26,200 between the Eagles and the Chargers, so we'll see if 28 00:01:26,200 --> 00:01:29,040 we can't go ahead and tilt the scales to a 29 00:01:29,079 --> 00:01:32,159 plus winning week in the NFL here and now. Of course, 30 00:01:32,200 --> 00:01:34,879 we have college bowl games upcoming too, so it be 31 00:01:34,879 --> 00:01:36,079 a big time of year upcoming. 32 00:01:37,640 --> 00:01:40,239 Speaker 2: All right, you know, let's get to some of this 33 00:01:41,040 --> 00:01:45,000 NBA for today. I mean, first up, we're looking at 34 00:01:45,200 --> 00:01:48,560 Kings and Pacers. Opened up three and a half for 35 00:01:48,680 --> 00:01:52,000 the Pacers, looks like four total open two thirty four. 36 00:01:52,560 --> 00:01:54,599 Not the most movement to thirty four and a half. 37 00:01:55,280 --> 00:01:57,560 And as far as the injury report is concerned, let 38 00:01:57,599 --> 00:02:01,280 me actually refresh. You have Keegan very questionable, get a 39 00:02:01,319 --> 00:02:06,319 shorter questionable the bonus out for this Pacers team, saying 40 00:02:06,359 --> 00:02:09,240 five guys that are on there every single game are listed. 41 00:02:12,719 --> 00:02:14,879 You know, my first thought when I see both of 42 00:02:14,919 --> 00:02:19,840 these teams playing each other is I expect not a 43 00:02:19,879 --> 00:02:24,000 whole lot of defense. You know, I expect faster pace 44 00:02:24,080 --> 00:02:26,240 than what I'm looking at from these last five pace numbers. 45 00:02:26,280 --> 00:02:28,919 The Pacers are down the twenty fourth and that's not 46 00:02:28,960 --> 00:02:33,039 really the style I see this game going. There was 47 00:02:33,080 --> 00:02:37,520 a comment here, you know, I'll ask you. Brian says, 48 00:02:38,400 --> 00:02:40,759 what's the Fellas Kings pacers under robbed? 49 00:02:40,800 --> 00:02:41,879 Speaker 1: Do you think they're going to score? 50 00:02:44,280 --> 00:02:47,759 Speaker 4: It's obviously with me, it's my first reaction as long 51 00:02:47,800 --> 00:02:50,439 as it's not placed in the two forties to think 52 00:02:50,560 --> 00:02:53,520 over in this game, the Kings have been so ice 53 00:02:53,639 --> 00:02:56,080 cold ski They were like two and twelve against the 54 00:02:56,159 --> 00:02:59,479 spread until they finally covered again. It kind of surprising 55 00:02:59,520 --> 00:03:02,800 that they went to Miami and one the way that 56 00:03:02,879 --> 00:03:07,039 they did. But you always feel, at least I always 57 00:03:07,039 --> 00:03:09,039 feel like with the players that they have, it is 58 00:03:09,159 --> 00:03:11,639 all offense, no defense. I think not having some bonus 59 00:03:12,360 --> 00:03:14,439 is a big deal for this team because he's such 60 00:03:14,439 --> 00:03:19,479 a playmaker from the center position. All that being said, 61 00:03:20,599 --> 00:03:24,080 I still can't look at it any other way except over. Honestly, 62 00:03:24,120 --> 00:03:27,159 I don't know which side. I keep thinking that Indiana 63 00:03:27,840 --> 00:03:30,360 will begin to pick it up because they've gotten a 64 00:03:30,360 --> 00:03:32,439 little healthy over the course of the last ten games. 65 00:03:32,719 --> 00:03:36,159 Straight up wise, they have against the spread, they have not. 66 00:03:36,680 --> 00:03:39,280 Totals wise, they've been about a fifty to fifty proposition 67 00:03:39,400 --> 00:03:42,560 over under. But if I was going to play tonight, 68 00:03:42,800 --> 00:03:44,919 I would look towards the over here. I just feel 69 00:03:44,960 --> 00:03:46,599 like two thirty four and a half it's a little light. 70 00:03:46,639 --> 00:03:49,120 Both of these teams more than capable against one another 71 00:03:49,520 --> 00:03:52,719 to get to the one twenty marks. So I didn't play, 72 00:03:52,960 --> 00:03:56,120 but if I had to. In response to the comment there, 73 00:03:56,400 --> 00:03:57,840 I probably would look over. 74 00:03:59,199 --> 00:04:00,120 Speaker 1: That's how I would dank. 75 00:04:00,479 --> 00:04:04,919 Speaker 2: And the Pacers still have been playing better defense than 76 00:04:04,919 --> 00:04:07,439 the Kings lately, offenses look better. 