Speaker 1: NHL picks for Tuesday, March tenth. Welcome to Puck Time
wager Talk TV. Andrew Carmine, Buster and Brian with you today.
We've got a loaded lineup. Can't wait to talk some
pucks with you guys and break down this big slate.
A lot more games than we had on Monday, a
handful of games to break down. We got some props,
we got to play of the day, we got a
lot of stuff to look forward to. And let's not
bury the lead. It is five dollars Tuesday wager talk
dot com. I have a four percent best bet up
in NHL for tonight. Love this spot play and of
course I'm sure all the other guys as well will
have a play up. Originally twenty five bucks, just five
dollars for today, and of course you can get some
plays for tomorrow's action as well and other sports for
just five dollars too. Carm nice to have a five
percent play when the team you go against doesn't score
one single goal, So congrats on your great run brother,
You're doing very very well. And shut out victory for
the Ottawa Senators. It you know, only one goal for
a large portion of the game, but they played a
pretty solid game.
Speaker 2: Yeah, the Sens are making noise nine to one in
two their last twelve games. They're picking up points. They're
like three points out of a playoff spot. Now you
might want to get on that train. You didn't miss it.
It's it's going to keep moving for a little while longer, guys.
Sends are playing really well. And that was even with
Rhymer in that James Rynder instead of his Almark. It
didn't bother me just because I knew the way they'd
been playing defensively, and I just thought Vancouver had that
sudden uptake where they played a little bit better after
their moves, but at some point they were going to
regress a little bit, a little bit of a sweat.
But I'll take it.
Speaker 3: I was.
Speaker 2: I was just as excited about the pod play winning
yesterday with the Rangers first period over now twelve and
oh their last to twelve games. That that is one
that keeps on ticking. And we'll have another pod play
for you guys later on today and it's a later
on the show. It's a first period play as well too.
But a good run for a very good run for me,
I think eighteen three and three run since last Monday,
twelve one one NHL. Who's that one loss? You're probably
asking the Seattle Kraken at home against Saint Louis. You
always remember the losses. I couldn't even name the twelve wins.
But with that said, Andrew and I are going to
break down the La Kings and the Boston Bruins. Busters
here to talk about Anaheim and Winnipeg Brian Leonard in
his regular Let's talk about the Vegas Golden Knight spot
against the Dallas Stars. Andrew Nile finish it off with
the Edmonton and Colorado game and then same game parlay,
some parley picks or player props, a pod play, and
we'll close it out. So we have quite the show
for you guys, and we thank you guys all for
tuning in. Andrew, let's get right to before we bring
these guys in one at a time. The La Kings
and the Boston Bruins. You look at this line right
now and let me just pop it up on the
screen for us, my friend, one fifty three on the Bruins.
I'm I'm a little surprised by that price. Plus one
twenty six on the La Kings. And while I get it,
and I understand it that you know, the Kings are
on the second of a back to back. I thought
they had value yesterday at plus money and they got
the job done against Columbus, and I think they still
have plus money here plus one twenty six on the
second of a back to back. It does not bother me.
This is a very good road team that they have
been all year long. Plus one twenty six. I just
want to take another bite at the apple. Can you
convince me to do otherwise?
Speaker 1: Yeah, And it is nice for them that that game
was early, right, and it's funny. We even talked about
it on the showcarm and then I forgot about it
later in the day. I was like, oh sweet, we
have a game on at four o'clock Eastern time on
a Monday. So that was kind of nice. Look, twelve
game winning streak at the Goden for the Boston Bruins,
something worth mentioning, something worth looking at. I went against
them the other day with the Washington Capitals. Logan Thompson
stands on his head, has a great game, and the
offense just wasn't there for the Washington Capitals. But yeah,
the number, you got to think the home streak and
the back to back is all baked into the cake
here with the Boston Bruins, so that kind of is
a little bit something to mention. But Anton Forrestburgh was
the starter yesterday. He had what thirty two shots and
he gave up four goals for the Kings. And then tonight,
of course we're gonna see Darcy Kemper, and to be honest,
since he got back from Milan, even though we didn't
play a game for Team Canada, he was one of
the three goalies. He hasn't looked that strong, so that
kind of does worry me a little bit. Taking a
look at his numbers here last handful of games, save
percentage eight fifty five on the road this season altogether
eight ninety four. Goals against average in his last three
games is four point zero. So I think this is
a goalie that we want to go against. So even
though I've said sometimes second half of back to backs
can have unders to them, I think I saw a
couple of comments yesterday in the chat and I think
Perlow was one of them, so I'll shout him out.
He said that DJ Smith is going to have this
team playing overs. Jim Hiller was the coach of the
Kings before, and you know, it probably took too long
for him to get fired, to be quite honest, but
he wasn't having them play very well. This team is
having more pep in their step. They look a little
bit more juiced up. They look like they're a more
fun team to watch from just a viewership perspective. So
whether it's a full game over perspective or if it's
a team total over for the Boston Bruins, that's where
I would look at. And You've been pretty hot calm
right now, so I don't really want to go against you,
So maybe I would just look towards the full game over,
But anybody interested, it's that plus one h five spot
on the Boston Bruins to get the magic number of four.
But Darcy Kemper has not been very good, so we'll
see if that ends up going well for them, But
it could be an opportunity for the La Kings to
have a very very strong two games here.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think I think it is. People are paying
a premium to bet on the Bruins giving that home streak,
and I understand it, but the Bruins, the Bruins should
never be minus one fifty three in this spot against
Delie Kings, not this late in the season, not with
a Kings team that is trying to get into into
that playoff race. And they're right there, so they're not
taking any night off, especially in the back to back.
And you did mention it was an earlier game. Obviously
they get into Boston likely being like an optional skate
this morning. And I like the fact that it's Darcy
Kempfer in goal. I get it. Twelve wins in a
row for the Bruins at home. Swayman's been in goal
for eight of them, and he's likely to be the
starter tonight. But you know, I look at some of
the analytic numbers across those twelve games and they're they're not.
