Speaker 1: What's up?
Speaker 2: Everybody?
Speaker 1: Welcome into another episode of Profit Picks. If you are new,
we do always start the show by being transparent. And
yesterday was a good day. Only bet I had was
champagne for the Spurs over fifteen and a half points
and rebounds, and that ended up being a winner by
the third quarter. So one and oh day for myself.
You know, how's everything on your end?
Speaker 2: It was good? Yesterday's Ski NBA wise two and out
in the NBA wound up on the Cleveland Milwaukee over
the total Milwaukee kind of just this old stand by
right now playing them over. They got the two thirty
nine was fairly easy, and earlier picked down another stand
by the Pacers Pacers Nicks even without Jalen Brunson game over.
It got the two forty six, So two pretty easy totals.
Last night SKI just fading, you know, somewhat mechanically, just
waking up and saying, you know what I'm gonna bet
Indiana Milwaukee came over, doesn't really matter, and last night
it didn't. So good for me.
Speaker 1: All right, good stuff there, two and oh for you
one and oh for me. Let's see if we can
do it again here today a good amount of games.
Let's see if we can get through. I gotta fix
that batner there or fix that uh ticker. We'll go
to Warriors and Celtics opened up twelve. Looks like twelve total,
up from two fourteen and a half as high as
two seventeen. Busevic out the Celtics for the Warriors GP two, LJ. Cryer,
I'm sorry. GP two is probable. Crier and Post are questionable,
Seth Steph, Horford Moody look like they're all out. This
was not one on my radar really, but if I
had to bet it, I'd probably look towards an over.
I think that the Warriors best, like the Warriors are
gonna play with pace, and Celtics are comfortable playing with pace,
not that they always do. And Celtics shoot a lot
of threes. So where there, it's over in this game,
Santos over something like that will be direction. I'm looking
in this game anything for you, you know?
Speaker 2: Yeah, Boston oh to two last two games, both at home.
This their third straight at home, last of the home stand.
Going to hit the bricks to Memphis next game out.
But to your point about comfortable with pace, don't always
play it. They were comfortable against Phoenix the other night
one twenty to one to twelve. We talked a little
bit about that game, got the two thirty two, so
could see it happening again Boston. You know, they're winning
these games, but they're not covering. Maybe they're slightly overpriced.
I really don't want to get involved with Golden State
from a side perspective, but you know, just a general
style matchup here of how this is going to be
played would suggest Boston's going to get their share of
threes up and probably score points, so total could be
in play. Ski I crossed it off. I didn't play
it either way, but to sixteen and a half is
a relatively small number the way NBA games are played nowadays,
so I could still get somewhat interested in over to
sixteen and a half.
Speaker 1: I think, all right, let's keep going down the list.
Before I keep going, Actually I got a vent real quick.
I got too here we go, and you know, people
may not like when I come on and you know,
don't give out a million bets on the show or
you know, but that's the way I've been having success.
When I give out bets too early. Sometimes the injury
report just screws it up. It's like you gotta wait
till you get enough information you can make bets early,
and then by the time it's two o'clock, a bunch
of people rolled out and everything you thought was gone
out the window. So I'm a little frustrated with that.
Today Thunder and Nets, one of those games total open
two fifteen and a half, dropped to lowest to eleven
and a half. Now back up side two fourteen and
a half and you had have chat questionable, dort out hard,
and sign out. None of them were on the Andrew
Report earlier. So I get, you know, some of these
back to backs, but I bet under and I don't
really love it anymore. Now. Granted it's still the Nets.
The Nets struggle to score versus everybody, but that's all
the defenders. Bro Okay, see that you're missing. So a
little irritated with that considering buying out, and I don't
usually buy out any thoughts from you, Rob.
Speaker 2: You know, Yeah, it's difficult. Oklahoma City certainly needs to
win because seeing Antonio won't stop chasing them three games ahead,
fourteen to go, thirteen or fourteen to go. So games
like this that are winnable. I just assume, okay, see,
no matter who they put on the floor is going
to win, whether or not they can win by twenty.