77 00:04:07,719 --> 00:04:08,039 Speaker 1: I don't know. 78 00:04:08,039 --> 00:04:09,680 Speaker 2: I'll trust the Pacers at home here. I know I 79 00:04:09,680 --> 00:04:12,039 don't like to usually lay with them, but se either 80 00:04:12,080 --> 00:04:14,120 Pacers are over for me in this game. 81 00:04:16,079 --> 00:04:19,160 Speaker 1: We'll keep going to the next one. 82 00:04:19,120 --> 00:04:24,000 Speaker 2: That is Sons in te Wolves open minus ten down 83 00:04:24,079 --> 00:04:26,759 to eight or seven and a half, depending where he shot. 84 00:04:27,199 --> 00:04:30,720 Total opened two twenty six down as low as to 85 00:04:30,720 --> 00:04:35,800 twenty two and a half. Dylan Brooks questionable, Devin Booker, 86 00:04:35,879 --> 00:04:40,319 Jalen Green Out, Terrence Shannon Junior, and Anthony Edwards questionable. 87 00:04:42,759 --> 00:04:46,079 It makes sense why this total is dropping. I mean, 88 00:04:46,120 --> 00:04:48,319 it's a lot of scoring you could miss right without Booker, 89 00:04:48,360 --> 00:04:52,680 Brooks and potentially Anthony Edwards. So just based on that, 90 00:04:52,800 --> 00:04:56,319 I can understand to move down. This is a Timberwolves 91 00:04:56,319 --> 00:04:56,839 team that. 92 00:04:58,519 --> 00:04:58,920 Speaker 1: I don't know. 93 00:04:59,560 --> 00:05:01,439 Speaker 2: I mean, they they didn't cover both of those games 94 00:05:01,480 --> 00:05:05,519 versus Pelicans. I feel like this Timberwolves team has just 95 00:05:05,560 --> 00:05:08,360 really been struggling to cover in general lately. It's very 96 00:05:08,399 --> 00:05:10,759 hard to think of you know why I want to 97 00:05:10,839 --> 00:05:14,800 lay the big number. I can understand no Brooks, no Booker, 98 00:05:15,160 --> 00:05:19,560 but you also have no ant. It's just tough. I 99 00:05:19,560 --> 00:05:22,639 think under It's how I feel best right now. You 100 00:05:22,639 --> 00:05:24,079 know what do you think about it? 101 00:05:25,000 --> 00:05:25,199 Speaker 3: Yeah? 102 00:05:25,240 --> 00:05:27,879 Speaker 4: The injury list makes it hard on both sides. It 103 00:05:27,920 --> 00:05:30,519 makes it hard. But to your point, Minnesota's winning games, 104 00:05:30,519 --> 00:05:33,439 but they're not winning anything by margin. So again, it 105 00:05:33,519 --> 00:05:35,680 because I can see why people took the points right 106 00:05:35,720 --> 00:05:38,680 off the top, because regardless of who's in the game, 107 00:05:38,680 --> 00:05:41,240 why would you want to lay ten points with Minnesota 108 00:05:41,319 --> 00:05:43,920 right now? Yes, they're five and oh straight up against 109 00:05:43,959 --> 00:05:46,360 this excuse me, straight up the last five games, but 110 00:05:46,399 --> 00:05:49,279 against a spread that's only a one in four. Kind 111 00:05:49,279 --> 00:05:51,240 of hard to do that skid be five and oh 112 00:05:51,360 --> 00:05:55,040 straight up and one in four. Ats just overvalued in 113 00:05:55,120 --> 00:05:59,000 the market right now, and I think it's mainly because defensively, 114 00:05:59,040 --> 00:05:59,399 they just. 115 00:05:59,360 --> 00:05:59,959 Speaker 3: Give up points. 116 00:06:01,000 --> 00:06:04,720 Speaker 4: There was a point in time last year, or you know, 117 00:06:04,759 --> 00:06:07,000 maybe even the year before, where Minnesota we thought they 118 00:06:07,040 --> 00:06:09,920 had turned the corner as a defensive team. This year 119 00:06:10,040 --> 00:06:13,000 has not been that year defensively for them. Looking at 120 00:06:13,000 --> 00:06:15,040 their team totals last five to four and one to 121 00:06:15,079 --> 00:06:17,399 the over, looking at their full game totals last five, 122 00:06:17,480 --> 00:06:20,079 four and one to the over, it came on the 123 00:06:20,120 --> 00:06:24,800 heels of a huge underrun, kind of sporadic, inconsistent results 124 00:06:24,800 --> 00:06:26,879 for them. I would have liked to have played Phoenix 125 00:06:26,920 --> 00:06:29,800 here if all things were level, Like if Anthony Edwards 126 00:06:29,839 --> 00:06:31,879 was playing and Phoenix. 