It isn't similar to a Colorado twelve wins in a
row at home. It's isn't similar to an Edmonton oiler's
twelve wins in a row. They've done enough to get
the wins when they needed it, but they're they're going
to play in La King's team that is going to
come at them tonight. I just think laying this kind
of a price on the Bruns, I wouldn't want to
lay more than a buck thirty. So you're laying twenty
cents more, twenty five cents more on the Bruins if
you're taking them, And if you have the mentality of
well it's the Bruins or nothing, then you should really
take nothing because you shouldn't be late a price that
I don't think is right on them. So you know
what that said, I'm gonna stay away from the total Andrew,
I think I think the Kings are a live dog.
I think the road is where they need to be
to put a little bit of a streak together and
get into this playoff race. And they're right there that Pacific.
It's just so crazy right now, and I look at it.
You have the Anaheim Ducks who look like they're playing
for phenomenal hockey and then they lose for nothing at home.
You have the Edmonton Oilers who beat Vegas they're a
point bank. You have Vegas playing Dallas tonight. You have
Edmonton playing Colorado tonight. You have the Ducks playing Winnipeg tonight.
The La Kings could this could be the perfect storm
for them them in like the Seattle kracking tonight who
are playing Nashville. If those three teams lose. You know,
if Anaheim, Vegas, Edmonton all lose tonight and the Ducks
or sorry, the Kraken and the Kings both win tonight,
that Pacific Division is just going to be a complete
toss up. And then throw in the if the Sharks
somehow upset the Buffalo sabers Man, that Pacific is gonna
go right down to the water. So with that said, Andrew,
it is it's the Kings. For me, I'm loving hockey
right now and it has nothing to do with the streaks.
I just love the races that are going on right now.
Speaker 1: So it's so fun to watch, it really is. And
I think, look tonight, we've got I love it when
it's a there's a great early card and then a
great later card like today, we've got a great Eastern
Conference night, and then we've got you know, Colorado and
Edmonton going head to head. Later on, you've got Vegas Dallas.
So there's so many good games overall, and teams every
point matters. And carm I will add this because I
was looking at a few things. I feel like I
like the over more and obviously, with you liking La,
I don't really want to take the Bruins here, last
last ten games expected goal against per game for the
Boston Bruins three point nine to seven. Three point nine
to seven, So that's not very good. Expected goals for
last handful of games for the King So I mean
that both the Kings and the Bruins are leaking chances
or that was actually for the Kings. So three point
nine have expected goals against for the Kings and then
for the Bruins it was closed to three point five.
So either way, if I end up on the Bruins
or if I end up on the Kings, I think
we're gonna see goals in this one. Maybe it'll be
a first period over. I don't know, but I also
know that I got to stick to my guns, so
I can't let you talk me off of play either.
I gotta stick to my guns too, So we'll see
what happens. But I think this is gonna be probably
a fun game to watch. I can't see this one
being a boring game, car is what I'm trying to
say here.
Speaker 2: Yeah, no, I don't think it's gonna be a boring game.
I think it'll be a good one because this the
the Boston Bruins aren't going to lay lay down or
roll over for any team right now. They're during that
twelve game home win streak, seven or eight of the
games were against teams that are not in the playoffs
right now. You know, the games they won were a
couple of games against the Pittsburgh Penguins, whoever I think
that the sixth spot right now, or won against Montreal,
and I think one against Detroit. I think every other
game that they've played is against teams that are not
in the playoffs right now. I could be wrong, but
somewhere around there at least seven, maybe eight games have been.
But you can only beat the teams that they put
in front of you. So it's not as if the
Bruins said, hey, give us all losing teams so we
can put this streak together. And with the Ottawa winning
last night, you know the Bruins are scoreboard watching. You
know that they know that the Ottawa Senators are right
behind them, So they're not going to roll over. They're
going to give a fantastic every tight. The Kings are
going to have to be that much better in order
to get the win tonight. They're going to have to
be a little bit better than they were yesterday on
the second of a back to back and see if
they can do it.
Speaker 1: So remember when Travis Green said, uh, we don't worry
about the outside noise. It all starts inside this room
and he tried to give a pep talk before one
of the games. And the Ottawa Senators are like, I
think they're like eleven and two since that speech. So
they're looking pretty good. And I'll tell you, Karen, if
we're being honest, Like the Buffalo Sabers are great, Tama
Bay Lighting are great, the haves have been great. But
I think every single series in the Eastern Conference this
year could be great. If Columbus gets in, they're gonna
be a tough out. You know. If Boston gets in,
they've got good goal turn and they got guys that
can score. Like I think the whole ice edge is
gonna be important. But you know, if Ottawa gets in,
they're gonna have momentum. So we'll see. And you know
what's funny is Detroit. I've been waiting for them to
slide for so long and then they, you know, finally
now starting to show some some sliding metrics. They've got
teams breathing down their necks. So pretty much, you can't
afford to lose two games in a row. If you
lose one game, you gotta win next one.
Speaker 2: Yeah, listen before the show. After my prep, I dropped
my wife off at work and I'm listening to the
Sabers station on the way home, and even the announcer,
even the guys that are talking the radio guys are
talking about when can they start feeling relaxed because they
feel uneasy because they're like a two or three game
losing streak and we could, you know, we could be
pulled right back into that wild card race or whatever.
This is how it is. It is when you're not
a winning franchise each and every year, an outlier of
a season sometimes will worry the fan base. They're enjoying it,
but it is tough. And you know, the Bruins have
had some up and down years the last few years ago,
from a President's Trophy winners to you know, to miss
the playoffs to getting bounced early. So we'll see what
happens with them. But it should be a good one tonight,
So I'm looking forward to watching. I'm gonna have multiple
screens tonight with all of these games going on, Andrew.
With that said, let's bring in to talk about the
Anaheim Ducks and the Winnipeg Jets none other than Don Bustorino.
Speaker 1: I never get to do the segway as Buster. I
can never bring you in. I want to hype you up.
Speaker 4: But how A, Yeah, very good, guys, very good.
Speaker 5: Hopefully everything is going well there. It's nice, hot and
sunny here. I'm not sure about you, Andrew and Halifax, Holliday.
