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Speaker 1: All right, welcome in. It's Friday morning. It's time for

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total bases. The trade deadline has passed, so it's back

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to normal fifteen games slate. We've got a couple of

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day games, a bunch of trades occurred in the last

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two days, and it's time to move on.

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Speaker 2: Time to start betting games.

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Speaker 1: We're gonna talk Astros, Red Sox, and we're gonna talk

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whatever you guys want to talk about in the chat.

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Speaker 2: So start dropping your games, dropping your questions.

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Speaker 1: But the first thing I'm gonna throw out to the

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panel before we get into it is how does the

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trade deadline impact your handicapping day to day?

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Speaker 2: Do you do anything different?

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Speaker 1: We just had a slew of roster moves over the

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past seventy two hours, So I'll start with Brian Leonard.

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What are you doing to sort of combat that, like

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or do you do anything at all?

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Speaker 3: Well, yeah, you have to take into account. I look

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at it from a player standpoint, which teams tried to improve,

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which teams are throwing in the time out, and if

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you're a player on those teams and you expected to

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be Like, if you're one of those teams on the

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border and you're expecting to be a buyer and you

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ended up selling. Those are teams that I look to

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fade for the most part coming out of the trade deadline.

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There's actually you know, a lot of people do a

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very good job on setting up setting up the rosters.

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But even as well as they do, like on Fangraphs,

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mister Martinez does a great job. I'm looking at that.

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But you know, I was looking over a few teams

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and there's a lot of blanks because they don't know

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who is going to be called up now. For example,

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Minnesota's traded away basically every decent arm they had in

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the bullpen yesterday. Who will they be bringing up to

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pick those spots? So as the day goes on, we'll

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get more information, but it's something to take into account.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I like to the teams that are just fire

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sailing all their plays away, like the Diamondbacks. Teams like

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that are you know, I mean, capping is game by game.

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It's not, you know, unless you're doing futures. Like we

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talked yesterday's show about Mariners to make the playoffs. Great bet.

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Now look at their lineup, you know, I mean they

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got the best hitting catcher in all of Major League

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Baseball paired with him and Suarez together, it's probably the

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biggest home run duo in all of Major League Baseball

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right now if you count home runs. So teams that

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are all in and teams that are all out game

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by game, you can cap a little bit of motivation

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on their sides. That's pretty much all I look I

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look at.

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Speaker 1: I do nothing. I do nothing other than look at

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it as if I look at a team for what

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they have that day, and I'll treat it as like

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a team that maybe just had some injuries. So I

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have updated absolutely nothing. I'm cognizant of motivation, but I'm.

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Speaker 2: Putting that in the same way I would any other day.

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Speaker 1: So from a day to day based standpoint, from yesterday

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to today or the day before today, I'm not changing

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any of my ratings UNTI like.

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Speaker 2: But I am looking at player availability. So what does

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that mean.

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Speaker 1: It's like, okay, like, let's see who's in the lineup

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right because all these trades just happen doesn't mean they're

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gonna doesn't mean certain players are gonna be in the

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lineup today. Doesn't mean the pitcher that they just got

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is ready to pitch. And the other thing I think that,

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like it is worth pointing out, you know, put put

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this into the context of like the real world for

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a second. Right, Like, let's say, let's say this happened

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in the real world. Let's say Walmart traded and employee

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to Target or something, right, like, these are still human beings,

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you still like you still like essentially got asked, Hey,

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go grab all your stuff and you're gonna go work

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for the other company. Now, like, there's there's some that

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just doesn't happen overnight. A lot of these guys have

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to walk in I mean, I'm sure a lot of

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them know each other, but they don't know you know,

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you might be meeting new guys in a new clubhouse.

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Maybe you had a good relationship with the guys that

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you were playing with. So for me, it's like entirely

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just I don't think the team changes drastically overnight. I

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do think, you know, you have to be cognizant of

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like what's happening week to week. But again, okay, Twins

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traded a bunch of guys, Does that mean they're Does

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that mean the guys that are going to step on

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the field tonight are not going to be ready to play? No,

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but could it mean three weeks four weeks in that

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maybe their results are more like a match more a

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team that has the roster that they have now. Yes,

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So for me, not a huge change on a day

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to day basis, aside from player availability. Obviously, if I'm

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taking this guy and this guy out of the lineup,

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same way if they were to rest guys, I've got

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to tweak that a little bit. But I try not.

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Speaker 2: To make wholesale changes. And the reason I try not to.

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Speaker 1: Do that is because the books do that, right Like

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the books are going to do that, They're gonna all

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the overreaction is going to be baked into the number

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of what happened in the last two days. I think

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as a handicapper, you got to slow your role a

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little bit and say, this team's probably not that different

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like yesterday to today, but like in two weeks, they

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could be very different. That That's kind of how I

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look at it personally. I'm curious do you either of

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you agree or disagree with that, because I feel like

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it's it could go either way.

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Speaker 3: Well, if the lines makers make an adjustment, it's got

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to be important, So I want to be be aware

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of it and I will say, you know, we talked

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last week about the the Yankees not making the playoffs.

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I think they did an incredible job yesterday and now

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I'm not nearly as confident about about that because they

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really shored up that bullpen. They did an excellent job.

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I thought they the Mets, Padres, and the A's were

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the big winners, and those are teams that I'm looking

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forward to watching the second half.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, go ahead.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, it's all game by game. Availability is quite important,

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but I look at the motivation factor a little more here.

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You know, no one on the on the Diamondbacks is

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going out there going, yeah, let's win this one now anymore,

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they're all shot.

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Speaker 2: So that's a good point TV.

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Speaker 1: Like I think, you know, we had this conversation last

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week after the Nailor trade, and we didn't know yet,

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but if you watched, if you watch that Diamondbacks team

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play against the Pirates, like, it was pretty apparent that

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the mindset, what like it just the collective team mindset

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was not there, and it actually carried right in to

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the Tiger series. So yeah, that's a that's a really

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good point. Probably just you know, more more of what

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you're gonna get from watching the games, watching body language,

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so on and so forth, Like it was very apparent

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with that Diamondbacks team over the weekend. All right, let's

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get into it feature game today. Let's go Astros Red

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Sox because again Brian and I were joking here in

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the States, we don't really have National TV Baseball anymore.

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Every once in a while while they'll throw it on

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Fox Sports one ESPN I think has a Sunday night

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game till the end of this season and then they're

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done with it. So National TV is Apple TV now

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it's like the one game the whole country gets. And tonight,

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if you if you fire up your Apple TV app, uh,

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you're gonna get Astros Red Sox, You're gonna get Hunter

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Brown against Cooper Chriswell, Ryan Leonard. Red Sox got a

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little criticism for, you know, maybe not getting what people

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thought that they might get yesterday. Where are you at

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on these two teams? And and and how are you

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seeing this matchup?

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Speaker 3: I'm saying on our line service, ideologic dot com. They

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haven't decided on the starter here. And boss, what you're

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saying is Chriswell.

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Speaker 1: It's either gonna be it'll be Chris Well maybe there's

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like two guys at Triple A that I think it

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could be, unless they go like a different route. I

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have a feeling they're calling someone up to make this

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start that that's what would make the most sense.

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Speaker 2: So I just I had Chris Well jotted down.

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Speaker 1: If they haven't announced that yet, then then they probably

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haven't announced it.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I can't make a big judgment on it because

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because of that, the lines some places, a guy lines up,

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but I don't know if they were up from yesterday

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and they're just waiting. But they've got Brown basically at

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one thirty five favorite here on the road to Boston.

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Total of eight here, which is which is low for

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for Fenway Park, especially not knowing who the for sure

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who the starter is for Boston. I'm I'm assuming from

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the players standpoint that Houston is probably more excited. Although

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I've never been a Korea fan, and they brought him

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in made it like I watched everything on the Major

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League Baseball Network yesterday and they made it look like

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that was the biggest deal. Well, I just I think

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he's washed. I don't think he's very good anymore. He's

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hurt all the time, So it may be nice that

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he's going back to the team, but I don't know

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how much of a help that's going to be. But

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I do like Brown. Brown's an excellent starter, and he's

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going up against a Boston team here that he has

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hit pretty well as of late. In fact, I saw

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stat went since the trade from San Francisco for Devers.

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The Boston team's a much better hitting team than San

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Francisco is. We talked yesterday about somebody said that they'd

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looked to trade Devers and that didn't become abound around

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and we kind of expected that. But yeah, the Boston

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fans are a little bit upset. They did get May

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coming in from the Dodgers, but I don't think this

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is a very good fit for him. He'd he struggled

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in La which is a little bit better of a

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pitcher's park. He's going to struggle here in Boston. So

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I like the future of Houston a little bit better

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now than I did last week. And this is what

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it is in baseball. I mean, everything changes a week

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to week. This was a team that you've been fading,

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and you've had a lot of success doing that. Right now,

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I think they've got a little bit of a jolt here,

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but without knowing who's going to start for Boston here,

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I'm just gonna sit back and see if you guys

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have more information than I do.

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Speaker 4: Guys, go to our pages at wager talk dot com

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and see what we have available. We put up free

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plays almost every day. I have a couple of four

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percent plays out today in Major League Baseball. So go

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check out what I and these other two guys have

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up today. Take the five seconds and catch our free

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plays as well. I think the Red Sox talk about washed.

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I think the Red Sox did the Dodgers a favor

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by taking a ay Man. The guy's washed. He's terrible,

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but anyway, I think Dodgers are pretty happy to get

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rid of him. Regarding this game, I still have Hunter Brown,

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although he did have a rough patch, I still have

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him ranked number fifteen out of two hundred plus starting pitchers,

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some of them on IL, of course, but still on

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a huge lump of starting pitchers, he's still number fifteen.

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So obviously the Astros have an advantage here in starting pitcher,

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but in a very tiny sample size, some of these

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Dodgers are I'm sorry some of these Red Sox have

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gotten to him. Including let's see four for two, looking

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at the wrong looking at the wrong one, Hang on

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a second, Red Sox. Right, Sorry, I was looking at

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the wrong team, Boston Red Sox. Let's see how they

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do against Hunter Brown. So yeah, I was looking at

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the right team. It is a small sample size, but

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let's see some guys I've never heard of. Let's see

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toro' connor Wong. Yeah, people who probably won't even be

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playing today, so that's not really a factor. I have

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both bullpens mediocre doing okay, both lineups fairly even here mediocre.

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Don't really know what to make of Boston's starting pitcher situation,

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so I'm probably gonna leave this game alone. If anything,

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take a Hunter Brown innings prop or some kind of

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strikeout prop, but I don't. I don't think I'll be

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playing aside here.

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Speaker 1: So there's actually quite a bit the Red Sox could

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do with the starting pitcher tonight, and I don't I

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don't know. I don't think anything they do with the

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starter would make me want to fade Hunter Brown in

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the Astros in this spot, and that's coming from someone

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that doesn't particularly care for this Astros team long term.

239
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Speaker 2: But like you're talking about Hunter Brown. We've talked about.

240
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Speaker 1: Him all year. I still think he's an elite starting

241
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pitching option. Maajor League Baseball. You've got Jeremy Paniel likely

242
00:12:35,559 --> 00:12:38,279
back in the lineup for the Astros tonight. I don't

243
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know if you'll see Correa. I suppose they could do it.

244
00:12:40,919 --> 00:12:43,720
So here's the deal with the Red Sox. Dustin May

245
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is in line to pitch today. Today would be his spot.

246
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Speaker 3: Now.

247
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Speaker 1: I don't think that they may ask him. They may

248
00:12:51,080 --> 00:12:52,720
be like, hey, do you want to pitch tonight? Like

249
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are you ready to do that? I don't think they will,

250
00:12:56,240 --> 00:12:59,039
but it's certainly, you know, if it pitchers, as TV

251
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has pointed out many times, our creatures of habit right,

252
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he may last pitched on Sunday, so he might be like, yeah,

253
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I want to throw tonight. It's my day to throw,

254
00:13:07,840 --> 00:13:10,159
and then he would make the start. If he doesn't throw,

255
00:13:10,360 --> 00:13:12,080
what they're gonna have to do is bring someone up

256
00:13:12,080 --> 00:13:15,200
from Worcester, So it could be Kyle Harrison. Kyle Harrison

257
00:13:15,240 --> 00:13:18,519
is supposed to start at Worcester tonight, but that was

258
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the guy that came out that was the piece from

259
00:13:20,320 --> 00:13:22,879
the Devs trade. I don't know if the Red Sox

260
00:13:22,919 --> 00:13:25,279
are truly ready to put him out there yet. I

261
00:13:25,320 --> 00:13:28,799
know he's you know, he's shown some progress at Worcester

262
00:13:28,840 --> 00:13:30,799
and doing what they want to do, but I don't

263
00:13:30,799 --> 00:13:32,519
know if they're ready to start him yet. So that's

264
00:13:32,519 --> 00:13:34,840
why I sort of had Chris Well jotted down because

265
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Chris Well, I think he lasts threw on Sunday and

266
00:13:37,840 --> 00:13:39,759
he's kind of the guy that's like he's actually having

267
00:13:39,799 --> 00:13:42,039
a great season at Triple A, but he's also the

268
00:13:42,080 --> 00:13:44,480
guy he's been up. I don't think it's like a

269
00:13:44,559 --> 00:13:46,720
huge deal for the Red Sox to maybe ask him

270
00:13:46,720 --> 00:13:49,279
to come up, make a start, and go back down, Whereas,

271
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like with Harrison, I feel like it you call him up,

272
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you kind of have to keep him up just because

273
00:13:54,519 --> 00:13:57,159
that's that's who you got for Devors, Like, you can't

274
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call him up and then send him back down. So

275
00:13:59,799 --> 00:14:01,919
that That's what I'd be looking at for today for

276
00:14:02,000 --> 00:14:05,039
the Red Sox. One of those three guys. Does it

277
00:14:05,120 --> 00:14:05,639
matter though?

