Speaker 1: And welcome one and all.
Speaker 2: Hi, how are you welcome to the Big Podcast on
Speaker 2: this Tuesday. Today is the seventh day of April, Year
Speaker 2: of Our Lord twenty twenty six.
Speaker 1: My name is Tom Sullivan. And well, I would love
Speaker 1: to I looked over everything and it's just wall to
Speaker 1: wall war, and I would love to do some other things.
Speaker 1: I've got a little bit about Artemis two and they've
Speaker 1: done the fly by past the Moon. We'll find out
Speaker 1: what the latest is with them. Uh, we'll get you updated. Oh, Kalshi,
Speaker 1: the prediction market, that's we haven't talked about that, but
Speaker 1: I do want to try to get to that too.
Speaker 1: But first let me start. Let me start with what
Speaker 1: is the big news story today, and that is the
Speaker 1: President put out on Truth's Social a post which is
Speaker 1: basically yet another deadline. Now he has five deadlines in
Speaker 1: a row that have been imposed but haven't come to fruition.
Speaker 1: So now everybody's talking about the water cooler here is
Speaker 1: talking about well is he going to do it? Is
Speaker 1: he going to do it? Do you think it's going
Speaker 1: to happen? Do you think he's going to bomb him?
Speaker 1: Do you think he's not going to bomb You think
Speaker 1: he's going to be a taco trade. What do you think?
Speaker 1: So let me read that. Let me read the Social
Speaker 1: Truth Social post to you. We'll start there and then
Speaker 1: we'll start getting some opinions about what's going to happen tonight.
Speaker 1: The Truth Social says the full a whole civilization will
Speaker 1: die tonight, never to be brought back again. I don't
Speaker 1: want this to happen, but it probably will. However, now
Speaker 1: that we have complete and total regime change where different,
Speaker 1: smarter and less radicalized minds prevail, maybe something revolutionary, wonderful
Speaker 1: can happen. Who knows. We will find out tonight one
Speaker 1: of the most important moments in the long and complex
Speaker 1: history of the world. Forty seven years of extortion, corruption
Speaker 1: and death will finally end. God bless the great people
Speaker 1: of Iran. That's what Donald Trump posted on True Social
Speaker 1: this morning. First of all, I don't want I would
Speaker 1: like for them to capitulate. I would like for them
Speaker 1: to throw in the towel and go away. But I mean,
Speaker 1: I just don't agree with the President on this. Assay
Speaker 1: is now that we have complete and total regime change
Speaker 1: where different, smarter and less radicalized minds prevailed, They're they're
Speaker 1: they're pulling his leg. In my humble opinion, you can't
Speaker 1: take what happened after the end of World War Two.
Speaker 1: We didn't take the Third Reich top officers and put
Speaker 1: them in charge. No, we all all of the the
Speaker 1: US military along when we split Germany up into four sections, US, Soviet,
Speaker 1: UK and France, and we are military stepped in and ran.
Speaker 1: That went on for four years where foreign victors were
Speaker 1: the ones who ran the country, that was the one
Speaker 1: that caused the war, and the German officers, the top
Speaker 1: ranks of the German officers were put on trial in Nurremberg.
Speaker 1: A lot of them saw the d of a hanging
Speaker 1: rope go to Japan into World War two. What happened.
Speaker 1: Did we turn everything over to the Japanese authorities? No?
Speaker 3: Not.
Speaker 1: For six years, General Douglas MacArthur was in charge of
Speaker 1: basically setting up the new government of Japan. And what
Speaker 1: we did, we said, see this, this is called a constitution.
Speaker 1: Why don't you do something like this? And they put
Speaker 1: together a constitution which was a copy job off of
Speaker 1: ours mostly. But in Germany for four years the victors
Speaker 1: ran the country. In Japan, six years, the victors ran
Speaker 1: the country I don't understand this turning it over to
Speaker 1: people that were part of that are part of the regime.
Speaker 1: And again, the Supreme leader is still there, we think somewhere.
Speaker 1: So I'm sorry. I'm looking at this and going this.
Speaker 1: You can't negotiate with these people. You're going to have
Speaker 1: to replace them. We're going to have to go in
Speaker 1: and take over the government and set it up and
Speaker 1: put people in charge. But it will take a few years.
