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Speaker 1: Welcome to the best sports betting show on the planet.

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This is way you talk today. I'm your host, Andy Lang.

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It is Monday.

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Speaker 2: We got a stacked football show. Of course, we're gonna

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talk Monday Night football. Steve Merril is gonna break down

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Chargers and Raiders. We got some props to go over.

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Johnny's gonna join us with the Steam Report. We're gonna

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recap the weekend. We're gonna look ahead to week three

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and these opening lines. We're also going to take a

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look at the Phillies and the Dodgers, and crack Man

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is going to join us talk props and get his

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thoughts on the weekend.

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Speaker 1: We're also going to do some.

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Speaker 2: Winners and losers in the props markets. We're gonna take

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a look at where the books did well and where

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the public did well. But we got to start with

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our main man, Jiohnny and take a look at the

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Steam Report. But while we're doing that, please hit the

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like button, guys, you know it really helps the algorithm out.

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Just a token of your appreciation, all right, Giohanny, interesting

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day of games.

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Speaker 1: That means you had a good day. I know that.

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Speaker 2: Look back.

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Speaker 3: And then currently number one in NFL regular season and

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number one in college football as well. So, yeah, football

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has been good. Lost last night with Minnesota, I got

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a little worried there, but we got good Monday night.

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I haven't put the package up, but ready to confirm

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some plays there. And yeah, it's just been a really

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good football season. And it's just so early, and this

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is the time where we have data Andy, because here's

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what I love. I woke up today and I dug

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into college football because we're really doing a lot of

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damage for college football. And you can still take such

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advantage of this early season because a lot of these

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teams are not going to be top five, top ten,

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top twenty teams when the season's over. And a perfect

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example of that is Miami. Miami right now is a

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top five team. When I look at the college football rankings,

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they are fourth, but in power ratings they're barely a

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top twenty team. We're on the flip side of that

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same coin. You have Alabama sitting at one in one

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and they're ranked fourteenth in the nation. And right now,

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there's only one team that would be favored over Alabama

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on a neutral field. That's Ohio State power rating wise. Now,

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some will argue, well, wait, maybe Oregon would be favored

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over them, maybe George would, maybe the books would do that,

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but power rating wise, what betting syndicates would look at,

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because again, betting Cindy just aren't trying to balance their

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risk like the book does. So the book may make

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Alabama a dog to either of those teams, but rest

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assure Alabama is who the sharp betters would line up on,

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because power rating wise, they're very undervalued. And right now

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I'm seeing a lot of that in college football, where

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all you have to do is look at the top

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you know, ten teams, and except for Texas, they're all

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three and oh, that's all they're looking at. Who's sitting

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at three? And oh? And you could take a lot

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of advantage in college football right now because of that.

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There's some teams that are ranked up there, like look

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at Nodame, Notre Dame's day, oh and two right now,

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Owen three never won a game yet, and yet there's

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maybe four or five teams that would be favored over

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Notre Dame on a neutral field. And yet I don't

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think Notre Dames ranked twenty fourth twenty fourth in the nation.

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And yet you'll you'll it'll be hard to find five

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teams that would be favored over Notre Dame on a

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neutral field. So it's a really good time to take

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advantage of that recency bias, even in the NFL. In

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college football, where you don't have a long enough season

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like baseball for teams to progress and regress towards the mean,

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it's still enough time for uh, those phony teams like

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a Miami to come back down to life. Like I

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love seeing that happen, and I think when it does settles,

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I think I'll be proven right with with some of

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these teams that I think are undervalued and overvalued in

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college football.

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Speaker 2: Right now, let's say a look at NFL. What was

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your takeaway from the weekend. I'm assuming that it looks

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like the teasers just keep hitting, had some scaries with.

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Speaker 1: The money lines, things like that. So what was your

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takeaway from Sunday's games?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, well, books did a really good job of protecting

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against teasers because betters are really zeroing in on them.

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In fact, I heard about drafting which was just offering

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minus one twenty now going to minus one thirty minus

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one thirty five, making it a negative B B teaser

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now it's just unbeatable. I compared the black Jackets. Going

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from three to two to six to five completely wipes

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out any edge you may have had as a card counter.

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Same thing with those Wong teasers. Once they go above

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minus one twenty five do you no longer have the edge,

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But you still could find some spots. And yesterday New

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England and Indianapolis both at near the closing line and

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the steam room. That's what we zeroed in on and

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I released that teaser to subscribers. It's set up nicely.

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It got the money. Obviously, it's nice when in cash

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is but it just made sense. We got through three,

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six and seven and they were low totals, so expected.

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You know, we're scoring games. Points are always worth more.

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I think it's too early to draw too many conclusions,

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but we saw the overreaction to you know, Detroit's oh

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they're dead team now lost their offensive coordinator, lost from

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defensive coordinator. They came back, they righted the ship. Yesterday.

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The Eagles still as legit as they come. What else

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is thicking out? The Packers now look like the cream

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of that division with Minnesota getting a loss, and uh yeah,

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San Francisco is still able to win football games even

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with injured players. So that was impressive on the San

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Francisco side. And look at Arizona sitting at two and

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oh as well. So yeah, still early, still early, but

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NFL baby, NFL. And right now, real quickly at the

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top of the guy that I trust most for his

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NFL power ratings right now he has where's what he

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send me? He just sent it to me. He has

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the Baltimore would be favored on it based on his

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power ratings over any team on a neutral field in

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the NFL. He believes Baltimore is the most loaded team

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power rating wise in the NFL. And yet they're sitting

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at one and one. He's got Detroit top five and

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they're sitting at one and one as well. So it's

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funny to see that.

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Speaker 2: We had a UFC theory carry over to the NFL.

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You don't see that, But we had to fade the

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baby theory. JJ McCarthy baby him and his.

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Speaker 1: Girl baby on Thursday example. So the writing was on

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the wall there with that game. Let's take a look

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at it.

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Speaker 2: Look ahead here week three. I see some numbers are

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already on the move. The Colts, they're already up up

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to that three. Looks like the Falcons are already up

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to three and a half after last night's performance. And

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then it's just to the surprise of nobody that lying

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on Green Bay seems to me moving quite a bit.

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Speaker 1: What are you what are you seeing on your end?

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Speaker 4: Yeah?

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Speaker 3: And just how awful that's the perfect storm right there

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for overboundy that was possibly on their boundy. Yeah, have

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a Green Bay team that looks like they could do

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nothing wrong, the Cleveland team that looks.

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Speaker 1: Like terrible they can't do anything right teams.

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Speaker 3: In the NFL, So not surprised to see green Bay climbing.

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And this not forget they got to add that teaser protection.

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So you're already seeing some of the Sharper books as

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high as minus nine there, and that's kind of what

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they're forced to do with some of those lines. You're

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even seeing Seattle get that up through that key number

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of seven from six and a half up to seven

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and a half against the Saints, but not big, big

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line movements based on the look aheads, just a little

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recency bias what you'd expect, Like you said the Green Bay,

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you expected that to move Atlanta coming off a nice win.

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You expected that to move, and even Indianapolis moving against

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you know, Tennessee not not surprising, but no huge, huge

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moves just yet.

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Speaker 2: Uh, let's go to Major League baseball. Don't forget about baseball.

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We don't have a ton of games today, but we

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do have some and uh, I see some pretty good

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uh moves and some money coming in.

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Speaker 1: What do you have for baseball?

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Speaker 4: Yeah?

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Speaker 3: And the only thing I'm seeing in the accounts the

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group that's still betting baseball is they're betting dogs. They're

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betting dogs, and today they got five dogs. Immediately they

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took on the overnights. They took nine o two Pittsburgh

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plus one ten. They took nine oh five Cincinnati plus

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one oh five, they took nine oh seven San Francisco

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plus one twenty I believe, nine oh nine Philly plus

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one fifteen, nine twelve Tampa plus one fifteen, and then

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the under eight in Baltimore in the White Sox. Keep

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in mind, limits are really low on these overnights. That's

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why I don't like to release those two subscribers. But

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a lot of it is manipulation, especially at a time

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where recreational betters aren't really getting involved in baseball. Right now,

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it's kind of the sharp betters versus the books, so

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that the playing field is a little bit different until

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the end of this month, as we approach playoffs and

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must win scenarios, then you'll start getting recreational betters affecting

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the market a lot more. But right now it seems

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like it's the sharps versus the books when it comes

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to baseball.

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Speaker 1: What do you have up for Monday Night football tonight?

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Speaker 3: Yeah? I actually like both games, man, and uh, just

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trying to confirm uh, some premiums for subscribers. Again, I'm

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a little more selective in the NFL than college football.

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I think the margins are just a lot of slimmer

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when it comes to the NFL. Those those lines are

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just so tight. You gotta be selective, you gotta be cautious.

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But my NFL package will be up. Not sure if

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I'm gonna have baseball yet. Trying to get out ahead

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in college football again. Had another winning college football week

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so far. We won Week zero one, Week two one

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winning Week two and looking the head into this week

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turning some profit as well, and again just a busy week, man,

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Just keep grinding, Like I said, right now, Number one

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NFL regular season, number one college football and let's just

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keep doing some damage. Head on over to wagetalk dot com.

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I'll see if I can put out a free premium

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for you guys today as well.

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Speaker 2: Real quick question in the chat here, Robins, So our

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dogs are dogs typically more advantageous near the end of

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the MLB season.

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Speaker 1: Is that kind of the trend or is it just

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the s situations for today?

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Speaker 4: No?

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Speaker 3: No, No, absolutely great question. And because it's those banded

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teams that we've already concluded are terrible in are hard bets,

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so they're going to be undervalued and it's hard to

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bet those teams. But I keep talking about this, Let's

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not forget they're bringing up the youth. A lot of

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those teams that know they ain't making the playoffs are

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playing for absolutely nothing. They're bringing up young guys and

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they may not have any value over replacement player, but

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they're bringing in motivation, which you can't get this late

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in the baseball season from a lot of these teams.

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So I think that's why you're seeing a lot of

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this dog money come in from the sharp betters, and

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they're not afraid to bet these dogs in baseball, which

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means you touched on in the beginning of the season.

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The difference between you know, first place and last place

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isn't all that great when the season finally ends. So yeah,

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don't be afraid to bet those dogs late in the season.

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Speaker 2: All right, great stuff, Giohnny, thank you, good luck tonight

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on all your plays, and we'll see you later on

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in the week, Johnny the Greek. Everyone, all right, let

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us take a look at the week.

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Speaker 1: That was in the NFL.

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Speaker 2: I know we got two games tonight, but we have

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to go to NFL Week two. Are we overreacting? So

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let me know in the chat in the comments section,

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are we overreacting? Here's the biggest reactions that I'm seeing

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on social media and asking around. The Packers are the

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best team in the league. Aaron Rodgers is washed, the

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Bears are done.

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Speaker 1: The Lions are back.

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Speaker 2: I know all the Detroit I know all you Lions

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fans in the Detroit office think the Lions are back.

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Speaker 1: The Bengals have ruined.