278
00:14:05,879 --> 00:14:06,600
Speaker 2: Would you would you?

279
00:14:06,639 --> 00:14:09,480
Speaker 1: Wouldn't you take Hunor Brown and Jeremy Pania back in

280
00:14:09,519 --> 00:14:12,159
the lineup for the Astros against any of them. That's

281
00:14:12,240 --> 00:14:14,320
kind of where I'm at, so I lean toward the Astros. Here,

282
00:14:14,360 --> 00:14:16,360
go ahead, Brian, were you gonna say something?

283
00:14:16,759 --> 00:14:20,320
Speaker 3: No, but I just wanted to Correa said he's gonna

284
00:14:20,320 --> 00:14:26,559
play third base. Is anybody familiar with his playing third

285
00:14:26,639 --> 00:14:29,919
base before? I mean, is this a situation where he's

286
00:14:29,960 --> 00:14:32,600
never played it. If it is, I don't know if

287
00:14:32,600 --> 00:14:35,440
they could throw him out there to do that so soon.

288
00:14:37,759 --> 00:14:42,080
Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't I don't know. I don't even know Iflake. Yeah,

289
00:14:42,120 --> 00:14:43,879
it's a good question. This is This is why this

290
00:14:43,919 --> 00:14:46,679
goes back to my original point, where it's like got

291
00:14:46,679 --> 00:14:48,679
to see a lineup, have to see what they're doing

292
00:14:48,720 --> 00:14:51,279
day to day, right like, just because this trade happened,

293
00:14:51,519 --> 00:14:55,120
you know, the Astros might be like, hey, take a day,

294
00:14:55,559 --> 00:14:57,919
get back. Maybe maybe he'll be available to pinch hit

295
00:14:58,000 --> 00:15:01,120
or something, and then we'll start you tomorrow. The Red Sox, like,

296
00:15:01,320 --> 00:15:03,480
you know, they could use may but they might be like,

297
00:15:03,519 --> 00:15:05,799
hey take a day, meet the team, and then you'll

298
00:15:05,799 --> 00:15:07,639
start tomorrow. So that's what I would keep an eye on.

299
00:15:07,679 --> 00:15:10,399
I'll tell you what though, if if it is Harrison

300
00:15:10,399 --> 00:15:13,159
that gets called up, I think the Astros probably take

301
00:15:13,200 --> 00:15:15,000
some money in that regard. So if you kind of

302
00:15:15,039 --> 00:15:18,120
like the Astros, I maybe just would bet at action

303
00:15:18,320 --> 00:15:21,200
now while you can still get what like a dollar

304
00:15:21,480 --> 00:15:24,559
forty on on a Brown, Brian, What's what does that

305
00:15:24,600 --> 00:15:25,320
look like right now?

306
00:15:25,399 --> 00:15:27,600
Speaker 3: It's about one across the border right now.

307
00:15:28,200 --> 00:15:31,600
Speaker 1: Yeah, Like if that ends up being Chris Weller or Harrison,

308
00:15:31,639 --> 00:15:34,360
which my gut says it's either of those two, I

309
00:15:34,399 --> 00:15:37,440
think the Astros go off like minus one fifty minus

310
00:15:37,440 --> 00:15:40,279
one fifty five because because Brown's gonna get that type

311
00:15:40,279 --> 00:15:43,879
of respect. So that is a that's just how I

312
00:15:43,919 --> 00:15:46,000
see that one. I don't know if I'll play it,

313
00:15:46,039 --> 00:15:50,480
but Astros is enticing. Especially Jeremy Payne is a big

314
00:15:50,519 --> 00:15:52,919
boost to that lineup right now, and he was knocking

315
00:15:52,919 --> 00:15:54,759
to cover off the ball in his in his rehab

316
00:15:55,399 --> 00:15:58,559
appearances the last few days. So it's an interesting game.

317
00:15:58,600 --> 00:16:03,279
All right, let's uh, let's continue on. I'm gonna grab

318
00:16:03,320 --> 00:16:05,919
one at Oh, Colin Gregory likes Astros.

319
00:16:06,159 --> 00:16:06,519
Speaker 2: I think that.

320
00:16:06,639 --> 00:16:09,720
Speaker 1: Yeah, he's saying Astro's money line. All right, good luck

321
00:16:09,759 --> 00:16:14,279
if you play that. Let's grab here we go. Let's

322
00:16:14,320 --> 00:16:18,320
go to mister Nance in the chat Mets Giants please,

323
00:16:18,399 --> 00:16:19,200
Mets going for it.

324
00:16:19,240 --> 00:16:22,279
Speaker 2: Finally got a center field. The Mets were active.

325
00:16:22,799 --> 00:16:26,840
Speaker 1: They made some moves that think they're staking claim to

326
00:16:26,879 --> 00:16:31,279
being a really serious contender in the National League. At

327
00:16:31,279 --> 00:16:33,399
one point earlier this year, Brian Leonard I had the

328
00:16:33,440 --> 00:16:36,559
Mets rated number one of all of all of the

329
00:16:36,639 --> 00:16:38,440
National League teams, and that was for a good point

330
00:16:38,440 --> 00:16:40,360
in the first half, really, until they went on that

331
00:16:40,559 --> 00:16:43,320
swoon where they lost like ten of eleven in the

332
00:16:43,360 --> 00:16:44,080
middle of June.

333
00:16:44,799 --> 00:16:45,200
Speaker 2: I don't know.

334
00:16:45,240 --> 00:16:46,879
Speaker 1: I think I might have them back at the top.

335
00:16:47,000 --> 00:16:49,320
I like what they did at the deadline. I think

336
00:16:49,360 --> 00:16:53,320
this team is really really good, and I'm gonna have

337
00:16:53,360 --> 00:16:55,399
to come on and admit when I'm wrong. I think

338
00:16:55,399 --> 00:16:57,960
I was a little bit wrong about the Giants. They

339
00:16:58,000 --> 00:17:01,840
really haven't capitalized on that trade. So, Mets Giants, were

340
00:17:01,840 --> 00:17:03,600
you out in these two teams? How you seeing this game?

341
00:17:05,279 --> 00:17:08,400
Speaker 3: Mets Giants? The Giants for sending out Robbie Ray, who

342
00:17:08,440 --> 00:17:10,680
a lot of people thought would be traded, and he wasn't.

343
00:17:11,200 --> 00:17:14,519
They she didn't get the offers. I guess against Peterson.

344
00:17:15,119 --> 00:17:18,559
Peterson right now about a one thirty nine favorite total

345
00:17:18,640 --> 00:17:21,680
of seven to the over heavy or seven and a

346
00:17:21,680 --> 00:17:24,680
half to the under heavy. A couple of lefties going

347
00:17:25,319 --> 00:17:28,359
in this one. Yeah, the Mets, I thought, did a

348
00:17:28,400 --> 00:17:33,240
really nice job over the trade deadline, so I'm excited

349
00:17:33,279 --> 00:17:39,039
to see that. It makes you wonder right now, who

350
00:17:39,279 --> 00:17:43,400
is really the major contenders coming out of the National League.

351
00:17:43,400 --> 00:17:45,559
I mean, the Dodgers really didn't do much, didn't have to.

352
00:17:45,599 --> 00:17:48,559
They've got so many guys that are hurt. But the

353
00:17:48,599 --> 00:17:53,519
Mets are all in and that that bullpen is awesome

354
00:17:53,599 --> 00:17:56,640
now that in the pitching they've gett they've had this

355
00:17:56,720 --> 00:17:59,079
year and the way they've been able to work that

356
00:17:59,119 --> 00:18:01,519
this is a team be hard to score runs against.

357
00:18:01,839 --> 00:18:03,640
You're going to be able to hit in San Francisco

358
00:18:03,720 --> 00:18:06,000
is a team that just has not been hitting lately.

359
00:18:07,039 --> 00:18:09,920
So obviously, if you're looking at this game, that number

360
00:18:09,960 --> 00:18:11,640
may be a little bit cheap here on the on

361
00:18:11,799 --> 00:18:14,839
the Mets about the you know the one thirty eight

362
00:18:14,920 --> 00:18:17,559
one forty range with a total of seven and a

363
00:18:17,599 --> 00:18:22,160
half to the under. I do like Riby Ray. He's

364
00:18:22,200 --> 00:18:24,640
he's a nice strakeout guy, and he's come back from

365
00:18:25,640 --> 00:18:28,039
his injuries and he's really pitched well this year two

366
00:18:28,039 --> 00:18:31,359
point nine three e RA three point three to two expected,

367
00:18:31,440 --> 00:18:34,160
so he's been really solid one point one four whip.

368
00:18:34,799 --> 00:18:37,079
But when you take a look at his stackcast page.

369
00:18:37,119 --> 00:18:40,799
There is a lot of blue average exa velocity eleventh percentile,

370
00:18:40,920 --> 00:18:44,559
hard hit rate nineteenth walk grade twenty fourth. That's always

371
00:18:44,559 --> 00:18:46,400
been a problem a little bit with the walks for

372
00:18:46,880 --> 00:18:50,799
Riby Ray, the Mets, with Peterson, the guys, you know,

373
00:18:50,839 --> 00:18:54,079
the last two years, he's really coming to his own

374
00:18:54,160 --> 00:18:57,880
this year two point eight three RA two point nine zero.

375
00:18:58,039 --> 00:18:59,920
The last two years, you know, we talk about win.

376
00:19:00,039 --> 00:19:02,319
His losses don't really mean anything. But he's seventeen to seven.

377
00:19:02,799 --> 00:19:05,599
He's doing his job for the Mets. Four point twenty

378
00:19:05,640 --> 00:19:08,559
four expected era though, which is, you know, one and

379
00:19:08,559 --> 00:19:12,079
a half runs basically this far into the season. Last

380
00:19:12,119 --> 00:19:13,799
year it was the same way he was at two

381
00:19:13,799 --> 00:19:16,319
point nine oh eira four point five to six. So

382
00:19:16,799 --> 00:19:18,680
maybe just one of those guys that is able to

383
00:19:18,720 --> 00:19:23,119
beat his expected numbers. Ground ball percentage ninety five fifth

384
00:19:23,119 --> 00:19:27,880
percentile extension ninety fifth percentile. He's six foot six, but

385
00:19:28,200 --> 00:19:30,720
he has a tendency to get hits hard hit rates

386
00:19:30,720 --> 00:19:34,559
in the twelfth percentile. Average eggson velocity thirteenth. His fastball

387
00:19:34,680 --> 00:19:38,039
velosity is only in the fourteenth. His fast pour seimers

388
00:19:38,079 --> 00:19:41,240
at ninety two point three, which is about one mile

389
00:19:41,240 --> 00:19:44,839
an hour low for a lefty does throw five pitches

390
00:19:45,440 --> 00:19:48,200
and they're all twelve percent or more. So he's a

391
00:19:48,200 --> 00:19:51,279
guy that mixes it up really well. I prefer the

392
00:19:51,319 --> 00:19:53,839
Mets here. I think the line is actually a little

393
00:19:53,839 --> 00:19:56,559
bit cheap here going against San Francisco the way the

394
00:19:56,599 --> 00:20:00,960
Giants are playing right now, So that's a I'm interested in.

395
00:20:01,000 --> 00:20:03,079
With Peterson against Ray today, I think it's a little

396
00:20:03,079 --> 00:20:06,880
bit cheap for that home favorite. Yeah.

397
00:20:06,920 --> 00:20:10,039
Speaker 4: The way I break this one down is I first

398
00:20:10,119 --> 00:20:13,200
look at the starting pitching and bullpen, and like Brian said,

399
00:20:13,240 --> 00:20:17,000
Peterson's having a great season. On a curve of thirty,

400
00:20:17,079 --> 00:20:18,960
I have him ranked number nine, so he's in the

401
00:20:19,000 --> 00:20:21,359
top one third of all starting pitchers, and Robbie Ray's

402
00:20:21,400 --> 00:20:25,680
not much behind him. Robbie Ray started out really hot.

403
00:20:25,720 --> 00:20:27,640
I think at one point he was like nine wins

404
00:20:27,640 --> 00:20:30,319
and no loss something like that. He started out really hot,

405
00:20:31,440 --> 00:20:33,079
cooled off a little bit, but I got him ranked

406
00:20:33,079 --> 00:20:35,880
thirteen on a curve of thirty. Not bad. Both bullpen's

407
00:20:35,960 --> 00:20:40,559
top ten, but neither team is producing runs right now.

408
00:20:40,559 --> 00:20:43,799
I have him both ranked twenty two, so that's current form.

409
00:20:43,839 --> 00:20:46,680
Though obviously the Mets have a lot more talent than

410
00:20:46,720 --> 00:20:49,440
the Giants do, the Mets have a lot more run

411
00:20:49,519 --> 00:20:54,240
producing potential. One interesting thing, though, is if you look

412
00:20:54,279 --> 00:20:57,440
at how each pitcher faces the batters they're facing today,

413
00:20:57,519 --> 00:21:02,119
they both have been hit pretty hard, actually, especially Peterson.