127 00:06:31,439 --> 00:06:32,279 Speaker 3: Had Brooks and. 128 00:06:34,240 --> 00:06:36,920 Speaker 4: Booker, I would have probably played Phoenix and taken points 129 00:06:36,920 --> 00:06:39,759 here because I just think that they give more forty 130 00:06:39,800 --> 00:06:42,120 eight minutes of effort than Minnesota does. 131 00:06:42,199 --> 00:06:44,920 Speaker 3: Minnesota is missing something at this point in time. Can't 132 00:06:45,000 --> 00:06:45,240 let it. 133 00:06:46,079 --> 00:06:48,319 Speaker 4: I'm kind of scared to take it. With the missing 134 00:06:48,399 --> 00:06:53,480 Suns personnel. Maybe under is the right I don't know. 135 00:06:53,720 --> 00:06:56,360 Sometimes when you get the big stars out of the way, 136 00:06:56,759 --> 00:07:00,439 the backups come in and score their share. Too tough 137 00:07:00,439 --> 00:07:03,040 for me to call, so I'll probably leave this one alone. 138 00:07:03,920 --> 00:07:04,439 Speaker 1: It is tough. 139 00:07:04,480 --> 00:07:07,480 Speaker 2: I agree with you that if everybody was in Booker, 140 00:07:07,560 --> 00:07:10,079 Brooks and and I would be looking towards the Suns. 141 00:07:10,519 --> 00:07:13,680 It's just without Brooks and Booker is just is tough. 142 00:07:14,079 --> 00:07:15,560 Speaker 1: So the only. 143 00:07:15,439 --> 00:07:17,839 Speaker 2: Logical thing to me is, you know, in line with 144 00:07:17,920 --> 00:07:21,160 the market, if you're missing that much scoring. Both of 145 00:07:21,160 --> 00:07:23,519 these teams are playing at a slower pace right now, 146 00:07:24,240 --> 00:07:27,240 or at least last five games, I would agree that 147 00:07:27,279 --> 00:07:28,319 it should go under. 148 00:07:30,040 --> 00:07:32,199 Speaker 1: Brian asking about Phoenix first half to keep it close. 149 00:07:32,319 --> 00:07:34,519 Speaker 2: It's hard to trust Phoenix, but I understand fade in 150 00:07:34,560 --> 00:07:37,079 Minnesota just because that's how they've been playing. They haven't 151 00:07:37,079 --> 00:07:39,839 covered the first half the last five games, so that 152 00:07:40,000 --> 00:07:43,480 I can understand, all right. You know, last game in 153 00:07:43,519 --> 00:07:48,240 the NBA, Spurs and Pelicans opened up minus ten for 154 00:07:48,319 --> 00:07:51,279 San Antonio now nine and a half and the total 155 00:07:51,680 --> 00:07:59,279 hasn't hasn't moved further. Injuries, you have Cornette questionable, McLaughlin 156 00:07:59,319 --> 00:08:01,839 and Winby out Castle looks like he's back in the 157 00:08:01,879 --> 00:08:07,600 lineup for the Pelicans, Herb Jones questionable. The other three guys, 158 00:08:07,639 --> 00:08:10,720 you know, Murray Pools Iron not going to be playing. 159 00:08:11,720 --> 00:08:14,480 This is one that I'm most interested in here today. 160 00:08:14,839 --> 00:08:19,399 You know, I haven't played it yet, but I'm trying 161 00:08:19,439 --> 00:08:23,000 to find and I'm looking towards the Pelicans. Here, the 162 00:08:23,079 --> 00:08:26,279 Spurs team, I mean, the defense has just been bad 163 00:08:26,600 --> 00:08:29,800 for one and I always say, how can I trust 164 00:08:30,040 --> 00:08:31,560 the team to win by this big of a margin 165 00:08:31,600 --> 00:08:35,039 if they can't get stops? This is the was it 166 00:08:35,120 --> 00:08:42,559 the bottom five defensive rated team last five games? So really, really, 167 00:08:42,600 --> 00:08:44,799 that's the basis for me wanting to find reasons to 168 00:08:44,799 --> 00:08:47,440 back the Pelicans. I look at the Spurs. They've only 169 00:08:47,480 --> 00:08:50,240 been as big of a favorite. They've been a favorite 170 00:08:50,240 --> 00:08:52,559 of more than seven I think twice this year they 171 00:08:52,600 --> 00:08:54,919 didn't cover either one of them. This is not the 172 00:08:54,960 --> 00:08:58,759 Spurs role. I know it's nine and a half, but 173 00:08:58,759 --> 00:09:04,159 I know the Pelicans. Pelicans at the double diggit dog, 174 00:09:04,200 --> 00:09:06,600 they're eight and four. H Yes, like that's been the role, 175 00:09:06,720 --> 00:09:09,960 especially here at home. I want to try to get 176 00:09:09,960 --> 00:09:14,399 there with the Pelicans. Anything from you here, you know, 177 00:09:14,759 --> 00:09:15,679 how do you feel about it? 178 00:09:16,559 --> 00:09:19,279 Speaker 4: Well, I think you can make that case ski on 179 00:09:19,399 --> 00:09:25,320 a couple of added added elements here, real quick working 180 00:09:25,360 --> 00:09:28,559 Castle back in and reintegrating him back into the fold. 181 00:09:28,639 --> 00:09:31,159 We usually say when a starter comes back, sometimes it's 182 00:09:31,159 --> 00:09:35,840 not as cohesive as it was prior to the injury. 