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Speaker 2: Joe Burrow, JJ McCarthy is not an NFL quarterback, and

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the day in Alexander Special Jalen Hurts has to pass

241
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in order to make non Eagles fans happy.

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Speaker 1: That's my vote.

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Speaker 2: I don't understand why Jalen Hurts just keeps winning sixteen

244
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games in a row.

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Speaker 1: I believe that the one.

246
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Speaker 2: That he started and finished, including a Super Bowl, and

247
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yet people are mad that he doesn't pass enough for

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their liking.

249
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Speaker 1: So let me know what's the what's the biggest over real?

250
00:12:01,879 --> 00:12:10,759
Speaker 2: Yeah, Paandasa's Bengals certainly wasting Burro. All right, there's a

251
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lot to unpack here. Jalen Hurts his ask, he sucks.

252
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I don't care what anyone says. And of course this

253
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is from a Washington commander slash Redskins fan.

254
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Speaker 1: Very well done there, very very well done.

255
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Speaker 2: So Johnny Detroit. Of course, of course the Lions are back.

256
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The Lions are back.

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Speaker 1: That's the big overreaction.

258
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Speaker 2: So let us know. Adam is in on the McCarthy one.

259
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He could struggle telling you the fade the baby theory

260
00:12:39,519 --> 00:12:42,440
was in full effect. JJ McCarthy had a baby Thursday

261
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and then he had to play a professional primetime game

262
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on Sunday. It was a it was a bad, bad situation.

263
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So Bill says the Eagles are trash, but he's just

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given Dan and I some garbage.

265
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Speaker 1: All right, let's good stuff. Guys.

266
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Speaker 2: Let's go to where the books were one, where the

267
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public one, where the books won, the Pats and the

268
00:13:05,200 --> 00:13:09,519
Dolphins on the everyone was on the Pats and Dolphins.

269
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Under that won the books, love Nay forty and states.

270
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Under that won the books a lot of money and

271
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cowboys and minus the points.

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Speaker 1: That line moved.

273
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Speaker 2: Up, up, up, up up, and they get the win,

274
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they get all the survivor picks through.

275
00:13:22,399 --> 00:13:24,960
Speaker 1: But minus the points was not the right side. Where

276
00:13:25,000 --> 00:13:25,600
the public one.

277
00:13:25,720 --> 00:13:28,600
Speaker 2: Ravens minus the point, Rams minus the points, and the

278
00:13:28,679 --> 00:13:32,240
Lions at minus the point. Whatever teasers were popular this

279
00:13:32,279 --> 00:13:34,320
week looked like they hit survivor picks.

280
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Speaker 1: Cowboys get a lot of them through. I believe Carmine

281
00:13:37,120 --> 00:13:38,440
said that about twenty.

282
00:13:38,200 --> 00:13:41,919
Speaker 2: Six percent of the picks were on cowboys in the

283
00:13:42,080 --> 00:13:44,720
circuit contest. So that's where the books won, where the

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public's won. And now let's take a look at props

285
00:13:47,159 --> 00:13:52,039
and fantasy football winners and losers. Go back to Thursday.

286
00:13:52,039 --> 00:13:54,759
Tucker Craft big winner. Now that Jayden Reid is out,

287
00:13:54,759 --> 00:13:56,840
he's coming off a big game. Jayden reads out six

288
00:13:56,879 --> 00:13:59,200
eight weeks. Tucker Craft was a big winner. Quinn Shawn

289
00:13:59,240 --> 00:14:01,720
Judkins looks like he's got that backfield as the lead

290
00:14:01,840 --> 00:14:04,519
in Cleveland, Kenneth Walker had a breakout game.

291
00:14:04,559 --> 00:14:05,000
Speaker 1: He looked good.

292
00:14:05,039 --> 00:14:07,759
Speaker 2: James Cook keeps scoring touchdowns and keeps looking good for

293
00:14:07,799 --> 00:14:10,279
the Bills. The forty nine ers without Purty, their skill

294
00:14:10,320 --> 00:14:13,759
position players did well and Alvin Kamara looked great throwing.

295
00:14:13,799 --> 00:14:16,600
The Chris Lobby look good and Spencer Ratler was good.

296
00:14:17,200 --> 00:14:19,480
Anyone that plays the Cowboys or the Bengals looks like

297
00:14:19,480 --> 00:14:21,879
they're going to be having big weeks in fantasy football

298
00:14:21,919 --> 00:14:24,600
and overs on the props. And the Dolphins passing game,

299
00:14:24,639 --> 00:14:27,360
even though Tyreek looked upset at two, none of the

300
00:14:27,480 --> 00:14:29,399
numbers suggest that they're a.

301
00:14:29,360 --> 00:14:30,360
Speaker 1: Little bit back on track.

302
00:14:30,879 --> 00:14:35,840
Speaker 2: Big props losers and fantasy football losers. Justin Fields and

303
00:14:35,919 --> 00:14:38,639
the Jets. Justin Field's out with the concussion. He's questionable

304
00:14:38,639 --> 00:14:40,720
for this week. The line looks like the books are

305
00:14:40,799 --> 00:14:43,919
suggesting that he's not going to play this week. The

306
00:14:44,000 --> 00:14:46,759
Titans could be a props in fantasy football wasteland.

307
00:14:46,759 --> 00:14:48,039
Speaker 1: They cannot get anything going.

308
00:14:48,399 --> 00:14:51,240
Speaker 2: Justin Jefferson did not get much and that's two games

309
00:14:51,240 --> 00:14:53,360
in a row to start the season that his unders

310
00:14:53,399 --> 00:14:56,320
have hit. Brian Thomas Junior a lot going on there

311
00:14:56,320 --> 00:14:59,919
in Jacksonville. Yikes, you're not betting on him anytime soon.

312
00:15:00,080 --> 00:15:02,480
Tyrone Tracy may have lost his job as the starter

313
00:15:02,799 --> 00:15:06,480
came Scataboo looked pretty good, was running better than Tyrone Tracy.

314
00:15:06,600 --> 00:15:10,159
So those are your fantasy and props winners and losers.

315
00:15:10,519 --> 00:15:11,960
Speaker 1: All right, Let's bring in.

316
00:15:11,960 --> 00:15:14,200
Speaker 2: Bill crack Man when you get his thoughts on NFL

317
00:15:14,240 --> 00:15:17,559
Week one, we'll talk in some props tonight, Bill, Happy Monday.

318
00:15:17,559 --> 00:15:18,240
Speaker 1: How was your weekend?

319
00:15:19,240 --> 00:15:22,120
Speaker 4: Hey? Good? Uh? You know, Andy, I got my We're

320
00:15:22,159 --> 00:15:24,759
gonna need a bigger boat shirt on for all the

321
00:15:24,879 --> 00:15:30,440
volume of plays that that Gianni has. I see something

322
00:15:30,480 --> 00:15:33,559
O the day you gave it like a hundred plays

323
00:15:33,639 --> 00:15:36,240
in football season already, I'm like, what one hundred plays?

324
00:15:37,039 --> 00:15:39,720
You know? He'll be honest with you. I do bet

325
00:15:39,759 --> 00:15:43,240
a lot of plays myself, so I do understand. It's

326
00:15:43,240 --> 00:15:46,320
just some uh, you know, people gonna get frustrated when

327
00:15:46,320 --> 00:15:48,399
you give him that many plays sometimes, but no, but

328
00:15:48,480 --> 00:15:51,960
he he's great. I'm uh, I'm a big Gianni fan

329
00:15:52,039 --> 00:15:55,279
now that that I joined Wadger Talk and I like

330
00:15:55,360 --> 00:15:57,440
him talking. I like I like to hear what stuff

331
00:15:57,480 --> 00:15:59,799
from what he has going on. I never really knew

332
00:16:00,320 --> 00:16:02,720
much about him until I came over here, and about

333
00:16:02,759 --> 00:16:06,159
his volume. I play high volume. I play so many

334
00:16:06,200 --> 00:16:09,320
plays that you know, apps go down to zero and

335
00:16:09,320 --> 00:16:11,159
I have to run around and re and I think, well,

336
00:16:11,159 --> 00:16:13,559
I got plenty of money there, and then sure enough

337
00:16:13,559 --> 00:16:15,879
I will not have enough money in some of these apps.

338
00:16:15,919 --> 00:16:19,000
So it gets pretty crazy throughout the season. So I

339
00:16:19,039 --> 00:16:22,919
definitely get it. But you know, this is the second

340
00:16:23,200 --> 00:16:25,279
you know, even though I had a winning weekend plus

341
00:16:25,279 --> 00:16:27,519
seven and a half units, I still get pissed off

342
00:16:27,559 --> 00:16:30,679
and talk about some things like it's a second year

343
00:16:30,679 --> 00:16:33,279
in a row that Burrow went down and Browning came

344
00:16:33,320 --> 00:16:36,200
out and beat me. It's just amazing getting three and

345
00:16:36,200 --> 00:16:38,559
a half points that you know, I'm winning most of

346
00:16:38,600 --> 00:16:41,440
the game, actually covering most of the game, and there's

347
00:16:41,480 --> 00:16:44,320
just so many times that that these things happen. They

348
00:16:44,360 --> 00:16:47,120
just pissed me off. But anyway, going forward, I do

349
00:16:47,240 --> 00:16:50,960
have Cincinnati not to make the playoffs. Now, I think

350
00:16:50,960 --> 00:16:52,960
it's still a good bed. You could play some of

351
00:16:53,000 --> 00:16:57,200
these places like MGM Caesars. They let you bet as

352
00:16:57,240 --> 00:16:58,840
the season goes on. A matter of fact, I love

353
00:16:58,879 --> 00:17:01,679
spots like that. I think Draft Can is a FanDuel too, also,

354
00:17:02,200 --> 00:17:05,480
so you can bet season wins, will team makes up

355
00:17:05,519 --> 00:17:09,359
make a playoff every Sunday night Monday morning, they put

356
00:17:09,400 --> 00:17:12,799
the new lines up because and take into consideration, of course,

357
00:17:12,799 --> 00:17:15,799
their current record. I love that because some teams are

358
00:17:16,119 --> 00:17:19,599
you know, overvalued and playing over their head. Like a

359
00:17:19,599 --> 00:17:25,319
perfect example right now, who's betting anything anti green Bay? Well,

360
00:17:25,400 --> 00:17:27,720
I'll tell you right now, the books know that. So

361
00:17:27,759 --> 00:17:30,200
you're gonna pay a tax. If you're gonna bet green

362
00:17:30,279 --> 00:17:33,119
Bay to make the super Bowl green Bay overseason wins,

363
00:17:33,119 --> 00:17:35,599
green Bay to make the playoffs, you're gonna bet. You're

364
00:17:35,599 --> 00:17:37,400
gonna lay at tax on all the Now. I'm not

365
00:17:37,440 --> 00:17:39,799
saying not to bet that green Bay is not gonna

366
00:17:39,839 --> 00:17:42,640
make the playoffs, because they're they're they're they're probably going to.

