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<v Speaker 1>And welcome one and all.

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<v Speaker 2>Hi, how are you welcome to the Big Podcast on

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<v Speaker 2>this Tuesday. Today is the seventh day of April, Year

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<v Speaker 2>of Our Lord twenty twenty six.

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<v Speaker 1>My name is Tom Sullivan. And well, I would love

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<v Speaker 1>to I looked over everything and it's just wall to

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<v Speaker 1>wall war, and I would love to do some other things.

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<v Speaker 1>I've got a little bit about Artemis two and they've

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<v Speaker 1>done the fly by past the Moon. We'll find out

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<v Speaker 1>what the latest is with them. Uh, we'll get you updated. Oh, Kalshi,

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<v Speaker 1>the prediction market, that's we haven't talked about that, but

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<v Speaker 1>I do want to try to get to that too.

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<v Speaker 1>But first let me start. Let me start with what

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<v Speaker 1>is the big news story today, and that is the

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<v Speaker 1>President put out on Truth's Social a post which is

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<v Speaker 1>basically yet another deadline. Now he has five deadlines in

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<v Speaker 1>a row that have been imposed but haven't come to fruition.

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<v Speaker 1>So now everybody's talking about the water cooler here is

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<v Speaker 1>talking about well is he going to do it? Is

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<v Speaker 1>he going to do it? Do you think it's going

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<v Speaker 1>to happen? Do you think he's going to bomb him?

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<v Speaker 1>Do you think he's not going to bomb You think

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<v Speaker 1>he's going to be a taco trade. What do you think?

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<v Speaker 1>So let me read that. Let me read the Social

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<v Speaker 1>Truth Social post to you. We'll start there and then

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<v Speaker 1>we'll start getting some opinions about what's going to happen tonight.

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<v Speaker 1>The Truth Social says the full a whole civilization will

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<v Speaker 1>die tonight, never to be brought back again. I don't

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<v Speaker 1>want this to happen, but it probably will. However, now

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<v Speaker 1>that we have complete and total regime change where different,

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<v Speaker 1>smarter and less radicalized minds prevail, maybe something revolutionary, wonderful

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<v Speaker 1>can happen. Who knows. We will find out tonight one

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<v Speaker 1>of the most important moments in the long and complex

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<v Speaker 1>history of the world. Forty seven years of extortion, corruption

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<v Speaker 1>and death will finally end. God bless the great people

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<v Speaker 1>of Iran. That's what Donald Trump posted on True Social

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<v Speaker 1>this morning. First of all, I don't want I would

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<v Speaker 1>like for them to capitulate. I would like for them

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<v Speaker 1>to throw in the towel and go away. But I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>I just don't agree with the President on this. Assay

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<v Speaker 1>is now that we have complete and total regime change

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<v Speaker 1>where different, smarter and less radicalized minds prevailed, They're they're

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<v Speaker 1>they're pulling his leg. In my humble opinion, you can't

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<v Speaker 1>take what happened after the end of World War Two.

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<v Speaker 1>We didn't take the Third Reich top officers and put

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<v Speaker 1>them in charge. No, we all all of the the

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<v Speaker 1>US military along when we split Germany up into four sections, US, Soviet,

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<v Speaker 1>UK and France, and we are military stepped in and ran.

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<v Speaker 1>That went on for four years where foreign victors were

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<v Speaker 1>the ones who ran the country, that was the one

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<v Speaker 1>that caused the war, and the German officers, the top

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<v Speaker 1>ranks of the German officers were put on trial in Nurremberg.

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<v Speaker 1>A lot of them saw the d of a hanging

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<v Speaker 1>rope go to Japan into World War two. What happened.

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<v Speaker 1>Did we turn everything over to the Japanese authorities? No?

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<v Speaker 3>Not.

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<v Speaker 1>For six years, General Douglas MacArthur was in charge of

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<v Speaker 1>basically setting up the new government of Japan. And what

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<v Speaker 1>we did, we said, see this, this is called a constitution.

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<v Speaker 1>Why don't you do something like this? And they put

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<v Speaker 1>together a constitution which was a copy job off of

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<v Speaker 1>ours mostly. But in Germany for four years the victors

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<v Speaker 1>ran the country. In Japan, six years, the victors ran

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<v Speaker 1>the country I don't understand this turning it over to

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<v Speaker 1>people that were part of that are part of the regime.

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<v Speaker 1>And again, the Supreme leader is still there, we think somewhere.

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<v Speaker 1>So I'm sorry. I'm looking at this and going this.

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<v Speaker 1>You can't negotiate with these people. You're going to have

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<v Speaker 1>to replace them. We're going to have to go in

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<v Speaker 1>and take over the government and set it up and

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<v Speaker 1>put people in charge. But it will take a few years.

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<v Speaker 1>I know people are in a big hurry. Well, Katie McFarlane,

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<v Speaker 1>I'm going kt a long time. She was the deputy

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<v Speaker 1>National security officer for President Trump. In one point. Oh,

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<v Speaker 1>let's see what kat has to say.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, I think that what President Trump's haid yesterday when

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<v Speaker 4>he said we're negotiating with new people, and then then

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<v Speaker 4>the truth social post what you've just read. He said,

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<v Speaker 4>we're negotiating with a new regime, a change regime. That

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<v Speaker 4>means that they're pretty active negotiations going on. And then

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<v Speaker 4>the attack this morning was just a few minutes ago.