414
00:21:02,400 --> 00:21:04,920
So if you look at how Peterson's performed against these batteries,

415
00:21:04,960 --> 00:21:07,640
you have three point thirty nine average against in an

416
00:21:07,680 --> 00:21:10,359
eight ninety one. Ops. It's not terrible, it's not horrible,

417
00:21:10,720 --> 00:21:14,200
it's not really good. I was looking at his outs

418
00:21:14,240 --> 00:21:18,160
over maybe because the Giants are just flaccid at the plate,

419
00:21:18,720 --> 00:21:21,599
but given those numbers, that's gonna shine me off of

420
00:21:21,640 --> 00:21:25,599
that play. So then I thought, well, since both pitchers

421
00:21:25,599 --> 00:21:29,240
get hit pretty hard, maybe an over. But with two

422
00:21:29,359 --> 00:21:32,359
really good bullpens and one lineup not producing, I don't

423
00:21:32,400 --> 00:21:34,720
think I like the over either. So the last thing

424
00:21:34,759 --> 00:21:38,119
I looked at was how who's who's hitting David Peterson

425
00:21:38,200 --> 00:21:41,599
this well, Well, it happens to be Raphael Devers, he's

426
00:21:41,759 --> 00:21:44,200
five for thirteen. And then I looked at who's hitting

427
00:21:44,279 --> 00:21:48,160
Robbie Ray really well, tends to be Starling Marte, who's

428
00:21:48,240 --> 00:21:51,240
nine for twenty five in his career. So maybe I

429
00:21:51,240 --> 00:21:53,160
would look at a prop for one of those two

430
00:21:53,200 --> 00:21:55,640
guys but I wouldn't argue if you wanted to take

431
00:21:55,640 --> 00:21:56,079
the Mets.

432
00:21:58,319 --> 00:22:01,079
Speaker 1: So someone in the chat asked about Soto, he'll be

433
00:22:01,240 --> 00:22:03,400
he'll play tonight. I think he got a day off

434
00:22:03,519 --> 00:22:05,440
just to give him an extra day off. That's that's

435
00:22:05,440 --> 00:22:08,000
I had a sore foot. I believe they just gave

436
00:22:08,039 --> 00:22:10,160
him Wednesday off because they knew they had the off

437
00:22:10,240 --> 00:22:13,599
day Thursday. So I fully expect him to play tonight.

438
00:22:14,319 --> 00:22:18,480
Steve Duke says Peterson is really good. Peterson is a

439
00:22:18,519 --> 00:22:22,640
fascinating sort of case to me. So every once in

440
00:22:22,680 --> 00:22:25,240
a while up here in Syracuse, New York, your boy

441
00:22:25,279 --> 00:22:28,079
gets a little bit of access here, you know, very

442
00:22:28,839 --> 00:22:31,240
it's rare, but every once in a while, you know,

443
00:22:31,359 --> 00:22:35,000
I get in to a Syracuse Mets game, we know

444
00:22:35,079 --> 00:22:37,240
some people and and you know, get down to the

445
00:22:37,240 --> 00:22:41,279
field and stuff like that. So two years ago or

446
00:22:41,359 --> 00:22:44,480
last year, I'm sorry, last year, Peterson was up here

447
00:22:44,480 --> 00:22:47,400
for an extended period of time doing some rehab, and

448
00:22:47,480 --> 00:22:51,480
so I made my way into a postgame thing where

449
00:22:51,480 --> 00:22:53,720
they were talking to him, and he made a comment

450
00:22:54,160 --> 00:22:57,519
to the extent of like he basically so this is

451
00:22:57,599 --> 00:22:59,519
this is a guy that had hip surgery two years

452
00:22:59,559 --> 00:23:02,039
ago in the off season. So he started his season

453
00:23:02,119 --> 00:23:04,839
last year here in Syracuse, and he pretty much came

454
00:23:04,839 --> 00:23:08,000
out and said, he's like, I'm pitching pain free for

455
00:23:08,039 --> 00:23:10,440
the first time in my major league career. He's a

456
00:23:10,839 --> 00:23:13,799
he said, it's been three years. So if you look

457
00:23:13,839 --> 00:23:16,680
at his career he started in twenty twenty, he had

458
00:23:16,720 --> 00:23:19,640
he was pretty good in that COVID twenty twenty years

459
00:23:19,680 --> 00:23:23,680
shortened season. His numbers are pretty good precipitus drop off

460
00:23:23,720 --> 00:23:27,000
twenty twenty one, twenty twenty two, twenty twenty three, and

461
00:23:27,079 --> 00:23:30,440
he basically said, I have been in severe pain for

462
00:23:30,599 --> 00:23:35,279
most of that stretch last year extended rehab here in Syracuse.

463
00:23:35,599 --> 00:23:37,359
What has he done since at the big league level.

464
00:23:37,640 --> 00:23:40,279
His ERA is under three and he's got a whip

465
00:23:40,279 --> 00:23:41,640
in like the one point twos.

466
00:23:41,880 --> 00:23:42,039
Speaker 2: Right.

467
00:23:42,359 --> 00:23:44,359
Speaker 1: If he had done now, this is a former first

468
00:23:44,440 --> 00:23:48,839
round pick twenty seventeen draft, he's a first rounder. If

469
00:23:49,000 --> 00:23:51,559
he had been doing that his whole career, we'd be

470
00:23:51,680 --> 00:23:55,119
pricing David Peterson like he's Zach Wheeler, right, like he

471
00:23:55,160 --> 00:23:57,599
would be he'd be in the mix like we talk

472
00:23:57,640 --> 00:24:00,400
about him, like we talk about Hunter Brown and these

473
00:24:00,519 --> 00:24:04,480
like guys that have really been like aces because form

474
00:24:04,480 --> 00:24:07,680
a first round pick. If he's had a under three

475
00:24:07,759 --> 00:24:09,680
e er and a one to two whip this whole time,

476
00:24:09,839 --> 00:24:12,880
he'd be treated like a legitimate ace. He's not treated

477
00:24:12,880 --> 00:24:15,200
like a legitimate ace because he was sort of looked

478
00:24:15,200 --> 00:24:17,319
at like a bust for a few years when he

479
00:24:17,359 --> 00:24:19,200
was getting knocked around. But how much of that goes

480
00:24:19,240 --> 00:24:21,839
back to him just being in I mean, dude, hip

481
00:24:21,880 --> 00:24:24,920
surgery for a guy his age is uncommon, so he

482
00:24:25,000 --> 00:24:27,480
must have been in some real pain, Like you just

483
00:24:27,480 --> 00:24:30,240
don't see guys in their twenties having hip surgery. So

484
00:24:31,279 --> 00:24:34,839
the fact that since the injury that he's like if

485
00:24:34,839 --> 00:24:36,599
you just look at his numbers the last two years,

486
00:24:36,599 --> 00:24:39,240
like in my opinion, the market is nowhere near where

487
00:24:39,279 --> 00:24:41,720
they should be on this guy. And then you start

488
00:24:41,759 --> 00:24:43,880
to look at some of the underlying metrics for this

489
00:24:43,960 --> 00:24:47,039
season and it's it's pretty good. It's you know, he's

490
00:24:47,039 --> 00:24:49,880
got I guess some of the expected era stuff is

491
00:24:49,880 --> 00:24:52,400
is it doesn't really concern me because what are they

492
00:24:52,400 --> 00:24:54,359
basing that off of, really, like you know what I mean,

493
00:24:54,400 --> 00:24:57,400
like like I don't know, he's got he gets ground balls,

494
00:24:59,000 --> 00:25:01,440
Like all the stuff is pretty good. Maybe it's because

495
00:25:01,440 --> 00:25:03,240
he doesn't get a ton of swing and miss, but

496
00:25:04,200 --> 00:25:06,960
I you know, I don't know. I like Peterson, So

497
00:25:07,400 --> 00:25:10,359
that was my ability to add some context there as

498
00:25:10,400 --> 00:25:13,119
to like why I'm higher on him than I think

499
00:25:13,200 --> 00:25:15,839
most are. And so yeah, I gotta agree with you, Brian,

500
00:25:16,160 --> 00:25:17,960
Mets are a little short here, go ahead.

501
00:25:18,160 --> 00:25:20,039
Speaker 3: Yeah, He's probably have another with a one point nine

502
00:25:20,039 --> 00:25:23,119
to one ERA at home also, so he's been very

503
00:25:23,119 --> 00:25:25,480
good in Robbie Raid like most people, we kind of

504
00:25:25,480 --> 00:25:28,160
talked about this, let's see, I think yesterday or the

505
00:25:28,240 --> 00:25:31,279
day before about the home road economy for the pitchers,

506
00:25:31,279 --> 00:25:33,079
and Robbie Ray's been better at home than he has

507
00:25:33,119 --> 00:25:35,440
been on the road. But both these teams. San Francisco

508
00:25:35,519 --> 00:25:39,559
is a good pitching ballpark and obviously the Mets playing

509
00:25:39,559 --> 00:25:44,559
a good pitching ballpark also, So yeah, I think the Mets.

510
00:25:45,599 --> 00:25:47,920
I'm just looking over some of the line moves in

511
00:25:48,039 --> 00:25:50,920
some of the games right now, and like Seattle's taking

512
00:25:50,960 --> 00:25:53,200
a lot of money and a lot of these teams

513
00:25:53,200 --> 00:25:56,279
that really played well and had been playing well and

514
00:25:56,599 --> 00:26:00,920
really really look good with their what they've done over

515
00:26:01,000 --> 00:26:05,680
the the trade deadline, I've taken it. I've taken a

516
00:26:05,720 --> 00:26:08,039
lot of money, so it wo not surprise me to

517
00:26:08,079 --> 00:26:11,200
see the Mets take more money as the day goes on.

518
00:26:11,279 --> 00:26:17,000
Speaker 1: Here, All right, let's go to this game since it's

519
00:26:17,039 --> 00:26:20,759
always a huge topic of interest on this show. Gee

520
00:26:20,799 --> 00:26:23,519
Hurt says, I hate to say it, but Phillies minus

521
00:26:23,559 --> 00:26:25,880
one fifty today, I think it's a great price against

522
00:26:25,880 --> 00:26:28,880
my Tigers. A bunch of lefties on the road, and

523
00:26:28,920 --> 00:26:33,720
the Tiger's hitting against a lefty Green not good, no Carpenter,

524
00:26:33,759 --> 00:26:37,440
and the lineup most likely against the lefty. I talked

525
00:26:37,440 --> 00:26:40,400
to some Tigers fans. They weren't really thrilled with how

526
00:26:40,440 --> 00:26:45,319
the deadline played out. So do you like now it

527
00:26:45,319 --> 00:26:48,079
doesn't again, I'm I'm not I'm not gonna like bail

528
00:26:48,119 --> 00:26:50,240
on the Tigers for that. I think that's just very

529
00:26:50,960 --> 00:26:52,680
it's very much like kind of what they've been the

530
00:26:52,759 --> 00:26:55,599
last couple of years. But like, do you think the

531
00:26:55,640 --> 00:26:57,680
team was expecting them to make a splash and they

532
00:26:57,759 --> 00:26:59,240
kind of It felt like they kind of just went

533
00:26:59,279 --> 00:27:00,759
out got some guys.

534
00:27:01,240 --> 00:27:04,480
Speaker 2: You know, I don't know that they like really improve

535
00:27:04,559 --> 00:27:05,039
their team.

536
00:27:05,400 --> 00:27:07,319
Speaker 1: It feels like they got more guys that are just

537
00:27:07,480 --> 00:27:12,039
like fit into this sort of Tiger's team where it's like, yeah,

538
00:27:12,079 --> 00:27:14,240
maybe they could be at Triple A. Maybe they could

539
00:27:14,400 --> 00:27:16,640
be a platoon guy. Maybe they can fill a role

540
00:27:16,920 --> 00:27:17,720
paddock to eat.

541
00:27:17,599 --> 00:27:18,279
Speaker 2: Up some innings.

542
00:27:19,240 --> 00:27:21,119
Speaker 1: Where are you at on that, Brian, Because I feel

543
00:27:21,119 --> 00:27:23,640
like if I'm a player on that Tiger's team, a

544
00:27:23,680 --> 00:27:26,200
little bit disappointed that they didn't improve the team more.

545
00:27:26,640 --> 00:27:29,599
Speaker 3: Yeah, they brought in seven pitchers, and I think the

546
00:27:29,680 --> 00:27:32,799
Detroit strength is they're pitching, so that was a little

547
00:27:32,799 --> 00:27:35,920
bit strange. They did bring in some guys that have

548
00:27:36,000 --> 00:27:41,200
some have some time left where they can possibly use

549
00:27:41,240 --> 00:27:43,559
them in the future. I think they treated it sort

550
00:27:43,559 --> 00:27:45,920
of like how Tampa Bay and I mentioned that yesterday,

551
00:27:46,799 --> 00:27:49,000
how Tampa Bay treats it. So maybe they're just looking

552
00:27:49,000 --> 00:27:51,079
for a little bit of depth. If you are looking

553
00:27:51,119 --> 00:27:53,880
for depth, relief, pitching is the way to do it

554
00:27:53,920 --> 00:27:58,119
because starters, you're only going to use three starters basically

555
00:27:58,559 --> 00:28:01,920
when the playoffs start, you rarely go deeper than that.

556
00:28:02,640 --> 00:28:07,720
So yeah, it's they didn't make any big, big changes,

557
00:28:07,759 --> 00:28:09,960
but I think they like their team as what it

558
00:28:10,119 --> 00:28:12,480
is right now, and they're not going to spend a

559
00:28:12,519 --> 00:28:14,640
lot of money. We talked about that earlier. People talking

560
00:28:14,640 --> 00:28:18,519
about schemes, make it, makeing it going to Detroit as

561
00:28:18,559 --> 00:28:21,400
a free agent. That's not going to happen. They really

562
00:28:21,440 --> 00:28:23,160
have to bring out a lot of money doing that

563
00:28:23,240 --> 00:28:27,119
kind of thing. But Flarity's uh up against Suarez here

564
00:28:27,240 --> 00:28:30,400
sar Az the lefty about a one what about a

565
00:28:30,440 --> 00:28:33,440
one forty eight favorite? Uh seven and a half to

566
00:28:33,559 --> 00:28:36,880
the over, eight and a half to the under. That

567
00:28:36,960 --> 00:28:43,400
kind of thing. Uh. Clarity's splits are a concern. On

568
00:28:43,480 --> 00:28:46,000
the season. It's home games three point three eight e

569
00:28:46,119 --> 00:28:49,519
ra A, road games six point two eight e ra

570
00:28:49,519 --> 00:28:52,319
A one point five to one with compared to one

571
00:28:52,359 --> 00:28:55,839
point one three at home. He's obviously a guy on

572
00:28:55,880 --> 00:28:59,759
the road that you look to go against. And his

573
00:29:00,039 --> 00:29:02,000
numbers when you when you take it every look at

574
00:29:02,039 --> 00:29:04,880
everything overall four point five to one ERA three point

575
00:29:04,960 --> 00:29:08,519
nine one expected one point two eight whip a great

576
00:29:08,519 --> 00:29:12,640
strike up a percentage eighty ninth percentile with rate seventy seventh.