367
00:17:42,759 --> 00:17:45,039
But what I'm saying is you're gonna be laying too

368
00:17:45,160 --> 00:17:47,880
much because you're not the only one that thinks that

369
00:17:48,240 --> 00:17:50,680
every swing and you know what thinks the same thing

370
00:17:50,720 --> 00:17:53,640
that watched the games over the weekend and watched last

371
00:17:53,640 --> 00:17:56,880
week's game. So there is some overreactions week to week

372
00:17:56,960 --> 00:18:00,839
and as you'll see that, like the Giants game. Let's

373
00:18:00,839 --> 00:18:03,759
give you a perfect example, Giants game. So the Giants

374
00:18:04,240 --> 00:18:07,759
last week looked terrible. This week, they had so many

375
00:18:07,839 --> 00:18:10,400
chances to win the game. Wilson came out like he

376
00:18:10,559 --> 00:18:14,680
was Joe Montana and his prime unbelievable. Just as people

377
00:18:14,720 --> 00:18:17,279
were calling for his head after week one, they wanted

378
00:18:17,359 --> 00:18:19,519
Darton and they wanted the kid in there. Get ready

379
00:18:19,599 --> 00:18:21,599
to get rid of this antique, this, this, and that

380
00:18:21,640 --> 00:18:23,559
they were calling for his head. New York is just

381
00:18:23,599 --> 00:18:25,720
like Philly. They don't put up with too much stuff

382
00:18:25,759 --> 00:18:30,720
too long. You go, you get booed after a week. Anyway,

383
00:18:30,799 --> 00:18:34,079
So the Giants almost won that game, and that would

384
00:18:34,079 --> 00:18:36,319
have been bad for like Kelly and Vegas. She had

385
00:18:36,319 --> 00:18:38,799
it in her Survivor if you told me, but I

386
00:18:38,839 --> 00:18:40,599
was rooting against it because you know, I'm in the

387
00:18:40,599 --> 00:18:44,319
one hundred thousand dollars contest. I have so many entries

388
00:18:44,400 --> 00:18:49,680
or partnerships in the thousand dollars Survivor. So I actually

389
00:18:49,720 --> 00:18:52,680
had needed Denver. I'm sorry, Devin. That was week one.

390
00:18:52,759 --> 00:18:56,079
Week two was Baltimore. Baltimore on literally all my picks,

391
00:18:56,079 --> 00:18:59,359
so I kind of went all in on Baltimore. Now

392
00:18:59,400 --> 00:19:01,160
you can't use them again, though, So you can't use

393
00:19:01,240 --> 00:19:02,880
one of the best teams in football. It's not the

394
00:19:03,000 --> 00:19:06,039
best team right now again for the rest of the year,

395
00:19:06,160 --> 00:19:09,119
so I was rooting against Dallas. There was rooting for

396
00:19:09,160 --> 00:19:11,920
them to probably get knocked out. Even though one of

397
00:19:11,920 --> 00:19:14,799
my partners I partners on eight entries. I have to

398
00:19:14,839 --> 00:19:17,240
just remember this stuff. So I'm partners on eight entries

399
00:19:17,920 --> 00:19:20,680
with some guys and one of his picks was Dallas.

400
00:19:20,759 --> 00:19:24,559
So but I hate to be unfair to him on

401
00:19:24,599 --> 00:19:28,480
his four four of them are together. There was so

402
00:19:28,559 --> 00:19:31,359
much a percentage, like you said, Carmid said this morning

403
00:19:31,880 --> 00:19:34,039
of people on Dallas, it would have been worth it

404
00:19:34,079 --> 00:19:37,480
for me. I feel long term if if Dallas would

405
00:19:37,480 --> 00:19:41,480
have lost, especially the Grandissimo. So yeah, these contests are

406
00:19:41,519 --> 00:19:46,119
really interesting, lots of sweat involved in them. And you know,

407
00:19:46,200 --> 00:19:49,160
you put your pick in Saturdays, and you know, Andy,

408
00:19:49,160 --> 00:19:50,400
I want to tell you, even though I live here

409
00:19:50,400 --> 00:19:54,279
in Vegas, real tough sometimes to remember. I have my

410
00:19:54,440 --> 00:19:57,480
alarm set to put the picks in every week on

411
00:19:57,519 --> 00:20:00,920
my iPad and my iPhone had my alarm set because

412
00:20:01,240 --> 00:20:03,200
if you forget something like that, oh my.

413
00:20:03,160 --> 00:20:06,000
Speaker 5: God, it's only you know, I have a third of

414
00:20:06,039 --> 00:20:09,119
that entry not only costs myself thirty three thousand, costs

415
00:20:09,119 --> 00:20:12,640
my two partners, so it's not a bad idea to

416
00:20:12,680 --> 00:20:13,319
get a proxy.

417
00:20:13,400 --> 00:20:16,359
Speaker 4: Went to dinner last night with a proxy. And I'm sorry,

418
00:20:16,400 --> 00:20:19,359
I don't know this proxy is service. But it's Scott,

419
00:20:19,400 --> 00:20:23,279
my buddy. Scott got a great service. And uh, he's

420
00:20:23,359 --> 00:20:26,519
Vegas horse pulls on Twitter. He's got a great proxy

421
00:20:26,559 --> 00:20:29,440
service and and he said, hes Bill, I'll do him

422
00:20:29,440 --> 00:20:31,680
every week for you. I'll remind you every week. That's

423
00:20:31,720 --> 00:20:36,680
my business. So you imagine, but you're you're I'm battling,

424
00:20:36,759 --> 00:20:40,319
going through bets, making tons of bets throughout Saturdays, making

425
00:20:40,400 --> 00:20:43,400
some halftime bets. And you know, I don't bet a

426
00:20:43,440 --> 00:20:45,920
lot of things day of the game pre flop, but

427
00:20:46,759 --> 00:20:49,640
because the line is so efficient. But it's not a

428
00:20:49,680 --> 00:20:52,680
FCS which only comes up then. And that's another thing. Andy.

429
00:20:52,720 --> 00:20:56,000
You know, I won't do what a lot of other

430
00:20:56,039 --> 00:21:00,359
people do. I won't sell a game that it's only

431
00:21:00,400 --> 00:21:04,319
available at hard Rock in Atlantic City or DraftKings only,

432
00:21:04,440 --> 00:21:08,119
or fan duel only, or you know whatever spots these

433
00:21:08,160 --> 00:21:10,640
places A lot of them don't even take. They don't

434
00:21:10,640 --> 00:21:12,319
take my bets. I'm not allowed to play at hard

435
00:21:12,400 --> 00:21:14,680
Rock well not, I say, not a looted. They limited

436
00:21:14,720 --> 00:21:16,640
me to a dollar bet three sixty five of them.

437
00:21:16,640 --> 00:21:19,720
Maybe you know these places I want, so these guys don't,

438
00:21:19,759 --> 00:21:23,680
let's sell. I don't see any not a wager talk.

439
00:21:23,759 --> 00:21:26,079
This is taking shots at other people in the industry.

440
00:21:27,319 --> 00:21:31,440
They sell. Okay, this is available at Bette Rivers minus three,

441
00:21:32,000 --> 00:21:33,559
the entire markets three and a half.

442
00:21:34,279 --> 00:21:34,519
Speaker 2: I want.

443
00:21:34,519 --> 00:21:35,759
Speaker 4: I supposed to do bet the three and a half.

444
00:21:35,880 --> 00:21:38,119
Now I get the loss while you guys get the push. No,

445
00:21:38,240 --> 00:21:41,200
it's not fair. I can pad my record by doing

446
00:21:41,240 --> 00:21:44,359
that easily. I want to give out an obtainable line.

447
00:21:44,359 --> 00:21:47,000
I think it's very very fair and very very You

448
00:21:47,079 --> 00:21:49,319
have to do that. First of all, you're selling picks.

449
00:21:49,519 --> 00:21:52,240
You're already up against it. These people have to overcome

450
00:21:52,240 --> 00:21:55,519
the juice, overcome the picture, the pick fees. It's not

451
00:21:55,640 --> 00:21:58,759
fair to give them one or two places to bet at.

452
00:21:59,000 --> 00:22:01,160
You want to give them an obtainable line.

453
00:22:02,160 --> 00:22:06,319
Speaker 2: Uh yeah, I've it's been a long time since I've

454
00:22:06,319 --> 00:22:09,119
been allowed to bet at Bette Rivers and Fanatics.

455
00:22:08,680 --> 00:22:09,680
Speaker 1: And ESPN bet.

456
00:22:09,720 --> 00:22:14,559
Speaker 2: And although maybe it's a good thing, right, Yeah, you

457
00:22:14,559 --> 00:22:17,279
have a prop for us tonight Monday Night Football, anything

458
00:22:17,319 --> 00:22:18,839
you're you're liking, I do.

459
00:22:18,960 --> 00:22:20,400
Speaker 4: I just want to make sure it's twenty and a half.

460
00:22:20,400 --> 00:22:23,319
Still good, Okay, I'm looking at bet MGM's line Baker

461
00:22:23,359 --> 00:22:25,759
Mayfield under twenty and a half minus one thirty. So

462
00:22:26,200 --> 00:22:30,160
Baker Mayfield completions under twenty and a half now listen.

463
00:22:30,319 --> 00:22:32,240
I'm only going by bet MGM because they sponsored one

464
00:22:32,240 --> 00:22:35,119
of my shows. So I'm sure you could shop shop

465
00:22:35,160 --> 00:22:38,200
this around. Though you know he took a lot more

466
00:22:38,200 --> 00:22:43,039
deep shots last week instead of instead of like thinking dunction.

467
00:22:43,279 --> 00:22:45,599
Let me tell you, Texas really has a good defense here,

468
00:22:46,240 --> 00:22:50,039
the Texans. So Baker Mayfield under twenty and a half

469
00:22:50,079 --> 00:22:52,759
completion shop that around, guys. I'm only giving you one

470
00:22:52,759 --> 00:22:54,480
line here. It should have been a little more prepared

471
00:22:54,519 --> 00:22:56,079
to give you the best line, but there you go.

472
00:22:56,759 --> 00:22:58,279
I don't do I'm gonna give you a line that's

473
00:22:58,279 --> 00:23:01,799
obtainable somewhere. And you know, I know some of the

474
00:23:01,839 --> 00:23:03,720
places here in Vegas will probably have a better line.

475
00:23:03,720 --> 00:23:05,960
I'm sure maybe the Fandels and DraftKings of the world

476
00:23:06,200 --> 00:23:10,319
may have a better line. Yeah again, even this morning,

477
00:23:10,400 --> 00:23:13,319
Like I bet a game before at Circa, I can

478
00:23:13,359 --> 00:23:17,519
only better at Circa minus. Oh oh, I know, I

479
00:23:17,640 --> 00:23:19,960
bet plus four and a half on the Rams so

480
00:23:20,000 --> 00:23:21,839
I bet the plus four and a half. L I

481
00:23:21,880 --> 00:23:24,759
can't give that out to clients plus three and a half,

482
00:23:24,799 --> 00:23:27,599
even though four is not a key number. That's not fair.