Speaker 1: I know people are in a big hurry. Well, Katie McFarlane,
Speaker 1: I'm going kt a long time. She was the deputy
Speaker 1: National security officer for President Trump. In one point. Oh,
Speaker 1: let's see what kat has to say.
Speaker 4: Yeah, I think that what President Trump's haid yesterday when
Speaker 4: he said we're negotiating with new people, and then then
Speaker 4: the truth social post what you've just read. He said,
Speaker 4: we're negotiating with a new regime, a change regime. That
Speaker 4: means that they're pretty active negotiations going on. And then
Speaker 4: the attack this morning was just a few minutes ago.
Speaker 4: In Krk Island. Kirk Island does two things. It's in
Speaker 4: the middle of the Strait of Ramous and it has
Speaker 4: military facilities on the site on the island and it
Speaker 4: has where all the oil gets offloaded from Iran pipelines
Speaker 4: and then onto tankers. So what President Trump is just
Speaker 4: is he's taken out the military capability to all the facilities,
Speaker 4: the naval facilities and others on carg Island, and all
Speaker 4: he has to do is turn the guns just a
Speaker 4: few miles and he could take out their entire entered
Speaker 4: oil expert industry. And you've just talked about this is
Speaker 4: like fifty percent of their GMP. This is the IRGC's piggybank.
Speaker 4: This is how they make the money. And so President
Speaker 4: Trump is saying to these new leaders that he's now
Speaker 4: negotiating with, see what I can do, and in twelve hours,
Speaker 4: if you don't exceed, if you don't agree to Mike demands,
Speaker 4: then we could blow up the whole thing. And that
Speaker 4: really will set Aron's economy back, as infrastructure back. It
Speaker 4: could be rebuilt, and it could be rebuilt with American help,
Speaker 4: but it will put around at a just a devastating position.
Speaker 4: So this is going to be the most baranock on
Speaker 4: twelve hours you have ever experienced.
Speaker 1: Well, I like KT, but she's falling into the same
Speaker 1: trap that we're talking to somebody, some new people. Yes
Speaker 1: they're not the same people. I agree with that, but
Speaker 1: they're part of the regime and they will start the
Speaker 1: very next day working on rebuilding everything they can for
Speaker 1: taking care of getting a nuclear bomb, wiping out Israel,
Speaker 1: and attacking the United States. They're going to try to
Speaker 1: do that. You got to get rid of all of
Speaker 1: those people. They cannot be kept in place. So the
Speaker 1: deadline eight o'clock Eastern time tonight, just for your time zone.
Speaker 1: But well, I can ask you, I can't I can't
Speaker 1: hear the answer, but I got to tell you something.
Speaker 1: I I'll go through a bunch of these people that
Speaker 1: are highly informed. But I don't think this whole thing,
Speaker 1: about a whole civilization will die tonight, never to be
Speaker 1: brought back again. I don't think so. First of all,
Speaker 1: because he's still talking to the regime. Secondly, I just
Speaker 1: I think he's done. Like I said, he's done this
Speaker 1: five times, and at the end of the fifth deadline
Speaker 1: he comes up with some alternative plan, and I think
Speaker 1: that's what he's going to all of a sudden, they're
Speaker 1: going to have some deal. They're not going to do
Speaker 1: a deal until the last minute, anyway, and secondly President
Speaker 1: even said in his statement, I don't want this to happen.
Speaker 1: So that's not the talk of somebody who is absolutely
Speaker 1: we're going to do this. And thirdly, you don't tell
Speaker 1: the enemy when you're coming, do You never broadcast to
Speaker 1: the enemy this is when we're going to be there
Speaker 1: between eight pm and midnight Eastern time. So he might
Speaker 1: bomb a bridge or two, or blow up some remote
Speaker 1: power plant somewhere, but he's not going to do a
Speaker 1: full scale what he called him back to the stone
Speaker 1: age that he's been saying a couple times this past week.
Speaker 1: How about Paula Hancock, She is in Abu Dhabi, United
Speaker 1: Arab Emirates. What's going on there, Paula?