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<v Speaker 4>In Krk Island. Kirk Island does two things. It's in

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<v Speaker 4>the middle of the Strait of Ramous and it has

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<v Speaker 4>military facilities on the site on the island and it

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<v Speaker 4>has where all the oil gets offloaded from Iran pipelines

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<v Speaker 4>and then onto tankers. So what President Trump is just

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<v Speaker 4>is he's taken out the military capability to all the facilities,

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<v Speaker 4>the naval facilities and others on carg Island, and all

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<v Speaker 4>he has to do is turn the guns just a

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<v Speaker 4>few miles and he could take out their entire entered

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<v Speaker 4>oil expert industry. And you've just talked about this is

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<v Speaker 4>like fifty percent of their GMP. This is the IRGC's piggybank.

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<v Speaker 4>This is how they make the money. And so President

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<v Speaker 4>Trump is saying to these new leaders that he's now

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<v Speaker 4>negotiating with, see what I can do, and in twelve hours,

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<v Speaker 4>if you don't exceed, if you don't agree to Mike demands,

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<v Speaker 4>then we could blow up the whole thing. And that

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<v Speaker 4>really will set Aron's economy back, as infrastructure back. It

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<v Speaker 4>could be rebuilt, and it could be rebuilt with American help,

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<v Speaker 4>but it will put around at a just a devastating position.

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<v Speaker 4>So this is going to be the most baranock on

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<v Speaker 4>twelve hours you have ever experienced.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, I like KT, but she's falling into the same

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<v Speaker 1>trap that we're talking to somebody, some new people. Yes

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<v Speaker 1>they're not the same people. I agree with that, but

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<v Speaker 1>they're part of the regime and they will start the

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<v Speaker 1>very next day working on rebuilding everything they can for

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<v Speaker 1>taking care of getting a nuclear bomb, wiping out Israel,

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<v Speaker 1>and attacking the United States. They're going to try to

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<v Speaker 1>do that. You got to get rid of all of

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<v Speaker 1>those people. They cannot be kept in place. So the

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<v Speaker 1>deadline eight o'clock Eastern time tonight, just for your time zone.

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<v Speaker 1>But well, I can ask you, I can't I can't

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<v Speaker 1>hear the answer, but I got to tell you something.

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<v Speaker 1>I I'll go through a bunch of these people that

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<v Speaker 1>are highly informed. But I don't think this whole thing,

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<v Speaker 1>about a whole civilization will die tonight, never to be

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<v Speaker 1>brought back again. I don't think so. First of all,

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<v Speaker 1>because he's still talking to the regime. Secondly, I just

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<v Speaker 1>I think he's done. Like I said, he's done this

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<v Speaker 1>five times, and at the end of the fifth deadline

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<v Speaker 1>he comes up with some alternative plan, and I think

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<v Speaker 1>that's what he's going to all of a sudden, they're

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<v Speaker 1>going to have some deal. They're not going to do

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<v Speaker 1>a deal until the last minute, anyway, and secondly President

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<v Speaker 1>even said in his statement, I don't want this to happen.

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<v Speaker 1>So that's not the talk of somebody who is absolutely

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<v Speaker 1>we're going to do this. And thirdly, you don't tell

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<v Speaker 1>the enemy when you're coming, do You never broadcast to

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<v Speaker 1>the enemy this is when we're going to be there

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<v Speaker 1>between eight pm and midnight Eastern time. So he might

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<v Speaker 1>bomb a bridge or two, or blow up some remote

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<v Speaker 1>power plant somewhere, but he's not going to do a

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<v Speaker 1>full scale what he called him back to the stone

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<v Speaker 1>age that he's been saying a couple times this past week.

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<v Speaker 1>How about Paula Hancock, She is in Abu Dhabi, United

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<v Speaker 1>Arab Emirates. What's going on there, Paula?

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<v Speaker 5>Well, okay, we haven't had response at this point to

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<v Speaker 5>the most recent posts from Iran, but we certainly had

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<v Speaker 5>some response to the threats that the US President was

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<v Speaker 5>giving on Monday about the power plants, the bridges will

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<v Speaker 5>be impacted. We heard from one senior Iranian security official

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<v Speaker 5>saying that Aran, as far as their concerns, believes that

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<v Speaker 5>they have dealt a strategic victory, saying that they believe

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<v Speaker 5>the US president has lost control of this war. We

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<v Speaker 5>also heard from the Revolutionary Guard saying that they believe

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<v Speaker 5>Trump's threats are baseless and delusional, so a real rejection

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<v Speaker 5>from these threats. And in any war, you do have

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<v Speaker 5>this parallel propaganda battle, of course, But as we are

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<v Speaker 5>hearing this escalation by the US President, by the Trump administration,

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<v Speaker 5>Iranian officials are matching it and they are right there

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<v Speaker 5>with them. In fact, we from an Iranian deputy minister

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<v Speaker 5>that he had called for the youth in Iran to

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<v Speaker 5>actually form a human chain around power plants to try

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<v Speaker 5>and protect them. So we are hearing as well from

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<v Speaker 5>the President Masu Pezeshkian, who is considered to be one

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<v Speaker 5>of the more reasonable members of this regime, saying that

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<v Speaker 5>there's more than forteen million people within the country that

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<v Speaker 5>are willing to die to protect the Islamic regime. So

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<v Speaker 5>we are not hearing any backing down when it comes

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<v Speaker 5>to Iranian officials, at least not in rhetoric. And people

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<v Speaker 5>here in the Gulf region I'm in Abadabi in the UAE,

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<v Speaker 5>they are on tenter hooks. They are concerned that this deadline,

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<v Speaker 5>even though we have seen them being pushed in the past,

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<v Speaker 5>may actually be the deadline that sticks because they know

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<v Speaker 5>that if there are these attacks against the energy infrastructure,

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<v Speaker 5>the civilian infrastructure in Iran, that will be reciprocated to

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<v Speaker 5>US interests, and that will be these countries here in

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<v Speaker 5>the golf that will have to bear the brunt. We've

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<v Speaker 5>already seen a number of pieces of energy infrastructure being

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<v Speaker 5>impacted in Kata. We know it one of their LNG facilities,