577
00:29:12,640 --> 00:29:15,119
He is good in that. But you can get hit

578
00:29:15,160 --> 00:29:19,000
hard barrel rate fourteenth percentile, ground ball rate only in

579
00:29:19,039 --> 00:29:24,680
the fifteenth percentile, hard hit rate twenty second percentile. So

580
00:29:24,759 --> 00:29:27,559
he's a guy that I think we'll be able to

581
00:29:27,559 --> 00:29:29,640
get hit here in Philadelphia. And this is a pretty

582
00:29:29,640 --> 00:29:33,640
good hitters Ballpark Rangers. Suare has been terrific this year

583
00:29:33,680 --> 00:29:36,640
two point five nine ERA, three point one six expected

584
00:29:37,039 --> 00:29:40,519
one point one seven, whip a lot of red, especially

585
00:29:40,559 --> 00:29:43,720
hard hit rate ninety ninth percentile and heard hit rate

586
00:29:44,200 --> 00:29:49,000
ninety nine percentile and average eggs of velocity very good.

587
00:29:49,079 --> 00:29:51,880
Pitcher doesn't have a lot of extension and as fast

588
00:29:51,920 --> 00:29:55,640
ball velocities only in the eighth percentile. But he only

589
00:29:55,680 --> 00:29:57,640
throws his four sent or fourteen percent of the time.

590
00:29:57,680 --> 00:30:00,200
I love that when you don't have a good at

591
00:30:00,240 --> 00:30:02,519
fastball or said it all along, anybody, any major league

592
00:30:02,559 --> 00:30:05,640
hitter can hit a fastball. So when you've got six

593
00:30:05,680 --> 00:30:07,640
pitches like he does, especially you know he was a

594
00:30:07,680 --> 00:30:10,119
slider one percent of the time, but basically five pitches,

595
00:30:10,759 --> 00:30:12,960
I sinker is changing his cutter and his curve. He

596
00:30:13,000 --> 00:30:15,640
throws more than his four steamer. He is a guy

597
00:30:15,880 --> 00:30:17,960
when I'm looking to bet, he's the guy that I

598
00:30:18,279 --> 00:30:20,960
like because he's not a guy who even though he

599
00:30:21,000 --> 00:30:23,240
did have a win twelve games last year with a

600
00:30:23,480 --> 00:30:25,920
three point four six CIRA, when you take a look

601
00:30:25,960 --> 00:30:30,880
at this Philadelphia starting rotation, he's like an afterthought and

602
00:30:31,440 --> 00:30:34,359
he's got good betting value on him. I like the

603
00:30:34,359 --> 00:30:37,799
Phillies as a whole. And yeah, if I had to

604
00:30:37,799 --> 00:30:40,559
play this, I'd play Suarez at home. Like I said,

605
00:30:40,599 --> 00:30:44,480
you're getting him for basically one fifty one fifty range,

606
00:30:44,480 --> 00:30:46,799
which is really sixty percent of the time. They're saying

607
00:30:47,240 --> 00:30:49,920
that Philadelphia is going to win this game, especially the

608
00:30:49,920 --> 00:30:52,599
way that True Detroit has played over the last month

609
00:30:52,680 --> 00:30:55,839
or so. I prefer Philly here. I'd leave the chimp.

610
00:30:58,079 --> 00:31:00,519
Speaker 4: Ain't no way I'm playing Philly in this. There's a

611
00:31:00,559 --> 00:31:03,960
couple of stats here that really worry me to if

612
00:31:03,960 --> 00:31:08,079
I were to take Philadelphia here, and I'm not for sure,

613
00:31:08,519 --> 00:31:14,720
Flarity has absolutely dominated these batters Swarber, Harper, I expect

614
00:31:14,720 --> 00:31:18,200
nothing from them today against Flarity. If you look at

615
00:31:18,200 --> 00:31:22,640
Suarez's era at home, it's four plus and against these batters.

616
00:31:22,640 --> 00:31:25,759
In his career, he has a three seventy five average

617
00:31:25,799 --> 00:31:28,799
against in a nine to twelve ops. Again, he's been tagged.

618
00:31:29,599 --> 00:31:32,200
There is one play I like here, it's the ranger

619
00:31:32,240 --> 00:31:35,000
Suarez hits allowed over four and a half. I think

620
00:31:35,240 --> 00:31:37,200
for sure the Tigers are going to get at least

621
00:31:37,240 --> 00:31:40,240
five hits off Suarez here. Well, nothing's for sure in

622
00:31:40,279 --> 00:31:43,599
sports betting, so I shouldn't say things like for sure

623
00:31:43,680 --> 00:31:47,039
and Locke and things like that. But the Tigers have

624
00:31:47,079 --> 00:31:49,960
had double digit hits in their last two games, and

625
00:31:50,400 --> 00:31:53,759
uh Suarez has allowed seven or more in a few

626
00:31:53,799 --> 00:31:56,480
of his last starts. So I think Tigers to get

627
00:31:56,519 --> 00:31:58,839
five hits here is a lot safer than taking them

628
00:31:58,839 --> 00:32:00,839
on the money line. Although I do think the Tigers

629
00:32:00,880 --> 00:32:06,200
win the game. You think again, okay, oh sure, yeah,

630
00:32:06,400 --> 00:32:08,079
they're the best team in MLV.

631
00:32:08,240 --> 00:32:11,640
Speaker 3: Still well, yeah, record.

632
00:32:12,240 --> 00:32:16,079
Speaker 1: I have some conflicting thoughts here, Like, I don't I

633
00:32:16,079 --> 00:32:18,480
don't see why you would think that. Why would Harper

634
00:32:18,480 --> 00:32:21,079
and Shober have no chance against Flaarity? They maul right

635
00:32:21,119 --> 00:32:23,440
handed pitching like, and it's just I mean, this is

636
00:32:23,519 --> 00:32:28,640
Jack Flarity's good. He's not He's not elite, he's good. Like,

637
00:32:29,000 --> 00:32:30,799
I'm not saying that I really want to fade him

638
00:32:30,839 --> 00:32:32,920
at this price. I don't really want to fade the

639
00:32:32,920 --> 00:32:35,119
Tigers right now, because I think the Tigers got their

640
00:32:35,599 --> 00:32:37,799
got their kind of bad run out of them. So

641
00:32:37,839 --> 00:32:39,920
I think I think they're sort of on the way

642
00:32:39,920 --> 00:32:42,920
back up. They're playing good ball. I asked the rhetorical

643
00:32:43,000 --> 00:32:46,000
question of like, you know, was was maybe the team

644
00:32:46,039 --> 00:32:48,359
a little bit disappointed that they didn't make a bigger splash,

645
00:32:48,400 --> 00:32:51,359
but I do feel like the trade deadline what the

646
00:32:51,400 --> 00:32:54,519
Tigers did was probably a result of a J. Hint saying, well,

647
00:32:54,559 --> 00:32:56,960
I'd like this, I'd like another, I'd like another starter

648
00:32:57,039 --> 00:32:58,839
to eat up innings. They got Paddick. I'll take a

649
00:32:58,839 --> 00:33:01,599
couple of bullpen arms. But as I'm like a literal god,

650
00:33:02,079 --> 00:33:04,720
mixing and matching is as good as no one is

651
00:33:04,720 --> 00:33:07,880
better in Major League Baseball right now would sort of

652
00:33:07,960 --> 00:33:10,160
like mixing and matching. And I do think Hinch maybe

653
00:33:10,200 --> 00:33:12,759
looked at that bullpen and said, you know, I don't

654
00:33:12,799 --> 00:33:16,240
have the confidence that I had last year, maybe like

655
00:33:16,319 --> 00:33:18,240
going two innings here or three innings there with some

656
00:33:18,279 --> 00:33:19,160
of the guys this year.

657
00:33:19,240 --> 00:33:20,480
Speaker 2: So you know, they grabbed.

658
00:33:21,000 --> 00:33:23,039
Speaker 1: I think the reliever from the Braves, like you know,

659
00:33:24,279 --> 00:33:25,960
Sean makes a good point which I pulled up on

660
00:33:26,000 --> 00:33:28,119
the thing like Carpenter out of the lineup against the

661
00:33:28,160 --> 00:33:30,680
lefty is irrelevant. He's always going to be out and

662
00:33:30,680 --> 00:33:33,880
then come into the game later, So go ahead. Brian

663
00:33:33,880 --> 00:33:34,599
would would.

664
00:33:34,440 --> 00:33:38,720
Speaker 3: Totally disagree with that. You've got a guy that's all

665
00:33:39,160 --> 00:33:41,799
gonna get four at bats and you're going to bring

666
00:33:41,839 --> 00:33:43,759
it you're only going to get two at best, why

667
00:33:43,799 --> 00:33:46,359
don't they bring in another lefty reliever while he's in there,

668
00:33:46,880 --> 00:33:49,680
he's going to get one at bat. It's I don't,

669
00:33:49,720 --> 00:33:52,279
I don't. I want want him to play the entire

670
00:33:52,319 --> 00:33:53,640
game is what I want.

671
00:33:54,880 --> 00:33:58,000
Speaker 1: So my question, I guess follow up would be the

672
00:33:58,279 --> 00:34:01,799
the Tigers have been against left handed pitching this year though,

673
00:34:02,000 --> 00:34:04,480
so clearly they like they they're he's pushing some of

674
00:34:04,519 --> 00:34:07,839
the right buttons when it comes to playing guys, not

675
00:34:07,880 --> 00:34:10,280
playing guys, platooning guys, because the Tigers haven't been bad

676
00:34:10,320 --> 00:34:12,719
against lefties, so, like you know what I mean, Like

677
00:34:12,760 --> 00:34:16,079
that's that's where it's like, Man, I see some short

678
00:34:16,400 --> 00:34:20,920
shortcomings on this Tigers team. But aj Hinches is that guy.

679
00:34:21,119 --> 00:34:23,559
And that's the thing, Like I don't like betting against

680
00:34:23,599 --> 00:34:26,360
aj Hinch because he is as good as a manager

681
00:34:26,480 --> 00:34:27,719
and we're getting a crunch time.

682
00:34:28,480 --> 00:34:30,679
Speaker 2: I still think the Tiger's gonna run away with this division.

683
00:34:31,239 --> 00:34:34,360
Speaker 1: Now, I don't love them in this series on the

684
00:34:34,400 --> 00:34:37,159
road in Philly, They're not gonna get swept.

685
00:34:37,400 --> 00:34:39,760
Speaker 2: I don't know. If this is a tough game, I'll.

686
00:34:39,599 --> 00:34:41,599
Speaker 1: Move it along because I really don't have a better

687
00:34:41,920 --> 00:34:42,599
opinion than that.

688
00:34:42,639 --> 00:34:45,519
Speaker 3: Go ahead, Brian, you said the Tiger's been runningway with

689
00:34:45,519 --> 00:34:48,400
the division. I like the job that Kansas City has done.

690
00:34:48,920 --> 00:34:51,519
Kansas City has set themselves up. You know, they were

691
00:34:51,519 --> 00:34:53,960
a little bit behind right now. But uh, they made

692
00:34:54,000 --> 00:34:56,000
some really nice moves during the trade deadline.

693
00:34:57,079 --> 00:35:02,119
Speaker 1: Yeah, they they definitely did. I just think it would

694
00:35:02,119 --> 00:35:04,960
be a massive It would take a lot for them

695
00:35:05,039 --> 00:35:07,599
to get back into the mix there, Yeah for sure,

696
00:35:08,320 --> 00:35:10,800
but yeah, they go ahead.

697
00:35:10,800 --> 00:35:14,159
Speaker 4: TV Flarity has a one sixty one average against in

698
00:35:14,159 --> 00:35:16,960
the six fifty six ops against in a huge sample

699
00:35:17,000 --> 00:35:20,920
size against these batters. So I think good.

700
00:35:23,639 --> 00:35:25,719
Speaker 3: Because he's terrible on the road.

701
00:35:26,079 --> 00:35:26,519
Speaker 4: We'll see.

702
00:35:26,519 --> 00:35:27,920
Speaker 1: That was when he was that when he was a

703
00:35:27,960 --> 00:35:29,440
card That was when he was a cardinal and he

704
00:35:29,519 --> 00:35:31,719
was good. Like he's I mean, like great, he's good.

705
00:35:31,840 --> 00:35:34,440
Speaker 4: Now you want to take those numbers and lay one

706
00:35:34,519 --> 00:35:37,519
fifty with the Phillies against the I.

707
00:35:37,440 --> 00:35:41,039
Speaker 2: Think is like a number three starter in the big

708
00:35:41,119 --> 00:35:41,719
leagues right now.

709
00:35:41,719 --> 00:35:43,079
Speaker 1: He's he's better.

710
00:35:42,880 --> 00:35:44,480
Speaker 4: Than in my opinion.

711
00:35:44,559 --> 00:35:48,360
Speaker 3: But oh no way here, there's no doubt.

712
00:35:48,480 --> 00:35:50,840
Speaker 4: We'll see, Okay, I could be wrong.

713
00:35:50,920 --> 00:35:53,559
Speaker 3: A little a little fun on the show, a little argument.