183 00:09:35,879 --> 00:09:38,080 He was out for quite a while. But the second 184 00:09:38,080 --> 00:09:40,000 thing here, and probably the most notable thing, is the 185 00:09:40,000 --> 00:09:43,840 fact that the last sixteen games that the Pelicans have played, 186 00:09:44,080 --> 00:09:48,080 they're one in fifteen straight up, one in fifteen straight up. 187 00:09:48,120 --> 00:09:50,879 You automatically think that team sucks, can't bet them, can't 188 00:09:50,919 --> 00:09:54,000 play them. But those sixteen games, they're ten and six 189 00:09:54,080 --> 00:09:58,000 against the spread. Ten and six is sixty two percent covers, 190 00:09:58,039 --> 00:10:00,799 and they're all his underdogs a big price like this one. 191 00:10:00,919 --> 00:10:05,200 So to your point about san Antonio not being very 192 00:10:05,240 --> 00:10:11,039 good defensively, the Pelicans playing this exact role almost every night. 193 00:10:11,080 --> 00:10:14,679 They take the floor, big underdog and covering, lose the game, 194 00:10:14,720 --> 00:10:17,559 but cover they managed to stay close enough to be 195 00:10:17,639 --> 00:10:19,519 ten and six against the spread. So I think that 196 00:10:19,559 --> 00:10:22,639 would be a real good basis for making a play 197 00:10:22,919 --> 00:10:25,679 on New Orleans. It's one of those where I know 198 00:10:25,759 --> 00:10:28,240 you like to call them dirty dogs, hold your nose, 199 00:10:28,320 --> 00:10:30,240 whatever you want to call them New Orleans. They've been 200 00:10:30,279 --> 00:10:33,840 profitable and I don't know why that changes. I mean, 201 00:10:33,840 --> 00:10:37,000 they've had their share of injuries all season long, they've 202 00:10:37,080 --> 00:10:39,879 learned how to play with the injured players out, So 203 00:10:40,639 --> 00:10:42,960 to me, probably plus the points would be the best 204 00:10:43,000 --> 00:10:45,759 way to look. Again, it's not something I played, so 205 00:10:45,799 --> 00:10:48,639 I won't fully recommend it or endorse it, but I 206 00:10:48,679 --> 00:10:50,960 would say if I'm going to play, it would be 207 00:10:51,039 --> 00:10:52,279 New Orleans plus the points. 208 00:10:53,279 --> 00:10:55,519 Speaker 2: Nice guy says Birds have no big man. Teams have 209 00:10:55,519 --> 00:10:57,559 been going straight to the rim. I mean Cornett is 210 00:10:57,639 --> 00:11:00,960 questionable if he's not out there. I mean me and 211 00:11:01,000 --> 00:11:02,679 you Rob could go in there and get. 212 00:11:02,519 --> 00:11:04,399 Speaker 3: A couple of ye So get a few buckets. 213 00:11:08,120 --> 00:11:09,639 Speaker 2: I think nine and a half is a little bit 214 00:11:09,679 --> 00:11:13,679 too many points for that one. I'm looking towards the pelice. 215 00:11:14,120 --> 00:11:19,200 Speaker 1: All right. You know, talk a little bit of Eagles, 216 00:11:19,279 --> 00:11:23,960 Chargers your neck of the woods, my neck of the Woods. 217 00:11:25,519 --> 00:11:31,960 Speaker 2: Not necessarily your team, though, but it is my team. 218 00:11:32,200 --> 00:11:34,080 Speaker 1: Open minus two for Philly. 219 00:11:35,399 --> 00:11:38,200 Speaker 2: I'm saying two two and a half put to open 220 00:11:38,240 --> 00:11:41,200 forty three and a half down as low as forty one. 221 00:11:41,039 --> 00:11:46,799 Speaker 1: And a half. So I'll start off and say this. 222 00:11:49,240 --> 00:11:50,840 I always say about the Chargers. 223 00:11:51,480 --> 00:11:54,720 Speaker 2: You know, they're not good against teams that can run 224 00:11:54,799 --> 00:11:57,799 the ball, and I do usually view the Eagles as 225 00:11:57,799 --> 00:11:58,320 a team that can. 226 00:11:58,320 --> 00:11:58,720 Speaker 1: Run the ball. 227 00:11:58,759 --> 00:12:01,320 Speaker 2: But they haven't been running lately, like say Kwan has 228 00:12:01,360 --> 00:12:05,360 like twenty three carries the past two weeks. AJ has 229 00:12:05,399 --> 00:12:07,759 been crying now they're throwing the ball the aj all 230 00:12:07,840 --> 00:12:10,519 game and the Eagles just I don't know, just don't 231 00:12:10,559 --> 00:12:12,159 look good. If you