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<v Speaker 5>for example. It'll take five years to get back and

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<v Speaker 5>dam it and create solutions to fix the damage. We

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<v Speaker 5>know here in the UAE there have been oil fields,

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<v Speaker 5>there have been gas fields, fuel tanks at airports are

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<v Speaker 5>being targeted. So there is a recognition that any retaliation

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<v Speaker 5>from Iran will go towards Israel, but it will also

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<v Speaker 5>be these countries here that will be impacted. So there

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<v Speaker 5>is definitely a feeling of limbo, a feeling of weight

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<v Speaker 5>and see and hoping that it doesn't get to that,

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<v Speaker 5>but also a feeling of helplessness. These leaders in this

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<v Speaker 5>region know that they can't convince the US President to

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<v Speaker 5>pull back. They did try and convince him not to

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<v Speaker 5>start this war in the first place, but were unable to.

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<v Speaker 5>So there is definitely concern that this deadline is fast approaching.

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<v Speaker 1>Did you hear what she said about the fact that

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<v Speaker 1>the president of Iran wants the people to go out

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<v Speaker 1>and surround basically a human shield around the power plants,

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<v Speaker 1>around train stations, around places that are going to be attacked.

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<v Speaker 1>And she didn't say it, but the word coming out

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<v Speaker 1>of Iran is he wants children, children to go out.

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<v Speaker 1>And Trump thinks he's negotiating wisdom. What did he call them,

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<v Speaker 1>smarter less radicalized minds. No, they're just as crazy. They're

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<v Speaker 1>just as radical. He wants children to go out and

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<v Speaker 1>surround the power plants so that the Americans won't attack.

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<v Speaker 1>And this is a technique. By the way, if you

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<v Speaker 1>go back to the Iran Iraq war lasted for ten years,

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<v Speaker 1>what Iran would do is they would put children to

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<v Speaker 1>go out onto a field to find any land mines. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>children to go find go after little little child and

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<v Speaker 1>find the land mines. They didn't. They don't care about

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<v Speaker 1>their people, They don't care about the life of their citizens.

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<v Speaker 1>They only care about their own regime. I got to

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<v Speaker 1>tell you, I want to play this for you. Remember

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<v Speaker 1>the story about Quizam Solimani. He was the head of

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<v Speaker 1>the Islamic Revolutionary guard coorep IRGC. He was responsible for

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<v Speaker 1>killing many Americans. Donald Trump used the CIA and he

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<v Speaker 1>was visiting Baghdad and poof a missile hit his car

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<v Speaker 1>and he was gone. Well, Iran has been furious about

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<v Speaker 1>it ever since. So we find yesterday that Solomoni's family

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<v Speaker 1>is living in this country. They're in different places, but

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<v Speaker 1>there are some of the young young women that were

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<v Speaker 1>his I guess nieces or daughters living in Los Angeles,

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<v Speaker 1>Beverly Hills living large. There is a woman by the

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<v Speaker 1>name of Shila Nazarian. She is a physician in La

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<v Speaker 1>She and her family had to run for their lives

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<v Speaker 1>to get out from underneath the regime of the Ayatola.

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<v Speaker 1>Listen to what she talks about regarding how many of

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<v Speaker 1>this and she says, these relatives of Solomoni are just

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<v Speaker 1>a handful compared to thousands of people from Iran that

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<v Speaker 1>are in this country promoting the regime's violence. If you will.

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<v Speaker 3>These women are posting in bikinis on yachts, they are

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<v Speaker 3>wearing v neck dresses down to their belly buttons. They

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<v Speaker 3>are want to be Instagram influencers. All on the blood

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<v Speaker 3>money money that was embezzled stolen from the Iranian people,

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<v Speaker 3>and there's thousands of them just too. There's thousands in

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<v Speaker 3>the US, in Canada and in London, and they are

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<v Speaker 3>such hypocrites. You can show a few strands of hair

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<v Speaker 3>in Iran, get seventy four lashes. I've seen women kicked

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<v Speaker 3>to the ground, kicked in their heads while on the

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<v Speaker 3>ground for violating the hijab policy in Iran. Women have

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<v Speaker 3>been raped, women have been killed for showing their hair,

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<v Speaker 3>much less these women showing, like if you look at

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<v Speaker 3>their Instagram, it's infuriating. They're on yachts, they're on helicopters,

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<v Speaker 3>they're shopping on rodeo drive half naked, and it's almost like,

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<v Speaker 3>you know, rules for thee but not for me in

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<v Speaker 3>full display.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, So they're showing a lot of skin, they're not

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<v Speaker 1>wearing a hjab. They are living big time on stolen money,

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<v Speaker 1>and they're living the large life in the US, but

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<v Speaker 1>at the same time promoting death to America, all pro

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<v Speaker 1>Iranian regime.

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<v Speaker 3>We see that all the time. Unfortunately, not just with

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<v Speaker 3>these Iranian elites daughters, but we see it in the

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<v Speaker 3>Somali community as well. My family claimed asylum and came

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<v Speaker 3>here in nineteen eighty six, and we have never returned

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<v Speaker 3>because if we do, we will get killed. Meanwhile, you

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<v Speaker 3>see these Iranians or these Somali's vacation in the country

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<v Speaker 3>that they're claiming asylum from. That is not a real

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<v Speaker 3>asylum claim. If they were really afraid for their lives,

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<v Speaker 3>they would not be vacationing in their home countries.

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<v Speaker 1>You can't be afraid of leaving your old country if

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<v Speaker 1>you go back there on vacation. Apparently Solimani's daughters do

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<v Speaker 1>that on a regular basis. Another item that has been

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<v Speaker 1>lost in all of this is France recently got two

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<v Speaker 1>of their citizens released. They were in prison in the

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<v Speaker 1>Iran for the last couple of years, and all of

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<v Speaker 1>a sudden, these French prisoners were released. And doctor Nazarian

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<v Speaker 1>has some suspicions about that.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, and I want to address the two French prisoners

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<v Speaker 3>that were released. Perhaps that wasn't a good faith thing.