483
00:23:28,200 --> 00:23:29,559
And I've bet a good amount of money on this

484
00:23:29,640 --> 00:23:32,519
game plus four and a half on the rams, and

485
00:23:33,720 --> 00:23:35,599
you know, I just I can't give that out. It's

486
00:23:35,640 --> 00:23:37,000
not fair to give it out three and a half.

487
00:23:37,039 --> 00:23:40,119
So I just wanted to say, like, I don't know.

488
00:23:40,160 --> 00:23:42,559
I guess I'm done going off on rants and stuff

489
00:23:42,599 --> 00:23:44,480
like that. I kind of get mad. I had a

490
00:23:44,519 --> 00:23:46,799
winning weekend and I'm still in a pissed off mood.

491
00:23:46,920 --> 00:23:49,680
I come in, I'll tell you why things always get

492
00:23:49,720 --> 00:23:51,880
me mad. There's so many moving parts to our business.

493
00:23:52,839 --> 00:23:58,279
I have friends that don't understand betting. They they're friends

494
00:23:58,279 --> 00:24:01,680
of mine. I had friends of mine for decades. Let's say, yeah,

495
00:24:01,680 --> 00:24:03,599
I don't follow nobody, but I bet my own stuff.

496
00:24:03,599 --> 00:24:05,559
I lose on my own stuff when I don't want to.

497
00:24:05,680 --> 00:24:07,480
I want. I want to bet my own stuff. Like

498
00:24:08,279 --> 00:24:10,400
they know what I bet. They know all these these

499
00:24:10,440 --> 00:24:13,319
bets I make long term, you know, win five six percent,

500
00:24:13,359 --> 00:24:17,200
whatever it may be. And yet yeah, they or or

501
00:24:17,640 --> 00:24:20,079
or andy. I have a friend that he listens to

502
00:24:20,079 --> 00:24:22,160
the show too. I'm sorry that I'm not gonna mention

503
00:24:22,279 --> 00:24:25,039
his name. He's gonna watch the show, and I don't want,

504
00:24:25,200 --> 00:24:27,079
don't mean to throw him under the bus. So here's

505
00:24:27,079 --> 00:24:30,400
a guy that comes to town, comes to Vegas for

506
00:24:30,440 --> 00:24:34,920
weeks at a time, and he has sessions losing, playing reels,

507
00:24:34,960 --> 00:24:37,440
the sucker reels that hold ten, twelve to fifteen percent.

508
00:24:38,119 --> 00:24:41,880
H he'll lose five hundred to a thousand. Maybe a

509
00:24:41,960 --> 00:24:43,720
thousand's a bad day, though, but let's he'll lose five

510
00:24:43,759 --> 00:24:46,000
hundred dollars in a session. You now, just take a break,

511
00:24:46,039 --> 00:24:48,759
go to his room. He gets all my games. Everything's

512
00:24:48,799 --> 00:24:51,480
gonna move our direction. We're gonna have closing line value

513
00:24:51,480 --> 00:24:53,920
on ninety five percent of the games. That's one hundred

514
00:24:53,960 --> 00:24:57,720
dollars or fifty dollars. Like, I don't get that. You're

515
00:24:57,759 --> 00:24:59,759
you're you're you're willing to lose five hundred dollars on

516
00:24:59,799 --> 00:25:03,119
something that's minus twelve percent and I'm plus five percent

517
00:25:03,160 --> 00:25:05,039
and you only about one hundred on a four hour

518
00:25:05,119 --> 00:25:08,279
of three hour event. But I'm not blaming him. It's

519
00:25:08,279 --> 00:25:11,240
the human condition, it's the mindset. And oh my god,

520
00:25:11,480 --> 00:25:13,839
I don't I don't bet five hundred dollars on a game,

521
00:25:14,440 --> 00:25:16,799
but you're willing to lose. Well, but that's not my intent.

522
00:25:16,880 --> 00:25:20,000
I intend to win playing slots or putting one hundred dollars.

523
00:25:20,119 --> 00:25:22,960
You know, you're touching your cash. So when you're touching

524
00:25:23,000 --> 00:25:25,599
your cash and you're giving that up compared to actually

525
00:25:25,599 --> 00:25:28,519
pressing a button and betting on credit maybe or betting

526
00:25:28,559 --> 00:25:31,279
on post uff, you know, it's so much easier to do.

527
00:25:31,720 --> 00:25:33,240
And you see, you see it in front of you,

528
00:25:33,559 --> 00:25:35,920
and you say, wow, I have a credit line of

529
00:25:35,920 --> 00:25:38,119
ten thousand dollars. Oh my god, I can't bet five

530
00:25:38,200 --> 00:25:40,519
hundred dollars a game. I'm getting in trouble. But the

531
00:25:40,559 --> 00:25:43,440
cash you can get rid of, which is more important

532
00:25:43,440 --> 00:25:45,519
to you. Normally, I have to worry post It's just

533
00:25:45,960 --> 00:25:48,240
it's just a normal thing. They'll believe it or not.

534
00:25:48,319 --> 00:25:50,200
I see it all the time. I have lots of

535
00:25:50,200 --> 00:25:54,519
friends that are sports betters casually, and like I said,

536
00:25:54,799 --> 00:25:58,200
my one guy back in Philly, good guy, big money guy,

537
00:25:58,680 --> 00:26:00,799
loses his own money. It's RCT. I don't want your games.

538
00:26:01,200 --> 00:26:03,519
I'll bet the oppositeiety man. I don't care. I do

539
00:26:03,599 --> 00:26:06,319
my own stuff. Yeah, and he loses. Everybody lose. It

540
00:26:06,359 --> 00:26:10,240
gets destroyed every year, by the way, destroyed. Yeah, looking

541
00:26:10,240 --> 00:26:12,599
for you guys, press, looking for loans, Press one. I'm

542
00:26:12,599 --> 00:26:15,039
not joking, looking for loans and everything. By the end

543
00:26:15,119 --> 00:26:16,119
of like week seven.

544
00:26:16,720 --> 00:26:19,200
Speaker 2: Well the number of the week for me was nineteen

545
00:26:19,400 --> 00:26:21,759
nineteen people didn't didn't put a pick in in the

546
00:26:21,799 --> 00:26:25,000
Circus Survivor. Wow, these were these were people that won

547
00:26:25,480 --> 00:26:30,160
in week one. Like if you miss week one, okay,

548
00:26:30,240 --> 00:26:31,240
you forgot that there.

549
00:26:31,119 --> 00:26:33,000
Speaker 1: Was a proxy forgot about one.

550
00:26:33,079 --> 00:26:36,039
Speaker 2: But to win in week one, to not put one

551
00:26:36,079 --> 00:26:41,759
in in week two, that's just uh, you know, I

552
00:26:41,759 --> 00:26:42,359
didn't think of that.

553
00:26:42,640 --> 00:26:45,000
Speaker 4: You're right, they played week one. So the twenty four

554
00:26:45,039 --> 00:26:47,960
people that didn't put their picks in week one, you

555
00:26:48,000 --> 00:26:50,519
can give them a little patch twenty four thousand extra

556
00:26:50,559 --> 00:26:53,400
for USh in the pool. And then nineteen people week two.

557
00:26:53,799 --> 00:26:56,000
They don't have that much of an excuse. I didn't

558
00:26:56,000 --> 00:26:56,599
think of that part.

559
00:26:56,720 --> 00:26:58,880
Speaker 1: They have no excuse. If you made a pick in

560
00:26:58,920 --> 00:27:00,519
week one, I don't know.

561
00:27:00,559 --> 00:27:03,680
Speaker 2: Maybe tragically nineteen people passed away and we don't know

562
00:27:03,720 --> 00:27:04,160
about it.

563
00:27:04,160 --> 00:27:04,519
Speaker 4: I don't know.

564
00:27:05,200 --> 00:27:12,240
Speaker 1: More. What do you have of for clients that way?

565
00:27:12,319 --> 00:27:16,079
Speaker 4: You talk bill Andy again, you think I'm prepared no,

566
00:27:16,160 --> 00:27:18,599
I won seven and a half units till last week.

567
00:27:19,200 --> 00:27:21,079
I never even went to the I know you guys

568
00:27:21,119 --> 00:27:23,920
are out of your minds though, you like sell my

569
00:27:24,000 --> 00:27:27,440
weeks for like ridiculous amounts of money compared to what

570
00:27:27,559 --> 00:27:29,319
I used to always sell them for. But hey, I

571
00:27:29,359 --> 00:27:32,759
get it. We were we're you know, we're grinding winners

572
00:27:32,759 --> 00:27:35,359
out here. I'm going to my to my page. You

573
00:27:35,359 --> 00:27:37,279
think the guys that wager talk and put my picture

574
00:27:37,319 --> 00:27:39,680
any lower? I mean, really, you got me down by

575
00:27:39,720 --> 00:27:41,039
the bottom. And I don't get it.

576
00:27:41,599 --> 00:27:43,400
Speaker 1: I yell constantly, rotating.

577
00:27:45,039 --> 00:27:46,039
Speaker 6: I don't want to constantly.

578
00:27:46,279 --> 00:27:47,960
Speaker 4: I don't want to rotate. I get five to ten

579
00:27:48,000 --> 00:27:50,720
million views a month on socials. I bring a lot

580
00:27:50,720 --> 00:27:53,039
of people to wager talk. Don't let me f and rotate,

581
00:27:54,079 --> 00:27:58,440
you know. Anyway, Yeah, now, so I know I had,

582
00:27:58,519 --> 00:28:01,680
I had. I know that. That says that right there,

583
00:28:02,559 --> 00:28:05,599
Red Hot two percent play tonight, Jesus, All right there

584
00:28:05,599 --> 00:28:10,200
it is fifteen bucks. Wow, crack, fifteen dollars place. The

585
00:28:10,240 --> 00:28:13,359
world's coming to an end. But anyway, yeah, there's there's

586
00:28:13,640 --> 00:28:15,839
there is some stuff there. Get my, get my weeklies,

587
00:28:15,880 --> 00:28:18,640
get my I'll just tell you if you want to

588
00:28:18,680 --> 00:28:20,880
win long term, you get my monthly package or even

589
00:28:21,119 --> 00:28:22,759
contact them on a wager. Talk will give you a

590
00:28:22,759 --> 00:28:24,480
good deal on a three month or you know which

591
00:28:24,480 --> 00:28:27,359
just covers the most of the football season. We're gonna win,

592
00:28:27,359 --> 00:28:29,799
We're gonna make money. We grind out. This is real stuff.

593
00:28:29,880 --> 00:28:32,440
I am real. I bet real stuff. I'm firing. So

594
00:28:33,440 --> 00:28:36,000
I'm betting lots of money, lots of ex bets on things.

595
00:28:36,240 --> 00:28:39,759
But I give to you guys first, I actually put up.

596
00:28:39,759 --> 00:28:41,880
I don't front round my customers. I don't go and

597
00:28:41,920 --> 00:28:44,480
bet minus three and then you guys try to bet

598
00:28:44,519 --> 00:28:46,279
at the same time, and now's three and a half. Bullshit.

599
00:28:46,319 --> 00:28:47,400
I don't do that. I don't know if I'm out

600
00:28:47,440 --> 00:28:48,640
to curse. I just cursed.