try to pass all game on 232 00:12:12,200 --> 00:12:15,440 the Chargers, I don't think you're gonna have success. That's 233 00:12:15,440 --> 00:12:20,440 just what it boils down to me. And also you 234 00:12:20,480 --> 00:12:24,120 can the Eagles do they have somebody injured on the 235 00:12:24,200 --> 00:12:26,320 offensive line, Lane Johnson right or. 236 00:12:26,679 --> 00:12:27,639 Speaker 3: Lane Johnson's out? 237 00:12:27,720 --> 00:12:31,919 Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, So I don't know that they're gonna be 238 00:12:31,960 --> 00:12:37,120 able to run the ball. Even then, I look at 239 00:12:37,399 --> 00:12:41,440 the Chargers side. You know, the Eagles defense look really 240 00:12:41,480 --> 00:12:46,039 good for a few weeks. That Bears. That Bears run game, 241 00:12:46,080 --> 00:12:49,559 the Bears run game is good. They just ran all 242 00:12:49,559 --> 00:12:51,120 over them. 243 00:12:52,519 --> 00:12:55,759 Speaker 2: If Philly, I mean they don't have also Jalen Why 244 00:12:55,759 --> 00:12:56,360 am I blackout? 245 00:12:56,440 --> 00:12:57,120 Speaker 1: Is it Jalen Carter? 246 00:12:57,960 --> 00:13:01,480 Speaker 2: Yeah, they don't have Jalen Carter. I mean I could 247 00:13:01,480 --> 00:13:03,559 see the Chargers running the ball. I always say the 248 00:13:03,639 --> 00:13:06,559 Chargers with their offensive line as it is right now, 249 00:13:07,039 --> 00:13:09,639 they can't really pass block very well, but they're good 250 00:13:09,759 --> 00:13:10,360 run blocking. 251 00:13:11,080 --> 00:13:11,879 Speaker 1: So I think. 252 00:13:13,519 --> 00:13:15,600 Speaker 2: I think the Chargers will run the ball. I do 253 00:13:15,639 --> 00:13:17,519 trust them to do that. I want to take the 254 00:13:17,559 --> 00:13:20,480 points US two and a half, but maybe more than that. 255 00:13:21,159 --> 00:13:23,759 You know, if both teams are running the ball, running 256 00:13:23,759 --> 00:13:24,480 the ball. 257 00:13:26,120 --> 00:13:27,600 Speaker 1: Tick tick tick tick Philly. 258 00:13:27,840 --> 00:13:29,320 Speaker 2: My thought of Philly is like when they play on 259 00:13:29,320 --> 00:13:32,200 the road, they try to control, like did I say, 260 00:13:32,200 --> 00:13:35,200 they try to control, like you know, who has the 261 00:13:35,279 --> 00:13:39,120 ball the most of the time. Between that and just 262 00:13:39,279 --> 00:13:41,639 me the game plan, our views should be like just 263 00:13:41,759 --> 00:13:45,360 running the ball. I think under Market did move it down. 264 00:13:45,759 --> 00:13:46,559 I think it's right. 265 00:13:46,720 --> 00:13:48,240 Speaker 1: What do you think? 266 00:13:48,919 --> 00:13:49,240 Speaker 3: All right? 267 00:13:49,279 --> 00:13:53,200 Speaker 4: Try I played this one. It seems like we're pretty 268 00:13:53,240 --> 00:13:56,200 closely aligned here. Here's what I played. I played the 269 00:13:56,320 --> 00:14:00,320 Chargers team total over twenty and a half and I 270 00:14:00,320 --> 00:14:00,639 played it. 271 00:14:00,679 --> 00:14:01,840 Speaker 3: You know, this game is. 272 00:14:01,799 --> 00:14:04,480 Speaker 4: Funny, the line movement ski because I think some of it. 273 00:14:04,919 --> 00:14:07,039 First of all, the Eagles are a very public team, 274 00:14:07,320 --> 00:14:09,440 so they're always going to get money, especially in a 275 00:14:09,519 --> 00:14:14,120 standalone game. But secondly, I think people are kind of 276 00:14:14,200 --> 00:14:20,399 taking Justin Herbert's you know, injured left hand into too 277 00:14:20,480 --> 00:14:23,360 much consideration here. He played with that thing before the 278 00:14:23,399 --> 00:14:26,240 surgery last week. He played with it busted up and 279 00:14:26,320 --> 00:14:29,879 still threw the ball pretty effectively. Then he had the 280 00:14:29,879 --> 00:14:31,919 surgery this week, and it seems like the things are 281 00:14:31,960 --> 00:14:34,519 stabilized and the left hand shouldn't be a problem. But 282 00:14:34,720 --> 00:14:37,320 beyond that, the point that you hit is the reason 283 00:14:37,360 --> 00:14:40,960 why I played the game. Listen if Philly got absolutely 284 00:14:41,200 --> 00:14:45,000 steamrolled in their front seven by the Bears offensive line 285 00:14:45,080 --> 00:14:48,080 last week. The Bears ran, and then they ran, and 286 00:14:48,120 --> 00:14:49,879 then they ran again. They ran for like over two 287 00:14:49,960 --> 00:14:53,720 hundred duds. Nobody does that against Philadelphia. Was so crazy 288 00:14:53,759 --> 00:14:56,200 to see that happen. And now you're going to take 289 00:14:56,240 --> 00:14:59,159 their best run stuffer out of that mix. Jalen Carter 290 00:14:59,399 --> 00:15:04,240 the shoulder operation out, and I immediately thought of Jim Harbaugh. 