Kind of up in the year with that, especially with
the back to back big win last night over Orlando
where they clearly played taxing minutes. It was a close game,
So I don't know. I'd almost venture to say I'd
like to have the Nets here plus the nineteen nineteen
and a half ski, But you've worked with me long
enough to know that very rarely am I one to
just play the dirty, dirty dog and pray to God
that they somehow find a way to stay close. But
I have to say Washington did it the other night
when we talked about it against Detroit, and that was
kind of in a worse situation than this one is
for Brooklyn. So nineteen and a half, yeah, I guess
to be fair to the audience here, nineteen the nineteen
and a half. Some seeing are kind of stray, but
you can get them if you can shop and if
you have outlets. I'd almost prefer to have Brooklyn here,
but haven't played.
Speaker 1: All right. Next game we have Blazers and Pacers. You know,
it is up from ten to thirteen. But you mentioned
mechanically playing some of these pictures and Blazers game, it's
another one back to back. Nobody was really on the
injury report. Now all of a sudden, the whole team
is on the injury report. What do you think about this?
You know?
Speaker 2: Yeah? I mean you no, that's the way it goes
with this injury report. I mean what you were saying
a few minutes ago. I mean, listen to anybody who
follows it every day knows that for Indiana. I mean,
here's my issue when I woke up and looked at
this game Ski and I'm sometimes too stubborn for my
own good and for my own accounts. But I've tried
Portland Team Total over twice on this road trip, got
really short changed the first time, just missed the second time,
and I have a good mind to just come back
here and play Portland Team Total over for a third
time and maybe expanded a little bit, play a little
more because Indiana doesn't play any defense to because I
don't know how much less defense Indiana could play if
a boatload of these guys don't see the floor, but
certainly you know their ability to give up one thirty
plus is unbelievable right now, and so for me, I'm
still considering it a play on the Portland team total.
I'll just give everybody the current number while we wrap
this one up. Portland right now sits at one twenty
two and a half. I mean, by Indiana's standards, they
give that up just getting out of bed in the morning,
So it could be a play on Portland team total.
Speaker 1: Over, I agree. I agree with that. There's how I
still should be able to score. What I wasking was
the Pacers past couple games been sharing the ball really well,
Subacas looked really good over there, et cetera, et cetera.
But now everybody's questionable, So.
Speaker 2: Who need to get on clinging?
Speaker 1: Yeah, that could be something there. That could be the
way to go, especially if Zubag doesn't play and Robert
Williams doesn't play. Could be a good call there. Jazz
and t Wolves opened up twelve, looks like thirteen and
a half total open two thirty three, down as low
as two thirty and a half or Minnesota nas Reed
is questionable, Anthony Edwards is out, Clark is questionable. For Utah,
Ace Bailey is questionable. No Keyante, George or Lauri Markining.
I feel like you're just missing too much scoring in
this game. I like this one to be an undergame,
so I would love it if the total is not,
you know, catching your attention too much here, Rob, you know.
Speaker 2: It's really what catches my attention. Kind of your ski
is Utah. You know they're so used to playing without
guys anyway, And I know Marketing and George mean a
heck of a lot to their chances where winning is concerned.
We know they're not particularly interested in winning. But Minnesota,
you know, they did their job last night, played a
pretty good game against Phoenix one covered and we've talked
about how sporadic they've been against the points, especially in
this type of role late thirteen and a half. I
don't know that again, it's a one of those filthy
dogs that I generally don't get involved with. But much
like Brooklyn, I just think the points are a little
excessive here. I kind of feel like I'm gonna get
the effort from Utah, even though you know the personnel
tells us that Minnesota is better. Know Anthony Edwards, I
don't know if I should say the remainder of Minnesota
enjoys that or if they don't enjoy that. I didn't
pull up their record without ant on the floor so
far this year. But I would say this to ask
Minnesota to cover back to back numbers two nights in
a row after playing a really good game the first
game without Anthony Edwards. I don't know that they could
cover this. I shouldn't say could. They can't cover this
large of a number, but I do think Utah's got
a better chance of sneaking in under this one tonight.