Speaker 5: Well, okay, we haven't had response at this point to
Speaker 5: the most recent posts from Iran, but we certainly had
Speaker 5: some response to the threats that the US President was
Speaker 5: giving on Monday about the power plants, the bridges will
Speaker 5: be impacted. We heard from one senior Iranian security official
Speaker 5: saying that Aran, as far as their concerns, believes that
Speaker 5: they have dealt a strategic victory, saying that they believe
Speaker 5: the US president has lost control of this war. We
Speaker 5: also heard from the Revolutionary Guard saying that they believe
Speaker 5: Trump's threats are baseless and delusional, so a real rejection
Speaker 5: from these threats. And in any war, you do have
Speaker 5: this parallel propaganda battle, of course, But as we are
Speaker 5: hearing this escalation by the US President, by the Trump administration,
Speaker 5: Iranian officials are matching it and they are right there
Speaker 5: with them. In fact, we from an Iranian deputy minister
Speaker 5: that he had called for the youth in Iran to
Speaker 5: actually form a human chain around power plants to try
Speaker 5: and protect them. So we are hearing as well from
Speaker 5: the President Masu Pezeshkian, who is considered to be one
Speaker 5: of the more reasonable members of this regime, saying that
Speaker 5: there's more than forteen million people within the country that
Speaker 5: are willing to die to protect the Islamic regime. So
Speaker 5: we are not hearing any backing down when it comes
Speaker 5: to Iranian officials, at least not in rhetoric. And people
Speaker 5: here in the Gulf region I'm in Abadabi in the UAE,
Speaker 5: they are on tenter hooks. They are concerned that this deadline,
Speaker 5: even though we have seen them being pushed in the past,
Speaker 5: may actually be the deadline that sticks because they know
Speaker 5: that if there are these attacks against the energy infrastructure,
Speaker 5: the civilian infrastructure in Iran, that will be reciprocated to
Speaker 5: US interests, and that will be these countries here in
Speaker 5: the golf that will have to bear the brunt. We've
Speaker 5: already seen a number of pieces of energy infrastructure being
Speaker 5: impacted in Kata. We know it one of their LNG facilities,
Speaker 5: for example. It'll take five years to get back and
Speaker 5: dam it and create solutions to fix the damage. We
Speaker 5: know here in the UAE there have been oil fields,
Speaker 5: there have been gas fields, fuel tanks at airports are
Speaker 5: being targeted. So there is a recognition that any retaliation
Speaker 5: from Iran will go towards Israel, but it will also
Speaker 5: be these countries here that will be impacted. So there
Speaker 5: is definitely a feeling of limbo, a feeling of weight
Speaker 5: and see and hoping that it doesn't get to that,
Speaker 5: but also a feeling of helplessness. These leaders in this
Speaker 5: region know that they can't convince the US President to
Speaker 5: pull back. They did try and convince him not to
Speaker 5: start this war in the first place, but were unable to.
Speaker 5: So there is definitely concern that this deadline is fast approaching.
Speaker 1: Did you hear what she said about the fact that
Speaker 1: the president of Iran wants the people to go out
Speaker 1: and surround basically a human shield around the power plants,
Speaker 1: around train stations, around places that are going to be attacked.
Speaker 1: And she didn't say it, but the word coming out
Speaker 1: of Iran is he wants children, children to go out.
Speaker 1: And Trump thinks he's negotiating wisdom. What did he call them,
Speaker 1: smarter less radicalized minds. No, they're just as crazy. They're
Speaker 1: just as radical. He wants children to go out and
Speaker 1: surround the power plants so that the Americans won't attack.
Speaker 1: And this is a technique. By the way, if you
Speaker 1: go back to the Iran Iraq war lasted for ten years,
Speaker 1: what Iran would do is they would put children to
Speaker 1: go out onto a field to find any land mines. Yeah,
Speaker 1: children to go find go after little little child and
Speaker 1: find the land mines. They didn't. They don't care about
Speaker 1: their people, They don't care about the life of their citizens.
Speaker 1: They only care about their own regime. I got to
Speaker 1: tell you, I want to play this for you. Remember
Speaker 1: the story about Quizam Solimani. He was the head of
Speaker 1: the Islamic Revolutionary guard coorep IRGC. He was responsible for
Speaker 1: killing many Americans. Donald Trump used the CIA and he
Speaker 1: was visiting Baghdad and poof a missile hit his car
Speaker 1: and he was gone. Well, Iran has been furious about
Speaker 1: it ever since. So we find yesterday that Solomoni's family
Speaker 1: is living in this country. They're in different places, but
Speaker 1: there are some of the young young women that were
Speaker 1: his I guess nieces or daughters living in Los Angeles,
Speaker 1: Beverly Hills living large. There is a woman by the
Speaker 1: name of Shila Nazarian. She is a physician in La
Speaker 1: She and her family had to run for their lives
Speaker 1: to get out from underneath the regime of the Ayatola.