714
00:35:55,400 --> 00:35:58,239
Speaker 1: Moving on, Robert s says, I wonder if the Braves

715
00:35:58,320 --> 00:36:00,440
push Elder into the fifth inning after blowing up their

716
00:36:00,440 --> 00:36:04,119
pen yesterday, his out is over fifteen or his out

717
00:36:04,159 --> 00:36:06,280
prop over fifteen and a half is only minus one

718
00:36:06,280 --> 00:36:08,800
on nine. So we should talk about this game because

719
00:36:08,800 --> 00:36:12,800
it's a day game. We've got Friday Day baseball. Reason being,

720
00:36:12,840 --> 00:36:15,199
these two teams are going to play on a racetrack tomorrow,

721
00:36:15,280 --> 00:36:18,119
so they're going to play a day game today. If

722
00:36:18,119 --> 00:36:20,400
you don't know what I'm talking about, they're playing tomorrow's

723
00:36:20,400 --> 00:36:23,400
game at Bristol Motor Speedway in front of like ninety

724
00:36:23,440 --> 00:36:26,199
thousand people, so that should be fun. So they're gonna

725
00:36:26,239 --> 00:36:27,880
do a little getaway day so they can get down

726
00:36:27,960 --> 00:36:30,800
to Tennessee and it gives us day baseball today. Brian

727
00:36:30,880 --> 00:36:35,920
Leonard so very excited about that, Braves Reds. And then

728
00:36:35,920 --> 00:36:38,320
I guess we'll leave Tokyo. Brandon's kind of a resident

729
00:36:38,440 --> 00:36:41,639
out prop expert, so we'll leave that one for him.

730
00:36:41,639 --> 00:36:44,440
But are you getting involved this afternoon Brave's Reds.

731
00:36:44,719 --> 00:36:47,199
Speaker 3: Yeah, there's actually two to gay day games today Ballborn

732
00:36:47,320 --> 00:36:50,639
Chicago Cubs are playing. Everything else is at night. You

733
00:36:50,679 --> 00:36:53,960
say they're playing on a racetrack Yesterday, I was at

734
00:36:53,960 --> 00:36:56,960
the Aces game or not the Aces game, the Aviator's

735
00:36:56,960 --> 00:36:58,880
game last night, so I didn't get a chance to watch.

736
00:36:58,679 --> 00:37:01,920
Speaker 1: It tomorrow tomorrow is the racetrack game, Yes.

737
00:37:01,800 --> 00:37:05,639
Speaker 3: Yes, but they looked like they played on a racetrack yesterday.

738
00:37:06,320 --> 00:37:11,719
Scored sixteen runs in one inning. That the way these

739
00:37:11,800 --> 00:37:15,239
teams bullpens were yesterday. Yeah, I could see another higher

740
00:37:15,280 --> 00:37:18,639
scoring game here because that it did open nine to

741
00:37:18,719 --> 00:37:20,280
the over. Now it's a little bit nine and a

742
00:37:20,280 --> 00:37:22,719
half to the under mood slightly, but you've got Elder

743
00:37:22,760 --> 00:37:25,519
against Singer. Singer's about it looks to be about a

744
00:37:25,559 --> 00:37:29,239
one thirty five favorite total of nine and a half

745
00:37:29,280 --> 00:37:32,400
a little bit to the under here, but yeah, both

746
00:37:32,400 --> 00:37:35,880
of these teams yesterday. In fact, there was and we

747
00:37:36,000 --> 00:37:40,079
encourage everybody, as Brandon talks about, to get into the

748
00:37:40,119 --> 00:37:44,119
replay and talk about the games. And there was a

749
00:37:44,199 --> 00:37:48,480
general somebody in there that talked about he thought the

750
00:37:48,480 --> 00:37:50,599
the Braves are going to have a lot of success yesterday.

751
00:37:50,760 --> 00:37:54,159
He projected them to pick hit four home runs. They

752
00:37:54,239 --> 00:37:58,159
scored twelve runs without a home run. And then I

753
00:37:58,280 --> 00:38:00,400
made a comment, I said, how often do you see

754
00:38:00,400 --> 00:38:02,760
that in a baseball game a team will score eleven

755
00:38:02,840 --> 00:38:07,039
twelve runs without any long balls at all. That was

756
00:38:07,280 --> 00:38:12,440
a hitting exhibition yesterday, Singer against Elder here. So yeah,

757
00:38:12,639 --> 00:38:15,360
it's by the way, I've got a five percent play

758
00:38:15,400 --> 00:38:19,000
going today. I've already had, I've already posted it. I

759
00:38:19,000 --> 00:38:20,800
don't put out many five percent, so I do have

760
00:38:20,920 --> 00:38:23,360
that up right now. And I also have a free

761
00:38:23,360 --> 00:38:26,360
play up and we've won six straight free plays, so

762
00:38:26,400 --> 00:38:31,320
hopefully we can get you another winner there. But Rice

763
00:38:31,360 --> 00:38:34,679
Elder obviously has not looked very good. In fact, he's

764
00:38:35,280 --> 00:38:38,239
been really poor this year six point twenty nine ERA

765
00:38:38,239 --> 00:38:41,400
after that six point five to two ERA last year,

766
00:38:41,440 --> 00:38:44,280
and they have decent sample sizes. Last year was forty

767
00:38:44,360 --> 00:38:48,079
nine innings this year eighty seven expected the RA five

768
00:38:48,119 --> 00:38:51,360
point eighty five one point sixty one whip off of

769
00:38:51,400 --> 00:38:54,880
a one point sixty three the last year. Ground Ball

770
00:38:54,920 --> 00:38:57,760
percentage is the only thing he's good at eightieth percentile

771
00:38:57,840 --> 00:39:01,280
in that regard, which is important when he played in Cincinnati,

772
00:39:01,320 --> 00:39:04,559
and it is a great home home run hitting park,

773
00:39:04,719 --> 00:39:09,159
although as I mentioned yesterday, twelve runs no home runs

774
00:39:09,880 --> 00:39:13,920
expected DRA fourth percentile expected betting the average second. He's

775
00:39:13,960 --> 00:39:16,320
a guy I'm looking to fade, and if he does

776
00:39:16,360 --> 00:39:18,119
get more than five and a half innings here, that

777
00:39:18,199 --> 00:39:21,519
means it's a high scoring ball game. Braddy Singer four

778
00:39:21,559 --> 00:39:25,360
point six ERA, four point five to one, expected, one

779
00:39:25,400 --> 00:39:27,840
point three to three in the whip, his extensions in

780
00:39:27,880 --> 00:39:31,159
the ninety first percentile. He's six foot five, but everything

781
00:39:31,159 --> 00:39:34,400
else is blue. So we've got two pitchers here that

782
00:39:34,519 --> 00:39:37,920
I think are very hittable in a ballpark that is

783
00:39:38,079 --> 00:39:43,079
very hittable. And well, we know these teams can score.

784
00:39:43,119 --> 00:39:46,719
They've been able to score in the past. And as

785
00:39:46,800 --> 00:39:51,159
much as the Atlanta pitching staff worries me, he's still

786
00:39:51,199 --> 00:39:53,280
got some really good hitters here. They even got four

787
00:39:53,360 --> 00:39:55,519
hits out of their second basement, which I think is

788
00:39:55,519 --> 00:39:57,760
the first time all season he's probably got you know,

789
00:39:57,840 --> 00:40:00,920
three or more. He's having a terrible season, But you know,

790
00:40:00,960 --> 00:40:03,159
at nine and a half here in Cincinnati, with this

791
00:40:03,320 --> 00:40:06,639
two pictures, I kind of like the over here. These

792
00:40:06,679 --> 00:40:11,239
score ten runs and you get yourself a victory, and

793
00:40:11,320 --> 00:40:14,280
that's a root for the hitting to continue, like I

794
00:40:14,320 --> 00:40:15,000
did yesterday.

795
00:40:16,920 --> 00:40:20,320
Speaker 4: Definitely cannot argue with that. I like, I don't like

796
00:40:20,400 --> 00:40:23,639
either one of these pictures, and I especially don't like

797
00:40:23,679 --> 00:40:28,519
how Singer has has fared against the batteries he's facing today.

798
00:40:28,800 --> 00:40:31,519
What I really like about the over in this is

799
00:40:31,599 --> 00:40:36,199
both bullpens are playing really bad right now. I got

800
00:40:36,599 --> 00:40:40,039
Atlanta ranked twenty eighth and Cincinnati ranked twenty four out

801
00:40:40,079 --> 00:40:43,599
of thirty in current form. Not good current form, and

802
00:40:43,639 --> 00:40:46,840
that's not even including yesterday's game because my stats are

803
00:40:47,960 --> 00:40:51,400
excluded the day before, so there's no not too much

804
00:40:51,440 --> 00:40:55,679
recency bias. So yeah, I see an over here too.

805
00:40:55,719 --> 00:40:58,920
I did find a play that when I was scouring

806
00:40:58,960 --> 00:41:03,400
through the stats. Fortunately, I'm on Japan time, so right

807
00:41:03,440 --> 00:41:05,440
when the numbers come out, I have plenty of time

808
00:41:05,519 --> 00:41:07,599
because I'm still awake while you guys are all sleeping,

809
00:41:08,039 --> 00:41:11,039
and I can comb through the stats and Atlanta's team

810
00:41:11,039 --> 00:41:13,159
total in the first five over one and a half.

811
00:41:13,199 --> 00:41:15,840
I think it's a great play given the fact that

812
00:41:16,079 --> 00:41:18,280
they just crushed it yesterday. I think I think they

813
00:41:18,280 --> 00:41:20,920
can get the singer for at least two runs at

814
00:41:20,920 --> 00:41:23,559
the midpoint of this game. I'd like to make that

815
00:41:23,679 --> 00:41:26,440
my parlay leg, but I don't know if people can

816
00:41:26,679 --> 00:41:31,960
get that, so might be too complicated. So is that

817
00:41:32,079 --> 00:41:33,599
fair to make that my parlay leg?

818
00:41:33,639 --> 00:41:35,719
Speaker 2: If not, what did you want to make a TV?

819
00:41:35,800 --> 00:41:36,920
Sorry say that again.

820
00:41:37,199 --> 00:41:41,000
Speaker 4: Atlanta team total first five over one and a half.

821
00:41:41,760 --> 00:41:44,360
Speaker 3: The DraftKings is the only one that has the one

822
00:41:44,360 --> 00:41:47,480
and a half right now in its finus one sixty six. Yeah,

823
00:41:47,639 --> 00:41:49,960
the other places are two and a half under one

824
00:41:50,239 --> 00:41:53,239
sixty or so, so whichever you choose, but it's only

825
00:41:53,239 --> 00:41:57,039
available DraftKings at one and a half right now. Okay,

826
00:41:57,800 --> 00:41:58,119
you know.

827
00:41:58,159 --> 00:42:00,840
Speaker 1: That might that'll probably be to for people to get

828
00:42:00,840 --> 00:42:01,840
in because.

829
00:42:02,039 --> 00:42:05,599
Speaker 4: Okay, uh, let's do Let's do Atlanta over four and

830
00:42:05,639 --> 00:42:06,440
a half then.

831
00:42:07,039 --> 00:42:08,119
Speaker 2: Team total full game.

832
00:42:08,760 --> 00:42:12,960
Speaker 4: Yes, yes, I think what are.

833
00:42:12,840 --> 00:42:16,679
Speaker 1: We seeing that at Braves team total over four actuals?

834
00:42:16,960 --> 00:42:22,360
Speaker 3: You're actually getting at money. Yeah, it's I'm looking at

835
00:42:22,480 --> 00:42:29,199
uh under one seven, so it's pretty close to uh

836
00:42:30,039 --> 00:42:32,880
plus one oh five or something plus one oh five plus.

837
00:42:33,079 --> 00:42:34,840
Speaker 4: Yeah, that's what I see.

838
00:42:34,840 --> 00:42:39,440
Speaker 1: All that would be my leg Yeah, I I couldn't help,

839
00:42:39,480 --> 00:42:41,719
but like think when I was when I when I

840
00:42:41,760 --> 00:42:44,599
saw this matchup pop up, and I'm doing my work earlier,

841
00:42:45,360 --> 00:42:48,280
I'm I'm like, man, two months ago, I would have

842
00:42:48,280 --> 00:42:51,079
had a huge play on the reds here three months ago,

843
00:42:51,239 --> 00:42:53,079
like with knowing how knowing that I was high on

844
00:42:53,119 --> 00:42:56,039
Singer coming into the season, and I've been anti Rice

845
00:42:56,079 --> 00:42:58,800
Elder for a very long time. Coming off of a

846
00:42:58,840 --> 00:43:01,480
loss like this would have been and big play for

847
00:43:01,519 --> 00:43:04,480
me a few months ago. But I've just lost so

848
00:43:04,639 --> 00:43:06,920
much faith than Brady Singer at this point that I

849
00:43:07,000 --> 00:43:10,000
just don't know that I can lay a dollar thirty

850
00:43:10,039 --> 00:43:13,719
with him, which is just crazy to think because coming

851
00:43:13,719 --> 00:43:15,760
into the season, I thought he was going to have

852
00:43:16,440 --> 00:43:18,159
you know, he was the guy that came over they

853
00:43:18,199 --> 00:43:20,159
traded him for Jonathan India. I felt like, with the

854
00:43:20,199 --> 00:43:23,119
Reds pitching coaches and tweaking his pitch mix, that he

855
00:43:23,239 --> 00:43:25,360
was going to be really good this year, and he

856
00:43:25,480 --> 00:43:29,440
just hasn't been. So it's even though I kind of

857
00:43:29,440 --> 00:43:31,559
want to make a case for the Reds, it's very

858
00:43:31,639 --> 00:43:34,239
difficult to do that at the price and sort of

859
00:43:34,280 --> 00:43:37,280
with you know, with what Singer's kind of been so

860
00:43:37,400 --> 00:43:40,599
far this year, it's hard to disagree with the over

861
00:43:41,519 --> 00:43:44,840
you talk about like bullpen availability. And then you know,

862
00:43:44,880 --> 00:43:48,760
someone asked me on Twitter just now in a comment,

863
00:43:48,840 --> 00:43:51,800
so I'll bring it up. Can you talk about tomorrow's

864
00:43:51,800 --> 00:43:53,840
game because it's in their neck of the woods at

865
00:43:53,840 --> 00:43:54,480
the Speedway.