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<v Speaker 3>Perhaps that was because France denied Israeli airspace to transport

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<v Speaker 3>US weapons and that was the deal they made with Iran.

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<v Speaker 3>There is no good faith negotiations with this regime. This

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<v Speaker 3>regime has shown for forty seven years that they use

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<v Speaker 3>negotiations as a stall tactic, as a delay tactic, and

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<v Speaker 3>a tool in their armamentarium to do whatever it is

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<v Speaker 3>that they want in secret there. Unfortunately, and I hate

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<v Speaker 3>to say it, I hate war, I hate death, I

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<v Speaker 3>hate killing. I'm a physician, but with this regime, they

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<v Speaker 3>understand no other language but force, and they are willing

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<v Speaker 3>to sacrifice their most vulnerable. They told the children to

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<v Speaker 3>go stand in front of the targets that Trump claimed

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<v Speaker 3>he was going to bomb tonight. So they don't care

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<v Speaker 3>about their people. All they care about is power, money,

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<v Speaker 3>and a worldwide califate. And they understand no other language

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<v Speaker 3>other than force. And if that's the language they want

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<v Speaker 3>us to speak, we will speak it.

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<v Speaker 1>So did you hear what she said? Is so true?

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, I'm no diplomat, but I know that they

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<v Speaker 1>use negotiations for stall tactics to basically wait and hold

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<v Speaker 1>everybody off so they can continue to keep building their

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<v Speaker 1>nuclear bombs or whatever it's been that they've been trying

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<v Speaker 1>to stall off it. But she was right, and I

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<v Speaker 1>hope the president hears her that you can't negotiate with

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<v Speaker 1>this regime or anybody that's been part of the regime

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<v Speaker 1>and the President says that they're in their negotiating with them,

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<v Speaker 1>So that's not I hope there's somebody at the White

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<v Speaker 1>House who knows this. It's very, very frustrating. Senator Ron Johnson,

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<v Speaker 1>the Republican from Wisconsin, He's going, oh, I don't know

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<v Speaker 1>if we should do anything. Yours his comment.

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<v Speaker 6>I am hoping in praying the President Trump is this

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<v Speaker 6>really is blustered. I do not want to see us

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<v Speaker 6>start blowing up civilian infrastructure. I do not want to

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<v Speaker 6>see that we are not at war with Uranian people. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 6>we are trying to liberate them, that is.

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<v Speaker 1>True, but you can't separate out the citizens of the

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<v Speaker 1>country versus their leaders. Mike Lawler, congressman from New York,

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<v Speaker 1>had this response.

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<v Speaker 7>Ye, I don't disagree with what Ron Johnson said there,

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<v Speaker 7>and I think if you look at the President's statement,

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<v Speaker 7>he doesn't want to do that. He doesn't want to

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<v Speaker 7>be in a position to have to take that action.

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<v Speaker 7>But obviously you are dealing with the regime that has

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<v Speaker 7>not negotiated in good faith for decades and inclusive of

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<v Speaker 7>the last few weeks, and so ultimately, when they are

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<v Speaker 7>talking about having children surround a power plant, the Iranian

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<v Speaker 7>regime on state TV is calling for children to go

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<v Speaker 7>surround power plants. This is the depraved indifference you're talking

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<v Speaker 7>about with this regime, and so ultimately, if you have

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<v Speaker 7>to take necessary action to curtail their capabilities. Obviously, their

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<v Speaker 7>oil trade is a big component of that ninety percent

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<v Speaker 7>you talk about ninety percent being delivered through carg Island.

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<v Speaker 7>Ninety percent of Iran's oil is purchased by who China.

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<v Speaker 7>China is the biggest purchaser of Iranian petroleum. That is

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<v Speaker 7>what is financed their entire illicit activity over these past

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<v Speaker 7>many decades. So the President is putting on the table

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<v Speaker 7>taking action against their energy facilities, against their infrastructure, because

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<v Speaker 7>that will cripple the regime. Is it something we want

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<v Speaker 7>to do, No, of course, but we want this regime

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<v Speaker 7>to finally negotiate in good faith.

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<v Speaker 1>I don't understand what's wrong with these people. They're supposed

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<v Speaker 1>to be the best and the brightest to the leaders

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<v Speaker 1>of our country, and they keep talking about that you

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<v Speaker 1>can't negotiate with this regime. But we need to negotiate

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<v Speaker 1>with this regime and do it in good faith. We're

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<v Speaker 1>doing it in good faith. If they're not they never have,

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<v Speaker 1>they never will. You're going to have to replace the regime.

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<v Speaker 1>And the problem with that is Americans don't want boots

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<v Speaker 1>on the ground, But you can't replace the regime without

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<v Speaker 1>occupying the country and occupying their government offices. So I'm

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<v Speaker 1>sorry we're in this pickle, but this is the pickle

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<v Speaker 1>that I see. Dan Hoffman, former CIA station chief, let's

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<v Speaker 1>see what he thinks.

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<v Speaker 8>Well, I think there's three ways this could play out.

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<v Speaker 8>One is that we do nothing. I certainly don't see

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<v Speaker 8>that happening. The second option is that we either have

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<v Speaker 8>a deal or significant progress towards a deal. And the

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<v Speaker 8>third option is that we don't get any of that

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<v Speaker 8>progress and the President decides to start launching these strikes.

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<v Speaker 8>This is a clear statement from the President of warning

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<v Speaker 8>Iran that we would take action like this, and US

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<v Speaker 8>credibility is at stake.