Speaker 2: The weather is there.
Speaker 5: I know Carmine's getting some nice weather as well, considering
its March.
Speaker 4: But yeah, everything is going quite well.
Speaker 5: Had a big week in NHL, just like Carmine.
Speaker 4: So that's always nice.
Speaker 1: It feels like playoff season. That's what it feels like
to me. You just look outside the snows mel and
it's kind of starting to get that sun on the
in in in the in the air, and we're talking
about playoff races here on the show. So it's got
that feeling to it. And it's always weird when you
know it's you know, it gets uh dark out uh
later and and you know you're getting ready for those games.
And like yesterday I was out for a walk and
I was like, holy shit, it's already eight o'clock. I
got to get home to watch these games, because usually
it was like my indication was like, Okay, it's dark. Oh,
we'll get inside, We'll get ready for the games. And
so it's got that playoff feel to it. Busters. So
we're looking forward to the race. Uh overall, But you
got a game selected for us today? What do you
have for us?
Speaker 4: Yeah, Andrew, I actually uh picked out.
Speaker 5: There's a lot of good games tonight in the NHL,
but we're gonna talk about the Anaheim Winnipeg game. If
you remember last week when I was on the show,
we talked about you know, it was the Ottawa Edmonton game,
and I said, if I had told you that at
the begin of the season that Toronto would not make
the playoffs and Edmonton would struggle to make the playoffs,
which I still believe they are although they won the
other night, you'd think, yeah, you got to be you
might want to commit, or you want to think I'm crazy.
Speaker 4: Well, how about this.
Speaker 5: How about if I said the Anaheim Ducks will be
in first place in the Pacific with about twenty games left.
I'll tell you right now, there's no matter what anybody says.
No one had that on their Bengo card, that's for sure.
The Ducks have been playing some pretty interesting hockey. Actually
good but interesting, i'd say, because they give up a
lot of goals. But they are seven and wins and
two losses in their last nine games.
Speaker 4: But here's the thing with that.
Speaker 5: All nine games were in Anaheim, and Anaheim has an
excellent home record, one of the best in the NHL.
Now they hit the road and when the Ducks are
on the road, they're not even a five hundred club.
So that's never good for a team that's trying to
make the playoffs if they can't win on the road.
So and right now it looks like Winnipeg they're starting
to put it all together.
Speaker 4: They've won three in a row.
Speaker 5: Maybe not against the best competition, but they did beat
Tampa Bay in there. But they have had a point
in six straight games. Everyone since the Olympic break. Now
you see Holly Brook, he's wow. It looks like he's
got some confidence now where he did look too good
for the first of the year. But maybe a gold
medal around your neck helps some confidence, that's for sure.
Speaker 4: And actually we gave this game out.
Speaker 5: To our clients for Winnipeg, like Winnipeg in this spot,
and I'm going to give you a few more reasons
why this game sets up well for Winnipeg as they
do get an.
Speaker 4: Extra day's rest.
Speaker 2: Then.
Speaker 5: I know it's just after the All Star to the
Olympic break, but you know what the extra day's rest helps, especially.
Speaker 4: A team that's staying at home. Now.
Speaker 5: Anaheim played Sunday and now they got to travel to Winnipeg.
Believe me, Winnipeg is very beautiful in the summertime. No
one wants to go there in the winter time, that's
for sure. I also like the Jets here because of
I think they have a special team's advantage. They are
slightly better on the power play, but on the penalty, kid,
they're a kill. They're much better. Anaheim is terrible on
the penalty kill, and that might help Winnipeg being at
home as well. One more thing I want to add
is that Winnipeg has a little in season revenge.
Speaker 4: Okay they do. I know a lot of people will
revenge meaning something.
Speaker 5: I think it means something here because the Jets will
remember both games in Anaheim.
Speaker 4: Anaheim beat him this year.
Speaker 5: Now they got to play in Winnipeg, and I think
that that's going to be a huge difference for the
Jets tonight.
Speaker 4: So I really like we are going to be playing Winnipeg.
Speaker 2: Here.
Speaker 5: I'll give you a little quick rundown with the total
for those who want to play the total. The Jets
are actually two and eight to the under last ten
games and the Ducks are four and sixth to the
under the last ten games. Considering they seem like an overclub. Uh,
the two games that were in Anaheim this year, they
split one in one. Of course, I'm not want any
part of this over under here, but I do like
the Winnipeg Jets tonight.
Speaker 2: Guys, Andrew, you're muted. Uh, I was.
Speaker 5: Gonna say, I hope I was hoping money Wi Fi
didn't go out or something.
Speaker 4: I'm seeing it.
Speaker 2: I don't sure, you know, I do agree, but like
you know, at the home and a waste splits and
it was like a seven game, seven game homestand right
out of the Olympic break. So obviously that helped Hannaheim,
but you're they're going to have to win some games
on the road, and regardless of the fact that they're
first in the Pacific by the time the weekends, that
could very well be fourth in the Pacific. That is
how close it is right now with this team. The
Jets are right there. The Jets are The Jets are
right there, as bad as their season has gone. There
what Andrew five points back of a playoff spot. I
believe right now that's doable. I think when you're eight
to nine points out, it's so tough to leap frog teams.
But they're right in there. And three game win streak,
you turned that into a six or seven game win streak,
and all of a sudden you're on the inside looking
out instead of the outside looking in.
Speaker 1: Yeah. What's crazy for them is that they had like
the practical opposite start this year that they had last year.
Like last year was like the best start you could
ever imagine. This year, it's like the worst start you
could ever really imagine with them, And it's hard to
come back from it. You know, you can't, you know
you can't. You can't make the playoffs in October, but
you can definitely hurt your chances, you know, and you
can probably help your chances of missing them in October
with a really bad start overall, you know, Halves chat
in here. I love you. You're a Habs fan. I
love chatting. But one thing I'll disagree with. He says, no,
thank you. I'm not putting my money on anyone that's
not in the playoffs. And I'll tell you what, there's
a lot of teams that are not in the playoffs,
and a lot of those teams are still gonna win
games even though they're not gonna make the playoffs. New
York Rangers. Yesterday we gave them out on the show
plus money. They're gonna be a team. I guarantee it
that will make some money for people on money line bets.