866
00:43:55,239 --> 00:43:57,880
Speaker 2: I mean, I would just watch how this game plays out.

867
00:43:57,920 --> 00:44:00,360
Speaker 1: You might be in line for an over tomorrow tomorrow,

868
00:44:00,440 --> 00:44:03,519
and of course Major League Baseball wants that they love

869
00:44:03,559 --> 00:44:05,719
to see fireworks, and you know, it seems like every

870
00:44:05,719 --> 00:44:09,360
time they have these type of games, they're like tilted

871
00:44:09,360 --> 00:44:11,719
to being a little bit more high scoring. Now, I

872
00:44:11,719 --> 00:44:14,599
wouldn't be surprised to see the books hang a ridiculous

873
00:44:14,679 --> 00:44:16,800
number to go over in that game.

874
00:44:17,000 --> 00:44:18,519
Speaker 2: So I don't know if it'll be a good bet.

875
00:44:18,599 --> 00:44:20,719
Speaker 1: But again, it's just it just goes back to what

876
00:44:20,800 --> 00:44:23,400
you two are saying. Kind of feels like there might

877
00:44:23,400 --> 00:44:25,920
be runs throughout this series, right because we just saw

878
00:44:25,920 --> 00:44:29,400
a twelve eleven game yesterday and there's really nothing to

879
00:44:29,440 --> 00:44:32,079
think that there won't be some more offense today. To

880
00:44:32,159 --> 00:44:35,800
go to Roberts' comment, the initial comment, Yeah, like they

881
00:44:35,840 --> 00:44:37,599
may try to push Elder in this game.

882
00:44:37,639 --> 00:44:40,239
Speaker 2: I don't know if that's very smart. Red should be

883
00:44:40,280 --> 00:44:41,119
able to handle him.

884
00:44:41,159 --> 00:44:43,199
Speaker 1: So I think you're only getting that over fifteen and

885
00:44:43,199 --> 00:44:45,599
a half outs if he's somewhat effective, and I have

886
00:44:45,800 --> 00:44:48,360
zero confidence in him being somewhat effective.

887
00:44:48,840 --> 00:44:52,519
Speaker 3: It's such a high game, he'll go longer because you're

888
00:44:52,519 --> 00:44:55,039
just trying to keep your team in the game. So

889
00:44:55,880 --> 00:44:59,159
like we think that, yeah.

890
00:44:58,199 --> 00:45:00,880
Speaker 1: It's a great point and it's it's I don't handicap

891
00:45:00,920 --> 00:45:02,559
that market because I would not have looked at it

892
00:45:02,559 --> 00:45:05,079
that way. So that's a very good point, Brian. Yeah,

893
00:45:05,079 --> 00:45:08,159
if there's back and forth scoring, then they might just say, hey,

894
00:45:08,239 --> 00:45:10,599
like just try not to give up fifteen runs in

895
00:45:10,639 --> 00:45:12,400
an inning and keep us in this game to the

896
00:45:12,519 --> 00:45:14,760
to the later portion of the of the game.

897
00:45:14,880 --> 00:45:17,039
Speaker 2: So interesting stuff.

898
00:45:17,039 --> 00:45:19,679
Speaker 1: But yeah, I have a hard time talking anyone here

899
00:45:19,800 --> 00:45:23,039
off of anything runs related.

900
00:45:23,400 --> 00:45:26,320
Speaker 2: So TV you, I hope your play gets there. Can't

901
00:45:26,400 --> 00:45:27,119
argue with it at all.

902
00:45:27,320 --> 00:45:29,760
Speaker 1: Over four and a half, Braves team total over four

903
00:45:29,800 --> 00:45:32,639
and a half the first leg of Friday's parlay, and

904
00:45:32,679 --> 00:45:35,360
there's plus money there, so might be on our way

905
00:45:35,400 --> 00:45:37,800
to one of those six to one jobs that we

906
00:45:37,880 --> 00:45:40,880
kind of need, you know after although we hit one

907
00:45:40,920 --> 00:45:44,320
the other day, still up eight eight point four units

908
00:45:44,320 --> 00:45:46,880
on the season, so we're doing all right there.

909
00:45:47,000 --> 00:45:49,119
Speaker 2: Titan CT, that's my guy.

910
00:45:49,199 --> 00:45:51,559
Speaker 1: He's been watching my stuff since before I was even

911
00:45:51,599 --> 00:45:54,519
at wager Talk, So anytime I see Titan CT in

912
00:45:54,599 --> 00:45:56,480
the chat, I got to give him a shout out.

913
00:45:56,800 --> 00:45:59,599
He says, kind of like the A's today. I kind

914
00:45:59,599 --> 00:46:01,320
of like the is today too, Brian Leonard, what do

915
00:46:01,360 --> 00:46:03,960
you think a's Diamondbacks?

916
00:46:06,360 --> 00:46:08,199
Speaker 2: Let me, I think we've got Lopez.

917
00:46:08,880 --> 00:46:10,880
Speaker 1: Yeah, oh, I think this is the I think this

918
00:46:10,920 --> 00:46:14,960
is Anthony d Scalfini speaking of the Reds. That's that's

919
00:46:15,000 --> 00:46:17,679
a blast from the past right there. So yeah, d

920
00:46:17,880 --> 00:46:19,119
Bac says.

921
00:46:19,039 --> 00:46:23,199
Speaker 3: Yeah, according to our website, we have nobody decided yet,

922
00:46:23,320 --> 00:46:29,559
so I yeah, I'll pass on it for now until

923
00:46:29,599 --> 00:46:31,320
I know who the starters are.

924
00:46:32,280 --> 00:46:37,599
Speaker 4: Well, you know what I might change? My th is

925
00:46:37,599 --> 00:46:38,199
that allowed?

926
00:46:39,960 --> 00:46:40,199
Speaker 1: Man?

927
00:46:40,719 --> 00:46:44,000
Speaker 4: Looking at this, I can't hear you, Adam, I think

928
00:46:44,000 --> 00:46:44,800
you're muted.

929
00:46:45,000 --> 00:46:47,119
Speaker 1: Yeah. Sorry, my dog's were barking. I said, you had

930
00:46:47,119 --> 00:46:48,559
the win the other day with the Red Sox and

931
00:46:48,559 --> 00:46:50,400
then you chan't. I feel like it's a bad.

932
00:46:50,519 --> 00:46:56,480
Speaker 4: I'm not changing, but man, athletics look good in this one.

933
00:46:56,840 --> 00:47:03,480
Uh not just the the what motivation or lack thereof

934
00:47:03,639 --> 00:47:07,440
of the Diamondbacks knowing that their entire team is being

935
00:47:07,440 --> 00:47:11,599
dismantled and management has no faith in them. But you know,

936
00:47:11,760 --> 00:47:14,880
these guys are still out there playing for contracts. But man,

937
00:47:15,039 --> 00:47:17,760
you know when your whole team just gets you know,

938
00:47:18,400 --> 00:47:20,800
deep pants, and you have nobody in your lineup and

939
00:47:20,840 --> 00:47:23,000
you have no good starters, I mean, it's it's just

940
00:47:23,199 --> 00:47:28,320
very demoralizing. I have the Diamondbacks batting twenty ninth out

941
00:47:28,320 --> 00:47:31,159
of thirty, and I got their bullpen at eighteen out

942
00:47:31,159 --> 00:47:36,199
of thirty. So conversely, I got the Oakland or the

943
00:47:36,239 --> 00:47:43,679
Athletics batting fifth, and I got their bullpen ranked eighth. Lopez, Yeah,

944
00:47:44,360 --> 00:47:46,960
he's just He's just an inning Zeter kind of guy.

945
00:47:47,000 --> 00:47:49,800
I mean, he's not great, he's not bad. He doesn't

946
00:47:49,800 --> 00:47:52,519
stand out, he doesn't really get bombed too bad, but

947
00:47:52,559 --> 00:47:54,920
he doesn't really have any master games or anything. I

948
00:47:54,920 --> 00:47:57,679
got him ranked thirteen out of thirty. Surprisingly, I didn't

949
00:47:57,679 --> 00:48:01,599
think he would be that high, but he is. I

950
00:48:01,599 --> 00:48:05,079
think he'll handle them well enough. He might give up

951
00:48:05,119 --> 00:48:07,719
two or three yearned runs in five innings, but that

952
00:48:08,119 --> 00:48:10,519
should be good enough to take care of the Diamondbacks here,

953
00:48:10,559 --> 00:48:14,280
given their poor bullpen in there and how bad Oakland

954
00:48:14,320 --> 00:48:16,920
is or the A's are clobbering the ball right now.

955
00:48:17,320 --> 00:48:19,880
So yeah, I love the A's here. What are they

956
00:48:19,920 --> 00:48:21,920
minus one twenty or something. I think it's a steal.

957
00:48:24,039 --> 00:48:27,199
Speaker 2: Yeah, So I was just doing some quick All of

958
00:48:27,239 --> 00:48:27,760
the UH.

959
00:48:29,360 --> 00:48:32,239
Speaker 1: DraftKings has the scal Fienie listed at this point, so

960
00:48:32,320 --> 00:48:37,519
I'm gonna like trust that that's probably pretty accurate, you know,

961
00:48:37,800 --> 00:48:40,039
and just knowing what like, so, I believe this would

962
00:48:40,039 --> 00:48:42,639
have been Merrill Kelly's spot in the rotation. So they

963
00:48:42,679 --> 00:48:45,119
obviously can't use him right because he's not on the

964
00:48:45,159 --> 00:48:48,360
team anymore. So my guess is, my guess is it's

965
00:48:48,360 --> 00:48:50,039
probably the Scalpini.

966
00:48:50,159 --> 00:48:52,440
Speaker 2: So I was. I gotta be honest, I couldn't believe.

967
00:48:52,519 --> 00:48:55,440
Speaker 1: Earlier this year he popped up at scrant and the

968
00:48:55,519 --> 00:48:57,519
Yankees signed him.

969
00:48:58,320 --> 00:48:59,000
Speaker 2: I don't think.

970
00:48:59,800 --> 00:49:02,960
Speaker 1: I don't think I was he out of baseball last year?

971
00:49:03,239 --> 00:49:04,159
Did he pitch at all?

972
00:49:04,199 --> 00:49:04,280
Speaker 4: Like?

973
00:49:04,639 --> 00:49:07,320
Speaker 1: I think he maybe had like a long term injury,

974
00:49:07,320 --> 00:49:09,719
injury that kept him out for a while. I was

975
00:49:09,760 --> 00:49:12,400
shocked when I saw him in a triple A start, Brian,

976
00:49:12,480 --> 00:49:14,119
do you do you know, like what was he out

977
00:49:14,159 --> 00:49:15,079
for like a full year?

978
00:49:17,400 --> 00:49:23,000
Speaker 3: Off the tip of my head, I don't know. So

979
00:49:23,639 --> 00:49:24,000
I don't know.

980
00:49:24,679 --> 00:49:26,599
Speaker 1: I mean, the reason I the reason I asked, I mean,

981
00:49:26,599 --> 00:49:28,920
this is a guy that has been around for a

982
00:49:28,960 --> 00:49:31,440
long time. He made his major league debut back in

983
00:49:31,480 --> 00:49:34,960
twenty fourteen. I remember those those years where the Reds

984
00:49:35,000 --> 00:49:37,360
really thought they had something in him. I remember him

985
00:49:37,639 --> 00:49:39,880
making his debut for the Reds, and they thought he

986
00:49:39,960 --> 00:49:42,280
was going to be a really good pitcher, kind of

987
00:49:42,280 --> 00:49:46,119
had his career derailed by injuries. I remember him coming

988
00:49:46,159 --> 00:49:49,960
back earlier this year with Scranton, and I was just like, man,

989
00:49:50,000 --> 00:49:52,360
this is this is what they're gonna try. This is

990
00:49:52,400 --> 00:49:54,159
what the Yankees are trying to do right now. I

991
00:49:54,199 --> 00:49:58,480
didn't I didn't really understand, you know, that move. And

992
00:49:58,519 --> 00:50:00,920
then all of a sudden he probably you know, gets

993
00:50:01,000 --> 00:50:03,320
d F eight or whatever, and then the Diamondbacks grab

994
00:50:03,400 --> 00:50:06,280
him and suddenly he's like in their bullpen. He actually

995
00:50:06,280 --> 00:50:09,000
threw a pretty good bullpen out in the other day

996
00:50:09,480 --> 00:50:12,480
two point eight one EER, so both from from the

997
00:50:12,519 --> 00:50:13,519
bullpen for Arizona.

998
00:50:13,559 --> 00:50:15,760
Speaker 2: Since being called up on July first, two.

999
00:50:15,639 --> 00:50:19,280
Speaker 1: Point eight one ERA, he's got a one point nine

1000
00:50:19,280 --> 00:50:21,360
to six batting average against the zero point nine to

1001
00:50:21,360 --> 00:50:24,679
four whip. So it's pretty good stuff right there. But

1002
00:50:24,719 --> 00:50:27,519
that's more long relief mop up duty. Two innings here,

1003
00:50:27,519 --> 00:50:30,840
three in's here, three inning's here, four innings here. I

1004
00:50:31,159 --> 00:50:34,480
don't really trust him as a starter. And then you

1005
00:50:34,559 --> 00:50:37,199
got this A's lineup man, who is when they get

1006
00:50:37,199 --> 00:50:39,760
a right handed pitcher and they're kind of rolling a

1007
00:50:39,800 --> 00:50:40,239
little bit.