291 00:15:04,919 --> 00:15:06,799 Speaker 3: He's a guy who wants to run the football to 292 00:15:06,840 --> 00:15:07,320 begin with. 293 00:15:07,879 --> 00:15:10,080 Speaker 4: Herbert's got the bad left hand, not that I think 294 00:15:10,120 --> 00:15:12,840 it's going to affect him any but it probably makes 295 00:15:12,919 --> 00:15:15,080 hardball want to run it even more. Now with Carter 296 00:15:15,200 --> 00:15:18,600 out and vadal looked great running the ball last game, 297 00:15:19,679 --> 00:15:22,039 you might get Omari and Hampton back. I don't know 298 00:15:22,039 --> 00:15:24,320 if he's been activated here for this game or now, 299 00:15:24,360 --> 00:15:26,200 but you might have a two headed monster at running back. 300 00:15:26,360 --> 00:15:29,159 Speaker 1: I don't think so, but hope even if he. 301 00:15:29,080 --> 00:15:34,000 Speaker 4: Doesn't like, Yeah, Vadalla's being I mean, he was a 302 00:15:34,080 --> 00:15:36,320 horse at Troy when he was in college and he's 303 00:15:36,360 --> 00:15:37,240 He's becoming. 304 00:15:37,039 --> 00:15:39,279 Speaker 3: Really good here for the Chargers. 305 00:15:39,720 --> 00:15:43,039 Speaker 4: When they can run the football, they can play action 306 00:15:43,200 --> 00:15:44,799 pass off of that as good as anybody. 307 00:15:44,799 --> 00:15:45,840 Speaker 3: The receiving crew is. 308 00:15:45,840 --> 00:15:50,320 Speaker 4: Healthy, they've been improved. Chargers still have to win games. 309 00:15:50,320 --> 00:15:50,600 Speaker 3: Ski. 310 00:15:50,679 --> 00:15:53,720 Speaker 4: They're in like that five spot in the AFC standings 311 00:15:53,720 --> 00:15:57,279 where a couple of teams won yesterday, Jacksonville and somebody 312 00:15:57,320 --> 00:15:59,159 else that put a little press, puts a little pressure 313 00:15:59,200 --> 00:15:59,960 run Charges. 314 00:15:59,759 --> 00:16:02,759 Speaker 3: To keep winning. The Eagles are in a more comfortable position. 315 00:16:03,480 --> 00:16:06,080 Speaker 4: Nobody's going to push them for the NFC East title 316 00:16:06,159 --> 00:16:10,720 now that Dallas lost again. So to me, I thought 317 00:16:10,840 --> 00:16:12,799 LA's offense should have a lot of success here. I 318 00:16:12,840 --> 00:16:16,399 don't think the Eagles can fix what's broke in a week. 319 00:16:17,200 --> 00:16:21,600 The strength of that defense is that front seven, and 320 00:16:21,639 --> 00:16:24,360 if you weaken it the way the Bears did, I 321 00:16:24,360 --> 00:16:27,480 think the Chargers can do the same thing, honestly. And then, 322 00:16:27,519 --> 00:16:30,279 like you say, you know, if the Chargers get on 323 00:16:30,360 --> 00:16:32,879 top Ski and Jalen has to throw to come from behind, 324 00:16:32,919 --> 00:16:35,240 not that he can't do it, but the Charger pass 325 00:16:35,279 --> 00:16:39,120 defense is one of the best in the NFL. So 326 00:16:39,519 --> 00:16:41,960 I chose to play Charger team total over twenty the 327 00:16:42,000 --> 00:16:43,840 Eagles have given up twenty four each of the last 328 00:16:43,840 --> 00:16:45,279 two weeks. And then I took a shot with the 329 00:16:45,360 --> 00:16:47,879 Chargers on the money line. I just gave the two 330 00:16:47,919 --> 00:16:49,000 and a half up and say, you know what, if 331 00:16:49,000 --> 00:16:50,720 the Charger is going to be this closed, they'll probably 332 00:16:50,759 --> 00:16:53,799 win this game. So those are the two ways I 333 00:16:53,879 --> 00:16:57,600 played it, the only two things I bet today between 334 00:16:57,720 --> 00:16:59,919 NFL and NBA. But I do like the Chargers here. 335 00:17:00,080 --> 00:17:02,879 I think they'll score twenty one or more in this game. 336 00:17:03,799 --> 00:17:06,039 Speaker 2: So that was the team total over twenty one and 337 00:17:06,079 --> 00:17:08,480 a half, right, twenty and a half. 338 00:17:08,759 --> 00:17:09,519 Speaker 1: Twenty and a half. 339 00:17:09,559 --> 00:17:11,039 Speaker 3: Okay, they got to get the twenty one. 340 00:17:12,480 --> 00:17:17,359 Speaker 2: Interesting, so we agree on the side I think the 341 00:17:17,440 --> 00:17:18,160 Chargers will score. 