Speaker 1: Listen to what she talks about regarding how many of
Speaker 1: this and she says, these relatives of Solomoni are just
Speaker 1: a handful compared to thousands of people from Iran that
Speaker 1: are in this country promoting the regime's violence. If you will.
Speaker 3: These women are posting in bikinis on yachts, they are
Speaker 3: wearing v neck dresses down to their belly buttons. They
Speaker 3: are want to be Instagram influencers. All on the blood
Speaker 3: money money that was embezzled stolen from the Iranian people,
Speaker 3: and there's thousands of them just too. There's thousands in
Speaker 3: the US, in Canada and in London, and they are
Speaker 3: such hypocrites. You can show a few strands of hair
Speaker 3: in Iran, get seventy four lashes. I've seen women kicked
Speaker 3: to the ground, kicked in their heads while on the
Speaker 3: ground for violating the hijab policy in Iran. Women have
Speaker 3: been raped, women have been killed for showing their hair,
Speaker 3: much less these women showing, like if you look at
Speaker 3: their Instagram, it's infuriating. They're on yachts, they're on helicopters,
Speaker 3: they're shopping on rodeo drive half naked, and it's almost like,
Speaker 3: you know, rules for thee but not for me in
Speaker 3: full display.
Speaker 1: Yeah, So they're showing a lot of skin, they're not
Speaker 1: wearing a hjab. They are living big time on stolen money,
Speaker 1: and they're living the large life in the US, but
Speaker 1: at the same time promoting death to America, all pro
Speaker 1: Iranian regime.
Speaker 3: We see that all the time. Unfortunately, not just with
Speaker 3: these Iranian elites daughters, but we see it in the
Speaker 3: Somali community as well. My family claimed asylum and came
Speaker 3: here in nineteen eighty six, and we have never returned
Speaker 3: because if we do, we will get killed. Meanwhile, you
Speaker 3: see these Iranians or these Somali's vacation in the country
Speaker 3: that they're claiming asylum from. That is not a real
Speaker 3: asylum claim. If they were really afraid for their lives,
Speaker 3: they would not be vacationing in their home countries.
Speaker 1: You can't be afraid of leaving your old country if
Speaker 1: you go back there on vacation. Apparently Solimani's daughters do
Speaker 1: that on a regular basis. Another item that has been
Speaker 1: lost in all of this is France recently got two
Speaker 1: of their citizens released. They were in prison in the
Speaker 1: Iran for the last couple of years, and all of
Speaker 1: a sudden, these French prisoners were released. And doctor Nazarian
Speaker 1: has some suspicions about that.
Speaker 3: Yeah, and I want to address the two French prisoners
Speaker 3: that were released. Perhaps that wasn't a good faith thing.
Speaker 3: Perhaps that was because France denied Israeli airspace to transport
Speaker 3: US weapons and that was the deal they made with Iran.
Speaker 3: There is no good faith negotiations with this regime. This
Speaker 3: regime has shown for forty seven years that they use
Speaker 3: negotiations as a stall tactic, as a delay tactic, and
Speaker 3: a tool in their armamentarium to do whatever it is
Speaker 3: that they want in secret there. Unfortunately, and I hate
Speaker 3: to say it, I hate war, I hate death, I
Speaker 3: hate killing. I'm a physician, but with this regime, they
Speaker 3: understand no other language but force, and they are willing
Speaker 3: to sacrifice their most vulnerable. They told the children to
Speaker 3: go stand in front of the targets that Trump claimed
Speaker 3: he was going to bomb tonight. So they don't care
Speaker 3: about their people. All they care about is power, money,
Speaker 3: and a worldwide califate. And they understand no other language
Speaker 3: other than force. And if that's the language they want
Speaker 3: us to speak, we will speak it.
Speaker 1: So did you hear what she said? Is so true?