Just when people forget about a team and they give
up all hope on them, that's usually when they turn
it around. It's kind of how life goes, it seems
in the betting world, Buster, everybody starts to hate on
a team, and that's when they decide to flip the
script and get a little bit better. But win a
peg Jets for you today, a team looking to back.
I was gonna just ask Buster what he had up
wager talkcarm what do you have, no.
Speaker 2: Busters, Just before you get there, you can't take the
approach that you're not going to bet on non playoff teams.
There's money to be made if you eliminate half of
the schedule because you say these teams aren't the playoffs.
You're now trying to play playoff team versus playoff team,
And how does that get any easier? Teams aren't tanking
it per se, They're still playing the game. It's about
betting the numbers and not betting the team names. You
find the right number, and it's just like the Bruins,
I'm not going to lay a dollar fifty three on them.
They're in the playoffs right now. The Kings aren't, but
I wouldn't lay that money with them. So you have
to have a better attitude because if you take that
across all sports, you're basically saying, let me cut half
the schedule in half and not play none of these
playoff teams or non playoff teams, and I ain't find
a winner in the other half. How does that make
any sense? In the betting world. You take every game
and then you pass if there's nothing there. But with
that said, Buster, I know you're having a phenomenal run
in the NHL. You're breathing down my neck every linth
every once in a while, and I don't even keep
note of this stuff, but I did look and I
see you're You're right there, my friend. But you're also
excited because it is right around the corner baseball season.
So let us know what you have up on five
dollars Tuesdays, and we got this great deal up for you.
Let me pop that up on the screen. Let me
get rid of this one, and there you go, the
don Busterino deal. Tell us what you have up and
and then Mention gives the people some details on this deal.
Speaker 4: Yeah, thank you, Carline.
Speaker 5: It is as you said, it's customer appreciation Tuesday. We
have a five dollars NHL four percent best bet up
at the site. And this is a package deal that
was put up for us last week, and we promoted
last week and we'll promoted again next week. Anybody that
got involved in this last week are very happy because,
as Carmine said, we're on a very strong NHL run ourselves.
Speaker 4: Again. You can get the.
Speaker 5: Entire rest of the NHL season from this point on,
includes all five percent plays right to the Stanley Cup,
and you also get my entire Major League Baseball season
right into the World Series for a great price, and
that again includes all five percent releases that we have
and last year we were the number one expert hitting
for seventy.
Speaker 4: Six point three to two units of profit.
Speaker 5: So you might want to go with the site and
grab that the guys that grabbed it last week and
they're very happy that they did, especially with this hot
run I'm doing in the NHL. Just for people know,
I just want to put that out there. I do
not do any exhibition Major League Baseball. I will maybe
have a couple of plays in the World Classic, but
there's I do not do exhibition. I set everything up
so I just want to make the full disclosure there
so people buy that and think they're going to get
some exhibition games. Also, there's a great deal for everybody
that does college basketball at the site. There's a lot
of guys that do college basketball. I am one as well,
and we have a great deal up for the You
get every game even all of like starting now, there's
all kinds of the conference tournaments going.
Speaker 4: All the big schools are playing their conference tournaments.
Speaker 5: This week, and yeah, you can get that deal or
at the site includes all college basketball, all tournaments, you
name it, Grab the go over the site.
Speaker 4: Grab that.
Speaker 5: There's that days for three days days deal three arms.
Speaker 4: I think it's three days, you get six days. There's
so much great deals at the site.
Speaker 5: Head on over to waittertalk dot com. Check that out,
check out what we've got going as well.
Speaker 1: Buster trying to defend your brother. That was quite the
promo for yourself to try and defend you to come.
That was quite the promo there.
Speaker 5: And I only get on once a week, so I
got to make the most of.
Speaker 2: It, right, I like you even that I tried to
cut down to like half the time a week, but
the powers you want to Listen, guys, guys, support Buster
take advantage of that great deal, mainly because, uh, if
you do, it'll keep him in Mexico a lot longer
and we don't want to have to see that mug
of his in north of the border. We can't build
a wall up here. Buster. But with that said, all
joking aside, no politics. Listen, dude, best of luck with
your five dollars plate tonight and will be season and
of course, because you're a hoops guy as well to
March Madness, which is just around the corner, my friend,
have a great one, looking forward to that.
Speaker 4: Yeah. Yeah, best of luck, guys, and have a great day.
Speaker 2: Everybody see a bus there, go habs, go habs, come
on this go havebs stuff? What is this? Go habs?
Speaker 1: Come on? You gotta be a fan. If you don't,
if you don't have fandom, what do you have? And
this you gotta You gotta be a fan a little bit.
It keeps you sane, it keeps you saying. It controls
my zen car and when I'm sweating out my picks.
It's nice to have because you know what I You know,
I have no disrespect to anyone that says this, but
there will be so many sports betters and handicappers that
will say, my favorite team is the team that I
bet on. Get out of here with that get out
of here. Well, look, a lot of us are sports fans,
and most of us probably have favorite teams. If you
hear a handicapper say my favorite team is the team
that I bet on, it makes you wonder are they
even sports fans or are we just betting on sports?
Because I'm still I'm still a sports fan.
Speaker 2: Okay, my favorite team actually is the team that I
bet on, So I don't know how I don't even fan.
Speaker 1: I don't know, because you know.
Speaker 2: Listen, when I get the monthly emails, the monthly emails
from like that, my statement is ready at Visa or
MasterCard or MX, I can't email them back and say, listen,
the team I support didn't win.
Speaker 1: I think that's chat. I heard you talk about Buffalo Bills. Yeah,
they would probably agree. You're a fan of the Buffalo Bills.
Speaker 2: Let's let's bring in Brian Leonard before he breaks down
the Vegas Dallas game. I have a question for him,
uh and for you as well too. Let's bring Brian here.
Saw the Bailey's there. He is the man, the legend,
the myth. What are you doing today?
Speaker 3: I'm doing well. It's nice to see Buster back on
the show and always brings a smile on my face.