601
00:28:49,400 --> 00:28:50,880
Speaker 1: You're fine, Bill, anyway, You're fine.

602
00:28:50,960 --> 00:28:51,279
Speaker 4: All right.

603
00:28:51,559 --> 00:28:52,200
Speaker 6: That's not enough.

604
00:28:52,400 --> 00:28:54,640
Speaker 4: I've said it enough rants for me, Andy. Sorry.

605
00:28:55,799 --> 00:28:58,279
Speaker 2: I love I love our weekly Monday rants. That's why

606
00:28:58,279 --> 00:28:58,839
I love about you.

607
00:28:58,880 --> 00:28:59,039
Speaker 4: Bill.

608
00:28:59,079 --> 00:29:00,799
Speaker 2: You put out a bet like me, You bet it

609
00:29:00,799 --> 00:29:04,240
with your own money. There's no nonsense. You'd literally put

610
00:29:04,240 --> 00:29:06,039
your money where your mouth is. So thank you very much,

611
00:29:06,079 --> 00:29:09,240
have a great Monday, and we'll see again. Yes, Bill

612
00:29:09,680 --> 00:29:13,839
crack Man, Monday, Monday right right at twelve twenty. You're

613
00:29:13,880 --> 00:29:16,319
gonna get some rants here every single Monday, so that's great.

614
00:29:16,799 --> 00:29:19,720
We mentioned that there are bets that we make with

615
00:29:19,799 --> 00:29:21,240
and we bet with our own money, and I have

616
00:29:21,319 --> 00:29:23,559
two of them up tonight. We have a props two

617
00:29:23,720 --> 00:29:25,920
pack you're gonna get. My two best bets on the

618
00:29:25,920 --> 00:29:29,119
board were fourteen and eleven so far in the NFL

619
00:29:29,240 --> 00:29:31,799
through Week two. Pretty happy with that. Looking for two

620
00:29:31,880 --> 00:29:34,200
winners tonight. So if you're betting NFL football, this is

621
00:29:34,240 --> 00:29:36,680
the way to do it. These aren't bailout bets. This

622
00:29:36,759 --> 00:29:38,720
isn't like let's get all of our money back because

623
00:29:38,720 --> 00:29:40,920
we had a terrible Sunday. These are just two bets

624
00:29:41,200 --> 00:29:44,039
that we bet. They're part of our portfolio. These have

625
00:29:44,119 --> 00:29:45,759
been locked in for a few days, but the lines

626
00:29:45,759 --> 00:29:48,039
are still very strong on them. So two best bets.

627
00:29:48,039 --> 00:29:51,440
It's up just one price WT Dot Buzz slash Al

628
00:29:51,880 --> 00:29:54,200
one in each game. So we cast first one. We're

629
00:29:54,200 --> 00:29:55,640
in on the second one. Let's have a two and

630
00:29:55,720 --> 00:29:56,240
o night.

631
00:29:56,160 --> 00:29:57,640
Speaker 1: WT Dot Buzz slash Al.

632
00:29:58,440 --> 00:30:02,079
Speaker 2: All right, let's do all the world. We got some

633
00:30:02,160 --> 00:30:04,200
free plays here. We're gonna give out a couple of

634
00:30:04,599 --> 00:30:07,400
props that were pretty good leans here and then of course,

635
00:30:07,440 --> 00:30:09,839
we got a baseball play for everybody.

636
00:30:10,079 --> 00:30:13,000
Speaker 1: So let's start with this Buccaneers Texan games. I'm gonna

637
00:30:13,039 --> 00:30:13,400
go with c J.

638
00:30:13,519 --> 00:30:17,079
Speaker 2: Stroud over twenty one and a half completions. This is

639
00:30:17,079 --> 00:30:19,680
a Tampa Bay defense that allowed two point nine yards

640
00:30:19,680 --> 00:30:21,839
per rush last week, so the way to attack them

641
00:30:22,200 --> 00:30:25,759
is through the air. Pennix had twenty seven completions against Tampa.

642
00:30:25,799 --> 00:30:28,279
I just I'm not a believer in this Texans backfield.

643
00:30:28,319 --> 00:30:30,079
Nick Chubb is the number one, so if the Texans

644
00:30:30,119 --> 00:30:32,000
are gonna move the ball, it's got to be with

645
00:30:32,039 --> 00:30:32,279
c J.

646
00:30:32,400 --> 00:30:32,720
Speaker 1: Stroud.

647
00:30:32,720 --> 00:30:34,519
Speaker 2: I think their passing game gets on track a bit

648
00:30:34,559 --> 00:30:38,079
this week, so take Stroud over his completions. Chargers and

649
00:30:38,079 --> 00:30:42,079
the Raiders Ashton genty looked bad in Week one, and

650
00:30:42,200 --> 00:30:44,000
I think they're gonna still need a few more weeks

651
00:30:44,000 --> 00:30:45,759
to figure this out. This is a new this is

652
00:30:45,799 --> 00:30:47,599
a new coach, this is a new running back, this

653
00:30:47,680 --> 00:30:50,119
is everything is new here. So I'm gonna take under

654
00:30:50,240 --> 00:30:52,559
ninety one and a half rushing plus receiving. He had

655
00:30:52,599 --> 00:30:55,400
thirty eight yards rushing to receiving last week. And the

656
00:30:55,480 --> 00:30:57,640
Chargers were good against the Kansas City running backs. And

657
00:30:57,680 --> 00:30:59,759
I don't know if that's saying that that much. But

658
00:30:59,799 --> 00:31:02,200
I believe in this defense, and ninety one and nine

659
00:31:02,279 --> 00:31:04,079
rushing plus receiving seems.

660
00:31:03,880 --> 00:31:04,440
Speaker 1: Like quite a bit.

661
00:31:04,880 --> 00:31:06,279
Speaker 2: I want to take both because I'm not sure if

662
00:31:06,319 --> 00:31:08,279
he's gonna be bad in both categories or if he's

663
00:31:08,319 --> 00:31:10,720
gonna be good in just one category. So I think

664
00:31:10,759 --> 00:31:12,839
he's gonna struggle in at least one of them. And

665
00:31:12,880 --> 00:31:16,039
that gets us under go to Giants at the Diamondbacks.

666
00:31:16,400 --> 00:31:19,599
Take Diamondbacks over four and a half on their team total.

667
00:31:20,200 --> 00:31:22,400
Tang is going for the Giants. He has a seven

668
00:31:22,440 --> 00:31:25,480
point five to four ERA, gave up four earned runs

669
00:31:25,519 --> 00:31:28,640
in four innings in his last start. Diamondbacks over this

670
00:31:28,720 --> 00:31:31,799
total in four straight games. So let's take a look

671
00:31:31,799 --> 00:31:34,799
at Diamondbacks over four and a half on the team total.

672
00:31:35,799 --> 00:31:38,119
All right, all right, so Colin says everyone is on

673
00:31:38,359 --> 00:31:39,920
gent unders worrying me.

674
00:31:40,000 --> 00:31:41,480
Speaker 1: Now, this did the card.

675
00:31:41,480 --> 00:31:44,440
Speaker 2: This is an official play if just giving you some leans,

676
00:31:44,480 --> 00:31:48,000
Mars is the Texans offensive line. It is offensive, but

677
00:31:48,480 --> 00:31:51,000
like I said, this is a Tampa Bay rush defense

678
00:31:51,039 --> 00:31:55,240
that is very very good. So appreciate all the feedback,

679
00:31:55,279 --> 00:31:55,839
all the comments.

680
00:31:55,880 --> 00:31:58,519
Speaker 1: Like I said, these are leans, These are leans. The

681
00:31:58,599 --> 00:31:59,960
two best bets that I have that are out.

682
00:32:00,319 --> 00:32:01,880
Speaker 2: Those are the ones that I've locked in and bet

683
00:32:02,079 --> 00:32:04,559
with my own money. All right, let's bring in Steve Merrill.

684
00:32:04,599 --> 00:32:06,000
We got to do a little bit of a deep

685
00:32:06,039 --> 00:32:07,559
dive here in the Chargers and the Raiders and the

686
00:32:07,720 --> 00:32:09,720
Talk Phillies and the Dodgers.

687
00:32:09,759 --> 00:32:10,880
Speaker 1: Steve, Happy Monday.

688
00:32:10,880 --> 00:32:13,599
Speaker 7: How are you speaking of rotating? We need to rotate

689
00:32:13,680 --> 00:32:16,319
so my w isn't covered with my name here like

690
00:32:16,319 --> 00:32:17,319
I'm sponsoring Nike.

691
00:32:17,440 --> 00:32:17,640
Speaker 6: Here.

692
00:32:17,640 --> 00:32:20,720
Speaker 7: We gotta do the selfie flip? How much would that

693
00:32:20,720 --> 00:32:21,920
mess every just get.

694
00:32:23,440 --> 00:32:24,759
Speaker 1: Oh, we just get rid of the games.

695
00:32:25,200 --> 00:32:26,920
Speaker 7: No, can you imagine if is on the other side

696
00:32:26,920 --> 00:32:28,880
of my shoulder. After five years of people seeing me

697
00:32:28,960 --> 00:32:32,079
like this, my my half cat two background, my sleeve

698
00:32:32,119 --> 00:32:34,599
as I call it, it was like, put some shelves

699
00:32:34,680 --> 00:32:36,960
up and maryw It's been on my to do list

700
00:32:36,960 --> 00:32:37,880
for five summers.

701
00:32:38,160 --> 00:32:41,400
Speaker 6: Guess what, it's September. No shelves for another ten months

702
00:32:41,440 --> 00:32:43,839
of shelves. I got a lot of memorability that some

703
00:32:43,920 --> 00:32:45,559
cabinets within hands reach.

704
00:32:46,440 --> 00:32:48,640
Speaker 1: And you're not doing it during football season. You're just not.

705
00:32:49,200 --> 00:32:51,519
There's not too many projects that get done.

706
00:32:51,599 --> 00:32:53,880
Speaker 7: So I was supposed to take en Zone live yesterday

707
00:32:53,880 --> 00:32:55,880
Andy and I got tied up with even during the

708
00:32:55,960 --> 00:32:57,720
day on Sunday, but I heard you guys slammed it

709
00:32:57,799 --> 00:32:58,880
me and congratulations.

710
00:32:58,880 --> 00:33:01,039
Speaker 6: I kept seeing the number is increase on that. That

711
00:33:01,119 --> 00:33:03,200
was pretty cool live.

712
00:33:03,720 --> 00:33:06,559
Speaker 1: The live bets were really really good. The ones that

713
00:33:06,599 --> 00:33:09,160
we made in game were really good. We did have

714
00:33:09,200 --> 00:33:09,759
a funny one.

715
00:33:09,799 --> 00:33:11,559
Speaker 2: We had a we had a running back to go

716
00:33:11,640 --> 00:33:14,599
over and he was He got over by a half

717
00:33:14,680 --> 00:33:16,319
yard and then he got tackled for a five yard

718
00:33:16,319 --> 00:33:17,640
loss and he didn't get any more.