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<v Speaker 1>So I have no doubt.

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<v Speaker 8>That we've got our bombers warmed up in the bullpen

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<v Speaker 8>ready to take action if Iran doesn't proceed to negotiate

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<v Speaker 8>in good faith. These things are never decided, it appears,

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<v Speaker 8>at least with Iran until the last minute.

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<v Speaker 1>Again, the President, I mean, that's his wheelhouse, right negotiating.

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<v Speaker 1>But this is a different group. You're the people on

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<v Speaker 1>the other side of the table are not like anybody

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<v Speaker 1>he's negotiated with ever in his life. And everybody from

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<v Speaker 1>everybody all the way down the list, the Congressman Mike

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<v Speaker 1>Lawler to Ron Johnson to Katie McFarlane, they're all thinking

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<v Speaker 1>that we need to negotiate with these people like they're

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<v Speaker 1>normal people. They're not. And so a lot of the

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<v Speaker 1>former bad people we have eliminated, right we bombed their smithereens.

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<v Speaker 1>They're gone. So we got this new group the President

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<v Speaker 1>is talking about. And the new group is saying, send

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<v Speaker 1>children to surround the power plans in the train stations.

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<v Speaker 1>That's how twisted these people are. This is the new

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<v Speaker 1>What did the President call them, different, smarter and less

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<v Speaker 1>radicalized leaders. I don't think so.

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<v Speaker 8>Back to Dan Hoffman, I think those strikes were designed

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<v Speaker 8>to push Iran in the right direction and let them

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<v Speaker 8>know that we're serious about launching strikes tonight if Iran

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<v Speaker 8>doesn't meet the eight pm deadline. We have the capability

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<v Speaker 8>and we have clearly the willpower to launch serious strikes

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<v Speaker 8>on Iran, and I think that's what was behind some

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<v Speaker 8>of these strikes. It's worth noting that Israel has been

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<v Speaker 8>striking Iran's critical infrastructure, petrochemical industry, and their steel industry

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<v Speaker 8>as well, all along as well as key leadership targets,

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<v Speaker 8>as you noted.

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<v Speaker 1>And so we hit Carg Island, but they have some

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<v Speaker 1>military facilities on the island, that's what we hit overnight.

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<v Speaker 1>But the oil infrastructure there at Carg Island was not touched.

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<v Speaker 1>That's what the president is threatening. Yeah, so listen.

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<v Speaker 8>I think yesterday's press conference where we saw Director of

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<v Speaker 8>CI John Ratcliffe standing beside President Trump, was really a

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<v Speaker 8>window into the extraordinary cooperation we see from the intelligence

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<v Speaker 8>community informing the president and other key policymakers so they

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<v Speaker 8>can make the best decisions. And of course we saw

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<v Speaker 8>that with the rescue of our airmen and then post

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<v Speaker 8>facto on that strike against the F fifteen. Where did

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<v Speaker 8>that manpad come from? The extent to which China or

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<v Speaker 8>Russia is not just providing Iran with financial assistance, but

387
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<v Speaker 8>arming them as well and giving them the intelligence Iran

388
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<v Speaker 8>needs to strike our military assets, these are all things

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<v Speaker 8>that the intelligence community, I think is very much focused on.

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<v Speaker 1>Man Pack is LINGO for the shoulder fired heat seeking

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<v Speaker 1>missile that brought down that F fifteen. So one more

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<v Speaker 1>from Dan Hoffman, Well, does he think there's going to

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<v Speaker 1>be bombs flying after eight pm or a deal with

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<v Speaker 1>I keep the deal will be with these people that

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<v Speaker 1>are not right in the head. But let's hear what

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<v Speaker 1>Dan has to say.

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<v Speaker 8>I think there's just a lot happening behind the scenes,

398
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<v Speaker 8>and I wouldn't be surprised if even the CIA is

399
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<v Speaker 8>reaching out clandestinely to their contacts inside Iran and in

400
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<v Speaker 8>the region. We honestly may not see much. We might

401
00:25:42.240 --> 00:25:45.079
<v Speaker 8>see more military strikes from the United States or from

402
00:25:45.160 --> 00:25:48.079
<v Speaker 8>Israel today, of course, and maybe more on the on

403
00:25:48.160 --> 00:25:51.240
<v Speaker 8>carg Island, designed to demonstrate to Iran that we're serious

404
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<v Speaker 8>about this deadline, but we may not see much definitive

405
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<v Speaker 8>evidence of where we're headed until close to eight pm.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, again, my bet is that we will not have

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<v Speaker 1>a deal and that the President will order some strikes.

408
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<v Speaker 1>But that's what we've been doing now for the last

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<v Speaker 1>four weeks, so I don't think it's anything totally new.

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<v Speaker 1>Matthew Chance is a reporter in Doha in Qatar. Let's

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<v Speaker 1>find out what it looks like from his vantage point.

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<v Speaker 9>Yeah, I think that's right. No one, despite all this

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<v Speaker 9>rhetoric and all this bombast about destroying entire civilizations, no

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<v Speaker 9>one is really ruling out the possibility. However slim, it

415
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<v Speaker 9>may seem that something could happen at the eleventh hour

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<v Speaker 9>that to set back this deadline even further, or even

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<v Speaker 9>bring to an end of the conflict.

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<v Speaker 1>Remember.

419
00:26:46.440 --> 00:26:49.599
<v Speaker 9>Yeah, this is the fifth deadline in a row that

420
00:26:50.079 --> 00:26:53.440
<v Speaker 9>the President Trump has imposed on his own threat, and

421
00:26:53.480 --> 00:26:55.920
<v Speaker 9>so you know, it's possibly it could be a sixth time.