Speaker 1: I mean, I'm no diplomat, but I know that they
Speaker 1: use negotiations for stall tactics to basically wait and hold
Speaker 1: everybody off so they can continue to keep building their
Speaker 1: nuclear bombs or whatever it's been that they've been trying
Speaker 1: to stall off it. But she was right, and I
Speaker 1: hope the president hears her that you can't negotiate with
Speaker 1: this regime or anybody that's been part of the regime
Speaker 1: and the President says that they're in their negotiating with them,
Speaker 1: So that's not I hope there's somebody at the White
Speaker 1: House who knows this. It's very, very frustrating. Senator Ron Johnson,
Speaker 1: the Republican from Wisconsin, He's going, oh, I don't know
Speaker 1: if we should do anything. Yours his comment.
Speaker 6: I am hoping in praying the President Trump is this
Speaker 6: really is blustered. I do not want to see us
Speaker 6: start blowing up civilian infrastructure. I do not want to
Speaker 6: see that we are not at war with Uranian people. Yeah,
Speaker 6: we are trying to liberate them, that is.
Speaker 1: True, but you can't separate out the citizens of the
Speaker 1: country versus their leaders. Mike Lawler, congressman from New York,
Speaker 1: had this response.
Speaker 7: Ye, I don't disagree with what Ron Johnson said there,
Speaker 7: and I think if you look at the President's statement,
Speaker 7: he doesn't want to do that. He doesn't want to
Speaker 7: be in a position to have to take that action.
Speaker 7: But obviously you are dealing with the regime that has
Speaker 7: not negotiated in good faith for decades and inclusive of
Speaker 7: the last few weeks, and so ultimately, when they are
Speaker 7: talking about having children surround a power plant, the Iranian
Speaker 7: regime on state TV is calling for children to go
Speaker 7: surround power plants. This is the depraved indifference you're talking
Speaker 7: about with this regime, and so ultimately, if you have
Speaker 7: to take necessary action to curtail their capabilities. Obviously, their
Speaker 7: oil trade is a big component of that ninety percent
Speaker 7: you talk about ninety percent being delivered through carg Island.
Speaker 7: Ninety percent of Iran's oil is purchased by who China.
Speaker 7: China is the biggest purchaser of Iranian petroleum. That is
Speaker 7: what is financed their entire illicit activity over these past
Speaker 7: many decades. So the President is putting on the table
Speaker 7: taking action against their energy facilities, against their infrastructure, because
Speaker 7: that will cripple the regime. Is it something we want
Speaker 7: to do, No, of course, but we want this regime
Speaker 7: to finally negotiate in good faith.
Speaker 1: I don't understand what's wrong with these people. They're supposed
Speaker 1: to be the best and the brightest to the leaders
Speaker 1: of our country, and they keep talking about that you
Speaker 1: can't negotiate with this regime. But we need to negotiate
Speaker 1: with this regime and do it in good faith. We're
Speaker 1: doing it in good faith. If they're not they never have,
Speaker 1: they never will. You're going to have to replace the regime.
Speaker 1: And the problem with that is Americans don't want boots
Speaker 1: on the ground, But you can't replace the regime without
Speaker 1: occupying the country and occupying their government offices. So I'm
Speaker 1: sorry we're in this pickle, but this is the pickle
Speaker 1: that I see. Dan Hoffman, former CIA station chief, let's
Speaker 1: see what he thinks.
Speaker 8: Well, I think there's three ways this could play out.
Speaker 8: One is that we do nothing. I certainly don't see
Speaker 8: that happening. The second option is that we either have
Speaker 8: a deal or significant progress towards a deal. And the
Speaker 8: third option is that we don't get any of that
Speaker 8: progress and the President decides to start launching these strikes.
Speaker 8: This is a clear statement from the President of warning
Speaker 8: Iran that we would take action like this, and US
Speaker 8: credibility is at stake.
Speaker 1: So I have no doubt.
Speaker 8: That we've got our bombers warmed up in the bullpen
Speaker 8: ready to take action if Iran doesn't proceed to negotiate
Speaker 8: in good faith. These things are never decided, it appears,
Speaker 8: at least with Iran until the last minute.
Speaker 1: Again, the President, I mean, that's his wheelhouse, right negotiating.
Speaker 1: But this is a different group. You're the people on
Speaker 1: the other side of the table are not like anybody
Speaker 1: he's negotiated with ever in his life. And everybody from
Speaker 1: everybody all the way down the list, the Congressman Mike
Speaker 1: Lawler to Ron Johnson to Katie McFarlane, they're all thinking
Speaker 1: that we need to negotiate with these people like they're
Speaker 1: normal people. They're not. And so a lot of the
Speaker 1: former bad people we have eliminated, right we bombed their smithereens.