Speaker 2: When I see that background, it ruins my eyes for
the next forty five minutes. But whatever, brag. So I
have a question for you guys. It's hockey related because
both teams are in action tonight. So you have Tampa
Bay at home tonight against Columbus. You have the Buffalo
Sabers playing at home against the San Jose Sharks. Off
of that eighty seven game with so many penalties, one
hundred and two minutes in penalties, five fights, fifteen goals,
which has only happened I think three times in the
history of NHL have there been like fifteen goals and
one hundred minutes and penalties. My question to you guys is,
do you even look at the Dogs being live tonight
because that game could have taken so much physically out
of those two teams?
Speaker 5: Or no.
Speaker 3: I think the Sharks are kind of alive because if
you're Buffalo and you've just knocked off what is right
now the best team in the East, unless you're Buffalo,
Buffalo is thinking they're probably best, but in reality, knocking
that team off the way they did for the lowly
San Jose Sharks coming to town, I'm kind of worried
about Buffalo in that game Tampa Bay. You know, it's
funny you mentioned that because I always talk about Tampa
Bay when they played Florida, and those teams just beat
the hell out of each other, and every time after
the game, I go, oh, that's too physical, And the
next game on about against them, they bought right back.
These guys have been playing hockey their entire lives, so
it's you know, to me, it seems like a great spot,
but no, these teams have been able to do well
in that regard. So that's my feelings only at least.
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's weird. Andrew.
Speaker 1: Your thoughts, well, I think it's it's good for the
confidence for those offenses. I guess it's like, hey, no
matter how many goals we give up, we're gonna keep
still winning because we can score goals. But I agree
with you, like the defense had to have been exhausted.
You get like, you know what. I wish I could
ask Ralph about this. I should have asked him. But
one thing I look towards, actually, Karen, when it comes
to these situations is, off the top of my head,
I've always liked this angle when a team gives up
seven or more, which is very rare obviously in the NHL,
I like to look towards unders in their next games, because, like,
people remember what they saw last or what they did last,
and it's an eighty two game season, so every time
you have something to feel good about or be pissed
off about, and if you're on one of those two teams,
you're like, holy shit, we were bad defensively tonight, Like
we were bad defense. So that's the thing you remember last,
is like we did not play well defensively, because you
know how it is as humans, we criticize ourselves. We
don't look at the glass half full enough. So I
feel like these guys are getting back in the dressing
room and they're saying, Okay, next game, we have to
be better defensively. They're not saying, wow, guys, good job,
you scored six seven goals. They're saying, I can't believe
we gave up six or seven goals. It's usually a
negative thing that you think about, right.
Speaker 2: Yeah, Well, I don't believe in the glass half full
thing or half empty. You ask Brian when it comes
to Vegas. We've gone to sports bars and the waitress
knows if my glass is half full, she's pouring another
one for me.
Speaker 1: He's not doing her job.
Speaker 2: The glass is never half full, right Brian.
Speaker 3: He's an Italian guy, and yeah, mass half full is
not there very often. With the car line around.
Speaker 2: Yeah, like, I'm not running, guys. I'm not running to
the window to bet San Jose. I'm not running to
window of the back Columbus. I just wanted your thoughts on
it because it was such a physical game and everything
that came out of at the very least the Sabers
dressing room of like being a static you know, going
from blowing it, you know, emotional roller coaster, a blowing
a three goal lead, coming back from a two goal
deficit late and then scoring the game winner with just
a couple of minutes left, and winning a game eight
to seven against a Tampa team that came to play physical,
came to try and get the Sabers off of their
game and see if how they respond, and the Sabers
passed the test. But I'm just like, what do they have?
Do they have anything left? Or it is just a
continuance of what they're doing because they were like twenty
seven to five and two something along those lines or
their last thirty five games. They're just an insane run
at the moment. So we'll see tonight because you know,
the Sharks have legs, so they're gonna come and they're
gonna skate. So it's it'll be an interesting to watch.
That Game's not gonna be on my card, so but
I will be watching it. Bright. Speaking of very good games,
you picked one I liked. I love this game that
you picked you are. You're handling the Vegas Golden Knights
against the Dallas Stars. I decided to go with a
different graphic here than I normally create minus one fifty
five on the Stars, plus one twenty seven on the
Golden Knights. Total sits here at six. Where are you
going with this one?
Speaker 3: Well, last time I was on, we talked about I
believe it was the mont or excuse me now, Montreal
the Edmonton Vegas.
Speaker 5: Game, and.
Speaker 3: It was a situation where I had a play on
the over six and a half in that game and
they only ended up with sixth. We ended up losing
that one, but it was something that I was either
going to play the over. I was going to play
Edmonton over, and of course Edmonton over gets there at
plus money actually, but my clients didn't get it. But
it's a situation where Vegas right now is not playing
with a lot of confidence. We've talked about how few
teams that they've been able to beat this year that
are in playoff contention. Fell again to Edmonton the other
day four to two. It's a team really questioning themselves
and it's interesting. I saw a quote somebody wrote yesterday
I talked about Zach White cloub and Zach White Club
used to be a mainstay of Vegas and when they
traded him away, we're not in the locker room. We
really don't know what's going on. When they traded him away,
this gentleman talked about how that really hurt the team
because not only is the very good defensive player, but
he's also an American Indian and I follow a lot
of information about American Indians and I really like the
way that they go about things in life and everything
is family and the whole bit. And he was a
common presence in the locker room for Vegas and when
he went away, that was something that they don't have anymore.
And keep in mind that Vegas has got so many
star players on this team, and they are known to
go out and sign any free agent or whatever. You've
got to have a calming influence in the locker room.
And right now Vegas are just freaking out because they're falling,
and they're falling hard. And these are guys who've been
used their entire life to winning, So that may be
something that needs to be addressed. The people in the
locker room not saying these guys are not you know
professionals or anything, but just to have that calming sense there.
It makes a lot of sense since I've read that.
But yeah, Vegas right now not playing with any confidence
at all, and we're going against the Dallas team that's
now twelve straight games they've scored a point eleven zero one.