1008
00:50:40,960 --> 00:50:43,119
Speaker 2: Pretty dangerous, So TV, I'm I'm with you.

1009
00:50:43,199 --> 00:50:47,239
Speaker 1: I think the A's are are just a tough team

1010
00:50:47,239 --> 00:50:50,239
to go against right now, just with sort of how

1011
00:50:50,320 --> 00:50:52,960
they're playing, and this is a type of pitchure that

1012
00:50:53,000 --> 00:50:55,280
they could really sort of knock around. So I don't

1013
00:50:55,280 --> 00:50:57,199
know if I'm gonna what I'm gonna do with that,

1014
00:50:57,280 --> 00:51:00,000
per se, but I kind of lean A's as well.

1015
00:51:00,880 --> 00:51:04,920
Speaker 3: Truth quick, Oh sorry, go ahead, I just want I

1016
00:51:04,960 --> 00:51:06,480
just want to let you know that he did not

1017
00:51:06,559 --> 00:51:10,079
pitch in the majors last year. In twenty twenty three,

1018
00:51:10,199 --> 00:51:14,480
he had eighteen starts ninety nine innings, and this year

1019
00:51:14,519 --> 00:51:16,400
he's just got the one start, but he has had

1020
00:51:16,920 --> 00:51:18,760
eight appearances.

1021
00:51:19,559 --> 00:51:23,400
Speaker 4: And I remember, just my two cents real quick, I

1022
00:51:23,400 --> 00:51:25,960
thought this line would be minus one sixty, minus one eighty.

1023
00:51:26,000 --> 00:51:27,840
So I think it's the election.

1024
00:51:29,760 --> 00:51:31,159
Speaker 1: Yeah, I should be mine.

1025
00:51:31,840 --> 00:51:36,280
Speaker 3: Both teams are very young. There's not like Arizona came

1026
00:51:36,320 --> 00:51:39,519
into the season. I mean, they they've had success lately,

1027
00:51:39,599 --> 00:51:42,000
but they've got so many young guys on this team.

1028
00:51:42,400 --> 00:51:45,119
You're you're you're writing them off, I believe too soon.

1029
00:51:45,880 --> 00:51:47,960
Uh And and the A's are a very young team

1030
00:51:47,960 --> 00:51:50,599
as well. And keep in mind the A's just traded

1031
00:51:50,639 --> 00:51:57,079
away their terrific closer and their shortstop is injured. So

1032
00:51:56,000 --> 00:51:59,800
the so they got I love the trade they got

1033
00:51:59,800 --> 00:52:03,920
back for debris, debris or whatever. But he's not He's

1034
00:52:03,960 --> 00:52:06,360
in lowe. He's in Single A right now, so it's

1035
00:52:06,360 --> 00:52:08,199
gonna be a while to he makes the team a

1036
00:52:08,239 --> 00:52:12,760
year or two or whatever. So, yeah, DA's aren't a

1037
00:52:12,760 --> 00:52:14,840
whole lot better in Arizona right now. I understand why

1038
00:52:14,880 --> 00:52:15,719
the line is where it is.

1039
00:52:16,360 --> 00:52:17,920
Speaker 2: Yeah, line line makes sense.

1040
00:52:18,079 --> 00:52:22,079
Speaker 1: I I mean, I do think there's a pitching edge

1041
00:52:22,079 --> 00:52:24,840
here for the A's for sure. That being said, I

1042
00:52:25,119 --> 00:52:28,559
would look for the Tyler Lockley or Diamondbacks debut tonight.

1043
00:52:29,039 --> 00:52:30,119
Speaker 2: He that was a great trick.

1044
00:52:30,679 --> 00:52:32,960
Speaker 1: They sort of they sort of fleeced the Mariners in

1045
00:52:33,000 --> 00:52:36,719
my opinion, for a two month Gino Suarez rental. They

1046
00:52:36,760 --> 00:52:39,199
got back a reliever, and they got back Tyler. Tyler

1047
00:52:39,239 --> 00:52:42,079
Lockley is having a great season at Triple A. He

1048
00:52:42,079 --> 00:52:44,960
he just hasn't the Mariners just haven't had a spot

1049
00:52:45,000 --> 00:52:47,239
for him. But he has been pounding the ball at

1050
00:52:47,239 --> 00:52:49,519
Triple A. He is more than ready to get his

1051
00:52:49,599 --> 00:52:51,360
shot in the big leagues. My guess is he's in

1052
00:52:51,400 --> 00:52:54,079
the lineup tonight for the Diamondbacks, batting foth or fifth.

1053
00:52:54,159 --> 00:52:55,679
I think they're just gonna put him in the cleanup

1054
00:52:55,719 --> 00:52:58,280
spot or what they'll put him wherever Gino Suarez was

1055
00:52:58,320 --> 00:53:00,880
hitting in the lineup. They're not gonna like mess up

1056
00:53:00,920 --> 00:53:03,039
their lineup construction that much. He's just gonna be like

1057
00:53:03,119 --> 00:53:06,360
fourth or fifth, and they're gonna just they're gonna trot

1058
00:53:06,440 --> 00:53:08,079
him right out there. He's gonna play every day as

1059
00:53:08,079 --> 00:53:12,559
far as as far as I know. So again, I'm

1060
00:53:12,639 --> 00:53:15,400
not as I said last week, I think Arizona might

1061
00:53:15,440 --> 00:53:18,599
surprise some people, Like now that the dust is settled,

1062
00:53:19,239 --> 00:53:21,559
some of these young guys we'll see, Like I think

1063
00:53:21,599 --> 00:53:23,639
Jordan Lawler's hurt right now. If they could get him

1064
00:53:23,679 --> 00:53:25,480
back and get him playing every day, I think he

1065
00:53:25,519 --> 00:53:28,719
could be a boost. So I'm gonna probably pass on

1066
00:53:28,760 --> 00:53:31,159
this one. But I do not want to back these

1067
00:53:31,159 --> 00:53:32,159
Scaffini as a starter.

1068
00:53:32,440 --> 00:53:32,760
Speaker 2: I could.

1069
00:53:32,800 --> 00:53:35,079
Speaker 1: I could see him potentially getting roughed up. I just

1070
00:53:36,199 --> 00:53:38,000
maybe it's because I watched too much of him at

1071
00:53:38,000 --> 00:53:39,880
Triple A, But there was a couple of outings at

1072
00:53:39,880 --> 00:53:42,559
the Scranton where he got absolutely bombed. As a starter

1073
00:53:42,679 --> 00:53:43,239
earlier this.

1074
00:53:43,280 --> 00:53:44,840
Speaker 3: Year, Bryan leerin.

1075
00:53:44,840 --> 00:53:46,280
Speaker 2: I'm gonna give it. I'm gonna give you the floor.

1076
00:53:46,320 --> 00:53:48,840
Speaker 1: Do you want to suggest a game and maybe you

1077
00:53:48,880 --> 00:53:50,719
know that you might want to put as the parlay

1078
00:53:50,800 --> 00:53:53,119
leg or has there been one we talked.

1079
00:53:52,920 --> 00:53:54,360
Speaker 2: About already that you're kind of looking at.

1080
00:53:54,760 --> 00:53:58,119
Speaker 3: Yeah, I gotta go back to that Mets game at

1081
00:53:58,119 --> 00:54:01,880
home against Ray San Francisc go offensive struggle in the

1082
00:54:01,880 --> 00:54:04,079
Mets have not really knock to cover off the ball

1083
00:54:04,119 --> 00:54:08,559
either lately. But I think that I really like what

1084
00:54:08,559 --> 00:54:11,519
they've done in the bullpen. Peters has done. The guy

1085
00:54:11,519 --> 00:54:13,280
who's going to give you a tremendous about of length,

1086
00:54:13,400 --> 00:54:16,360
but he goes he can go five innings, and they've

1087
00:54:16,360 --> 00:54:18,519
got so many guys in the bullpen they could really

1088
00:54:18,559 --> 00:54:22,599
shut down the San Francisco offense. I'll take the Mets here.

1089
00:54:22,800 --> 00:54:27,719
They're roughly let's go at one forty. You can get

1090
00:54:27,719 --> 00:54:29,719
better than one forty, but let's go one forty here

1091
00:54:29,760 --> 00:54:32,920
on the Mets to win that game over San Francisco.

1092
00:54:34,679 --> 00:54:36,800
Speaker 1: All right, So second leg of our parlay, will we

1093
00:54:36,880 --> 00:54:39,480
met minus one forty.

1094
00:54:40,280 --> 00:54:41,360
Speaker 2: I'll throw a game out.

1095
00:54:41,599 --> 00:54:43,239
Speaker 1: I mean, let me go to my list of games

1096
00:54:43,239 --> 00:54:45,440
that we haven't talked about yet that I have opinions.

1097
00:54:45,480 --> 00:54:48,920
I'll throw one out. This will get the everyone jazzed

1098
00:54:49,000 --> 00:54:52,079
up here, certainly the three of us, because we kind

1099
00:54:52,079 --> 00:54:53,800
of like, I feel like we're on the same page

1100
00:54:53,800 --> 00:54:56,719
regarding this a little bit. I want to talk Mariners,

1101
00:54:56,800 --> 00:55:01,000
Yankee or Mariner Sorry, excuse me, Marlins, Marlin, Yanks. Brian Leonard,

1102
00:55:01,000 --> 00:55:03,480
you said you liked what the Yanks did at the

1103
00:55:03,480 --> 00:55:05,800
trade deadline. I'm going to ask you a kind of

1104
00:55:05,800 --> 00:55:09,639
a counter question to that. Do you think this Yankees team,

1105
00:55:09,800 --> 00:55:11,880
after what they've done, is an elite team now or

1106
00:55:12,039 --> 00:55:15,599
are they still in that sort of cut below trying

1107
00:55:15,599 --> 00:55:16,400
to play their way up.

1108
00:55:16,840 --> 00:55:18,880
Speaker 3: Well, they're not an elite team because I think the

1109
00:55:18,880 --> 00:55:24,000
bottom of the order as some holes. I like the

1110
00:55:24,079 --> 00:55:30,119
move bringing in the fast guy from Tampa Bay. It

1111
00:55:30,199 --> 00:55:34,239
was actually, if you've watched that that game, he's in

1112
00:55:34,320 --> 00:55:37,360
the he's in the dugout and shaking hands with people

1113
00:55:37,400 --> 00:55:38,800
are going, what the hell's going on? And then he

1114
00:55:38,840 --> 00:55:41,800
ends up having to walk across the field. There's the

1115
00:55:41,800 --> 00:55:43,559
second time this has happened this week where a player

1116
00:55:43,599 --> 00:55:47,519
got traded to the team they're playing. But Volpi's not

1117
00:55:47,599 --> 00:55:49,480
a guy I really like, So they're gonna send him

1118
00:55:49,480 --> 00:55:51,960
down to the miners. This guy down to the miners,

1119
00:55:52,079 --> 00:55:55,119
and but he wouldn't surprise me. He's the starting shortstop

1120
00:55:55,159 --> 00:55:59,400
for them pretty soon. So yeah, the the I don't

1121
00:55:59,400 --> 00:56:02,480
know if they're elite. I still think Seattle is a

1122
00:56:02,480 --> 00:56:05,920
better team than they are. But I'm feeling a little

1123
00:56:05,920 --> 00:56:08,559
bit better for the Yankees than I did a week ago.

1124
00:56:08,679 --> 00:56:11,760
And we'll see when Judge comes back. If he comes

1125
00:56:11,840 --> 00:56:14,840
back on time, then they're right back where they were.

1126
00:56:16,360 --> 00:56:21,440
But we're getting the Yankees against against Junk going forward

1127
00:56:21,519 --> 00:56:25,800
is rode On against junk rodin the lefty current line

1128
00:56:25,800 --> 00:56:30,039
out there is about one sixty eight one seventy probably

1129
00:56:30,039 --> 00:56:35,360
one seventy seven and a half on the over. Junk

1130
00:56:35,400 --> 00:56:37,800
has been a guy that he started off really well,

1131
00:56:38,119 --> 00:56:40,519
struggled a little bit lately, but he's still pitching a

1132
00:56:40,519 --> 00:56:42,400
little bit better than what I thought he would do.

1133
00:56:43,800 --> 00:56:45,400
If you take a look at his numbers, he's got

1134
00:56:45,400 --> 00:56:48,719
a three point two adra three point seven to expected

1135
00:56:49,199 --> 00:56:53,079
one oh eight whip, which is very good. But he's

1136
00:56:53,119 --> 00:56:56,119
still getting his average of velocities in the second percentile,

1137
00:56:56,719 --> 00:56:59,599
with right in the ninth percentile, heart hit percentage in

1138
00:56:59,639 --> 00:57:03,400
the seventh percentile. Those are things that the Yankees pretty

1139
00:57:03,559 --> 00:57:08,239
pretty much excel at. UH Carlos Rodan three point one

1140
00:57:08,280 --> 00:57:11,199
eighty r A three point two zero expected right there

1141
00:57:11,199 --> 00:57:15,519
with it, one oh five whip despite being six to two.

1142
00:57:15,599 --> 00:57:18,119
His extensions only in the twenty first percentile, but he's

1143
00:57:18,159 --> 00:57:21,280
a very good five percent not to use the percentile

1144
00:57:21,320 --> 00:57:26,880
strack out right, eighty fourth percentile. He's basically His major

1145
00:57:26,960 --> 00:57:31,400
pitch mitches are the forcing and the slider. I think

1146
00:57:31,400 --> 00:57:34,280
it was a pretty good day for the Yankees, and

1147
00:57:34,679 --> 00:57:41,119
uh Miami traded. Miami traded away the altfielder Sanchez. I

1148
00:57:41,199 --> 00:57:45,880
liked him. I would have rather had they keeped him

1149
00:57:46,119 --> 00:57:49,000
and the starters that they thought they were gonna end

1150
00:57:49,079 --> 00:57:52,880
up trading. They really didn't, so Miami's kept it a

1151
00:57:52,880 --> 00:57:54,840
little bit more. I thought they'd be more of a seller.