Speaker 1: They're gone. So we got this new group the President
Speaker 1: is talking about. And the new group is saying, send
Speaker 1: children to surround the power plans in the train stations.
Speaker 1: That's how twisted these people are. This is the new
Speaker 1: What did the President call them, different, smarter and less
Speaker 1: radicalized leaders. I don't think so.
Speaker 8: Back to Dan Hoffman, I think those strikes were designed
Speaker 8: to push Iran in the right direction and let them
Speaker 8: know that we're serious about launching strikes tonight if Iran
Speaker 8: doesn't meet the eight pm deadline. We have the capability
Speaker 8: and we have clearly the willpower to launch serious strikes
Speaker 8: on Iran, and I think that's what was behind some
Speaker 8: of these strikes. It's worth noting that Israel has been
Speaker 8: striking Iran's critical infrastructure, petrochemical industry, and their steel industry
Speaker 8: as well, all along as well as key leadership targets,
Speaker 8: as you noted.
Speaker 1: And so we hit Carg Island, but they have some
Speaker 1: military facilities on the island, that's what we hit overnight.
Speaker 1: But the oil infrastructure there at Carg Island was not touched.
Speaker 1: That's what the president is threatening. Yeah, so listen.
Speaker 8: I think yesterday's press conference where we saw Director of
Speaker 8: CI John Ratcliffe standing beside President Trump, was really a
Speaker 8: window into the extraordinary cooperation we see from the intelligence
Speaker 8: community informing the president and other key policymakers so they
Speaker 8: can make the best decisions. And of course we saw
Speaker 8: that with the rescue of our airmen and then post
Speaker 8: facto on that strike against the F fifteen. Where did
Speaker 8: that manpad come from? The extent to which China or
Speaker 8: Russia is not just providing Iran with financial assistance, but
Speaker 8: arming them as well and giving them the intelligence Iran
Speaker 8: needs to strike our military assets, these are all things
Speaker 8: that the intelligence community, I think is very much focused on.
Speaker 1: Man Pack is LINGO for the shoulder fired heat seeking
Speaker 1: missile that brought down that F fifteen. So one more
Speaker 1: from Dan Hoffman, Well, does he think there's going to
Speaker 1: be bombs flying after eight pm or a deal with
Speaker 1: I keep the deal will be with these people that
Speaker 1: are not right in the head. But let's hear what
Speaker 1: Dan has to say.
Speaker 8: I think there's just a lot happening behind the scenes,
Speaker 8: and I wouldn't be surprised if even the CIA is
Speaker 8: reaching out clandestinely to their contacts inside Iran and in
Speaker 8: the region. We honestly may not see much. We might
Speaker 8: see more military strikes from the United States or from
Speaker 8: Israel today, of course, and maybe more on the on
Speaker 8: carg Island, designed to demonstrate to Iran that we're serious
Speaker 8: about this deadline, but we may not see much definitive
Speaker 8: evidence of where we're headed until close to eight pm.
Speaker 1: Well, again, my bet is that we will not have
Speaker 1: a deal and that the President will order some strikes.
Speaker 1: But that's what we've been doing now for the last
Speaker 1: four weeks, so I don't think it's anything totally new.
Speaker 1: Matthew Chance is a reporter in Doha in Qatar. Let's
Speaker 1: find out what it looks like from his vantage point.
Speaker 9: Yeah, I think that's right. No one, despite all this
Speaker 9: rhetoric and all this bombast about destroying entire civilizations, no
Speaker 9: one is really ruling out the possibility. However slim, it
Speaker 9: may seem that something could happen at the eleventh hour
Speaker 9: that to set back this deadline even further, or even
Speaker 9: bring to an end of the conflict.
Speaker 1: Remember.
Speaker 9: Yeah, this is the fifth deadline in a row that
Speaker 9: the President Trump has imposed on his own threat, and
Speaker 9: so you know, it's possibly it could be a sixth time.
Speaker 9: That's certainly the hope. I've just come out of meetings
Speaker 9: with Katari officials. I'm talking to you now from Doha.
Speaker 9: There is a lot of concern and alarm across this
Speaker 9: golf region, which is very energy rich, and which is
Speaker 9: very concerned about what impact escalation of the conflict in
Speaker 9: Iran is going to have.
Speaker 6: Yet.