719
00:33:17,519 --> 00:33:20,960
Speaker 1: Carries we had. We had to play the one and lost.

720
00:33:20,960 --> 00:33:22,039
And that's a week in a round.

721
00:33:22,200 --> 00:33:25,640
Speaker 6: Did that last Sunday Night? To yourself? To yourself with

722
00:33:25,759 --> 00:33:28,400
Derrick Henry last week? My goodness, that was it?

723
00:33:28,480 --> 00:33:29,839
Speaker 1: Derek Henry and Travis.

724
00:33:29,480 --> 00:33:32,880
Speaker 6: Ets within six days? It happened seven days, it happened

725
00:33:32,880 --> 00:33:36,440
twice to you. That's that's hard to do. Congratulations, Thank you.

726
00:33:37,279 --> 00:33:39,839
Speaker 2: So we're gonna get to Chargers and Raiders, just kind

727
00:33:39,880 --> 00:33:42,160
of an overview. What's your takeaway through what we've seen

728
00:33:42,200 --> 00:33:43,440
in a couple of weeks in NFL.

729
00:33:44,119 --> 00:33:46,200
Speaker 7: Yes, we have two games tonight, of course, and we're

730
00:33:46,200 --> 00:33:47,480
gonna take a little bit of a glance at the

731
00:33:47,519 --> 00:33:50,440
late game Chargers Raiders. Just a quick reminder, I did

732
00:33:50,440 --> 00:33:52,880
do a two for one double header video earlier this week.

733
00:33:52,920 --> 00:33:55,599
It's still live or available right now. Waiter Talk TV

734
00:33:56,240 --> 00:33:59,240
Bucks Texans at seven Eastern Chargers Raiders who had deep

735
00:33:59,279 --> 00:34:01,480
dive to both of these games. And what I did

736
00:34:01,599 --> 00:34:03,160
use in this late game not end the video. I'm

737
00:34:03,160 --> 00:34:04,559
gonna give it to you here as well. Is the

738
00:34:04,640 --> 00:34:08,159
over forty six and a half Now shop around. We

739
00:34:08,199 --> 00:34:10,039
do see some forty sevens out there in a lot

740
00:34:10,039 --> 00:34:12,599
of spots. It opened as low as forty four and

741
00:34:12,599 --> 00:34:14,920
a half earlier last week. I did not agree with

742
00:34:14,960 --> 00:34:16,719
that opener. The sharp money came in on the over,

743
00:34:16,760 --> 00:34:19,440
and I think that is the play. Still forty five

744
00:34:19,760 --> 00:34:21,320
a little bit key. Forty six is what we call

745
00:34:21,360 --> 00:34:23,719
it dead number, but forty seven, forty eight or key numbers,

746
00:34:23,760 --> 00:34:25,719
So that forty six and a half is a nice price.

747
00:34:26,119 --> 00:34:27,880
Still like it at forty seven or less with the

748
00:34:27,920 --> 00:34:30,280
over here, And the main reason is because both teams

749
00:34:30,320 --> 00:34:32,440
are going to throw the ball. Yes, they put up

750
00:34:32,480 --> 00:34:35,239
twenty and twenty seven points and wins last week, but

751
00:34:35,280 --> 00:34:37,239
if you look at the stats, neither team ran the

752
00:34:37,239 --> 00:34:41,679
ball with any success. Both rushing defenses were successful last week.

753
00:34:42,079 --> 00:34:45,199
Both teams threw for over three hundred yards. Both teams

754
00:34:45,239 --> 00:34:47,719
gave up almost two hundred and fifty plus yards passing.

755
00:34:48,400 --> 00:34:51,079
Let's not overthink it, no pun intended. I like the

756
00:34:51,119 --> 00:34:53,519
over here between the Chargers and Raiders over the forty

757
00:34:53,559 --> 00:34:56,119
six and a half to forty seven tonight, and something

758
00:34:56,159 --> 00:34:57,760
else is gonna be interesting to see, Andy is if

759
00:34:57,800 --> 00:35:01,840
the Chargers have a letdown after that Brazil trip, upset

760
00:35:01,880 --> 00:35:03,800
one of the Kansas City Chiefs, and they have another

761
00:35:03,840 --> 00:35:07,159
big divisional game next week at home against the Broncos.

762
00:35:07,159 --> 00:35:10,320
They're real home opener. They won their home game in Brazil.

763
00:35:10,559 --> 00:35:13,199
Now they have a divisional Monday night game, and then

764
00:35:13,199 --> 00:35:15,000
they get Denver at home next week. So it's hard

765
00:35:15,000 --> 00:35:17,719
to say a Monday night divisional game in Vegas could

766
00:35:17,719 --> 00:35:19,800
be a letdown spot, but it very well might be.

767
00:35:20,440 --> 00:35:22,280
And this is sitting on that key number of three

768
00:35:22,320 --> 00:35:25,320
and a half right now. Looks like it might come down.

769
00:35:25,320 --> 00:35:26,920
So if you like the Raiders, you grab the three

770
00:35:26,920 --> 00:35:28,760
and a half. Now, if you like the Chargers weight,

771
00:35:29,199 --> 00:35:31,119
you might find the minus three at kickoff. But I

772
00:35:31,119 --> 00:35:33,079
think the public is leading that way, so most likely

773
00:35:33,119 --> 00:35:34,719
this goes off at three and a half tonight.

774
00:35:36,360 --> 00:35:38,079
Speaker 2: Let's take a look at MLB, and then I want

775
00:35:38,079 --> 00:35:41,079
to get your reaction on what we seen in Week two.

776
00:35:41,079 --> 00:35:43,599
So let's do the Phillies and the Dodgers. Here a

777
00:35:43,599 --> 00:35:46,840
great pitching matchup. This is a it's words for Phillies,

778
00:35:46,840 --> 00:35:50,320
she and for Dodgers interested. I think the obvious play

779
00:35:50,400 --> 00:35:52,000
is under. I don't know if that's where you're looking

780
00:35:52,119 --> 00:35:53,559
or not, but I'm sure the books are aware of this.

781
00:35:53,599 --> 00:35:54,679
How do you break this game down?

782
00:35:55,119 --> 00:35:56,840
Speaker 7: Yeah, I'm moving towards the side in this one, but

783
00:35:56,880 --> 00:35:58,440
I do want to talk about that Telly. You mentioned

784
00:35:58,480 --> 00:36:00,360
it's at eight and a half, and that's a pretty

785
00:36:00,440 --> 00:36:03,239
low total for a Dodgers game in general, or Phillies

786
00:36:03,280 --> 00:36:05,000
and Dodgers games in general. These are two of the

787
00:36:05,039 --> 00:36:08,079
better offensive teams in baseball, so if either one of

788
00:36:08,159 --> 00:36:10,920
these pitchers has an off night, you know, you might

789
00:36:11,000 --> 00:36:12,960
sneak to that key number of nine. But I'm gonna

790
00:36:12,960 --> 00:36:14,559
stay away from the total. I do think the side

791
00:36:14,679 --> 00:36:16,280
is the better play. I like the Dodgers in this

792
00:36:16,440 --> 00:36:19,239
one for a couple of reasons. I do think they

793
00:36:19,280 --> 00:36:21,079
actually have the pitching match up here, and they're a

794
00:36:21,119 --> 00:36:22,360
slight home favor, and I ever go I get the

795
00:36:22,360 --> 00:36:24,000
Dodgers at Homelane a dollar fifteen.

796
00:36:24,039 --> 00:36:25,599
Speaker 6: It's obviously going to make my short list.

797
00:36:26,039 --> 00:36:28,760
Speaker 7: Yes, I'm well aware Dan Alexander, our producer, that the

798
00:36:28,840 --> 00:36:30,440
Phillies are four and a half games ahead of the

799
00:36:30,480 --> 00:36:33,199
Dodgers this year, and yes the Phillies have won nine

800
00:36:33,239 --> 00:36:36,679
of their last eleven. But I keep waiting for that

801
00:36:36,840 --> 00:36:39,679
buysign from the Dodgers that're just kind of chronically underachieved

802
00:36:39,719 --> 00:36:42,400
all season, and I think we might be seeing that

803
00:36:42,559 --> 00:36:45,679
right now. After the five straight losses at Pittsburgh and Baltimore,

804
00:36:46,280 --> 00:36:48,239
they finally got on the winning track in that final

805
00:36:48,280 --> 00:36:51,239
Baltimore game last week before heading back home. They have

806
00:36:51,360 --> 00:36:54,000
now won six of their last seven games. And what

807
00:36:54,119 --> 00:36:55,880
I really like is that the offense has come to

808
00:36:56,000 --> 00:36:58,599
life on that three games sweep against the Rockies to

809
00:36:58,679 --> 00:37:01,920
start the home stand nineteen to three, and then the

810
00:37:02,000 --> 00:37:05,079
three games against the Giants this past weekend, twenty four

811
00:37:05,239 --> 00:37:09,079
runs scored, fourteen allowed. So that's another reason probably not

812
00:37:09,159 --> 00:37:10,679
a lot of value under eight and a half, even

813
00:37:10,679 --> 00:37:12,840
though I do think both pitchers will have a solid

814
00:37:12,880 --> 00:37:16,000
outing tonight. I like Sheann short price with the Dodgers.

815
00:37:16,039 --> 00:37:18,280
I think they're starting to trend upward. Should be a

816
00:37:18,320 --> 00:37:19,599
great game to night. By the way, this is the

817
00:37:19,679 --> 00:37:21,920
late game at ten o'clock EAS show on MLB Network.

818
00:37:22,480 --> 00:37:24,679
I would lean towards the Dodgers as a small home

819
00:37:24,719 --> 00:37:27,280
favorite minus a dollar fifteen. And they've also hit lefties

820
00:37:27,679 --> 00:37:28,960
fairly well at home this season.

821
00:37:29,000 --> 00:37:32,440
Speaker 2: Also, all right, Steve, we're gonna pull up a graphic

822
00:37:32,519 --> 00:37:37,119
here week two. Are we overreacting? Which one do you

823
00:37:37,320 --> 00:37:39,320
like the best? Or do you want to add one here?

824
00:37:39,400 --> 00:37:41,920
So we got Packers are the best team in the league.

825
00:37:42,039 --> 00:37:44,719
Aaron Rodgers is washed, the Bears are done, and the

826
00:37:44,800 --> 00:37:48,239
Lions are back. The Bengals have ruined Joe Burrow. JJ

827
00:37:48,360 --> 00:37:51,880
McCarthy is not an NFL quarterback, and Dan had me

828
00:37:51,920 --> 00:37:54,679
put in there. Jalen Hurts has to pass in order

829
00:37:54,760 --> 00:37:58,559
to make non Eagles fans happy. He just keeps winning

830
00:37:58,599 --> 00:38:00,760
despite the fact he's not throwing. You want to add

831
00:38:00,800 --> 00:38:02,280
one or which one there was?