342 00:17:18,200 --> 00:17:18,480 Speaker 1: I could. 343 00:17:18,519 --> 00:17:24,920 Speaker 2: I mean, I don't disagree Chargers. I think I'm gonna 344 00:17:24,920 --> 00:17:26,119 think about this a little bit more. 345 00:17:26,319 --> 00:17:29,359 Speaker 3: But we like him in that underdog grow right. We 346 00:17:29,359 --> 00:17:30,480 don't want him as a favorite. 347 00:17:30,720 --> 00:17:32,799 Speaker 1: No, that's right, that's right, cross up. 348 00:17:32,920 --> 00:17:36,920 Speaker 2: Nope, this is catching my attention. 349 00:17:37,000 --> 00:17:37,839 Speaker 1: It seems kind of low. 350 00:17:38,000 --> 00:17:39,799 Speaker 2: I mean, I don't I'm not haven't been studying how 351 00:17:39,799 --> 00:17:42,960 many Russias attempts he's been getting, but I would expect. 352 00:17:42,720 --> 00:17:43,920 Speaker 1: Him to be running a lot tonight. 353 00:17:44,039 --> 00:17:49,559 Speaker 2: Nine and a half rush attempts seems pretty pretty low low. Yeah, 354 00:17:49,559 --> 00:17:51,480 So I'll look into the NFL a little bit more 355 00:17:51,559 --> 00:17:55,000 as the day goes on. But you guys have my 356 00:17:55,160 --> 00:17:59,000 early opinions, my early thoughts, all right, you know that 357 00:17:59,200 --> 00:18:02,400 is what we're here to talk about for today. So 358 00:18:03,799 --> 00:18:06,559 I don't think we we could put this up right 359 00:18:07,200 --> 00:18:10,119 full court all access past three days of NBA and 360 00:18:10,160 --> 00:18:12,920 college basketball for only forty nine dollars if you like 361 00:18:12,960 --> 00:18:13,680 to be involved. 362 00:18:13,720 --> 00:18:14,680 Speaker 1: And then we do have. 363 00:18:14,599 --> 00:18:17,480 Speaker 2: The longer term one year past and get five hundred 364 00:18:17,519 --> 00:18:19,880 bucks off comes out to just one twenty five a month, 365 00:18:20,319 --> 00:18:23,880 and if you do purchase a one year past, you 366 00:18:23,920 --> 00:18:26,599 get twenty five percent bonus coupon on top of that. 367 00:18:27,160 --> 00:18:31,240 So Vino, I will kick it over to you, ask 368 00:18:31,279 --> 00:18:33,440 you if there's anything else you'd like to promote, and 369 00:18:33,480 --> 00:18:35,039 if you have a best bet for the show, we'd 370 00:18:35,079 --> 00:18:37,720 love to hear it. 371 00:18:37,839 --> 00:18:41,880 Speaker 4: Ski. I'm just quickly while you were talking there, looking 372 00:18:41,920 --> 00:18:45,160 at the numbers. You know, Vidal had twenty five carries 373 00:18:45,240 --> 00:18:47,279 last week. That number is nine and a half. 374 00:18:47,559 --> 00:18:49,960 Speaker 1: That's what I'm like. It seems off, It seems like 375 00:18:50,000 --> 00:18:51,079 almost that's a mistake. 376 00:18:51,640 --> 00:18:55,240 Speaker 4: But yeah, I'm glad they brought that because I don't play. 377 00:18:57,039 --> 00:18:58,079 Speaker 3: Props all that much. 378 00:18:58,160 --> 00:19:00,480 Speaker 4: I'm just glad that that was brought to our tension 379 00:19:00,519 --> 00:19:02,319 because I might have to look at that myself, even 380 00:19:02,319 --> 00:19:03,160 though not a prop. 381 00:19:02,960 --> 00:19:06,119 Speaker 1: Player anyway, is low because Hampton is back. 382 00:19:06,279 --> 00:19:10,720 Speaker 3: Hampton is back. The potential for Hampton and that the potential. 383 00:19:10,920 --> 00:19:14,319 Speaker 4: I remember reading a quote this week from Marion Hampton 384 00:19:14,559 --> 00:19:18,119 who said We're going to be trouble once I get back, 385 00:19:18,319 --> 00:19:20,079 and I took it as he thought that he was 386 00:19:20,119 --> 00:19:21,559 going to play this Monday night, and. 387 00:19:21,519 --> 00:19:26,319 Speaker 3: He's a big back if he had the Eagles. 