Speaker 9: Yes, of course, this threat to by the US military
Speaker 9: to strike at civilian infrastructure in Iran would cause untold
Speaker 9: damage to the Islamic Republic, but it would also potentially
Speaker 9: have a massive knock on effect across the region. Because
Speaker 9: Iran has vowed to retaliate in kind against the neighboring
Speaker 9: golf states. They've all got very vulnerable energy infrastructure installations,
Speaker 9: oil rigs, gas production facilities, things like that that can
Speaker 9: be struck very easily and be very difficult to rebuild.
Speaker 9: And you know already the region is losing I mean,
Speaker 9: untold Tom's billions of dollars a day in Katar alone.
Speaker 9: If Iran is good to its word and as every
Speaker 9: sense that it will be, and retaliates against the regional infrastructure,
Speaker 9: that could have a massive impact on the regional economy,
Speaker 9: a long lasting impact, and of course a huge impact
Speaker 9: on the global economy as well. And that's the real
Speaker 9: concern as we approach President Trump's latest deadline to send
Speaker 9: Iran back to the Stone Ache.
Speaker 1: So he sounded very similar to Paula Hancock, which she
Speaker 1: was in Abu Dhabi talking about they were very worried
Speaker 1: that Iran will attack Abu Dhabi. Matthew Chances in Doha,
Speaker 1: very worried about Iran will attack Doha. If allow this
Speaker 1: happens tonight. Colonel Cedric Layden, retired Air Force intel guy,
Speaker 1: this is his view.
Speaker 10: This is quite amazing rhetoric, quite frankly from the President,
Speaker 10: and when you're talking in civilizational terms, it actually kind
Speaker 10: of plays into the hands of the Iranian regime because
Speaker 10: they see their struggle for existence, their revolutionary struggle for existence,
Speaker 10: as being an existential struggle against the forces of the
Speaker 10: West and against forces of non Shia Islam. They are,
Speaker 10: of course the representatives they see as being the representatives
Speaker 10: of Shia Islam, and they believe that their job is
Speaker 10: to not only maintain their regime, but to spread to
Speaker 10: their revolution and to spread the ideas of Shia Islam.
Speaker 10: So when he couches, when the president couches this in
Speaker 10: civilizational terms like this, this gets into really their sandbox,
Speaker 10: and it makes this a you know, conflict between civilizations,
Speaker 10: and that's a really dangerous area to be in.
Speaker 1: Well it is, and meantime the markets are they're not
Speaker 1: sure what to do either. They are just not sure
Speaker 1: what to do. Let me look at the oil quote
Speaker 1: right now. Because it was up to one hundred and sixteen.
Speaker 1: Well oil backed off, it took off this morning, went
Speaker 1: up to one hundred and sixteen dollars and seventy seven cents.
Speaker 1: It's backed off and trading right now at one hundred
Speaker 1: and twelve. So it's staying in that one twelve to
Speaker 1: one sixteen range as far as gasoline goes the price.
Speaker 1: The average price of gas is up another few cents,
Speaker 1: four dollars fourteen cents for the cheap stuff. That's the
Speaker 1: national average for diesel five sixty five go to There
Speaker 1: are now four states with gasoline above five dollars on
Speaker 1: average for the cheap stuff, Washington, Oregon, Nevada, and California.
Speaker 1: So the Western states are all above five dollars. California
Speaker 1: five dollars ninety three cents. They're almost at six that's
Speaker 1: the cheap stuff, and diesel seven dollars and seventy three cents.
Speaker 1: The county by Yosemite in California is six dollars and
Speaker 1: seventy two cents for a gallon of gasoline. And who
Speaker 1: was it that was reporting? Oh, on the coast of California,
Speaker 1: there's a gas station now that has bumped up the
Speaker 1: price to ten dollars ten dollars for filling. And on
Speaker 1: the coast of California, there's not a lot of civilization
Speaker 1: out there. No, no, no, those they're beautiful little towns.
Speaker 1: It's a wonderful drive go down Highway one along the
Speaker 1: California coast, But there's these little towns are not close
Speaker 1: to each other, and so you better get gas when
Speaker 1: you're going through that town or you're going to run
Speaker 1: out when you get down the road. A little bit
Speaker 1: as far as travel goes, Artemis two, they did their
Speaker 1: fly by around the Moon and some of the photos.