832
00:38:02,440 --> 00:38:05,280
Speaker 7: So this quick story last year, I'd never done fantasy

833
00:38:05,320 --> 00:38:07,679
football ending until I was fifty years old last year

834
00:38:07,679 --> 00:38:09,920
and so high school buddies got me to kill yeah,

835
00:38:09,960 --> 00:38:11,239
and it was actually and I didn't know what I

836
00:38:11,280 --> 00:38:13,280
was doing. I did the draft, you know, and kind

837
00:38:13,280 --> 00:38:15,519
of did okay. And then the first week I was

838
00:38:15,559 --> 00:38:17,480
coaching a baseball game that Sunday and didn't have the

839
00:38:18,360 --> 00:38:21,039
password on my phone for ESPN, so I wasn't able

840
00:38:21,039 --> 00:38:23,320
to make any changes and I won. So I didn't

841
00:38:23,320 --> 00:38:26,599
bother logging in weeks two, three, four, apparently the I

842
00:38:26,679 --> 00:38:29,519
had Jalen Hurts. That's where this story is going. Oh okay,

843
00:38:29,719 --> 00:38:32,920
and I had the Eagles kicker. I had one of

844
00:38:32,960 --> 00:38:34,599
the receivers. I forget who it was, but anyway, I

845
00:38:34,800 --> 00:38:36,960
stacked them, you know, because I knew enough to stack them,

846
00:38:37,760 --> 00:38:40,760
and you know, and I thought everyone made the playoffs playoffs.

847
00:38:40,800 --> 00:38:42,960
I thought everyone made the playoffs in fantasy football. And

848
00:38:42,960 --> 00:38:44,360
then I thought you fought it out for the final

849
00:38:44,440 --> 00:38:47,519
four weeks. So one of my buddies nicely told me

850
00:38:47,639 --> 00:38:50,360
after week five that, Merrill, you need the log in

851
00:38:50,440 --> 00:38:51,960
when half of the team has a bye week.

852
00:38:52,559 --> 00:38:53,280
Speaker 6: So I left over.

853
00:38:53,760 --> 00:38:56,280
Speaker 7: I lost by thirty. Had I just flipped out the Eagles,

854
00:38:56,320 --> 00:38:58,039
I would have won by like fifty. I missed the

855
00:38:58,079 --> 00:39:00,599
playoffs by one spot. I would have been in the playoffs.

856
00:39:00,880 --> 00:39:03,639
I don't think I would have won it. So this year,

857
00:39:03,639 --> 00:39:05,599
I was like, Yeah, somebody else can have my spot.

858
00:39:05,639 --> 00:39:07,239
But where I'm going with that is Jalen Hurts is

859
00:39:07,280 --> 00:39:09,039
having a nice fantasy season because you get more points

860
00:39:09,039 --> 00:39:12,159
I think for running than passing. So Dan Alexander fantasy

861
00:39:12,199 --> 00:39:14,679
guys loved Jalen Hurts running the ball and getting touchdowns

862
00:39:14,679 --> 00:39:17,440
like he did in Week one against the Cowboys. I

863
00:39:17,519 --> 00:39:20,519
thought a massive overreaction before this week was that Thursday

864
00:39:20,599 --> 00:39:23,920
Night's game between Not My Washington Commanders and the Packers

865
00:39:24,039 --> 00:39:28,400
was an NFC Championship preview. With that said, the Packers

866
00:39:28,480 --> 00:39:29,840
might be in the NFC Championship.

867
00:39:29,840 --> 00:39:32,159
Speaker 6: They have looked good. Aaron Rodgers.

868
00:39:32,239 --> 00:39:34,440
Speaker 7: Everyone thought he was back after Week one, so now

869
00:39:34,519 --> 00:39:37,039
he's not back, So that might be an overreaction. We

870
00:39:37,119 --> 00:39:39,199
shall see. I think he's gonna be very mediocre this year.

871
00:39:39,199 --> 00:39:41,920
I think Week one he was focused. You heard him

872
00:39:41,960 --> 00:39:44,039
say it, Andy like he won that game against Pittsburgh.

873
00:39:44,440 --> 00:39:46,320
So I think last week was a letdown spot. That

874
00:39:46,599 --> 00:39:48,960
yesterday was a letdown spot. Let's see how he looks

875
00:39:48,960 --> 00:39:51,440
in the next couple of weeks. The Bears are always

876
00:39:51,480 --> 00:39:53,400
done until they're not done. I did think they would improve,

877
00:39:53,440 --> 00:39:55,639
but they got a new coach Bears could be a

878
00:39:55,719 --> 00:39:57,119
play on team in a month or so. You know,

879
00:39:57,159 --> 00:39:59,239
you always have to look at the NFL in college football,

880
00:39:59,320 --> 00:40:02,559
like four weeks. I would be careful with teams that

881
00:40:02,599 --> 00:40:05,119
are struggling right now. I thought the Vikings are the

882
00:40:05,119 --> 00:40:07,320
big takeaway that was the one that's not an overreaction.

883
00:40:07,719 --> 00:40:10,639
I was worried about McCarthy last week against Chicago. They

884
00:40:10,719 --> 00:40:14,119
trailed the first three quarters of that game. Be John

885
00:40:14,239 --> 00:40:16,880
Robinson had more yards yesterday than the Vikings offense last

886
00:40:16,960 --> 00:40:20,480
night total. So I think there's some problems in Minnesota.

887
00:40:20,559 --> 00:40:22,159
And let's talk about the Vikings real quick, and you

888
00:40:22,199 --> 00:40:26,159
talk about a hilatious scheduling spot. They played Monday night football,

889
00:40:26,719 --> 00:40:29,719
they played Sunday night football, they played this week, and

890
00:40:29,800 --> 00:40:32,039
then they have two games in England and Ireland the.

891
00:40:32,079 --> 00:40:32,800
Speaker 6: Next two weeks.

892
00:40:33,400 --> 00:40:34,199
Speaker 4: What do we do with that?

893
00:40:34,480 --> 00:40:36,519
Speaker 7: I mean, there's got to be a fade opportunity there.

894
00:40:36,519 --> 00:40:41,119
And then you've got a new quarterback on top of that. Yeah,

895
00:40:41,119 --> 00:40:43,079
there were fourteen and fourteen last year.

896
00:40:43,159 --> 00:40:43,760
Speaker 6: Let's just say that.

897
00:40:45,239 --> 00:40:47,440
Speaker 1: JJ McCarthy just had a baby on Thursday.

898
00:40:47,719 --> 00:40:48,320
Speaker 6: Good for him.

899
00:40:49,199 --> 00:40:53,559
Speaker 1: So how much can we add or play JJ McCarthy.

900
00:40:54,679 --> 00:40:57,320
Let's have a baby rights we start the NFL season.

901
00:40:57,480 --> 00:40:59,119
That's bad planning on their part.

902
00:40:59,280 --> 00:41:01,719
Speaker 6: Yes, I guess it was. Well, what's the most faction?

903
00:41:01,760 --> 00:41:03,679
Speaker 7: I would say the vikings is not an overreaction, I

904
00:41:03,679 --> 00:41:05,119
guess is where I'm going with that one.

905
00:41:05,639 --> 00:41:09,440
Speaker 6: Yeah, uh are there are the Bengals?

906
00:41:09,519 --> 00:41:12,280
Speaker 2: Have they ruined Joe Burrow? They can't put an offensive

907
00:41:12,280 --> 00:41:14,599
line behind it? How many injuries can this guy have before.

908
00:41:14,440 --> 00:41:16,920
Speaker 7: He's you know, so Andy, if I told you this

909
00:41:17,039 --> 00:41:18,719
year they were going to play him like the entire

910
00:41:18,840 --> 00:41:21,159
preseason for the first time ever, and he was injured,

911
00:41:21,400 --> 00:41:23,519
you would have thought he came in August, right, you know,

912
00:41:23,559 --> 00:41:25,519
because they didn't remember he's been out the last two years.

913
00:41:25,599 --> 00:41:28,639
No preseason. The Bengals started zeroing three last year. They

914
00:41:28,679 --> 00:41:30,920
didn't want that this year, so they were heavy favorites

915
00:41:30,960 --> 00:41:34,679
in the preseason, playing their starters, playing Burrow. Barely beat

916
00:41:34,719 --> 00:41:37,280
the Browns in Week one. That was a fade the

917
00:41:37,320 --> 00:41:39,760
public play we won with in the video with Cleveland.

918
00:41:39,760 --> 00:41:43,559
And then last week yesterday, I was two and one Saturday,

919
00:41:43,639 --> 00:41:46,400
two and one Sunday, and I was pissed, like Krakenberg.

920
00:41:46,480 --> 00:41:48,000
I was pissed because I should have been six and

921
00:41:48,079 --> 00:41:51,119
oh Head, Ohio State. They didn't cover. They dominated the game.

922
00:41:51,440 --> 00:41:53,800
And then we had Jacksonville yesterday and I've got a

923
00:41:53,840 --> 00:41:56,159
screen shot on the penal yet very brutal.

924
00:41:56,400 --> 00:41:57,880
Speaker 1: So that's a brutal loss.

925
00:41:58,239 --> 00:41:59,920
Speaker 7: Yeah, I would think the Bengals are in some trouble.

926
00:42:00,199 --> 00:42:02,800
Not an overreaction. Well maybe, yeah, not an overreaction. I

927
00:42:02,880 --> 00:42:05,280
think a lot of those are not overreactions, to be honest.

928
00:42:05,320 --> 00:42:07,320
Maybe we play the Bears in a month, maybe that's

929
00:42:07,360 --> 00:42:10,400
the overaction. And Rogers that might be an overreaction as well.

930
00:42:10,440 --> 00:42:11,840
We'll find out more than next week or two.

931
00:42:12,440 --> 00:42:13,320
Speaker 1: We do a lot.

932
00:42:13,719 --> 00:42:16,440
Speaker 2: We're on the Live Sunday Show. We were we were

933
00:42:16,480 --> 00:42:23,320
watching that Jags game with you, Yes, absolutely so, Carmine

934
00:42:23,440 --> 00:42:25,400
was there going nuts for the both of you. So

935
00:42:25,920 --> 00:42:29,519
all right, it is Monday, Monday Night Football. We got baseball, Steve,

936
00:42:29,599 --> 00:42:31,039
what do you have up for clients?

937
00:42:31,760 --> 00:42:33,440
Speaker 7: So we have a new special this week which I

938
00:42:33,480 --> 00:42:35,360
haven't released you. I'm gonna do a lot of videos today.

939
00:42:35,639 --> 00:42:38,440
By the way, the Thursday Night Video Prime last year

940
00:42:38,480 --> 00:42:40,760
we did really well, hit over seventy percent, had both

941
00:42:40,800 --> 00:42:43,280
the Packers in the under. I'm gonna record this Thursday

942
00:42:43,360 --> 00:42:45,639
Night game here right after this with Dan Alexander, hopefully

943
00:42:45,920 --> 00:42:47,639
get it up nice and early. I know people love

944
00:42:47,719 --> 00:42:50,679
those Thursday videos, so I'll have this promo code all week.

945
00:42:50,719 --> 00:42:53,760
But it's first for you, Andy Lang SM sixty nine.

946
00:42:53,960 --> 00:42:56,960
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you baseball and football.

949
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Speaker 6: Don't forget baseball.