388 00:19:26,359 --> 00:19:29,160 Speaker 4: We talked about the personnel up front, they could be 389 00:19:29,519 --> 00:19:31,799 in for a little bit of a at least LA 390 00:19:31,880 --> 00:19:35,079 is going to try and pound it at him. Promotion SKI, 391 00:19:35,240 --> 00:19:37,519 nothing to say here, really, you covered it pretty well. 392 00:19:37,559 --> 00:19:39,519 I know tomorrow will be able to talk five dollars 393 00:19:39,519 --> 00:19:42,079 Tuesday and whatever new promotions are being brought forward. I 394 00:19:42,119 --> 00:19:44,799 do know that there's a package for Bowl season, guys, 395 00:19:44,799 --> 00:19:51,119 Bowl season right through the NCAA Playoff Championship game. WAJER 396 00:19:51,200 --> 00:19:54,519 talk has reduced the price last year. I will say 397 00:19:55,400 --> 00:19:57,240 as far as the last six weeks of the season, 398 00:19:57,240 --> 00:19:59,519 which is what we're into right here. I was number 399 00:19:59,559 --> 00:20:01,599 one to close the season at wijer talk last year. 400 00:20:01,680 --> 00:20:03,559 Usually pretty successful this time of year, so she can 401 00:20:03,640 --> 00:20:08,440 check out that package at wijertalk dot com. You know, 402 00:20:08,480 --> 00:20:10,480 I'll go off the board here Ski because I didn't 403 00:20:10,480 --> 00:20:12,400 play NBA today, but I will go off the board 404 00:20:12,400 --> 00:20:14,759 to the NFL and just I think the Chargers are 405 00:20:14,759 --> 00:20:16,880 gonna get the twenty one here in this game, so 406 00:20:16,960 --> 00:20:18,480 I'm gonna leave over twenty and a half. 407 00:20:18,559 --> 00:20:20,000 Speaker 3: It was a client play today, guys. 408 00:20:20,119 --> 00:20:21,839 Speaker 4: I'm gonna use it as a best bet here for 409 00:20:21,880 --> 00:20:25,400 the show La Chargers team total up and over twenty 410 00:20:25,440 --> 00:20:25,880 and a half. 411 00:20:26,839 --> 00:20:28,200 Speaker 1: Good stuff from Vino. 412 00:20:28,880 --> 00:20:35,799 Speaker 2: For myself, I haven't made a bet yet, but I 413 00:20:35,839 --> 00:20:38,079 do really like that Repelicans plus nine and a half. 414 00:20:38,440 --> 00:20:40,319 Like we talked about it quite a bit. They're also 415 00:20:41,440 --> 00:20:44,279 the number two fast break team last five games going 416 00:20:44,359 --> 00:20:49,000 up against the bottom bottom ten fast break defense. Spurs 417 00:20:49,039 --> 00:20:53,559 have been living in the mid range. Pelicans number one 418 00:20:53,799 --> 00:20:56,720 as far as mid range field goal percentage allowed and 419 00:20:56,839 --> 00:20:59,359 number two as far as mitt range attempts allowed. 420 00:21:00,000 --> 00:21:02,519 Speaker 1: Should be able to, you know, shut down a little. 421 00:21:02,279 --> 00:21:04,279 Speaker 2: Bit of what the Spurs have been trying to do 422 00:21:04,359 --> 00:21:07,359 most and take advantage of them in the fast break. 423 00:21:07,599 --> 00:21:11,880 Combination of those things with lack of rim protection, no 424 00:21:12,000 --> 00:21:15,799 winby could miscordinet. You know, getting Castle back in the 425 00:21:15,799 --> 00:21:17,920 lineup could throw off the rhythm of how things has 426 00:21:17,960 --> 00:21:23,160 been to Spurs. Like I said, it hasn't been their 427 00:21:23,240 --> 00:21:26,000 role big favorites, like they've only been a big favorite 428 00:21:26,000 --> 00:21:28,400 of more than seven I believe two times haven't covered once. 429 00:21:28,839 --> 00:21:31,519 Pelicans a big dogs has been their role. So I'll 430 00:21:31,519 --> 00:21:35,559 take them here today. Plus nine and a half looks 431 00:21:35,599 --> 00:21:38,279 like the best number I can get, and that will 432 00:21:38,319 --> 00:21:42,039 be my best bet for the show. You know, all, 433 00:21:42,079 --> 00:21:45,000 I appreciate you taking the time to you know, go 434 00:21:45,039 --> 00:21:47,599 through the card and cap these games with me. Everybody 435 00:21:47,599 --> 00:21:50,279 in the chat, we appreciate you tapping in and you know, 436 00:21:50,440 --> 00:21:52,160 bring your energy to the show as well. 437 00:21:52,880 --> 00:21:54,119 Speaker 1: We'll be back again tomorrow. 438 00:21:54,240 --> 00:21:56,880 Speaker 2: We'll have I think there's a lot more games tomorrow, 439 00:21:57,359 --> 00:21:59,640 So best of luck on your action tonight and we 440 00:21:59,680 --> 00:22:00,799 will get you all tomorrow