Speaker 1: You got to check out the photos that they've taken
Speaker 1: there are much sharper than what they took fifty years ago,
Speaker 1: better lenses, better cameras. But it's just absolutely beautiful what
Speaker 1: they do. Butch Wilmer retired after that. I was talking
Speaker 1: about the fact that they've completed that part and they're
Speaker 1: now trying to break loose of the gravity from the
Speaker 1: Moon and lets the gravity from Earth catch them as
Speaker 1: they head back to Earth. On Friday, here's but Wilmer.
Speaker 11: So that's significant because as they start to trek back
Speaker 11: towards Earth, the gravitational pull of the Earth is going
Speaker 11: to pull them in and they're going to come faster
Speaker 11: and faster and faster. I'm not sure if they'll break
Speaker 11: the record for the fastest humans ever, but there's a
Speaker 11: good chance they will. Time will tell, but they'll wind
Speaker 11: up traveling about twenty five thousand miles per hour. That's
Speaker 11: faster than seven miles per second when they get back
Speaker 11: to the Earth and start re entering the atmosphere, So
Speaker 11: they have to a very narrow window to re enter
Speaker 11: the atmosphere. If you're too shallow, way too shallow, then
Speaker 11: you skip off the atmosphere. You've already justisened your thrusters
Speaker 11: from the service module, so you really you just skip
Speaker 11: off and you just keep going that Obviously, you don't
Speaker 11: want that to happen. So they had to hit the
Speaker 11: atmosphere at the exactly right angle and they'll be firing
Speaker 11: those thrusters to get them on that exact trajectory. It's mesmerizing,
Speaker 11: it's thrilling. I mean, just think humans giving the planet
Speaker 11: from that vantage point first time in over fifty years,
Speaker 11: and it's going to be something that we're going to
Speaker 11: continue to do as we go forward.
Speaker 1: I know we've done this before, but this is pretty exciting.
Speaker 1: And the photos You've got to check out the photos
Speaker 1: that are absolutely beautiful. Kalshie, have you seen where they're
Speaker 1: really pushing hard to get their name out there. They
Speaker 1: are a site that is getting well, they're getting banned
Speaker 1: in a lot of places because I think they are
Speaker 1: simply a betting site. They say that They are a
Speaker 1: prediction market site, but I look at them and they
Speaker 1: look pretty darn much like a gambling site to me.
Speaker 1: I'm looking at the homepage of it is first one,
Speaker 1: it's politics. How long will the government shut down? Congress?
Speaker 1: Will members of Congress be banned from trading stocks? And
Speaker 1: you can bet on this stuff? Sixty two percent believe
Speaker 1: that they will. Under Trump, will Americans receive terra stimulus checks?
Speaker 1: Only fourteen percent believe they will Democratic presidential nominee, thirty
Speaker 1: percent believe Gavin Newsom Republican presidential nominee, thirty seven percent
Speaker 1: for Vance, twenty four percent for Rubio. This is all
Speaker 1: you put money up and then you place your bet.
Speaker 1: That's the same as as the casinos, isn't it. I
Speaker 1: don't see the difference. But they're getting their name out
Speaker 1: there in a big, big way. All right, let's find
Speaker 1: out how the markets handle us today. And again, everybody's
Speaker 1: looking at their watches and counting down until eight pm tonight.
Speaker 1: This is Tuesday, the seventh of April. That were recording
Speaker 1: all of this. But as far as the markets go,
Speaker 1: Dow was never positive today, but it never went too
Speaker 1: far down, down a couple hundred but it came back
Speaker 1: to finish down eighty five. The DOW at forty six
Speaker 1: thousand and five eighty four. The SMP was up five,
Speaker 1: the NADDAC was up twenty one. Both of them were
Speaker 1: also mostly underwatered. A little rally near the end, price
Speaker 1: of gold went up forty one dollars to forty seven
Speaker 1: twenty five, and oil when all of a sudden done
Speaker 1: like I said, it got up to one sixteen. I
Speaker 1: think it was one sixteen and some change. It finished
Speaker 1: down eight cents. That's it, at one hundred and twelve
Speaker 1: dollars for a barrel of oil. Keep your eyes on
Speaker 1: eight o'clock tonight. We'll find out what happens and talk
Speaker 1: about it tomorrow. I'll be here, and I hope you
Speaker 1: are too. Other four c
Speaker 4: Mhm