422
00:26:55.960 --> 00:26:59.720
<v Speaker 9>That's certainly the hope. I've just come out of meetings

423
00:26:59.759 --> 00:27:03.400
<v Speaker 9>with Katari officials. I'm talking to you now from Doha.

424
00:27:03.720 --> 00:27:07.119
<v Speaker 9>There is a lot of concern and alarm across this

425
00:27:07.240 --> 00:27:10.279
<v Speaker 9>golf region, which is very energy rich, and which is

426
00:27:10.519 --> 00:27:14.680
<v Speaker 9>very concerned about what impact escalation of the conflict in

427
00:27:14.720 --> 00:27:15.720
<v Speaker 9>Iran is going to have.

428
00:27:16.240 --> 00:27:16.440
<v Speaker 6>Yet.

429
00:27:16.519 --> 00:27:20.559
<v Speaker 9>Yes, of course, this threat to by the US military

430
00:27:20.559 --> 00:27:24.200
<v Speaker 9>to strike at civilian infrastructure in Iran would cause untold

431
00:27:24.319 --> 00:27:27.799
<v Speaker 9>damage to the Islamic Republic, but it would also potentially

432
00:27:27.880 --> 00:27:30.880
<v Speaker 9>have a massive knock on effect across the region. Because

433
00:27:30.920 --> 00:27:35.359
<v Speaker 9>Iran has vowed to retaliate in kind against the neighboring

434
00:27:35.400 --> 00:27:42.440
<v Speaker 9>golf states. They've all got very vulnerable energy infrastructure installations,

435
00:27:42.720 --> 00:27:46.519
<v Speaker 9>oil rigs, gas production facilities, things like that that can

436
00:27:46.559 --> 00:27:50.200
<v Speaker 9>be struck very easily and be very difficult to rebuild.

437
00:27:50.720 --> 00:27:53.759
<v Speaker 9>And you know already the region is losing I mean,

438
00:27:53.880 --> 00:27:57.559
<v Speaker 9>untold Tom's billions of dollars a day in Katar alone.

439
00:27:58.200 --> 00:28:01.119
<v Speaker 9>If Iran is good to its word and as every

440
00:28:01.920 --> 00:28:05.920
<v Speaker 9>sense that it will be, and retaliates against the regional infrastructure,

441
00:28:06.160 --> 00:28:09.160
<v Speaker 9>that could have a massive impact on the regional economy,

442
00:28:09.279 --> 00:28:11.640
<v Speaker 9>a long lasting impact, and of course a huge impact

443
00:28:11.680 --> 00:28:14.240
<v Speaker 9>on the global economy as well. And that's the real

444
00:28:14.319 --> 00:28:18.440
<v Speaker 9>concern as we approach President Trump's latest deadline to send

445
00:28:18.480 --> 00:28:19.839
<v Speaker 9>Iran back to the Stone Ache.

446
00:28:19.920 --> 00:28:23.960
<v Speaker 1>So he sounded very similar to Paula Hancock, which she

447
00:28:24.039 --> 00:28:26.759
<v Speaker 1>was in Abu Dhabi talking about they were very worried

448
00:28:27.279 --> 00:28:32.039
<v Speaker 1>that Iran will attack Abu Dhabi. Matthew Chances in Doha,

449
00:28:32.480 --> 00:28:35.960
<v Speaker 1>very worried about Iran will attack Doha. If allow this

450
00:28:36.119 --> 00:28:41.599
<v Speaker 1>happens tonight. Colonel Cedric Layden, retired Air Force intel guy,

451
00:28:42.359 --> 00:28:43.279
<v Speaker 1>this is his view.

452
00:28:43.319 --> 00:28:47.079
<v Speaker 10>This is quite amazing rhetoric, quite frankly from the President,

453
00:28:47.160 --> 00:28:50.960
<v Speaker 10>and when you're talking in civilizational terms, it actually kind

454
00:28:51.000 --> 00:28:54.359
<v Speaker 10>of plays into the hands of the Iranian regime because

455
00:28:54.759 --> 00:28:58.960
<v Speaker 10>they see their struggle for existence, their revolutionary struggle for existence,

456
00:28:59.279 --> 00:29:03.680
<v Speaker 10>as being an existential struggle against the forces of the

457
00:29:03.680 --> 00:29:06.799
<v Speaker 10>West and against forces of non Shia Islam. They are,

458
00:29:06.880 --> 00:29:10.279
<v Speaker 10>of course the representatives they see as being the representatives

459
00:29:10.279 --> 00:29:13.920
<v Speaker 10>of Shia Islam, and they believe that their job is

460
00:29:13.960 --> 00:29:17.119
<v Speaker 10>to not only maintain their regime, but to spread to

461
00:29:17.160 --> 00:29:19.799
<v Speaker 10>their revolution and to spread the ideas of Shia Islam.

462
00:29:19.920 --> 00:29:22.200
<v Speaker 10>So when he couches, when the president couches this in

463
00:29:22.240 --> 00:29:26.599
<v Speaker 10>civilizational terms like this, this gets into really their sandbox,

464
00:29:26.759 --> 00:29:30.920
<v Speaker 10>and it makes this a you know, conflict between civilizations,

465
00:29:30.960 --> 00:29:33.559
<v Speaker 10>and that's a really dangerous area to be in.

466
00:29:33.960 --> 00:29:38.920
<v Speaker 1>Well it is, and meantime the markets are they're not

467
00:29:39.000 --> 00:29:41.680
<v Speaker 1>sure what to do either. They are just not sure

468
00:29:41.720 --> 00:29:45.039
<v Speaker 1>what to do. Let me look at the oil quote

469
00:29:45.079 --> 00:29:48.799
<v Speaker 1>right now. Because it was up to one hundred and sixteen.