Speaker 1: All right, keep going down the list we have, and
I think I might have I might have missed something
up there. Jazz t Wolves next week have no Raptors,
Bulls or maybe no. I think I skipped one. So
let me get to that where we have Pelicans and Clippers.
I believe that's the next one we'll go too, So
bear with me. One second boom Clippers. Pelicans opened up
minus one and a half, looks like two and a
half total, open two twenty nine and a half, up
a highs two thirty four. Garland has now been ruled
in Kawhi is questionable, Matthurn is out, but Tom is questionable.
For the Pelicans, McGowan's is out pretty healthy on that side.
I don't think Kawhi is playing today. I mean, these
teams do play again tomorrow. They brought Kawhi on the
road trip, thinking you'll play one of these three games.
Is not sure that it's tonight. And the loss of
Mathering makes me think that it could be missing a
little too much here. So I was thinking the Pelicans
are the right side. What do you think?
Speaker 2: You know? And you could probably consider their team total
as well, and I still would consider full game total.
I mean obviously been on this Clipper freight train. You know.
Somehow some wai ski the other night when they bet
that game up against it might have been the Spurs.
I think they were home against the Spurs. The Clippers were.
Their last game one nineteen one to fifteen was the finals. Somehow,
some way that game got steamed upward. I know we questioned,
why are people betting it up? Even though we like
Clipper team totals over and now with the change in philosophy,
but they were missing a lot that night. They still
found their way to two thirty four, even with a
short handed lineup here against New Orleans. New Orleans can score,
Clippers should be able to score back against them and Clippers.
You know, when you don't have Kawhi and Matherin, I
feel like you do lose a pretty good chunk of defense.
Benedict Matherin, for what it's worth, he's great offensively, but
he's also high energy defensively too. So I could see
three ways to play it. Honestly, I could see the
New Orleans side, wouldn't argue anybody off that. I could
see the New Orleans team total over side. But mostly
I think I still think I want to jump back
on that train and play the game over two thirty
three and a half.
Speaker 1: Oh, I get it. Publicans are not the greatest defensive team.
I just worry, no Matthering, no Kawhi. Potentially I could
be just too much to overcome, even if they play fast.
But we'll see, we'll see, maybe Coauhi gets rolled in
even never know. Next up we have what was it,
Raptors and Bulls, And this is when I have very
little interest in here, rob anything from you on raptors
and bulls.
Speaker 2: Yeah, bulls have been difficult ski at least I know
on my end. I've talked about it. Very very hard
to gauge. They do continue to play pretty high scoring games.
But you know where Toronto's concerned. I factor in their
defense a little bit here, so total is wise. They
don't have a good opinion and Toronto laying seven and
a half. I can't get involved with the Bulls ski,
so it's probably worthless to sit here and talk about it.
Speaker 1: Nuggets and Grizzlies don't really trust either team to play defense.
I can understand why the total is going up four
and a half or five points. I probably agree with that.
What about you, Veno?
Speaker 2: Yeah, and I think the Grizzlies team total might be
worth playing here. Denver comes. You know, they slaughtered Philadelphia
last night, and even though in the analysis a lot
of times we both agree that Denver can't stop anybody,
so how can they It's hard to get them to
back them to cover huge, huge numbers, but last night
they did. They still need wins. I mean we went
over the standing yesterday. They're still and that's position where
they have to get wins to secure their spot inside
the playoffs and not fall to a play a playing team,
and also to try and climb it to the top four,
because I know they want home floor advantage in some capacity.
One through four. Get that, So I believe they'll win
the game, but I think Memphis can score on him.
In the second of back to backs we travel for Denver.
If there's one thing, and I think I thought I
saw Tie Jerome in tonight, Am I wrong? Yeah?
Speaker 1: Yes, I looked at his points and says as well, So, yeah,
he is.
Speaker 2: In, and he's been a you know, a difference maker.
I know you've noted it a bunch when he's in.