1152
00:57:55,480 --> 00:57:59,800
But they're playing close to five hundred ball. There better teams,

1153
00:57:59,800 --> 00:58:02,239
a lot of people think, and we've talked about them

1154
00:58:02,239 --> 00:58:04,039
for so long. We've made some good money on them,

1155
00:58:04,039 --> 00:58:08,679
but prefer the Yankees in this game. They're playing really well.

1156
00:58:08,719 --> 00:58:12,000
In where we were getting ready to write them off,

1157
00:58:12,119 --> 00:58:15,639
they played Tampa and they dominated Tampa. So they're on

1158
00:58:15,679 --> 00:58:17,519
a pretty good run, right now, and they think they're

1159
00:58:17,519 --> 00:58:20,320
going to get judged back soon. So I don't like

1160
00:58:20,360 --> 00:58:22,320
to lay this kind of number on the road, but

1161
00:58:22,440 --> 00:58:23,800
that would be the way I would look would be

1162
00:58:23,800 --> 00:58:24,360
the yankeeser.

1163
00:58:26,239 --> 00:58:29,800
Speaker 4: So the Yankees added a base stealer. That's good. They

1164
00:58:29,880 --> 00:58:33,559
need to stop making three airs a game and maybe

1165
00:58:33,599 --> 00:58:41,440
they can make the playoffs. I have Miami slightly ranked

1166
00:58:41,599 --> 00:58:43,719
just a little bit higher than the Yankees. That's mainly

1167
00:58:43,840 --> 00:58:48,880
due to their bullpen performing better than the Yankees bullpen Rodon,

1168
00:58:50,480 --> 00:58:52,760
Rodon and Junk. I have them pretty much neck and

1169
00:58:52,800 --> 00:58:57,119
neck as far as rankings are concerned in current form. Batting. Obviously,

1170
00:58:57,199 --> 00:58:59,960
the Yankees are a better hitting team even without judge.

1171
00:59:00,400 --> 00:59:03,039
They're probably a little bit better hitting team than Miami.

1172
00:59:03,079 --> 00:59:05,679
But Miami has a big bullpen advantage in my opinions,

1173
00:59:05,760 --> 00:59:08,599
so I will not be playing this game.

1174
00:59:10,039 --> 00:59:13,639
Speaker 3: The Marlins. If those guys that the Yankees got are

1175
00:59:13,719 --> 00:59:17,719
in and I'll make the team today, that'll erase that

1176
00:59:17,760 --> 00:59:19,280
bullpen disadvantage m.

1177
00:59:20,920 --> 00:59:23,920
Speaker 1: So the Marlins plus one and a half will be

1178
00:59:24,000 --> 00:59:27,239
my leg of the parlay here. It's just amazing that

1179
00:59:27,280 --> 00:59:30,239
no one wants to trade with Peter Bendix anymore because

1180
00:59:30,239 --> 00:59:32,840
he's just been He's just been putting people in their

1181
00:59:32,960 --> 00:59:35,639
graves for like the past two years since he showed up,

1182
00:59:35,880 --> 00:59:39,880
basically basically ruined the Orioles organization with one trade. It's

1183
00:59:39,920 --> 00:59:42,320
it's no I'm telling you right now, they probably had

1184
00:59:42,360 --> 00:59:45,119
every intention of moving al Contra, and I bet all

1185
00:59:45,119 --> 00:59:47,840
these other owners in the league are just like, he

1186
00:59:47,960 --> 00:59:50,320
wants these four guys. I'm not gonna do it. I like,

1187
00:59:50,400 --> 00:59:53,239
I value my job at this point because he's just

1188
00:59:53,320 --> 00:59:55,840
dominated every trade. Go back to last year he got

1189
00:59:55,920 --> 01:00:00,360
he got Augustin Ramirez for Jazz Chisholm. I mean, come on,

1190
01:00:00,639 --> 01:00:05,000
like just another it's the guy is amazing. He's totally

1191
01:00:05,000 --> 01:00:08,800
building out this uh, this Marlins team to be like

1192
01:00:09,000 --> 01:00:11,679
very very competitive. I don't know if they have enough

1193
01:00:11,760 --> 01:00:13,880
juice to to really get in the wild card mix

1194
01:00:13,960 --> 01:00:16,199
this year. But it's not their fault. It's because they're

1195
01:00:16,239 --> 01:00:18,000
in the National League. If this team was in the

1196
01:00:18,000 --> 01:00:20,159
American League, they'd probably be a playoff team this year.

1197
01:00:20,360 --> 01:00:22,599
But the NL, I think they're six or seven back,

1198
01:00:22,639 --> 01:00:25,440
but they're just chasing so many other quality teams. Not

1199
01:00:25,519 --> 01:00:27,840
being said, I do think they will still continue to

1200
01:00:28,000 --> 01:00:31,679
exceed market expectations. I'm sure, he'll somehow make Ryan Gusto

1201
01:00:32,199 --> 01:00:34,840
a good pitcher, like a better pitcher than he is.

1202
01:00:35,159 --> 01:00:37,320
Speaker 2: He'll go right to Jacksonville. He'll get the full treatment.

1203
01:00:37,360 --> 01:00:40,039
Speaker 1: He'll probably be up throwing throwing quality starts any day,

1204
01:00:40,719 --> 01:00:44,079
because that's who they got back for Sanchez. But like Jansen,

1205
01:00:44,159 --> 01:00:47,239
Junk's another one, like he was he was. I mean,

1206
01:00:47,280 --> 01:00:50,960
they've totally made him into a really good option. And

1207
01:00:51,079 --> 01:00:53,039
just like, look at what Quantrill's doing. I mean, some

1208
01:00:53,119 --> 01:00:55,920
of these guys, it's it's all it's all their player

1209
01:00:55,960 --> 01:00:58,920
development that's doing this. It's not like luck It's not

1210
01:00:58,960 --> 01:01:01,320
like they just like you know what I'm saying, Like

1211
01:01:01,360 --> 01:01:03,639
they didn't just like luck out, And like all all

1212
01:01:03,639 --> 01:01:06,400
of a sudden sudden, Quantrill's throwing the best ball he's

1213
01:01:06,440 --> 01:01:06,920
ever thrown.

1214
01:01:07,239 --> 01:01:10,079
Speaker 2: Junk couldn't do anything last year. Now he's great.

1215
01:01:10,119 --> 01:01:13,960
Speaker 1: Like that's the Marlins developing talent, that's what they are doing.

1216
01:01:14,320 --> 01:01:17,199
So and it goes into the bullpen. They suddenly have

1217
01:01:17,239 --> 01:01:19,519
a top five bullpen in the league. And most of

1218
01:01:19,559 --> 01:01:21,599
these guys are still there. And now because no one

1219
01:01:21,599 --> 01:01:23,840
wants to trade with them, they're gonna have Sandy the

1220
01:01:23,840 --> 01:01:25,800
rest of the year. They're gonna have Edward Cabrera, So

1221
01:01:26,159 --> 01:01:28,440
I will be playing on the Marlins until further notice,

1222
01:01:28,519 --> 01:01:30,599
and I'm gonna put them in the parlay here Marlin's

1223
01:01:30,599 --> 01:01:32,360
plus one and a half. Brian, go ahead, were you gonna?

1224
01:01:32,760 --> 01:01:34,800
Speaker 3: Yeah? Thereout to say, this takes us back to the

1225
01:01:34,880 --> 01:01:37,159
beginning of the year when we pointed out that Miami

1226
01:01:37,639 --> 01:01:42,440
totally all changed the coaching staff, and they have done

1227
01:01:42,480 --> 01:01:47,920
a tremendous job in that regard Miami plus one and

1228
01:01:47,920 --> 01:01:50,119
a half. The current line is about one point fifteen

1229
01:01:50,960 --> 01:01:52,360
mm hm, and.

1230
01:01:52,400 --> 01:01:56,519
Speaker 1: So that yeah. So the other thing too, you you

1231
01:01:56,559 --> 01:01:59,679
talk about Sanchez, you know, being the one that moves on.

1232
01:01:59,840 --> 01:02:04,119
I wonder if this frees up a spot for Jacob Marcy,

1233
01:02:04,480 --> 01:02:07,119
who's had one of the best seasons of anyone at

1234
01:02:07,119 --> 01:02:09,840
Triple A. Most can say, I mean, he's been down there.

1235
01:02:09,880 --> 01:02:11,480
They haven't really had a spot for him. They haven't

1236
01:02:11,480 --> 01:02:13,199
wanted to call him up. But he has been one

1237
01:02:13,280 --> 01:02:15,760
of the most consistent hitters at Triple A this year,

1238
01:02:16,440 --> 01:02:19,119
so maybe it's his time to get a shot. And

1239
01:02:19,199 --> 01:02:22,000
also they because he's been a little bit banged up. Uh,

1240
01:02:22,119 --> 01:02:25,719
they're still sitting on Devisondalo Santos down there. Like it's

1241
01:02:25,840 --> 01:02:27,760
just you know, maybe he gets a shot they I

1242
01:02:27,800 --> 01:02:30,119
thought he would have been up last year at this time,

1243
01:02:30,239 --> 01:02:32,559
Son start with him.

1244
01:02:32,599 --> 01:02:35,360
Speaker 3: I mean, the guys get tremendous power, I will say,

1245
01:02:35,400 --> 01:02:37,039
and I saw the song. I want to give credit

1246
01:02:37,079 --> 01:02:42,280
to the MLB network. The Yankees continue to trade away

1247
01:02:42,320 --> 01:02:45,920
their catchers. They've traded away nine catchers, I believe in

1248
01:02:45,920 --> 01:02:49,280
the last four years, and for the most part, they've

1249
01:02:49,320 --> 01:02:52,559
all been really good. They developed catchers better than any

1250
01:02:52,559 --> 01:02:55,599
team in Major League Baseball. And now they're trying to

1251
01:02:55,599 --> 01:02:59,440
make Rice he caught yesterday and they're trying to make

1252
01:02:59,480 --> 01:03:02,599
him more of more of a catcher. And Wells was

1253
01:03:02,639 --> 01:03:05,760
really nothing until they developed him. So the hats off

1254
01:03:05,760 --> 01:03:08,679
to the Yankees with the catchers, and they're being able

1255
01:03:08,719 --> 01:03:11,719
to trade these these other catchers away to get what

1256
01:03:11,800 --> 01:03:14,880
they need. And uh, but they've all these catchers that

1257
01:03:14,880 --> 01:03:17,079
they've traded away have all been good. Look at look

1258
01:03:17,119 --> 01:03:19,840
at Boston, look at look at Miami, look at all

1259
01:03:19,880 --> 01:03:23,880
these teams have gotten their catchers and they're really good players.

1260
01:03:23,880 --> 01:03:27,960
Speaker 1: And there's another catcher I believe at Triple A right now, TJ. Rudfeld,

1261
01:03:27,960 --> 01:03:30,679
that's a big league catcher and he'll have his time.

1262
01:03:30,760 --> 01:03:33,880
Like in another organization, he's probably already had his chance

1263
01:03:33,880 --> 01:03:35,360
at the big league level. But as you said, the

1264
01:03:35,440 --> 01:03:39,199
Yankees are just so deep at the position. It's it's yeah,

1265
01:03:39,199 --> 01:03:42,920
it's been very impressive. So the parlay today three team

1266
01:03:42,960 --> 01:03:45,039
are plus five fifty seven. This should this would be

1267
01:03:45,079 --> 01:03:46,360
a good one if we can hit it. We will

1268
01:03:46,400 --> 01:03:48,880
go Marlin's plus one and a half for the full game,

1269
01:03:49,320 --> 01:03:51,760
Mets moneyline for the full game, and then you've got

1270
01:03:51,800 --> 01:03:56,239
Braves team total over four and a half if you

1271
01:03:56,239 --> 01:03:58,079
can't get the team total and maybe just the full

1272
01:03:58,159 --> 01:04:00,239
maybe just the full game total, because I I feel

1273
01:04:00,280 --> 01:04:02,280
like you're gonna probably get runs from both teams here.

1274
01:04:02,320 --> 01:04:06,199
But Tokyo Brandon's play is the Braves team total full

1275
01:04:06,239 --> 01:04:08,079
game over four and a half. I'm just saying, if

1276
01:04:08,320 --> 01:04:10,280
I know we have some people that can't parlay the

1277
01:04:10,320 --> 01:04:12,840
team totals TV, are you okay with a full game

1278
01:04:12,840 --> 01:04:14,440
over if they can't get the team total in.

1279
01:04:15,239 --> 01:04:17,599
Speaker 4: Yeah, yeah, I think both teams go over four and

1280
01:04:17,639 --> 01:04:18,039
a half.

1281
01:04:19,440 --> 01:04:21,719
Speaker 1: Yeah, I would agree with that. So one more time,

1282
01:04:21,800 --> 01:04:24,360
Braves team total over four and a half for TV,

1283
01:04:24,679 --> 01:04:27,719
Mets moneyline for Brian Leonard, I'll go Marlins plus one

1284
01:04:27,719 --> 01:04:31,360
and a half. That's plus five fifty seven. It's ten o'clock,

1285
01:04:31,440 --> 01:04:33,239
so we're done for the day, done for the weekend.

1286
01:04:33,320 --> 01:04:36,360
Hope everyone has a fantastic weekend. Cash all your bets,

1287
01:04:36,360 --> 01:04:38,559
and we'll be back here Monday morning for another week

1288
01:04:38,599 --> 01:04:39,280
a total basis.

1289
01:04:39,280 --> 01:04:40,360
Speaker 2: Thank you guys for tuning in.

1290
01:04:40,880 --> 01:04:44,400
Speaker 1: We'll see you Monday