470
00:29:48.920 --> 00:29:53.039
<v Speaker 1>Well oil backed off, it took off this morning, went

471
00:29:53.119 --> 00:29:57.519
<v Speaker 1>up to one hundred and sixteen dollars and seventy seven cents.

472
00:29:57.759 --> 00:30:02.000
<v Speaker 1>It's backed off and trading right now at one hundred

473
00:30:02.039 --> 00:30:04.759
<v Speaker 1>and twelve. So it's staying in that one twelve to

474
00:30:04.799 --> 00:30:09.519
<v Speaker 1>one sixteen range as far as gasoline goes the price.

475
00:30:09.839 --> 00:30:13.079
<v Speaker 1>The average price of gas is up another few cents,

476
00:30:13.119 --> 00:30:16.759
<v Speaker 1>four dollars fourteen cents for the cheap stuff. That's the

477
00:30:16.839 --> 00:30:23.799
<v Speaker 1>national average for diesel five sixty five go to There

478
00:30:23.799 --> 00:30:29.519
<v Speaker 1>are now four states with gasoline above five dollars on

479
00:30:29.759 --> 00:30:35.880
<v Speaker 1>average for the cheap stuff, Washington, Oregon, Nevada, and California.

480
00:30:35.960 --> 00:30:40.279
<v Speaker 1>So the Western states are all above five dollars. California

481
00:30:40.640 --> 00:30:44.519
<v Speaker 1>five dollars ninety three cents. They're almost at six that's

482
00:30:44.559 --> 00:30:51.519
<v Speaker 1>the cheap stuff, and diesel seven dollars and seventy three cents.

483
00:30:52.599 --> 00:30:57.079
<v Speaker 1>The county by Yosemite in California is six dollars and

484
00:30:57.119 --> 00:31:01.920
<v Speaker 1>seventy two cents for a gallon of gasoline. And who

485
00:31:02.039 --> 00:31:05.799
<v Speaker 1>was it that was reporting? Oh, on the coast of California,

486
00:31:06.440 --> 00:31:09.200
<v Speaker 1>there's a gas station now that has bumped up the

487
00:31:09.279 --> 00:31:14.000
<v Speaker 1>price to ten dollars ten dollars for filling. And on

488
00:31:14.200 --> 00:31:17.039
<v Speaker 1>the coast of California, there's not a lot of civilization

489
00:31:17.279 --> 00:31:20.920
<v Speaker 1>out there. No, no, no, those they're beautiful little towns.

490
00:31:20.960 --> 00:31:24.799
<v Speaker 1>It's a wonderful drive go down Highway one along the

491
00:31:24.880 --> 00:31:28.960
<v Speaker 1>California coast, But there's these little towns are not close

492
00:31:29.000 --> 00:31:33.599
<v Speaker 1>to each other, and so you better get gas when

493
00:31:33.640 --> 00:31:36.200
<v Speaker 1>you're going through that town or you're going to run

494
00:31:36.240 --> 00:31:37.920
<v Speaker 1>out when you get down the road. A little bit

495
00:31:38.880 --> 00:31:43.519
<v Speaker 1>as far as travel goes, Artemis two, they did their

496
00:31:43.720 --> 00:31:47.839
<v Speaker 1>fly by around the Moon and some of the photos.

497
00:31:47.839 --> 00:31:49.839
<v Speaker 1>You got to check out the photos that they've taken

498
00:31:50.279 --> 00:31:53.640
<v Speaker 1>there are much sharper than what they took fifty years ago,

499
00:31:54.160 --> 00:31:59.640
<v Speaker 1>better lenses, better cameras. But it's just absolutely beautiful what

500
00:31:59.720 --> 00:32:04.000
<v Speaker 1>they do. Butch Wilmer retired after that. I was talking

501
00:32:04.039 --> 00:32:07.200
<v Speaker 1>about the fact that they've completed that part and they're

502
00:32:07.240 --> 00:32:12.359
<v Speaker 1>now trying to break loose of the gravity from the

503
00:32:12.400 --> 00:32:16.119
<v Speaker 1>Moon and lets the gravity from Earth catch them as

504
00:32:16.160 --> 00:32:20.079
<v Speaker 1>they head back to Earth. On Friday, here's but Wilmer.

505
00:32:20.559 --> 00:32:23.880
<v Speaker 11>So that's significant because as they start to trek back

506
00:32:23.920 --> 00:32:26.440
<v Speaker 11>towards Earth, the gravitational pull of the Earth is going

507
00:32:26.480 --> 00:32:28.519
<v Speaker 11>to pull them in and they're going to come faster

508
00:32:28.920 --> 00:32:31.920
<v Speaker 11>and faster and faster. I'm not sure if they'll break

509
00:32:31.960 --> 00:32:34.319
<v Speaker 11>the record for the fastest humans ever, but there's a

510
00:32:34.319 --> 00:32:37.079
<v Speaker 11>good chance they will. Time will tell, but they'll wind

511
00:32:37.160 --> 00:32:41.359
<v Speaker 11>up traveling about twenty five thousand miles per hour. That's

512
00:32:41.400 --> 00:32:44.200
<v Speaker 11>faster than seven miles per second when they get back

513
00:32:44.240 --> 00:32:46.079
<v Speaker 11>to the Earth and start re entering the atmosphere, So

514
00:32:46.200 --> 00:32:48.440
<v Speaker 11>they have to a very narrow window to re enter

515
00:32:48.480 --> 00:32:52.440
<v Speaker 11>the atmosphere. If you're too shallow, way too shallow, then

516
00:32:52.480 --> 00:32:56.319
<v Speaker 11>you skip off the atmosphere. You've already justisened your thrusters

517
00:32:56.680 --> 00:32:58.759
<v Speaker 11>from the service module, so you really you just skip

518
00:32:58.799 --> 00:33:00.920
<v Speaker 11>off and you just keep going that Obviously, you don't