We want to consider them offensively. Tonight he's in against
a team that very rarely plays defense. I don't know
if I'm going to go against that period tonight. So
Memphis team total, to me, could it's not that big
of a number, to tell you the truth, one fifteen
and a half. I could see it happening one fourteen
and a half if you get to one of these
very very popular nationwide outlets.
Speaker 1: All right, next we have Hawks and Mavericks opened up minus.
I'm not sure the opener is kind of blanked out here,
but it's eight and a half. Now. Total has gone
up from what two thirty three I think to two
thirty eight something like that. Injury report Cominge is questionable,
Williams is doubtful. Gafford is questionable, Martin is questionable. Hawks
what if they want like ten in a row. We
questioned their schedule, they said, watch this now they get
back to playing some bums.
Speaker 2: They love the.
Speaker 1: Bums, Yeah they do. I mean, the only thing I
can say is that was a little healthier than other
parts of the season. Maybe at home they can keep
her respectable. Now too many points? Are Hawks getting the
respect that they should have had already? Now what do
you think about this? This one?
Speaker 2: You know, well, I think the people that got to
the over are you know, I agree with them. To
thirty one and a half I wish I had gotten
and then we're looking at two thirty seven and a
half to thirty eight. Now I understand it fully. Dallas,
even if that if Daniel Gafford plays, has not been
a rim protection unit all season long. In Atlantas found
ways and they got interior play that can score Atlanta
two forty two, fifty two forty three. I guess two
thirty two wouldn't qualify, but that's still a high scoring game.
To thirty six their last six and excuse me, that's Dallas.
I'm sorry. And Dallas they were all on the road
except for the Cleveland game. They're just involved in these really,
really high scoring games, and I feel like the Hawks
can name their number offensive least. I don't know if
this total is quite high enough yet Ski too where
you don't have a little wiggle room to still play
over Dallas baseline nowadays should almost be two forty the
way they're playing. So I didn't bet it. I might not.
I could see the Rays in Atlanta. They're playing great basketball.
Who wants to step in front of that free train?
But I could also see people who play are still
playing the over at to thirty seven and a half,
so maybe they're stale. I'm not sure, but at least
two thirty eight is available right now.
Speaker 1: All right, last game on the slate here, you know,
Lakers and Rockets look in like not much movement on
side or total honestly. Injury report maxic cleelod list it
is out for the Lakers. For the Rockets, tata is out.
Looks like both teams fairly healthy. We did see this
matchup the other day Lakers one. Do you think the
Rockets can come back and get a little bit of
revenge this time around?
Speaker 2: I do, But to tell you the truth. I really
like the way the Lakers are playing right now. This
number is extremely small, which your first inclination when you
look at this and say Houston with revenge at home
only two and a half. Yes, sign me up. But
the one thing that keeps holding me up in my
mind is the Lakers. Again. They're playing really good at
this point in time. They've got scoring plenty of it
there were you know, not to make a joke of
how good they're playing, but I do see a bunch
of stuff running around social media about how great Luca's
been since the divorce and his kids got taken. With me,
it shouldn't equate to Luca playing better, but it does
correlate with the time spin where they're just playing some
of their best ball of the season. I still don't
trust them defensively. Ski that being said, I think in
Houston's case, at some point, the fact that they don't
run a true starting point guard out there is going
to get them into trouble. I saw a little bit
of that the other day where I really feel like
they need a a real point guard. But they've got
enough size, they've got enough defense. I don't know. I'm
very contradictory on this game, because the number and the
situation tells me play Houston, and the way the Lakers
are playing tell me don't play against the Lakers right
now because they can outscore anybody at this point in time.
Speaker 1: Yeah, if one plus one equals to the Lakers probably
want to get in tonight. I mean, like you said,
they've been playing really good basketball on the Rockets have not.
You know, this is interesting. You know, I looked at
this this morning. The Rockets verse good teams, I'll say
above fifty five percent one percentage on the season they are,
and I should I should have very all right, but
I'm pretty sure it was correct. There are ten to
zer to the under this season. Why because they can't shoot,
they can't score, and when they play those top teams
they try to win it with defense. But yeah, that's
just the Rockets have some problems. So probably under, probably Lakers.