The reason why I'm going with this game. We're going
with the first period. And you see in Dallas right
now got minus won fifty five in the game. You
get him as low as minus one forty in the
first period. We've talked about this with Vegas, terrible starting team.
They fall behind in every game. In fact, if you're
looking to play Vegas in this game at all, I
would look at them in the third period. You can
get well, you can get the same number by playing
Vegas plus money in the third period as you can
from getting them in the first period. And Vegas is
one of the top scoring teams in the third period
because they continued to fall behind early. We got a
Dallas team who knows Vegas very well. These seems have
met in the playoffs just but every year lately, Dallas
has won the last three meetings. They are the better
team and we're able to catch them in the minus
one forty to one fifty range in the first period.
I think that's a gift and we're going to stick
with that as our play here. We've been on a
lot of the Night's games lately, and the worst I
think we've done between the first period and the game
is go one in one. Many times we're going to
and oh and yeah, we've got something that even the
lines maker continues to be short on Dallas because of
all these games we've been playing they didn't have. I mean,
I think they're only like seven guys show up to
practice this week because they really they need the rest.
They're coming into this game healthy now and they're well
rested in Vegas is not a team I'm looking at
back now. So let's let's go with Dallas in the
first period. I laid one forty. You can get it.
You can get it at one fifty or less.
Speaker 1: Right now, Brian, when it comes to this Vegas Golden
Knights team, when we talk about analytics, because you know,
I've gotten more and more into it over the years,
and more websites I find, the more fun it is
to dive in. Do you know I'm a watcher just
like yourself, but we look at the numbers. At what
point do you look at analytics and sometimes say, hey,
look these numbers and the expected data could look one way,
but the actual play is looking the other way. At
what point do you say, okay, you know they're just
simply not meeting expectation. Because the Vegas goal and Knights
were one of the teams that I had circled for today.
As a team that is playing below, you know their
expectation and what their numbers suggest. How do you approach
that from how you handicap because you know, looking at
some of these teams across the league, you just want
to follow streaks. You know, some teams are like, I
can't believe this team keeps winning and sometimes you know,
used to call it luck factor, but you know, obviously
there's more that goes into it with with hockey. But
as you mentioned, you could run into a hot goaltender.
You could you know, hit the post or have a
crazy save. You know, as a Canadian, I feel like
the Canadians should have won the Olympic Final five to two,
but they lost three to you know, that's how hockey
goes sometimes. How do you approach that with the analytics.
Speaker 3: Yeah, as an American, we were lucky to win that
Canada was a better team. Yeah, you have to massage
everything a little bit and go with what you have
seen as opposed to what the numbers say. We see
it all the time. Earlier this season. Look at the
New York Rangers. E quldn't win a home home game
all season long. Oh it's about and a half, it's
going to happen. It never turned around for the Rangers.
I mean, congratulations yesterday Carmine. They got that victory. But
it's just something you know, somebody was earlier talking about
the bad teams technok of the teams coming into the season.
If you look, if you can't bet on teams that
aren't going to be in the playoffs, you would have
missed out. Here's teams that had seventy win in the seventies. Chicago, Yeah,
they've they've been basically what we thought. But we take
a look at San Jose they were at seventy one
point five, Pittsburgh seventy eight, Seattle seventy eight. These teams
all made money for their client this or further backers
this year. So we never know from one day to
the next how it's going to go. And so you
just got to These are professional athletes that come out
and play hard each and every night, and right now,
there's just something there's just something off in Vegas. And
I've talked about that in the past, where every team,
you know your team, these are times where they come
out and play well and off of a bad situation.
It hasn't been that way for Vegas all year long.
And this the sportsbooks are just now catching up on
something that we've been making out money on for what
two months now. So you've got to be able to understand.
And I'm like, between both of you guys, it's to
a fandom. And as to the numbers, I'm more of
a numbers guy. Obviously you could see I'm a Golden
Knights fancies and take it, hold it allle bit and
I have no problem betting against them. And that's the
only thing that bothers me is if you're a fan of, oh,
let's just say the Toronto Maple Leafs, and you never
bet against them, that is not the way to go.
You know your team better than everybody else. You've got
to understand that, Hey, when you're when they're playing well,
you want to be on them. If they're not playing well,
you've got to be opened to bed against them. And
that's why I like the press who won't bet against Yeah.
I I Mark Lawrence and I have done many shows
over the years, and when I was starting out, I
got his service and all he did was play underdogs.
So I realized, I go, wait a minute, if Mark
doesn't have the underdog in this game, he must like
the favorite in this game. And I like the favorite
in this game. So I just made the assumption of that,
and you can eliminate half the card. And and Mark's
done a lot of good work over the years. He's
not that way any longer, but at the time he
was a huge underdog player. And if you don't like
the underdog, you go, oh, I must like to favorite a.
Speaker 2: Little bit, it's all.
Speaker 1: You know.
Speaker 2: A couple of thoughts on this one. First, of all,
the draws plus three ten a couple of teams that
would love the points get it to overtime. They did.
I think four to three was a scorer. And the
only game they played, which was in Vegas just a
little while ago. You know, they say when a team
is hurting, the thing that heals them is a signature
win them going into Dallas tonight and getting a win
would be a signature win for them because then they
return home and they have games against Pittsburgh and Chicago
up next on home ice, and I know they haven't
been world beaters on home ice, but a win tonight
kind of sparks them.
Speaker 4: And then.
Speaker 2: In a week's time we're talking about how the Vegas
Golden Knights are on a three or four game win
streak and all is fine. The underlying problems might still
be there, but the win streak kind of hides it.
Speaker 3: It does. They got that win against Detroit the other day.
I believe in the last six games, they've lost five
of the six and the only game they won, they
were down three to one entering the third period. So
it's I understand what you're saying, but they have not
matched up extremely well with Pittsburgh the last few years.
Chicago somehow has their number. They've had a tougher time
against Chicago than you would expect, and it's because they're
younger teams and Vegas has trouble with young, fast teams,
which if you watch that Edmonton game, Uh Connor McDavid.