519
00:33:00.920 --> 00:33:02.559
<v Speaker 11>want that to happen. So they had to hit the

520
00:33:02.599 --> 00:33:05.279
<v Speaker 11>atmosphere at the exactly right angle and they'll be firing

521
00:33:05.319 --> 00:33:09.240
<v Speaker 11>those thrusters to get them on that exact trajectory. It's mesmerizing,

522
00:33:09.279 --> 00:33:13.119
<v Speaker 11>it's thrilling. I mean, just think humans giving the planet

523
00:33:13.119 --> 00:33:15.240
<v Speaker 11>from that vantage point first time in over fifty years,

524
00:33:16.000 --> 00:33:17.359
<v Speaker 11>and it's going to be something that we're going to

525
00:33:17.359 --> 00:33:18.640
<v Speaker 11>continue to do as we go forward.

526
00:33:18.799 --> 00:33:21.920
<v Speaker 1>I know we've done this before, but this is pretty exciting.

527
00:33:22.000 --> 00:33:25.079
<v Speaker 1>And the photos You've got to check out the photos

528
00:33:25.119 --> 00:33:30.680
<v Speaker 1>that are absolutely beautiful. Kalshie, have you seen where they're

529
00:33:30.720 --> 00:33:34.960
<v Speaker 1>really pushing hard to get their name out there. They

530
00:33:35.079 --> 00:33:40.079
<v Speaker 1>are a site that is getting well, they're getting banned

531
00:33:40.119 --> 00:33:43.079
<v Speaker 1>in a lot of places because I think they are

532
00:33:43.240 --> 00:33:47.920
<v Speaker 1>simply a betting site. They say that They are a

533
00:33:47.960 --> 00:33:52.079
<v Speaker 1>prediction market site, but I look at them and they

534
00:33:52.119 --> 00:33:55.200
<v Speaker 1>look pretty darn much like a gambling site to me.

535
00:33:55.799 --> 00:34:00.920
<v Speaker 1>I'm looking at the homepage of it is first one,

536
00:34:00.960 --> 00:34:05.039
<v Speaker 1>it's politics. How long will the government shut down? Congress?

537
00:34:05.319 --> 00:34:08.599
<v Speaker 1>Will members of Congress be banned from trading stocks? And

538
00:34:08.679 --> 00:34:11.280
<v Speaker 1>you can bet on this stuff? Sixty two percent believe

539
00:34:11.320 --> 00:34:17.000
<v Speaker 1>that they will. Under Trump, will Americans receive terra stimulus checks?

540
00:34:17.519 --> 00:34:25.440
<v Speaker 1>Only fourteen percent believe they will Democratic presidential nominee, thirty

541
00:34:25.480 --> 00:34:31.880
<v Speaker 1>percent believe Gavin Newsom Republican presidential nominee, thirty seven percent

542
00:34:31.920 --> 00:34:35.960
<v Speaker 1>for Vance, twenty four percent for Rubio. This is all

543
00:34:36.039 --> 00:34:38.519
<v Speaker 1>you put money up and then you place your bet.

544
00:34:39.199 --> 00:34:43.280
<v Speaker 1>That's the same as as the casinos, isn't it. I

545
00:34:43.280 --> 00:34:45.360
<v Speaker 1>don't see the difference. But they're getting their name out

546
00:34:45.360 --> 00:34:48.079
<v Speaker 1>there in a big, big way. All right, let's find

547
00:34:48.079 --> 00:34:51.920
<v Speaker 1>out how the markets handle us today. And again, everybody's

548
00:34:51.960 --> 00:34:55.320
<v Speaker 1>looking at their watches and counting down until eight pm tonight.

549
00:34:55.800 --> 00:35:00.559
<v Speaker 1>This is Tuesday, the seventh of April. That were recording

550
00:35:00.599 --> 00:35:02.960
<v Speaker 1>all of this. But as far as the markets go,

551
00:35:04.840 --> 00:35:09.039
<v Speaker 1>Dow was never positive today, but it never went too

552
00:35:09.159 --> 00:35:13.400
<v Speaker 1>far down, down a couple hundred but it came back

553
00:35:13.440 --> 00:35:16.840
<v Speaker 1>to finish down eighty five. The DOW at forty six

554
00:35:17.000 --> 00:35:20.599
<v Speaker 1>thousand and five eighty four. The SMP was up five,

555
00:35:20.719 --> 00:35:23.639
<v Speaker 1>the NADDAC was up twenty one. Both of them were

556
00:35:23.679 --> 00:35:28.400
<v Speaker 1>also mostly underwatered. A little rally near the end, price

557
00:35:28.440 --> 00:35:31.679
<v Speaker 1>of gold went up forty one dollars to forty seven

558
00:35:31.840 --> 00:35:36.159
<v Speaker 1>twenty five, and oil when all of a sudden done

559
00:35:36.199 --> 00:35:39.679
<v Speaker 1>like I said, it got up to one sixteen. I

560
00:35:39.719 --> 00:35:43.480
<v Speaker 1>think it was one sixteen and some change. It finished

561
00:35:44.360 --> 00:35:47.039
<v Speaker 1>down eight cents. That's it, at one hundred and twelve

562
00:35:47.119 --> 00:35:50.679
<v Speaker 1>dollars for a barrel of oil. Keep your eyes on

563
00:35:50.840 --> 00:35:55.360
<v Speaker 1>eight o'clock tonight. We'll find out what happens and talk

564
00:35:55.400 --> 00:35:59.039
<v Speaker 1>about it tomorrow. I'll be here, and I hope you

565
00:35:59.079 --> 00:36:00.400
<v Speaker 1>are too. Other four c

566
00:36:06.199 --> 00:36:06.480
<v Speaker 4>Mhm