950
00:43:01,719 --> 00:43:03,519
Speaker 7: Last year we finished on a fifty seven and twenty

951
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eight run through the World Series. So don't sleep on

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September and October baseball, and obviously don't sleep on the

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Speaker 1: Stuff Steve, merrill how'd coaching go? Yesterday was it just?

961
00:43:32,159 --> 00:43:32,840
Practice or do you have?

962
00:43:32,960 --> 00:43:34,679
Speaker 6: Game so Last sunday couldn't make it at.

963
00:43:34,719 --> 00:43:38,280
Speaker 7: Baseball This sunday had travel, Basketball Next sunday, Baseball BUT

964
00:43:38,400 --> 00:43:42,000
i might see you the Following, Sunday september twenty. Eighth

965
00:43:42,519 --> 00:43:44,639
But i'm not going to schedule. Myself, MAN i just

966
00:43:44,719 --> 00:43:47,119
never know what's going. On it's good, though you, know

967
00:43:47,559 --> 00:43:51,880
we're watching, football watching, baseball coaching. Basketball it's good to keep,

968
00:43:51,920 --> 00:43:54,000
it keep the juices flowing and keep it keep it.

969
00:43:54,079 --> 00:43:58,159
Speaker 1: Fresh, Right, WELL i promise you did not Miss laurence

970
00:43:58,199 --> 00:44:00,480
screaming into the. Microphone ask you how's that?

971
00:44:00,519 --> 00:44:01,400
Speaker 4: Going is he? Doing all?

972
00:44:01,480 --> 00:44:02,519
Speaker 1: Right it's a lot of.

973
00:44:02,599 --> 00:44:05,039
Speaker 2: Fun live bets are. Great we do need to figure

974
00:44:05,039 --> 00:44:07,039
out a volume. Control Uh and he.

975
00:44:07,119 --> 00:44:09,079
Speaker 6: Just know you mean actual like like loudness.

976
00:44:09,159 --> 00:44:09,760
Speaker 4: VOLUME i got.

977
00:44:09,800 --> 00:44:13,559
Speaker 2: You, oh it's it's, insanity like just. Screaming and but

978
00:44:13,719 --> 00:44:16,840
but he doesn't tell us what he's screaming. At like

979
00:44:16,960 --> 00:44:19,320
he doesn't be, like, oh big play in The ravens.

980
00:44:19,400 --> 00:44:22,840
Speaker 6: Game you just you don't even know. What, yeah and

981
00:44:22,960 --> 00:44:26,679
you're like what what That's that's How wednesday afternoon is

982
00:44:26,719 --> 00:44:29,000
in the press. Household so it might not matter what games.

983
00:44:29,039 --> 00:44:31,320
Speaker 1: On, true it was.

984
00:44:31,480 --> 00:44:35,360
Speaker 2: GREAT i had The cowboys uh in In, survivor and

985
00:44:35,559 --> 00:44:37,119
so Did PRES's, wife.

986
00:44:37,440 --> 00:44:39,199
Speaker 1: So we both got to. Walk we got to watch

987
00:44:39,320 --> 00:44:40,000
That cowboys.

988
00:44:40,079 --> 00:44:42,760
Speaker 6: Game and what About Cardinals. Cardinals you, know we're up

989
00:44:42,800 --> 00:44:43,599
twenty seven hard or.

990
00:44:43,599 --> 00:44:46,360
Speaker 7: Whatever but The panthers outstad of them dominated that, game

991
00:44:46,400 --> 00:44:47,880
and we did get a back door, there BUT i

992
00:44:47,880 --> 00:44:49,400
don't feel LIKE i was on the wrong, side So

993
00:44:49,440 --> 00:44:51,079
i'm not going to count that as a lucky. Win but,

994
00:44:51,639 --> 00:44:53,719
yeah the two most public plays this, Week andy and

995
00:44:54,000 --> 00:44:57,079
my video Were Cowboys cardinals on the point. Spread so

996
00:44:57,159 --> 00:44:59,360
you can only imagine other than The ravens being a huge,

997
00:44:59,400 --> 00:45:01,719
favorite those were probably the three big survivor, picks and

998
00:45:01,719 --> 00:45:02,920
two of them could have definitely have gone.

999
00:45:02,960 --> 00:45:06,360
Speaker 2: Down yeah you, NOTICE i mean this is just this

1000
00:45:06,360 --> 00:45:08,840
is true of anybody that that bets on sports WITH

1001
00:45:09,079 --> 00:45:12,440
us public, Whatever, like, yeah you ever noticed when you

1002
00:45:12,639 --> 00:45:15,119
win off of a back door, cover you're, like, oh, yeah,

1003
00:45:15,199 --> 00:45:17,440
yeah it was, great but whenever you lose on a

1004
00:45:17,480 --> 00:45:20,440
back door, cover you're, like that's, nonsense that's so.

1005
00:45:20,599 --> 00:45:21,559
Speaker 6: WELL i felt that way.

1006
00:45:21,679 --> 00:45:25,079
Speaker 7: YESTERDAY i was like The, cardinal The, cardinal The panther

1007
00:45:25,239 --> 00:45:27,159
cover got me back for The jags. Cover THEN i

1008
00:45:27,239 --> 00:45:29,480
dug into the box score more AND i mean That

1009
00:45:30,119 --> 00:45:32,119
cardinals didn't dominate the game as much as you might.

1010
00:45:32,280 --> 00:45:35,199
Think but, no you're exactly. Right we've talked about that

1011
00:45:35,320 --> 00:45:39,079
before bad. BEATS i love the bad beats segments.

1012
00:45:38,719 --> 00:45:40,199
Speaker 6: That we used to do. Here they do In Sports.

1013
00:45:40,239 --> 00:45:43,480
Speaker 7: Center fifty percent of the people benefit from a bad

1014
00:45:43,559 --> 00:45:47,360
beat mathematically long. Term sure, true but you don't remember

1015
00:45:47,440 --> 00:45:51,039
them only because once, again losing hurts one and a

1016
00:45:51,079 --> 00:45:53,440
half times more than. Winning in the financial, Markets i'm

1017
00:45:53,440 --> 00:45:55,079
sure it's same with the sports betting. Market And i'll

1018
00:45:55,119 --> 00:45:56,800
leave you with a quote real, quick Because bill brought

1019
00:45:56,840 --> 00:45:57,599
this up AND.

1020
00:45:57,760 --> 00:45:58,679
Speaker 6: I pulled this up for.

1021
00:45:58,800 --> 00:46:01,599
Speaker 7: You you JUST i want to a guy Named, edsecota

1022
00:46:01,599 --> 00:46:04,440
a great trend follower momentum trader from the seventies and.

1023
00:46:04,480 --> 00:46:08,079
Eighties ed, said win or, lose everybody gets what they

1024
00:46:08,159 --> 00:46:10,079
want out of the. Market some people seem to like to,

1025
00:46:10,159 --> 00:46:13,039
lose so they win. Big they so they win by losing.

1026
00:46:13,159 --> 00:46:16,119
Money now that might seem a little counterintuitive to, people

1027
00:46:16,159 --> 00:46:17,760
but when he was talking about his buddies that don't

1028
00:46:17,760 --> 00:46:18,639
want his, picks want to.

1029
00:46:18,639 --> 00:46:20,559
Speaker 6: Do it on their, own it made me think of that.

1030
00:46:20,719 --> 00:46:24,360
Speaker 7: QUOTE i don't know people necessarily want to, lose but

1031
00:46:24,440 --> 00:46:26,320
they definitely want to have the sensation of doing it

1032
00:46:26,360 --> 00:46:29,679
themselves and being. Right people want to be, right and

1033
00:46:30,639 --> 00:46:32,760
it's not about making money for eighty to ninety percent

1034
00:46:32,800 --> 00:46:36,320
of sports. Betters and that's why ninety five ninety seven

1035
00:46:36,320 --> 00:46:38,239
percent of sports betters lose every, season because if they

1036
00:46:38,320 --> 00:46:39,800
really wanted to make, money they'd be in the live

1037
00:46:39,880 --> 00:46:42,599
chat now like our smart, viewers and they'd be Following Andy,

1038
00:46:42,639 --> 00:46:44,679
Lang Steve, merrill everybody else At wait To talk dot,

1039
00:46:44,760 --> 00:46:46,719
com or at least at a minimum.

1040
00:46:46,480 --> 00:46:48,159
Speaker 6: Getting our free picks right every. Day we have a

1041
00:46:48,199 --> 00:46:49,599
free pick on our page with.

1042
00:46:49,760 --> 00:46:54,320
Speaker 7: Analysis so check yourself before you wreck yourself THIS nfl,

1043
00:46:54,440 --> 00:46:56,320
Season Steve.

1044
00:46:56,119 --> 00:46:59,079
Speaker 1: Merrill, everyone thank you very. Much good luck on your place.

1045
00:46:59,119 --> 00:47:02,079
Speaker 2: Tonight keep keep going on with that coaching man's that's

1046
00:47:02,159 --> 00:47:05,199
really really awesome of, You. Steve so anytime you can't

1047
00:47:05,239 --> 00:47:07,960
make it on a show because you're, coaching fine with.

1048
00:47:08,119 --> 00:47:13,800
Speaker 1: US i have to pull up a comment. Here teaserville.

1049
00:47:13,880 --> 00:47:15,960
Teaser roger has Today's teaserville.

1050
00:47:16,039 --> 00:47:18,719
Speaker 2: Teaser tampa plus eight and a half under forty eight

1051
00:47:18,719 --> 00:47:20,559
and a, Half vegas plus nine over forty and a.

1052
00:47:20,559 --> 00:47:24,360
Half there you, Go Nuby, Dan roger was nice enough

1053
00:47:24,400 --> 00:47:26,320
to give you A teaserville teaser just for.

1054
00:47:26,400 --> 00:47:28,559
Speaker 1: You it was very very nice of. You thank you very, Much.

1055
00:47:28,679 --> 00:47:30,559
Roger so all, right, guys it's going to do it for.

1056
00:47:30,679 --> 00:47:32,400
Speaker 2: Us hit the like button and don't forget to leave

1057
00:47:32,440 --> 00:47:35,719
a comment. Below tell us what's your favorite overreaction For

1058
00:47:35,840 --> 00:47:37,639
week two in THE. Nfl give us the best bet

1059
00:47:37,719 --> 00:47:39,719
in the comment. Section thank you so much for joining.

1060
00:47:39,800 --> 00:47:42,079
Us two best bets are up on my page for.

1061
00:47:42,159 --> 00:47:44,679
TONIGHT wt dot bus lash al plays THAT i have

1062
00:47:44,760 --> 00:47:47,000
already bet with my own, money you should as.

1063
00:47:47,079 --> 00:47:47,960
Speaker 1: Well thank you very.

1064
00:47:48,000 --> 00:47:49,920
Speaker 2: Much we're gonna do it again tomorrow And, tuesday same,

1065
00:47:49,960 --> 00:47:52,599
time same, place Noon. Eastern good luck on your bets

1066
00:47:52,599 --> 00:47:53,760
tonight and take care