The guy is just amazing. He was he was like
doing the slalom and on the down He'll just going
through all the defenders. He Vegas has problems with quick players,
and which is why you know team the younger teams
do well against him.
Speaker 1: A lot of guys talking about favorite team betting. I'll
tell you, Brian, for me, it was never not going
against the Habs. It was I actually don't go on
them enough. And I'll never forget that twenty twenty one
COVID bubble when a lot of people started jumping on
them because Carrie Price was leading into victory and everyone's
asking me, man, you must be loving this. He must
be making mo money off you must be making money
off it. They're plus money every game, and I'm like,
I'm not betting them. Once. I was like, it's stressing
me out enough just to watch them and cheer them on.
I'm not even making money off them. But you know, yeah,
that's the funny thing is some people will bet on
there because for me, like, I got a friend that's
like really really hardcore Maple Leaf fan, and he bets
like Austin Matthews to score a goal, like every time
they play. I'm like, dude, why can't you just enjoy
the games? Like you're adding pressure to yourself when you
watch the games, Like when I watch Habs games. That's
the piece I have, is like I don't typically have
wagers on the game, So that's my relaxation time is
watching my favorite team play. But it's five dollars Tuesday, Brian.
We've got all kinds of stuff going on at the
website that you can get the March Madness package, you
can get the six days for the price of three,
and of course five dollars plays. What do you have
for us?
Speaker 3: Yeah, I've got four percent play up in the NHL
right now, eleven to five run currently in the NHL
number one all time, and in NHL net profit similar
to Buster, I've got that buy the baseball and get
the rest of the hockey season for free. That's been
a nice, nice thing to get for our people. And
once again, just like just like you know, I don't
handicap preseason baseball. If I do, I'm looking for big
underdogs and so I don't do any of that. I
will say that we're talking about college basketball, I'm passing
in college basketball today. I just I don't like the card.
The numbers are where I made them, and I'm not
going to force anything there. So NBA is going really good.
College basketball is good. I'm alright on the edge. Look
I look at the score and they got the last three,
seven or thirty days. I'm winning in every sport, but
everybody else is doing slightly better than me and all
those So yeah, I'm on the outside looking in, and
I'm still winning for clients, which means a lot of
the clients on this side are doing very well right now.
So congratulations to you too. Congratulations all the other handicappers.
We all seem to be on a pretty good, pretty
good around right now.
Speaker 2: Awesome, Brian, listen man, we enjoy having you on all
the time. You're gonna be doing double and triple duty,
I think this week at some point, but shortcard tomorrow
only a couple of games. Andrew and I are gonna
do some playoff breakdowns or playoff races. But you'll be
back on Thursday on the show, gearing up for what
is gonna be a big weekend in college basketball. I
have to believe so that is that will be a
great time for you to promo and people take advantage
of that buy three, get three deal. I think it's
still going on because you're gonna have a ton of
stuff everything from you know, hockey basketball to NBA college
college basketball. So head over. You can find Brian at
wt dot buzz backslash b l Brian as always. Thanks
for coming on, pleasure guys, good luck, See you right, Andrew.
You know, the the funny thing is, I was talking
to Brian about these specific two teams the other day,
Edmonton in Colorado, and we're just talking about like sometimes
a game looks so good and you the numbers support it,
and then you play it and it comes nowhere near
being as good as it was supposed to be. And
that was last year or the year before Edmonton and Colorado.
They were scoring goals like there was no tomorrow. And
I released like a five percent play on the over
six and a half and I think the game finished
three to one that game, and lo and behold, this
total is at seven? Seven is where this total is? Man,
I'm not even touching that total. I really want to
take the under, like I seriously want to take the
under in this game. But then I say to myself,
hey self, have you watched the Edmonton Oilers goaltend in
the last six months of the NHL season or whatever.
How are you breaking this one down?
Speaker 1: Yeah, it definitely is one of those games where I'd
be curious what Jeffrey Benson is going to be taking
as far as under bets at circa today, because it's
not going to be that many unders. Who is lining
up to the window to say, hey, look, Edmonton and
Colorado are playing today, give me a low scoring game.
I mean, you got McDavid, you've got McKinnon, You've got
so many great players, so it's hard to argue with
carm For me, I've actually just got some player props
mostly in this game. But it looks like Connor Ingram's
going to be the starter here. And I'll tell you
that trade, Tristan Jari for Stuart Skinner, that trade is
starting to look more peculiar and more peculiar every single
week because Stuart Skinner actually had some pretty good numbers
in pitt and then Tristan Jarry had just some awful,
awful numbers in Edmonton, and it really makes you wonder
was it ever the defense, or was it the goaltending,
or was it both? Because sometimes that's where you use
the analytics, right, It's like, Okay, was it the goalie
or was it the defense? And and you know, we're
probably starting to find out a little bit of both.
But the defense not very good. There. Look this this
Oilers team, they kind of snapped out of it. They
had they played a solid game against the Vegas Golden
Knights on the weekend. But carm I mean, you give
this this Colorado team. Nasam Kadri, like man Nathan McKinnon
could sit out for the rest of the season and
they could still have a seven to fifty win percentage.
Like they are so good and it's so cool because
Nasim Cadri. It doesn't it feels like just yesterday he
was on the team, But he was on the team
like three or four years ago at this point and
now he's back with them. But he fits in so
extremely well. And the offense is so high octane. I
feel like we have to look towards goals. If I'm
going to look for any action on Colorado, this would
be the old Don Buster minus a half goal in
the first period. I think Edmonton's gonna have to fight
their way through this game. I don't think they have
a hot start to this game. And let's not forget
that this game, I believe is at ball Arena, right
it's it's a home game for for Colorado and Denver,
so we know how great they are as a home team.
But as you be, as you've been talking about on
the show today, you don't want to hurt your bank
roll by laying prices like this either right on a
minus one seventy five or one seventy six.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I just don't want to leave that that price.
The status of Landeskog is unknown. I'm not sure if
he's I don't think he's playing tonight, but you'll have
to check the morning skating whether he's a game time
decision because he's not on any list that I can see.
But I think he's week to week, a week to week.