All right, that is the show for today, So I
think we can uh before we get the best bets,
Let's do some of that good old promo. First up,
we will start with the you can do the buy three,
get three free that comes out to six days for
just sixty nine dollars. If you would like to go
longer term than that, you can get in for an
entire year, comes out to under four dollars per day.
You will also get a twenty five percent bonus keep
on to use. For example, if you were to get
Rovino for a year, you can get twenty five percent
bonus keep on the come us on or whatever else
you want. You can come check me out. And if
you say that's I want to support both these guys,
I want every NBA play. You guys can get get
ropped in that good old forty five Philadelphia Jersey and
it skid that twenty three double the NBA court vision
three days for just fifty nine dollars, So plenty of
ways to get involved. On that note, I will pass
it back to number forty five. If there's anything else
you would like to promote, feel free and if you
have a best bet for the show, we love to
hear it.
Speaker 2: You know, you remember how we always used to laugh
at that picture of you Capper whenever you yeah, yeah, yeah,
and it never got old. I feel like this one
is never going to get old. But I will say this,
that package right there with twenty three and forty five
with three and oh last night. So there you're going.
I hop on board. I'm kind of glad. I'm thinking
maybe that that jersey is a little bit of good
luck here. Obviously we want to throw all those packages
and again for those who are going to be in
from the crack of dawn until you know, on the
East coast here until early morning hours with the NCAA
tournament beginning, actually another final four set of games today
and it as well then throughout the weekend. You can
get college packages over at wager talk dot com as well.
I do a college place up already if you're interested
in that. As for the NBA SKI, I haven't made
a bit yet, but I talked myself into one which
I will make probably once you and I sign off
here and I can concentrate. I'm putting the numbers in,
but I'm going to go back to the well and
play the Portland team total over on twenty two and
a half. It just seems to me that if Indiana,
like I said earlier, they you can't make a case
that they can play extremely worse defensively, but they really
don't have to. No matter who's on the floor. They're
giving up one thirty plus on a nightly basis, and
then is the team. You know, they're pretty secure in
their playoff position, but they're still seeking some wins and
they have the capability, They've got the scores to get
to this number. So I'm going to play it as
soon as the show wins. So therefore, I'm going to
recommend it as the best bet portant team total over
one twenty two and a half.
Speaker 1: All right, good stuff from Robno And for myself, you know,
we've had we've had success doing this, so I'm going
to do it for that reason. Obviously. No, no, I'm
not doing it. Not doing it change my mind. But
before I get my best bet, I remind everybody that
I do have a five percent play today and my
top plays four percent or higher. I've hit sixteen on
my last twenty one, so it could be a good
time to, you know, get involved with the one for
to night. And I did talk about earlier, you know,
some things with the injury report getting in the way,
that's not one of the games. That's not one of
the games right there, So just putting that out there.
Best bet for the show, I will go with Utah
and Minnesota. I will go under the best number I
think we can get right now, two thirty and a half.
I still think that's good. You just you look at
this Minnesota team already minus Anthony Edwards, without nas Reed,
potentially Too being questionable. It's a lot of offense from
that side. No Keyante George, no marketing, potentially no A's Bailey,
a lot of offense gone from that side. Just a
lot of things lining up to take Under in this game.
I had one more that I wanted to share, but
I can't find. Uh, can't find what I was looking for,
So I guess I can't share that one. But yeah,
best bet for the show under too, thirty and a
half Utah and Minnesota, Vino. I always appreciate you taking
time to come catch these games with me. Helps my
process sure helps everybody else as well. Chat We appreciate
you guys bringing good energy and helping cap the games,
and you know, bringing the insight that you have as well.
Big day tomorrow. I don't know how many people will
have in here for a show, but I guess we'll
pop in here and do one. So best look everybody
on all your action and we'll catch you all again tomorrow.