So that obviously hurts the offense a little bit. And
oddly enough, both these teams are coming off under in
their last games. Minnesota played Colorado very tough before losing
in ot and Edmonton eat the Vegas Golden Knights four
to two in that one, and there was a lot
of goals late in that one, so you know that
looked like a dead under that almost had a chance
to go over in that one, but it stayed under
the total. The odd thing here is the Oilers have
won the last two games in Colorado, But what stands
out on the page is Colorado going to Edmonton and
putting up a nine spot on them this season, nine
to one. Like no NHL playoff team that made it
to the Stanley Cup the last two years should be
allowing nine goals to anybody, and they just went in
And that just highlights the difficulties, you know, as far
as you know, we talked about that, Tristan Jarry one.
I think the Pittsburgh defense is better than the Edmonton
defense from a defensive perspective. So I think Stuart Skinner
is getting finally getting some three lines of defense in
front of them that actually played d in that Eastern Conference,
something that didn't happen there. So it is it is
a weird game. Are the Oilers live tonight? I believe? So,
you know, I mean there were dogs in the lot
that the last few times they went to Colorado and
came away with the with the W. So it's the total.
The total sits at seven, and I just don't want
to take it because this feels like one of those
four to three games settled in like overtime or what
have you. Right, So three to three and if you
take the under at three to three years, screwed because
at worst you have a push if the game is
still being played, and if it goes to ot that's
all you're getting is a push in that game. So
we'll see how it goes. If Landeskog was in it,
I would probably look at maybe the Avs in regulation
because I don't want to lay the one seventy six.
I normally don't lay those numbers, and guys know from
watching the show over and over again, Andrew, So that's
where I am with this one. Now, you like some
player props in this game, so why don't we go
right there?
Speaker 1: Yeah, yesterday we went one and one with the same
game parlay slip. We went three for four with our
prop bets, so not too bad. And this is what
we have for today, Karm, I'll keep it kind of simple.
Florida Panthers Matthew Kachuck three plus shots on goals, Sam
Bennett one point for him. Two guys are on the
same line. That's plus one twenty two. Look Florida. They're
playing with some pride right now, carm Where. I think
this team overall is gonna be one of those teams
that I think they're not gonna make the playoffs, but
I also don't think they're gonna fold. I think this
team is gonna play till the end. And we've got
a playoff team versus a non playoff team. But the
non playoff team is home favorites minus one thirty ish.
So I'll take the cue there from the books, and
I'll take two players on them. Edmonton, Colorado. This one's
plus three hundred. Here. You've got brock Nelson over two
and a half shots on goal, Cale mccarrs assist and
Martin Chius assists. Karen for a game that you just
mentioned that it has a seven as a total, indicating
we should get some action, we should get some shots,
we should get some goals. Cal mccar assist, Martin hus assists,
and brock Nelson's been a shooting machine on the third line,
especially when he's on the second line. I think this
is a really really great same game parlay. So I'll
be playing both of these individually, and if you play
them all together plus seven eighty eight, So it's a
real great number. I'm fired up for it. I will
be sprinkling on these player props and again, guys, four
percent best bet for me in the NHL up for
just five bucks wager talk dot com five dollars Tuesday,
and they're gonna have college basketball up a little bit later,
and I will have a West Coast game up, just
waiting to get some goaltender confirmation. But I should have
a team total for you guys as well. But my
four percent best bet is a side play, a money
line play, and it is a top bet car. Yeah,
great deal there, appreciate that. KARM buy three, get three.
I've been telling you guys that for the last week
and a half two weeks, and a lot of you
guys did join me on that it's always best to
get longer term than to just buy one play and
one play only. And a good example is today, really
karm with five dollars Tuesday. Because of course, it's a
great way to get people involved, get people trying things out.
But you know, let's say there's a couple of plays
that we don't put up in a package and they win,
You're gonna be mad. That you didn't get all the
other plays. So it's important that you want to up
with a handicapper. I know, for me, I get Carmine
soccer plays. I'll bug him, I'll message him, and sometimes
I'm too late and I'm gonna be falling along during
the World Cup. It's my own fault if I only
ask karm for one play and I get the loss
if he went full and one that day. You have
to take all or nothing. You can't use the spaghetti strainer.
You have to get everything or nothing. In my opinion,
it's the best way to go, Carl.
Speaker 2: It is it's long term, and speaking of the World
Cup real quickly, just the World Cup packages up. If
you want the NHL rest of this season and the
World Cup. If the package is not my page, you
can send an email to customer service and they will
take care of you. Let's get you a pod play
and then I'll let you know what's going on at
wager Talk and we'll close it out because Andy Lang
is going to be here shortly to get me off
of the screen, Andrew, but I am going with another
over here. I am taking over one and a half
in the Columbus Columbus Blue Jackets Tampa Bay Lightning game
winner yesterday with the Rangers over to make it twelve
straight overs on the road for them, not a similar record,
but just as strong with Columbus the last ten games
on the road. They've gone over the total in seven
of them, seven to and one, which essentially means it's
eight and two because that one push is a book
showing a minus two or a two on the total,
So it really is eight and two to the last
ten on the road to the first period over and
you get a Tampa Bay team returning home off that
road trip, first game back, we might see, you know,
maybe those legs aren't there, as I tend to mention
in that first game back, or maybe some bruised Eagles
from that eight to seven loss to the Buffalo Sabers.
And we see some goals in this one. So over
one and a half minus one thirty five is your
pod play. Let's make it two in a row. Now
up at wager talk a couple of plays in Champions
League Round the sixteen knockout stages. I will have a
five dollars Champions League play up in about an hour's
time for Wednesday, So you'll have all day and a
night to pick that up and have one play in
the NHL. Only one play I like is a It
is part of five dollars customer Appreciation Day. It's a
four percent best bet, and we'll try and keep that
run going in twelve one one my last fourteen plays
in the NHL in eighteen three and three runs since
last Monday overall all sports. So that's it, thanks to Buster,
Brian Leonard, and of course for myself and Andrew mckinnis. Guys,
thanks for tuning in and we'll see you on Wednesday